El Paso herald. (El Paso, Tex.) 1901-1931, 1918-11-04

/ CANTA FE. n. NJ. Nov. 4.-on tn
y eve of an election that is lik'
nothing which has gone before in tn
records Of New Mexico, both of TIT
major parties appear to be certain o.
victory.
Republican. by majorities that ma!
vary from $50 TO 1000. Is the opinion
of Republican state headquarters. Not
a single place on the ticket will be
: lost. according to the Republican fore
cast. Among the Republicans the
consensus of opinion is that the honor
/ Of leading the ticket will be senator
( Falls. The runnerup will be Wagner
. Pankey, or Field. according to the po-
litical students on this side of the
fence
Majority Of 5000, Democrats Say.
/ Every Democrat on the ticket viii
/ be elected by an average majority OF
5000, is the rosy view taken by a H.
Hudspeth. second in command at Dem
ocratic state headquarters It is not a
violation OF confidence to say that
other Democrats were Openly amused
at the extreme 'cheerfusaess of this
forecast
Looks Strongly Republican.
Strongly Republican, If the surfac e
indications hold out. is the prophecy
Of the writer. This is the view conf
iity Of Republicans; and in a number
Of instances cautiously admitted by
conservative Democrats.
Strong Wagers on GOvernorship.
The betting. or rather the offers to
make wagers. would seem TO favor
the Republican candidates.
The best bet of the Democrats. ac-
cording to the Democrats. is Garcia.
A large number Of the Democrats hon
estly and sincerely believe that he
will be elected As TO his majority,
opinions differ greatly. One Demo-
crat actually has wagered S35 to 500
that Garcia viii be elected by 5000
majority. The same real hope Is not
cherished with reference to the other
candidates
FaII's Election Believed Certain.
Among the rank and file of the
Democrats, I do not believe there is
any genuine belief that Walton will
defeat Fall: nor do I believe that the
desire to defeat Fall is anything like
so strong as II would be in time of
peace Walton himself IS the worst
pessimist in the Democratic ranks. It
should be explained. however. that
this is not unusual for Walton In his
campaigns in Grant county he has en-
tertained no great hope: and in the
last campaign he could not see
single ray of light-yet he was elected
to the lower house
II is impossible to tell how much
confidence Is to be placed in surface
indications The undercurrent may
be swift and strong. It may be strong
enough TO upset nearly all the calcu-
lations based upon surface indications.
short Campaign Aids Democrats.
The shOrtness OF the campaign Is
decidedly in favor Of the Democratic
nationally. is in power, il Is incum-
bent upon the Republicans to show
that the Democratic administration
has not been a success and therefore
ought not TO be continued in power.
n order 20 convince a majority OF the
citizens that a change is necessary or
that it would be beneficial The cam
paign has been much too brief for
any thorough or systematic effort to
oe made in this direction How great
this advantage may be remains to be
seen heavy influx Of new settlers,
who came in under the $40 acre home
stead act is held to be a big factor in
favor Of the Democrats These set
tiers have located in Nora, Santa Fe
Socorro, Taos and Union counties. It
is claimed that a majority of these
newcomers. principally from Texas
and Oklahoma are Democratic There
is no doubt that these claims are well
founded, and that the Republican ma
jorities in the first four counties
named will be somewhat reduced. On
the other hand. il is pointed out that
the drouth. stretching over a period Of
three years has driven a large num-
Der OF dry farmers and small ranch
men out Of the eastern side Of the
state, which has been the Democratic
stronghold.
No G. o. p. split This Time.
Democratic successes in 1916 were
aHrG ~ n-v- -
Republicans in several Of the strong
est Republican counties. It was a !
part OF the strategy of the Democratic /
general staff 10 fOment these Repub-
-ican disturbances The seriousness !
0f the troubles in Republican coun- |
les may De Illustrated by a single (
Take the case Of Santa Fe 1
county, which has a normal Republi- /
ian majority OF 900 to 500. With one /
single exception. every candidate on |
he Republican county ticket was de- 4
ieated- This year there Is not an or
sanlzed split in the Republican ranks 4
n the state
Dem. Split In CoIfax County.
The situation this year is the other
way about Colfax county has as Sc
-ious a division as the Democrats have +
aver had COntesting delegations 4
we're elected and sent to the state
convention The state central COM
nittee recommended the seating OF L
he Kohlhousen delegation and the
adopted the report of the
central committee. but not until after
he matter had been fought out on the
loor Of the convention. The Morrow 1
delegation went home and nominated K
complete ticket. So did the Kohl I.
lousen delegation. The district court 4.
vas asked to decide between the two 1
actions. and it ruled that the Morrow (
icket should go on the official ballot.
% It is that the Morrow faction, de-
ided against by the state conven-
ion, puts out the Woodrow Wilson"
icket- With the Democratic vote di-