The Washington times., 1932-10-15
To co
DEMOCRATIC
BY 10000
Northern Counties Strong for
Roosevelt, Detailed Poll
Analysis Reveals
By COLE E. MORGAN

Indiana at this stage of the
campaign appears to be a
Democratic State by something
between $4,000 and $4,000
majority.
The State is divided very def
nitely along sectional lines.
The peak of the Democratic
sentiment is in the tier of north
ern border counties around Lake
Michigan and the Michigan State
line. The block of counties I'M
mediately south of this border
zone shows a substantial Demo
cratic leaning, but not so pro-
nounced.
About the same degree of Demo
cratic strength appears in Che
southwest section. The southeast
section is so close that it cannot
be given to either side. This ap-
plies also to indianapolis ana ltS
immediate environS.
Detailed Analysis Made
The only portions of the State
that appear definitely Republican
are those central counties east and
west of the Indianapolis area.
This picture Of the Indiana
political map is drawn from a
detailed analysis by counties and
congressional districts Of returns
in the nationwide postcard Presi-
Dental poll of The Washington
Times and other Hearst papers.
The analysis shows the first
district embracing Lake county,
which includes Gary and the In
diana suburbs of Chicago, Demo
cratic by 10 per cent, which would
indicate a $4,000 majority. The
third district, including South
Bend, Elkhart and Laporte, is 50
per cent Democratic, which would
mean a $4,000 majority.
The second district, imn1e.
diately south of the first and
third, shows up ST per cent
Democratic, which would be a
1900 majority. The fourth
district, the northeast corner.
Immediately east of the second
and third, the Fort Wayne area,
shows Sc per cent Democratic,
which would mean a 1900
majority.
G. o. P. Trend Down State
The fifth district, occupying
the north central part of the
State, centering around Kokomo,
drops to So per cent Democratic,
which would mean a 1000
majority.
1t will be noted that the Demo
cratic strength progressively de-
clines as the scene shifts down
State.
The sixth district, lying south.
west of the fifth and Immediately
west of Indianapolis, turns the
tide with a so per cent Repuo
lican showing, indicating a
$4,000 Republican majority. The
tenth, southeast of the fifth and
Immediately east of Indianapolis,
approaches the sixth with a 81
per cent Republican poll vote,
which would suggest a 1900
Republican majority.
Eleventh and Twelfth Even
The eleventh and twelfth, the
Indianapolis districts, which al
ways are debatable territory,
show up in the poll returns al
most exactly even, only 5 poll
votes apart with more than 1900
recorded. .-.....t
The same relative closenesS pre-
walls in the ninth, along the Ohio
Kentucky border Immediately
south of the tenth. 1t shows a
difference of only three ballots
out of almost 1,400.
The seventh, the Vincennes and
Bloomington area. rates 56 per
cent Democratic showing, equiva-
lent to a $4,000 majority. The
eighth, the lower Wabash and
Ohio river section. and including
the city of Evansville and the In
diana suburbs of Louisville. KY,
polls So per cent Democratic,
which would forecast 10000 ma
jority.
Governor Roosevelt appears to
have in sight 10000 majority in
seven districts. President Hoover
has between 10000 and As, 900 ma
jority in sight in two districts.
Three districts are so close that
! neither side can claim them