Arizona republican., 1916-06-04
At Chicago This Week

The probabilities that Colonel Roosevelt will ceve the republican nomination for the presidency seem l'reater than they nave appeared at any time since his was first proposed The situation confused that prediction of pretended accuracy be made this time. It is apparent that the convention will be composed of hand picked delegates and that very few of them be controlled by any element at Chicago Nearly 700 of them will be uninstructed The instructions of the others mostly for favorte who have inspired little enthusiasm at home and abroad. IL ms be assumed that such delegates will shortly ;t:rdcn their candidates for or another of the leaders before the convention.
 According present indications Justice Hughes will have considerable lead in the early baloting but it will be very far short of the required majority He cannot expect any support from the Old Guard element in early stage of the convention. The reactionalies who regard him only little less undesirable than Colonel Roosevelt will likely stand by another of their candidates until their aid will too late serve Justice Hughes Ir the circumstances too, that no can represent Hughes say definitely that he would accept the nomination say what his attitude might be toward the questions of the day gentle who have taken charge of his campaign without authorization by him greatly handicapped. Even the instructed Hughes delegates, it would appear in these circumstances would hold together rather half heartedly
 It hardly be expected that there will be an avalanche of uninstruced delegates in his direction. In the first place. the fact that they uninsructed and were chosen at time when there only two of nationwide favor considered, and one them Colonel Roosevelt, had drowned upon instruc- tions well all attempts control delegations for him, rather indicates that the delegates will not large numbers to Hughes If the primaries and conventions that selected them had desired Hughes the delegates would then have been instructed for him.
 He alone of all the candidates has no working force impress uninstructed favorite dele gates. There is impressive argument that can be made them in his behalf when his friends cannot offer an argument and that it has the sanction of Hughes.
 In favor of Colonel Roosevelt. pressure will be exerted-not by the progressives but by the bus ness mems league the non- partisan league in which nealy every state is represented and which is posed fo- the part of republicans who opposed the colonel four The league is also repre- sentative of strong sentiment in every from which the uninstructed delegates have well from many which have favorite sons Such sentiment is felt for other candidate.
 Observers the ground according to the Asso- cated Press, are of the opinion that majority of the favorite delegates will Roosevelt tuay. The same observers believe that in the event of the withdrawal of Hughes the greater part of his strength will be for Roosevelt.
 No republican convention ever before came to- sether in quite such circumstances. Hitherto it been pretty definitely known how the delegates Comparatively few of them have been uninstructed. Doubt has only existed what they would do when released from instructions Chosen in conven- tions by politicians, they represented little or no popular sentiment and their deliberations were never affected by such sentiment. They were subject to the manipuations of the larger politicians in the ma tional convention just they had been bound hand and foot by the smaller politicians in the state ventions
 But the situation is different now With the selection of the bulk of delegates the pol- tcans have had little do larger politicians will not have great influence their deliberations this week Men and issues the feeling of the people back home will be mainly considered. Out of this condition which has been careessy called chaotic but which is really ideal and American impossb to say what will but believe it is strongly favorable to Colonel Roosevelt.
 New Kind of Lobby
 The Wilson administration has been distn. aho oai,,,