Evening star., 1932-10-06
ROOSEVELT LIKELY
TO WIN MINNESOTA
DisqruntIed Farmers and
JobIess Expected to Turn
Tide in November.
Continued From First Page.)

Continued From First Page)
in their loyalty to AL would knife Roose-
welt on election But the Democrats
supporting Roosevelt are overjoyed at
the turn of affairs in New York. They
believe that it will cause much of the
irritations among the Smith Democrats
to disappear: not all of it perhaps. but
most of it. Smith received big vote in
Minnesota four years ago-396.000 votes
and has many devoted admirers in
the State.
A plan was on foot in this State to
file set of AL Smith presidential elec-
tor candidates. Indeed, the petitions
for this purpose were all signed up.
Such list of electors on the ballot un-
doubtedly would cut deeply into the
Roosevelt vote. it was believed. But
now the promoters of the plan to put
these electors on the ballot because Of
the glad hand which Smith gave Roose-
velt at Albany have determined, it is
reported. not to further the plan for
Smith electors.
G. o. P. Hopes for Woman Vote.
Take look at the situation from the
Republican point Of view. Not all of
the Republicans admit that it is hope
less case. In the first place, they insist
that President Hoover by his aggres-
sive campaign speech in Des Moines
has put the Republican leaders on their
toes. ready to carry on real campaign
until election day. They look also to
the women for great things. The
women in this State are strongly or
ganized for Hoover. They helped to
oil IN
are doing their best to help him now
the worries of the Democrats. And, by
the same token, it is one of the big
factors in the calculations of the Re-
publicans who claim victory. not only
here but in other States. The women
were for Hoover, and great number Of
them still are.
Next on the list Of the factors SEEM
ing to favor Hoover Is the strong hold
which the Lutheran ministers seem to
have on the voters. probably those of
Scandinavian blood. The Lutherans,
generally speaking, are dry. They do
not like the demand of Roosevelt and
the Democrats for the outright repeal
OF the eighteenth amendment, while
they have looked with sorrow on the
conversion Of President Hoover to the
cause of revision of the eighteenth
amendment. They don't like this talk
OF repeating the Volstead act in which
the Democrats engage. This is expec-
tation-perhaps it is only hope-on
the part OF some Of the Republican
paign these Lutheran ministers will do
something" And while the fact that
Mr. Smith has become reconciled and
calls Roosevelt IAN old potato" once
again may help with the Catholics out
here. it is not likely to cause any
greater enthusiasm for Roosevelt among
the Lutherans.
The row among the Democrats al
ready has been referred to- It is not
overlooked by the Republicans in their
estimate OF the situation. That row
was born Of real bitterness. The rump-
ers, who were defeated by the regulars
In the election of delegations to the
national convention, turned the tables
on the regulars when the time came to
nominate candidates for State Office
and drubbed the regulars soundly.
Fear Psychology Effective.
The Republicans claim that the fear
psychology. the thought that things
may yet become worse If the Democrats
are placed in power, Is having its ef-
feet There are rumors that employers
OF labor in this State, as they did In
their fight against the La Follettes in
Wisconsin, are warning their employees
that if the Roosevelt Garner ticket is
elected it will be good-by jobs. This is
not quite so strong an argument among
the farmers, and the rural population
predominates in this State.
The Republicans cannot get 1t out Of
their minds that Minnesota has never
gone Democratic in a presidential cleo
tion since the days of Abraham Lincoln.
Admittedly the Republican majority in
this State has been considerable and
rockribbed President Hoover led al
Smith in 1928 by $4,000 votes in this
State. The Democrats must change
some $4,000 votes from the Republican
to the Democratic column next month
II they are to carry the State for Roose-
welt. In 1924 the late Senator La Fol-
lette of Wisconsin, running as an in
dependent, had cold chills chasing up
and down Republican spines. But in
the end Coolidge carried the State with
lead OF 25,000 votes over the COM
blned La Toilette and Democratic votes.
Despite the he kept us out of war"
slogan OF the Wilson Democrats in 1916,
so potent in the Western country, Min
nesota went for Hughes. although by
only 1872 votes Nor could Wilson carry
Minnesota in 1912. when the Republic
ans split wide open. In that year it
went for Roosevelt.
The Republicans appear to have the
better of the argument so far as party
organization goes. Up to date neither
party has much money to spend. The
G. Q. p, II 1t can raise the cash, might
do lot through organization here. The
organization Of neither party is any too
good or effective. One reason for this
Is found in the State primary laws.
Under those laws all the Legislature and
county offices are filled in non- partisan
contests. This system has almost
wrecked efficient party organization in
Minnesota. For it is well recognized by
politicians that unless the many county
officers and members of the Legislature
are on the party ballot it is diff1cult to
bring out many of those citizens quail
fed to vote and to hold them In line
for the party ticket.
No Enthusiasm for Roosevelt.
Sofar as Roosevelt himself is concerned,
the voters of Minnesota have not been
reused to any enthusiasm. His visit to
st. Paul last Spring, when the pre-
convention campaign was on. left the
people here cold. They expected him
to deliver a smashing speech in reply to
Al Smiths Jefferson day dinner attack
on Roosevelt as a demagogue. The
latest developments in Albany seem to
show that Roosevelt was wise not to
attack Smith in turn. But his speech
in st. Paul was disappointment out
here.
According to Hemming S. Nelson Of
Lake Lillian, one of ten farmers union
leaders who conferred with Gov. Roose-