The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1928-10-29
KEEPING UP
With
THE NE WIS
BY LUDWELL DENNY
ID LUZ w ELL DEN n n
Copyright, Scripps-Howard NeWspap
1921 -


| Copyright, Scrtpps-Howard Newspapers,
1929
VXTASHINGTON, Oct. 29.-Her-
w bert Hoover will get the 266
electoral votes necessary for cleo
ton, and from 80 to so more.
Though Smith will hold the solid
South, and may carry New York,
Massachusetts,, and smaller doubt
full states, his probable maximum
totals only 233, or 33 short of a ma
jority.
This is a composite estimate one
week before election based upon
straw votes, confidential political
surveys, and reports of state CORE
spondents and staff writer's of the
| United Press and various news
papers, including the tWenty-siX
Scripps- Howard papers, the Wash
/ ington Post, Washington Star, New
York World, New York Herald
Tribune and New York Times
Campaign predictions are never
absolute. With from 100000 to
100000 more persons voting this
year than four years ago, and with
unprecedented boiling of parties be-
cause of issues such as religion and
liquor, the possibility of results dis
PRAYING the advance dope is
greater than ever.
Nevertheless, neutral observers in
the forty-eight states are fairly we'll
agreed as to the situation in their
localities today.
Missouri 18 votes and Wisconsin
03) are so close as to defy predic-
ton and may swing either way dur
ing the week.
Among the other large or medium
vote doubtful states, Hoover is gem
orally reported to be leading in New
Jersey 90, Minnesota Q2), Ken
lucky G3, Oklahoma G0), Nc
braska 81 and Smith in New York
(45), Massachusetts G8) Maryland
80, Tennessee Q2),
FOLLOWING is a composite esti-
Il mate of the forty-eight states
which deliberately eXaggerates AIS
chances by granting him thirty-siX
Missouri Wisconsin Rhode Island
votes:
Hoover-Arizona, California, Colo
RADIO, Connecticut, Delaware, Idaho,
Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas,
Kentucky, Maine, Michigan, Mime
sofa, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada,
New Hampshire. New Jersey New
Mexico, North Dakota, Ohio, Okla
homa, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South
Dakota, Utah, Vermont, Washing
ton, West Virginia, Wyoming. Total,
81 states; 293 electoral votes.
Smith - Alabama Arkansas,
Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Mary
land, Massachusetts, Mississippi,
New York, North Carolina, Rhode
Island, South Carolina, Tennessee,
Texas, Virginia, Wisconsin. Total,
II states; 233 electoral votes
The above lists are not given as
exact predictions of the way each
state will fall, but represent rather
a consensus of Hoovers minimum
electoral total and Smiths maxi
mum.
Smith is given all the southern
States. Hoover is expected to poll
a record Republican vote in North
Carolina, Alabama and Florida,
without carrying any of the three,
Outside the solid south. Smith has
no assured states. AIS lead in
New York, Massachusetts,, Maryland
/ and Tennessee is slight.
WHEN Democratic politicians
w and editorial writer's insist
that Smith has a good chance to
win the election, they give him all
the seventeen states listed above,
and the following:
New Jersey, IA; Kentucky, 10;
Nebraska, 8, or an addition 49,
bringing his total up to 1858, which
is ? more than the required ma
| jority. Some Smith enthusiasts go
on and add Minnesota, -; Mon
tana, 4; North Dakota, 5, and Ari-
IONA, 3, raising the Democratic
| total to 300.
Obviously these seven states rep
resent the difference between VIC
! tory and defeat for Smith, but nom
partisan reports do not average
| giving him more than one out NJ
seven.
SO, despite Smith gains during the
last fortnight, the early campaign
dope still stands-nothing short Of
an unexpected landslide can carry
AL TO the White House.
What is the value Of United
States nickel scent piece dated