The New York herald., 1922-10-30

man to fool himself The politicians
say. You can't aid Miller. You can,
kid a man who does not kid himself
These situations. generally speaking
apply to Albany (part'culariy). to
Rochester, Buffalo, Syracuse and prob
ably fifteen or twenty lesser cities
Present indications are that Smith will
carry Albany city. leaving Albany
county in doubt.
1t is extremely ioubrful II Smith will
carry Syracuse and IL 10 cont..nded that
Onondaga county win return plurality
for Miller
1t Is by no means certain that Smith
will carry Buffalo, as has been pro-
claimed loudly by Smith partisans. In
Erie county. where the Democrats ex-
pected to make formidable showing.
Democratic leaders conceded Friday
that Miller would win the county by a
reduced plurality. and admitted that it
was tight fight" in the city OF Buff
falo.
Figures for 1920 Compared.
In 1920 Miller polled 39,057 votes in
Albany county to S7,572 for Smith, q
plurality of 1,4S5.
In Onondaga county in 1920 Miller
received 51,046 votes to 29,493 for
Smith. plurality of 21.553.
In Erie county in 1920 Miller received
s2.7So votes to 62.315 for Smith. plu-
rality of 20.415.
The total 1920 vote for Miller was
1,3S5.S72 to 1.261.S12 for Smith, a Mil
lsr plurality OF 74,060.
Two years ago Smith carried Greater
New York by a plurality of 319.S73.
Smiths vote was 709.604 and Miller's
3Ss.729. Miller carried upstate by
-
s46,144 votes upstate. while Smith re-
celved 552.20S.
Now as against a certain weakness
in the cities. quite comprehended by the
Governor, he places a partly balancing
factor This is the known disposition
of a great many Democrats to recognize
him as the best business Governor prob
ably in the history of the State. This
class Of citizens is not TO be reached by
appeals TO prejudice or come on shouts
OF good fellowship. They keep their
eye on taxes and the contact of State
government with their small but very
precious interests.
in all of the big cities mentioned
Democrats have been found who quite
frankly state that they like AL Smith
that they hate to vote against him, but
that it Is impossible to turn down q
record like Miller's. This source of
strength is not apt to meet the loss
from the factors stated above. Miller
is unquestionably weaker in the larger
cities than he was two years ago. How
about the rural communities?
Stronger in Rural Districts.
The answer is that ne is probably
stronger in some sections of the State,
particularly the western part. He is
probably little stronger in the north
ern part and In sections of the SOUTH
ern tier. In these rural sections he is
stronger because his government had
more helpful conduct with the aver
age man than Smiths government. In
other words, Miller cut their State taxa
ton. If it doesn't show in their total
bills since local taxes have increased
they do know that their total tax bills
would have been considerably bigger
had it not been for State cut.
In every county they know to dollar
just how much Miller saved them. They
know he gave them more roads and
better roads and SO helped them mar
ket their product more cheaply and
quickly. They know that rural schools
have been brought to better efficiency.
These things count. Miller relies upon
them to roll up rural vote big enough
to overwhelm the disaffection in the
larger cities and to beat back Smiths
New York city plurality.
The Governor will not indicate what