The Waterbury Democrat., 1936-10-19
BY RODNEY BUTCHER
UcKnOct8E WA8hInBt0n
 COrrespOHiflent

T I
 BY RODNEY BUTCHER
 Democrat Washington l Correspondent Springfield, H., oct. 19-Just one of those speeches which Senator Borah refused to make for the re- publican ticket might easily cinch Illinois and her % precious elector- al votes for Governor Landon. Mention the 'Lion of Idaho" to any regular g. o. p. politician in Illinois and you produce an irastan- taneous explosion.
 For Illinois-one of those states which Landon must carry to beat Roosevelt-iS dangerously doubtful. And Borah, whose power in the state was demonstrated when he jolted Colonel Frank Knox by car rying everything in the presidential primaries outside of Cook County, has left the party singing the mournful melody and bitter re- frain of Here Am I, but Where Are You?"
 So many croSs-currents, con- cealed daggers, new unguessables, possible phenaglings and nagooz- lings are to be found that few gamblers dare offer odds worth mentioning on the outcome.
 Democrats Start Late Democrats have begun their cam paign late, not really starting until the presidents Chicago speech. In April's primaries they piled up 8 half million more votes than re- publicans and Illinois then seemed sure New Deal bet.
 Vigorous republican efforts since Landon'S nomination have pro- duced some backswing. Whether the republicans can successfully
 meet the impact of the Chicago, state. and federal democratic pat
 rOnage machines November 3 may depend on the amount of money they can toss into the pot. Mayor Kelly of Chicago says privately Roosevelt will get 1,1OO-
 900 votes in Cook County and Landon between SOO,0OO and S5O,-
 GOO.
 If Kelly and Boss Paddy Nash and their city machine can make god on that estimate, 1t may be too bad for the republicans, who aren't hoping for much better than 200,- 900 plurality in the rest of the state.
 Roosevelt carried Illinois by 450,- 900 in 1882 and Hoover by 650,OOO in 1928. Roosevelt's 1892 lead came half from Chicago and half from downState.
 Intra-Party Scrap Is Factor
 Effect of state contests on the national elections in Illinois is variously interpreted. Governor Henry Horner, who trounced the Kelly Nash machine in April af- terit tried to deny him a renomi- nation, is battling for reelection against Reublican "Curley" Way land Brooks, former assistant states attorney in Chicago.
 In Chicago one hears HOrner
 will run behind Roosevelt; down.
 state, that he will run ahead. On
 the other hand, you can hear
 many voters say they'll vote for
 Roosevelt and Brooks, which
 doesn't help clear the picture.
 The extent to which the feud between Horner and the Kelly Nash machine has been patched up is uncertain. Some believe Kelly and Nash are sharpening the knife for Horner. in Cook County. But preponderant opinion is that they'll go down the line for Roosevelt, If only to preserve Stand-in at Washington in case he is reelected Law to Curb Vote Frauds
 Regardless of how honest the count is, the Chicago election prob- ably will be more honest than usual because a new permanent registra- ton law which Horner put through is expected to keep many thousand dead men" from voting.
 Cook County registration has topped 100000, more than half the population, for the first time Republicans describe this as a rush of protest against the New Deal and democrats say it's part of an uprising of the .'underprivileged."
 The old-Iine Chicago newspa-
 pcrs are loaded with anti-New
 Deal propaganda. Only the tab
 Ibid Chicago Times, which has shown tremendous circulation inc crease, champions the New Deal.
 The downstate republican plur- ality in the last republican pres idential year was 253,00O. Old timers are sure 1t won't be that big in 1886. One reason is that the poll taken by the Illinois State Journal of Springfield in Sanga- mon and surrounding counties gave Landon only 16,042 votes as compared with 14,S60 for Ro0se- vent.
 The State Journal is 100 per cent pro- -Land0n.
 Of l6,668 ballots in Sangamon county, representing about a third of the vote, Landon had a plurality of TIT, which would indicate 8 No- vember margin of around 500 as compared with the countys normal | 6. o. p. plurality of 5000.
 Lemke Shows Strength
 Lernke ran strong in the State Journal poll. Of 1875 ballots for him In Sanganon County, 699 came from the 1882 Roosevelt voters 669 
 M A T T .