New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-06-29

Carranza has already accepted II, and
when the United States does likewise
the details Of the plan will be worked
out.
The plan TO he pursued in framing
an agreement has been outlined. how
ever. The United States will he asked
10 state its minimum demands, and
Carranza 10 announce his maximum
concessions. Between these compro-
mise will be sought. =,
II is now believed that II the United
States consents 10 mediation Mt all II
will be on condition that tho Pershing
expedition be allowed TO stay in
Mexico and that pursuit OF raiders
across the boundary be permitted;
Carranza himself proposed mutual
agreement for the pursuit OF raiders
lust after the Columbus raid, and ~
is assumed that he will acquiesce IN
this condition.
As for the Pershing expedition,
Carranza has demanded its complete
withdrawal from Mexico. and is ex-
pected TO insist that compliance with
this demand be made the first condl-
ton of any agreement. This is the
crux Of tbs whole situation, and the
diplomats agree that 1t presents seri-
Gus difficulties.
Most of them believe that the
United States should withdraw, as a
strict Interpretation of international
law demands, bus realize that a PROV
ect of settlement founded on WIN
drawal would almost certainly be re-
jec,ed and might imperil the success
Of the negotiations.
Compromise Suggestion.
A Suggested compromise is that the
Pershing expedition retreat TO point
near the border. where II could inter.
cept bandit raids as effectively as az
Namiouipa with a smaller force ana
less peril to international peace IL
NAV be proposed, therefore that fersh-
ing establish his base at Guzman' hIty
miles south of Columbus, and that ne
be permitted to send scouting parties
within radius Of thirty or forty miles
Of that place, neutral zone peIns
established to prevent clashes between
the American and Carranzlsta FORCES.
This arrangements IS peheVeu'
should satisfy the United states, as ~
would afford protection to the border
snd az the same time grant the right
20 maintain forces on Mexican soil. The
question Is NHcN'Vi ~
able TO Carranza. ,,.,
II is thought Carranzas objections
could be met by a stipulation that the
American forces should withdraw den
nitely within a fixed time limit, barring
tho event of new raids or attacks on
the Pershing troops. -,
The important thing at the beginning
of the negotiations is not 70 open the
wsy TO a fiat rejection Of mediation
by the United States. Minister Cal-
deron managed his original intervie"
with Secretary Lansing adroitly, per
ceiving quickly that mediation pro
posal could not be accepted with the
Carrizal ultimatum hanging hre. ne
refrained. therefore, from making al
rect offer Of his services and thus
avoided q rebuff that might have maze
II impossible 10 renew the offer.
Will Go Direct to Point.
Persuaded that the United States
has no reason TO reject mediation WIN
the Carrizal incident out Of the way
however. he probably will go directly 10
his point when ne next sees the Secre-
tary. He is expected to point out tnSt
the United States has in the past feit
free to consult Latln-Amerlca Win
erence to Mexican problems, thereby
a precedent thLt sancuohs
Latin-Ameri IAN Intervention In tnF
present situation.
Further, the Latin-Americans believe
Mexico is on the upgrade at present,
and that a war would result only In
setting back final solution Of tn
Mexican problem by many years. They
believe that if the United States Is not
going to intervene in Mexican affairs II
must give Mexico every opportunity 10
pacify and develop herself.
They do not conceal that their dishp-
pointment will be great If President
Wilson refuses to consider their oner'
While public protest will not be mace,
South and Central America
will be unfavorable.