Evening star., 1941-07-20
Nazi-Red War Seen
Barring Invasion Of
Britain Until 1912
Only zoe, 900 Of $50, 900
Germuns in West Held
Front-Line Fighters
BIZ the Associated Press.

SF the Associated Press.
LONDON, July ia reliable
foreign source said tonight that
private reports from the continent
indicated the Germans had thrown
so much of their air and land power
into the Russian campaign that 1t
appeared unlikely that they could
attempt to invade Britain before
next year.
These reports say the Germans
still have 100000 troops in West
ern Europe, but that only about
100000 are front-line fighting men,
the remainder being garrison or
occupation troops. German air
strength in the west was pictured
as considerable, but designed now
principally for defense.
AS a result, Adolf Hitler probably
has decided to defer any attempt
to invade Britain until next year,
the foreign informant said.
Best of Troops in East.
It is highly improbable, he said,
that the Germans now would be
able to organize an invasion of
England before winter. Reports
from continental agents indicate,
he said, that Germany had moved
the best of her troops to the East
ern front and that the mere prob
lem of reassembling them into in
vasion armies in the west would
take minimum of six weeks under
even the most favorable condi-
tions.
He added:
But favorable conditions do not
exist because of two factors: One,
the heavy losses in men and ma
terial inflicted by the Russians, and
two, damage to communications
and bases In Western Germany
and along the German-occupied
French invasion coast inflicted by
the r. A. F."
As a result, Hitler probably will
rely on a renewed heavy aerial Of
fensive beginning at the end of Au-
gust, this source said. This predic-
tion recalled the warning of Prime
British cities this fall and winter
probably would have to go through
the same ordeal as last year, only
rather worse"
100000 in France.
This informant said his reports
indicated that the Germans now
have about 500 900 troops in France,
250.000 more spread from Norway
through Denmark and the Low
Countries and approximately 10000
in Africa.
The remainder of the NaZi army,
feputed to number 2,500000 soldiers,
including the best shock and panzer
forces. are either fighting on the
Russian front or moving into posi-
ton as reserves and reinforcements.
Without considering the heavy
losses making necessary reforma-
ton of units" said the source, the
mere mechanics of turning such a
spearhead as the Russian offensive
and directing it against Britain
would be a tremendous project re-
ouiring weeks of planning and
weeks of execution.
The best information now indi-
Gates that the German objective is
the destruction of the Red Army
and occupation of Western Russia
on line from Leningrad to Astra-
khan by September"
British Move Awaited.
Astrakhan is at the mouth of the
Volga River on the Caspian Sea,
and such a line would run through
Moscow and behind virtually all
European Russia, including most of
its industries, agriculture and raw
materials.
Britons are watching with some
impatience for signs of a British
move to relieve German pressure
against Russia. Press speculation
on the feasibility of landing an ex-
pedition to create a real tWo-front
war for Germany has tapered off,
but there are signs of a growing
Festiveness over a lack of material
support to Russia beyond the raid
ing of the r. A. F.
The London Times. commenting
ON the cordial reception given to
the British Russian alliance. said
that more indeed than enthusiasm
rs required to make it effective"