The Bismarck tribune. [volume] (Bismarck, N.D.) 1916-current, 1928-10-19
G. @. P. Candidate Also Given
Lead in Several Doubt.
full States

Hoover is leading in six of the
ten States in the "Solid South" as
more than 100000 returns from
all of the forty-eight states are re-
ported in The Literary Digest's huge
national Presidential Poll which is
published today.
With the vote announced as not
yet completed. Smith is carrying
only Georgia. Louisiana, Mississippi
and South Carolina, while Hoover
has substantial margins over his
rival in the Democratic st,onghclds
of Florida, North Carolina. Texas
and Virginia and sparing lends in
Alabama ard Arkansas, which leads
The Literary Digest classes ss
doubtful !.
The border states of Kentucky,
Maryland, Oklahoma and Tennessee
give the Republican candidate COM
Portable plurality.
Of the total of 2,529.997 votes
returned in this fifth weeks tabula-
tons of The Literary Digcst's poll,
Hoover has 1.593,436 while Smith
has 91O23 This gives a percent
age of GO for Hoover to -36 for
Smith. which is almost the precise
ratio of last weeks returns.
Hoover at present shows lead
in this "straw poll" in several of
the states that are generally con-
sidered doubtful, as in Wisconsin,
where he is ahead by 1851 to d.
SAT: in North Dakota, where he
leads by 5,40s to 2.8O3; in Mime
sofa. where his ratio is 52,S82 to
23,021; and in Montana. where he
is polling $3.50 to Smiths 3,152.
Smith Leads in East .,.-r-.s
The Republican candidate is lead.
ing in returns from all the Eastern
states from Maine to Delaware by
ratios of 2 to and 3 to except
in New York, where, though he has
substantial lead in the state as q
whole, the New York City vote is
strongly favorable to the Democratic
side, showing Smith with 1S0,822 tt
Hoover's 93,974.
An analysis of show the same
voters voted in 1924" offers the sig.
nificant shift that for the first time
since this postcard election" wa!
started Smith is polling more Of hi
strength from voters who state thai
they voted Democratic in the las
Presidential election than those wht
have changed from Republican
ranks. although. the difference il
rather slight. Previously he ha
had in his column more 1924 Repub
licans than 1924 Democrats.
| In the south Hoover is indicated
as obtaining. the better part of hi
support from Democratic source
in the states where he shows lead
Hoover Takes Chicago
, In individual polls of Chicago an
Philadelphia, where the entire regis
tered, electorate is being polled, tn
same as in New York City. Hoove
shows an advantage Of 93,286 I
, 67,646 in the Illinois metropolis an
| 68,495 to 47.810 in Philadclphis
Against this Smith is shown pollin
more Of his strength from forme
! Republicans than from previou
Democratic voters in both Of thes
: cities.
! 1.-THE poll establishes new RET
4 ord this week." The Literary Diges
: states editorially, with 1888, 9e
votes recorded as against somewh,
less than 100000 when the poll (
1924 had reached the present stag
of development.
! with the present tabulation ii
returns may be considered for tt
. first time fairly representative [
! the country as a whole. The div
sion of the vote is slightly MOI
! favorable to Governor Smith tbs
& in the earlier tabulations.
Party Lines Broken
: 1.-THE widespread breaking dow
3 of political fences, noted throug
: out the previous reports, is evl
9 more evident in the present tab
: lation. It may be observed. no,
g ever. that with fuller reports fro
}. the Southern states. there ID an
/ creasing switch Of Democrats
: Hoover, along with Mr.. Smith
J, increasing suffrage from form
= Republicans.
III For the first time in the poll.
III will be noticed, Governor Ssni
4 draws more 81 his support FRI
III Democrats of 1024 than from J
y. iSt1;AAna ~ khak spnnt HI n