Henderson daily dispatch., 1936-06-09

a decisive victory over HOey on July
4, the day on which second primary
will be held. They further maintain
that while thousands upon thousands
of Hoey supporters will be away at
the beaches, in the mountains or at
other places on holiday jaunts, that
most of the Mcdonald supporters will
be at home ready to vote for the
young former college professor, since
most of the Mcdonald supporters are
too poor to go on holiday jaunts to the
seashOre, the mountains or other re-
sorts. The Mcdonald hackers also
maintain that he has nothing to lose
and everything to gain by calling for
second primary.
None of these arguments impresses
either the Hoey supporters and man
ayers here nor the bulk of the poll
teal observers who have been study
ing and analyzing political trends for
years. In the first place, they main
tain that, contrary to the claims of
the Mcdonald forces, from IS to Is
per cent of the Graham vote will go
to Hoey rather than to Mcdonald,
pointing out that if the 10000 or
more persons who voted for Graham
had wanted Mcdonald to win, they
would have voted for him in the first
place. It is also maintained that
thousands of persons voted for Ora
ham out of personal friendship and
loyalty who really did not believe he
could win, with the intention of vot-
ing for Hoey in the second primary.
Psychology Big Factor.
nd in
Hoeys favor in the psychological eff
feet of his being in first place, espe-
cailly when the Mcdonald leaders
were so sure the Winston-Salem pro-
fessor would lead by big margin or
even get the nomination with a ma
jority. Most political observers now
| agree that many of those who voted
for Mcdonald did so entirely because
of what is generally known as band
wagon Psychology" or because they
felt sure he would be high man if not
the winner. AS a result of the fact
that he failed to lead and ran second,
very large number of these "band
wagon Jumpers will now switch over
to Hoey in the second primary, many
observers here are convinced. This
same factor will also help to attract
many of those who voted for Graham
to Hoey in the second primary.
Money and Organization.
Still another factor regarded as de-
cidedly in Hoey's favor is the fact
that the Hoey forces have already de-
monstrated their superior organiza-
ton and the conviction that thsi or
ganization can and will lie kept in
tact throughout the second primary
campaign. The further fact that Nc
Donald's reported strong organization
did not function as had been expected
and failed to get out as large a vote
as his supporters had predicted to-
gether with the generally admitted
fact that the Mcdonald managers
have been scratching gravel for cam
pain funds for many weeks now, with
little or no prospect Of getting any
additional funds for a second cam
paign, is regarded as decidedly in
Hoeys favor. 1t is generally agreed
that Hoey will not be lacking for ad-
ditional campaign funds in the sec
ond primary, even though it is con-
coded that as much if not more mon
ey has been spent in Hoeys behalf
IN the campaign winch ended Satur-
day than has ever before been spent
in a gubernatorial primary campaign.
In a Nutshell.
In summing up the situation, most
observers agree that it is as follows:
Hoey-By being in first place, he
has the advantage of winning a psy-
chology, which attracts those who
want to be on the winning side and
who always want to get on the hand
wagon. He also has the advantage of