davidaulloa/AmericanStories huggingface dataset:
Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1931-03-14
MOUND BUILDERS TOPIC
Curator Will Address Anthropolog
ical Society Tuesday.

The mound-builders Of the upper Mis-
sisSippi Valley and their culture will be
the subject Of an Illustrated lecture by
Frank NJ. Settler, assistant archeolcgy
curator at the National Museum, at a
Museum Building on Tuesday afternoon
at 4:45 o'clock.
Evening star., 1931-06-16
4IH CLUB CAMP
OPENS TOMORROW
1856 Farm Boys and Girls
] viii Occupy Tents on
] Agriculture Grounds.

The Fifth National All Club Camp,
attended by representatives from 20
States, will open ofacially tomorrow
morning with the first events planned
on this years extensive program, the
Department Of Agriculture announced
today.
The camp, which is located on the
Department Of Agriculture grounds, will
house 156 farm boys and girls chosen
to attend the conference because OF
their excellence In All Club activities.
Each State is represented by two boys
and two girls, and the delegates are ac-
companied by one or two members OF
the State extension stan.
Features Of the program this year
will be addresses by Lieut.. Comdr.
Charles Rosen6ahl, commander Of the
United States Navy dirigible Los Ange-
les; Jane Deeter Ripp:n. director OF re-
search Of the Westchsstsr. County Pub
lishers Charles F. Jenkins. inventor;
Sam Thompson of the Federal Farm
Board and Ronick Dunlap, Assistant
Secretary of Agriculture. Also educa-
tioral tours TO historic points Of inter-
est, museums and art galleries have
been planned. Evening entertainments
will include campfire programs OF
stunts, games and shors plays.
On Friday morning Capt Taylor
Branson, leader of the United States
Marine Band, will be installed as an
honorary member of the club In recog-
milton of the special mCnthly band pro-
grams PLAYED for All Club members on
q national radio hook-up.
Evening star., 1931-06-16

le thing has happened.
.nding- in fact unpreoe-
usiness forecasting is be-
tied as a record of failure
DEcEY Professor Garfield " Cox of the University of
N Chicago prepared careful scholarly study of the fore
casting records of organizations Four of these Including
the Standard Statistics Company statistical service org
zations educational organization large bank
Expressed in percentages (ee item this study would
indicate the following appraisal of the longerm record of
general business forecasts of the Standard Statistics Company
Correctness De6niteness Adequacy
1870 1870 1910
This appraisal was so favorable to the Standard Statistics
Company that we had considered using it in advertising
and had RETAINED simply because considered bad
do So We have been compelled change position bya
widespread misuse which these findings have been put
Parof this false ganda coming from dealers
of doubtful merit who have found their sales hampered
by the dsntereed advice of competent statistical agencies
Part of it doubtless from statesmen of thoroughly
reputable houses who have taken pains investigate the
accuracy of they quoting And only ff
say right here that the great majority of reputable houses
or their salesmen have had nothing do with this false
propaganda
! fyou are approached by security salesman
who cites the results of this analysis a
reason why you should not take the
services of statistical agencies and then
shows you figures that differ widely from "
uU kno.V that bis statement is false.
Yos can decide whether he has simply been msnformed
of deliberately endeavong discredt statistical agen
cies that probably would recommend securities he has
for SALE
For over quarter of century the Standard Statistics
Company has had nothing sell but service 1t has grown
from small organization with than 1900
poyee engaged solely in collecting preparing anayzng and
distributing information and in giving counsel
to tens of Thousands of clients throughout the world
1t did not grow be the worlds largest statistical and
investment advisory organization BY giving inaccurate IN
formation and unsound advice Rather its growth be
attributed to the fact that it has oonscienousy
successfully endeavod furnish reliable information
and advice which, while by devoid of error
right far often that is wrongrght we believe even
more often than the figures quoted here would indicate
booklet we have just prepared with the incas-
ingly important part scientific forecasng playing in the
business life of this nation 1t indicates briefly the methods
this organization using dealing with this nescaPabe
aspect Of every business executives presendy problems
STANDARD STATISTICS %. Inc. Dps 49,
- n r 4udonSu N.
Evening star., 1931-06-16
PICARD DENIES PLAN
FOR 18-MILE ASCENT
stratosphere Balloonist Says Such
a Flight by Kipfer Would
Be Impossible.

