The New York herald., 1921-08-21

they suffice for their task If their oppo-
nents, highly qualified from a military
point of view, have been affected and
permeated by the Bolshevist spirit and II
these opponents are threatened in the
rear BY partisans Of the Soviet Govern
ment.
Hence It follows that Bolshevist often
sives against countries. the conquest of
which the Soviet Government aims at
are not checked by peace treaties; the
fact of peace conditions between the
Soviet Government and a country to be
conquered by Ii does not interfere with
the Bolshevist propa ganda and the for
nation OF Bolshevist organizations In
that country. but rather facilitates them.
The Boshevist offensives go on also
during peace.
In this connection stress must be laid
upon the fact that the Soviet Govern
nent in paragraph OF the peace treaty
OF Brest-Litovsk had promised to stop
every kind of propaganda In Germany
1t could be proved that the Ambassador
Of the Soviet Government In Berlin had
| organized Bolshevist revolts in Ger
many. His work was facilitated by the
| pressure which the continual war in
flicted upon the German people. A SINH
| lar although weaker pressure on the
western European peoples is now exer-
cised in spite OF peace conditions
4 through the continual economic distress
OF Europe. The Bolshevistic propaganda
among the western European peoples
will, therefore work slower than In
Germany during the year 1913, but will
! probably advance in spite OF II.
/ From q military point OF view the
year 1920 closes with a favorable final
result for the Soviet Government. In
| the first instance the Soviet Government
succeeded in destroying the army of
| Denikire On the other hand the often
sive of the Soviet Government against
Poland failed just near Warsaw, al
though having been successful at first.
| But the Soviet Government got over
this reverse by en- tering into peace nego-
| tiations with Poland. Owing to these
peace negotiations the Soviet Govern
ment could bring considerable forces to
bear against Gen. Wrangel. who had
reformed the remains of the army OF
| Denikine In the south OF Russia. In
| this way the Soviet Government sue
ceeded in completely defeating Gen.
Wrnngel.
| With the aSny OF Wrangel the last
anti Bolshevistic bodies of troops have
disappeared from the soil of European
Russia, so that the Soviet Government
can again draw up forces against
Poland. 1t is Impossible to foresee
how far Poland wis be able to resist
a new offensive OF the Soviet Govern
ment In consequence of the war
in the summer Of 1920 large parts of
Polish territory were not cultivated.
The economic distress of Poland must
therefore, increase. and all the more so
as Poland is the scene OF war already
since 1914. The Polish population has
accordingly become more discontented.
IntriEues I'm Poland.
According to actual news the Soviet
Government Is said to have started in
Poland an anti-clerical propaganda
which undermined in that country the
auth ority of the clergy, who were OPP
posed to Bolshevism. The Polish
finances have grown worse during the
last wear The army is said TO be less
At for. battle than at the beginning OF
1920. And there is news about Boil
shevist disturbances In Warsaw and
other Polish towns In spite of all this
II is not hnpossibe that Poland will
also resist successfully this time. But
should this be the case the Soviet Gov
ernmerAt would continue the fight in
short intervals till sooner or later the
strength of Poland must be exhausted.
Should Poland break down, the further
advance Of the Bolshevist offensive
would be either directed against Czecho-
Slovakia and Rumania, or against Ger
many. It is difficult to foretell which of
both ways the Soviet Government will
/ choose, because lit cannot be ascertained
| from here how far the Bolshevistic
preparations in Czecho-Slovakia and In
| RuYnania have advanced. But 1t is
1 as.f1 q f1f
| Poland the Bolshevist offensive win be
first directed against Germany. The
reason for this Isl that a successful at
| tack OF the Soviet Government on
| Czecho-Slovakia and Rumania might in
| duce the Entente to arm Germany for
| the fight against the Soviet Govern
ment. The Soviet Government would,
therefore. be more on the safe side II
they succeeded In conqu ering north and
central Germany first and afterward
attack Czecho-Slovakia and Rumania.
For this reason 1t is necessary TO in
vestfgate what possibilities are given In
Germany to resist such an attack. In
the way of armed force Germany dis
poses OF the "Reichswehr." that will
be reduced to 100. 900 men and GER
tain number of local police troops. Ac-
cordlng to the regulation OF the peace
treaty. of Versailles. the "Rcfchswehr
Is lacking as the most effective means
OF defence, such as heavy artillery and
war airplanes. in addition to this there
are only very few of those officers VINO
led the German army in a fight OF many
wears still belonging TO the "Refchs-
wahr." Most OF the officers of the Ger
man General STAFF. as the great master
of strategy, Field Marshal Count
schleffen. had trained them, and who
as executive organs are Indispensable
TO the leaders. have also left the army.
Many OF the best front officers have
been discharged.
Germany Defenceiess In East.
Now, II already the means OF defence