The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1916-1920, 1919-10-05
FINALV VOTE ON
TREATY NOV. 1
Senate Optimists See All OBJ
stacles Removed by That
Time.
SHANTUNG DEBATE FIRST
Rejection of Amendment Is
FOrecast-WilsOn Illness
Embarrasses.
DEBATE FIRST
Special Despatch to TIE sus.

WASHINGTON, Oct. 4.-There Is day
light ahead for the peace treaty. 1t
became evident to-day. with the Sem
ate resting over the week end. that
fairly close estimate Of the time ne
cessary to devote to consideration of
the remaining amendments and all the
proposed reservations can now be
made. 1t is practically certain that,
except for unforeseen circumstances,
the final vote on ratification can be
obtained. the first week of November.
Some optimists about the Senate have
set this date as early as November l..
Next Wednesday the SeIr Is ex-
pected to dispose of the Shantung
amendment. 1t is anticipated that a;
least FIVE full days will be devoted to
the consideration OF this change, with
the chances favoring its rejection by a
margin considerably less than that on
the votes to reject the Fall amend
ments.
Senator McCumber IN. d. will ad-
dress the Senate Monday on the john
son amendment and as he Is notably
there is not the slightest hope that the
Senate will hear much of Shantung
that day. Thereafter five days remain
for Sbantung. with the possibility that
by Friday the debate may have run
its course and the Senate be ready to
vote Saturday.
Senator Moses's Amendment.
mill IL
GRAFTON OF the Shantung amendment and
the johnson amendment at least a days
consideration of the amendment offered
by Senator Moses IN. HI, providing
for the non-particlpation OF autonomous
colonial dependencies of member States
OF the league in judgments in contro-
VERSES between the United States and
the parent country or per contra This
was deoigned to keep Canada, Australia,
| New Zealand or South African votes
| from being cast In controversies which
might arise to which England or any
OF its colonies and the United States
were litigants. There also will inter-
vene a remaining Fall amendment NOT
rejected Thursday. which provides that
America shall not participate in the
Reparations Commission. This is also
open to debate and must be definitely
disposed OF one way or the other.
| This brings the johnson amendment
forward for consideration early in the
week beginning October Is. It is likely
1t will be called up October Is, on which
date, according to present plans, Sen.
ator johnson (Cal.) will have completed
the principal part of his Western tout
| and can return to Washington. Senator
| Johnson's latest hxed speaking date 1.
for Salt Lake City. Utah. October IL.
Contrary to some reports here to-day
Senator Johnson has not been recalled
from his speaking tour. However, 1t 1,
expected that he will be ADVISED by hiI
Republican colleagues TO end the toui
| in Salt Lake City and Immediately
thereafter will return to Washington.
The debate on the Shantung amend
ment will include set speeches by Sena
tors Norris (Neb.), Lodge (Mass. }
Watson tInd.) and Borah, (Idaho). TIL,
Norris and Borah speeches will be long
Neither Senators Lodge nor Watson
contemplate speaking more than an hour
wilson's Illness n Factor.
In the Shantung debate considerabl,
embarrassment will be felt by the Sena
tors supporting II by reason of the pres
ent serious disability OF the President
1t had been on the programme OF Sena
tors Norris and Borah to make bite
assault upon the Presidents conduct o.
the negotiations which brought abou
this spoliation Of friendly China.
Just how in the presentation of {
coldblooded and analytical argument re
i garding a question of actual fact thi
evidence of unkindness can be accom-
plished h bothering Senator Norri
greatly. He feels that he has mes
sage to 'deliyer. and cost what IL ma,
ha will deliver II