New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-07-02
Troops to Stay in
Mexico Regardless
of Carranza Reply.
PEACE DEPENDS
ON BORDER MOVES
President Still Hopes TO
Avert War Through
Diplomacy.
-F-n r. Trsun, Bureau !


Washington, July 1.-The Ameri-
can troops will be withdrawn from
Mexico and the way opened for =
final settlement when Carranza
shows he can protect the border, and
not before. In the mean while, peace
will depend on mutual consideration
and restraint.
This was the answer given to-day
in high quarters to the threats anC
yaporings which are being reported
from Mexico City. While few hert
believe that the note which is ex
pected from Carranza will be so de
fant and insulting as the memoran
dunn printed for home consumption
in Mexico. it is expected that he WI.
again demand the withdrawal Of the
troops and adopt a lofty tone. OH
,ials were emphatic in their declara-
,ions that there will be no backdown
from this side.
This does not mean that there IS
likely TO be a new crisis, however
belligerent the Carranza note may
be. The President has let 1t be
known unmistakably that he will no'
declare war except as a last resort
even then he is likely to decide
against a formal declaration and
content himself with the punishment
of forces that attack the Americans
President Wilson's Plan.
The plan likely to be pursued was
outlined as follows to-day for The
Tribune by one Of the President
closest advisers:
The troops now on the border and
in Mexico will continue their efforts
10 run down bandits and protect Vae
border. Carranza forces that inter
fere will have TO take the conse'
quences. And if Carranza reiterateS
the threats he sent through Genera
Trevino he will be so informed. Bu'
every effort consistent with their du'
ties will be made by the troops e
avoid collision or friction with the
Carranzistas. It is understood from
Mexican sources that, however beili-
cose the First Chiefs language, simi'
lar instructions will be given TO his
men. and the fact that Captain
Boyd's forces were permitted tC
travel sixty miles from their base
without being attacked is pointed tc
as proof that the Carranza com
manders will 90 far TO avoid trouble
This. it. is hoped will bring border
conditions approximately back TO where
,hev were before the Trevino order was
issued. So far as actual danger is con-
cerned. although it is admitted that
hot-headed officers will know that the
letter Of their orders calls for lighting
IN certain circumstances and that this
NAV MAKE Them inclined 10 bring on a
fight. The withdrawal Of the Ameri-
cans 10 Colonia Dublan, however it i'
expected, will 90 far toward ofsetting
This and preventing trouble.
To Continue Diplomatic Efforts.
So long as the border forces can be
kept from a fight the Administration
will continue its diplomatic efforts to
settle the question. II will not con-
sent 10 mediation while the Trevino
order stands. but it will renew lis
attempt TO reach an agreement as TO
the pursuit Of bandits and to legalize
the status Of the Pershing expedition
Mexico, on the other hand, it is as
serted. will not make such an agree
ment until the American forces are
withdrawn.
This apparent deadlock will be ended
as soon as Carranza shows that he can
police the border effectively other
words, when several weeks have gone
" without new raids or outrages
WIN the large forces which Carranza
a'S brought north to meet a possible
"le''ean attack, it is believed that he
n a position to do this. After this
cone and the American vroops are
oaeA across the border the diplomats
'pee' that way out will be found
sonsinusd on page 6. column 8