Atlanta tri-weekly journal. [volume] (Atlanta, Ga.) 1920-19??, 1924-09-13
DAVIS FAR AHEAD,
SHAVER ASSERTS
ANALYZ|NC VOTE

WASHINGTON Sept. 10.-Confi-
dence that the presidential election
will be decided in favor of John w,
Davis in the electoral college, ana
will not be thrown into congress,
was expressed in a statement issued
last night by Glen l.. Shaver, chair
man Of the Democratic national COM
mittee.
1T is just as WELL" he said, tic
get rid at once of the nonsensical no.
ton being spread by Republicans
that Coolidge is the leading candl-
date, and that it is necessary to vote
| for him to keep the election out OF
| congress. Just the reverse is true.
| Claiming 204, "sure votes for the
| Democratic candidate and conceding
only 1873 in that category for the
president, Mr.. Shaver asserted:
IF the voter were to cast his bal
lot from the sole motive. of keeping
| the election out of the house, ne
would vote for the candidate VINO
had the largest number of sure votes,
and that candidate would be John
w. Davis. No candidate even ans
breaches him in the number of sure
votes.
There has not been a single esq
innate by those engaged in carrying
the election now with their pads and
pencils which has not conceded the
vote of the southern states to Davis!
| That means that Davis starts with
1889 certain votes in the electoral COLI
lege.
"But there are other states that
Davis will carry, although they are
not listed in the Davis column on
southern states. They represent q
total Of IS votes in the eltCoral coli
lege, giving Davis a total OK 204 sure
votes, without counting tho doubtful
and normally Republican states.
1.-The minimum claim of friends on
Senator La Toilette gives him IS cleo.
toral college votes. Adding these to
the Davis vote Of 204, makes a total
of 239 votes that Coolidge cannot get.
If this number is suotracted from the
total vote Of 531 in the electoral ccN
lege, it leaves 1872, out Of which Cool
idge must get 266, which gives him
a safety margin of only rs.
1.-THE socalled solid Republican
states, which can be listed as rea,
sonably sure for Coolidge, have 4
representation of 1873 in the electoral
college. Coolidge, therefore, needs
12S more to get the necessary 266i
Subtracting his reasonably sure 13s
from 292, the votes not certain fot
either Davis or La Toilette, leaves
1874 from which his additional 12s
will have to come.
"In other words, Davis will have
to get only 81 votes out of tho
doubtful states Ghe group having
154 votes), whereas Coolidge will
have to get 1913"
1.-THE Democratic nominee for gov.
ernor of Maine" he said, "was del
feated by 10000 votes less than id
1920, the last presidential year, and
this in the face of the fact that
the vote in Maine this year was an,
proXimately $1,000 larger than III
that year. In other words, the gains
have been tremendous and the loss
to the Republicans so per cent, lid
the matter of plurality. The Re,
publican nominee for governor won
by $4,000 in 1920 This year nd
won by about half that. A change
in the two parties votes of any.
thing like similar percentages in thd
country would mean a clean, Demo,
cratic sweep"
The whole story" in the Maind
election 'is that a Republican state.
has gone Republican by a greatly
reduced majority" said Mr. Shaver,
adding that ANY attempt to prove
anything else by the election figures
is not justified by facts, as the his.
tory of the Maine elections clearly
shows"
Maine has not gone Democratic
in state election in a presidential
year in more than 40 years." he as.
serted. Even in 1912, when the
Republican party was divided be-
tween the adherents of Taft and
Roosevelt, as it is this year divided
between the adherents of Coolidge
and La Toilette. the Republicans
carried Maine in the state election
in Sent her.