The Washington herald., 1921-07-31
LIMITATION OF NAVAL ARAMENTS ASSURED SAYS FRANK SMoNDS

NENlAlNLl no japanese statesman VIII thlnk
OF surrenderng the position his country has
won by and fortified by unceasng effort
in the past two decades, merely contribution to
world harmony. Always the fact is to be considered
that the future OF Japan depends economically upon
the effective domination of the Chinese markets. But
this domination economically is possible only If po
litical control goes with II.
In the nature of things If left to herself, China is
bound to seek other aid than Japanese for the
nomic life of her country. She will go to New York
and to London even to Paris, to find capital where
with to construct her railways, her ports her factories
And European and American capital flows into
China, American and European goods will follow In
the last analysis It will be the United States and
Great Britain which acquire control of the economic
life Of China For the foreign trade OF both
tries. China must be element of ever-increasing
importance.
THIS that Japan, at best, will only share
in the development of China and the obvious
- effort of Anglo-Amercan financial elements
will be to put China on her own feet, to aid her in
developing political and economic independence And
II, in the process China should become real nation.
fantastic the notion must today, then the Jap
anese situation in the Far East would be hopelessly
compromised and she would be faced with far
greater nation possessing, she does not and cannot
vast natural and enormous area of ter
ritory.
Thus do the political and the economic elements
mngle and by minging compicate the situation. An
inevitable corollary of the open Door" policy is an
independent China. An independent China, once open
to foreign capital and foreign influence, might de-
velop into great power Of ITSELF And the rise OF
such China would carry with it the doom of Japan
After all it the spectre of such Russia which
drove Germany to madness in 1914. At that moment
Russia was unorganized, unable to Withstand Ger
many, but the time was already to be fixed when
Russia, possessing enormous population and or
ganized in Western fashion industrialy, would be
able block German aspirations both east and south
THE situation of Germany in 1914 is the situation
of Japan today, There obvious differences
but they all to the advantage of Japan.
Germany has become vast factory holding 6s,ooo,-
900 of people on an of 100000 miles square To
live Germany compelled to import vast quantities
of foodstufs she could pay for them only in manu-
factured goods and services. But her very life was
dependent on the permission of the British feet,
which dominates the sea, while all her hard-won po-
stion of supremacy Non the continent was weakened
by the rapid rise of Russia, the disintegraton of
Austria Hungary, which detail in the expansion
of Slavdom
Today 6ooooooo japanese live 10000 square
miles, totally lacking in natural comparable
with those of Germany. Emigration would be no
real solution, first because there are few available
lands capable of absorbing the vast annual Increment
of Japanese population and secondly because the
most obvious lands available the United States and
Australia and New Zealand, have closed their from
tiers to yellow immigrants. But, revertng to Ger
man example, at the precise moment when Germany
vastly increasing her colonial holdings and when
American and other lands open to German inn
migrants and offered unmstakable opportunities,
German emigration practically ceased.
|ERMANS by thousands did establish themselves
L Y abroad as agents of German industries, but
~ this was not emigration In precisely the
same way thousands of Japanese have established
themselves in China and all of the Far East but for
the most part they, agents of the home country
and only in small degree actual settlers For Japan
as for Germany the question is not of finding lands
for its surplus population, but markets for the prod
ucts of a rapidly expanding stay-athome population.
Today every German will assert, if you ask him