The Washington times., 1922-11-02


u,I,ry.u mann lO9 Al the pres
ent time 100 of
these l09 are Republicans. II is be-
lieved by the professional political
calculators that perhaps 80 OF the.
seats which are now held by these
| 100 Republicans are in doubt II
| is believed that perhaps six OF them
are certainly lost and Will be car
red off by the Democrats In any
case 1t is not expected that th"r~
will he any Democratic landslide.
report these calculations AZ they
are professiona ly made. | also re-
port. however, that the best profes-
sional calculations are often In
error The wisest politicians In Cali.
fornia were betting that Mr.. Friend
w. Richardson would be defeated
for the Republican nomination for
| Governor in California by 100000.
| He won.
NV own view is that the follow
ing facts seem likely 10 prevent a
| Democratic landslide In the great
West.
Onc-In much OF the great West
tn" Republican party IS now more
radical than the Democratic party
| ard Will get the protesting radical
| vote.
Two-ln certain other parts OF
the great West the protesting rad
tral vote having failed TO capture
| ,n" Republican party, is n"N"rih"-
lss refusing to 30 into the Demo.
cratic party and has taken Itself
away into new third parties. These
two facts are extremely harmful 10
the Democratic party's prospects at
| the polls in the whole northern sec.
ton of this region.
! Turning to the Senate. ii 10 to be
noted that IA Of the 90 States
which compose this region are this
year elccting Senator's 1t is per
haps worth noting also that seven
of these II States hav" populations
of less than $4,000 have made
a certain calculation with regard
| to them and | dedicate this calCu-
lation TO the indignant electorate
of New York. Here it comes,
The seven States Of North Da.
kota. Montana, Wyoming, Utah,
Nevada. New Mexico and Arizona
contain altogether 2.sll.47s people.
| They will this year elect seven
Senators. The State of New York
contains l0.3S5227 people. This Is
four times as many as the seven
States above mentioned are able TO
show New York. therefore-from
the standpoint of mathematics
ought this year to elect twenty
eight Senator's. 1t will elect one.
As a Westerner. however, I hope
that the luskers in New York will
not allow any New Yorker to say
anything against the Constitution.
In the fourteen States which this
year are electing Senators in the
great Western battlefield there are
six cases in which the sitting Sen
ator is a Democrat. The contests
in which he sitting Senator is
Democrat are on the whole rather
closer than the contests in which
| the sitting Senator Is Republican.
The professional prophesies are that
the Democrats in this region this
year will make certain net gain
lin the House Of Representatives
but will have great difficulty In
making any net gain in the Senate.
In fact. there is even a theory that
they might make a net loss in the
Senate.
These professional forecasts are
here reported without any slightest
corroborating opinion Of my own.
Myself. do not think that any one
tman can possibly know what the
United States west OF the Missis.
sippi is going to do next Tuesday.
\ L. .C 81.
of the experts and I repeat that
the experts are often mistaken. I
add, however. one view of my own.
The results in the region of the
great West next Tuesday will have
very little Republican Significance
and will have very little Democratic
Significance. The economic struggle
in the great West has cut both par.
ties and has confused all party re.
suits. II the Republican, Mr.. Bam.
berger, should happen to defeat the
Democratic Mr.. King in Utah, IL will
he n conservative victory. II the
Democratic Mr.. O'Connor should
happen to defeat the Republican Mr..
Frazier in North Dakota, II will be a
conservative victory. I make only
one phophecy l. herewith follows.
The voters are progressive and
even radical II they see the leaders
for Il. II not, they are not. There.
fore. the Victories for progressive
Senatorial candidates, who are most
of them conspicuous and famous
men, will be proportionately greater
than The victories for progressive
Congressional candidates, who are
most of them relatively inconspicu.
Gus and unspectacular. This Is
year for progressivism. but for pro.
gressivism plus personal fame and
personal force: and, therefore, the
upper and smaller body Of the ma.
tional legislature will remain Its reia.
Itively progressive body.