The Chattanooga news. [volume] (Chattanooga, Tenn.) 1891-1939, 1920-10-29
Calculations Made as Early as
Oct. | as to Election
Must Be Revised.
LEAGUE ISSUE POPULAR
Forced to Front With Remark.
abe Success by Democrats.
Other Factors Involved.


Tuesdays electoral vote for presiden
and analyzing the situation in three
iourths OF the states OF the union visite
by tho writer during the last tw
nonths.)
(sy DAVID LAwRENcE)s
| Washington, Oct. 2o.--(CopyrIght
for The chatt noora ews)--Tne
which cave Woodrow Wilson his
victory In 1915 was new combna-
the big eastern stntes--New York,
New Jersey. indiana, Ohio and H.
linois, touether with New England
we're sufficient to tell everybody on
slection night thnt the race was over.
The big question tails year is
whether there Is any comb nation of
votes whereby Gov. Cox can win the
presidency Senator Hardna has
,een picked by most everybody to
YIN chiefly because OF the tradl-
'lonai hatlt Of America to change
,dm nlstratlons every few years.
But the democrats have m naged 20
,oree the league Of nations 10 the
'front.' as an issue WITH remarkable
success In the last fifteen d-ys and
any calculations Of tie writer. or
anybcdy else, made az early rs Oct.
J, are necessarily subject to revision
at the last moment.
New Survey In West.
When this correspondent visited every
state west of the Mississippl with one
or two EXCEPTIONS he reported after an
investigation OF three that theie were
only a few states-Utah. Montana and
Nevada-wherein the democratic nomi-
nee for the presidency had a good
chance. In order 10 determine whe ,her
these states arc still safe for Cox and
kSHhether any others have been added TO
rhe list, the writer HIS sent tel grams TO
almost every man in the west IN whose
Judgemen mt he can place reliance. and has
asked that the replies he sent specified
code so ti.at men working on d mocrat &c
newspapers on in the democratic Or
yanizationeo or those employed in The re-
publican camp would have no hesitancy
~ expressing over the telegraph wile
their own confidential and innermost
Judgment.
The kilograms sare coming in and the
nIsna.s,, results WIN besembodied in tomorow's
Situation In East.
AS for the SITUATION east of the Missis-
| sippi river. which has been examined
IN person by the writer in the last
thirty days. several factors stand out as
extraordinary.
"a The heavy registration Of women
/ has made II doub.fu whether In some
states everybody Will have a,chance TO
| vote m the limited period tilat the DO Is
/ are open. On account of the congestion
| ~ the poNs, especially in sta es where
mo provision has been made to handle
the crowd. many votes will not be cast
lat all. 81
o The. negro vote in Northern states
HIS better organized than 1t ever has
heen. In some of the border states feet
ing Is not altogether pleasant over the. 4
way the negroes have been mobiized
nv tha republicans, and II Is not alto-
lHethcr q certainty. whether in case
Isyhefe the democrats control the election
there will be time enough
|for the negroes to vote though In Ger
ltain cities where the republicans have |
control. just the reverse is'apt to be the |
lease, and many whites may not get a |
|chance 70 vote. The race question un-
Fortunately enters into the calculation |
pr certain important states
Woman Vote Uncertain.
1tS) The true effect OF the enlranchise- |
|nnen OF women throughout the nation is |
The most uncertain qpanity in the
know how the the women will vote. but
hey don't. No political leader In all
l.he states that the writer visited was
|lpie TO produce canvass of the femi-
Iline vote which could be considered
|spmplete. Time and again the canvass
|,t the masculine vote has been accom-
|,lshed with such accuracy in advance
i 4 the election that the results has varied
but little from the official result. Most
I'ditors. and political leaders agree how
Eger tnat tne women viii mostly double
he republican or democratic vote or
Increase II by at least so per cent
AS the husband votes so votes the
wife. That's the theory. Westerners.
|Who have had more experience with
woman suffrage for many years. uphold
hat view, yet In Indiana, Kentucky,
West Virginia and even Ohio, II has
been admitted by politicians that per-
|iaps the league Of nations, has madel
more women voters independent Of
West Virginia. Indiana, Ohio. New
PORK and New Jersey there has been
4 noticeable revival OF interest among
IN and women IN the league OF ma
lons,sa wider reading of the covenant
han was believed possible on a ques-
ions that mas been so often dismissed
by the professional politicians as dead"
|fr with the statement that ''the people
IRE sick and tired OF the thing"
Wllccn's Name cheered.
l4) Another remarkable thing is that
while the street talk and club talk and
moking car gossip and newspaper talk
las constituted an apparent waste of
nu- wisconsin, the casalal mention OF
|ngs held by the democrats has not
|een me- with silence or a few scat
lered handclaps, but by spontaneous
utbursts OF applause. The democrats
|hemselves have been pleasantly sur
risedf by the demonstrations and don'tI
now whether to interpret ~ as a feel
lag sympathy for, the man who has
roken down in health In his endeavors
10 serve the people rs he thought best !,
r whether TO regard II as an indica- J J
ion Of democratic strength at the polls.
90 The economic situation has had
b many puzzlinE DEVELOPMENTS In the y
tst three or four weeks. prices have Y
|ropped so materially. and unemploy- 6
tent has come so suddenly in many
titles. that in more than one case are .
uspicions expressed that the shutdown y
las something to do with the oft-heard .
Jnspiracy OF intimidating labor. On j
10 fall in the price df wheat and the r
eneral decline OF live stock prices has 4
Tired up the tariff issue and made =
lends Tor the republican tariff pro- Il
ram.
The reader himself has probably no. '
ced that Senator Harding has EVIL
sntly been told of this sentiment. for w
3 has devoted two or three statements Z,
} Il lately. I,
Republicans Change Tactics. y
Moreover the rising tide OF interest q,
the league Of nations has been met n,
L the republicans In the last two weeks n
Il campaign speecheS from such friends r
s the league as Herbert Hoover. VII 8
trn Howard Taft and Flihu Root. The =
tack has 5een against Article X. and -
the east nobody. not even Senator
ardlng, has sent messages In the last
W dsys 60 Senators Johnson or BofRh
Ming them they were interpreting the
publican platform correctly.
Indeed the reetiveness displayed hy I
lillian Randolph Pearst. who calls en- i
". Cox % Fepudiate the league and
e same time critlclzes Harding "for +
-Rling and webbing Is another indi- /
tlon Of unrest In the camp OF the Z.
rrt Sonciln hles." and others who favci !
e rejection OF the treaty and any (.
tgie OF nations. /
with n growing Sentiment in favor z
the principle of n league of nations Z,
Are r. no question that Senator Hard Y
Is speech Al Dcs Moines saying he l.
Int want 20 clarity obligations nut l.
81 he was seeking "re lection" has \
en- construed ss incoming rejection Of
9 whole Ieague and not Article y
,ne. as his friends insist was his as