The Laurens advertiser. (Laurens, S.C.) 1885-1973, 1921-09-28
COTTON CROP SHOWS
BIG DETERIORATIO
Wall Street Cotton Expert Says Out
look is for Only 6.500,OO0 Bales.

look is for Only 6.500,0OO Bales.
Declares Estimate Conservative.
The prediction that the American
cotton crop of this year will not ex-
ceed G,5OO,O00 bales was made Mon
day in Atlanta by David C. narrower,
cotton expert Of the Wall Street Jour
nal and universally recognized as one
Of this country's closest student of the
cotton situation.
| Mr.. Narrower is making tour of
the South for the purpose of investiga-
ting conditions of the cotton crop from
personal observations. He has visited
! North and South Carolina and is now
engaged in touring Georgia.
Upon leaving Atlanta and this state
he will visit other sections of the cot
! ton belt.
Mr.. Narrower declares that he re-
CARDS his prediction Of the present
crop at G,500,00O bales as --conserva-
tive estimate" He goes into detail
concerning widespread deterioration
oil the cotton crop since the last gov
crnment estimate, which placed pro-
duction at 7,O35,0OO bales.
Asked to make a statement for the
Atlanta Constitution concerning crop
conditions, Mr.. Narrower dictated to
stcnographer statement which will
be read with interest throughout the
country, for Mr.. Narrower is regard
ed as one of Americas foremost cot
ton experts. Mr.. Narrower says:
"The cotton situation is bound to be
acute in the present season. The
worlds supply Of American cotton in
all countries is about 100000 bales.
This includes linters and low grade
stuff. About 6,500,0OO bales Of this
total is in the United States and in
cludes some cotton that is not tender
able on contracts. Of the cotton held
by the farmers of the old crop 1876
per cent is made up Of snaps, bollies
and other grades that are not tender
able. This is the position of the
carry-over of old cotton on July 81,
1921.
Owe come into the new season on
August l with crop for the United
States estimated by the department.
Of agriculture at 7,035,000 bales bas-
ed on the condition August 25. Since
that time deterioration has been rapid
throughout both the eastern and west
Grn belts. The boil wcevil has taken
practically third of the crop in most
all sections.
"Thcre is little hope Of further
blooms and the large ginning return
which to some looks like large crop
is really an indication of decidedly
small one because the hot, dry wealth
er has been forcing the crop to an
early maturity and picking is unusu-
ally carly.
"Since the government report as of
August 25, deterioration has been
rapid and the crop prospect is actu-
ally lower than at that time.
"ln Texas; where the best authori-
ties had estimated the crop at SO per
cent of all normal production, or L.
100000 bales, the recent floods have
cut down production at least $50, 900
bales more. In some parts Of Miss
issppi the weather has been SO cx-
ccssively hot that the pickers cannot
work a full day; plants are dying; no
more blooms seem possible and the
crop is gone.
I'm the circustances is seems as
if crop of G,500,000 bales would be
conservatives
"Put this behind the domestic carry
over and we have about 100000
bales Of all kinds.
"The total production last year was
10,50O,O0 bales.
"Our domestic production is now in
crcasing
Germany, which in the 1920 sea
son used only about 10000 bales, in
the past season used 1881 900 bales
of American cotton, including about
10000 bales of lintcrs.
"Ihc best authorities say that with
this evidence of Improvement world
consumption of American cotton
should equal 100000 or l2,5O0, 900
bales. OF this the supply will no more
than balance the demand if it even
permits full run Of mills up to the
end Of this season" Atlanta Consti-
tut ion