New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-11-07
JERSEY, Connecticut
and Idaho Fall
in Line =
WILSON LEADERS
CUT ESTIMATES
Cheering News for Repub-
licans from Wisconsin
and Washington
By STEVENSON II. EVANS

Predictions are without value to-
day. Probably before 10 o'clock to-
night the world will know. Sixteen
million men and women will have
begun TO decide whether safety
first" and weasel words" are to be-
continued as the policy Of the United
States before many New Workers
are out Of bed this morning.
When certain knowledge is so near
attainment no. one wants to write
predictions. No one wants to read
them. But information received last
night makes necessary revision Of
The Tribune's estimate of the cleo
toral votes which Charles K. Hughes
and Woodrow Wilson will receive.
First Of all. the State of Idaho il
lifted into the Hughes column and
clamped There it will stay. II means
only four votes. and Wilson needs them
far more than does Hughes. but in the
interest of accurate forecasting it is
impossible to be generous.
Jersey Also Safe
Add also to the certain Hughes col
umn the states Of Connecticut and New
Jersey. With the further practical GER
tainty that Hughes will win in Della
ware. the Republican margin of safety
is broadened.
There is small need Of piling up the
evidence that the State of New York
will 90 to Hughes. But one piece OF
news received last night from Buffalo
contained jolt for the people who had
decided that the labor vote" could be
delivered. One Of the biggest indus
trial plants in Buffalo. where are en-
tloyed more than 1000 highly paid and
highly intelligent union men. was COM
pletely polled. Twenty-eight hundred
Hughes votes we're counted.
Carry that out through the second
largest city of the state. and Erie
County tonight will report majority
of better than 10000 for Hughes. IL
at 8 o'clock o'clock tonight Buffalo,
which has the jump on the rest Of the
state because Of the use of voting ma
chimes there. announces a majority OF
that size. then it will be all over bur
the shouting and counting.
Cheer from Wisconsin
The Democrats yesterday, except for
publication, stopped claiming New
York, New Jersey and Connecticut But
thew continued a strong claim to WIS
consin and said that La Toilette was
certain to "come through for Wood
row. While it does seem probable
that Wisconsin, like Ohio, leans toward
President Wilson. still. on election eve
more cheerful intelligence for the Re-
publicans came from the Badger State.
GUY d. Goff, Of Milwaukee. chairman
of the Hughes Alliance for the state,
reported that he had on his books
personally signed enrolment OF $4,000
Republicans. Democrats and Progress
sives, who were voting for Hughes.
When it is considered that the total
vote in Wisconsin is less than 100000
and that Mr.. Goff made no effort to get
the Stalwart Republicans. who are cer-
tain to vote for all Republican candi-
dates except La Toilette, the impor-
tance of an enrolment Of that size is
apparent. In addition Mr.. Gof report
ed that he had $500 workers ell over
the state, and there was no doubt the
full Hughes vote would be polled.
Change in Washington
From Puget Sound came information
which would lead to the conclusion that
Vance c. Mccormick is attempting lar.
cenv when he files a claim on the State
of Washington. The Hughes Alliance
there last night reported membership
OF $4,000, within 10000 OF the total
vote Wilson received in 1912. T.. c.
Hughes, Washington chairman OF the
Hughes Alliance, reported that Hughes
would have a majority there OF not
less than 10000.
II the electoral votes OF Wisconsin,
and Washington be added to the Re-
publican total, Mr.. Hughes could afford
TO lose even Illinois.