Evening star., 1939-02-27
6. 0. Convinced
New York IsKey
To 1910 Election
Republicans Declare
22l Electoral Votes
Are Already Theirs
By G. GOULDLINCOLN.

New YORK, with Its Al electoral
votes, leaps into the imelight today
on two counts as the key State in the
1910 presidential election.
First, an analysis of the election
returns last November has convinced
Republican national headquarters
that States with a total 221 electoral
votes are now surely Republican. 1t
takes 266 electoral votes to win a
presidential election. New York is
classed as border line State" It's
vote. if added to 22l electoral votes,
will give the G. o. P. candidate a
total of 268.
Second. New York's premier can
didate for Republican presidential
nomination, Thomas E. Dewey. has
just won new laurels by mastery
conduct of the trial of James j.
Hines, veteran Tammanv leader. on
charge of selling political protection
to the Dutch Schultz policy racket.
The conviction of Hines does not
necessarily mean the nomination
of District Attorney Dewey by the
Republican National Convention
next year. Decidedly, however, it
has not lessened his chances.
United Republican Factions.
Dewey during the 1888 campaign
when he vas candidate for Gov
ernor against Gov. Lehman. sue
ceeded in uniting back of him all
Republican factions in the State.
1t would appear likely that he
can have similar support and the
big New York delegation, 92-strong,
to the 1910 national convention.
Because of his youth-he will be
only 38 next year-and because of a
progressive stand. Mr.. Dewey may
be opposed by some of the Repub-
Icans who will be influential when
il comes to nominating candidate
for President. The leadership of
the Republican organization has
changed, however in the last few
years. in many of the States. The
controlling figures of other days
have passed out of the picture.
= Because of changed political con-
ditions in great part of the coun-
try. Republicans are confident that
their party nomination for Presi-
dent next year will be extremely
valuable. The very analysis Just
now brought forth by the Republi-
can National Committee is clear
evidence of that belief. Mr. Dewey
will not, therefore. be without op-
position. At least two Republican
Senator's. Taft of Ohio and VAN
denberg of Michigan. are consid-
cred outstanding presidential posi-
bilities-and Senator Lodge of
Massachusetts has his hackers, too.
There is feeling in some quarters
that many of the more conservative
Republicans will desire to support
Taft rather than Dewey, believing
that the son of the late former
President more nearly represents
the shift in sentiment of the voters
against the Roosevelt New Deal
They point out also that Mr.. Taft
was elected in 1888, while Mr.. Dewey
was defeated-although by a mar
row margin. Ohio however, has
another possible contender for the
nomination next year. Gov. Bricker.
which may complicate the Taft
candidacy.
Democrats Begin Survey.
The statistical analysis of the
1888 elections issued by the Repub-
1ican National Committee is based
on an examination of the figures
cast in gubernatorial, House, Sen
ate anud State Legislature elections.
The report was made public at a
time when the Democratic congress
sional leaders have begun a sur
vey Of their own to assay the No
Vember election results.
The Republican report asserts
that the gains made by Republicans
In the 1888 elections were national
in scope, not local, as President
Roosevelt has contended. 1t showed,
for example. that Republican can
didates for the House made gains
over 1886 in every State outside
of the solid South, except in Maine,
Oklahoma and Maryland. and in
those States the Democratic gain
was only three tenths of one per
cent. The Republican gain over
1896 ran as high as 1876 per cent
in Wisconsin and averaged IL per
cent for the entire country.
Taking the sum total of the vote
for representatives in Congress in
80 States-there are 10 States in the
Solid South--the report showed that
the G. o. P. polled 16.970929 votes
to 16,500,6l2 for the Democrats. In
1886 the Democratic vote was 21,-
3l2,490 against l6,529,O47 for the Re
publicans. The Republican plu-
rality of 1889 of nearly 100000 is
compared to the Democratic plu-
rality of approximately 100000 in
1886. 1t is clear, however, from the
hgures, that great many voters
failed to vote in 1888 who did cast
their ballots in the 1886 presidential
year.
Listing of States.
The Republicans lay unqualified
claims to 81 States with 22l elec-
toral votes. in view of the 1898 re-
turns. Here is the listing of the 80
States and their electoral votes as
given by the Republican report:
States unquestionably Republican
electoral vote follows: Maine, 5;
New Hampshire. 4; Vermont, 8;
Massachusetts,, II; Connecticut, 8;
Rhode Island, 4; New Jersey, l6;
Delaware, 3; Pennsylvania, So: Ohio.
26; Indiana, Ia. while a Demo-
cratic Senator was elected, the Re-
publican candidate received 49.8 per
cent OF the vote. Republican Repre-
sentatives received 507 per cent of
the vote and gained seats.) Michi-
gan, ls; Wisconsin. IL; Minnesota,
IL: Iowa, IL; Nebraska, Z. while
the Democrats reelected a popular
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