New-York tribune., 1918-11-03
Republicans Sure They Will
Win Both Senate and House
Analysis of Situation Indicates Victory Result OF
Vigorous and United Fight They Have Made as
Result of Wilson's Plea to Voters

Forty United States Senators will
be selected thissyear The terms OF
}thirty-two Democrats, 18; Repub-
licans, 14), will expire on March 3,
1919. Eight will be elected 20 fill the
unexpired terms of Senators James F.
Brady, Of Idaho; Robert F. Broussard,
Of Louaiana; William j. Stone. of Mis-
souri, Francis G. Newlands, of Ne
vads; Jacob H. Gallinger, of New
Hampshire; William Hughes, of New
Jersey; Harry Lane, of Oregon, and
Benjamin r. Tillman. of South Caro-
lima. Six of these are Democrats and
two are Republicans. Bert NJ. Fernald,
of Maine, was elected at the Septem-
ber election.
Representatives will be elected. in
the entire 435 districts. Necessary
for majority, 218. Present member
ship: Democrats, 215; Republicans,
,209; Progressives, 2; Independents, 2;
Socialist, /; Prohibitionist, /; vacan-
cies, :.
The Republican national committee,
under the direction of Will II. Hays,
and the Republican Congressional cam
paign committee, under the chairman
ship of Representative Simeon D.
Fess. of Ohio, early this year buckled
so the task Of wrestling control of
both the Senate and the House from
the Democrats and are sure that they
will accomplish it on Tuesday. The
battle has been one of the most stub
born in the history of American pol
itics.
Republicans Believed Wilson
Presd Wilson last summer said
that politics were "adjourned,' and the
Republicans took him seriously until
they discovered that politics had not
been adjourned. The appeal by the
President nine days ago to the voters
of the country for support Of Dem o.
cratic candidates may have been effec-
tive. The figures on Wednesday next
will tell the story. The Republicans
were stirred to unwonted activity by
the appeal, and are confidently await
ing the verdict.
According to the way the Repub-
licans figure it, gain Of four Senator'S
will tie the vote in the upper house,
and they assert that in order to obtain
a winning margin of one, or more than
one, they have a good fighting chance
in at least six states. The Republican
managers seem to be confident of gain
ing a Senator in Illinois, Kansas, New
Hampshire and Delaware.
Kansas, which wrought disaster for
the Republicans two years ago, shows
every indications of a return, with ban
ners flying, to the Republican party,
and the leaders count on sweep there.
The people of Kansas seem to have IN
terpreted the Presidents appeal as an
attack on their independence and in
Wilson aN
the state two years ago, but the latest
estimate this year is that Governor
Capper, running for Senator. and
Henry Allen. for Governor. will win
with a margin of 100000, and that the
Republicans will gain four Congress
men.
State Fights in Detail
Down in Arizona the Republicans
are backing Maddox, absent in the
army in France, for Congressman at
large. The President has indorsed his
Democratic opponent
California Republicans say they will
elect their candidates in the 7th and
9th districts, now represented by
Democrats. Randall, the incumbent
from the 9Th, is vulnerable on account
of his votes on war measures.
The fight for the Senatorship in
Colorado is very bitter. The Republi-
cans are backing Lawrence c. Phipps,
while the Democrats are supporting
Senator Shafroth. The President has
indorsed Edward Keating for Congress
ia the Bird district, although Keating
voted wrong on all Of the eight great
war measures
The Republicans regard as good as
Won the contests for Senator in Rhode
Island, South Dakota and Michigan, but
they admit that George W. Norris in
Nebraska will have to fight all the
way. The President has indorsed his
opponent, Ex-Governor J. n. Morehead-
In Delaware, the factions are all to-
gether once more, and supporting DR..
Lewis H. Ball, whose Democratic op-
ponent is Senator Salisbury.
Two Senators in Idaho
Two Senator'S are to be chosen il
Idaho, where the Republicans are sup
porting Senator William f. Borah and
Frank R Gooding. The election Of
Gooding over John F. Nugent will be z
net gain of Senator.
In Illinois the Republicans are conf
dent of electing Medll Mccormick owe,
Senator James Hamilton Lewis, and tia
| Republicans are counting on making
, Congressional gains as well
The Indiana Republicans made suct
sweep two years ago that they are
not expected to gain great deal this
year, but they are counting on electinf
Luhring, Republican, in the 1st agains1
the Democratic incumbent, Denton. The
Republicans also count on electing A. j
Hickey in Sthe 18th against Congress
man Henry A. Barnhart-
In aKnsas, Us already noted, the Re
! publicans will elect, Governor Cappe-
over Senator Thompson, and carry tn,
4th, 5th, 9Th, 7th and 3th Congress dis
tricts, all Of which are now represented
by Democrats
Kentucky, usually safely Democratic
| ia giving the Democ1ats n prpat deal o.