New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-09-10
Feel Sure, However, OF
Control of House of
Representatives.
CERTAIN, TOO, HUGHES
WILL BE ELECTED
Fight for Upper House In
wolves Carrying Several
Doubtful States.

Although Hughes is 6 to favorite
in the betting and the Republicans feel
certain that they will elect him and a
Republican House of Representatives,
they are by no means so sanguine con-
corning the Senate.
The Senate now is composed of fifty
six Democrats and thirty-nne Republi-
cans. One vacancy exists because of
the recent death of Senator Burleigh.
of Maine. To gain control of the Sem
ate it will be necessary for the Repub-
licans not only to hold. their owl N the
coming elections, but to supersede nine
Democrats with Republicans TO have d
clear majority or eight to make a tie.
The term Of one Democratic Senator
in each Of the following states expires
this session.: Maine, New York, New
Jersey. West Virginia. Maryland. lndi-
ana (2), Montana, Nebraska, Nevada,
Missouri. Arizona and Ohio-thirteen
Senatorships in all. Recent political
history in each of these states is as
follows
Gains in Maine.
In 1914 the Maine Republicans elect
ed three out of four Representatives,
and the combined Republican and Pro-
greSsive vote exceeded the Democratic
vote by 16,459. In New York Senator
Wadsworth defeated Ambassador
Gerard in 1914 by nearly 10000, even
with a Progressive candidate polling
almost $4,000.
Senator MARITIME, Of New Jersey. the
Presidents choice in 1910, is now
victim of the Wilsonian habit OF
switching his friends and is opposed
for denomination by the national Adj
ministration, which favors the Presl-
dents now personal friend John ".
Wescott. In 1912 Wilson got the New
Jersey electors. but the Taft and Roose-
welt vote exceeded his by 55,946. In
1914, in the Congress ional elections,
the Democrats were in a minority by
more than $4,000 votes. The drift in
New Jersey is toward Republication.
Vote in West Virginia.
wilson's vote in West Virginia was
1877 in 1912 and the combined Re-
publican and Progressive vote 1866
In the Congressional elections IN 1914
the Republicans gained a member OF
the House. and again, at special cleo
tion to fill a vacancy, held May 9, 1916,
the Republicans gained an additional
member As in New Jersey. the trend
in West Virginia is toward Republican,
ism.
In Maryland the vote in 1912 was:
Wilson, 1854; combined Republican
and Progressive, 1912. Fights be-
tween Democratic factions have been
raging in Maryland for the last four
years and dissensions still exist. The
outgoing Senator, Blair Lee, alleges
l.. &C fpH ~
Walter Smith. and from his successful
opponent in the primaries, Representa-
tive David John Lewis. These dissen-
sions naturally help the Republican
candidate.
Wilson received PSI $50 votes in Ind-
ana in 1912; Taft and Roosevelt. 3l3.-
273. Indiana will be hotly contested
battle-ground this year. with two Sena-
torships as part of the prize. Just now
Senator Taggart is making a bid for
support by denouncing the eXtrava-
gance Of his party, but he is skating on
thin ice, for he is not likely to have
his party's support on such pro-
grsmme.
Dixon in the Fight.
In Montana in 1912 Wilson received
27.941 votes; Taft and Roosevelt, 49,
968. This year Montana Republicans
are united and ex-senator Joseph VI.
Dixon. who was Progressive national
chairman four years ago, is now taking
an active part in the fight for the Re-
publican ticket. Montana has had a
great influx of voters during the last
four years from the Republican states
of Iowa. Illinois and the Dakotas. This
vote also will be augmented by the
votes of the women, who have received
the franchise in Montana during the
last four years. Senator Walsh, OF
Montana, told the Democratic National
Convention that Montana would be lost
unless a satisfactory suffrage PLANK
was put in the platform. His warning
was disregarded. All Of these condi'
tons point to Republican success in
Montana.
In Nebraka the vote for Wilson in
1912 was 1090OS. and the combined
Republican vote, 126,9O5. The Republic
cans gained two Congressional seats IN
1914. II is we'll known that William j.
Bryan is opposed to the Democratic
nominee for the Senate Gilbert NJ
Hitchcock The Republicans have an
exceptionally strong candidate in John
L. Kennedy, former Representative.
Fight in Far West.
The Nevada vote for Wilson in 1912
was 1896. and that for Roosevelt and
Taft. S,S16. Two years ago Senator
Newlands's majority was less than so
votes. There will be an active cam
paign in the state TO defeat Key Pitt
man, Democratic candidate for re-
election.
The Wilson vote in Missouri last
campaign was 330,746; the combined
Republican vote, 1892 1872. The Republic
cans gained seat in the 1914 Con-
gressional elections. The Republican
candidate for the Senate, Walter S.
Dickey. has the support of the united
Republican party in Missouri, and well
informed Republicans in that state say
he will be elected.
In Arizona the Wilson vote in 1912
was 1925; combined Republicans,
$3.50. The Mexican policies Of the
present Administration are not any
more popular in Arizona than in Texas,
New Mexico and Oklahoma. Visions of
revenue tax on copper, Arizona's larg'
est product, are disquieting TO Arizona
Democrats. and such tax would help
diminish the chance of the present
Democratic incumbent, Henry +.
Ashurst, for reelection.