The New York herald., 1921-12-04
WAITING FOR TOXIC CABLE
ACCEPTING 5-3FORMULA

mediate withdrawal or the Japanese
forces.
This is a matter American officials
decline to discuss at present. along
with the Anglo-Japanese Alliance, Pa
cifio Notifications and other issues
not directly connected with subjects
under debate. Speculation regard
ing the Anglo-Japanese Alliance is
cf interest mainly because of the va
riety of opinions expressed. The state
msnt that Secretary Hughes. Mr.. Bal
four, Prince Takuguwa and M. Viviani
seriously had considered the negotia-
tlo,, OF arbitration treaties resembling
those promulgated by william j..
Bryan when Secretary Of State is pro-
nounced to be premature and inae-
curate,"rl American ofiicials say, that
such treaties would be barred by the
policy of this country against alliances.
even If they were effected under the
guise OF arbitration treaties. rFe'g
There is no question that Great
Britain, France and Japan would favor
such instruments, but there is good
deal Of question whether the United
States Senate would consent to their
acceptance. The suggestion for a tri-
party agreement. treaty, alliance or
whatever it may be called Is impor-
tant because it reflects the, tiflmistak
ably anxiety Of Great Britain ard
Japan to find a convenient way for
abrogation of the tie that binds them
for mutual advantages of a protective
character.
Up to the present no acceptable SUBJ
stitute for the Anglo-Japanese pact
has been discovered Even the adroit
manmuvre to use Russia in this con-
nection is not favored by American
officials, much as they sympathize with
the helpless people of that demoralized
country.
The Russian situation has probably
figured actively in the calculations Of
British and Japanese partisans en-
gagged in seeking perpetuationy of the
principles of the alliance between them.
which is Objectionable to the United
States. a %..e
1t has been urged by both British
and Japanese spokesman that the
United States could consistently as
sent to participate in a treaty, which
had for its main objective the preser-
walton Of the territorial integrity of
the old Russian empire. or such parts
of 1t as can be reclaimed. American
officials will not overlook any oppof-
tunity to help the Russian people out
of their dilemma, but the proposal to
make a four cornered agreement
among Great Britain, France, Japan
and the United States, ostensibly for
that purpose, has not made them lose
sight of the fact that it would also
bind this country to those now linked
together by treaty processes upon
which they do not look with favor.
Would Bait Hostile Critics.
The suspicion is voiced in domestic
political circles that President Har-
ding and Secretary Hughes are not
averse to the discussion of the tri-
party suggestion. They are credited
with the belief that potential critics
of the, Governments foreign policy
will seize upon it to voice a vigorous
opposition and provide them with an
opportunity for making it entirely
clear that they never even considered
the possibility Of entering into any
such arrangement.
It Is considered much more probable
the United States will not oppose the
frank discussion of proposal that
Japan is expected to offer regarding
Notifications In the Pacific Some of
the representatives of Japan have in
itiated a move to bring about a ten
year holiday in the matter Of Pacific
Notifications. Whether their move
will result in anything is a matter of
speculation.
The Japanese seem to be particu-
larly concerned regarding the plans of
the United States for adequately for.
tifying Guam and the Philippines.
They appear to be reconciled to the
fertilization of the Hawaiian Islands
on the ground that these really con-
stitute part of the continental terri
tory of this country.
But they will view with apprehen-
sion the construction of vast land
ornaments in Guam and the Philip
pines, and have reflected their readi-
ness to disrnantle the Bonin Islands
which are of strategic Importance to
them.
One Of the best informed Japanese
officials expressed the opinion to-day
that there would be no trouble in ef-
fecting agreements between the United
States and his own country regarding
the control Of Pacific communications
Of which Guam is the key. He said
his Government would present plan
for the regulation of Pacific commune
cations which this country could ac-
cept without jeopardizing its interests
/ in Asiatic waters.