New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1913-01-15
RESUMPTION Of WAR
HANGS ON A THREAD
Winter Campaign in Balkans
Seems Observation-Disclosures
will Increase Demands.
TALK NOW OF INDEMNITY
# Tchataldja Is Successfully
stormed Turkish Frontier
Will Be Western Gate of
Constantinople.


rondon Jan. 15.-Unless unforeseen
,,crts should change the current Of
-o,.;re the war in the Near East will
~ resumed within week and Europe
IN uitncss the horrors of winter
campaign
rho allies have firmly made up their
,,inds 10 take up arms second time.
,rbe Turks last week were threatening
:, ioave London and let matters take
whatever course they might Now the
p.Iksn delegates are convinced that
tho Turks are merely drifting, without
a fixed policy, and they have decided
,c end the seemingly fruitless debates
and wire pulling, and begin the battles
anew where they left off more than d
month ago.
After their second resort 10 arms, the
Balkan delegates assert, their peace
terms will he different from those which
Turkey is now rejecting They declare
that Bulgaria will not be satisfied with
frontier line from Rodosto to Midia,
but will draw it just before the gates
Of Constantinople, and they suggest a
war indemnity of 32OO.00ooto or more.
KiariI May Resign.
The diplomats consider the outlook
for Turkey as Of the gloomiest charsc-
TER. Kiamil Pacha's resignation as
Grand Vizier may be the next develop
ment. That would be likely TO be fol-
lowed by anarchy. The country al
ready is hard pressed for money and
the condition and spirit of the army
arc matters OF doubt.
The funds in the Ottoman treasury
are insufficient 10 meet the coupon or
the Turkish per cent loan Of 1896,
which was due yesterday, but the I'm
perial Ottoman Bank made arrange
merts to assure its payment The loan
amounted to s14,s76, 600 and the amount
eth outstanding as unredeemed is
s1S.276.o0O.
The financial pressure on the Turkish
government is so great at the present
moment that the suspension Of the pay
ment Of the salaries of officials for two
months is under consideration.
Council Not Convened.
The ottoman government failed 10
convene the Grand Council yesterday
and apparently has no intention OF
meeting the allies Ultimatun on Adri-
anople. The allies do not believe in
the efficacy of the note which the pow
ers will present at Constantiaople, be-
cause il is couched in terms 100 mild,
simply advising Turkey to submit to
the fate Of war and abandon Adri-
apople for fear of complications in
other parts of the empire at Z time
when Turkey could not find moral or
financial support in Europe.
The Turkish government knows hat
this means nothing, because il is aware
that the powers will be unable to agtee
on any coercive measures. Thus the
presentation by the powers OF the note
II is pointed out, might mean simply
the opening Of a new chapter in the al
ready wearisome diplomatic parleyings
and the shifting Of the debate from one
between the belligerents TO one be-
tween Turkey and the powers.
Money Drain Heavy.
The Balkan kingdoms, moreover. are
anxious 10 obtain relief from the heavy
burdens Of keeping their armies on
war footing indefinitely. Wishing,
however. 10 observe all the diplomatic
courtesies, they have given the powers
a reasonable time to frame the note
and present it TO Turkey But this
once done, II Turkey. as is probable,
fails 10 yield, they are determined TO
act. Their governments have agreed TO
call another sitting of the conference
through Sir Edward Grey or Rechad
Pacha, who. according to the rotation
followed. would be the next presiding
officer. They will then simply an
nounce their decision definitely to break
the negotiations, and also thank Eng
land for the hospitality extended and
the conditions of fair play under which
the discussions occurred.
Immediately afterward Sofia, Bel
grade and Cettinje will denounce tho
armistice, and the Servian. Bulgarian
and Montenegrin commanders will no.
tify the Turkish headquarters that hos
tiHties will be resumed within ninety
six hours.
Allies Predict Events.
The allies say that it is easy 10 pre-
dict the course Of events. After they
have stormed Tchataldja, they proph-
esy. Turkey will be ready TO cede
Adranople. just as after the Italians
landed in Tripoli she offered to make
concessions which previously she had
strenuously refused. and just as after
the victories Of the Balkan States she
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