New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-07-02
Leaders at Odds Over
Where TO Make Their
Hardest Fights.
UNCERTAIN ABOUT
NEW YORK OUTLOOK
insurgents" Urge Campaign Tor
Votes to Win Without
Empire State.
.rrom II, Tribune Buresu )

AShlnEtOn, "1ts
New York is 70 be considered the
great pivotal state on which most OF
the Democratic hopes are 70 be cen
tired depends on the outcome OF De
liberations now going on among the
men who will direct the campaign Tor
the reelection Of Wilson.
While decided majority Of the
democratic leaders hold that every
nerve should bc strained 20 carry the
lmp,re State. substantial. minority
o,noses policy of concentration o"
New YorN. co.cAy because tney De-
Ucve that ali she eggs should ho' DC
put into one basket
These leaders fear that, after the
hest fsht which the Democratic Or
canization could put UP, husnes
might carry the state. men, '"es
saw. the Democrats would nave a.,
their eggs broken, when II they hau
made their fight in group oi states
offering better prospects, some Con-
cressional and Senatorial eggs n'snt
be saved. even if the Presidential egg
was shattered. -.
Aside from the Congressional ele-
FnGnt OF Enp NlLuakAN4lf NitN ANt'-'N
lieve that a strong fight could be MADE
in dozen or fourteen states outside
of New York. in which enough VIC
tories nicht b. won 10 elect WhSoh'
oven though failures might he en-
rountcred through conditions cnt'feIy
bevond the control of the campaign
crs.
Count on loo Certain Votes.
All Of the Democratic leaders agree
that Wilson Will start with 100 eIeo-
toral votes from the solid SoGth' III.
Guiding MARYLAND. Kentucky, Missouri
and Tennessee and Arizona. Repuoh-
can leaders doubt the ability OF me
democrats TO carry Maryland, MIS-
souri, and Tennessee. but, u any one
Of these three states should be con-
coded by the Democrats, their cam
paign fund might as well be put TO
some better use than trying 10 elect
Wilson.
All Of the Democratic leaders agree
also that a warm campaign should pc
waged for the electoral votes OF Indl-
ana. Montana. New Jersey and Colo
RADIO. This would give Wilson 2O5
votes i'm the Electoral College. II is
generally conceded that Mr.. Wilson
cannot lose any one of these states,
except, possibly. New Jersey, and re-
tain any hope of success
But the President will still need
sixty-one more votes, should he get all
Of these, snd the difference IN the
two plans of campaign lies In the d.
rection the fight shall take 10 ACQUIRE
these siXty-onc, Democratic old
guard" leaders hold that New Iorks
fortv-fvo votes are absolutely essen
tial. and would necessitate the carry
ing Of states mastering only sixteen
more votes 20 win They propose no,
fights in Connecticut. which Cleveland
carried. and California, which would
give plenty Of votes.
This does not mean that the leaders
would abandon all hope OF carrying
the other states. but that they would
concentrate all possible forces IN
those states. on the theory that one
vote in any one Of them would be
worth ten votes, II not a thousand. i'm
any other state.
States Insurgents Want.
The objection made By the insurgents
is that the loss Of New York on this
plan would be fatal. They are urging
that New York be given up as hope
less, or at least be left as much 20 IFS
fate as the cold guard proposes 20
leave Kansas or South Dakota, while
the real fight be made iu the follow
ing states: Ohio, % votes Nebraska,
s; West NirC q, b, taItorn' 80, l5;
Kansas. TO-; South Dakota, d; Nevada.
3; Wyoming, 3; Maine 6. and Connec-
ticut, 7.
Fights in these states. the insurgents
believe, should be I'm addition TO work
in the states about which all Demo
Il on
Indiana. New Jersey. Montana and
Colorado. The siXty-ono votes needed
in addition. they say, could be obtained
by a combination Of Ohio. California
and Kansas. which would give two
votes 20 spare But the feature of
their plan. they assert. IS that any ono
state could be lost and the loss could
be made IN.
If Ohio were 70 20 Republican and
this is the biggest doubtful state in
which the insurgents contemplate
lard fight "a combination I'm addition
10 the Solid South and agreed on
states Of Nebraska. West Virginia,
California. Kansas. South Dakota, Ne
vada, Wyoming and Connecticut would
win.
The insurgents point out that II
there is Republican drift in New
York at all. 20 turn defeat into victory
will require the overcoming of @ ma
jority which might reach easily 100000
while the change Of few thousand
votes in each Of the other states would
put the party where it might win. de-.
spite a mishap here and there.
For Control of Congress.
Insurgents also point out that
whether New York goes Democratic or
Republican. the strength Of the two