The Washington times., 1922-10-13

Republicans have 9r
800 seats. InWII.I.lAM HARD.
regard to approximately 100 Of
these 400 seats they have certain
apprehenslons this fall. In some
cases these apprehensions are rela-
lively slight. In other cases they
are extremely severe.
The Republicans can lose eighty.
two seats and still control the
house. They do not expect to lose
eighty-two seats. But they do ex-
pect to grid on their aT,nor and
take the chances OF getting or
giving licking In approximately
Republican Congressman; and the
location Of these 100 critical dis
tricts becomes extremely slgnifi.
cant, from the standpoint of party
strategy and also from the stand
point OF personal prestige.
After comparing Democratic in
formation with Republican informa.
ton, ! conclude that at least sixty
five or seventy Of these one hun
dred districts OF Republican doubt
and OF partly admitted Republican
defeat and loss are In the States Of
New York, New Jersey. Pennsyl.
vania, Ohio, Indiana. Illinois and
Missouri. Very few Republican
losses are expected In the north.
west.
The northwest and the Pacific
slope seem this year to he the Re-
publican party's securest Congress.
sionai preserve. 60, Sts"vt
The northwest IL radical and
very unsafe" from the standpoint
of Republican political theory. but
II Is beautifully safe and sure from
the standpoint Of Republican party
success. The States. on the other
great bulk Of Republican losses-the
York city to Kansas City-have
been for the most part thoroughly
dominated In their Congressional
and Senatorial aspects by conserva.
tive Administration forces.
The number OF doubtful districts
in Pennsylvania is extraordinary. II
amounts to at least a third of the
total number of districts. But the
case of Ohio. while less remarkable.
Is likely TO be much more important
Ohio has twenty-five Congressional
districts. In the Republican land.
slide Of 1920 each one OF these dis
tricts went Republican. have made
two visits to Ohio this year. On the
best available surveys and surmiscs s
by highly experienced local people.
l calculate that fourteen of Ohio 8
twenty Congressional districts are
this year, at this moment, distinct
ly wavering from Republicanisrn.
Several of them, OF course, are
really by normal rights Democratic.
But the Democrats VIII be conduct.
ing optimistic struggles in all Of
them, with the definite hope Of cap
turing a majority OF the Ohio Con-
gressional delegation, along with the
Ohio United States Senatorship thus
year. II Is In some quarters calcu.
lated that their chances Of achive-
Ing this hope are greatly increased
by the local Ohio referendum on
liquor.
This referendum is for a proposed
amendment to the Ohio constitution.
1t declares that no beverage shall be
cons. .dered Intoxicating. unless II con.
tains more than 2.75 per cent OF al.
cohol. 1t declares that the possession
even OF Intoxicating liquors In
home for personal use shall not be
unlawful. It declares that there shall
be no searching or selling of peoples
persons or properties without lawful
search warrants.
The Cincinnati Enquirer has ap.
piled It's famous straw vote" meth.
DDS to this referendum. The straw
votes taken. by the Cincinnati En-.
quirer before elections have a great
local reputation in Ohio. 1t is said
that they have virtually always turn
ed out to be extremely accurate fore
shadowings Of the results.
At present the Cincinnati Enquirer
is taking a straw vote, which includes
has never seemed greatly interested
in women generally. his friends say,
despite having personal charms that
would make him a center OF interest
in any gathering Of women folk,
The general view OF the Bulgarian
people may be epitomized In this
S--.~. ~-a 90 tka,x.,