The Republican. [volume] (Oakland, Md.) 1877-current, 1939-09-07
Consequences
September 1.

NHaJ are the certain and probable
consequences of the war in Europe
THa9.h. even though we do not become
aizgmStly involved, is bound to affect
Us n many ways? We may as well
fake The facts now before they become
atF7plessly submerged by the mount
IEg streams of propaganda, beginning
m AEsEg from all directions.
~ 10 the certainties, there are very
1asEl But if human experience counts
FIX sz1Y thing there are some things
d1tzz5 ere inevitable and some which ad-
1a5t If very little argument. For one
Esz1ng, certainly it is not the common
g7aaa pfe of any of these countries who
7F.2zh 10 go to war. For another, it will
b. % bong war. The reason is that there
Il -e point of access from which an
g>EsrE helming attack can be delivered
G9f25Faen the British-French on one side
aIssa 1he Germans on the other.
Concerning these two facts there
YET Sse general agreement A third Ger
lz1.E.r5 is that there will be stupendous
sAsssj. -Jetion of property and another
.rE.a:ratlon of the best men killed on
5yrs-ttahelds. And there will be starva-
'.a7u and slaughter of women and chill
sE-aa A fourth certainty is that both
lin Tiotors and the vanquished will be
Impoverished for another quarter of a
.g.szz. cury after the war ends. The whole
.vsized world will pass through an
'1lEer period of instability approaching
a:czlas.
Elg light this war, the democracies,
1r zB7.essity and at once, become dicta-
f.zg-a11ps. And, even if they are the VIZ
z1s.g some of the freedom they have
~ aqpea today will not be fully restored
III oug time after the war ends. The
gGs1z who now are in command of the
XVI be put out of office by their
9zalles. whether they win or lose. In
lz1q a1ase Of the vanquished, they will
" -1lt out by violence and revolution,
Al E0pse things seem too clear to dis
.a1fz. Most persons will accept them
~ .,ai Tain consequences of the war.
H. ~ 1ne probable consequences, there
IL. 7mure room for difference of opinion,
gz4e 1hose in best position to Judge,
.4az VINO by experience and equipment
arr Esest qualified to judge, are in ac-
s-gE,d as 10 some.
Fjz-sJ, they think Poland probably
E5z4 hi overrun by the German armies
lasSzEg in the war. The French and
Ea.15sb cannot reach the Poles with
5Isz7syi aid. Their subsequent fate will
5ftsas7l6 upon who wins on the western
EZE3z T. Second, no attack to the west
~ Germany through Belgium is likely
First, because of the Belgian frontier
iag-tt:zcAtions and second because of
zaa DISASTROUS experience last time
.Eas45z.,l brought world condemnation.
EAlrd there is only the remotest posi-
.zIIE hat Germany can break through
rss. zgeW system Of land frontiers in
E1eans.a- and less Of their landing troops
"a s3-aat Britain. 1t is equally improb-
s4aEr ne British and French can break
1.arp4gh the German Notifications.
X u i
EzlluJh, with two-to-one superb
sfarir1 .of surface naval strength the
ERi3;Gysh and French will drive the Ger
zga2 surface ships from the sea in
..aana9t order Effectiveness of German
submarines and airplanes against Brit
, &zs5 French naval craft, in making
p ssugEaI blockades and preventing sea
.3ag7gtsardment of coast cities, will have
IN lle proved. Despite the sinking of
1Es3 Athena on Sunday, inventions
z5zsa Lhe last war are believed to have
.saac-aased the effectiveness of these
Tm4Gp1ns against surface ships rathez
E42a1 increased it. Certainly, they
5ssl&a0 10 break the blockade against
G5Eymany last time.
Fifth, is is improbable that delib-
zz.zle bombing of civilians will be I'M
z1azrzaken at an early stage of the war
EErely attacks will be directed against
zyar1tlon factories, airports and ships
Il xer The war gets more desperate
sssfze probably will be attacks upor
s.zv5ljan populations under the guise OF
gzrprisals. The ability to win wal
i1y aerial attack has not been sup
gar nd by even the most recent expert
sseczs in Spain and China. It's most
g1g-rbable effect will be to enrage, t.
szA1ian resistance and increase hate.
Sixth, the democracies are in posi-
y]nn, with abundant supplies from
-vecseas, to carry on war until thC
Central Powers are exhaused. Ger
nnauy-or Italy either, if in the ent
sa14 goes in on that side-will not have
adequate metal, oil or food supplies