El Paso herald. (El Paso, Tex.) 1901-1931, 1919-10-15

poured into old bottles. 30 the groups
described above viii not fit into the
old moulds Of Liberal, Tory ana La
Dor. Great C. nfusion exists in the
minds OF politicians as 70 the issues
upon which the election that al agree
Is imminent will be fought out. All
concede one point that the light VIII
center around the position Lloyd
ingly a survey Of the courses possible
to the Welsh wizard VIII indicate the
political probabilities Of the hour.
One thing Lloyd George cnnnot
90, and probably does not desire
TO do. He cannot continue TO rule
ns chief Of n coalition based upon
his hereditary enemies, the To-
riess rFEo are prepared 10 fiEht to
the death against a Redistribution
OF land or any OF the social re-
forms nearest 10 the prime min
listers heart.
But TO return to the old Liberal fold
Is impossible. The Liberals believe
that George was guilty Of black
treachefy to his chief when he turned
out Asquith In 1915 By methods THAI
the followers OF the "old gang de-
clare were highly discredita0le-
Broken condolences, an editorial in
the Times inspired by Lloyd George TO
make Asquith's position impossible,
have left behind a legacy OF bitter
ness The plea that IL was necessary
to get Asquith out. by any means, q
the war was to be won. does not In
any way mitigate the guilt Of Lloyd
George In the eyes OF the Asquithian
May Go IN for Labor.
II he cannot be Tory and cannot
be a Liberal. the prime minister
might try the third parliamentary
party and 20 in for labor Here. TOO.
he is faced BY difficulties. Labor
once adorsd Lloyd George. but during
10 #aNa 81 IIIIHHH HaaHa
the other side. The Labor party can
not forgive him his war Association
with the Tories. upon whom he based
his coalition. Every labor leader VIII
tell you By the hour OF pledges Lloyd
George gare 10 labor and broke. o.
case after case IN which he favored
the interests OF the employer against
the worker.
II would seem, then, that there
- no place for the prime minis
Ter IN the main political folds.
And yet Lloyd George a. vastly
atronEer than any other man On
the empire, 20 strong that often
his personal effort can carr IN
unpopular cause 10 success What
d the secret Of his pcwerf
The prime minister, while disliked
BY party politicians OF all shades and
bv labor leader and dukes. appeals 10
the average Englishman, the man
who takes no serious part IN parlia-
n
IN the street. Lloyd George ia the
man who won the war when others
had failed. who supplied the shells.
and held the country together when
its existence was At stake.
Accordingly. I think. Lloyd George
when the approaching test OF power
comes viii appeal 20 the people as q
ore-man party. Candidates VIII again
be asked whether they support Lloyd
George or not ana the next parlia-
ment VII see the Welsh leader at the
head or a band or personal followers.
That he can control the next house
as he controls this one IS. IN the
Judgment Of keen politician observers.
very unlikely. II he is the next prime
minister. he VII rule as the average
uties IN paris. by skiifully joining 70
his own personal following other
groups whose stability viii be doubt
ful and who VIII support him Just 60
long as he does what they demand
Probable lineup.
There viii be in the next house Of
commons. besides the LLOYD George
Dodyguard. q very large and perhaps
ureuculnltllg LABOR mem erslin.
one OF the best political Judges I'm
the new parIameutr which ne thinks
viii be elected before the end Of the
year. VIII be about as follows
Labor members. under Thomas and
HENDERSON. 70 percent.
LLOYD George personal following
20 percent.
As1uithian liberals. 20 percent
Tories nuder lord Robert Cecil. 20
percent
Presumably the Irish members viii
be absent from Westminster next ses-
sion as It present Their loss VII be
felt BY the Labor ana Liberal eie-
ments, who were always sure Of Irish
support against the Tories.
it VIII be seen that ~ the above
forecast e. approximately correct. 40
VIII be extremely difficult Tor any
man 20 form a government. Herder-
son. Lloyd George. Asquith or lord
Robert Cecil would be IN strong POSI-
tons az group leaders. But II any
one cf the four was asked 70 the
prime minister, he would az once find
a strong. hostile majority against
him. Perhaps some o. the ministry
II nothing else appeared possible. but
they would hold IL at their mercy
Copyright. 1919. the Mcclure Uewspa-
per Syndicate.