The Washington times. [volume] (Washington [D.C.]) 1902-1939, 1924-10-30
Ten (I Old
MEMBERS
V|(;T0RS
1hirty-four Vacancies Are to
Be Filled Twenty New
Men May Win
BY WILLIAM HARD.

BY WILLIAM HARD.
The next Senate is likely to be
. pretty close duplicate of the
present Senate.
In the article printed yesterday
we saw that the members o. the
present House Of Representatives
got overwhelmingly re-nominated
III the primaries. This would tend
TO indicate that the next House
will closely resemble the present
House.
We shall now see that the next
Senate viii even more closely re-
semble the present Senate.
The next President, whoever he
may be, is going to find a Senate
and q House which, if they legis-
late at all, will have to legislate
along much the same old lines.
Changes Due to Deaths.
This is, Of course, almost neces.
narily true about the Senate. Only
one-third OF the Senate comes nor
mally up for reelection on any one
election day.
The Senate has ninety-six mem.
bers. One-third of ninety.six is
thirty-two. This year there happen
70 be two additional vacancies.
! These are due to the untimely
deaths of Senator Nicholson OF
Colorado and of Senator Brandegee
OF Connecticut.
Senator Colt OF Rhode Island also
died, but his death does not increase
the number of vacancies, because
his term was expiring.
In total, then, there are thirty.
four Senatorial vacancies this year
to be filled.
In theory, therefore, In the next
Senate, among its ninety-six faces,
there might be thirty-four new
ones.
In practice, however, the situa.
ton is as follows:
To begin with. there were thirty
sitting Senators who sought re.
nomination in the primaries.
TeNty-five of them got It.
FOlkSSIng Up IA aargunent in
the preceding article, it may at
this point be remarked that when
twenty-five out Of thirty Senators
seeking denomination get 1t, the
voters in their parties certainly
cannot be said to have produced
any outward evidence Of any start
ling inward discomfort with what
they have now.
The next point is to trace this
chances of the twenty-five Senators
who got re-nominated.
Old Members Victorious.
One Of them is already reelected
He is Fernald, of Maine. He was
reelected in the Maine September
election.
That gives us one old face sure
Then in Colorado, through the
complications rendered possible by
Senator Nicholson's death, botI
sitting Colorado Senators are run
ming for reelection, and they arr
running against each other. There
fore, one Of them is sure to come
back.
That makes two old faces.
Then, in the Solid South, there
are eight old Senators who got re
nominated in the primaries and
who are bound therefore to be sue
cessful on election day; because II
the Solid South the primaries d.
the whole trick and these gentle
men are not going to have any
opponents on election day.
Two plus eight Is ten; and W.
may therefore absolutely count or
at least ten old faces pack with vi
next year, talking as usual, anC
saying AYE" and mo" as usual
across the thirty-four desks which
In theory are this year open t.
new occupants.
Twenty-fOur Possibilities.
That leaves the possibility Of
Just twenty-four new faces.
IL happens further, however
that there are ten more oIf
Senators who, having got re
nominated, have quite briRh,
chances-at least--of beating theiY
opponents.
These Senators are:
Keyes Of New Hampshire, Stan
ley of Kentucky, Couzens of Michi
gan, Brookhart of Iowa, Norris o.
Nebraska, Capper Of Kansas, War
rem of Wyoming, Walsh of Mon
tana, Borah of Idaho, and Nc
Nary Of Oregon.
Let us suppose that half O
them--that is, let us suppose tina
five of them-get through. /
Is a conservative supposition.
Then the old faces coming bacl
to the Senate from this election
would number fifteen.
There are other old Senators, how
ever, who have some chance Ii
get back.
The number of returning Sena
tors is likely to be more thar
fifteen.
The number OF really new Sena
Ii 49, -