The Washington times., 1920-08-14
SEES RED FALL .
IN SIX MONTHS
American Note will Do Much to
Hasten Soviet's Defeat,
7. Francis Asserts.
By WILLIAM PHILIP sIMMs.
international News Service.

/ international News Service.
There will be no world war against
Soviet Russia France. England
( Italy and the United States will not
take up arms against the Russians
unless forced to do so in self-defense'
and they will not be forced. Instead.
the Russian people themselves VIII
\ solve their own problem, probably
within the next six months. by inc
overthrowing of the Bolshevists.
This prediction was made by United
States Ambassador David r. Francis
in an interview granted the Interna-
tional News Service today following a
long conference with Secretary Tum-
ulty at the White House and Secre-
tary of State Colby. Ambassador
Francis left Russia in March. 1918.
but, technically, Is still accredited.
Though he serves without pay, he Is
subject to orders from the State De-
partment, and 10 regarded as an ex-
pert on Russian affairs.
"Not more than 10 per cent OF the
people of Russia are Bolshevists at
heart, the ambassador stated. "That
being the case, Bolshevist rule over
Russia cannot last long. The Ameri-
can note on the Polish situation will
help lot. 1t will f1nd it's way into
Russia, you may rest assured, through
Gen. Baron Wrangle, in control of
the southern part of the country
around the Crimea, through Russians
/ In other parts of Europe and in other
ways.
GENERAL WAR REMOTE.
IT do not forese a general war be-
tween the allies and the Bolshevists."
Diplomatists here apparently are of
the same opinion as Ambassador
Francis. The weakness and de-
moralization of the adversary, rather
than the strength and organization
of the reds, is given here as the ex-
planation of the success of the Rus
sian drive on Warsaw. And though
officials here believe the Bolshevists
may make a final desperate effort to
occupy and hold Warsaw as a trad
! ing proposition at the Minsk confer
ence scheduled to begin at once. they
do not look for q continuation of hos
}tilities much beyond that, unless Ger
many and Hungary. for purposes of
their own. openly or secretly lend aid
to the reds.
A number Of reasons are cited here
why nothing short of a direct menace
to the countries concerned could
bring on another general European
war. Some Of them follow:
Frances population is opposed to
war against Russia. The anti-war
faction is strong enough to be over
whelming, safe in the event France
herself is directly threatened.
2-England's hands are tied by la
Dor and othef anti-militarists, and
there is the opposition of a vast ma
jority of ex-soldiers, who saw all they
wanted of war in the four-and-a-half
year bout with Germany.
3-Italy Is in far less mood than
England or France to fight Russia,
with whose people she has many SYM
pathizers. She has neither the money,
the men nor the will.
4-The Bulgarians are Slavs in
sentiment, as are the Jugo-Slavs and
the Czechs. They would not fight
Russia.
5-Roumania, run over and tram
pied down during the world war, is
not only indisposed to go to war
again, but is not in a position to do
so. She lacks both the spirit and the
means.
6-Germany might make successful
war against the Bolshevists. but be-
fore she fired a shot she would have
TO strike a trade with the allies and
her terms would be a complete revis-
ion Of the treaty of Versailles.
Hungary is antagonistic toward
the Slavs and might fight. But like
Germany she would demand revision
of the treaty. The allies regard this
as impossible.
U. 8. OPPOSES IDEA.
S-The United States, it has been
semi Officially stated, does not con-
template sending troops against Rus
sia and public opinion, 1T Is under
stood here. is hostile to the idea.
9-The Greeks might not be entire
ly opposed to a general war with Rus
sia, and in such an event, 1t is under
stood, would probably occupy Con-
stantnople. Owing to her operations
against Kemal Pasha, however, she
could not be counted upon for much
else.
To these nine reasons observes here
add tenth--that Russia herself is on
her last legs and is incapable Of wag-
ing an offensive war against an or
ganized army.