The Waterbury Democrat., 1936-07-16

for Land0n of 272 to 269.
 Politicians in both parties are watching this and other polls like 60 many hawks. Republican jubila- ton Is intense over charted evi- dence that preference for Roosevelt over their candidate dropped with astonishing speed following Landon's nomination. They are sure this Is the beginning of Q great trend, which will decide the issue.
 Doubtful States Few
 Some democratic politicians claim Go Do elated, however, by the fact that the index of losses has nar- xowed down to 0 very few the num- Der of doubtful states where 1t will be necessary to fight. They insist they were afraid tho figures would 10 worse: that there would be Q general leakage and that they would have to campaign the whole coun- ksy instead of being able to con. centrate in e few spots-an import pnat point, since the democrats ex- nect to have 6 rather limited cam paign fund.
 They are especially relieved Co observe that the Pacific Coast btates are standing firm for Roose- kelt.
 ss The big doubtful states are New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Indiana and Michigan.
 Democratic money will he pour efi into Pennsylvania, probably more heavily than into any other state. Tho high command Is certain Roosevelt won't lost the country If lae can carry that traditional re- publican stronghold.
 
 May Hinge on Pennsylvania
 New York would he even more inaporant than Pennsylvania If Roosevelt could be sure of his home state. But current opinion among tho presidents political advisers Is that Pennsylvania Is Q slightly bet- ter bet.
 < Iennsylvanla, plus states now ap- parently sure to 90 democratic, would give Roosevelt the necessary a60 electoral votes or more. An authentic inside survey roughly shows that If Roosevelt gets the solid south, the Pacific coast, the border states, and Q couple of mountain states he will be over the top-if he can get Pennsylvania. l The southern states, with 1iS votes, plus Tennessee, Oklahoma, Missouri, Kentucky, West Virginia, California, Washington, Oregon Wisconsin (which the LaFolletteS are considered certain Co deliver I to ROOscvelt), Nevada, Arizona, Utah, Montana, and Pennsylvania would total up to 266.
 The interesting thing about this Computation Is that 1t leaves out mll New England, New York, New Nersey, Delaware, Maryland, Ohio, 1ndiana, Illinois, Michigan, Kan. aas, Nebraska, Iowa, North and South Dakota, Minnesota, Idaho, New Mexico, Colorado, and Wyom- ang.
 {. Of course the democratic bosses, both publicly and privately, Insist they have an excellent chance of winning many of those states. Can Lead and Still Lose
 The spectacle of 6 candidate winning plurality Of the popular vote and losing the presidency through defeat In the electoral col. lege isn't anything you see very often. But 1t can happen very easily, especially If there's a third party ticket at large.
 So far 1t has happened only to democratic candidates and 1t could happen only to Roosevelt this year, since enormous democratic majorities in the south can pile up . popular vote which may be discounted by close results In big northern states.
 Cleve,anG had 100000 more popu- Jar votes in 1888 than Harrison, who won the presidency by 233 electoral votes to l68.
 wilson, who in 1912 had 435 elec- toral votes to 8S for Roosevelt and eight for Taft, boiled 100000 few or popular votes than the Taft and Roosevelt votes combined.
 (Copyright, 1886, NEA Service, Incl TILSON MAY RUN C0D CnVCDNnD