Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1936-10-29

Is up against an n,v,dI.wr.r,.
other group of
invaders, known as the American
Labor party" who want possession Of
the machinery of New York City's
Political organization so that Mayor
Ia Guardia and the laborites may do
with Tammany what the Non-Partisan
Leaguers used to do to the Republican
party in the Northwest-capture the
party label and control the primaries.
Tammany has mayoralty election
next year. The American Labor party,
which Is being secretly encouraged by
the New Deal, is endeavoring to get
q foothold this time so it may domi-
nate and control the next city election
and also the next gubernatorial cleo
ton. If Tammany plays the game of
the Roosevelt regime, it will be COM
uniting political suicide.
May Lag on Vote.
Many of the old-line leaders know
what is at stake. Will they, therefore,
pass out the word to scratch the
Roosevelt ticket? Far from 1t. Such
things are not done nowadays. Tam
many will not get out its vote. II
Tammany were really to exert itself,
New York City would give Mr.. Roose-
welt more than 100000 majority. AS
a matter Of fact, that's what the New
Dealers want and expect, but they are
IN for surprise.
The New York City majority for
will hotu
600 900 and 100000. The Literary Di-
gest poll gives Mr.. Roosevelt New York
City by around 900 900. but it also
gives Mr.. Landon upstate New York
by about 100000.
The Republican and New Deal chief
tains upstate are not expecting the
Landon vote to go beyond 100000; in
fact, the New Dealers put it down as
low as 100000 and the Republicans
hesitate to claim more than 100000.
But the fact is the upstate tide is run
ming higher for Landon every day and
there is every reason to believe that an
100000 majority for Landon is con-
sentative upstate.
Smith May Be Factor.
As for New York City, a majority
OF 100000 for Roosevelt would seem to
be about what might be expected, con-
sidering the defections in the ranks
of what was once the Democratic
party. Al Smith may not have as
much strength as he had before, but
If he converts one out of every ten
Democrats, he is making deep inroads
Likewise, the Lemke- Coughlin vote
shown in the Literary Digest's percent
ages will have to go somewhere on cleo
ton day, as there is no Lemke-C Cough
lin place on the official ballot. Landon
will get the better Of that shift, be-
cause most of the Lemke- Coughlin vote
is protest vote against the Roosevelt
regime and only incidentally interested
In the Landon side.
New York State plainly shows re-
ceding tide for Mr. Roosevelt.
In 1885 1t was manifest, as compared
with 1894, and in 1884 it was apparent,
as compared with 1882. This State
has been slowly reverting to Repub-
licanism, and unquestionably the dry
sentiment has been aroused by Mr..
Roosevelt's open boast that he brought
'repear' of the eighteenth amendment.
Old Lineup Revived.
In the old days, when there was a
wet and dry fight in New York State,
the country and towns lined up against
the cities. Today there is somewhat
the same lineup, but the cities are not
thinking about the wet and dry issue.
The Republican leaders have probably
underestimate their own strength in
the cities and the New Dealers have
overestimated 1t.
New York State has been contin-
uously classed as doubtful. 1t Is.
When 100000 persons can shift their
votes in the last few days and change
the electoral count Of At, there is
every reason to call 1t doubtful" and
"close."
In the ranks Of the New Dealers,
there is a sublime confidence that
they will sweep the State. This Is
part of the success" psychology and
strategy Of the New Deal high COM
mand. The propaganda of coming
victory" in New York State has been
spread so assiduously that lots of
New Workers who are for Roosevelt
aren't even going to take the trouble
to vote-they will feel their vote isn't
needed. The Republicans, on the
other hand, are eager to pile up a
protest vote, no matter how the final
figure looks.
Narrow Margin Likely.
The Republicans are, of course, the
under-dogs in the fight. They are
struggling desperately to get out their
vote and to push the city vote up
higher and higher for Landon. The
discussion of the pay roll tax has
begun to change votes. The bold
strategy Of the American Labor Party
IN setting itself up as threat to Tam
many has brought disturbance in
Taminany quarters. New York looks
as If 1t were leaning very much
toward Landon, but by a narrow
majority-possibly not more than
100000.
Scopyrtsht. 1896. by the North American
Newspaper Alliance inc.)