New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-01-14

Il took a long time 70 establish ms
policy in the mind. of German states
manship, and in that time. when Bern
storff seemed on the point Of success
both in the Arabic and in the Ancona
incidents. a new German or Austrian
offence destroyed the whole ground
work Of his structure. Thus 1t IS only
in the last few days that BernstorH
has really arrived az position where
he can reasonably hope to carry out
his purposes.
What Bernstorfr now hopes and ex-
meets il simple. Some day next week
he will walk into Mr.. Lsnsing's ONCE
and give the Secretary OF state the
scrap Of paper" which will represent
the Diplomatic success of Mr.. wilson =
German Diplomacy. u Will represent
A compliance with American demands,
il will contain some sort OF dis
svowal Of the Lusitania and II VIII en-
gage Germany and her allies TO i've
under international law.
Concession Really Slight.
II should always be borne In mind
/ that this does not represent any rear
gift. since the British fleet mad as
posed OF the submarine warfare In the
north and that in the Mediterranean
could only be transitory. But on the
surface Germany will have made very
great concession. she will have placed
The United States i'm the position oil
the defender Of international law, and
she will be in position then TO de-
,nand that the United States proceed
against the British, who have been vio-
lating the laws protecting neutral com
,nerce. as the Germans have been OF
Tending against those protecting ives
Ru. Bernstorff does not expect tha'
Mr. Wilson will act. He does not ex-
meet that Mr. Wilson will go beyond the
writing Of more notes AT the present
moment. What he counts upon Is tha'
the pressure upon Mr.. Wilson from
Congress will at once open. Inc cot
TON Senator's. the German American
LEGISLATORS. the professional IRISH and
the whole motley army Of German sym
pathizers or men with German constltu.
ents will then begin TO demand tina,
the President enforce MS policies and
compel the British 70 yield:
Bernstotf, like everyone else IN WASH.
ington, knows that the British VIII not
Weld. He know. that they VIII no'
moderate the severity OF the blockade
q because the u4DNhhAV
war for them. But II the British re
fuse the administration VIII either
have 70 enforce its policy or surrender
! To surrender is 20 lose the German
American vote irrevocably; 70 act may
win it back.
To act means 10 resort 70 an en-
bargo. This is what Bernstorf and
all his German American friends nave
been working for during the whole war
and thew are at last within sight OF .
/ measure of success. An embargo could
moi mass the Senate at the present
moment. but it is wholly conceivable
/ that Auglo-American incidents, long
protracted debate, an accident mlsh'
make the thing possible.
Hopes for Enlargement.
An embargo would not mean war
necessarily. although il would invite
prompt reprisals from all the BRITISH
allies. as well as Britain: u would
lead 70 new bad feeling and fresh Dig
, terness. At the extreme. Germany
might thus succeed in forcing the
! United States into war with her enc
mics. but this is unlikely. what she
could hope for would be that thee
United States would thus ALLEVIATE all
the friendly feeling the Allies may nave
for her make. instead. bitter hostl-
ity. and leave Us with no other pos
sible friend 70 turn 20 than Germany
This would be highly advantageous 70