The Cairo bulletin., 1914-10-22
SuLLIvAN'S LEAD
IN CHICAGO A MARVEL

One Of the shreweest political OBJ
servers In Illinois. who. By the way,
happens to be 81 old line Republican
Of the stand-pat order. forecasted the
outcome OF the campaign for United
States senator Ia Cook county in this
wise:
THE political situation Ia Cook
couaty today Ia the most remarkable
that I have ever known In all my
long experience in politics. > Two
yesrs ago the brsks-up in the Repub-
hesn national convention and the
entry Of Teddy Roosevelt as a presi.
Dental candidate brought about 8
revolution IN politics which at that
time' was expected to be the biggest
thing In our recent political history.
bat in this catHpaixn the revolution In
Cook county Is even more remarkable
and widespread than 1t was at that
time. Amy statement OF political con
ditions as regards United States sen
atoF Ia Cook county that would be
anywhere near correct would sound
like fairy tale TO those who figure
the future freEn the past The i'm
menss vote given Roger Sullivan in
the Democratic primaries over the
opposition OF the combined Official
powers Of the Democratic party has
prepared. the people to expect an
overwhelming victory for Sullivan In
the general election, but no one has
any conception OF the magnitude OF
the Sullivan lead that is In the air up
here.
In 1919 the vote OF Cook county
was as foilews: Roosevelt, 166.0s1,
Wilson, 1s6. .7o2; Taft, 74.S51. 1t Is
reasonable to suppose that In this
election not to exceed so per cent OF
the vote Of 1919 will be cast, and the
forecasts must be based ON an so per
cent vote My inquiries among my
Republican friends indicate that more
than half Of those who voted for Taft
In 1917 viii vote for Sullivan In this
election. This would give Sherman
so 900 of that vote and sullivan $4,000.
OF the Roosevelt vote such inyestiga.
ton as have made indicates tina,
Robins will get so per cent, sullivan
50 per cent and Sherman Is per cent.
This would divide that vote: Robins.
cT.0o0; Sherman. 10000, and Sullivan.
$4,000. So far as | can learn, there
is NO disposition on the part of the
Democrats who voted for Wilson to
desert Sullivan. and with united
party behind him, his opponents have
not been able to break into his
strength. Therefore he can be credit.
cd with 1GS.Co0 Democratic votes
Taking this estimate Rs reasonable,
and It is 3 reasonable one, We find
that the vote of Cook county viii be-
cast about ss follows: Sullivan, 1s0,,
600; Robins. approximately 70.e00, and
/, Sherman. approximately $4,000. I
have made no special inquiry into tho
conditions downStsts. and am not
abls to say what effect this vote
wsuld have on the general total.
However, all reports from dowustata
seem to bs that Sherman viii lead
RobiRs up to the Cook county line.
and that It will bs fairly even race
between them for second place. takihg
the state over.
That statement. rs said before.
seems like q fairy tale, but when one
has gone through experienced that
have in Chicago in this campaign one
cannot avoid q conclusion that seems
to be positively borne out by the ex.
prsssions OF people whom one meets
In every sssemblage OF Republicans
with whom have talked within the
past two weeks. find majority Of
them are declaring their intention OF
voting for Sullivan. II record had
been kept OF such expressions, It is
quite certain that this record would
have shown considerable majority
Of the Republican vote for sullivan"
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