BY the Associated Press.
BRUSSELS, Belgium, June 16.-Prof.
Auguste Picard last night denied q
rumor which reached here from Ger
many saying Charles Kipfer, his COM
panion on the StratoSphere balloon
flight, would attempt another ascent
with the hope Of reaching an altitude
Of approximately 1875 miles.
Prof. Picard said that such feat
would be impossible. because the bal
loon needed would have to be 1000
times larger than the balloon in their
stratosphere venture.
Although the cfhcially recognized
mark set In their stratosphere flight
was placed at approximately 97 miles,
they actually climbed to nearly 10.2
miles, Prof. Picard said. He explained
that the difference was due to an ac-
cident which happened while the Swiss
Aero Club was testing his barograph.
The glass case containing the instru-
ment burst under pressure when the
recorded altitude was approximately 81
miles, and this figure had to be regis
tered because the Swiss Aero Club reg
ulations forbid tests being carried out
8 second time.
Evening star., 1931-06-16
Mnsic and Musicians !
Reviews and News of Capitals Programs.

the King Of Thute," and Jewel
Song" showing good phrasing and
style, and her second number was
Mozart's "II re PaStore," which she
sang with violin obbligato played
by Mr.. Sokolov.
Mr.. Sokolov's solos were Of lighter
vein and played with his charac.
teristic good tone, rhythm and
phrasing. He was accompanied by
Walter Salb at the piano. Mrs. Viz
den-Smith played the accompani-
ment for her pupils. K. B.
Elmhurst Glee Club
To Give Concert Saturday.
THE Elnhurst College Glee Club
= Of Elmhurst, Ill, viii give Q
concert In Concordia Lutheran Evan
gelical Church, Twentieth and q
streets northwest, on Saturday, June
20, at S:l5 pm. Three years ago
the Elmhurst Glee Club sang in
washington and received high
praise. Criticisms Of the Elmhurst
Glee Clubs concerts this season
show that It's work this year COM
pares very favorably with that OF
previous seasons.
Evening star., 1931-06-16

Under 1fSssss Professor Cox the clearness
and positiveness with which forecasts stated By
he simply the extent which forecasts
have been fulfilled.
A1.4sSe, is term Professor Cox express bstb
correctness and dehniteness His actual ratings for
adequacy of individual forecasts secured in each
instance by multiplying the correctness figure by the
dehniteness hgure.e
This table summary of all forecasts of general bssi
ness S9iry made by these agencies between January
1921 and December 1879
Even cursoy comparison of these tables brings
clearly the utterly false and misleading character Of the
propaganda that presents Professor Cox decimal ndi-
cations for easne and Ad4ss, of forecasts as per-
centages. His figures for deniteness alone remain the
same when expressed as percentages.
Evening star., 1931-06-16
Recital Given by
Pupils Of Edith Virden-Smith.

Pupils Of Edith virden- Smith.
A varied program was presented
"A last evening by six soprano
pupils Of Edith Virden- Smith IN the
small ball room Of the willard Ho-
tel. The young singers were assisted
by Henri Sokolov, violinist, who
played a group of solos, substituting
for Frances Gutelius, pianist, who
was to have been the solotst and
was unable to be present. The
three less advanced students, Isabel
Bailey, Clara Boiling and Gwladys
Keer, sang first, Miss Boiling shows
ing the most talent, with q light,
high, sweet voice, singing with clear,
true tones and excellent enunciation.
Helen Donofrio sang two ambitious
ayias, the "Polonaise," from Thomas
"Mignon," and the Indian Bell
Song" from Delibes' "Lakme." Her
coloratura work was clear and her
staccato remarkably good. Frances
Shea, whose voice Is more Of dra-
matte quality and is much larger In
range and volume, sang "ViSsi
d'Arte," from Puccini'S ia Tosca,"
ana later in the program Pace,
Pace" from Verdi's La Forza del
Destino," which suited her tempera-
ment well. Gretchen Kier, another
ccloratura soprano, excelled in reci-
tative, her singing Of Massenet's
"Crepuscule" being one of the beau
tifui songs during the evening. She
sang the scene and aria from Gou-
mods Faust" familiarly known rs
Evening star., 1931-06-16
Deaths Reported.

The following deaths have been reported to
She Health pepartment in the lest "a hours:
Elizabeth A. Merriman, "A. Potomac Apart
Ellen Ferguson. "a. sl5s 18th st.
George Lohrer. 70. Garfield Hospital
BENJAMIN T. Linthicun. 66. TIT K st. ne.
Flora B. Clark. 50. 1880 Harvard st,
Thornton p. Boland. 50. 1901 Conn. ave.
- Charles A. Miller, 40. en- route Casualty
Nick .Boulas. A. sibley Hospital.
Mabel Bush 81. Providence Hospital.
Edward Mcmahon. 16 Providence Hospital
Alfred Madison. II. Home for Aged and
Evening star., 1931-06-16
Births Reported.

