The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1916-1920, 1918-10-15
RIVAL LEADERS SEE
HOPE IN REGISTRY
G. o. p. Districts Show Greater
Per Cent. of Women Than
in Democratic Sections.
SOCIALISTS ARE FACTOR
Koenig Analyses Manhattan
Enrolment to the Disad-
vantage Of Tammany.

Political statisticians locked them
selves up yesterday with bunches OF
sharp pencils, big pads. their dope books
and the detailed figures OF the COM
pleted registration for New York city.
II was but natural that the party lean
ings of each particular investigator
should lead him to find something that
was encouraging to his side In the po-
liticsl fight. However. one fact seemed
TO stand out clearly to impartial fig
urers. 1t was that the roseate predic-
tons OF early Democratic prophets
showing anywhere from 275.000 to $780,
900 plurality for Al Smith In New York
city we're merely idle dreams. The votes
are not here to be had.
Another fact was that the registration
OF women in Republican districts was
much larger. proportionately to the
men, than in Democratic districts.
While the Democrats were claiming
to see plurallties ranging from 100000
TO 300, 900 the Republicans declared that
only by wild stretch OF the imagina-
ton could Smith hope to get even as
much as 1900 more votes than Whit
man in the Ave boroughs of the city.
Koenig Feels Satisfied.
This Is the statement Of Samuel s.
Koenig, president Of the Republican
County Committee:
The registration In the Borough OF
Manhattan, from a Republican stand
point. Ia satisfactory, and 1t affords no
Justification for the belief that Mr..
Smith will receive an unusual plurality
in the county.
There are twenty-three Assembly
districts In the county, thirteen Of which
may be classed as Democratic and ten
az Republican. OF the former four were
carried by the Socialists last year. and
Of the latter two are debatable.
THE figures show the registration OF
men in the thirteen Democratic districts
to be 120,640, and in the ten Republic
cess In the thirteen Democratic districts
Of approximately $1,000.
when we consider the registration Of
women, however, we fnd in the thirteen
Democratic districts $3.50, and in the
ten Republican districts 79,65l-a ma
jority Of approximately $4,000.
Thus it is clear that the women
voters have come out in much larger
numbers in Republican than in the
Democratic territory.
THE registration figures Of 1917 AFFORD
even less comfort to the Democratic
party. That year in the thirteen dis
trices the registration was 141.752. and
in the ten Republican districts 113.4S4.
This represents a loss of $1,000 In the
Democratic districts, against a loss of
only $4,000 In the Republican districts"
Wagner Is Much Gratined.
Senator Robert F. Wagner. chairman
of the Tammany general committee, did
not go into detail on the figures.
81 think the registration in New York
city Is very gratifying" ne declared. I'm
my judgment It means tremendous
Democratic vote. / am particularly
gratihed at the large registration Of
women in our county. The women. / am
convinced, will vote the Democratic
ticket. because the Democratic party has
enacted practically all the humanitarian
legislation now upon our statute books.
They will elect Alfred Z. Smith Governor
because he is progressive and friend
OF humanity"
II have no hesitancy In saying that
the registration figures indicate that
Gov. Whitman will surely carry Brook
Ign in the November election" said
Public Service Commissioner +. ]. II.
Kracke. in charge Of the Republican
campaign in that borough. AN
analysis shows that the percentage OF
women to total registration was much
larger in Republican districts than In
the Democratic districts. In the former
the women registrants are from one
third TO one-half less in number than
the men registrants. In many OF the
Republican districts the women almost
equalled the men,"
Present Status of Districts.
In Manhattan the sure Democratic
districts are the First. Second. Third,
Fifth. Twelfth. Fourteenth. Sixteenth.
Eighteenth and Twentieth. The Fourth,
Eighth and Seventeenth. now repre-
scented in the Assembly by Socialists. are
normally Democratic. and the Thir-
teenth. now represented by a Democratic
Assemblyman. IL doubtful. These are
the thirteen upon which the calculations
Of Mr.. Koenig are based.
The sure Republican districts are
tho Seventh. Ninth, Tenth, Eleventh,
Fifteenth, Nineteenth. Twenty-flrst and
Twenty-third The Sixth, captured by
the Socialists for the first time la st
year. is normally Republican. Although
the Twenty-second now has Demo-
cratic Assemblman he won by only a
small margin and while doubtful in n
classification between Republicans and
Democrats is classed with the former