Arizona republican., 1920-05-24
SOME ESPECULATIONO ON OUTCOME 1T CHICAGO OF REPUBLICAN FIGHT

With the national convention less than three weeks away interest cen ters on who will be the nominee of that convention -- Wood, Johnson, Harding or Lowden. All have their friends. But there is little question in my mind that in the final analysis the Republican national convention will turn to Warren c. Harding of Ohio" said sFrank R. Stewart yes terday.
 .I don't think it is possible for Gen eral Wood to get the nomination, though it appears that he will go into the convention with more votes on the first ballot than any other candidate. But his strength is largely from states that are Democratic. whose votes would avail him nothing in the gen eral election. While in the Repub liean states where they have presi dential primary Johnson has made a better showing than Wood and Wood will have to reckon with Johnson be- fore he can make much headway
 And this is practically impossible for the reason that the Johnson people will never go to Wood. Johnson hopes to capture the nomination himself. but it is hardly within the pu1@ of possi- bilities that the convention will come to the Pacific coast for a candidate and this disposes of Johnson. And in support of this contention I call your attention to the vote of both Wood and Johnson in the several states claimed by each. For instance. Wood claims Tennessee. Georgia. Mississippi. New Mexico. Oklahoma Arizona. and the addition to his total gives him only slight lead over Johnson.
 None of the above states. it is claimed. will support the Republican ticket. They never have in a presi- dential election. On the other hand.
 Trel4v Ifsses fc fin Gfr publican states such as California. South Dakota Minnesota. Michigan Indiana. Illinois Nebraska and New Jersey. This method Of comparison gives to Johnson the best of it when the strength of his Republican fol- lowing is compared with that Of Wood
 And think that after two or three ballots both Wood and Johnson will be sidetracked and the convention will settle down to business. and it is gen orally admitted that a compromise will be necessary, and the belief is uni versal that Senator Harding is the man around whom the convention win finally rally. Lowden will have some strength but the Lowden vote will go to Harding. There is a conviction in many of the eastern states that after the "comDlimentary" voting Is done there will be swing to tho Ohio man. Tt is. generally admitted that Ohio is a pivotal state, and to insure it safe
 " Republican. Harding's nomination is essential. We can't afford to take any chances. Eight years ago and four years ago Wilson carried it and two years ago Cox carried it for governor. Harding will have more than 100 votes on the first ballot and he will gain strength with every ballot taken majority of both branches of congress are for Harding and I fully believe that he will be the Mckinley of 1920 10 lead the nation back to a sound. substantial basis He is loved in Ohio as was Mckinley. He eXemplifies the high | est type of American ideals and states manship, and if he is nominated he is sure to be elected. So. why take a chance2 ! don't believe the convention will"