The sun., 1916-09-24
GERMANY WILL FIGHT
WITHOUT HER ALLIES
Berlin Trusts Entente Will
See Hopelessness Of
Crushing Empire.

VVtN Ottttf HNNpp ~ NV Ss0 WV
Ter a ammunition than any other coun-
try in the rorld to-day. But I do not
agree ,cith the people ,chO expect the
Unr TO end udthin str months. as II
must surely continue over the tDinter."
John Bdiderston. the correspondent
o. the Mcclure Newspaper Syndicate.
Vhose articles from the battle fronts
n the eastern and trestern fields OF
Srdr hare attracted tide attention, re-
turned to the United States a feic
creeks ago aud tcr0te the f0lIotcin0
Srticle from data he Was able to Sc
cure abroad. HIS conclusions as to
Mose Of Lord Derby.
ny JOHN l.. BALDERSTON.
copyright. 1916. BY The Mcclure Ne,cspoper
Svndicdte)
There will be. there can be. no peace
o. Europe before the end OF the fourth
Ca campaigning season Of the war. In SO
Ear as any prediction concerning n
future event can ever be made with GER
tainty It seems to me safe to state posi-
tyeiy that the known factors Of the sit
nation make a conclusion OF hostilities
before September or October Of next
year absolutely impossible. Personally
] think the war will last through the
fourth winter and into 1918.
An attempt will be made here to con-
tder the military situation as a whole.
% examine the broad tendencies which
will bring their influence to bear on the
future curse OF the war without at
tempting the impossible task OF predict.
irg the result Of individual %campaigna
On my arrival In America for the first
time since the earlier phases OF the war
! find among well informed people a dis
position to regard Germany as beaten.
The struggle already decided and vir-
tually concluded. These beliefs natu-
rally lead them to expect Germany to
throw up the sponge in the near future.
They say they do lot expect the war to
last through next winter or In any case
beyond next spring. 1t IL to correct
these profound misapprehensions that
chs article is written.
No End in Sight In 1910.
In the first place let II be remembered
tina, for the war to end Germany must
be beaten or the Allies persuaded that
they cannot defeat Germany and must
pefforce accept a draw. Attention 10
concentrated at present on the entry into
The war OF Rumania, the prospect that
Bulgaria and Turkey will be crushed.
Russia installed at Co%nstantinople and
later the military power of Austria-Hun-
gary completely broken down. These
things may all happen In the 1917 cam
paign. although there Is not enough time
lett before the SHOWS block up the noun
TAN passes In southeastern Europe for
an OF them TO happen this year. ! be-
Iere they will all happen. and that by
The erd OF 1917 a complete victory of
The Entente Allies will have been won
every where. except on the main fronts.
against Germany.
But the issue Of these minor cam
paigns will affect the end Of The war
only as they tend to strengthen or
weaken the position Of Germany. II
Germany can fight n defensive war sue
e~.sstully on her W frontiers. after her
allies are beaten. the wal will 90 on.
There appears no ~insuperable reason
why Germany. when Austria Is eventu-
any knocked out. cannot. after shorten
ING her other fronts. hold the vital gap
~ Cracow into the valley Of the Oder
ana the mountainous and almost i'm
pehetrable line across Bohemia to her
own frontier Of Bavaria. A successful
defence Of that line against a million
men could be undertaken with 10000
troops. provided Cracow were held, q
'' autlpIlty tOIu me.
Germany Can Fight ON Alone.
There is no comrulsion upon German.
70 surrender to her enemies terms Il
and when her allies are crushed. since &C
Iar from Austria and Turkey and Bull
CARA helping Germany. it has beer
Germany who from the start has beer
compelled to furnish aid to her allies
Austria is Il milestone hanging arount
our neck" Prince Henry OF russia re-
marked before the war. and his phrase
mas been justified by events. 1t Is trut
tnAt great forces now kept busy by
Oermany's allies can be later employed
against Germany herself. but before tn,
FORMER are conquered they can b.
counted on to inflict enormous lossel
upon the allied armies.
Having grasped the point that the wa
VIII 60 on until Germany Is beaten o
the Allies convince themselves that the!
cannot beat her regardless OF the cam
paigns against other Powers. let us con
slder the present military situation II
US bearing on the duration Of the wa
as viewed by both sides.
Ihe allied viewpoint. or at least tn
sr'noh and British-I have not been Il
An''!a-put IN words that accuratel,
represent the best information at my dis
poshl, IL this:
Victory is now certain and we pur
pose to fight on no matter how long
hk"s until the German armies are thor
oufi4ly crushed n Germany Is com
PEELED 70 accept our terms. Whether tn
war lasts until our troops enter Gel
man territory depends upon whethe
germany chooses TO surrender unoOndI
vofal!y before the campaign goes ths
'"' There are many angles TO TIL
war and even when they are cons!dere
separately no hope appears for German
IN any one OF them.
On the sea Germany 10 helpless he
sofN" at Ju'land proved she had nothin
up her sleeve that could successful
Shailcns" the British feet. and II Va
och"er comes out again IL will be merel
throw Of despair. The submarin
&hpaisn. the most serious menal