The Bismarck tribune. [volume] (Bismarck, N.D.) 1916-current, 1928-11-02
Smith Shown Gaining Strong
Support in Larger CONNER
cial Centers; Hoover Polls
Over SO Per Cent of Total
Ballots Cast

Hoover is shown ahead in AZ
States and the "Solid South" which
has been Democratic for more than
fifty years, will be broken, accord
ing to the final returns Of The Lit
cry Digest's national presidential
poll published today.
Alabama and Arkansas are prac-
tically a stand-off between the two
candidates in this prediction bal
loting and The Literary Digest re-
ports that most Of tn. political OBJ
servers are inclined to place both of
these states i. the Smith column.
With the exception of a few some
what doubtful sections Hoover is
leading by substantial majorities in
all of the other AZ states and the
returns indicate his probable cleo
ton by an ample margin.
Republicans Invade South
Other than the marked pluralities
accorded Hoover in the great major
ity Of states the outstanding fea-
lures Of the poll are the indicated
gain Of the Democratic nominee
over the returns Of his party in the
official 1924 election and the strong
Republican invasion of the South.
OF the record-breaking total Of
2,767, 1862 ballots cas-. in this post
card election" Hoover has 63.2 per
cent and Smith polls 35.7 per cent
with the small remainder distribut-
ed among the several minor candi-
dates.
The Literary Digest in it's col
umns calls attention to a possible
last minute switch of votes, such as
occurred between the La Toilette
and Davis ranks Immediately prior
to the 1924 election day, which
might reverse the returns in certain
states from Hoover to Smith, and
it is cautioned that this factor
should be taken into consideration
in determining the validity Of the
STRAW" poll, for all of its ballots
were returned and counted more
than two weeks before the regular
election.
It is pointed out that in . separ-
ate polling of Philadelphia, where
postcard ballots were sent to the
entire electorate, Hoover polls 9,7O4
votes to Smiths 48,429, or about
AZ to 3, whereas H. the 1924 cleo
ton the ratio between Coolidge and
Davis was about 81 to /.
Hoover Gets Chicago
Likewise in Chicago, where all the
registered voters were asked to re-
spond for their favorite candidate
Hoover is leading Smith by 99,916
to 1850, q ratio Of about 10 to Z,
while four years ago Coolidge re-
ceived approximately a to / return
over Davis in the regular election
returns, showing q possible heavy
Democratic trend in the larger
cities.
The poll indicates Hoover leading
in New York State with a plurality
Of 21S,920 to 1860 votes with all
the returns counted. In New York
City, where it is stated every &C.
credited voter was asked to vote in
this poll, Smith leads his Republican
rival by 14O.770 to 105,864, while in
1924 Coolidge carried all five bor-
oughs Of the city.
The tabulations show Hoover
ahead in Massachusetts,, which il
considered by many political OBJ
servers - the prize doubtful state
Of the entire Union, by . margin Of
slightly over 2 to i.
The completed returns ,show
Smith receiving about 80 per cent Of
his support from those who stated
that they voted Republican in the
last Presidential election, while
Hoover obtains over rs per cent Of
his strength from those who pro-
fessed they wsre Republicans in
New veGers For G.. O. p.
OF the lll,370 who cast ballots in
this Straw" election but who did
met vote ii the official Presidential
eloction four years ago practically
| 81 pr cent are voting Republican
[and over 80 Per cent are votins
Denoeratie II this STRAW" poll.
1he POLL The Litetary Digest
|stsfes editorially. ahAs proved to b
IT. greatest 81 history, with tn
IeeMDIete returns 1onAe $4,000 vctea
eeYen1 - reeer6r 9king ~ y
~ total " votns r1eeiSea