The Caucasian. (Shreveport, La.) 1900-192?, 1913-02-02
FOSTERS BULLETIN
FORECAST OF STORMS TO CROSS
THE CONTINENT
In A GENERAL WAY
February Temperature Much Lower
Last Half Than First Half-One OF
Most Severe Storm Periods OF the
Winter From February 1S to Is.

copyrighted 1913 by w. L. Fosterl
Washington, ID. c., Feb. Last
bulletin gave forecasts of disturb
ances to cross the continent Jan. so
to Feb. 3 and Feb. to 8. Warm
waves Jan. 20 to Feb. 2, and Feb. 3 to
7. Cool waves Feb. to 5 and to 10.
This last mentioned will be preced-
ed by a cold wave and accompanied
by very high temperatures and all
weather features accompanying the
latter storm will be of greater than
the average storm forces. Some pre-
cipitation with northern SHOWS as
the storm approaches, turning to-
rain as the warm wave comes in.
Next disturbance will reach Pa
cific coast about Feb. 8, cross Pa
cIfic slope by close of 9, great GEN.
trail valleys 10 to IL, eastern sections
i3. Warm wave will cross the Pa
Cliic slope about Feb 8, great cen
trail valleys 10, eastern sections II.
Cool wave will cross Pacific slope
about Feb. II, great central valleys
l3, eastern sections 10. This will be
a moderate storm and viii not ma
terially Interfere with outdoors af-
fairs, particularly west Of the Ale
ghenies. As it approaches the At
lantic this storm will increase in
force and out on the Atlantic will
be of greater than average force
II a general way February tenn
peratures will be much lower last
part of month than first part. From
Near Feb. 6 to 25 a great fall in
temperatures will occur. One of the
most severe storm periods of the
winter will be from Feb. 18 to %.
Much property and many lives
will be saved by needing the warm
ing of these bulletins during 1913.
We have completed our system of
forecasting precipitation and tenn
peratures and only need little
more experience in order to furnish
the public better forecasts than the
people have ever expected. Our eff
forts will now be devoted principal
ly to dangerous storms as they are
next in Importance to crop weather.
We know the cause of dangerous
storms and can make IS per cent
good in forecasting their dates, but
we are not yet able to locate them.
Their locations can be accomplished
and we propose to succeed in that
line as we have in locating temper
atures and precipitation.
The most dangerous storms of the
year will come in July and we hope
to locate these storms. Nearly every
month of 1913 will have dangerous
storms, and we have already sue
ceeded in forecasting the time of
those that occurred early in Janu-
ary. We place February % as the
central day of the dangerous storms
of that month with the probabilities
laFollHS q ICW udyS ldtCI. mdICu 10
will be another central day.
Although we may not always give
the correct dates and not one in a
hundred dangerous storms will
reach your locality, It will finally
pay to arrange your affairs so as to
be prepared for all the dates of
these great and dangerous storms
The year 1913 will be noted for them
and great destruction of life and
property during January should
warn every one.
There are some indications that
the principal precipitation and Sc
we're storms of February will be
west of the Rocky ridge. much of
them far out on the north Pacific,
in Alaska and eastern Asia. Butt
these indications have not been
fully worked out.
II the theory upon which these
indications are based proves correct
we may expect February to be
colder east Of meridian 90 than west
of it, that northeastern sections of
the States and eastern Canada will
set heavy precipitation, severe win
ter storms and that much Of the
precipitation will be snow. This
theory says that out on the Pacific
will occur the principal storms and
rains and that 180 degrees east will
occur severe storms and SHOWS. Our
calculations. also call for more than
usual precipitation in February
within $50 miles of Kansas City.