Evening star., 1941-04-06
Nozi Strategy in YugosIovio
Must Protect Italian Allies
Greek Strength Will Be Freed if Foscists
In AIboniu Are Crushed, Eliot Says

ways being promptly opened for
their use, as we'll as river transport
on the Danube itself. But this
expectation proved unjustified. and
If the Germans really have II to
Is divisions in Bulgaria, plus the
better part of an air fleet, as re-
ported, their supply problem must
be acute now and will be still more
SO if they have to begin fighting.
Communications Bad.
There are suggestions that they
have begun requisitioning food from
the Bulgarian peasants, a process
which has already caused minor
rioting and may py oduce even more
unfavorable reactions. Some sup
plies can be brought round by sea
from Rumanian to Bulgarian ports,
but here again the small size of the
Rumanian merchant marine, the
shortage of rolling stock on the
Bulgarian railways, and the con-
dition of the roads from railroads
to delivery points, must be causes
for worry.
Moreover, Gen. List, expecting
only to attack Greece, must now
swing round and face west against
Yugoslavia, while not forgetting
either the British and Greeks on
one hand, or the Turks on the
other. He cannot be pleased to
hear that Maj. Gen. O'Moore Creagh,
who commanded the British ar
mored divisions in Libya, has ar
rived in European Turkey.
The completion of all these pre-
hminary moves. plus the moving
up OF troops to positions along the
other YugoSlav frontiers, has taken
a good deal of time. The latter
process has been complicated-how
much we do not yet know-by the
reluctance of certain elements in
Hungary to cooperate in any at
tack on Yugoslavia, or to permit
Hungarian territory to be used for
such a purpose.
Teleki Suicide a Protest.
The suicide of the Hungarian
Prime Minister, Count Teleki, was
almost certainly in protest against
such German demands. and it re-
mains to be seen what the reaction
OF the proud and Warlike Magyars.
who at bottom for the most part
Ioathe the Germans, will be to
TelekiS sacrifcial battle cry.
On the whole, the German moves
against Yugoslavia seem likely to
be somewhat as follows:
Cd An advance from Austria
against the line of the upper Sava,
intended largely as holding attack
and also to fit in with the political
offensive which $50 far failure)
seeks TO divide the Croats from the
Serbs.
% A dash from Timisoara, in Ru-
mania, straight across the level
plains of the Banat on Belgrade:
This would include a good many
armored troops and its main pur-
pose would be to gain a token"
victory in capturing the Yugoslav
capital. The Nazis badly need such
a success, which will sound much
bigger to the outside world than
its military Importance will justify.
80 Possibly a simultaneous move
from Hungarian territory against
the Yugoslav railway junction of
Subotica.
Main Attack From Bulgaria.
4. But the main attack seems like
ly to come from Bulgaria, and to
take two main directions: One from
Sofia along the valley of the Nisha-
va against Pirot and Mis-; the other
from Sofia along the narrow gauge
railway via Kyustendil, directed on
Skoplje. The object of the first
would be to combine with the Bel
grade thrust to open up the main
railway through Mis- and the line
OF the Danube; the object of the
second would be to break through
the mountains and make contact
with the Italians in Albania before
the latter can be flung into the sea
by a combined Greek -Yugoslav at
tack
1t is possible that the attack on
Pirot might be supported by ele-
ments crossing the Danube and ad-
vancing up the Timok Valley,