New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-08-01
outcome of War Rests
On Battle of Factories
|. Carvin Says Allies Are Now Superior in Battalons
but Their Mills Must Yet Overhaul in the
Output of Killing Gear
BY J. L. GARVIN.

colors with more art. Still, they did
tolieve that IN the first big action
fought by their imperial navy they had
seriously weakened and Inundated the
British fleet. BY this time the whole
German people know that the blockade
is more stringent than ever, and that
fact rs depressing. IL is a fact that
no censorship can get over. When you
know that your own shoe pinches. there
u 40 comfort in official bulletins TO the
contrary.
About the situation on land the Kai-
ser 40 the beginning Of June WAS still
more lyrical The irresistible Ger
mans were about 10 enter Nerdun. The
irresistible Austrians were about 20
descend from the Alps and threaten
Venice Italy was 20 be punished.
Pride Before a Fall.
Tho ordinary German mind CON
ccivcd the whole picture In chrome
graphic untS From the Baltic TO Ru-
mania. Russis was walled up by trench
lines that never could be broken. The
British were as securely contained be-
tween the North Sea and the Somme.
The islanders in all probability would
mover even attempt a great movement.
They would No have the stomach TO
face the casualties which must be the
price OF any formidable offensive.
There were discussions between Brit
ain and her allies.
With stuff like this even n good and
modcrste writer like Major Moraht
used sometimes 10 feed the bourgeois
readers Of the "Berliner Tageblatt."
This picture Of the Continental situa-
ton was not only catering IL seemed
true. Pride went before a great fall.
A few days after the Kaiser's Grafton
came the lightning stroke OF BRUSH
legs offensive. In three weeks Aus
trians and Germans together had suf-
fcred half n million casualties. This
was remarkable enough as a material
achievement; morally u was still more
important 70 destroyed the whole con-
ccption on which Berlin had been fran
ing .ts calculations II meant the shat
tering Of o. FOOLS paradise. When Herr
Ecthmanr asserted repeatedly a few
months since that the longer the strug-
gle Che worse 10 would be FOR the Allies
hc evidently believed what he said.
Tho chief assumption had been that
there was nothing more 20 be feared
from tho Russians.
Bellttled the Russians.
For many days the success Of Brus-
silofi's offensive was minimized or con-
coaled until the facts became too glar-
ing The Cars troops on both wings
we're sweerinc through all the bristling
distractions built up against them by
nine months labor. They showed just
the ounlitv which had been denied
chen, a mos, formidable capacity IN
attack. 40 troops, not even the Ger
mans. had done so well against IN
t-onchments. The Russians utter con-
tempt Of death was backed by signal
ability. Berlin had assumed that Gen
ernl AlexeieT's new formations would
be- wretchedly led, but the officers were
better than ever. Just as the men were
better az every point Of training, Just
as the whole organization was better
in every detail Of arrangement and
equipment
The enemy's old contemptuous ar
roqanco toward the Slav Is over az last
Obtuse I'm dealing with the sentiments
both o. friend and foe. the Germans
cursed Austrian slackness and soft
ness That tone was hushed when the
Austr.ans began 20 show dangerous
WEAKNESS Of Prussian control. in Ger
many Major Moraht summed up me
situation when he Acknowledged thar
the Russians have evidently learned
more In this war than in all their pre-
vious wars put together. In short
whatever happens, the Cars new
armies are not going to be broken. II
thew were repulsed again they would
return again. Berlin and Vienna know
now that the permanent concessions 70
Russia must be bigger than anything
officially contemplated in these capitals
before June.
The next lesson came Gin con-
catouation accordingly" The Kaiser
had hymned the attack on Italy. A
fortnight more proved IT TO be gross
hlunder. The Hapsburg troops, with
vigorous assailants swarmlng on their
TANKS. were retreating toward the man
ridges Of the Alps and striving as best
thew might TO extricate their heavy
artillery. weakened in any case by the
transfer Of batteries TO the Russian
front The Central Empires perceive
that not only is the chance OF psraIyz-
ing Italy gone for good, but that the
Italians will be more tenacious ana
dangerous combatants than before.
Ttaly was 10 be a lost nation, but, IN
stead she has found herself. -,
And Verdun? Whether Nerdun VIII
he held to the end or whether the ldst
ramparts will fall after a struggle OF
tragic grandeur unparalleled IN war
do not know at tho moment OF wrlIihg'
Frenchmen do not know lney hVPSS
for tbe better event. They are steeleu
,e,ainet the worst. They are confident
tbat General Joffre has plan re
80, baFle the enemy on the very last
nc i.'S ,,ben the Germans have been
5rey,r ON far enough and induced 70
-, their casualties 10 a maximum
,,;tbout being able to attain the goal
What About Verdun?
Vet IL is recognized that Nerdun may
soll after costing the Germans over
balf a million casualties. In tnat cas-,
1t would be the effect Of the war /.
IT, would be no effect now except
ane verv adverse 10 the enemy. nc
Carr,o, attack. as all who knew the III %
raost soul of France predicted, has al
rosdv solved the main moral pFopleHI
~ tbo Allies. France IS more thah ever
a deadly. implacable foe, and her watch;;
- now is "JusQu'au bout, utle. GU
,,i+b grim eXtremism OF resolution
that IN never implied before
In the first six months France hopea
raeeicnatelv that it would be snort
Var. Again and again there were al
dent expectations that the eve % q
t,iumphant offensive had been I esoneuJ;
There was an hour when hope GeleIreu
meant more sickness OF heart man "1S
cver shown. The German nlgher com
rnand threw away the last chahce' SUI
az il was. Of breaking, RUSSIA any
as ali upon the confident design OF
SS reS the nerve and spirit OF France
at Nerdun. o What has
realIv happened. Austere,. somore' sure