Evening star., 1921-03-27
SEES CHINA FAILING
|NALL|ANCE PLAN
Carl Fink Scouts Idea of
Pact Involving U. S., Eng
land and Japan.
INTERESTS ARE VARIED
German Writer Declares Russian
influence May Lead to Crisi-:
Among Chinese.
BY GEORGE WHITE.
By Gable to The Star and Chicago Daily Ne,
1n.tr

ny 'abiP 10 ne SIaf ana lineage Daily New
Copyright. 1921
BERLIN. Germany, March 2I-CarI
Fink, the German authority on far
eastern affairs. who had to leave
Shanghai in 1919, told the writer, in
discussing China's latest diplomatic
move, that he thought it improbable
that the republic would succeed in
bringing about an alliance of the
United States, England. China and
Japan, because China is still too
much a the mercy of Japan and Eng
land
The interests of the United States.
Japan and England. he said. clash
almost at every point where the
three nations meet. making the Pa
cifc question u very complicated
one.
China Needs Strong Hand.
China" continued MIR. Fink, lis
shaken by numerous political dis
turbanceS. and for that reason it is
hard to gain much influence there
at present. What China needs is a
strong hand, capable of reuniting the
country. In any event. Japan cannot
retain her supremacy as against the
first place. China is and will always
remain a nation of old and high cul-
ture. In the second place Japan is
tiny nation, compared with the
Chinese empire. Whatever may be
pretended by non-eXperts, there is
not the slightest affinity between the
two races. Chinese culture has been
infuenced by the west, and for this
reason she wants time in which to
combine the new and old elements
into a new culture. This will even
tually be done After longer or
shorter period the new Chinese cul-
ture will predominant over Japan.
which lacks cultural basis.
The Japanese people incline toward
the south and not t-ward the north.
For this reason japanese expansion
viii Be directed either toward the
Philippines or toward China, and in
either case Japanese interests, will
such an extent that no alliance will
be possible. Any attempt in this di-
rection will be a failure.
England'x Point of View.
For England the eastern business
has proved altogether bad. English
and japanese political interests still
run along parallel lines to a certain
extent. but the commercial and indus
trial disagreements between the two
countries have developed into an in
tricate situation.
Much has been said about a war
between the United States on the one
hand and England and Japan on the
other. ] do not believe a word of it.
If Japan should attack the United
States, England would take no part
in it. Japan will not venture.to OPP
pose the concentrated power of the
American Union. for the world war
showed conclusively that the United
States is able to carry on military
operations at distance. 1t cannot
be denied that the United States. by
roming in at the critical time, won
the war for the allies.
development in the far east will
be peaceful enough, from political
and military point of view. but a
commercial war will be carried on
there with bitterness. England will
find out that it was not wise thing
part of the world. German trade OPP
position was more honorable and
pleasant than is the Japanese trade
opposition. Besides the Germans. of
all the white NATIONS understood the
Chinese mind the best. This was
months after the armistice before the
Chinese allowed the Germans to be
expelled.
China and Japan AntaEOnistic.
with reference to China. the Ger
mans are in the same position as they
are with respect to the United States.
but we hope to sign a peace treaty
soon. 1t is a bad thing for the Ger
mans that they have lost their right
to extra territoriality. for by reason Of
this their nation has been lowered in
Chinese eyes to the second rank. From
a political point of view this is big
mistake. The allies never have re-
deemed their promise that the German
sphere Of influence should be restored
to China.
"The Chinese feel the presence. of
Japan in the Shantung peninsula to
be slight to them. Should the
Japanese do the magnanimous thing
back to China they would certainly
win the Chinese over to their cause.
But this the Japanese will not do. and
SO the antagoniSm between Japan and
China Will remain.
The Americans have tried to secure
an influence over the masses in China.
but have not succeeded because they
do not understand the Chinese mind.
Practical economy and cool-headed.
businesslike advice Will help the
the people themselves. but this may
alter in the course of time. + hear
that some changes have already taken
place. A Chinaman is a man of cul-
ture, and for this reason is conserva-
tive. ANY one who wants to influence
such a mind must study it carefully.
Russia to Be Considered.
''Whatever happens in the east. Ger
n,any has nothing to lose. having lost
everything already. The decline of
Japanese supremacy in the far east
might give new scope to German
trade, For this reason it would be a
&c cd thing, il the United States should
inally put curb upon the ever-in-
,reasing power of Japan. But I do
not see the possibility of such a solu-
ion at present. One item seems to
De overlooked by all the American
and English newspapers that deal
With the eastern questionable influ-
,nce of Russia. The power of Russia
s underestimated by many writer's.
influence is increasing in
china every day. This may lead to a
,risis changing the situation COM
,letely."