Evening star., 1936-06-27
LAND NEAR CITIES
HAS BIG FUTURE
Lecturer Says Values Along
Highways Promise Great
est Gain.

4ne greatest increase IN ldnu ValueS
n the future should be in the terri
tory on the highways in outlying sec
Gons of the larger cities, according to
Present population trends, 1t is pointed
HNit by William F. Ogburn, lecturer in
the courses in real estate management,
brokerage and real estate appraisal
now being given by institutes and divi-
sions of the National Association of
Zeal Estate Boards in cooperation
with the University of Chicago.
Ogburn was co-author of the report
on population changes for President
Hoover's Committee on Social Trends,
and now is working on a population
report for the National Resources
Committee.
Ogburn, professor of sociology at the
University of Chicago, will give two
special lectures on the changing fam
lily and on general population changes
before the coming course in real estate
brokerage given by the Brokers Divi-
Eion Of the association in cooperation
with the School of Business of the
University of Chicago, opening July 6,
and before appraisal courses opening
tas three courses, July 20 ano Au-
gust 3 and IT.
Population Changes.
Discussing these subjects before stu
dents of the first national case study
courses in real estate management,
now in session, he says this of popula-
zion changes:
Il. We probably are about at the
point of the lowest death rate ever to
be experienced in the United States.
In fact, that point may already have
rate was II per 1000. The death
rate was IL per thousand. The death
rate has gone lower in a few countries.
The reason the death rate will prob
ably be higher generation from now
Is that the population will contain
larger proportion of the ages where the
chances Of death are greater. The
number of old people will increase and
then the death rate will rise.
q. Since 1885 the number of births
has been increasing slightly. This is
attributed to influence of the increased
marriage rate during the recovery
years. There do not seem to be enough
data yet to say that there is a slow
ing up IN what has been the general
decrease in the birth rate.
%. We may look forward to a more
slowly growing population if not a de-
creasing one"
100 Miles in Extent.
As to development of the metropoli-
ean region around city, Oghurn says:
This region extends outward along
the highways hundred miles or more
from the big cities. The growth of
population in the United States has
been most marked in those regions
within a hundred miles of big cities.
AS new industries develop, they are
likely TO settle in this region. Indeed
the city will become more and more a
trading center and less a manufacture
ing center. Boundary lines become
less significant.
The city as We have known it in
the past may cease to exist and be re-
placed by q new unit for which we
have as yet no name, but which we
now call the metropolitan region"
In America. he points out, the eco
nonaic and population development In
the expansion period Of our 800 years
brought with it q set of attitudes not
found In European countries. The at
fitudes characteristic Of a scarce popu-
lation building up a rich continent
have changed very little. Quite often
social attitudes and social PHILOSOPHERS
persist for several generations after
the material conditions which pro-
ouced them have undergone change.