Evening star., 1922-10-22
YORK PUZZLES
POLITICAL EXPERTS
Apathy of G. O. P. Voters
PIeases Democrats-MiI-
. Ier Men Undisturbed.
WEATHER MAY BE FACTOR
Storms Would Materially Cut Bal
loting by Upstaters-Tammany
Stand Held in Doubt.
WEATHER MAY BE FACTOR
BY n. O. MESSENGER.

| BY n, d. MESSENUEns
| Special Correspondent of The Star.
| NEW YORK, October 2l.-Newspa-
per writers for the great New York
dailies who have been travelling with
Gov. Miller. republican candidate for
governor, and Alfred E. Smith. the
tour OF the past two weeks appear to
concur in their estimate Of the cam
paign efforts, but find themselves at
a loss to make a definite prediction
of the outcome at this time. They
are waiting to see what the upstate
registration. which closed today. will
show. for one thing, and they are
plainly bothered about the apathy in
republican districts. They don't
know whether to attribute 1t to dis
affection or to the voters having
made up their minds how to vote on
November Z, and are not interested
in the campaign speeches.
Speaking from experience as an OBJ
server Of New York campaigns for
many years past, the present writer
is moved to say that this campaign
non-partisan manner by the news
papers than any before. Both can
didates have been given an "even
break" in the news columns by the
ings and speeches. The farmer labor
candidates have been given a show.
Editorial comment has been along
party lines in some cases. and non
partisan in others. The outcome Is
declared to rest upon whether the
republicans can register their vote
upstate and get 1t out on election day.
| Weather Bie Factor
The weather on November will
cut an important part in the result.
II it should be cold and stormy on
that day, thousands Of republican
ballots. will be missing in hundreds
Of county districts where the repub,,
daughters will have to travel miles to
the polling places. In Greater New
York. the seat Of the expected Smith
democratic vote. the weather VIII not
deter the horde of democrats from
swarming out Of the, subways and
down from the elevated to put in one
for 'Ar." The newspaper men ac-
companying the Smith train report
that Mr.. Smith has made hit" up
state with his audiences and the
men who are with the republican can
didate say that this is causing worry
to the republican managers.
In greater New York is heard under
ground rumor that Tammany Is not
playing square WITH SHlitn. ~ 10
persistent and is puzzling because
it is not logical. Intelligence Is
challenged by the suggestion that Tam
many. always looking out for its own
interests. cannot gain anything by a
victory Of the republican ticket. The
do would be to haze Mayor Hylan the
limit the law allows the governor
Jurisdiction over the mayor OF greater
New York. Yet the political observers
Coz HH1t th0t
Jeer at Smith Claims.
| The farmer,labor candidates are
jeering at Candidate Smiths claims Of
being the champion Of the working
man. Mr.. Smiths business afhliation
is being head Of the trucking corpora =
ton. which the farmer laborites claim
has put out Of existence the individual
are not many. at that, and anyhow
"Al" Smiths supporters are Of the
type who wouldn't believe the state
ment on oath.
party for a fortnight, the very compe-
tent and fairminded correspondent Of
the New York Sun sums up his i'm
preston Of the efforts Of the republi-
can candidate. which I will take the
author. He says:
"His campaign so far has produced
fair crowds, attentive listeners and
entirely respectful receptions. It has
not been marked by the enthusiasm.
fact is gleefully noted by the demo-
cratic upstate newspapers, but is dis
missed as q factor Of no consequence
by the republican editors.
ran against Higgins in 1904 it was
Herrick who got the big crowds and
the gay hurrah, but that 1t was Hig-
gins who won; that when Hearst ran
against Hughes in 1905, Hearst out
drew his opponent and caused much
more uproar. yet Hearst was defeated; ;
that in 1908 Lewis Stuyvesant Cham
Ter got as good receptions in most
parts Of the state as Mr.. Hughes, who
was running again. yet Hughes won
stances Of the defeat of the candidate
who aroused enthusiasm are heard,
including Bryan in his various cam
paigns.
Believe Calder VIII Win.
'It should be kept in mind as the
basic fact of the campaign that there
are enough republican votes upstate
likely to get in New York. The
republican problem. is to get them
registered and to the polls. If the
Indifference and listlessness displayed
toward political meetings and speech
making means that republicans don't
intend to vote in anything like full
strength, then Smith stock is a good
buy. If it merely means that they
made up their minds long ago and
are tired Of the old campaigning
stuff, then Miller has better than an
| even chance. The trouble is nobody
can tell. The people are num-"
The prevailing impression among
| the political wiseacres here is that
Senator Calder. republican. will win
| against his democratic opponent, DR..
Copeland. Senator Calder is regarded
| as a hard-headed business man and
business interests seem to be leaning
| toward the republican ticket, state
and senatorial.
n>>-.ee kuru%o pAn