Evening star., 1932-11-06

peared to have the edge Q couple Of
weeks ago. Republican sources insist,
however, that there has been q definite
improvement for Mr.. Hoover In these
States and that he has good chance
to carry two or possibly all three Of
them.
While Hoover has been gaining in
the West. Roosevelt has done better
in the East In recent weeks, due very
largely to the fact that Al Smith has
leaped into the campaign for him.
Massachusetts, and Rhode Island, hith-
erto counted for Hoover, not to men
ton New York. take on different as
pect. In New York Smith has made his
usual strong campaign. The Republi-
cans are counting on coming down to
the Bronx with lead of four or five
hundred thousand. If they do, it will
be up to Tammany to deliver greater
plurality to Roosevelt IL New York City.
Thousands Of Tammany Democrats in
this city have no love for Roosevelt. Re-
publicanS continue to count on Tam
many defections to enable them to carry
the Empire State. If these defections
do not run into big figures, there seems
little chance for Republican victory
here. Tammany happens to be electing
a mayor on Tuesday and Tammany is
not likely to take many chances In
splitting the votes. They will vote 'em
straight"
Large Socialist Vote.
The Socialist party in this period Of
discomfort is likely to poll large vote.
In New York City its candidate for
mayor may receive from 100000 to
100000 votes. Whether Norman
Thomas. the Socialist candidate for
President, will do as well Is questionable.
However, he is likely to get big vote.
His vote In New York city four years
ago was over $4,000. 1t is possible, II
the election proved closer than expected
in this State, the Thomas vote might
be a deciding factor for Hoover, for
vote for Thomas generally is considered
a vote for Roosevelt in this period OF
protest. Wisconsin is another State IN
which the Socialist vote might prove
determining factor in the presidential
race. Milwaukee has huge group OF
Socialists.
Chairman Everett Sanders OF the Re-
publican National Committee tonlgnt
issued a statement asserting that
president Hoover will be reelected by
a minimum of 338 electoral votes He
said that this was based on no early
polls" but on the drift OF voters TO
Hoover in the last weeks OF the cam
paign. Indeed, he insisted, that on the
basis Of one newspaper poll. conducted
nationally, the increase in the Hoover
vote. plus an addition OF women TO tne
poll. would give the President 28l
electoral votes, more than enough 10
win Mr.. Sanders claims as this bed
rock" margin victory the following
States: Colorado. 6; Connecticut, o,
Illinois, 90: Indiana. IA; Iowa. II;
Kansas, 9; Maine, S, Massachusetts. ~
Michigan, 19; Minnesota. IL; Montana,
4: New Hampshire, 4, New Jersey. 10:
New York. At Ohio. %; oregon, ,,
36; Rhode Island
South Dakota, 4; Vermont, 5, ana
Wyoming, 3-Total. 281.
If the Hoover sweep claimed by Mr..
Sanders should materialize. in all prob
ability If would mean a Republican
victory by a small margin, so small that
it might be days before the result was
finally known. Just as in 1916.
While Chairman Farley Is claiming
everything in sight for the Democrats,
it is understood that he comedies the
Republicans Maine, Vermont and Con-
necticut, and that he admits the Re
publicans have chance to carry
Pennsylvania Delaware, Kansas ana
Wyoming These States have total OF
ST electoral votes Others In Demo-
cratic headquarters say privately. TOO,
that the Republicans may win IN Rnooe
Island, New Hampshire, New Jersey,
Colorado. Iowa, Minnesota, oregon ana
South Dakota, which have 81 electoral
votes. All these groups together would
give the Republicans 1913 electoral votes
But would leave them still 138 electoral
votes short of winning
Congressional Outlook.
In the congressional race it Is ditfl-
cult to estimate with accuracy the out
come. It. looks as though the Demo-
Gratis would make substantial gains in
the House However, the Republicans
assert that at least 100 districts are
doubtful and that they have distinct
chances to recover some of the seats
they lost two years ago. In 1928 the