Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1938-11-06
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and domination by the great monied
interests of the country-especially
in Pennsylvania and New York.
So resentful was the President
toward the activities of the House
committee, headed by Representa-
tive Dies, Texas Democrat, that he
issued a blast against Mr.. Dies and
his associates. The President spoke
particularly in criticism of the testi-
mony given before the committee
linking Gov. Murphy of Michigan,
ace New Dealer, with Communist
propaganda in the country, and de-
claring Gov. Murphy, in his handling
of the Shutdown strikes in 1887, had
played into the hands of the reds.
Pendulum Swinging Back.
Beginning with congressional cleo
tons of 1890, the Republican party
has constantly lost more and more
ground-and more and more seats
in the Senate and House. The House
was controlled by the Democrats
after the 1880 election by a small
margin. Two years later, huge
turnover in favor of the Democrats
occurred in both Houses. The 1884
elections, the middle of the first
Roosevelt term, showed the pendu-
lum still swinging in favor of the
New Deal and more gains were made
in Congress. And in 1886 the DEM
ocratic measure of control rose to
an all-time height.
This year the pendulum seems at
last about to swing back. But the
swing may not be and probably
will not be far. The result will be
spotty elections in various sections
of the country.
In the Middle West area, for ex-
ample, four large States seem fairly
sure to stick to the New Deal cause
Illinois, Indiana, Missouri and Ne
braska. -Four others, Kansas, Iowa,
Michigan and Ohio, are better hunt
ing grounds for the G. o. P.
In New England, Maine, Vermont,
New Hampshire and Massachusetts
look Republican, while the Demo-
cratic hold on Connecticut and
Rhode Island may continue.
Lehman, Earle Given Edge.
While the elections may be close
in Pennsylvania, New Jersey and
New York, the edge seems to be
with the Democrats. However, con-
ditions in these States are so COM
pick and affected by so many differ
ent currents it would not be sur
prising if the Republicans upset
the Democratic apple cart. In Della
ware the edge seems to be with the
Republicans, in Maryland with the
Democrats.
In the so-called border States of
West Virginia, Tennessee and Ken
lucky. the advantage is still with
the Democrats, although the Re-
publicans may pick up House seat
or two in West Virginia.
The Solid South" is still solid for
the Democratic party-not because
this section has particular fond
ness for the New Deal, but because
of its traditional opposition to the
G. o. P. The presidential purge"
was defeated in that section during
the Democratic primaries, showing
a strenuous resistance to "dictation"
and also to demands that rubber
stamp Congress be elected.
Farley Sure of New York.
When all is said and done, more
eyes swing to New York in this cam
paign than to any other State. Cold
figures, as presented by Chairman
James A. Farley of the Democratic
National and State Committees,
would indicate that the chances of
a Dewey victory over Gov. Lehman
were nil. The Democratic plural-
ties in New York City have been
staggering in size. Mr. Farley
shows with his pencil and pad that
the Republicans cannot possibly OBJ
tain an upstate lead that will offset
the huge Democratic and American
Labor party vote for Gov Lehman
and others on the ticket in New York
City.
Republican leaders, on the other
hand, insist that, with fair day,
there will be tremendous upstate
outpouring of votes for Mr.. Dewey.
They expect-or hope-that he will
come down to the city with a lead
of 100000 to 100000. Relying on Mr..
Deweys popularity in the city. which
is far greater than that of any other
recent Republican gubernatorial
candidates, they hope to keep the
Democratic plurality there below
100000. If they do, it will be a
marvel.
Democrats assert that the Dewey
effort will get no farther than did
the campaign of Col. Theodore
Roosevelt, jr., in 1924. In that year
Col. Roosevelt, a youthful Republic
can crusader, ran against Alfred E.
Smith, then the Democratic Gov
ernor. Gov. Smith beat him, de-
spite the Roosevelt name.
Dewey to Get Women's Vote.
Republican leaders say Mr.. Dewey
will receive tremendous vote
among the women, who are for him
because he has cleaned up a bad
criminal situation in New York City
and made a better condition for the
children. They will be for Mr..
Dewey, also, because he is youthful
and vigorous and appeals to their
imagination, they add.
While Mr.. Dewey himself has dis
avoWed and denounced the whis-
pering campaign against Gov. Leh-
man because he is Jew, the Demo-
cratic leaders fear this racial and
religious issue will cut deeply into
the Lehman vote.
The edge appears to be with the
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