The Washington times., 1914-11-01
EIGHT TO TEN MAJORITY IN SENATE.

EIGHT TO TEN MA
That the Senate also will be con-
| trolled by the Democrats during the
remainder of the Wilson Administration
is also indicated, the majority Of the
now dominant party being estimated at
eight to ten.
While prediction forecasts are en-
barrassed this year by the bitterness of
local issues. which minimize national
questions in a number of States, fairly
accurate advance returns promise a
House standing about as follows:
Democrats. 81: Republicans, 1874: Pro
gressives, 10. Total, 435.
New England and the middle West
are expected to furnish the principal
Republicans gains, and poor business is
the leverage the Republicans depend
upon to restore them to near power.
Three months ago the Republicans
were in a fair way to carry the House
by very small majority. Then came
the European war, with the practical
settlement of our Mexican difficulties.
The great war abroad diverted atten-
ton from lesser domestic troubles, and,
Wilson as a peace maker took Its as
cendancy The Democrats were quick
to seize upon War in the east, peace
in the West" and Stick by Wilson.
Will Cut Democratic Strength.
This argument undoubtedly has had
psychological effect, and the personal
popularity of the President is now de-
pended upon to offset to a great extent
whatever dissatisfaction may exist re-
garding domestic affairs, such as the
tariff, currency, and war revenue"
taxation.
That many a Democratic candidate
will be carried to victory, not because
Of his own record or popularity, but
because the voters believe they are cast
ing a ballot indirectly for the Presi-
dent, seems assured.
Despite the influence of the President,
however, q forecast shows the Repub-
licans are destined to make big inroads
upon Democratic strength. There are
Re publicans who secretly believe II is
letter for the party not to control the
next House. With an eye to complete
control in 1916, 1t might embarrass the
chief minority party to get control OF
the House at this time. Two years
hence the Democrats would argue that
we didn't nave a fair chance for four
years; you tied our hands.
A Democratic President and Senate
and Republican House would also COM
rlicate legislation to such an extent that
chaos would exist-with Progressives
AZ insurgent Democrats as disturbing
clements-and the 1916 campaign would
be a muddled and unsatisfactory affair,
minus the clear-cut Issues certain to
arise IL the Democrats have their own
way for two more years.
Probable Results.
Aside from the politics Of the present
situation, the prospective practical re-
cults of the elections next Tuesday are
as follows:
Uncle Joe" Cannon, former Speaker;
William B. Mckinley. former Taft
campaign manager. and Mick Long
worth, son-in-law Of Colonel Roosevelt,
are likely to be returned to the House.
They are the more conspicuous men,
bers Of the Republican "want-to-come-
back club, and have more than an
even chance to win.
Ebenezer Hill, Of Connecticut, one Of
the Republican old guard. who was de-
eeated by Jerry" Donovan two years
ago. is a candidate for reelection, with
chances in his favor.
Uncle Sy' Sulloway. who served for
many years in the House. and was its
tallest member. is scheduled 10 come
back from New Hampshire The Re-
publicans also expect to carry the Sec
on6 New Hampshire, district, thus re-
storing that State to their column
In Massachusetts the Republicans are
scheduled to make a gain of at least
two members. retaining the eight that
State now sends. Congressman Deit-
rick, Democrat, of the Eighth district,
is likely to lose out and so Is Congress
man Thatcher. Democrat, of the Six
teenth. The Republicans also have a
good show in the Fourteenth District.
where the Democratic candidate IS
Richard Olney. ID
Republican Gains.
A Republican gain of one in Rhode
Island ard one in Delaware is indicated.
Vermont will remain in the Republican
column and the Republicans have al
ready held their own in the Maine cleo
tons, held in September
OF the, five Democratic Congressman
now representing Connecticut but one
is expected to return. Reilly Is thought
to be on easy street, but the remaining
four Democrats are said to be on the
run in this great manufacturing State.
Incidentally. all Connecticut members
now in the House have Irish names
there's Reilly. Donovan, Mahan, Loner-
gan and Kennedy.
a Republican gain of not less than
State of Pennsylvania The Republicans
expect to elect the four congressman
at-large and to beat out Democrats IN
several other districts. The delegation
now stands Democrats II, Republicans
IS Progressives s. The Progressives
may lose Walters. Lewis and Rupley
in the shake-up.
Jumping to Ohio. where prohibition
overshadows national issues. the Re-
publicans,' who now have only three
seats from that State have a chance to
pick up from four to six additional AS
stated. "Nick'' Longwarth is slated to
come back. The Republicans have good
prospects of defeating Congressman
Key. Brumbaugh, and Gordon, with
chances in the Eighteenth and Nine
teenth and Twenty-second Districts.
The G. o. p. probably will gain two
in Indiana. defeating Congressman Leib
and Peterson. Democrats.
Iowa now sends eight Republicans and
three Democrats to the House The only
district regarded as safely Democratic
this election is the Second, forecasting a
minority gain of two.
Missouri will show little change. The
Republicans will return a minister in
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