The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1928-11-05
KEEPING UP
With
THE NE WIS
BY LUDWELL DENNY

|
miracle can elect Smith. The chance
of such miracle is less than l to 5,
the Wall Street odds.
Hoover's probable electoral vote is
more than 300. His minimum is
275, or nine more than a winning
majority.
Granting Smith doubtful New
York, he has only I'll votes. OF the
,eighty-five remaining close electoral
votes he is not apt to break better
than even.
Major campaign factors are:
Solid South-Remaining Demo-
cratic, despite khan and Anti-Saloon
League.
Atlantic Seaboard = Wet and
Catholic vote may throw New York,
Massachusetts, and Rhode Island to
Smith.
Middle West-Remaining Repub-
lican, as dry Protestant vote offsets
farm revolt.
Pacific Coast-Hoover in a walk
away.
Hoover States electoral Total, 275)
California, Colorado, Connecticut,
Delaware, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana,
Iowa, Kansas, Maine Michigan,
Minnesota, Nebraska, New Hamp-
shire, New Jersey New Mexico, North
Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, oregon,
Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Utah,
Vermont Washington West Virginia,
Wyoming.
Smith States electoral Total, IT'D
Alabama, Arkansas, Florida, Geor-
gia, Louisiana, Mississippi, New
York, North Carolina, South Caro-
lima, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia.
Doubtful States electoral Total,
S5)-Of which Smith probably will
not get more than half. Arizona,
Kentucky, Maryland, Massachusetts,,
Missouri, Montana, Nevada, Rhode
Island, Wisconsin.
Situation by States:
Alabama Q2)-Senator Heflin and
khan fail to overcome Democratic
tradition.
Arizona Given money. Al
aided by strong state ticket.
Arkansas (9)-Best Democratic
organization in years more than off,
sets small Hoover minority gains.
RobinSon'S home.
Colorado (6)-Hoover by a hair,
thanks to sugar tariff and religion.
Connecticut (D-Hoover by re-
duced plurality, Smith carrying
cities Efficient G. o. P. machine
tariff issue and Protestant sectar-
ianism in rural districts expected
to overcome AIS wet vote.
Delaware (3)-Better organization:
turned, tide to Hoover.
Florida (6)-Hoover will poll big 9.
gest Republican vote ever, but his
lead in small northern" towns not
expected to upset state Democratic
habit Smith strong in Jacksonville
and Miami.
Georgia Q4-Senator George and
Democratic press prevent puny bolt
to Hoover.
Idaho (4-Borah brings home
the bacon for Hoover.
Illinois (29)-Smith's hopes died
with Boss Brennan. Smith leads H.
Chicago and other cities through
wet and foreign vote. Republican
factional fight. Hoover has sale
lead in country regions. despite
Lowden's aloofness and large Demo
cratic farm funds.
Indiana G5)-Usual Republican
plurality reduced by G. o. P. state
scandals, discredited khan and dry
leaders, and strong Democratic
gubernatorial candidate.
Iowa Q3)-Republican organiza-
ton and tradition defeat farm re-
volt
Kansas GO)-Same as Iowa, plus
Curtis home.
Kentucky Q9-A to 5 Hoover
proposition in a grand mixup OF
race, religion, liquor and railroad
rates.
Louisiana Q0)-More Democratic
than most of solid South
Maine (6)-Hoover by 10000 or
more.
Maryland 80 - Recently for
Smith, but now an even bet. Al
must carry wet Baltimore by 10000
to overcome Hoover's dry Protestant
country vote. Democratic Senator
Bruce a Smith liability.
Massachusetts, G8--Close, but
worth a Smith guess. AIS assets
include Dave Walsh, textile depres
sion. and large Catholic wet for
eign vote which is not confined to
Boston. 49,
Michigan d5)-More Republican
tFnn Hoover.
Minnesota (12)-Hoover winning
with extra session of congress
pledge. AIS strength limited to st.
Paul.
Mississippi (10)-Democrats early
checked minority Hoover movement
by raising race issue.
Missouri Q8)-Closest state in
union. Hoover's chances better
since Nagel and Houghton pulled
back some of Smiths German
American vote. Hoover must hold
AIS plurality in wet st. Louis under
80 900 to win state.
Montana (4)-Another close one.
Senator Wheeler's race giving Smith
slight edge.
Nebraska 90 - Smith,| chance
slim, though Senator Norris swing
away from Hover conceivably may
put state in Democratic column.
Hoover's tra-session-of- congress
pledge helped, as does prohibition.
Nevada (3)-Hoover's lead moth
ing to brag about. Senator Pittman
going strong for Democrats.
New Hampshire % - Senator
Moses is happy, which banishes
initial Republican fears.
New Jersey Q4-An original
Smith wet state where Hoover's
chance is now 2 to l. Boss Hague's