New-York tribune., 1922-11-01
has been given u Roosevelt, Taft and

KfAFQ1MRs sF
in tho northeastern quarter of the
state the estiinate Of Democrats cut
| tang ksed Is 400 to the county, with
accurately measured.
Tbe northwestern section includes
Kansas City, Rced's home and strong
mold. That city alone la expected, ac-
cording to the saasse estimates, 10 give
/ heed not iess than 10000.
coming to st. Louis. the estimates
/ Snow that the cutting Of Reed by
Democrats will not ran more than six
70 precinct. Some even money bets
nave been made by men used to max
ing such estimates that the cutting
wiil not reach that figure. But in
sienburg line which, ironically enough,
has a French name, Chouteau Avenue,
that is where Jim is going TO play
havoc in Republican stronghold.
From Chouteau Avenue South st. Louis
Is little piece OK Berlin transplanted
All the people are Germans, all of
them arc Republicans and all of them
/ are wetr--very wet,
South st, i4ouis for Reed
II Is hers that the big Republican
majorities OF the past have been piled
up. IL is here that the majorities
against prohibition have been the de-
/ SPAR OF Anti-Saloon League leaders.
And here to-day every one is for Jim
! keed. They are for him because he
IS wet. They are for him because he
fought against Woodrow Wilson,
| against whom they are still bitter be-
j cause they tossed the party line in
1915 TO elect !. m because he had akept
as out of war" and then, as they feel
1t, Wilson betrayed them. They are
for Reed because he fought the League
| OF Nations, which they hate as some
thing which would benefit England
But far transcending everything else
is the fact that when they felt them
selves the target of every arrow Jim
Reed said o few kind words about
| them. Incidentally, Jim did not lose
ANYTHING with them by attacking
Hoover, especially as he kept painting
Hoover as an Englishman.
few casual visits down below the
Hindenburg line are very surprising
when one is able to get the conversa-
tion flowing freely. The question as
to why they are for Reed is always
answered in one way at first. 1t is
because he is wet. But by and by,
as the tongues grow looser, especially
If some good beer (5 4-10 per cent
alcohol is regarded as standard here)
comes out. One discovers that most
of these people can quote by heart
the things Reed has said in the Senate
that they like. 1t would be more ac-
| curate to say the things about the
Germans they like, for they like pretty
| nearly everything he has said on any
subject.
Understands German Voter
| Jim Reed is no slouch when it comes
to handling German voters. He had
good training. He was for years one
of the favorite lieutenants of the late
| William Joel Stone, called by his enc
mics "Gumshoe BILL 1t was Stone
'who, while Wilson was fiinging de-
! fance at Jeremiah OLeary in 1915,
calmly went out and nailed down the
German vote for Wilson and almost
| avoided being detected. And the votes
were cast for Wilson.
| Some $4,000 Republicans voted for
!, Reed in the Democratic primary. This
[ is one Of the lowest of the estimates
| made. In addition, some 10000 votes
| were cast in the Republican primary
! for William Sacks, Republican rum
ming on the light wines and beer plat
form. Forty thousand of these votes
were cast for Sacks in St. Louis alone.
| They were cast for him instead of
| hSea, 'DSCauSe edCH VOteI ndu INC
choice of voting Democratic or Re-
publican primary ballot. He could not
vote for Reed and thel, take part in
any Of the Republican fights. some Of
which in st. Louis were pretty warm.
| How many of these 10000 wringing
wet votes polled for Sacks in the Re-
publican primary will be cast for Reed
in the election one can only estimate.
Most of the politicians think con-
siderable number will go for him.
Germans Most Important
|! There are SO many angles to the
Reed fight that 1t would take book
to do them justice-and not short
summer novel size book either. AS
has been told, however, the Germans
are first and foremost in Importance.
| Brewster to Reed will be the Knockout
blow in the fight Nothing else is
comparable to it in the number of
votes changed, but great many
things are making much more noise.
The Germans are very quiet.
Next In Importance comes the wet
Tissue already discussed, and next the
Democrats who are boiling Reed be-
cause Of one reason or another, but
chiefly because he was against the
League of Nations and other Wilson
policies.
The strength Of this element was
given in che description of the reports
made as to how the cutting would run
in all four quarters of the state. Their
total number will not exceed $4,000 at
the outside, and this is liberal esti-
mate. st. Louis alone will more than
make up for them. She will give
Reed q majority of not less than 25, 600,
instead Of Republican majority which