The Washington herald., 1918-07-21
LIFE FACTS OF
FOE PEOPLES
.PROVEDEFEAT
Lowered Birth Rate Means
Struggle Cannot Last
Two Years.
BRITISH THRIVE In WAR
Marriage Rate Is Index Of
High Morale Of
Nation.

Astounding proof that the founda-
tions of the Central Powers are now
rapidly crumbIing and that the NOR
ale of their civilian populations can
not Withstand the ravages of war
more than, two years longer was dis-
closed yesterday by DIR. Raymond
Pearl, statistician of the Food Ad-
minfstration.
Through comparison Of data gather
ed by agents OF The allied govern
ments and the United States, scien-
lists have established the following
conclusions:
The net decrease in birth rate in
1871 was IS per cent in Germany and
81 per cent in Hungary.
The net decrease in England and
France was "a per cent.
Germany's loss in population was
per 100000 and Englands 10000
per 100000.
The marriage rate in England
showed a marked increase, but the
rate in the Central Powers declined
sharply.
A great decrease in the mortality
rate in England, coupled with the in
creased marriage rate, will result in
a net increase in population m the
British Isles as a result of the war.
War greatly increases the death
rate among all persons OF 70 years
or over. owing to worry and nervous
excitement.
The marriage rate of any country
Is the surest indication Of the morale
Of the nation.
War Saves as Well as Kills.
Deaths among the soldiers of all
nations. with the possible exception
| Of Germany. are no greater than II
the men were in civil life, owing to
the improved health conditions.
In discussing the length of the war
as indicated by the statistics of de-
creasing morale, DR.. Pearl said:
The high death rate in the terri
tories Of the Central Powers, the food
| difficulties, and the ever-increasing
menace of the allies combine to indi-
cate that Germany and Austria
Hungary can not sustain their war
EFFORT more than two years. Now is
the time for Germany to conclude
peace and gain what she can from
the wreckage. For the same reason,
now is the time for the allies to be-
gin their effort which will crush for
at least century any desire on the
part of the German people to impose
their will upon smaller nations.
German Machine ,CrumbIing.
The reports of the shortage of
raw material. of insufficient labor
for farm work and of low morale
among the civilians clearly show
that the great German machine is
rapidly weakening. Her people have
maintained what courage they have
through the stimulus of repeated
map victories. A sudden cessation
OF the war will be urged and per-
haps compiled by the Social Demo-
Gratis of the Central Powers soon
after the allies assume the often-
sive on a great scale on all fronts.
IF the German armies laid down
their arms today their political
leaders woVld have still an oppor-
tunity to virtually win the war
through winning material conces-
sions relative to Russia and Gen.
trail Europe. II the Junkers. re-
main in power. however, and the
crown prince can continue his head
long policy, the allies will, be, able
to iniiict punishment which will
break the militarist desires of
Germany for generations to come.
History repeats itself, and figures
OF the losses endured by nations in
other wars give clearly the course
OF the present trend. Germany can
not win TIM war on the battle-
sald." ..--I