davidaulloa/AmericanStories huggingface dataset:
Amerikai Magyar hirlap = American Magyar journal. [volume] (Youngstown, Ohio) 1911-1942, 1938-05-05
YOUNGSTOWN IS vIDEKE HIREI
Haidu Janos
(Folytatas az 1-so olda' 'rol)

a SdJaC SzaKallara nylLOIt uSy-
vedi irodat. De a depresszio
nalanal sokkal ismertebb ugy-
vedeket is a nyomorba jutta-
tott. 1931-ben az 1-so keriilet-
ben palyazott varosi tanacsosi
allsara, maid 1933-ban Hasel-
tine jelenlegi varosi tanacsost
segitette a valasztasi harcban
es kepviselte a szavazatok uj
ra szamlalasanal. Haseltine ha-
labol jelolte a varosi tanacsi
helyettes jegyzoi allasara es
meg is valasztottak. Kozel ket
evig szolgalt ebben az allasban
es mellekesen folytatta ugyvedi
gyakorlatat is. Az 1936-os Ia
macs eltor6lte az allast, inert
a varosnak mem volt penze.
1e35-ben varosbiroi allasra pa
lyazott.
Hajdu mindig elenk szerepet
jatszott a magyarsag eleteben.
Kulonosen erdekelte a magyar
sag polgarosodasa es evekig
tanitott a polgar jeloltek jsko-
lajaban YMCA-ben. Kozel
$500 bevandorlo tanulta meg
a vizsgak fogas kerdeseit veze-
tese alatt.
Multi nyaron visszakerilt a
varos szolgalataba es rovid szu
net utan ez evben ismet dol
gozott a varosnak a kozepitesi
osztalyon. Nehez kiizdelmei az
elettel azonban italnak kerget-
tex. Inni pedig mem tudott.
Egy par pohar sor mar megar-
tott neki es iiyenkor mem igen
tudta, hogy nit csinal. Tobb
auto balesetenek is ez volt az
Okla. Baratai es joakaroi hiaba
kerleltek, igereteket tett, de
azokat mem tudta betartani.
Anyagi helyzete vegre annyira
rosszra fordult, ghogy fegyver-
hez nyult, hogy eletet kioltsa.
Hajdu titkara volt a Varosi
(oreg) Polgafi Kornek. Vala-
mikor tagja volt a Scent Istvan
Egyletnek, arnelynek szllei es
testverei mindig tagjai voltak.
A Nagybizottsagnak is eveken
at volt tagja. Magyar gytilese-
ken mindig reszt vett es Macy
vitazo volt. Biztosito egylethez
mem tartozott es halala csalad-
jat teljesen szegenyen talalta,
A szerencsetlen tigyvedet
azonban tragikus halalaban
sem hagytak ell joakar6i. A
Mahoning Megyei Ugyvedi Ka-
mara es a Nagybizottsag gylj-
ties utjan gondoskodtak tisz-
tesseges temeteserol, amelyen
nagy tomeg jelent meg.
A magyarok szazai kerestek
fel Hajdu ravatalat Szabo ha.
lottas hazaban a Mahonine
Ave.-n. Oman indult a gyasz-
menet kedden reggel kozel sc
automobillal Magyarok Macy.
asszonya templomba, amelyet
zsufolasig megtoltott a magyar
es amerikai kozonseg.
| Mundweil four a teljes seer.
tartasos nagy gyaszmise utar
igazan szep angol es utana ma.
gyar beszedet tartott, amely 8
sok amerikai igyved dicseretet
is klerdemelte. CA helyzetre va
10 tekintettel Mudweil four le
mondott a szokasos temetes
stolarol.)
Hajdu koporsojat John w
Ford az ugyvedi kamara elmo
ke, James Cooper a kamars
tltkara, Friedman JOSEF ma
gyar ugyved, a kamara volt ell
noke, Carl Doyle elokelo anne
rlkal ugyved, Joseph Kraja {
United Printing Co. iizletveze
toJe es Crow "Jancsio barata
vittek XII a templombol, mis-
odabent es kint a temetober
nat regi amerikas magyar sze
repeltek mint koporso vivok.
Sep tavaszi napsiiteses lido
ben nagy kozonseg elott he
| lVnZf6k HrS1> ~o~,,.~1~ - /.
Amerikai Magyar hirlap = American Magyar journal. [volume] (Youngstown, Ohio) 1911-1942, 1938-05-05
MULATSAGOK
NAPTARA

