Evening journal., 1920-10-16
ODDS FAVOR HARDING.

DELAWARE Republicans viii be delighted to know
~ that taking the electoral vote OF 1916 as basis
from which to make computation, political stststcians
have no dlnculty whatever in ngurng out certain
Republican victory 1920 No believes that Cox can
come anywhere near polling the vote that poled
by President Wilson in 1915. In that year President
Wilson not only had the advantage OF solid Democratic
party. with the support-the hearty supporter all
prominent members his party but he had the advan
tage Of that deceptive He kept us out OF war; Cox
scks the support Of Bryan and many other influential
Democrats Wilson's administration mp TO 1916 had not
developed its record OF extravaganza and nelciency
had not fully exposed It's catering to the Boshevik ee
ments in the American population Because Of the strong
appeal OF the slogan, "ie kept out of war and be-
cause Of the prosperity which the United States
wse then enioyins. Wilson able to win but he
by the margin OF % electoral votes out OF
a total OF 53i.
In 1912 Wilson had won by plurality OF 3i7 electoral
votes Taft zoos by i59; Roosevelt in i9Oi by i96;
Mckinley in 1900 by igI; and Mckinley in 1896 by %
electoral votes. Wilson's plurality in 1916 the small
est given any successful candidate since the Civil War
swing Of only dozen electoral votes from the Demo-
cratic to the Republican column wbe sufficient to turn
the election TO ne Republican nominees.
IT is not conended that Cox carry any state that
Wilson failed to carry 1915 1t is not contended that
he can carry any state by larger poallar vote than
Wilson carried in 1916 on the other hand It ts gener
ally conceded that Cox is far less popular in 1920 than
Wilson was 1916
An examination OF the returns shows that California
for example was carried by President Wilson by pur
atty Of less than 1000 1000 votes that cast for
Wilson in California in 1916 shoulf swing the Repub-
lican ticket in 1920 that would be enough 10 turn Cali
fonia's electoral vote TO the Republican candidates
which would 3 electoral votes taken away from
the Democratic column added TO the Republican coll
umna chsnre or PC In the plurality with all Repubi-
factions California united in support OF the Re-
publican ticket there would 10 be possibility OF
failure 10 change far than 1900 votes from The
Democratic TO me Republican candidates in the io2C
election
Among other normally Republican States which went
TO President Wilson In 1916 Kansas New Hampshire
North Dakota Ohio. Utah, Washington and Wyoming
having total OF 81 electoral votes II the Repubil ar
candidates should dozen out Of these 81 and still
California tho changes would be sufficient 90 give
HE Republican ticket The victory.
6ui there arc other states not normally RepubcsI
which are counted on as possible Republican acquisition
this year Among these are Kentucky. with i3 votes
Tennessee with is votes and Missouri with IS votes
With absolutely no chance Of winning any stale lha
was carried by the Republicans in 1916 and with TN
practical certainty OF losing California and the stron
assurance OF losing number Of the other states abov
mentioned which were carried by Wilson in 1916 polit
cal leaders figure that unless some amazing poliiioa
coup should be pulled on between and election day
the success OF the Republican ticket by margin Of no
less than $50 plurality in the electoral college is certain
FAR larger plurality is expected.