The central record. (Lancaster, Ky.) 18??-current, 1914-07-23
CONGRESSMAN
STANLEY
SHOWS REMARKABLE
gain OVER BECKHAM
ACCORDING 70 STATISTICS GATHERED
By The Cincinnati Enquirer.


lead over both Stanley and
in the race for the nominal
ton for the U. S. Senate. SUNDAYS
Enquirer contained a report from the
same identical territory, prepared by
the same man, Thomas w. Cromwell,
the Enqulrers Lexington correspondent,
and conceded to be one of the best
posted and most versatile political
writers in the country, which shows
Stanley to be but a meager 1000 votes
behind Beckham. and gaining ground
rapidly.
To ascertain as accurately as possible
the true status of the various candidat-
es in the state, the following cards
were mailed to the sheriffs and editors
in each of Kenutcky's 12O counties;
"Will you, after comforting with sew
eral well-posted Democrats i'll your
county, and without regard to your
own personal preferences. fill out the
accompanying card and mail it to me
not later than Saturday, july 1872"
The return post card called for an es-
innate of the total Democratic vote to
be cast at the primary election, which
is to be held two weeks from today
Saturday. August Land for the pro-
bable division of that vote to Governor
James B. McCreary, former Governor
J. C. w. Beckham and Congressman
A. o. Stanley, the three candidates for
the Democratic long-term nomination
for United States Senator
At this writing returns have been re-
celved from 60 counties, but in check
ing the estimates against the popular
vote for President in 1912 and for Gov
ernor in 1911, it was found that four
newspaper men had put down figures
so much in excess of the normal Demo-
cratic vote that their cards from Bell
Bourbon, Grant and Martin counties
were put aside and not considered.
The reports from the other SO coun-
ties Zone less than half the number in
the state) contain estimates at or be-
low the normal Democratic vote and
they appear to bear out the claim of
Stanley and his headquarters men and
henchmen In various parts of the state
that during the past 80 days the Second
District Congressman has been making
heavy gains.
They further produce the impression
that the race is much closer than for
mer Governor Beckham, General Percy
Haley, Assistant State Treasurer Bob
Phillips and others of the Bardstown
mans camp believe it to be and decid-
eddy closer than the writer's advice and
canvass of three and six months ago
indicated.
The returns likewise appear to make
it certain that Governor McCreary will
be poor third in the race, as was
indicated in the December canvass.
The totals for the SO counties give
Beckham 80, 1926, Stanley 34,515 and
McCreary 13,4SO. These figures came
from 40 Sheriffs and 10 editors. The
counties reported by Sheriffs are Bal
lard. Graves and Lyon, in the First
Congressional District: Daviess, Hen
uerson. Hopkins, Mclean and Union
il the Second Congressional District;
Barren, EGmonson and Muhlenberg, in
the Third Congressional District; Hat-
din, Hart, Nelson and Washington, in
the fourth Congressional District, Car
roll, Gallatin and Trimbie, in the sixth
Congressional District; Henry Oldham
and Woodford. in the seventh Congress
sional district: Casey Jessamine, Madi-
son and Mercer, in the eighth Congress
sional District; Boyd, Carter, Elliott,
Fleming, Harrison, Lawrence, Mason,
Montgomery and Wolfe. in the Ninth
Congressional District; Floyd, in the
tenth Congressional district, and Har-
Ian, Rockcastle, Russell, Wayne and
Whitley, in the eleventh Congressional
District.
The returns from editors included in
the count came from Galloway, in the
First Congressional District; Simpson
and Warren in the third District, Larue
Marion and Ohio in the fourth District:
Clark and Powell in the Seventh Dis
trict; Breathitt, Elliott, Lewis, Morgan
Nicholas and Rowan in the Ninth Dis
trict; Magoffin in the tenth District
ard Clifton, Harlan, Monroe and Way
ne in the Eleventh District.
The aggregate of the estimates is
SO, 920-a bit high, possibly, when it is
remembered that the talk of the leaders
has been that light vote will be cast
in the majority of the counties-of which
Beckham is accorded approximately 49
per cent. Stanley little better thar Al
per cent, and McCreary trife under
16 per cent.
Now, if the returns to come from the
other Sheriffs and editors, which in
clude the larger counties of jefferson,
Kenton, Fayette and Campbell, prove
to be in keeping with those herein con-
sidered, and if the estimators have a
reasonably fair line on the probabilities
in their respective counties, it would
indicate surprises are in store for
several somebodies two weeks hence "
Gen. Haley and Gov. Beckham's 9TH
er close friends, managers and advisers
are maintaining their attitude of self
confidence and their utterances contln-