The New York herald., 1920-01-04
PREDICTS FALL Or
REDS IN RUSSIA
THEN MONARCHY
Dutch Diplomatist Declares
Slav People Are Not Ready
for Republic.

Predicting the downfall OF Bolshevism
in Russia by next summer. followed for
short time by a republic and then a
liberal monarchy, with the Grand Duke
Nicholas as ruler, Captain Gustave ].
Van Lennep recently returned from a
four months trip through South Russia
and the Near East in the interests of the
Shipping Board.
Captain Van Lennep is q native of Hol-
land and for many years was in the
Dutch diplomatic corps. representing The
Hague at Constantinople. and Is we'll
known in diplomatic circles in Washing
ton. He has given much study to Rus
sian and Near Eastern questions. During
the war he aided the Allies by serving as
captain OF engineers in the American
army
People over there are interested to hear
Of the effects of Bolshevism In the United
States" he said. 'One of the loyal Rus
SLAMS told me:-'The great trouble is that
people abroad do not believe all that is
said and written about Boshevism, and
that one cannot ask those who profess
it to come out here and see for them
selves. II they could come over there
would be no more Bolshevism in their
minds The Bolshevists, after the first
thirst for blood and plunder, are getting
tired Of 1t and are only looking for n COM
promise or an escape.
This Trotzky knows. and when the
news of the decision OF the Allies and
America to help the loyal Russians with
ammunition reached him, he is said to
have told one of his intimates:-'The game
is lost. Pretty soon I will have to quit.
But when I will have to go out the slam
II will give to the door closing behind me
will make the entire world trembie with
terror
Bolsheyisn Vanishing.
"Bolshevisrn Is vanishing every day.
Those murderers. like the biehwaymen
who finally found 1t necessary to elect
supreme court to assign TO each his booty,
have come to realize that a country can
not be run without justice. On the other
hand those OF the leaders who have
Iamassed money out OF Bolshevism are
coming to understand that to live up to
their socialistic principles they will have
either to share their booty or leave the
lcountry. Most OF them are trying TO
quit.
with the evolution of Bolshevism par
ties have been born within its ranks. II
has dawned upon the native Russians that
all control is in the hands Of the Jews,
who have always been hated In Russia.
Jews are accused Of buying protection for
their properties and helping Bolshevism
to the extent that. even in countries oc-
!cupied by loyal Russians, every time there
has been drive Jewish property has been
protected. It is no secret in Russia. even
among the Jews, that when Bolshevism
viii be done with the world will see the
worst persecution, IL not rnassacres. OF
Jews that have even been known IN that
part OF the world
! Regarding what Is going to be the
next form of government in new Russia
when Bolshevism is done with. no one
over there dares express his opinion. al
though there is only one answer in the
minds of all these who have real under
standing of the needs and conditions in
that part OF the world.
Not Ready for Republic.
'The Russian people ar not yet ready
| for a republic. For an ed 'ated people a
republic has and always u be the only
free form of government, but for a country
in which for the great masses education
has been for generations the last worry. a
republican form OF government is prema-
ture and could eventually lead only to
advanced socialism.
! ITO satisfy the feeling of the world at
large and gain its sympathy and protec-
| ton when Bolshevism is gone, a republ-
can government will be adopted. but the
ultimate form OF government for at leas,
a few generations that will bring Russia
again to life will be a liberal monarchy.
The Grand Duke Nicholas is just now
living in retirement in the south OF Crimea
with the respect and confidence of all. and
undoubtedly will some day be brought
| forth again to the attention of the world ."
| Captain Van Lennep expressed the opin-
ion that the "all Russian leaders. Koi-
chak and Denikine. are real patriots who
have been hampered in their efforts by the
I lack OF worthwhile military and civilian
leaders under them. 1t has so happened
that the only officers they nave considered
! OF sufficient qualifications were formerly
supporters of the Tsarist regime. and that
fact has worked against the "all Russian
government In the eyes OF the mob. Judi
cious propaganda could overcome that,
however. Captain Van Lennep declared.
/ He related q sidelight that might provide
ammunition for the prohibition forces in
this country-or against them In the Boil
shevist army man gets shot if found
| intoxicated. he said whereas in the all
Russian army prohibition is only nominal
and vodka is plentiful
Trade at StsndstiII.
Worn out by the years of war and the
ravageS or the Bolshevists, the great Rus
sian masses have lost power of resistance,
and are supinely waiting for divine Provi-
dence to point the way out" Captain Van
Lennep said. Everywhere there seems
TO be the feeling that God alone can help
them out OF the situation, and with a won
derfui faith they are waiting for Him 10
do II. As an instance. have seen desti-
tutes in tho city streets sit down on the
curbstone and fall in contemplatiye
prayer. thanking God for the piece Of
bread and the few sunflower seeds that
they had just somewhere received. This
meagre lunch eaten, they thank God again
and pass on"
| Only in the cities, however, is there dis
tress OF this sort. the captain said. and
that Is due to complete breakdown OF the
country's rail and animal means of trans
portation. In the rural districts the peas
ants have three times as much wheat az
they could ever use in n season, and wool
is more plentiful and cheaper than cot
ton. Wholesome bread costs only two
cents a pound. American money. and there
is an average OF sixty-five pounds Of wool
per capita.
Trade. however. IS at standtsill through
the low value OF the ruble. lack OF trans
portation and the practical impossibility OF
obtaining foreign credit Captain Van
Lennep had eome amusing experiences
with the paper money with which the
country is flooded. So much Of 1t Is ia
circulation. he said. that the people no
longer bother TO distinguish the genuine
Z h,,s all