South Bend news-times. (South Bend, Ind.) 1913-1938, 1916-11-03
WILSON FAVORED
IN DOPE ON BETS
0nIy Man Who Lost Ground in
Odds Quoted in SO
Years Lost.

Kew YORK. Nov. 5.-Watch the
election bets. Wall st. wager rec
oTds show that in the last SO years
the odds or presidential candidates
an the week preceding election have
always picked the winner.
q is also "A curious fact that only
once in the last SO years have the
odds on a candidate at first favored.
fallen. and that time the candidate
lost the election.
This was In 1883, when the odds
on Cleveland dropped from 10 TO s
10 10 10 20 even money. and then
TO 10 TO on Harrison. Harrison
won. The odds on Mr. Hughes have
fallen from IL 20 /.
Going back SO years 10 1S8O-the
presidential contest was between
Garfield. republican. and Hancock,
demo crat. Garfield was a strong
favorste al during the campaign.
with some fluctuations in the betting
and won the election.
In 1884, in the neck-and-neck
fght between Cleveland and Blaine.
tho bets were ~ even money up 20
election day.
Cleveland FaNOrite.
In 1855 Cleveland ran against
Harrison. Cleveland started out in
September a 10 20 s favorite. Late
in September big business took a
deeper Interest in the republican
fight, and with an influx OF cam
paign contributions for the Harrison
fight, the odds reversed until Harri-
son was a favOrite 10 10 TO s. The
odds remained there until election
day. when Harrison was successful.
Cleveland opposed Harrison again
in 1892, and started out a favOrite
at small odds. which increased in
the las. week OF October. He was
successful on election day
In the free silver campaign of
1896, when Bryan was opposed by
Mckinley after the odds settled in
favor Of Mckinley after Bryan's IA
nous speech in New York on Aug.
Il. and rose until. In the week be-
fore election. the republican candi-
date was a to / fayorite. McKin-
ley won.
Roosevelt ran against Parker i'm
1904. Roosevelt started out a to
I favorite in September. The odds
on the republican candidate rose to
10 / 4 TO 1 and in the week be-
fore election. when the signs of a
landslide became apparent, bets
were made at to ] on Roosevelt,
the successful candidate.
odds Favored Taft.
I'm the campaign or 1908, when
Taft ran against Bryan the odds
were long on Taft from the outset.
Trey went from 10 10 IL to 8. to
90 /, TO Z TO ., and in the week
before election Lloyds was offering
3 10 1 that Taft would be elected.
and he was
In the famous three-cornered
campaign OF 1912, when Wilson.
democrat; Taft. republican, and
Roosevelt. progressive, were the
candidates, the odds in Wall st.
were always long on Wilson. He
started out a . to / favorite soon
after the placing Of the third ticket
i'm the field. In the week before
election the odds were 4 to 1 and 9
20 I on Wilson to win. Incidentally.
the betters made a mistake as TO the
Taft and Roosevelt results. for the
3 to 1 wagers were on Wilson to beat
Taft and 10 I on Wilson 10 beat
Roosevelt. whereas Roosevelts vote
exceeded Tafts
Election betting prior 10 1880 is a
bit hay in the record The odds
varied greatly, bets being more or
less a matter Of sentiment But
since then the odds made on Wall
81. have prevailed in election betting.
and the wagers there are not mat
ters OF sentiment, but pure specula-
ton. This is shown 10y the fact that
some of the largest wagers ever re-
corded have been placed il is said by
republicans against republican can
didates. and vice versa