New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-10-21


Mr. Farnham's observations and con-
illusions in detail with respect to each
state are these:
California is absolutely safe by q
large plurality, and Governor Johnson
will be elected Senator overwhelmingly.
The women there are doing most eff
fective work, among them being many
former Democrats.
COLORADO is always close. Early !
was inclined to believe it was more
than doubtful, but now ! believe both
Governor Carlson and Hughes will
carry the state.
"ldaho-There is not much doubt
about Idaho being carried by Hughes,
although the vote will be close.
"Illinos will be found in the Repub-
lican column. Leaders who ought to
know estimate il will give Hughes any
where from 10000 to $4,000 plurality.
Illinois this fall will cast more votes
for President on November than any
other state in the Union. Women to the
number of at least 100000 will vote for
the first time for President.
Uncertainty Due to Women
"This introduces an element which
adds some uncertainty in the result. |
have been told some of the women have
until recently been inclined TO vote for
Wilson, because of the kept-us-out-of-
war idea. | believe Hughes has finally
disposed Of that fallacious idea. Every
day he is gaining ground.
Indiana Is sure for Hughes. He will
carry it by at least $4,000 plurality, and
Governor Goodrich and the two Repub-
! IL r 4 -
Harry S. New and ex-Representative
James +. Watson-will be elected.
"Iowa is safe for Hughes by from
$4,000 to 10000.
kansas is also safe for Hughes by
from 10000 to $4,000.
Kentucky is another close state.
When we were there on the first trip
was inclinec 20 think it would 60 for
Wilson, but the return visit of Hughes,
| the good work put in by Colonel Roose-
welt, Senator Fairbanks and Western
| Manager Alvin r. Hert, who lives in
Louisville, will 60 far to put Kentucky
in the Hughes column.
Conditions Promising
| at will be remembered that Ed Nor
row, Republican candidate for Governor
| last year, came within 44l votes of
carrying the state, and conditions are
at least as promising now as they were
then.
MAINE, Of course, is safe.
Maryland is debatable, but the
chances are in favor of Hughes. We
had wonderful meetings at Hagerstown
and Baltimore, and it was conceded
Hughes received the greatest political
demonstration ever witnessed in the
Oriole City.
Massachusetts Is for Hughes by q
comfortable margin.
Michigan is absolutely safe for
Hughes by at least 10000. Charles II
Warren. National Committeeman, pre-
diets that Hughes will get anywhere
from $4,000 TO 100000. In no state in
which | have been are the conditions
more satisfactory to us.
Minnesota is safe for Hughes by pi
least 10000. There is absolutely nc
doubt that Frank b. Kellogg will be
elected 20 the Senate. and the whole
state ticket will win by a big plurality
The Democrats are making practically
no campaign against the state ticket.
Hughes May Win Missouri
missouri is always in doubt. Ir
September il looked as If IL were lean.
l INK lONhTu hltoUUs NON, hlLtT n kpC'
ond visit 70 the state, with wonderful
meetings in Joplin and Springfield, il
looks like "A small plurality for Hughes
Judge Lamm will be elected Governor
and Walter s. Dickey, of Kansas City
will defeat James A. Reed for the
Senate.
Montana IL close, and Hughes ha.
more than a fighting chance. Mis-.
Jeanette Rankin, the Republican
nominee in Montana for Congressman
at-Large, is making strenuous cam
paign, and the women rallying TO hon
side will also cast their ballots for
Hughes. IL elected, she will be the
first Of her sex to sit in the House OF
Representatives.
Nebraska Is close. Local issues
have beclouded the situation. Bryan
has lost much Of his influence and
think the state is ffty-ffty.
New Hampshire IL safe, 10 could not
be anything else,
New Jersey regard as certain for
Hughes The Republicans at the re-
cent primaries polled nearly 10000
votes more than were cast In the state
| for Wilson in 1912. The Republicans
are united, whereas the Democrats are
torn by factioaal strife and are apa-
thctic. Tho Republicans have a strong
state ticket. The Democratic ticket Ia
wofully weak.
New York, Governor Hughes's home