New-York tribune., 1920-10-26

result is that all the anti-La Toilette
men are pretty sure TO vote for McCov
ne lat is surely in the fire with re-
gard to the governorship, and the cleo
'lon OF Colonel Mccoy seems very nroh-
able. There is. Of course, the contin-
scncy that with Harding's Tremendous
majority, with great deal of straight
ccoIihG pack IN the country, where the
prgI"'lnS IS not so intense AS bctwc IN
tialnc and the Republicans who alo
boiling him. Blaine NAV rct maior;tv
rolled up not for him but for he Pc,
puol'csn ticket sufficient to rull hin,
through NUN
Interest in Senatorship
Inc real interest centers on the SEN
aa'orshlp: Lenroot's prominence in the
Senate has inspired a great deal Of
state pride in Wisconsin, but the ma.
tonal aspects of the situation have
sunk INTO lnsignifcance because of the
FOCAL bitterness. The election Of Len
root and the defeat Of Blaine at the
same time would be the worst blow La
follette ever has had to stand and il
might easily make possible the defeat
Oh La follette when he comes UP for
Ieelectlon IN 1922. 1t is admitted that
iccfeating one of La Follette's cand' dates
IS very different thing from beating
Battling Bob" himself.
MS candidates have been defeated
some times in the past, but La Foilette
mas never been defeated when he was
a candidate. 1t is also true that there
IS moro resentment against La Toilette
IN the state than there ever has been
before And the extreme probability
IS that La Follettes s candidate for Gov
ernor will be defeated.
There is not the same certainty that
thompson. his man for Senator. who is
running on the independent ticket, will
be defeated He is certain. it seems.
10 pc the runner-up, even if Lenroot is
reelected. and he has real chance of
beating Lenroot Senator Lenroot has
barely better than an even chance of
being reelected. did not locate anv
betting odds, but the Judgment of most
unprel JUDGED observers is that the odds
ought to be about 6 to on Lenroot.
or about to on Thompson.
The Democratic nominee has vir-
tuaIly dropped out of sight so far as
real consideration is concerned The
newspapers are shouting about him for
very interesting reasons. The Demo
. cr1tIc papers, of course. are backing
tnelr OWE candidate, especially The Mil
waukee Journal whose editor really
put DR.. Paul S. Reinsch on the Demo-
cratic ticket as candidate for Senator.
ne Repubhcan papers are talking
about Relnsch. because they do not
want to give Thompson, La Toilette s
man, any publicity. They are putting
over sort of conspiracy of silence
against him.
Democrat May Be Fourth
But this frequent mention is doing
Reinsch so little good that the prevail
ing opinion is he will run fourth Len
root and Thompson are expected to di-
vide first and second places, with Henry
j. Weber, the Socialist candidate, run
nlng third. But while this is the ex-
pectancy, Reinsch may surprise every
body. He may run third.
Ienroot beat THOMPSON in the nri
mary by about 10000 plurality. At the
same election, however, McHenry, an
out-and-out wet candidate, polled a
vote more than twice Lenroot's nlu-
rality. The general belief is that most
of McHenry's vote would have conc to
Thompson, as Lenroot is drv and
Thompson wet, had McHcnry not made
the race
Further. it is estimated that Len
root got almost as many Democratic
votes as can reasonably be expected in
the Republican primary. The primary
laws of the state are lax in permitting
men OF one party to vote in the pri-
mary OF the other and there was no con-
test IN the Democratic primary.
Indeed, so few votes were cast in the
Democratic primary that their cand;-
date for Lieutenant Goveror did not
ret enough votes 10 permit his name
being put on the official ballot, so that
the Republican nominee for this Office
is unopposed.
Another strange thing about this
fearful from a political standpoint
state IS that not one of the four can
dldates for Senator would vote to
ratfy the treaty as President Wilson
wants it ratifcd-with only interprc-
Cox wants it. if he meant what he said
when he declared that he and the
President were "at one"
For Dr.. Reinsch, the Democratic
nominee, was Minister TO China. and
was largely influential in getting China
to declare war on Germany OIL certain.
conditions. These conditions were vio-
lated when Shantung was awarded to
Japan by the peace treaty, and Dr.
Reinsch resigned his post under the
Wilson Administration on that account.
Reinsch is not talking much aoolt the
treaty, but those who know his views
say that he would insist on drastic
reservations, particularly pertaining to
the Shantung provision.
Wisconsin Against Treaty
The Socialist candidate, Weber of
course, is against the treaty, while
Thompson follows La Toilette in being
a treaty killer. Lenroot probably is
more friendly 10 the treaty at heart
than any one of the four candidates.
and while his fight as leade- Of the
mild reservationist group in the treaty
fight is what has brought much of hi.
prominence, he would probably be
great deal stronger if he had taken an
/ irreconcilable position with Reed and
Borah. For Wisconsin is terribly
against the treaty.
Lenroot has all the best Of the news
paper support in the state. He is being
warmly praised by the leading paper of
the state. The Milwaukee Sentinel,
while The Minneapolis Tribune, which
crculates largely in the other end OF
the state. is doing all il can for him.
In addition thirty Republican news
xt1 II