Evening star., 1938-11-07
Lehman and Dewey
Victory yClaims Are
$4,000 Votes Apart
Governor by $50, 900,
Says ForIey-RivoI by
268, 900, Murray Ayers
By the Associated Press.

By the Associated Press.
NEW YORK, Nov. THE answer
to the question of New Deal strength
In President Roosevelt's home State
today lay somewhere between widely
varying victory claims advanced by
Democratic and Republican leaders
The lull between yesterdays cam
paign strife and tomorrow's ballot
storm was broken by predictions of
such extraordinary disparity as to
leave political prognosticators Won
dering.
Democratic National and State
Chairman James A. Farley predicted
Gov. Herbert H. Lehman would be
reelected by plurality of at least
250,00O votes.
Republican State Chairman Will
liam S. Murray predicted District
Attorney Thomas E. Dewey would
be elected Governor by a plurality
Of at least 268,000 votes.
Race Believed Tighter.
Somebody has made a mistake
there and tomorrow the voters will
decide who it was. Most politicians
believed the contest for Governor
is considerably tighter than the rival
leaders have indicated.
Mr.. Farley estimated Gov. Leh-
mans minimum plurality in New
York City at 650,000. Mr.. Murray,
on the other hand, conceded the
Governor would carry the metro
politan area. but he set the plurality
at 374 900. Here's the way he figured
it: Gov. Lehman would carry the
Bronx by $4,000; carry New York
County (Manhattan by $4,000 and
carry Kings County (Brooklyn) by
16l 900. But, he added, the Cover
nor would lose Queens County to
Mr.. Dewey by 10000 and Richmond
County (Staten Island by 1000.
Mr.. Farley did not break down his
figures.
OF upstate, which is normally
Republican. Mr.. Farley said:
The situation in upstate coun-
ties has been canvassed in the most
thorough manner. This upstate
survey shows that under no circum-
stances can the Republican candi-
dates obtain plurality in excess of
400 900 votes"
Mr.. Murray disagreed. He pre-
dicted Mr.. DeWey's plurality outside
New York City would be 642 ,00O
Predicts Surprise.
You are going to see something
upstate you never saw before" he
said. 1T will be surprising: I've
had to revise my figures upward
since Saturday. The vote for Dewey
is just going to be SNOWFALL"
Mr.. Farley said that along with
Gov. Lehman and Charles Poletti,
his running mate. the entire State
ticket will be elected by substantial
majorities."
Mr.. Murray predicted the Repub-
lican ticket would go in with the
district attorney. He had agree
ment on this from Kenneth Simp-
son, Republican national committee
man. who did not give any figures
but just said the election would be
CLOSE" He added the election of
the entire Republican ticket was
clearly Indicated"
The contest for Governor has
dominated the intensive campaign,
| although two United States Sena-
tors will be elected. The veteran
Democratic Senator Robert F. Wag-
ner is opposed by John Lord
O'Brian, critic of the administration
of the National Labor Relations
tWagneD Act and advocate of
amendments to that law. Repre-
sentative James NJ Mead of Buff
falo, a New Deal stalwart of the
House, is seeking the short-term
Senate seat, opposed by Republican
Edward Corsi, New York. The New
Deal issue is directly drawn in the
senatorial contest.
Appeal by Roosevelt.
The candidates for Governor have
not accented the New Deal issue. 1t
was accented beyond doubt as of top