East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1913-09-20
THE1913CROP
From the Department OF AgIf-
culture Farmers Bulle-
tin No. 55S.

ate estimate of the final outturn
whether above or below average. on
September of this year the compos-
ite condition of all crops was l0.1 per
cent below the average of the 10
years 1903-1912, and Indicates small
er yields per acre than in any one of
these 10 years. The month of Au-
gust was unusually unfavorable. for
conditions on August / were only 61
per cent below the average level. Com
pared with year ago prospects are
now about 1872 per cent poorer. Last
year crop prospects improved stead
lily as the season advanced, final out
turn being the largest on record; this
year, on the other hand. from the be-
ginning of the season to September l,
prospects have tended downward as
the season has advanced.
The aggregate acreage of all crops
does not usually vary much from one
year TO another. This year the aggre-
gate is about l per cent more than
last year (the increase being due to a
smaller amount of winterkilling of
wheat this year, and about one-halt
of l per cent more than the acreage
in crops two years ago.
Coincident with the decline in crop
prospects during the past month.
prices for staple crops made an un-
usual increase. Usually the average
OF prices received by producers foI
crops decreases during August the
average decrease in the past five
years being 4. per cent; but during
the past month the average level In
creased 81 per cent. In August of
1912 the price level decreased about
! per cent. The price level on Sep
tember / was 0.9 per cent lower than
year ago. 3.S per cent lower than
two years ago, and 0.3 per cent high
er than the average September
prices of staple crops of the past five
years, Prices of meat animals de-
creased slightly from July Is to Au-
gust Is (0.7 per cent? compared with
an increase of 3.6 per cent in like
month of last year and an increase of
g per cent two years ago. The level
however. is still unusually high, the
index price of meat animals on Au-
gust Is being 9.S per cent higher than
on August Is last year, 22.7 per cenr
higher than two years ago, and per
cent higher than three years ago.
Spring Wheat.
The information gathered by the
bureau indicated a condition of 1858
at horyact tima aS oOainct on @ in
1912 and 76.9 for a 10-year average.
This justifies a forecast of 13 bushels
per acre, compared with 17.2 bushels
in 1912 and an average yield of 13 3
bushels for the years 1908 to 1912;
and total production on the planted
area of 1868, 900 acres previously es-
timated, which is per cent less than
the estimated area in 1912, of 243.-
900 900 bushels, as against 100000
900 bushels in 1912 and 191, 900, 900
busels in 1911. This is an increase of
4.3 per cent over the production fore
cast for last month. which is princi-
pally due to more favorable condl-
tons in North Dakota and Minnesota
Winter Wheat.
The winter wheat crop of 1913, ac-
cording to the information gathered
by the bureau on August 1, is esti-
mated to be $1,000, 900 bushels which
would be the largest ever grown in
the United States. This figure is bas-
ed upon an acreage of 30,93S, 600,
which Is 1914 per cent greater than
the acreage of the 1912 crop and the
largest of any year except 1903, and a
yield of 165 bushels per acre, which
is higher than either the 1912 yield
1872 for the years 1908 to 1912 and
Is exceeded only by the record yield
Of 1877 bushels per acre in 1906.
All Wheat.
Combining the estimated winter
wheat crop of 511,000,0OO bushels
with the forecasted spring wheat crop
of 243,000,O00 bushels gives a
total estimated crop of 1874
100000 bushels, which would
be the largest wheat crop ever pro-
duced in the United States following
the crop of 73O,000,0O0 bushels in
1912, which was one of the country's
three largest crops of record, and
621. 900. 900 in 1911. This bumper
crop was grown upon 49,601, 900 acres,
which exceeds the 1912 acreage by S.3
per cent, and is the largest acreage OF
wheat ever harvested in this country,
with the exception of that of 1901,
which exceeded it by 295 900 acres
The indicated yield is 1872 bushels per
acre, which falls below the 1873 yield
of 1912. but is above the 14.5 aver
age for the years 1908 to 1912.
This favorable showing results
principally from the fine outturn of
the winter wheat crop, which had
been made before the advent of the
present drought in its main centers OF
production. The Improvement of Ia
per cent over last months forecast Is
due mainly to improved spring wheat
conditions in North Dakota and Min
nesota.
The average price paid producers
September / was III cents, compar-
ed with III cents on August /, S5.s
cents at the same date in 1912, and a
five year average of 90.1 cents
The international Institute Of Agri-
culture at Rome. Italy, cables under
date of August 90 an estimated pro-
duction OF 1854, 100000 bushels of
wheat in the following countries,
which Is 3.9 per cent more than was
produced in the same countries last
year: Belgium, Bulgaria, Denmark,