The sun., 1919-08-26

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WASHINGTON. Aug. 25. Although
the policy Of the United States Gov
ernment toward Carranza Is officially
described as unchanged and although
the incident of the capture and release
of the Two American aviators virtually
Is closed, It may be stated positively
that developments of the first magni-
tude are soon to take place south OF
the Rio Grande. Information which
has been slowly but surely accumulat-
ing for the United States as well as
other Governments indicates that the
following events, reluctantly or other
wise, must be regarded as inescapable:
First, the United States must iH-
tervene in Mexico and take over
the affairs of the MeXicans as COM
pletely as it did in the case of Cuba
Second, the fact of coming inter-
vention is now recognized and the
time set is being estimated at six
months or even less. though this
latter is admittedly an uncertain
factor.
Third. the reason for Intervention
Is not because of Carranza's arro-
gance or bandit raids or sporadic
cases of infringement Of American
rights, but because the country has
simply gone to pieces beyond recall
and no other possible solution
looms up.
Arrangements for the initial use Of
both land and sea forces of the United
States have been completed, not in
mere theoretical sense, but because II
Is fully recognized that the work Will
have to be done. 1t is not expected
that severe opposition will be encoun-
tered, though provision will be made
for all eventualities.
Pacification Of the country with res
toration OF order and the process OF as
sisting the Mexlcans to manage their
own affairs may admittedly take years
United states Reluctant to Act.
Apparently the United States Gov
ernment win undertake the task with
the greatest reluctance. and It may be
said that II any alternative offered it.
self President Wilson would be the first
to avail himself of 1t. But the only
question given really serious con-
sideration now is How soon will inter-
vention conner" ENCOURAGEMENT of Car
ranza to do his best to stave II of will
admittedly be part of this Government
policy now as 1t has been in the past
but all real hope is gone of seeing Car
ranza or any one else in Mexico estab-
lish order out of chaos or rescue the
country from becoming a derelict on the
international sea.
It is understood to be because of this
that the Paris Peace Conference re-
fused to give Mexico a place with the
other nations. Even at that time the
situation had become hopeless, 1t Is said,
and the European Governments as we'll
as the Government OF the United States
were forced to admit that the taking
over of Mexico was inevitable.
II develops now that the Mexicans
themselves are realizing that the day OF
American Intervention Is drawing nearer
and the latest Mexican newspapers TEEN
with articles on this subject. Some of
the papers are appealing to Carranza
10 do his best to stave 1t off, but 1t Ia
seemingly understood that the task is
impossible.
Summarizing the reasons which make
Intervention, according to the best au-
thorities, inescapable the following facts
are emphasized:
The situation in Mexico has reached
the point where 1t is bound to go
steadily from bad to worse and where
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