Evening star., 1916-09-12
North German Lloyd Director
Predicts Great Trade Revival
After the War.
SCOFFS AT FEAR HERE
OF "DUMPING" CAMPAIGN
Closes Interview With Prediction
That America Will Dig a
New Canal.

BERLIN. September II, via London,
September 12.-The prospect of war
after the war" as proposed by.British
newspapers and discussed at the eco
nomic conference of the allies at Paris.
apparently is causing little anxiety in
Germany, where the belief is expressed
that natural commercial tendencies
will soon overcome any artificial bar
riers which may be erected.
This view was voiced in a state
ment to the Associated Press today
by Phillip Heineken. director of the
North German Lloyd steamship line.
Herr Heineken discussed plans being
made in Germany to resume inter-
national trade after the coming of
peace, and said there was no basis
for apprehension that Germany might un-
load low-priced goods on the American
market.
Immense Call for Tonnage.
Like all German shipping experts.
Herr Heineken looks forward to an
immense call for tonnage with the end
ing of the war. All Europe he saio'
will be calling for raw materials to
replenish exhausted stocks. AS ships
which have been requisitioned FOR war
purposes cannot be returned 1mme-
diately to the ordinary channels OF traf-
fic, but will require considerable altera-
tions, those companies which have ton
mage af1oat and Immediately available
will be in q position of great advan-
tage
"Post-bellum traffic" said Herr Heine-
ken, will. of course. be largely one
way traffic at first. German ships. for
example, will be able to load for
America a certain amount OF potash.
dyestuffs and 80 forth, but this WILL mot
the cotton, tobacco,
will be imported Immediately from
America Only after the arrival OF
these raw materials and the recon
version of our industries to a peace
basis will cargoes of manufactured
articles be available"
Scouts Fear Of Dumping"
Herr Heineken's reply led to ques-
ton as to the probabilities of dump
ing" which he secuted. He said that
whatever stocks of manufactured ar
ticles might have been on hand at the
outbreak Of the war naturally had been
utilised in Germany. and that there had
been no replenishment Of these sup
plies. -
Herr Heineken felt that the proposed
"war after the war" would have no
greatly injurious effect on the future
Of German shipping lines. England. he
declared. Is too dependent on Germany
for certain articles, and Germany IN
turn can supply herself in some ways
with too much advantage from Eng
land to permit of the permanent sup
planting Of natural and mutually ad-
relations. Then, too. ne
added, the proponents OF post-bellum
economic war forget that they may not
be in a position when peace comes to
dictate terms such as they now pro-
pose.
German ships in neutral harbors out
side the tropics will be available i'm
mediately after the war. said Herr
Heineken. Only those in such ports as
Manila will have deteriorated to such
an extent that they cannot be put into
service without considerable delay.
New Ships Are Building.
Were war to cease tomorrow. he con-
tinued, the North German Lloyd line
would be able to resume service with
virtually the same tonnage as before
the war. regardless of whether the
steamships captured in hostile harbors
were recovered. New construction dur
ing the war-and this is now virtually
completed-just about balances the
tonnage destroyed or captured. For
this reason, Herr neineken said, the
North German Lloyd is in somewhat
better position than most other ship
ping lines, even in view of the enor-
nous activity of shipbuilding in Ger
many, which has reached such point
that available shipbuilding works.
crowded with orders. cannot take~an-
other contract for two years.
During the conversation Herr Heine-
ken prophesied that the building OF a
second isthmian canal by the United
States would not be an improbable de-
velopment of the none too distant fu-
ture. He fears that the Panama canal
may prove too unreliable a route to
permit the United States to base there
on its entire international and naval
policy In this case, he said, it would
be the part of wise statesmanship to
choose promptly between the alterna-
tives of building and maintaining a
second fleet or of constructing a per-
fectly and permanently reliable canal