Brownsville herald. [volume] (Brownsville, Tex.) 1910-current, 1930-06-02

Off, but the Washington Experts
Are Worrying About Them Al
ready-G. o. p. Margin in Sem
ate Apt to be Reduced Sub
stantially.
BIZ RODNEY BUTCHER
NEA Service Writer
WASHINGTON - Elections do
not come until November. but more
often than not a candidate for
high public office doesn't have a
thing 10 worry about after his
nomination in the primary. Never
theless, November Of 1880 is likely
20 see more doubtful contests be-
tween the major party candidates
for governor and senator than most
election years. And that means that
IN the aggregate this years pri-
maries won't be quite as important
ss usual in determining who's 60
ing TO get the jobs.
Thirty senatorial primaries are
listed for this year in % states. AS
nearly as your correspondent car
figure il out. the November win
ner will be determined by the pri-
mary result in 10 instances. In II
states and IL contests the result
in November may at this time be
considered more or less doubtful
Among the five states nominating By
state cOnventions-Idaho. Georgia
New Mexico. Delaware and Rhode
Island the November outcome
seems certain in three and uncer-
tein in two.
One-Sided Contests
In - contests the Republican
candidate appears certain of cleo
ton on account OF his states rock
ribbed Republicanism and in 10 the
Democratic candidate appears to be
a reasonably sure bet. That WOULD
involve no change in party repre-
sentation among this group except
IN the case of Iowa. where Sen
ator Daniel F. Steck. Democrat
probably will be succeeded by a
Republican unless his hackers make
some kind Of a deal for Republican
support.
An addition OF the doubtful
states explains why the Republicans
are worrying about Senate control
in the next congress. There are
IL such states and Of the Is seats
at stake II are held by Republicans
and only two by Democrats. In
fairness to the Republicans, OF
course. 1t should be said that they
do not doubt the uncertainty OF
the result in a number OF these
states.
Situations are bound to change.
but as this l-riter sees ii we can
expect Republican senatorial vic
tories in Pennsylvania, Oregon,
Iowa, Maine, Minnesota, Kansas,
Nebraska. Wyoming, Michigan,
New Hampshire and Idaho. And
Democratic victories in Alabama,
Texas, Virginia, Mississippi, Ten
ressee. Arkansas. South Carolina,
louisiana, Georgia and New Mex
leo.
Now. as for doubtful contests:
Montana and North Carolina will
vote on senatorial seats now occu-
pied respectivel by Senator's Thorn
&C j. Walsh and Furnifold SIM
mons, Democrats. II Walsh Is op-
posed by a wet Republican he may
get licked. And whether Simmons
or Joseph w. Bailey is nominated
by North Carolina Democrats. there
may be enough bitterness left over
from the fight to make the state
20 Republican in the senatorial
election as 1t did in the presidential
contest two years ago.
The states where Democrats have
greater OF lesser chance Of succeed
ing Republican senator's seem to
be Illinois. South Dakota, New
Jersey. Kentucky. Oklahoma. West
Virginia, Ohio Colorado. Massa-
chusetts. Delaware and Rhode Is
lard. 1t would seem as II most OF
them should 20 Republican. but not
II the Democrats are correct in es-
timating the current amount OF
dissatisfaction with the administra-
ton and business conditions.
There are now 56 Republican
senators. 80 Democrats and one
Farmer-Laborite. a G.. o. p. paper
majority Of II which has often been
rullified By insurgency OF western
pr~ogressiveS. Even the psoer ma
iority might concsivably be wiped
cut But PERHAPS II Is more likelv
that enourh Democrats will heat
Republicans 10 make the next SEN
ate's coalition considerably strong