New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1914-11-06
Believes Only Possible
Danger Is Nationalist
Movement.
COTTON CROP Is A
CAUSE FOR ANXIETY
Successful Turkish Invasion I'm.
likely, but Porte Can Aid
the Germans.
-Pv cable 20 TIC Tribune :

London. Nov. 5.-Niscount Miner.
,rc ~ Fuclsnd's great proconsuls, who
vos Under Secretary for Finance in
r'rrnt lSS9-'92. and whose book, Eng
ior5 In Egypt" published IN 1892, is
.,i1 tbe standard work on its subject.
made the following statement to-day:
III IS more than twenty years since
lived In Egypt and was familiar with
su the details OF It's politics and ad-
r,;r;stration. am not an authority
or rs recent development, but, speak
I've from my old knowledge OF the
.,,,rtrv. / Go not believe pan-lslamic
,covenlent IN the interests OF the
inks viii have much success there.
Tbe Egyptians are Mahometan, no
5oYbt. and very pIous Mahometans. but
~ 40 not love the Turk. They have
suffered 100 much from Turkish gov
.~~r,er+ i'm the past. Even old Turk
,sb families, who form the bulk OF the
..stocracy. have no particular love for
Constant,uople, and they. certainly do
80 want 10 be governed from there.
a. FOR The bulk Of the people and the
.,..sertry. they simply detest the idea
~ Turkish rule.
.Vrstcvc~ danger there may be Is
Sd. O., Trvrtian nationalist movement,
- never thought there was much.
Z. wss Egypt for the Egyptians and
~. 'Trvpt for the Turks which was
..s hattie CIV and object. My belief is
.Sa+ the natives OF Egypt will keep
ns~fect'v quiet They are much more
Concerned about the prospects of their
cotton crop than about any political
issue whatever.
Land Owners Heavily Indebted.
AS far as the internal condition Of
v-yn- IS concerned. u IL the curtsil-
-ae-t Of the demand for and conse-
ruent enormous drop in the price Of
cotton consequent upon the war which
ave calculated 20 give the British ad-
miristration In Egypt the greatest
anxiety. The loss in cotton means di-
ro,rished revenue and embarrassing
70 an debtors-and Egyptian land own
ers. great and small. sre heavily in
deb,ed-and severe privstion for the
noorer class of cultlvators. This Is
much more serious for Egypt than any
political agitation. OF course, Egypt 10
4 country Of enormous recuperstive
power. Once let peace be restored, and
in a wear or two under British admin
istrstion she would jump back into
prosperity. but for the next twelve
months, at least, the economic de-
preston will be severe.
Successfully TO invade Egypt Tur-
KEY will require large and well
equipped army; for, OF course, the pos
sbiity OF such an invasion has been
foreseen for months, and Great Brit
ain a. present has larger force of
Indians and English in Egypt than
ever in the past. And in the next
place. II is not easy to march large
and well equipped army for upward
Of one hundred miles through an ard
desert and fight battle at the end.
at would be comparatively easy TO
cross the desert between Syria and
Egypt with a small force, but small
force would be easily defeated on the
Egyptian side Of the desert. To take
a large army through these wsterlesss
wastes is al operation which II would
require great skill and very complete
preparations 20 carry out successful
IS. There is no reason 70 suppose
that Turkey has resources Of orgam-
ration or equipment for such an enter
prise
Personally. I am not afraid OF