The Washington herald., 1922-10-04
By FRANK H. SIMONDS.

Six months ago. sitting in a
Washington hotel room, NJ. Neni-
zelos said to me:
And now we shall lose all of
Asia Minor and that means that
more than 100000 Greeks will be
massacred."
What of the kinE?' I asked.
"oh. he will go now, he will have
to go?"
by evolution or revolution" l
asked
That l cannot say. it may he
either, but l can tell you he Wi
have to go"
This prophecy. like all else that
the great Cretan said at the time.
has come true. but unfortunately
for Greece, although Nenizelos may
return. he can nardIy save amy
large part of what he once won for
his country at the Pars CONFER
ence.
And now the question is asked
of me on many sides. What does
the GrecO-Turkish war mean to the
European situation and to the
world?"
No World War Danger.
In the European situation it has
no immediate and direct siEnific-
anCe save only IN the rather re-
mote possibility that the Turks and
the British actually fight. Even
then the conn ct might easily be
limited to these two powers. for |
hardly believe that France or Italy
would join. The real effect would
be in Asia and IN Arrfca-that is,
in all of the Mohammedan world.
The victory of the Turks has
shattered the prestige Of all of the
West in the islamic world. 1t has
directly shaken the loyalty Of many
millions Of British Moslem sub
jects. it has had and IL have
further evil effects in India and in
Egypt. and unless all signs fail ii
will presently lead to a revolt OF
the Arabs in Mesopotamia and in
Palestine.
France Seems safe.
For the moment the French
thanks to their separate agree
ments with the Turk. seem safe
from any Turkish attack in Syria
but the whole population, that is,
the Mohammedan majority there
=
hardly refuse to support their CO.
religionists. II there were a rebel
lion. Both France and Italy. are,
too. bound to suffer more or less
from the Mohammedan unrest in
their North African colonies. Tri
poll, Tunis. Algeria and Morocco
but nothing like us seriously as
the British in Egypt and in Ind a.
II h. p p.
ish victory can hardly have any
serious consequences of an imme-
diate nature. Bulgaria was an ally
of Turkey in the world war. and
would gladly join hands with the
Turk against the Serb, the Greek
and the Rumanian. but Bulgaria is
in no condition to fight another
war and the Turk has no tempta-
no part of the plan of Kemal en-
visages an attempt to reconQuer
the territory lost in the BalkaI
war of 1912-1913.
May Seek Old Alliance.
The new King of Greece married
a daughter of the King or Ruman1a
as did Alexander of Jugo-Slavia
With Constantine gone it is prob
able that Greece. particularly Il
Nenizelos comes back, will strive II
renew the old alliance with Serb a
and Rumania. which was destroyed
when Constantine refused to keeT
his pledge and come to the assist
ance of Serbia. in 1915, when the
Bulgarians entered the war on the
German side.
Thus Greece will be drawn to.
ward the little entente and she will
be the more strongly drawn be.
| cause of her resentment of Italian
policy in Albania. On the othel
hand the French relation with the
little entente s very close and the
Greeks will long resent the French
support of the Turk. Still in the
purely Balkan phase of the littI,
entente's policy the Greeks hav'
every reason to desire to share, fol
this constitutes a sort of Monro,
doctrine. a doctrine of the Balkans
for the Balkan peoples.
Means French Victory.
As between France and Britain
the Turkish episode constitutes a
great French victory and will leave
enduring sears. Br:tain's deepest
interest lies in the Near East, tha,
is on the road to India, British in
fuence, thanks to the arrangement
with the Greeks. was supreme. Now
the British have lost and the Turk
comes back to Constantinople, vic.
torious over the British quite a.
much as over the Greeks.
The Turk will not make any new