The Hawaiian gazette., 1915-11-30
The Coalple.a Oriert

ernnent, throughsins ambassador, mas formally
notified Japan that it will take no action in Chin;
without FIRST consulting Japan. In this fashion
the Republic Of China, so far as Great Britain il
concerned, is recognized as within the Japanes,
sphere of influence, and this recognition will un
doubleday be shared inaby France and Russia. Tc
offset any apprehension that this might occasion
in China itself or in the United States, which
exercises benevolent interest in China, il will
by this time, undoubtedly have been pointed on,
that Japan was obliged to consult Great Britain
in the last, Cino- Japanese dispute. p w. -,
China will loom up as a great question after
the present war, in the opinion of H. Ijuin, former
Japanese minister to Picking, who thinks japan
should prepare herself now for a solution of the
Chinese question and get closer to Russia in time
In magazine article, Mr.. Ijuin warns his fellow
countrymen that while the European war con
tinues Western Powers may seem to be taking
little or no interest but that after the war their
ambitions for share in Chinese commerce will
revive. He even goes so far as to express the
opinion that il the Powers were unable to agree
on the Chinese question second international
war would be certain to ensue. g. sa.
In consequence of this general situation Mr.
1juin, while not partisan OF formal alliance
with Russia at the present time strongly recon-
mends that Japan and Russia maintain their ex-
listing cordial relations and be ready to face any
emergency that may arise in connection with tho
Chinese problem. He said: The policy of japan
and Russia may have much to do with maintains
ing peace after the European war. Nations will
fight to prevent calamity but some OF them will
fight quicker to maintain commerce. and this rem
ders, the Chinese question very delicate one
Whether there comes, a war of arms or not there
is certain TO be peaceful war Of commercial com,
petition in China. In this struggle for CONNER.
cial supremacy some nations must inevitably take
an inferior position, leading to bitter dssatisfac
ton and danger, as they behold the prosperity 81
the conqueror." = '..
The ex-mnister thinks that the Japanese need
have little fear of competition in arms, but that
they cannot be so sure of themselves when il
comes to the peaceful competition of commerce
Japan must therefor do everything to ensure
commercial victory, If Japan made an alliance
with Russia most pubcists would undoubtedly
think that it would be largely to guard against
Germany. The sudden recovery of Germany,
wrote Mr.. Ijuin would be terror to Japan. O
course it is natural to suppose that Germany will
do all within her power 10 divorce Japan from
China md to do everything possible against tn,
interests of Japan. But Japan may hope to be
immune from German interference for at Least
four or five years after the war, before which Tins
Germany cannot be expected to recover former
conditions. At any rate japan, has real fea
Of Germany, else she would never have declared
against her. Japan entered in the war will
Germany with her eyes wide open to the results
The minister's idea was to keep the Anglo
Japanese alliance secure, and wait patiently fo
more light on the question of the proposed Japan
Russia alliance. If the latter is contaminated tn,
greatest care should be taken to see that it mill
tates in way against the alliance with Grea
Britain. .".''".
The developments of the situation in China
the reports of unrest and possibility of outbreaks
and especially the movement for restoration o
the monarchy-are causing good deal OF concern
in Japan and form the subject for ministerial con
ferences Japan will presumably fulfill program
based on the principle that, as the great neighbor
ing Oriental Power, she holds or should, hold tn
predomnating role in the affairs Of China. Ac
cordlng to the Toxic newspapers in case Chin;
decides TO return to the monarchy, Japan is kel,
to take the lead in securing the recognition O
the great Powers for the new form of government
President Yuan Shh-Kai is quoted as being de
sirous Of making sure that the new imperial gov
eminent would receive recognition from the Pow
ers before taking the final steps, and as beinl
convinced that he must first secure the recogni
tion OF japan as Emperor, feeling that afterwart
Japan's allies--Creat Britain, France and Russ
would fall into line. The attitude of the Unit
ed States on the question of recognition is ques
ton that furnishes great deal of speculation
One writer says: But even if the Washin ;tol
government should refuse to fall in line with othe
powers under the apparent leadership of japan
it is believed that it will not affect other govern
ments in taking concerted action in giving tn
necessary recognition to the new government il
China"
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