davidaulloa/AmericanStories huggingface dataset:
New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1918-10-27
Iun Factories Are
IL Falling Down

Now, very considerable superiority
of material is against him. and it is es-
sential to meet this superiority as best
he can. He fails to meet it sufficiently,
and he fails to meet it because, for some
reason, factories are not giving the out
put which they were few months ago.
The thing may be due to the combing out
of men to the necessities of the line, or
it may be due to labor troubles or the
physical condition produced by the long
blockade, or some dearth in necessary
war material Again you have this final
factor: the numbers and conditions of
the enemy divisions.
AZ short time ago as last April, per-
haps even up to the month Of June, though
TINS is doubtful, when you discovered
certain number of German divisions on
the Western front, it was safe to multi
ply the number by $4,000 to obtain the
total enemy present and multiply by
''Vo0 to obtain the total infantry. This
was especially the case when he was at
'acAlng; for instance: fifteen divisions
New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1918-10-27
TT ow Deeply Has Prusslan
IL Prestige Been Shaken?

Two things must be said in conclusion
while speaking of these lines.
First, the whole situation is modified by
the factor about which we have imperfect
lnformation-the internal political situa
ton of the various German peoples which
for about generation have accepted the
domination of Prussia. We don't know
to what extent either the shaking OF
Prusslan prestige aroused local feeling
IN the various states, nor how far class
feeling, which was very strong and bitter
IN industrial centres, has been accen-
tuated by the misfortunes of the war.
We know the domestic situation in the
German empire went through a bad crisis
few days ago, but do not know the de-
gree of its severity, nor whether il is
continuing.
Second, all talk Of holding a line short
enough to be held by the reduced forces
of the enemy is modified and conditioned
by the actual increase in the Allied forces
through American recruitment and I'M
ceaslng depletion in the enemy forces
'',-N'A WI SiiiuSo JOoC DIS IUuCn Wnen ne has
railied-if he can rally-upon the line
as 1t now does in war movement.
Ever since July 10 the enemy has oc
cupled a shortening line, but never sue
ceeded IN shortening it sufficiently to
make up the rate of loss The ton re-
ducton of two great salients-Amicns
and the Marine, for misunderstood him
quite fifty miles of front, but cost more
than an equivalent number of men. and
that process of condemning him 10 the
loss of men at a higher rate than the cor
responding length of line continues nit.
lessly.
hazard guess, though prophecy is
always out of place with campaign in
progress, that the enemy won't be able 70
stand permanently on any line. Odds arc
IN favor of the suppostion, and perhan.
II we could see the internal condition ~
the German people and the army wo
would heavily favor it.
New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1918-10-27

what Germany has lost since August, 1914.
Her colonial empire in Africa and the
Pacific has gone, with her naval station in
China.
Her projects in the Near East are shat
tered forever and her Bagdad railway is in
other hands
Her prestige in the Balkans has disap-
peared, with Ferdinand of Bulgaria and
Constantine of Greece, her vassal kings
She no longer has voice in the dis
posal of Constantinope.
Her ally, AUSTRIA Hungary, is faced by
dismemberment, and the Magyar-Teuton
partnership is broken
Her criminal conspiracics III the United
States are exposed and defeated. Her
financial interests here and in Brazil as
we'll as throughout the allied empires, are
sequestered and alienated from her
She has against her an unshakabc com
bination of free peoples, controlling the en-
tire resources of the world and able to
cut her off from food and raw materials
for an indefinite period by means Of naval
predominance, in which the French. jap
AieSe, llailan, bfltlSh and American fleets
are associated under one command When
the war started the naval strength was
three to one against the Kaiser 1t is now
ten to one-in fact, incalculabe Her only
hope is in Russian supplies, and in this
hope she is already disappointed.
Before the war she was building I'd a
magnificent foreign trade and acquiring
interests of every kind in every country.
Her trade is now nil. Even if she be al
lowed to purchase raw materials her paper
is so deprecated that her exchanges will
be almost unmanageable. Thoroughly
awakened to the position, the Allies will
find capital for enterprises hitherto
financed by Germany. and for many Years
public resentment viii retard her com
mcrcial recovery.
OF her 100000 tons of mercantile ma
rine at least half mas disappeared And
n the United States, which has been her
hope OF industrial expansion, new com
pctItor has arisen on the ocean
Last but not east. having been promised
short war, she IS corrugated by fifth
winter Even Denmark is not afraid to
New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1918-10-27

