Newark evening star and Newark advertiser. [volume] (Newark, N.J.) 1909-1916, 1914-06-22
ELECTION WILL Be
TEST FOR WILSON
Popularity of Present Admins
tration to Reveal Itself at
November Polls.
THIRTY-TWo SENATORS
ARE TO BE ELECTED
Republican Chairman HiIIes Is
Confident His Party Will Get
Control in House.

than a year and half of trial. While
most of the political guessing and
forecasting already done has confined
itself to the election of the next House
of Representatives, there are other
important and equally significant is
sues at stake, involving party SUI
premacy in nearly every state
In addition to an entire House of
Representatives, the voters of the
United States will choose thirty-two
senators and twenty-one governors.
In voting for senator's the policies OF
the Wilson administration Will be just
as squarely on trial as in voting for
representatives, while there is not the
least doubt that the result in most of
the goVernorship contests Will be al
fected very largely by the attitude or
citizens toward Democratic custody
of the national government
Thirty-two senators constitute ex-
actly one-third of the upper house or
Congress. while nearly two-thirds OF
the States are choosing governors.
Twenty-one States are choosing both
senators and governors. Thus it viii
be a big political year, and not Win
out the element of uncertainty Whlch
makes every nationwide battle or
ballots of such extraordinary interest.
G. o. p. Think They Can Get Control.
Concerning the House of Represen-
tatives, the Republicans at this stage
are confident that they can Wrest con-
troll from the Democrats, While the
latter have grave doubts as to the re-
suit and are by no means optlmlstlc.
In the Senate, 1t does not appear that
there is any chance for the Repuoh-
cans TO overturn the present DEM
ocratic majority, and they do not eX-
pect to do so.
The chances favor a gain OF rev
seats for the Democrats, unless the
party turns out to be in worse state
.than its leaders now believe. IN any
ey,snt. ii seems likely that the Demo-
Gratis 4will not do worse than hold
their pr esent majority. AS to the
governorships that will be decideo,
there Is an excellent outlook for
Republican gain. The Democrats are
willing to concede that they are likely
to lose control of several State gov
ernmentS.
OF the thirty-two senators whose
terms expire with the present Con-
aress. seventeen are Republicans and
fifteen Democrats. Among the men
who VIII succeed them, the Repuo-
licans cannot now figure with any de-
gree of assurance more than SIN
teen. Eleven are conceded TO the
Democrats, while 1te are carried IN
the doubtful column, but with the
odds favoring the Democrats in all
cases. The Republicans feel pretty
certain of retaining all their senator's,
with the exception of those from
Kentucky, Kansas and California.
Senator Bradley, of Kentucky ded
recently, and at the general election
next fall successor will be chosen to
fill the remainder of his term, while
senator for the full siX-year term
beginning March 4, 1915, will also be
elected.
Democratic Senators Are strong.
Where Democratic senators already
exist there is no hope of turning them
out because most of the States IN
volved are rock-ribbed in their
allegiance to Democracy. Thus there
will be Democratic senators from Ar
kansas, Florida. Oklahoma, North
Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia,
Arizona, Missouri, Louisiana and
Alabama, beyond any doubt. On the
other hand, there are almost certain
to be Republicans succeeding Repub-
licans in Idaho, Connecticut South
Dakota. Vermont. New Hampshire,
North Dakota, washington, Utah and
Wisconsin.
Republicans believe, they have a
chance to win Oregon, Indiana and
Maryland, where Democratic senators
now hold seats, while they assert
with great confidence that they will
retain Iowa, Ohio and Illinois in the
Republican column, But even on this
showing they cannot capture control
of the Senate in the Sixty-fourth Con-
gress, where the Democrats now hold
a clear majority of eight.
In the case of the governorship
fights, the situation is considerably
different, because not so many rock
ribbed Democratic States are in
volved, while there are many which
will beyond question occupy their
usual places in the Republican col
umn. OF the twentyAnine governors
whose terms are expiring and whose
successors will be elected in Novem-
Der, sixteen are Democrats, eleven
Republicans, and two Progressives,
The Republicans have considerable
foundation for their claim that they
will elect at least seventeen gov
errors with the chance of a few more.
They allow none to the Progressives,
while they put down seven as surely
Democratic and carry five as doubt
I ftil.
Where Republican Hopes Lie.
In the following States, which at
the present time have Democratic
that they will win next November:
Michigan, Kansas, New Hampshire,
New York, Ohio, Oregon and Connec-
ticut They would claim Massachu-
sets If it were not for the poor show
ing they made last fall and the con-
tinued strength of the Progressive or
ganization in that State. They be-
leve they have a fighting chance for
the governorships now held by Demo-
Gratis in Colorado. and Nebraska. In
Wyoming the present governor is a
Progressive and the Republicans ex-
pet to elect q successor to him. In
California Governor Hiram Johnson
is a Progressive and is candidate for
reelection In three-corne fight
the result in this State will be doubt
full.
The Democrats can rely upon Dem
ocratic governors in Alabama, Ari-
IONA, Arkansas, Oklahoma, South
Carolina and Texas, beyond all ques-
tion, while they expect to win Colo
RADIO, Kansas, Massachusetts, Me-
braska and Tennessee. In the latter
state there has been Republican
governor for two terms. due to the
fart that Democrats have been split
INTO two bitter factions There is
hope this year that Tennessee viii fall
where it normally belongs, into the
Democratic column
Hilles Claims Next House.
Republican National Chairman
Charles ID. Hilles has given out a
statement of the Irrespective gains of
the Republican party in the election
this year, and predicts that the next
Congress will be Republican, Mr..
Hilles says in part:
ut will take 21S votes to control the
next House of Representatives at
washington The Republicans now
figure that they will have that num-