El Paso herald. (El Paso, Tex.) 1901-1931, 1914-09-12
.RUIN0F EUROPE
FOLLOWING WAR
NOT PROBABLE
Prof. Pantaleoni, an Italian
Economist, ControVerts
Claims to Contrary.
LOSER MUST BEAR
GREATEST BURDEN
BY G. CIANFARRA.

the present conflagration is ihe
worst blow that could be struck 10 our
/ civilization. that ultimately 1t VIII
/ benefit only America and might invite
Asiatic incursions into Europe ProI-
! AIaffeo Pantaleoni. teacher of econo-
mics at the local university, takes eX-
ception to almost every one Of Prof
! Luzzattis contentious, saying that ar
| ter ALL the financial ruin Of Europe Is
| far from probable. and that the result
, will not be as catastrophe as pre-
! dicted
Just now" Prof Pantaleoni SAID 70
! day, "eXaggeratiOns are very 4re4ueLt
and some writer's have gone as TAR as
1 to predict the ruin Of Europe IoE man q
! century. I don't believe that FIRST OF
all must say that careful STUDY o5
the data regarding the finance anu
mobilization Of the Russo-J a l'e5II.5se
war, the FrancO-Prussian war ana me
recent Balkan cOnflagration SHOWS llal
there is a tremendous difference pc
tween the number Of troops as gwen
in the papers and those which VIII De
engaged in actual warfare rake 'oI
instance the war Of 1870 Germany mao
then $4,000 men operating in France
and 250, 900 reserves Military opera
I tiOns extended over an area OF -uJ'uuU
square kilometers, lasting nine months
and nine days and yet Germany spent
only 10,000.000-
Nine tenths Of the cost Of a modern
war has already been made when vas
is declared and the actual expenses in
clude the cost of mobilization OF lhe
army and its transportation TO the war
zone and the cost OF new weapons
Cost of Mobilization.
The cost of mobilization is in direct
ratio to the number Of troops under
the colOrs in time Of peace The smaller
the standing army the mgner the cost
of mObiliZa ton The rest Of the cost OF
war, comprising arms. ammuniuons,
Notifications and victuals are not 70 be
considered as part Of the finance OF
war as it has already been charged TO
the military budget year by year
To the cost Of war We must add the
price paid for horses. clothing ana I'M
plements of all sorts but only in pro-
portion that il exceeds what is required
in time of peace. Naturally, IN the
finance Of a war do not include the
loss caused to the national economy
through the suspension Of commerce
and stagnatiOn in the industrial pro-
duction-
The minimum cost Of war IS figured
at $40 a day per man, the highest al
$40 The maximum cost Of the Franco
Prussian war in 1870 was $3.50 day
per man If the total cost is figured
only for the $4,000 men representing
was SOLO per day. The cost OF $40
per day is the highest given by military
experts OF course, colonial wars are
immensely more expensive
How Much VIII War Cost
Now. how much will the present war
cost First OF all let US see how many
men will there be engaged in it AprO-
pos Of this the most fantastic figures
have been circulated, but facts viii ultl-
mately prove that Germany will not put
on the field more than 100000 men,
Russia. 100000 Austria, 100000
France, 1000, 600, and England, 500. 900.
4 firsaly believe that altogether there
will not be more than 100000 Of men
al told and the English reserves consid-
cred These armies will TauuIra a daily
expenditure of some 100000 francs at
the rate Of $40 per day for each man
Nobody will say that this money is hard
TO obtain Every year Europe invests In
new commercial and industrial enter
prises between u and Is billions %
francs and consequently the cost Of the
present war, owing 10 the reeuperaung
power Of modern society. will be fully
paid in 10 years
Loser Pays the "BnI.v
The great bulk Of the expense Of a
war comes before the war. and after
the war for the nation that loses.
France paid in 1870 6,O00,O00,O00 OF
francs to Germany and spent herself
some 5000. 600. 900. The rule is that The
nation that loses pays everything. hers
and her adversary's expenses Of before
and after the war. This Is why economy
in military preparation in time Of peace
is the worst policy
As to the loss of human life in a war
like the present. Prof PantaleOni. main
tains that the idea that war is today
b4puuAtE Lld4 IN the past - dDSDAALG4g
unfOunded, saying
Statistics show that during the
FrancO-Prussian war every soldier fired
his rifle sc times and that TO wound
a man some 400 shots were required.
The number Of dead is practically one
fourth of the number. Of wounded. In
order to obtain the average number OF
wounded in any engagement multiply
by three or at the utmost four the mum
Der Of dead. The loss Of officers. how
ever. is always larger FOR obvious rea-
sons. The perfection Of arms affects
the length OF wars but has no bearing
what ever on the bloody aspects of en-
gagements. The loss of life depends
chiefly on the courage, ability and re-
sistance Of the troops themselves. The
question is how many men an army
corp is capable Of losing before IL takes
to its heels. The longer this power Of
resistance, the blOodier the engage
ment-"
War to Insure Peace.
Prof PantaleOni concluded by saving
that the present war is a minor evil /
when compared to the billions France I
and Russia would have spent in new
ornaments and in perfecting their mill
tary organization had the present con-
trOversy been amicably settled for the /
present Russia was preparing for war
in 1916 and in view Of this was spend
ing some $500, 0O0, 900 in military and
strategic railways. After this war Eu- |
rope viii enjoy a long period Of peace.