The Kendrick gazette. [volume] (Kendrick, Idaho) 1892-1968, 1919-01-24

the total acreage of spring wheat may
be about 75,000,000 acres. The above
would indicate that the harvest of
1919 would be in excess of the num-
Der of bushels harvested in 1918.
2. The normal pre-war annual ex-
port of wheat from the United States
was, about, on the average Of ten
years, 11O,O00,00O bushels. It is es-
timated that the total export of wheat
and flour Tin terms of wheat) of the
1918 crop will be about 310,000,000
bushels. The export of wheat of the
1919 crop cannot be expected to reach
the volume of the 1918 crop in view
of the fact that Argentina, Australia.
Canada, India and other wheat-pro-
ducing countries will be in the market
with their current crops and the re-
serves which they have been unable
to ship, which was not true at least
for a considerable part Of the time
that the 1918 crop was being mar
keted, and the countries of Europe
for home production Of foodstuffs.
8. The pre-war domestic average
consumption of wheat in the United
States did not exceed 600,000,000
bushels, including seed reserved, and
we think it may be assumed that the
domestic consumption out of the 1919
crop, including seed wheat reserved,
cannot exceed 640,00O,000 bushels as
maximum.
4. Reports indicate that the wheat
planted in the fall of 1918, enters the
winter in better condition and with
the appearance of producing larger
per acre yield than the winter wheat
planted in the fall of 1917.
S. The plantinug of winter wheat
for the crop of 1919 is now estimated
at 49,261, 900 acres. If like increase
occurs in spring planting in 1919 over
the planting in the spring of 1918,
there would be total acreage planted
for 1919 wheat of 1921 900 acres, and
yield on the basis of present indica-
tions for winter wheat and of the
five-year yield for spring wheat of ap-
proximately Lila 100000 bushels, or
an increase of about lat 100000 BUSH
els. If we deduct the quantity needed
for seed for the 1920 crop, namely,
90,O00,000 bushels, and that needed
for maximum home consumption, $780,.
100000, we would have remaining for
export and carry-over, 474,5O0,000.
Bushels.
Possible 1919 crop--..-.---..-1, ILL, SOC, 900
Deduct probable seed re-
quirements .......-............. 10000, 900
!, WITT VV,OUU
Deduct maximum home
consumption .....-............ 500, 000, 900
Remaining for export and
carry-over -..-..--..-.--.-..-... 474, 800, OOO
In addition to the above it seems
probable that there will be consid
cradle carry-over from the crop OF
1918. The quantity of wheat to be
handled may, of course, be greater
than this; it may be smaller. The
planting in the spring of 1919 may
not be as great as that assumed
Weather conditions, while more ia
| vorable than usual to date, may not
continue favorable.
The following table will indicate
the possible outcome if we assume
the normal abandonment for white,
wheat and the five-year average yield
and a planting in the spring of 1915
equal to last year with the average
yield for the last five years:
Bushels.
Winter wheat .................... $4,000, 0O(
Spring wheat .................... 800 ZOO, 00(
Total l, 900 900, 00(
Deduct seed and domestic
| consumption ................. $40 900 ,00(
360.sOo. oo'
| It would be unwise not to make pro
vision for the possible maximum guam
tity to be handled.
May Have to Sell at Loss.
s. In order to meet the competi
ton from Argentina and other coun
tries, it seems apparent that our whea
Of the 1919 crop, for export, must b.
nold far horo of Tho or a ropfond y,ric