Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1918-10-13
BY FRANK H. s1MoNDs.

Copyright, 1918, New York Tribune, -1nc.)
TOR three months, ever since
II Foch launched Mangin in the
decisive counter thrust south
of Scissors, our armies, the
armies of all the nations fight
ing Germany. have been marching
from victory to victory. Since Napo-
leon was defeated at Leipsic, CEN
fury ago. there has been no such
anna zing transformation in military
history as we have seen in something
less than a hundred days.
AS a consequence of military events
and the resulting peace offensives.
both Austrian and German, there has
developed everywhere, but particular
ly in this country, where there has
been no such series of disappoint-
ments as have tempered European or
timism in the past four years. a quick
ly mounting conviction that the war
is rapidly coming to an end and that
the present will prove the last cam
paign.
On the face of the military situation
as it now exists this belief seems to
me unWarranted, and I purpose in this
al lISlS " lay STRESS upon tHe military
reasons why it seems inevitable, on
the basis of things as they now APP
pear, that there will be one more
campaign. and campaign likely to
make a supreme demand alike upon
the human. the material and the mo-
raj resources of the nations at war;
Chances so to Against Decision.
1t is we'll to recognize at the outset
THAI there twists a still
patent chance that the German armies
may in the two or three weeks left
for active campaigning be decisively
defeated. meet a colossal Waterloo or
Sedan. Marshal Foch is unquestiona-
bly, striving for decisive victory.
win-the-war success, exactly like that
sought by Ludendorff in the opening
months of the campaign. Under the
terrific pressure which is being ex-
erted German military strength may
believe there is one chance in fifty
of such a collapse. given the prac-
teal certainty that within three
weeks the weather conditions will
place final veto on further general
offensive movements. If we had two
would be even, but we have. perhaps.
no more than a fortnight.
In the same fashion political de-
velopments between November and
March may make further fighting I'M
necessary. Germany may surrender:
she may offer the same proposals
which have been accepted from Bal
garia and she may be forced TO offer
such terms because of internal condl-
lions, concerning which we are at
| best only imperfectly informed. Again,
it seems to me that such a surrender
is almost out of the reckoning. but
not quite. and. of course. if Germany
surrenders there will be no more
fighting.
Surrender of Huns Is Demanded.
But we have to face the situation
which we have deliberately created.
AS a nation we have said. and We
have meant, that short of a German
Surrender we will not make peace
demonstrated that we mean to con-
tinue the battle until the capacity of
the German army for resistance is
exhausted, until the German people
are compelled to recognize that the
doctrine of force invoked by them at
the outset is altogether false. that
their army cannot conquer the world,
that it is not even strong enough to
defend Germany herself against the
collective strength of aroused clvlll-
cation.
This means. if it means anything,
tndC SNOTl VI Tic uSotA oNSAoAh "
man military power by a victorious
battle, or series of battles, peace can
only be attained by the unconditional
surrender of the German people to
the will of the nations which are
now at war with them, a complete
resignation of all power to resist, an
unoualified consent to accept, when
their armies have been demobillzed
and their conquered provinces evac-
uated, the decisions of their enemies
in the matter of the payments for
mast crimes and the guarantees for
| the future safety of the world.
What Surrender Means to Huns.
In sum, Germany must resign not
merely her grandiose dreams Of Nit
! teleuropa, not merely her domination
Of Russia, still continuing. but she
must resign in the world, for the
present, that position which has been
created by a long series of agrees
siye wars and has enabled her from
the treaty Of Frankfort to that of
Brest-Litovsh to dominate European
counsels. She must see the economic
edifice which she created in Europe
and out of it. at the expense of her
neighbors and by the use of threats
and blackmail, propaganda and cor
ruption, demolished. She must con-
sent to return to many of the condi-
tions existing before the Franco
! Prussian war politically, and in a
sense economically, and she must
consent to have her future, during
the period of the new settlement, de-