Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1928-08-05
c. 0. P. WILL FIGHT
SMITH IN NEW YORK
Republican Leaders See Good
Chance to Garry Demo-
cratic Nominees State.

spscisl plsnstoh 70 The Star.
ALBANY. ". Y, August 4.-Ther'
vas q decided stir in the Republican
ranks in New York State during tbs
past week. So far the Republicans
here have been content to sit back
more or less quietly and let the Demo
cratic presidential candidate, Gov A
Smith. romp through the hip-hurrar
business attendant upon his nomina-
ton AT Houston and his consequent
elevation 10 national figure whose
every word is seized upon by hungry
news gsthererS
But curing the past week the CAM
reisn managers Of the C. Q. r. began
Ia bestir themselves with real campaign
motions end spring into news print
notice themselves. Notable among the
shots fred in this early pre-campaign
hsrrage from the Republican lines was
the prediction. as tbs result Of an early
survey. that Gov. Smith would not be
sble 10 carry his own home State. al
though he has been elected governor
here four times out Of five tries.
The Republican leaders who made this
prediction based their claim on an
ANALYSIS Of the vote for Smith III New
York State in past elections and OF
conditions this year which bear upon
the component parts Of that vote.
First Of all, they point out that
since 1918. when Smith first ran for
governor. he has never made any ap-
preciahle inroa6 upon the big unState
Republican majority. and they predict
that he will set smaller vote upstate
for President than he ever did for
governor.
See Reduced Gotham Vote.
As to the situation in New York City.
they claim that Smith has always
drawn heavily from three classes of
voters there where they believe he will
not be supported so strongly for Presi-
dent. These are the Jews. the negroes
ana the Socialists
An analysis Of the Smith vote in the
past indicates that he polled at least
80 per cent Of the Jewish New York
City vote. But the Republicans claim
he will not get this for President,
Hoover leaders say that hundreds of
Jewish business men have declared that
they always voted for Al Smith for
governor but Will not support him for
President, since they are additionally
Republican in national politics Ths
great fear among them. according to
the Hoover leaders. is that the election
OF Smith would mean q Democratic
Congress. with the consequent tariff
tampering and adverse business condi-
tons.
In past State elections the governor
has almost always carried the Harlem
colored district in New York City
Hoover leaders, claim, however. that the
colored voters are beginning to feel
that the election of a Democrat as
President. even Is popular a New York
figure as Al Smith. would mean South
ern authority. against which the negro
feels he must stand Other contribu.-
ing factors which it is claimed will cut
Dawn the Democratic Harlem vote for
President are the nomination of Sens-
tor Robinson of Arkansas for Vice Pres
dent, the lynching in Houston just
prior TO the Democratic national con-
v.ntion and the Segregeting of negroes
In q cage at the convention. All of
these are making themselves felt al
ready I'm the negro voting population.
Il is claimed
Socialist Vote Cut Predicted.
A considerable Socialist vote has al
ways gone for Gov. Smith. according 10
analysis. probably largely because Of his
progressive theories and ideas. which
his political opponents have often la
beIed "socialistic" This year. how
ever. il is claimed this vote win also
probably be cut considerably, mainly
because Of the 7-cent fare decision IN
New York City and the charges that
the governor capitulated with the trac-
e. AAeAaf f4ysYT4Ar
Mayor John r. Hylan of New York, the
great 5-cent-fare nnoeui. Five-cent
fare is q fetish in New York City and
SOCIALISTS especially turn bitterly from
ANYTHING savoring OF iavoritism toward
"the interests"
The New York City headquarters Of
Senator George n. Moses. Eastern
ger Of the Hoover campaign, have
been bsIzzing during the week with
claims
perhaps the most significant fact
that came out Of the Moses headoues-
ters was the declaration by the Se1a =
tor that he has been taken quite spirit
e6iv TO task for an announcement That
ne did not think it would be worth
while to make any special effort to in
wade the solid South In his district In
the interest of Hoover.
This statement of the Senator was
said 70 have gained wide circulation ~
Southern newspapers, ana inmeolatel5
the senaoY was informed from nun
beY Of quarters in the South that. IN 81
many words. he was talking through
III: hat
ayoses Il Chastened.
II am in . highly chastened mood.
vas the comment Of Senator Mose,
after This storm Of Republican protes
Freys the South. As a result II lie sais
thaf sne PARTY Is considering an intsn
eIve drive i'm the Solid South 10 cap
tsIre electoral votes for their candidate
A. least. according TO the present be-
lief Of Senator Moses, the Republican
s1ot,fd establish o listening post
headquarters IN the South.
Most Of the letters Of protest agaiFls
the Senator's original statement, h
satd we're from North Carolina, Oeorgl;
and Florida. He rather discounted TIN
week the claims from Georgia. but n
said the reaction in the other tW'
States was significant.
geuator Moses was decidedly san
glilne this week over the prospects 10
lEooyer in Minnesota and Illinois. IL
nas no fear Of losing the former h
said. despite warnings that IL wouli
bear watching and the only trouble u
ne latter ne foreSees vii be IN CHI
csao As - Wisconsin, another Of tn
states included in the warning Sen
ator Moses admitted he was mot =
pyre
There Was much activity also j
y)euocTatT circles. but the canoloat
nina4f Coy. Smith, kept his o@l
counsel very closely during most OF ~
.EeeE and managed u enjoy re-
DAYS II rest and swimming on Lon
Txlsno gwen the hFoadslde hurle
aesjr1st his record as 0 Tsnln1any a.
afnablyman By william Allen Whit
Kansas editor, failed TO draw sny re
tort from the governor. He would ne
,ounent even when Mr.. White VIII
dre~ that portion Of his charge 70 u