Arizona republican., 1920-02-24


 On the republican side it was as serted that the 22 democrats, only few short of the number required to in sure ratification. had signified Wiling ness to quit the lead of President Will son and take the republican reservation program as it is. This total admins tration chiefs declared exaggerated, but they conceded that were a vote taken tomorrow on the republican reSerNa- ton, it would command more than the seven democrat votes it got last No vember.
 Antis Gain Followers
 Movement for a democratic caucus may bring into the open, it's sponsors believe, dissatisfaction that has smoul dered in some democratic quarters since the president sent his memorable letter to the caucus of November, 1919, asking the senators of his party to vote against ratification on the basis of the republican reservations. The seven senators whQ disregarded his advice have been active constantly in their effort to dissuade others from the stand then taken, and it has been an open secret that their move, coupled with current political developments, has met with some success.
 But among both democrats and re- publicans it is realized that the en- 1eavor to break democratic resistence still has a long way to go, if it is to succeed Sixty-four votes are required to ratify the treaty and although 34 re- publicans voted for ratification in No vember, party leaders are sure now of the support of only 30. That leaves 34 to be delivered by the democrats. an even dozen more than the figure which represented the peak of republican claims today.
 Article X Is Next
 In belief that time is fighting on their side, the republican leaders plan is to <.f1 treaty disagreements when the subject comes again before the senate probably tomorrow The next reservation to be considered in the revision being un- dertaken in the senate is the qlsalifica- ton of article To- against which the president has directed his principal criticism; but the republicans expect to ask that it be laid aside until all others have been ated on
 Meantime. it is pointed out a demo- ratio caucus may have developed the real strength among democratic sen ators to break away from policy of resistance and put the treaty through Should majority of 47 democrats vote Tn the caucus for such move, it is ex- pected by the republicans that the eff feet would be to bring over the votes needed for ratification. In these cal culations. however, neither side loses sight of the possibility that the white house may again use it's influence to stiffen the backs of the administration senators or that the president may if an unacceptable ratification impends withdraw the treaty from senate con sideration. He might take the latter course, it is suggested. to express his olspleasure with senate reservations and his unwillingness to have the na- ton become a, party on any terms in the Adriatic settlement
 Neither is it concealed that broad questions of party policy are involved In the problem of ratification now gen eraily admitted by leaders to have beTn thrust into the political campaign. Privately, senators pressing for ac ceptance of the republican reservations. confess themselves out of accord with the presidents Jackson day declara- uon for solemn referendum and .hey are seeking to disassociate senate democrats from any appearance of endorsing that proposal.
 Would Shift Burden
 In the caucus. therefore, this group IS prepared to plead that the treaty De ratified so that the president. if he then chooses to regard the senate's acton as a rejection and to pocket the treaty, may have upon his own shoulders the burden of a decision which they do not believe will be Dop- uiar with the country. With senate democrats going one way and a demo- cratic president another. they believe 1 democratic national convention will ] feel itself free from any cut and dried 1 program when it takes up tho sub. ject.
 The administrations staunch sup porterS in the senate, however appar- ently are not fearful that these coun- sells will prevail. They indicated to- night that if any considerable num- Der of democrats wanted a caucus. one would be called. But they Haunted | the suggestion that it might throw over the presidents advice or show a | majority against the past and present | party stand on reservations
 Among republicans, it was said that | the caucus proposal apparently had | grown out of stiffening in repub- | lican ranks which, in turn, resulted l from the senate's action Saturday, | when irreconcilable opponents of rat | ification seized the balance of power | and used it to prevent any modi- |