The Washington herald., 1921-05-15
PRESENT. WHEAT
HARVEST TO NEAR
new HIGH RECORD
Crop of Over 100000, 600
Bushels Indicated
For 1921.
7s7,12s,OOO 1920 M A R X
Present Visible Supply Is Far
Below Normal; Big Surplus
For Coming Crops.
Especial Correspondents Of The Wasnins''n
Hsr.d and the Evening Post-l

Herald and the Evening Post'l
CHICAGO, May 14.-With win
ter wheat crop Of 62s. 900. 900 bushels.
as indicated by the government
crop report for May. and a possi
HE 400. .OOO, 900 bushels Ot spilhs
wheat. there Is an indication VI
n total years crop Oh SIs'ooS'OSV
bushels. Last year the total Wheas
harvest was 7S7,l7S,0oO bushels anu
in 1918 it was 934.2S5,0O0 ousneis'
No official figures have been given
on spring wheat, as they are nOt
given out until June. so lar the
spring wheat in Minnesota ana tHe
Dakotas has had u fair start tHe
seed being put in the ground carrier
than usual, and prospects are re-
garded as good. 1t is too earS'
however, to make definite caIcuIA-
tions either on spring or "lnlet
wheat as the latter is expecIeu
to deteriorate somewhat.
Under the present system Ot hS-
urinE crop estimates there could De
a fair deterioration from pFesehI
conditions and still leave as mdCh
as the May returns indicate. Inc
winter wheat crop on the present
basis is the third largest ever lalS-
ed. A feature of the crop sltua-
ton is the losses in the SOuthWesl.
Kansas, which has the Largest acre
age in the country, 9,016,OOO on the
revised basis, out of total OF So
72l,0OO acres for the entire coun-
g. try, lost l,O3S,000 acres from that
seeded last fall, or 5 per cent the
heaviest percentage uf To- ses IN
acreage we've 20 per cent in Texas
and is per cent in Montana. Tne
latter has over 24S,OO0 acres of win
ter wheat, while Texas has 1,761, 900.
The Texas condition was only ~.
with an indicated yield of 21,42S,oeO
bushels, compared with l5,925,OOO
bushels last year.
The Kansas Crop.
Kansas is the banner winter
wheat State of the country and
raises more wheat than many of
the European countries. 1t seeded
IO.343.OOO acres last fall and has
lost $4,000 acres. leaving 9,516,000
for harvest Its condition dropped
4 points for the month to "a, the
same as in Oklahoma, and the in
aicated yield is 135,SSS,OOO bushels,
Or practically 100000 bushels less
than last years harvest. Private
reports of the past few days sug-
gest that Kansas may deteriorate
somewhat, and there is always un-
certainty regarding the Kansas and
Oklahoma crop. \ grain man from
he Southwest, who knows the
country thoroughly, said the other
Say that the Kansas wheat crop is
in the same condition it usually is
1t this time Of the year. There
have been years when prospects
we're better. and the hnal returns
poorer. and vice versa. Oklahoma
lost points last month, yet its
estimated crop of 3749S.00O bushels
s nearly 10000, 900 bushels short of
Iast year. Its acreage remaining
'or harvest is 2.976,00O. a loss of
$4,000 acres. In Nebraska the loss
was $4,000 acres and the crop is
j6.54S!OOO bushels, or 100000 BUSH
lis short Of last years.
In the soft winter wheat States
,f the Middle West the abandoned
acreage ranges from 2 to 3 per cent
and the estimated yields are 10000
asst year. Nebraska with 56.54S.OOc
bushels is 100000 bushels short OF
asst year.
Large surplus for Export.
On the basis of a 900, ,O0O. 900 -bushel
wheat crop there would be a sur.
,lus of 275,OOO.OOO bushels OF more
'or export. The carry over this
year is expected to be below the
Iverage. should it be 10000, 900
bushels. with a 900, 100000 bushe
.rop, there would be 10000, ,00C
bushels for the seasons supply
This is enough to give Europe al
I can take from this country anc
provide for full domestic consump-
Ion.
Small Visible supply.
The visible supply of wheat /!
iown to 12.42S,000 bushels. com
pared with 46.S49. 900 bushels las
rear 1t is the smallest at this tim,
in over thirty years, with the eX
,eption of 1918, when it was 2.194,
700 bushels. The largest visible sup
ply at this time was 45,567,0OO bush
sls in 1913. Chicago stocks havt
,alIen to 57S,0OO,OOO bushels, thu
smallest at this period in over thir
zen wears. In 1919 there were 591,
100 bushels and in 1917 $4,000 bush
sls, while last year the aggregate
vas $1,000 bushels.
There can be no return to norma
;ood supply conditions Throughout
he world until Russia raises suff
:ient grain to resume its place as
arge exporter of wheat and rye
Commenting on the worlds fooC
conditions, Herbert Hoover, Secre
airy Of Commerce and Labor. Il
quoted as saying: '"rhe Russi,
problem remains one of the creates
ali Europe. Russia has been L
large degree the food base o
Western Europe. She exported 6,
100000 20 100000 tons of food
'ear in exchange for manufacture
urticies- She bore the same rela
ion to Western Europe that tn
dississippi Valley does to the East
rn United. States. This former Rus
dan food base has been transferre,
the United States. There can b
10 complete recovery in Europ
without a settlement of the Rus
ian problem. Suppose that tn
Atlantic seaboard today had to e
o Russia for food. we need no dia
ram to hnd out what wouid hap
en--
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