The sun., 1919-08-18
REPUBLICAN, is
LIKELY TO WIN
IN KENTUCKY
Edwin P. Morrow Seems
Probable Victor in Gov
ernorship Contest.
TROOPS TURN TO G. o. P.
Article x, High Cost Of Living
and Stanley's Stand on
Liquor Are Factors.
TROOPS TURN TO G. o. P.

Political Observers say that tcith con-
Sitions as they are the Republican
marty has an opportunity to carry, IN
the coming fan campaion, several
Southern States normally Democratic.
THE SUN has Investigated the situation
and presents belotc the first of a series
Of papers giving the results Of its sur
rey.
From star Correspondent
LOUISVILLE, KY, Aug. LIVERY so
often something happens to make Ken
lucky forsake the Democratic party;
rin hole in the erstwhile adamantine
bikes that protect the Solid South from
Republican foundations from the
North and drive deeper into our ma
tional consciousness the realization
that Kentucky politics Is a cantanker-
Gus animal that is just as liable to bolt
and upset the band wagon as not.
Under normal circumstances, in the
calm serenity OF the seasons preced-
ing the outbreak of the. great war,
Kentucky could not justly be termed
fckle. She was a Democratic State.
And there's nothing to warrant any
claim that she is not still Demo-
cratic State. The chances are that
she's due for one Of those political
COMMISSIONS for which she is noted be-
cause OF their infrequency. But on
those infrequent occasions she goes the
limit; she leaves nothing to the
Imagination.
Young Democrats Admit II.
But there must be no jumping at
conclusions now. There is no desire to
make predictions with anything ap-
proximating gertrude. The chances
are that Kentucky is going to elect a
Republican Governor and Government
in November.
Young Democrats concede the posi-
tility: some go SO far as to call 1t a
probability The old school Democrats
the sort with whom Democracy Is as
much a part Of their family traditions
as their grandfathers are-are still
Democrats, and one has to talk to one
o. these sold school Democrats to APP
preciate the length. breadth and depth
Of such Democracy. They are going to
vote the Democratic ticket; not for
James D. Black for Governor 80 much
as for the Democratic nominee. despite
the fact that the two are synonymous.
As for the Republicans. they jubi-
lsntry are predicting a victory for their
candidate for Governor Edwin Porch
Morrow, OF whom much of interest Is
TO be said. and at once produce facts.
figures and signs OF the times to lend
substance TO their sanguine temper.
Y, ,1tx a. no
about Kentucky talking to factionists
and pitting prediction against prediction.
hope against hope and TRADE against
TRADE. 1t is not necessary to publish
Mr. Morrow to the affect that he will
win by such and such a majority or
plurality. And 1t would be quite az alb
surd to quote Mr.. Black saying:
u shall carry the state by - thou
sand votes. and the entire Democratic
ticket with me-
The startling announcement would be
Tia; either Mr.. Morrow or Mr.. Black
cedited his opponent with anything
more than a chance-a chance born
o. the most improbable OF reversais OF
current feeling. To settle. therefore. this
question for all time be 1t understood
that | have talked to both candidates
and both assure me that they Will win.
A, a matter Of fact It would be neces-
scry only to substitute in Mr.. Blacks
interview the word Republican for the
word Democrat and there also would
be Mr. Morrow's forecast
But 1t takes a very definite political
explosive to blast Kentucky loose from
thu roots of her Democratic consanguin-
ity AS eminent an authority as Presi-
| dtnt Wilson can attest to Kentucky
exceedingly narrow Interpretation OF
| nlinding ones own business. President
Wilson did not come to Kentucky and
stump for Augustus o. Stanley four years
ago when Mr. Stanley, now in the Uni
ted States Senate, ran for Governor. In
thc light OF what happened it Is quite
as well for Mr.. Stanley that he didn't
Instead, Mr.. Wilson wrote one OF his
sristles OF appeal calling upon Kentucky
10 support him by electing the entire
Democratic State ticket.
Mr.. Stanley won the election by 43l
votes and he managed to accumulate
those political life saving ballots In
Louisville. a city normally Republican
More about that later.
Until the Presidents letter arrived II
looked like a walkaway for the Stanley
machine. And just by way of mo-
ments depression the celebrity with which
Judge Charles A. Hardin refused WASH
mgtons proffer of oratorical assistance
~
sent TO Congress on the Democratic
ticket from the Eighth Congressional
District OF Kentucky indicates how well
the Kentucky Democrat learned the les
ton OF Wilsonian championship.
Judge Hardin. one OF the foremost OF
he Palatines of Kentucky Democracy,
managed to achieve defeat anyway
captain King Swope. a youth OF 20, beat
sim In that rock-ribbed Democratic dis
uict Swope ran on a straight Repub-
mean platform that condemned the Ad-
Illustrations conduct of affairs in the
American Expeditionary Forces.
state Voted for Mckinley.
But to return to the statement that a
very positive reason must exist for Ken
tucky's detection from Democracy. Il
must be cited that only once has this
STATE forsaken the politics of its fathers
IN national election. Mr.. Bryan ac-
complished this desertion and Kentucky
instructed eleven Of her electoral votes
lot MI Mckinley.
In State elections there have been
aust two real regulations OF the Demo
.fatic party William Bradley, uncle OF
the present Republican nominee for the
Governorship. was elected chief execu'
we OF Kentuoky---on the Republican
ueket In 1895. He was the States first
republican Governor. Mr.. Bryan's none
ulE visions were responsible for that
also The second Republican to win thu
oo'e'norship was Augustus T.. Wilson
mo served from 1907 until 1911. The
"qlor QUESTION is credited with that
=. ana now, to summarize the why's and
SSe wherefOres of a score or more OF