Evening star., 1934-11-04

Gov. Schmedeman, Decacrat, Is like
| ly to defeat former Gov. Philip La
Toilette in the gubernatortal race.
The third party movement in Wis
consin, to date, seems to be more of
a political maneuver than an effort
to create a new liberal party.
Indeed. the extent to which the
Democrat party under Roosevelt and
the New Deal has moved to the left
has prevented any real sweep so far
in this country toward third party,
such as occurred in the days of pop
ulism, when candidates of the people s
party were elected to House and
Senate in the South and the West.
Let's look at the details of the Sem
ate contest. There are 16 Republican
Senate seats at issue, II Democratic
| and / Farmer-Labor. With Senator
Frederick Hale of Maine, Republican,
already re-elected-although his elec-
ton will likely be contested-that
completes the list of Senate races this
year.
Fess' Loss Predicted.
The Democrats will, it is confident
ly predicted, elect Donahey in Ohio
over Senator Fess, Republican; Rad
cliffe in Maryland over France, Re-
publican; Holt in West Virginia over
Senator Hatfield; Moore in New Jer-
sey over Senator Kean and Ruman in
Missouri over Senator Patterson.
These will constitute gain of five
Senate seats to the Democrats, seats
In addition, the Democrats have
chances to elect Maloney in Con-
necticut over Senator Walcott, Gerry
in Rhode Island over Senator Hebert,
Milton of Indiana over Senator Ar
thur Robinson and Chavez in New
Mexico over Senator Cutting.
If the Democrats were successful
in all these contests it would mean a
gain of nine seats now kept warm by
Republicans.
The Republicans, while not as GER
tain of gaining in the Senate at the
expense of Democrats, have chances
to win in Wyoming. with Carter
against Senator O'Mahoney, Demo-
crat; in Montana. with Bourquin
against Senator Wheeler and with
Leavitt against Murray, Democrat, in
the Short-term election; in Tennessee,
with Hooper against Senator Nickel
lar; in Nebraska with Simmons
against Burke, Democrat. Hooper, in
Tennessee, is a fusion candidate,
having the backing Of the> Repub-
licans and disgruntled Democratic
faction. Mcclellan, however. has been
very strong in his State and it would
be decided political upset if he were
elected 1t would be a surprise also
If the Democrat, Wheeler. should lose
in Montana, or his running mate,
Murray.
Nebraska Race Warm.
In the Nebraska Senate race Rob-
ert Simmons, former Representative,
has put up whale of fight
against Representative Burke, Roose-
welt favorite. Simmons has attacked
the New Deal at every opportunity.
The general opinion, however, is that
Burke has the edge.
This seems to leave the Republicans
with only one good chance Of winning
Democratic Senate seat-that in
Wyoming O'Mahoney, the Demo-
crat, was formerly an assistant post
master general and right hand Of the
Democratic national chairman, Post
master General Farley.
Democratic claims are made for the
election of Joseph F. Guffey in Penn
sylvania over Senator David A. Reed,
Republican; for Frank A Picard in
Michigan over Senator Vandenberg,
and for Wilbur L. Adams in Delaware
over Senator Townsend. But Demo-
cratic victory in any of these contests
would be surprise II Guffey should
defeat Reed, it would mark a political
revolution in Pennsylvania, a banner
Republican State for generations. In
all three of the States the Republicans
appear to have the edge.
The Democrats will surely re-elect
Senator's Ashurst in Arizona; Byrd in
Virginia. Connally in Texas; Copeland
in New York; King in Utah; Pittman
in Nevada; Trammell in Florida; /;
Walsh in Massachusetts,; Bachman in
Tennessee, and Hatch in New Mexico.
They will also elect Schwellenbach in
Washington. nominated in place of
Senator Dill, and Bilbo in Mississippi,
nominated in place of Senator
Stephens.
The Republicans are sure of re-
electing Senators Austin in Vermont;
Frazier in North Dakota; johnson in
California.
Senator La Toilette is expected to
win reelection in Wisconsin, although
he will come to the new Congress as
Progressive instead of as a Republi-
can, his present party designation.
Senator Shipstead, the sole Farmer
Labor Senator, has the edge in his
race for reelection.
So far as the House Of Representa-
tives Is concerned, the Democrats
start with firm assurance that every
one Of the States Of the Solid South"
will return entire Democratic delega-
tions 1t becomes necessary, there
fore, to estimate as closely as possible
what gains the Republicans may make
in the North and West, and what
In those sections.
Estimate of Gains.
Probable Republican gains and
chances of gain may be listed as fol-
lows:
California. three to six as a maxi
mum, under which the Republicans
would have all the breaks. In pres
ent Congress, II Democrats, 9 Re-
publicans
Colorado, three districts in doubt,
with no definite assurance of Repub-
ican gains. In present Congress,
four Democrats.
Connecticut, one district, which
may be Offset by a Democratic gain
of one. In present Congress, two
Democrats and four Republicans.
Delaware, one district. In present
Congress, one Democrat.
Idaho, one district. In present Con-
greSs. two Democrats.
Illinois, two to four districts, a
maximum. In present Congress, I8
Democrats, 8 Republicans, va
cancy.
Indiana, two to four districts as a