The New York herald. [volume] (New York, N.Y.) 1920-1924, 1920-10-18

st. Louis, conservative estimates fixed
the likely Republican margin at between
40. 900 and $4,000, which the Democrats
will be unlikely to overcome in other
sections of the State. The Democrats,
on the other hand, have not given up
hope. and there are some who believe
Gov. Cox has a chance OF slipping
through with a plurality of 10000.
Illinois G. o. r. solid.
The Lowden-Thompson fight in uli-
nois, which the Democrats had hoped
would split the Republicans to such an
extent as to insure q Democratic VIC
tory. is not having that effect. The
Republicans, while engaged in bitter
controversy over the State ticket. are
almost solid for the Republican national
ticket. There was a marked difference
in the tone OF Gov. Cox's receptions In
Illinois when compared with those in
Indiana, where the Republican victory
will not be 90 decisive.
Indiana, from the Democratic point OF
view, is highly organized. through the
efforts of Thomas Taggart in his race
for Senator. The Democrats in Indiana
have been spending large sums OF
money and are putting up one OF the
hottest State fights in the country. Tag
CART, beyond a doubt. will run ahead Of
his ticket, but the conservative opinion
Is that he will not be elected. The inn
preston prevails among those who have
been making an impartial study of sem
timent throughout the State that Indiana
will go Republican by about $4,000.
Much the same condition applies In
Ohio, where there is intense bitterness
in the contest between the followers of
Senator Harding and Gov. Cox. both
leading State figures for ten years or
moro. Around Columbus and Cleveland
the betting is even money that Senator
Harding will carry the State by not less
than 100000. Republican State workers
will take you off in corner and tell you
II is a sure thing that Senator Har-
ding will carry the State by 100000 +;
that It will be nearer 10000. The
Democrats are not fixing figures. but say
when the votes are counted Gov. Cox
will win. They are depending much on
the organization established by the
Democratic nominee during his three
terms as State Executive.
Gov. Coxs intense campaigning in
Ohio and Indiana is helping him. Even
the Republicans admit there has been
something Of 2 shift in sentiment within
the last ten days, but they insist that
their margin is so large that they can
afford to lose votes in reasonable num-
bers without endangering the Harding
Coolidge ticket.
This Democratic improvement which
generally is apparent although not spec
tacular, is due unquestionably to in
creased Democratic activity. Up to ten
days or two weeks ago, the Democrats
were doing virtually nothing in the way
of campaigning. so that the appearance
Of raft of their speakers in Ohio and
Indiana has created an impression.
Furthermore, the change in Cox. Cox's
tactics. the dropping of such fiy-by-night
issues as the "slush fund" and the sub
stitution of the League OF Nations as
paramount has had its effect. AS the
campaign is drawing to a close in adj
dition. the party lines are being drawn
more tightly and local campaigns in
doubtful counties are being waged with
more diligence.
The biggest thing the Republicans
have TO fight in Ohio and Indiana is too
much cocksureness on the part of the
Republican workers Confident that the