Evening star., 1932-10-30
NEW JERSEY
[ PREDICTS VICTORY
Democrats Give Roosevelt a
$3.50 Chance to Carry
State.
Continued From First Page.)

NNNNitulucu from t1rSC faSe.D
Democrats have much the better Of the
sNuation SO far as party organization
Is concerned.
There is the Hague organization in
HudSon County, which functions all
the year round. Here in Newark the
democratic organization seems to be
lar more efficient and effective than
the Republican, and reports from out
In the counties indicate the Democrats
are working hard. while the Republic
cans have been suffering from the leth-
argy that seemed to envelope the whole
G. o. P. until President Hoover himself
leaped into this campaign, less than a
month ago. The Republicans called
upon former Governor, Edward c.
stokes, to run their campaign in the
state. Mr.. Stokes has in the past been
both able and efficient But he had
been largely out of the picture for a
number of years. Dwight Morrow is
no longer here. Walter E. Edge, for
mer Senator and State leader, has been
Ambassador to France and has only re-
Gently returned to take part in the
campaign. Republicans in recent years
have fallen into factions in this State,
and year ago they took terrific beat
ing in the gubernatorial election when
Harry A. Moore, Democrat, was elected
by a big vote.
Count on COmmuter Vote.
The Republicans are counting on the
@commuter vote" to carry the State for
President Hoover. This is the vote that
turns out usually only in large numbers
in presidential elections; the voters who
live in Jersey but who have their places
of business in New York City, For
years this has been staunchly Re-
publican vote. Undoubtedly it will be
strongly Republican this year. The
Democrats do say, however, and it is
admitted by some Republicans, that
publican vote cast by this group of
citizens due to the fact that the COM
muters have been hard hit by the de-
preston just as have other groups.
Salaries have been SlaShed, men have
been dropped entirely from employment.
There is the desire for change" in
the commuter group as there IS else
where
Jersey is an industrial State, with
many industries. Mills and factories
have in many instances shut down or
are running only part time. 1t IS said
that wages of workers that used to run
as high as S35 week are now down
to $40. A large percentage OF the work
erS have no jobs today. And while
there has been an indication of better
times, with shops opening here and
business in the cities improving. still
there remains great mass Of destitute
people in this State who must be cared
for during the coming Winter. The
farmers in rural New Jersey, truck and
dairy farmers for the most part, have
been hard hit, too, by the low prices for
farm products. All of these circum-
stances are initiating against the Re-
publlcanS.
1--WE Want Beer" Rally Held.
I find division of opinion here re-
garding the Importance of the liquor is
sue New Jersey has been wet as the
Atlantic, according to the late Gov
ernor and Senator Edward l. Edwards.
Some of the observers here say that
President Hoover, in his speech of ac-
ceptance last Summer, pulled this issue
out from under the feet of the Demo-
Gratis; that he is wet enough to hold the
Republican vets. On the other hand.
huge I'VE want beer" rally was staged
in Newark yesterday-in effect Demo-
cratic rally-indicating that many of
the voters are anxious for an immediate
amendment of the VolStead act which
would permit the manufacture and sale
Of beer, without waiting for any amend
ilell1 W tllc NOllSIltutlOll. LII OOutll JCl-
sey there is strong dry sentiment-or
there was-and this section would be
inclined to the Republican ticket on
that issue.
AL Smith delivered his now famous
"bigotry" speech in Newark week ago.
He had great crowd, for he is tre-
mendously popular But even among
his warmest adherents Mr.. Smiths
speech was regarded as blow to Dem
ocratic chances. While it may have
helped to get back into line the Smith
adherents who were sore because of the
failure of the Democratic National Con-
vention to renominate Smith, it was
slap in the face, it is said, to the
voters in Southern Jersey and to some
of the voters in this section. 1t i'm
mediately aroused resentment. The
Democratic leaders, commenting on the
speech and its effects in New Jersey,
said today that they hoped his Boston
speech, which did not stress the
"bigotry'. issue of 1923, had undone
much OF the trouble they feared from
his Newark speech. Take it by and
large, however, and the Smith Newark
speech is regarded as Republican as
set in this State, just as it is in PENN
Sylvania.
Tariff Effective Issue.
New Jersey has been largely influ-
enced in past elections by the protec-
tive tariff issue presented by the Re-
publicans. Today this is still an effective
issue here and many of the leaders in
industry are emphasizing the necessity
of keeping the Republicans in power.
The Republicans are hoping much from
the appearance in Newark on Monday
of President Hoover himself. Great
preparations are being made for his
visit. He is to deliver an. address to
thousands in the Mosque Temple. A
crowd of from $4,000 to 100000 IS ex-
pected to turn out to see and hear the
President. His speech here and in New
York, just few miles away Monday
night are for New Jersey Republicans
the high spots of the campaign.
Gov. Roosevelt is expected to come
back to Jersey for a speech before the
campaign ends, according to the Demo-
cratic leaders. Personally, the Governor
has not proved a fire-brand to New
Jersey voters. They do not appear to
favor Roosevelt, but rather to be against
the present administration, which to