Evening star., 1928-11-04
KEYSTONE WOMEN
TO HELP HOOVER
G. 0. P. Majority in PennsN.
vania Estimated at From
100000 to 100000.
Special Dispatch TO Tn. star.


HARRISBURG. Pa, November g.
the presidential campaign il closing
with both parties claiming victory in
Pennsylvania. Democratic leaders have
made claims of victory here before. but
this year they believe their own state
ment.
The Republican claim Is that the
Hoover-Curtis ticket will win by more
than 100000 majority. of which more
than 100000 will be polled in Philadel-
phia and more than 100000 upstate.
The Democrats also claim Philadel-
phia. Their claim Is a State majority
of between 100000 and 165 900. with
Philadelphia majority for Smith of
100000. They also claim Pittsburgh
and other districts. which normally poll
large Republican ma jorities, for Smith.
Ma jority to Be Cut.
Despite a registration of 100000
more Republicans than Democrats in
the State, it is virtually certain that
the 100000 majority polled by Cool
idge in 1924 will not be duplicated b.
Hoover here this year While some
private estimates by Republican work
ers place the Hoover majority as high
as 100000. they do not take into con-
sideration reduced majorities for the
REPUBLICAN candidates in PHILADELPHIA
and Pittsburgh and the probability OF
wiping out or greatly crippling Repun-
llcan naiorlties in the popJlous coal
counties.
The best prediction possible of the
outcome Of the balloting is that Penn
sylvania will 81 Republican but by
lower majority than usual Non-parti-
san estimates range from 100000 tn
100000 majority for Hoover. The actual
size of the majority will depend CT
what happeus in Philadelphia. Pitts
burgh and the coal counties and to tnc
extent which the women vote. The
total registration of 3,971 1876 voters in
cludes 1.8271l4 women. The total in
crease over last wear is ABS. .6S5. of which
332.177 Is an increase in woman voters.
A heavy vote by the women. most OF
whom are expected to favor Hoover
will aid in keeping the Republican ms-
joritics from falling to record lor
mark.
Rally Is a Factor.
Part of the difficulty in estimatins
nlatorities mere accurately lies in the
fact that the reaction to Gov. Smiths
enthusiast rally in Philadelphia has
not been fullv gagged. Democratic
Chairman Collins asserted the rally
had "a wonderful effect" with great
influence in the whole stats" but made
no aporcciable increase in his claim of
majority from the figure he named in
August Republican Chairman Martir
described tnc rally as drawing "a great
crowd of curious hut f>w votes"
Philadelphia normally gives 25000o
Republican majority. The Republican
claim this year of more than 100000
ism increase during the last few days
The Democratic claim of 100000 ma
iort3y for Smith in the city Is too high
to be logical. Philadelphia political OBJ
servers believe the city will give a Re-
publican majority of betwecn $4,000 and
10000. which alone would be Demo-
cratic achievement.
Democrats are claiming Pittsburgh.
home city Of Secretary Mellon, by
$4,000 to $1,000. but Republicans in
sist on safe majority Democrsts
9'so claim number of counties sur
rounding Pittsburgh. where they have
,Innwn strength. but Republicans count
"n rIaj"rities of soon to $4,000 in each.
''h"t '7 about half the norma
n"jorities.
Democrats Confident.
In the coal districts Democrats claY
I majority of $4,000 to 10000 in tn
combined vote of Lackawanna, Luzsrnc
and Schuvlkill Counties. populous dis
tri5Cs. including large cities Republi-
can claims Tor this sector, which Is the
most dangerous to the Republican ticket
Of any spot in the State. do not include
figures. but predict Hoover majoritiss
Cambria County, one of the largest of
the bituminolls coal counties, is admit
tedly debatable territory.
The Democrats claims % of the 81
counties. Their claims include several
normally Democratic counties and the
counties containing largest cities. usu-
ally Republican but claimed for Smith
on the wet and religious issues. Re-
publicans have not announced the num-
ger Of counties they expect to carry. but
drv rural counties. which usually pres
ent close fights, are conceded to be
unusually ssfelv Republican this year.
Manv Of them, however, have small vote
totals.
Similar divergence of claims appears
in predictions on congressional election
results. Republicans have increased
thcir claim to assured election of all So
congressman, a feat never accomplished,
except in 1924. They admit hard lights
and close results in four districts, how
ever. Democrats claim IL congress-
men, previous claims having varied from
8 to IL. There are serious contests in
only nine districts. however. and Demo-
cratic chances of success are not be-
lieved to exist in more than six or seven.
Reelection Of United States Senator
David A. Reed and three other candi-
dates for Statewide ONCE appears GER
tain. although Democratic Chairman
Collins claims that IF Smith carries the
State by 100000 to 16S,000 ma ioritv, he
will carry the four nominees for state
Office with him."
WALTER D. ROOS.
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