Evening star., 1935-10-20
BY G. GOULD LINCOLN.


next year shaping up for real con-
test, political Washington is casting
an eye on the congressional CAM
paign. While it Is conceivable, and
probable, that in the event Of q Re-
publican presidential victory, the
House might have Republican ma
jority, there is not the slightest
chance that the G. o. p. could con-
troll the Senate in the next Congress.
Mathematically, the Democrats
could in no way become a minority
party in the Senate as q result OF the
1896 elections. They now have 10
seats, including the Louisiana vacancy
caused by the assassination OF Huey
P. Long. In next years elections 10
Democrats are up for reelection and
13 Republicans, one-third of the total
Senate membership. Ten Of the DEM
ocrats are from States Of the solid
South"
Only a political revolution of un-
expected proportions could prevent
the reelection of Democratic Sena-
tors, or of Democratic nominees, In
those States. Even should all these
Southern Democrats be defeated. and
the nine other Democratic Senators
also fall, the Democrats would still
have 81 Senate seats. A majority OF
the Senate is 40. With every possible
'break" going their way. the Repub-
licans could gain not more than nine
seats. They now have only "a. So II
only the 10 Southern Democrats
were reelected the party would have
a total of 81 Senators, to SO Tor The
Republicans. for the Farmer-Laoor
party and / for the Progressive party.
1888 Outlook About Same.
In 1888, however, 81 Democratic
Senators are up for reelection and
only five Republicans. OF these II
Democrats, nine come from States
that are traditionally Democratic.
Here again if the Republicans won
every seat that might be expected of
them they would make a gain OF ID
seats. The prospects are, therefore,
that the Democrats will continue con-
troll of the Senate for at least another
four years, and Republican PreSl-
dent, if elected in 1886, would have on
his hands a Democratic Senate dur
ing his entire term of Office.
No wonder there is talk Of some
kind of coalition effort on the part
of some of the Republican presidential
possibilities" today. They are sug-
gesting that they will appoint four or
more Democrats as members OF their
cabinets, should they win.
The list of Senators who come up
for reelection this year presents a
galaxy of political stars. For example,
the leaders of both parties in the Sen
ate, Robinson of Arkansas, Democrat,
and McNary Of Oregon, Republican,
must make the race. Both are ex-
pected to be reelected. The death OF
Senator Long removes a threat to
Robinson's victory, for Long had said
he would go into Arkansas to CAM
paign against the veteran Democratic
leader.
Borah and Dickinson.
In the Republican list of Senators
who stand for reelection are three
who have been mentioned as presi-
dental candidates, Borah of Idaho
McNary of Oregon and Dickinson OF
Iowa. Borah has come into the pic
ture more prominently than the
others. His great ability as an orator
and his wide following in the country
have been responsible for this. There
Is a growing feeling, however, that
Borah will. in the end, make his play
for reelection to the Senate. His
seeming friendliness with the Town.
send old-age pension group and his
insistance on currency expansion OF
one kind or another are regarded as
evidence that he is intent upon hold
ing the electorate of Idaho rather
than upon being presidential candi-
date.
Among the other Senators who must
face the music next year is Senator
Norris, q Roosevelt Republican. who
seems to have Nebraska in the hollow
of his hand. There have been sug-
gestions that Norris might prefer to
stand for election as Governor. His
pet plan, unicameral legislature, has
been adopted in Nebraska. If he were
younger, it is said, the Nebraska Sena-
tor might prefer to become chief ex-
ecutive of the State while this new
experiment is tested and put into ef-
feet for the first time.
Senator Glass of Virginia, one-time
Secretary Of the Treasury and author
of the Federal Reserve system, must
run again. He has been vivid critic
of the New Deal, but he will be found
enlisted in the campaign to re-elect
President Roosevelt, 1t is said. And
so, it is predicted, will Senator Bailey
of North Carolina, who has predicted
dire things as result of New Deal
legislation and administration.
Massachusetts G. o. p. Standout.
OF the nine States in which the
Republicans might conceivably have
a chance for victory in senatorial elec-
tions, Massachusetts, stands out. The
New Deal has failed more and more
in popularity in New England. Rhode
Island, which along with Massa-
chusetts, went for Roosevelt in 1882,
last August bumped the New Deal
hard, electing Republican member Of
the House by a wide margin. The
other day senatorial district in Mas
sachusetts chose Republican State
Senator by an increased vote, show
ing, it is believed, the trend in the
Bay State.
Henry Cabot Lodge, a member of
the State House of Representatives
and a grandson OF the late Senator
Henry Cabot Lodge, has just an
nounced his candidacy for the Re-
publican senatorial nomination next
year. He Is seeking the seat now held
by Marcus A. Coolidge, Democrat.
That Lodge will have the G. o. P.
nomination is not by any means GER
tain. He is 80 years old, has made
- d.