The Indianapolis times. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1922-1965, 1928-10-10
Jackson in by Only 82,481;
Machines Hold Seen
as Weakening.
NOT so SURE ON SMITH
But Democrats Expect to
Cut Majority Far Be-
low CooIidge'S.
BY ROBERT L. BEARD

nicking I'D their pencils TO pacA
+11eir confident predictions of the
election of Frank G. Daley 10 Vic
oovernorsh!u Nov. 6, only three
weeks from next Tuesday
Few Democrats vii put laCo ~
MANY words teir doubts OF Governor
Alfred E. Smiths ability to carry
The state. But their misgivings pc
come apparent when they begin
concentrations to support their argu-
ments for Dailey's victory by settlng
DOWN "iust for argument" their
estimate of Hoover's PROBABLE ma
iority in Indiana. .,,-
on Smiths chances nationally
thew are not so ready to make con-
CesSionS. 4ooa
In the general election OF 1924
the ratio of voting strength pc
tween Republicans and Democrats
in Indiana, as shown in the COOL
idge-Davis vote, was approximately
+o 5 in the Republicans favor
THE actual vote was Coonoge'
703 o42: Davis, 492, PAS; Coolidge
plurality, 21O,7s7.
jackson Falls Behind
But Ed Jackson went into the
Governors chair with pluraIUy u
hut 82,481 over Carleton B. NC
CIIlloch, Democratic nominee.
Packed by the Khan at the helgnt
If it's power and by the Republican
,,1ocbipe with all gears meshing
Jackson's plurality was 12S.Sl6 pc
hind that of the presidential stand
ard bearer. Jackson polleo oo4' 'o4
votes to McCulloch's 572,3O3.
The 1920 general election, 100
had supported the 7 to rauo'
Harding getting 693,37O votes to
511.364 for Cox.
Some of the dopesters like to loC
down the 1926 returns on the PACKS
of fraved envelopes as a better
index to start figuring from. IneSe
returns. Democrats contend, !no1-
cate that material inroads had been
made into Republican ranks. -,
In 1926 Watson barely defeated
stump. 522, 1877 to 511,454, while
Robinson defeated Evans WooAen
nv a wider margin, 519,40l to
496 54O-but still less than the 10
5 ratio.
6O,738 for SchOrtemeier
Running for secretary OF state
Schortemeier beat Arthur j. Ham
rick. again the Democratic nominee
This wear. 534,058 to 473,320, dill
ference of only 60,738.
All these figures bear out, Demo
Gratis reflect, the statement OF H.
Earl Peters, Democratic State
chairman. voiced early in the cam
naign. that Republican are in the
saddle in Indiana by only 20 per
cent advantage in normal voting
strength.
II IS at this point in their calcu-
lations that the Daley enthusiasts
begin to grin.
If 7 to 5 approximates the nor
NAL condition, it takes but one
switch from the Republican to
the Democratic 5 to even the score.
"Dailey and clean government,
thew contend, is the factor that Will
produce that switch, and on such
proportions as to put him on Cne
heavy end of the governorship tee
ter-totter.
Daley Net Hurt
All of this, Of course, is leaving
smith out of the picture. That his
views on modification will cost him
dearly in Indiana practlcally all
agree. But Democrats do not be-
lieve Daley will be hurt one whit
In other words, they believe
Democrats to a man, bone-dry OF
liberal, will cast their votes for
DALEY ever. though the out-and-
out arid group may switch from
Smith to Hoover.
Democrats with mind Tor po-
liticaI prog1osticating can pencil
DALEY into the governorship should
Hoover's plurality over Smith
amount to as much as 10000 OF
100000 in the State. But few
there are, even in the G. o. P.
who think the cabinet member will
carry the State by more than
100000, while 10000 or $4,000 repre-
sents the average opinion.
The minority party, too, is bank
ing heavily on help from the 71,70C
voters who cast their ballots for
LaFollette in 1924 while Coolidge
was running up his 21O,797 plurality
over Davis.
See Progressive Aid
This progressive vote, they recall
was around $4,000 larger than the
States normal Socialist vote, and
most of this, they contend, was
normally Democratic.
In the coming election, Norman
Thomas, Socialist standard bearer
will not parallel La Follette's
strength and Democrats are count
ing on $4,000, or 10000 of this
$4,000 returning to the fold.
The subordination of senatorial
and congressional contests to the
presidential and governorship races
in indiana has caused speculation
to vary widely on the probable fate
of Arthur Robinson. Republican
candidate for reelection to the
Senate; Albert Stump, his Demo
cratic rival, and congressional hope
fuls from Indiana's thirteen dis
trictS.
Democrats, admittedly, have g
harder job tuning State candidate:
to the presidential wave-lengtt
than do Republicans, who, from
top to bottom of the State ticket
figure on riding into Office or
Hoover'S majority.