Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1930-09-22
C. 0. P. CONVENTION
TO HIT ROOSEVELT
New York ParIey Likely to
Damage His Chances for
Democratic Leader.
BY MARK SULLIVAN.

From the standpoint of national
politics, the New York Republican State
convention to be held next Thursday
VIII have, paradoxically, q strong d.
rect influence upon the choice of the
next Democratic presidential candidate.
It Is certain that the Democratic NOM
NEE Tor Governor of New York will be
the present Governor, Franklin Roose-
welt. 1t Is likewise certain that If Gov.
roosevelt is reelected, he viii continue
70 be, as he Is now, the leading Dos
sibility for the Democratic presidential
nomination in 1892. It Is even more
certain, however. that If Gov. Roosevelt
should be defeated for reelection in
November he would be at once eclipsed
as . presidential possibility.
The largest single element to Gov.
RooSevelts availability as a presidential
possibility rests upon his presumed
capacity to carry New York State. II
as q candidate for Governor in Novem-
Der ne should complete record of car
rytng the State twice for that office.
he would be very formidable. II, how
ever. the November election should
leave him with record of carrying the
State once and then being defeated for
reelection, In that event Gov. Roose.
welt as q presidential possibility would
be greatly diminished. In this iuds-
rner1t about Gov. Roosevelt's future. ma.
tlonal leaders Of his own party agree.
Whether Gov. Roosevelt will be re-
elected in November depends, in large
part, obviously upon the action of the
New York State Republicans On Thurs
DAY. They will nominate o candidate
Tor Governor who will or will not be the
best one to make the, fight against
Roosevelt. Further than that, the Re-
publican State Convention in writing
It's platform will, In one way or an
other, whether by silence or affirma-
uon, take position on prohibition.
The position on prohibition taken by
the platform win necessarily have a re-
lation to the choice of the candidate
for Governor. This network of related
considerations Is matter for Judgment
by the Republican leaders Of New York
State.
Sure to Damage Roosevelt.
Observers at Washington, however.
and national leaders of both parties.
feel that almost any outcome of the Re-
publican State Convention in New York.
assuming 1t makes no glazing mistake,
Will work some damage to Gov. Roose-
welt as possibility for the Democratic
presidential nomination in 1882. II the
campaign for Governor of New York is
so staged as to emphasize Gov. Roose-
velt's wetneSs, the effect in the country.
and especially among Southern Demo-
cratS, VIII be to stt6en opposition TO the
nomination OF Roosevelt for President
In 1882. This opposition is already de-
termined. 1t has q rallying point in the
person Of Senator Joseph r. Robinson
OF Arkansas, and 1t may readily be able
TO assemble the one-third Of the num-
Der OF delegates who, in a Democratic
National Convention, can prevent q
nomination.
On the other hand, II the coming
campaign for Governor of New York is
so staged as not to emphasize prohibit
ton, the result will be to put very great
emphasis on the scandals just coming
70 the front IN Tammany. Democratic
national leaders already realize that
these scandals have menaced Gov.
roosevelt as q presidential possibility.
They know, OF course, that Mr.. Roose-
welt is utterly free Of participation, but
they believe, nevertheless, that the re-
verberations Of eclatant scandals in the
Democratic management of New York
City VIII chill the country toward any
political leader having any association
with the Democracy of New York State.
Democratic national leaders do not
like to see Coy. Roosevelt's availability
impaired. but they have no illusions
about the damaging effect on the coun-
try OF what the leading Democratic
paper of New York City calls "the
steady parade Of Tammany ONCE hold
ers, including judges and magistrates,
into the courts in the role Of defendants
and reluctant witnesses"
Want to Nominate Wet.
The Democratic national leaders do
not like to see Gov. Roosevelt's avail
ability injured because they want IL
nominate . wet In 1882 and they have
few vets available. BY national lead
ers" in this connection is meant those
who now control the Democratic nation
al organization.
They are wet. Their strongly held
purpose is to have the Democrats ADOPT
wet platform in 1892, which they can
do by majority vote, and II possible
name . wet candidate, which requires q
two-thirds vote.
In the poverty Of available men who
are wet and at the same time come from
large and pivotal States, one finds
creeping into consideration by these ma :
tional leaders the name of Robert Johns
Buckley, q wet, just nominated by the
Democrats for Senator from Ohio. The
suggestion Is seriously made that If Mr..
Buckley should win his contest for Sen
ator he might be nominated by his
party for President. The argument
against such possibility is the lack OF
time in which to make Mr.. Buckley ma.