Evening star., 1934-11-04
BY THOMAS COMPERE.

n YEW YORK, November st is
N considered almost certainty
" by political observers here that
4 Y Gov. Herbert H. Lehman will
lead the entire State Demo-
cratic ticket to an overwhelming VIC
tory on Tuesday. The most authentic
surveys indicate that Gov. Lehman
will be reelected by plurality Of
from 100000 to 100000 over his Re-
publican opponent, Robert Moses, now
park commissioner of New York City.
Wall Street betting odds favor Gov.
Lehman by at least to l and few
bets have been made. Very little
money has appeared to support Mr..
Moses at those or any other odds.
Senator Royal g. Copelands plu-
rality over E. Harold Cluett, Republi-
can, probably will exceed 100000 votes,
and 1t Is not unlikely that he will re-
ceive even more votes than Gov.
Lehman. 1t is believed on good au-
thority that the Democratic candidates
for the major State offices from lieu
tenant governor down will be elected,
but that their pluralities will not be as
large as Gov. Lehmans and Senator
Copeland's.
Republicans Missed Chance.
Although President Roosevelt's New
Deal policies will receive much credit
for this Democratic victory in his
home State, it will be due in large
measure to other factors. There is
much discomfort with many phases Of
the New Deal in New York. Great
blocks of voters think it has not gone
far enough to the left. Others think the
Governments policy of interfering
with private business has retarded re-
covery, that it is prolonging unem-
ployment.
The fact remains, however, that
the Republicans have failed utterly to
capitalize this sentiment. They have
offered nothing in place of the
New Deal policies. They have criti-
cized from many angles, especially
on the vast expenditures of the State
and Federal governments, but they
have not cited any way of reducing the
cost of unemployment relief They
have advanced no concrete plan for
the speeding of recovery. The result
has been that many thousands of
lnalcontents plan to vote the Demo-
cratic ticket as the better of two
evils; because they believe that the
New Deal with its defects is better
than would be return to conditions
which popularly are held responsible
for the economic collapse.
Control Patronage.
Another dominant factor in favor
Of the Democrats is their control of
patronage and relief funds. The hun
dreds of thousands Of persons in this
State who are depending entirely on
relief funds may be discontented, but
they know they have been receiving
enough to exist under the Democratic
State and Federal administrations.
They all want more liberal relief pay
ments, but they would rather pre-
serve their present status than to put
Republicans back in control and take
q chance on having the funds reduced.
The Democrats have out-generaled
the Republicans at every stage Of this
campaign. Gov. Lehman has made a
dignified campaign, running primarily
on his record as an opponent Of the
utilities interests and as an advocate
Of President Roosevelt's policies.
Some acute political analysts believe
he even will carry Republican upstate
by a narrow margin. Even if he
should lose upstate by 250,O00 votes,
he still would win easily, because it
is considered certain that his plu-
rality in the city will be considerably
in excess Of 100000 votes. He won
in 1892 by 847, ,43e, but the registration
is at least Is per cent lower this year
than at that time.
Mr.. Moses, whose public record is
excellent and whose convictions are
much more liberal than the old guard
Republicans who engineered his NOM
ination, has tended to injure his
chances Of election by his outspoken
utterances. His campaign has been
marked by vituperation against the
Governor and it is believed that this
has been to his own disadvantage.
In one instance he called Mr.. Lehman
a liar. Many thoughtful persons,