Evening star., 1918-05-26
WAR SURE TO GO OVER INTO 1919;
BURDEN ON u. S., MR.. SlMONDS SAYS

seek to get peace by negotiation
based upon his present holdings and
without regard to American man
year. The French. having held the
line until we arrive. will not be ready
10 make peace on the basis of 1914.
Aisace Lorraine will be the smallest
price they can exact and are entitled
to exact. The British will not make
peace while their enemy stilI sits at
Calais and threatens India.
German Collapse Unlikely.
Now as to the German collapse
nothing is less likely. The German
has organized the east and made
great progress in the west. He will
probably make further progress.
but still unmistakable. He will stand
on this and demand at the very least
the recognition by his enemies of
what he has created in the east of
Europe and the west of Asia. He can
not ask less and live. for the war has
brought substantial ruin and the cer-
tain exclusion from the markets
which took his manufactures and
supplied him with his raw material
before the world war began.
Unless Germany can hold Russia
and the Balkans. with their Asfatic
fringes. she cannot hope and does
not hope to escape the approximate
ruin which the war promises for her.
But none of the allies can consent TO
the perpetuation of German rule
an, ana dc, domination in Russia and along
the Black sea without insuring future
wars and preserving the precise
Prussian peril we are all fighting to
abolish. This fact has come home to
the mass of the German people, and
explains in some slight degree their
nreSenf Evarv r1o No
man subject knows that ruin is cer-
tain unless there be conquests and in
IDENTITIES.
Thus. when the present campaign
ends and the German begins hts peace
maneuvers. as he certainly will IL de-
cisive victory has escaped him. his
very necessities will compel tsap to
demand terms IhicA nls cssemies
could only accept il they were con-
quered. And they will not be con-
great. new force. a practically in
exhaustibie reservoir of American
man power, while German man power,
like their own, will have been WELL
nigh exhausted, at least wasted, be-
yond the possibility of another such
offensive as We are now facing in the
west.
Hun Rebellion Not Expected.
AS for hunger and war WEAKNESS
driving the German people to rebel
lion-they may rebel. but it is idle to
| expect or hope that they will. Rus
sia yielded to her misery and per-
| mitted internal disorder to lead to ex-
ternal weakness. and the German
people have the spectacle Of Russia
before them now to serve as a warn
ing. And 1T will serve as a warning.
The eastern conquests will contribute
| much to alleviating the hunger and to
supplying the necessary things which
the blockade has kept out of Ger
many. The worst of the food problem
will probably be over permanently
before next winter closes.
1t seems to me that the German
! leaders and rulers will still be able
to control their subjects. il not by
promises OF fresh victories at least by
the fairly accurate representation of
what anything but victorious peace
will now mean, not merely for the
present, but for future generations OF
Germans. Germany. like the south in
1864 and the early spring of 1865, will
have no choice but to fight, because
/; she can obtain no terms from her enc
mics which would enable her to pre-
| serve any part Of the main purposes
for which she has been fighting. Her
enemies, at last certain Of new as
sistance and relieved Of a considera-
BILE part of the burden which they
have had to bear. will not consent to
peace WHICH, VIII Iudh6 their III
mediate present dangerous and their
| future dark.
America Saving the Day.
If America were not arriving I feel
sure that there would be peace
| by negotiation at the close of this
campaign and that Germany would be
able to harvest substantial profits
from her campaigns.
n,rr DC he nj A,,kt ~. fNt,
is still untouched by the war: the best
of the young manhood of Britain.
France and Germany Is gone, and
each of these countries is steadily
raising the age of it's troops; men of
fifty are now in the ranks, and the
long been fighting in Germany. II is
foolish to expect in Europe to-day
the emotion and the spirit which
amazed and thrilled US all three years
ago: One has now to turn to America
to find universally the determination.
the will and the emotion which were
SO familiar in France in the first two
years Of the war and in Britain a lit
tie later.
The best of three great nations
and behind it is a nation which has
just walked up to the truths which
called the youth OF Britain and
France to arms and to death in the
earlier days OF the war Neltner the
British nor the French make any pre-
tense at Disgusting the facts that
exist in Europe today. There will be
a campaign of 1919, because we shall
be there to do much Of the fighting and
to supply not alone a great portion of
the material. but not a little of the
moral force. Without us the. war
could not go forward; with us 1t will
go forward to victory, because. in the
very simple language Of the street,
we still have the punch" while for
the European nations the thing has
become a nightmare, an inescapable
scourge, and no longer the call to the
spirit that 1t was three years ago.
The best of one generation, Of the vi
tai generation. is buried between Par
is and Liege or hidden away crippled
in the backwaters Of the war.
Ru1GARS ARE AGREEABLE.