Evening public ledger. [volume] (Philadelphia [Pa.]) 1914-1942, 1914-10-26
CONGRESS- FORECASTS
FAVOR DEMOCRATS
IN BOTH BRANCHES
Republican Gains in House
Probable, But Present SEN
ate Majority to Be Main
tanned or Increasd.

,,oording to forecasts based upon can
vases made by the Sun, the World and
,ho Herald, of New York city. Though
the estimates are not Identical, each
,bows the Democratic party will have a
majority Of approximately 4S votes in
,be House and at least 10 in the Senate.
n correct these figures mean that the
Denocrats would lose 56 seats in the
House and gain two in the Senate.
proeressives will lose heavily, all three
newspapers are convinced. The present
progressive vote in the House Is 1s. This
viii be cut to seven, according TO the
forecasts. A substantial gain for the Re-
nublIcan party is agreed upon This will
come out of the Bull Moose strength and
affections in the Democratic States. 1t
viii raise the Republican House vote from
ia to 1872,
Changes In the Senate to be worked
on Tuesday of next week will Increase
: the Democrats majority, the estimates
show. Republicans there now number %
and Democrats 81. This will shift to 81
8 Democrats against II or ~ Republicans,
4 according to the Herald and the Sun fore
i casts. The estimate is made without
4 counting as certain the Senate contest in
& this State.
PALMER CHANCES BRIGHTER.
Penrose Republicans had been predict
Ing the election OF Penrose until two
weeks ago. but since then their confidence
has been shaken and WASHINGTON observ-
ers have been looking toward the candi-
dacy of A. Mitchell Palmer as the most
promising. Growing disaffection in South
Philadelphia and the likelihood of an open
revolt against Penrose on the part of the
Ware followers has become an important
factor in the observation of the Pennsyl-
yania outlook.
Washington is beginning to look upon
the Penrose candidacy as hopeless. Mr.
Palmer, the Democratic nominee. has
risen to the favorite's place In all the
estimates. Clifford Pinchot, forecasts saw
will poll heavy vote from the Republi-
can ranks. TO the further weakening of
Penrose. Palmer Is the candidate picked
to win however.
The election of Penrose, who has long
been calamity howler, particularly OUT
side of Congress. could not be of any
possible benefit to the protectionists in
the Senate so far as a revision of the
tariff is concerned
Even II a Republican landslide at next
weeks election should give that party
control Of the House, for the reason, as
stated, the Democratic prepondenance
at the other end of the capitol is morally
certain to be increased, regardless of the
result In Pennsylvania. This fact, with
Democratic executive in the White
House, shows how futile must be any
hope of tariff legislation
PENRosE A PARTY MILESTONE.
The very reverse of possible benefit
which Penrose partisans have made a
leading part of their propaganda to bring
about his reelection is indicated in a
published statement by United States
Senator George w. Norris. of Nebraska.
hE L. r - G..a- ]
to visit Pennsylvania this fall to speak |
against Penrose. but has been prevented
BY Ill health from carrying out his pro-
gram In writing, however. he has made |
plain the view taken by national Repub-
licans regarding the Pennsylvania con- |
hct. He said:
"The candidacy of Mr.. Penrose In Penn |
sylvania is doing untold injury to the |
Republican party in all parts OF the |
nation, and nothing would help that party |
more than his defeat on November g."
As Republican party millstone, the |
effect Of Penrose's candidacy could not |
be more lucidly expressed than in this
quotation from a letter written by Re-
publican United States Senator OF national
reputation.
FORECASTS OF THE HOUSE.
The New York Herald's forecast. a
conservative prophecy, gives Democrats
I'll sure votes in the next House. and |
Republicans l63 votes. One vote is the
best outlook the Progressives have, ac-
cordng to the Herald. and go votes are
set down as uncertain. These so, de-
noted uncertain" by the Herald, help
the World to predict a Democratic vote
OF 227 In the next House. Nineteen dis
trcts are doubtful. as the World sees IL,
and Republicans may look for IFS votes.
severe slump in the Progressive party
all over the United States is forecast.
bull Moose defections are counted upon
70 70 bring up the Republican vote in the
House TO 1872. Progressives, say the Re-
publican leaders. are tired OF supporting
lost cause; they will desert in a body
% the Republican camp. Estimates place
me derectton at 65 per cent In ten
Elections since 1912 the Bull Moose have
ost an average of 50 per cent. of their
,otes, II Is acknowledged. Figuring an
y per cent desertion in the election Tues
lay the Republican gain would amount
Q 81 seats I'm the House. Even this,
n the lead
ptIhocfauc GAINS resulting from the
var nave been noted by all three news
,apers, Assaults upon the Admnistra- |
ION with the tariff as a basis have lost
nsnE'h IN the face OF the Democratic
Lsuhehts that the Administration has
Nerted complications with the European
~ ."nSerehts and that 1t was responsible
OF lhe escape from war In Mexico. DEM
~ = 1ts are also capitalizing the cessation
- european imports resulting from the
,aI as sample OF conditions behind an
St'uslHe taFin wall The country will
,,' CIahce To see what exclusion would
ecu democrats are saying. !
= puulleahs are pinning their arguments
- "aIG umes. These, they say, will not ,
Il ssApialned away by the war, and men
new tariff.
PENNSYLVANIA PROSPECTS. !
=, ts,ehLnsylyanla, in the SUMS analyses will !
SnA Deipocratic Representatives. and 4
Nashlngton party's seven I'm the /
$50 VIII ne cut 10 one. Losses in both a
WI go to strengthen the Repubu-
ne the forecast runs PennsvIva MIA II
m m,a re gs represented by % Republicans An q
ilouse' as the Sun sees IL. 7
M the Democratic South can count =
n returnlng Democrats TO the House.
= n ,plehletons agree. Northern states
"a - turned in Democratic maiorIties In
sr,'IS, Two elections will fall into the
I'M Dilcan line again, and the outcome I
"a ior,..P' ,.P'oach nearer to the Democrtic
s.'y IN Congress
crnsts forecasts unite IN concedInR an
hs -. majority for the Democrats V
mai - lhey can look for is an addi- n
6s co,',e, LIE, according to the predictions. n
al ta-H election will be the irst gen a
atAg OF popular voting for United u
ms 1ators. No extraordinary re-
e ssile looked for, and in most cases n
ded 10 be ms is AT me primaries are con- y,