The Washington times., 1932-10-10
CONSERVAT TISM
RULES HEARST
STRAW VOTE

The nationwide postcard PreSl-
Dental poll of The Washington
Times and other Hearst papers
Is conservative.
The tremendous sweep of the
country by Governor Roosevelt
that the poll has indicated from
the outset of the tabulation OF
returns the middle of August has
not exaggerated the Roosevelt
strength.
This is convincingly evidenced
by a comparison of returns IN
this poll with published returns
in the nationwide poll of the
Literary Digest.
Leads in 20 States
The Digest in it's current ISSUE
dated october 8, prints figures
for 20 States. These show 4O4, ,992
ballots for Governor Roosevelt
and 325, ,S45 for President Hoover.
The 73O,837 ballots reduced to a
percentage basis divide SIS per
cent for Roosevelt and As per
cent for Hoover.
The Hearst newspapers poll
returns from the same 20 States
show Roosevelt drawing 130,375
and Hoover 113,084. The 243,459
total from these States divides
"a per cent for Roosevelt and 46
for Hoover.
The 20 States include four from
the solidly Democratic cotton belt
Of the South where there is no
question of their going for Roose-
Velt by sweeping majoritieS.
Eliminating these four States,
Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi and
South Carolina, the Digest poll
shows total of 708,826 Hoover
Roosevelt ballots from the re-
naming 16. These divide 1886, $40
for Roosevelt and 322,876 for
Hoover, a percentage division of
81 for Roosevelt and 46 for
Hoover.
10 Other states Listed
The same 16 States in the
Hearst newspapers poll have re-
turned 232,587 ballots, Roosevelt
drawing 120,504 and Hoover
1908. This is a percentage
division of So for Roosevelt and
48 for Hoover. =,
The 16 States are California,
Colorado, Connecticut, Illinois,
Indiana. Maine, Massachusetts,
Montana, New Hampshire, New
Jersey, New York, Ohio, Pennsyl-
Vania, Rhode Island, West Vir-
ginia and Wisconsin.
In every instance, the poll
replies in the Digest tabula lion
from these 16 accord Roosevelt
higher percentage of the ballots
than he receives in the returns
Of the Hearst newspapers poll.
The Digest goes even further by
giving Roosevelt the lead in three
States where the Hearst news
papers poll shows Hoover anead.
These are New York, Ohio and
Colorado.
The Hearst poll gives Colorado
to Hoover by So per cent. The
Digest figures give it to Roosevelt
by 56. The Hearst poll gives New
York to Hoover by 50 per cent.
The Digest ballots place it to
RooSevelt's favor by 81. The
Hearst poll shows Ohio a $3.50
break, the slight fraction of |
per cent difference leaning to
Hoover. The Digest votes accord
Roosevelt a so per cent mark in
Ohio.
Conservatism Rules
The same relative conservatism
Of the Hearst poll prevails in
the comparison of the two sets
OF poll ballots for the remaining
IS States. although both polls
place the same candidate in the
lead in each instance.
The Hearst newspaper poll is
not merely of 48 States, but of
more than 5000 individual coun-
ties. each county being sent a
quota Of ballot cards based on
one-tenth of the actua; voting
strength of that county, as re-
corded in the 1928 Presidential
election.
This controlled and restricted
distribution of ballot cards to
conform to the actual voting
strength of a particular com.
munity has it's effect in giving
an equality of representation in
the nnll renlieS to nveru cnctio,,