Pueblo chieftain., 1921-07-04
NEXT disarmament move
YET OPEN TO CONJECTURE
Case Now in Field Where Only Possible to Judge
From Appearances Holds Psychology
Of Trading

mally, and specifically. But there is
another large group of persons who
understand that such a negotiation in
cludes good deal of the psychology
of trading in which men who are the
most expert practice a good deal of
waiting for the other fellow TO make
the first move.
ldealists and direct minded persons
may dislike to concede IT. but the fact
is that even so exalted an institution
as the peace conference included a good
deal that was in tho nature of horse
trading. 1t WAS the fact that Presi-
dent Wilson was one of the tdealists
and one OF tho direct minded persons
who said what he thought while sew
eral of the other conferecs were eN-
perts in the horse-tradlnS part OF di-
plomacy, thst-Yrought so much trag-
edy.
In Americas diplomacy Just now
therA may or may not be a certain
amount OF the horse-trading quality,
but there undoubtedly is a good deal
of realization that some OF the other
parties to the negotiations have the
horse-trading quality.
All of this. of course, is mere de
duction from appearances. II looks
as n America wants TO see whether
Great Britain is going TO renew her
alliance with Japan. A conference for
disarmament with that alliance not re-
newed would he quite another thing.
Whenever the conference comes.
much OF the discussion Will revolva
about the proportions which the navy
Of one nation is to share to the naviss
Of other nations. That those proper
tions would be affected by the fact
of two nations being allied Is obvious
Even II Great Britain should renew
it's alliance with Japan. and include
specific exception as regards any fu
ture controversy with America, that
would not make tho situation az ideal
from the point Of view OF America as
complete lack Of alliance would.
As everybody knows. Great Britain
is just IN the midst Of consideration OF
whether or not to renew her Japanese
slssnce. Public men in Washington.
not directly members of the admins
trsticn. who feel free to talk tax.
strongly tho position that Great Bri-
tain ought not to renew the alliance.
At tho time II was originally made
Russia and Germany were competitors
OF great Britain In the east That is
no longer SO. ON the other hand,
friends Of Great Britain make out
good case for renewing the alliance,
the most appes ling part Of their case
IL that Great Britain ought not to be
guilty OF the sffront To loyal ally
which would he involved in refusing to
renew the agreement.
Their. are also. Of course. selfish rea
sons TO the same effect The renewal
of this alliance is probably Great Bri-
tsin's best means for taking care of
her commercial interests in the cast.
Also. the fact that there is an lden-
tity in religion between large part
OF Japan and a large part of Great
Britain's Asiatic domiuions. makes 1t
desirable in the highest interests Of
the empire that Japan and Great Bri-
tain should be in alliance.
In any event. II seems probable that
the next move towards = disarmament
conference will come after and be de
tcrmined by Great Britain's renewal
or failure TO renew her alliance with
japan.
Copyright. 1921. by the New York
Evening Post. 1nc)