The public ledger. [volume] (Maysville, Ky.) 1913-1968, 1919-10-27
CUOMWELL'S CAN.
vASSGIVES MORROW
LEAD over STATE
Election Of Government May BE De-
cided In Three Counties Says Po..
lltical Expert Showing Nor
row In the Lead.

lite over Governor Black In his post
card canvass. Cromwell says:
The writer's post card canvass in
dictates the race for state offices, to be
decided at the regular election Tues
day, November 4, to be close, and, II
the estimates thus far received are
dependable, they appear to be, In
dications are that determination OF
the contest will rest with the voters
of Jefferson Uouisville), Kenton
(Covington) and Fayette Uexington)
counties.
Thus far estimates have been re-
ceived and recorded for IL of the 12O
countless The nine counties not in
cluded are Green and Hart, in the
First Congressional District; Jeffer-
son, which comprises the Fifth Dis
trict; Kenton, in the Sixth; Fayette,
in the Seventh; Garrard and Jessa-
mine in the Eighth; Bath, in the ninth
and Martin, in the Tenth
Cards indicate that Governor James
d. Black, head of the Democratic tick
ct, will carry the First District by
1926; the Second, by 1850; the Fourth
by 1926; the Sixth, by 4,250; the Sew
enth, by $3.50; the Eighth, by 1900;
the ninth, by 1,4OO, and that Edwin P.
Morrow. his Republican opponent, will
carry the Third District by 275; the
Tenth, by 1850, and the Eleventh by
2O,375
Governor Blacks majorities in the
seven districts accredited to him total
27,600, while Mr. Morrow's majorities
in the Third, Tenth and Eleventh Dis
tricts total $4,000, making difference
of 400 votes to Morrow's favor.
Green and Martin counties consist
emily are Republican, the former us
ually giving from 275 to 300 majority
while the latter in 1915 gave to Nor
row, over present United States Sena-
tor A. o. Stanley, 1892; the following
year in the Presidential election re
corded 1920 more for Hughes than fol
Wilson, and last year in the Senatorial
race afford DR.. Ben l.. Bruner 62(
more than Stanley.
Hart County went to Morrow foui
years ago by 2O9, but switched into
the Democratic column by II in the
Presidential race, and went back tc
the Republican side last year, giving
to Bruner 24S more than Stanley.
Bath, county gave to Stanley 16C
more than Morrow; went to Wilson
by 1876, and last year Topped into the
Republican, column, Bruner 20 more
than Stanley.
Garrard county four years ago gave
to Stanley 6S more than Morrow, but
it switched the next year, giving to
Hughes a majority of 1853, and last
year Bruner 253 more than Stanley.
Jessamine county consistently is
Democratic by from 120 to 400 but
voters there to whom cards have been
sent seem to be having difficulty on
arriving at the probable trend of the
vote this year, since none of the cards
has come in.
If, for the sake of deduction, we
conclude that Black is as strong as
Stanley was four years ago in those
six counties, and that Morrow is no
stronger and no weaker than he was
at that time, the result would be 472
votes to Morrow's favor, and that
would send him to Fayette with lead
of S72 votes over Black.
Four years ago Morrow won Fay
cite from Stanley by 499 votes, while
Black drumming for Lieutenant Cover
nor) carried it by 76 votes over Lewis
L. Walker. Three years ago It gave
to Wilson S76 votes more than Hughes
and last year went back into the Re-
publican column, giving to Bruner "a
more than Stanley. Until Senator
Stanley came here and delivered his
address last Wednesday night Morrow
vas considered to have Fayette by at
least 400 votes, but the impression
made by the junior Senator was SO
favorable that the result may be in
Blacks favor by 200 or 800 votes, all
depending upon what is done during
the closing week of the campaign.
If Black should carry Fayette by
300 votes, that would put Morrow with
a lead of 572. Stanley carried Ken
ton over Morrow by 2.495; Wilson car
ried it over Hughes 5,235 and Stanley
over Bruner 3,0S1. The writer passed
a half day In Covington last week dis
cussing conditions with various per-
sons, regardless of party utilization,
and the largest claim made for Black
Vas 1000, while a number of Republi-
cans seemed to be confident that Nor
row would carry the county by as
much as 1000.
That's what Republican State Cam
align Chairman Chesley Searcy says
will be the result there. but for the
sake of argument let us count It 1000
for Black.
That would put the Governor into
ouisville with q lead OF 472, and. II
tl,a aatimata NJ Chairman Frank Mo-