Evening capital news. (Boise, Idaho) 1901-1927, 1916-11-01
MARKED CHANGE
!. IN SENTIMENT OF
VOTERS EVIDENT
Senator Borah Expresses
Confidence Hughes Will
Be Elected-Claimed New
York Is Safe.

=
Republican state headquarters is in
receipt of information from United
States Senator w. e. Borah recently at
national western headquarters to the
effect that there is a much more opti-
mistic feeling there over the election
of Justice Hughes now than there has
been at any time since the campaign
opened. Senator Borah wires that con-
fidence is expressed on all sides that
the Republican nominee will be elect
ed. 1t is said that this is the first time
since the campaign opened that there
has been such deep seated confidence
in the outcome of the national election.
Coming as it does direct from Senator
Borah, Republican state headquarters
is elated. The change in the past few
weeks, Idaho's senator senator de-
clares, has been so marked that it can
not help but be realized by those en-
gagged In the conduct of the campaign.
SWING FOR HUGHES.
This announcement from Senator
Borah bears out in measure the state
ment made by Samuel Blythe, the well
known national political writer in the
Saturday Evening Post in the last issue
of which he said the Swing" in the
presidential race was now on for
Hughes. 1t is the third Swing" since
the campaign opened, the first going to
Hughes, the second to Wilson and the
third to Hughes. when q swing
starts it gathers momentum" says Mr..
Blythe. when it stops, it stops with
out explainable reason. 1t Just stops.
However, there is one fact and that is
this. The swing today is for Mr..
Hughes and has been for some weeks"
w. Y. Morgan, publicity secretary of
the Republican western headquarters
wires the state committee there is now
no question but what New York is safe
for Hughes together with New Jersey
and that Illinois will give the Republic
can nominee $4,000 plurality.
STATEMENT ISSUED.
Chairman j. II. Gipson of the Hughes
Alliance is in receipt of a letter from
the national headquarters of the al
lance calling to his attention the re-
cent circular issued by the Idaho or
ganization answering the Democratic
slogan, HE Kept Us Out Of War"
This answer calls upon the voter to
what war President Wilson kept this
nation out of. The national headquar-
ters considers the answer of the Idaho
branch the most effective issued
Chairman Gipson is also in receipt of
the following communication from p.
J. McCook, vice president of the ma
tional alliance:
w. Cameron Forbes, President.
October "a, 1915
J. Fl. Gipson, Esq,
CIT Idaho Bldg,
Boise, Idaho.
Dear Sir.-Throughout the country
there have appeared in the newspap-
ers many statements alleging that the
tide is turning towards Mr. Wilson
Even figures that were favorable to
Mr.. Hughes are being frequently re-
ported in such manner as to appear
TO the contrary. AS an instance of
this, please note the following:
The N. Y. Herald poll headlines of
Sunday, Oct. %, were on the whole
pessimistic, indicating swing to Will
son. An analysis of the figures, which
the statistician did not carry out, tells
very different story. l have analysed
some of these figures and the results
shown would indicate a sweeping vic
tory for Hughes in Indiana, New Jer-
sey, Missouri and New York, as fol-
lows:
Hughes Wilson
Vote. Vote.
Indiana ...... ......310,53S 1926
New Jersey .229,S50 1864
Missouri 49,. ..... .347,611 315, 1927
New York .......... S40,S15 681, JOB
Take New Jersey as an example
.194 is the proportion of the Roose-
welt vote in 1912 said to be going to
Wilson in 1915. .122 is the proportion
of the Taft vote in 1912 said to be GO
ing to Wilson this year. 100 is the
proportion of the Wilson vote In 1912
going to Hughes this year. l have
given Mr. Wilson all his 1912 votes ex-
cept what is indicated as going to
Hughes, plus the whole proportion of
the Roosevelt vote said to be going to
him, plus the whole proportion of the