Evening public ledger. [volume] (Philadelphia [Pa.]) 1914-1942, 1915-07-06

French is not the man, It is idle to suppose
that nation which has invariably found
a general after many failures will fail now.
Looking at the Dardanelles situation 1t
is plain that a campaign begun by blum
der has continued as a rather ghastly fall
ure.
Yet 1t is fair to say that the Dardanelles
expedition did contribute largely to enlist
ing Italy, 1t has had an enormous effect
upon Bulgaria, and seems to have brought
Greece almost to the point of casting her
lot with the foes of Germany.
If the Allies have, as yet made no real
progress toward the capture of Constanti-
nople they have recalled Turkish troops from
the Caucasus and Egypt. they have shaken
the Balkan fabric to its foundation, and the
slightest prospect of actual victory must in
evitably enlist new allies and threaten not
Turkey but Austria.
Meaning of Italian Participation
AS to the Italian operations, present dis
appointment rests chiefly upon undue expec-
tation.
On the other hand the entrance of italy
has been the greatest fact in the war since
the German drive to Paris broke down.
More and more the pressure of fresh
million of men upon a new frontier will
demand German and Austrian attention.
Ammunition, men, artillery will be recalled
from the east and the west to defend the
south. Six months from now the Italian
influence will be felt appreciably, whether
Italian corps are then fighting in Flanders
or Carniola. Again. Italy's entrance puts
the destiny of the Mediterranean in the
hands of the Allies. The prizes the smaller
nations Of Eastern Europe long for are now
within the gift of the anti German alliance.
1t is well. then in taking an account of
stock at this time to avoid attaching too
great Importance to the Incidents of the
month or even of the year. We shall do
well to accept the basis of all our COM
putatlon the fact that German victory can
only be achieved If one of two things hap
pens. If Germany succeeds in obtaining a
complete decision over one of her foes, or
II one or more of the nations allied against
her grows weary or makes separate peace.
As the last month of the first year opens,
then, 1t is clear Germany has nowhere
achieved a decision over any enemy and no
where seems to have a decision within her
grasp. AS for any evidence of weariness on
the part Of her foes. not even the Germans
claim this, and the coming of Italy shows
what the Italian statesmen who risked their
uation's fortune the throw actually
thought, But one of these things must hap
pen or Germany will ultimately be beaten,
not In one year, perhaps not in FIVE This
Is question of arithmetic, of men, money.
ammunition. Twice, once before Paris once
about Lodz. the decision was within Ger
many's grasp but she missed it; she seems
10 have missed a third in Galicia, and In the
meantime acquired new enemy; instead
OF a decision eliminating one great Power,
she has had to face a diplomatic defeat
bringing I'm a fourth great Power.
We Americans will also do well in judg-
ing German official and public opinion 10
remember that with some justice Germans
believe that American ammunition is con-
tributing to prevent the attaining Of the
decision. unquestionably the Germans have
cried out long in advance Of real injury. The
amount OF American ammunition actuarv
exported as yet amounts to nothing. but un-
less the export Is prevented it may be a de-
Gliding factor year or two hence, and Ger
many thinks In terms Of the future