The state herald., 1914-08-07
EXPLANATION OF
EUROPEAN CRISIS
IS HARD TO FIND
Diplomats and Observers Unable
to Understand the Attitude
of Austria.
RECENTLY STRONG FOR PEACE
Count esrohtold, Only a Few Weeks
Ago, Bitterly Criticized the War
Party, and His Change Of
Front Has Not a. Yet
Been Explained.


Been Explained.
Confusion worse confounded" is the
one phrase that aptly characterizes the
war situation In Europe. The leading
newspapers and the most experienced
observers are unable to agree on any
explanation Of the crisis. And the rea-
son is not far to seek.
Only few weeks ago the foreign
minister of Austria, Count Berchtold,
was earnestly defending the pacific
and moderate policy he had been pur-
suing toward the Balkans and Russia
serehtoId for Peace.
In speech to the delegates at Buda-
pest he vigorously answered criticisms
OF spokesmen Of the war party. parti-
cularly Of delegate who was sup
posed to be expressing the sentiments
of the then heir presumptive, the late
Archduke Franz Ferdinand. Count
Berchtold spoke of the aged emperor's
sincere and resolute devotion to peace;
he gave arguments of his own. more
over. In support of policy of patience
and peace.
Feared Loss Of Prestige.
The frankness and directness Of that
speech impressed everybody except
those who feared that Austria might
be accused Of timidity and weakness.
might be misunderstood and In conse-
Quence might lose political and mill
tary prestige.
There were some among these who
thought. moreover. that Russia. whose
recuperative power was wonderful
whatever might be said Of its efficiency
and actual strength when pitted
against more civilized and free pow
sr-was getting too mighty and too
confident, and was enjoying too much
opportunity for rehabilitation and con-
solidation of its financial and military
naval resources.
These vaguely favored a bold and
aggressive policy even at the risk Of
war. which had better come sooner
than later. they held.
Sweden Takes Up Cry.
But Count Berchtold's view pre-
vailed for the moment and excellent
observers concluded that Austria. at
any rate. was not going to add to the
troubles. complications. and dangers of
Europe by tempting fortune.
Al that very moment Sweden was
excitedly discussing "the Russian
peril" and demanding new measures Of
defense. while a section Of the Ger
man press was pointing to the bear
that walks like a man" as the foe to
reckon with in the near future.
Yet the peace of Europe is broken
not by Russia. not by Balkan power
desirous Of revising the settlement
imposed by Roumania and the concert
OF Europe at the Bucharest conference,
but by Austria. and seemingly under
Count Berchtold's direction.
What has happened In the short In
tervai! II peace was necessary and
desirable to Austria-Hungary few
weeks ago. why is war inevitable to-
day.
To understand the situation II is es.
sentiai to distinguish between glitter
INK gtutiuiiiieb' Iuhcliut uhpiiutiohb'
literature, and rhetoric. on the one
hand. and hard. grim. concrete facts
on the other. II is essential to know
what the conflict is not II is not n
war between Teuton and Slav. II is
not n war between the Pan-German
world party and the Pan.Slav world
party. II Ia not war for tho preservn.
tion OF Hapsburg monarchy.
Move 10 Antl.Austrian.
The Pan-Germnn movement is anti.
Austrian and cannot fail to bo 80. The
success Of that movement would do.
stroy Austria M n political entity. The
Pnn.Gorman extremists have had TO be
rebuked and ropudiatod by rcsponsi.
Bile German statesmen. As allies OF
Austria they could not countenancc n
movement which assumed and iaborcd
for the disruption and disnppcaranco
Of Austria.
The Pan.siav movement In Russia Is
manifoatiy anti.Austrian. ms well M
anti-Gcrman. II dreams OF Slav rule
from the Adriatic sea TO tho Pacific
ocean" II dreams OF slav union or
confederation under tho gentle and
benevolent Sovereignty OF Runsin.
Cars Interest In servIa.
Pan.Siavism IN. however. In I'm.
ted sense. unmistaknbly In evidence In
Tho czar's profound interest In Scrvin
and Montenegro. The cars ministers
hava ofton biundsred in thu nalkana