New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-11-05
HUGHES VICTORY
APPEARS CERTAIN

Rronx" with at least 125.000 plurality.
That appears to be the irreducible
minimum. In their sane and sober mo-
ments Democratic managers mere 40
not venture TO predict or hope Tor
majority in the five counties OF the
city greater than 10000. Inc most
confident whisper heard in iammahy
now is less than that. -,
II 10000 is the best below Inc
Bronx" can do and $4,000 IS the worst
"aboye The Bronx" can do, then that
little difference of $4,000 becomes
mighty fortress. against which the un-
terrified will strive in vain.
ANY one who attempts 10 say within
no 600 how the State of New York, with
its more than 5000 voting precincts
and its more than 100000 registered
electors. is going ought 10 apply FOR
padded cell. II is not possible TO say
and the practical certainty now stated
that New York is safely in the Hughes
column is asserted only because the
writer believes that an upstate ne
publican plurality OF l2oOOO Is al
least 10000 too low.
Every one Of the county totals in
the attached table is purposely under
stated. I'm a great many OF the coun-
,ios tho figures conceded by the Demo-
cratic local managers are put down.
In no instance is the figure equal 20
tho pluralities claimed by the kepuO-
loan county chairmen; and past eX-
perience shows that the upstate Re,
publican county chairmen are inclined
10 be pessimistic rather than the OPP
posite. .,. uo.o
is n voting population OF mpre than
100 600. Some Of the best Informed
Democrats in the county said last
week that they would not be surprised
If Hughes exceeded the Taft-Roosevei
plurality of four years ago Q2.Ooo)
Fred Greiner the Republican leader IN
Buffalo. who is noted for indigo, says
he cant get less thana 1000.
In Monroe County the Democrats
privately say the majority against VII
son will be 1900 or more. Ii Is more
accurate TO call it a majority against
Wilson than "A majority for Hughes.
The special reason for that y that
George Eastman, in the opinion OF all
Rochester. has been prosecuted by the
Wilson Administration. Mr. Eastman
friends are not limited by the boun-
diaries of the city of Rochester
IN addition to the special reason fol
a big Republican majority in Monroe
there is the Aldridge organization
which i'm efficiency is comparable t
that of William Barnes and to Charles
+. Murphys phalanx.
Northern New York, as may be seer
from the subjoined table. is counted OF
for comparatively small plurality
Il would be safe, probably, to adj a.
least p per cent. but these figures
were obtained and are set down a;
representative of the lowest possible
mark.
Mr. Barnes. of Albany, has no doubts
about that county and IN the pas, ne
never has suffered any delusions az to
his own baliwick The stated plural
ity for A bany is about two-thirds OF
what it probably will be.
Oneida County. containing the citi.s
OF Utica and Rome, is good for at leait
1000. in the opinion of VI. Jesse Bray
ton, the Republican leader there.
In the table which follows 1t is to b.
understood that the 1916 estimates are
not intended as predictions of the eX'
pected pluralties in many in
stances the actual pluralities will soai
far above them-but only as con
servative statement of the low water
mark. The figures for 1914 and 1871.
were rot taken into consideration fol
the 1916 estimates, but are given be
cause they make interesting and some
times surprising comparisons.
As New York Counties Appear
The table:
WESTERN COUNTIES.