The Washington times., 1920-07-18

What will be the outcome OF the
consultation is the question on the
lips of every politician of both par
ties. The effect OF the meeting on
harmony within the party, it is gen
orally agreed. will determine whether
the Democratic ticket is to have
real chance of victory in November
Without the full support OF the VIII
son wing of the party there is no
doubt that Cox's chances for victory
would be materially lessensd.
Before the conference, Republicans
declared with an air OF supreme con
fidence that a split between the Preki-
dent and Governor Cox was inevita-
BILE. Should Cox surrender to the
Presidents views on the league, II
would be "all over hut the shouting"
The country, according to Republican
opinion, will not support any candi-
date who stands for the league as
the President wants it ratified.
CLAIM NO DIFFERENCE.
Democratic leaders from the outset
secuted the idea of a split. All such
talk. they declared vehemently. was
Republican propaganda. There IL no
real difference in the views of the
President and Governor Cox on the
league issue. administration spokes-
men repeatedly assert
Rooscvelt's presence at the confer
ence was looked upon by those Demo-
Gratis who had any misgivings as to
what might possibly happen as a
happy medium in composing any
slight divergence of opinion that may
arise.
PROSPECTS BRIGHT.
During the. past week Democratic
leaders, returning from San Fran
cisco, have become more specific in
their talk of campaign plans and
prospects. An estimate Of the situ-
alton comes from a Democratic source
in sufficiently close touch with the
party leaders to give it great weight
According to this view, Democratic
prospects are bright to the point OF
shining. Here is how they figure it
out:
Counting only on the Solid South
carried by Alton b. Parker in 1901
the poorest showing n Democratic
candidate has made in three decades
and two other States-Oklah
and Missouri. which have been in
the Democratic column since then, and
the Democrats have to carry only four
out of five pivotal States to clinch
the election.
CnanSe mas Deen meue since laSl
week in the list of five pivotal States.
California is placed in the list in
stead of Illinois. The Democrats will
not admit they have given up hope
OF carrying Illinois, but they declare
the chances of carrying California are
much brighter. The other four pivotal
States are those mentioned in these
dispatches last week--New York, New
Jersey, Ohio, and Indiana.
I47 ELECTORAL VOTES.
The electoral vote of the States in
the Solid South carried by Parker ag-
gregated 14O. These same States now
have 1t7 electoral votes. Oklahoma,
which has been Democratic in all OF
the three Presidential elections since
she became State, and which is now
counted on as certainly Democratic,
has ten electoral votes. Missouri,
which went Democratic in 1912 and
1915, and is now counted safe by
Democratic leaders, although this
claim is contested by the Republicans
has eighteen electoral votes. These
two States, in addition to the Solid
South, would give the Democrats 1T5
electoral votes.
The Democratic plan then contem-
plates the winning OF New York and
Ohio. which would swell the total TO
22i. Either two OF the other three
pivotal States--New Jersey, Indiana,
and California--then would give the
Democrats five or six more than
enough electoral votes TO win, accord
ing to which two OF the three States
were won.
The Republicans. however. in nddi-
tion to making strong claims for Mis-
souri, this year, figure that condi-
tions are ripe to swing Kentucky
back into their column, and are count.
ing Maryland Ms doubtful.
Democratic hopes Of carrying the
FIVE pivotal states are based on this
general line OF reasoning;
New York-This Is the FIRST time in
years that Temmany has been en-
Enthusiastically pleased with both can