The sun., 1919-10-26
HOPES
d: !. HIGH IN BROOKLYN
G.. 0. P. Hopes to Break Into
- Murphy-Hylan Board of
Estimate.
SEE LA GUARDIA VICTOR
$4,000 Plurality for Haskell
sb Also Is Seen as Rebuke
to Anderson.


=. ssIble to break into the alright Murphy
Hylan Board OF Estimate this year by
the election of Representative F. II. La
Guerdia as President of the Board OF
Aldermen? The answer to this question
sot depends in a great degree upon the
o Borough of Brooklyn. which for years |
0siatoI the student of politics has stoM Tor |
ESQ Independence in political action.
Elp Gray haired leaders will tell you that |
Sai they have never been able to tell just (,
t'sadvhat Brooklyn would do except that the |
.iSivoters there have way OF breaking
~ away from the party leadership and re-
spondng to personal feelings and local |
is, issues in a fashion that has often beeJ
-sv9 disastrous 10 the calculations OF the
sni statistical party managers.
By the rule of mathematics Brooklyn
Is held to be Democratic by at least
100000, with the women voting Last
year Il gave a plurality OF 10000 10
Gov. Alfred e. Smith, departure iroln
~ form which in itself would have been
responsible for the defeat or Governor
Charles S. Whitman.
How about this year? Two things
stand out in any general canvass OIL
.ssg the situation. One is that the Repub-
svolican rank and file are confident they
:, - feel that this is Republican year And
se'A conversely, the Democrats are in de-
u spair they see their voters alienated for
IN various reasons and find dissention in
ol- the ranks. the organization Is All shot
sn0tto pieces," was the observation OF an
srw independent Democrat who has usually
~er' kept in pretty close touch with the stua-
ea@tion.
because of the Massachusetts ballot
BUT more by reason of the fact that
Brooklynites have been accustomed TO
Ir-=pick their candidates, the vote for vari-
ill GUS men running for different otfces on
III. the same ticket is likely to huctuate
I'LL widely. Conservative Republican estl-
iil candidates, with the possible exception
RI of one or two who have unusual handi-
~ caps. will win by pluralities ranging be-
III tween 5000 and 10000 at least
H Advantage for La Guardia.
W REPRESENTATIVE La -Guardia, the only
\ candidate running in the entire city, viii
Z, get at least this advantage over Presi-
Nh, dent Robert l.. Moran, the Democratic
Is candidate to succeed himself But he
n must do better than this in Brooklyn In
iil order to win in the city. and the Repuo-
III Iican leaders confidently expect that he
iIl will run ahead of 10000.
III In Brooklyn. In other parts or the
il,l city. the candidacy Of Major Michael A.
hi Kelly. the independent candidate OF the
(. Liberty party, was vital factor. with
~ Kelly off the ballot. the question the lead
t,i ers are trying to solve, is where will the
N potential Kelly vote go?
Ut One of the Democrats interested In the
'tN Kelly movement, a 6nreWO politician anu
III man not likely to be fooled by surface
III agitation declared yesterday his positive
y opinion was that, IL Kelly had remained
" in the race, President Moran, the Demo-
m cratic candidate, would have come out
III, third in Brooklyn. s.
NN There are a number Of reasons for this
iill First, the Irish, who have been the back
IA bone of the Democratic party in many
~ sections, are off the Democratic reserva-
l, tion. They are against the League OF
N Nations and have been outraged because
~ they believe President Wilson could have
ili done much for the cause of Irish free
VI dom, but has actually done nothing.
i.l' In Brooklyn the large German element
h has always been Democratic. In almost
!, every national convention for years
M Kings county has supplied rich German
as one of the four delegates or alternates-
II at-large from New York State This
II, element will not vote the Democratic
A. ticket this year.
III. Italians Are AIienated.
NJ. Because Of his stand in the Fiume
Il, matter President Wilson has alienated
n the Italian vote. and similarly other
=. voters of foreign parentage have been
N turned against the Democratic party be-
ii cause they have not been pleased with
III what has been done for the particular
III countries in which they are interested.
40 Then, was the case a year ago, the
III traction situation is a most pressing
l and potent problem in Brooklyn. In
1918 the Brooklynite blamed Governor
n Whitman because his Public Service
u, Commission was in power. This year
lN Governor Smith has his own APP
I'll. pointees in Office under an amended bill
n drawn to suit his pleasure. Since the
i'i appointment of Commissioner Nixon he
m has done nothing except fight with
Mayor Hylan. Mayor Hylan has done
u nothing except fight with Commissioner
,N Nixon. Nothing has been accomplished
the situation has been growing worse
!. Brooklynites have not only been sub
i,ll jected to increasing fares. but to ali
manner Of annoyance In their transit
M rela tons Both Governor Smith and
Mayor Hylan are Democrats. One o,
the other is to blame, or both, but which
~ ever way you look at IT the resent
N ment is certain to find a reaction In
opposition to the Democratic ticket al
III the polls on November 4.
il., When 1t was discovered that the regis
u tration of women in Brooklyn this veal
I was more than 10000 less than a yeai
I ago the first thought was that it mean
that the Republican women were MOI
taking interest in the campaign thi:
year. Republican managers hav,
II analysed the figures by districts and say
that the loss is almpst entirely II
R Democratic sections Investigation ha,
i' led them to the conclusion that tn,
women who have failed to register ar,
largely among the class who for year,
have been tied to the Democratic party
This year they are against the Demo
.i Cratic party, but they will not vote tn,
Republican ticket. So. they are JUS
~ going to remain away from the polls.
.H Vote Against Democrats.
The same is true to an extent amonI
r the men, although many Of those WHIT
have been alienated from the Demo
cratic party are registering with tn
express purpose OF showing their feal
ings by an affirmative vote against tn
RI Democratic candidates
tN II any great proportion OF the voter
who would have supported Major Kell,
turn In and support La Guardia, he 1
likely to have record vote. Even
they remain away from the polls, II
figured La Guarda should get plurslit
In Brooklyn that would carry him safe
~ into Office.
Kings County is the largest part o
' tne Second Judicial District and upo
inc vote there depends in large meas
IA nVaNa A.