The following births kave been reported to
The Health Department in the last "a hours:
James v. and Margaret Smyth, girl.
Asa M. and Grace Mccain. girl
William F. and Mary THOMPSON. girl.
william T. and Ada r. Atkinson. boy.
Charles A., and Clarehel Bahendreier. boy.
Turner and Ardells Gibson. girl.
Evening star., 1931-06-16

But Professor Coxs study did not show percentages
These are the figures the study gave
-1 tbs study gSps tbem. Not percentages Simply deci
mails preceded in some instances by plus or minus
sign = computed by the use of code which the study
fully explained.
Average Scores for Period
from January 1921 to December 1929
Evening star., 1931-06-16

The use of poison in the Rome Of
the emperors was a common method
Of taking life and wreaking vengeance
on an opponent or enemy.
Evening star., 1931-06-16
ACTRESS IS INJURED
Others Hurt in Fight in Mexican
TheateT.

GUADALAJARA. Mexico. June 16 (E1
Several persons were injured. includ-
ing Anna Darniers. actress, when the
audience and the actors engaged in a
fight at the Teatro Principal las: night
The actors took exception to remarks
made by spectators. Bottles and other
missiles were thrown by the combatants
and the disturbance grew 50 great that
the police had to intervene and suspend
the show.
Evening star., 1931-06-16
Low-Fare Outings

EASTERN STANDARD TIME
$l.25 BALTIMORE
Every Saturday and sunday
Tickets good only In coaches on An
regular trains and sold Saturday
good TO return Sunday nlGht:
Week-En Excursions
$3.50 NEW YORK
Good going every Saturday, AL day,
returning until Sunday G:AO I'm.
$500 NEW YORK
SUNDAYS, June 20; July 12. 20
Lv. Washington. ......... .H:16 Am.
Coaches ready for occupancy III 80 >. IN.
MOTOR SIGHTSEEING TOURS
UptOWn, Use Downtown, 75c
Evening star., 1931-06-16

Week End Excursions
ATLANTIC CITY
$3.50 via Delaware River Bridse
Al-Ral Route
81. 90 via Market street wharf
FetuEnInG until SUNDAY miSniEht
weekend Excursion
$3.50 ATLANTIC CITY
Saturday ana Sunday, June 2o.21
LV' Snss4ni.s wssaIa. SUNDAY: jar. 81 I'M
$4.OO ATLANTIC CITY
SUNDAYS. yune q; yu!y 5, 10
Also INPEIrEEMDENcE ,.PIn DAx, lI.,S gnIy E.M.
$3.50 PHILADELPHIA
$3.25 CHESTER
$500 WILMINGTON
Also INDEPENDENCE DAY. July
LV' rMMMn.aDEshsaiX MnssiSsissqa siGHrsEhRa III a"'
Morning. zsc Assssneen. s1.Ss
$1,000 BOSTON, MASS.
Providence. h L.. New Haven. Conn.
Lv. sAEgsSiRAt9s. MH.siD4tes June q. .;s. ?EIz Pm.
$500 PITTSBURGH
SAIUhDhxB Sug
Lv. Washington. .I0:50 K.m'
$3.50 NIAGARA FALLS
16-Day Trips
Fridays and Saturdays, June x0~z5i
July 1911, 24-2S
LV. WaShington-Friday 5:05 Pm.
and l0:l0 Pm. SATURDAY.. S:A0 AM.
Mayflower 5-Day Tours
HISTORIC NEW ENGLAND
$53.71 Covers All Expenses
Every Saturday and Sunday.
June 20 TO August 30, except July =
end 5. For tour itineraries. address:
Alan B. Smith, General Pass. Ascent,
6l3 18th Street NV:
GREAT LAKES CRUISES
Every Sunday, July to Sept. 6. Inc.
DAYS by Rail and steamer
CHICAGO--MACKlNAC
ISLAND-NIAGARA FALLS
BUFFALO
AH-Expense Rate, $02. 90 up
SEE FLYERS. CONSULT AGENTS
All Steel Equipment
Pennsylvania Railroad
Evening star., 1931-06-16
How Professor Cox's carefully compiled
figures have been fdlsifed

figures have been falsifed
This has been accomplished simply by quoting s tr-
eenrsgss, figures that percentages-had
been intended percentage6gures the character
Of which clearly explained in Professor Coxs study
One Of these tables table that sums up an impor
part Of this udy-will illustration.
These are the figures this study
would show reported m
PERCENTAGES
These figures have been calculated on the basis Of
Professor Coxs data and have his approval indicated
by the letter from him which quoting in this
advertisement
Evening star., 1931-06-16
Professor Cox writes rs:

