The Washburn leader., 1915-09-10
Winter Wheat Not
Up to Standard
Government Report Shows Short
age While Spring Wheat Will
Be a Record Yield.

around 65O,000,0OO with no allow
ance for abandoned acreage. The
results Of an inquiry show a loss
of 4,O72,OOO acres at harvest time
or shortly thereafter, and on the
remainder of the government
acreage Of 36,O92,O0O the average
yield was 16.7 bushels, making a
total crop Of 6O3,000,O00 versus
6S5,O00,OOO on practically the
same acreage last year. The
quality Of the grain is the lowest
in some years and the estimate,
on the reports, that the actual
amount available for milling his
year is 525, 100000 bushels. The
government will not make re-
turn on revised acreage before
the middle of December, and in
the meantime the public will con-
tinue under the impression that
q very large crop has been Sc
cured Of this wheat.
In the spring wheat region
conditions during the month
were excellent for the grain and
frosts which occurred the last
week of the month did very little
damage. The yield will be a re-
cord one. Based on both condi-
tions reports and threshing re-
turns our correspondents give an
average condition at harvest
time Of 97.3 which on the govern
ment' 8 selected averages indi-
Gates a crop Of 337, 100000 bu-
shells, and il threshing returns
continue as high as the first
run, the final crop will be
around 35O,OOO,000.
On the assumption of a spring
wheat crop of 350,00O,OO0 and
with milling crop of winter
wheat Of 525y 100000 there is q
total this year Of 875,OO0,O0O VS..
89l 100000 last year, with a car
ryover report in second hands
and on farms of 50,000,0OO the
total available wheat is 925, 5,OOD,-
GOO. versus 96O,O0O,OOO. On last
years basis this would suggest
a surplus of 3OO,OO0,OOO bushels.
Better conditions over the
southern half Of the big corn
belt counteracted progressive de-
telioration of the plaIt in the
northern section, where rains ant
cold weather Were worse than tht
previous month. So far as condi
t,on reports are concerned the
theoretic status of the crop was
not changed materially. The re-
ports Of our correspondents give
All average of 70 versus 8O.1 las
mcnth and a government re-
port Of 1915. The crop has not
made up it's lateness, and an un-
usually long fall without frost
could maintain condition figures.
The par value Of cornsyield on
the governments selected aver
ages, was increased l.2 bushels
an acre, and thus with the re-
dlced condition the theoretic
yield indicated is 3,OO4,O 900, 900 b,
she's. No allowance is made in
this estimate of abandoned acre
age.
Yields Of oats We're phenomina
the cool damp weather favored
maturity; losses both before and
after harvest were large, our cor
respondents give an average re-
duction Of ten per cent in the
acreage on account Of wet wealth
er. The average yields are
above the condition REPORTS. The
general coIdition was 95.9 and
increase of 81 over our reports
last month, and of 4.3 over the
government. This on the total
acreage suggests a crop Of /, ,483,
100000 or 100000 over last
month 8 Indication. Taking from
this ten per cent loss, the avail
able crop suggested is /, 1896. .OO0,.
UOO or 2OO,UUO,OUU over last year
Like wheat the quality has been
impaired by the weather, and
the low grades will be fed on the
farms.
The wheat market has been
trending lower, as the result Of
the large crops in all exporting
countries. The United States and
Canada have combined an ex'
portable surplus Of 475, 100000
and should Australia harvest it.
indication Of 10000 900; Argen
tine make an average crop Of
16O,O00,OOO;, the worlds supply
would exceed by 1OO, ,OOO, 900 the
requirements Of Europe should
war continue, and this without
counting the Indian, Russian, Bal
kan and North African crops