Ebben q rovatban iijtala-
null kozoljuk azon egyha-
zak, egyletek, vsgy intez-
menyek nulatsagait, ossze-
joveteleit. stb. nem tobb
mint 2 honappal el6re is,
amelyeknek az Amerikai
magyar Hirlap a hivatalos
iapja es arnelyek rnulatsagai-
kat hirdetik lapunkban Is
nyomtatvsnyaikat aalunk
szerzik be.
Amerikai Magyar hirlap = American Magyar journal. [volume] (Youngstown, Ohio) 1911-1942, 1938-05-05

ISTENTISZTELETEK SOR-
RENDJE:: Minden vaSarnap
delel0tt 9.30-kor imaora.
1O-tol Vasarnapi Iskola.
11-tol Predikacio.
Este 7::3O-tol Evangelizalas.
Este 8::3O-tol Ifjusagi ora.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
Delegates

CONTINUED From Page One)
Oren F. Frary, city clerk; john
Welch, chief of police.
Tombstone
H. P. Giacome, ]. H. Macia, R.
B. Valance, councilmen.
Yuma
w. S. ingalls,, mayor; William
Westover, city attorney; r. I. Winn,
city recorder.
Henry O. Jaastad, mayor; B. G..
Thompson, city attorney; George
w. Seeley, city engineer; Otto w.
Jansen, engineer; L. Roca j. A.
Niemann and w. E. Gambrell,
councilmen.
Phoenix
Walter A. Thalheimer, mayor
elect; Houston L. W3l-n. CITY mon-
ager; w P. Clark, commissioner;
T. w. B. Anderson, public relations;
Evan S. Stallcup, assistant city at
torney; j. A. Jennings, city at
torney; James Grand, city engi-
neer; Thomas M. Sullivan, city au-
ditor; Dave Fountain, chief Of po-
lice; William c. Elder, city clerk
Buckeye
Ralph Watkins, J. G. Wilson
Walter Butler, L. D. Mcdonald
G.. G.. BurrenS, mayor.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
BUCHANAN-EDGELL

Miss Kathleen Edgell, daughter
of U. S. Border Patrolman and
Mrs. Frank Edgell, was married to
L. z. Buchanan of Tucson Satur-
day evening by Rev. o. A. Smith
at Trinity Congregational parson-
age.
The bride is a sister of Mrs.
Frankie Cunningham of Tucson
and a niece of R. c. Edgell of the
r. c. Edgell Company of this city
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

Mrs. Lula r. Larimore, county
school superintendent, returned
Monday from Flagstaff where she
had been attending meeting of
the county school superintendent
of the state and the elementary
school conference. Mrs. Larimore
reports a very interesting and in
structive conference. Among the
speakers we're the outstanding pro-
fessors in the state.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
LOCALS
VISIT HUACHUCA

Mayor and Mrs. C. c. Cheshire,
Senator and Mrs. James A. Har-
rison, Mrs. Marguerite Macdonald,
Mr.. and Mrs. C. B. Wilde, Mrs. M.
I. Merritt, Mrs. g. E. RoSenstern,
Mr.. and Mrs. Charles Brown, Mrs.
H r. Sisk, Mrs. Doris Cohen, Ma
jor George Macdonald, Phil Herold
and Ken Ho1brook were among To-
cal persons witnessing the Army
Day maneuverS at Fort Huachuca
Tuesday.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
MOVING TO BIsBEE

After residing here for five years.
John DeBolt and family are leav-
soon to locate in Bisbee where De
bolt is to become district manager
of the Standard Oil Company. He
will have charge of the stations at
Bisbee, Douglas, Nogales, Pata-
gonia and Tombstone. He will be
succeeded as manager at NogaleS
by L. E. DiehI of Gila Bend.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
RESIGNS

Writ G. Bowman resigned as
president and director of the South
western Smelling and Concentrat-
ing Company on February 7th and
is not in any manner connected
with that organization, he an
nounced this week.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
BARN DANCE

An Easter-eve barn dance will be
held by the Firemen and Ameri-
can Legion at their clubrooms above
the Chamber of Commerce a week
from tonight. Music will be fur
niShed by the Mavericks.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
AT BALL GAME

