The Washington times., 1916-10-15
Wilson Continues to Make Slight
Gains and Race Is Grow
Ing Closer.
NO EVIDENCE OF LANDSLIDE
Women's Vote Makes Situation
: Doubtful, Poll Shows, With
=, Advantage for G. o. p.


NEW YORK, Oct. B.-Charles Il.
Hughes still maintains a small lead In
the straw vote Of the New ork Herald
On the Presidential race. according to
the Herald's poll today.
President Wilson continued to make
slight gains during the past week. but
the Herald asserts OH the basis of lO7,
to8 straw votes cast. the normal Repub-
lican strongholds would roll up suffi-
cient piuralities to give Hughes a ma
jority In the Electoral College. II the
election were held today.
OF the total vote cast. Wilson polled
tss7S. and Hughes 54.S04, leaving a plu-
ralfty for Hughes OF 1895. Hughes
margin last week was 4.1Si The per-
centage OF Hughes In the total vote
dropped from .5ls to .5li.
Analysis of Vote.
In Its analysis OF the vote the Herald
says:
The changes during the last week
were less marked than during the pre-
vlous week. From. all that can lie
cleaned at this time the Republicans
are at a standstili. and President VIII
son In going ahead slowly. The race Is
a close one. Nowhere Is there a sug-
gestion of landslide or anything APP
preaching II. ..
Conditions are such that II would be
hazardous now. with the straw vote
campaign incomplete, to make definite
prediction. There are many indications
that the mountainous Republican plural
tiles of the Mckinley, Roosevelt. and
TAFT years are dangerously threatened.
On the other hand. the President Is
holding his own with ease In the strictly
Democratic territory. and Is apparently
certain TO get such States as Tennessee,
kentucky. West Virginia and Oklahoma,
In each OF which the Republicans be-
lieved asshort time ago they had a fight
Ing, chance or considerably better.
Where II Will BE Decided.
-'srhe States OF New York. Illinois.
Ohio and Indiana will beyond all ques-
ton decide the election. Any one OF
them may.
The straw votes and the inquiries
made by correspondents for the Herald
indicate at this writing that Mr.. Hughes
'lias the better OF the situation In New
ork, Illinois. and Indiana. and II Is a
toss up In Ohio. AL the Strtes men,
Toned are In doubt. Illinois. which was
presumed by the Republicans to be over.
NltlInlnBly anu COUCcutO
ny the Democrats to be very likely &c
20 strongly for Hughes and Fairbanks
has begun to waver.
,. Women Make Outcome Doubtful.
THE women. so far as the straw vote
discloses. favor the President because OF
his peace program. The male element
Of the electorate is in large majority
for the Republican ticket. but the atti'
HntaTg wnnn
there are a half million. inject distinct
note of uncertainty in the situation
there.
New York perhaps enjoys the spot
light more than. any other state,
Conditions there remain about the same
ais last week The President, from pres
eni straw vote Indications. will have q
small n,lura litN- small by cemparison-il
New York city. and Mr.. Hughes viii
have n smIll--also by comparison-plural-
II, upstate. and calculations made from
the lS5S straw votes taken throughout
the State Indicate that Mr. Hughes viii
have the forty-tive electoral votes OF
this perhaps vital Commonwealth.
How They Stand as to States.
an the thrty-five States which flgur,
in this issue, Mr.. Hughes has major.
lty in eighteen and the President i'm sev,
entccn. r ,..
"The Hughes straw vote states are
New Jersey, Delaware, Maine, New
Hampshire. Vermont. Ohio, Indiana
Kansas, North Dakota, Oregon. Wyom.
ing, California, Nevada, and New Mex
leo.
"The Wilson States are New York
Connecticut. MARYLAND, Massa chusetts
Rhode Island. West Virginia Kentucky
Wisconsin, Missouri Oklahoma, Mime.
sofa, South Dakota. Washington, Idaho
Montana, Colorado, and Arizona.
I'm none Of the states. with the en-
ccption of California Is there anything
like a large margin between the votes
for the two nominees. California. out
Of total Of ll,1H9 votes, gives Mr.
Hughes a plurality OF 1881. The north.
crn part OF the Golden State leans heav'
lily toward the Democracy. while this
southern and central parts of the Stat,
arc overwhelmingly for Mr.. Hughes and
Mr.. Fairbanks.
Situation in Ohio.
''In Ohio, out of a total of 7.lGa votes
Mr.. Hughes leads by the delicate mar
gin of 1l3, A great many of the Ohio
votes have been taken in Cincinnati
which Is presumed to lean strongly to.
ward the Republicans, and no votes in
Ohio have yet been obtained In Cleve'
land, which has a distinct leaning to,
ward the President. In whatever way
one surveys the Ohio situation II is q
close State--far too close to warrant q
prediction at this time.
I'm Indiana tine surface indications
are that Mr.. Hughes has considerably
the better chance TO carry the State
He has good lead there In the straw
vote and the almost complete union OF
the Republican and Progressive forces
coupled with the popularity Of Mr.
Fairbanks, would seem to insure hin
the fifteen electoral votes of that State
But here, as elsewhere, II Is the OBJ
Sorva ton Of those who have studied tn,
nationwide situation for the Herald
the Hughes strength has touched Il,
IN Al mark mud IL La.