The Detroit times., 1916-05-17

stated 20 per cent allowed to o(1cG q
belligeronts. Hence. II 10 ven ~ s
in the truth. after allowing hooX
losses IT. the second year. 70 e q
sumo that Russia will face her c. d
mics a. he beginning OF the thif4 q
year with 6.00O.0O men. "a
Italy can muster 100000 mece h
Probably only 100000 were nr9t
sent into the field. With the sau1.{
losses as In her first year Il 10 wG1bt|
within the mark to suppose obo
could have 100000 men ~ August. &
1915. II there Is any error, II - =
in placing the figure 100000 To- I;
low. 's7'
Men Of the Central Empires.
On the other side. It II easy ~
state thu relative power of Ger.
many. On the 10 per cent rule she
should have 100000 soldiers; but,
although we have not allowed Rus-ss
STA her 20 per cent, we shall esti-
mate Germany's maximum OF mons:
at 100000. II Is reported that she Z
keeps a. the various fronts 10 d. !
visions (supposedly Of 10000 men
EACH, or about 3,400 900 men. which
are kept full by drafts on reserves. \
Since Germany has borne the brunt Z
of the fighting. her losses have been
heavy, especially In the first year.
or the estimated losses of 2.400.000
in he first year, many were re-
turned: but as men return new
wounded 60 out. The estimate OF
Mr.. Tenant In the British house
of commons to Dec. 81, 1915, was
fo.535.76s. Another estimate to Dec.
7, 1915, is 2,si7,959. To date, after
the bloody battles before verdun.
the losses must be already some 81,
O,0OO. When these are taken from
possible maximum of 100000,
and allowing for the usual strength
OF 100000 kept at the front. the
reserves left today are only 2,@00sr
O00 From these must be taken the
men in tine duties behind the front.
And. as the latest classes are In
cluded IN the 100000, the re-l
serves to keep the lines at the front
up to strength would be used up
within year at the past rate OF
losses. Moreover, the reserves are
not now Of as high grade a. the
earlier troops.
Austri1-Hungary's losses In the
second year may be less in prison.
ers, and she may possibly add =
small contingent Of youths, thus fac
ing the enemy at the beginning or
the third year with 100000 men.
In summing up the case the state
of mind on each side must be taken
into account. To the present time
the German mind has been utterly
blind to any possibility OF defeat.
sooner or later. The victories n
Poland Galicia, Serbia, and Turkey
have confirmed the belief In the In
yincibility of German armies. Even
, now the Germans are building up
Antwerp, Belgium and Poland az X
: hey were to be permanently ~
o aimed, and they are computing the
r indemnitics to be levied on France,
0 | Russia, and Great Britain. They
q want peace, and the rumors OF peace
; coming from Germany have real
|. basis, hut the peace they will have
? Is one made on their own terms. the
terms of victory already won. The
plan of European custom union
, dominated by Germany IL already
, familiar, If not even pact OF states
, headed by Prussian leadership. New
r ertheless. recent events at Verdun
! and economic conditions must have
: weakened German confidence In fu-
; lure victory.
, On the other hand, the allies are
more determined than ever to pre-
vent the dominance OF Europe by
[ Germany. The differences in par
, lament and in the British cabinet
I. are not indications OF weakness. but
OF grim demand for greater EN-
: cheney and less bungling. In Rus
sia. outside of an element in Petro-
, grad. more OF less pro-German, there
Is determination and unity In pros
ecuting the war. Indeed, r. ssfan
2 success is by many believed be
Z bound Up with the progress OF lib
= eralism The very existence OF
, France is at issue, and no possible
, waverirg is perceptible there. Italy
has crossed the Rubicon and cannot
Y return.
{ VIII Third Year See Endf
> without doubt moral considers
; lions have so far had little value
| n determining the length OF the
, war. II must be war to grim
p finish. That means war stopped
Z only by lack OF armies and MUM
r tions. In that event, with nearly
r three to che against them, the length
, OF the war depends on the time 1t
1 will take TO wipe out the larger part
CT the 100000 soldiers OF the GEN.
trail empires IN the third year OF
: the war.
I The third year. with possibly a
| third winter in the trenches, must
bring tie end, which practically
4 comedies with the statement or
!. Lord Kitchener at the beginning OF
| -