Evening star., 1936-07-17
WASHINGTON OBSERVATIONS
BY FREDERIC WILLIAM VILE.

Some political observers think that
opposition to the New Deal may manifest
itself conSpicuously in the congressional
elections. The Republicans are launch
ing an intensive campaign to smash
the immense Democratic majority in
the House. Representative Bolton Of
Sional campaign committee, speaks of
either regaining control or at least cut
ting the Democratic margin to so. If
that can be done, he says, radical legis-
lation can be prevented with the aid Of
conservative Democrats. Chairman Far
ley, going modest for the moment, con-
tents himself with saying that New
Dealers will retain entirely satisfac-
tory" control of the lower branch. For
nation at Cleveland of q third party
combination, bringing together Father
Coughlin, DR.. Townsend and the Rev.
Gerald Smith, will have a particular
bearing on the congressional campaign.
If that triple alliance backs the Lemke
Union party presidential candidacy 1t
will swell the North Dakotan's popular
vote, but its anticipated principal effect
will be on elections to the House. The
Coughlin-T n-Townsend-Smith people have
been talking about capturing enough
seats to hold the balance OF House power.
*+ ~
In candid moments, political mana
gers in both parties, despite public claims
of assured victory for their respective
presidential candidates, concede that
the election really boilS down to one
cardinal proposition. That is, how many
anti-New Deal Democrats are going to
join AL Smith. ex-senator Bruce OF
Maryland, Col. Henry Breckenridge ct al.
in taking walk, and how many 1882
Roosevelt Republicans are going to vote
for Landon. Any Soothsaying statisti-
clan who can figure out the probabilities
in those two directions will come pretty
close to guessing the outcome. It's been
estimated that q switch of roundly 81
million votes from the Roosevelt total of
four years ago, if distributed so as to
affect the electoral college, would Suf-
flee to turn the scales against F. D. r.
Current straw votes and polls afford
some, but no conclusive, indication OF
how the tide will finally run. Not until
October at the earliest, authorities are
agreed, will it be possible to predict with
anything approaching reasonable GER
tdlllLy WlldG tIlc ICSUlt ID SOAAlS w VIC.
Republican optimism is due for a boost
after Gov. Landons acceptance speech
and Democratic confidence temporarily
for a corresponding slump. That will
be normal mid-campaign development.
y X y \
Two women besides Minister Ruth
Bryan Owen -Rohde remain on the active
list of the United States foreign service.
One is Miss Frances Elizabeth Willis of
Illinois, who has been third secretary
of the embassy at Brussels since 1884
after previous service as vice consul at
Valparaiso and Santiago, Chile, and
legation secretary in Stockholm. Miss
Constance r. Harvey of Buffalo, N. Y,
has been vice consul at Milan, Italy,
since 1881, following earlier assignment
in that capacity to Ottawa. The first
woman assigned to the foreign service
was Miss Lucille AtcherSon Of Ohio, who
was secretary of legation at Bern, Swift
zerland, in 1925 and afterward secre-
tary of legation in Panama. She re-
signed in 1927 and was married shortly
afterward. Miss Pattie Field of Colorado
had served as vice consul at Amsterdam
for four years preceding her resigna-
ton in 1929 Miss Margaret Warner of
Massachusetts, retired in 1881 after hav-