The West Virginian. [volume] (Fairmont, W. Va.) 1914-1974, 1916-08-23
Detailed Estimate Published
By Publicity Asso.
citation.
349 VOTES FOR HUGHES
Figures are based on Results
Of the 1914 Elec-
lions.

UuBllGhA AbltSlkJ AUTHORIZATION
Its president, Hon. Jonathan Bourne,
il, today gave out the following state
ment at its Washington headquarters:
III the country votes at the presi-
Dental election this year as 1t voted
at the Congressional election of 1914.
Hughes will carry California, Colorado.
connecticut, Delaware, Idaho. Illinois.
Iowa, Massachusetts,, Michigan, Min
inesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New
Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North
Dakota, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode
Island, South Dakota, Utah. Vermont,
Washington, West Virginia, Wiscon-
sin and Wyoming.
"These states have 1856 votes In the
electoral college, a majority of which
is only 266.
"In each of these states, two years
ago, the Republican Congressional
ticket received q clear plurality OF
yotes. In these states combined the
Republican candidates for Congress
received 4,O75,157 votes, while the
candidates for Congress
received only 3,132,56 notes.-the to.
tai Republican plurality being 942,
$50.
"In each of these states. In 1914.
there was an organized Progressive
campaign=except In Nevada. North
Dakota. Utah and Wisconsin, although
in Utah there vas a fusion ticket run.
nfngyin opposition to the Republicans.
The total Progressive vote in these
states was 746,341; and the combined
Republican Progressive plurality over
the Democrats was 1,6SS,93
1.-TWO years ago there were five
Btates-Indiana, Kansas. Maine, Ne.
sbraska and Ohio-which are fairly to
be classed as normally Republican but
where the Democratic Congressional
ticket received a plurality Of votes
ranging from a beggarly 1896 in Maine
TO an impressive 42,752 in Indiana. But
the Progressive vote In each of these
five states was FAR In excess of the diff.
ference between the Republican and
Democratic totals, and ranged from
8s111in Nebraska to 10000 In Indiana.
inTKansas the Progressive vote in 1914
amounted, { 74,441; in Ohio It was 49,.
9S1; and in Maine 1t was 1886.
These five states will cast SO votes
In. the electoral. college. How will they
syoteIthis year?
"Hopeful Democratic statisticians
estimate the division of the former Pro.
sgressive vote upon different proper
Stions-in each instance, however, CIV
Ing the long end of it to tho Republi.
cans and in no instance claiming that
more than 80 per cent. OF the Bull
Moose will support Wilson. Upon this
extreme hypothesis, let us examine
the vote Of the five states where a
Democratic plurality was found in the
Congressional elections of 1914.
THE Republican vote of Indiana
In 1914 was 233,14O, the Progressiyes
casting 90.040 and the Democrats 275,.
1872. Dividing the Bull Moose strength
onSthe basis Of seventy and thirty per
cent, respectively, to the Republicans
and the Democrats, tho vote Of In.
diana this year should be: Republi.
can. 296,162; Democratic, 100000. The
margin is too small for comfort on eth.
erg side; and Indiana must remain as
fighting territory until the votes are
counted. The Progressives-aided, It
ts said, by Democratic funds-are
maintaining an organization In that
state; but competent observer o.
Elieverthat from IS to90 per cent. OF the
Moose will vote for Hughes and that
the number who will support Wilson
are negligible. Upon this basis, In.
diana should go for Hughes and Fair.
GbanksEyy nearly 10000.
THE teventy.thirty division ap.
piled to Kansas would give that state
to the, Republicans by the following
fgu q: Republican, 240,215; Demo.
cratic, 21s,162.
IN Maine the result would be: Re.
publican, 72,SSS; Democratic, &C, OIL.
In. Nebraska tho figures should
show: Republican, 1896; Demo-
cratic, 1880. This Is another hair.
line of demarcation-but there is no
Bull Moose ticket In Nebraska this
year; and while the contest will be a
hardSon the indications are that
Hughes will carry the state.
"The same division Of the Progress.
stye vote in Ohio would produce fig.
ures for 1916 in this wise: Repubii.
can, 511,03S: Democratic, 49s.653,
IT Is therefore, a fair assumption
that, in addition TO retaining the states
which disclosed a clear Republican
plurality in 1914-and which assure a
majority Of the electoral collcgeA-the
Repuf lean ticket will this year gain
Kansas, Maine and Ohio without o,les.
ton and secure for Hughes and Fair.
banksfa total Of 1926 out of the sci
votes in the electoral coliege-with
more than a fighting chance to add the
23svotes Of Indiana and Nebraska TO
that number, making $40, or a major.
itylof 1877.
ssHughes will not be a minority
President.
THE figures upon which the forego.
Ing is based are taken from the World
Almanac and in detail they are as
follows:
State With Republican Pluraiities.
California = Republican, $50, 4sS;
Progressive, 15S,9S4; Democratic,
220l7s.
Colorado-Republican, $4,000: Pro.
gressiye, 1926; Democratic, 97,4SO.
Connecticut = Republican, $4,000:
Progressive, 6,729; Democratic, Isl.
pelaware-Republican, a2,s22: Pro.
gressiye, 1853; Democratic, 20;BS1,
ldaho-Republican, 45,365; Progress.
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