The Washington herald., 1922-01-01
One-Third of Senators
Must Enter Lists
Of Ballot.

BY MARK SULLIVAN.
National. Political Correspondent of
the New York Evening Post.
The Republicans begin the politi-
I cal year with sixty out of ninety
six Senators. a majority Of twenty
! four. Officially the figures are fif-
| ty-nine Republicans. thirty-six
I Democrats and one Senator who is
I officially described as Republican
and Progressive" The one who has
this bifurcated designation is Hi
| ram Johnson, of California. AL
| though the Republicans do not com
! monty count on Senator Johnson
as a 100 per cent dependable party
man. it Is a fact that the old Pro-
gressive party, to which in part he
owed his election to the Senate five
years ago. no longer has a formal
/ existence.
! For practical purposes. therefore,
/ the present Senate Is to be consid-
cred as sixty Republicans and thir-
ty-six Democrats. In the Lower
House, emitting considerations of
! the one Socialist and one vacancy,
| out Of a total of 435. giving them
majority of 167. or more than
two to one. That is the Republican
position at the beginning of the
year 1922. That they will end the
year in a weaker position, numeri-
cally, is as certain as anything in
/ politics can be. The only question
is the degree of the losses they may
! suffer.
! During, the course OF the year
1922 one-third OF the entire mem
bership Of the Senate. thirty-two in
| number. will be elected. together
with the entire membership of the
I House. numbering 435. Let us first
! consider the possible changes In
/ the Senate: The Senators whose
| terms end with the present Con-
gress are as follows:
Republicans-Henr Cabot Lodge,
! Massachusetts; Hiram w. Johnson,
| California: Frank b. Kellogg. Min
nesota: Robert NJ. La Toilette. Wis
/ consin: Harry S. New, Indiana; Will
! liam NJ. Calder, New York: Freder-
! lex Hale. Maine: Porter J. McCum-
! her. North Dakota; william E.
, Crow, Pennsylvania: T. Coleman
! du Points Delaware; Joseph l..
! France. Maryland: Joseph S. FIRE.
linghuysen. New Jersey: George l.
| Mclean. Connecticut: Carroll y.
| Page. Vermont: Miles Potpdexter,
Washington; Howard Sutherland.
West Virginia: Charles L. Gown
send, Michigan.
Democrats-Gilbert N. Hitchcock,
Nebraska; Atlee Pomerene. Ohio;
| James A. Reed. Missouri: John
! Sharp Williams, Mississippi; Henry
f. Ashurst, Arizona; Charles A
Culberson. Texas: Peter G. Gerry,
Rhode Island; Andrieus A. Jones,
New Mexico; John B. Kendrick,
Wyoming; William H. King. Utah
Kenneth Mcclellan. Tennessee;
Henry L. Myers, Montana: Key
Pittman. Nevada: Claude A. Swan
| son. Virginia; Park Trammell, Flor
| ida.
Task for Democrats.
! 1t will be observed that of these
Senatorial seats to be filled during
| the coming year, seventeen are now
| Republican and fifteen Democratic.
! Inasmuch as the present Republi-
can majority is twenty-four, IL Is
clear that to win the Senate away
| from the Republicans. it would be
| necessary for the Democrats. in the
| first place, to hold all the seats they
now have, and, in the second place,
win thirteen seats now held by Re-
publicans. As to whether the Demo-
Gratis are likely to accomplish this,
| il is now so early. Of course, as to
| make It impossible to say anything
having any greater value or inter-
est than merely the broadcast spec
ulation.
If one were to try to answer the
ouestiop whether the Democrats
are lKely to win the Senate, 1t
would not be possible at the pres
emf time to go further than to say
that the thing is extremely i'm
probable. Perhaps it would be
more accurate to say 1t is practl-
cally impossible. In fact. for the
purpose of winning control or the
Senate the Democrats are this year
in a rather unusually weak position
To a less degree than is commonly
the case can they count on the
solid South Among the ftteen
seats now held by the Democrats
only five are in those dependably
Democratic Southern states where
the party can always co"Ht
complete confidence on electing
their candidates. These five are
Virginia, Mississippi, Florida, Texas
and Tennessee. In truth, stating 1t
this way rather gives the Demo-
Gratis the benefit of the doubt. for
one of these States, Tennessee,
went so strikingly Republican last
year that 1t is a question whether
It may not from now on be more
accurately classified with the States
which for purposes Of political
classifications are called border or
doubtful States.
The ten other seats now held by
forces in India tending toward divi-