Evening star., 1941-08-10
Ry CHEN CHIEH.

1ucd Ul tllC plCSiOuo NoANS Va
democracy.
: have lived in Germany for three
years, representing my government
There. 1t was my purpose when !
first went there to keep relations
between China and Germany as
anicable as possible. China had
at that time but one enemy. That
enemy was Japan. We did net
want more.
Z But China was basically opposed
to all aggression and believed in
amman rights and freedom.
: Before it came to my knowledge
that Germany was contemplating
recognition of Japan's puppet
regime at Nanking I repeatedly
rallied to the attention of the Ger
man government the declarations
of my government that any such
step would be regarded by us as
an unfriendly act.
Acted Despite Warning.
Yet, despite my warnings, Hitler
and Won Ribbentrop decided to
recognize the Marking puppet
regime on July l. They did this in
total disregard of the majority
opinion of the German people,
knowing full we'll that Wang Ching
wei's regime is but a tool of the
Japanese militarists and totally un-
worthy of any support by any for
eign power.
q Although she did not want to
incur the animosity of China, Ger
many wanted to induce Japan to
push her South Seas expansion at
this particular time. Germany had
long planned her attack on Russia
IT had been scheduled for May, but
was put off until June because of
her adventure in Crete.
She hoped at first that Russia
could be crippled militarily and
politically within the first few weeks
of the war. She also hoped that
Great Britain and the United States
would not be able to aid Russia in
time, but when Russian resistance
proved to be stronger than she
anticipated Germany became des-
perate. She therefore had to create
some diversion in another sphere
at the same time-and that sphere
Is the South Pacific.
1t is my opinion that Germany
made her bargain with Japan for
Japan to invade Indo-China, and
possibly Siberia. In return Germany
would recognize the puppet regime
in Nanking, which has been so
completely Intellectual since its in
ception year and half ago.
Many Miscalculations.
Hitler, in this move, made several
miscalculations. He miscalculated
in the first place, the support which
Russia would receive from Great
Britain and the United States. He
niscalculated the military strength
of the Russians. He miscalculated
Japan's ability to carry out her ex-
pansion program. And I think he
may have been greatly surprised at
the firmness of American resolve to
keep Japan from advancing in the
Pacific.
President Roosevelt's latest move
in enforcing sanctions upon Japan,
If it is to be followed by a water
tight economic blockade, will, I be-
!1ieve, so cripple Japan that she will
be unable to succeed in her plans
for domination of the Orient.
One thing that Hitler has not en-
tertained any illusion about is the
strength of the Chinese Army. That
army, I have heard his military
leaders say time and again, is one
.pf the strongest armies in the world.
They know that Japan cannot de-
feat the Chinese Army, and all OF
them admire without any reserva-
fion the iron will of resistance OF
pur great leader, Generalissimo
Chang Kai-shek. They only use
Japan for creating trouble in the
Southern Pacific, not because they
have any love for the Japanese
themselves.
= Will Attack in Time.
am quite confident that the
Chinese Army will be one of the
strongest forces which Japan will
have to deal with at all times, even
during her present southwark ex-
spansion. The Chinese Army will
when the time is ripe, be able to
start its counteroffensive against
those Japanese troops in and out
side China. And Japan will have to
face defeat after defeat all along
the 2,000-mile China front.
. I have lived long enough in Ber-
lin to know that the air is filled
with tension. I do not believe, how
eyer, that the people will soon revolt
1t is true that there is, both in Ger.
many and Italy, a great deal Of
adiscontent. But 1t would be wishfu
thinking to say that disconten,
would flare up into revolutionary
smovement any time soon.
= Germany herself is far from
hungry. Before the Germans anc
italians starve, the people OF oc-
-cupied France, of Belgium, of Hol-
aland and of Greece will have tt
starve first. Of course, many of the
people in Germany do not like the
seeming endlessness of Hitlers abb
-bitions for conquest. Many of then
are weary of war. Some are opposed
Ito the theology which prompts him
Doubts German Revolt.
But until they face starvation ol
major military defeats on the battle
field, ! do not believe they will revolt
por that any revolt will succeed under
the stringent surveillance of the gov
aernment and the Nazi party.
q But revolt within Germany anc
Italy is by no means the only, hopt
afor the democracies. The Far East
sern situation is key to the seconc
world War. Russia is holding ou
svaliantly, and will, I believe, hav'
strength to Withstand the German
sonslaught for long time to come
Japan is far from being a stronl
slink in the whole Axis partnership.
4 If American, British and Neither
Stands economic sanctions agains
aJapan are kept up and frightened
Eff America continues to send larg
quantities Of supplies to China, ant
sif the democratic powers can hell
IN r1rotect the Burma road iron