Correspondent for "7he London Daily
NeUS"
W 7 is clear that the war is not yet over.
propose, therefore, to deal with the
H. nsidious argument that, however ter
rbe may be the loss and bloodshed
involved, the struggle will end in stale
mate. In Britain, this has been the con-
tention of many people; it is worth ex
aiming.
Bismarck warned his countrymen against
any war on two fronts. In 1914 the Kaiser
took chance, calculating that the forces
would be:
Germany, 7ooOo,oOo; Austria Hungary,
50,0O0,0o0; total, 12O,ooo,ooo
Russia, 175oOo,ooo; France, 40ooo,ooo;
total, 2150Oo,ooO.
With Russia scattered and disorganized,
Germany hoped to strike down France
while Austria Hungary drove a road to
Salonica That situation meant q victory
for the Central Powers
and the comparison worked out thus:
Germany, 100000; Austria Hungary,
50,ooooOO; Turkey, 100000; Bulgaria, s.,
100000; total, 145.oO0.OOo.
Russia 175 900, 900; France 10000, 900;
Great Britain, $4,000, 900; Italy 36,o0Oooo;
Belgium, 100000; Serbia, 5,0O0,oO0; total,
3os,oo0,OO0
For the moment | enclose only those
countries within easy striking distance.
Already Germany's calculations were up
set The balance against her was still
two to one, but the forces on the Western
front we're trcblcd.
Russia was then knocked out and the
balance became:
Germany 10000 900; Austria Hungary,
100000; Turkey, 81 100000 Bulgaria, S.
100000; total 146,O00oO0.
Allies, as before. emitting Russia. 1S3,-
100000: Greece, 5000 600; Portugal, $780,
600; total, IA 100000.
Despite the reinforcement of Greece and
Portugal, the European balance of man
New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1918-10-27
; hun, Under 1ncessant Hammerng Can Find No Res
He Cannot Shorten His Line
Sufficiently to Make
Up the Losses
Special Cable Dispatch to The Tribune
Copyright, 1918, New York Tribune Inc.

plete and reluctantly adopted change OF
plan. But granted that the enemy can
hardly choose his own new line, he hardly
knows, and we certainly do not know,
where the attempted rally will come,
though we can at any rate study the
facts.
AS every one knows, it is the special
task of dwindling forces III the face of an
increasingly superior attack to seek the
shortest line. Ideally, the shortest line
supposing the enemy could retire to it
without dissolution in progress-is the
line covering Liege and going over the
high bare hills of eastern Ardennes,
which is called "Hause Fagne," and so
down, covering Luxembourg, Thionville
and Metz to join the present front before
Nancy
New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1918-10-27
Her Allies Can No Longer
4 Help Her

The position to-day is that Turkey, Bull
garia and Austria Hungary are unable TO
assist Germany further, save by "contain-
ing" certain number Of victorious troops
on the Danube, the Euphrates and in Pales-
tine. I will calculate that the Italian army
is fair equivalent to this factor, and
will also omit the Greek and Serbian
forces. This means that on her last stand
Germany is thus confronted with the fol-
lowing statistics:
Germany, 7OO0o,oOo
France, 4o,0Oo,Ooo; Britain and Domin-
ions, 81 ,0oO,O0O Belgium 1000 ,OOO Portu-
gal, 100000; L. s. A., 100000 600; total
224, 100000.
This takes no account of 45,o00,0 600 in
Frances colonial possessions. Two things
have therefore happencd: First, the balance
of man power has risen to 8 to against
Germany, and, second, the balance so rcck-
oned is concentrated upon the actual Ger
man frontier.
1t is reasonable to suppose that Turkey
and Austria Hungary will collapse shortly,
so that in any prolongation Of the war
the tendency would be for Italian and other
troops to be released for use against the
Fatherland striking her on the Western
front, or after passage through Austria
Hungary With the advance OF the armies
commanded by Foch it is also possible
that the instructions in Poland, Bohemia
and the Baltic provinces may cause en-
barras sment to Prussia.
The size Of armies now available for the
New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1918-10-27
All Talk of a Stalemate Is Out of Order

