The sun., 1916-12-13
PREDICTS A QUICK
| REFUSAL BY ALLIES
btephanc. Lausanne, Editor Of
$40 Matin," Says Entente
Requires Reparation.
UBETTER TERMS LATER"
Germany Will Have to Sue As
. vanquished Nation, Is
Frcnchman's Prophecy.

ANVt " - III Outu @'N
her allies think OF accepting the terms
Of peace which Germany now proposes.
j predict hat within forty-eight hours
after they reach the allied Governments
Germany will have her answer-nat re-
fusal to consider peace on such q basis"
This from Stephane Lausanne. editor
Of lie Mdttn Of Paris. Lieutenant Of the
French army at Verdun. now in this
country on a mission for the French
Minister Of Foreign Affairs. Mr.. Lau-
sannc sat In his room at the Vanderbilt
and read carefully the German Chan
cellor's proposals as summarized in the
Washington despatch In yesterdays
GvENING Sun. Then he analysed some
OF them and indicated why they could
not be accepted.
Mr.. Lausanne prophesled that next
spring Germany would put forth a new
oNer. considerably better, than this one.
and that II too would be rejected unless
Il amounted 10 an acceptance Of the
principles for which the Entente Powers
are lighting. Germany must be thor
oughly beaten, must be punished. must
. for peace as a ~vanQuished nation.
Never while h posed ~ q c~onqueror.
talking OF restoration" but not Of
reparation and atonement. would her
Plea be honored. said Mr.. Lausanne.
FINDS Terms Encouraging.
AL Of US Frcnchmen will feel that
M terms which the Central Powers now
oher are most encouraging" he began.
"and ] will tell you why. It In because
this Is the fourth time that Chancellor
Won Bethmann-H ollweg has offered terms
publicly. -Four times ne has stood in
the Reichstag n said. We are prcpar-
Ing for peace n these are our condi-
lions. and each time the terms have
oeen better than before. Here are the
exact dates. Let us see how he has
progressed:
"On August IS. 1915. the Chancellor
said the old situation would not be re-
stored at the end OF the war-that a
new Europe must be created and the
English policy Of equilibrium Of the
Powers must disappear
On December ., 1915, he said. We
nav won enormous victories. There
fore We shall cede nothing Of what we
have conquered
"On April g. 1916. he said, After
such shakings history does not admit a
status quo ante. Nobody will believe
that We should abandon in the west the
territories conquered with the blood Of
our people. There also destiny will not
draw back
do you not see? Each time he has
said something different. Each time his
conditions have become milder and
miIder. sweeter and sweeter. And to-
DAY he offers complete restoration Of Bel
GUM to the Belgians. upon which. hi did
not figure at all In April OF this year. he
proposes to evacuate northern France
that also is not In accordance with whai
he has said before.
80 we think this Ii most encouraging
Tor us. for there is n6 doubt that II wi
continue the war until next spring OF
autumn Won Bethmann-H ollweg will &c
back TO the Retchstag again and Offer
still better conditions.
Analy sis Of the Offer.
"Besides that. what confidence MAY
you have IN. a people who one day sol.
EMMY declare such and such to be theiI
aims and conditions and another day say
something quite different Who would
be so silly as to discuss formally the con.
ditions published to-day, knowing after
a fortnight they might he altered for the
NTH time Aud even taking these pro.
posals as they,are, do you think the En-
tente Allies GOULD consider them for on,
moment? Let US see what they are:
THE Complete restoration OF. Belgium
That Belgian soil. but what abou'
the reparation to which Belgium Is enti
tied. solemnly promised by Germany her
self at the beginning of the war? N
August 4. 1914. II was this same Vo,
Bethmann-Hollweg who said, speaking o.
the invasion of Belgium, For the wronc
We have done thereby we shall try Il
atone. as soon as our military end Is oh
tanned In to-fay's offer where IL tn,
atonement for two and a half years oc
cupation. for the burning Of Louvafn. tn,
piilage Of Brussels, brutality and blood
shed, enslavement Of the Belsians-
where is the reparation?
1.-TWO days ago. In New York at tn
dinner of the Pennsylvania Society.
heard DR.. Nicholas Murray Butler ga!
every neutral thought that there must b
full %reparation for Belgium. and indee,
there must be.
Germany promises TO ~evacuate tn
territory captured In northern France
hut where is the atonement. the repara
tion for towns destroyed? Do o thinl
II, satisfies France to hear Germany say
w are going to get out Of your countr
and that Is enough How about Alsace
Lorraine? 1t was taken from us by VIC
lence forty-fve years 9 against tn
will OF the Alsatians. whose Deputies 4
the Reichstag hav protested for forty
Ave years against German domination
and who at the beginning Of this war lef
Alsace and came over to France. Alsac
must be restored TO France.
Russia and Poland.
mot for a moment will Russia con
slider Germany's offer to establish Polan
as an independent kingdom. and Russ!
will he right. The Poles would be jus
as unhappy under the German rule a
the Alsatians are.
Serbia would be swept of the map o
Europe II to-day's proposals were &C
ceptcd. Let us consult an Austrian doc
ument regarding that. In the Austro
Hungarian Red Book No. ~ II a tele
gram sent by Count Czapary. Austria
Ambassador at st. Petersburg. to Coun
Bsrchtold on July 20. 1914. czapary
r%ccountinE a conversation with NJ. Saza
noff, the Russian Minister. telegraphe
that he, had assured NJ. Sazanoff tina
we had no intention OF annexinG Ser
bian territory and that we had no IN
tention OF touching the sovereignty G
Serbia
And now Austria Hungary would re
tain the whole of Serbia"
Mr.. Lausanne continued
"After all, this war Is not over none
or territory. 1t Is over an idea. our ide
uat Europe shall not be dominated an
brutalized by Germany. We belicy
that the German people in declaring tha
war committed a crime against human
ity, and In carrying il on in the mamie
they have they have committed anotht
crime against civilization, For thI