davidaulloa/AmericanStories huggingface dataset:
The Brattleboro daily reformer. (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1913-1955, 1920-10-30
Totals ..... 295 %

Now out of the 531 electoral votes, a
majority (Or 266) is necessary to a
choice SO the figure 266 should be kept
i'm mind as the irreducible minimum in
examining the foregoing table of Demo-
cratic aspirations.
! Should 80 votes be subtracted from the
suggested total of DOG for Cox. it would
leave the Democratic nominee with 265
votes aud his opponent with all the rest
or 266. which would elect Harding.
The big question Is. therefore, is the
Democratic table bullet-prooft Can 30
votes be subtracted from it with any de
gree of certainty? The writer finds no
difficulty i'm presenting any of three com
binations OF states sure to 60 Republican
which total more, than 80 votes and which
would break down, the Democratic chance
of victory These states are Ohio "a.
, New Jersey IA and California 13. or a
total of 81. If that combination were
not convincing then a combination of
Ohio "a and New Jersey Il. or total of
3S would elect Harding. Even if Ohio
were conceded to the Democrats for pur-
pose of this calculation. the combination
Of California Is and New Jersey ii and
Connecticut Z, or a total of 81 votes for
Harding. would upset the Democratic
total of 295.
/ The conclusion to which this CORE
spondent has come after several weeks of
personal investigation is that the drift
toward AOA III tue ldSt ~ AdNS HAS tAl
down materially the Republican MAORI
ties. but is not sufficient to overcome at
the last minute the two-year start in or
ganization and campaigning which the
! Republicans have had.
! Consequently the writer is convinced
that Senator Harding viii be elected
president of the United States next Tues
day As for the actual figures, there may
be some surprises. The claims of both the
Democratic and Republican chairmen are
naturally the most optimistic in their re-
spective parties and are based upon re-
ports from local political leaders. The
writer's own Judgment of the situation is
based upon telegraphic communication
with persons in the East and West in
whom he can place reliance. Their views
We're given confidentially and with the
understanding that no names would be
used. 1t is as close to inside information
on the several states as one can get in
a political campaign. Therefore it looks
to the writer as if the actual result of the
election will not be as close as the ire
ducible minimum outlines above. but that
the totals and the states will look some
thing like the following when all the votes
TOD
The Brattleboro daily reformer. (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1913-1955, 1920-10-30
HE BRA DAILY REFoRNER SATURDAY OCTOBER

win, the foregoing table shows how COM
paratively easy will be Senator Harding S
victory. The result would have been
more overwhelming except that the Demo
Gratis pulled themselves together in the
last three weeks of the campaign. Indeed,
many of the leaders have told me privately
that if they had two weeks more they
could overcome Harding's lead. Unques-
tionably large numbers of Irish voters are
going back to the Democratic party and
there is some talk of Germans returning
to party lines but in both cases the defec-
tions have been too big and the prejudices
of too long standing to be removed by the
speeches of Governor Cox. The antipathy
in both cases is not so much against Cox
as President Wilson. However, the rea-
sons for the Democratic defeat and Re
publican victory will be outlined in Mon
days final despatch of the series, together
with an analysis of the situation in the
race for control of the United States SEN
late
The Brattleboro daily reformer. (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1913-1955, 1920-10-30

studv of the various states as to convince
the investigator that a combination of
certain states will insure victory, or de-
feat as the case may be. Four years ago,
this correspondent presented table show
ing the irreducible minimum of votes for
Wilson. Everything else was conceded to
Hughes for the sake of the calculation,
and il was the object of the table to show
that Wilson had just enough to win.
Now. irrespective of what the final
official table will show on the day after
election. curiosity for the moment centers
on the certainty or uncertainty of eIecting
COX or Harding. Who in other words,
will be the next president? That ques-
tion will be answered in the two tables
presented in this despatch In order to
bring out convincingly the conclusion to
which this writer has come, he exhibits
first a table showing the maximum of ex-
nectations. hopes, and possibilities of the
Democrats. 1t is picture of Democratic
optimism. Should that table break down
bv 30 electoral votes, Governor Cox viii
have lost the election. For the table OF
Democratic hopes gives Cox 259 and
Harding 236. Here is the best informa-
tion obtainable on how the Democrats
who are on the inside who think Cox has
a chance base their conclusions:
The Brattleboro daily reformer. (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1913-1955, 1920-10-30

Inasmuch as only 266 are necessary to
The Brattleboro daily reformer. (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1913-1955, 1920-10-30
WARDSBORO.

