Maryland independent. [volume] (Port Tobacco, Md.) 1874-current, 1914-01-30
SOLVING THE WIND
One Big Problem That Boihers
the Weather Forecas.ers.
CURRENTS THEY CAN'T STUDY

Atmospheric Conditions Away Above
the Earth Are Beyond Thsir Reach
and Are Consequently Unknown Fac
tors-Methods Of the Eneients.
The art Of predicting the weather is
one in which it seeias n first sight the
modern scientist ought easily 10 sur
pass his ancestors Yet il may be
doubted whether be is realty more
successful In 1t than they were. The
meteorological department boasted
some time back that their forecasts OF
weather as published in the daily press
were justified by the result in - per
cent Of the sases recorded As the per
centage OF correct guesses IN sntii-
ciently extended list. however. would
exactly equal the Incorrect. this does
not show very great superiority for
scientific methods over pure conjec-
ture
Yet the meteorological department
enjoys the advantage. as our ances-
tors. of course. did not. OF elaborate
and accurate recording instruments
IKE secchrs meteorograph. together
with telegraphic reports from weather
stations dispersed nearly all over the
surface OF the globe. Its relative non
success shows perhaps that there is
sui ractor ID the prooiem winch II Is
at present Impossible to estimate.
Inis Is the more extraorulnary be-
cause the modern method OF forecast
ing the weather dlnefs entlrely from
tnat practiced oy the aneieIts- WIN
tnem II was slmply question OF tlme
ana season. or wnat is tne same thlng.
OF the appearance or disappearance OF
certain stars.
When hesiods nusoanonan saw the
fieiaues ne knew IL was time Tor MN
10 oegln ms harvest, ana Wnen tney
set IorIy Gays iaters ms proving Ihis
inisnt sun oe soou enough RUE LOT
countries near tne equa.or- "nere the
prevalence OF traue Wlhus' Wnich oio"
uninterruptedly III tne o'reeuon ih
WHICH Tue sun appears 70 tii'Vei'
anu "nere ele lnohsoons' Wuien ~ tne
countries eas. Vi sueH DO" ier sN
lion''is Tue otner way ueip 70 Atep 'ie
weather. II 10. eonsihu'' yer reguiar
in otner ,autuues. however tnefe Is
no suen ne'p, anu ne "ho Wouiu pre-
uict tne weatner must tnerelore con
nne niinseli u nnulns OUT Wnat Winus
1re pioMins - o,ner paris 81 tne
"oriu anu ""en 'ney are "Aeiy 10
reacn ni'n.
As " .nis noueih seienee sun W
penus .iiain'y on .ile ooseis"e'ohs iiiaue
W nancy "no uiseViereu ~ 'ne ses-
en'eentn century uurins Vosase N
Tue eiopies now 'ne sun 80 warnneu tne
ar az 'lie EQUATOR tii''e lne ueateu an.
iisins ai.ei 'es iiannei' ui9peiseu isSeh
towaru tne poies anu was Iep'aeeu py
lusu VI eo'u an iron Tue 'esions
iar.ner from Tue sun
s, ""ien captains 'ue ep.enolie'oH
" traue wi,lus' mas iea,iy ene iuunua-
.ion Oh inouetn lne'eoio,osS' alo'ouen
a was leser'eu iol na.ey, solue u
ye"iS iaeer. " poine ou' .l'''' 'n"iiN' =
Tue fota.io,i ., Tue e"iln ou i's wy
aAis, Dotn Ainus " "inus s'.as
VIVA. lroln 'neir appaieiie oo!eess''.
LATER poses IA" u io'auoH was
oiscoseleu, wuien uee's'es e., ,ua. I, sei
..Ain 'au,uues '"e "ii'u w. "s"l'' a.,
ways ,oilow 'ne sun iuo',on--i, e., snl WI
pass iro'n ~ 'niousn y = a,u ~
. u 70 o. eo'ipie' 'ue eiS'e "
passlns lro% o !" ~ ."ousn .s .ne
west pue WIZ 'eiy S1 "o'e Wy
'e.else way +.
rina"y' .uele eo ~ ~ n,,.
Anown as Tue IA" u nuss N"''o.' 49,
wnicn Is 'nh'' ~ 'ue NJ, ~. 'ne'n ueuli sal,.
spueie' = ~. nu9 80 ~ -
20 'ne "inu 'ne nne " 'o"s' pressure
10 a'"as ? "a o"e : 's, -.
in's eii'o'es " y unus' s'"ne NJ, ~
ls meant ~ eue eye'ou,s "'e "As.
sy''on'e uis.u. ean - 80,
re0ueuiis nen.ioueu = ~ 49,, os.a
,o'eeaS's as apl'ioas"'''s u9' e"s'''
.'ol'i .ue . N''''u''s' -.
1