The Hawaiian gazette., 1917-12-21
EARLYFIGURES ON
N[lTYEAR'SSUGAR
CROP SHOW LOSSES
Preliminary Estimates For Ship
ping Purposes Show Eighty
thousand Tons Shortage
FIGURES CONSERVATIVE
AND MAY BE IMPROVED
In Any Event outtdrn viii Be Far
Below That Of Last Sea-
son and Is Serious


Based N part upon preliminary esti,
mates made for shipping purposes and
IN part on unofficial figures, the 1918
Hawaiian sugar crop il expected to be
approximately 565,000 tons This means
a crop about $4,000 tons under the 1917
outturn. Serious droughts of last sum.
mer on the islands of Hawaii and Maui
and devastation by the leaf hopper on
some plantations are responsible for
this serious loss to the 1918 crop. The
1919 crop will also be found to have
been damaged, but 20 what extent It is
as yet too early to forecast.
Preliminary figures, prepared by the
managers of the various plantations of
the Sugar Factors Company, have been
received by A. NJ. NOVEL;, secretary
and general manager Of that company.
These figures are merely bases for ar
ranging for shipping space for the crop,
but they give a fail approximation. He
has not yet received figures from all of
the outside plantations, so that expect.
cd losses for such companies are in part
estimated.
Falling on Serious
Preliminary estimates of the 1918
tions bring a total of 460,500 tons as
against a revised estimate Of 1852
last year for the same plantations. This
gives decrease in estimate, this year
over last, of more than eleven percent.
The preliminary estimate for 1917 Of
the plantations not members of the
Sugar FACTORS Company was Ill ,56S
tons Taking the same ratio of de-
crease for these as Is found among the
Sugar Factors plantations an estimate
Of 81 ,552 tons for the next crop Is OBJ
tanned. This gives preliminary esti-
mate for the entire Island crop Of $685.
7D6 tons. tA9 th
Last year, however, the outturn
proved TO be materially larger than the
estimates The production up to Sep
TENDER 80 amounted to 644,570 tons,
and TO this must be added the late
grind Of several plantations on the ISL
and Of Hawaii, which were delayed by
the drought into November before com
plotting their grind for the year. 1t Is
thus clear that the preliminary estimate
Z for 1918 is about $4,000 tons below the
actual 1917 crop.
Other Comparisons
lHib tttluldtt lOfUOO UOUb uuOOF the
1915 crop, 5000 tons below 1915, and
10000 below 1914, but is 10000 tons in
excess Of the 1913 crop. Again II is
$4,000 tons below that Of 1919, and con.
siderably larger than the three proceed
ing crops.
n must be remembered that these es-
Inmates were prepared in October, at a
time when the drought had not as yet
been fully broken, and that for this
reason they incline toward conserve
tism rather than in any sense being OPP
timistic. There is a strong probability
that, with conditions up to or above the
normal, the outturn may prove to be
larger than this early estimate.
Monetary Loss Large Js.g.5., .
Viewed in the light of dollars and
cents the loss to the sugar industry by
reason Of this shortage is perhaps more
clear. At $llS ton, the price fixed
By the sugar commission, according to
last reports, the receipts win be 90, 440, 4
900 less than they would have been
with a crop equal in size to that Of last
season. 20.
From the light of the nation Is need
\ and the world 8 need, the situation is
even more unsatisfactory. It means a
loss 10 the world s crop of 100, 100000
pounds of sugar, and that just that
much more economy in the use of sugar
viii have to be practised during the
year.