El Paso herald. (El Paso, Tex.) 1901-1931, 1919-11-04
BoLsheUist Defeat To Be Expected,
ButRestoratfOn OfRussiaAndRise
OfOrderIyRegime StiUNotn Sight

+ tain Undesirable stoudity. ignorance.
among the millions.
To believe. now, that Russia
can suddenly renppeur as n nation.
TO imagine that the success of
ILclchuk or Denilzlne. the fall OF
PetroErad OF the capture OF Mos
COW will be followed by the rein
teEratiou Of the old RUSSIA. il 10
believe the impossible. Actually,
q number Of quite distinct minorl-
ties, fractions elements. are for
the possession OF that vast shape
hess, nmorphons mass, which g.
contemporary Russin.
The latter phases Of the revolution
placed the Bolshevists in control. but
the BoIshevists were an insignificant
minority. whose ranks were recruited
from that wholly inconsiuera 1rac-
ton Of the Russian population which
inhabited cities participated in mod
ern Industrial life and derived their
ideas from the west, but from Ger
many and not from France, 5ritain
or the United states. They were
wholly distinct from the vast millions
Of the agricultural population who
made the majority and we're still IN
moved by any political ideas.
May Not Embrace Democracy.
Royalist. reaclionary influences. to-
Eether with the slight but distinGl ish-
able uatriotic influences, which are all
represented in the forces now con-
tending TO destroy Bolshevlsm. are
equally unrepresentalive- The single
fact that seems 20 stand incontrOTer-
tible. is that Russia ITSELF is yet in a
totally different stage OF develop
ment from other European nations
and 80 is not even clear that its future
evolution viii be in the direction OF
western democracy.
1t is wholly conceivable, not merely
-H~a nr.
the foes OF the BOlshevists VIII now
Gain control. The same WEAKNESS Of
conflict which explained the collapse
OF Russia as a member Of the alliance
AGAINST Germany, the same desire Tor
peace at any price, Whoch led Russian
armies TO disintegrate and allowed
Lenire and Trotzkv to gain control
the elimination Of these leaders equal
~ automatic.
Real Stability Far Of
But it seems TO me the thing which
is most patent is that ii must be a
very long time before there can be
real stability In Russia and the mere
success of one faction or another selA-
ing control Of the machinery OF gov
eminent and the centers OF population
wiz in no true degree measure the
adoption By the mass Of the Russian
people OF the particular political or
moral. or even immoral doctrines al
rocated BY the successful faction
There seems to be a very general
idea in the United states that if only
the B0lshsvists are conquered, exc
PEELED. abolished. Russia viii reappear
as a nation in the western sense But
putting "Humpty Dumpry back On the
r~aIlf may prove 20 have been sim
nle task beside restoring any SEM
biauce OF a national state IN the re-
Eions ruled hv the Eomanotts less
than three years ago.
when the Uolsherists have been
defeated. as seems likely now 60
happen shortly, then IL viii be
problem 10 create new national
INIT, nor s. IL nt al Improbable
that the inert mass, the body Of
Russia may prove the prize for fu-
fure civil wars between factions
for decades to come.
From the outbreak OF the Russian
revolution 70 the present hour tne
west has been wrong in every single
estimate It has made Of the facts and
the probable course OF events In Rus
STA It has been wrong in my 1udg-