Evening star., 1928-10-22
Headquarters PropheSies VIC
tory in Area From AIIegha-
MES to Pacific Coast.
TEXAS TO FALL IN LINE,
GOOD NOW DECLARES
Democratic Offices in st. Louis Call
Republican Claims Prepos-
terous-Cite IL States.
BY G. GOULD LINCOLN,
staff Correspondent of The Star.

|
Republican headquarters here. This
confidence extends not only to the
ability of Herbert Hoover to carry near
ly all of the States in the so-called
Western division, but also to carry the
country.
This Western division, in the Repub-
lican campaign organization, covers %
States. 1t is headed by former Repre-
sentative James w. Good of Iowa. And
from Mr.. Good on down the line the
Republican campaign leaders at head
quarters say they see signs Of big
Hoover sweep in all this Western ter
ritory.
Perched high in one of Chicago's
newest skyscrapers on Michigan boule-
vard Mr.. Good and his assistants are
in constant touch with leaders and the
situations in all of the States. The
headquarters is run like big industrial
plant and occupies three floors or more
of the building. 1t is great dis
tributing center of campaign literature,
speakers, buttons, posters, etc. Constant
check is kept on all the States in the
division" It is a hive of political in
duStry.
West Is Vital to Cause.
The West is of tremendous Importance
to the Hoover cause this year. 1t is
in this great area, extending from the
Alleghanies to the Pacific Coast, that
Republicans expect to roll up the elec-
toral votes which will insure the vic
tory of the Republican presidential
candidate. They must have, too, the
great State of Pennsylvania, with its
38 electoral votes, and some of the New
England States, plus New Jersey and
a border State here and there. But,
IN the main, the Hoover drive must
succeed in the West
Notwithstanding the absolute conf
dence of those in Republican headouar-
ters, there are still soft spots" States
In which the final result as between
Smith and Hoover is in doubt These
doubtful States, and Mr.. Good does not
admit they are doubtful and he may be
proved right if the Hoover sweep is as
he sees 1t, include Missouri, Nebraska.
Minnesota, North and South Dakota,
Montana, New Mexico, Nevada, Arizona
and Wisconsin. Added to these are
Oklahoma and Kentucky, which while
leaning to Hoover will bear watching
on election day.
Mr.. Good has also in his % States,
three States of the Solid South. y
Ihey are Arkansas, Louisiana and
Texas. The Western chairman con-
cedes Louisiana and Arkansas to the
Democrats, and he formerly conceded
Texas, but today has changed his mind,
he says.
Now Expects Victory.
Five weeks ago." says Mr.. Good. 81
did not expect that Texas would 60 for
Hoover, but I would not have been
surprised If it did. Now expect Texas
TO go for Hoover and I would be sur
prised if it did not"
This sounds like unadulterated optim-
ism. But Mr.. Good is quite sincere in
the expression of his views. While the
republicans will roll up a big vote in
!eXaS, and according to Democrats who
nave been there recently, Dallas and
houston and several other cities are
Lkely TO- go Republican, it does not
appear likely that the Lone Star State
will desert Democracy. Nevertheless .
strong band of old Democratic raders
IN the State is out to beat Smith if
| they can. -
Inc other 13 States in this Western
aIvlSion may well be set down as safe
LOT 1I, hoover. They are California, Idaho,
1nlnols, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas. Michi-
gan, ONO, Oregon, Utah, Washington
wyoming and Colorado. They have q
total OF 148 electoral votes.
Inc IL States in which Smith seems
sun 70 nave chance, including okla
| noma and Kentucky, have a total of
~ electoral votes. Smith chances in
" tIils uozen States appear to be brighter
~ missouri, Nebraska, Wisconsin, North
DakoCa; New Mexico, Nevada and Ari-
1oiia tnan IN the other five. If Mr..
oooo should prove right in his prog
InosClcaCionS and the Republicans of the
States except Arkansas and Louisiana.
they would roll up a total of 265 cleo
toral votes for Mr.. Hoover. That is
just one vote shy of the number neces-
sary to elect President.
Hawes Is Confident.
| The Democratic regional headquar-
ters for the Middlewest are located in
st. Louis, under direction of Senator
Harry Halves of Missouri. Senator
HaWes says that the Republican claims
are utterly preposterous. He insists the
Democrats will carry Missouri, Nebras-
Ka, wisconsin, Minnesota and Oklaho-
ma In his territory, and that they have
more OF chance in Illinois, than they
are given credit for. Senator Hawes
is Keeping close tabs on the States for
J which he is responsible, too. Further
more, he has adopted plan which was
used by him when he was in the Army
during the World War for working out
trends for or against the United States
and the Allied forces.
! BY means of this plan, which takes
INTO consideration all kinds of elements,
/ information and views from every
| source, it was possible to predict al
/ most to the day the time hostilities
would cease, considerably before the
world had any idea of the end. The
same plan, he says, gives him assurance
that Missouri will go Democratic, ana
that there is very good chance OF De-
pocratic victory in other Midwest
| States.
Thomas F. Donovan, Democratic ma
tional committeeman and Democratic
State chairman for Illinois, is in charge
of the Democratic headquarters mere,
with many assistants under him. Mr.
Donovan insists that there is a SWING
to Smith in Illinois. He looks for
big vote among the downstate farmers
for Smith, or rather against HOOVER
| he says.
Among the run of politicians and
people who are directly affected by
the Office holders in Chicago there
is more interest today in the campaign
Continued on PageA, ColuTnn