New-York tribune., 1920-10-31

ting in the state and so enthusiastic
mas oeen the press for Harding that
Governor Cox complained bitterlv in
pubhc speeches about it as he wa.
leaving the state on his first big swing
around the circle.
no one has any doubt now that TIE
yca1e y1.9 which finally elected Woodrow
wilson IN 1916 viii not only s. fec Har-
dlng and Coolidge, but will roll W a
tremendous maj ority for them, Wcre
it not for this Republican sweep Soma
1or James ID. Phelan, who IS lighting
Tor rejection, might have d good
chance. 1t is conceded that his show
Ing against Samuel N. Shortridge, the
Republican nominee, viii Ne very much
better than CoX's showing against
Harding. The probability is, however.
that Harding's victory IN the state will
be so trem endous that Shortridge VIII
be pulled through
There has been no question about
Oregon from the beginning Of the cam
paign. Alone among the Rocky Noun
tain and Pacific Coast states, OreroD
went for Hughes in 1916. There Is q
slight chance Of gaining a Republican
senator there. 2lthough the personal
popularity Of Senator George T. Cham
herlain is so great tha1 this IS really
doubtful. Chamberlain always piles up
thousands of Republican votes, but thu.
year the number viii be increased be-
cause of the attempt by President VII
son to defeat him in the Democratic
primary.
Washington, which in 1916 gave Will
son about 10000 majority, while it was
reelecting Senator Poindexter by 7O.-
GOO, IS SO strongly for Harding and
Senator Wesley L. Jones this year that
a % tS Jo,
hope.
The same is true Of idaho. Wyoming,
Kansas, Nebraska, New Mexico and North
Dakota, all of which went for Wilson in
1916. South Dakota is sure for Harding.
but the Senatorial fight is complicated
ny an independent candidate. AS q re-
suit OF the Progressive split, the Dem
ccrats elected Senator Edwin S. John
son IN TINS state six y<trs ago. He is
not candidate for reelection. and
having nominated Governor Peter Nor
Deck, who is very popular. the Repub-
Leans were sure Of gaining a seat here
Norbeck would have a walk-over were
1t not for State Senator Richard Rich
ARDS, who IS running as an independent
on platform with single plank
endorsement Of his own sprimary law
Ilchards is a Republican, and, there.
iore. his candidacy is expected to help
|. s. G. Cherry, the Democratic nori-
nee. The best information, however.
IS that Nor beck will be elected despite
this handicap.
Minnesota Strong for Harding
Minnesota, which was so close in
1916 that it took a week to be sure thst
hughes had carried it. proDapYy will
give Harding 100000 majority. There
Is close fight on the governorship
however, Jake Preus, the Republican
nominee, being opposed by Dr.. Henrik
Shipstead, the Nonpartisan League
nominee. The Democrats have aban.
doned their candidate, to all practical
purposes, dividing according to their
personal ideas about the Nonpartisan
League.
This leaves only one important state
which Wilson carried in i9l6-Ohio-
the state in which the real victory was
won for the Democratic partv in that
campalgn. Ohio has twenty-four elec
tcral votes; California, generally given
the credit for the Wilson v.ctorv only
thirteen Wilson carried Ohio by more
than $4,000 His plurality in California
was under 5000. In this connection #
may be interesting to recall that there
was no ooubt in October, 1916. that
wilson was going to carry Ohio. It was
apparent to impartial Investigators
and was generally conceded. That is
one reason why Ohios part in the VII
son victory did not command so much
Ilmelight as did the parts PLAYED bv
Kansas. Utah and California. 1t was
thoroughly discounted before Election
Day.
Republicans to Sweep Ohio
This year it-is just as apparent that
Harding will sweep the state. His ma