New-York tribune., 1922-11-15
Eleventh Hour Predic-
tions Give the Govern.
ment Majority of 25 to
30 Seats i'm Parliament
Voters Confused,
Become Apathetic
Ceorgians Expected To he
Poor Fourth; Churchill
and Asquith Face Defeat
By Arthur S. Draper

Sopsf'eHt, 1895 New York Tribune Inc.
| LONDON, Now l4.-Approximately
1s,o0o,ooO votes la be cast tomorrow
in the first British general election
| that has been held since 1918, when,
immediately in the wake of the World
War, Lloyd George z the country
IN the same fash aat President
Harding did America 1920.
Eieventh-hour fore asts give the
! Bonar Law government majorities rang
ing from twenty-five to eighty seats
In Parliament, but there are some
prophets who believe that none of the
parties will have majority which
| would | , sufficient to force the forma-
ton of q new coalition or another gem
| eral election.
Slightly more than 100000 of the
registered voters are in London. OF
these nearly half are women. The ex.
tension Of the suffrage to women and
| the widespread unemployment that pre-
walls add greatly to the difficulty Of the
experts in arriving at satisfactory es-
Inmates of to-morrow's result
People Apathetic on Eve of Vote
When the campaign opened imme-
! diately after the dramatic revolt of the
| Conservative Parliamentary group at
their Carleton Club meeting it bid fair
to prove highly exciting, but instead it
has deterorated steadily until tonight,
on the eve of the actual balloting, the
people seem almost apathetic.
Rowdyism has broken out at meet
lngs IN Scotland and in Eastern Lon
don,. the trouble-makers being impair
! tlai in their choice of targets, Winston
Churchill being assailed in Dundee and
the Conservatives in the East End
here. These obstreperous ones are de-
scribed as 'reds," chiefly for the rea-
son that they sing socialist songs, but
they themselves declare that they are
former soldiers, now unemployed, who
have become thoroughly disgusted with
the way they have been treated by the
Lloyd George government Disordarly
actions have, however, on the whole,
been comparatively infrequent, such as
| have occurred being confined to some
| OF the poorest working class distficts.
| Aside from these outbursts, the cam
phigns have been remarkably tame af-
| fairs, the only speaker who has sue
! ceeded in arousing his audiences to
| any notable degree of enthusiasm be-
| ing Lloyd George. But although the
| ex-Premier has outstripped the other
| leaders OH the platform his campaign
| must necessarily bring meager returns.
| Competent observers say that he will
| be lucky if he heads a group of forty
| in Westminster. On the other hand.
this small band of Lloyd George sup
| porters in the House may be able to
| make or break the Bonar Law govern
! ment.
Leaders Face Fights for Seats
The eX-Premier's ablest lieutenant.
! Mr.. Churchill is haTing a desperate
| fight at Dundee, with the odds against
his return to Parliament. Even Pre-
mier Bonar Law, former Premier AS
quith, as we'll as Arthur Henderson
and John Clynes, leaders of the Labor
party, are worried about retaining
their seats, and it would cause no
tet were beaten tomorrow. Asguith
had the humiliating experience Of be-
ing defeated in 1918, and SO did Arthur
Henderson.
Speaking to-day in the Midlands
Lloyd George said that Great Britain
could not isolate herself and that at
the present moment she is engaged in
"a very difficult operation to secure
the peace of Europe"
recent events, he added, have
more than justified the attitude my
administration adopted concerning the
Near East"
In final message to the electors
Lord Curzon to-day said:
"The first object of the Unionist
government is to restore the peace Of
Europe, which means employment and
business at home"
Asquith Against Foreign Expeditions
Herbert Asquith said that the Lib
erals stood for general peace and put
ting an end to "wasteful adventure
abroad"
Under the circumstances prevailing,
the wavering elector must have the
greatest perplexity in making up his
under the British system the person
ality of the local candidate frequently
turns out to be the deciding factor.
The Labor party has been kept SO busy
defending or explaining its capital levy
scheme that it has had little opportu-
nifty to handle the question of foreign
policy, which is infinitely the most
important issue in this campaign.
In most places the polls close to-
morrow at s p. m, and, although a few
are to remain open until 9, shortly
after midnight the election result
should be known from about 200 con-
stituencies. The actual relative posi-
tion of the various parties in the House
of Commons will remain in doubt, how
ever, until Thursday afternoon.