The New York herald., 1922-04-03
Continued from First Page.

personal politics. has failed to liqui-
date.
The failure OF the Republican ma
jority In the lower house to redeem
the pledges for economy by support
ing the $5,000,0 900 bonus scheme.
reporting an old time pork barrel
bill and disregarding the counsel of
the President and his Cabinet In other
matters has aroused resentment among
the voters throughout the country. Yet
the Democratic program, based entire
ly upon criticism, has not won the
respect of the discontented elements
in the country.
With such background and at
mosphere experienced political observ-
ers predicted months ago the organ
ization of new party project with
the agricultural group as the nucleus
around which there could be built an
independent movement that would GER
tainly hold the balance Of power and
might eventually assume dominant
position.
President Harding is credited with
having played good politics in neutral
izing the agricultural opposition with
such success as to make rural apos-
tasy to his party improbable. The
Congressional elections may provide
the preliminaries of third party
which will have to be reckoned with
by both the Republicans and Demo-
Gratis in the Presidential contest two
years hence. 1t is not at all prob
able, however, that, except for local
and sporadic reasons, there will be
any third party eruption In the Con-
gressional elections.
Disregard OF Party Principles.
Just what the Republicans and
Democrats will present In the way Of
issues during the Congressional con-
tests is uncertain. Senators and Rep
resentatives who will bid for popular
favor in the primaries and subsequent
election have organized their own cam
paigns with scant regard for general
party principles. The overwhelming
vote for the bonus raid in the House
proved that Democrats as well as Re-
publicans were susceptible to the
propaganda of noisy minorities. and
that they attach more Importance to
heading off opposition for renomina-
ton than to the ultimate decision OF
the voters in the election contests.
The surrender Of both parties to this
organized minority naturally provoked
great resentment among voters who
would be taxed to pay the bill. Con-
sequently there is little actual differ
ence between the Representatives OF
the two parties in the lower house
and practically no issues of impor-
tance.
The bids that both Democratic and
Republican Representatives will make
for popular favor will reflect a wide
variety of reasons largely personal.
The Republicans will have the ad-
vantage in this respect in that they
will exploit the record of President
Harding, even though they have not
supported many features Of 1t. and
have frequently disregarded excellent
advice coming to them from that
quarter.
The Newberry case will be featured
in the campaigns of the thirty four
Senators to be elected. OF this num-
ber twenty-nine are members OF the
present Senate and five new men to
be selected in the coming primaries
Republican Senators who voted to re-
tain Mr.. Newberry in his seat Will be
attacked by their rivals for party
nomination, as well as at the polls in
November. The record OF the party
on the international treaties to some
extent will offset the effect of the
Newberry case. At least that Is the
Judgment of Senators who voted for
Mr.. Newberry.
Tariff to Help Republicans.
The new tariff law which will be
enacted within the next month also
will help the Republican candidates,
both in the primary and in the cleo
ton. The disposition Of the bonus
raid. which will have much harder
shedding in the Senate than 1t con-
fronted in the House, will also prove
a decisive factor In determining the
fate of several Senators.
Even the most optimistic Democrat
does not assert the possibility of his
party winning control of the upper
house. where the score stands 81 Re-
publicans and 80 Democrats. The
Democrats may win four or five seats
in November. but the chances are the
Republicans will still retain control by
substantial majority.
Some of the Senatorial contests will
be fought with unusual bitterness. A
determined effort will be made to de-
feat Henry Cabot Lodge In Massa-
chusetts. though up to date there has
been no actual opposition to him Tor
the Republican nomination. Three or
four men are mentioned as probable
primary opponents, but none has
actually entered the list. The Demo
Gratis have a number Of men willing
to oppose the Senate leader. including
Sherman s. Whipple and former
Mayors Curley and Fitzgerald of Bos-
ion. The friends Of Mr.. Lodge are
much more confident of his ultimate
success than they we're month ago.
The situation in New York is not
unlike that in Massachusetts,. There
is considerable inside opposition to
Senator Calder, who is seeking n re-
nomination. but his party leaders ap-
parently have become reconciled to
his denomination. Democratic oppo-
sition to him Is uncertain as to per-
sonnel. The selection OF a candidate
to oppose Mr.. Calder depends upon
the outcome Of the bitter war between
the Tammany leaders and the Hearst
Hylan combination.