Mr.. and Mrs. T. M. Ford and
MIR. and Mrs. j. C. Tovrea were
among Nogalians witnessing the big
league ball game at Tucson Sun
day
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

Mr. and Mrs: Malcolm Middleton
of Tucson, formerly of Nogales, and
niece from Tampico, Mexico, at
tended the horse show at Sonolta
Sunday.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
MOVING AWAY

Mr.. and Mrs. Ted Farmer are
leaving soon to make their home in
Oklahoma City Mr.. Farmer is en-
ployed at the NogaleS Creamery
Fountain.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

Writ G.. Bowman, chairman of
the First National Bank, was down
to the bank Monday for the first
time since his recent operation.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
FIESTA STATIONERY

Persons desiring Frontier Fiesta
stationery can obtain same by call
ing at either the Chamber of Com
merce or fiesta publicity headquar-
terS third door north of the c. of
C.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
CHARLES BOND ILL

Charles Bond, project engineer
for the State Highway Department,
has been i'll at his room in the Bow
man Hotel since Saturday.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

Lee Edge and Victor Wager, Jr.,
spent Sunday fishing at Apache
Lake, short distance below Roose-
Velt Dam.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
CLASSIFIED

FOR SALE-New studio couch
$500. Call at $50 Gand avenue.
after 5 p. m. pub. 4/2-3D
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

Billy Zacharias, seven year old
son of Mr.. and Mrs. William F.
Zacharias, is i'll at his home on
Marsh Heights
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

DR.. and Mrs. zenas Noon and
Arthur Borne made an airplane
trip to Los Angeles Saturday.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

j. H. Barbee Of the local Ford
agency motored to Tucson Monday.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

E. F.. Bohlinger was in town
Monday from Patagonia.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

Mr.. and Mrs. j. j. Harris and
daughter Wilma, of Bisbee, for
merly of Nogales, were visitors
here Saturday.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
FROM OKLAHOMA

C. L. Satterfield of Hennepin,
Okla, owner of Nogales real estate,
was here this week.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

John McCarty was here Monday
from his ranch in the Sonoita dis
trict.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
AT DEDICATION

R. T. Frazier attended the dedl-
cation of the new bus depot at
Tucson Saturday night.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

Mrs. Bert Peterson will return
today from visit with relatives in
Fl PaSo.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

Kathleen Edgell, 25, Tucson.
Solomon Pineda, %, Ruby, Rosa
lie Rivera, "a, Arivaca.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
NEWS
ABOUT TOWN
BY MARY X. TITCOMB

A@~ ~ ~ - ~ w Az
By MARY X. TITCOMB
T. G. Dunham, candidate for su-
perviSor from Dist. No. 8, was in
Nogales Saturday from San Rafael
Valley.
DR.. and Mrs. William j. Mitchell
OF Los Angeles, visited DR.. Mitch
ellis mother, Mrs. Lucy T. Mitch
ell, county recorder, last weekend.
DR.. Mitchell is resident doctor in
charge of contagious diseases at
the Los Angeles County hospital,
and is fast making name for him
self in that city
John Jones, candidate for super
visor from Dist. No. 3, was in No
gales from Parker Canyon Tuesday
on business.
Mrs. Arthur Lee and Mrs. Dor
othy Tftcomb were business Wis
itors in Tucson Monday.
Duane Bird and James Robins
were in Tucson on business last
weekend.
Stephen D. Monahan, city at
torney, was among those in Tucson
Saturday, on legal business.
! j. D. Jones was a business Wis
itor in Tucson Monday.
DR.. and Mrs. zenas Noon took the
plane at Tucson last Saturday for
Los Angeles where they spent sew
eral days on pleasure. They were
joined this week by Herbert King.
Julia Farror, daughter of Mr..
and Mrs. Harry Farrior arrived
from Phoenix TO spend several days
with her grandparents, Mr.. and
Mrs. A. r. Beam.
Miss Betty Wager, daughter of
Mr.. and Mrs. Victor Wager, Sr.,
was a guest of Miss Villa Bird last
Saturday, having motored down
from Tucson.
Miss Eleanor Boysen, who has
been visiting Miss Betty Jean Bow
man at her home on Crawford
street for the past ten days, has
returned to New York City where
she is attending school.
Mr.. and Mrs. Lon Bellman mo-
tored to Phoenix to spend the week
end with friends.
Mrs. Edward Titcomb, ST., is ex-
pecting her sister Mrs. c. o. Nourse
of Los Angeles to arrive Saturday
for a visit of several days.
Among those visiting Tucson last
Saturday were Miss Eta Mae Lew
is and Miss Magdalena Espinosa.
Mrs. James Manson of Cour
street who has been seriously il
is reported on the way to recovery
Mr.. and Mrs Don Hardesty VIII
have been residents Of fIogales TO
, several years have moved to Sal
Diego. Mr. Hardesty is employed
l with the Standard Oil Company.
S Miss Virginia White and Mis-,
g Fanny Rochlin were among stu
: dents home from the UnivarSls
d for the Music Festival Saturday.
Miss Betty and Dee Wooded
students of the University visite
# their parents last weekend O
g Potrero ave.
Mrs. Fred Hannah and Mrs.
j. Abbott motored to Tucson Sal
urday.
Il Coach Ledford was a Tucson viz
itor Monday on school business.
Miss Lena Keyte and Mrs. Hal
Il old Wayte spent delightful day i
). ! Mr.. and Mrs. Malcolm Midaleto
n of Tucson, formerly of Nogales, an
e niece from Tampico, Mexico, al
7. tended the horse show at Sonoit
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
OPERETTA