Mr. and Mrs. A. d. Fletcher are visit
ing Mrs. Fletcher's sister in Dorset.
Walter Kidder of Charlestown, y. II.
is visiting his parents, Mr.. and Mrs. w
w. Kidder.
Mr. and Mrs. Arthur Warren of Spen-
Ger, Mass, visited his sister, Mrs. d. w
Hitchcock, last week.
: Miss Hattie f. Smith of Springfield
Mass, is spending a few days with heI
aunt, Mrs. Emma Knapp.
Mr. and Mrs. Lawrence Holcomb and
children of Westfield, Mass, visited Mrs.
Holcomb's father. J. Il. Gleason, Sunday.
Mrs. Leon Waite, who had been spend.
ing a few weeks with her parents, Mr.
and Mrs. II. Fl. Forester, returned to
Brattleboro last week.
Mrs. w. G. Smith. who had been visit,
ing Mrs. w. w. Kidder and cousin, Miss
Isabel Pierce, two weeks, returned to hel
home in Springfield, Mass, Monday.
The Brattleboro daily reformer. (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1913-1955, 1920-10-30
yERMONPs CLAIM ALLOWED.
viii Get S1O3, 324.42 for Property Fur
uished During War-Test Case.

MONTPELIER. Oct. 30.-The adiu-
tant generals Office here is in receipt Of
official notice from the auditor of the
war department at Washington that the
claim of Vermont for state-owned prop
erty taken into federal service amount.
ing to SOB. 324.42 has been allowed and
that certificate has been forwarded TO
the treasury department for payment.
Eermont'S was the first claim acted
on and made a test case for others of
similar nature. The funds were eX-
pended for proper military equipment
for the Vermont National guard.
The Brattleboro daily reformer. (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1913-1955, 1920-10-30
BY DAVID LAWRENCE

BY DAVID LAWRENCE.
(This is the second of a series of three
articles forccasting the trend of next
Tuesdays electoral vote for president
and aEaIyzing the situation in all the
pivotal states visited by the writer in
the last two mouths.)
Two methods of calculation may be
used in attempting to forecast an election !;
either a table cndeavoring to predict the
actual figures which is more or less guess
WORK for nobody knows exactly how the
millions of voters throughout the union
viii vote. OF a table containing the ire
ducible minimum of electoral votes by
which Harding or Cox will be elected.
Obviously it is possible to make such a
The Brattleboro daily reformer. (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1913-1955, 1920-10-30
LAWRENCE GIVES
HARDING 339 VOTES
Believes Republicans Will
Win By Large Majority
Tuesday
GIVES DEMOCRATIC
TABLE OF STATES

Ills Would Give Cox Lead of 80 In
Electoral College - Claim States Elk
rceted TO Go for Harding Not
EEough Drift to Beat Harding.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

gram will be the organ voluntary by
Miss Athey. organist. to be followed
by doxology, "Praise God From
Whom All Blessings Flow" opening
Of post, James II. Perkins. command
er: prayer. w. II. Proctor. chaplain;
anthem, choir; reading records or de-
ceased comrades, o. II. Oldroyd. ad-
Jutant; offering floral tributes LIN
coin w. r. c.; 23d Psalm. Marion M.
Lewis; taps; solo; responsive exer-
cisea, chaplain and Lincoln Post;
hymn: offertory; address. the Rev.
Hamilton p. Fox: hymn, America
choir and congregation: closing post.
officers and members of the post.
The members OF the post who died
during the year follow: II. II. Mar
tin, Company Z, 122d Pennsylvania
infantry; John A. Seller, A, Eighth
battalion, District OF Columbia: James
Warden, United States navy: w. G.
Davenport. ID, Firty-first Ohio infan-
try; C. B. Moore, Company A, Ninety
seventh Pennsylvania infantry; f. T.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

