The Waterbury Democrat., 1938-12-30
Third Term Cloud May Be Lifted
 By Summer
BY LYLE c. WILSON limited Press Staff Correspondent

BY LYLE c. WILSON
 United Press Staff Correspondent
 washington, Dec. 30 O.P)-Pres- ident Roosevelt's New Deal enters inc new year battered by the re- verses in the November electlons and with conservative Democrats and Republicans alert for an oppor- tunity to reshape 1t in Congress.
 The New Deal-Democratic party and the hyphen is growing long CT = will tread political road heavily mined. Fuses of opposition are burning from a dozen dlrec- tions. Only time will tell if the po- litical dynamite is live or dud.
 The outstanding question as the old year closes is: Will President Roosevelt seek a third term? NO conclusive answer is expected before midsummer.
 If the party should turn more conservative and away from the New Deal, speculation among Democrats regarding 1940 timber generally includes three names - Vice President John N. Garner Secretary of State Cordell Hull and Postmaster General James A. Farley. :,
 On the 1OO-per cent New Deal side names prominently mentioned are Secretary of Interior Harold L.. Ickes, Secretary of Agriculture Henry A. Wallace, Solicitor Gen. eral Robert H. Jackson and WPA Administrator Harry Hopkins.
 "Draft Roosevelt" Move
 Some Roosevelt flags al- ready are flying. There is the pos Sibility that grave domestic or in- ternational emergency might per- suade his party that third term was necessary.
 Some persons argue that the new 76th Congress may so man. handle the New Deal that President Roosevelt may demand renomina- ton to vindicate his policies. The President has not confided in his closest advisers - so far as IS known.
 Republican presidential plans are equally uncertain. The 1888 election raised @ new crop of political possi- Utilities. They have 18 months before the nominati ting conventions to deln- onstrate their political availabilitics. But for some months to come they are merely names to the electorate. The 1888 election also raised the Republican party from the depths of three successive and almost fa- tai defeats.
 Several Major Problems
 The new Congress with Republi- cans once more sufficiently numer- ous to be effective and an un- determined number of Democrats descrting the New Deal ship, will deal with such major questions as:
 1-Shall Congress and the Pres .ident cooperate in improving the structure of various emergency built recovery or reform agencies by amendment or must it be a winner-take-ali fight?
 2-Shau relief be shifted to less expensive methods?
 3-Shall pump priming be con. tinucd?
 4-Shall existing subsidies, not ably to farmers and Slum dwellers be continued and to what level shall subsidies to the aged be in- creased?
 5-Shall the Treasury continue to collect sums greatly in excess of current or near-future social se- curity needs and devote the pro- ceeds to paying current govern ment bills?
 6-How far beyond $40,O00,OOO,- 900 can the national debt be in- creased without endangering gov- ernment credit?
 7-Shan Congress or the Presi- dent stipulate where and how fu- ture relief and recovery appropri- Rtions are spent?
 s-what can be done for the railroads?
 9EIf another recession follows another curtailment of pump prim- ing-what next?
 10-Is there remedy for un- employment, and if so-what is it?
 11-How shall the United States confront the threat of war: by tre- mendous armament by isolation by defensive collaboration with Vest ern Hemisphere nations, by giving MT. Roosevelt greater discretion in penalizing aggressors under the Neutrality Act?
 Definite Trends Developing
 The political circus will be played in those rings and in oth- CTS. There is no three-ring limita- ton here. But trends are develop ing now at home and abroad which suggest that the showdown on some major issues of war and peace may be forthcoming.
 American foreign policy is be- coming aggressively-not violently opposed to the foreign policies of three great nations, Germany Japan and Italy. American foreign policy consists now of tightening of the western hemispherical cir rle of friendship, of parallel action with France and Great Britain abroad, and of direct protests to Japan, Germany and Italy against