Arizona republican. [volume] (Phoenix, Ariz.) 1890-1930, 1916-06-15
Who Will Win?

1t will not be long until predictions will begin
be made concerning the result of the presidential
pagn and the various grounds which the predic-
lions will be based will be set forth At this distance
judging from past performances, the election of
Hughes may be confidently predicted. In 1912 Will
sons vote which less than that of Bryan in 1896
and about the the Bryan of 1900 and 1908
was less by nearly million and Il half than the
bined vote of Roosevelt and Taft in 1912 when the
combined republican and progressive exceeded
the highest republican previously cast by more
than a half million
Roosevelt it is admitted received heavy demo-
ocratic vote. estimated from half million to a
million. But that was cast largely in the southern
In the northern states where votes for the
republicans count the Roosevelt democratic
largely, if not entirely offset by republican
cast for Wilson to prevent Roosevelt from carrying
certain states. There was in California open and
concerted of the reactionary republicans
to prevent Roosevelt from carrying that state. As
Taft hopeless, call made upon Taft
publicans vote for Wilson against Roose-
welt and result Taft received only
1891 in California against 2S343G
Wilson and 2S361O for Roosevelt. In Ari-
iona know many republicans who thus voted for
Wilson. The same thing took place in some degree
in every northern state yet in of them did Will
Roosevelt and Taft Even in the southern states of
Maryland and Kentucky Wilson given only plu-
rslities.
1t may be expected that much of the Roosevelt
democratic will be cast for Wilson next Novem
Der but that will only increase his popular in the
southern states. On the other hand the republican
spite vote" cast for Wilson in 1912 will be cast for
Hughes along with the republican and the republi-
progressive vote of 1912 Therefore the basis
of the vote four years ago Hughes should carry all
the northern states by handsome majorities
There are two new elements to be considered this
year. the pacifist and the German Irish The
pacifist may be dismissed with the statement
that the republican party will not bid for it and the
democratic party dare not Nor will the republican
party ask for the German and the Irish
expression of the nationality of Germans and Irish
but will include them in its appeal to Americans,
and will regard them only Americans. The demo-
cratic party is estopped by the popularity interpreted
of the administration during the year and
half from asking for German and Irish support.
1t is to be assumed that American citizens of
German and Irish birth descent the less
Americans and may that their loyalty
would stand the test if this nation put in peril.
But the time German sympathy actively
with Germany in the present and Irish sympathy
with Great Britain in any war.
II is generally understood, Notwithstanding the adj
ministratons protestations of neutrality is
not neutral that it has manifested a strong leaning
toward Great Britain throughout the conflict. This
understanding exists not only among Germans and
lrishmcn who American citizens but among
Americans generally. We do not think that the dem
ocratic party do anything during the campaign
this belief
II cannot especially appeal those who are not
of German and Irish birth descent to array them
selves against such citizens it cannot draw a line
between what it may call the American and the anti
American elements for all Americans recognize the
right Of every citizen to feel a sympathy with the
country Of his birth his fathers, provided that
sympathy does not the form Of disloyaty toward
the country of his adoption.
We have omitted reference to what may be called
the preparedness vote the expression of a widely
prevailing sentiment Of Americansm throughout the
country 1t hardly necessary refer to it now
in view Of Mr. Wilson's record unpreparedness and
ant-Americanism in his handling of European
and Mexican relations. Against record of hest
tatance and weakness place the strong statement
of Mr. Hughes last Saturday afternoon will be
the great oyershadowing issue of the campaign.
Publicity Campaign.
The Beaver City CColo) Times Tribune is either
engaged in strenuous collection campaign or else il