Arizona republican., 1918-09-07
The Factors of the Contest.


 We are not indulging in prediction of result of the democratic for the nomination for nor next Tuesday. It is too cloudy There too many factors in it. There is perhaps majority impression that MT. Coer will receive the nomination. That impression prevailed from the outset, and prob ably out of the understanding that he had back of him the influence of the state administration; that he had a start of at least 5000 votes
 That he has had the aid of that influence is true. but the value of it be measured Governor Hunt always had behind him a great majority of the party that of voters who had fallen into the way voting the democratic ticket and there fore according to President Wilson's definition democrats.
 But there has been considerable change in the per sonnel of democratic voters within the last two II has been marked in the great mining camps where the always received his heaviest sup port. estimated that $500 voters who supported the governor against George A. Olney two years not now in the state The labor turnover in the mines has brought in thousands of voters. many of whom have not acquired the privilege of, voting. Therefore, MT. Colter, whatever he may ceve cannot count upon the Hunt vote of the past. IL may be presumed though that he will receive a great majority of the labor vote practically all the agricultural vote that went to Governor Hunt. He may add it somewhat the of many stockmen
 
 certainly cannot amount to majority of the demo- cratic vote such as Governor Hunt used receive. The question is whether it will amount to bare plurality
 As things have developed recently the campaign has become Hunt and ant-H Hunt campaign. Look ing at it Mir. Osborn and Mir. Sutter will di side between them the so-caled nti-Hunt strength. If that is not great deal stronger than it has been he past equal division of it would mean only the defeat of both candidates But there be con- siderable part of the Hunt vote which not strongly tnchored and may be easily detached. The majority such element would gravitate to Osborn. That would be especially true of the vote in this county in Yuma and in Graham county
 But it is conceded by all that Sutter will carry Cochise county, which has generally been a Hunt stronghold. and that he will receive very consd- erable agricultural anti-Hunt vote in this county which he acquired during the legislative session when led the attack upon the l. w W.
 Coming back to the organized labor vote it is as- stunned that the great bulk of it will go to Colter Is also generally agreed that Osborns it will be only that which be attracted by him personally which would be more easily detached from Colter
 II is also assumed that Sutter will receive con- siderable labor vote for two reasons, the lesser one being the Influence of labor who formerly with him in the mines of the Warren district. But there Is a powerful labor influence his behalf that has been hitherto overlooked-the proposed working mems compensation act At the meeting of tho state federation Miami recently by an over whelming vote the act condemned. But it is pretty well known that that vote by no means fully representative organized labor the cialstic and agitating elements of labor which had control of the convention. There many influential labor especially the miners. who strongly favor the and who feel bitter toward those who have violently opposed it. Some of these leaders and many members have declared in favor of Sutter who has advocated the act
 There is theory but there has been no way to de- termine whether it is than empty theory that the great bulk of the democratic party of the wrangng of the last six years that it desires the restoration of the party quiet basis. That may be so but doubt very much whether the great bulk of the voters of either party particularly about the success of party, enough about it submerge their personal feeling regarding can- ddates and issues which bigger than candidates. The primary system has left the parties empty shells They exist only in tradition
 Coming Closer Home.
 The result of the government mediation in the dis pute between the local butchers and their employees