Evening star., 1935-01-06
BY HERBERT F. L. ALLEN.

ABANDONMENT Of the big
n brother role In China, recess
IA sion from the Stimson prin-
4 \ ciple OF non-recognition in
Manchoukuo, and scrapping
Of the open-door policy with its con-
comitant of armed Intervention are
all borderland possibilities connected
with Americas new year policy in
the Far East.
The shadow of the unsolved problem
of the destiny Of nearly 100000, 900
people of Asia still hangs In the sky.
To find solution that will satisfy
all interests and at the same time avoid
war Is 1885 task confronting the
best minds among statesmen of Orient
and Occident.
The obstacles to be hurdled are:
China's demand for the return Of
Manchuria and the enforcement of
the open-door doctrine with interven-
tion, armed or otherwise.
The situation arising from the nom
recognition Of Manchoukuo by the
United States and the League of Ma
tionS, with Japan's insistent claim
that while Manchus governed China
for several hundred years, China never
controlled nor possessed the territory
Of Manchuria, and that the head of
the Manchoukuo government is a
lineal descendant of the last Manchu
dynasty.
Communism Threat Still Alive.
Russia's spread of communism
throughout Asia and the reputed in
tention of the Soviet government to
wrest from japan the port of Dairen
and other territory lost in the Russo
Japanese war.
A serious and not unfounded sus-
picion that Japan's ambition Is not
confined to control of Manchoukuo,
but is intended to express itself In the
formation of Mongol-Japanese en-
pire. fulfilling the destiny of Asia.
The American-Bri belief that
Japan intends to corral all CONNER
clal advantages, not only in Manchou-
kuo. but also in the visioned empire.
The Japanese Emperor's traditional
duty to protect the land of his people,
viewed as responsibility extending
across the sea to Vladivostok and into
any region which might appear to
threaten the security of Japanese ter
ritory.
Unity Of Tribes visioned.
Only by visualizing the situation as
related to the whole of Central Asia.
from the shores of the Pacific on the
east to the Urals on the west, and not
as the special problem of Japan, Man
churia or Mongolia in separate units,
can one get true conception of the
empire plan.
1t would unite the Mongolian races
and scattered tribes of Mongolia.
Tibet and Manchoukuo.
1t would push Communists from
Russia back into Russia proper and
may be expected to terminate their
activity in all territory west of the
Urals and even southwark into China.
1t would take from Russia the port
OF Vladivostok, thus removing
menace to Japan. It would lose to
Russia the immense munitions and
airplane factory to Irkutsk. It would
bring about an uprising in Russia of
kulaks and middle-claSs people now
deprived Of their property that would
destroy the power of the Soviets and
give active communism a death blow.
What effect middle Asian empire
might have upon American trade in
the Far East. and how far the United
States might feel justified in using
armed Intervention to prevent such
a set-up by Japan are questions which
the new year will be called upon to
answer.
Trade Is Major Factor.
Opponents of Japan paint such a
dismal picture of that country's in
tention to exclude other nations from
the cream of the empire commerce
through special tariffs and trade ad-
vantages, in contravention of the
policy Of the open door. that naturally
we are interested in trying to calcu-
late the loss we might suffer in dol
lars and cents should we be the VIC
TINS Of exclusion.
The buying power of a nation Is
equal only to the earning power of it's
people. At present the buying power
of China. Manchoukuo, Mongolia,
Tibet and contiguous territory is al
most nil, because the people have no
earning power 1t is the potential
buying power Of Asia which America
has been aiming at in the principle
OF the open door. yet we did nothing
to develop that power, which, once de-
veloped among an aggregate of nearly
half a billion people, would be an
enormous factor in the world eco
nomic situation. But before a buy
ing power, there must come earning
power.
It is recognition Of this principle
that has determined Japan to under
take the task of increasing the earn
ing power Of the people Of the new
empire, through unity and by scien-
tific stock raising and farming, with
the added factors of mining and in
dustry.
For countless generations Central
Asia has been the scene of conflict
between homesteader and nomadic
stock raiser Three thousand years
BIC. the Hiung-Nu, known later as
the barbaric Huns, invaded China
seeking for new pasture lands Today
the nomadic people complain that
Chinese homesteaders till the rich
pasture lands and leave them sterile
and barren.
Plan Scientific Production.
Under an empire Japan would edu-
cate the people in scientific produc-
ton which would provide food In
largely increased quantity, and i'm
mense stocks of wool, which Japan
now imports from Australia. Thus
would a British product be affected.
Moreover, in the more southerly re-
gions of the empire cotton can be
grown very extensively, particularly
by the aid of irrigation, thus would
the cotton export trade Of the United
States be affected. And by organiza-
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