The Washington herald., 1918-06-06
Peace Prospects Distant,
Correspondent Contends
Until Allies Score Crushing Victory By Means
Of Full American Strength Lyon Thinks
Hun Will Remain Obstinate

the destruction of the French and
British armies. Therefore, Ger
many Is not in position to dictate
terms.
3. The allies are now, with the help
of America, the equal Of the Germans
on the Western front in men, guns
and munitions. The morale of the
allies is vastly higher. Americas food
storehouses are keeping the allied
populations from hunger, while there
is dire suffering in the Teutonic coun-
tries.
J. Every day now sees the arrival in
France of more American troops, and
every day will see the allies grow
stronger. 1t does not appear likely,
then. that the allies would be willing
to end the war on terms favorable to
Germany when, by holding on until
America gets here ''in crushing force"
there will be the certain prospect of
victory and peace on allied terms.
5. On the other hand Germany would
appear to have reason for not want
ing to stop the war now. The coming
of the Americans in much larger num-
bers, of course, is a real menace to
German hopes of a great military
victory, but balanced against this is
the fact that she has put Russia and
Rumania out of the war. With a
prospect Of staving of starvation
among its civilian population, the
German military dictatorship undoubt-
edly figures that its armies can cope
with any opposition in the field.
"Crushing Victory" Slow.
6. 1t does not appear that the allies
are able to score a complete military
victory over Germany. This would
imply the breaking Of the German
line in the West. To convince Ger
many she was licked it would be
necessary to push her back across
her own borders.
7. The crushing victory" over Ger
many will likely come only after
America has from 100000 to 100000
bayonets in the line, and has turned
the weight of numbers so overwhelm-
ingly in the allies favor that Ger
many cannot withstand the offensive
the allies are certain to make. 1t
will be many months before the Amer
leans are here in sufficient numbers
to justify such a push"
8. America is in no mood now to
terminate the war on any terms that
do not mean the complete defeat of
Germany.
Therefore, all these things consid-
cred, it would look as il the war
must go on for a long time.
1t must be borne in mind, how
ever, that something may happen
any time, within the central pow
ers. that would cause Germany sim
cerely to seek peace.
Austria-Hungary is said to be
seething with sentiment for peace.
Emperor Karl has been sensible for
a long time to the growing dis
content among his people over the
war.
If the allies should be able to
drive a diplomatic wedge between
Germany and Austria, the damage
to Germany would be incalculabIe.
This prospect, however. is not a
good one to build hopes upon.
o. 8. Helps Morale.
AS against the possible break
ing up of the Teutonic alliance.
the allies were never closer in
aims and purposes than today.
After months of patient waiting.
France and Great Britain are now
seeing the first worthwhile milf
tary results of Americas partici-
patton in the war in the daily ar
rival Of new troops to help in the
night. This has done more than
anything else to buck them up and
make them confident Of ultimate
victory. =,
The allies are determined on a
finish fight, and nothing but a
cold Knockout for Germany will
satisfy them. =.