New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-11-03
USUAL UPSTATE :
MAJORITY SURE
Figures Indicate New You
Is More than Safe
for Hughes
BY 8. n. EVANS

BY s. n. EVANS
Buffalo, Nov. 2--Ten eounti.. /.
Western New York. including Mon,..
and Erie, will return a majority Of =,
least 10000, and probably 10000. q,
Hughes.
This means that the State OF N.,
York is more certain TO be in the r.
/ publican column than any other s,.,.
| in the Union, not even excepting PEN.
sylvanis. The northern counti.s a,
predicted in The Tribune two v.,b
ago, may be depended on for the "a.
fashioned Republican msjori:ies. ors,.
dags is good for 5000. Albany will "a.
turn 10000. The Mohawk Valley n
more than secure, and the southern
tier, judging from long distance 70.
ports, presents no difficulties from
Republican point OF view.
Concede $4,000. which is very m.
probable, or 100000. which is iner,A.
ible this year, for the Democratic ma.
jority below the Bronx, and still ,b,,,
remains the irreducible minimum un.
state. The Republican ticket in Ney
York State is safe.
Thorough Canvass Made
The ten counties 20 be counted on a
make up the aforesaid 10000 msjori,,
are Erie, Niagara, Orleans. Genes<e.
Wyoming, Monroe, Livingston, Ale.
gany, Cattsrsugus and Chautsuqus. A
thorough canvass Of this entire terri.
tory, which, by the way, includes near.
ly every element OF the nations POM.
lstion-even Swedes-has cow pess
unbiased observers Of the truth OF n.
prediction so favorable 70 Republican
chances.
All the sore spots. such ss railroad
centres. have been carefully eonsid.
cred and largely and literally dis.
counted. Salamanca, for example, ore
OF the two cities Of Cattarsugus Coun.
ty, is conceded TO the Democrats be.
cause Of the overwhelming railroad
population.
Niagara County. which. Judging from
past performance in Presidential
year. might be counted on for from
lcan candidate. is estimated this year
at only 1900, ridiculously low est.
mate. but possibly justified because Of
special conditions in Lockport and
Niagara Falls.
Indigo Turns Silver
Erie County. surveyed as a whole
and including but not specializing on
IL ~ nuGslx
presents the surprise of Western New
Republican leader here for more than
ten years, went down 10 New York
City. fairly oozing indigo.
All was lost save honor, and there
was no telling how long that would
hold out He got scant encouragement
from the national and state commit
tees. They knew a great deal more
than he did. they said, and they would
not permit Theodore Roosevelt 70 SPEAK
in Buffalo lest he offend the hyphen.
As a matter Of fact, the appearances OF
Roosevelt and a rip-rosring speech from
him would be worth 5000 votes In Erie
County now, but the managers OF the
campaign here have given up hope 81
getting any big gun 10 rip through me
curtain OIL lire NHlNH 'feN'
turned on Wednesday evening.
Claims County by 1000
Mr.. Greiner now claims Erie County
+ for Hughes by 1000. Some OF his prin.
( cipal lieutenants are so modest tns'
they pare these figures down TO o,oVV'
The best that the Democrats are claim
ing is 5000. In 1912 Mr.. Wilson's vote
in Erie was 10000 less than the com
bined vote of Taft and Roosevelt IN
1914 the Republican candidate for Gov
ernor and the Progressive candidate ior
Governor received $4,000 more votes
than did the Democratic candidate :or
! Governor. In 1916, II II were not ior
the railroad and allied votes, a predis-
ton of better than 10000 Repuoiiean
majority for Erie would be lustihea'
As the case stands Erie can hardy 90
worse than 10000 for Hughes, and MS
plurality may run as high as 5000.
Mr.. Greiner's tHo-weeks-o!d IN.
terview in New York, so pregnant
with disaster, had stimulsuns
effect in Erie County. Despite lack o.
cooperation in state and national nesa-
quarters, Republicans here swarmed 70
the firing line and started campaign
/ the IKE OF which udS NV bNNH -"
here in twenty years. A.
Democrats Plan Campaign a.
The Democrats and the Wilson IN
! dependents and the Seabury non-psf'
tisans are now holding meetings 20 con-
slider ways and means OF meeting the
Republican assault. Every big shop
and factory in the city has been thrown
open to the Republican speakers. lney
quickly found out that the men were IN
terested in only two things-the issue
OF the tariff and its cognates and the
record of Charles Evans Hughes,
The campaigners soon learned that 10
seven years the Hughes Of Albany DAYS
had been almost forgotten. They have
revived the recollections Of Er county
voters with miraculous results.
On the other hand, the Demoerso
appear TO be conducting only an aver.
age campaign. They are not wen
heeled." No funds have come Up IRON
Tammany this year, as has been USUAL
when the big chief showed interest up
state and when il was believed theirs
was a chance of victory. There are
hinted dark suspicious Of q landslices
toward Wilson, but there IS no resi
evidence TO bear out said DARK susp''
cions.
Big Democratic Detection
A Democratic editor said to-nigh'
that never in his twenty-five years az.
perience in Buffalo newspaper wo's
had he known so many Democrats VINO
were going 70 vote for Republiesn