New-York tribune., 1921-10-29
Defeat of Censure Is Made
Certain When Labor and
Independent Liberals
Resolve to Support Him
Strengthens Hand
In Irish Bargaining
Sinn Fein on Defensive in
Negotiations, Which Are
To Be Resumed Tuesday
From Tho Triounc's European Bureou

opyt 'sn'' 1S1l' New York Tribune Inc.
LONDON, Oct. Reimbursement OF
Lloyd Georges Irish policy by the
mouse of Commons was virtually as
sured tonight when the leaders of both
the Labor and Independent Liberal par
ties, ordinarily listed among the oppo.
sltlon, sent out word to their followers
to support the Premier on Monday
when resolution to censure him for
negotiating with Sim Fein comes uu
Tor debate. Not only does this assure
the Premier of ninety votes that usual
~ are cast against the government, but
1t brings the Labor party into line
with one government policy at time
when the leaders of the party are siren
uously opposing the Cabinets unem-
ployment program.
In these circum stances tho eighty
Unionists who moved the resolution Of
censure, after revolving from the gov
ernment ranks, have lost their initial
confidence and are beginng to be some
what doubtful of their position. These
so-called Idle hards" certainly never
expected to swing support to Lloyd
George from the ranks of the opposi-
tion, and thus the resolution, before
ever coming up for debate, has gone
wide of it's intended mark and reacted
only to the credit and glory of the Pre-
mier Never did Lloyd George ma
neuver himself into better strategic
political position than when he took
up the Unionst challenge and called on
the House of Commons to defeat the
censure resolution. Even the Asquith
Liberals must support the Premier on
his Irish program, although they have
been opposed to most of his policies,
The result of this situation is that the
Premier is virtually assured of ire.
mendous majority against the resolu-
ton.
Peace Negotiations Await Vote
The peace negotiations between the
Sim Fein delegates and members OF
the British government will stand still
until after Mondays debate, because
there may be several developments in
~ "HlSn VOuiu dHoCL Lnc paTleyS.
Among these is the stand Ulster will
take. At present the Obstetrics ii in t the ne
House are planning to refrain from
voting, but if Lloyd George gives any
sign of abandoning his promise not to
decrease the political Importance of
the northern Parliament the Unionists
will join the opposition.
AS soon as Lloyd George gets vote
of confidence he can go to the Irish
conference on Tuesday and make a bar
gain. If the Sim Feiners refuse his
terms the responsibility rests on them.
1t 10 believed that the Premier's de-
fense of his policy will throw into
clear relief that it is a question OF
pursuing the present negotiations or
returning to a policy of force, repres-
sion and disorder in Ireland. There
can be no question of how the majority
stands on that issue.
AS it happens, the "die-hards" are
drawn largely from the ranks Of Ulster
supporters. These irreconclables say
that if the government policy is car
ried to its conclusion peace will in
volve the sacrificing CT Ulster and the
Sim Fein army will overwhelm the
north They insist that this develop
ment will come, regardless Of the form
of lreland's government
Ulster Disapproval Predicted
The northern parliament has been a
failure to date and is not any more
likely ever to succeed if the present
negotiations result in an agreement
between Sim Fein and the London gov
ernment. Lloyd George will down his
critics in Parliament but he will cause
disquiet in Ulster. He will beat the
die -hards," but he is still far from
peace.
BELFAST, Oct. 2S.-Polce barracks
at Passage, County Waterford, vacated
Wednesday, were burned this morning
by men who invaded the village. They
warned the villagers in the vicinity of
the barracks to seek safety and then
sprinkled petrol about and set fire to
the structure. The men threatened
penalties for any one who gave infor-
nation concerning the affair.