New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-09-10

that the result isn't just what was ex
pected. and shows what is coming late
III the evening OF the first Tuesday
after the first Monday in November
Dozens Of typewriters in those Two
aforesaid Office suites have been olleC
up diligently for d broadside Of canned
copy as soon as half 4 dozen asplrant'
TO political Office in Maine breathe Z
well earned sigh Of relief.
Ready for the Result.
William K. Wilcox. Republican
chairman. and Vance Mccormick. MS
Democratic rival. will be back al ,heii
desks early in the week 10 join IN
post-mortem chorus over Maine. IN.
Republican, are filled with optimism
about Maine. but the Democrats eXpe;
to get enough out Of it TO prove what
ever they think ought TO be proved o'
the result. And Colonel Theodore
Roosevelt expects 10 null over the out
come on Tuesday with Frank II. Hitch
cock George ". Perkins. Cameron
Forbes. Nh. Wilcox. If he returns ]!
time. and one or two other leaders
who will gather at Sycamore Hill :
plan the strategy that is Indicated BY
Maine.
One Of the features Of the Maine
election that holds no small share o.
attention Is the Progressive strength
Mr.. Mccormick, in truly optimistic
fashion, asserts that the Democrat
will corral about 25 per cent Of th'
1912 Progressive vote for woodrow
( Wilson. He states that as an average
expected throughout the country. II
support Of the contention. the Demo
cratic campaigners point with prlde :
half dozen Progressive leaders wn'
are out sounding the call for Ni!so'
bull moose
Republicans Just Laugh.
The Republican Progressive dope
sters don't take much stock in tina
Progressive talk from Mr. Mccormick
Furthermore. they don't think it worti
while arguing about. But, If one insist
upon an argument about the Progress
sive vote this fall the Republican
statisticjans without much ado say con
vincingly that not even half of % pc
cent Of the 1912 Progressive vote WI
be for Wilson. In many states tina
vote has almost evaporated. and per
haps. they admit condescendngly, Mr
Wilson may get % per cent Of the 1871
Progressive vote. with Republican com
pliments for the same.
This is the way the Progressive aid
to the Republican campaign committe
figure il out:
Matthew Hale, one of the Progressiv
| leaders, who is for Wilson, is nationa
committeeman from Massachusetts,. /
/ 1912 he represented l42. 22S Progressiv
votes. Last year his party polled $50!
Take il all and Welcome" chorus IN
Republicans. Next consider J. A. /
Hopkins, Of New Jersey, another of III
Wilson PrOgressives. In 1912 his stat
polled l45.4l0 Progressive votes. Tw
years age it had dwindled TO 1919
Out in Missouri, Judge Albert Nortonl
constituency slumped from l2f,31
1912 to 27.6l4 in 1914. And so with I'll
rest of Mr.. Mccormick group of Wi
son Progressives.
California Pleases Mccormick.
Mr.. Mccormick halls with delight II
California primaries, which gave Co
ernor Johnson the Republican nomIni
tion. The optimistic Democratic chat
man declares that the primary vote
151 900 for Johnson. 1873 600 for Booth
his Republican opponent, means a ce
tain election of Francis J. Heane
Democratic candidate for United Stat
Senator, on the theory that the Repu
Leans who voted against Johnson
the primaries will vote against hi
in the election. The answer to tn
assertion, Republicans say, is, Rid
ulous.'
They figure out that nearly all vi
voted for Booth in the primaries we
old line Republicans who dislike bot
Johnson and Heaney, but Heaney NOR
and will vote for Johnson because
is running on the Hughes ticket. Flu
thermOre, they point out that two yea
ago Senator Phelan. a Democrat. We
by vote of 279,000 and that the r
publican vote this year will be almo
twice the vote that elected Phelan.
other words. the Progressive leade
who are working for Hughes and gat
ering in Progressives for him, decla
that Mr.. Mccormick is "piking" VIII,
he talks of his PrOgressives.
How the Estimate Stands.
Looking toward the national stu
ton, an early informal canvass mat
by the Republicans comedies the sol
South TO Wilson 1876 electoral votes
and takes 240 electoral votes fC
Hughes from California. Colorado. III
nois, Idaho. Iowa. Kansas, Massachl
sets, Michigan, Minnesota, New Ham,
shire, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon
Pennsylvania Rhode Island. South d
kota, Utah, Vermont, Washington an
Wisconsin.
OF the doubtful states, the Repul
Leans regard Indiana. New Jersey, Ne
York and Connecticut. representa-
81 electoral votes, as the pivotal state
which if carried will decide the ele
ton. These states will get the choiC
speakers during the campaign.
The Hughes claimants have gatherC
in almost the entire West for the
candidate, basing large part OF the
optimism on the woman vote, while
they estimate at nearly one-ifth Of q
entire vote this year. In New Yoi
State il is estimated that Hughes wi
get about two and half votes to Wi