New-York tribune., 1922-12-07
By Arthur s. Draper
fr.csaI cable 10 The Tribgns


LONDON. Dec. 6.-if the question
aTs GERMAN preparing for another
war;" were asked of n dozen English
men. selected ~ random, a. least eleven
would answer: "No" Government OIL
ciAls here whose experts are constantly
OF the watch. say In positive terms
Germany Is not preparing for another
war.
They assert Germany Is not IN q
position 90 90 20 war. PhyGieally u ia
unable 10 take up arms against France
or any one else ard b. not likely % 5e
able 10 do 90 Tor many years. these
experts add. The subject = not q sim
pie one. T. is comparatively easy 70
count rifles. supervise the manufacture
Of munitions and to limit the size OF
the rcscrvist and police bodies. But IT,
is an altogether different Job 20 Try
20 Judge the spirit Of a people aud
gauge the amount Of hostility one ma
tion has toward another. Keen Brit
ish observers 80 80 FAR ~ 90 say, how
ever. that not only is Germany making
no material preparations for war but
there is no general warlike spirit IN
Germany.
See Danger In French View
In Bavaria there are a lot Of Ger
man monarehists. junkers ard reac-
tionaries who are keen 20 have a king
and the return Of the regime Of Hin
denburg and Ludeudorf. In Saxony,
right next door, the Socialists are pre-
dominant The British find difficulty
in general.zing about the amount u
war sentiment In Germany. In the
Rhineland there is unquestiopably
large amount of bitterness toward
the French. but English observers think
lt Is not 20 hostile as year or two ago.
They find there is che darger Of the
French taking some action--either c1-
tending the zone of occupation or in
tr duclng restrictive measurcs-which
will create q bitterness. proving 4
boomerang q few years hence. II the
French government feels compelled 20
play a lone hand In Germany--thc
British will remain passivc-there may
be an unhappy sequel
A. this is written there Is much
talk In the French press of an early
extension OF the area OF occupation In
he Rhineland. IL is so eircumstantial
hat marks have fallen heavily and all
,hc rest Of the Continental exchanges
re huetuating violently. a parallel
can be- found II one turns back 20
Napoloonlc times and studies the he
cory Of tho German occupation b. the
great French general.
A. the present time European coun-
tries are turning 20 business men
rather than 10 diplomats for leaders.
ponar Law has been q successful man
ufacturer; DR.. Cuno made a reputa-
ton In the business world: hussolini
s- - Inufwraa man than L
politician.
With trade as the keynote OF govern
ment policies. political differences as
sumo less importance. The British hope
trade relations will bring about cor.
ciliation. Provided Germany will give
satisfactory guarantees. the British arc
prepared 20 reduce their representa-
lion on the inter-All.ed Commission.
which has supervisory control over
tho manufacture Of munitions In Ger
many.
Under the Versailles Treaty the COM
misflon's authority should have ended
some time back. but the Allies continued
/ IL because they were not fully satis-
fed with the way Germany had acted.
/ cer-,~~~ rinst frrther reduce rs store
OF munitioas and give guarantees not
10 Fhlp arms outside rs borders be
I fore the British will agree % sub
stitute a small committee for the large
/ commission now conducting careful
i invest cation.
No Danger in Cannon Seen
British experts are fully convinced
l Germany's few cannon cannot be Of
danger 10 any country. One Of the chief
reasons why the British would like 70
reduce the size Of the commission is
tl.ey believe all provocative acts should
be avoided It 10 long established
rule OF the British not 10 intervene In
| dnnfstic nolitiea In a foreign country.