The Waterbury Democrat., 1936-10-30

New Y0rk, oct. 3O.-Lanoon re eeives i,293, ,669 votes to Roosevelt's o72,8o7 and Lemke's 03,610 votes out of Q grand total of 2,376.523 ballots fallied in the final returns of The literary Digest's Presidential Poll of the forty-eight states.
 The balance of the votes are di- pided II 822 Tor Thomas, 9,4S5 for HrCwder, 3,771 for Colvir, 683 for Aiken and 586 for others.
 The magazine observes in its col- f5rnns that the tabulated figures represent the voted ballots just as they were received, neither weight d, adjusted nor interpreted. It IS also noted that ballots were sent out to better than one out of every i've voters in the entire nation.
 sNever before in an experience covering more than a quarter of a century in taking polls have we re- ceived SO many different varieties ot criticism," The Literary Digest states in its columns, praise from many: condemnation from many nthers--a yet 1t has been just of the same type that has come to us every time poll has been taken in all these years.
 'Are the figures in this poll cor Tect2 We make no claims at this time for their absolute accuracy. On similar occasion we felt it impor- tant to say:
 ''WiId Year." Says Digest
 "Tn a wild year like this, how ever, many sagacious observers, will refuse to bank upon appearances, however convincing. AS for The Literary Digest, 1t draws no conclu- sions from the results of its vast dis tr.bution of twenty million ballots. True to its historic non-part-zan policy-or 'omni-partizan,' as some editor described it in 1928--we sup ply our readers with the facts to the best of our ability, and leave them to draw their own conclu- sions.
 "'We make no claim to infallibil- ity. We did not coin the phrase ~ur.canny accuracy" which has been 50 freely applied to our polls. We kn3w only too well the limitations of every straw vote, however enor- nous the sample gathered. how- eyer scientific the method. It would be Q miracle if every state of the forty-eight behaved on Election Day exactly as forecast by the poll.
 We say now about Rhode Island and Massachusetts that our figures Indicate in our own judgment too large a percentage for MT. Landon ani too small a percentage for MT. Roosevelt, and although in 1882 the figures in these two states indicated Mir. Hoover's carrying both, we arl- nounced:
 sDemocrats Withhold Votes"
 a.A study of the returns convinces US that those states our ballots have somehow failed to come back in adequate quantity from large bodies of democratic voters.
 "Cur own opinion was that they would be found in the Roosevelt col- umn, and they were. We will not do the same this year; we feel that both states will be found in the Landon column, and we are reach- ing this conclusion by the same process that we reached the reverse conclusion in 1892.
 .Pennsylvania is another state which requires special mention. -Four years ago, our figures gave the state to MT. Roosevelt, and MT. Hooyer carried on Election Day.
 1s.In comparing our ballot this year with that of 1882, we find that iff many cities in Pennsylvania our Aaures showed 8 much higher trend toward MT. Roosevelt than was justified by the election figures on Election Day in 1882.
 ~In examining the very same cit- les now we discover the reverse trend, and in cities that in 1882 in- <licated an approximately 60-40 per cent relationship between RooSe- velt and Hoover, we now find 60 per cent for Lapdon and 70 per cent for Roosevelt.
 Many people wonder at these great changes in state like Penn- svivania, and we confess to wc.lder- ment ourselves.
 Pacific Coast An Enigma
 aOn the Pacific Coast. we find California. Oregon and Washington all vote for MT. Landon in our poll, and yet we are told that the Pa- ciflc Coast Is 'aflame' for MT. Roosevelt.
 aA state like California Is always difiicult state to get an accurate opinion from by the polling meth 0d, and we may be far astray, yet every one should remember that in the gubernatorial campaign a few years ago. we took a poll of California when it was believed by most of California citizens that MT. Upton Sinclair would be elected governor. and the result of our poll showed that MT. Sinclair would not ne elected governor and the poll Was correct.