Evening star., 1932-08-14
TOXIC TODEFYU.S.
! MANCHUR|AN VIEW
Recognition Of Independent
State Forecast as Reply to
Stimson Speech.
BY FREDERIC WILLIAM VILE.

Secretary Stimson's recent review OF
Far Eastern events, which was inter
preted at Toxic as branding the Japa-
nese as aggressors in Manchuria. The
Toxic government will take action
which it regards more practical than
a diplomatic demonstration at WASH
ington It will proceed, in due course,
to give official recognition to the exist
ence of Manchoukuo, the former Chl-
nese province of Manchuria, as free
and independent state.
Only the date when recognition Will
be proclaimed remains in doubt. TOXIC
is waiting for what it considers the
psychological moment for that step.
But that recognition eventually will
be accorded can be set down, this
writer is authoritatiyely informed, as
q definite and irrevocable certainty.
come what may.
The State Department is fully aware
of Japan's intentions. Naturally 1t is
not called upon to adopt any attitude
toward them, beyond the general policy
lust laid down by Secretary Stimson,
until Japan confronts the world with
an accomplished fact, lie, until Toxic
actually and officially gives the state
created last Spring under Japanese
military parentage the full status of
a sovereign country. This is not ex-
pscted to transpire this Summer But
it is likely to occur before the end OF
1892.
League Report Factor.
Perhaps the imminent report of the
League of Nations Commission OF In
CURRY, which has been X-raying the
Sino-Japanese controversy over Man
churia, may be the signal for Japanese
action. OF the nature of this action
there no longer seems to be any doubt,
If authorized Japanese statements are
to be relied upon. Manchoukuo will
be baptized as an independent state
under any and all circumstances.
Japanese spokesmen, discussing Man
choukuo, take a leaf cut of Grover
CleVeland's notebook and say that the
world is confronted in Manchuria by
a condition and not theory" Right or
wrong, and they coneede that mistakes
and excesses may have been committed
in Japans name in bringing the ex-
listing situation about, Japanese say "a
child has been born in Manchoukuo."
Toxic, it is argued, has only two al
ternatives-Q to kill the child or
(2l to "let it live and grow" The
japanese assert they cannot be ex-
pected to "kill" Manchoukuo, and they
have obviously not the slightest inten-
ton either of destroying 1t themselves
or of letting the child" become an
abandoned infant and fall prey to Toes
within or outside Of China.
Open-Door Declaration.
Japan intends to rear and protect
the Manchoukuo Child" to keep pre-
dominant influence over 1t as its politi-
cal and economic development pro-
gress, but not to restrain other nations
from exploiting the country's CONNER
cial possibilities on the fullest and
freest open-door principle. The Japa-
nese contention is that an independent
Manchoukue means peace, order and
tranquility in North China to degree
hitherto unknown.
.. It is declared that world trade with
It's big population, and especially
American trade, will experience boom,
thanks to stable conditions. An I'M
portant proviso, japanese authorities
add, is that American business con-
Germs do the wise thing and entrust
their representation in Manchoukuo TO
Japanese agents and statesmen. The
Japanese consul general at New York
recently stated that 40 per cent of all
American trade in and with China is
transacted through japanese middle
men: It is predicted that equally i'm
pertant and satisfactory results will
dow in Manchuria if American exports
are filtered through Japanese hands.
Jauan understands American interest
In the nine-power pact guaranteeing
the territorial integrity of China and
our perhaps even greater interest In
the sanctity of the Kellogg. pact; as
that interest has just been defined by
Secretary Stimson. But Toxic states
men think that America may be let
ting its sentimental" devotion to these
international treaties blind the country
TO the United States real" and sub
stantialp advantage in letting Man
choukuo grow up as q child" OF Japan'
Would Absorb Energies.
The commercial prospects, as Japan
envisions them, have just been alluoeo
to There is another and perhaps even
more vital point which Japanese thlnK
tne average American, and even tne
government itself, may underestimate
That is the complete absorption OF Jap.
anese energies "for so years to come
which will ensue if the plans japan
has formulated for Manchoukuos oe-
yelopment are to be carried out.
Some japanese 60 the length OF IN
sisting that Manchouquo means the
banishment of any possibility OF an
armed conflict with the United states
-unthinkable as most japanese STATES
men regard it at any time IN the future
for the next two generations at least.
Japan. the plea runs, will have no time
or thought to dream or fashion plans
of conquest in the Philippines OF
Hawaii while the destinies OF Man
choukuo are being worked out.
The world at large has persuaded IT
self that having brought Manchuria
within the sphere of her invincible IN
fuerce, though she has not actually
annexed it, Japan only awaits the op-
portunity to fasten her fangs upon the
rest of China. Her spokesmen vehe-
nlently deny such ambitions.
Further Expansion Doubted.
They insist Japan VIII never cast
covetous eyes upon China proper
that no Japanese move designed to par
tition China beyond tire Great Wall,
or further than the borders OF Man
churia, is contemplated or will ever
be made.
The impression is created that con-
trol of Manchuria, through the exist
ence of independent" Manchoukuo,
satiates Japanese aspirations on the
mainland of Asia. Apparently Toxic
is in mood to give the world any sort
of binding assurances or guarantees OF
this score that could be asked for
But Manchoukuo is going to be recog-
nized, sooner or later, by Japan as
sovereign state, and will be protected
ein that sovereignty by the japanese
government and people to the remotest
~ thnir
= In a quarter that leaves no room for
doubt that it speaks the voice Of Japan
this writer is convinced that on this
score the island empires jaw is set.