Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1930-10-24
But Fight Is Hard, With His
Foes Taking Confidently
of Beating Him.
CHANCES IN 1892 RACE.
DISCOUNTED AT PRESENT
Opposition to Presidential Hopes
Is Believed Too Formidable.
Grundy May Come Back.
BY G. GOULD LINCOLN,
Staff correspondent of The Star.

PHILADELPHIA, Pa, October "a
Clifford Pinchot, dry, anti-public utility,
anti-machine crusader and Republican
nominee for governor, will lose the
city of Philadelphia and carry the out
State in the election 10 days hence.
Republicans, Liberals and Democrats
all admit this to be the case. But
they differ widely when they come to
estimate by what vote Pinchot will
lose Philadelphia, citadel for more
than half century of the Republican
party. They differ just as widely re-
garding Pinchot'S probable lead out in
the State.
The Republicans-meaning the Pin
shot supporters-insist that John M.
Hemphill, the candidate of the Demo-
cratic and Liberal parties, will not run
more than lbs, 900 votes ahead of Pin
chot in the city. Some Of them say
100000 grudgingly and when pressed,
they add that even if the city is lost
to their candidate by 100000 votes
plus, they have nothing to fear for
Pinchot will roll up 10000 to 400
900 lead out in State.
AnOtner view TAKEN.
The Democrats and the Liberals sup
porting Hemphill, take a very different
view of the situation. They say that
Hemphill will roll up 100000 to 400
600 lead over Pinchot and that Pinchot
cannot hope to overcome that lead out
in the State.
Despite the claims Of the Democrats
and the Liberals the edge seems to be
today with Mr.. Pinchot, but it is a
narrow one and might be overcome.
The Democrats and a good many of
the vets believed, or said they be-
lieved, two years ago that Al Smith,
the wet Democratic nominee for
President, had chance to carry Penn
sylvania against President Hoover
Hoover, however, defeated Smith by a
cool million votes. OF course, the
situation is vastly different today, with
the Philadelphia Republican organiza-
Zation-the Ware outfit gone over to
Hemphill, the Democrats and thous-
ands of Republican business men and
vets following suit
But Pinchot has the backing of a
great many Democrats out in the State,
who either because they are dry or
because they hate the Ware organization
or because they have been aroused over
the utilities issue are out to support
the Republican candidate.
Democrats Won in 1882.
1t is an even 40 years since the Demo-
Gratis elected a governor of Pennsyl-
vania. They have only turned the trick
twice since the Civil War, and both
times because of splits in the Republi-
can party. Robert Pattison, a Demo-
crat. by the way, was the victor on
both those occasions, the first time in
1882, and the second time in 1890.
This victory of Democratic Cover
nor OF Pennsylvania was followed in
each case by the election, two years
later, of Democratic President of the
United States. Some of the Democrats
who are predicting the election of
election OF a Democratic President in
1882.
Hemphill's victory, they say, will be
an augury OF party success two years
hence. Republican leaders are urging
the voters TO be regular" this year and
pointing to what happened to the G.
Q. p. in 1884 and 1892, following cleo
lions OF Democratic Governors in 1882
and 1890. If President Hoover believes
IN auguries, certainly he must wish for
the election of Pinchot, although a con-
troyersy is now waging over the cues
ton OF whether he does or does not
favor victory for the Republican candi-
date for Governor.
PinchOt and Davis.
Incidentally, the supposed difference
between Gov. Pinchot and Secretary
James J. Davis, Republican candidate
for the Senate, and Pinchot's running
mate, over report that President
Hoover had sent word he wished the
whole Republican ticket elected in
Pennsylvania has been considerably
overplayed. There is no such differ
ence, as both Pinchot and Davis have
made clear
Davis Is coming here Notwithstanding
his work in Washington to aid unem-
ployment, TO speak from the same plat
form with Plnchot in the closing big
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