Evening star., 1920-05-23
By G. GOULD LINCOLN.

vember will be. in sense,
three-ring circus. The big
ring the main ring. is, OF
course. that in which the candidates
for President and Vice President Will
perform. The two other rings VIII
be occupied by the gentlemen str1v-
ing for places in the Senate and the
House
While it is Of prime Importance Tor
,he republicans-or the democrats
TO elect a President. the head OF the
executive branch of the government
II Is of very great Importance that
they also elect majorities In both
houses Of Congress. A President OF
one party who faces the problem OF
putting through the party policies
or his" policies. if he be that kind OF
a President-while confronting Con-
gress that is controlled in both or IN
one branch. by the opposition. is ham
strung at the start.
Eyes on Debatable States
So it is of no little moment that
presidential candidate be selected
who will be strong in debatable
states. The selection of such can
didate may swing the party and the
independent vote into line for the
senators and representatives or vice
versa
The republicans today control both
the Senate and House. They control
the Senate by the narrowest kind of
Q margin-two votes. Hardly work
Ing majority. and certainly not safe
puhlicans are better off. They have 2s4
Representatives in that body to the dem
ocrats 1870. with four independents and
pronfpitionists and seven vacancies to
r~ckon with. Unless there should be
democratic landslide. or a third party in
which some Of the republicans break
away from the parent organization.
1t is certain that the republicans will
control the House.
There remains the presidency and
the Senate to fight for. One-third of
the Senate membership is to be elect
ed-thirty-two senators in as many
states. Fifteen of these states are
now represented by republicans and
seventeen by democrats. The repub-
lican senators who must stand for re-
election are giving more than ordi-
nary attention to the probable can
didate for President who is to be
named in Chicago next month. Like
wise, the seventeen democrats. with
the exception of those who hail from
rock-ribbed democratic states in the
south
Senate Contests In states.
In attempting TO size up the effect
that the presidential nominees will
have on the Senate contests. the fol-
lowing southern states may as well
be left out of the reckoning-they are
sure TO send Observation-Disclosures,
Florida. Louisiana, Arkansas. North
Carolina. South Carolina. Georgia and
probably Oklahoma
Republicans who must seek re-elec-
ton to the Senate are from these
states: Connecticut. Iowa, Vermont.
Wisconsin. New Hampshire. Pennsyl-
,ania, New York, Ohio. North Dakota.
Kansas. Washington. Illinois. Utah.
Missouri and Indiana.
In the democratic group which will
stage contests for the Senate there
remain Kentucky. Oregon, Nevada.
California, Maryland. Arizona. Colo
RADIO. South Dakota and Idaho.
OF the states now represented by re-
publican senators. it seems certain
that. no matter who the presidential
nominee happens to be. republicans
-
New Hampshire, Pennsylvania. Kan
sas, Illinois. Washington and proba-
bly, New York. This leaves in the de-
batable group for the republicans
who are now sitting in the Senate
Ohio. Connecticut. Wisconsin. North
Dakota. Utah. Missouri and Indiana.
How are the various candidates for
the republican nomination for Presi-
dent likely to affect the results in the
debatable states? Today the choice
for the republican nominee seems
TO lie between Maj Gen. Leon
ard Wood. Senator Hiram johnson of
California and Gov Frank o. Lowden.
1t might not be wise to bet money
that any one of this trio will be the
party standard bearer. but the
chances are with them. Always there
is talk of dark horse" at this pc
riod before the national conventions
But 1t is many long year since a
veritable dark horse romped in a win
ner. In fact, it has not happened
since 1880. when James A. Garfield
was put forward. On the first ballot
the three men named will have large
votes. and those who have followed
the game for many years profess to
believe that in the end one of them
will win the prize. There is talk of
Senator Philander Knox of PennnsyI-
vania as a possible compromise can
dtdate. and stranger things have hap
pened, but he has been mentioned so
prominently that he can hardly be
considered a dark horse"
MeAdoo May Lead Democrats.
On the democratic side of the pic
ture William Gibbs McAdoo of New
York. former Secretary of the Treas
ury. railroad administrator and half a
dozen other thingo. appears TO be the
ono best bet for the presidential nom
iaxtion. Nine democrats out of ten. if
not ten Of them. will tell you that he
il the strongest candidate that the
party can put up.
Take the republican debatahie
states-for the senate-and figure
out how the three leading candidates
for the presidential nomination would
affect the contests. In Ohio Gen.
Wood made a good run in the pri-
maries against Senator Harding, the
fauorita son But Ohin is ono af the