The Washington times., 1916-08-13
HUGHES To W|A.WIIH
EASE, SAYS PROPHET
Secretary TO National RspubII.
:. can Chairman Claims 900
Electoral Votes. a.

s~-ssAs Fho ~ ioaSt ~ tho Dcuot tuat
have made no mistake IN placing I'LL
nois In the list Of sure ones.
i'IoWA--rhis 10 another State carried
by Wilson In 1912. although, receiving al
most 100000 votes less than the TAFT and
Roosevelt vote. while in 1914 cummins
was reelected Senator by almost 10000
majority.
III Iowa Ia not properly to be regard
ed 40 safely Republican this year-then.
indeed. are we poor Guesssrs.
"KANsAs-fn 1912 the Republicans
and Progressivss cast is6, 6s7. the Demo-
Gratis its,67o votes. Wilson carried the
state by over $1,000 minority, Two
years later the combined Republican
ana Progressive vote exceeded the Dem
ocratic vote by 1880.
How He Figures Maine.
"MAINE-we have placed Maine In
the Republican column for several rea-
sons.s First, the State 10 normally Re-
publican and seldom elects Democratic
electors. In 1912. while Wilson carried
the State, It. was clearly due to the split
9Th. somSinsd kepSbbcan snd Pro-
gresstve vote was a.s2S In excee: Of the
difference was not as great, there was .
large increase In the Republican vote
and . corresponding falling on In the
Progressive vote, Maine u normally
Republican by at least 5000, and with
this fall I have no doubt that, as In the
past. her vote will be cast for the Re-
publican candidates.
"MAsSACHusETTs = II seems .
%s. sS. 81 paper to any 1E., ut
though Wilson corrailed the electoral
vote In 1912. he had Just l2%7ss votes less
than Taft and Rockwell. .....-
"MICHtGAN-The election returns Of
1872 show = very comfortable situ:tion
iS2,ait. and Roosevelt ai.Ss4 votes. 70
the casual observer II does not seem
like wild prediction to put Michigan
IN the list OF reasonably sure States.
"MINNEsoTA-I do not now recall
torai vote for the Democratic ticket or
Motif II did II was q long time ago.
Roosevelt carried the State four years
ago and Wilson polled about $4,000 votes
less than Taft and Roosevelt combined
State would be placed In the Republican
column.
observation-disclosures gave her four
electoral votes to Wilson. although In
isoas Votes less than the two rival can
didates. In 1914 this difference In
creased to over 1900 and there Is little
II any doubt that this year. with but
two tickets In the fieid. the four votes
OF Montana will be cast for the Repub-
lican candidate.
"Hesitated" About New Jersey.
NEW JERSEY-I hesitated to put
this State In the reasonably sure list.
because. II being the home Of the Presi-
dent. State pride and q careful distribu-
ton Of patronage suggested the plac-
ing the State in, the doubtful column.
But. from reports I have received. from
the fact that the RePuni ,ss ,r party -
enemy somewhat divided and disrupted
by internal dissensions, and from the
fact that while Wilson carried the
State four years ago. ne had SsN votes
justified in placing New Jersey in the
sure. rather than In the doubtful,
NEW HAMPsHIRE-The most rabid
or sanguine Democrat will lay no claim
to this State. and l will not waste
In the Republican column.
Status of New York.
NEW YORK-As In the past. so now
the great Empire State looms large on
the political horizon. Without New
York It looks like a forlorn hope fol
Democracy. The Republicans can win
without It, and while the Democrats car
lose the State and still win. It 10 within
the range OF the possible but not the
probable. Why do ! put New york In
the sure Republican column know
that must give good reasons for the
faith that is In me.
First, let us examine the election 70.
turns Of the last four years. Wilson
carried the State in 1912: He received
on votes. x little addition and subtrac.
ton shows that the combined Taft and
Roosevelt vote exceeded the Wilson
vote by lss. 81 votes. 4 pretty large
difference is i netr i Is! .,..,.. ~.
strongest man the Democrats eoult
name for the Senate by almost 10000
ticket, poiied ever 500 votes. csrtsini,
there Is nothing in these returns Il
what are the other features In THU
great State. 1t 10 the home State o.
| Hughes. 1t is there he Is known. re-
! spected and 'honored. 1t is there h,
showed the wise. forceful. and states
manlike qualities that eventually result
ed in a demand for his nomination,
demand that extended from Vermont Il
| Oregon. from Maine to Texas-a demand
quiet but insistent and finally recognised
| by q convention OF and for Republican
| voters of the whole Tilted States.
without the turn of hand. in fact
discouraging any movement In his be
half. the trend OF public opinion becam,
so strong that candidates and leader
| alike realized and recognized In him tn,
man Of the hour. II ever In the histor,
| Of American politics there has been
| clean-cut case Of the office seeking tn,
| man. II was In the present instance.
Has Twice Carried State.
"Can he carry New York? He ha
twice done so. He is stronger today b,
thousands Of votes than when he wa
reelected governor of the State. an,
with the well-known and but Ill con
cealed lukewarmness OF Tammany to
ward Wilson, ! would not be surprises
| to see his ma jority reaching six figures
| "NORTH DAKOTA-Some sanguin
Democrats claim the Ave electoral vote
of North Dakota for Wilson. ! have n
dope on this State except that In 1911
Wilson had 10000 votes less than Tai
and Roosevelt. while In 1914 the Stat
was carried by the Republicans by 10.
while the Progressives poiled over 500
| votes. and the combined Repu blican an
| Progressive vote exceeded the Demo
cratic vote by over 5000.
Surely these figures Justify the pre-
diction that North Dakota will be foun
in the Republican column In Novembe
next.
| Cur. Aho,t nh{o