New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1914-07-26

the incident with aviGity as a mr..
for usirg the mailed fist" agsins, va
via. ard a series Of more or less S; scr
charges OF Scryian responsibilitv es'
minated on Thursday last in a ner. sul'
tory demand which amounted snbs,up
TALLY 10 this: 'an-
That Scrvia should plead gul,,
esponsibility for the murders. az o.
atonemont therefor should humble =
self beneath Austro- Hungarian sn.i ''
Iainty. The purpose was obviouslv :.
subJugation Of Servia. II that eo,..@
Yielded to the demand she would ..q
herself the vassal Of Austria Huns.an
If she refused she would give ~
rover a preteXt for forcible conous.
All Europe Involved.
Such conquest could doubtless h,
fected II the two powers were lef,
fight their quarrel out by themssI..1
The population Of ServIa is only a 4
tie more than 100000. and the Ss.,
in the Servia lrredenta of the H.
Realm do not number more than a0@
600. This total Of 100000 could
crushed by the vastly greater MN.
OF Germans of Austria and the IL
yards Of Hungary. But other DOW.
are too much concerned to hold al,.S
and if Germany and Italy. as memI'.
of the Triple Alliance. support a..
tria- Hungary. Russia, backed by l..
partners in the Triple Entente. Frse
and Great Britain. must be assumed :
be resolutely opposed to any suca .,
tinction of the independent Slay :.
tionality Of the Balkans.
Now the Triple Alliance Is defep,,.
and not aggressive. Its members ~
bound 10 help each other in cert,
cases of attack from outside, but N.
are not bound to aid in attack,
others. Moreover, Germany is BON
20 aid Austria-Hungary only in q.
the latter is attacked by Russia. -.
not if she should be attacked by (,
via. But If AUstria-Hungary shoI
attack Servia and thus incur an att
upon herself by Russia. Germany won
be bound TO come to Austria Hungsr
aid: while Italy would be bound mo-,
~ to maintain a friendly neutrs,p
But if France joined her ally. Russ
then Italy also would have TO enter 4
strife. The potential sequence }
events. therefore. is for Australia
gary to attack Seryia. for Russia
come to Servia's aid and attack g.
tria- Hungary, for Germany 20 com. I,
Austria Hungary's aid against Ruu.
for France then TO attack Germany
aid of Russia and for Italy to join h.
allies of the Triple Alliance ags;,s
France.
What Great Britain would do
problematical. but if there was dapg
of Germany and her allies des,roT,
the sea power Of France and Rus,
as there might well be. il is scare,
conceivable that the British feet wov
remain neutral or idle.
Relative War Strengths.
In view Of these possible compli,,.
tions il is of interest to observe =,
military strength of the five great co.
tinental powers. According to the be-
authorities the war strengths OF "A
Triple Alliance powers are as follows
G"rnany ........,....... ....,... 15Nm
uSu!a-htngaty OBSERVATION-DISCLOSURES. 2Ncn
itdN iloQeo
-
To;1l ............................SSap
The war strength of France NAV ma
be much more than 100000. That
Russia is less precisely known. IN
best Russian authorities place it atl
100000. which. added to Frances /
100000 would make only 5,sOOM |
against the $3.50 900 Of the Triple A.
lance. But there is reason for thin.
ing that the Russians purposely unes
state their real strength. The fon l
most military authorities in Germg
declare that the war strength OF = |
northern empire would be not lH /
than S,09S,000. which even withW
France would greatly outnumber e
Triple Alliance.
Servia herself, in the last reNr.
could probably place more than 5000
men in the ZELDA formidable fon /
for a defensive campaign. As for Il, !
other Balkan states, Bulgaria, no.
badly crippled and demoralized, is h
only one which might side with Aui
tria-Hungary. But if she did SO ST.
would doubtless at once be attacked Il
turn by the vastly greater forces q
Rumania and Greece. which would eai
lily dominate the situation there, eve
if Turkey should seize the opportunl,
of seeking reprisals upon Greece.