New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1915-10-31
REPUBLICANS SAY
ASSEMBLY IS WON
Feel Sure of Keeping
Their Majority
Gratis Expect Gains
w. G. OSBORN FINDS
HOPE IN DIRECT TAN
Will Hurt Present Administra-
ton. He Claims - Tammany
Sees Victory Through Moss.

Republican organization leaders IN
the state are making no predictions as
to the success or failure Of the WON
ans suffrage amendment Tuesday.
Their attitude ha5 been neutral. While
Democratic organization leaders de-
clare similar attitude. there is said 10
have been an UndeTcurrent o. wor@
against the amendment. The Republi-
can leaders expect the new state con
stitution will be adopted. while the
Democrats maintain that it will be de
feated
The Democratic organization has
made no rash predictions that the big
Republican majority IN the State As
sembly VIII be overcome. The most
they claim is that the election WI.
show "substant.A gains M the As
sembly for the Democrats. The Repub-
licans expect TO maintain practically
the present majority in the Assembly.
William Church Osborn. chairman Of
the Democratic State Committee, issued
a forecast last night. FREDERICK {.
Tanner, chairman of the Republican
State Committee, will give out a fore
cast tomorrow. Mr.. Osborn said;
"The salient feature Of this election
is the heavy registration in both rural
and city districts. This puzzles the
most experienced observers.
docs il mean a protest against the
500 800 900 direct state tax?
Does II mean interest IN the suffrage
vol II ~
81 am no prophet and have made no
predictions, nor do | make any now. |
have heard from many districts o.
woman suffrage, and have no advices
TO indicate that that amendment Will
receive treatment greatly different
from that in New Jersey.
Direct Tax an Issue.
"My advices on the constitution were
unfavorable to its passage down TO this
week have recently received one or
two indications Of stronger support.
Without clearer understanding of the
heavy registration predictions are gu
tile.
THE Democratic legislative repre-
sentation will show very substantial
gains over last year There is general
disapproval Of the extravaganza which
led TO the direct state tax OF S20,5OO.OJO
this year"
Local Tammany leaders expect the
woman suffrage amendment will be
beaten to ] in the state. The Wig
wan leaders predicted Yesterday that
the revised constitution would be badly
beaten. and that the present Repub
lican with three Progressively mem
bership in the Assembly would be Gu
down TO between IS and 80. There are
now IS Democrats in the Assembly.
Republican leaders figure fair
chance for District Attorney Perkins
being elected over his Tammany OPP
ponent, Judge Swami. Registration in
the county, they say, is only 1900 less
than last year. About $4,000 more
voters registered than would be eX-
pected in an "of year"
Whether the woman's suffrage
amendment. or the new constitution, Is
responsible for the unusually large
registration, the county organization
leaders believe that most OF the TEX
ira" $4,000 votes will 90 to Mr.. Per
kns. If the Independent districts come
out in full numbers. and vote as they
usually do. the Republican leaders say
Mr.. Perkins will be elected.
The Tammany men place Judge
Swann's plurality at about $4,000. They
declare the vote for Frank Moss viii
detract from the Republican vote and
have little effect upon the Democratic
vote. They estimate that al" Smith
will be elected Sheriff by from $4,000
TO 10000 plurality over Frank X. Bow
ers. the Republican candidate.