Evening star., 1921-10-16
INTERESTS OF ALLIES
RESTING WITH WIRTH|
Fall of German Chancellor in Silesian
Crisis May Bring Untold Disorder
to European Readjustment.

point of fever heat. Now If the Wirth
government should abide by the deci-
sion about to be announced there are
certain to be great waves of reaction
against the government.
1t is declared that the Industrial
lists. who as recently as a week ago
were promising to pledge their entire
wealth as security for loans through
which Germany might raise two bill
lions of gold marks for the payment
of reparations during the next year,
will withdraw their support from the
government. The Wirth regime. in
precarious financial condition, cannot
last without such support. There is
much doubt, however, whether the in
dustrialists will do SO. owing to the
fact that any wave Of rebellion or re-
action among the German people will
strike them very hard at the moment
of recovery from the effects of the
war. and the money-loving German is
no different from the money-loving
business man of any other nation. Be
fore risking their all in the hopper
of political expediency they may
watch their step. decide not to align
themselves against the government
through controlled parties in the
regime. With socialist backing as
sured the aid of the industrialists will
make Wirth's tenure secure. How
ever. no one dare predict eventuali-
ties in Germany at the moment where
political blocs flop from one side to
another on the slightest preteXt.
The fact of the matter is though
many groups in Germany would like
to see Wirth ousted. they neverthe-
less realize that under the Wirth re-
gime Germany is making swift prog
reSS toward recovery from the war
and in spite of the tremendous exac-
tions Of the allies. Germany, it is
foreseen, in the next decade may even
go so far as to pay in full the rep
arations demanded and then Germany
through intensive industrial activity
Will be able to once more take her
place in the world trade councils on
equal footing with other nations.
These are but some OF the reasons
why the enemies of the Wirth govern
ment will go slow in bringing about
a forcible overthrow of the govern
ment. But the real danger to the
allies lies in the decisions as to future
procedure and tenure on the part of
the government itself. Should the
chancellor decide to resign or Strasse-
man or any of his other ally-hating
political enemies obtain control. the
whole future of German payments to
the allies will be haZarded. and state
of economic. industrial and financial
uncertainty uShered in.
!: x !.
There is no great assurance that
Chancellor Wirth will not step down
voluntarily in case of an extreme po
1itical crisis. He firmly believes at
least processes to believe. that Ger
many cannot meat reparations pay
mentS unless SileSia remains German
permanently. He has announced that
the cabinet views the renunciation of
t,~ vt~Io tow
tiai unless Silesia remains within the
fatherland. Should the reichstag vote
for remuneration in view of the politi-
cal situation. and should Germany
abandon the economic accord reached
between DR.. Walter Rathenau and NJ
L. Loucheur of Germany and France.
respectively. whereby Germany will
furnish seven billion gold marks
worth of supplies as part payment of
reparationS. much of the labor looking
toward European readjustment will be
nulled.
The allies through abandonment of
the agreement not only will stand
chance of losing all future reparations
payments. but stand chance of being
forced to further limits in exacting
anything at all from a reactionary re-
gime.
The German government. through
it's ambassadors in Britain and France,
has notified these governments of
possible eventualities, with the tacit
warning that anything may be eX-
pected unless Silesia is given to Ger
many or some compromise reached
whereby Germany receives most of
the industrial districts of Silesia.
Whether or not Germany is at
tempting to carry through another
bluff remains to be seen.
If it is a choice between Wirth. any
other socialist coalition government
and the monarchists, the allies prefer
the socialists. Only the most skillful
political maneuvering will preserve
the Wirth regime. make it's future
tenure possible and protect the in
terests of the allies in so far as they
rest on agreements with Germany.