Evening star., 1932-11-06
How the Political Tides Are Flowing
ITRENDs MOTEL sCoRREsP


publican. is expected to be reelected
to the House of Representatives.
Arizona.
The electoral vote Of Arizona will
go to Roosevelt. The Democrats ex-
pect clean sweep of all of the State
Offices, including the reelection OF
Senator Hayden.
South Dakota.
The more enthusiastic Democrats
in South Dakota say Roosevelt will
have as high as an 10000 plurality.
If this is correct it will be the over
turning of a Republican plurality OF
about 10000 at the primary in May.
The Republicans make light OF this
claim and predict President Hoover
will carry the State by small plu-
rality. The effects of the depression
and farm prices are keeping the
leaders guessing Conflicting claims
are made in the senatorial race be-
tween Senator Norbeck, Republican,
and U. S. G. Cherry, Democrat.
North Dakota.
There has been some change
favorable to President Hoover since
the opening of the campaign in
North Dakota. but most observers are
doubtful if it has been strong enough
to turn the tide of opposition. In
the State races, however, the odds
still favor Republican nominees.
Senator Nye, Republican, Is regard
ad &c certain of reelection,
Washington.
While Washington appears doubt
ftll, conservative surveys indicate that
the upward swing for President
Hoover which started five weeks ago,
although somewhat retarded in the
last few days, will carry the Republic
can ticket over the top with plu-
rality of between $4,000 and 1000.
The Liberty party is expected to poll
between $4,000 and 10000 votes.
which might otherwise go Demo-
cratic. Observers point out there Is
a large silent vote which may decide
the result. Senator Wesley Jones,
Republican. is likely to be reelected
by small margin.
California.
The outcome in California, the
Presidents home State. Is unpre-
dictable. Straw ballots favor Roose-
velt while the registration iaVors
Hoover. The trend OF sentiment
in recent weeks is believed 10 nave
been toward the President. The main
question is whether Senator Johnson
has succeeded in upSettlng II. Inc
outcome is regarded as toss-up.
The Senate race is even more
puzzling. In the Northern part OF
the State the contest is between Tai
liant Tubbs, Republican. and KEY.
r. P. Shuler. independent. In the
Southern sector it is between w u
McAdoo. Democrat. and Shuler
There are indications that the stu
alton as a whole favorS McAdoo.
Texas.
The Roosevelt Garner ticket Is as
sured of a big majority in Texas.
The chief interest in this State lies
in the gubernatorial race. Mrs.
Miriam A. Ferguson. Democrat, seems
to have a slight advantage over the
Republican nominee. Orvllle Bull
ington, who is being supported by
group of anti-Ferguson Democrats.
The Democratic boilers. however, are
actively supporting the national
Democratic ticket.
Florida
The Democrats expect to elect all
their nominees in Florida, both ma
tional and State.
Virginia.
A Roosevelt victory by $4,000
plurality is predicted in Virginia
The Republicans, however. say these
hopes are likely to be frustrated by
the silent vote. With congressional
nominees running at large instead
of bv districts, the Democrats nave
chance for a solid delegation TO
the House Of Representatives.
North Carolina.
A formal declaration in behalf OF
the Republican nominee IN North
Carolina by the allied prohlbltion
forces in the State was issued TINS
week, but it is believed that 1t Will
not affect the 100000 plurality ex-
pected for Roosevelt and Garner.
Kentucky.
Inc only QueSllUl W Oc dc1Aoco
at the polls in Kentucky, 1t IS SAID,
is the size Of the Democratic
plurality.
Tennessee.
With Tennessee safely in the
Roosevelt Garner column, interest
centers in the lively three-cornered
race for the governorship. Hill
McAlester. regular Democratic nom
inee. is meeting strong opposition
from Lewis S. Pope, independent
Democrat Ordinarily Democratic
split would mean the election OF the
Republican nominee, but reports
give Pope a good chance. The Re
publican nominee is John E.
Mccall.
Louisiana.
A large majority of the 250,oo0 or
more voters in Louisiana are ex-
pected to vote for Roosevelt and
Garner. The Republicans. however,
claim President Hoover will increase
his 1923 vote. Representative Over
ton, Democratic candidate for the