41UJcSSO1 NV~ "'IsSS ~"
Apparently rather wide circulation is being
given to a sheet containing percentage figures
imputed to me, showing that a number of well
known forecasting services have been wrong in
most of their predictions since 1913. This sheet
and the newspaper comments based upon it are
utterly misleading in two vital respects
"First, as my study emphatically explained,
the predictions scored were those which dealt
with general bSsi1ess &etiSity and not with stock
or bond prices.
"In the second place, my study, An Appraisal
of American Business Forecasts, published by
the University of Chicago Press, showed clearly
that the scores gave were ~ot percentages.
The percentage figures which You propose to publish
agree with the decimal fgeS in that part of my study
which appraes the correctness, dehnirenes and ade
quacy of the general business forecasts of six orgAnza
tions neuding your for the period from January 1921
to December 1879"
Evening star., 1931-06-16
$475 JEWELRY STOLEN
Second Robbery Reported at Po-
liceman's Home.

Theft Of an additional $47550 in jew
eiry from the home of Policeman Morris
w. Jones, station clerk at the tenth
precinct station, where $500 ring was
reported stolen by a duplicate-key thief
last Thursday, was discovered yesterday.
Jones lives at 1922 Psrkwood place.
The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1931-06-04
STIMSON TOUR
OF EUROPE MAY
Be IMPORTANT
Probably viii Receive First.
Hand Data on
Problems.
BY JOSEPH III. BAIRD
United Press staff Correspondent

WASHINGTON, June 4.-The i'm
pending European tour of State Sec
rotary Henry L. Stimson is expect
ed to have a salient effect on the
course Of international affairs dur
ing the next year, despite the Sec
retary's desire to minimize its i'm
portance.
Informality will be the keynote Of
the tour. Yet it was in the infor-
NAL surroundings of President Hoo
ver's Rapidan camp that he and
Prime Minister Ramsay Macdonald
talked intimately of their countries
naval problems, and thus gave i'm
petus to the London conference.
Two Outstanding Issues
With this precedent in mind, Of
f1cials believe the secretary's quiet
talks with European statesmen will
prove helpful in the solution Of in
ternational problems.
Disarmament and reparations are
the two outstanding issues now
perpleXing Europe and America, and
Stimson is expected to seek new
light on each and in quiet CONVEX
atoms, probably with Foreign Min
listers Dino Grand of Italy, Aristide
BRAND Of France, Arthur Hender-
son of Great Britain and Julius
Curtius Of Germany.
Renewing Old Friendships
In meeting the first three he will
be renewing old friendships. The
The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1931-06-04
CITY MAY Be
CHOSEN SITE OF
PLANE FACTORY
st. Louis Official ConferS
With Airport Head
on Facilities.

Prospects of indianapolis first
airplane factory being located here
soon we're seen today following
conference Of city officials and Ray
z. Smith of the Liberty Aircraft
Sales and Manufacturing Corpora
ton of st. Louis, Wednesday.
Smith, who came here at the in
yitation of Charles e. Cox Jr., mu-
nicipal airport superintendent. con-
ferred with Cox and G. G. Dunphy,
Chamber of Commerce industrial
commissioner, on possibility of To-
eating the company's plant here.
At present the factory is using
Lambert field, st. Louis.
The Liberty company, which is
fairly new in the aviation industry,
manufactures a light two-place, side
by side, monoplane in the midget
plane class, weighing less than 500
pounds, empty.
While there are no housing facil-
tiles at present for such a plant on
municipal airport, Cox pointed out
that the firm could use a building
in the city for manufacturing the
plane, assembling the parts and
fight testing its planes at the
municipal field.
Later, he said, a building suitable
to house this and similar firms may
be constructed at the field in the
section set aside for industrial con-
Germs.
ANY profits which might result
from Yormsl dedication program Of
the municipal field early in Septem-
Der probably could be used in build
ing such structure, it was said.
The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1931-06-04
BOY EMPEROR
NOW is SINGER
Decides He Will Take Up
Chinese Opera.

