New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1915-08-11
FEAR HERE OVER
CARRANzA'S'R RULE
OR RUIN STAND
Mexicans Say General Will
Start War with u. S. if
Not Recognized.

MOI KeCOSlilZtu.
Mexicans IN this city and others
whose interests are affected by the con-
ditions in Mexico are anxiously await
ing the result of the conference TO be
held to-day at the Bitmore, where Sec
rotary of State Lansing will meet the
ambassadors Of the B c powers and
the three senior ministers of the
smaller Latin-American republics.
While everybody strives to appear
hopeful, strong belief is prevalent
that nothing save the recognition of
General Carranza will be acceptable to
that individual. That fact, coupled with
the belief that Carranza will not be
recognized, has given rise to grave mis-
givings in many quarters.
Everything depends on Carranza."
declared Colonel Abel Gritz Aguenedo,
who fled from Mexico after leading
revolt against Carranza in Yucatan.
Colonel Aguenedo was Governor of the
State of Yucatan, and said that the Car
rama policies were of such a nature
that the people were forced to rebel
against his rule.
81 am sure that Carranza will not
agree to anything that may be decided
upon at to-morrow's meeting unless it
gives him absolute CONTROL" continued
the colonel. ANY other decision will
be the signal for a fresh uprising in
Mexico. in which the lives and prop
crty of foreigners will not be conSid-
cred.
and, what is more, it will be led by
Carranza's soldiers, not by the people.
That will mean Intervention, and inter-
vention will mean war between Mexico
and the United States. Therefore, 1t is
evident that the conference is of the
gravest Importance.
Mexico Faces New Revolt.
"Carranza is not the man to pacify
Mexico. Neither Villa nor Zapata is
suited for the work. Both are thor
oughlv bad-just as bad as Carranza.
The states of Yucatan, Campeche, To-
basco and Quintana Roo are bitterly
opposed TO CarranZa.
II had ten thousand men pltted
against him when my hands were tied
by the action of the United States IN
forcing the abandonment of the block
ade of Progresso. If that had not oc-
Cured. | believe the support which the
opposition to Carranza was receiving
would have resulted in his overthrow.
1t was only because conditions had be-
come unbearable that we were forced
to take up arms.
"Villa wants peace now because he
is weak He has not the money or the
men TO be a powerful factor longer.
Zapata is in much the same position.
These three men, Carranza, Zapata and
Villa, are going down in Mexican his
tory as the arch-crimlnals who caused
trouble between the United States and
Mexico
Colonel Aguenedo seemed more sorry
than angry over conditions in his coun-
try. What he had to say about the
rival leaders was said in a matter OF
fact manner. without any trace of per-
sonal bitterness. But he dwelt on the
fact that continual strife is running the
country. In his own state the prin-
cipal industry is the manufacture of
sisal hemp products. But, he said, the
moor people have been subjected to IN
suits, abuses and starvation by the
military leaders, until it is almost i'm
possible to do any business.
Now" he said, when asked for a
solution of the problem, "in only one
way can peace be restored without
further bloodshed If Carranza, villa
and Zapata would show true patriotism,
there would be no more trouble. They
would only need TO step QUITO give
up personal polltlcaI ambition ana all
would be well.
IF they would permit a member of
Nadero's Cabinet 70 be chosen pro-
yisional President the first great step
would be taken. Then President Will
son. acting with the South American
mowers, could support the man chosen
until such time as the election OF
constitutional President could be ac
complished. With order restored UNI
der the provisional President and with
the support of the powers mentioned,
A free election could be brought about
in which Carranza, Villa, Zapata or
any other man might be candidates.
That is the only procedure | can see
which would stand chance of success"
Blockade an Easy Task.
Colonel Aguenedo estimated Csrran-
"a strength at no less than 10000
men. Obregon has $4,000, he said.
while Gonzales is in command Of 10000
soldiers. Other forces are scattered
about the country in varying numbers.
He does not believe that the United
States could afford to SER an army
INTO Mexico. but said that an immedi-
ate blockade Of the ports would be
comparatively easy.
Eduardo s. Yturbde. one of the
leadi. citizens of Mexico. said yester-
day that ne was desIrcus of co-operat-
ing with the diplomats who will meet
to-day IN any manner possible.
Il woL like 70 do what ! can in a
dis Interested way he asserted. in his
Office AZ "A State Street. The prlnci-
nal object Of myself and my associ-
ates IS to bring into power IN Mexico
genuine representatives, OF the social
forces OF the country, without class
distinction. and with a very well de-
fined plan OF agrarian reform.
But / would not lend myself TO put
through any formula that in any way
could be considered by Mexican opinion
as A government imposed from the out
slde. Give the real MeSicans a chance
20 redeem themselves and they will de-