The Toredors, a two act operetta
written by Otis Darlington is prog
reSsing nicely through hard work
and under the direction of Her
man Novick. It promises not only
music but also dancing and comedy.
It will be held some time late IN
April or the early part OF May. IN
the high school gym.
The cast is as follows:
Senior Dictoria-Spanish Don, IA
ther of Bonita and Juanita-Al-
bert zenizo.
Bonita and JuanitatWin daugh-
ters of Senior Dictoria-Georgia
Kibbie and Margaret Bercich.
Dolores and Maria-Close friends
of Bonita and Juanita-Mary Kay
Titcomb and Peggy Titcomb.
Juan & Pablo-Young Spanish
Dons, Norman Acedo and Harold
Watkins.
Senores Wacheo & Sweato-Beg-
egrs posing as great Toreadors-
Frank Nava and OSch Meza.
Besides the above cast a large
chorus of dancing girls will take
part.
Those assisting Mr. Novick are
Miss Henrietta Renshaw, directing
dancing and Miss Helen BorquiSt
is in charge of the costumes. Miss
|. Lillian Chatham is the musician.
Edward Titcomb, Sr., left We'd
neSday for Bisbee, on a business
trip and will return home next
/ week.
MARRIAGE LICENSES
William Flynn. 80, Prescott,
Marian Hauser, %, Prescott.
Elezar Miranda, %, Ruby. Alicia
Acevedo, 19, Ruby.
| Harry SandovaI, 18, Tucson, Belv
Baarill, 18, Tucson.
L. B. Buchanan, 26, Tucson,
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
Tucson Saturday.

Tucson Saturday.
Judge Elbert r. Thurman has
been holding court in Tucson this
week, due to the illness of Judge
Hall of Pima county.
Robert Fleischer, county assessor,
spent several days this week in the
eastern part of the county. He Wis
tied the Ventura Mining property,
as we'll as that of the Trench, and
reports a great deal of activity in
that part of the county.
E. E. Bethel of PATAGONIA was a
Nogales visitor in Nogales Wednes-
day.
Mrs. Agnes Hamlin, deputy treas
urer, is confined to her home by
illness.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
Partial List

Continued From Page One)
parade committee.
Old hose cart: NogaIes Fire De
partment.
OK cart: Sykes & Wooddell Cat
tie Company.
Covered wagon and group Of
cowboys: Yerba Buena Ranch.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09
Starting Point

Buggies and other vehicles will
assemble at the polo field at p.
m. and marchers on foot will fall
in line at the postoffice. Those on
foot will have to walk only one
mile. The procession will move
to the Pioneer Village, diSbanding
west to Grand, and north on Grand
south on Morley to International,
point.
The famous high school drum
and bugle corps will occupy a front
position along with the governors
Of Arizona and Sonora, who will be
accompanied in the Circle z 4 sea-
ed buggy by Mayor Cheshire and
Democratic National Committee
man Writ G. Bowman.
$50 Donated
The Sears & ROebuck store Of
Tucson donated $50 toward paying
expenses of the parade.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

