Evening public ledger. [volume] (Philadelphia [Pa.]) 1914-1942, 1920-11-02
Vote PREDICTIONS ].
GUESSES This YEAR
Political Situation In Many
States Complicated by
New Factors
WOMAN VOTE UNCERTAIN

litical sentiment are taking cognizance
Of factors and cross currents that are
involved for the first time in presi-
Dental campaign and are showing a
disposition to be more guarded in their
conclusions.
Among the factors that have to be
taken into account this year Is the vote
If the women. Not even the most as
ute and experienced Of the old-time
politicians have been able to ascertain
how the bulk Of this vote will be cast,
although attempts without number have
been made. Labor troubles In sew
eral states have further complicated
the situation, and bitter fights over
United States senatorships in at least
half dozen commonwealths have added
to the uncertainty.
Below is a summary Of conditions in
several states, compiled from reports
Of newspaper correspondents who have
been able to study the situation at close
range: ir.
Vest Virginia
Labor troubles during the last twelve
months have complicated the situation
in this mining state and will result In
heavy Socialist vote, which will be
drawn from both the old parties. The
Republicans are predicting that the
Democrats will suffer more heavily than
they, and that the defections from the
latter party will be enough to give the
state to Harding. The result is rem
dered still more uncertain by the fact
that three candidates for governor are
in the field.
New Hampshire
Democratic hopes Of victory in the
Granite State were revived by the Bit
ter fight that was waged against Sena-
tor Moses, another "bitter ender' and
nnti- -suffragist. who sought reelection
on the Republican ticket. Another fac
tor, the influence OF which cannot be
determined until the vote is counted,
was the declaration of Frank Musgrove.
editor of the Hanover Gazette, and Mrs.
Winston Churchill that they will vote
for Governor Cox on the league issue.
Illinois
One Of the bitterest fights of the pres
ent campaign has been waged between
the Lowden and the Thompson faction
in the Republican party for control Of
the state, but 1t Is not believed that
the conflict has endangered the success
of the party ticket. A great number Of
Republicans, 1t Is predicted, will refuse
to vote for Len Small, the Republican
candidate for governor. and cast their
ballots for James Hamilton Lewis, the
Democratic nominee.
Wisconsin
A triangular contest for the United
States senatorship is the outstanding
feature of the campaign in Wisconsin
this year. The candidates are Senator
Lenroot. Republican, who is seeking re-
election as regular; James Thomson,
Of La Crosse, who is being backed by
Senator La Toilette and his faction,
and Paul S. Reinsch, Democrat. The
state is regarded by observers as safe
for Harding, with plurality large
enough to carry Senator Lenroot
through. The election of Victor Ber :
congressional district Is regarded as
probable.
California
The situation in California has been
complicated by the fight that was made
against japanese ownership of land,
which was led by Senator Phelan, who
sought election on the Democratic
ticket. Reports from several cities in
the state are to the effect that the
Democrats were trading Cox votes for
support Of Phelan. On the presidential
ticket the state Is regarded as safe for
Harding.
Connecticut
Interest in the national ticket has
been overshadowed to considerable ex =
tent by the fight that was made on
Senator Brandegee, one Of the "bitter
enders' In the Senate when the peace
treaty was before that body, and also
beiause Of his long opposition to woman
suffrage. Nonpartisan observers predict
that the votes Of the women will be cast
against him to a large. extent, and that
they may be able to defeat him,
Utah
Opposition to Senator Smoot, whose
stand against the League OF Nations
was displeasing to the members of the
Mormon Church, has put that state In
the doubtful column, In the opinion OF
conservative o'sefVers'
M.rvyand
~ NJ
Ihe race issue was revived 70 con :
slderaoie extent IN MaryIand, especially
women are casting their ballots for the
first time; Inc ne nepupiicans' ,ii however
are comment tney VIII carry the state.
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