New Britain herald., 1928-09-27
N HOlIEI1E PARTY
 $ BIG QUESTION
D'asclats ind Rspaacak
 Both Deblts Vote Turn


 Salt Lake City. Utah. Sept. .7 N' -An interesting mathematical theory lies behind the democratic bid for western electoral votes in 1928. It Is that Governor Smith, once his views have ben presented fully to the western electorate, 'fill win the bulk of the support that went to Senator La Toilette in the three -cornered campaign of 1924. Adding this to the vote given John w. Davis, the dopesters arrive at a Smith victory in a number of states which Coolidge carried without hav- ing . clear majority over the com- bined vote of his opponents.
 Purely Democratic Thesis
 This, 1t should be understood, is purely a democratic thesis. to which the Hoover managers do not sub scribe. The republicans deny that the La Toilette vote, or even the western progressive" vote. can be treated mathematically as a uhit, capable of transfer en masse from one allegiance to another. Republ- can dopesters say. furthermore. '"at most of those who voted for La Toilette were republicans and that they naturally will return to the paternal hearthstone now that the La Toilette party is no more.
 The hopes of the democrats in this matter have their beginning in the we'll established western urge to- ward progressive policies. "a term often used but variously defined. Roosevelt, always a western idol, selected the nsms progressive" for his third perty in Is1a. twelve years before the same label was chosen for the third party venture of La Toilette. The independent bloc of westerners who have been operating in the senate at Washington go by the name of progressive it is the belief of the democratic managers that before the campaign is over, Governor Smith will have given convincing proof of his devotion to progressive" principles, even though he does not agree with all of the opinions of other "progreS dve" leaders.
 Chairman Raskob has told his oubordinates in the democration na- Gonal organization that he expects Smith to receive the support of 80 per cent or the progressive" vote, as represented by the La Toilette strength four years ago. The west oga regional headquarters of the democrats here in Salt Lake City. after . canvas of La Foilette's 1924 leaders in Idaho. declares that in that state Smith is assured of 75 per cent of the La Toilette following. In Idaho La Toilette ran second in the 1s:t election, the vote standing: Coolidge ss,oo0, La Toilette 54,000, Davis 24.000.
 Democratic Reasoning
 For whatever it may be worth, herr is the way the democrats apply their reasoning to the Rocky Noun taln group of states as whole:
 The group includes eight states, all cia iassified ordinarily as republican htes and all claimed today by the
 ib'lcans-Montana, Idaho. Wy
 b, Colorado. Utah. Nevada. Ari-
 8. and New Mexico. In six of
 sc states. tho republicans have
 .n in the minority in three out of the last four presidential elections. The ono republican sweep was the Harding landslide of 1920. All eight weIs carried by Wilson in 1916. Coolidge carried them all in 1924. but only in wyoming and Colorado did his vote exceed the combined ''anti.republican" vote cast for Davis and La Toilette.
 These eight states together have but % electoral votes. just two thirds accorded New York state alone. When Governor Smith was nominated at Houston, many poli- ticians believed he would stake everything on . combination of east and south, and would leave this western corridor to take care of it. self. Instead, the democratic nom. inse already has delivered two cam- paign speeches in this section. and the democratic organization is dis putting all states with considerable vigor.
 At Denver he spoke on water power and at Helena on Teapot Dome. Water power has been pro- nounced an outstanding issue by va rious leaders of the progressive group including Senator Norris of Nebraska, who has made many sen- ate speeches attacki' 3 the power trua-" The senate resolution for investigation of public utilities was introduced by another westerner. | Senator Walsh of Montana. It was the elder La Toilette who propose the Teapot Dome investigation. and Senator Walsh who prosecuted 1t. It was Senator Wheeler of Montana. Ia Follette's running mate in 1924. who prosecuted the Daugherty in vestigation.
 Hope To Get Vote
 Considering all of these things, the regional managers of the demo- cratic western campaign at head quarters here expect these two ad- dresses to greatly aid in swinging the La Toilette vote into the Smith column in November.
 To which the republicans reply that the whole theory that the La Toilette vote in the west can be captured by a sachem Of Tammany hall is rank fallacy.
 For instance. Mrs. Bryant B. Brooks. republican committee wom- an for Wyoming says:
 My idea is western men for western people: why vote for New York ?"
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