Evening star., 1914-11-01
Forecast of New York Result
Based on the Figures Given
By Leaders of the Parties


NEW YORK. November 1.-The New
York Times will say today: A close
election, with the outlook favoring
Gov. Martin H. Glynn and majority
of the candidates on the democratic
state ticket. provided New York sfty
lives up to traditions and returns
substantial democratic plurality
The forecast on the eve OF the Vot-
ing is based on statements from the
leaders of the three principal parties
and observations made by correspond
ents in every section OF the state.
The outlook for the Congress cleo
tions is less encouraging from demo-
cratic point of view. While New York
city will return a majority OF demo
cratic members of the House, the
slump in the progressive vote upstate
will result in many upsets 1hrousm ~
which republican representative WIZ
be sent to take the places OF demo-
Gratis.
There is a probability that the next
legislature in both branches wili pc
republican The legislature outlook
distinctly favors republican assem-
bly, even though in many localities
fusions between the democrats ana the
proKressives on candidates OF strength
may make the republican majority al
Albany next year less than 1t wouid
have been with three candidates in the
field everywhere.
Constitutional Convention Vote.
Control of the constitutional CONVEX
ton. which will be held next year. is
in the balance. because the delegates
will be voted for on a separate bal
lot arranged on the party column pan
Massachusetts ballot. which Will bs
used for the first time in this state
next Tuesday.
The anti-Catholfc movement directed
nd nfh
Catholic nominees has been working
covertly in this state for months. but
since it was dragged out into the open
recently it has caused fierce resent
ments which ma make OF IT two
edged sword cutting into the Glynn
strength on one hand and on the other
into the support of Mr. Whitman.
whom the sectarian agltators have
indorsed.
The republican leaders themselves
have begun to appreciate the fallacy
of their presumption that the cam
paign Of William Sulzer for governor
would menace Gov. Glynn's chances
exclusively and thus aid the republic
cans. During the closing week of the
campaign republican attacks on MI:
futile efforts to persuade him to give
up the race and do what lies in his
power to turn the support of his pres
thus to insure the defeat of Gov.
Glynn.
The Wilson administrators unquali-
fed Endorsement of both Gov. Glynn
and James w. Gerard. the democratic
candidate for United States senator.
marked a turning point in the cam
paign. Prior to that Endorsement the
chances all favored republican VIC
tory.
The democratic leaders have not made
public any estimate of the vote for
Gov. Glynn and the other democratic
candidates. 1t was learned. however.
that the inside" figures at Tammany
Hall, based on one Of the closest cam
vases made in many years. gave New
York city to Gov. Glynn and the demo-
cratic candidates by $4,000, the plu-
ralitfes being distributed as follows:
Manhattan. 1000; Kings. $4,000; Bronx,
{, 500; Queens. $500: Richmond, 1.500.
Another estimate based on reports
made to the democratic state commit
tee by canvassers covering the entire
state gives the state to Gov. Glynn and
Gerard by $500.
Political managers of the leading
parties. however. each expressed con-
viction tonight that their candidate
would win.