The sun., 1918-10-19
SMITH PLURALITY
IS HALVED ALREADY
Kellogg Said 100000, but O
Local Committeeman Says
100000 Will Do.
KNOWS WHY TT Is SURE
Federal Law Guarantees Pure
Voting So Tammany Man
Is Certain Victor.

Alfred r. Smiths official" plurality
IN tho coming election is coming down
rapidly. It was only u few days ago
that state Chairman j. Augustus KEEL
losg took a flying trip to the metropolis
from Syracuse and announced solemnly
that Mr.. Saith would win by 500, 900
Las: night after n gathering OF the
leaders at the headquarters Of the EllSus
Citizens Committee II was stated that
he would win by 10000.
In order TO reveal their processes of
reasoning. one II the members of the
the $780, 900 figure:
Two years ago Gov. Whitman won
by 10000. getting 60 per cent. Of the
vote outside OF Greater New York and
losing Greater New York by only $4,000.
This year Mr.. Smith will carry Greater
New York by probably 5000. and Gov.
wh't~an cannot hope to get more than
So per cens of the vote outside the city.
mir. smith will carry all the big cities
and the rural vote will be much smaller
this year than ever before. There IL a
very positive and necessary reason for
this. Some of tho solid backwoods dis
tricts that have never had any real
Democratic restraint on the Wholesale
20 well this year.
There Is now for the first time a
Federal law which makes II n national
felony to take part in any fraudulent
voting where members Of Congress are
elected.
"All the upstate counties, no matter
how solidly they may be controlled by
Republican State and county officials,
have United States Attorneys. who are
not responsible to the Republican ma
chine II Is expected that some OF the old
reliables who might risk local prosecution
in Republican stronghold by Repub-
lean District Attorney before n local
Republican Judge will be timid about
taking chance OF prosecution for cleo
ton frauds by United States Attorney
before n United States District Judge"
Possibly Judge Kellogg at Syracuse
heard how his estimate OF 100000 for
his candidate had been ruthlessly cut
In half by the politicians in the me-
trcpolis and he felt called upon to
support his original estimate. Be that
as It may. he gravely announced last
night that a straw vote taken on a
tain carrying New York soldiers to
Columbus Barracks. Ohio. showed these
figures: Smith, GIL: Whitman, AZ.
mo wonder the Judge feels conf
dent, II he has lieutenants capable of
producing such polls" remarked a
practical politician reared in the Tam
many school.
1t Is the definite decision OF the
State committee to. have Mr.. Smith
stick to the schedule OF his upstate
speaking trip next week so far as the
influenza regulations will permit. His
hrst speech was to be made at
BInghamton Monday night, but public
meetings I'm halls are banned So ar
rsngements have been made for night
meeting Monday in Hofnell. Former
Ambassador James w. Gerard. Harry
c. Walker. candidate for Lieutenant
Governor. and Miss Helen Todd. New
Tuesday Smith will move on to Ithaca.
Later dates are uncertain. subject to
influenza conditions. The hrst cam
pa.gn speech will be made at the
Church of the Ascension In Fifth ave-
hue tomorrow night The Rev. DR..
Percy Stickney Grant will preside.
In order that the Binghamton foil
may not be disappointed Mr.. Smith Is
planning to go there Monday morning
II is possible he may be able to have
an outdoor meeting in the afternoon.
The Elkus committee made public q
resolution Of Endorsement OF Mr.. Smitf
rom the Printed Book Binders Loca
Union No. 1. A league OF real estate
organizations for the candidate was
formed yesterday. with headquarters In
the Flatiron Building. Robert f. Dow
ling Is chairman and Charles s. Noye,
vice-chsirman.