The New York herald., 1922-10-30
MILLER IS CONFIDENT
OF DEFEATING Smith
sThere Is No Doubt of Result
Says Governor; People
Are Thinking
ANALYSIS OF SITUATION
His Close Friends Believe Ex-
ecutive Will Have a Plu-
rality Of $4,000.
ANALYSIS OF SITUATION
by e. c. HILL.

ny Es - fAbAs
soeoiol Dispatch to THE NEW YonE HERALD.
New York Herald Bureau.
Albany. Oct. 80.
There is no doubt Of the result"
said Gov. Miller at the Executive
Mansion tonight. "The people are
thinking. They will not be caught
by false issues or false promises, by
promises that can't be kept or that
are not intended to be kept A few
Of the unthinking may be misled, but
the thinking resent such insults to
their intelligence. The thinking are
going to control.
Saturday night finished the up
State part of my speaking campaign.
l am more than pleased by the in
creasing evidence Of aroused interest
in the continuance of good govern
ment. We have opposed record or
performance against excuses for nom
performance, promises of further per-
fornances against confession OF in
ability to perform unless the con-
stitution is changed. as cannot be done
within the next term Of the Governor
to be elected, and appeals to reason
against appeals to prejudice and ig-
norance. The result Is not in doubt
Reflects His Actual Opinion.
There certainly Is no doubt the Cow
ernors actual opinion is reflected IN 'he
foregoing brief expression OF confidence
It Is the reaction he actually finds in
his political test tube after three weeks
Of ouantitative and qualitative analysis.
No other candidate in the experience OF
this writer possesses quite the facuity
which Miller has for 'ookiIg at things
as they are--or as he believes that the!
nre. No other candidate has been SO
little Influenced by the rosy reports in
yariably volunteered by local leaders
craving their chiefs commentator.
such bluff counts for not feather-
weight with this man.
Miller knows he is in fight. shrewdiy
reclons that IL may be close ana, aIter
Weighing all the factors OF the contest,
calmly figures up total OF victory. II
may sometimes be forgotten that the
Governor is politician as well as a
statesman, practicdt poh,icl"i' Vs..
had trained In hard school before he
turned his back upon such things.
In the arithmetic of partisan con-
tests Miller belongs to the school OF the
old masters George w. Aldridge,
Francis Hendricks. John Raines and
others that have passed on. He HIM
self may appraise situation incor-
rectly. but he Is too alert, too expert
enced. too wise In the game TO be fooled
by his underlings.
He believes he will win Because he
believes that he knows more anyut what
the people are thinking than most OF
his eubordinates IN thu party oBanizu-
t,on know. Most OF them have the
habit Of superficial estimate. Ailler's
mind delves deeper.
Put It this way: In almost every
county Of the State in 1000 mile
speaking tour, local .sade-s have per-
slstently assured the Governor that his
pluralities will equal II not exceed tho
tremendous Republican pluralities of
two years ago. The Governor knows
that this is rank nonsense and he
knows. too, that not a few of these
leaders go straight from jollying him
TO private predictions Of an increased
vote for Smith, and heaven knows what
disaster.
Amused Contempt Is Eject.
The reaction produced upon a shrewi
and experienced mind by this sort OF
thing Is contempt diluted by amus.-
meut He is much more impressed Ly
Indications of slack and sullen organiza-