Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1930-10-15

toned il that when he ran In the
Republican primary for the nomination
for Governor, Q plurality Of the Repub-
lican voters in So out Of the States 81
counties supported him. The Pinchot
answer is that If he won the Republic
can nomination In q Republican pri-
mary that fact makes him Republican
rerardless Of his personal principles or
personal loyalty to the party. Here
again, the Pinchot case Is Ike that OF
Norris in Nebraska, La Toilette In Wis
consin and the other Western inSur-
gent Republicans. Pinchot, in short, Is
a case of Western progreSSiveism or
radicalism or La Folletteism or call 1t
what yon will. arising in the East and
in the banner Republican State OF the
Union.
!. Pinchot as 1882 Aspirant.
This point is brought out by one Of
the most prominent Republican boilers
from Pinchot who predicts that PIN
chot, II he wins now: WIN enter Lne
contest for the Republican presidential
nomination in 1882, against President
Hoover, "as an independent candidate
supported by Western insurgents" The
answer to that Is that the Pennsylvania
Republicans won't let him. The very
Republicans who are now supporting
Pinchot as the duly nominated candl-
date for Governor would be the first
to prevent him from taking any step
in 1882. When Pinchot was Governor
before, he tried to take q hand IN Sc
lecting the Republican delegation to the
national convention that nominated
Mr.. Coolidge. He was not even able
to have himself named as q delegate,
although it is universal practice to put
the Governor on the delegation. In
spite of all this, Pinchot as q case OF
Western insurgency arising in Penn
sylvania is undoubtedly an important
national phenomenon. There will be
further sensational developments CEN
tering round the charge that Pinchot
is not q Republican.
While the explosions in Pennsylvania
are not yet over, there has been enough
crystallization to make 1t fairly certain
clifford Pinchot will be elected Gov
ernor, and the country will not see what
would be the very sensational spectacls
of the Keystone State departing from
the Republican party into the Demo-
cratic column. The sum OF what mas
happened, so far as 1t can be stated
concisely, is that nearly all the Phila-
delphia Republican organization has
bolted Pinchot That means that
Pinchot will lose Philadelphia by prob
ably 10000. Pinchot, however, can al
ford to lose Philadelphia by twice that
figure, provided the Republican organ
izations in the rest Of the State sup
port him normally.
Reasonable Probability.
The reasonable probability is that
Pinchot should carry the rest OF the
State by fully a normal Republican
majority. In the first place the Repub-
lican organizations in the rest OF the
State have O feud against the Phila-
delpllia organization because the latter
has been for some years trying to grab
control of the State. Every Republican
county chairman in the Sc counties OF
the State, emitting Philadelphia, are
for Pinchot. In addition, Pinchot VIII
get q considerable Democratic vote. The
three Democrats who ran for Governor
in 1922, 1918 and 1914 are for Pinchot.
The rural part Of the Pennsylvania de-
mocracy is largely dry, and will support
the dry Pinchot as against their own
wet candidate. Wherever there has been
q wet-and-dry fight within the Penn
sylvania democracy for delegates to
National Conventions, the drys have
been able to control nearly half the
State delegation.
AS Of today, Pinchot seems destined
to win, though some further explosions,
adverse to him, are ahead
In short, the probable outcome In
Pennsylvania Is the election as Gov
ernor of q man who is extremely dry
and he runs on the Republican ticket
although he Is in fact q practically per-
feet Eastern duplicate Of Norris Of Ne
brasaka. AS for the rest of the Repub-
Mcan ticket in Pennsylvania, 1t viii win
by the usual nearly 2-to-1 majority, In
Guiding Secretary Of Labor James J.
Davis for Senator. Among the IS Rep
resentatives, who compose PennSyl-
vania's delegation, the Republicans
should elect ut least 80 and may