Evening star., 1926-10-30
WADSWORTH RACE,
WITH c. 0. P. SPLIT,
DECLARED IN DOUBT
New York Senator Apparent
Iy Needs Democratic Votes
to Win Tuesday.
WAGNER, HOWEVER, GETS
SUPPORT OF TAMMANY
Drys' Effort to Wrest Republican
Leadership From Vets Is
Pivotal Factor.
BY G., GOULD LINCOLN,
Staff Correspondent of The Star.

NEW 1ORh, N. T., OCLODeT oo-
Can Senator James w. Wadsworth,
jr., Republican, obtain enough Demo
cratic wet votes to offset the loss Of
Republican drys who will vote in
large numbers for Cristman, Inde-
pendent Republican and bone-dry?
The answer will spell defeat or vic
tory for Wadsworth in the senatorial
election which is to take place Tues.
day. The Republicans say he can.
The Democrats, supporting Robert
F. Wagner for the Senate, say that
he cannot.
In the race for his political life
and future Senator Wadsworth has
several distinct advantages. He Is
the Republican leader of the State.
He has q record and a background
behind him such as few public men
possess today. He has the benefit
of the so-called Republican prosperity,
which Is to be found in New York
State to a greater degree perhaps
than In any other. He has the ad-
vantage of running in a State which
votes Republican nationally, what.
ever it may do in State elections.
Factors Against Him.
Against him Senator Wadsworth
has the division in the Republican
party over the wet and dry issue.
Repubilca nism upstate is dry. Most
OF the Republican members Of Con-
gress in upstate districts are dry.
lie has, too. against him Judge Wag-
ner, pet of Tammany Hall former
Democratic leader Of the State Senate,
He has Arrayed against him the whole
force OF Tammany. the strongest
single political organization in the
State.
He has against him the Anti.Saloon
League, the w. c. T. U. and ali
the other temperance organizations.
And finally he has against him Gov.
Al Smith. heading the Democratic
ticket. and the possibility that thou.
sahos OF democrats and supporters
ticket. 0's AT
Here in New York City the wise
acres. the man on the street. the
gamblers, all give Wadsworth the
cage IN this race. The betting odds
are quoted at to 5, 8 to and even
10 l In favor of Wadsworth. II
may be recalled, however, that in
ls22 the betting right up to the time
OF election was to l and 5 to in
favor of former Senator Calder Re.
publican, to beat Senator Copeland
democrat. and yet Copeland won hv
2Sl,O00 votes. Calder was a wet and
copeland was regarded as a dry. and
many Republican drys voted for the
democrat, just as this year they are
gong TO vote for Cristman against
"aos"orth' the Republican wet.
Difficult to Estimate.
In spite Of the Wadsworth talk T.
Is difficult in cold figures to set down
victory for the senior Senator from
New York over his Democratic op-
ponent. In 1920. the last time SEN
ator Wadsworth ran for office. Mrs.
Boole, head OF the Women's Christian
temperance Union. was a candidate
Tor the Senate on the Prohibition
ticket. Practically without organiza-
tion, she received $4,000 votes. It
was the year of the Harding and Re-
publican landslide Senator Wads-
worth defeated his Democratic on
ponent by 533,o96 votes, but he ran
S56.S33 votes behind Harding.
Wadsworth's opponent, Harry
Walker. was by no means as strong
a candidate as Judge Wagner, from
the standpoint of the Democrats.
Indeed, 1t has frequently been
charged that there has in the nast
been a friendly understanding be-
tween Tammany and Wadsworth and
that no serious effort has been made
by that organization to defeat Wads-
worth.
This year the situation ia vastly
different. Wadsworth is without Tam
many support, real or fancied. Gov
Smith might have been content six
years ago to see Wadsworth elected
to the Senate, but in view of his
present presidential aspirations. it will
mean a great deal to him to show
sufficient strength to carry with him
TO success the Democratic nominee
for the Senate. The word has gone
out from Olvany, Tammany chieftain.
that Wagner Is to be elected.
Cristman Chances Analysed.
State Senator Franklin Cristman.
Republican Independent and dry
candidate, Is banker a man of sub
stance and a Republican leader in
Herkimer County. He has the full
advantage of solid support from the
temperance organizations. He has
made a vigorous campaign. which be.
gan when he was campaigning for the
Republican nomination for the Senate
prior to the State convention. It is
eSLlulaLeO IRAL ne VIII run FAR
stronger than did Mrs. Boole on the
prohibition ticket.
The Cristman campaign managers
are claiming that he will receive
10000. II he does. the Wadsworth
goose would be cooked to a turn. The
lowest estimate Of the Cristman vote,
from the Republican headquarters
themselves. is $4,000. It is likely
that he will receive 100000 votes.
Tammany figures that Smith will
carry Greater New York by soc, 900
or a little less. 1t figures that
Wagner may run 100000 behind
Smith, but 1t also figures that Wagner
will get the full Democratic vote up
State. If Cristman cuts into the Re-
publican upstate strength to the ex-
tent that 1t now appears he will, 1t
is difficult to see how the Republicans
will be able to save Wadsworth. Yet
they claim now that Wadsworth will
defeat Wagner by 25o.000 votes.
Drys in Dead Earnest.
Make no mistake about it. the dry
forces are out to defeat Wadsworth
If it can be done. They regard 1t as
essential that the Republican leader
ship Of New York shall not continue
wet. The Democratic leadership and
the Democratic party Of New York is
wet and proud of 1t. The only hope
Of the drys in this pivotal State Is to