age from 1914 TO 1918 to indicate the
same amount OF volume OF construc-
ton because conservative, indeed, is
the estimate that II only cost twice as
much to build now as in those years.
The above tabulation Is OF cities
wherein permits for one or more
months in 1920 have gone over the
million dollar mark. There Is fur
nished in II a very valuable basis for
comparison
Chicago. Washington, and Boston
show losses while most Of the others
show appreciable gains in April.
THE total amount of contracts
awarded during April, 1920. in the
Dodge Company's territory was 1884
0O7 900: this shows a slight increase
over the March figure, which was
1927 .S97 900. and a very considerable
increase over the figure for April.
1919, which was S1sS,S52 900. The
total for the first four months OF 1920
amounts to 81 900. as compared
with S464. 407. 900 for the first four
months of 1919.
Analysis OF the April figures shows
| 3.743 900. or 81 per cent. for resi-
| dental buildings; $50, 49S,O0O. or 20
per cent, for public works and utili-
! ties: s62 ISL, 900, or 10 per cent. fol-
| Industrial buildings: and S57.115,000.
or 10 per cent. for business buildings.
During April contemplated work
! was reported amounting to $i45 ,053,-
900, bringing the total for contem-
plated work reported for the frst
! four months OF this year up to s2,144.-
! 63T. 900. Contemplated work reported
| from January l to May I, included:
1882 ,344 900 for residential buildings,
s432, 523 900 for Industrial buildings,
| S423. 81 900 for public works and util-
| tiles. 1901, 693, 900 for business build
| ip0a" ~
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

ceeding month OF 1920 has brought
more apparent difficulties for the
builders to face.
The switchmen's strike at present
Is operating an extreme disadvan-
tage to the movements OF building
materials. New York City is hard In
It's grasp, and as has been reported
In the American Contractor, supplies
OF some materials, cement for one.
are almost totally depleted. Yet In
the face OF this New York city issued
a greater valuation OF permits in
April than in any previous month.
Labor difficulties have increased
generally throughout the Industry
and on May / in many cities unparal'
leled wage scales went into effect.
Yet in the face of a shortage OF avail
able labor In the face OF twice as
many strikes as at the same period
year ago and In the face OF wage
scales which many predict Will cur
tail demand for building, building
permits show increase.
Comparing 1877 city's returns for
April with returns for March shows
gains in 10 cases and losses In
seventy-seven cases,
Average Valuation Higher.
The average value of permits per
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

A natinal watch-us-grow drive
is being conducted this month
by the Alumni Fellowship OF the Uni
ted Society OF Christian Endeavor.
with headquarters at Boston. and next
week the District OF Columbia Christ
ian Endeavor Alumni Association will
conduct q membership drive with 600
members as Its goal. On Monday
evening a dinner will be held az Cal
vary Baptist Church. at which Percy
s. Foster, president OF the local al
umni association, viii preside. Hon
orary membership win be conferred
upon Josephus Daniels. Secretary OF
the Navy. who will address the meet
ing. Stanley Il. Vandersall. alumni
superintendent OF the United Society
OF Christian Endeavor, will also
speak. About seventy pastors OF
local churches having Christian En-
deavor societies have been invited to
attend the dinner as guests OF the
alumni association.
Tuesday and Wednesday will be
used by the alumni members in max
ing personal calls to canvass pros
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

