Evening star., 1932-09-30
BREAD-L|NE VOTE
PUTS MICHIGAN IN
DOUBTFUL COLUMN
Democratic Hopes High, but
Hesitate at Claiming
State for Present.
G. O. p, FULLY R0USED
TO PERIL, FIGHTS HARD
Dry Elements Influence Uncertain,
With Leaning Seen to
Hoover Position.
BY G.. GOULD LINCOLN.
Staff CORRESPONDENT of The Star,

DETROIT, September 30.-The Dem
ocrats are hoping great things in Michi-
gan in the November election for their
national and State tickets. But even
the Democrats are hesitant about
claiming the State-yet.
There has been great distress here
because of the depression, which has
been followed by resentment against
the Republicans in power and a de-
mand for a change. 1t is estimated
that Michigan and Michigan people
have contributed S25 100000 to aid the
unemployed and destitute.
These conditions have put the voters
in a rebelliouS frame of mind. Unless
the Republicans are able to check this
revolt in the next few weeks, Michigan
may be lost to them. If it is, there
would seem to be no checking the
Democratic tide. For Michigan has
been a rock-ribbed Republican State
for years. 1t has not gone Democratic
in a presidential election since before
the Civil War Even in the Bull Moose
split of the Republican party in 1912
the State did not give its electoral votes
to Wilson, but to Roosevelt.
G. o. p. Majorities Large.
The Democrats realize the size Of the
task before them when it comes to up
setting the Republican majority in this
State. President Hoover carried it against
Alfred E. Smith four years ago with a
lead of 568,634 votes. Coolidge in 1924
had a clear lead of 100000 votes over
the combined votes for Davis and La
Toilette, and in 1920, Harding won by
$4,000 votes. The plea "he kept us out
of war" failed to win the State for
Wilson, Democrat. in 1916, and Hughes
had the State with lead Of $4,000.
That was before the women had the
ballot, otherwise the Hughes lead might
have been more impressive. These fig
ures indicate the magnitude of the Re
publican lead in past years in Mlchl-
gan.
While the Democrats are pinning
their hopes particularly on Wayne
County, which includes Detroit, they
are looking for big gains out in the
State And, indeed, the polls and straw
votes taken by number of newspapers
which are Republican in their politics
show that the Democrats will make
great gains all over the State. poll
taken by the Adrian Telegram. for ex-
ample, Republican newspaper IN the
best agricultural county and strongly
Republican district, gave Roosevelt a
3-to-2 lead over Hoover. Where there
is so much smoke there must be some
fire. the Democrats say.
The Statewide primary elections for
the nominations of Governor and other
officers, held recently, showed the Re-
publicans polling 66 per cent of the
vote cast in the State and the Demo-
Gratis. "a In Detroit, the Democrats
polled 51l2 per cent OF the vote and
the Republicans 4812 per cent. De-
troit cast about 40 per cent of the
entire vote of the State. On the face
of it, the Republicans still look to
have the better of the argument.
Primary Not Sure Guide.
But primary returns are not always
a safe basis on which to compute the
returns in the general election which
follows. The Democrats are today
claiming they will carry Wayne County
by anywhere from 100000 to 100000
votes. This would mean that the Re-
publicans must carry the out State by
125OOO to 175,000 to give them safe
margin of victory. Ordinarily, it
would be safe to claim the out State
TO the Republicans by far greater
We S than these. But these are no
ordinary times.
The feeling of resentment in De-
troit against the Hoover administra-
ton because of hard times is bitter.
1t has been estimated that there are
between 100000 and 100000 persons out
of work here Thousands of families
are receiving welfare aid. Only few
nights ago the police had to climb a
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