Seward daily gateway., 1924-09-20

full loyalty !. The native troops are under the command of General Pan Kuo-kan, a Chekiang man, and Civil Governor Chou, and would be very apt to refuse to fight or to join General Chi against the Cheiang leader They are chiefly at Hang chow, the Chekiang capital at Hu- chow, where they expect to meet Chi's invaders, and at other points along the railway and the border.
 It is considered most likely that the first serious fighting will occur near Soochow, a city fifty miles from Shanghai, on the Shanghai-Nan- king Railway with population of 35O,0OO, of whom 200 are foreigners, including 15O Americans. Soochow is the center of large American mis- sionary schools, hospitals and evan gelical temples. If General Chi IS successful in his plan to prevent fighting along the railway, however, the first fighting will be in the Vi cinity of I-shing, Kiangsu, where there are only three of four foreign CTS, and Huchow, Chekiang, where there are not more than twenty.
 ForeignerJ Safe.
 Foreigners in Shanghai would not be endangered by any fighting that might occur unless the arsenal near there is bombarded and stray shells light in the settlement. The city is we'll able to protect itself, with a large and well-drilled police force, consisting of several hundred British, Chinese and Sikh police and the Shanghai Volunteer Corps, which IS composed of about 1,500 foreigners, including two companies of British infantry and one each of Americans, Portuguese, Italians, Chinese, Jap anese. Customs men, machine gun company, light artillery and several armored tanks, as we'll as British and American cavalry attachments, which have been mobilizedn to meet any emergency.
 More than twenty American war ships are in the United States Asiatic fleet and within easy call, and sev- eral have already steamed to Shang- hai and anchored in the Whangpoo River to be ready for any emergency. Several British warships are also in Shanghai harbor and more are at Weihaiwei and Hongkong, where they can be called upon in case of need. In addition, the French, Ital- ians, and Portuguese, have several warcraft in the vicinity, and there are numerous Japanese war vessels that could be used both in Chinese waters and in Japanese ports, one or two days sailing time away.
 Neither is there any danger felt for foreigners in Nanking, the Kiang- su capital or in Hangchow, the Che giang capital, as the issue will be decided before the war could be car ried to either city.
 Will Disrupt Trade.
 War between the two provinces will however disrupt trade all along the Lower Yangtze which is the main trade route with the interior, and along the Grand Canal, the chief artery to trade away from the river. War will also demoralize the farmers in the two provinces, which are counted as among the richest agriculturally, in the country, and interfere greatly with silk production in the Wusih silk belt.
 According to Roy Anderson of Pc king, generally considered the best. informed foreigners in China on Chi. nese political questions, there is lit. tie doubt but that Marshal Chi o1 Kiangsu, will emerge the victor.
 General Chi Hsieh-yuan is one o1 the most brilliant of the younger Chinese leaders," MT. Anderson said "and has an army that is better drilled, larger, better equipped ant more loyal than General Luis com mand. He is extremely progressive and extremely well-liked by all the people of his province, as we'll as others who have come in contact