The Washington times., 1924-07-18
NEEDS Al
VOTES
GAN GIT
Davis Has Good Chance to
Bring staIemate Even II
He Is Not Elected
BY WILLIAM HARD.

BY WILLIAM HARD.
From the standpoint Of the
calculations in preceding articles,
the ultimately technical doubt
ful" States in the impending cam
paign are the following:
In New England Rhode Island.
In the Central East New York,
New Jersey, Delaware, Maryland,
West Virginia, Ohio and Indiana.
West Of the Mississippi Mis-
sour. Colorado, Wyoming, Utah,
Nevada, Arizona and New Mexico.
Hope Of Both Sides.
Some Of these fifteen States are
weighted toward the Democratic
alde. Some are weighted toward
the Republican side. All are claim.
"a in hope by both sides.
The other thirty.three States have
been classified In preceding articles
into those In which Mr.. Davis ii a
presumably certain winner. those il
which Mr.. Coolidge is presumably
1ar In the lead, ana those In which
la Follette seems superiority fay.
ored by the present perhaps mass.
Ing, posture Of circumstances.
These other thirty three states,
e0talling 233 electoral votes. leava
102 electoral votes among them to
% the scene Of the final decisive
struggle between the contestants
A complete analysis Of the situa.
eion In these fifteen States win prom
erly be postponed by this writer TIL
after their doubtful and incalculabIe
responses to the campaign speeches
- the candidates can be more amply
considered.
Possibility Of StaIemate.
AT this time it is intended only
10 point out the reasons why there
- g ready possibility Of a stale
mate In the contest.
The betting favorite among the
contestants at this time is Mr..
Coolidge. The professional wager.
takers have been offering money
on him at two to one and even
ct more than two to one. This
betting reflects the general com.
posite political professional opinion
OF the moment
It represents the view that Mr.,
Coolidge will carry a strongly DOM
inant portion Of the doubtful
states.
To be specific, it represents the
view that Mr. Coolidge, out Of
the 1852 electoral votes in the IF.
teen critically doubtful States, Will
WIN at least lit votes.
Counting his 149 sure votes al
ready with him, he has to win at
least III more in order to get q
majority, 266 In the electoral col
lege.
Can Mr.. Davis prevent him from
getting those 1T votes in the fif.
teen doubtful states?
9 In other words, can Mr.. Davis
acquire forty-six electoral votes for
himself in the fifteen doubtful
States?
Claims BY Partisans.
His partisans claim that he win
Be an absolute winner ana that he
win have a majority in the electoral
college himself.
Postponing that contention for
consideration to q later date, since
Mr.. Davis is the under-man in the
betting odds, let us consider here
only the question whether or not in
the fifteen doubtful States he stands
q chance Of getting those necessary
1orty-six votes to prevent Mr.. Cool
idge from obtaining a majority.
The answer has to be that the
chance exists
Let US consider, for instance.
seven certain States In the doubtful
list.
Maryland-Maryland went Demo.
cratic strongly for United States
Senator in 1922, and it went even
more strongly Democratic for
governor last year. Mr.. Davis has
q chance in Maryland.
Chance in Home State.
West Virginia--West Virginia
went Democratic for United States
Senator in 1922 and its delegation IN
the lower house of Congress- now
consists Of four Democrats to two
Republicans. Moreover, Mr.. Davis
comes from West Virginia. Aas
certainly has chance there.
8 Missouri. Missouri went Demo-
cratic quite heavily for United
States Senator in 1922 and its dele
cation in the lower house Of Con-
gress is eleven Democrats to five
Republicans. Missouri Is quite
evenly balanced perhaps at the
present time but the Democratic
Presidential candidate certainly has
Q chance in 1t.
Wyoming. Wyoming has q De-
mocratic governor and went heavily
Democratic for United States Sen.
ator in 1922.
Nevada, Arizona, and New Mexico.
About them the following remarks,
hold true in all three cases.
The governors are Democratic.
The Representatives in the lower
house Of Congress are all Demo
cratic.
The elections for United States
Senators in 1922 went heavily De-