The Washington herald., 1917-06-03

but while the revolutionary armies may
give US pleasant surprises. the allies are
bound to assume for practical purposes
that not much is to be hoped for on the
eastern front excepting a pressure that
will retain the eighty-five or 20 German
divisions. all Of inferior quality, now oc-
cupied there.
OF the reserves available on the allied side
in the west, the writer would earnestly
ask Americans to remember, when they
read OF German divisions deeimated and
of troops thrown into the Arras or Cham
payne furnaces from the German strategic
reserve. that the same process is goins
on not on one side only but on both. II
this is kept in mind. the military effort
of the United States upon which SO much
depends will not be 'hindered or delayed
by irrational optimism.
During the next months, recrudes-
cence Of German peace activity is probable
and this activity will be directed toward
capturing the imaginations of Russian and
American idealists. The absence of such
an agitation would be a sinister sign, for
1t would mean that the German higr
command seriously believed in the posi-
bility of winning the war outright by
the submarine, and debating terms that
would make all nations vassals Of Ger
many.
But it Is more likely that Germany does
not believe this ideal attainable, and
hopes to trick her opponents into a peace
which would be In effect a partial Ger
man victory but would wear the appear
ance OF draw. There are already signs
Of the maneuvers which of course
could be repudiated II the submar rines
were more successful than Is at present
thought likely. German diplomats be.
lieve that Americans know nothing and
care nothing about affairs in the east
and may be expected to offer liberal terms
In the west, which would satisfy the
worlds conscience about Belgium and
appeal to the British, French and Ameri-
can demecracies, while realizing Ger.
man aims In the east under various
diplomatic formulas about liberty auto
nomy, and spheres Of Influence.
Junkers May Remain.
II this peace can be arranged the Ger
man Junkers will remain firmly In the
saddle. The German powers will embrace
Austria Hungary, Bulgaria, Turkey
RumanIa, Serbia, and Poland. ever
though the independence Of all these
countries be solemnly guaranteed. Ger
man autocracy will overshadow the
world, and the ideals for which the
democratic powers are fighting become
unrealizable. But America has only to
STICK Inc war through until the Ger
man autocracy is thrown down, by in
ternal revolution or by force from out.
side and her power and influence a,
the peace conference. backed up by the
liberalism OF England, France and Rus,
STA, can reorganize the world.
The message which the statesmen OF
the allies would send to the American
people. IL they could do so without eat
ing their own words and discouraging
opinion at home, would be this:
THE Germans prepared for this war
and grabbed the spoils Of victory at the
start. They are holding on to tire US out
so that they may keep the substance,
II not the shadow, OF what they have
won. Thanks to the submarine, they
would have succeeded But now America
has stepped in to redress the balance,
and her weight will enable US to win
tho victory, II. and only If, she throws
herself into the struggle as she did N
the sixties. Otherwise, the war Is 8
draw, and with things as they stand a
drawn war means a German success,
and an eventual German Europe and the
downfall of democracy"