The Washington herald., 1915-03-06
The End of the War?


the other by Harold Spender, which make very
interesting reading right at this moment. Both
of these articles practically the sub
ject, although written from slightly different points
OF view This subject is the probable duration of
the present war and the terms of peace that will,
in all likelihood, mark its close. DR.. Dillon it may
be said, is well-known English publicst, having
especial familiarity with political and social
conditions the continent of Europe Harold
Spcnder is in tho front rank OF the journalists of
Great Britain.
Dir. billions article is devoted. in the main, TO
warning his oountrymcn to the extent OF the
sacrifice which they must be prepared to make in
moderation, but undaunted resolve and sustained
effort better suited to the actual requirements
OF tho present situation, and optimism, far
Germany and Gcrmany's purpose is concerned, has
been tho great sin OF Russia, England and France
in the past The solemn fact has be faced that if
scss Belgium and the northern part OF France with
all the vast industries OF this territory. Russia
would lose the most valuable portion of Poland
and part OF Trans-Caucasia, while Germany would
retain her army and navy and all her powerful
organizations and would lose only her anacmc
colonies. This would leave Germany in measur-
able control of Europe, if not of the world.
A great many people in England have been
looking forward to internal trouble in Germany,
followed by the disruption OF the country, one
OF the possible means OF ending the But this
could only come from unbearablc economic
strain caused by German reverscs in the field fol
lowed in due course by a dwindling OF German
iood supplies No such German rcverscs have, as
vet, occurred. Fear OF Hungary's detection from
Austria may be dismissed improbable, because
hungary and her statesmen were the originators
OF the There is party in Turkey opposed
to the political leaders there who responsible
for the alliance with Germany. But there is moth
ing now that the allies can offer to Turkey in
order to induce her to retire from the contest The
doom of Turkey has already been decreed and is
on the point of being accomplished. In few
days or a few weeks the Dardaneles will be
forced and the government OF Turkey must retire
to Asa.
ne wal III NcSltlN Luz OpC Has ucScncldtcu
into sappers' siege and this kind OF contest may
last for years So far neither the allies nor the
Germans have advanced at all since they took up
their position in the trenches last fall and the bat
tie il so it can be called is an apparently endless
one. Germany ovcrran Belgium in short time
and has now Splenddly fortified herself there. Bel
GUM has, in TACT, become part OF Germanys
fortress, and it will require long and tremen-
douS struggle the part OF the allies to get her
out OF the country and force her back to her own
territory on the other side OF the Rhine. Thus far
the progress OF Russia's armies has been disap-
pointing. The fall OF Warsaw must be contcm-
plated as near possibility.
More than this England must take into con-
sidcration the danger OF disaffection in both Rus
ia and France. Here DR.. Dillon speaks guardedly
but it is plain that he cntcrtains doubt to
the staying power that Russia and France may
exhibit. AT any rate they must be helped hnan-
riaIly by England. Whether Italy and Roumana
ram play very helpful part ii they enter the war;
i open to more or less doubt. Both these coun-
riCS are animated by exceedingly selfish motives. !
Italy will probably conflnc herself solely to captur-
ing that portion OF the Austrian territory opening !
IN the Adriatic which formerly used to belong to |
Italy or all countries that may be parties
the present struggle, the craftsmanship OF Italy
$ tho ono most supported by interest alone.
There remains then the question VIII ether Ger
many can be brought to her knees and If SO, within
short space OF time, by mere policy OF atrition.
1t is obvious that Germany's resources and
!cr organization have been greatly undcrvalued.
All classes of people of the country, admras, gen
rails, inanciers, bankers railway managers econo-
uists, commercial men, journalists and merchants /
nave been at work for years in preparing for this
var OF conquest Up to this moment supplies OF
,vcrythng in the country have been abundant and
low Germany has new sources OF supply in the
crritory in France, Belgium and Poland that she
las seized The accumulation OF gold in the Ger
nan treasury is very large. 1t is questionable
whether the German communicating of grain and !
other home supplies has not been due to (
aution than to any actual want. There is no sign
;et OF financial trouble in Germany despite the fall
Il German exchange in other lands. Taking &C
cunt of all her losses the armies Of Germany are
till so far as can be seen, equal in number to the
.rmics OF the allies. Japan be OF no further
assistance to the allies unless she is willing 10 send
o Europe as many 100000 troops. The entrance
nto the contest of I mere 100000 100000 Japa-
lesc would not be OF any material benefit; and the