The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1916-1920, 1919-04-09
CROP CONDITION IS
ALMOST PERFECT
Government Report Ia 1913
Per Cent. for United States
as q Whole,
WHEAT BREAKS RECORD
Indicated Crop Is 887, 100000
Bushels-Rye Figures Also
Are Phenomenal.
WHEAT BREAKS RECORD


Are Phenomenal.
The Government report made the ex-
traordinary condition Of ss.s for the
growing winter wheat crop. with several
Of the principal States showing 100 to
lW, The report was analysed as indi-
eating q possible crop Of ss1,ooo,eo
.sushsla with average deterioration and
average loss In crop area The possibli-
fly Of average loss In crop area from
abandonment Of les per can't u ex-
a, tremely remote. ana the private esti-
mates have pointed to extremely limited
abandonment. .
The trade believes that the private
crop estimates Of better than 100000. 900
bushels are the correct indication for the
to that estimate are q spring wheat crop
of average proportions on the contem-
Plated area and the available supply Of
wheat In North Amrica, which win be
probably 1,s0o,000,0ee, II not 1900. 000,-
600 bushsls, of which probably 1900
oee,eoe bushels viii be In the United
States,
Estimating Canada at 100000, 900 to
10000, 900 bushels 10 an extremely un-
certain suesa In 1915 the United States
raised 1,o25.000, 600 bushels and Canada
Ass. 200, 600, or a total North American
crop at l,450,o00,0 900 bushels. Last year
Canada raised 100000 bushels. and
the United States was estimated at s17,-
100000. or q total of. 1.l06,e0o,0 o0, out
OF which the exports have been about
100000, 600 bushels. The programme for
exporting 450,000,000 bushels for the
season seems to have fallen down COM
pletely. due to inability to get supplies.
The possible rye crop is estimated at
lel 100000 bushels, or only 100000
more than for last year. Tho chances
for exporting rye seem to be extremely
good. 1t Is believed that not only rye
exported this year will come from the
1915 crop, but that there will be ne more
wheat carried over than there was last
year, unless from difficult transportation
points. Whatever supply be raised IN
1918 apparently will be the cole supply
for 1919. with no hope for any carry over
Of either wheat or rye.
In the feed grain markets the inter-
probation of the extremely favorable con-
dtion of the growing crops of winter
grain Is that It will mean a decrease In
all feed grain areas. unless there be
large pieughing Of grass lands through
out the country. While II may supply
the feed grain, It may be a serious fac
ter In connection with the cattle supply
for the coming year.
IL Largest Crop On Record.
WASHINGTON. April s.-Forecast by
the Department of Agriculture to-day
that the nations winter wheat crop
would total ss7,0oe,e00 bushels, the
largest crop ever grown. aroused imme-
diate speculation as to the cost to the
Government Of such an enormous yield.
Under the hill passed by Congress In
the closing days Of the last session the
Government fs obligated to pay the diff
ference between the guaranteed price
of s2.s6 a hushel and the world market
price for every bushel. net only of win
ter but Of spring wheat produced.
The total value Of the winter wheat
crop on the basis OF an $1,000. 900
hushel crop forecast would be Slss1.-
100000. The spring wheat crop. soon
TO be planted. cannot be estimated at
this time, but Department OF Agricul-
ture officials to-day predicted that 1t
would range between 5000, 900 and
500, 000, 600 bushels. which would in
crease the total value of the nations
wheat crop to approximately $2.6oo.-
600 900.
The part Of this 3a.5oo, 900. 900 that
the Government must pay to maintain
the guaranteed price was a matter upon
which officials here declined to comment
Officials expressed the belief to-day
that there would he a good foreign de-
mand for American wheat which would
take care of the nations surplus and
while the loss to the Government,
through its price guarantee, may mount
far into the millions of dollars so far as
he Of hA =
concerned, II simply viii be taking money
from one pocket and putting II into an
other. The money. II was said. will go into
the pockets OF the farmers OF the coun-
try and ofscials believe the forecast in
dictates farmers will be more prosperous
and possess greater potential buying
power than ever.
Ths United States requires for It's own
yearly consumption about B.S bushels of
wheat person. With approximately
100000 people In the United States
and adding Approximately $4,000, 900
bushels of wheat necessary for feeding
the demands of the country this year
are estimated at more than $50 600, 900
bushels. With n spring wheat prohnc-
tlon estimated at 225, d00. 900 to soc, 900
600 bushels It appears that the surplus
available for export will be about
$50 o0o. 900 bushels
lFt Rlnl6T Wbtat PROMISE on Apr1l i
% S37. 5000 bushels Ia nearly double
the yearly average production In the
United States for the fiVo years before
the war GAS 900, 900 bushels In 1909 to
1s1S) and Is nearly 90 per cent larger
than the production during the war
years 1914 tn 1918. when the average
was 5es,eeo,Ooo bushels.
Corn Market strong AZ FiaisA.
CHICAGO, April s,-Cora took a do
cided new upward swing in value to-day
owing mainly 10 the fact that receipts
were OF less volum- than had been
Locked for The market closed strong.
2&a to tsc. net higher. with May
s!.5Ak to si5sk and July 31.b2& to
stBs%. O''E gained &c. to 1%c. and
provisions e.. TO soc.
All deliveries OF corn assembled 10 new
Sigh levels for the seal son. Talk of car
shortage holding back the crop move
ment was current. and Il was predicted
that there would be even less corn avail
able here In May than at present. On
the other hand the extremely beariSh
character OF the Government crop report
on winter wheat seemed to have been
discounted thoroughly In advance Pit
traders sold on the bulges but covered
quickly when any important commits
sion house buying appeared, Absence of
aggressive leadership on the part Of the
bears was especially noticeable at tho
finish.