Daily capital journal. (Salem, Oregon) 1903-1919, 1915-06-30

Written for the United Press. ]

capital of Bosnia, when Servian con
sprators assassinated the Archduke
Francis Ferdinand, heir to the Austro.
Hungarian throne, and his morgantc
wife, the Duchess of Hohenburg. The
anniversary of the crime of Serajevo
finds eight nations trying to oyerwhelm
the two Teutonic countries and their
Turkish ally, with the result of the con-
flict 5, undetermined as to make this
the most significant fact of the war
Today, it is nobody s fight.
Prophecies have been unfulfilled dur
ing the past four seasons amazingly
for the war has swept most precedents
aside. Al the beginning of hostilities
the Germans were said to be facing
the necessity of winning the war dur
ing the first summer or Of being over
whelmcd when the allies modified
their full strength. Then came the
autumn prediction that the Germans
would soon be in the throes Of economic
distress. Winter brought with it a
prophecy that General February"
would lead the Russians through the
SHOWS far into the enemy's country
Spring was to see the development Of
the lilies offensive in the west, and
the beginning Of Germans permanent
retirement from Belgium and France,
Summer has once more returned, and
none Of the major expectations aroused
during the interval has been realized
The war has developed n creative pro-
cess of its own, whose results can be
anticipated only in slight measures and
then are subject to day by day cor.
rcctions. indecision is the first year IS
verdict Of the war. No nation has done
ANYTHING decisive, nor seems likely to
do so. The nearest approach to de-
cisiye result has been won by the Bri.
fish navy. Despite rhe individual OK
rIoits of German warships. the mass
a,t;yity of Grcnt Rritnin Is fleet has
oI,oet ortirolv destroved Germany in.
I,"tn;ou,. ~ tboorS4icol accord nt
I.n4 ,,.;.h tI,a brhor sfrofooic desires
'r I"t tLo Pr;4isb ooycrnmont
p"t AVIAN 9ro +ho yictorv is not
o,r,Tio+o Gormon orqonizpfiou has
,w%T ati,, .ofrsot tbo offoc+g NJ thc British
Liociodn md German manufactures
nnJ nariouIt,ro hoyo bccn diverted i'm
n"w directions ond intensified 10 am ey.
tent which partly nullifics the evil eff
Foo+ Soo of g. +bo % %Emnirc,s overseas isola-
Hon no whit degree. however. the
Gcrmons have been able TO substitute
domnstic nrodrctivity for tbcir former
inported necessities is not known, No
+wo estimates ore thc same. and yet,
tbis is probably the most important Of
tho factors which will finally determine
,,bether tbc wor is 10 end with q gen.
oral compromise or is to be continued
until Germany is compelled to capitu-
late or he ruined. Thus, while the Bri.
tish navy. theoretically, has accomplish
ed the full purpose of its being the
practical result Of that accomplishment
will not be known until Germany's do
mostic plight is more completely reveal
ed.
Germans reply to the activities OF
the British navy, has not been q sue
cess. The submarine warfare mas ProoE,
en- impotent seriously to damage BRUSH
foreign trade, because of the immenSG,
number of merchantmen at the diSposa'
of England s shippers While ~
many's submarine activities nave pro-
duced optimistic reioicings at ho".e,
these are quite out OF proPVruUn ~
the actual hurt done the BRUSH % c'' Pl,v, aon
In reality the submarines nuIc peeI
engines Of vengeance seeking 10 ~ ..a.
late, regardless OF millVuIy, .a,,ro
tegic value FOR the Tel?nsivs' .p,. pnnorior T1,ii
of Britain IS uVcrWhelmlnglN supcIiV'