Brownsville herald. [volume] (Brownsville, Tex.) 1910-current, 1930-06-02
The Fall Elections Are a Long Way
Off, but the Washington Experts
Are Worrying About Them Al
Teady-G. o. p. Margin in Sem
ate Apt to be Reduced Sub
stantialIy.
BY RODNEY BUTCHER
NEA Service Writer

BY RODNEY BUTCHER
NEA Service Writer
WASHINGTON - Elections do
not come until November. but more
often than not a candidate for
high public office doesn't have a
thing 10 worry about after his
nomination in the primary. Never
theless, November Of 1880 Is likely
10 see more doubtful contests be-
tween the major party candidates
for governor and senator than most
election years. And that means that
In the aggregate this years pri-
naries won't be quite as important
as usual in determining who's go
ing TO get the Jobs.
Thirty senatorial primaries are
listed for this year in % states. AS
nearly as your correspondent can
figure il out. the November win
ner will be determined by the pri-
mary result in 10 instances. In II
states and IL contests the result
in November may at this time be
considered more or less doubtful.
Among the five states nominating BY
state conventions-Idaho. Georgia.
New Mexico. Delaware and Rhode
Island - the November outcome
seems certain in three and uncer-
tsin In two.
One-Sided Contests
In u contests the Republican
candidate appears certain of cleo
ton on account OF his states rock
ribbed Republicanism and in 10 the
Democratic candidate appears to be
a reasonably sure bet. That WOULD
involve no change in party repre-
s~entation among this group except
in the case Of Iowa. where SEN
ator Daniel r. Steck, Democrat.
probably will be succeeded by a
republican unless his hackers make
some kind Of a deal for Republican
support.
An addition Of the doubtful"
states explains why the Republicans
are worrying about Senate control
IN the next congress. There are
IS such states and Of the 10 seats
at stake II are held by Republicans
and only two by Democrats. In
fairness to the Republicans. OF
course. IL should be said that they
do not doubt the uncertainty OF
the result in a number OF these
states.
Situations are bound TO change.
but as this lrriter sees IL we can
expect Republican senatorial vic
tories in Pennsylvania, Oregon,
Iowa, Maine, Minnesota, Kansas,
Nebraska, Wyoming, Michigan,
New Hampshire and Idaho. And
Democratic victories in Alabama,
Texas, Virginia, Mississippi, Ten
ressee. Arkansas, South Carolina,
Louisiana, Georgia and New Mex
leo.
Now. as for doubtful contests:
Montana and North Carolina will
vote on senatorial seats now occu-
pied r%espectivel. by Senator's Thorn
as j. Walsh and Flrnifold Sim
mons, Democrats. If Walsh is op-
posed by a wet Republican he may
get licked. And whether Simmons
or Joseph w. Bailey is nominated
by North Carolina Democrats. there
may be enough bitterness left over
from the fight to make the state
20 Republican in the senatorial
election as 1t did in the presidential
contest two years ago.
The states where Democrats have
greater or lesser chance of succeed
ING Republican senator's seem to
b. Illinois. South Dakota. New
Jersey, Kentucky. Oklahoma. West
Virginia. Ohio Colorado. Massa-
chusetts. Delaware and Rhode Is
land. II would seem as If most OF
them should 90 Republican. but not
II the Democrats are correct in es-
timating the current amount Of
dissatisfaction with the administra-
ton and business conditions.
There are now IS Republican
senator's. 80 Democrats and one
Farmer-Laborite. a @. O. r. paper
majority Of II which has often been
rullified by insurgency Of western
~prosressives. Even the paner ma
loritv might conceivahly be wiped
OF But perhaps II Il more likely
hat enough Democrats will beat
Republicans to make the next SEN
ate's coalition considerably strong