The New York herald., 1921-03-01

facts arc facts, and II Premier BRANDS
Government should fall his successor
would have TO face the same facts he
faced--that Germany could not be made
TO pay what was impossible. They count
on the Allies not wanting 10 see Ger
many dismeubercd. and believe that
they can ger out of the conference at the
last moment II ID gets too not for them,
relying on the clauses OF the Treaty OF
Versailles which tie the hands of the
Allies until next May.
Between these two positions stands
Premier Lloyd George. In so far as his
own domestic situation is concerned, he
Is free to accept compromise, defend
Ing 1t by way OF the John Maynard
Keynes school. built on Mr.. Keynes's
teaching after his beck, Economic As
poets or the Peace"
But there is no doubt that the British
Premier has given bis pledge to Premier
BRAND to back him up. and while Mr..
Lloyd George might defend compro-
mise In itself, he could not defend an
action which would cause a split In the
Entf nte at the present juncture. Hence
the French are sure In counting on the
Brf ish Prime Minister. Also they are
cou Mins on italy and Japan following
ths l~,sh lead and on Belgium follow
ing FTraces lead. However, the entire
situation viii not be developed for two
da -
The supreme Council will receive the
German counterpgoposals at the hands
of DR.. Simons in Lancaster House at
II 80 o'clock tomorrow morning. Pre-
mler Lloyd George will not reply to them
until Wednesday morning.
ST. James's Palace had to be given up
by the conferees for tomorrow. because
the conference rooms there Will be used
for the Kings levee.
Pay or be Invaded.
The most reliable outline OF the course
OF the conference available tonight Is
that 1t Will end socn after Wednesday
with DIR Slmons taking home with him
message calling sor a decision by
Germany whether she will pay the
amount demanded of her. or whether
She will face a further invasion OF her
territories by the Allies.
The British official information from
Berlin and elsewhere supports the con-
tention that the Paris figures are not
too high. and IL Is still believed here
that once DR.. Simons Is confronted
with the array of facts and figures
which Premier Lloyd George will hand
him on Wednesday the German For
eign Minister will not dare go back to
Berlin and demand that Germany con-
test these figures either by sacrificing
a part of her territory or by precipl-
tating a new war.
The question OF a collapse of ell gov
ernment in Germany and an alliance be-
tween her and Bolshevist Russia has
been thoroughly canvassed by competent
persons here. 1t must be remembered
that the chief premise upon which the
Anglo-French official position rests is
the prosperity Of Germany under great
trusts. The British and the French 10
not believe these German trusts are ap-
allied with the older conserva-
tive element in Germany to permit any
alliance with Bolshevist Russia other
than a purely commercial one. 1t IS
pointed out here that If Germany re-
covers her prosperity through trade with
the Allies.
volved In encouraging German trade
with the allied and neutral countries,
where German goods would come into
with those of the Allies. In
deed. 1t Is held here that II Germany
should make a success of the doubtful
adventure in Russian trade, 50 much the
better. The Allies still hold the mill
tary preponderance in Western Europe
and are in a position to search the Ger
man pockets" for any Russian profits.
The fact Is this Is one of the principle
arguments os the French and of others
who are most strongly opposed to re-
ducing the Paris reparations figures.