Forest City press. (Forest City, Potter County, D.T. [S.D.]) 1883-19??, 1917-08-23
Germany Cannot Stand Losses
of Men, Material and Bust
ness if Foes Per-
sist to End.
NO TIME TO WEAKEN NOW
Military Expert Says Gloom"
Stories Are Part of Well Cal
culated Effort to Dis
courage U. S.

BY FRANK H. SIMONDS,
AUTHOR OF 1.-THE GREAT WAR;"
"THEY SHALL NOT PASS"
Copyright 1e17-The Tribune Assn
(Ths New York Tribune).
One week ago in reviewing the mill
tary operations of the third year OF
the war l endeavored to set forth clear
" the exten to which the year had
been marked by allied failure. The high
hope of August ]. 1916. had not been
realized. the Russian revolution had
paralyzed the allied campaign of 1917
and the Rumanian collapse had termin-
Ated the last allied hope of success in
the Balkans. These things 1 pointed
out in their relation to the purpose of
b allies.
Vet it seems to me, looking the
situation ~squareiy in the face and
accepting the statement Of naval
experts, that unless the submarine
= ena 10 mitigated materially, If
not actually abolished, there must
be an end TO the wal by October,
1919, at the earliest, and February,
1919, at the latest. There is still
The end Of h campaigning season
Of 1e1a-that 10, BY November -
The military situation Of Germany
will be such that she will be conn.
PEELED 20 seek peace Of terms that
will mean . clear and u~nmistakable
defeat for her and for those poll
clos which have reused the civilized
world against her.
I'm the present article I am going to
ny to set Down these reasons, because
I do not share the present feeling OF
depression which has resulted from the
Russian collapse. For, disappointing
as this has been. I do not believe It
has done more than delay the decision
for q year.
Germany Can't Stand Losses.
First OF all the why I am sat
NOvembers1 !, 1918. IL the magnitude Of
her losses. German casualty lists, as
We now obtain them, show a total loss
IN killed captured and wounded OF A.
Sg9s09 The figure Ii too low by $780,
s980! II believe: hut accepting 1t for the
moment, 1t shows this: 100000 Ger
mans have been killed, 600, 900 are miss
n or prisoners. Here IL an immedi-
ate absolute loss Of 100. 900. Of the
1.SOO,0 900 remaining casualties, not more
than so per cent have been returned to
the firing line. and despite various
claims this is a higi, estimate. This
adds 100. 900 to tho permanent loss
which makes 1. $500, 900.
NOW. France has. with extreme eff
Tort. succeeded in Mobilizing approxi-
mately onc-sixth OF her population.
Germany may have done q little bet
te--but not much. I1er advantage in
this respect would be due to her use OF
prisoners. Granted that Germany has
been to mobilize onc-sixth. Of her
population, this must be reckoned on
the basis of 10 ;ears ago; that is. the
year In which the boys now 10 were
porn Tor this is obviously the year
tnat ID appropriate. German popula-
ton then Vas not TO- 0O, 900, nor even
60 .Oo0.000 1t was nearer IS, Ooo. 900.
Inus. at tho maximum Germany has
deem ablc to muster not much more
than 5000, COO.
IL tho case of France. we know that
about >ne-third OF the men mobilized
nave been removed by death. disability
case OF Germany. 5000. 900. which cor
responds roughly with the calculation
OF $500 900 drawn from the German Of
1tcial lists. which ara far behind the
tact-that Is. arc slow In publication,
How Germany Stands Now.
Nov, the French have, % We are
soIa oy their representatives in this
ec9ntry: H.7oo0o0smsn tlsft ii Che
ing, that Observation-Disclosures onc.
fourtls-havs been kept out Of the
arNty for munitions works, trans.
port and all necessary labor. Apnly
the figures 20 the Germans, and W
shall get somewhere about 100000.
New' e ssscPitulats. The German.
most; 2yeo0y000 havs bssn Que out
~ capture. liability and death, I.
2s290so00 are retained In neceeaarv
tndustries; che total 10 6,000y006.
there arc left Ayoo0y0 00, Or max
l1g ssi.l gre.ter eoncsssiens, cay