Evening star., 1928-10-21

States continues. according
to the latest dispatches received by
The Star from its staff correspond
ents and political writer's in every
State in the Union. These dis
patches. which this week are de-
voted largely to the congressional
campaigns. also indicate a present
trend toward the election OF Re-
publican Congress.
The line-up Of electoral votes at.
this time. AS indicated by the lat
est available information. is AS fol-
lows: Sure Republican, GOA sure
Democratic. io2; leaning Republic
an. rs; leaning Democratic, 90;
doubtful. 40,
The Importance to the country OF
having a Congress which will sup
port whomevcr is elected President
is indicated by the pleas made by
ton Of Senators and Representa-
tives belonging to their parties,
When the Nation has given a
substantial majority in the elec-
toral college to a presidential candi-
date. 1t has usually happened in the
past that a House. at least, has
been chosen with majority belong,
ing to the same partv AS the Presi-
dent The Senate majority. too.
usually has corresponded to the
party of the President, but that is
less certain. for the reason that
while an entire new House Is
elected every two years. a Senator's
term is six years and normally two
thirds of the Senators at every elec-
ton are hold-overs. Only one
third of the Senate is elected
every two years. plus Senators elect
ed to fill uneXpired terms or vacant
seats. due to deaths. designations or
other causes.
The membership of the House to-
day consists of 231 Republicans. 1913
Democrats, 2 Farmer -Laborites and
! Socialist-Representative Victor l..
Berger of Wisconsin. There are
vacancies, Of which seem nor
mally Republican and two normally
Democratic.
The present House. therefore, is
Republican By majority over all
of IS. BY counting the vacancies
as occupied by members of the indi-
Gated parties the Republican ma
jority today would be 80 over all.
The membership of the Senate
upon adjournment last May was
divided as follows: Republicans. At:
Democrats. as: Farmer Labor, /.
The case Of Senator -eleet Ware, Re-
publican. of PENNSYLVANIA, is still
undecided and he has not taken a
ic
from Illinois. due to the resigna-
tion of Frank L. Smith, Republican,
after his right to be seated had
also been challenged and investi-
gated.
Neither major party, therefore,
has an actual majority in the SEN
ate now, although for organization
purposes Senator Shipstead, Farm
wirh the Republicans, giving them
a majority of one for that purpose.
Potentially-that is, If Ware and
Smith had been seated or some
other Republican named to fill their
places--the Republicans would have
had a Senate majority of two.
Republican gain in the House and
less certain gain in the Senate.
However. these indications would
be all upset If Smith should be
elected President; for 1t Is conceded
that III that event he would carry
alCng with him to victory many
Democratic candidates for the House
and some for the Senate, who might
otherwise be defeated. just as a
Hoover presidential victory would
work to the advantage of the Re
publicans in trying to elect Re-
publican Congress. A very close
presidential result might, as in the
past, result In situation in the
House, and particularly in the Sem
ate, which would make 1t .dificult
for either party to command ma
jority and transact the public busi-
ness smoothly.
All of the 435 members of the
House will be chosen November
except four. Maine having already
elected four Republican members.
There are 35 Senators to be. elected
next month. Senator Hale, Republi-
can. of Maine, having been re-elect-
ed last month In addition to the
usual 80 senatorial elections-for
one-thlrd of the Senate-four elec-
tions will be held, in Ohio, Illinois.
Idaho and New Mexico In the last
mentioned State separate elections
will be held for the short and long
terms for Senator.
Based on the latest information
the outlook for the election of MN
bers of the House and of Senator'S
In those States which will hold SEN
atorial elections this year. is as
follows:
Alabama - Representatives. 10
Democrats; no change.
Arizona-One Democratic Sena-
tor; one Democratic representative;
no change.
Arkansas Representatives, Z
Democrats: no change.
Califorria-One Republican Sem
ator: Representatives. 10 Republic.
ans: Democrat: no change.
Colorado-Doubtful with chance
Of the Republicans gaining one
House seat.
Connecticut-Close, with prob
ably one Republican Senator and
four Republican Representatives:
no change.
Doubtful; probably one
Republican Senator and one Repub-
lican Representative; gain of one
Senator for Republicans.
Florida-One Democratic Senator