Evening star., 1932-11-06
SHIFT OF: VOTERS /
TO c. 0. P. UNLIKELY.
Roosevelt Expected to Keep
Lead, Due Mainly to
Depression.
sG CHARLES H. ARMITAGE.


Special Dispatch TO The Star.
BUFFALO, November 5.-Nothing has
happened in the last week to indicate
to impartial political observers any
change in the situation as it has existed
since the presidential nominations were
made at Chicago. In other words New
York should be assigned to the Demo-
cratic column.
The past fortnight has witnessed a
substantial drift toward President
Hoover. However. Gov. Roosevelt was
stronger in his home State the day he
accepted the nomination from the stage
of the Chicago Stadium than he has
been at any time since. Due mainly
to the depression, his lead is of such
proportions, nevertheless. it probably
will withstand any battering that can
be applied to 1t between now and the
closing of the polls
There is no reason to doubt that
Tammany and its New York City allies
ticket Personal friends of former
Mavor James j. Walker doubtless will
bolt the head of the ticket, but they
represent barely more than handful
in the mass of voters registered. 100000
more than in the record breaking 1928
campaign.
Smith Helping Roosevelt.
The altered attitude of former Gov.
Alfred E. Smith is another powerful
factor in the situation. Since Smith
and Roosevelt met in the executive
mansion at Albany, from which they
emerged as "Al' and Frank, Smith
speaking at Buffalo and Troy. has left
no doubt in the minds of his hearers
that he is sincerely for the national
ticket. whatever opinion he may have
held Of Gov Roosevelt at the time he
was battling his nomination at Chicago.
Smith has large personal following
in New York State, larger than any
other one man. Democrat. or Repub-
lican. This following he has modified
ally making practically certain the cleo
tion of Lieut. Gov. Herbert H. Lehman
as Governor.
1t was Lehman'S nomination at the
recent State convention held at Albany
that had something to do with drawing
Smith and Roosevelt together. Both
fought for his nomination against a
combination of Tammany Hall led by
John F. Curry. and bloc of upstate
Democrats marshaled by the leaders
Of the Albany County machine, Edward
y anu 4IdAIlcI L " SOIlIlCll DULL dlG
nov behind him for election, Smith
taking particular interest in the cam
paign. not only because Lieut. Gov
Lehman is a political protege, but be-
cause OF bitterness engendered between
him and Col. William J. Donovan, Re-
publican nominee. Some of this Bit
ternesS was breWed in 1922, when DON
ovan, then a candidate for lieutenant
governor, attacked Smith. then seeking
q second term as Governor More of
1t Was added in 1923, when Col Dono-
van took an active part in President
Hoover's campaign.
Senate Control Claimed.
James A. Farley, chairman of the
Democratic State Committee, as well as
its National Committee, claims not only
sweeping victory for the National and
State tickets. but also control of the
State Senate and Assembly to be elected
next week. Both are now held by the
Republicans by narrow margins.
To win, the Democrats must elect at
leas5 26 Senators and rs Assembly
men. They are confident of picking up
ore Senator in New York City, and
hope for another from the Troy or
Utica districts, both regarded as fight
ing ground
For the six Assemblymen they need
IN addition to their present member
ship they are concentrating on % dis
trtcts. all but one of them upstate,
due to the fact that New York City
furnishes only one Republican As
semblyman out of the 81 to which the
metropolis is entitled.
Reelection of United States Senator
Robert F. Wagner has long been ex-
pected, while victory for the State ticket
is expected to include the two nominees
for Representatives at large, former
Mayor John Fitzgibbons of Oswego and
Elmer E. Studley of New York.