New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1916-10-18
TARIFF ISSUE
STRONG UPSTATE
Many Desertions from
Both Big Parties
Found
IFrom a stan corrcspoalen, o, n, r-,,..

Poughkeepsie, n. Y, Oct. l7-Aro.
Republicans Of the old school. wh.s
ono reaches any point above The Bronv
several campaign issues now csus;,,
much shivering and shaking at Re,,s
lican national headquarters shri,t :.
relative unimportance. The bic s..
here is the tariff.
Among Democrats who are ,o.n-
working for Wilson there is lord -,
apparently sincere confidence. No, a..
any particular county will be car,;oa
but that the huge upstate maiori,ia'
usual for the Republican candids,. :
Presidential years will be cut dow
One meets many Democrats, hovsv,,
VINO decided to vote for any Re,,h
licen months and months ago. after -.
dispatch of note No. lo,023. and SIM.
the national conventions NOTHING h..
happened which has not confirmed ,b.n
in a settled hostility to the Admins,
tration. The Progressives, even MAJ.
than the 10 per cent claimed by ~
party, leaders IN New York, are back.
ing Hughes.
In the counties Of Rockland al
Westchester, Orange and Putnam
ulster and Duchess visit 10 ths
various political headquarters. tall,
with county chalrmen on both sides and
actively working Democrats and Repub.
llcans disclose practically the expee,sa
symptoms. All seems very simple And
prophecies Of pluralities not too riskv
Hughes, Of course, will carry all thes.
counties. Even the Democrats fre,Iv
admit that The question is BY how
much.
Figures Easy, but Uncertain
Basing estimates on past perform.
anGes IN 1872 and 1914. on party
animation and registration as far as 4
mas gone THIS year, reasonable predic-
ton OF hughes's majorities would bs.
Rockland, 5000; Westchester. 5000.
Orange, $500; Putnam, 500; Ulste,
1900; Duchess, 1900.
But 1t is not so simple as tb,,
Abandoning politicians and professional
prophets and chalmers, an attemnt !,
made to pry into that silent vote dread.
ed by machines of all sorts. VIVA,
have wage earners and protestant
men, clerks, BARRIERS, railroad men and
others who are reading the neyspaner.
and thinking hard about the wsr ara
America, preparedness and peace. pro.
lection and big business, to say. il tbev
VIII say 1t? II is attempting the i'm.
possible to sound sentiment Of mi,
sort accurately. There is no known
method of straw vote taking that will
produce dependable results.
Party Lines Weak
However, men are talking freely. No.
body is hiding his opinion il asked for
it, and there does not appear 70 h.
much passion about anything. One
finds Republicans who are going to vote
FOR Wilson, not especially because he
kept US out of war"-one Democra,
questioned on that issue blurted out:
That's bunk, of course. We never
had a chance to get into war"-but be.
cause Hughes has been a dissppoint.
ment or because things, materially
speaking, are pretty smooth as they
are. Strange as il may seem, one meets
many Republicans of this shade Of
opinion.
But apparently there are as MANY
Democrats who will vote for Hughes,
There are few Progressiyes who will
be for Wilson and Seabury, infinitely
more who will be for Hughes and Sea.
bury. But Whitman appears TO have a
big majority OF the Progressive vote.
Coming TO the state campaign, the
~ NH 81 ~ a 4 ~
error and members Of the Legislature,
1t was surprising TO find among the
professlonals-many of them az least
an opinion that Whitman might run
ahead of Hughes in the upstate
counties. This opinion is based on the
claim that Wilson is stronger than bis
party. Ii Wilson is stronger than his
party, then Hughes must be weske.
than his party.
Seabury Proves Weak
IL is lucky for Whitman that his
opponent this year is so weak. Mr..
Seabury has just finished a speaking
tour through some of the river counties.
and, according TO the Republican work
ers, ne stirred up no enthusiasm. In
addition to the weakness OF the Demo-
cratic candidate there is in the minds
Of the voters a vivid memory OF the
regimes of Dix and Suzer and Glynn.
In the river counties thus far visited
there is no question about the election
of Republican members Of Congress,
State Senate and Assembly. Mr.. Platt
of Poughkeepsie, owner of "The Eagle
there, cannot possibly be defeated by
Mayor Cox, OF Middletown, Orange
County. In Putnam County, 20 men.
ton a territory which has been troubled
politically, Jack Yale and Han
Fish may not be loving friends, but az
least they are backing the same cindi.
date for the Assembly.