The Sentinel=record., 1918-02-02
HOPED ID PARALYSE
 ALL NEUTRAL SHIPPING
Plans Were That England Would Be Starved Out in Six Months,-An- other Reason for Inauguration of Submarine Police Was the Threat many.

Amsterdam, Feb. 1.--The Handels- blad today publishes a series of docu- ments obtained secretly from German archives showing the steps which led to the adoption by Germany of her unrestrictd submarine campaign year ago. The following is sum- mary of the documents.
 At the close of 1915 the German admiralty prepared memorandum to show that unrestricted U-boat war fare would compel Great Britain to sue for peace within six months. The wording of this memorandum indi- cates that the admiralty already had decided to adopt the intensified war fare, but desired to convince the em- peror, the imperial chancellor and the foreign office of the certainty of the good results on economic and general grounds rather than on merely mili- 1ary grounds Accordingly the memo- randum based its arguments on statis- ties of food prices, freight and in- surance rates in Great Britain It pointed out the effects which even the restricted submarine war had shown on prices of the essential commodities, on the balance of trade and on the morale of the English people and deduced from this with un- restricted warfare England could hold out only short period over these factors.
 The memorandum first was sub mitted to Dr. von Bethmann-H -Hollweg. the imperial chancellor and then to Dr. Karl Helfferlch, vice chancellor. The latter rejected it on the ground that 1t was impossible to set a limit on England's staying power and the absence of authentic estimates of her stocks on hand and also because he feared the action which would re. suit from neutrals, especially the United States.
 The authors of the memorandum then sent reply in which they point ed out the gravity of the internal situation in Germany and assured pr. Helfferich that a desperate remedy was necessary. They reinforced their arguments as to the seriousness of the internal state of affairs by calling in nine experts, representing German finance. commerce. mining and agri- culture 10 reply to three questions: First, what would b the effect on Eng land of an unrestricted submarine war; second. what would be the eff feet on Germany's relation with the United States and other neutrals and third, to what extent did the internal situation of Germany demand the use of this drastic weapon.
 All the experts agreed on tho first | point that England would have to sue for peace in six months at most. One : said Englands supply of foodstufrs was smaller than in peace times and | therefore a ruthless warfare would encompass the parpose in three , months. Another asserted England position was virtually vulnrabl ow- ing to her dependence on foreign | capital and the absence of a spirit oi 1 self-sacrifice among the English peo-
 pie. lie therefore thought six months was an excessive estimate.
 On the second question, Pau Reusch, Prussian councillor of com merce, said.
 "The neutrals despise our restricted submarine warfare. Every ship il 1 British waters, enemy or neutral should he torpedoed without warning The world only respects those who il 8 great crisis know how to make tn,
 most interruptions use of their power 1 Germanys position in the world mar !, ket after tie war will be all tn,
 stronger for her having convinced tn
 world of her power"
 k. Schmidt, representing the Ger
 man agricultural council. said
 "l have no fears about America