Pine Bluff daily graphic., 1916-12-24
FOOD ENOUGH ID LAST WORLD IF
 ALL EC0N0MIZf
The International Institute Shows World Has Barely
 Enough Food for Year.

Correspondence Associated PrcSs) Rome, Dec. 2.-The international Institute of Agriculture has published a report under the title Has the World Enough to Live Upon Until the Next Harvest ?o
 The report took into consideration five unfavorable factors, the failure O. the northern hemisphere harvests ending July %1 and particularly those of Canada and the United States: the unreleased crops of Russia owing to the continued closing of the Darda nelles; the extra and unusual con I sumption of food by the armies; the increased difficulty of transporting crops; and the fact that normally the worlds food consumption increases ,, year by year, partly due to popula- tion increases, and whereby a crop which does no more than attain to antecedent average is actually an in sufficient one.
 The general conclusion of the re- port, while not favorable, indicates l that if every nation, irrespective of those at war, exercises close econo- my there may be narrow margin of surplus food left at the beginning of the next harvest year. It is also made clear that should the next harvest be no better than the present. the situa l ton will be serious.
 i The report states: 'It is clear that no one can estimate with any preci- ! sion what may be the actual consump- l ton of the world during the period dividing us from the next harvest"
 HoWever,, it places the consumption of wheat in the northern hemisphere countries at 2,337 100000 bushels,
 adds to this the consumption of the southern hemisphere countries, and arrives at a total estimated consump- ! ton of 3,S36, 6,64S,364 bushels. Taking into account all existing wheat, given this consumption figure, the report : finds that the wheat surplus by July
 31 next will be but 46,2S1 .609 bushels,
 and that this surplus will exist be-
 cause of the preceding abundant har-
 vest whereby 345,3S5,1 LAO bushels of
 stored wheat were available to add
 to this years consumption. This
 but 3,491 ,263 224 bushels, as compar
 
 Russia's Wheat Supply. The report estimates the stores of | Russian wheat so far unavailable for military reasons at total of 303,5S0,- 900 bushels. If this wheat is released
 at any time within the next calendar l year, the food situation will be made
 easier, though not if the next harvest i fails.
 The reports definite figures deal
 with the five important food crops
 of the northern hemisphere, wheat
 rye, barley, oats and corn. "It should be borne in mind" it states, "that 1 these northern hemisphere crops are | 93 per cent of those of the whole
 world for wheat, 99.9 of those for
 rye, 991 per cent of the barley, 97.S of the oats, and 94.2 of the corn. The crops in the northern hemisphere lately gathered, taken as a whole. are undoubtedly bad. The wheat figures for 1916, 1915, and the average of the five-year period of 1909-13 are re- spectively SS7 7,706,O00 quintals: 1095,- 4O6 ,OOO quintals and 925.31e,00o quin- tals In other words. this years crop is only SO2 per cent of that of the previous year, and 94.9 per cent of the average" GA quintal is 3 2-3 bush els.)
 For the five cereals, the grand tot als indicate the present years yield was but SS.7 per cent of that of 1915 and 1O0.1 per cent of the five-year period. These totals are 9,1S2.69l.0OO quintals for 1916; 3,5S6,1e6O0 quint- als for 1915: and 3,17S,342.0O0 quint- als for the five-year average. Taking into count estimates of the coming harvests in the southern hem isphere, the report gives as the whole worlds surplus (not yield) for these five cereals 172, ,40S,000 quintals (632,- 162 ,666 bushels) and the total surplus at the disposal of international trade at 14,090,000 quintals (51,06S,332 bush els).