Evening star., 1928-06-03

the hEApEE 1lNl-NaT Dia1 vii
have far-reaching effect or
~ events in the Far East in the
opinion of many who follow in
ternational problems in that area. So
Wet Russia especially. and China in AL
most the same degree, will be concerned
bv Japan's decision.
BY agreeing never to resort to war
with the United States to settle any
disputes that may arise Japan will
ttssreby eliminate from her military ana
naval plans the probability, of major
engagement TO the west. This will leave
Japan free to devote all energies tc
the mighty nations, Russia and China
st her front.
ANY one who has been in Japan
within the last year or IS months can
learn by even a superficial inquiry thar
Japan does not want war with the
United States for the simple and ever
whelming reason that Japan knows that
in such a war, even If she emerged VIC
torious, she would be SO weakened that
Russia certainly, and China possibly.
might pick quarrel with her and finish
her of.
Belief as TO Russia.
Japan believes that Soviet Russia has
the same foreign policy as Russia had
under the Cars. namely. TO seek q
waTm-water port and at some time
when conditions seem propitious 70 try
10 win back some of the losses suffered
when Japan whipped Russia in 1904
05. The joint interests Of Japan and
Russia in Manchuria are constantly
clashing and now that Nationalist
China is entering so largely into the
situation. potentially If not actually for
the present, Japan must consider the
threat from that direction
II either Russia or China. or both.
finally sign the Kellogg treaty the fore
going considerations naturally will b.
imperative. but the likelihood Of Rus
Sia signing is not now apparent and
China has no central responsible gov
eminent. whose signature would mean
anything and may not have in the near
future: hence Japan is acting upon
known factors and finding in the
Kellogg plan the chance to remove the
nightmare OF war with the United
States.
That japan has undergone change
Of heart on the question of war with
the United States is not doubted By
scne leading diplomatic and military
parsonages who recall the bitterness in
japan at the time Of the immigration
quota dispute IN 1929. Now. how
ever. officially an3 privately in Japan
one hears cnly the statement that while
Japan regrets the absolute bar to her
citiZers she WI make no belligerent
move 70 change the Law. but expects
confidently that the United States vol
unfairly some time viii place Japan
upon an equality with Western nations
b. granting quota status, which would
admit less than $50 japanese yearly.
Bitterness Is Removed.
The largest factor in bringing about
this change !n japanese feeling was
ss1e magnificent outpouring Of sympathy
and funds from the United States at
the time Of the earthquake h Japan IL
1923. More than SI1 900 .000 was raised
II this country and sent 10 Japan. II
apuche6 the japanese people SO pro-
4eund1y that the bitterness over the
4Hmigration bar was largely removed.
The earthquake. moreover, had tre-
GaendolIs effect upon the economic life
~ Japan for il wiped out nearly S4,-
coo 600 900 Of wealth in destroyed cities
or damages 10 cities and when To this
io5s were added bad spell Of dehatiOn
from oyerexpznded war industries and
sraore recently the loss IF trade owing 70
the civil war in China, il is apparent
Skat Japan has critical problem IN
keeping economically solvent.
G<fy<4E ASaEE@EA Ak hA&E RNg8SA @SAc%
Es4e SIDE which haS tae largest bank ac-
count viii have q decided advantage.
Japan also perceived the staggering re-
sources O. the United States aS re-
Tealec IL var financing. and that the
United States emerged from the war
sEsth some s2sl000, 600 900 of war debt.
but without any sense Of strain IN car
ry4ng the IoSd Since the war the
gtesoy expansion Of the United States
into the role Of the worlds banker has
1ot been overlooked BY Japan.
Japan has sided with advanced ideas
q EoEld progress. Japan In Joining
the League q Nations and II approx
ing the LocsTno treaties has SHOWN q
rxa61ness 70 90 along with the Western
WDra6 IN the effort 10 make war less
1xely 50 that in pointing Cut the eco-
Tsozn5c factors no undue emphasis is
antega6e6 on selfish viewpoints, in
e12a3gz1y2g naot3FeE for appgcYi1g the
Ee.logg p.2n.
Chinese Situation.
TIFF Chinese are not ao1e n1al.t2risy 70
gve Japan serious concern, but the
Chinese saTe In The trade 5oycost
@.eSpon that csn Do Japan damage into
tsse hundreds q r1lllsorE of dollars. FoT
4>e Chinese 70 c1lt buying japanese
aoocs wo9ld throw hundreds d ts4oa-
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