Harrisburg telegraph. [volume] (Harrisburg, Pa.) 1879-1948, 1915-08-28
PENROSE PREDICTS
GREAT VICTORY
IContinucd From First Page.l

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the other hand, however. we have u
great number of candidates for i'm
/ portant municipal and county offices
coming up for election in November
next. Beginning with the mayor of
! Philadelphia, these offices are all i'm
portant and in view of the fact that
we are on the eve of a presidential
/ election the political argument in
! favor of carrying as many county
elections as possible becomes over
whelming.
l1nrollment Overwhelming
Indications furnished by enroll
mcnt show trend towards the Re-
publican party of an overwhelming
character and to an extent which I'm
the counties of PENNSYLVANIA. The
Washington party and other third
parties have disintegrated or have
been disbanded. Moreover, a large
number of Democrats, disgusted with
industrial conditions and protesting
against the isms embodied in recent
Democratic State and national plat
forms as we'll as resentful of local
leadership are being welcomed into
the ranks of the Republican party.
Counties where the Republican usually
Is found in the minority this year
show substantial and well defined Re-
publican majorites or pluralities.
Arguing from these indications II is
not unreasonable to conclude that the
Republican majorities in the counties
of Pennsylvania next November are
going to be very large. The Republi-
cans will elect all the local tickets in
counties normally Republican and will
carry many counties normally Demo-
cratic. II the indications in Pennsyl-
Nania are any barometer of the con-
ditions throughout the rest of the
country, we have every assurance Of a
d., IL Issa 4 I'll
election in 1915. From Information
personally received from Republican
observers who have been travelling
through the country, | believe such
conclusions are well founded. l am
convinced that we will elect a Republi-
can president and Republican con-
gress i'm 1915.
The American people keenly are
alive to the situation. The actual situ-
alton has been disguised by the con-
ditions brought about by the war In
Europe. For this reason we frequent
ly hear it said that perhaps Mr.. Will
son can be reelected on account OF
the war. If we look beneath the sur
face, however, we will see that there
is no foundation whatever for such
belief 1t is true that the European
war has been helpful of the Demo-
cratic party but it cannot prove that
party's salvation. All the arguments
in favor of the administration now 20
back to the war. That the hard times
impending over the country year
ago have been alleyiated to some eX-
tent Is OH account of the war; that
war taxes have been levied upon the
people In the form of direct taxation
Is due TO the war, Notwithstanding the
fact that the country is in profound
peace. The tremendous deficit In the
revenues of the country Is due to the
war. If President Wilson is entitled
to reelection, 1t is not, apparently, on
account of any act of statesmanship
of his own or any beneficial act OF
congress during his administration.
The contention that he should be re-
elected is based on the argument of
the war in Europe.
VIII Not Be Deceived
Such an argument is illogical and
cannot prevail. The American people
will not be deceived by it, The one
ugly fact which stands out in connec-
ton with the war most impressively
in the minds of the people is the fact
that If 1t had not been for that conflict
the Industrial and commercial condi-
tions in the United States would have
been worse than at any time in the
history of the country. say this
without feeling and without eXaggera-
ton, stating a cold fact admitted by
all persons intimately acquainted with
the situation. The chapter of misery
and depression under the Wilson
German law was bad indeed, but that
under the Underwood bill truly would
have constituted the blacklist chapter
in the history of the American re-
public If it had not been for the war
in Europe. CoXey's army ana Kelly
army, the protests of the starving ana
the unemployed, the riots in Chicago,
the United States army in the field to
Il Sf1
and Industrial prostration existing un-
der Cleveland second administration
would have appeared inSignlfcaht
compared with what would have nap
pened in the United States II things
had gone on in their normal course on
the heels of Democratic legislation:
hesitate to attempt to describe what
might have occurred, vet | firmly be-
lievc that had industrial conditions
continued, we would have mad IN
this country distress, poverty,
misery and calamity which would be
comparable to results following upon
a war.
Contributes in Two Ways
THE war in. Europe has contributed
in two ways to alleviate conditions In
the United States. 1t has caused
cessation of importations and IN that
way the destructive influence OF tree
trade has not been fully felt by our
people. moreover, many uiilliOll WI
lars worth of orders for munitions
have been placed in this country, and
this business has furnished employ
ment in certain localities. Yet every
body recognizes, employer and en-
ployc alike, that this appearance OF n
measure of prosperity is deceptive and
that the conditions are entirely unre-
liable and unsatisfactory. They real
iZe kecnly that the end of this dread
full war and the war must cease
within comparatively short time,
will find our country absolutely unpre-
pared to compete with the products
turned out by the labor of Europe,
willing to work at any wage. Europe
will have little consuming power and
goods will be dumped upon the Amer
lean market, the richest in the world,
to the destruction of our own manu-
facturers. Orders for munitions Will
cease and our manufacturers then will
have to go to the expense of re-
adapting their establishments to their
ordinary pursuits.
Moreover, a large and growing de-
felt will confront the present admin
istration with the assembling of Con-
gress in December. just as a similar
deficit confronted the Cleveland ad-
ministration. notwithstanding this de-
felt, the government will be called
upon by general public demand to go
into very large expenditures for ma
tional defense and preparedness. I'm
der these circumstances the govern
ment will have one or two alternatives
and il may have to resort to both. 1t
must issue bonds for current expenses