The Washington times. [volume] (Washington [D.C.]) 1902-1939, 1922-03-03
.4-P0WER PACT
LOOKS BEATEN,
CHIEFS ASSERT
Pacific Treaty In Worse Shape
Than Wilson's League, All
Signs Show.
BY WILLIAM HARD,
Cosmopolltan News Service.

Today the four-power treaty looks
beaten, and speculation is already
turning to question OF what the in
ternational policy Of the United
States will have to be IL the policy
laid down In this treaty Is discarded.
A survey of the situation among
both Republicans and Democrats
and also among representatives OF
foreign nations at Washington re-
veals the following facts both as to
the chances OF the treaty and as to
what will como afterward II the
treaty fails to get ratified.
In the first place II IL admitted on
all hands that things look much
worse for the four-power treaty than
they looked for the treaty Of Yer.
sailles at a corresponding stage OF
irreconcilables against the treaty OF
Versailles numbered only along
about fourteen and they were got
together gradually. Today the
Democratic opponents OF the four
power treaty are counted as GER
tainly twenty-six. Definite word has
been sent from among them to the
Republican opponents of the treaty
that II the Republicans can produce
seven votes against the treaty the
ratification cannot happen.
The four Republicans who are
without doubt against the treaty
namely, johnson. Bosah. France and
I.aFollette-haye not abandoned
hope of finding three fellow Republi-
cans to make up the required seven.
It is thought among them that In
certain circumstances-for instance,
II the reservation to the treaty Is
defeated-their old friend. Frank
Brandegee. Of Connecticut, might be
restored TO his membership in the
old Battalion of Death. 1t Is also
thought that George Moses, OF
New Hampshire. is not a happy and
satisfied member OF the forces favor
ing the treaty. 1t Is further hoped
that Mccormick. Of Illinois, or
Norris. Of Nebraska. being old
to opposition to the treaty.
| II is also said that Ladd. Of
North Dakota. among the Republi-
cans. might be swung against the
treaty because his organization at
home-the Non.Partisan League
| ~ TeRHrueu as OppOSSa W ioiS ASh
arrangements" Some hope is also
entertained OF Pepper. Of Pennsyl-
vania, who was prominent in the
early stages Of the fight against
the League Of Nations. Today.
though, II looks as II the Demo
Gratis might muster more than
| twenty-six votes against the treaty.
and therefore might not need a.
many as seven Republicans to help
them defeat 1t.
| Just as Republican politics helped
to swell the opposition to the Yer
sailles Treaty when once the op-
position had got we'll started. so
Democratic politics Is today SWELL
ing the opposition to the four.power
treaty.
1t is known that during the late
conference there were Democratic
friends OF the League OF Nations
who questioned the British repre-
sentatives closely as to what effect
the four power treaty would have
on the league. Among manv such
Democrats the purpose today in
trying to defeat the treaty is in
order to get back - the league and
therefore the treaty has to endure
the opposition both OF Democrats
who want foreign acknowledgements
and Of Democrats who do no; want
them. These two sortS IT Demo
Gratis together make the prospects
Of the treaty very gloomy az this
moment and :he d'scussiol m what
VIII happen IL the treaty is beate,:
begins to grow in Washington both
among Americans and among tor.
eigners.
1t is said among the British that
the defeat Of the treaty would simply
end the foreign relations of the
United States In SO far as any fur
ther effort to bring the United States
into any organized international life
is concerned. They say that. even
If the four-power treaty Is regarded
as British idea. the situation is that
the League of Nations was an Ameri
can idea, and that the United States
will. therefore, be in the position OF
having rejected first the American
idea and next the British idea of or
ganized relations between the United
States and the foreign world. and
that, accordingly. no foreign nation
hereafter Is going to be bold enough
to attempt to negotiate any such rela
tons with the United States.
This view is also accepted among
many Americans, and there ia strong
support for the prophecy that II the
treaty is defeated, the United States
will be driven to follow the sort OF
policy toward world affairs outlined
by the late Senator Knox of Pepnsyl
vania.
Knox believed that without enter