Norwich bulletin., 1916-12-26
REPORT OF INTERNATIONAL
 INSTITUTE OF, AGRICULTURE.
World Has More Than Enough to Live
 On Until Next Harvest.

Rome, Dec. 25.-The International Institute of Agriculture has published a report under the title Has the World Enough to Live Upon Until the Next Harvest"
 The report took into consideration Ave unfavorable factors, the failure of the northern hemisphere harvests of the year ending July 31, and particu- larly those of Canada and the United 9tates; the unreleased crops of Rus Eia owing to the continued closing of the Dardanelles; the extra and un- uEual consumption of food by the ar mics; the increased difficulty of trans porting crops: and the fact that nor nally the worlds food consumption in- creases year by year, partly due to population increases, and whereby a crop which does no more than attain to an antecedent average is actually an insufficient one.
 The general conclusion of the report while not favorable, indicates that if every nation, irrespective of those at war, exercises close economy there may be narrow margin of surplus food at the beginning of the next har- vest year. It is also made clear that should the next harvest be no better than the present. the situation will be serious
 The report states: Tt Is clear that no one can estimate with any precision what may be the actual consumption of the world during the period dividing Us from the next harvest" However, 1t places the consumption of wheat in the northern hemisphere countries at 2.337 800, 900 bushels, adds to this the consumption of the southern hemi- sphere countries, and arrives at total eStlmated consumption of 3S36,6 ,642 364 bushels. Taking into account all ex- isting wheat, giYFn this consumption hgure, the report finds that the wheat surplus by July 31 next will be but 46,2S1,6O9 bushels, and that this sur plus will exist because of the preceding abundant harvest whereby 3A5, 1885, 40 bushels of stored wheat were available to add to this years consumption. This years total wheat crop is there fore but 3,491, ,263.22 bushels, as com pared to 4,G62, ,567,000 bushels last year.
 The report estimates the stores of Russian wheat so far unavailable for military reasons at total of 303, ESQ., O00 bushels. If this wheat is released at any time within the next calendar year, the food situation will be made easier, though not if the next harvest fails.
 The reports definite figures deal with the five important food crops of the, northern hemisphere, wheat, rye, barley, oats and corn fIt should ba borne in mind" it states, 'tthat these northern hemisphere crops are 93 per cent. of those of the whole world for wheat, 99.9 for those of rye, 9s.1 per cent. of tho barley, 978 of the oats, and SAP of the corn. The crops in the northern hemisphere lately gath cred, taken as whole, are undoubted- ly bad. The wheat figures for 1916- 1915, and the average of the five-year period of 19O9-13, are respectively ss7,706,000 quintals, 1,095, ,406, ,O0O quin- tals and 925,316, 900 quintals In other words this years crop is only 8O.2 per cent. of that of the previous year, and 94.9 per cent of the average. GA quintal is 8 2-3 bushels.)
 For the five cereals the grand totals Indicate the present years yield as but SS.7 per cent. of that of 1915 and 10O.1 per cent. of the five-year period. These totals are 3,182,e97,000 quintaLs for 1e16. 3,5s6166,0 900 quintals for 1915, and BITS, 342,0o0 quintals for the five-year average.
 Taking into count estimates of the coming harvests in the southern hemi sphere, the report gives as the whole worlds surplus (not yield) for these hve cereals i172 2,40s,000 quintals (632,- i62, ,666 bushels), and the total surplus at the disposal of international trade at 14,090,000 quintals C51, ,063,332 bush- eis).