The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1932-06-23
Situation Is Reminiscent of
Many Democrat Par
leyS of Past.
SURVEY BARES POWER
If Both Sides Hold Fast,
HoOSierS and Tammany
to Decide Vote.
BY MORRIS DE HAVEN TRACY
United Press staff Correspondent

Copyright. 1882 BY United Press)
CHICAGO, June 23.-New York
and Indiana, according to a United
Press survey of the Democratic
presidential situation today, may de-
eide whether or not Franklin D.
Roosevelt of New York can win the
Democratic presidential nomina-
ton.
If Roosevelt can hold in line his
known strength, swing Virginia and
Missouri, which are said to have
leanings toward him once they have
done their duty by their favorite
sons, then with the support of New
York and Indiana he quite certainly
can come through winner.
But If, on the other hand, the
anti-Roosevelt forces, can hold in
line the states of Maryland, Okla
homa, Ohio, California, Texas, New
Jersey, Massachusetts, Connecticut,
Rhode Island and the Canal Zone
plus sixteen votes in Pennsylvania
and forty in Illinois-then, with
help from New York and Indiana,
they can prevent Roosevelt's nomi-
nation.
Like Parleys of Past
All this presurnes no change will
be made in the tWo-thirdS rule.
Should that rule, under which a
of the votes in the convention to
win the nomination, be changed so
that a bare majority would nom
mate, then Roosevelt will go into
the convention with every reason to
expect nomination on the first
ballot.
The situation is reminiscent of
the preconvention situations sur
rounding many Democratic meet
ings of the past.
Indiana, led by the veteran Tom
Taggart; New York, with Tammany
Hall in the saddle, and often Illi-
noiS, with George Brennan at the
helm, we're the uncertain factors
which brought sleepless nights to
many a campaign manager.
The United Press survey based on
figures gathered from each of the
forty eight states, and from the
territories represented in the con-
vention, shows that Roosevelt will
go into the convention with 500
votes exclusive of any in New York,
Indiana or Illinois. That figure al
lows him forty in Pennsylvania and
only twenty-four of Wisconsin's
twenty-six.
Rests on n. Y, Indiana
To win the nomination he will
need 161 more votes or a total of
ITO.
The Missouri delegation is pledged
to James A. Reed, but there is
strong Roosevelt sentiment in it,
and Roosevelt leaders feel certain
that Missouri will go to their can
didate as soon as a showing Of
strength is made. Missouri has
SO votes.
Virginia, pledged to Byrd, is
looked upon by Roosevelt support
ers as in much the same class as
Missouri. 1t has "a votes.
Should those two states go to
Roosevelt, then he can win with
10 of New York's "a delegates and
Indiana'S 80, if he can just pick
up one stray from some such a
state as Illinois.
Approaching the problem from
the standpoint of the stop Roose-
welt" forces, the situation summar-
ICES this way:
The anti-Roosevelt men claim 473
votes. Sound political opinion is
that 337 of these-from the states
named previously in this story
can be held in line with consider
able firmness.
stop Roosevelt" Is Cry
The opposition can prevent
Roosevelt's nomination if it can
hold 385 votes.
Hence, if it can hold it's 337 in
line and draw from Indiana and
New York total of 48, the battle
will be won.
The figure Of 337 as the basic
stop Roosevelt strength is reached
without including any votes against
Roosevelt from Virginia or Mis-
souri,.
Roosevelt can have those states
and still can be defeated if the
basic anti-RooSevelt states hold
firm and Indiana and New York
contribute forty-eight votes between
them against the New York Gov
ernor.
Hence New York-and largely
Tammany with thirty-fve votes in
the palm Of John F. Currys hand
and Indiana with its thirty votes
seem to be the pivotal states upon
which the future Of Franklin Roose-