The Washington herald., 1912-11-03

there are not many who anticipate th.
the election. win 6nally devolve upo
the Senate.
There are still some Republican
who believe that President Taft vii
be elected. and although with them tn
wish is father to the thought, they ar
able to give some substantial reason
for the faith that is in them. The,
state that President Taft. in the fifs
place will get large number of Dem
ocratie votes. This is undoubtedl,
true. There are many business men
workingmen. and farmers who do mo-
want change in the present prosper.
Gus conditions and who fear the men.
ace of free trade Democratic id.
ministration- It was the Democratic
vote, which in 1896, elected William
Mckinley over William ]. Bryan. and
there is a Republican hope that the
same miracle will be repeated in the
year 1914
President Taft Will also receive the
vote of the solid and substantial ele-
ment in each community, together
with a large percentage Of the for
eign-born vote. He will be materially
aided in other quarters, such as the
Hebrew vote, which appreciates his ac-
ton in abrosating the treaty with
Russia, but it will require much in the
way of accession to compensate for
the Republicans who will vote for
Roosevelt There is another class of
Republicans who propose to vote for
Wilson in order to make Roosevelt's
defeat all the more certain. This class
of Republicans is diminishing in num-
Der, but it is sufficiently large to be
factor in the result. These Republicans
have come to realize that not only is
there no possibility of Roosevelt's
election, but also that if Roosevelt gets
! larger popular vote than Taft, which
will be the case if Republicans vote
Tor Wilson, he will at once claim that
MS candidacy has been justified.
1t does not look IS If Roosevelt
would carry more than two or three
States. He cannot get the vote of
California and South Dakota, because
n those States the Republicans make
10 secret of their intention to vote
or Wilson. He may secure Oklahoma,
'ut that State is more likely to go
Democratic this year, as it did four
'ears ago. Kansas and Nebraska are
lot likely to give him their electoral
-otes because in the former State
here are fully $1,000 Republicans who
will stand by the regular ticket. and
n Nebraska most of the Republicans
will vote the Democratic ticket He |
annot carry Illinois because in that
state he would have to receive seven
ut of every ten Republican votes cast,
nd this is impossible.
1t is the fact that Roosevelt cannot
e elected which is bringing many Re-
ublicans to the Taft standard.
There has been nothing more re-
in American politics than
he change in public sentiment which
as occurred during the past two or
iree weeks. In the beginning of the
President Taft's candidacy 4
eemed utterly hopeless. He was weak
st on the day of his nomination Since
lat time he has gained, and there is
o doubt that to-day the tide in his
avor is running more strongly than
yer. If election day could be post
oned for two or three weeks. it
.ould have volume which would be
efficient to elect him.
1t was unfortunate, of course, that
lie campaign started late. For this
o one can be held responsible. In the
rst place, the Republican managers
ad to separate the sheep from the
pats. so to speak They had to find
ut who were loyal to the party in the
rganization. There were national COM
itteemen to be replaced, there were
tate and county chairmen to be re-
owed, and even the newspapers had
} be classified. The organization, to
Sc common expression, was shot
pieces. In addition to this, there
as necessary delay until primaries
ere held i'll various States before it IL
as known who would comprise the
It of candidates, who, in turn, would
ame the State chairman. In other :
tates a separate and distinct organi-
tion of Taft Republicans had to be c
'rmed in order to consolidate the .
embers of the party who favored the
residents reelection. This was the e
Sc in Iowa, North Dakota, Wiscon-
n, and Kansas. In the Eastern States 2
were not quite so disturbed,
1t even in the East it required con-
ierable political manipulation to bring
e party into a condition of harmony.