El Paso herald. (El Paso, Tex.) 1901-1931, 1916-09-23

- two leagues would settle down
and pick their own champions, We
might have fair chance 10 dope
something out. but, just at present
we are compelled to dope It for three
clubs in each league which still have
a chance.
This necessitates an immense amount
Of study Of players and also Of con-
ditions. I still am Of the opinion that
the two Boston clubs are the two best
clubs in their leagues. although ad-
hitting that Pat Moran-s Phillies have
more reserve power than either the
Braves or BrOOklyns. and that both
Philadelphia and Boston are more con-
sistent clubs than Brooklyn is. Yet
Brooklyn has a seemingly safe lead
for the pennant- We are forced
to admit that the Red Sox are the
best and most consistent team in the
American league. no matter how sadly
the absence Of Jack Barry has affected
them We believe Detroit has more
driving and scoring power than the
Red or White SOX have, but that they
are badly hampered by Jennings lack
of knowledge Of pitching and the use
Of pitching.
It's n Tough JOB.
But as to the worlds series: It is
a tough proposition for anyone to sit
down and figure out which team VIII
win a Worlds Series before he is GER
tain which clubs meet I want 10
explain this before starting the com
parisOn of teams. You all know that
you can sit down and dope a season
with a fair amount of accuracy. pro-
viding the teams do not change too
much. We know that Ty Cobb hits
$50 against the pitchers Of some clubs,
and less than $50 against the pitchers
of others. We know that some teams
have il on" some others
The Fullerton System.
have a system of doping the regu-
lar seasons know Just about how
many games each pitcher viii work.
and just about how effective he VIII
be against each team in his own
league They may fool US some OF
the time, but not often. There are
only six pitchers in the two leagues
this season who are out Of line from
what they promised IN the spring
But the figures on a regular season
are not aDplica bic to a worlds series
If you will study how Boston has gen
orally whipped Brooklyn, and how
Brooklyn has usually licked Phila-
delphia. and then how Boston and
Philadelphia stack up. you viii see
this clearly
Therefore, in studying a worlds
series. we are compelled 10 change the
figures that applied TO a regular sea
son and study each batter pitcher and
4
do against a certain club. The pitchers
may make a $50 batter out OF q fellow
who shows 800 for season. and the
catchers may stop base runner who
steals 50 or more bases, over the sea
sons route. It may work any way
Therefore in studying these figures,
forget what the player is worth in his
own league in 154 games. and figure
what he is worth in the seven game
series against any certain club.
Perfection Is .1OOO.
Ny system is this / figure perfec-
ton as .1O0O-and no player is or cal
be perfect. Ny figures show Ty Cobb.
the best player in the world. is worth
500. and Meanwhile, the most improved
ball player of this year. at 1855 in their
regular seasons The offensive part Of
the game, which includes batting. base
running, speed. and geneAalship. 4
count 50 per cent. and the defensive.
including pitching. fielding and defen-
sive generalship, is 50 per cent
I work out the worth Of a player
exactly as an insurance expert dOpes
out the chances Of a man dying at
any age. And il works out-not ac-
curately, perhaps. and even infallibly
but il works out so well that we can
almost place a team before the season
starts, and the only way it has to bea,
the dope is TO get new PLAYERS or 10
catch smallpox. OF to run into q train
wreck. or to start a domestic row on
its own bench among the players on
tne team we nave lau several cases
Of family trouble in the National this
year.
Each Has His Value
We all know that in defensive one
player is worth more than another
that is that the pitcher is more i'm
pOrtant than the left fielder or the
second baseman- Each position has its
I have worked out a table
OF value Of s-understand-no
players. but Of positions. One player
he "a al
than the average To get at the worth
OF any club we must figure the value
Of each pitcher against each batter of
the opposing team. and calculate as
nearly as possible how valuable each
batter Will be against each pitcher OF
the opposing team. and then how val
liable each man Will be in defensive
work