Evening star., 1940-11-03
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have New York's Al votes or fall by
the wayside.
Odds among betting commission
ers here ranged today from 8 to 5
to to that President Roosevelt
will win the election. On the other
hand, New York State was figured
an even bet in some places and q
6 to bet for Willkie to win In
others. Pennsylvania, the Keystone
State, second only to New York IN
number of electoral votes, was quoted
at 7 to 5 for Willkie.
Domestic Issues In Background.
AS this most sensational presi-
dental campaign in years draws to
a close, domestic issues have largely
been showed into the background.
President Roosevelt denounces the
G. o. P. and its candidate as "an
unholy alliance" of NaZis, radicals
and reactionaries. His running mate,
Henry A. Wallace, sticks to his cry
that Hitler wants Willkie, and Sec
retary Of the Interior IckeS and other
New Deal speakers back him up.
Mr.. Willkie, on the other hand, is
hammering away at Mr.. Roosevelt
as a war monger and a dictator. The
chant, "A vote for Roosevelt is a
vote for war;" goes up from Repub-
lican quarters in increasing volume,
Notwithstanding the fact that Presi-
dent Roosevelt has proclaimed his
adherence to peace and has been
backed up by his Ambassador to
Great Britain, Joseph P. Kennedy, in
The assertion that the administration
has made no commitments to the
British looking to armed support.
The struggle for party control in
campaigns-of great Importance
has been submerged in public inter-
est and in the minds of the political
leaders themselves to the fierce bat
tie that is waging over the presi-
dency. Mathematically, it is impos-
sible for the Republicans to win or
the Democrats to lose control Of the
Senate, Of whose membership only
little more than one-third Is to be
elected.
La Toilette In Danger.
II Wisconsin goes Republican, as
seems likely, Senator La Toilette,
Progressive, will be in great danger
Of losing to his Republican opponent.
Fred H. Clausen, manufacturer of
farm implements. For nearly half
century the La Toilette family has
held high public Offices in the State.
The Democrats may pick up a
Senate seat now held by the Re-
publicans in Delaware If that State
should 60 for President Roosevelt,
despite the fact that Senator Town
send, up for reelection, Is extreme
ly popular. They might easily lose
another in New Jersey, too, If the
State registers for Roosevelt. How
ever, Senator Barbour has elements
of strength there which may not
apply also to the Willkie ticket.
The House of Representatives is
another matter. The Republicans
today hold 1853 seats in that body
and there are two vacancies in Re-
publican congressional districts. To
obtain control the G. o. P. must pick
up 48 seats now held by the Demo-
Gratis or by the minor parties and
retain all their present holdings. A
bare majority of the House is 2ls.
House Rides With Presidency.
Notwithstanding Republican claims
that even if Mr.. Willkie is defeated
they may carry a majority of the
House membership, 1t is almost GER
tain that House control will 60 with
the presidency-the hide will 60 with
the OK. The Republicans insist they
have good chances to pick up 60
or more House seats. They expect
gains, they say, in a score of States
ranging across the northern part of
the country from New York to CAL
ifornia.
The Republicans have chances to
win eight to 10 Senate seats now
held by Democrats if the Willkie
swing is successful. Indeed, they are
likely to win several Senate seats
even if President Roosevelt is re-
elected. That Is true in Pennsyl-
vania and Indiana, for example. In
Pennsylvania, Senator Joseph F.
Guffey, Democrat, is bitterly opposed
by factions in his party. Mr.. Roose-
welt will have to carry that State
by a very considerable majority If
Guffey Is to pull through. Indiana
may we'll 60 for Mr.. Willkie, native
son. No one, not even Senator
Minton himself, believes that he will
win If President Roosevelt loses In
diana.
States in which the Republicans
stand chances to win Senate seats
now held by the Democrats in ad-
dition to Pennsylvania and Indiana
include Ohio, New York, Wisconsin,
Illinois, and in lesser degree, Con-
necticut, Washington, West Vir-
ginia and New Mexico. In most of
those States a great deal will de-
pend upon the size of the Roosevelt
and Willkie votes. Generally speak
ing, no Democratic candidate for
the Senate is likely to run ahead
of President Roosevelt in the vote.
One exception may be Senator
David I. Walsh Of Massachusetts,.
The Massachusetts, veteran is likely
to win reelection in his State no
matter what happens to the ma
tional ticket.
A Precari0us Structure.
How closely the Republican lead
ership is figuring today and how
narrow may be the margin of vic
tory If the hopes Of the G. o. P. are
realized Is indicated bY 4 pri.