The midland journal. (Rising Sun, Md.) 1885-1947, 1919-06-13
NEED 470,0O0,000
|. BUSHELS OF GRAIN
What Europe Expects From
This Country This Year
HOOVER HAS MADE A SURVEY
Tendency To Eat More Bread And Less
OF The Expensive Meats And
Fats-Fine Promises For The
Crop In United States.


Paris.-A preliminary survey Of the
import necessities of Europe, except
Russia, shows that the area will need
700,000,000 bushels of wheat and rye
at minimum of $4,000, 900 bushels
as possible maximum. Herbert G..
Hoover, the head of the Allied Relief
Organization, said in statement just
issued. The export surplus of wheat
and rye from the larger exporting coun-
tries indicate that the need of Europe
can be met. Mr.. Hoover estimates the
exports of the United States at AGO.
100000 bushels.
Through our Organization and in
cooperation with the various Govern
ments,'' the statement says I'VE have
completed preliminary survey Of the
food prospects Of Europe and the i'm
port necessities, outside Russia, for the
harvest year beginning August and
the worlds supplies available to. meet
these needs.
I'VE estimate the total prospective
European yield of wheat and rye out
side Russia as of May 1, after deduct
ing seed, at $50, 100000 bushels. This
indicates crop Of about n per cent.
of pre-war normal. The pre-war con
sumption, outside Of seed, was about
2,500,000,000 bushels, indicating a net
import of about 950,0O0,000 bushels if
consumption were normal next year.
The somewhat diminished populations
and the diminished buying power mill
tate against full normal consumption,
but the least possible consumption
with the maintenance of public health
we estimate at. $3.50, 100000 bushels or
an import OH minimum basis of about
7O0,00O,000 bushels.
"The consumption necessarily will
be to great degree, factor of the
financial recuperation and ability to
pay for imports, and is also Influenced
by the tendency to eat more bread and
less of the more expensive meat and
fats. Restriction of consumption will
require continuation of the rigid con
troll of distribution. People everywhere
are sick of rations and every state will
make supreme effort to get from I'M
der this blight. Some countries, there
fore. will get away from the minimum
SO that an import demand of S5O,O00
900 bushels is possible.
THE present stocks and crop condi
tons in the larger exporting countries
would indicate that there should be in
the coming harvest year an export sur
plus of wheat and rye of from $40 ,000-
900 bushels to 970,0O0,000 bushels but
of this other countries than Europe
require about 10O,0O0,OO0 bushels, leav
ing the supply of from 770,000,000
bushels to $4,000, 900 available for Eu
rope.
1.-THE consumption in the United
States has increased to an extraordi
nary degree in the year. From the
1918 crop of wheat and rye we will
export about 27O,OO0,000 bushels and
as the 1919 crop promises at least ZOO,
100000 bushels larger than 1918. it
seems that we can export at the pres
ent rate of consumption about 40 1000
600 bushels. The minimum export sur
plus from Canada, Argentina, Australia
and minor countries may be estimated
at 400,O00.000 bushels, while Russia
and India may be considered out Of
the export list next year.