Evening journal., 1916-08-23
FIGURES Indicate
HUGHES VICTORY
Analysis ofProgressive Vote
Shows More Than SUI
iicient Electoral Votes
EXPECT KANSAS
TO SUPPORT G. O. P.

WASH1NElON, II. " aug. S5.-
Foreshadowing Republican victory at
the elections in November, in the coun-
try votes as it did in the Congressional
election of 1914, the Republican Public
ity Association, in a careful compilation
of vote statistics just made public. as.
serts that Mr.. Hughes will carry
twenty-six States. These, according to
the statistics based on election returns
of 1914, are California, Colorado. Con
necticut, Delaware, Idaho, Illinois,
Iowa, Massachusetts,, Michigan, Mime
sofa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New
jersey, New Mexico, New York, North
Dakota Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode
Island South Dakota, Utah. Vermont,
Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin
tud Wyoming.
IN Analysis by states.
. Analysing in detail the votes by
states, the statement continues:
These States have 2S0 votes in the
Electoral College, a majority Of which
!, only 2G8.
"In each of these States, two years
ago, the Republican Congressional ticket
received a clear plurality Of votes. In
these States combined the Republican
candidates for Congress received 4,075,.
l57 votes, while the Democratic candi.
dates for Congress received only 1892.
56s votes the total Republican plural
ity being ot2 $50.
''ln each Of these States in 1914, there
was an organized Progressive campaign
except in Nevada, North Dakota
tab and Wisconsin, although in Utal
there was a fusion ticket running In op
position to the Republicans The tota
Progressive vote in these States wal
1854. and the comhined Republican
Progressive plurality over the Demo
,rats was l,6Ss.930
1.-TWO years ago there we're Ave
States---Indiana, Kansas, Maine, Ne
braska and Ohio-which are fairly TO
be classed as normally Republican
but where the Democratic Congress
sional ticket received a plurality OF
votes ranging from a beggarly 365
in Maine to an impressive 42,752 in
Indiana But the Progressive vote
in each OF these FIVE States was fal
I'm excess of the difference between
the Republican and Democratic to
tails. and ranged from 3,111 in Ne
braska to 9O.040 in Indiana. II
Kansas the Progressive vote in 191.
amounted to 74,441 in Ohio it wal
1891. and in Maine II was 1885.
How viii They Vote This Year2
These five States will cast sixty
three votes in the electoral college
How will they vote this year?
Hopeful Democratic statstician
estimate the division of the forme
o Progressive vote upon different pro
-, ~
giving the long end of II to the Re
publicans and in no instance claim
ing that more than 80 per cent. O
the Bull Moose win support Wilson
Upon this extreme hypothesis let u
examine the vote Of the five State
where a Democratic plurality wa
found in the Congressional election
Of 1914.
The Republican vote Of Indiana 4
1914 was 233.140. the Progressive
casting 9OO40 and the Democrats 275
1872 Dividing the Bull Moose strengt
on the basis of 10 and 30 per cent
respectively TO the Republicans an
the Democrats the vote OF Indian
this year should be: Republican, 2e6
1852: Democratic. 302,904 The margi
is too small for comfort on eithe
side. and Indiana must remain a
fighting territory until the votes ar
counted. The Progressives-aid
il is said, by Democratic funds-ar
maintaining an organization in ths
State: but competent observers b'
lieve that from S5 TO 80 per cent {
the Moose will vote for Hughes an
that the number who will supper
Wilson are negligible. Upon this bas
Indiana should go for Hughes an
Fairbanks by nearly 100000.
Expecs Kansas TO Go For Hughes.
"The seventy-thirty division apple
10 Kansas would give that State to q
Republicans by the following figure
Republican. 240.215; Democratic, 21'
7C2
"In Maine the result would be; r
publican. 72.2SS: Democratic. 66,07l
In Nebraska the figures shou
show: Republican. 1895; Dem
cratic. 1880. This is another hai
line Of demarcation-but there is
Pul Moose ticket in Nebraska n
year: and while the contest will
hard one. the indications are th
Hughes will carry the State.
"The same division Of the Progref
Eve vote in Ohio would produce figur
for 1916 in this wise: Republican, 81
OSS: Democratic. 49s,653.
1T is therefore fair assumph
that. in addition to retaining
States which disclosed a clear Repu
lican plurality in 1914-and which
sure a majority OF the Electoral G.
lege-the Republican ticket will u
wear gain Kansas. Maine and Oh
without question, and secure
Hughes and Fairbanks total OF
out Of the 5S1 votes in the Electol
Collec-with more than a hghti
chance to add the twenty-three vol
OF Indiana and Nebraska 10 that nu
Der. making 349, or a majority OF /
Hughes will not be minor
President"
FPwoRTH BROTHERHOOD oUTTN
ri. r,,ftt,rr ~ EaaUortn Bro