The Hawaiian gazette. [volume] (Honolulu [Oahu, Hawaii]) 1865-1918, 1915-06-15

-. III. H,s. - 90 'Nt''' " 81
What would war with Germany COMMERCIALLY,
financially and politically What would the military
situation be! How far would the United States become
involved in European politics. either through alli
ance with the Allies through participation in the
eventual peace conference These questions are being
considered by the heads of the United States Govern
ment in their various phases They are being studied
by senators and representatives in congress- They are
being borne in mind now by the committees having IN
charge the appropriations for the upkeep of the gov
ernment They affect the estimates which the depart,
ment heads preparing for transmtta to congress-
1t seems to be the of opinion by govern
ment Chiefs civil and military, that formal deeara-
tOn of between the United States and Germany
would be followed by immediate conferences between
this government and the Allies. Notwithstanding the
policy OF the government from it's foundation,
to abstain from ''entangling alliances it is agreed
that Of hostes between the United States and
Germany would force the Unite States to cooperate,
more less formally with the Allies There would be
strong opposition any treaties of alliance, and prob
ably such treaties would be negotiated. The basis
Of operations it is presumed would be something OF the
nature of the international armed demonstration
against China during the Boxer rebellion Inevitably
if the should continue, American troops would find
themselves aligned with the troops of the Allies, and
n modus vivenii would follow, providing for the har
monious cooperation o. the forces under one command
The arrangement would be made with regard
to the navel forces The United States however, wou
always insist lpon the direct command Of its troops
by American officers and the control of its fleet by
American admirals. @.,, -
Commercially war with Germany would work to the
benefit of the United States in the opinion of govern
nent experts 1t is not true, generally supposed,
that the shipments of arms, ammunitions and war sup
plies the Allies would On the contrary these
shipments would go forward in larger amounts than
ever. In the meantime the factories producing war
materials would increase their capacity and turn out
all supplies required by the United States The largest
powder manu- fac turin company in the United States
is engaged in filling huge order for the United
States while furnishing large quantities to foreign
nations.
The first step of the war would be arrangement
of the American naval forces to keep the Atlantic
ocean open to commerce. The Atlantic lane to Eng
land would he patroed and American merchant YES,
ses would be conveyed by warships. American tor
pedo.boat destroyers would go in search of German
submarines. r. ..'57i. Z.
Since the began the United States, through its
banking houses has bought 1924 100000 worth of for
elm government securities Most of the money thus
raised has been spent for war material supplied by
this country. The financial of this country
suiciCnt to meet any demands OF this nature be-
sides financing the expenses of the United States
But special legislation would be needed to make these
resources available for the government. There Is a
deficit of about 800 in the treasury which will
have to be met. The of meeting this and pro
yiding additional would immediately call for
the attention of congress- which would be in session.
since the could not be begun without the consent
OF congress
1t is supposed that the present war tax would be
ampliGed in some directions. tax on all incomes
above $1,000 would be advocated. The duty ON
sugar. which will be removed May next, accord
ing present law would be retained, and increase
of tariff rates on many articles would be demanded by
a large section of congress. Undoubtedly, however,
the chief of would be the sale of GOV
eminent bonIs There $225 100000 of Panama Canal
bonds vet he issued, and the treasury could issue
these without further action by congress
The first action demanded Of congress would be l"gl
lation providing for better national defense. ThrN
would take the shape of appropriations for enarglmI
the navy especially submarines torpedo boat destroy
ers, AMI fast cruisers for increasing the army by tax
irg over and armng the militia and facilitating Vol
untePr cnlstments; and for placing better and bigger
guns in seacOnst Notifications, well mining the
harbors Merchant Vessels Of suitable capacity WouI
he chartered transports. list of such vessels Is
ke"t ""n'tpntlv NJ to date by the war department
and there is abundant tonnage, contrary to genera
opinion.
Business throughout the United States would b,
greatly stimulated by with Germany, The rail
would be kept busy and factories would consume
immense quantities of material. Supplies of wal
materials and food would go forward to Europe, in
Fpite Of the increased home demand Cotton copper
and grain would increase in price, account of tn,
Increased demand at home and abroad.
In spite of the fact that the United States and Ger
many could not ''get att each other in dealt
struggle the would assume colossal proportions il
financial, commercial, and political sense Profoun'
changes would in the relations between this
Try and the countries of Europe An outlet would be
found for vaster sums of American money than has
Il boon limited at; and fOrei nations would fnt
themselves debtors to the United States. The traus
formation of this country from debtor to credit0
nation would within few months through d,rrr
loans and the sale of immense quantities of supplies.
One Of the first results of declaration of woul,
be the expulsion Of enemy aliens from the Unite"
States and the nternment of others. Americans wou
r Immediately ''cear out of Germany and Austria
War with Germany would be followed by witt
Austria. Contrary to general opinion there would b.
transfer of American troops to Europe AMI in con
r. siderable force. The army officers charged with Suc
problems the Army War College long ago worke,
out plan Of operations, which would be followed wit
such notifications the chgn cd situation requires
. The American forces would probably be landed il
France. Horses in vast numbers would be transported
and there would be n huge demand for automobile
and motor trucks.
All vessels owned by Germany and Germans il
American ports would be seized. 1t il estimated tina
the tonnage of these vessels reaches $4,000, valued
300 000OO0 The converted cruisers Prinz Eel Fried
rich and Kronprnz Wilhelm, now at Norfolk, woul
become the property of the United States.
Upon the outbreak of all commercial relation