Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1924-12-29
DEMOCRATIC HOPES
RISE IN ANALYSIS
Senator Swanson Says Com
pIete Figures Are Most
Encouraging.

Despite the large plurality rolled
up for President Coolidge, an analysis
of the election returns shows most
encouraging future prospects for the
Democratic party,s Senator Swanson
of Virginia, chairman OF the speak
ers' bureau OF the Democratic nation
al committee, declared in statement
Saturday.
Senator Swanson pointed out that
in 10 States which gave Its electoral
votes to the Republican candidate,
the combined popular vote for John
w. Davis and Senator La Toilette,
Independent candidate. was greater
than for President Coolidge. As
result. he said, there are 235 cleo
toral votes in the electoral college
where the people clearly indicate an
tagonism to the existing Republican
administration, lacking only 81 votes
of majority of the college
Cites Narrow Margins.
A change of between and per
cent in the popular vote in other
States carried by President Coolidge
would have increased the opposition
electoral vote by So, or a majority,
Senator Swanson said.
Il have carefully analysed these re-
turns" said Senator Swanson, and
far from being unfavorable to the fu-
ture of the Democratic party they in
dictate a political situation in which
by wise management on the part OF
the Democratic party. would result in
its return to power. The vast popular
plurality vociferously procla lined
by the Republicans does not indicate
fairly the political situation. Presi-
Dental elections are controlled by
majority of the electors selected from
the As States and not by an aggregate
popular plurality
In the last election Davis received
$50 electoral votes. Coolidge 3S2, and
La Toilette Is, making the 5Sl votes
which constitute the electoral college.
and giving Coolidge a majority Of 1913
'otes in the electoral college
Result in Is States.
But it should be noted that in
this majority of 1873 which Coolidge
obtained there are 10 States whore
If the vote of Davis and La Toilette
had been united the votes of the
States would have been cast against
Coolidge. Thus in 10 of these States,
Arizona, Idaho. Kentucky Missouri,
Montana. Nebraska. Nevada New
Mexico, North Dakota. South Dakota
Utah and West Virginia, a majority
OF the people expressed at the polls
dissent at the continuance in power
of the Coolidge administration. These
~ states have an aggregate of Ss
electors, which If added to the 14s
electors carried by Davis and La
Toilette, would make 235 electors in
states where the people clearly ex-
pressed themselves as opposed to the
Coolidge administra ton.
1T should also be noted that In
this majority for Coolidge Minnesota
is included, with IL electoral votes
A change of per cent in the elesc1
toral vote cast in Minnesota would
have made this State cast majority
of its votes against the Coolidge sd-
mtnistration. Among these States is
also included Oregon, with five cleo
toral votes, which only gave Coolidge
a majority of 6.52S over the opposi-
ton, and change OF per cent OF
the vote cast there would have made
the vote adverse to Coolidge. 1t
should also be noted that Wyoming
is included. with three electoral
votes, with a majority for Coolidge
over the opposition of S,s1s. A
change of per cent of the vote
would have lost the State to Coolidge.
Close Call for Indiana.
1t should also be noted that the Is
electoral votes of Indiana are in
cluded, where a change Of per cent
in the vote cast would have made the
State go adverse to the Coolidge ad-
ministration. These four States,
where small change would have
produced different results. as indi-
Gated, have an aggregate of 35, which
added to the 235 makes 270 electoral
votes, more than is necessary for
an election, only 266 being required.
The returns indicate that the Cool
ldge administration has been returned
TO power by a division in its opposi-
ton and by a meager majority which
can easily be changed under favorable
conditions
Fourth, the returns clearly indi-
cate that the Democratic party has a
constituency in the country which will
give 1T support and restore It to power
if it conducts itself wisely, broadly
and periodically and shows itself
worthy of responsibility and power
A majority of the people In the United
States favor the Democratic party and
it's principles If they are adhered to
and followed
The returns indicate that the Demo
cratic party is the only party that can
successfully contest with the Repub-
ican party, and that a third party
but tends to aid the Republican party
and it's continuance in power.
The Democrats elected governors in
the great States of New York and Ohio.
around which can easily be builded
Democratic success in the future.
democratic governors were also elected
in Arizona, Wyoming and New Mexico
The Republican party is opposed
by an active hopeful and militant
Democratic party with large mem
bership in the Senate and House"