The Brattleboro daily reformer. (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1913-1955, 1920-07-13

In compiling the foregoing table, no
effort was made to consider any of the
so-doubtful states as certainties but
| Ohio, Indiana, Missouri, Kentucky, New
Jersey, California and Montana were
placed in the Democratic column because
Governor Cox would, if the election were
held tomorrow, be apt to have better
than an even chance of carrying the
states either because of his wet inclina-
tions or. as in Ohio, because of his record
rs governor.
| Similarly New York and all the New
England as well as Illinois and the
majority of the western states. are
placed for the moment in the Republican
column because Senator Harding would
appear 10 have better than an even
chance of carrying them either because of
his tendency TO derive support from the
dry side of the argument in the western
states or the accumulated resentment
against the Wilson administration which
in the eastern states seems to be the
paramount reason for wanting a change
from Democratic to Republican rule
New York state has Just such pent -up
feeling whilst the Tammany stamp on
| he Democratic presidential nominee viii
ALLEVIATE thousands of women voters who
dislike Tammaiiy not merely for its own
record in politics, but its affinity with
The liquor interests.
Even so, there is no question but that
even supporters of McAdoo believe Cox
viii make better run in New York than
McAdoo could have done, though in the
same breath they contend no Democrat
can carry New York this year and that
AcAdoo would have swept the West
ghaSa M nominated (s,x al 49,, +
firm the impression that a wet candidate
can hope for little out in the West and
must make his fight in the eastern states
Even assuming that the prestige of Cox
will overflow the borders of Ohio into In.
diana and corral the labor vote there and
the wet vote and the following which the
organization of Tom Taggart, candidate
for United States senator, can mobilize
for the ticket this year, few Democrats
entertain the slightest idea that any
Democratic candidate could carry Hi
nois.
So with Cox splitting the East and
deriving little, succor from the West, |
the table above gives a general scattering
OF states east of the Mississippi TO the |
Ohio governor which, together with Cali. |
fornia and Montana and the solid South, |
would not be sufficient To elect him but |
would put Harding in the White House.
But Governor Coxs chances to be |
President of the United States are never, |
theless even for change of only one or |
two states in the foregoing table would
tut him above 266 and bring Harding be
low the majority line, supposing for ex,
ample the third party dominates La
Toilette or anybody else pleasing to the |
Non Partisan league-the chances are
better than even that they will split the |
Republican vote which is largest in the |
northwest, and then the normal Demo- |
cratic vote would probably exceed either |
half of the Republican strength. thus
giving Minnesota or North Dakota or
Wisconsin to Cox. If Cox won Wiseon- |
sin, his total would be 267. and if he won
only Minnesota, he would have 266.
either of which totals would elect him
president.
On the other hand, that does not, by
any means, end the capacity of the third
party for turning things upside down.
Should the candidate of the third ticket
carry Minnesota, Wisconsin and North
Dakota, which would mean a total of 3o
electoral votes, the result might be to
give neither Cox nor Harding a majority
and throw the whole thing into the house
of representatives for decision. TTnoues-
tionably, as things stand TODAY. the CON
test IS close one and the third party
movement, while insignificant in its eff
feet upon the eastern or middle western
states, has potentialities for harm to the
Republican presidential ticket in Wis
Il, TS.,l- u