May. Washington Zouaves; f. W.
WAX efield, Company c, Second Massa-
chusetts cavalry; william p. Pierce.
Twenty-seventh Kansas cavalry;
Nicholas II. Kelley. Company b. Sixth
Maryland infantry; Daniel d. Marsh.
Company b, Putnam Rifles; George
w. White, +. Eighth Ohio infantry:
George w. Street. Company c, Third
New York infantry.
PRAYER OF FAITH.
God is my help in every need:
God does my every hunger feed.
God walks beside me. guides my way
Through every moment OF the day.
i now am wise, ! now am true,
Patient, kind and loving. too.
All things I am, can do and be,
Through Christ, the Truth. that is In
me.
God is my health, I can't be sick:
God is my strength. unfailing, quick;
God is my All, know no fear.
Since God and Love and Truth are
here.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22
Building Continues
To Pile Up Big Gain
Over Preceding Year

city for April. 1920. Is ,ee0.sOo as COM
pared 10 S7s4y 900 for March, toso'ooo
for FsDruars and 100000 i0'
January IL.
The average valuation OF permits
per city for April. 1919. was only
,407, $50, and yet In April. 1918, inc
FIRST signs OF 19le's great acuHily
were apparent. The average value Oh
April permits per city for the years
1914 to 1918. inclusive. Is $ol'sIo'
Activity Far Und~r Normal.
This shows that despite the hlgh
valuation figures for April, 1920 that
really the actual volume OF operation
is far under normal. The average
valuation per city for April lszV'
would have to be over twice this aver
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

Continuance OF activity Is mani
fest In building statistics for April.
building permits from 200 important
cities exceed March permits from 203
cities by over 10000. 900 or by 20 per
cent. March was far from being a
tagging month, and showed a marked
Increase over February. Returns for
the first four months OF 1920 are as
follows:
The Washington times., 1920-05-22
Tuesday, May rs.
Presbyterian
CHURCH or THE COVENANT.

INV. CHARLES WOOD, y. -. Minister
REV. HOWARD u. TALBOT, Assistant
SUNDAY. MAY "a, 1920
s;so-sunday school, with mems and
women's CLASSES.
l ,oO-Morning service, Rev. Howard D.
Talbot will nreach.
g,5o-FIftIeth Insplrational Service. "A.
dress by Dr. james 4. Dale, OF
Korea. Special sololst, Mary Bets
ser contralto, -Four anthems by
the solo double quartet, A service
Of sacred song
el5-Christian Endeavor supper.
G;ib-Christinn EndeaNor Nesper service
s.oo-FVenIng service, Sermon by Rev
Howard D. Talbot. subject, Chris.
tian Certainty" Special sploist
Nathaniel n. chase, viollnlst Even.
ing choir Of 1875 voices sydney
Lloyd wrizhtson, diroctnr 81 music
Harvey Murray orrsnlst; Claude
Roberon, pianist,
THURSDAY, NAV "a iSse
s:OO-Mldweek prayer service, All vel
come
The Washington times., 1920-05-22
Happenings in the Realty Market

HOMES Of unique design nearing completion at Fifteenth
and Webster streets for Shannon Luchs Architect
Arthur B. Heaton has incorporated many out OF the
ordinary features In these charming houses.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22
Clio to Church. Il tomorrow
the He hath chosen
for His ownm heiance."-Psalm xxxhi: H.

r.. Sherwood. member of Congress. at
the evening service In Calvary Meth
odist Episcopal Church tomorrow.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

The TImcs wants 20 40 ~, IN it-
power 90 s'd IN the .phui'ains ef
the wsrhinste~ churches and to
yiter pastors and people Z" trN"r
ID WITH news ite~s Of their re-
sp~eti,e a~lds Of erSes,or.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

