The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1915-10-31
SWAMI BY 10000,
IS TAMMANI'S VIEW
RsRablteans Base Calculations on
sisc Of Moss Vote.

William Church Osborn. Democratic
STATE chairman, the only political leader
Who ventured yesterday 10 speculate On
ths possible outcome OF Tuesdays elec-
lion, pu, his finger ON the disturbing
factor that has made ali the politicians
reluctant 10 gu.ss on specific results
None of them has been able 10 Interpret
satisfactorily the fact that for au of
year tho registration IS exceedingly
heavy---in New York county aJ.V0O more
Than Was expected, and only 5000 short
ok last years Governorship contest
figures
The heavy registration in both rural
and city districts is the salient feature
OF this election Mr.. Osborn said. This
puxzles the most experienced observers.
Does II mean "A protest against the
S20,500.0o0 direct state tax? Does It
mean interest in the suffrage Or con-
stitutionsl amendments? am no
prophet and have made no predictions.
nor do l make any now
As to woman suffrage. MI. Osboi
said he had heard from many districts.
but had learned nothing to indicate that
the amendment Will receive treatment
greatly diffeI ent from that in New JeI-
sey." He continued:
MY advices on the Constitution wee
unfsvorable to its passage down to this
week. / have recently received one or Two
out q Clearer understanding Of the heavy
registration predictions are futile
Surprises Predicted.
.'"rhe Democratic legislative representa-.
ton will show very substantial gains
over last year. We haze often carried
the Assembly in recent years. | know
there 10 general disapproval OF the eX-
travasance which led to the direct state
tax this year. There may well be an
unpleasant surprise for the Republican
tax spenders in the Assembly results
ON Tuesday"
As matter OF fact. the Democratic
captains believe there. is no possibility
of capturing the Assembly. which now
has 10l Republicans to only - Demo-
Gratis The lead is too great 10 overcome
IN q single year unless there Is an earth
quake, which Is not expected. But the
Democrats do expect to pick up half
dozen new .Assemblymen in this city and
enough more about the state to cut the
Republican majority to between twenty
and thirty.
Tammany. whose profession of neu-
traiity In regard TO woman suffrage Is
being honored by the district leaders. en-
cent where their personal preference FOR
the one sex ballot has proved too strong,
confidently expects that the suffrage
amendment will be badly beaten in the
city and State. Some of the Tammany
prophets say 1t will be beaten to l.
Republican County Chairman koenig
predicted in August that II would be
defeated 3 to throughout the State.
nut there is reason to believe that al
though he still thinks the amendment
mas no chance he now expects the vote
viii be fairly close.
Tammany Confident.
Tammany expects to elect Judge
Swami as District Attorney by a plural
ity of at least 10000 over Charles A.
Perkins and Frank Moss and believes
Al Smiths plurality over Frank Bowers
ana William Halpn in the Sheriff con-
test will exceed 10000. Tammany gave
GOV. Glynn a lead Of 32,2s3 In this
county last fall In the great fusion
year, 1913, the Tammany candidate for
sheriff, Dietz. was beaten by the Re-
publican Grifenhagen by 25,ls4, Tam
many insists that THIS result has no
bearing on politics OF the present year
and that New York county is going
Democratic with a bigger sweep than
that OF 1907, when Big Tom Foley's
plurality for sheriff was 25,6Oo.
Nobody has been found In Tammany
who thinks the Constitution Will be
adopted, but no figures are gwen. The
RApublican county organization pro-
Sesoes optimism, but would not be sur
prIsed II the new organic law was
Surned down.
Regarding the District Attorneyship