Milford chronicle., 1920-10-08
SEE l64 VOTES
FOR DEMOCRATS
HARDING WILL Be ELECTED BY LAND
SLIDE, G. O. P. LEADERS CONTEND.
COX MANAGERS ALSO HOPEFUL.

CUA mANA6EkS ALSU hUPEfUL.
Statistics compiled carefully by
those at Democratic and Republican
headquarters Immediately in touch
with the Presidential race in all States
have led to their respective conclus-
ions as follows:
DEMOCRATIC-We will win much
as we won in 1916, by the votes of
labor and the women in the indie
pendent West, and our majority will
be from 5 to Is votes in the Elec-
toral College.
REPUBLICAN Outside the old
Confederacy, no one can name FIVE
States of which the Republicans will
not carry at least two or three out
of the five. 1t will be a Republican
landslide, with a majority of from
$50 to IT'S in the Electoral College.
In arriving at their respective con-
clusions each side at the outset con-
cedes certain States to the other,
with reservations allowing for the
unexpected. The Republicans admit
little doubt of Cox pluralities in vir-
tually the solid South, includinA' Ari-
zona and Oklahoma, a tOtai of l39
votes in the Electoral College. They
further admit better than a fighting
chance for the Democrats in Mon
tana, Nevada and Mossouri, an added
25 electoral votes and a grand total
of 164.
With the same reservations the
Democrats concede remote likelihood
of Harding's defeat in Delaware, Illi-
nois, Kansas, Iowa, Maine, Massa-
ehusetts, Michigan, New Hampshire,
New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Rhode Is
land, Vermont and Wisconsin, a total
Of 172 electoral votes. They further
admit better than fighting chance
for the Republicans in California,
Connecticut, New Mexico, Nebraska
and New York, an added 76 electoral
votes and a grand total of 24S.
1t will require 266 votes in the
Electoral College to win. Based on
the private concessions by leaders on
both sides and going on the basis
that their prophecies will be fulfilled,
the 119 electoral votes upon which
the election would then seem to turn
are those in Colorado, Idaho, Indiana,
Kentucky, Maryland, Minnesota, the
Dakotas, Ohio. Oregon, Utah, Wash |
ington, West Virginia, and Wyoming. |
OF these States, Colorado has gone
Democratic in the last three out OF
four of the Presidential elections; Id /
aho has gone Democratic in the last
two, being Republican in the previous |
two: Indiana went Democratic in 19l2
but Republican in 1894, 1908 and 1916.
Kentucky was Democratic in all four
of the last Presidential elections;
MARYLAND also has been consistently
Democratic; Minnesota was for Roose-
veIt in 1912, but regular Republican
before and since; North Dakota was
Democratic in the last two Presiden-
tial elections, but South Dakota was
Republican in all four; Ohio went
Democratic in 1912 and 1916. but Re
publican in the two previous Preslden-
tial elections: Oregon, Utah and Wash
ington have gone three times Repub-
lican and once Democratic out OF the
four elections, while Wyoming went
Democratic in 1916 and 1912 only.
This year, however, local conditions
play a very important part in most Oh
these States. The Democrats are ex-
pecting the labor influence, which will
be exerted on a large scale for Cox
within the next few weeks, to carry
them over in Colorado, Indiana, Ohio,
West Virginia and Wyoming. They
consider the situation from their
standpoint as excellent in all of these
States. Utah, strongly Democratic in
recent wears, they expect to remain in
their column on the League issue. In
Kentucky they admit a doubtful sit
nation as regards the Senatorial race, !
with Senator Beckhan running for
reelection as a dry, but believing the
State will certainly go for Cox. A :
similar situation exists as regards the
Senatorial situation in Maryland, but
he Democrats are confident the State
will be Democratic, as usal. Minneso- !
"a, they believe, is merely a better :
chance than California, and in the
Oakotas and far Western States they
ire counting on lack of sympathy I
or Harding to win for Cox.
To win. the Democrats must get [
O2 Of the 119 electoral votes in these
states in the private conclusions OF .
eaders on what the Republicans can l
vim are fulfilled. q
On the other hand, the Republicans,
lRder like conditions, would have to j
vim but IS of the electoral votes out e
# the RIG involved in the contested Il
states to gain their victory. And Re
publican leaders profess absolutely no n
Ioubt about winning in any of them, l
With the exception of Indiana, Ohio, d
Jtah and Wyoming. In these States, a
/ is conceded, the situation is horse l
ace. Much in Indiana depends upon )
he Senatorial fight between Thomas
'aggart and Senator Watson. Taggart
as been very confident or the result, n
wing to disaffection in the Republi- tC
an organization. Senator New, how o.
yer, has just notified Republican Il
here that the situation is "
realty improving every day from the Il
Watson standpoint.