Evening star., 1932-11-07
|G. 0. P. HELD AWARE
|0F PENDING DEFEAT:
Says Republican High
Command Is Conscious
of Losing.
BY the Associated Press.


NEW YORK, November 7.-Discuss-
ing the prediction of Republican Chair
man Everett Sanders that President
Hoover will be reelected, James A. Far
ley, chairman of the Democratic Ma
tional Committee, said yesterday he
firmly believes "the Republican high
command is as conscious as we
are that Gov. Roosevelt is due to
receive an electoral college majority un-
precedented in national elections"
The Farley statement said:
Il want to congratulate Chairman
Sanders of the Republican National
Committee on his imagination, his
courage in the face of adverse circum-
stances and his defiance of fate.
Anybody who could conjure up
from the circumstances that surround
this election majority in the cleo
toral college for President Hoover must
feel that the age of miracles is still
with us =
Arithmetic All Right.
There is nothing the matter with
his arithmetic. There IS no doubt that
the total of the electoral votes of the
most populous States added to a lot
the electoral college. The only diff
Guilty is to carry them. He admits
that every important poll shows an
overwhelming majority for Gov Roose-
welt. but by process of calculation that
l admit l cannot follow, figures that
the maJoritieS in such States as New
York. Illinois. Ohio and Indiana. and
a flock of smaller CommonWealths will
be translated into minoritieS in the real
election on Tuesday. 1t is a good deal
like the calculations with which emil
nent mathemaicians amuse themselves
by invoking the fourth dimension and
proving that straight line is not the
shortest distance between two points.
that parallel lines must meet in in
finlty and that two and two do not
necessarily make four
The Literary Digest poll. which the
Republican chiefs proclaimed at this
period four years ago as a sure index
OF Republican Victory. they now an
nounce as unworthy of serious consid-
GRAFTON. They publish the same view
of the Hearst poll, which also proved
reliable in 1928
Both these polls, while forecasting
the result OF the election, underesti-
mated the Democratic vote in 1928 by
from to IA per cent and as both were
taken this year in the same manner
by the use of telephone lists and auto
mobile license holders-as they were
then. it is reasonable to assume that
the same percentage of errors will OBJ
tain this time.
Total 100000 Votes.
I'm all. the various polls of every kind
that have beel- published. aggregate S.
100000 votes. These include some
taken on ocean liners, excursion trains.
theater crowds, factories and by dozen
other methods They have been tabu-
lated by the Democratic National Cam
paign Committee with the same in
eXorable reSult-the election of Gov.
Roosevelt BY tremendous majority. 1t
is possible to figure from them by a
method somewhat analogous to Chair
man Sanders experiment that every
State i'll the Union Will give Roosevelt
a majority.
The best any Of these calculations
give President Hoover is five small
States In brief. the statiSticianS' COM
putationS indicate that the Democratic
candidate will get approximately two
thirds OF the total popular vote.
"Disregarding these more or less alb
strlse calculations it is evident that
Gov Roosevelt is due to receive an cleo
torial college majority unprecedented
in national elections in which only the
two great parties have figured.
Moreover. 1 firmly believe that the
Republican high command is as con-
sciouS of this as We arc on this side OF
the case. and that the contrary ex-
pressions for publication are simply the
routine of the situation. There never
has been an election in the memory OF
our oldest politicians where the losing
party admitted it in advance. And
don't suppose there ever will be an
election in which both sides do not
claim the victory the day before.
Concede No State.
"As I have often stated. we concede
no State to President Hoover. On the
other hand, we definitely cl3im every
State whose electoral votes are numer-
Gus enough to be worth consideration
in estimating the result.
Il see by the morning papers that
the betting odds are five to one in IA
vor of Roosevelt, and no takers. That
at least. would indicate the general
confidence that Franklin D. Roosevelt
is the next President of the United
States.
The election is over now: Tuesdays
events will constitute nothing more
than a ratification It is still possible
that in the face of certain defeat we
may look for the launching of the usual
Cve-of- election roorbacks shot out in
the desperate hope that the balloting
will be over before the contradictions
can Overtake whatever wild falsehood
, may be sprung. Our people, however,
are rather used to this sort of thing
| and ordinarily pay no attention to abb