Evening star., 1928-04-22

one In nine Let US say, for easier CAL
culation. that 1t Is one in ten. When
he makes IL, his chance OF doing the
same with the next hole Is also one In
ten. therefore, taken from the start his
chance of making the two holes sue
ceSsively in bogey is one-tenth OF a
tenth chance. In other words, 1t Is
one in five hundred
The reader sees already how encour-
aging the calculation is. Here Is at
last something definite about his prog
reSs. Let us carry 1t further. His
chance of making three holes in oogey.
one after the other. will be one m a
thousand: his chance of four, one in
ten thousand. and his chance OF max
ing the whole round in bogey will be
exactly one in 200 000, ,000-that is,
one In q billion games.
In other words, all he has 10 do Is
to keep right on. But for how longs
he asks. How long will it take. play
ing the ordinary number OF games in
month. to play billion? Win 1t take
several years? Yes. il will.
An ordinary player plays about 100
games IN a year. and Will, therefore.
play q billion games in exactly TO-
100000 years. That gives us precisely
the time ii Will need for persons like
TIC ASANSA oA9 aASSSAA W ~ AoSAA0 AA
bogey.
Even this calculation needs a little
revision We have to allow for the
fact that In Io0.000000 years the
shrinking Of the earth'S crust. the di-
miniShing heat Of the sun and the
general Slackening down of the whole
solar system. together with the pass
ing OF eclipSeS, comets and showers Of
meteors. may put us of our game.
In fact, one begins to consider II
We shall ever get around in bogey
after all, So let us try something else.
Here Is very interesting calculation
in regard TO allowing for the wind"
I HAVE noticed that a great many
golf players of my own particular
class are always preoccupied With the
question OF allowing for the wind"
NV friend AmphibluS Jones, for en-
ample just before driving always mur-
murS something. as II in prayer. about
allowing for the wind" After driving
he says with sigh. II didn't allow for
the wind" In fact. all through my
class there Is a general feeling that our
game Is practically taken over by the
wind We ought really TO play In the
middle Of the Sahara desert.
II occurred 10 me that II might be
interesting 10 reduce To formula the
effect exercised by the resistance of the
wind ON moving golf bali, For ex-
ample, in our game Of last Wednesday
Jones In his drive struck the ball with
what he assures me was his fun force.
hitting II with absolute accuracy, as he
himself admits. fair IN the center. and
he himself feeling. on his own assertion,
absolutely mt. his eye being (a very
necessary thing with JaneSl absolutely
In" and he also having on his proper
Sweater~-a further necessary condition
Of firSt-claSS play, Under all the fa-
vorabie circumstances the ball advanced
only so yardSl
Ii was evident at oAcN that II was a
simple matter of the Wind The wind,
which was Of that treaetercus char
actef that blows over the links un-
noticed, had imptnged fun upon the
ball, pressed II backward. ana forced II
to the earth.
Here, then. Is neat subject af cal
cnlation, Granted that jones ~~ as
measured on hitting machine the
week the circus was here-~-ean hit two
tons. and that this whole force Was
pressed against golf ball only one inch
and u quarter In diameter What hap
penss My reader viii remember that
the superficial area OF golf hall il
TIRa~~thAt Ia. 2,ialSST tA, meheSA
I, And all at this driven forward With
the power ot A0o0 rounds 10 the inch.
III short, taking jones statements AZ