Evening star., 1914-08-13
CoIoners Attitude Will Deter
mine Connecticut G. O. P.
Congressional Fate.
FIVE HOUSE SEATS AND
SENATORSHIP At STAKE
One Seems Safely Democratic, Otherz
and Governorship Depend on
Action of Progressives.
BY N. o. MESSENGER.

BY N. O. MESSENGER.
NEW HAVEN, Conn. August 13-Col.
Roosevelt has still one more political
problem to face. 1t practically rests with
him to say whether Connecticut shall re-
turn at least four republicans to the next
House OF Representatives and elect a re-
publican United States senator
The colonel is coming to Hartford Sat-
hrday night to confer with the progress
eives and at that time may indicate to
his followers their course Of action in
the coming campaign. The conditions are
such in Connecticut today that, with the
bull moose left to follow their present
inclinations. nothing can prevent a re-
publican victory In November. in the
opinion Of unbiased and cool-headed
politicians here.
The main desire Of the progressives at
This time is to preserve their organiza-
uon. II way can be found by which
they can do this without nominating full
congressional state and legislative
tickets, It Is believed that the majority
Of them will return to their party on
election day.
The indications are that Connecticut Is
thoroughly disenchanted with the demo-
cratic administration and democratic
legislative policies. The tariff reduction
mas nit connecticut hard, and the end is
not yet. Bull moosers are said to realize
keenly their share in handing over the
>tate to the democrats.
Depression in Connecticut.
Business in the Industrial towns in this
late is said to be as depressed as in
,>.3 and 1894. The Star correspondent
mas been given access to some reports on
The subject, collected from unbiased
sources, for the purpose Of showing
tetual conditions. They reveal wide
spread closing down of industries, and
many thousand men out Of work, due, it
: alleged. to the effects Of the demo-
ratio tariff
The democratic administration is crtti-
Used here, as in Massachusetts, for the
tnssea marsh attitude toward the New
Haven railroad. and especially in regard
10 the proposed criminal prosecution Of
the directors. Democrats, as well as re-
publicans. are holders Of the deprecated
non-dividend paying New Haven stock,
and they feel that the government is not
making it easy for the road to be re-
habilftated. However. that Is a small
thing, only one of a number of features
Of generally distressing condition.
republican leaders In the state are
seats in the national House Of Repre-
eentatives. They believe that In at least
two districts this can be done even II
the progressives nominate candidates
claiming that the bull moose leaders will
hot be able to hold all their forces this
fall
Roosevelt. as the head Of the ticket in
So12. carried thousands Of progressives
Rho will not find that incentive next
gear. They do not believe however, that
the progressives will nominate q full
Congressional ticket.
Progressives Uncertain.
Dven such progressive leaders as Her-
bert Knox Smith and Joseph Alsop arc
et this time uncertain as to the course to
be pursued by the progressives. and
It will take the coloners mandate to
crystallixe q policy.
Analysis Of conditions in the CONGRESS
sional districts reveals the republican
confidence. In the Hartford district, the
nss1 @ represented by Augustine Loner-
gan, the democrats hold the seat by
scant plurality of 600. with 8, ,445 progress
sives from which the republicans can
draw. Mr.. Lonergan will be renominat-
cd and will probably be opposed at the
polls by p. Davis Oakley. republican who
is described strong man. The re-
publicans count upon carrying this dis
trict.
In the New London district. the sec
Und. BRYAN +. Mahan, democrat had A
plurality OF 6o5. with 4.54s pregressives
- whom the republicans will appeal 1t
g considered probable that former Gov
Weeks win be the republican candidate
for congress against Mr.. Mahan, and
here the republicans are hopeful Of vic
tory MIR. Mahan will also be in the
race for the senatorship. it is said.
The Meriden district, the third. is rep
resented by Thomas Lawrence Reilly.
no x1-in ha
il is thought. will be elected. Former
Representative John @. Tilson republi-
can. will in all likelihood be the republi-
can candidate, but he will have a plu-
rality of 1898 to overcome.
Progressives Regretful.
In the fourth district, represented by
Jeremiah Donovan. the republicans count
upon sure victory. II they can induce
former Representative Ebenezer ]. Hill
to accept their nomination. Mr.. Hill had
represented that district eighteen years
IN the House. when he was defeated in
1912 by Mr.. Donovan.
Mr. Donovan's plurality of 1,4as was
made possible by the detection Of s. 263 pro-
gressives. who heretofore had voted the
republican ticket. Mr.. Vincent. the pro-
Kressive candidate two years ago, will
not run again. IL Is tnOuSHt doubtful, IN
the peculiar circumstances Of conditions
In this district. whether the progressives
will name candidate. IL Mr.. Hill runs.
Republican leaders here say that nowhere
else in the state was the regret of the
progressives over the result of their vote
SO keen as in this district, since they had
no idea a democrat would slip through.
In the fifth district. Naueatuck. Will
liam Kennedy, democrat will be renomi-
mated He had plurality of $40. with
4,sGT progressive votes taken from the re-
pubncans The republicans have not fixed
upon a candidate to oppose him yet. bu,
are counting on carrying the district.
Fight for Senator.
OF equal interest with the congressional
fight is the contest for United States sena-
tor and for governor. Senator Brandegee
will be renominated The progressives
may run Flavel Luther. president OF
Trinity College. for the senatorship
Gov. Simeon h. Baldwin is the leading
democratic candidate for the senatorship
although Representative Mahan is ex.