In honor of comrades who have
died during the past twelve months
| members OF Lincoln Post. No. ..
Grand Army OF the Republic, will
hold their annual memorial service In
Hamline NJ Il. Church tomorrow
evening at s o'clock. The Rev. Ham
ilton Fox, pastor, will preach the
| sermon.
The opening number on the pro-
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

pective members. and on Thursday
the pastors OF many churches will
make an appeal for membership in
the association as a means OF giving
moral and financial support to the
extension OF young peoples Christian
work at home and abroad.
A round table conference will be
held on Friday evening at Vermont
Avenue Christian Church, at which
representatives of the various
churches will report and plan future
activities.
The officers OF the local alumni
association are as follows: President,
Percy S. Foster: vice president,
Horace NJ. Gilman: secretary. Rex
ford l.. Holmes; treasurer, Rev. Earl
Taggart.
Rev f. Lee Howard. d. d., OF Far
go, n. D., will preach tomorrow at IL
a. m. at the Cleveland Park Congre-
gational Church.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22
saa, CHURCH DIRECTORY TX
q.Ngk Special Sunday Services
Christian Science
Christian Science

Christian Science
The Following Churches Of Christ,
Scientist, of Washington Are:
Branches Of The Mother Church, The
First Church of Christ. Scientist, In
Boston.
First Church
Columbia road and Euclid st.
Second Church
N. e. Masonic Temple. sth and n. u
Third Church
Masonic Temple. 18th and N. Y. ava
Fourth Church
The Arcade. l4th and Park I'd.
Subj ccts: "socL AND BODY"
SERVICES;
Sunday. II A. N. and p. NJ.
sY rpNnsS sGEoo oLvIIs 4 M Mrrr,,c,
8 o'clock.
READING ROOMS;
/ Colorado Bldg. 18th and O SITS. Hours.
. to Q WED, Q TO 9, and Sun. and
holidays. $3.50 to $500,
1856 Columbia I'd. n. W. Hours. 10
tos texespt Wed eve. Sundays and
holidays).
| ils East Capitol 81. Hours, Ie TO 0 week
days Except holidsys). also 1850 to
$3.50 Sundays
| The Arcade. 18th and Park I'd. Csecond
| hoor), 10 to b:3o week days. also to
. y. IN. Except wednesdsysJ.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

Members O.. the mems Bible Glass OF
the Sunday school will be In charge
OF the service.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22
CHRIST CHURCH,
A. D. l795-192O.

REV. WILLIAM CURTIS WHITE, Rector
REV. HENRY ALLEN GRIFFITH,
vicar Of st. Matthews Chapel,
Half and NJ SITS.
REV. ARTHUR SHAFT JOHNS,
Rector Emeritus.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

The Rev. Henry Couden. the blind
chaplain OF the House OF Representa-
tives, will deliver the sermon at TIE
morning service of the Roosevelt
Church in the assembly hall OF Ward =
man Park Hotel tomorrow at IL
o'clock.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22
Whitsmday, May %,

One hundred and twenty-nfth anntver-
sRry OF the organisation OF the parish.
TAO a. M. holy communion; IL a. m,
morning prayer and holy communion. with
sermon on "Our Future p. M, evening
prayer and historical address
Tuesday, May rs.
Sd M historical pageant and reception
for past and present members.
Heights cars.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

