Evening star., 1922-03-19
LEADERS CLAIMING
g. SENATE VOTES
FOR 4-POWER PACT
Utmost Opposition Strength
Given as 20 by Support
ers of Treaty..
NECESSARY TWO-THIRDS
IS MORE THAN ASSURED
Any Danger Because of Attitude of
Reservation Foes Now Be-
lieved Past.

Ratification of the four-power
Pacific treaty by the Senate when the
vote is taken FRIDAY is assured. Sem
ate leaders claimed last night. The
utmost strength of the opposition
was given as twenty-nine votes
twenty-five democrats and four re-
publicans. The supporters on the other
hand expert to cast sixty-four votes
more than the necessary two-thirds.
= even with the opponents mastering
their full strength.
Absentees Taken Into Account.
These figures take into account the
fact that three senators who would
vote for the treaty If present may
be away from Washington. They are
Senator Crow of Pennsylvania. who
is ill in a hospital in Pittsburgh;
Senator Owen of Oklahoma, who has
not yet returned from Europe, and
Senator Trammell of Florida. The last
two senators may yet be here for the
vote.
Any danger that may have existed
because of the attitude of some of the
republican senators who believe that
the treaty should be ratified without
any reservation whatever and who
have opposed the Brandegee reserva-
tion, is now passed, it was said. The
danger lay in the fact that if this
reservation should be defeated then
some of the senators who are counted
upon to vote for ratification would
have voted NO with disastrous ef-
feet.
situation Well in Hand.
The republican leaders now have the
situation we'll in hand. They assert
they have enough votes to adopt the
Brandegee reservation. which was re-
ported favorably by ths-foreign rela-
tions committee, with republican
votes alone. since 1t takes only a ma
jority vote for this purpose, and also
that they will have democratic sup
port for the reservation.
As soon as the four-power Pacific
treaty has been disposed of. it is the
plan Of Senator Lodge, chairman of
the foreign relations committee, to
call up the supplemental treaty
signed by the four powers, which ex-
cludes from the operation of the four
power Pacific treaty the home land
of Japan. 1t is not believed that this
treaty will lead to any extended de-
bate after the fotr-power pact has
been ratified.
Chinese Customs Next.
Following the disposition of the
supplemental treaty, it is likely that
the treaty dealing with Chinese Gus
toms duties will be taken up, it was
said last night. Provision is made in
this treaty for the appointment of an
international commission at an early
date. and it is considered imperative
to dispose of this treaty with as little
delay as possible. This treaty will
lead to some debate, for a number
of the senators have criticised the
conference for failure to grant China
tariff autonomy, and are, opposed to
having the United States enter into
a compact with other nations re-
stricting China's tariff.
AilGi liiio IL Cdty lIdS SDCeH dClGu
upon. the general treaty with China,
in which the other eight powers par
ticipate, agreeing to respect China's
territorial and administrative iR-
tegrity. etc, may be taken up.
Two Treaties Will Remain.
There will remain but two other
treaties, the naval Limitation treaty
and the treaty prohibiting the use of
submarines as commerce destroyers,
and the use of poison gas in war
The latter is expected to be ratified
with little discussion and without
opposition. The naval treaty will be
ratified overwhelmingly. it is be-
lieved, although some of its provi-
sions will be attacked, notably ar
ticle XIX, which provides for limit
ing fortificatiops of island possess
sions of the United States. the Brit
ish empire and Japan in the Pacific.
The whole field of controversies
scattering about the arms conference
vas revived anew in the Senate yes
eerday during an all-day debate on the
$our power Pacific treaty.
Join Battle Directly.
For the first time since early in the
week tho treaty's supporters Joined
Battle directly with its irreconcilable
opponents, and q score Of senators
and fully as many issues OF the treaty
fight were drawn into the running
erossf1re Of argument.
Senator Robinson, democrat, Ar
kansas, started the field day of oratory
with a speech supporting his amend
nent to pledge the four signatory
powers against secret diplomacy. He
was seconded in the attack by Senator
johnson. republican, California, who
asked why tho Franco-Japanese alli-
: ence as we'll as the Anglo-Japanese al
siapce had not been termjnated by the
Sour-power pact, and later Senator
Borah. republican, Idaho, Joined in
with an assault on the Shantung set
tlelnent as an example Of the sort Of
diplomacy with which he said the
United States should not.associate
itself.
Poindexter Defends Parley.
When the discussion -drifted to the
naval limitation treaty and its fortifica-
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