The Dillon herald. [volume] (Dillon, S.C.) 1894-????, 1919-12-25
GOVERNMENT ESTIMATE
WRONG, SAYS NIXON
HOLDS THAT TEXAS RAINS RE-
DUCED CROP CONSIDERABLY.
Head of Cotton Association Not Will
ingtO Accept Government
Figures as Final.

ment estimate of the 1919 cotton crop
Is sharply criticised by r. M. Nilsson.
president of the South Carolina Cot
ton Association in statement issued
here. The production is estimated by
Col. Nilsson at 9,324,373 bales. He
says that he does not believe there
will be 100000 bales Of spinnabie
cotton marketed out Of the crop
II spent, August, September, 0c-
tober and November In the west in
the interests Of the American Cotton
Association" said Col. Nilsson IN his
statement. II travelled all over Eek
as, Louisiana, a large part Of Ala
bama and the cotton section of Flor
ida. also went into Tennessee and
Arkansas / studied the cotton eToEs
closely. Everywhere went the crop
was poor. found the largest aban
doned acreage ever known in the his
tory of cotton planting. Stock was
turned into thousands Of acres to
Craze. S t
after thorough canvass and
careful study of cror conditions K
made an estimate of the probabfe
crop of 9.4Ss,35O bales for the crop
of 1919, based on ginning figures OF
S,S33,712 bales to December 1st-
II am SO well. satisfied that the.
government is in error In placing the
probable crop at 11,030,000 bales
that am going to challenge these Zig
ures and let the thinking people draw
their own deductions.
For the last three years the GIN
ming to December / and the final
yields were as follows: In 1918, giP-
nings to December were $685., ,41z
bales and the total crop was IL, ,9o6s-
4S0 bales, showing that nearly 20 per
cent was ginned after December l.
in 1917 ginnings to December ! were
9,713,520 and the total crop was H.
248,242 bales, showing that about
IL per cent was ginned after Deem
bery1; in 1916 ginnings to December
1 were 10,352,031 and the total crop
was 11,363,915 bales. showing that
about per cent was ginned after
December /. Never in the history OF.
cotton ginning has there been such a
large percentage of the crop ginned
up to December as has been this
year.
1.-THE States of South Carolina.
Georgia, Florida and Alabama have
practically finished gathering their
crops by that time. The states of Ten
nessee, Arkansas. Texas and Oklaho-
ma were nearer through picking
than they had ever been before. Mis-
souri,, Virginia, California, Arizona
produce but little, and they had gath
cred the larger part of their crop ora
December /. The South had less cot
ton to gather and gin than ever in
the history of the business.
II do not believe that taking the,
entire cotton producing section intes'
account that there was ever 5 per eenE
kept to gin after December /. Now
lets take the crop of 1919. On Deem
Der 1 the government report showeG
S,S33,712 bales ginned. Add 10 peS
cent to these figures to cotton Ee-
manning to be ginned after DecembeE.
! and you would have crop of 81
S15,035 bales; add Z IL per cens
for crop to be ginned after December
/ and you would have 1868, ,70S
bales, but, add per cent to Deem
Der l ginning figures which in my
opinion. is nearer correct, and you
would have crop Of 9,324,373 bales
for 1919.
There is another thing l would
like to call your attention to. Th@
West has had excessive rains all the
fall, hundreds of thousands of bales
of cotton sprouted in the stalks there.
fore, you would find the largest per
centage of dog-tail, unspinnable cot
ton in the crop than has ever BEEN
gathered before.
!"I do not believe that there WIZ
be 100000 bales Of spinnable eor-,
ton marketed out of this crop. Take,
this with the large demand of spin
nable cotton and where will the price
of cotton go to-"