The central record. (Lancaster, Ky.) 18??-current, 1916-07-13
DOPESTERS WORK
ON 1916 ELECTION
Vote Of 1912 Basis For Fig
urlng on the Results.
BOTH SIDES SEE VICTORY.

Wilson Received Popular Vote OF
e,2o3,ote to 7,eo4,463 For Taft and
Roosevelt, but He Got AIS Electoral
Votes to 90 For Roosevelt and Taft.
New York's Vote Important.
Now is the time to begin your figur-
ing on the national campaign. Use the
election returns for 1912. There are
number Of people in the country who
believe that the events Of the past are
the best guide to the future.
Hughes supporters have added to-
gether the popular vote received In
1912 by Taft, 3,4S4, 596, and by Roose-
welt, 4.119,J07, comparing that total,
1904, 1863, with the vote that Wilson re-
eeived. G.2a3,019, and summing up the
process with the argument that as
Wilson's vote was 1,311,444 less than
the combined Taft.Roosevelt vote four
years ago, why, united Republican
party this year is simply going to walk
away" etc.
Wilson supporters poohpooh popular
vote analyses and invite scrutiny Of
the electoral college vote In 1912, with
Wilson's 435 compared with 90, the
sum OF Roosevelt's So and Taft's s.
The Wilson prophets are absolutely
confident that there's to be no po-
litical turnover next November such
as will so depreciate Wilson's strength
in the next electoral college as to give
him less than 26I votes, the number
necessary to elect president In 1912
Taft carried Utah and Vermont, each
with four electoral votes. Roosevelt
carried California. Michigan, Mime
sofa, Pennsylvania. South Dakota and
Washington-six states. Wilson car
ried forty OF the forty eight states
Analysis Of Vote.
Take New York states popular vote
I'm 1912 as a specimen for analysis
Wilson received 655.475 votes; Taft.
455,42s; Roosevelt, 39O.021; total Of
Taft and Roosevelt's vote, $500, or
lS9,914 more than Wilson's vote. Then
come the questions: "Can half OF this
number OF voters. 5000. be turned
from the Republican candidate of 1916
to Mr.. Wilson? Has the latter's popu.
larity so increased that In the pivotal
Empire State, with its forty-fve electo-
raj votes. Wilson can be counted upon
to attract $4,000 more votes than gave
him their ballots i'm 1922"
II Mr.. Wilson can get 10000 popu-
lar vote in New York state. then 1t
would seem that his reelection is as.
sured. Whether Wilson's popularity
has increased and whether there will
be n lessened interest I'm the Hughes
candidacy as compared with the Re
publican fractional animoslties that in
spired activity in 1912 will be made
plain In November.
Take Wilson's own state OF New Jer.
sey for analysis. That state gave Taft
SS,S35, Roosevelt 1910 and Wilson
17S.2S9. The Taft-Roosevelt total was
234 ,245, or 1886 more than Wilson's
vote. Wilson partlsans in New Jersey
are content to say that the candidate
whom the state has given to the Demo
cratic party can easily run up his 1912
vote twenty-five to thirty thousand,
which, with a reduced Republican
Progressive vote due to lessened party
fervor with the cessation of factional
will mean New Jersey, with
its fourteen electoral votes, safely car
ried for Wilson.
The total vote cast in 1912 was 49,
O36,542, Of which the Socialists, II is In.
teresting to note, cast not quite l.0O0,-
900. or less than per cent. The Pro
cast less than per cent OF
the total vote.