Arizona republican., 1916-12-21
HAS WORLD ENOUGH
 TO LIVE UPON UNTIL
 THE NEXT HARVEST
[RepublIcan A. p. Leased wlrcl


 ROME. Dec 20.-The Internationa. Institute of Agriculture has published report under the title Has World Enough to Live Upon Until Next Harvest ."
 The report took into consideration five unfavorable factors. the failure of ,hc northern hemisphere harvests Of the year ending July 31 and par ticularly those Of Canada and the United States, the unreleased crops of Russia owing to the continued closing of the Dardanelles: the extra and unusual consumption of food by the armies: the increased difficulty of transporting crops. and the fact that normally the worlds food con sumption increases year by year, part ly due to population increases. and whereby 9 crop which does no more than attain to an antecedent average Is actually an insufficient one.
 The general conclusion of the re- port. while not favorable. indicates that If every nation. irrespective of those at war. exercises close economy there may be q narrow margin Of surplus food left at the beginning of the next harvest year. It is also made clear that should the next har- vest be no better than the present, the situation will be serious.
 The report states; Tt is clear that no one can estimate with any precl- | sion what may be the actual con | sumption of the world during the | period dividing us from the next har- vest" However. it places the con- i sumption of wheat in the northern hemisphere countries at 2.337. 800 cor ! bushels. adds to this the consump- ! ton of the southern hemisphere countries. and arrives at a total esti- mated consumption of 3.S36.54s. 34s ! bushels Taking into account all ex- \ isiing wheat, given this consumption figure the report finds that the wheat ! surplus by July 3l next will be bui 462Sl 6e1 bushels. and that this sur plus will exist because of the pre- ! eeding abundant harvest whereby 345,3S5,140 bushels of stored wheai were available 10 add to this years consumption. This years total wheat crop Is therefore but 3.491. .263,2 bushels as compared to 4.062. .567. .00t ! bushcls last year
 The report estimates the stores O | Rrssian wheat so far unavailable fol military reasons at a total of 303, ,5S0,- 900 bushels. If this wheat is re leased at any time within the nex calendar year, the food situation vii ! DC Ilstlt eahltT. iHDuKn IOt IT iflt next harvest fails.
 The reports definite figures dea with the five important food crops Q the northern hemisphere. wheat rye barley. oats. and corn. Tt should b' borne in mind" it states, that thes northern hemisphere crops are 93 pc cent of those of the whole worl' for wheat 99.9 of those of rye. 99. per cent of the barley. 97s of the oats and 94.2 of the corn. The crops il the northern hemisphere lately ga thered. taken as a whole, are un doubtedly bad. The wheat figurei for 1916, 1915 and the average of tn five-year period of 1909-13 are re srectively Ss7.706 GOO quntals; l. 095. 100000 quintals; and 925,3l6,O ,O0 I quintals. In other words this year crop is only SOP per cent of that o the previous year. and 94.9 per cen of the average. CA quintal Is 2 bushels.)
 For the five cereals, the grand to tals indicate the present years yiel as but SS.7 per cent of that of f91 and 100.1 per cent of the fiveyea period These totals are 3,lS2. .697. DO quintals for 1915 and 3,17S,342. .00 quintals for the five-year averages.
 Taking into count estimates of tn coming harvests in the southern hem is?here, the report gives as the whol
 worlds surplus tnot yield) for thes five cereals 172,40S,000 quintals (632, 162, ,6eG. bushels) and the total sur plus at the disposal of internationa trade at l4.0a0,000 quintals (51,063,33 hushes)