power was thus actually in favor Of Ger
many and her accomplices. 1t is true that
Russia, before surrendering, had exactcd
heavy toll and that many "Austrian" sol
diers were half-hearted, but on the other
side of the account was the German occu-
patton of Serbia Belgium and Northern
France, andy the limited contributions of
Ireland and Portugal. The white popula-
ton Of the British Empire, outside Europe,
is only 16,oOO,OOO, and contingent of L.
$1,000 from these dominons barely saved
the situation as it had developed in March,
when the German drive began
New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1918-10-27
LIS Terrific Loss
Ill in Guns
"WO things we must do in the pres
cnt phase of the campaign in
- order to understand it.

Again, of his available artillery in the
west a third has disappeared in three
months; in other words, he is losing guns
by capture and use at rate well over
100 per cent year. His factories, even
under conditions of the fullest efficiency,
which they reached and passed (for they
are now declining) about year ago,
cannot replace one-half that rate of vast
age. If you are losing more than 10 per
cent Of guns every month you cannot
make good. There is in this connection
another curious phenomenon, which ] dc
not attempt to explain, though | have
been assured on authority that it exists
No one has told me its causes. That
phenomenon is, for the moment at least,
the dearth in the enemys supply. Of
course, vast captures of munitions dur
ing the reduction of the great salients in
the summer and the less important cap
lures during t he subsequent advances
hardly account for the singular fact that
the enemy delivery of shells is apparently
declining In the earlier part of the
war similar phenomenon was obscrva-
bic, especially on the Eastern front, from
time to time. This was due to two facts
thoroughly recognized by the Entente:
That the Allies in the east were so badly
munitioned that the enemy could afford
occasional luls on his side, and such lulls
were only allowed in order to accumulate
further stores of shells. Therefore, there
was an intensive delivery at the end of
each period of repose. Even when smaller
luls occurred on the Western front there
was a second pause of sufficient time to
account for them In other words, the
production of shells within the Central
Empires was amply sufficient. But to-day
no such explanation is available. To-day
the enemy is under the acute necessity of
developing all counter battery work he
can.
New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1918-10-27

roundabout lateral communications which
we were then compelled by the loss OF
the Amiens railway to use.
As a consequence the British army
only held the enemy thrust from April
to 10 with great difficulty. The French
reserve division could not arrive until!
the third or fourth day Of the battle, and
even then necessarily arrived in an ex-
hausted condition.
The tables are now turned and we are
compelling the enemy to go through pre-
cisely the same perilous, weakening
maneuvre.
Having appreciated that this rapid
diminution in numbers is essential to the
present situation, let US turn our atten-
ton to the lines upon which the enemy
may stand.
First, it must be promised that no
known line exists, nothing corresponding
to the elaborate Hindenburg system
which was thoroughly reconnoitred from
the air and photographed in detail be-
fore the enemy fell back. Upon what
ever line the enemy elects to stand it
cannot be line of such strength as the
old works, and, what is more, hardly u
line of entirely his own choice. The
war has become a war of movement He
never knows where the next heavy blow
will fall Every time blow has fallen,
from September 26 onward, when Gou-
raud and the Americans struck the other
side of Argonne, the enemy has been
compelled to make a new disposition Of
men, not from choice, but under COM
pulsion.
New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1918-10-27

"WO things we must do in the pres
cnt phase of the campaign in
order to understand it.
First-Grasp the fact that the
disposition of troops is counting less and
less as time goes on and enemy wastage
is counting more and more
Sccond-Grasp the nature of the lines
unon which the enemy's reduced forces
may attempt to stand.
The Importance of the first principle,
in lieu of the fact that the enemy's pres
ent defeat has been continuous and pro-
gressive, is the thing to be watched and
calculated, not so much in ground as in
numbers. If he can get back to the pre-
pared line with plenty of water defence
ground may come again into Importance
for period longer than we expect, though
shorter than he hopes, as we shall
see in a moments study of such possible
lines which are of value. But still the
dominating element now is numbers.
Certain figures with which readers are
already familiar will bear repetition, for
they are the soul of the business. The
enemy has not many infantry divisions
on the Western front. He has lost in
the last three months at a rate something
not far short of a quarter of million a
month--at any rate, zoo, 900, for he has
lost prisoners alone at rate of more
than 100000 month.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

1t Is estimated by the inspection
committee of the Red Cross, in charge
of the shipment of Christmas parcels
to soldiers overseas, that so boxes
bearing labels sent from soldiers
In France have been shipped.
Besides this number. 20 huve been
shipped which bear labels issued by
the office here because of the noh-ai :
rival Of labels from overseas. The
committee urges all who intend send
ing packages to near relatives and
who have not received labels to con-
suit the Red Cross immediately.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
Umatilla May Have y, NJ. c. 4.

Cmatlla county may have a Y. n
c. \. unit, according to plan of the
association which is organizing Tor
the eventual establishment Of units IN
every county In Oregon and Idaho.
The organization of the units is sim-
pile Funds are supplied by local In,
terested persons and "a secretary is
provided whose duty it is to organize
clubs within the county voluntary
leadership is developed in each club,
the leader being responsible 10 the
county secretary. who in turn is re'
sponsibie to the head secretary at
Portland.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
sixth Junior I,alnbow regiment.

The sixth jnni0r rainbow regiment
Is now being organized in oregon, an
uuunces J. A. Churchill. state Su-
perintendent OF Instruction. All
school children are eligible for mem
bership In this regiment. The re-
quirement Is that they purchase or
cause the sale of $50 in War savings
Stamps. Many of the children OF
Irmatilla county have earned certifi-
Gates of membership in the other reg
imerts and win doubtless do the same
IN the new regiment.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
news NOTES OF PENDLETON

tration yesterday, and which win af-
feet the stores of this state. The
kind OF sugar for some past has been
restricted to the use OF bakers and
for manufacturing purposes. The two
ounce limit for bread served In res
taurants and public eating houses still
continues Bread garnitures for meat
are prohibited and no bread is per-
mitted to be placed on the table be-
fore the first course is served.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
WIN Rc IIcrc for Winter.

Mrs. r. NJ Henderson, formerly of
this city. who has been in. Calgary,
Canada. with her husband, DR.. Hen
derson, expects to leave there today
and arrive in Pendleton on sunday
to spend the winter here. She is
quite recovered from an attack Of
Spanish influenza. Her daughter.
Miss Dorothy Henderson, is IN Pen
dleton attending school
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

Bishop Thomas, of the Episcopal
church, is in Pendleton today from
cheyenne. Wyoming, on his way to
Spokane. where he will attend con-
ference of western bishops. There
will be several representatives of the
Episcopal church present at the con-
ference.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
watch influenza Cases.

j. A. Churchill, state superintendent
lof instruction. is calling upon all tea
chers Of the state to take extra pre-
cautions for the prevention Of scholars
from influenza, and TO keep sharp
lookout for symptoms of the disease
among the children. BY special care
on the part of teachers in this way in
schools that are open or may be
opened much can be done toward pre-
venting further outbreak OF the dis
ease.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
sexton Appreciated.

Showing an appreciation "a of the
services OF Peter Bellono as sexton of
Olney cemetery the city council last
night voted that beginning with De-
cember /. the salary of the sexton
be raised from $50 per month to $50
a month. In making the motion
Councilman Taylor paid Bellono a
high compliment in praislng him for
his attention to the work and saying
that he had not asked for the in
crease
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
Morc War orders Revoked.

+. I. Prowp. county clerk, has re-
ceiyed notice from the war Industries
board that certain regHlatiops per-
tHipms to the issuing OF explosive Ii
censes have been revoked. Under this
ruling il was necessary 10 secure a
license in order TO purchase any Of the
ingredients that so into the manufac-
'tBre Of explosives. A license was als1
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

The members of the Phoenix club,
girls organization of Pendleton are
planning to make a MERRY Christ
mas" for n destitute family Of this
city The club has the funds on hand
and Will use 1t for the social service
work.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
snn.InI Rntc GIren soIdlers.

1erfeetiye next Tuesday, the railroad
administration has authorized a rate
for discharged soldiers returning TO
tho point from which they started
when inducted into service. Of two.
thirds OF the one way rate That Il
III effect a rate or cents a mile for
the actual distance travelled. For
sleeping car accommodations the fare
win be increased either s 1-2 per cent
or 10 and 2-S per cent according to
whether tourist or standard sleeping
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

Twenty-three patients are reported
at the Spanish influenza emergency
hospital today with two Of the cases
serious and the rest convalescing or at
tackled with light form Of the dis
ease. Since the opening of the hos
pital. the number has ranged daily
from 20 to p patients.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
pasldcs rnl,lcs Wnnlc,l.

The Junior Red Cross Of this coun-
n Is asked in allotment NO. As to
send 1870 bedside tables to northwest
headquarters at once. As these tables
are made In the manual training
classes, it is probable that the tables
win not be made until the lifting OF
the influenza ban permits the resump-
tion OF school.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

Bert Ferguson Of Weston, brother
Of George Ferguson of this city, was
one of the first 500 soldiers honor
ably discharged from service at Camp
Lewis in thesdemobilization plan. He
arrived in Pendleton last night and
expects to 20 to Weston for a short
time before leaving for Iowa to visit
relatives Ferguson went to Camp
Lewis last July.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

a crowd Of local sportsmen appear
ed yesterday ar the Pendleton club
grounds at the west end of Webb
street for practice shoot In prepara-
tion for the regular shoot which will
be held sunday. beginnipg at 8 a. m
They report that the new arrap ce-
ment' II the two sets of,traps has made
3 considerable Improvement.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

Secretary c. E. Roosevelt announces
that the first aid books which ar
rived some time ago. have not been
called for by members of the class
and for this reason they have been
taken to Miss Grace Gilliam's office
in the court house. and may be had
by calling there.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
Mntcr Rhnd Ordinance.

The ordinance for the issuing Of
SEQ oa0 water bonds for the extension
of the Pendleton water system was
passed last evening by the city cOun-
Gil. The bond issue was authorized
hy heavy vote at the November 5
election.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

Roscoe Johnson. well known as
lawyer in Pendleton and Hermiston
died yesterday of Spanish influenza
in Portland at the age of SS. He is
survived by his wife, Mrs. Helen
Morgan johnson. The remains are
at Finley & sons undertaking pariors
awaiting funeral Arrangements.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

All enlistmepts Tor overseas service
In hut and canteen work. nursing.
motor driving, etc. made through the
Red Cross, are suspended. Secretary
c. u. Roosevelt OF the Umatllla Coun-
tv Red Cross received word today to
accept no more enlistments.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

Health Ordinance Amended Before.
There have been other times when
il has been necessary to amend the
health ordinance OF Pendleton. The
first ordinance for the protection Of
the people Of the town was passed IN
1851, according 70 city records avail
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
Mrs. bentley III.

Mrs. Spence Bentley was taken to
st. Anthony's hospital today suffer-
ing with Spanish Influenza. Mr..
Bentley has been in at the hospital for
some time with the disease but is on
the road to recovery.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
MonthIy Allotments CnncclIcd.

Monthly allotments of surgical
dressings for the Red Cross have been
cancelled, according to word received
here today by the Umatilla County
Red Cross from northfest headquar-
ters. w
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22

Bucltwheat flour should not be sold
at lnere than a pre-waY margin and
in no event at a higher margin of
profit than IL to Is per cent. accord
ing to word from the food administra-
ton. This decision has been made,
pending determination of the prop
e. margin that should be allowed
wholesale distributors.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
Sues TO ForccIosc Mortgage.

Pertha Henderson has entered suit
in the circuit court against james and
Minnie b. Spiers for the foreclosure
of a mortgage alleging SS55.S0 due on
same. The complaint asks for 500
attorne,~ fees. Raley & Raley and c.
NJ. White are attorneys for plaintiff.
East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1918-11-22
Bic Film Won Herc.

Albert w. Eden. Pacific Coast rep
resentative. of the Fox Film Co, L. X.
Burke, district representative of the
same company and II. S. johnson, rep
resenting the Select Picture Co. are
here today to consult with the local
picture show managers.