Evening times-Republican. [volume] (Marshalltown, Iowa) 1890-1923, 1915-06-30
CAST
EYES ON SENATE
LAYING PLANS TO GAIN CON.
Troll OF UPPER HOUSE IN
1916 ELECTION.
WILL BE FEATURE OF
PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN
Control Of Presidency and Lower
House Would Be Of Little Use With
out Control Of Senate. = Pivotal
States Of East Expected to Swing
Into Republican Column.
Especial Correspondence


Washing, June SO.-The republican
congressional committee management
is giving much attention to the senate
situation next year. AS matter of
fact, the fight for the control Of the
senate will be a feature OF the 1916
campaign of the utmost moment. The
republicans feel well satisfied with
their prospects for capturing the next
house. But unless they can reverse
the situation in the senate, they can not
control congress. If the republicans
should capture the presidency and the
house, it would be OF little use TO them
SO far as legislation is concerned with
out the control OF the senate.
Republican congressional committee
leaders profess to believe they can
capture The senate next year. The
democrats are equally positive in as
sorting belief they can not.
Primary Gives Aid.
As a matter of fact, the republicans
can capture the senate If there is a
big republican sweep a year from next
November Otherwise. they can not.
II viii take something like republic
can tidal wave to change the senate
from democratic to republican in the
next election.
Under the old system of election of
Senator'S by legislatures, it would be
practical impossibility TO make the
change. The point must not be over
looked. however. that shifts IN the
senate are more frequent now than
the direct elections system obtains.
The democratic majority, or rather
plurality, in the senate is sixteen. This
means that nine democratic senator's
viii have to be replaced by republicans
if the republicans control. Thirty
two senators are to be elected next
year. The thirty-two whose terms will
end are seventeen democrats, and If
teen republicans. For the republicans
TO capture nine of the seventeen demo
cratic seats is no easy task and i.
can not be considered as a "cinch"
under any impartial method Of view
ing it.
Arizona, Florida, Indiana, Maine
Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, Mon
tana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey
New York, Ohio Tennessee, Texas,
West Virginia and Virginia are the
seventeen states now represented in
the senate by democrats whose sue
cessors must be elected in 1916.
Florida. Mississippi. Texas and Vir-
GINA are certain TO remain demo-
cratic.
Claim Pivotal States.
In republican congressional COM
mittee circles the talk is that Maine.
New Jersey, New York Ohio and West
Virginia, Judged by their latest cleo
ton results. can be regarded as re-
publican. This is an optimistic view
OF the conditions but on the other
hand 1t may be regarded as by no
means beyond the bounds of the politi-
cal possibilities. If such claims are
granted, then where Will the republic
cans get their four additional senators
they need to enable them to control
the senate?
They will have to get them out OF
the eight states of Arizona, Indiana,
Maryland. Missouri, Montana, Me-
braska, Nevada and Tennessee.
Whether they do it or not will great.
Iy depend on the trend OF things on
the head Of the ticket and on the sort
Of senatorial candidates the republic
cans put up. 1t can only be done with
strong candidates and by strong re-
publican tide as to the presidency. In.
diana is probably lost to the demo-
Gratis, Missouri may be wrestled from
the democrats by vigorous campaign
by a strong republican like Hadley
and in the other six states two more
seats might be taken by the republic
cans II it is a republican year. But
at best, it will not be easy shedding FOR
the republican leaders. They have one
Of the hardest fights OF recent years
ahead if they are TO wipe out the demo-
cratic majority in the upper house.