Richmond times-dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1914-current, 1916-11-05
WILSON IN LEAD,
|. NATIONWIDE POLL
OF HERALD SHOWS
Balance So Delicate That
Hairs Weight Likely
to Swing 1t.
DRIFT TO PRESIDENT MAY
GROW INTO LANDSLIDE
Recession at Eleve Hour
Might Result in Hughes Vic
tory by Small Margin.
ILLINOIS THE REAL PIVOT"
Unprecedented Tammany Majority
Needed to Give New York
to Democrats.
DRIFT TO PRESIDENT MAY
GROW INTO LANDSLIDE
ILLINOIS THE REAL "p1vo1"
Unprecedented Tammany Majority
Needed TO Give New York
to Democrats.
Especial to The rlmes-pispatch.1 ]

NEW YORK, November 5.--The New
York Herald this morning publishes It's
final nation wide poll of the presiden-
tial situation. as follows:
UCopyrlsht. iol6 by the New Yori, Herald Co.
All rights rcScryed.l
The Herald presents herewith the
final ustaliment OF its national straw
vote canvass on the presidency
In 10000 votes cast. President Will
. son Is in the lead.
The situation rests on u balance so
delicate that n hairs weight may swing
II in either direction.
From the straw vote. IL might be in
ferrcd that, with a little added impetus.
the drift. which has been steadily
moving in the Presidents direction,
might grow into what political writer's
have termed Il "landsli,ie''
on tho other hand. n back drift at
the eleventh hour might result in tho
election Of Mr.. hughes by Il small
margin in tho popular vote of import
amt States giving 81 prcpo.,,ierance OF
votes in tho electoral college.
The Herald las taken its straw vote
with customary care. IN some in
stances the conclusions which might
be drawn from the figures are in con.
tradiction TO the opinions OF the lead
crs OF both parties, and are ut variance
with the personal judgment of corre-
spondcnts who have personally visited.
different states The Herald presents
the straw-vote figures for precisely
what they are worth They speak for
! themselves, as they have in all previous
campaigns
NO MARRIED. DRIFT S@NtN
TOWARD Mn. HrGFEs
The Herald has been told that there
has been n recession in the swing to-
ward the President; that the Rcpubli-
| cans, who were alarmed ten days ay,o.
have every reason now Tor feeling of
confidence. The straw vote has not
registered a marked drift toward Mr..
Hughes, although there are indications
that there has been Il slight check In
the raic OF the Presidents gain.
OF the total votes cast up 70 anu
including tc seventh and last week OF
the canvass Mr.. hughes has received
iS.2 per cent. III the iirst weeks totals
he received Sit per cent. In the final
week compilation, President Wilson
received 40: per cent. In the first
week he received 46.t per cent In
other words. the President has climbed
has fallen behind from week to week.
Likewise in the division Of the Pro-
cressivc vote the nominees have moved
{, in opposite directions: Mr. Hughes
backward. tho President forward In
the latter part Of September Mr.
I hughes was getting 50 per cent OF the
. Progressive vote and the President II
Per cent. In the tiual week, which, for
the actual casting of test ballots ended
on Thursday. Mr.. hughes was rcceiv-
ing 1876 per cent and tho President 25.1
per cent; The remainder went to Mr..
BENSON, Socialist nominee slight
check i'm The shift of Progressivcs TO
President Wilson was indicated in the
final week. ~
STATES WIrII aO. VOTES
LEAN TOWARD PRESIDENT
states which in the test voting have
given % per cent or more TO the Presi-
dent have a total OF 1873 electoral votes
The solid South-the States of Virginia.
North carolina, South Carolina, Geor-
gia Florida Alabama. Mississippi
Louisiana. Arkansas and Texas which
viii be for the Democracy, has H.
electoral votes. These two figures
make a total OF 3o7, which is forty
one more than the 2t6 necessary for
election.
St5Nea which in the test ballotiny
have gwen 30 rer cent or more 10 Mr..
hughes have an electoral vote Of 1872
with Pennsylvania lGS) and Utah 81
added TO that, the total is 224
III the FIRST week of the straw-y,,te
campaisn out OF 1862 votes Mr..
Hughes received II majority of l.64s.
ify using only a third OF California;,
top- p-hcavy stray vote in the calcuiu-
;on. Calitorni6s vote being dispropor-
tionate to the rest OF the country. Air.
Hughes would have had a plurality or
775
In the second week. hy figuring CAL
ifornia the same way. Mr.. Hughes
you'd have I lead OF l.+6l, instead OF
%.SSl.
In the third week the figures would
have been 1880. instead OF %,1S4
II the iourth week the ngures would
have teeu l.l32, instead OF 1895.
In the Hfih week there would havc
been Wilson plurality of 355. .nsteud
of Hughes plurality of 3.72I
IN th- sixth week there was a Wilson
plurality of 6.9S, instead of a Hughes
lead II 7o2
In IN: hnai week. the Wilson plu-
raii'y would have been 7.t72. instead
OF 2,G7e
NOT FAIR no INCORPORATE
CAIiFORNIA's SHOWING
The Herald makes these compari-f
sons because it would not seem entire
ly fair To ncorp0ratc in the grand
totals what "A fAptb ~ So,