The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1916-06-30
A MEXICAN OPINION.
War Would Not Last Lone II the
Cuban Precedent Were Followed.

To THE EDITOR OF THE SUN-Sir. Hav-
ing been rather prominent in Mexican
politics. I ask you to permit me to ex-
press my views on the Mexican crisis
which is now greatly agitating the
minds Of American and Mexican citi-
zens. Som time & | was asked by
an American friend whether there was
any chance Of having peace restored In
Mexico for good. and | then answered
that everything depended entirely upon
the actions Of the United State Gov
eminent.
II seems to me that President Wilson
made many grave mistakes in handling
the Mexican question. Looking upon
Huerta as the murderer Of Madero. we
could. not understand why he wanted
TO force Huerta to salute the United
States flag. Surely one does not care
to accept any apology whatever from
a criminal. Next, the President failed
to approach any OF the decent parties
in Mexico. Had he tried to get into
contact with men Of the so-called re-
dictionary party. the cientifcos or the
Catholic party. political organizations
which had az leaders men like Felix
Diaz. Lie. Emilio Rabasa. Garcia
Buellar or Luis Eiguero. all decent
men from excellent families and thor.
oughly representative of 30 per cent
Of the $4,000. 900 inhabitants Of Mex
leo. things would have been entirely
different. II must he remembered that
Felix Diaz, a nephew Of the late Presi.
den Diaz, was looked upon in Mexico
as one who had all the many good
qualities OF his uncle and who would
have probably been instrumental In re-
storing quiet and order.
The fact that Mr.. Wilson at one time
negotiated with villa. who In looked
upon by all respectable citizens In Mex.
leo as a common criminal next with
Carranza, who IL not regarded by Next
cans In a more favorable light. and al
last officially recognized Carranza az
the President Of the de facto Govern.
ment in Mexico. did make matters
worse. and brought about just that
state OF affairs which eliminated IL
Villas criminal excursions into tbs
United States. The lstter's action,
were simply taken out OF revenge. fol
his previous enmity toward Carranza
had been intensified by President vii
sons recognition Of Carranza.
We M~exicans canno understand why
President Wilson. although he was re
peatedly requested by tho Governor Of
Texas TO send troops for the protection
Of American citizens on American soil
neglected to do 40. When he finally or.
dered a punitive expedition into M"xicc
10 take villa dead or alive We coult
not very well understand It, Suppos
ing an American band of robbers and
thieves located on the border between
Canada and the United States. woulc
President Wilson venture to send q
punitive expedition TO Canada " tn'
Government OF Canada had failed e
prevent crimira excursions into tn,
United States?
However. in spite Of all this the de
cent people OF Mexico will support th'
United states Government. even 4
there be war between the two nations
provided President Wilson will an
nounce after the declaration Of war
and to my mind u Will come - that
carry on - War of conquest one,
such a declaration is made. the MeNi
can people will believe In the solemn
promise given. quietly await the oCcu
patton Of Mexico by the United state,
army and confidently expect that tn.
United States will treat Mexico as /
did cuba should. however. such :
declaration on the part Of the Unite,
States not be forthcoming. then tn,
whole Of the Mexican citizens will fsh'
a. q unit. In this case expect tha'
the beginning Of the wa will he very
bloody, and will last AZ least from fouI
10 six months. After this time ther.
will be guerrilla warfare. and n vii
take at leas, 300. 900 United state,
soldiers for from I'VE &" ten Years I,
subdue Mexico. Il must he remembers,
that the Mexican MAR Of independence
began in Scptcinhcr. 1910, and was NO
concluded unt'l 1871, Notwithstanding
that the then powerful spanish Gov
rnincn crushed tire revolution AZ IN,
beginning
II * almost ridiculous to >uppos,
that either Japan or Germany will As
sist Mexico IN cas-" Of VA. Some stra,
japanese or Germans may take an &C
tive hand in the fight. hut ,crtaiul,
not by desire or with the consent -
either the German or the Japanese Gov
eminent. quite recently American fac
tories sent machinery to Mexico, and !
is said on good authority that the MeNi
can Government can turn out Roo. 90
rounds Of light ammunition da.ly
Finally. | wish more fully to oNpltiI
why I think war between the InItcl
States and Mexico inevitable. Word ha
come 81 ms that t%arrauZJ's position q
head of the walton is becoming nor
shaky every day. and that he will Law
tn do something "a resain the popularit
which he is losing fast. Moreover, II
j. backed by the iiuGo element and tn
students. the latter Of whom are cisil
carried away by their rutlusiasms.
\ NENICNS RFFuGEE.
NEW York. June 20