Evening star., 1928-11-01
BETTING NOW EVEN
ON NEW YORK VOTE
Smith or Hoover to Win by
100000, According to
Which Side Talks.
BY G. GOULD LINCOLN.

ObdA So1ACoPOAtACAb VA AAAC 0IdA'
NEW YORK, November New York
for Al Smith by 100000.
New York for Hoover by 100000.
You pay your money and you take
your choice" The betting now on the
presidential race in the Empire State
is even.
The more conservative judgment here
in New York is that the result is going
to be close. A hundred thousand votes
either way in State that has nearly
5,000,0 900 registered to vote is narrow
thing.
The Democrats are supremely conf
dent here that Gov. Smith will carry
this State. They can't see any possible
chance for slip-up, because of the
great personal popularity of Smith and
because he has probably the greatest
political organization in the world back
of him, Tammany.
Republicans on Their Toes.
But the Republicans have come out
of the slough of despond IN which they
were apparently mired six weeks or two
months ago. Some of them are insist
ing that New York will give Hoover
a 100000 lead over Smith in the State.
But when it comes down to close figur-
ing, the most responsible Republican
leadership claims the State by $4,000
to 10000.
Two months ago the Republican or
ganization was shot to pieces. Things
were at loose ends. But there has been
a new deal with Chairman Machold III
the saddle. The organization is func-
tioning as it has not functioned for
years, it is said.
New Yofk State has almost 100000
more registered voters this year than 1t
had four years ago. This alone would
show clearly the vast interest which is
taken in the coming election. Both sides
claim the advantage from the new reg
istration, and no one can say positively
where the new voters are going to land.
The total registration is 4,885,276 as
compared to 3,887,554 in 1924, which
makes the increase 997,772. The regis
tered vote in New York City is 2,029 ,514,
and that outside of the city 1t is
1885, 1852.
Bank on City Vote. ~
The Democratic argument that the
new registration favors Smith looks to
the fact that the increase is greater by
more than 100000 in the city, Smith
stronghold, than it is outside, or up
State. It is predicted also on the belief
that thousands of Catholic women who
have never voted in the past are now
registered, and that thousands of wives
0f xr10riyiYan erniY1o fn tho nnllc
this year who have remained at home
in the past.
The Republicans take different view
of the situation. They insist that the
Democratic organization in the past has
registered all the votes it could, and
argue that much of the new registra-
ton in the city itself must be; con-
sidered anti-organization or for Hoover
on that account. The Republicans
claim, too, that the great majority OF
the increased registration upstate Is
with them.
The Republican leader here, who is
inclined not to fool himself, says thai
Smith will carry just one county out
side of New York-Albany County. The
rest he chalks up for Hoover. He adj
mits that Buffalo may go for Smith
but contends that Erie County, in which
Buffalo is located, will give plurality
for Hoover.
Business Support Expected.
Here in New York City itself the Re.
publicans are counting above all on the
pulling force of business to support th'
Republican cause. New York is the
greatest business center in the world
Its business men have prospered enor
mOuSly during the Republican admin
| istration. And New York business mer
in the past have cast in their lot, gen
orally speaking, with the Republican
party. They are anxious today it i
said not to upset the prosperous condi
tions. Gov. Smith has had the vote
of thousands of these business men TO
governor, but will he get these votes TO
President? That's the question. 1t i
| generally conceded he will lose many o
! them.
New York State in presidential elec
tionS has gone Republican since tn
CONTINUED on Page 4, Column g.