Evening star., 1928-11-01
BETTING NOW EVEN
IN NEW YORK STATE
PRESIDENTIAL RACE
CONTINUED From First Page)

Cleveland election in 1892. So years ago,
except when it's electoral vote was cast
for woodrow Wilson in 1912. The Bull
Moose split in the Republican party
gave the State to Wilson then by a
minority vote. Wilson'S vote in that
year was 10000 behind the combined
Taft and Roosevelt vote. In 1915 the
State went for Hughes by 10000, and
the country had an exhibition of the
fact that the country can elect a Pres
ident even though he fails to receive
New Yorks big block of electoral votes.
The Republicans say that If Smith
carries the State next Tuesday a Sec
ond demonstration along the same line
will be given Smith must have New
York to win, but the Republicans may
elect Hoover without the Empire States
help.
Other Elections Cited.
President Coolidge carried New York
in 1924 with 1820,058 votes to 950,7 ,796
for Davis and 467, 1898 for La Toilette.
His lead over both his opponents was
about 402 900. Gov. Smith in that
year, running ahead of his ticket by a
tremendous vote, defeated Theodore
Roosevelt, jr., by 114,559. Four years
earlier, Harding carried the State by
almost 1,1O0 900 over Cox. Smith, run
ming for governor against Nathan Mill
ler, was defeated by $4,000 votes.
And now Gov Smith. the idol of mil
lions of New Workers, is running as the
presidential candidate himself. II he
can hold the great number of Repub-
I1af ha uJif
in the past he is practically certain OF
carrying the State.
The Tammany figures give Smith a
lead of $4,000 in Greater New York.
Some of the enthusiasts run this up to
TOO, ,00O Taking the 1926 figures, when
Gov. Smith defeated Ogden Mills in
the race for governor, Smith had
lead in the city over his opponent OF
484 600 votes. The Republicans do not
concede to Smith more than 100000
plurality over Hoover in Greater New
York, and they say that this is not
enough to overcome the lead with
which Hoover will come down State to
the New York City limits
Women Set New Record.
| The increase in registration in New
York has been amazing in another par
| ticular. vast number of women have
registered who have not voted in past
| elections. The registration of women in
New. York City is 49 per cent greater
| than it ever was before, while the reg
| istration of men increased only 23 per
cent.
More men are registered than women,
| it is true. but the women this year have
come out in greater numbers, COM
| paratively speaking, than the men. Here
| again both sides see an advantage in
| this big registration of women. 1t has
been claimed throughout the campaign
| that the women were for Hoover, par
| ticularly because he has the dry end of
the fight and because of the appeal he
makes to them as food administrator
during the war.
On the other hand, the Democrats say
that they have registered thousands of
women for Smith, both among the for
eign groups, the Catholics and the la
boring class. Both the Republicans and
the Democrats are making careful last
minute canvasses of the vote in New
York City. The most experienced Re-
publican leaders in the city have
reached the conclusion that Smiths lead
| in New York, the greater city, will not
| exceed 100000. They figure they have
| given him all he can expect In setting
| this limit. In their opinion, it will not
be enough to carry the State, for they
expect Hoover to come to New York with
! 100000 lead from upstate. If he
does, he will win New York by 100000
! votes. All this is figured on the per-
i centage basis, for it would be obviously
| impossible for any one to make real
| check-up of all the registered voters.
Tammany's Best Grip.
To get back for a minute to the reg
! istration figures In the Is districts in
| Manhattan which Tammany controls
| absolutely the increased registration
! was less than 1000. In the 10 other
districts in Manhattan, where Tammany
is not so strong and where the Repub-
| licans have more of chance, the in
| creased registration was upward of
| $4,000 From this comparison the Re-
publicans are also taking hope.
Gov. Smith is planning his last appeal
| of the campaign in New York City,
when he will address a great meeting
here Saturday night. He must have
| New York state. whatever else he may
| lose, and the Democrats are going to
| give it to him or break leg.