The public ledger. [volume] (Maysville, Ky.) 1913-1968, 1916-08-26
INTERESTING FIGURES
Given Out BY Republican Publicity As
ISOLATION should Re Studied BY
Thinking Voters "Hughes
Win Not Be Minority
President"

at its washington Headquarters:
"If the country votes at the presiden-
tial election this year as 1t voted at the
Congressional election of 1914, Hughes
will carry California, Colorado, Con-
necticut, Delaware, Idaho, Illinois,
Iowa, Massachusetts,, Michigan, Mime
sofa, Nevada, New Hampshire, New
Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North
Dakota, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode
Island, South Dakota, Utah, Vermont,
Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin
and Wyoming.
These states have 2S6 votes in the
electoral college, majority of which
is only 266.
"In each of these States, two years
ago, the Republican Congressional
ticket received a clear plurality of
votes. In these States combined the
Republican candidates for Congress re-
ceived 4,O75,157 votes, while the Demo
cratic candidates for Congress received
only 3,132,568 notes.-the total Republi-
can plurality being 942,5S9.
"In each Of these States, in 1914,
there was an organized Progressive
campaign-except in Nevada, Utah
and Wisconsin, although in Utah there
was Fusion ticket running in opposi-
ton to the Republicans. The total
Progressive vote in these states was
1854; and the combined Republican
Progressive plurality over the Demo
Gratis was 1,6sS,9SO.
1.-TWO years ago there were five
states-Indiana, Kansas, Maine, Ne
braska, and Ohio-which are fairly to
be classed as normally Republican Dut
where the Democratic Congressional
ticket received a plurality of votes
ranging from a beggarly 365 in Maine
to an impressive 1852 in Indiana. :jut
the Progressive vote in each of these
five states was far in excess OF the diff
ference between the Republican and
Democratic totals, and ranged from g.
Ill in Nebraska to 9O,040 in Indiana.
In Kansas the Progressive vote in 1914
amounted to 74,441; in Ohio it was A.
9S1; and in Maine it was 1885.
These five states will cast 6S votes
in the electoral college. How will
they vote this year?
Hopeful Democratic statisticians es-
innate the division of the former Pro-
gressive vote upon different proper
tions-in each instance, however. CIV
ing the long end Of 1t to the Republi-
cans and in no instance claiming that
more than 30 per cent Of the Bull
Moose will support Wilson. Upon this
extreme hypothesis, let us examine the
vote of the FIVE states where a Demo-
cratic plurality was found in the con-
gressional elections of 1914.
THE Republican vote Of Indiana in
1914 was 1888, 14O, the Progressives
casting 9O,04O and the Democrats 275.-
S92. Dividing the Bull Moose strength
on the basis of seventy and thirty per
cent. respectively, to the Republicans
and the Democrats, the vote of Indiana
this year should be: Republican, 1885,
1862; Democratic, 3O2,904. The margin
is too small for comfort on either side !;
and Indiana must remain as fighting
territory until the votes are counted.
The Progressive-aided, 1t is said, by
Democratic funds-are maintaining an
organization in that state; but compe-
tent observers believe that from IS to
80 per cent Of the Moose will vote for
Hughes and that the number who will
support Wilson are negligible. Upon
this basis, Indiana should for for
Hughes and Fairbanks by nearly 30.-
900.
THE seventy-thirty division applied
to Kansas would give that state to the
Republicans by the following figures:
Republican, 24O,215; Democratic, 21S,-
1862.
"In Maine the result would be: Re-
publican. Il, 1888; Democratic. 66,O71.
an Nebraska the figures should
show; Republican. 1886; Demo
cratic, 1880. This is another hair
line of demarcation-but there is no
Bull Moose ticket In Nebraska this
year; and while the contest will be a
hard one, the indications are that
Hughes will carry the state.
THE same division Of the Progress
sive vote in Ohio would produce iig-
ures for 1916 in this wise: Republi-
can, 1889 Democratic. 4sS, 65S.
1T is, therefore, a fair assumption
that. in addition to retaining the states
which disclosed a clear Republican
plurality in LELAND which assures
a majority Of the electoral college
the Republican ticket will this year
gain Kansas, Maine and Ohio without
question and secure for Hughes and
! Fairbanks total of S26 out of the 5S1
votes in the electoral college-with
more than lighting chance to add Is
votes OF Indiana and Nebraska to that
number, making $40. or = majority Of
lie7.