The Pensacola journal. (Pensacola, Fla.) 1898-1985, 1921-04-17
China, Not California, Is Breed
ing Place of Conflict
Across Pacific
JAPAN is FORMING
HER OWN POLICY
There Will Be No Trouble as
Long as She Is Not Mo-
Tested by Anyone
(By WILLIAM PHILIP SIMMS)
written Especially For The Newspa-
per ENTERPRISE Association.)

Written Especially For The Newspa-
per Enterprise Association.)
TOKYO, April 16.-There will be no
war between the United States and
Japan unless the United States starts
II.
After a careful study of the situa
ton here covering a period of several
weeks during which | talked with rep
rSsentative Japanese as well as with
Americans of many different types, l
am convinced the Japanese are sin
cere when they say any war with
America will be defensive war"
- But there Is a catch in this state
ment. And here II is: Japan has, or
is formulating her own policy in the
Far East-in China, Siberia and else
where-and there will be no trouble
j between America and Japan so long
as the latter country is not molested
in the execution Of this policy.
immigration Minor Issue.
There is not the slightest danger of
war over the Japanese problem in
California and other Pacific coast or
western states.
The United States will do the just
thing by Japan in this matter and
though there will be an outcry raised
by the iingoes over the terms of the
settlement, there will be no serious
trouble.
While the leading Japanese here ex-
press the opinion that the agitation in
the United States Is to certain ex-
tent racial, they admit at the same
time that II is largely economical
and that similar conditions obtain in
Canada. Australia and New Zealand
dependencies OF England, her ally.
So she could scarcely go to war with
one country for doing what another
country Is doing without protest from
Japan.
Asia The battle-ground.
III President Harding and Secretary
Of state Hughes hew to the line of
absolute justice in dealing with Tokyo
in the matter of migra tion. and they
undoubtedly will. remembering Japa-
nese susceptibllities as they would
have American susceptibilities remem-
bered, the entire question can be set
tied once and for all to the satisfac-
tion Of everybody save a few extrem-
lists In both countries.
The real danger does not lie in Cali
fornia. but in the Far East.
Asia Is the new Balkans of the
world. the new breeding ground of in
ternational strife And in Asia, China.
5rimnins With Treasure.
China, with her four hundred mill
lions of people, rich in natural re-
sources almost beyond conception and
scarcely touched, as yet by exploiters,
Is about to become an international
ISlondlke.
Just as soon as the business left
over from the peace conference can be
adjusted the nationsaof the world will
begin stalking out their claims in the
celestial republic.
Great Britain, the United States
Japan and all the sea -faring countries
OF the earth, will be on hand, seeking
concessions and looking for trade.
Some will deal justly with CHA, some
will try to take advantage of her. The
minimum any nation will ask will be
its fair share of business.
Clash of Opinions.
What would be, for example, Japan's
"fair share" in China, and what Amer
icas flair share?"
There Is room for terrific differ
ence of opinion right there. AS a mat
ter of actual truth a wide divergence
OF opinion already exists between the
, two countries over this very question
lust how wide remains to be seen.
Japan, OF course, justifies her pres
enee in Shantung; opinion in the Unit
ed states is directly opposed to the
whole Shantung occupation.
yiscout Ishii, in Washington in 1917
rather suggested that there should be
n Monroe doctrine for the Far East,
according to former Secretary of state
Robert Lansing, and out here at least,
opinion seems to construe such doc
trine as meaning primacy, or a para
mount interest. Here. again, America
interposes an objection.
Japan's 81 Demands.
Then there are the 81 demands which
Japan made on China in 1915. Had
they gone through as intended CHINA,
ii is generally admitted, would have
become, TO all intents and purposes
a Japanese protectorate.
Here, there is room for a violent |
clash OF opinion between the United
states and Japan and perhaps worse |
than a clash of opinion should the
demands or their equivalent, be in
sisted upon.
There are two clans struggling for
control in Japan today. One the mill
tarist crowd, the other is the indus !
trial. or capitalist crowd.
Both are sincere. The militarists be-
lieve Japans future must be secured |
through Japanese domination in Asia
while the industrials are equally en-
phatic that prosperity lies in peace
ful penetration"
Two Parties In Balance.
The business men OF Japan say "the
less said about the 81 demands the
better" They admit a mistake was
made and indicate the demands win
never be revived. The military faction.