New-York tribune., 1921-11-30
British Predict
Early Success
OF Conference
Efforts Of Antagonistic In
terests to Produce Dis
cord Declared Definitely
to Have Been Defeated
Far East Accord Assured
Solution to Obviate Neces-
sity Of Preferential AL
liances in the Pacific
By r. w. Wilson

f0f He0fe AMc5tc0ft correspondence 81
"The London Daily Netcs" and former
Member Of Parliament
Copyright. 1921. New FORK Tribune Inc,
WASHINGTON, nov. 29.--In British
circles there is growing and now
definite belief that at an early date the
conference will prove to be far
reaching and triumphant success. 1t
is held that during the last few days
there has been an attempt by the inter
ests which have always opposed inter
national good will to destroy the con-
ference, but these sinister forces have
been defeated by the overwhelming
support enjoyed by the conference
among the masses Of the nations.
A curious thrust was the reported
insult to the Italian army attributed
to M. BRAND. According to informa-
ton received at Washington, this false
report emanated directly from Paris.
From similar source, there reaches US
the story that Mr.. Lloyd George is
coming to Washington to demand the
remission of German indebtedness.
Mr. Llcyd George is not expected here
until the new year, and his intentions
have not been communicated TO the
Quai d'Orsay.
Far East Accord Predicted
The attempt to insinuate that in
wears to come Great Britain must be
bound by her alliance with Japan will
in few weeks look exceedingly fool
ish. A complete accord is developing
in the Far East, and unless there be
sudden change for the worse in the
prospects of the conference the alli-
ance will lapse automatically and by
mutual consent. It is expected that in
a few days the situation in which the
alliance is factor will have been en-
tirely clarified. The relations between
Japan and the United States will be
as close and friendly as any relations
between Great Britain and japan.
BY this statement do not mean that
the dual alliance, as hitherto existing,
will have been merged into any formal
tripartite agreement. The United States
dislikes alliances, so it is understood,
whether they include two, three or
even four powers. The expectation is
rather that general solution in the
Far East may obviate the necessity of
any further diplomatic preferences in
tnc dciic. All IHe powcIS cVHSVl .teu
will, it is hoped, meet one another
fairly and squarely and without prior
entanglements.
Naval Situation Satisfactory
The discussions Of naval armaments
also are proceeding on satisfactory
lines. Japan has, of course, put up a
big fight for the ten-ten-seven sched-
ule instead of the five-fve-three. With
Great Britain supporting the United
States on this issue, it is not believed
that Japan will hold out alone to the
point of refusing a final settlement.
Her demand for the dismantling of all
naval bases might be serious if it were
pressed. 1t means leaving the Phil
ippines defenseless and, incidentally,
it would prevent any arrangement, as
suggested in certain quarters, be-
tween the United States and Great
wishes to Illustrate the conference and
it's work there are, of course, many
monkey wrenches that she could throw
at any time into the machinery. Eut
her attitude toward the conference as
whole appears to preclude the pos
sibility Of any such intention on her
part. The view in British circles is
that Japan would not have Joined the
conference at all if she had not In
tended to make her contribution to its
success,
The real problem before The con-
ference has been somewhat overlooked
1t arises out Of the ten years holiday
as proposed by Secretary Hughes. This
now famous phrase means:
That all construction of big battle.
ships be suspended till the year 1882.
THAT in 1882 such construction shall
be limited to the replacement Of big
battleships which shall have had life
Of seventeen years or more.
Surprising Results Disclosed
'rnis looks very simple, but a care.
| ful examination of the dates has con.