Evening star., 1934-07-01
BY FRANK II. sIMONDs.

sidered the prospect Of a new
European conflict produced by the
German revolution, Is now weighing
the possibilities of the collapse of that
revolution. From Germany hundred
straws serve to indicate that the Hit
lerian wave has spent its force and
that for the time being at least 1t Is
on the ebb.
What may be the consequences OF
the change? Obviously they are
manifold. First of all there may be
an internal transformation in the
National Socialist movement itself.
Today it stands forth discredited by
two colossal failures. Abroad it has
reused Europe to opposition and the
world to condemnation. France and
Russia have renewed the old pre-war
alliance. Czechoslovakia, Rumania
and Yugoslavia have Joined the
Franco Russian camp. Italy has in
terposed her veto Of the Anschluss
project. Today Germany is isolated
as never before even during the World
War.
This catastrophe in foreign policy
moreover is directly chargeable TO Hit
Ter. He Is personally responsible for
the Jewish persecution. His has been
the hand that has directed the Aus
trian operation. To make Russia an
enemy and Italy an open opponent all
in the brief period Of a year has been
an achievement which has left the
old leaders of Germany policy aghast
Economic Failure.
But far more costly has been the
failure in the domestic fleld-the eco
nomic failure. Prosperity has not been
restored. Under the impact alike OF
economic nationalism and the Jewish
boycott German exports have dwlndleo
until they do not suffice to balance the
purchase of essential raw materials
Default upon foreign debts. IN part al
least due to this cause. has destroyed
the last remnant of German credit.
Thus the masses are beginning tc
murmur as the classes are already
protesting. This unrest has vislnly
produced a split within the National
Socialist ranks. The conservative Dig
business elements, which originally
financed Hitler in the. hope of abol'
ishing a liberal regime favorable u
labor. are now trying to pull the reVo-
luton to the right. put an end to al
interference with business and sto[
the persecution of the Jews and tne
ouarrels with neighboring powers
which collectively spell economic rum
On the other hand. the masses Of
unemployed. youth and the impov'
erished middle class are clamorlng 1oi
the real revolution which they en-
listed to achieve They want to &c
forward with 1eveling movement, te
bring capital to heel, to establish rea
state control over industry, to despol
tn the rich and to rescue the poor
They have paraded, marched. fought
hut thev are now aware, on the othel
hand. that the goal they sought ha'
not been attained. and on the othel
that their control of the revolution L
lessening.
New Upheaval Feared.
Out of this clash can come nev
upheaval. That is one Of the posi-
bilfties which must be faced. tn
German revolution, like the Russian
and the French, may now pass int
the hands of the extremists. 1t ma
become a real revolution. as it ha'
not yet been, despite all its violenc'
and eXcesses. Hitler himself or Goeo
bells and FEEDER may carry it far Il
the left BY contrast, Hitler and Goer'
ing NAV be able to control the fooc
waters they have loosed and take i
to the right, reorganizing it on a neV
basis of moderation at home ant
abroad.
Beyond these two possibilities lie
the third-counter-r Hin
denburg, the army, big business ma.
now, by means of coup d'etat, selz
control, impose martial law. dlsoan'
the storm troops of NaZis, reorganlz
and direct the Stahlhelm. And il
this direction there is the prospect o
military dictatorship. serving as tn
preface to monarchial restoration. Fo
| If the Nazis are to 60. there is lef
only the crown. To go back to tn
republic now is utterly out of tn
question. Real revolution or roya
restoration-these are the only alter
natives that today, seem to exist, an
on the whole it is toward the latte
that Germany seems to be drifting
That patiently is what the public ut
terances of Papen suggest, what tn
resignation of Nadolny hints at, wha
the irritation of Hindenburg points tC
Dat ai@ he 80 20
of new convulsion and a real lettin
of blood, such as has not yet takel
place?
At least it is to be doubted. To b
| sure. the republic succumbed witt
hardly a show of resistance. But be
/ fore it fell it had practically lost sup
port in all quarters. 1t actually per
ished of inanition, rather than by as
sassination. There was literally moth
ing left. But so far as one can judge
no such situation yet exists in tn
NaZi case. The older and the wise
are beginning to be alarmed over tn
consequences of the Hitler dictator
ship, but there must be millions VIII
marched with the first formations o
the storm troops, who are still in |
fighting mood.
France Denies Victory.
If the domestic situation is obscure
however. the consequences of that sit
uation abroad are unmistakable TIL
French, for example, have made u
their minds that the regime is doomed
that it can only be saved by som
success abroad. Such success could b
attained If France consented to Ger
man rearmament. Few in France be
lieve that actual rearmament can nov
be prevented. None, so far as it !
possible to see, is ready to go to wa
to prevent it. But to recognize Ger
man right to arm is another matter
That would be to give Hitler the vic
tory he so sorely needs. And in thi
matter France is adamant.
In French eyes Nazi Germany
no longer a menace, but merely
nuisance. Peace and order in Europ
must wait upon the restoration O
order in the Reich. But for the pres
ent the progressive decline of German
conditions is to be expected. Som
day the German people will be driver
by their domestic circumstances +
overthrow the existing regime. The
may do 1t violently or quietly. II the