Evening star., 1914-08-09
BELIEVES GERMANY
Il IS CERTAIN TO WIN
University Professor Gives
Reasons for Confidence in
Il Kaiser's Dominion.
HAS GREAT ADVANTAGE
AS AGGRESSIVE POWER
Better Prepared for War Than Is
ANY Other Nation in Eu-
.... rope, He Says.

That Germany will ride triumphantly
through the war-debaclc that is now
wreckin9 all Europe is the opinion of a
prominent university professor of his
tory. He bases his belief on these
grounds:
Confidence of Germany that its terri
tory is invulnera BILE.
That it holds the strategic KEYS which
win enable it to open the doors of con-
quest in France and Russia.
That its position makes it immune from
attack from Great Britain
That it is vastly superior to its oppo-
nents in military strength and prepared
ness.
That it is economically self supporting
That both the government and the
populace are better prepared financially
for war than almost any other nation in
Europe.
The utmost self-confidencs
View of Prof. Usher.
These reasons are set forth by Prof
Roland G. Usher. professor of history in
Washington University. ST. Louis. in the
volume entitled ''Pan-Ger,nanism.' pub
hshed by Houghton- -Miffiin Company,
Boston.
germany central position he believes
would be weak for a nation comDeiIed tn
defend itself but possesses enorrnous
advantages for power which PURPOSES
10 take the aggressive. lie SAYS
She can attack either France or Rus
sia with equal ease. Her arrny is equally
IeduS 70 defend her against both at the
same Tune, thus afforuing her the ma XII
mum opportunity for utilizing her main
army to advantage.
she holds the great strategic points
To-.
ooof to France: the kiel canal giving
ner access to the Baltic without expos-
NE heFself to the necessity of utilizing
lh' sum- Her allies hold the Swiss
passes and the vital points affordtnp mas
sage INTO Russia and the Balkans
Compact Territorial Unit.
Everyth vital to Gerrnanv-;pdoaa
everything she ownS-for1ns a copn.ct
territorial unit. which can be defepded
with the minimum force and tho max;
mum ease. She has no long chain of
horts or Islands to guard no great
stretches of land in Africa or Asia IN nro-
tect no subject races to pacify like tho
Hindus Moroccans
Frof. Usher says that Rritain.s e..,
couio not attack GERMANY and that
"iie u could stop German shippinr II
cou,a % not thus cripple the nation.
ne says, looks with rreaf-
est pride on her economic strength She
ieeis that she occupies in the econorn;c
"orio a truly extraordinary position as
Une Oh, OF the few nations who are still
- any sei-sui1clent who can still feed
ana ciothe themselves
agriculture has reached a state If |
nlgh perfection i'll Germany: manufac-
lures have undoubtedly made great
prosress Indeed. her great economic ef-
hclency is clear from her success in com
petition with other nations i'm every Aid
OF INDUSTRY: she has beaten them in their
own markets.
German's economic efficiency rests
on Its possession within its own borders
of fairly adequate supply of most raw
materials. and especially most of those
materials most necessary for an army
ana a fleet, not excepting the most es-
sential OF all-food and iron"
According to Prof. Usher the German
people bear the cost of armament much |
more easily than do the French and
British. The German revenue per CAPITA
ne says. IS $40. while Englands is SIS
ana Frances so. proving that the Ger
mans have borne with ease the cost of |
unparalleled naval and military expan- |
sion.
Comparison of Public Debts.
1T is. however. when Germany looks
at her public debt" he continues. land
compares it with that of her rivals, that
she feels most confident of the outcome
OF war Her public debt per capita is
something over SO. while England owes
$50 per individual and France carries
the enormous burden of $50 per person
Germany, therefore. not only has more
people and more acres. but has been able
to accomplish vastly more with the i'm
position of much smaller burdens upon
her population"
After comparison of the standing
army of Germany with those of France
and England in a forecast of war, in
which Prof. Usher has not included
Russia as an enemy of Germany, he
says:
when Germany adds her reserve
army, nearly equal in size and eff
cheney to her standing army, she won