Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1930-10-13
LEWIS MAY BEAT
MRS. MCCORMICK.
Hard Times and Liquor Issue
Aid Democratic Candi-
date in Illinois.
Continued From First Page)


Continued From First Page)
ably will make a public statement be-
fore the campaign is over urging the
voters to 'go down the line" for the
Republican ticket.
Campaign Fund Issue.
In addition to these trials and tribu-
lations, Mrs. Mccormick has been
quarter of million dollars of her own
money in the primary campaign, fact
which does not sit we'll with number
of the voters. Her investigation by the
Nye Senatorial Committee and her en-
ployment Of detectives to shadow Sen
ator Nye and other members of the
committee have made sympathy for
Mrs. Mccormick in some quarters. On
the other hand they have repelled
voters.
Finally came Mrs. McCormick's
straddle on the liquor question. For,
explaining her announced determine
ton to vote on prohibition according
to the referendum outcome in Illinois
as she will, the rank and file of the
voters look on it as a Straddle. 1t
alienated the bone drys and at the
same time it did not fully satisfy the
vets. They prefer to go the whole way
and support Lewis, who is a wet no
matter how the referendum results.
There is not the slightest doubt there
is large and mounting wet sentiment
In this State, a demand that national
prohibition as it now exists be done
away with. Chicago has been one of
the chief sufferers among American
cities from the wave of lawleSsness
and crime that has followed in the
track of national prohibition and boot
Logging. Many of the opponents of ma
tional prohibition are Republicans and
many of them announce freely that
they intend to vote for Lewis rather
than for Mrs. Mccormick.
Bone Dry Vote May Bolt.
The bone-dry vote in the State which
was expected to be cast for Mrs. Nc
Cormick before her announcement that
she would vote wet or dry in accord
ance with the referendum, probably will
be lost to her. 1t will go to Mrs. Lot
tie Holman ONeill, the Independent dry
Republican candidate, backed by the
Anti-Saloon League.
So much for the dark side OF the
picture for Mrs. Mccormick. 1t may be
urged in support OF the contention she
will win the election that she has a
large personal following; that during
the last few years she has perfected in
all parts of the State strong Re-
publican women's organization. Further,
1t may be pointed out that Illinois Is
a Republican State Overwhelmingly.
Mrs Mccormick has the support OF
the Chicago Tribune and Of many Of
the other papers of the State. Although
william Randolph Hurst has aligned
his newspapers against her. There is
a large Negro population in Illinois to-
day. 1t hs estimated that there are
100000 colored people in Chicago
alone. This vote, it is believed, will be
solid for Mrs. Mccormick on election
day. Mrs. Mccormick apparently will
have the support of the city hall or
ganization in Chicago, real aid II 1t
is given fully.
Democrats Confident.
The Democratic leaders, rightly or
wrongly, are full Of confidence in the
election of Senator Lewis. They have
been impressed by the large number OF
regular Republicans who have sent
word to them in one way or another
that they intend to vote for Lewis. The
German Americans. who form a large
group in the electorate, are standing
for Lewis generally speaking, because
question better than that of Mrs. Nc
Cormick. The Democrats further are
we'll pleased with the candidacy of Mrs.
ONeill, believing that she will take
many more votes from Mrs. Mccormick
than from Lewis. They estimate, in
deed, that Mrs. O'Neill's vote will be 30
per cent Republican and 20 per cent
Democratic. There are dry Democrats
in the State who will not vote for
Lewis.
The Democrats insist that Cook Coun-
ty, which includes Chicago and which
casts about half the entire vote Of the
State, will be carried by Lewis. Their
estimate Is that Lewis will carry the
county by at least Zoe, 900 votes. The
late George Brennan, Democratic boss,
in 1925 carried the county in the sena-
torial race by more than $4,000 votes.
1t is estimated that Lewis, receiving
many Republican votes here that Bren-
nan never had a chance to get, will
run much ahead of Brennan's vote.
Some of the Democratic leaders say
that If surface indications are to be
relied upon, the county should go for
Lewis by more than 100000 votes. They
say further that Lewis will give Mrs.
Mccormick a good race down State,
aided by the candidacy of Mrs. O'Neill
and that Mrs. Mccormick will not have
$4,000 lead outside OF COOK county.
These are the more modest claims OF
the Democrats.
The leaders supporting Mrs. McCor-
mick take different view OF the sitla-
ton. They say she will win. But they
admit she has a real fight on her hands.
They rely on the great number OF per-
sons in Illinois who vote the straight
Republican ticket. They do not see
how it is possible to overturn the Re-
publican majority in the State.
In estimating the situation In Illinois,
however, it must be taken into con-
sideration that this is an on year"
with no presidential election. Med1l
Mccormick, running for Senator in an
other on year, 1918, defeated Senator
Lewis by only $4,000 votes. In 1925,
still another off year, Frank l.: smith
defeated Brennan by $1,000 votes: In
that year, however, Magill, an inde-
pendent Republican, received 10000
votes, many of which might well have
gone to the Republican nominee had 1t
not been for the revelations before tne
then Senate Committee investigating
campaign expenses, revelations wnich
finally resulted in the Senate's denying
Smith a seat.
Third Candidate Active.
AS in 1926, an independent Repub-
tican &c IN, the field Mrs O'Neill She