New-York tribune., 1914-11-02
Democrats Believed by
Many Doomed by Years
Law of UpsetS.
TWENTY-NINE STATES
TO ELECT GOVERNORS
Woman Suffrage and Prohibi-
tion Other Big Issues for the
Ballot Tomorrow.
rrrnrn III. TrIhune Rureau. ]

Washington, Nov. AL tho prog
nosticators agree that the Republicans
will make tremendous gains in the
House 81 the election Tuesday.
The feeling Is strong that something
unusual is going to happen. Some per-
sons believe, IN fact, that the kepuo-
lIcGns are going 90 come back IN con-
troll Of the House The opposite Of
this view as TO eXtrcmeness is that
the Democrats will have a surprising
ly large majority in that branch OF
the national Legislature.
There is Republican hope Of n
landslide IN the Senate, too, but the
election prognosticators OF this stripe
are noticeably less certain Of the up
per house. The consensus OF opinion
rather favors an increase Of the Dem
ocrstic majority there. That increase
is variously expected 20 be from eight
70 twelve. The Democratic gain In
the House as figured is likely TO be
from twenty up 70 sixty.
The peculiar upsets OF form In this
wears events. however. and the many
times that the unexpected mas hap
pened have msde many persons shake
their heads st the representations OF
the political experts.
No one expected that the Boston
Braves would take four straight from
the hitherto invincible Athletics,
neither did any one believe that the
polo snd tennis cups would go abroad.
Nor was II suspected that this year
would see the greatest war in the his
tory OF the world Lots of other uneX-
pected things have happened. so that
those persons who are awaiting the re-
suits OF Tuesdays election with the
feeling that the unexpected is likely TO
happen have numerous precedents on
which 70 base their belief
Senators by Direct Vote.
Aside from the political control Of
the two branches OF Congress the most
interesting feature Of the election IS
the fact that for the first time United
States Senators will be chosen by d.
rect vote Of the people. There are
thirtv-two Senators whose terms ex-
pire on March next; sixteen of them
are Republicans and sixteen are Demo
Gratis. Most of them are candidates
FOR reelection. Not a few fell by the
wavside in the primaries last Septem-
Der. In addition, Georgia will elect
Senator 20 fll the unexpired term OF
the late Augustus o. Bacon, while Ken
tucky will choose a Senator TO tll the
unevnired term Of the late Senator
Bradley.
AS now made Up, the Semitic consists
Of Gfty-three Democrats, forty-two Re
publicans and one Progressive "a prso-
tical majority Of ten for the adherents
Of President Wilson. The Democrats
hope 20 make gains in Kansas, New
Eampshire. New York, Ohio, Connect
cut. Illinois, Wisconsin and Cali
fornia. This feeling however, is not
shared BY those who are believed 20
be in touch with conditions, for, while
New York. Illinois and Connecticut
may be placed in the doubtful column,
the other states appear TO be destined
10 remain Republican. On the other
hand. the Republicans feel that they
have an excellent opportunity 70 gain
81 Senator In Colorado, where Senator
Thomas. the present Democratic in
cumbent, is having the hght OF his life
20 be returned Il would not surprise
Republicans. either, If they won in Ne
vGda and Oregon.
Bull Moose Candidates.
The size Of the Bull Moose vote Will
probably play an important part in the
election. According 70 last years
figures. the Bull Moosers would cut
very little figure in the result were 1t
not that four Of their particular stars
are candidates for the Senate. These
are Victor Murdoch, in Kansas; Clifford
Pinchot. In Pennsylvania; Albert J.
Beveridge. In Indiana, and Raymond
Robbins, in Illinois. Three Of these
states are now represented by Repub-
lican Senators.
A Senate contest which sticks out
above the others is in Illinois, where
Roger Sullivan, the Democratic boss Of
the state, is endeavoring TO satisfy the
ambitions Of q lifetime. Sullivan, who
is G boss Of the Murphy type in New
York, has been unable TO secure the
personal Endorsement Of President
Wilson, but an effort to convey this
impression has been made by members
Of the Presidents Cabinet who have
spoken in Illinois.
In Pennsylvania the reelection OF
Boies Penrose is looked for. The tariff
has played a very important part in