Evening star., 1922-11-03
HIDDEN Factors
IN n. Y. CAMPAIGN?
Smith.MiIIer Ranks Vie in
Claiming Victory as
Certain.
DEMOCRATS ARE ELATED
Prediction of Landslide Discounted,
However, by G. o. P.
Leaders.
BY N. O. MESSENGER.
StafF Correspondent of The Star.

NEW YORK, November 3.-An utter |
stranger dropping into New York to-
day, II interested in politics and COM |
fmngling with politicians of both par |
ties, could not fail to be quickly i'm |
pressed by the contrasting conditions
in the republican and democratic !
camps. He would find the democrats
in a state OF almost hysteric enthusi- |
asm over the prospects of their can
didate for governor. Alfred L. Smith. |!
They talk in figures of expected plu-
rality that are staggering. He would
hear on all sides the exultant cry,
Its going to be a landslide" He
would witness the faithful joyously
betting large sums of money on their
candidate, who now has the betting
odds in his favor.
The republicans would be found
to be quite incredulous of democratic
claims and mildly Scornful of the
democratic tubilation. ready with
pencil and paper to demonstrate aa,eu5 the
tions. and to show that such things
ccannot be. The republican attitude
is one of calm confidence in the out.
come of a contest which is admitted
as likely to be close. Republican
leaders and managers report that
they fail to find any evidences of a
democratic landslide either in the
city or in the state elsewhere.
Evidently the two sides are count
ing upon elements which are not tan
gible for purposes of calculation. As
the democrats insist upon expecting
landslide. which phenomenon In poll
tics usually moves from hidden and
unsuspected sources. so do the repub-
licans rest their hope upon the pre-
sumed existence of vast silent
vote" which. they believe. is thinking
deeply and pondering the issues of the
nor voicing 1t by shouting in meet
ings or following brass bands in pa
rade.
silent Vote Feared.
1t is this silent vote that the demo-
Gratis most do fear. Unknown, lmpos-
sible of estimation, lurking In the
shadow of reticence of expression. u
is the cause of their deepest appre-
hension. They know that their own
people are out In the open. voicing
their presence-except that faction
which may desert the radical platform
of the democratic party.
In previous dispatch was set forth
the inside calculations of the COM
puters in both parties. and on the
neutral side lines. by that meaning
at the figures dispassionately. Devel-
opments of twenty-four hours have
not disturbed these calculations.
namely-that Smith is allowed a plu-
rality of 2S6,000 in Greater New
York, which cannot elect him gov
ernor anless the landslide which the
democrats count upon sets in up state
and, sweeps down to the Bronx with
a vote showing complete reversal OF
normal conditions in politics up state.
And the republican leaders have not
been able to locate the premonitory
rumblings of any such movement.
For three weeks now the rival
candidates for the governorship have
and local issues In the closing days
of the campaign here they are talk
ing tariff and light wines and beer.
Democrats are chuckling over the
sade against the tariff bill was laid
by republican newspapers here and
IN the state at large. Long before
the campaign opened notable repub,
was being prepared in the Congress, |,
attacked the legislation on the
ground Of it's high protective features
and claimed that 1t would increase
are being quoted by democratic |
speakers as exhibit A. in support of
their contentious.
$4,000, 100000 a Year Tax. !
The democratic charge. iterated and |
reiterated In every district. is that
the new law will tax the consumers |
four billion dollars year and will
put a burden of $3.50 increased costs
of living upon every family The re-
pubIicans deny the assertion and
counter with the claim that the pro-
tective tariff means more jobs for the
bread winners and banishes unem-
ployment.
!. The campaign in this city Is not
without its amusing features. In one /
of his speeches last night Candidate
Smith in his metaphors jumped from /
Carlyle to the language OF 1,ne, the prize
marks on the Miller record as being
"th1s thrice-refned pabulum Of trans
cendental moonshins:"
This utterance rather staggered his
audience, but they quickly came back
when he said that he had Gov:
Miller groggy." and that he would
soon knock him over the ropes. Gov.
Miller stigmatizes Candidate Smiths
upholding of the wet plank as bunk"
that word being intelligible to the |
average audience.
The campaign will be practically |
made by tomorrow night in the larger !
aspects. and the fine work" of last |
hour organization and preparations |
Republican leaders report that they |
are all set" for turning out the re- |
publican vote upstate and only pray |
for good weather on election day. In |
this city the democrats expect to turn |
out every mothers son and daughter |
who was registered. The republicans |
continue their charges that the demo- |
Gratis will turn out some who were !!
not legally registered. This charge |
is an expected occurrence at every
election. however. and is made by the |
party which does not happen to con- |
troll the election machinery at the !
time. |