Atlanta semi-weekly journal. (Atlanta, Ga.) 1898-1920, 1916-10-31
EIGHT STATES WILL
DETERMINE RESULT
OF ELECTION NOV: 7
They Are New York, Illinois,
Ohio, indiana New Jersey
Wisconsin, Nebraska and
Connecticut

NEW YORK. Oct. 2s.-As the last
hap Of the presidential campaign is
reached. evidences multiply that inso-
far as the Democratic and Republican
national committees are concerned there
are fewer than a dozen states in the
union That is to say that the ma
tional committees are today concentrate
ing their efforts almost entirely upon
less than twelve states. They are po-
Iitically important in the order named:
New York. with forty-five electoral
votes; Illinois. with twenty-nine cleo
toral votes; Ohio. with twenty-four
electoral votes; Indiana, with fifteen
electoral votes: New Jersey, with four
teen electoral votes; Wisconsin, with
thirteen electoral votes; Nebraska, with
eight electoral votes; Connecticut, with
seven electoral votes.
Missouri. with eighteen; Michigan,
with fifteen. and Kentucky, with thir-
teen electoral votes. may very properly
be included in the foregoing list, with
the reservation that they are not con-
sidered as doubtful" as the other eight
states. Missouri and kSntucky are
counted as practically certain TO fall
in the Wilson column. though the Re
publicans have not abandoned the tight
in them. Likewise Michigan leans
strongly toward Hughes. though the
Democrats are unwilling TO cOncede it.
To recapitulate, as the campaign en-
ters its final stages. eight states are
REGARDED as certainly doubtful and
these states have enough electorSf votes
absolutely 10 determine the result OF
the election. In these eight so-called
doubtful states. in which both parties
are concentrating, the Democrats have
the advantage Three of the eight, Ohio
wisconsin and Nebraska are most like
IN to give their electoral votes TO Will
son.
IN THE OTHER FIVE
In the other five states, with the
possible exception OF New York, the
Republicans are on the defensive and
the ADVANTAGE is with the Democrats.
This is emphasized by the fact that the
Republicans have been forced TO make
an eIeventh-hour change in their pro-
gram Originally IL was their plan to
concentrate solely upon New York dur
ing the last ten days OF the campaign.
Now they find il necessary 70 send
Mr.. Hughes on a fourth tour of Indiana
and Ohio. and 10 use Colonel Roosevelt
also in the same territory The with
drswal Of these men from New YORK
for even a day will give the Democrats
an advantage in the Empire State.
The south. including Oklahoma, has
1sS electoral votes. which added to the
vote OF ohio. Wisconsin. Nebraska, Mis-
souri, and Kentucky will give 10 the
Democrats sIs electoral votes, within
"A of the number required TO elect
West Of the Missouri river. il is prac-
ticaIly certain that Wilson will receive
at the very lowest estimate thirty cleo
toral votes. as follows;
Arizona. three: Colorado six: Mon
tana. four: Nevada three: New Mexico
three; Utah. four, and Washington,
seven
These states will bring the Demo-
cratic strength TO 242 electoral votes,
within - OF enough TO elect
There is no doubt that the president
will carry Maryland. West Virginia and
Delaware. with total of ninteen cleo
tOral votes. giving him certainly PSI
electoral votes, or within five Of enough
to elect.
This leaves New York. nIionois. In
diana. New Jersey and Connecticut IN
the balance.
NEW YORK SITUATION.
Although New York is classed as a.
doubtful state. every indication points
10 a Democratic victory. The Repub
lIcans are frightened stiff. Their up
state polls have been far from salts
factory. Communities that have here
fofOre been regarded Republican
strongholds are leaning toward Will
son
The reports received at Democratic
headquarters from independent sources
tell of the Republican detection up
state, and there is no disputing that
the normal upstate Republican plu-
rality will be cut to the bone Esti-
mates as to the extent of this re-
duction Of the Republican vote vary.
but il is the consensus OF opinion that
il will be surprisingly large
II - ENzr.ruhrF~1nE
fesS that all is well within their party,
the fact remains that a large element
Of the Barnes wing OF the party is luke
warm in its support OF Hughes. II is
noteworthy. also. that Mr.. Hughes him
self has failed 20 develop much entlu-
Siasrn on his tour Of the state
On the other hand. IL * confidently
believed. and the belief is based upon
reliable reports and careful csnvasses.
that the city of New York will roll up
a heavy plurality for the President.
Tammany is putting I'D the fight of
its life in the greater city, and the
signs point 20 a record-bresking Demo
cratic vote in Manhattan, Brooklyn. the
Bronx and other boroughs for the
greater city.
DEMOCRATS CONFIDENT.
The Democrats have every reason TO
feel confident that the plurality for
President Wilson in greater New York
will more than overcome the reduced
plurality that Hughes may receive up
state. so that New FORKS electoral vote
viii be given 70 Wilson by large
majority
The situation in Illinois has improved
steadily for the Democrats. and re-
ports from Chicago tonight indicate
that the President has a decided sd-
vantage
The woman vote is a big factor. and
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