El Paso herald. (El Paso, Tex.) 1901-1931, 1916-05-13
Japan, WatchfuHy Waiting,
viii Protect Lives of
Her Nationals.
PRESIDENT YUAN
CANNOT CONTROL
Asks Japan TO Bring About
Peace; Japan Fears Out
side Intervention.
By HUGH BRYAs.

"OKIO, Japan. May 15.-No doubs
is left now in the minds OF observ--
ers OF Far Eastern affairs that
China's hour Of fate has come.
The republic Is divided. north against
put President Yuan, the strong
man" who aspired to be emperor. has
lost all his authority. and the imme-
diate prospect is that the arbitrary
central government which Yuan has
sustained for three years. may break
up into a number Of separate military
commands. which is n short cut to
chaos.
japan Materially Waiting
Meanwhile. Japan. the ord or tina
Orient" stands %watchfully waiting.
but with no intention Of allowing
China win her 10000, 600 souls. to be
come a bigger Mexico.
One Pickering hope for China re-
mains. II Yuan retires gracefully and
completely, if the army. the monarch
lists, the moderate Republicans and the
revolutionary Republicans can get up
enough confidence in one anOher TO
submit to a provisional government OF
mo~derates, while a national convention
works out a settlement, China nay pull
through with her independence.
LkA1 WAAg a. AL1 AMAAAkl
think it may be done. The chief point
in their favor is the fact that the pres
ent outbreak is not a purely revolu-
tionary movement but a protest
against a reversion, to imperial despot-
ism.
Its leader. Tsai 40, Is believed to be
ready to u a moderate group to run
the country, pending a national settle
ment provided Yuan gets out OF the
r,r,- I. No+ n---,
This is helped in one way by the In
tense distrust and dislike Of Japan.
which is felt all over China and which
supplies a form Of that pressure from
the outside which has been the saliva
ton Of many an infant state.
There is no doubt hat If anything
could make the Chinese develop some
glimmerinC OF national cohesion ir
would be their conviction that Japan
is waiting her opportunity to step IN,
But China has had any cal
unity. Her foreign rulers have main
tanned cohesion by a policy OF balanc-
ing one province against another.
The north roughly speaking, Is con-
servative and mOnarchical; the south
is republican and progressive.
china does not combine at the ap-
proach Of trouble; the tendency Is to
fly asunder, each for himself. With
an inert mass like the Chinese people.
his tendency cannot be rid Of IN a day
Ut q uEtd4t-
There is thus room for serious mis-
sivings as TO the point at which the
breaking strain viii reach internally.
But the real factor Of the situation. in
the opinion Of nine observers out OF
ten, is to be sought in Japan.
Japan Fears Division.
The division of China among Euro
pean powers would bring out to Asia
the animOsities and rivalries Of Europe
thereby endangering the peace OF the
Far East for which Japan stands.
Japan considers herself to be in the
same position as the United States
would be if Russia. England, France.
and Germany were to divide up Mexico
and transfer their national aggressions
to q country adjoining its border.
The Japanese declare their deter
mination to prevent a scramble fo-
China. They think that they have the
right to prevent a break up which
would inevitably bring others in.
Japan Urged to Make Peace.
Japan already has been asked to
use its good offices in bringing about
peace betweeu the rebels and the gov
eminent of president Yuan, according
to reports current I'm Toxic.
The Japanese government. however.
will not interfere. i'm the opinion %
well informed men. but will let China
work out her own salvation. Should
other nations attempt to intervene,
however, Japan. it is believed. would
very quickly take q hand TO straiShteH
matters ont.