The Hartford republican. (Hartford, Ky.) 18??-1926, 1918-08-09
HUNS Birth RATE
ON The Decrease
Conditions in Central EN-
pires Add Cheer To
Allies.
louisville Herald.)

tLOulSNlile t1tTdlusl
Washington, Aug. 3.-The de-
crease in the birth rate in the Cen
trail powers may hasten a conclus-
ion of the war. That the foundations
of the Central powers are now crum-
bling and that the morale of their
civilian population can not withstand
the ravages of war more than two
years longer are some of the aston
fishing conclusions deducted by Dr.
Raymond Pearl, statistician of the
federal food administration, from
proof which he has at hand.
DR.. Pearl says that through COM
parison of data gathered by agents
of the allied governments and the
United States, scientists have estab-
lished the following conclusions:
The net decrease in birth rate in
1917 was As per cent in Germany
and "a per cent in Hungary.
The net decrease in England and
France was "a per cent.
Germany's loss of population was
10000 per 100000, Hungary's TO-
900 per 1, 100000, and England's
1000 per 100000.
The marriage rate in England
showed a marked increase, but the
rate in the Central powers declined
sharply.
British Mortality Less.
A great decrease in the mortality
rate in England, coupled with the |
increased marriage rate, will result |
in a net increase in population in |
the British Isles as a result of the |
war, r.l,.s r'sS . 80 - o..
l. War greatly increases the death
rate among all persons ovr 70 years |
of age, owing to worry and nervous
excitement. ...
The marriage rate of any country |
is the surest indication of the morale
of the nation.
In discussing the length of the
war as indicated by the statistics
of decreasing morale, DR.. Pearl
said:
1.-The high death rate in the ter
ritories of the Central powers, the
food difficulties and the ever-increas
ing meance of the allies combine to
indicate that Germany and Austria
Hungary can not sustain the war eff
fort more than two years, Now is
the time for Germany to conclude
peace and gain what she can from
the wreckage. For the same reas-
on, now is the time for the allies to
begin their effort which will crush
for at least a century any desire on
the part of the German people to
impose their will upon smaller ma
tons.
Hun Machine Failing.
1.-THE reports of the shortage of
raw material, of insufficient labor I
for farm work and of low morale
among the civilians clearly show that
the great German machine is rapid
" weakening. Her people have
maintained what courage they have
through the stimulus of repeated
map victories. A sudden cessation
of the war will be urged and per-
haps compelled by the Social DEM
ocrats of the Central powers soon
after the allies assume the offensive
on a great scale on all fronts.
"If the German armies lay down
their arms today their political lead
ers would have still an opportunity
to virtually win the war through win
ming material concessions relative to
Russia and Central Europe. If the
junkers remain in power, however,
and the crown prince can continue
his headlong policy, the allies will be
able to infiict punishment which will
break the militarist desires of Ger
many for generations to come. His
tory repeats itself and Germany can
not win the war on the battlefield"