Richmond times-dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1914-current, 1922-04-16
CROP REPORT DOES NOT
TELL THE ENTIRE STORY
Abandoned Acreage Cannot
BE Estimated Until May
Report Is Made.
mAnkEr NOW is NEARLY hare
wheat on Firms on March To-
tailed 1ai.I3G.00O Bushels. ms fom-
pared With :IT.O3. 900 in <I0.I.
Large Crop I. Needed.

WASHINGTON. April l5.-Win,cr
wheat production. according to OH
cial forecast. will be s7n.o7tooO
bushels. This forecast. made by
'ranslatinS an average condition OF
's' into production. is based upon
the assumption that acreage aban.
doncd will he no more than usual
and that average weather conditions
VIII prevail. The abandonment,
hgures. due in May, are likely TO be
larger than normal. If so. produc.
ton Will be less than needed.
In the western third OF Kansas and
oklahoma drought last autumn and
winter prevented much wheat from
sprouting. All that region has had
good rains in the past two weeks. hut
othcihl weather reports show whea,
Is just beginning to come up. If
weather conditions are perfect n
soou crop might be produced. Other
wise. there will he light stooling and
thin fields. Whether farmers will
allow the fields to stand or pillow
them up IS matter OF conjecture
only. Kansas has ll,56S,o00 acres. or
about 20 per cent OF the total win
Yer wheat acreage. Oklahoma has
S.550,ocO and Nebraska 3.95I 900. Con-
Hiti"hs nave been dry in Western
Nebraska also.
Four years ago Kansas and Ne
nraska had similar experience.
Seed which was Sown in the dust
did not sDrout until spring. The Nav
report showed heavy loss OF acre
age that had developed since April
J.: Admittedly. weather conditions
since April have been favorable
LOT 'ne growth OF wheat and outside
al the areas that were dry last
autumn the crop is doing wen.
Market Nearly bare.
The new crop. whatever it's size.
VIII come on market nearly bare
or supplies. Official estimate OF sun
pies as Of March was as follows.
IN bushels, compared with two pre-
ceding years:
Wheat on farms March |. 1922. 1871
$4,000: 1921. 2l7,037,Go0: 1920 i6s.-
$4,000.
In country mills and elevators
March |. 1922. 1864. 900. 1921. ST.
$4,000; 1920. 23.233. 900, which. with
me hdditiona! visible supply for each
OF the years. estimated AT 10000 900
H'soo,0o0 and 2S,000.000. Respectively
ma grand total OF 243.7o0. 900
puShe!s Tor 1879. 1912 900 in 1921
and 32l ,l31.00O in 1920.
Deduct from thi; 80. 600. 600 husbeI.
as probable requirements for spring
Sot"ihE ana there vii! remain 2lJ-
'oO.Ovo bushels for domestic use and
exports from March / to Jun, 40 o,,i
OF which a reasonable amount should
pe hc!d I" guard against crnp losses.
domestic consumption varies from
year To year and il difficult to csti-
mate hut staiisticiRns agree on from
nv" TO I'VE and onc-half bushels per
capita although last year IL was un-
der hVc. An estimate Of 100000 0oo
bushels for domestic cousu,nn,i"n
from March TO June 80 would he ex-
tremeiy conservative. less than ave
bushels per capita per annum. This
would leave 63.TOO. 600 bushels for
exports and carryoVcr ON March
EXPLOITS to that date from July wcr,
o'hcia!ly reported at $4,000. 600
bushels and the amount shipped out
In February i0.o90.oOO bushels At
inns rate the carryOVcr on July
would be far below the average Of
around 1o,o00,O0O bushels.
World Supplies.
There Will not DC much wheat In
the world when our new crop is ready
Tor harvest. Canada VIII he cleaned
up nearly as closely as the United
states and Argentina and Australia
are skipping rapidly. Broomhail es-
iimatcd world shipments for season
would be $4,000. 900 bushels. Bv his
own hgurcs there We're about 2IT.-
100000 bushels to be shipped after
the middle Of March. The crop sea
son VIII close With n surplus Of about
10000 Gao bushels in the exporting
countries. compared with about 100
100000 year ago.
World conditions call FOR good
crop throughout Europe this season.
u production in Southern Hemisphere
equal to last year. an cNDortnblc sur
plus Of about 100000. 900 bushels In
Canada, and production in Unsted
States az 600, 900 900 bushels of win