New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-11-06
New York's Vote
Seems Certain To
Be for Him
SWING STRONG
IN LAST DAYS
Only Puzzle Is Women's
Attitude in Western
States
Bv STEVENSON II. EVANS

Theory Is one thing. Practical
,of,jcs is another. Wilson can win
without the State Of New York.
That IS theory. Wilson won't win
without the State of New York.
That is practical politics. The Trib-
Inc Yesterday put New York in the
srre Hughes column because after
careful examination and canvass
~ ne upstate counties the ''irreduci-
BE minimum" Of the Republican up
state majority was high enough to
le out Of reach Of any majority the
CITY Of New York could produce.
A far flung telephone net, in which
Is many Democrats as Republicans
we're caught and induced to talk last
night. confirms absolutely the dec
loration that New York is sure for
Hughes. Conditions from a Republi-
can p0int Of view are better now in
IN parts of the state than they were
i've davs ago. Mr.. Hughes's New
York State majority probably will be
earer $1,000 than $4,000. A fore
caster does not need to imperil his
ou,ation in making that statement
II alabama is sure so New York is
e-c.
City Majority Low.
Furthermore, just 70 increase the
.sr:a.nty. the Democratic majority
New York City vii not be as high
ts has been expected, and that was
ever very high. The most optimis-
lie figures put forth by sober minds
las been 100000. Reduce that to
5000, not because Republicans are
making such claims, but because
some well-informed Democrats are
paking such a concession.
70 viii not be fair 10 blame it on
7smmany The Tiger. having had a
sniff Of raw meat (l9lO, may be de-
pended on 20 produce normal results
nothing unusual. but normal. The
,rimp in the below-the-Bronx Demo-
cratic plurality will come from Kings.
Erie County reports are positively
bsoyant Unless a landslide is com
ing and landslides do not fail 10 make
themselves evident on the eve OF an
election such as this one-Chautauqua
County Will clap an extra 1000 on
top Of that 5000 credited in The Trib-
sne table yesterday. The farmers up
here have a saying, based on long ex-
ptrience, that II the potato CROP. runs
well in their fields, their neighbors
are having luck, too. Conditions pre-
vtiling in Chautauqua politically, no
doubt, run through all the rural dis-
iricts Of Western New York.
Monroe Republicans report an I'M
pfoyemcnt 10 such an extent that the
majority from Rochester may stand as
record for years 70 come. Onondagai
Onelca, Albany and the north country
tll send cheerful news.
So much for the Empire State, with
oat which Wilson might win, but, II .po-
ltlesl history is worth remembering,
won't As goes New York, so goes, not
only the election, but also New Jersey
and Connecticut Mr.. Wilson's friends,
with the exception Of Mr.. Mccormick,
vho almost has nerve enough TO claim
Pennsylvania, concede New Jersey TO
Hughes Connecticut, according 20
surface signs, is not nearly as doubtful
n u was. IL is rapidly swinging back
INTO the Hughes column.
Granting that Wisconsin is still
doubtful and conceding Ohio as prac-
teslly sure for Wilson, il seems en-
urely safe 70 say that IL the women OF
Illinois do not all vote for Wilson
Hughes will be elected by a safe II
harrow margin.
Women the Big Puzzle
That brings the story to the big un-
.ao~n quantity, the of the campaign
good motto for d reporter Of politics
s, 10 and find out If that rule could
Dc applied 70 the Illinois situation IT
would be reasonable TO speculate on
ine probable outcome of the feminine
influence. But IL can't be applied. Hav-
hg found out how one woman or ten
~ 100 or 1000 are going TO vote, still
.1etes no telling or even guessing how
V'v'VOO will vote tomorrow.
u becomes study in feminine psy-
enology Studies in feminine psychoi-
SSry DO not belong in a political story.
Iae blunt fact is that II only men
m4'ed IN Illinois the majority Tor
gnsghes would be more than 100000
"i,h 500 900 women voting that ma
lprliy may be 150 600 and also II may
not
The neck-and-neck character of the
eoh'est on the last day Of the cam,
lslgn Is indicated by the admitted
'ooabilities as 20 the United States
.sthste and the House Of Representa-
yves. The Republican campaign com
mlt'ee Of the House publicly claims
1lor.iy Of 27 in the next Congress
s.l talking privately. they say y. sno
,1ep4rual observers say IL viii be more
ne ! or 8. The next House Will be
close that if three Socialists are
eeeied the balance of power might lit
.Nh them. Republicans do not expee'
/" have a majority in the Senate this