The Birmingham age-herald., 1916-02-20
100000 GERMANS
 STILL AVAILABLE
Interesting Calculations On
 Losses Given
THREE MILLION DEAD
Figures Permanent Losses At 100000 Men a Month-Thinks Resources Will Last Until First
 of April

Paris. February .-(Correspondenc of the Associated Press )-The Germans have still available to fill the voids in their ranks approximately S0O,000 men, according to French authority He reaches this result by taking 9,370,000 as the total normal recruitment in Ger many. This is based on the liberal pro- portion of 13 per cent of the total popu- lation. January l, this year. those 9,S7o,- 900 recruits were proportioned, he de- clares, as follows:
 Effective men in the army, 4,500,000. Permanent losses during 16 months campaign (2O0,OOO per month), 3,2O0,000. Men dispensed from service and needed by industries at home, 700,00o. Ger mans abroad unable to join the army or detailed on special missions, 100000. Total, S,60OOoO.
 The remaining 77o.oOO are divided as follows:
 Wounded cured, 100000. Men being drilled, 27O,00O. Contingent of 1917, 400, 900. Grand total, 9,S70,000.
 LAST UNTIL APRIL
 Supposing the wastage of 200,0 men per month to be exact and to continue during the winter months, he asserts that Germany's present resources in men would last until April 1.
 Admitting that these bases and the resulting calculation are only approx innate and open to discussion, this au- thority points out in confirmation the fact that as far back as November l Germany had called up every available man excepting the young men of l9 years of age of the contingent of 19lI and had incorporated the contingent Of <Nf 4 men as the effective force under arms presupposes that all the units have their full number and that all the bases have their full complement, which this au- thority declares, on the basis of detailed reliable information, is not the case. The over-e estiation of this item. he con siders, offsets any ver-estimation Of the others.
 The deduction he makes from these cal- culations is that Germany will be obliged to resort to abnormal measures to meet ar abnormal situation resulting from progressive exhaustion of Its resources in men and the continual extension Of bat tie fronts and augmentation Of occupied territory He expects Germany to strain her resources to the utmost limit and resort to three different lAeasures that will, all told, give her 900,000 more men and enable her to sustain her present effort until August 1. 1916.
 EXTRAORDINARY MEASURES
 These three extraordinary measures are: First, the calling up of men heretofore declared by medical examiners unfit for military service; second in the calling up of all men between the ages of 4o and 54 years; third, in the reduction, as far as compatible with the essential needs of the country, of the number of men exempted from military service in order to keep war industries running
 The Germans have, according to this authority, exempted on account Of physi- cal unfitness between 25,000 and 50,O00 men a year, or no more than 10 per cent of the full effective force of each contin- gent, which he considers must represent a category of men very deficient phy- sically, and that a rigorous revision of these exempted men could not give more than a total of 100000.
 Of men between the ages of 45 and 54, he finds a probable total of 1,200,000, in cluding fit and unfit, and estimates that only a little over 30 per cent be with drawn from the economic life of the coun- try. giving a total of 100000 men whose quality as soldiers must be most prob 1e1natic.
 Of the 100000 men exempted specially from service in order to continue the work of such industries as are indis- pensable to the army, he admits the possibility of detaching no more than 10O,- GOO men without seriously compromising industries essential to the conduct of the war. With the 9O0,0O0 men to be found by recourse to these measures this au- thority fixes a limit of four additional months effort, becoming, however, every day feebler and more desperate because of the diminished soldierly qualities of tLese men, abnormally recruited.