New-York tribune., 1922-11-05
$4,000 Margin
For Miller Seen
By Republicans
State Chairman Morris Saws
Upstate Situation Has
Improved; $4,000 Lead
Expected Above Bronx
275,OOO Here for Smith
Iammany's Inside Figures
Said to Give Only 10, 900.
More to Standard Bearer

Inc Republican state campaign man.
ayers confidently expect the re-eIec-
uon OF Governor Miller by about $4,000
plurality.
Ihey estimate that Miller will have
upward of 100000 plurality outside tn.
City of New York and that Smith viii,
have below 275,ooo plurality in the
city.
Inc estimate is based on latest
checked up estimates from the various
county chairmen from outside New
York City, supplemented by the esti-
mates turned in by the New York City
Republican leaders.
George X. Morris, chairman of the
Republican State Committee. in COM
menting on the outlook last night, said !:
Relying upon careful estimates
submitted by experienced men from all
parts of the state, whose predictions
heretofore have been most conserva-
tive, confidently predict a splendid
victory for Governor Miller and his
colleagues on the state ticket, the re-
election of Senator Calder and large
majority of the Representatives in Con-
gress from this state, and majority
In both branches Of the Legislature
FULLY as large as in the present body.
Situation Bettered Up State
fThe Republican situation in the up
state districts has steadily improved
and is most satisfactory, and the mag
nihcent campaign Of Governor Miller in
greater New York during the present
week has had marked effect. II the
betting odds quoted last week at II to
10 on Governor Miller were justified
the odds In his favor this week should
be much greater.
Inc swing is with US, and my col
leagues at headquarters agree with me
IN the foregoing prediction"
Samuel s. Koenig, President of the
New York Republican County Commit
tee, in formal statement said:
I'm my opinion the claims of former
Governor Smiths managers as to the
size of the Democratic majority in
this county are unfounded. A care
ful canvass made in twenty of the
twenty-three districts of the county
indicates that Governor Miller is
stronger than he was in 1920. There
is absolutely no evidence of Smith
tidal wave such as was seen and felt
everywhere in 1920. The Democratic
managers will be tremendously fooled.
We have found but few Republicans in
our canvass who will not support Mil
Ter. and we have found any number of
Democrats who voted for Smith in
1920 who this year will vote for Mil
Ter. The statement issued yesterday by
the leader of Tammany Hall is the best
indication that Thmmany is uncertain
about Smiths vote in this city. To
say in one breath that there is Smith
landslide and in the next to urge every
one to work hard for large vote is q
sure sign to the practiced mind that
Tammany is scared. 1t has reason to
be. Governor Miller will receive a
large vote in the City of New York,
and will be reelected"
Tammany Expects 2s5,OOo Here
Through confidential channels the
yesterday that the inside" forecast
forwarded to Charles F. Murphy and
his friends is that Smith will
poll 2s5,00o plurality in the city.
While this Is above the mark carried
by the Republicans, it leaves the Re-
publicans with an estimated margin,
using the Tammany figures. of more
than $4,000
Secretary Of State John J. Lyons,
who called on Chairman Morris of the
Republican State Committee, told him
that if Miller could come down to the
Bronx with 100000 he would win, as
Smith would not obtain more than
27o,000 in the city.
The Miller-Smith vote in this CITY
two years ago was as follows: