The evening herald. [volume] (Albuquerque, New Mexico) 1914-1922, 1918-01-03
WRITER ON
NAVAL OPERATIONS
WARNS THE PEOPLE
Captain Persius Cannot See Eng
land Starved or Overthrow
by U.boat Operations; Early
Prophets Dumbfounded.
az, a Herald START Correspondent

uB, n Herald start Correspondent
Washington. Jan. i.-Following Is IA
translation Of an article boy capt
persius. thc German writer on naaNl
q ffairs. which appeared iu Ia" ser
liner Tagcblatt November \, W..
Letters asking about n pros
poets Of the submarine war are cun-
stautly reaching me In large number.
Recently their tone has become more
urgent. They express more ana more
an Impotence which MAJ Dee summed
up in the question. When shan ".
have overcome England"
-ThrGdghout Germany the success
vs of uug submarine are watched with
the tcuscst attention. l~Iind"nhufs
said. ON July . The war is won for
| US if We Withstand enemy attacks un-
an tho submarine campaign ha' done
it's work. At no ftr-distaut date our
enemies viii Dee forced 20 suc Tor
| pence our confidence IS dnshakrh
! that our brave armies WI Wllhsi'n"
enemy attacks. The only thing in'h-
ing is the submarine has duEc IT,
work IL Is natural therefore ih''
our ~Iuuriugs constantly turn 20 ib"
I results tl TIC Eh fNAfHih 'N
land that the subject is the constantly
! discussed. ITO long win pur ctcmico
lfnuungc. especially that of Great Brit
ain. last 60 enable them to r"nttno.
the War
Prophets oT Victory -Dumfoundcd.
''rhrrr i- uo ground iHr iWpali'h'-
I'm readers 81 the TtE"hluu Th"y nav"
been steadily warmed since the hcslh
ming Of thr war on commerce on Ecu
ruary Is. l9l5. to observe the ulrh"s
pntieucc We have always p"tuteu
out that leo exaggerated hopes were
| justified and that it entirely dep,hu'u
on the quantity and qualify or i"'
means available when the desired su'l
would come within measurable dlS-
lance. This goal, 1t may be- rcmhrhel'
was never comparable with tlat VIM"
the frcnzied fancies NJ auncNa'lohl"''
Imagined when the restricted cam
paign began. un February j. OF thls
wear. hupes which are ditflcult OF
rcnlization. were raised by an sorts of
tihoughtiess words such as starvation.
'ovcrthrow OF England etc. In ms
enthusiasm mnuy a valiant scribbler
made calculations ON paper "hlVH
were like those OF a certain mlbhiiit'u'
lrhp collector Cf such articles Whl'"
do little service To our country HuN
has a fine collection, winch ihcluu'
quite important names, Now int
urophcts are quite dumofounded nv
matter IS too serious TO he allowed u"
rcmain the subject OF chauNlnIst''
dreams,
n rcflectiug man rejects ahH due''
ton of the starvation ana "Ncrlh'""
OF England. For him he D. cues
tion Is. can We, by diminishing Ehs
fish tonnage induce the Ehshsh W
show thcms.ly"s Inclined al no US
tunt date for a peace which WIZ Dc
,-cc.ut,bi, a., u-" On, Who answers
mis- question hopefully need not at
nn., m, rI,-.cd as AN iucurablc opti-
mist. what reasons are there Tor an
lnuimisu which is to some extent JUS
tifiable'
statistic, NOi %licIiablc.
. rhsr, b. little use m investigating
aatistics of the number Of ships Eng
nnd had available at the beginning o'
no vnr. what the activity of the Nar'7
40 b,V much neutral tonnage Fh'
b,s forced into her service, 20 now
great her losses have been, Ih' lH'
man does not like 90 read figures an"
IN. conscientious expert h ''n'H
b skepiicnl toward them as he a bt'h
200 often deceived iu the curse OF
/ ,hr yNur 80 serious expert VIII lud"y
undertake 90 say n "a tho figures an,
obsnlutely reliable "a knowledge 90
! which ia absolutely necessary lo M
Nestimtc the results OF n submarine
cnmpalpu. thai be- tu say, the inquiries
Of the tonnage nov available for the
euemy. Of tonnage actually destroyed
b of the additions. whether hv purchase
from noutrals, new huildsingS, ct''
D NovcrthclcsH there are various calcu-
|1atIous available complied with note
worthy care, but they cau not claim
40 be absolutely reliable, Statements
by the English have To be accepted
! with cnut.nu. The unrestricted lan-
grage ~ the pres, and the ruJeaNoi
[ to depict the situation a. black to
the general public iu order 60 make
them realize the seriousness ui lht
p situation and 10 make them cvonoWiN'
. lead to r.prrsentations ou which W
! should lay NO value iu our oWn inter
est II We wish 60 avoid false hop's
0 For example. the Ecuuumls' recently
I said that CA January I there wet'
% IA. OO0. OO0 tous available for morcan.
\ Tile purposes. By JulN 7 the lossc'
Z had been about 3.6o0. o00 tons. ~ an.
IA other 5000. 900 are lost by January ]
i9iS, only four would be LEFT at th'
q beginning Of next year, to whicl
q should Ice added i,50o, 0oo ~ newll