By United Press
PEIPING, June 4.-The former
boy emperor Of China, now known
as Henry Ru vi, has decided to take
up Chinese opera singing as a
diversion, and perhaps a career.
One Of the former Manchu rulers
retainers has come to Peiping from
Tientsin to engage the services of a
well-known teacher.
He also is buying here a set of
musical instruments used in
Chinese opera, and suitable
costumes.
1t is believed possible the former
emperor may become a professional
opera singer, If he proves good
enough.
The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1931-06-04
THE INDIANAPOLIS TIMES

four men spent several months
working together at the London
naval conference. Stimson never
has met Curtius.
Stimson regards personal ac-
quaintance with the foreign minis
tiers Of other powers as a distinct
asset in conducting international
relations.
He believes, too, that his second
hand reports on conditions in Eu-
rope, provided by embassy cables
and talks with returning officials,
should be supplemented by first
hand contact with European lead
ers.
The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1931-06-04

pointment Of Edward r. Austin as
his successor was announced here
today by John Sorrells, executive
editor of the Scripps-H Howard news
papers.
Austin comes from San Diego,
where he was managing editor OF
the San Diego Sun. He went to
San Diego three years ago from the
Cleveland Press, where he was man
aging editor.
The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1931-06-04
Pulpit Change at Goshen
BIZ Times Special

d tDEes oD6ctuJ.
GOSHEN, Ind, June 4.-The Rev.
@. T. Soldner has been called here
from Souderton, Pa, to become pas
tor Of the Eighth Street Mennonite
church and will assume his new
duties June 81. He will succeed the
Rev I. R. Detweiler, who resigned
to become head of the Bible in
struction department of Bluffton
college, Bluffton, o. The Rev. Mr..
Soldner is a son of Mr.. and Mrs.
Samuel SoIdner. Berne. Ind.
The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1931-06-04
Scouts Get LimberIost
BIZ Times Specinl


ROME, Ind, June 4.-Limberlost
cabin in Wildhower woods on Sylvan
lake near here, former home of the
late author, Gene Stratton-P Porter,
has been acquired by the Wayne
area council of Boy Scouts as
summer recreation center.
The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1931-06-04
| new EDITOR NAMED
Edward T. Austin Succeeds
H. C. Place in Toledo.

BIZ Scripps-Rotcdrd Newspaper Alliance
TOLEDO, O., June 4.-Resigna-
ton Of Harold c. Place as editor
Of the Toledo News-Bee and ap-
The Waterbury Democrat., 1931-01-05

priation bills passed, submission of a prohibition report would further jeopardize the plans of administra- ton leaders to avoid the extra ses- sion.
 Pressure from the White House was sufficient near the end of the pre-holiday session to compel the senate to abandon it's drought and unemployment relief plans in favor however. Senator Caraway. dem, Ark. in whose state the food demon strations occurred, has announced his intention to introduce 8 $15,- 100000 bill to provide loans for food to drought-stricken farmers The human food loan provision was stricken from the senate bill at the insistence of Mir Hoover.
 The house is scheduled to pass to-day the $45,000,000 drought relief appropriation from which the food provision was stricken. At the same time, the senate appropriations com mittee begins consideration of sim liar bill.
 The senates' injury into the ada quacy of the presidents unemp1oy- ment relief program begins to-mor- row before the appropriations com mittee. Among those to be ques- toned are Chairman John Barton Payne of the Red Cross, Chairman Arthur Woods of the presidents em- ergency employment committee and Maj Gen Lytle Brown. chief of the army engineers.
 Another meeting which may add to the political maelstrom will be held tomorrow by the senate cam paign funds committee, which seeks to learn more concerning the special fund established here by the republican national committee. Part of this fund secured a note me- gotiated by Robert M. Lucas, the committees executive director, who cret campaign against reelection of Senator Norris. repn. Nebr.
 Lucas and Joseph R. Mutt of Cleveland, committee treasurer, are scheduled for questioning concern ing the fund, which amounted to $50. 900.
 A request that the committee in- vestigate reports that probably hundreds of thousands of copies of a certain publication" was sent into Nesbraka in behalf of Norris. was mailed to Chairman Wye last night by Samuel R. McKelvie. former gov ernor of Nebraska and now mem- Der of the federal farm board.
 McKelvie, long time opponent of Norris, said it was reported "a considerable number of campaign workers from outside the state es- tablished headquarters at Lincoln and urged democrats to go into the republican primaries"
 As members of the senate and house gathered, the latter body