The Waterbury Democrat., 1932-10-21
Hoover Still Holds Six New England States and New Jersey Only Half Roosevelt Lead Com e S From Twelve Re- publican States
ELECTORAL
 VOTE 474-57

Roosevelt Is leading Hoover py slightly over to 2 in the fifth weeks tabulation of The Literary Digests' nationwide presidential poll for which returns from all forty-eight state are reported In to- morrow's issue of the magazine.
 A total of 2,617,1S5 ballots are totaled in the current returns, Gov ernor Roosevelt receives 1,473,4 ,446 of these, or 56.3o per cent: ana President Hoover gets 973,367 or 37.19 per cent. The balance Is di- vided among the five minor candi- dates with Norman Thomas receiv- ing 4.S6 per cent of the total vote cast.
 The ten new States reported In this weeks compilation include Florida, Maryland, Minnesota, Mis- souri. North Carolina, Oklahoma, Texas, Virginia, Washington and Wyoming. All are voting for Roosevelt.
 Hover is carrying the seven states of Maine, Vermont, New Hampshire, Massachusetts. Rhode Island, Connecticut and New Jer- sey. Roosevelt is ahead in all of the forty-one other states.
 On the basis of an Electoral Col lege vote a division of the current balloting would give Roosevelt 474 electoral votes to Hoover's 57.
 The voting in New York is closer than in any other state, making the outcome here doubtful at this time. Roosevelt Is polling 159, ,42S votes to Hoover's 148,796.
 A close race is also evident In Delaware, where Roosevelt has a plurality of only 202 votes out of a total of 5,6S2 cast in the state.
 Hoover made slight gains in the poll during the week in California and Rhode Island. The voting in all of the other 36 states previous ly reported has changed only frac- tionally since the last report. The balloting from the ten states for which first figures are reported fur nish the bulk of the lead which Roosevelt gains this week.
 The returns from "State Un- known" divide 59.47 per cent for Roosevelt and 33.60 per cent for !. Hoover, which Is slightly in excess of the democratic candidates ratio for the country as a whole.
 The polling of the District of Columbia, which has no official election, shows Roosevelt receiving 4,754 votes to Hoover's 3,577.
 In an analysis of "how the same voters voted in 1928" 1t is indicated that Roosevelt is receiving 37.05 per cent of his strength from former republicans, 47.9S per cent from democrats and 14.81 per cent from those who did not vote four years ago. The same analysis re- Veals that Hoover is obtaining 80.59 per cent of his votes from former republican ranks. ell per cent from the democrats and 1925 per cent from those who did not vote at the last quadrennial election.
 It Is indicated also that Roose- welt is obtaining more votes from former republicans than from mem bers of his own party in the twelve states of California, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Nevada, North Dakota, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Da- kota, Washington, Wisconsin and sWyoming, while in Illinois the di- ,vision IS almost even.
 Hoover rolls up his largest lead in Massachusetts where he is ahead of his democratic rival by a syote of 51,739 to 29.712. Of the seven states which the president is ,now carrying New Jersey is giving shil.l the smallest percentage ratio. The vote in this stat. is 63,175 to 53,409 for the republican candi- sdate.
 Governor Roosevelt has a clear majority in thirty-nine states in the voting this week.
 The socialist ratio in the poll has tdeclined from 6.28 per cent in the first weeks returns to 4.86 of the total of the current tabulation. All sof the other minor candidates are polling less than 1 per cent each of 'the total vote.
 "Our tabulation, incomplete as 1t ;is." The Literary Digest will state ,editorially tomorrow, gives an enormous sample of the country's voting strength. It represents the spresent moment, more than two weeks before election day. The Sample is growing like a snow- sball. and public opinion may schange as it grows. The ballots are .still rolling in.
 By coincidence or fatality, every tone of the twelve new states re- sported this week is for Roosevelt, tat this stage of the balloting. 1.-The state of Washington is not able for the great excess of former IT publicans in its Roosevelt total s4StT0S VI tACih IO otoSV oCAiOSi q Ios sOf course there is nothing to show .how many of these republicans .were Hoover democrats of '2S and show many are normal republi- leans whom the depression, may hap. has alienated from their sparty.
 "Ths most imposing Roosevelt majority. of course. is that of Texas, which gives him 9,4sl bal lots against 13.072 for Hoover. And Missouri evidently thinks that Roosevelt has shown her some. thing. for she gives him 67.969 of .this weeks ballots. with only 3i.S 1888 for Hoover.
 Tn the 1928 election. Missouri sgove Hoover s34,0s0 against ee2,. sbg2 for smith. The figures for Texas, were 3e7,03e for Hoover and l3H,033 for Smith.
 EnII0xVg FTeHERMEN