New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-04-02

Still another point is the probability OF d
repetition OF the conditions that arose as
result OF the Napoleonic wars. This applies
not only 10 the Allies but TO the Teutons as
we'll In fact. it applies with greater force TO
Germany than to any OF the other nations.
Europe is making against the time when they
can be shipped and sold in foreign markets
great volumes OF products that at present,
either because they have other use Tor their
ships or because, as in the case OF Germany,
OF war conditions, they are unable to ship at
all When the war closes these products will
be dumped on the market at ruinous prices,
with which our merchants cannot possibly
compete. That would mean almost inevitably
a panic IN tie United States
at is fact that in every great war that has
been or that ever will be fought the COS,
'es TO be paid not only BY IN. warring nations
but by neutras as well II this were more
generally recognized it would do more to
create perpetual peace than all OF the peace
societies that have been founded
Would it not be vel in view of this"
asked Mr. Gardiner that this treaty Of alli-
ance include certain provisions by wh:ch trade
between the two countries could be stimulated
after the war IS over"
This might very well be done We might.
for example. come under the same arrange
ment as to preferentials as will Englands
present allies. This might necesstate making
d special treaty with England whereby she
also was to receive some preference in tariff
but that is small matter compared to the
IL ~ . ~.
DO you think the treaty with England has
with Japan now would prevent her making
with US such treaty as we are discussing?
CONFLICTING TREATIES.
England has treaty with Japan which
it is conceivable might at some future date
conflict with such treaty with US. AT the
same time / do not believe any such treaty
as she nov has can be a permanent affair as
between the Japanese and the Anglo-Saxon
people.
But. Mr. Gardiner. all this has to do with
the economic side OF the treaty and this IS
but one Of the practical considerations behind
it. The military side is to me just as I'M
portant Do you regard it advantageous from
a military standpoint as well?'
To me-" replied Mr.. Gardiner. 1T is more
important As | see it. war between the
United States and Germany IS inevitable. In
fact. We practically have the word OF the
President OF the United States for it. When
in Pittsburgh on the tour he made short
time ago 10 stir the country UP to the need OF
military preparedness the President declared
that new circumstances have arisen that make
t neccssarv for America TO defend itself
and later N Cleveland We have interests that
are slowly being drawn into the maelstrom.
To me this had but one ncaning-that the
President forcsaw war with Germany lie
could not have meant that he feared the Allies
for ! do rot believe. with the strong feeling
there is in this country in favor OF the Allies,
that the President could under any pretext
induce this country to take up arms on the
side OF the murderers OF our Lustanis dead
and the butchers OF the Armenians
DO you think Germany will attempt 10
violate the Monroe Doctrine after the war
Or do you discredit the reports that have
reached The press in regard TO her attempts
10 get foothold or the American continent
before the war;?
In some OF the cases the evidence seems
TO me TO NJ sufficiently strong for the reports
to have credence II is known that Germany
tried to violate it IN the case Of Venezuela in
1907. and :hcre is very good reason to believe
that in the case OF Nicaragua there was d.
rect attempt to obtain territory there AS
see it. Germany is wsging a war OF asgres-
sion. 10 obtain what has been termed a place
in the sun. which means an outlet FOR surplus
nopulation ard excess manufacture.
III We accept the majority opinion IN this
country. Germany cannot win this war; It
must result either in a 'staernate or IN Ger
man defeat In either case. | think the Mon