Evening journal., 1916-01-10
Peoples Column
WHY GERMANY WINS AND
SHALL WIN THE WAR. OR
THE DEADLY PERCENTAGE


the war to date. but if the war is con-
tinued to finish. Il will inevitably
end in the utter rout and the utter
crushing of the Allies. In fact this is
so patent that for the best interests Of
all. the only thing the Allies can do is.
at the earliest opportunity, TO make
any peace which Germany may grant.
! am speaking as an American
strictly, an American, all Of whose
ancestry here dates back perhaps
hundreds of years and none of it Tory,
an American who has only the inter-
ests of his own free country at heart,
and as an American who can see the
danger of Germanic domination as
well as the heretofore greater and the
more to be feared danger of British
domination Every American must
realize that we are Heterogeneous
people-a composite race. of you will;
therein. We believe. lies our super
iority. The interests of the whole
world, and not the interests OF any
one race. are our interests; the Pill
grims Ga New York society whose
members are mostly British to the
contrary notwithstanding.
At the beginning of the war France
was the principal German adversary
as far as the highest manhood was
concerned. Today, as per the innocent
admission of the French themselves.
One-half. and that the best half OF
their manhood, is gone. Perhaps it
might be conceded that they have
still one million of high class in
dustrially trained men. Let US call
such industrially trained men. cap
able men," Russia claims to have
seven million men yet left q do not
know what became of the rest OF the
twenty million men she originally
claimed). These seven million men
cannot even read or write and are
not to be considered except as fight
ing animals requiring probably mil
lion-Or two million. if anybody in
sists-men in fair defensive positions
10 hold them in check. At least one
million Of among the very best of the
Russians Jews, &c.) are willing Ger
man captives; glad to do anything in
dustrially for Germany. England
claims FIVE million men; says that she
has, yet not over two million FIVE
hundred thousand of them are cap
able; because the average British in
telligence is very low in the first
place. and in the second, good many
hundreds Of thousands. of her best,
who were the first 10 go TO the war.
are out Of the business. Now let MS
grant that Italy and Japan together
can put up five hundred thousand of
industrially capable men. At the best
the Allies can scrape up four mill
lion capable men. and to bring the
number ND to even three million, we
must perforce use much lower rat
ing than VIC shall have to apply TO
the Teutons i'm order to include mil
lions more.
Turn TO the Teutonic Allies. Ger
many, according to the British calcu-
latiOns. still has nearly eight mil
lions of men. or to be exact, seven
and three-quarters millions. Fully
eighty per cent. or six millions are
high class industrially trained men.
Austro-Hungary has at least (but !
have no authoritative British calcu-
lations on this number) two millions,
OF whom one million are capable. We
shall for the sake of argument say
that the Bulgars and the Turks offset
the Montenegrins. Belgians, Sengalese,
Gurkas. TurcOs, sc.
To sum up; Although grand totals
have little If any weight at all. yet
we shall dispose of them first. The
Allies claim. all told. sixteen million
men: if they have eighteen or twenty
millions. it would not make any diff
ference. The Central Powers are con
ceded to have at least ten million
Is il not a fact that a central posi-
ton gives such an enormous adyan
fage that even this six millions eX
cess amounts to naught? If all the
forces of the allies were concentrated
on the firing line, only five million
men directly opposed would be re
ouired to hold them with ease. anc
only two to three million would be
required under ordinary circum
stances. I say this with the full ant
complete knowledge of the gigantic
exertions the Allies are making 70 oh
tain munitions. One million pounds
of nitrocellulOse powder a day from
this county alonel Il all amounts tC
nothing. The Germans are also max
ing stupendous efforts. much more ef
fcieutly and with a vastly largel
number of trained men. In fact theil
powder manufacturing ability far cX
ceeds ours and the whole world. othe
than themselves, put together. All o
which is perfectly natural, because
seventy per cent. of our knowledge
of chemisty halls from Germany.
At any rate this war hencefortl
cannot be won by further victories il
the field. A general offensive by thu
Allies on ore front alone, with onl!
partial offensives on other fronts
would be futile Tor the simple reasol
that the Central Powers could al
ways oppose superior forces. To have
hope of success a general offensive oI
all fronts would require still one ant
a.half years more of preparation. Per
hans the TeutOns would be driver
back TO new lines, perhaps they woul'
not be. I'm any case another tW'
years would be required to maxi
ready for another hopeful offensive
And so on.
Now. TO the minor totals. The Al
lies have only four million industrial
~ capable men against seven millio
for their opponents. This proportion
would not be altered but simply mu
tiplied il all the other men, who ar
unfit for military service, yet indus
trially capable. we're included. Fror
this preponderance OF intelligent me
alone; from this single solitary &C
vantage alone, are the Central Allie
certain TO crush their antagonist
The people with the preponderanc
of grey matter arc sure to win. Ther
is positively no lodging of the ISSUE
The British navy, London. Pari'
Moscow. win inevitably be destrOye
il need be to insure the winning q