The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1932-10-13
UTTER ROUT is
FACING c. 0. P,
SURVEY SHOWS
Only Four States Are Held
Certain to Land in
Hoover Column.
BY RAY TUCKER
Times STAFF Writer

WASHINGTON, Oct. 13.-With
election day only a month of, al
most all political polls and presi-
Dental surveys indicate that the
country politically is wet, broke, and
Democratic.
If the election we're held today, it
generally is conceded, Roosevelt
would defeat President Hoover by a
landslide vote, because Of the ma
tion-Wide, nonpartisan desire for a
change in the face Of three years OF
depression.
In fact, 1t appears doubtful, on the
basis Of existing sentiment, whether
Hoover could carry more than six
states. A minimum of twenty cleo
toral votes and o maximum OF about
100 are forecast for the Hoover
Curtis ticket by personal tours Of
newspapers observers, politicians
confidential canvasses, newspaper
and magazine polls.
Sure of Few States
Specifically, Hoover seems to be
fairly sure Of only Maine, Vermont,
New Hampshire and Connecticut,
which have total of twenty cleo
toral votes. Other states listed as
doubtful" because Of their Repub-
1ican tradition, rather than on the
basis of present-day polls and eX-
listing sentiment, are Pennsylvania,
Michigan, New Jersey, Massachu-
sets, California, Kansas, Iowa,
Wyoming. and Oregon. These
states, with those in New England,
would give Hoover 1853 electoral
votes and Roosevelt 373.
But if the Al-and-Fra recon-
citation sticks, and is translated
into active campaigning for Roose-
welt by Smith, it is believed that
even Massachusetts, New Jersey
and CONNECTICUT may slip into the
Democratic column In Michigan,
California, Iowa and oregon Roose-
Welt has the edge today.
Roosevelt Far Ahead
If present polls, including that
of the Literary Digest, are project
ed over the voting population on
the basis of the present ratio, the
Nov. 8 popular count is forecast as
about 1890 900 for Roosevelt, a.
100000 for Hoover and 100000 for
Norman Thomas.
This is on the basis of a total
vote of around 35,0900 900. But adj
vance reports of certain magazine
polls say that the Roosevelt lead
is much greater than reported so
far. 1t is increasing weekly in the
Literary Digest poll.
The same surveys indicate that
the congress elected in November
will submit some sort Of a prohi-
bition repeal proposal to the states, /
although the form it will assume
still is in doubt.
Prospects for modification of the
Volstead act seem less bright, al
though government finances may
force action.
Issues Hurt Hoover
The issues hurting Hoover, in the
order Of their Importance, are:
Depression, social unrest and dis
satisfaction with Hoover as an in
diyidnal, Republican apathy, Demo-
cratic rejuvenation, Roosevelts
"libera" appeal; prohibition.
Unemployment in the cities and
low farm prices are the specific
spearheads of the anti-administra-
ton attack, and probably would re-
suit in Democratic victory without
reinforcement of other causes.
Perhaps the most apt common
tary on Republican hopes is the
fact that many of their leaders, in
Guiding one cabinet member now on
the stump, privately admit that
''the jig is up
In numerous sections of the
country. G.. o. P. bosses simply are
going through the motions OF max
ing a campaign.
One of the major explanations OF
Hoover's weakness is that the
G. O. P. is running out on him, par
ticularly the old guard faction.
Their attitude is, as always, that
It is advisable to get rid OF Hoover
and the group now in control, and
rebuild along different lines.