The New York herald., 1921-08-07
GERMAN REVERSE
ON SLESIA LIKELY
Decision of Supreme C0un-
Gil This Week May Bring
Political Reaction.
SANCTIONS AN ISSUE
Fall of Chancellor Wirth
Expected-New Uprising
Deemed Probable.
POLES ALSO PREPARED
Compromise on Autonomous
Estate Suggested by Pre-
mier BRAND.
POLES ALSO PREPARED

apeotul Gable to THE NEW YoRK HERALD
Copyright, 1891. ~ THE NEW YoaK HERALD.
New York Herald Bureau.
Berlin, Aug. Q.
Germany's political and economic fu-
! ture is felt by the Germans to be at
stake In the Supreme Councils decision
on Upper Silesia, which It is scheduled
to reach next week. And even though
some arrangement be made securing
some form OF economic unity of the
province. 1t Is hardly believed possible
that the Allies can unite on solution
which would not bring important po-
litical reverses 10 Germany.
German propaganda of the most ar
dent nature hus been directed to teach
Ing Germans that they should hold out
for nothing less than an undivided
Siiesia belonging 70 Germany. and that
conception Il now SO general that any
compromise, particularly as to the in
iustrial triangle, will have an irnms-
! date political reaction.
Chancell0r's Fate mt Stake.
Chancellor W.rth, while not committed
openly as TO the popular intransigeant
policy, IS expected to fall if any con-
siderable part OF the Industrial triangle
OF tao province Is given 10 Poland or IL
the Industrial triangle is made autono-
| ruCu5. Chancellor Wirth's chances of re-
| manning n office depend on two de-
cisions 81 the Supreme Council, one re-
sarJing ;s.lesia and the other on the
CO. .iaration OF the so-called sanctions.
Should the sanctions be altogether
removed---that IS, should Duisburg,
fsuhrort and the other cities occupied
, in the last allied advance be freed and
/ the customs barriers abandoned-it Is
regarded that he still might remain in
office even If small slice of the Indus
trial area in Silesia is lost.
1t Is characteristic of the Germans
, that before some notable international
decision the fall of a Ministry In
office is described as being catas-
| trophic. This time the pessimistic
prophets say that Chancellor W1rth's
defeat at Paris can only mean one
course for Germany; namely. general
| elections, and that these instead of be-
ing held over the nations future taxa
tion policy would be over the repudia-
ton OF the ultimatum. In other words,
country with the issue of whether Ger
many should hereafter resist the Allies
or yield.
Already the Citizens parties have
chosen to unite on a single ticket in the
! Berlin municipal elections and possibly
| the same alignment of the bourgeois
parties against the Socialists might be
found in an election over Chancellor
/ Wirth's successor.
/ Germany's best friends have been
wishing her period of hard work and
concentration of political interests on
| financial problems. But II Chancellor
Wirth falls it Is feared there will be
| another postponement Of such vital ques-
tions and that the country would again
be shaken with emotional nationalism.
! Whatever disposition Is made of Up
per Silesia another uprising there seems
\ to be inevitable, a prominent member
| OF the Interallied Commission said to-
day. Both the Germans and Poles still
have arms and supplies practically in
tact and are waiting expectantly for
developments
See Military Preparations.
Under the surface of apparent order.
| Ii is believed that both the Germans
and Poles are making further military
Il
servers report that the Poles had about
sixty-five and the Germans thirty-five
guns at the end of the previous up
| rising. and the Germans since then
have sought to meet this disadvantage
| through shipments of arms to neighbor-
4 ing provinces.
Chancellor Worth's Cabinet continues
to receive allied protests with express
sions of good Intentions but seems to be
| increasingly helpless to execute orders
through the III will OF its own function
aries, who would be facilitating military
preparations.
A British cavalry observer told THE
NEW YORK HERALD correspondent here
4 that Premier Brands intention of send
| ing reinforcements to the French force
4 in Upper Silesit WAS only explicable
through the French anxiety that the
4 Polish insurgents might be defeated by
the German volunteers. It is significant
that the first hint of the French inten-
tion of sending reinforcements came Just
after the German volunteers retook the
important Anneburg Hill and pushed
hack the Polish forces with slight casual
ties,
/ The scheme now consists of this the
Englishman continued, Of having suf-
/ ficient French troops available to coun-
ter a possible German operation should
/ the Polish insurgents start another
demonstration.
Rumors are now persistent here and
at Paris that the Supreme Council will
postpone final decision on the Upper ST.
lesian question with view of avoiding
a conflict which might upset again the
French British relations The British
and French already have disagreed over
the preliminary arrangement. Conser-
vative German newspapers, which see
/ German loss whatever Arrangement the
1 Allies make among themselves, urge the
/ German Government to demand an in
\ tegral Silesia, with n view to keepina
| subsequent claims and protest rights in
| tact
Indications point to the view, how
/ ever, that many Polish and German
/ business and Government circles would
welcome even an unfavorable compro-
mise in preference TO a prolonged up
| heaval The Polish Government Is max.
ing vigorous diplomatic effort to en-.
list Czecho- -Slovakian support for OBJ
tanning a solution that will be favor.
able to Poland. During the recent up
rising IL was rlrmored that if the
Czechs were sufficiently compensated
they might Join the Germans against
| the Poles. Now the Poles are trying tc
| hold out even more flntter1ng offers