Evening star., 1932-11-06
HOOVER DEFEAT
DECLARED CERTAIN
Victory Would Be Staggering
Upset in Face of Signs,
Says Writer.
NJ FREDERIC WILLIAM VILE.

~ FREDERIC WILLIAM VILE.
NEW YORK. November 5.-Prospec-
I'VE election of Franklin D. Roosevelt
b the presidency by a substantial ma
jcrity in the electoral college. but by q
less coTrespondingly heavy plurality IN
the popular vote, looms tonight as GER
tainly as any event of the American
political past ever loomed on the eve
Of the actual result. Every chance
advance indication foreshadoWs 1t. The
straw votes reveal it. The betting odds
Of four or five to one on Roosevelt re-
fleet It. The universally of expert
political judgment throughout the
country, as 1t has sifted into and been
analyzed at New York, confirms and
corroberates it. If anything else hap
pens next Tuesday, it will mark the
most staggering upset in the annals
o Yankee electoral prognostlcation. II
will almost, politicians say, prove that
the age of miracles is again with US.
Republican campaign managers,
headed by the incorrigibly sanguine
national chairman, Everett Sanders,
would have us believe that the miracle
ts in fact, about to take place. He
bases his confidence on the swing
back" to Hoover trend, which has
gained momentum since the President
embarked a month ago on his person
ally conducted fight for reelection.
Reversal in Sentiment.
Messrs Sanders and his co-optimists
do not predict a landslide victory for
their man-they are leaving landslide
claims to the Democrats-but they in
4ist that the tide. once flowing strongly
toward Gov Roosevelt, is now ire
Eistibly'' rushing in President Hoover S
direction. The G. o. p. high command
says it has documentary evidence OF
this reversal in sentiment, and warns
cocksure prophets to the contrary to
be ready to take to the cyclone cellars
when returns begin to come III Tuesday
might
Here in New York. which, as always
on the eve of a presidential election,
t. the hub Of the political universe,
little to support Republican good cheer
is visible. Mr. Hoover'S own drive to
hold the Empire States vast block of
47 electoral yoteS-utterlv indispensable
to Republican victory-is accounted a
failure. He had tremendous rally
at Madison Square Garden last Mon
day night. but because of his refusal
to say anything about beer or repeal in
this wettest of all American communi-
ties the President, according to wide
spread opinion, really did himself more
harm than good. At any rate his
failure even to go the length of publicly
identifying himself with his party's
liquor plank, branding national prohi-
bition as an unsatisfactory experiment,
robbed Mr.. Hoover, authorities assert,
of the one chance, such as it was, of
keeping New York State out of the
Democratic column.
Hornets Are Aroused.
The President also stirred up q
hornets nest with his Madison Square
Garden taunt that Democratic victory
would undermine and destroy the
American system The bottom seems
pretty completely to have fallen out of
the Republican attempt to preach what
the Democrats assan as their gospel
of fear" Owen D. Young planted an
effective depth bomb under Mr.
Hoover;s allegation when, speaking
alongside Gov. Roosevelt in New York
Thursday night, the General Electric
and Radio Corporation Board chairman
said, IN SO many words, that it is alb
surd to plant in the country's mind
the idea that a Roosevelt presidency
means grass in the streets Of hun
dred American cities"
On the other hand, President Hoover's
msistence that the country has a right
to know" whether the Burton Wheelers,
the Huey Longs and the George Norrises
are going to be the tails that will wag
the Roosevelt dog is not lost in this
citadel OF American big business and
high finance. If Mr.. Hoover does whit
tie down the Democratic vote above or
below the Bronx to any appreciable ex-
tent. it will be the radical company
Gov. Roosevelt has kept during the 1882
campaign that will be mainly respon-
sible Even the Governors simuItane-
Gus consorting with Democrats of the
Owen Del Young Newton D. Baker and
John w. Davis caliber has not entirely
obliterated the suspicion that the ele-
ments which brought about Roosevelt S
nomination at Chicago will be pow
ers behind his throne at Washington, If
the country elevates him to it next
week
This writer's expectation that the
latter day trend to Hoover" while un-
mistakable in spots, is not going to save
the President is based on confidential
advices from keymen, Republicans and
Democrats alike. in nearly all the states
north Of Mason and Dlxonts line. There
Is remarkable evidence, IN these com
muniCations. that while Mr.. Hoover mas
contrived. through his own campaign
efforts to choke the Roosevelt trend. he
has not managed to do so on any scale
likely to re-elec. him. Ohio, Republican
in 1928 by 1853, 600, is now conceded 10
Roosevelt by Republican authority OF
indisputable status by anything from
100000 up"
States Ticketed Close"
Michigan. Kansas. Iowa and Cali
fornia. conidentially claimed by the
Democrats. are ticketed close and
doubtful by these informants, who
were invited to be unbiasedly candld.
Certain upstate New York Democrats,
taking what they call "a saner view
of the situation than Farley ana MS
outfit" believe that President Hoover
has a $3.50 chance to carry New YORK
state. This view is violently opposed
by Manhattan Democrats, who tax OF
ANYTHING from 250000 to 100000 for
Roosevelt in the State, dependent on
whether or not Tammany Wlelds It's
tomahaWk Tuesday and chops the Gov
ernor in the back. Indiana Democrats
write that the Roosevelt trend has been
very definitely arrested in their State,
but that they still count on carrying II
by $4,000. Illinois is anybodys booty,
it would appear, though it has heavy
Democratic leanings. The border States
og West Virginia. Kentucky, Missouri
and Oklahoma are gone, as far as the
Republicans are concerned, and they
know it. The Far West and Northwest,
with few exceptions, is seen solid for
the Democratic ticket The laps OF the
gods viii be relieved of the secret now
resting there before three more days
are past Never did party await its
revelation with such invincible conf
dence rs the hungry hosts Of the Democ-
parv