The St. Johns herald., 1919-01-02
INCREASE . FOOD EXPORTS
 America Called on by End Oi War to Supply Added Millions.
;ECON0MY STILL NEEDED
Over Three Times Pre-War Shipments Required-Situation in Wheat and Fats Proves Governments
 Policy Sound.

g With the guns in Europe sIIenced, we have now to consider a new world food situation. But there can be no hope that the volume of our exports can be frightened to the slightest de- gree with the cessation of hostilities Millions of people liberated from the Prussian yoke are now depending upon us for the food which will keep them from starvation.
 With food the United States made it possible for the forces of demOc- racy to hold out to victory. To insure ; democracy in the world, we must con- tinue to live simply in order that we may supply these liberated nations of Europe with food. Hunger among a people inevitably breeds anarchy. American food must complete the work of making the world safe for democ- racy.
 Last year we sent 11,82O,OOO tons of food to Europe. For the present year. with only the European Allies to feed, we had originally pledged ourselves 10 a program that would have increased our exports to 17,5OO,OO0 tons. Now, to feed the liberated nations, we will have to export a total of not less than 20,000,000 practically the limit of loading capacity at our ports. Re viewing the world food situation, we find that some foods will be Obtainable in quantities sufficient to meet all world needs under a regime of eco- nomicaI consumption. On the other hand, there will be marked world SA ortages in some important commodi- lIes.
 Return to Normal Bread Loaf.
 With the enlarged wheat crops which American farmers have grown, and the supplies of Australia, the Ar genuine and other markets now acces- sible to shipping, there. are bread grains enough to enable the nations to return to their normal wheat loaf, provided we continue to mill flour ar a high percentage of extraction and maintain economy in eating and the avoidance of waste.
 In fats there will be a heavy short age about 3,OOO,OOO,OOO pounds - in pork products, dairy products and vegetable oils While there will be shortage of about three million tons in rich protein feeds for dairy ami mals, there will be sufficient supplies of other feedstuffs to allow economical consumption.
 In the matter of beef the worlds supplies are limited to the capacity of the available refrigerating ships. The supplies of beef in Australia, the Ar genuine and the United States are suf- ficient to load these ships. There will be a shortage in the importing coun- tries, but we cannot hope to expand exports materially for the next months in view of the bottle neck in trans portation.
 We will have a sufficient supply of sugar to allow normal consumption in this country if the other nations re- tain their present short rations or in- crease them only slightly. For the countries of Europe, however, to in- crease their present ratiOns to a ma terial extent will necessitate our shar- ing a part of our own supplies with them.
 Twenty Million Tons of Food.
 Of the world total, North America will furnish more than 60 per cent. The United States, including the West Indies, will be called upon to furnish 20,000,000 tons of food of all kinds as compared with our pre-war exports of about 100000 tons.
 While we will be able to change our program in many respects, even casual survey of the world supplies in comparison to world demands shows exclusively that Europe will know famine unless the American people bring their home consumption down to the barest minimum that will main tain health and strength
 There are conditions of famine in Europe that will be beyond our power to remedy. There are 40,000,OO0 peo- pie in North Russia whom there is small chance of reaching with food this winter Their transportation is demOralized in complete anarchy, and SLiOIIly Aidiy OA IAelI pOTtS VIII De frozen, even if internal transport could be realized.
 To PreoerVe Civilization.
 At this moment Germany has not alone sucked the food and animals from all those masses of people she has dominated and left starving, but she has left behind her a total wreck age of social institutions, and this mass of people is now confronted with absolute anarchy.
 If we value our own safety and the social organization of the world, if we value the preservation of civilization