The sun., 1919-10-25
FATE0F PEACE
TREATY RESTING
ON WILSON NOW
Senate Ready to Accept
Covenant as Amended
by Committee.
DEFEAT IN OPPOSITION
President Must Allow Reser-
vatiOns or Order Fight to
Kill Document.
DEFEAT IN OPPOSITION

Special Despatch 90 THE BUE.
WASHINGTON, Oct. 24.-Ratification
or rejection by the Senate Of the peace
treaty, with its interviewer League of |
Nations covenant, lies with President
Wilson and no one else. 1t Is certain |
now that the reservations exactly as
adopted yesterday and on Wednesday |
by the Foreign Relations Committee
will be accepted by the Senate. Even
the preamble. with its provision that |
three Of the four Allies must accept |
the reservations as individuals. Is des-
tined to prevail in the Senate by a !
comfortable majority.
The fourteen reservations them
selves will be adopted by majorities
ranging from ten to twenty. On the
question Of final ratification by the
Senate Of the resolution itself IL will
be necessary to drive the Democrats
into line to vote for rejection IL the
document as qualified by reservations
is distasteful and unsatisfactory to the
President. Only the most strenuous
pressure and cogent argument from
the White House direct can be effec-
tive in accomplishing this action.
Cestiy 20 Administration.
On the question as between textual
amendments and reservations, victories
for the Administration we're In the last
degree costly. II was not as though the
Issue had been between drastic and mild
amendments. with the Democrats enjoy
ing all the advantages OF the petty
squabbles OF the opposition over phrase
ology But upon the broader question Of
whether the treaty was to go back to
the conference, In defeating the various
amendments the advantage lay In the
other direction.
At this juncture the President is placed
rassins position. He must accept the
ratification exactly az the Republicans
have planned It or order his own parti-
sans In the Senate to join with those Re-
publicans who are against the treaty
on all counts. and reject the document
! altogether.
The Senate Democrats are prepared to
go through with such a programme only
In the event that the Presidents orders
| are Of the most definite character.
The following list OF Senators anxious
to vote against ratification. prepared by
one of the leading Democrats of the
| Senate, discloses the actual state Of the
case which confronts the treaty II the
! President shall will Its defeat:
Republicans: Ball (DeL). Borah
| (Idaho). Brandegee (Conn.). Curtis
(Kan). Fall (New Mexico), Freiing-
huysen IN. J.). Gronna IN. d.. John
son (Cal). Knox (Pa.). LaFollette
(wis). Mccormick (Ils.). Moses (N
HI. Newberry (Mich.), Norris (Neb. },
| Page (vt). Poindexter (wash.). Sher-
man (Ills.), Sutherland (W Val.
| wadsworth IN. ", Warren twyo. -
| 20.
Democrats who would vote against the
| treaty II Wilson asked It: Culberson
! (Tex.), Gay (La,), Harris (Ga), Har-
rison tMiss.). Hitchcock (Neb.), Jones
IN. NJ. Overman IN. c.. owen COX
lahoma). Pittman (Nev), Reed mo },
Sheppard (Tex.). Shields (Tenn.), Smith
(Ga.). Swanson (VA.), Thomas (Colo }
Underwood (Ala.). Walsh (Mass), and
williams Miss. lis.
Democratic Mixture L. Sad.
This combination shows among the
Republicans the extreme limit OF the
strength Of the irreconcilable element.
Out OF II It Is quite possible that a few
Senators may accept the reservations as
Dufflcient to Justify favorable vote.
The Democratic list presents q sad mix
ture. About dozen OF the list are
Democrats to whom the President d
faintest whisper is all law, human, moral
and divine. The remainder of the group
are either irreconcilable opponents OF
tho whole pact and covenant, like SEN
ator Reed (Mo). or men who sec grave
dangers In certain phases OF the situa-
tion which the treaty will create In the
| world, as does Senator Thomas (Colo. },
with regard to the labor clauses
Tho hight on the reservations In ths
open Senate soon will be under way.
There 10 a strong probability that before
adjournment tomorrow the johnson
amendment. framed TO equalize tho vot.
ing strength OF the United States and
Great Britain In the assembly of this
League OF Nations, admittedly the most
popular OF all the textual amendments
will have been voted upon. The John
son amendment is destined to meet de-
feat by q narrow margin When the
vote comes II will find the following
Republican Senators voting against L.
Senators McCumber IN. d., McNary
(Ore). Nelson (Minn). Hale (Me.)
Keyes IN. H.. Colt (R. I) and Edge
IN. j..
The Democratic votes which win bt
cast for the johnson amendment are
only four: Senators Reed (Mo.), Shields
(Tenn.). Gore (Okla.) and Walsh
(Mass.). They will bring the total num-
Der OF favorable votes up TO 90. whereas
II ~ a. ~