Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1930-01-05
DEMOCRATS HAVE CHANCE
TO CAPTURE C.. 0. P. SEATS
New Year Political Horizon Reveals
Republicans at Numerical
Disadvantage.

publicans in which elections come in
November A single glance at the
geographical distribution Of these seats
and q brief consideration of the other
factors involved reveal that the Re-
puhlicans can hardly hope TO hold the
entire 81. They may do so, hut II they
should they will have had extraordinary
good luck and good management.
Six G. o. p. Seats Doubtful.
Many Of the Republican seats are. of
course, as safe as the 10 Democratic
seats that lie in the South. Pennsyl-
vania, Maine, New Hampshire, Oregon,
Minnesota, Kansas and wyoming, to
mention only a few, are as certain to
elect Republican Senator's this Fall as
any of the Southern States are to alecs
Democrats. But at least six of the
Republican States are doubtful, whereas.
only three of the Democratic States are
| fighting ground.
The States now held by Republicans
in which the Democrats have one de-
| gree or another of chance to win may
| be listed as:
| MaSSac husettS.
| Delaware.
Oklahoma.
Rhode Island
| Kentucky.
West Virginia.
AAOOdOAJ WCuN1 CE-
agree with this list, would say it is tor
brief. Some Democrats would claim
they have chance in a few more
States, such as New Jersey and Colorado.
Actually, however. the list as given
above is fully generous to the Demo-
Gratis. For example Massachusetts, Is
set down as a doubtful State, as q
State in which Democrat may win.
The Democrats claim it as doubtful
| claim H. than fIpAIr
TO be for them. Seasoned observers,
however, will recall that Massachusetts,
| in more than 30 years has sent exactly
one Democrat to the United States
Senate. That Democrat is David Walsh,
and Walsh Is an anomaly, an extraor-
binary vote-getter in the personal sense,
with considerable following of Re-
publicans. With this single exception
Of David Walsh Massachusetts has been
represented In the Senate by two Re-
publ1carlS ever since there was a Re-
publican party. Tor Massachusetts to
elect Democrat this Fall would result
IN her having two Democrats in the
Senate-and that would be extraordi-
nary and unprecedented.
Dwight Morrow Certain.
AS for the Democrats claim that
they have chance to carry New Jer-
Sey again, observers with long expert
ence and familiar knowledge of the con-
ditions will be extremely skeptical. The
Republican nominee, it can be taken
for granted. will be Dwight Morrow,
who in addition to his own recent high
public services has the incidental dis
tinction Of being the father-in-law of
a young man named Charles A. Lind
bergh. (Can any person erudite in po-
litical lore recall another case of a
mans son-in-law being a political as
set to him?) New jersey can be set
down as safely Republican in sena-
torial election in which Dwight Morrow
is the Republican candidate.
Not to go into too much detail the
| Democrats are likely to lose one Of their
13 and may lose one more. The Re
publicans. among their 81. have at least
six that are doubtful. A rough esti-
mate would suggest net gain of one
Senator by the Democrats. At the
same time. If there is prosperity in
business and general contentment, the
is far from an impossibility.
Democrat House Gain Likely.
AS respects the House, the Repub-
licans now have 267, the Democrats
1853, with one Farmer-Labor and four
vacancies. The Republican are fairly
| certain to suffer losses In the House.
Their present quite large majority is
due in part to the landslide Of 1928.
In that landslide the Republicans
elected, for example, nine out Of Ken
tucky's total of IL Congressman. In
a more normal year such as the coming
one, it has been more usual for the
Republicans to have not more than
! two or three of the Congressman from
Kentucky From Virginia the Republic
ans now have three and from North
Carolina two. That also is abnormal
and is likely to be corrected in this
years election In the net it would not
be surprising If the Republicans should
lose from 10 to 20 members of the
House this year.
| (Copyright ls3o)