New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1917-11-05
Hillquit in Third Place, Is
the Forecast Of
Observers
Rival Camps All
Predict Victory
Tammany Claims 5000 to
100000 Plurality, Fusion
10000 to 10000

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campaign managers and the mayoralty
candidates themselves all confident Of
victory. A fair summary Of partisan
and non-partisan opinion appeared to
forecast a close race between Mayor
Mitchell and Judge Hylan, the Tammany
candidate, with Morris Hllqut, the So
cialist aspirant. good third, and Will
lam VI. Bennett, the straight goods"
Republican, bad fourth.
Prophecies and pluralities ranged
from a few thousand to upward of
100000" depending upon whether one
sought them from a MODEST man or a
rank partisan. The political leaders
generally looked 10 Brooklyn to turn
the trick either for Mitchell or for Hy-
Ian. That is unquestionably the most
debatable political ground as the cam
paign closes. Surprises are expected in
that borough.
Summary of Claims
A summary Of the victory claims
D"i '"Nh 'oiip 10 approximately ds
follows:
Fusion plurality for Mitchell,
10000 TO $4,000.
Tammany plurality for Hylan,
10000 TO 100000.
Socialist plurality for Hilquit,
10000 10 10000.
Straight Republican plurality
for Bennett, $4,000.
The only real significance attached
to such a summary is apparently the
much higher estimate of the result
made by the Tammany campaign work
ers. Confdcntially. however, thar suli
said yesterday Lat notvdy could tel,
how mrch OF the Tammany organiza-
ticn vote Hylan would lose to Hillquit
and how much of the estimated silent
vote" of from 5,0G0 to $4,000 would go
20 Mitchell. These appear to be the
two controlling factors in the final
Democratic chances.
without delving in figures, Mayor
Mitchell and his campaign managers
yesterday were confident that Fusion
would get large percentage OF the
SILENT vote" which has been the
means in other campaigns of throwing
the election, OIL the homestretch. to the
CdNuludLe Win the HlOSt lOICtlul ISSUE.
The brightest hopes Of the Mitchell men
are really pinned to this vote. They
believe that this class of voters is going
to respond by the thousands to the
Mayors "call to arms" against Hearst,
Hylan and the Hohenzollerns."
Candidates Statements
Here are some of the statements
made last night by the candidates or
their campaign managers:
Mayor Mitchell: 81 expect that ths
voters will keep New York a loyal
city"
Judge Hylsn: Democratic victory
is now assured"
Mr.. Bennett: 81 have won out single
handed. expect to carry all five bor-
oughs."
Mr. Hillquit's managers: "The So
cialist vote will be from 900 900 TO
100000. That means Mr.. Hillquit's
election"
Buckner Claims Big Plurality
Emory r. Buckner. chairman Of the
Fusion Campaign Committee, declared
last night that Mayor Mitchell would
win by "a large plurality
"All party fences are being swept
away by powerful currents" said Mr..
Buckner. 'in this extraordinary cam
paign. Predictions based upon usual
party lines and previous results are
not reliable because ordinary political
affiliations have been broken in every
direction. A study of the issues and
the developments Of the last week make
certain Mayor Mltchel's victory. His
support will come from Democrats, Re
publicans, Socialists and independent
voters
Based on information from leading
Democrats in position TO know Mr..
Buckner said the Mayor would receive
a large number of Democratic votes be-
cause Of the exposure Of Judge Hylan's
unfitness for Office and his affiliations
with the Geramn propaganda, and be-
cause tine disaffection in Tammany Hall
and the fight on Murphy never have
been as strong and bitter as now.
Republicans would vote for the
Mayor, he declared, because they real
ize that a vote for Bennett is worse
than vote thrown away. and is half
vote for Murphy The Republican de-
sertion of Bennett, almost entirely in
Manhattan ard increasingly in Brook
lyn. was clear in the light of recent de-
velopmcnts, Mr. Buckner asserted.
Sees Loss by Hillqu;i
"Tho Socialist vote is split between
Hillquit and Mitchell said Mr.. Buck
ner. "The hectic enthusiasm with
which the Socialists first supported his
candidacy has suffered a chill. This
has been brought about by vigorous
activities on the part of many promi-
nent Socialists who have attacked Hill
quits platform and Hillquits candi-
dacy and have pointed out TO their
fellow Socialists that he is no friend
Of Socialism who would cast vote
which in effect may prolong the war,
cav give aid and comfort to autocratic
prussianism and which will postpone
rather than hasten the achievement of
Socialistic ideals. The Socialists have
among them thousands Of patriotic cit
liens"
Basis Of Other Claims
The Socialist campaign managers
prediction OF n vote Of from 220.000 10
25O. 900 for Mr. Hillquit was based on
the estimate that he would receive
l53. coo votes from Democrats and Re
publicans. To this was added ar or.
ganization vote ranging from $4,000,
the number polled in the 1913 muniei.
pnl election. 10 10000, and the soldiers
vote. which the Hillquit managers
claimed was Overwhelmingly for Hill
Quit. at least at Camp Upton.