Honolulu star-bulletin. [volume] (Honolulu [Oahu, Hawaii]) 1912-2010, 1915-11-09
SMALLER SUGAR
CROP FOR 1916
IS PROPHESIED
WiIIett & Gray Foresee Likeli-
hood of 1900, 900 Tons
Less Than in 1914

Predictions that the 1915 worlds
sugar crop. beet and cane sugars in
cluded, will be 1,37S.000 tons less
than the total 1914 production, are
found In the following article quoted
from Wiilett & Gray's issue of octo-
Der 81:
'9t has been q custom of ours dur
ing the month Of October to issue our
Crops of the World" table, includ-
ing what are called at present "esti-
mates of the new crops for the sea-
son 1856 From our experience.
we are fully aware that making esti-
mates at this early date. when there
are two or three months Of growing
weather still before us and which can
have q material effect on the final
result, is uncertain, and we again pub
lish our table of the crops Of the
world this week subject to the usual
reservation that at this early date
these figures cannot be taken on any
other basis than that they are an in
dication Of the final outturn.
That these indications Of crops
are q valuable aid to figure the ex-
pected sources of supply is shown by
our indication Of the size of the Cuba
crop now just about ending. On Oc-
tfbet END, 1914, we stated that, from
information that we had in hand at
that time, the Cuba crop Just ending
now Indicated crop of 2,600.000
tons. Although we were subjected to
criticism In maintaining this figure as
the size OF the crop, we desire to call
attention to the fact that the final
outturn Of the 1914-15 Cuba crop will
result in almost exactly the figure
that we indicated one year ago. Dur
ing the harvesting of this crop esti-
mates of this crop were made 200, 600
to 250,000 tons below our figure and
some people in the sugar trade were
strongly OF, the opinion that the crop
could not outturn more than 2,250, 900
tons.
Larger Cuban Acreage.
Regarding Cuba, especially, we
have received our usual good proper
ton of replies to the inquiries sent
out by Us, and In practically every in.
stance the replies show an increase
in acreage planted. Furthermore the
weather has been exceptionally favor
able during the entire crop year. with
the exception of the central part Of
the island Gin parts OF Santa Clara
and Camaguey), where, during the
simmer, the weather was too dry
Elsewhere. however. rainfall was am
pie and well distributed, and almost
generally in the replies which we have
received from the Cuban factories,
they state that the cane Is much bet
ter than last year. Furthermore, the
occurrence of two hurricanes in the
vicinity of Cuba had the tendency to
cause an ample rainfall throughout
the greater part of the island, the cen.
tiers of the hurricanes being sufficient
~ distant from the island to prevent
any damage from heavy winds. Based
on these reports, there is sufficient
cane to make a crop of 5000, 009 tons,
which is approximately an increase of
about 100000 tons from last year.
While, from these reports We would
be justified In giving Cuba an indica-
ton of 5000, 900 tons as the size of
the next crop, we prefer to indicate.
crop of 100000 TONS ..e
The other cane crops Of the world
all show slight increases, except Mex.
leo, where unsettled political condi-
tions have intertered with the crop
very seriously; Argentina, where re-
naarkable frost reduced an expected
crop of over 10000 tons to 175,000
tons, and Australia and MaIIritfus,
where severe drought during the
growing season seriously affected the
size of these crops. -
I'VE speak of our estimate of Euro |
pean and domestic beet crop else
The total supply of cane pos
sible during 1856 is estimated at
10, 291 600 tons, the European beet
crop at 5,780, 600 tons and the United
States beet crop at 100000 tons and
the Canadian beet crop as $1,000 tons,
making grand total Of cane and beet |
sugar for the world 1887 600 tons
against last year of 1s,a15,022 tons
.-,.- 4