Evening star., 1923-01-07

deny, that Germany is honeycombed
Win ~ell-armed military organizations
OF one kind or another, then it may be
expected that the French plans will not
be carried to their conclusion in a peace
able manner. In which case France
would find that her policy had not only
initiated German chaos, but a period OF
dlsorsa antzation which may spread to
France itself. Then France will find
herself acting alone in any emergency
unless Belgium should come to her as
sistancc.
The situation is fraught with great
danger for France and undoubtedly
Poincare will proceed with some degree
OF moderation in order to prevent the
fullest possible evil results from the
French action. but even then Poincare
ence upon the French thesis of having
lost what Germany can never give to
France-the open and aboveboard
friendship of the British peoples.
Break May He Camouhnged.
The break at Paris may be camou-
hased AS a friendly one. Bonar Law
and -Poincare both may reassert pledges
of fealty in other fields of endeavor.
They may go far in attempting to make
the French and British peoples feel that
after all allied accord has not been mar
red, but as a matter of fact persons ac-
quainted with conditions know that il
Frnnce proceeds upon her present the
sis, England as a nation forever will be
distrustful of French alliances. Most
certainly will France obtain little need
of comfort in adjustment of the per-
picking interallied debts question.
England. ii is declared. is SO certain
that there will be chaos as the result
of French action, that she will ap-
gln In AVr1N rrENN ant
/ ing strong Anglo-American eco
nomic union be formed at once to pre-
vent the evil consequences of COM
plete German collapse-which may in
Volve F'rance-from spreading to
other nations. Sir Stanley Baldwin. it
is intimated. may approach the gen.
eral question during consideration of
the funding of Britain's debts to the
United States during his stay in
Washington. As the United States and
Great Britain control practically
three-fourths of the raw products of
the world. it is believed in London
that they can dictate to other nations
through economic measures, no mat
of other powers may be. England
never has eradicated her diStrust of
the tremendous French military forces
which still are eXtant, and believes
that some agreement with the United
States looking toward economic union
and consequent welding of the eco
nomic club upon the head of recalci-
trancy, will do more toward placing
the world on it's feet again than any
other measure.
Undoubtedly such a union would
have far-reaching effect upon France,
and open hints from the United States
before the 18th of January that such
a notion of the British proposal was
favorably considered might be the
eleventh hour deterrent to the carry
ing out of the French plan. On the
other hand, Poincare has announced
during the past ten days that he
would not be secure in any pledges
of American and British to guarantee
France against Germanic incursion.
AS a matter of fact, inasmuch as the
whole French budget is based on
collect to restore financial balance. AS
consequence, the French attitude is
based on financial as well as eco
nomic and political grounds.
Could Prevent Collapse.
But there is every belief that in case
the United States and Great Britain
should come to definite understanding
in regard to economic union they will
have it within their power to prevent
the collapse of Germany in the face
of French endeavor and prevent con-
sequent collapse of Europe.
Should there be no such agreement
the French have reason to be fear
full of the ouAcome of the British de-
cision to withdraw from the whole
reparations enforcement tangle.
Though French political influence
has been broadened over the conti-
nent. it nevertheless remains a fact
that certain aid rendered by the Eng
lish to Germany in their hour of need
might eventually lead to rap
prochement between Germany and
England in future years. to the dis
of France Such a
friendly union could not be discount.
ed politically or in any other fashion
at any juncture.
Immediately. however, attention
naturally will be diverted to the
other remaining parley, that at
Lausanne. 1t is confidently believed
in Europe that the break between
the allies in Paris will be taken ad- |
of by the Turks and that
there will be increasing difficulty in |
reaching an agreement there tend |
ing toward the settlement Of the |
whole great near eastern problem.
Question as to Future Work.
There is question is to whether the !
French and British will continue to |
work together in the showdown GER
tain to be demanded of the Turks.
Both Bonar Law and Poincare have |
stated that no matter what happened |
in Paris, the Lausanne deliberations !
would not be affected. but how this !
could be after the open manner in |
which the French f1outed the British /
in Paris is not conceivable. Further |
more, the British are hardly likely to /
to seek French support and |
permit the French to share in the /
advantages to be gained in any set
Element with the Turks when the |
French SO flagrantly have violated
English desires in the settlement of |
problems nearer at home
AS the French showed a. strong 1
policy in regard to the reparations |
problem, SO may the British take IL |
upon themselves to dictate what |
shall be done in the near east. And |
most certainly British interests and |
not French will be considered in the
hnal analysis, particularly in case
the British are forced to use military |
EFFORT to compel the Turks to bow to \
their dictates
If the Turks have been adamant in
their support of nationalistic theo-
ries in the past. they may be EXPECT.
ed to be more so in the future. and |
the situation is of such gravity as
to cause serious concern not only in
Europe, but the United States as