The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1914-11-08


do in regard to our Monroe Doctrine
and To- South American trade. The thing
that Is possible is the thing that We must
take into consideration.
so. considering what IL possible, say
that the winner Of this war viii be In
a position to cut on our trade with South
America. trade whose possibilities We
are Just beginning to realize.
Bett-r Chance with England.
Either England or Germany. which
ever wins the war. can do this hut Eng
land. which already controls the ocean.
and which could have stopped our South
American trade In the past, has not done
So, affording a presumption that she VIII
not do 50 In the future. In the case OF
Germany there is no past experience on
which TO base "A presumption, and We would
have TO find out after Germany gained
control of the sea where We stood
THAT is why | say that 30 far as South
America Is concerned II would be TO The
interest Of this country that England and
her allies should win the war.
at would not be necessary for any ono
20 take away our control Of our own
sea coast and the Gulf OF Mexico, for the
reason that We do not control them now
"Now. whichever Power wins Will be
canahle of coming to tho Western Hem-
sphere and doing what 1t likes. As !
said before, II Is not question OF In
tentlon. but OF possibility
'"rhe United states enjoys It's presen
access to south America not by virtue of
it's own navy or merchant marine, but
by n friendly understanding with Eng
land The Panama Canal was built with
I,ngland's concentrated, England was
60 willing to let us do il that she actually
cancelled treaties 10 remove obstacles
from our way. We took cuba ana Porto
Rico and stiu hold Porto Rico by Eng
lands consent England does not wish 10
interfere with us
.IVhat Germany would do II she gained
central Of the sea nobody can say, but
IL ia certain that II she wished 10 take
panama and South America too we
couldn't keep her from doing H.
Nh Danger of Invasion.
81 don't think Germany would of
,u,o,v to interfere with Canada Ih'
,,,,,,,,e to the United States would be tot
direct. No direct invasion OF the Cn ,','
S,o,es by any European Power is likely
I.ven II Germany dominated Europe sh'
could not spare enough men Tor an IN
,,o slon OF the United States without FISK
Ing annihilation in Europe .,..
"R,t south America would be merely
,,atter for the fieet--not TO conquer bu
/ to keep MS out -
germany has two-fifths u South Amer
Ica's trade, or had before the war began
and the Germans get on so well In Souti
America that We would be- likely 10 se
no assistance from South Americans whC
suspect us, on account OF the Monroe Doc
trine, Of wishing to conquer them Soutf
| America, in fact, might prefer to have
| commercial relations with country
which il did not consider likely to con
auer II politically
| "If England ls conquered and loses Ia
merchant marine--for the conquere
would have the power to take every shil
away from the conquered nation-th'
| United states could then trade only viii
| countries to which German ships woul'
carry our goods. We are now largely de
nendent on England AS carrier but az
have stated. we have a friendly under
standing with England. Our people hav'
become so used to that understanding an'
the condition which exists under II tina
/ th.y hardly realize that they could In
nerfectly peaceful way be deprived o
access 10 the worlds markets But tina
yert thing Is possible"