The farmer and mechanic. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 18??-19??, 1914-08-04
EUROPEAN WAR VITALITY
AFFECTS NORTH CAROLINA
Marketing of Cotton Crop Menaced, Says Mr..
James H. Pou, Who Thinks National Govern
ment Should Arrange to Finance It---Glves
Views On Gigantic Struggle, It's Possible Out
come and Effects.

the next two or three weeks by neaVy
victories in favor Of the and
Austrians, then l think their n
of winning will be gone. By the end
Of the month the Russian armies will
be pressing heavily pom the eastern
borders of Germany and Austria and
large numbers of Russian troops will
be on Austria and German soil. II
France be not crushed by that time.
a large part of the German army will
be engaged fighting the French, and
Germany will be required to meet al
most the whole onset of the Russian
armies with only half of her forces.
Austria will help, but will be fight
ing for her territories and will prob
ably have to leave a large portion for
her forces to hold down Servia and
her own disaffected provinces of Bos-
MIA and Herzegovina.
There will be either a continuance
Of the war in Servia or it will degene-
rate into a guerilla war. and in either
event Austria will have to leave a
large body of soldiers to take care of
that situation.
May Lose Advantage.
1.-THE advantage that Austria and
Germany will have gained by their mi
tiative and early action will have been
lost by this time and the pressure Of
the Russian troops on the east and
the French and the English on the
west will begin to tell on them serious
ly. Besides this. the North and Baltic
Sea will have been blOckaded by the
English fleets and the Austrian sea-
ports on the Adriatic by the French
fleets, and Austria and Germany will
be hemmed in on every side and re-
quired to depend upon themselves for
men, fOOdstuffs and all other supplies,
while h ports of the world will he
open to the French and English and
the Russians are we'll supplied with
fOOdStuffs and draft animals. If the
war reaches this second stage. the
chances appear to me to be all in
favor of the Entente, or Russia,
France and England. Therefore ]
would predict that if Germany and
Austria do not practically win by the
first of September, they will not win
at all and will come out of the wal
badly defeated.
Third Phase-PrObable Allies of Each
Side.
The quantities in this
problem are the attitude of Italy an6
h attitude of Roumania. Italy i:
bound to the Triple. Alliance anC
must assist her allies whenever they
are attacked. She claims, however
that this is a war of aggression OF
their part and instead of being at
tackled they are the attacking party
DIN lltdl 0I1
VIII assume a position of neutrality
This can hardly last long. The ma
terial interests of Italy are with tn
Entente. Her place is with France
England and Russia. She knows tina
if she fights France and England
whatever else may happen she viii
lose her African empire, which Sh
has just won from Turkey at heay
cost.
RESIDES this, the traditional enem
OF Italian freedom has been Austria
: The longtime friends of Italian Ii
berry have been France and England
, Austria still holds ItaIian-speakin
provinces. which ought to belong t
Italy. Austria has fought Italy thre
: times in the last century: 1S49. 1876!
: and 1866, and each time had tn
sympathy, If not the assistance of tn
French. Besides this. the Queen c
Italy is the daughter of the King c
t Montenegro and all their sympathie
. are with the Balkan States in thei
r struggles with Austria.
Il predict, therefore. that if tn
0 war passes beyond the first stag
9 Italy will line up with her naturs
friends. England. France and Russi;
and will try to wrest from Austria tn
s ltalian-speaking provinces so Ion
4 needed to make Italy complete.
r ROumania's Position Unique.
"ROumania is in the unique positio
of having a H~ohenzOllern king bl
n with a population strongly in symps
A thy with Russia. The people of Ro,
a mania will want to join with Russ
and take from Austria the eastern pr
v1nceS. where the Roumanian Peep
predominant and where the ROums
h MAN language is spoken. 1t is prol
q able that they will give King Charlie
n German though he be. the choice
= lighting with the Russians and again
Austria or of giving up the thron
They gave him that choice last yes
70 fight Bulgaria or at,dicate. and /
- fought. The probabilities are. Their
- fore, that if the war cache the Sc
- ond stage will line I'D Wi
le Russia. France and England. a,
Greece is likely and inevitably bour
- to take the same course; while Bu
garia and Turkey will, if they thin
there is a fighting chance to accor
in ! plish anything take the side Of An