Evening star., 1922-07-02
SECURITY OF GERMANY
GAINED THROUGH CRISIS
Monarchists Get Due Warning Time to
Strike Is Not Yet-Polish-C German
Pact i'm View.

so strongly toward the socialist side
headway here, Bavaria. however. is
another question. Already 1t Is re-
ported that the monarchists have ar
ranged for monarchial outbreaks in
Munich and at other points. but how
far-reaching these may be. Of course,
cannot be conjectured. There is
every reason to believe. however.
that the following of monarchial
leaders in Bavaria would be scant.
inasmuch as recent events have
fact that the temper of the people
elsewhere is not such as to brook
revolution al the moment and with
out sweeping support all would fall'
German-Polish Agreement.
Mere mention has been made of
proposed German-Polish commercial
alliance. but this is one of the most
significant bits of news that has come
out of Europe in recent months. II
realized it would mark the breaking
down of the long existing hatreds,
ever potential menaces. At the same
time, it would lead to breaking down
of French influence in Poland. which
eventually may change the whole
complexion of eastern European
politics.
Bitter enmities which have been
aroused over the partition of Upper
Silesia from Germany still smoulder
and may yet lead to conflict. but a
commercial working agreement be,
tween Poland and the Germans would
go far toward erasing the evil eHectS
of the bungIed Upper Silesian treaty
and at the same time bring the Ger
IS~Io p.rCC
speak of small border states, into
working agreements which would
lead to later political agreements Oh
far-reaching character.
The Poles. by sheer circumstance,
were forced to lean upon the allies
Immediately after the war when the
the old Polish empire was being re
mapped and rejuvenated. The F'rench
gained the upper hand insofar as III,
fiuence in Poland is concerned, ana
this eventuated in an onensl'e ANU anu
defensive military alliance. Not
withstanding the fact that the allies
have furnished capital to Poland and
have reassured her from a military
standpoint. it is nevertheless fact
that the Poles have witnessed thelr
own constantly growing dependency,
industrially and economically. upon
the Germans. Likewise the Germans
have felt the need, from a business
standpoint. of closer working ar
rangements with the Poles. The
feeling is mutual that the two
peoples should bury their differences.
politically speaking, and work IN
closer cooperation, from an eco
nomic and commercial standpoint
Politics May BE Influenced.
1t is often said that the trend of
politics is directed by commercial
rapprochements and is not the di-
rector If this be not fallacy. then
the German influence in Poland Will
grow with the years, and with Ger
many working in close cooperation
with Russia to the east the position
of Poland will be enhanced from a
strictly commercial standpoint.
From military standpoint Poland
will feel she has the backing of the
allied governments during the crief-
cal immediate years to come. but
there is some question as to the pos
sible course of the French govern
ment in regard to present alliances
into friendly working agreements
with the Germans. Undoubtedly. In
view of the bitter feeling toward the
Germans, the French would strive to
call the Poles to account. If the
Poles. on the other hand, felt them
with the Germans and the Russians
there is every reason to believe that
the French alliance would be dropped.
These are not eventualities that
may transpire in the immediate fu
ture. Merely are they possibilities of
the future, but they nevertheless
demonstrate the insecurity of mo-
mentary adjustments and schemings.
They further demonstrate the Brit
ish theory that Europe cannot be
reconstructed without cooperative
endeavor by all and that this en-
deavor will come in the face of all
the treaties or agreements that may
be effected at the moment to the con-
trary.
1t is this trend toward adjustment
of eastern Europe's economic and
financial troubles and the erasing of
'war-created prejudices that will
bring about far-reaching agreements,
whether these agreements be effected
at The Hague or elsewhere.