The Topeka state journal. [volume] (Topeka, Kansas) 1892-1980, 1916-11-04
KANSAS WILL GO
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NfAtVSHO WILL ~
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servers, marked breaking away from
the kept US out of war; fever and
the noise in organized labor centers
concerning the Adamson bill.
Only in event of a landslide to either
Hughes or Wilson, is there seemingly |
will be far different from a $4,000
plurality for Hughes. Republican
leaders are confident they will not en-
counter unexpected trouble in the finai
vote. On the other hand Democrat
leaders are just as certain the state
will go wild for Wilson.
Labor Vote for Wilson.
Figures in this estimate were made
from visit to all of the important
counties of the state during the flnai
month of the campaign. Hundreds OF
men and women-both Republican
and Democrat-were consulted re-
garding local conditions. In the large
railroad towns and labor centers, al
| lowances-based on the organized Ia
| Dor vote of the community-were
made in calculating the total vote for
| Hughes and Wilson. Conditions also
| indicated that so to 60 per cent OF the
| organized labor vote had in previous
| elections voted against Republican
nominees for president.
In the German comm un1tieS, con-
| sheraton was given this vote and its
attitude toward the president. A ma
| jority of this vote has, in former cleo
lions, been Democratic. In all strong
| German communities there is this year
| a decided swing to Hughes-just as in
the labor centers there is a swing to
| Wilson. One may offset the other.
/ Then there is the woman vote. NO
| one-not even the women themselves
know what the women will do with
their first vote for president. In every
|
Democrats have industriously sought
to stampede the new voters to Wilson
on the theory that he kept the nation
out of war with some unannounced
| foe. Wilson will undoubtedly get
large women vote-a vote greatly in
excess of his party strength in the
state.
| Farmers for Hughes.
| Even allowing for a slump in the
women vote to Wilson and heavy
| labor vote to the Democrat president,
| Hughes's/shock absorbers should be
working before the $4,000 mark is
reached. Hughes seemed strong in
| the rural districts of the state. The
SIS cent wheat market and the slump
in farm prices preceding the war went
to the hearts of the farmers and they
| indicated a vote not so much for
Hughes, as vote for a return to Re-
| publican tariff policies.
| Taken as a whole, the Republicans
have a better organization in the state
than the Democrats. That will count
| for much in the election next Tuesday.
In the six districts represented by
Democrat congressman, the fight will
! be to save these congressman. PreSi
dent Wilson will be urged on the voter
only where such argument will nail
an already converted voter to support
| a Democrat for congress. That is
| situation to be considered in calculat-
ing results. The state tickets may not
be mentioned. AS a result the Repub-
lican state ticket will finish miles
Gratis will cling fervently to Wilson in
| the pinches. For Wilson is far
stronger than his ticket in the state.
| Wilson'S strong showing in Kansas
| will be in the large eastern and south
eastern counties. Because of the heavy
labor vote in the large cities of these
| counties, President Wilson will prob
ably carry Bourbon, Cherokee, Craw-
ford. Labette, Sedgwick and Wyan-
dotte counties. Other Democrat
counties this year will probably be
Clark, Decatur. Ellis. Lane, Rawlins,
Saline, Seward, Sheridan, Sherman
and Thomas counties.
Wyandotte a Problem.
No man knows about Wyandotte
county. 1t is the most puzzling COM
of counties it is given to Wilson by
1000. 1t might reduce the Wilson
lead to 1000. And it might go 500 or
900 stronger.
! sedgwick is really doubtful terri
tory. Both sides claim it and the
county is probably very close. In the
table, Wilson is given the county by
500. That should be bed rock Bour-
bon is given to Wilson by 500 and it
will probably be less. 1t is the home
of Hubert Lardner. chairman of the
I Democrat state committee. Decatur
and Ellis, both listed for Wilson, are
normally strongly Democratic. But
Ellis, with a large German vote may
be closer than the figures Indicate
Allen, Brown, Doniphan, Douglas,
Riley, Shawnee and Washington, are
given to Hughes by majorities of 1000
to 5000 each. They are rocks of Gil
braltar for Reublicanism and this
year most of them are right
Shawnee countys estimate of 5000
is in anticipation of any decided slump
of labor and women votes to Wilson.
With the women voting, Shawnee
county's Republican majority in 1914
was $500, while nearly 1000 votes
were cast for the Progressives. That
should mean a Republican majority
of $500 to 5000. Only storm that
would lift political observers off their
of 5000 for Hughes.
Barton Is Doubtful.
Barton county, with a normal DEM
| ocrat majority, but heavy German
vote, is placed in the doubtful column
So is Summer with both a railroad and
farmer vote. So is Nemaha, which
sometimes displays Democrat tenden-
cies and often votes as it pleases.