A partial list of prizes follows:
Best dude ranch entry: Silver
trophy cup. There will also be a
second prize.
Best individual commercial en-
try: Trophy cup, also a second
prize.
Best musical organization: Tro-
ply cup, also a second prize.
Best fraternal or club entry:
Trophy cup, also second prize.
Best typical pioneer rider: Sad
die blanket donated by Porter's S
of Tucson. Also a second prize.
Most comical entry: Quart of
NUNS champagne donated by
Kinsleys. Also second prize.
Best cowboy entry: Fancy COW
boy shirt donated by Jacome's of
Tucson.
Best single pioneer entry: Two
prizes.
Also prizes for best early day
group, early day lady rider, best
cowgirl, best ladies oldtime pio-
neer group, best lady dude ranch
rider.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

Edward Titcomb, Sr., left Wed
nesday for Bisbee, on business
trip and will return home next
week.
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

Miss Lena Keyte and Mrs. Har-
old Wayte spent a delightful day in
Nogales international., 1938-04-09

T. G. Durham, candidate for su-
perviSor from Dist. No. 8, was in
Nogales Saturday from San Rafael
Valley.
Imperial Valley press., 1938-04-24
INVESTIGATING
REPORTS FILED

SACRAMENTO, Cal, April %.
(UP) Members of Gov. Frank
T.. Merriam's five man commission
appointed to investigate charges of
laWlessneSs in Nevada county pre-
pared individual reports today.
Repeatedly unable to agree, the
members said they would present
separate accounts of their findings
to the governor.
The commission is composed of
Judge 1. M. Golden of San Fran
cisco; Monsignor Thomas E. Nor
gan, Sacramento; Chauncey Ira
mutolo, San Francisco; Frazier
Reid, San Jose, and Nathan F..
Coombs, Napa.
The group conferred here after
concluding a three day inquiry at
Nevada City.
They took statements from wit
neSses representing a Committee for
Industrial Organization miners
union charging the unions men,
bers were terrorized by "vigilan-
te' posse of Grass Valley and Neva-
ola City residents.
Attorneys representing both COM
munitieS refused rebuttal testimony
on the grounds their statements
would be distorted later in court.
Imperial Valley press., 1938-04-24

ready to rush progress and pros
perity.
Pcrmanency of the valley was
assured, and as a result Ell Cen
trans began to build homes which
would be permanent
The effect on other types of
building in Ell Centro was start
ing. More businesses were opened.
More industrial construction ap-
peared, theaters and churches
were remodeled. And residents who
had built homes in 1888 and 1884
built additions and remodeled
their houses.
True, apartment houses did not
spring up as did other types OF
building, but their business is oil
minor Importance during the re-
establishment of a city.
Imperial Valley press., 1938-04-24
Average Jumps to
S25O0 Per Home

But in 1886 the average jumps to
about S2,500 per home and in 1897
the ratio was even higher.
The reason?
Completion of the Boulder Dam,
the rapid construction on the ALL
American canal and the assured
permanency of the valley as a re-
suit of those projects.
In 1888 and 1884 the valley was
faced with a water shortage. Lit
tie rain and less snow had fallen
in the mountains from which the
Colorado river draws its water
AS result the valley virtually
went without water during the
dry summer.
Still Dubious
In 1895 the people of Ell Centre
were still slightly dubious, but in
1896 when the Boulder Dam was
a proved project, residents were
Imperial Valley press., 1938-04-24
Industrial Building
Reaches SS5,000

During the same period indus
trial construction totaled S85 500
for building and repair work on
Is firms, hotel and apartment
construction totaled only $4,000. all
repair work: public building reach
ed $194,65 on Is different jobs :,
and So business house building
jobs totaled $l15,l2.
The remainder of the building
spent on remodeling of homes,
total in the five year period was
theatres and churches
Now that you have returned
from the garage, without the
hammer and chisel-you left them
beside the desert cooler, on which
all ,tllley RESIDENTS are working
these days., let's tear these fl
CURES down and draw d conclu-
sion.
In 1888 home construction aver
age about $1,000 per home. The
same average holds true in 1894
and in 1885 the average is slightly
lower.
Imperial Valley press., 1938-04-24

