The Washington times., 1922-11-06

every one of these nine genuinely
contested Republican seats and
would have to gain all twelve pf
the genuinely contested Republican
seats. Ii Is not at all conceded that
the Democrats will be able to do any
such thing.
Democratic Hopes.
The twelve Republican seats, which
in varying degrees have aroused in
Democratic boSoms true hope OF
capt uring them ere as follows:
Massachusetts, Connecticut, New
York, New Jersey, Delaware, Mary
la I'd, West Virginia, indiana. Michi'
gan, Minnesota, North Dakota and
Washington.
In four of them the Democrats
are especially hopeful. These four
are: Connecticut, New York, New
Jersey and Maryland II will he
noticed that they are all on the
Atlantic seaboard.
The nine Democratic seats which
have aroused the Republicans to
genuine effort of capture are rs fol
lows:
Rhode Island, Ohio, Missouri,
Nebraska, Montana, Wyoming. Utah
Nevada. New Mexico.
1t will be noticed that eight OF
them are west of the Allegheni,
and seven of them are west Of the
Mississippi.
General political professional opin
ion Is to the effect that out OF
these twenty-one Senatorial contests
there will come great volume oi
smoke, but not enough fire TO burn
down many Senatorial houses either
way. This opinion may he gravely
int error, but II Is the best avail
able.
e~The broad situation is that the
Democrats arc going to make
great gain i'm total popular vote
especially i'm the States from Con
necticut to Ohio and in the States
living along the border between the
North and the Southland they
hope that this gain will be heavy
enough to sweep several states
away from the Republicans, but
they know only that II will be heavy
enough to sweep a lot OF parts o'
States away from them.
The nine democratic seats which
have aroused the Republicans to q
genuine effort OF capture are as
follows:
These parts are congressional dis
tricis. Republicans as well az
democrats expect that the demo
cratic total popular vote this yeai
--as contrasted with that OF two
years ago--will show a great surge
/ forward in the industrial sections
Of Connecticut, New York, New
Jersey, Delaware. PENNSYLVANIA and
/ Ohio and also in the border states
Of Maryland. West Virginia, Ken
tucky. Tennessee. Missouri and
Oklahoma.
q. q. r. Seats In Danger.
In those states all put together
! the republicans now have one hun
dred and forty.four seats. They
I themselves admit that fifty.five OF
1 those seats are in danger. The
democrats claim that instead OF
/ fifty.five the number is seventy
Assuming 1t to be sixty. and assutn
| ing that the democrats won those
sixty, the republican ma jority ir
the thouse would he reduced by on,
hundred and twenty in consequence
OF the results in middle eastern and
border state territory alone.
In any case IL seems certain :ha
| IL is i'm that territory that the bis
| reduction is likely to happen. Scat
( tered reductions will happen else
where. A few weeks ago both sides
were approaching the view that tn
| total number OF Republican seats
lost would bc about seventy-four
| This would be reducing OF the Re
publican majority in the house nj
! representatives by i4S~and wou!t
bring II down from it's present high
le, 81 OF TO To the low but sufficient
| level Of %.
Democrats Aggressive.
Since that time the Democrats
have become more aggressive and
the Republicans have become more
resistant both in their labors and
In their prophesics.
Politicians can do more than 9th \
people to carry elections but they
lose just as much money as Other
people in betting on results.
What remains now is what nc
politician and no one else evci
knows: The feelings aud the .ac
tions Of people who do not come Ia
, political meetings but who go &c
the polls and vote In accordance with
reasons which arc unrevealed and
In accomplishment of results which
are unpredictablc