Evening star., 1924-11-01
PROSPECTIVE GAINS
LEAVE 6. O. P. WITHOUT
DEPENDABLE CONGRESS
CONTINUED from First rage.)

the Democrats the benefit Of every
break, the most they can get is As.
>. The Republicans may be counted
as sure of Borah of Idaho, pineen OF
Illinois, Brook hart of Iowa, Capper Of
kanslS. McNary OF oregon. Gillett of
Massachusetts, Couzens of Michigan.
Reyes of New Hampshire. Edge Of
New Jersey. Norris of Nebraska. but
not, certain of Warren Of Wyoming
Goff of West Virginia. Metcalf of
Rhode Island, Bursum Of New Mexico
or Schall Of Minnesota
Democratic Chances.
The opportunity for gains IN seats
now held by Democrats occurs in
oklahoma. where w. L. Pine may TAX c
Senator owens place, beating former
GOV. Walton, the Democratic nominee {:
in Kentucky, where Fred NJ. Sackett
is making II strong fight against Ser
ator Stanley. and in Montana, where
Frank Linderman is giving Senator
Thomas j. Walsh the most desperate
battle of his political career.
&. Under the most favorable condi-
tionS-namely. u Coolidge landslide,
the Republicans could gain seats.
which would increase the present Re-
publican total OF 53 to IS. OF this
5<. however, at least 10 could not al
the administration. They are Howell
Of Nebraska. Borah of Idaho, l-add and
Frazier OF North Dakota. Couzens of
Michigan, Norris OF Nebraska Brook
hart OF Iowa, Hiram Johnson of Cali
forni.I. La Toilette of Wisconsin and
Shipsted of Minnesota. This would
leave 49 regular Republicans. with
the Vice President, or just one above
n tic. This is a margin too slender
to be comfortable. The chances are
also that the nominal Republican
strength will not reach 5S.
House Chances Better.
:. In the House of Representatives
the situation appears to be better for
the Republicans. OF the 435 seats, all
of which are to be filled this year at
least 202 ar. counted by Republicans
as certain. Twelve others are run
ming on the Republican ticket and
will be elected, but 10 of them are
from Wisconsin and they are Repub-
EcanS only in name and for occa-
sional purposes of organization. The
remaining 65 seats are doubtful Of
these the Republicans will be happy
if they get half. suppose they win
80, the total would be 232 regular Re-
publicans, or II more than the Els
needed to exercise control.
1o3 to Go to Democrats.
The Democrats are absolutely sure
OF 153 seats, two are Farmer-Labor
probabilities and one Socialist, max
ing IL total of 156 non-Republjcan
seats. OF the 65 doubtful. the Demo-
Gratis have just as high hopes of win
ming u large number They think
they will get 40.
Their optimism IS not altogether
unfounded, for it will be noted that
the La Toilette party has indorsed 30
per cent of all the Democratic nom
inees running for the House, while
the American Federation of Labor
has indorsed almost an equal num-
Der. There are few cases in which it
Is three-cornered race. Thus the
La Toilette vote and the Democratic
vote can be reckoned as a coalition.
The Coolidge tide is only a factor
here and there, for while the Presi-
dent may carry States electoral
vote with the assistance of the popu-
lar vote in strong Republican dis
tricts, the Republican members Of
Congress have no such aid, particu-
larIy those running in districts in
which the normal vote is about
equally divided between Democrats
and Republicans anyhow. Thus Mas
sachusetts, which may. give Coolidge
the highest popular vote in its his
tory. may be the scene of some Re-
publican losses in Congress. 1t all de-
pends on local issues.
Should the Republicans win a ma
jority of 10 or Is in the House
they will regard it as big victory
and will proceed to organize the
House without difficulty. especially in
the selection of committee chairmen
favorable to the administration. The
effect of a triumph of the regular
Republicans Is expected to be felt in
the present Senate, where the inde-
pendent group would naturally fall
in with the administration on more
legislation than might be the case
if the tide were running in the op-
posite direction.
The Coolidge administration can be
hopeful of the cooperation OF Con-
gress, but cannot be sure.
Copyright, 1924. AL rights re0rved. Re-
production without permission = hereby
1orbiddeAA