turn not later than September.
Every day that people continue in
the present mood actually means
that he is sinking deeper into the
mire.
BarOmeters Making The Turn
The President, however. is cheer
cd by the following summary of
leading barometers:
|. Steel operations have improved
since the December low of 10 per
cent of capacity. They are now
above 80 per cent, based almost en-
tirely on business from miscellane-
GUS sources such as machine tools,
tin containers, and the like, rather
than from the major customers
automobiles and railroads.
2. Building is making progress.
The new FILA. rules have stimu-
lated great interest in homes. Ma
terial prices have dipped and. if
labor costs also come down, home
building this spring may even beat
ou tthe 1887 figures.
3. Power consumption, a very
sensitive index activity in this
electrical age, hit a low in late
March and is now slowly pushing
ahead. The gap between the 1897
and 1888 figures has been gradually
narrowing.
4. Cotton textile activity has been
sluggish for month but it is now
resuming the rise which started
earlier in the year. Diminishing
inventories all along the line have
forced orders back to the mills.
Mill activity is 10 per cent above
the low.
Auto Assemblies Higher
5. Automobile output is running
several thousand cars higher each
week than month ago. The manu-
facturers' policy of restricted out
put, plus seasonal upturn in re-
tail sales, have now speeded-up the
assembly lines. A price cut, how
ever, would be the best tonic for
this industry right now.
6. Retail trade, due to the late
Easter, is running less than 10 per
cent under last years post Easter
figures. A month ago the spread
was 20 per cent. And remember,
that retail prices are now per
cent less than their 1887 high.
Hence, unit sales are not more
than 8 per cent lower than a year
ago.
Imperial Valley press., 1938-04-24
Building Permits
Reveal Permanent
Structures Here

Take a number from to half million. Double
it, add 5055 and what have got besides headache?
You're right the building permit total in FL Cenro for
the past five years. ($1,O15,055)
Before you to the garage for hammer and a
chse in order to join the Carpenters unon let's check
up the rise and fall of the building industry in Ell Cen
tro s.nce Jan. l. 1893.
Residential construction according to the financial
experts the best barometer in gaugng business SO here
Ii. nhcr-c L,l unn Liz in Cnl-A
Imperial Valley press., 1938-04-24

dental construction is far ahead of
last years total.
And there is more to come. Phil
Knights, city engineer, predicted
that building will reach a record
high in recent years in 1888.
And not only that knights said,
but years following 1888 will see
a more steady building program
Ell Centro is growing up. And moth
ing short of another deluge can
retard its progress"
Bob Hays, secretary of the cham
ber of commerce, Walter Havekorst,
manager of the Bank of America,
and o. G. Horne of the Security
bank, echoed Knights prediction.
Imperial Valley press., 1938-04-24

DOC neCeSS, 'rliY a pad sign. People
in this vast city are so close to
the trees that they cannot see the
forest. Sentiment in Wall Street
usually goes too far. Often when
New York thinks that conditions
are the roSieSt, it is time to pull
in your horns; when it thinks they
are the blueSt it is time to buy
securities and goods.
Right now it is difficult for
Main street not to be diScourag ged
too, because business is bad. A
month ago in commenting on the
trend, mentioned the possibility of
revising my 1888 forecast Despite
current peSSimism, l think that it
is not yet necessary to make any
change in my prediction of the
trend of business. Some revision
may be needed. however, in my
forecast of the volume of business.
The average Of business activity
for 1888 may not come within 10
per cent of the 1887 figure, but
am sure that we will see a tremen-
dous upswing before Christmas.
Furthermore, 1899 should see a
further huge increase.
Was March The Low?
Business so far this year has
been Wavering and juggling back
and forth. From New Years Day
to mid-January there was slow
ing-doWn in activity. The next thir-
ty days saw slight upturn both
in confidence and output. Then
the following four weeks - from
mid-February to mid March
brought dip to new loWs-24 per
cent below year ago. But even at
the quletest point--a month ago
business was off only four per cent
from January. So. my forecast at
New Years time of a poor first
quarter tbut not much worse than
current levels)" has been borne
out! Now, what about the spring
upturn which 1 thought would take
place?
Trade reports of the last few
weeks show that business is grad
ually swinging bottom. Whether the
corner has been turned definitely
or not, no one, of course, can yet
say. But the current halting OF
the down. trend is encouraging ano
may well mark the beginning oi
a real business revival Certainly
if the President is to avoid severe
defeats in the fall congressional
] elections, good business must re