The Washington herald., 1916-01-16

Judge Gary says that he believes that
the European war will not be so Ion,
protracted as most men predict" writes
Hudson Maxim in communication &c
the New York Times. He says that this
opinion is based upon two grounds-in
the first place, that 1t seems apparent
that little, II any, benefit to any bel.
ligerent country or to the world at large
can result from the war unless the result
be the establishment OF an international
tribunal for the settlement Of interna-
tional differences. He believes that ne.
gotiations for peace should be opened al
once and pushed to a conclusion. He
says that there will never be a better
time. He admits, however. that 1t seems
impossible that either side will be able
to conquer the other but he thinks that
the leaders of all the nations must real
ize and appreciate the fact; that IL they
do not. then the masses of the people
will appreciate this fact and decide the
matter. The second ground for his belief
is that each of the warning nations is
starving for men and money both.
"Mr. Gary does not see for any of the
belIigerent powers enough prospect OF
gain even In the case Of victory to war
rant continuation of the war under pres
ent conditions
Il have not given Mr.. Gary's exact
words l have simply given the gist OF
his opinions partly in my own words.
Il have made very close and careful
study of the European situation. and j
am convinced that Mr.. Gary is wrong
in his a priori conclusions.
Preparing in Forty Years.
When the European war broke out
the Central Powers were we'll prepared.
the Entente Powers pitiably unpre-
pared. The result has been that the
Austrians and Germans have carried the
war into the enemies countries and
have intrenched themselves there. The
Germans have been preparing for tbs
war for forty years. The Austro- German n
armies are officered by the most capable
military men in the world, while the
rank and file have been so carefully and
thoroughly trained that they may be
welded by their officers with far greater
effect than less well-trained troops.
England had but a very small army
at the beginning of the war. because
England relied upon her navy. Engla nd
had not ina gined that she would be likely
to need large army. She had no,
foreseen the necessity Of fighting in the
trenches shoulder to shoulder with
France. Furthermore. the English Off.
GERS were indiscreetly brave at the be.
kiifAIk OI lHt war, ana d very ldT
proportion of them were very quickly
killed. with the result that the present
English troops are not well officered.
Napoleon said that he would much
rather have an army of sheep with a
lion for a leader than an army of lions
with a sheep for a leader The Ger
mans are an army of lions with lions
for leaders, and the sooner the Entente
Powers appreciate that fact the better.
Don't Know when They Are Beaten,
"As I have said. the Germans have in
trenched themselves in their enemies
countries, and war is intrenched with
the Germans. and peace cannot com.
and the Germans driven back within
their own frontiers or until the En-
terite Powers shall either be defeated
or arrive at a conclusion that the Ger
driven back within thear own frontiers.
England is sort of never-give-up
country. 1t takes a long time after
an Englishman has been whipped to
convince him that ne has been whipped
Even II it were to be granted that the
English are whipped today it would
take two years longer before they would
find it out. and the war would have to
last two years longer for that reason
alone Consequently, the indication.
are that the war will last for long
time yet.
Let me give few more reason:
1t requires three times as many men
and the expenditure of three times as
much ammunition to disintrench a we'll
intrenched enemy as 1t does to hold a
strongly intrenched position. Conse-
quently, the entente powers would have
to I'M he O
force three times as great to disintrench