Evening star., 1931-06-24
SOCIALIST VICTORY
FORECAST IN SPAIN
110 OF 470 Seats in New
CorteS Seen Probable for
Republican, Democrats.
By Cable to The star.

By Cable to The ftar.
MADRID, Spaih, June 24,-Nobody
knows exactly. but everybody is wor-
rying about what sort of party line
UP the constituent Cortes will show
after next Sundays general elections.
They are expected to bring out more
than 100000 voters in Spain's so
provinces.
As good calculator as any one, pos
sibly better, inasmuch as only the
slightest degree of red tape may cloak
his opinions, is Prof Gustavo Pittaluga,
formerly consulting physician at the
royal palace. A candidate for the
CorteS from Bada joZ, region of Estre-
dura, Prof. Pittaluga has thrown his
lot with the camp of MelquiadeS Al
varez, leader of the ReformistS, or
Republican-Democrats party.
1,O15 Candidates.
Twenty-fcur parties will present
LOIS Candidates, of whom only 470
will find themselves Deputies, and
Prof. Pittaluga analyzes their prospects
as follows:
The oficial Socialists, led by Prof.
Juliano BeSteiro, Minister of Finance
Indalecio Prieto, Minister Of Labor
Francisco Largo Caballero and Minis
ter of Justice Fernando de los Rios,
should carry the honors with 40 rep
resentatives.
The incident at Oviedo the other day,
when the scheduled meeting Of Senior
Alvarez could not be held, indicates
that Senior Maurin'S Communists are
not completely hushed, but Prof. Pit
taluga foresees not more than three
victories for them.
A surprise will be caused by the Radi-
cal Socialists led by Minister Of Public
Instruction Marcelino Domingo and
Minister of Public Works Alvaro Al
bornos, who may total so winners.
Independents May Get 20.
Minister of War Manuel Azana's
party, Accion Republicans, or 1nde-
pendent Republicans, may elect 20
Deputies, and the Alvarez ReformistS
should see no less than is of their cam
didateS elected.
Foreign Minister Alexandra Lerroux
and Minister Of Economy Martinez
Barrois' Radical Republicans will prob
ably get 80 seats, and President Alcala
Zamora and Miguel Maura, leaders OF
the Republican Democrats Right Wing,
should count 110.
These would represent the majority
iE the Lower House. The minority
would be split up among such parties
as the Extreme Right Wing, or the
MonarchistS of the Liberal- Conservative
Jaimistes, wound up as the Accton
Nacional party; the Accion Catalina,
led by the Moderate Autonornist Nieo-
lau Dolwer; the Estat Catala Separate
lists of Col. Francisco Macia, supported
by the Federalist commander Ramon
Franco; and, finally. the Extreme Left
Wing SyndicaliSts and Anarchists, who
should abstain from the elections Sun
day. according TO their antiparliamen-
tary platforms.
Deputies to Choose President.
As soon as the constituent Assembly
is formed the Deputies will proceed TO
elect the President of the republic, VINO,
is it believed, will be Senior Zamora,
who, in turn, will intrust Deputy,
probably Senor Lerroux, with selection
of a cabinet. These measures VIII be
provisional until the Assembly passes
new laws, such as the constitution, a
definite electoral system and civn ana
penal codes.
Prof. Pittaluga considers the church
problem one of the greatest afIiicting
the republic. The Catalan question has
entered happy phase, thanks to the
fine craftsmanship of Senor Lerroux.
Col. Macia, head of the, Catalan gov
ernment, is thought to be under Ma
drid's control, because he has been ear
ried of by the Catalan Extremists, who
are not Separatists, while generally the
Catalans are socially Conservatives.
Copyright, ieslO