The Waterbury Democrat., 1938-11-01
2 BEHIND THE SCENES IN WASHINGTON Democratic Senate Nominees Hard Pressed In Grain Belt
C. O.P. Sees Victories M Kansds, IoO1
By RODNEY BUTCHER Waterbury Democrat Washington
 COrrespOndentl

0WAAVSksVAAeANAAV. .. Washington. Nov. 1.--Tn the most populous states Republican can- didates usually are strongest in rural districts and Democratic candidates in the biggest cities.
 That has, been increasingly true since President Roosevelt began aiming his appeal at the flower one third" the workers and the re- lief families, and the phenomenon seems even more accentuated than | ever in senatorial contests this year when prices of farm products are at low levels despite several years of New Deal farm programs.
 In New York state Republican candidates usually do well outside New York City. They "come down to the Bronx" as District Att0r- ney Dewey will, with majOrities running into hundreds of thou sands of votes, only to be beaten. at least in recent elections year. by overwhelming New York City Democratic maj0ritieS.
 In Ohio Senator Bulkley must depend on Cleveland for a big majority if he is to beat Robert Taft, who will clean tip in the rest of the state.
 The Democratic ticket in Penn sylvania seems sure of defeat if 1t can't carry Philadelphia and Pitts burg.
 Former Senator Barbour will win in New Jersey if Mayor Hague does not provide a huge Democratic majority in Jersey City. And in Illinois Republicans pre- sumably will "come up to Cook County" meaning Chicago. with a big downstate margin.
 CALIFORNIA
 BIG FIGHT IN
 In Illinois Congressman Scott Lucas, conservative Democrat back ed in the primary by Governor Hor- ner, is widely expected to beat State Senator Richard J. Lyons unless he is knifed by Chicago,s Kelly-Nash machine. Lyons is good campaign CT, however, has been hitting on all fronts and is striding downState.
 In California, where the mann
 and eggs" pension plan espoused
 by Democratic candidates looms
 large as an issue, liberals and
 labor groups support Sheridan 1 Downey, who beat McAdoO in the primaries and now faces Republi-
 can Philip Bancroft.
 Bancroft capitalizes on anti-CIO sentiment in the state and is backed vigorously by Herbert Hoover. "Ham and Eggs" may elect Downey or de- feat him.
 Although the administration back ed Senator Ryan Duffy in Wiscon- sin after the LaFollette organization refused to accept him, most pro phets think Duffy. will be beaten by elderly Lieut. Gov. Herman Ekern, Progressive, or Alexander Wiley, Re- publican. Duffy vigorously defends the New Deal. But there's no great Democratic voting strength in Wis consin.
 Former Senator Lester J. Dick
 insOn of Iowa was beaten by only 36,0OO; in 1886 and is whaling
 away at the New Deal like the good Hoover pal he is, hoping to
 beat Senator Guy Gillette. He has a good chance, Republicans say,
 but isn't one of their best bets.
 Many Republicans like Gillette because he opposed to Court plan. Secretary Wallace recently went to the state to praise Gillette and lam haste Dickinson.
 Senator McGill of Kansas is CO., author of the present farm bill and probably wishes he wasn't. Kansas is die-hard Republican state, Mc- Gill isn't a strong candidate and wheat prices are very low.
 The victor is likely to be former Governor Clyde M. Reed, political foe of Ali Landon and National Chairman John Hamilton. Democrats insist Senator Brown
 of New Hampshire is ''in," but Re- publicanS think his opponent, Congressman Charles w. Tobey,
 former governor and strong cam
 didate, is one of their best hopes.
 In Utah, where the Mormon Church violently opposes the New Deal, President Franklin s. Harris of Brigham Young university is the Republican candidate against Sem ator Ebert D. Thomas, scholarly civil liberties committee.
 VAN NUYS
 SAFE BET
 Senator Fred Van Nuys is safe bet in Indiana, although embar- rassed by promises he made to. ex- pose graft in the McNutt- Townsend Democratic machine before the machine took him back into the fold.
 Senator Willard Tydings of
 Maryland, who wasn't "purged,"
 probably will defeat his Republi-
 can opponent
 Former Senator Tasker L. Oddie, Republican, may beat anti-New Deal Senator Pat McCarran in Nevada, but most guessers say not.
 In Colorado Senator Ava Adams has been. considered safe, although Republicans hope he may be dragged down by the weaker cam didacy of his running mate, Cover nor AmmonS.
 The betting is on Senator Gerald P. Nye of North Dakota, Republi- can, to beat former Governor Will liam P. Langer. Independent, and J. J. Nygaard,' Democrat.
 Friends of Senator Augustine
 Longergan in Connecticut are not
 worrying over his reelection de-
 spite his opposition to the Presi- N dent on the court and reorganixa-
 ton biIls. They believe he is too
 firmly entrcnched to be seriously
 effected.
 Gov. Tom Berry of South Dakota is opposed by Chandler Cur nax4,.kl1inavA lxfIaNco fv.ionAe