Evening public ledger. [volume] (Philadelphia [Pa.]) 1914-1942, 1922-10-17
MUST VI ,,,v o,i,7
'"o'''S IN SENATE
0emoving De
ment NOT Have More Than
Wonhance 70 Win in
yeral States
HOUSE FORECAST


2 tree that neNTON w. GILBERT
o.a' S ol wv W. cv,tcnt Evening Public ledger
rpeInu'uSp2 by Public Ledger Company
nspu ION, Oct. 17.-Casting up
before the It's as they are seen at the
Women Notehdqunrters here. one is sur
x.i xneient anu ifnd that the Republicans
John A. d chance to hold their present
nominee for majority of twenty -four in
ence that ,ce and probably to increase it.
r"h,;con n''" c,.en believed until recently that
The loneublican excess in the upper
mlly decobukl, b. slightly cut down. But
e. S,Iro mowerS errSyrorement in Republican chances
In politi,,raska and Ohio and the fading
and forrratic hopes in New Jersey have
tnat mked the situation.
As "'t is conceded that the Republican
lority in the lower house will be
Thatly reduced. but in the upper house
raoue situation is different. Nintceen
Gcsxteen was the year Of Woodrow w,
Nisn's sweep in the West. II brought
weppto tho Senate several Democrats from
Salormaly Republican States. Their
N,jeats become vacant this year. and If
both parties have their normal strength
r,,this fan some Of these seats viii h"
h,,lost to the Democrats. On the other
snhand, the Republicans are sure to lose
Nonly one snat--that of Senator France
In Maryland.
% The Situation Summarized
The situation shapes up like this;
The Rcpubicans have n chance OF win
9 ming in the following States where the
seats are now held By Democrats; New
! Mexico. Rhode Island. Utah. Ohio. Ne
vada. Montana. Nebraska. wyoming
and Missouri; nine States in all.
The Democrats may win the follow
ing seats now held BY Republicans
Maryland. Indiana, New York. New
Jersey. Connecticut. North Dakota and
West Virginia seven States in all.
In this list OF Democratic prospects
Maryland is the only sure thing. Demo :
cratic prospects are less than even in
Indiana. New Jersey. New York md
Connecticut. They are about even in
North Dakota. About West Virginia
no one prctcnds to information.
That is to say only in three States
are the Democratic prospects fifty nifty
or better. Maryland. North Dakota and
West Virginia.
On the Republican side New Mexico
Is about as sure to 60 Republican a.
Maryland is to 20 Democratic. Ihes'
two States offset each other. In Utah
Rhode Island and Nebraska Repuhli'
cans have better than an even change
to win. In Nevada, Wyoming, Mon
tana and Ohio. Republican prospects
seem slighter.
Re. election of Reed Expected
Missouri is incalculable, though tn
prospects favor the re- election of Sena
tor Reed. Democrat. Thus there ar
more States which nre doubtful, bu
favoring the Republicans, than ther
are which are doubtful favoring tn
Democrats. On an even break the Re
publicnns are likely to pick up one o
two more seats than the Democrats.
The prominence OF local and persona
issues everywhere makes results hare
to guess. But the development of tn
campaign in several of the doubttr
States is favorable TO the Republicans
A short time ago II was Concede
that the Democrats would retain Ohio
Re electing Senator Pomerene. But IN
I wet dry issue has cut across party line
there. and it is believed to be aidin
the Republicans. Moreover. Ohio WA
carried for the Democrats in 1916. whe,
Mr.. PomCrrnc was elected with the nj
of the labor vote. This year labor !
angry at Mr.. Pomerene and may k""
away from the polls since it is no
attracted to the Republican candidate
Mr.. FesS. Also the Republican part
IL making great efforts in Ohio. sine,
It is the Presidents own State
A similar condition exists in Ne