San Antonio light. [volume] (San Antonio, Tex.) 1911-1993, 1923-10-28
Manufacturers Of Countr,
Expect to Dispose Of
100000.
SCRAP MANY VEHICLES
Motor Car Buyers Can &c
New Automobiles Every /
Year Now. h
BY j. C. ROYLE.

Copyright, by The San Antonio Light
New York, Oct. 27.-Expansions a
the Ford factories indicate that TIL
1924 output of Ford cars and truck
may be far closer to 5000. 900 tina
the 2,000,00O,000 vehicles which tn
company will turn out this year. Tn
numbers which other large manufadl
turers plan to make and sell will
nearly equal the Ford estimate, s,l
that the combined expectations of TIL
automobile trade will total around )
100000 cars all told. Il
The Ford company has begun
large addition to its foundry plan
at River Rouge which will make q
daily output of 10000 vehicles posssI
bic. The three new ovens being adc-I
ed to the glass plant will increase ca
pacity from 1000 feet of plate CLASH
a day to 10000 feet. AS the glas-I
supply has been one of the factor.
limiting production there does no.
seem to be any obstacles in the wall
of boosting present daily productio-I
by 1000 cars or so.
10000 Cars Daily. n
At 5000 a day the 1924 outprr
would reach approximately 2.50O.OO~
cars while at 10000 daily the outplk
would total 3.000,OO0 on basis q,
300 working days a year. In add-
ton, Chevrolet, which sold G9.4O<
cars last month, counts on sellim
three-quarters of million next yea
Overland expects to dispose. of aroun-
100000 and other makers are equalls
optimistic.
These estimates, of course. will II
subject TO heavy scaling down but
100000 cars are disposed of tho
year. it hardly seems possible tha
more can be sold next year. Yet tn
Ford officials are confident that til
demand for their output will exist an
only once in twenty years have the
erred in judging future demand.
To whom is this tremendous VOC
ume of cars TO be sold? Replacement7
will account for many of the cai-
disposed of. Requirements in 1872
tOtalfed 100000 vehicles according
to current estimates. but in the frs
six months Of this year replacement
appear to have accounted for over !
100000 cars. If the scrapping of oil
cars continues at the present rat.
nearly 100000 will be accounted fc1
by the close of the year.
On December 81. over 14.000.00,
cars and trucks will be in use. IT,
number strapped in 1924 bids fair /.
be in excess of this year. The OF
estimate of seven years as the life q
n car. has been discarded for dealer
declare that the inclination of ca
owners TO sell TO the junk man is ia
greater since the recent reductions 10
prices.
Since the prices of new cars haN.1
come down. there is not the same il
ccntive to fix up the old cars. TI~
trade expects scrappage next year I
reach 20 to - per cent of the tot:
cars in use. In this instance. one 4
the best known executives. recentL
said:
New Car Every Year.
Replacement is the thing that
going to make sales of 4.000.000
J.0O0.000 cars year very likel&
Cheap automobiles will be like papS
towels. f.guratively speaking. We WI
use them and throw them away. On
a year or so ago we thought nothiib
Of standing for $500 depreciati(
every year. Now we can buy Fol
for $3.50. Why shouldn't people bi
a new car every year when the Coz
now approximates the depreciati'
they formerly had to pay?"
Increase in the population of tlk
and the normal growth
the incomes of the inhabitants is e
pected to account for 100000 ca
without reference to expansion in
use of the motor vehicle. That Fl
nansion according to many makeir
has not yet begun to reach its zenit~
in this country.
In addition there will be stroI
waged in 1924 for foreiA
business. This. it is estimated. shoul
take care of 100000 cars as cxporf
have been running at about 10 NJ
cent of production this last summd
Lower prices are expected TO aid q,
Forts as duties will be less and X
some instances shipping costs will