The Brattleboro daily reformer. (Brattleboro, Vt.) 1913-1955, 1918-10-22

partys strength and considerable vote
from the Democrats. But Senator M |
gent, Democrat, is a candidate for the |
seat vacated by the death of James H. |
Brady, and with administrative backing
is expected to hold the seat against the
Republican candidate.
All depends on Borah's drawing power
at the head of the senatorial ticket
An unusual majority for Borah will
swing the tail of the ticket along with
him and that would mean two Republi.
can senator's from Idaho, and the sen
ate would stand Republicans 30, Demo
Gratis 46, Republican majority of four
if they sustain no losses elsewhere.
This is nearly although not quite the
extreme measure of possible Republican
gains. There is not an absolute GER
tainty that Senator Walsh, Democrat
will be returned in Montana. The in
trusion of Representative Jeanette
Rankin, defeated in the Republican
primaries. as an independent candidate
has complicated the situation.
Miss Rankin is appealing for the radi-
cal vote and Montana is alive with rad
icals, laborites, L. W. w. members and
isympathizers and near Bolshevists
who, under normal conditions, are more
likely to vote the Democratic ticket
than the Republican ticket. but with a
real radical running are apt to vote for
Miss Rankin and 80 defeat the Demo.
cratic nominee, returning Republican
senator.
The third eyentuality which might
send a Republican to represent Dem
ocratic state in the senate is Missouri
There is considerable detection from
candidate Joseph w Folk, whose pro.
gressive tactics have not endeared hin
to the conservative element of Missouri
, Democrats and there is the barest fight
ing chance of his defeat also
Adding the three outside chances t
the foregoing Republican possibilities The
extreme limit of possible Republican
: gain is found to make a senate with 5;
Republicans, IS Democrats
There seems to be at this time an ele
. ment of danger for only three Repub
3 lican seats in the senate as now consti
: tuted In 1916 Rhode Island surprise;
the whole nation by returning Senate
: Peter Goelet Gerry, a Democrat. in plae
: Of Senator Lippitt, Republican. Thi
; year. Representative George f. 0'Shaugh
s messy, Democrat, Is running against l.
: Baron Colt. the Republican incumbent
Here is chance for a Democratic gail
of one seat.
! A bitter fight is in progress in Yves
y Virginia with Clarence Watson. Demo
crat. millionaire trying it out with Davi
Elkins, Republican,, millionaire, for til
seat vacated by retirement of Sen
: ator Nathan Golf. Watson NAV over
come the normal Republican aioritS
!, which has from time to time Shove
), signs of disintegration in late years. an
! may pull through. Here is presented an
: other opportunity for Democratic gair
: Internal conditions and complication
:, of the Non Partisan league in partisa
politics in South Dakota NAV shelly
:. Senator Sterling, Republican, but this
a slim hope for the Democrats and IN
! likely of fulfillment.
- Therefore the openings for Democrat
gains total three in states now repre-
scented by Republicans, and this is tn
!; limit of gains of this sort unless the III
! expected should happen in Michigan an
Henry Ford carry the state as an indC
= pendent. running with endorsement {
the Democratic party. If he does tn
:, he must transform a Republican norm;
! majority of about $4,000 to Demo
NJ cratic plurantN. Inc Republicans al
II using Ford's record as pacifst and IL
: fact that he has had his son, Edsel, e,
" empted from military service as fghtir
- arguments.
- Analyzing down to the last measul
Il of probability the indications at tn
time would seem to point to Republics
vs. gain of four seats. If the Democra
gain none the senate of the sixty sixi
congress will be divided: Republicans Al
III Democrats. AS. and Thomas r. Marsha
Is will hold the deciding vote This won
H. enable the Democrats to organize Il
sS senate.
Up The Republicans seem to be sure
or carrying Illinois and Kansas and re
sonably sure of two of the three ne
We less doubtful-Delaware New Hampshi
re- and Nevada. They are not likely, IL
ge. less the tide sets much stronger than su
ey face indications now promise, to car
in. much more, and per contra the Dem
.or cratic chances for a gain in any dire
adj ton are admittedly slender.
alp
n'o Not Dead.