Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1930-11-02

Continued From First Page)
times and prohibition. II there had
been no stock market crash. no bust
ness depression, no drought. there
would be no chance-as there Is to-
House on Tuesday.
The Hoover administration and the
Republicans generally are intensely in
terested in preserving Republican ma
jorities in House and Senate. 1t 10
vital to the administrators plans. The
election OF a Democratic House would
be interpreted as q reputation OF the
administration, even though the Demo-
cratic success would be attributable TO
economic and not TO political reasons.
The Hoover administration went In on
o wave of prosperity in this country.
It will have to stand for the depressed
conditions, even though 1t be not re-
sponsible.
Cabinet Members Campaign.
In the closing days Of the campaign
q half dozen members OF the Presi-
dents cabinet have gone on the air"
TO appeal to voters in all parts Of the
country TO return q Republican Con-
gress Several members Of the cabinet
have made addresses in number OF
States in addition to these national
radio talks urging the voters TO back
up President Hoover with favorable
Congress.
Democratic leaders are supremely
confident, apparently, that their party
will control the House Of Representa-
tives in the next Congress. An eleventh.
hour survey made by them, they say,
indicates that the Seventy second Con-
gress will have Democratic majority
of unfortunately 20. This would mean
A net gain of SO House seats. They
insist that this Is the minimum gain
and that the majority Is actually to
be considerably higher, even as nign
as n House seats.
Republicans, on the other hano, Whlie
admitting there are to be Democratic
gains, insist that the maximum OF sucn
Gains is 40 House seats. They add
quickly they do not believe that the
Republican losses will be nearly so great
as 40.
In an eleventh-ho election forecast
Robert n. Lucas, executive director oil
the Republican National Committee.
predicted victory. He gave no hgures
for the House or Senate, however. he
said:
lican majority in the next Congress;
There is good reason to believe he-
nublican ConRressmen will be elected In
several districts now held by the Demo-
Gratis"
Mr.. Lucas did not say what q nor
NAL" Republican majority might be.
Must Win So Seats.
To gain q majority of one in the
House the Democrats must hold all the
seats they now have and take away SO
Of those occupied by Republicans.
The minimum net gain In the Senate,
the Democrats claim, will be six seats.
They admit the loss of one Senate seat,
that of Senator Steck Of Iowa. They
Massachusetts Rhode Island, Delaware,
West Virginia, Kentucky, Oklahoma and
Ohio.
The Democrats figure, too, that they
have good chances to win Senate seats
in Illinois and Colorado and that they
have q $3.50 chance to win in South
Dakota and Minnesota.
II the Democrats triumph in these IL
States and lose only the Senate seat
held by Steck OF Iowa they will have
20 members Of the next Senate, or .
majority of one. The present Demo-
cratic strength in the Senate Is 80. The
the Farmer-Labor party one. 30 much
for the Democratic prephesies.
Thirty-four seats in the next Senate
are the prizes in Tuesdays election.
Maine has already elected q Republican
Senator, Representative Wallace White,
TO succeed Senator Gould, also Re-
publican. OF these 81 seats % are now
held by Republicans and Is by Demo-
Gratis.
Likely Senate Results.
rrI>~ vNn-~1m~k. 1890. A. -. ..,-o H.
elect Senators in South Carolina, Ten
nessee, Virginia, West Virginia, Georgia,
Mississippi, Alabama, Louisiana, Ar
kansas, Texas, North Carolina, New
Mexico and Ohio total Of Is.
The Democrats are likely TO win, too,
in Illinois, Massachusetts,, Delaware,
Rhode Island. Oklahoma, Kentucky and
Montana total Of z.
The Republicans appear to be sure Of
winning senatorial contests in New
Jersey. Idaho. Kansas 1.-TWO seats,
Michigan, New Hampshire, Oregon,
Nebraska, Iowa. wyoming and Penn
The Republicans are likely to win,
too. in South Dakota. Colorado and
Minnesota total Of 3.
II these forecasts are borne out by
the election results, the Democrats viii
have net gain Of seats In the Sen
ate, giving them IS seats, or , less
than are necessary to organize the
Senate.
Many Of the senatorial contests APP
pear to be extremely close. The Repub-
licans do not, by any means, concede
losses in Delaware, Rhode Island, Illi-
nois, Kentucky or Oklahoma. They In
sist that the @. o. p. candidates have
chances in Montana, where the dry
Senator Walsh II being opposed by the
wet Judge Galen. and in Massachusetts.
where william M. Butler, Republican
and dry, Is fighting against Marcus A.
Coolidge, the Democratic wet.
No senatorial election this year holds
more national interest than that in
Illinois. Mrs. Ruth Hanna Mccormick,
Republican, is opposed there by former
Senator j. Ham" Lewis. Democrat, and
Mrs. Lottie Holman O'Neill, q Repub-
lican independent with the backing OF
the Anti-Saloon League. II Mrs. Nc
Cormick wins. 1t means the first cleo
ton of q woman to the United States
Senate. Lewis, aided by the split among
the Republicans over the two women
and by the business depres-
sion, is believed TO have the advantage.
Just what will be the effect upon the
election of the illness OF Mayor Big
Bill" Thompson Of Chicago. who came
out for the election of Lewis. remains
to be seen. Thompson Is dangerously
Ill. following an appendicitis operation.
The whole incident may aid Mrs. Nc
Cormick in Cook County. where Lewis
Is expected to make his strongest run.
Party Lines Crossed.
Party lines are widely crossed In a
number of the elections this year. Prob
ably no more so than in Nebraska, where
Senator George w. Norris, Republican.
is opposed by former Senator Gilbert