Evening star., 1924-09-29
Strength in Southern Coun-
ties Expected to 0verawe
Rivals in Bay Section.
LITTLE HEARD OF DAVIS
IN NORTH OR SOUTH
Some Political Observers Expect
President to Win State by Ma
jority of 100000.
ny DAVID LAWRENCE.

LOS ANGELES, September 20
California is not as close a State as
the various polls and straw votes
being taken would seem to Indicate
Having investigated the situation
in northern California, where un-
questionably Sc nator La Toilette has
his greatest strength. the writer
came away with the impression that
the Wisconsin leader would perhaps
carry the bay counties by narrow
vote. but if that turns out to be
true Mr.. La Toilette will be showed
under Just the same by the unusually
heavy vote to be given President
Coolidge this year in southern Cali
fornia.
The race here is be tween Coolidge
and La Toilette with Davis third.
Little is heard about the Democratic
candidate Had McAdoo been nomi-
mated there might have bee n d differ
ent story to tell, for this State was
strong for McAdoo. Are the Demo-
cratic votes going to La Toilette?
Undoubtedly many thousands Will
support the third party ticket, but
President Coolidge will get host
of what might otherwise be Demo-
cratic votes.
Davis Lacks Strength.
The Democratic nominee is always
we'll spoken of. but he does not seem
to have any vote-getting strength IN
this section. President Coolidge. on
the other hand. is held in southern
California in almost as much regard
as he is in Maine. 1t will be recalled
that even when President Hardings
popularity began to wane in the East
he could count on California.
This State, of course. is preponder-
antly Republican. but in the last two
years il has also been growing con-
servative California, for instance.
gave President Coolidge a majority OF
$4,000 votes over its own favorite son
in the presidential primaries this year.
a State which will do that can hardly
be counted as easy for La Toilette or
as even tending in his direction.
Without endeavorinS to explain
some of the polls that are being made,
1t is strange aspect of the whole
thing that not a single man whose
judgment on political affairs in past
years has always been found by the
writer to be accurate so far As Cali
fornia is concerned is saying this
time that La Toilette will carry the
State. They all say just the opposite
and some go so far to indicate that
President Coolidge may run as high
as 100000 majority in California.
Southern Vote Stronger.
La Follette's strength in certain
sections of the State may be con-
ceded, but anyone who knows Cali
fornia will recognize at once that
what the northern part of the State
may do can easily be counter-bal-
anced by the South.
Shnnl6
ferred that the writer believes La
Toilette will sweep Northern Cali
fornia. What seems probable, is that
the Wisconsin leader may run neck
and neck with President Coolidge in
and around San Francisco.
This, however, isn't strol &
enuogh position for any one who is
trying to carry the electoral votes of
the State, and as for southern Calf
ornia. La Toilette hasn't a chance.
The vote that will be rolled up from
this section on election day will be
amazing.
There are a dozen reasons for the
strength of President Coolidge in
this region, but there are many more
reasons why La Toilette is weak For
one thing a campaign has been be-
gun which paints La Toilette as an
enemy of California. 4 member OF
Congress has looked back into the
record and found that Senator La
Toilette voted against every one of
the tariff schedules in which Califor-
mia was interested. That makes the
battle against La Toilette very con-
crete. For even the redoubtable Hi
ram Johnson in his most progressive
hours never dared to turn down Calf
ornIa once on certain of her native
products and industries
Has Influential Support.
La Toilette, of course is not without
some strong and influential support
The Hearst papers are favoring him
above all other candidates. RudoIph
Spreckels of San Francisco is helping
to finance the La Toilette campaign.
Some of the newspapers which were
closest to Hiram Johnson are shout
ing for La Toilette. He is running on
the Socialist ticket, SO organized la bor
is making a good deal of noise about
its advocacy of the old man from
Wisconsin.
But taken all together the vote of
California will be a conservative ma
jority and President Coolidge will get
1t just as John w. Davis would get
it if he had been President seeking
another term. The outstanding char
acteristic of the electorate is that
there Is no cry for change.