Evening journal., 1920-09-28
SEE l64 VOTES
FOR DEMOCRATS
Harding Will Be Elected BY
Landslide, G. O. P. Lead
ers Contend
COX MANAGERS
ALSO HOPEFUL

NEW YORK, Sept. 2s.-statiscics,
compiled carefully by those at Dem
ocraac and Republican headquarters
Immediately in touch with the
Presidential race in all States have
led to their respective conclusions
as follows:
DEMOCRATIC-We viii win. much
as We won in 1916, by the votes OF
labor and the women in the indie
pendent West. and our majority viii
be from 5 to IS votes in the Elec-
toral College.
REPUBLICAN-Outslde the Old
Coniederacy, no one can name five
States of which the Republicans will
not carry at least two or three ous
or The five. IL will be a Republican
landslide. with a majority of from
lou TO 10 In the Electoral College.
In arriving at their respective con-,
cIusion each side al the outset con-
cedes certain States 10 the oher.
viii reservations allowing for the
unexpected The Republicans admit,
niue doubt OF Cox pluralties IN
virtually the solid South. including
Arizona and Oklahoma. total Of 1879
| votes in the Electoral College They
iuriher admit better than a lighting
chance. for the Democrats in Mon
| lana, Nevada and Missouri an added
p electoral votes and a grand total ,
With the same reservations the
Democrats concede remote likelihood
OF Hardlng's defeat in Delaware.
Illinois, Kansas. Iowa, Milne. Mas
sashusetis, Michigan, Now Hamp-
shire, New Jersey, PENNSYLVANIA.
| Rhode Island, Vermont and Wiscon-
sin total Of i72 electoral votes.
They further admit better than a
aghng chance for the Republicans in
California, Connecticut New Mexico.
Electoral votes and a grand total OF
It will require 266 votes in the
/ Electoral College 10 win. Based on
the private concessions by leaders on
both sides and going on the basis
that their prophecies will be full
fllled, the ii9 electoral votes upon
which the election would then seem
10 turn are those in Colorado. Idaho.
Indiana. Kentucky, Maryland, Mime
sofa. the two DakOtas. Ohio. Oregon,
Utah, Washington, West Virginia
and wyoming.
or these states. Colorado has gone
Democratic in the last three out OF
four Of the Presidential elections
Idaho has gone Democrats in the
last two, being Republican in the
! previous two Indiana went Demo-
cratic in 1912. but Republicans in
1904 1903 and 1916. Kentucky was
Democrats in all four 0f the last
Presidential elections: Maryland also
, has been consistently Democratic: /:
; Minnesota was for Roosevelt in 1912,
but regular Republican before and
since; North Dakota was Democratic
} in the last two Presidential elections.
but South Dakota was Republican
In all four; Ohio went Democratic
= in 1912 and 1916 but Republcan in
Z the two previous Presidential cleo
D tiOns; Oregon, Utah and Washington
have gone three times Republican
, and once Democratic out OF the four
= elect ons. while Wyoming went Dem
' ocratic in 1916 and 1912 only.
This year however. local condi-
, tions play a very important part in
/ most Of these States. The Democrats
are expecting the labor influence,
VIII ch will be exerted on a large
2 scale FOR Cox within the next few
b weeks to carry them over in Col
and Wyoming. They consider the
: situation from their standpoint as
D eceilent i'm ali Of these States. Utah.
% strongly Democratic in rec nj years.
they expect TO remain in their colmn
% | on the League issue In Kentucky
0 they admit a doubtful situation as
b regards the Senatorial race. with sen
ator Bcckham running for re-eciec-
ton as a dry. but believing the STATE
& will certainly go for Cox. \ sim
I liar situation exists as regards the
d senatorial situation in Maryland, put
lhe Democrats are confident the
= state will be Democratic, as usual
VI Minnesota. they believe, is merely a
II better chance than California ana IN
/. the Dakotas and far Western STATES
they are counting on a lack or sym
paihy for Harding to WIN Tor CoA.
To win. the Democrats must gel
~ iO9 of the 40 electoral votes in these
a States in the private conclusions ol
leaders on what the Republicans can
- win are fulfilled. .,,,
l. On The other hand the Republ l.
t. cans under like conditions, would
T. have io win but IS Of the electoral
votes out Of the ii9 involved IN IN,
q contested states 10 gain their victory
'r And Republican leaders profess an.
someN no doubt about winning II
anv of them with The exception ol
-, Indiana Ohio. Utah and wyoming
- In these States. it Is conceded tn'
" situation is a horse race" Much i
indiana depends upon The senator a
- 0ght between Thomas Taggart an,
Y senator Watson Taggart has beer
II very confident OF the result oWin'
o. to disaneclion in the .RepuDil ilcan or
er gan'zation. Senator New, however
- has iust notified Republican head
- auariers here that the situation i
- erealv improving every day from III
Watson standpoint.