The Washington herald., 1921-10-16

navy very seriously, and regards 1t
as a direct menace to her power.
It will naturally make the British
very cautious, and already has
caused some question Of the mo-
tives of the United States in calling
the conference.
Realize Limitations.
The British realize full wen. al
though they would be extremely
reluctant to admit IL, that the race
in building battleships and other
armaments can end in only one way.
that Is victory for the United States.
The financial and Industrial condi-
tfon of the nations removes this
from the realm of doubt and makes
II a certainty.
The ideal arrangement for Great
Britain, therefore, would be what
has been termed a naval holiday"
All of the nations then would sus-
pend construction of ornaments and
leave the balance of power just as
It is. Great Britain would retain
first place, the United States second
and Japan third. This not only
would require some hard and fast
AANSN ~ 49,
world problems, but the sacrifice OF
national ambitions and aspirations
on the part of the United States
and Japan. .....
Would Demand Predominnnce.
Japan, for instance. would con-
sent to such an arrangement only
on the condition that she be guar
anteed full control in the Pacific
and Far East. She would insist
upon a Monroe doctrine" over Asia
to the exclusion OF other powers.
It would not mean that Chinese
ports would be closed to foreign
trade, but II would mean that de-
velopment of railways and mining
interests or investments by other
powers would be discouraged or
prohibited.
During the world war the situa-
ton in the Atlantic demanded SO
much of the attention Of Great
Britain that she was quite willing.
or even anxious. to have Japan take
over the task of sweeping the Ger
mans from the Pacific. 1t was re-
garded by Japan as a tacit recogni-
ton Of her claim to predominance
in the Far East, a claim which they
have overlooked no opportunity 10
assert, to the extent even OF oecom-
ing a very active competitor with
the British IN China.
REAT Britain and the United
States have looked upon tne
~ expansion Of Japan with uls
favor but Great Britain mas
NAMED out of the picture leaV.ne
the United states to conouet tno
nepotiations looking TO curoi"e
OF the Japanese power.
Indeed, 1t may safely be salo tnat
in the approaching conference tne
noIicy of Great Britain Will De 10
NAV the United states agalns'
Japan, for the British interests
such that she would be winner III
any event, and at the same time re-
tain the good will Of Japan. AT the
same time Great Britain has un-
der consideration the renewal OF the
Anglo-Japanese alliance.
when It expired some months ago
the British were rather Indifferent
To its renewal and 1t has remained
in that status since. Its renewal
neaus>a great deal more to Japan
than Il doe. to Great Britain ana
II may be used to hold Japanese
support in the approaching confer
ence. D..
VIII Block Alliance.
The United States will, OF course
do everything within its power to
prevent the renewal of the agree
INIT that practically divides power
in the Far East between Japan and
Great Britain, to the exclusion OF
the other powers. 1t would form a
real menace to the maintenance OF
the open door" policy in China, a
policy which this government will
insist upon at all costs.
II the japanese can be brought
to change their attitude in the
Pacific and Far East, to guarantee
for the United States absolute free
dom and equality of trade in the
Orient and relinquish their imperi-
alistic ambitions, one Of the prin-
cipal stumbling blocks to a naval
holiday" will have been removed.
The United States and Great Britain
then will be able to work out ac-
ceptable arrangements for the free
dom of the seas.
In the viewpoint of the British
the naval holiday" by which tine
different powers will retain their
relative war strength indefinitely Is