New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-10-16
House Fight Close,
Private q. o. P.
Reports Show
nEMOCRATSLIKELY
TO KEEP SENATE
Electoral Forecast Gives
Hughes 2S4, Wilson 212,
Doubtful 35
rpsan cns TSfSuos Burcau-l


,,,or.s from every doubtful state, TO
,,iysd By one Of the most prominent
p.publ!esn campaign managers from
Observers In whom he expresses great
eoutdenee. indicate that Hughes will
receive not fewer than 2s4 electoral
y~ss or eighteen more than enough to
.eet him. The reports seem to show q
strong probability that Hughes will re-
,,iy. more than the 2S4. but every state
IN which there Is the slightest doubt in
the minds Of the observers is put In the
doubtful list, and few into the Will
son list
There Is one big surprise IN the fg-
Tres which should be highly eneoursg-
Ing to those Democrats who are think
ips more about their friends than about
d. head Of their ticket That Is that
the Republicans are going to have no
vLkover In electing q majority Of the
House Of Representatives. While gains
are indicated here and there, losses are
predicted In several states, so that the
most doubtful thing about the sp-
prosehing election, according to these
rportS is not who will be President
si.er March 4, bat who will control the
House.
Senate Seems Democratic
AT present" said Tho Tribune's in
icrmant, "the Republicans have by far
the best chance for electing . Presi-
dent the Democrats By far the best
thanee Of retaining the Senate, while
the House Is in doubt, with q very
slight edge-so slight as to be hardly
pereeptible at this moment-fsvoring
the Republicans"
The states which are declared 70 be
practically conceded to Hughes are
California, Idaho. Iowa, Kansas, Maine,
Massachusetts,, Michigan. Minnesota,
New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mex
leo, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Utah.
Vermont and West Virginia, totalling
IL. The reports also give Hughes GER
tain victory In four states to which the
Democrats are putting forth strong
elsims-Nev York, Illinois, Indiana and
Ohio. These bring the total to 2S4.
President Wilson is, of course, con-
odsd the twelve states common
.w al
Including Oklahoma. IN which the
Republicans had some hopes. The
reports, however, do not indicate any
eh,nee Of Hughes carrying the state
except in a landslide. The reports
ihow Wilson's chances are excellent
Of carrying Arizona, Kentucky. Mary
land, Missouri and Nevada, which
would add forty-hve electoral votes to
TIE 1856 Of the solid South, bringing
the total virtually conceded 20 Will
ton 70 lsl. Wilson is admitted 70
hsve The advantage also in Montana,
Nebraska, Colorado and Wisconsin,
E'th thirty-one more electoral votes.
ae should carry all these states he
would have PIP votes.
Connecticut Doubtful
Connecticut heads a list OF states
shieh these reports put on the fence.
IN; group includes Oregon, Wash
,sy'on, Wyoming, Delaware and the
yisotas, with q total Of thirty-fve
N.rtoral votes.
The Republican mentioned does not
itr moment concede even all the
sons In the Wilson list Of 2l2. He
confident, for instance, that Ne
o'i'ka is going for Hughes, and has
sVorg hopes Of Missouri. Kentucky
NC Maryland, while he thinks every
zoe OF the doubtful list is sure for
Hs Republican nominee.
recently The Tribune printed the
nneSs OF prominent member Of the
Oenoerstle National Committee, who
Waio rot, Of course. allow his name TO
p'ed. These we're that Wilson would
reelected by the West He did not
VWsht on New Jersey, he said. while
s YORK depended entirely on Tam
AaJ. on which he did not place very
.en reliance. The national commit
fsmsn was basinR his views on conf
e,asi reports received in New York
escqsarters.
Ihs confidential reports OF the two
a,ue,; II will be seen, do not differ
eeslly except on a few states. The
6ee'e Important Of these states are
ai'' Indiana and Illinois. That they
~ not differ greatly or such states as
ssneonsin and Nebraska is shown By
s iaet that both parties are now ad-
l'nnz eonfdentialiy that these state
s ysry close, and IL anything leaning
nWilsoa.
Illinois and Indiana have changed
es'' relatively in the last few weeks
ne private opinion Of leaders on
~ ,idss The Republicans are now
~ more confident OF Indiana. while a
~ TINE ago they were more conf
sd Illinois. The Democratic hopes
..sfly are much higher as 70 Illi-
- While in Indiana they are now
f.a hey will not even pull Tom
.fsr through as Senator. Tho Re
,.ns are auite certain they will
~ Ohio, Indiana and Illinois, how
~. nough they admit the Necessity
80, same intensive campaign In Ohio
Illinois that they are now making
Zoe Hoosier ststs