The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1915-10-31
THINKS BULGAR KING
WILL TRICK KAISER
Hilaire Bell0c Says Ferdinand
Will Treat With Allies il
Germans Lose.
IN'WAR ONLY FOR PROFIT
Spec,1, corpespondc.ce 10 THr STU.

NEF'f' W I" wv
LoNpoS, Oct. l6.-Tremcndous inter-
est has been aroused here by recent
Developments In the balkans and many
are those who wonder why. with so
much already on her hands. Germany
should ave decided TO devote another
big army to operations In a third field
Of war. With the Russian situation be-
coming decidedly u~nfavorable from the
point Of view of any decision and with
AN allied offensive In the west making
steady progress. 1t seeins difficult to un-
dcrstand why the war lords Of Germany
should have decided to turn their ac-
tivitles suddenly to the Balkans.
There In 10 dotpbt that so far AZ
diplomacy is concerned the Germans up
to now have scored heavily In tho Near
East. The Berlin statesman understands
Balkan politics probably better than the
members Of the Governments Of any Of
the other nations at war. Both Turkey
and Bulgaria. who for 81 many years
rave beer inveterate enemies. have been
brought in on the German side. Greece
iias been induced to maintain an attitude
OF stric, neutrality and trouble from the
direction OF RumaniR has been avoided.
While most Of the military writer's In
England are inclined to describe as mere
folly the decision arrived at by King
Ferdinand Of Bulgaria Hilaire Belloc Is
OF the opinion that the Bulgarian people
In being exploited by It's King In accord
ance with q set policy adopted by Ferdi.
nand. who Is taking "A much longer view
ahead because he IL convinced that the
eventual outcome OF the war will be the
total defeat Of the Germans.
Hilaire Delloc's View.
Mr.. Beiloc explains his views As fol.
lows:
Bulge ria. with one-third Of q million
men. can indeed keep open = corridor
for the enemy 20 as to allow mon and
munitions to reach tho Turks. Bulgaria
has only to stand upon the defensive to
the south of this corridor. holding out .
hand to the Austro-Germans in the north
and another to Turkey In tho south. Her
forces will thus build a bridge for the
enemies allied against us-such a bridge
as might even permit an attempt to
realize the dreams Of the German Colo
NAL Minister and an ultimate attack
upon Egypt As will certainly make q
vast difference to the situation In Gal
lipoli and relieve C~onstantinopie Of Ill
anxiety.
1T IL these obvious truths which have
struck our publicists. but there 10 some
thing nor
The King Of Bulgaria Is probably
acting thus precisely because he thinks
the Austro-0ermans have now no longer
a chance OF winning the war.
He knows (aA everybody In I'M coun-
try) that The snemy's efRsotivsnsas vii
probably begin 10 decline ne1t month.
and will certainly begin to decline not
later than the end Of thu - He per-
cetves. therefore. eNaA ths Austro-Gsr-
- .-vt-. iii A-@ - HnnHA aHsAA
IN quite a short time. He purposes 10
use thsm- ] take II, to his own advantage
for the moment.
Having secured the tArritory rhss peo-
pie covet, having given 10 the enemy
that road to Turkey which they have
70 hong desired. he will vNxoh the in
creasing difficulties in which the Ger
and A%ustrians will find themselves
with the progress Of 1915. and. already
in possession of all that his act Of
treaso ran give him. he will commit
a second aOt of treason wall appeal
TO the Allies.
WIN Bargais with Allies.
He will, ! presume. say. az his
ancestor the contractor land swindler)
Of the Napoleonic army would certainly
have said IN any business With which
We wan tIIka8Cu. NIhttC Vail i NO Out
of this? and his obvious course will be
20 turn to the Allies and say: Now I
can really Be Of value Il you. some
time ago II was only my neutrality you
wanted. but I got better terms from the
enemy. You could Vol gtve mo what
I hen coveted. Now I can come in
on your side with very considerable
effect I have what romans Of European
Turkey at my disposal: I oan acoAlegate
?bur victory. which 10 beginning. or
greatly retard It ] Sal make q very
great difference. What do o propose
TO give neY
II Imagine that he will be In perfent
security. He does not believe that the
Allies can In the ext month or %
effect anything serious against his pres
cn dispositions. lie will b Just az able
To bargain with the Alnes wthen the mo-
ment comes as he 10 now able to do %.
II do not say that this gentleman's
calculations are in thu Kohary tradi-
ton correct. What ] say 10 that Il
Will be interesting to watch the 1mmo-
diate future and see whether In the
likeness TO his illustrious ancestor, whose
features he 70 perfectly anher4ts. his
business instinct will have led him right.
He has great personal wealth IN q
very poor country. That wealth comes
from Hungarian land. He has been
promised vast thinps by Germany. He
Is credited with absurd ambtttons--ths
desire even to rulo the whole BALKANS.
None the leas. he 10 probably playing
for moro than q double treason"