The Maryville times. (Maryville, Tenn.) 1884-1944, 1916-10-26

with fifteen, Wisconsin with thirteen,
and any one of a number of smaller
states such as Maryland, West Vir-
ginia, Montana, Colorado, or Ne
braska, would give the victory to
Hughes, even though Wilson carried
New York and several other doubtful
states alnog with the solid south.
What Wilson Must Win
But what must Wilson win?
In addition to the 149 votes from
the south, he must get 1T votes
from the doubtful states in order to
stay in the White House. 1t is con-
ceded by the Democratic managers
; that if he loses New York he has
mighty slim chance. The loss of
both New York and Indiana or New
York and Ohio, even though he car
: ried ali the other states in the doubt
full column, would lose the presidency
for Wilson.
But reasoning out presidential
, elections along mathematical lines is
, poor business, according to those who
. are engaged in the present campaign.
The Hughes managers predict their
candidate will get anywhere from
800 to $50 votes in the electoral
college.
; The Wilson managers don't con-
| cede that a single state north of the
Ohio river is safe for Hughes.
Every state, they say, is doubtful
, one except those in the solid south.
, With 149 votes already to their credit
} without contest they assert that the
election is going to be a landslide
} for Wilson.
Taking u he doubtful states il
. their geographical order many inter-
esting conditions are found.
New York is the home of Hughes
} 1t is the state where, in the face Of
} the strongest kind Of opposition from
within and without his own party he
/ was twice elected governor. The
I Republicans insist that Hughes is
J stronger in New York than ever
} before.
The Democrats, on the other hand,
express confidence of carrying New
York. They are banking largely on
, detection from Hughes of large
J number of the votes who supported
I Roosevelt in 1912, Notwithstanding
, the fact that Roosevelt is working
for Hughes this year.
} Also, the Democrats are counting
} on the faithful support of Tammany
} within New York City. They ad-
. nit if Tammany knifes Wilson, as it
knitted Bryan in 1908, Wilson has
little chance to carry the state. In
1908, when Tammany went after
I Bryan's scalp, Taft carried the state
by a plurality of 202,602. Hughes
) running for a reelection as governor,
won by 69,462. Taft's total vote
was 87O,O7O and Hughes total vote
) was 8O4,651.
The difference between them was
found to lie wholly in New York City,
) where Tammany slashed Bryan, but
; voted the rest of the ticket straight.
/ Hughes ran stronger than Taft up
state.
; In the recent primaries in New
York, with contests on in both the
5 Democratic and Republican parties,
I the Republicans polled over 100000
S more votes than the Democrats.
r The Republican managers won't
} admit there is any chance to lose
New York, but at the same time they
: are not taking any chance in the
: state.
The Question of Jersey.
S New Jersey comes next. 1t is
l Wilson's home state. 1t is the state
which elected him governor by a
{, plurality of 49,O56 in 1910 and gave
| him it's electoral votes by plurality of
32,879 in 1912. But the combined
, Taft and Roosevelt vote in New Jer-
sey in 1912 was 234,245, or 55,956
= greater than the Wilson vote. The
question with the Democrats in New
l Jersey is whether state pride, COM
5 bined with a straightaway detection
of minority faction of the Progress
r sives, can win again forWilson.
l Although he has never been beaten
/ at the polls in New Jersey when he
himself was a candidate, Wilson re-
Gently was given severe jolt there
in the Democratic primary. 1t was
; his first defeat, even in a secondary
: way, since he assumed the leadership
\ of his party in 1910.