Montpelier examiner. [volume] (Montpelier, Idaho) 1895-1937, 1916-09-01
WHICH SHOW
HUGHES A WINNER

The Republican Publicity associa-
tion, through its president, Hon.
Jonathan Bourne, Jr., has given out
the following statement at its Wash
ington headquarters:
"If the country votes at the presi-
Dental election this year as II voted
at the congressional election OF 1914,
Hughes will carry California, Color
ado, Connecticut, Delaware, Idaho.
Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, Michi-
gan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hamp-
shire. New Jersey, New Mexico, New
York, North Dakota, Oregon, Penn
sylvania. Rhode Island. South Da-
kota, Utah, Vermont, Washington,
West Virginia, Wisconsin and Wyo-
ming.
These state have 2S6 votes in
which is only 266.
In each of these states two years
ago. the republican congressional
ticket received a clear plurality Of
votes. In these states combined the
republican candidates for congress
received 4,075,157 votes, while the
democratic candidates for congress
received only 3.132,568 votes - the
total republican plurality being 942.-
$50.
'.In each Of these states, IN 1914,
there was an organized progressive
ampaign-except in Nevada. North
Dakota, Utah and Wisconsin. althO
in Utah there was a fusion ticket
running in opposition to the republi-
cans The total progressive vote in
these states was 1884; and the
combined republiean-pTogressive plu-
raiity over the democrats was 1888
| $50.
Two years ago there were five
states-Indiana, Kansas. Maine, Ne
/ braska and Ohio-whieh are fairly
| to be classed as normally republican
but where the democratic congress
sional ticket received a plurality oi
votes ranging from a beggarly 365
in Maine to an impressive 42.752
| in Indiana But the progressive vote
In each of these five state Was fai
in excess OF the difference between
the republican and democratic totalf
and ranged from 3.11t in Nebraska
to 5000 in Indiana. In Kansas this
progressive vote in 1914 amounted
to 74,441; in Ohio II was 1881
and In Maine IL was II .98b.
These five states will cast 6:
votes In the electoral college. How
will they vote this year?
Hopeful democratic statistician
estimate the division OF the forme
progressive vote upon different pro
portions-in each instance. however
giving the long end of It to the re-
pnblicans and In no instance claim
ing that more than 30 per cent O
the Bull Moose will support Wilson
Upon this extreme hypothesis. let u
examine the vote OF the five state
where a democratic plurality wa
found in the congressional election
of 1914.
THE republican vote Of Indian
In 1914 was 233,14O. the progres
! sives casting 90,040 and the demo
Gratis 275.s92.
Dividing the bull moose strength 0
/ the basis OF seventy and thirty pc
cent. respectively, to the republican
and the democrats. the vote OF II
diana this year should be: republ
can, 296.162. democratic, 30z. 80.
The margin is too small for comfoi
: on either side; and Indiana must n
= main as a fighting territory unit
i the votes are counted. The pFogre
il sives-aided, II Is said, By dem
r cratic funds-are maintaining an o
= ganization In that state; but comp
4 tent observers believe that from
! to 80 per cent of the moose will vo
. for Hughes and that the numb,
4 who will support Wilson are negl
! gible. Upon this basis. Indiana vi
+ go for Hughes and Fairbanks
4 nearly 10000.
II THE seyenty-thIrty division =
n piled to Kansas would give that sta
o 20 the republicans by the foliowIl
3, figures: republican, z40,215: dem
n cratic, 218.fs2.
le In Maine the result would b
- republican. 72.ssS: democratic. 81
ie OIL.
Ig In Nebraska the figures won
le show. republican. 1896: dem
cratic. 1I3. $40. This Is another ha
line Of demaFeatien-but there is
bull moose ticket In Nebraska q