Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1936-10-30

Likewise, the
heavy registration mystery has been
solved in this State at least. The
Republican organizations admit that
thev have had little part in increas-
ing the registration in many OF the
large Republican counties They con-
cede that so per cent of the increase
came unsolicited.
There can be no doubt, therefore,
that in New Jersey and in many OF
the other Republican strongholdS the
increased registration plainly means
a widespread protest against the New
Deal.
Hudson County New Dealish.
The story of New Jersey, too is not
unlike that in other industrial States
with a considerable rural area. Thus,
Hudson County, bossed by the re-
doubtable Mayor Hague. is expected to
come through" for the New Deal
with 1l7,000, which was the Roosevelt
majority four years ago. and perhaps
will yield even slight increase.
With the aid of Hudson and Middle
sex. Warren and Passaic-just four
counties-Mr. Roosevelt managed to
carry New Jersey last time by about
81 1000 votes. But he is due for sur
prise this time because Of the heavy
increases in the Republican counties.
Estimating Hudson. Middlesex and
Warren Counties at $4,000, the New
Deal majority will start with a sub
stantial lead as against the remainder
Of the State. But Passaic County Is
expected to change over from last cleo
ton when it went Democratic. Like
wise Essex County, with its huge COM
nuter vote from New York City is
counted upon to be at least 25,OOo
Republican, and there will be large
increases in the Republican majority
In Bergen, Morris, Union and Mon
mouth Counties. with normal major
tiles in some Of the other counties,
and perhaps reductions in Atlantic and
Camden Counties. These reductions
are due In large part to the New Deal
gains among the Negroes and the
workmen.
But counting all the gains and losses
outside Of the big Democratic counties,
the total vote would appear to be
$4,000 for Landon, as against the
, $4,000 majority for Roosevelt men,
toned above. These estimates of
$4,000 margin for Landon, given me
by competent observers who are not
tied up with either party, are rock
bottom and would seem to be de-
pendable.
Shows Return tn G. O. p
The significance of this analysis,
which was made county by county,
would appear to be that in spite of
a relatively weak Republican organ
ization, there is a stable protest from
Republican ranks against the New
Deal and noticeable return to Lam
don of Republicans who left the party !
four years ago.
Such tide in New Jersey cannot be !
far different from the trend in that |
which prevails at the moment in New |
York and Pennsylvania and would
appear TO confirm the theory 50 often
expressed in this campaign that small
towns and rural districts, and par
ticularly suburban areas, are voting
against Mr.. Roosevelt, while the cities
are heavily pro-Roosevelt.
New Jerseys political behavior rep |
resents in some instances for the most |
part the traditional Republicanism
that has been the backbone of Re |
publican victories for the presidency
for many years. Whatever inroads
Mr.. Roosevelt made in 1882 can be
charged to the liquor issue and hard
times"
Spending Peril Seen.
The reasons for the anti Roosevelt
vote this year must be found in the
belief that the New Deal has VEN
tured almost too far in its spending
program for safety's sake, or that it
has harassed business to the point
of uncertainty and bewilderment,
something that the white-collar class
would be inclined to feel notwith-
standing the eleventh hour protesta-
tions Of good intent that come from
the New Deal Spokesman in moments
Of campaign intensity.
A State in which a pants presser
was arrested for violating the N r. A.