The Birmingham age-herald., 1924-10-11
Electoral Majority Still Uncertain, However,
 Says Clapper
HOUSE ELECTION
 IS BEST CHANGE
Fear Of Stalemate May Cause Late Stam-
 pede
By RAYMOND CHAPTER Heased Wire to Age.Herald)

NEW YORK, Oct. 10.- John w. Davis starts out on his last big campaign swing with better prospects of land ing in the White House than might be supposed from a stud yof his probable electoral vote. He left New York late Fri day for a speaking trip that will carry him into Indiana, Missouri, Kentucky and Ten nessee. Indiana is uncertain The other three states are re garded as Davis states and his main object now is to nail them down securely.
 In talking with many politicians of all stripes and in questioning business men and others who mingle with the great varieties of mankind from all sections of the country which come and go here by the thousands each week this writer finds a practically unanl' nous opinion expressed privately that Davis has only slight chance of ob- tafning a majority in the electoral col. ]ege. This view seems to be entertained even by most of the well informed dem- ocratic leaders.
 An Excellent Chance
 But at the same time most of those who have studied the situation carefully believe, as this writer does, that Davis has an excellent chance of being presi- dent if the election goes into congress.
 In following the situation in the clos ing days of the campaign, these facts should be borne in mind, for they will explain many otherwise puzzling devel- opments:
 1-Coolidge's chance of being Presi- dent for four years more depends al- most entirely upon his being able to command a majority in the electoral college.
 2SDavis' best chance lies in throw ing the election into congress, though he has a slight chance of straight out electoral victory.
 3-La Toilette is interested chiefly in two things-first, throwing the cleo ton into congress, thereby defeating Coolidge; and second, in piling up a tremendous popular vote which will give momentum to the founding of new political party of progressive com plexion. z.
 Republicans hope first of all to get 266 or more electoral votes, built upon those of New England, New -% York, Pennsylvania, and such other; states as they can getss They hope that tho eoun. try--in the last ten days of the cam. paign-will develop fear of stale mate in congress and to avert such a predicament will make a bolt toward Coolidge and sweep him by a land slide. There is a strong possibility that some such sudden stampede may set in. Republican propaganda is work ing hard toward that end.
 Davis forces hope for little west of the Mississippi except Missouri and possibly Nebraska. Breaks may give them a majority in the electoral col lege, but this is not likely. There is a remote chance that the stampede re- ferred to in the preceding paragraph might break in favor of Davis, but Coolidge has the edge in that regard chiefly because of the popular feeling that he is more apt to win. In the west many democrats are going to vote for La Toilette. Davis has little chance in most of those states and that gives the democrats a chance to make use of the La Toilette movement for the pur- pose of throwing the election into con- gross. sF
 May Get G. o. P. Votes.
 Once the contest is in congress, there will be an attempt by the democrats