Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1930-10-15
MORROW CLEARS
C. 0. ?. SITUATION
President Hoover Certain of
denomination, Says Po-
IiticaI Expert.
By MARK SULLIVAN.

Ambassador Dwight Morrow's elirnin-
alton of himself as possibility for the
Republican presidential nomination
against President Hoover in 1882 clari-
f1es the Republican situation. Prac-
tically every Republican leader takes
Mr.. Morrow's elimination Of himself as
final
The expectation is that having mem
toned the matter once, and having
done so IN his first speech, he will never
allude to it again This is inferred
both from Mr.. Morrow's character as
a man and from the nature of the
national political picture. It is like
wise inferred that he will never permit
any person or any condition to move
him from the stand he has taken.
A Complex Hypothesis.
The theory upon which some Eastern
Republicans entertained the thought of
Morrow as a possibility consisted of a
complex hypothesis. The fundamental
factor in this assumption was that by
1882, the Republican party would have
gone measurably wet, and that, there
fore, Mr.. Morrow as an advocate of
repeal OF prohibition would be an ac-
ceptable candidate. As a second ele-
ment in the hypothesis. the advocates
OF Mr.. Morrow looked forward to two
conditions which in their opinion might
emerge from the election on the fourth
of next month
They considered first the possibility
that the Democrats might come forward
TO victory In the congressional elections
on strong tide. They considered.
second, that Mr., Morrow as Republican
candidate for Senator in New Jersey
would run counter TO the presumed
democratic tide and win q spectacular
in
Anticipation of this particular double
outcome of the election constituted most
OF the reasoning Of those who have
entertained the notion of putting Mr..
Morrow forward for the presidential
nomination. The idea Is now negatiycd.
1t is negatived in part by the expec-
tation that the November election will
not show any Democratic trend strong
enough to be called landslide, although
1t Is admitted the Democrats will make
gains. The outcome of the election Is,
OF course, still to be seen. The other
negation OF the Morrow possibility, how
ever namely his own elimination Of
h1mseh-is regarded as final and COM
plete. Today there is practically no
republican leader, and probably no
Democratic one either, who does not
expect that President Hoover will be
nominated to succeed himself in 1882.
PinchOt Proposed as Candidate.
simultaneously with Mr.. Morrow's
elimination Of himself from the Repub-
mean presidential race came from Sem
ator Borah OF Idaho q statement in
Eerpreted as suggesting that the progress
slve Republicans might put forward
Clifford Pinchot for the Republican
presidential nomination in 1882, ASSUME
ing P1nchot wins his present race for
the governorship of PENNSYLVANIA. AS
to that suggestion there are a dozen
conditions that would make it extreme
ly difficult to attempt and futile If the
attempt should be made.
Pinchot, even If he should be elected
Governor Of Pennsylvania, could prob
ably not get the delegates from that
State for the presidential nomination.
The very Republicans who are willing
to elect him Governor, or accept him
as Governor, would not support him
for the presidency, especially in oppo-
sitton to President Hoover. Pinchot
when Governor before tried lin 1924 to
be delegate to the convention tina.
nominated Mr.. Coolidge. but was left
at home.
Moreover, the very heart Of the west
ern progressive Republican movement,
wisconsin and the La Toilette, is wet
and would have little appetite fer back
ing the almost fanatically dry Pinchot.
1t is quite possible some of the West
ern Progressives might put Pinehot for
ward. There Is little reason to anticipate
he would do much better than Hiram
johnson against Mr.. Coolidge in 1924
johnson and his friends modified con-
siderable funds and built q formidable
organization on paper. Then johnson
entered the lists. He failed to get the
delegates in his own State, California;
failed in q personal campaign he made
to get them In one other State, South
Dakota, and then retired from the race.
The sum of the whole Republican situa-
ton today is that Mr.. Hoover Is as
certain of denomination as any President
can be.
If the Republican presidential situation
is now clarified, the Democratic one Is
more confused and more matter Of
concern to national leaders of that
party. 1t can be stated as a certainty
that national leaders who siv months
ago entertained the expectation of nom
mating Gov Franklin Roosevelt of New
York do not now do so. They are as
confident as ever that their party has
a good chance to win, and they are
diligently surveying the field to find
the best possible candidate.