New Britain herald., 1923-11-02
COTTON UP HUNDRED. ON GOVT. ESTIMATE.
Forecasts on Production Show
 Sharp Decline

of 767,0O0 bales in the prospective cotton crop as compared with month ago was shown today in the department of agriculture's forecast of 10,24S,0Oo bales, based on condi- tions prevailing October 25 The re- port was the first of it's kind ever is sued in November and had been awaited with interest by the cotton world in view Of the scarcity of cot ton and the diversity of opinion as to the exact size of this years crop.
 official Report.
 In commenting on the cotton re- port, the crop reporting board said;
 The forecast expresses the prob able outturn interpreted from the present status of the crop on the basis of past relations and from the reported percentage picked. percent age abandoned and probable yield per acre. The change in forecast since September g reflects the change duo, to weather and other fac tors since that date as ascertained by the board from all information at it's command,
 Generally unfavorahle weather and heavy rains in the southwest, eS- ccptional damage to grown holls by the wcevil, result of leaf worm rav- ages, coupled with the heaviest aban- donment on record, resulted in a forecast Of about 767 .000 bales below last month, This is the third short crop in succession though somewhat about the two preceding years.
 Virginia, North Carolina and Texas report farorably. and show ! some increase. Tn the southeast | picking i> oven further advanced than | last year hut in tho wrst fl has been | crD tly delayed, particularly In Okla . homa. Arkansas Missouri and north l west 'TrNaS."
 Tn arriving at the cotton forecast . the hoard considered the reported . 95, the reported probable yield per acre of lint cotton, the reported per contaC" of acreage abandoned since | Juno 25, the percentsE Of the crop . reported picked to October 25. the i percentage reported Sinned to Octo- ber IS, and the quantity of cotton l Cinncd 10 October IS, as enumerated 1 hy the census bureau. Tho board had, for comparative purposes, tho conditions reported for tho same date from 1919 10 l922. the reported picked for 1921 and 1922, and th" census cnnncrations Of cot ton ginncd by periods, for previous years
 World stocks Of cotton at tho close or the cotton year. July Si, were very low, tho department of com ncrco reporting holdings at 6,4o0,o ,ooo bales compared with a5S6.o0O bales on July 3l. 1929. Ginnlngs in the United States from this years crop totalled 6.4oo.579 bales To October IS, according 10 census bureau reports.
 The condition Of the crop on Oct 95 and the forecast of production by states follow:
 Virginia, condition SS and produce lon 53,oO0
 North Carolina, 70 and 100000.
 South Carolina, 5S and 7I0,0oo.
 Georgia. 3l and 6io, ,o00,
 Florida, 22 and 12.00h.
 Alabama, 3g and SIS. 0no.
 Mississippi 3s and 620.o00,
 Louisiana, i3 and 320.0nn.
 Texas. 57 and 43oO,00O.
 Arkansas. 37 and 6sn. .0Do.
 ycnnosscc. s and 230,o0n. ,
 Missouri. 49 and iji .00a.
 Oklahoma. i3 and 735,00o.
 California. s6 and in, 1000.
 Arizona. SS and S3.O00.
 Production Of all other states is i0, nn0 bales.
 About S6.noo bales in addition to California arc being grown in lower old Mexico