The Birmingham age-herald., 1915-08-02
ENGLISH RAILROAD MAN SEES NOCAUSE FOR FEAR OVER WAR Interesting Letter Received By White Gibson From
 Thomas Blain DISCOUNTS FALL OF
 POLISH CAPITAL Only Means Delay of Campaign Against Germany-No Peril on
 Gallipoli Peninsula Except
 to the Turks

That nobody in England believes a Ger man victory possible is the statement made by Thomas Blain, general manager of the Maryport and Carlisle Railway company in a letter to White Gibson, the well-known local attorney. Mir. Gibson and family was in Belgium when war was declared, and had some trying experiences in getting out of that country to Eng land. In addition to the loss of baggage and letters of credit his children were stricken with typhoid fever, which neces- sitated his remaining in England some time. During his troubles MT. Gibson and family were shown kndnesses by Mir Blain. which needless to say were appre- ciated and gratefully remembered by Mr Gibson.
 A few weeks ago he wrote to MT. Blain giving his impressions of the war at this time and received the letter below in reply. Whatever reports may be to the contrary the letter shows that England is fully alive to the situation and is strength- ening her positions at all points. The writer is very optimistic and states that Germany's losses more than offset her gains.
 The retreat of the Russians and the evacuation of Warsaw without loss of arms or men was predicted by the writer who further states it will only delay the campaign until the Russians stock up with war munitions. The letter follows:
 Letter to Gibson
 "Maryport and Carlisle Railway Co.,,
 Secretary and General Manager.
 ''Maryport, July 1S 1915.
 MT. Dear Mir. Gibson: I was glad to receive your letter of the Sd inst, but am at a loss to understand its pessimistc tone. I am afraid the sources from which you derive your information are unre- liable Nobody in England believes a German victory possible. Why should they?
 ''If Germany in the full flush of her armed might with six men to one harm lessly launched her thunderbolts against the French and English troops and since then dashed her forces of six to one on the British front without breaking through, although we were hanging some times merely by an eyeash, what are the chances that she will succeed now that our forces are being reinforced with kltchenerS new armies?
 'Of course, they will try with all tie forces their maglignant ingenuity can in- vent such poisonous gas, liquid fire, etc., as well as a tremendous concentra- tion of heavy artillery, but they will find then selves up against foes as determined as themselves. Unfortunately, we have just awoke to the fact that we are short of high explosive shells and Maxim guns, and these are just the weapons fhaf ha T
 Discounts Fall of Warsaw
 We are doing our best to remedy the deficiency, but it will take us two or three months yet to get on a level with the Germans. What German victories do you say you are worried about? I have not heard of them. True, the Russians have been driven back out of Galicia, but their line is unbrolSen and their armies intact ready for a rebound. What the result of the present attack upon three sides of Warsaw will be I don't know, but if necessary, Russia will abandon Warsaw rather than suffer a severe defeat in the field. but 1t will only delay the campaign against Germany and Austria until Russia can obtain equipment and munitions for the millions of men she has in reserve and cannot arm as yet. The secret of the Russian retreat is want of munitions. She has only 100000 men oprosed to S,0O0,000 Germans and Aus trians. Germany has lost about 5000 600 mea already, and so has Austria, and she cannot go on indefinitely at this rate. The process of attrition will show itself before long. and that at a time long before we have reached our maximum strength.
 You say the position in the Darda- reles is perilous. Perilous to whom Not to England. but I'll agree 1t is peril ous to the Turks and the Germans, and the fate of Constantinople. The only peril about the venture was in the landing; that is, to get a footing on the peninsula the extreme. It was a feat of arms unpar- aLeled iii the history of war and eclipses the renown of the storming of the heights of Abraham by Wolf at Quebec as well as the storming of Badajos by the British in the peninsula war. Having got a foot ing on Gallipol. you can bet your bot tom dollar we shall stick to it with the tenscity of bulldog whatever happens, and there Is terrace after terrace of what can only be called entrenched fortresses to surmount before we can obtain a posi- ton of commanding superiority-we shall not let go our hold.
 Should Keep Out of War T agree with you that America should keep out of the war If possible, as they can be of greater-much greater-use to the allies by protecting the interests cs their nationals in Germany than in talk ing hand in the game. Probably if the United States ambassadors were with