The Washington times. [volume] (Washington [D.C.]) 1902-1939, 1924-10-27

fare hurts Coolidge chances and
makes victory problematical.
New Mexico, 3-Party rows elm.
mate Coola&ge.
Large Protest Vote.
New York. As This State has
recorded over a million protest
votes. If La Toilette has corralled
three,fourths Of these, as his fol
lowers affirm, and can hold tho
normal quarter-million Socialist
vote, he IL too close UP to account
the election 4 Republican walk
away and Davis IL eliminated.
North Carolina, 12-Davis easily.
North Dakota, 6-As easily La
Follette's.
Ohio, FLA Toilette here viii
cut hard into the normal Republi-
can lead. and with the big labor
vote and his stand on the khan
must be accorded faint chance to
win and a better one to trim the
Coolidge vote to Davis liking.
Oklahoma, 10-Davis, with La
Toilette cutting into both old par
ties but hardly with enough to win.
Oregon, Should be Coolidge
unless State is caught up in the
swirl Of an anti-klan revolt.
Pennsylvania for Coolidge.
Pennsylvania, Enthusiastically,
the Progressives have good grounds
for figuring a contest In this State,
but practically it may be conceded
to Coolidge.
Rhode Island, ga rotten bor-
ough" fight. with Davis chances
depending on La Follette's inroads
on the Republican voters.
South Carolina, 9-dand Il to
Davis II the Democrats vote.
South Dakota, 5-La Toilette all
Tennessee, 12--Republican gains
from Democratic factional rows to
be offset by the larger vote likely
to turn out and La Toilette raids
on Republican preserves.
Texas, 20-R Republican gains and
big La Toilette showing win be
discounted in record poll. The
democrats have unlimited reserves
and should be an easy winner.
Big Vote for La Toilette.
Utah, LA Toilette will get a
big vote here, but the bipartisan,
Mormon church hierarchy probably
can shift enough Democratic stall.
warts to Coolidge to insure his
election.
Vermont, 4-<coolidge.
Virginia, 12-The safest Demo.
cratic State in the Union.
Washington, 7--Ffivate adyices
put this State safely in the La
Toilette column.
West Virginia, S--Almost, one
should give La Toilette look.in
here, but the probability is that his
vote win do no more than assure
Davis victory in his native State,
wisconsin, 13-Just La Toilette.
wyoming, 3--Nip and tuck be.
tween Coolidge and La Toilette, with
the Mormon colony determining the
finish.
The totals are:
Coolidge, 224, which Is AZ short
Of majority In the electoral col
Ieges.
Davis. 21s. or So short Of the 70.
HuAA OA AAA2JUAAGHs
La Toilette. %. which ID 172 less
than will elect.
The figures, Of course, are not alb
solute. Each candidate has many
opportunities to gaiN and to lose.
But the law Of averages procIaims
that, other things being equal, the
leaders have more opportunities of
loss than gain, while the reverse Is
true Of the trailers.
or course, In this political game,
the other things seldom or never
are equal The prestige of leader.
ship. tor instance, offsets in part, at
least, the danger Of losses in strictly
numerical relationship to opportuni.
ties for loss and gain. There IL no
way or weighing, however, for such
larbitraries, so the figures must stand
for what they are worth.
A Little Story.
Lest someone should take them
too seriously. let me tell you q
little story:
A. certain. writer IN 1916 had a
little bet down on Wilson with his
chief, placed after a rather extended
observation trip. When his paper
was sent to press in the wee .sna'
hours Of the morning following cleo.
ton day, proclaiming Hughes the
winner, the writer doubled his bet
with his chief, and collected next
day when corrected California re,
tlirne ahoTWad WiNanu truly fha rsyir