ing. AT night Dr. brlRBs VIII AZ
minister the ordinance OF baptism
and preach on THE Thankfulness of
Jesus"
Archbishop Bonzano, apostolic dele
gate to the United States, will visit
Holy Rosary Church tomorrow after
noon at 3 o'clock to administer the
| sacrament OF confirmation to a class
numbering over 200. according to an
nouncement today by Rev. n. De Car
10. the pastor. The occasion will mark
the first visit of the archbishop to the
parish.
Special preparations have been
| made for the observance OF the day by
various organizations of the parish.
The boys band will give a concert in
| the evening on the lawn of the church.
| In the morning at o o'clock a class
OF seventy-five children will receive
their first communion, the mass being
celebrated by Mgr. Aluigi Cossio, aud
itor Of the apostolic delegation. The
children have been prepared for the
service bye the Notre Dame Sisters OF
Trinity College.
| Miss Ada Rainey will be the speak
er at the service of the New Thought
Association in Rauscher's, Connect
| cut avenue, tomorrow at IL o'clock.
Her topic will be The Bluebird's Sc
cret."
Special musical programs have been
arranged for morning and evening
services in North Carolina Avenue
Methodist Protestant Church tomor-
row. In the morning the pastor. Rev.
J. Franklin Bryan, will preach on
The Invulnerable Christian" while in
Nuil ha
| Are Our Dead"
At Foundry Church DR.. II. F. Ran
dolph will preach at IL a m. on
"Christ's Appearance to Perplexity"
and at s p. m, his subject will be
THE Enigma OF an Evolutionist," the
| fourth in the series OF evening SER
mons on "Puzzling Questions" Foun-
dry Quartet and Prof. Anton Kaspar
Will render a special musical service,
| Philander p. Claxton, United States
Commissioner of Education, will ad-
dress Calvary Methodist Episcopal
Mems Bible Class tomorrow at $50
o'clock.
How We CaH Stiffen Our Rsptisi
| Backbone" will be the general subject
| IF a new series of sermons Pastor T..
| Iez SVEN plans to deliver In Centen-
aial Baptist Church tomorrow and sue
| cessive Sundays, according to an.
nouncement today. At the service to-
morrow evening a number of persons
vii be baptized.
Tho Washington College OF Music
will give junior students concert
under the auspices OF the Mems Bible
class at calvary Methodist Episcopal
Church, Monday e"on'rg, at s o'clock
Unity School OF christianity, Kan.
sas City Mo-, Ia represented In wash
ngton this week by Mrs. Viva NJ
\ January, one Of it's teachers and lee
turers who will speak at the Church
OF Life and JOY, 1919 N street north
west tomorrow morning and evening
At Ills a. m. the subject will be
samuel" and at s:ih p. m. The stor'
| OF Esther" will be discussed with psy.
biological Interpretation,
| The Heroic Literature OF the Civi
lwar" will be the topic OF Cen Isaac
The Washington times., 1920-05-22
Episcopal

THE NATIvITy-lIth and A. Sta s. e.
f:30, 10, IL. s.
The Resurrection, 6 q. m. and up. m.
All commandments must try to make a
good communion on whitsunday. Confir-
nation CLASSES, 6 or 1870 a. m.
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

Deep Sea Fishing" will be the sub
ject of DR.. John f. Briggs at thu
Fifth Baptist Church Sunday morn
ing. At night DR.. Briggs will ad
minister the ordinance OF baptism
and preach on THE Thankfulness o
Jesus"
The Washington times., 1920-05-22

The Heroic Literature Of the Clvi
war" will be the topic of Cen Isaac
The Denison review. [volume] (Denison, Iowa) 1867-current, 1920-05-05

& = Z 49,. La. .fi
at 12:So, the Rev Burleigh. Of q, Dun,
lap conducted the services. The re-
mains were taken to Ute for burial,
and laid beside his mother and broth
er. The family have the sympathy
Of the entire community in their scr.
row. ~. ~. II.
Mrs, Hird, of Manila, was the
guest of Miss Martha aird Monday. "
Miss Mildred PETER and Ira Lee
We're quietly married Saturday even
sings at the home Of the brides brother.
Walter PETER The Rev. Burleigh, OF
Dunlap. officiating, The families Of
2thes contracting parties and close
friends being present. The bride is
the; youngest daughter of Al M. PEI
fer, and is al ~ Dung lady Of pleasing
personality, Mildred has grown to
young womanhood in this locality. She
attended our public school until a
year ago. Ira is the youngest son of
Mr.. and Mrs:EN. Lee, and he like his
bride has spent most of his life in
Arion. He was one of our boys to
go across when France called to us
for aid. Ira spent about. u year over
seas, receiving an honorable discharge
last fall These two young people
have agright future before them. They
will reside in Arion where they have
already a little home prepared. Their
many friends wish them joy and pros.
perity in their journey through life.
Rev. Durand has accepted call to
the Arion church, he will move here
as soon as a suitable house can be