Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1918-09-02
LOOK FOR ALLIED
VICTORY IN 1878
Military Experts in U. S. Be.
Iieve German Withdrawal
Will Become Rout.
CONSIDER ALL ANGLES

To military experts on this side Of
the water the European war situation
presents at this time features which
may be described as actual conditions,
possibilities and forecasted probabil-
tiles; and, for the ultimate future,
reasonable expectancy Of a military
decision in favor of the allies within
the year 1919.
'rhe actual conditions are that the
Germans are suffering a defeat which
has attained somewhat the nature OF
a rout. Defeat, because they were de-
prived Of their objectives, Paris and the
channel ports; wfile their withdrawal,
orderly at first, is rapidly degenerat-
ing into a scramble for safety, with
heavy losses in men and supplies.
May Get Close to Frontier.
The possibilities are that tho ad-
vance Of the allies may push the
Germans far back of the Hindenburg
line to a new line Of defense, which
may even be close to the frontier.
This outcome is classed as being pos
sible, although it has many elements
of uncertainty.
The forecasted probabilities are
that while the United States is pre-
pairing to throw its full man power
into the scale of battle. the Germans
may attempt a negotiated peace IN
their own interest, this. of course, to
be guarded against by the allies.
military hna f9sso decision in favor of the
allies in 1919 is based upon careful
calculation Of the military authorities
consideration every element OF mill
tary value-superior man power.
munitions, morale, food and trans
portation.
Figure on German Stand.
Passing over one phase Of the situa-
tion. the condition Of defeat suffered by
the Germans. for that is water gone
over the wheel, interest centers in the
possibilities of the Germans being
driven to the frontier before the winter
suspension Of active movements sets In
AL military authorities agree that the
Germans will take a stand for the wi in
ter far back, but the exact delimitatton
will depend upon the fortunes of war
for the next two or three weeks.
The allies are maintaining their pres
sure and the enemy is yielding from
day to day. How long will he continue
to fall back and how much additional
force has Foch at hand to keep up the
drive? These are questions which wiz
have to be answered on the battlefield
In the coming days until mid September
A military decision for the allied
cause is believed to be reasonably
certain in 1919, when the United
States swings into the battle with
its new draft. 1t is held by all the
military authorities that by that time
men, that the morale of the new al
lied troops will be superior to that
of the worn German fighters, that
supplies will be inexhaustible for the
allies and scarcer for the Germans,
and that every practical military as
set will be possessed IN excess Dy the
allies over the Germans.
Expect a Peace Drive.
1t is expected that the Germans. re-
alizing all these facts as well as
their opponents, will devote their at
tention to making their last line of
defense SO strong as to give them
thought they will put forward for a
negotiated peace. These will be that
a military decision for either side
seems improbable, therefore 'in the
interest Of humanity" q negotiated
peace should be entered into. OF
course, 1t must be entered into at
once, before the allies strengthen
their arm for the final crushing blow.
mo negotiated peace in the interim.
We will have peace by q military de-
cision in 1919, which will be q peace
in effect as well as in name"
This Is to be the watchword Of the
military authorities Of all the allied
nations from now on. They will be-
seech the peoples Of their governments
to rest confidence in the military arm
and pay no heed to the propaganda OF
the German negotiators. No interest
Of humanity" It will be contendsd. can
possibly. be served except through a
peace which Germany will be bound to
keep for all time.
Warn Against Propaganda.
The public here and abroad is being
constantly warned by the military
authorities to be on guard against the
approach Of the propaganda and to
heed the statements of the military
heads, who know the military prob
abilities of the future. The coming
winter will be utilized for the spread
Of propaganda while the Germans are
frantically strengthening their line of
defense wherever 1t may be located
after the battles of the next few
weeks.
~>-a Of hoYno xuhi1A WA ara doinR RI q