Evening star., 1935-09-29
Political Tides Run Strong

farmers I interviewed are also in
favor of it,
3. A strong national external de-
Tense against invasion, and . strong
defense against crime, anti
agitation and alien
II the trend in public sentiment
does not materially change IS We near
the date of the election, the party
which more clearly emphasizes these
principles of government and which
4 candidate who, by his
ability, record and temperament. is
truly representative Of these prin-
ciples, will have . distinct advantage
and should unquestionably win the
election.
On the Personal Side.
The New Dealers have but one
choice-Roosevelt-but those who pre-
dict that his nomination at the
Democratic convention Is cut and
dried are ill-advised. What the con-
servative Democrats do ut the con-
vention depends to . great extent
upon how successful they are In con-
solidating their strength. Roosevelt
will not be handed the nomination on
= silver platter If the Democratic op-
position can keep him from being
nominated on the first ballot. Any
tendency toward new candidate may
very easily spread like q prairie fire
II the temper Of the Democratic pub
lie does not suddenly change.
The opposition forces In the party
lean toward Albert c. Ritchie OF
Maryland. Owen D. Young of New
York, Carter Glass and Harry F.. Byrd
OF Virginia and former Director OF
the Budget Lewis w. Douglas OF
Arizona and New York. Alfred Z
Smith Is respected and admired by
almost every man and woman in the
country. regardless Of political affili-
alton. but with the present trend he
would not be an acceptable candidate.
The sentiment toward Gov. Eugene
Talmadge Of Georgia is that he is too
radical. Former Gov. Joseph B. Ely
OF Massachusetts, is favorably dis
cussed where mentioned. but at the
moment does not have a large fol-
lowing.
Were the Democratic convention Ia
be held today would say that there
would be a good chance for Roosevelt
to be deadlocked out of the nomina
ton, with Al Smith and Carter Glass
the sacrificial offerings, il they would
consent. This is more a hope than
anything among the Jeffersonian
Democrats as the New Deal organi-
zation undoubtedly will be strength
ened by convention time. But. il
Roosevelt is not nominated on the first
or second ballots. 1t is not unreason-
able to take the view that the swing
away from the President might sweep
through the delegations. Political
leaders OF more than one State have
expressed such a hope.
Race To BE Wide Open.
Over in the Republican party. We
find the race for the nomination 10
be wide open. II the Republican con-
vention we're held today. the contest
would unquestionably settle down
among Col. Frank Knox of Illinois.
William E. Borah of Idaho
Gov. Alf M. Landon of Kansas and
Senator Arthur Vendenberg of Mich
lgan. once the favorite sons were out
OF the way. The choice at the present
time Is almost unanimously for a
Western candidate with 4 practical
business management complex, and
an fastener for q running mate
Right now Hamilton Fish of New York
has as good q chance as any one for
the second place.
Sentimentally, Senator Borah is the
choice at the moment. but his best
friends hope that he will not allow
his name to 60 before the convention,
except for a complimentary vote. By
convention time he will be II years
old, and this and his border political
temperament are given as the reasons
why his own people do not want him
They feel that he will
better serve his party and his country
by continuing his public life in the
Senate.
Col. Knox IS popular. particularly
In the East. and is attracting followers
to his banner almost daily. However.
1t Is felt by some Of his most ardent
admirers that he is spending his
strength too soon and that he is un-
duly exposing himself to preconven-
tion attack.
Out in the Middle West they tell me
that If Gov. Landon had a more pop-
ular sponsorship he would have a bet.
ter chance. He is under the tutelage
OF former Vice President Charles
Curtis, who does not seem to be verv
popular in the rank and file of his
party.
II Herbert Hoover allows his name
to 60 before the convention he will
get a complimentary vote for old
times sake. but he has little chance
Of obtaining the nomination If Borah
and Hoover should both put up a fight
for the nomination there may be q
hopeless deadlock, featuring Borah,
Hoover, Knox and Landon. In this
event, Arthur Vandenberg would have
an excellent chance to be nominated.
Today We have two fairly we'll de-
fined schools Of thought. On one side
We have the Roosevelt-New Dealers
Democrats and ultra liberals, while
on the opposition side we have the
anti-New Dealers Constitutionalists-
Sentimentally Roosevelt States.
Unless the Democrats enter q third
party the Republicans have about Us
much chance Of winning the Southern
States in 1886 as Hitler has of be-
President of F'rance-it will
be possible. but only by conquest. Even
with a split Democracy the Repub-
ican chances in these States are none
too good unless the entire battle is
waged around the Constitution, with
out regard to any other consideration.
which iS Ayfrarna1u ,,nlilal,