New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1914-07-05
Removal of Francis Ferdi-
nand Reduces Germany's
Chances of Support.
CHANGE IMPENDING;
BERLIN REALIZES 1T
Dual Monarchy Has Work More
Pressing than to Uphold
Northern NeighbOr.

Berlin, July THE news OF the
murder OF the Austro- Hungarian heir
apparent has been received IN Ger
many, especially in political circles,
with considerable uneasineSs, and IN
some cases with genuine grief. The
German Kaiser has not only lost a
stanch friend. but the untimely death
Of the archdukc again places in the
forefront the possibility that the
Triple Alliance many not long survive.
The late archduke was known to be
an ardent believer in the Triplicc and
TO be strong enough in Austria to hold
in check the feeling against the
alliance which ties the Dual Monarchy
10 its old foe. Italy. On the other hand,
German statesmen had confidence in
Austria so long as the archduke was
alive. for he had promised the Kaiser
10 raise the efficiency of the Austrian
army and navy.
Things are now changed. Austria
will have considerable trouble keeping
the Servians under control, and Aus
tria would be of no use TO Germany
in the event of an international war
coming overnight. Germany, it is said
in Berlin, cannot afford 70 have allies
which are weak. which cannot give
ready and powerful help when needed.
W TN tue uStD alAl-PtlNAdu 4CtlAiib NV
prevailing in Austria, it is sure that
in case Of war Servia and Montenegro,
secretly assisted by Russian money.
would attack Austria, for the political
aim Of the two countries is the down
fall of the Hapsburg monarchy, which
would be the end of Austria as an en-
pire. Austria would need more than
three quarters of her men to handle
that situation and would require the
remaining quarter to keep q check on
the republican agitation which would
be certain to burst into fame, and
which is much stronger there than is
generally believed abroad.
The question is now pertlnently
asked. Where do we Germans come IN
who have helped Austria out of so
many difficulties in recent years!
The Kaiser. while an intimate friend
Of the murdered archduke, hardly
Knows the new heir. 1t is known in
Perrin that Charles Francis Joseph dis
liked his uncle Francis Ferdinand and
was not on speaking terms with him, so
that Il is highly probable the new heir
will have a policy widely different from
lat of the pro-German Archduke
Francis Ferdinand.
Finally. there is a strong feeling IN
Austria against any increase OF mill
tarv and naval expenditure, and TINS
sentiment was successfully combated
b. Kaiser Wilhelm when he brought
francis Ferdinand TO the point Of or
dering q navy for Austria which should
be worthy assistant to that of Ger
many in case of emergency. Now the
work has 70 be begun afresh, for III
spite Of Berlin's advice it is feared by
many that the new army bill involving
Austria in vast expense Will be re-
Dealed under the future Emperor.
Germany has decided to wait and see
how things shape, though in the full
knowledge that the fairest days OF the
Austro-Gcrman alliance are past ana
mat lack of trust has now set IN be-
tween Vienna and Berlin. Austria has
no money, no time and no soldiers TOT
Germany. She has the pan-Servlan and
pan.Slavonic perils on her hands; and
tLese are questions Of life and death
for the Dual Monarchy. Germany
comes after Servia in the thoughts OF
Austrian statesmen and not without
reason, and this, il may be, Will BRING
tho Triple Alliance to an end.