The Washington times., 1928-08-08
HOOVER BAT Tie
WILL CENTER
IN EAST
BY WILLIAM X. HUTCHINSON
international News service

STANFORD UNIVERSITY. CAL,
Aug. IA Republican victory IN
the 1928 Presidential race, as viewed
BY Herbert Hoover today through
the eyes Of his political advisers,
rests on the outcome in New York.
Massachusetts, and New Jersey.
This represented q concensus of
the political forecasts given the
Republican nominee in the month
since he left his desk in the De-
partment of Commerce.
Hoover was said personally to
feel that his party would return
its normal majorities in the Far
West. the mountain, States. the farm
belt and the Middle West and that
the big battle lies along the Atlantic
seaboard.
with this in mind. Hoover will
return to washington after his
notification here next Saturday and
spend the remaining time Of the
campaign on the actual battle
ground. His closest advisers have
convinced him that he win win the
York, Massachusetts, and New
Jersey.
Two to Suffice
In fact. he was said to feel that
Republican victory in any two of
these three States would result in
his election. Hoover has been told
he can win without New York, but
that in order to do so he must
win all the normally Republican
states from Pennsylvania westward
to the Pacific and capture some
of the Democratic strongholds such
as Missouri, Kentucky, Arizona,
New Mexico, Montana and Nevada.
IN the Hoover lexicon, there are
no doubtful states" outside of
the ''soiid south. In addition to
New York, New Jersey and Mas
sachusetts. there are other "battle-
ground states.
This list includes Connecticut,
Rhode Island and Delaware on the
Atlantic coast: the four border
states, Maryland, Kentucky, Mis-
souri, and Oklahoma; Illinois, Michi-
gan and Wisconsin in the middle
west: Nebraska in the farm belt.
because OF the possible attitude Of
Senator, George w. Norris, veteran
il1surgent leader; and Arizona, Mon
tana, New Mexico and Nevada. out
where the West begins.
Hope to Win All
The Hoover management win
enter the campaign. hopeful or
winning all the battle-ground States
on the east coast. The Hoover
leaders a1so expect to win Kentucky
and OkIahonla and plan q real
battle for Missouri. They look upon
Illinois and Michigan as safely
Republican but intend to campaign
both States as though the result
were in doubt.
a special effort will be made to-
keen wisconsin in the Republican.
column, but this plan will be-
abandoned II Senator Robert "a.
IafoIlette comes out for Hoover.
There will be free-for-all fights in
Arizona. Montana, Nevada and New
Mexico with the latter looked upon
as surely Republican.
IN listening to pre-campaign re-
ports, Hoover has learned to dis
count much OF the information
given him. He has leaned toward
the advice OF such men as Secretary
Of War Dwight F. Davis, who told
him he would have hard battle
in the East, but could win with q
properly organized am p a, s n.
Hoover on several occasions has
changed the subject when some of
his visitors spoke Of landslide
victories.
Hoover was to confer with a
delegation from Los Angeles today
over his visit to that city after the
notification ceremony. Mark Requa
Dwight Murphy and Francis Grice
headed delegation to confer with
him.
w. II. Newell, OF Portland, a
former food administration associ-
s1te, was to be his guest at luncheon
today. Newell says Oregon will 20
overwhelmingly Republican this
year