The Marion daily mirror. (Marion, Ohio) 1892-1912, 1912-03-19
FIGURING ON
THE ELECTION
Democrats Believe I h e y
Will Win and Are Work
ing Out the Combinations
Which Promise Success.
Omitted Press Leased Wire)
Special to the Mirror:
HN MinlinId .Innes

by NuiHciu Jones.
Washington, March politicians
here are working overtime trying to
figure cut the outcome of the presi- |
dental election. The Democrats be.
lieve they are going to win.
one OF the biggest factors in the !
election will be the state OF New York !
New York will go Democratic say the
Democrats, who are building great
hopes on carrying the state.
The Republicans will not admit that
they will lose New York. Repupb-
lican leaders are relying upon the
large interests to pull them through
in the Empire state. Despite the air
OF security that the Republicans as
sume in New York they realize what
it would mean to lose the state and
will leaye no stone unturned I'm the
coming presidential election to win the
popular will Of the people of New
York.
AS the next national election draws
, near the Importance of New. York
will be emphasized. That state, al
, ways Il great battle ground in presi-
dental elections Is now more so than
ever
In the last ELECTORAL college there
were 4S3 votes. OF this number Taft
, got 321 and bryan 1872. Bryan re-
| ceived the votes Of Alabama. Arkan-
sas Colorado, Florida. Georgia. Ken
tuclSy. louisiana, Maryland Mississip.
| pi. Nebraska. Nevada, North Carolina,
| Oklahoma. South Carolina, Tonnesfse
| Texas and Virginia. These states then
! had vote of 162 in the electoral coll
lege and under the reapportionmcnt
| bill will have ia. There Is but IL
control these states In the next cleo
tion. Nothing will break the solid
South in the next campaign.
In the next electoral college there
win be 53t votes including Arizona
and New Mexico. Two hundred and
sixty-six votes will he necessary for
an election.
should the Democrats retain the 162
votes they ha din the last cleo
toral college It will only be neccs-
sary for them to gain 104 votes I'm
the next college to win the presidency.
President Taft viii in all probabi-
lity not carry his home state. Ohio II
Governor Harmon Is nominated for
the presidency by the Democrats
Many Democratic leaders assert thai
II Harmon Is nominated he Will car
ry the state by large popular ma
iority. Harmon Is about the only
man who could make things unCom
Portable for Taft In Ohio. If Har
mon wrests the state away from tn,
Republicans Il would go long wa!
to assure the presidency TO the Demo
Gratis.
An important state that will have
a al great deal 10 do with the election
i, of the next president Is Illinois. Th'
! chances favor its retention by the Re
publicans. 1t can hardly be classet
as a doubtful state.
Eliminating Ohio and Illinois from
the Democratic column the Demo
= crats may possibly gain these states
California, 10; Missouri. IS: New
Jersey II; Minnesota, 10; Montana
i 4; West Virginia, s; Arizona, 8; Della
l ware .; Connecticut, Z; making a to-
[ tai Of %. These states arc all doubt
$ ful and 1t is probable that the Demo
Y Gratis will carry them in the next elec'
b tion.
Maine is now Democratic and may
4 remain so.
If the Democrats could gain thu
c As votes in the New York delegation
n the election OF their candidate fo
u president would be comparatively an
n easy matter. All these calculation
e are based upon the last reapportion
n ment bill. BESIDES increasing tn,
2. house of representative membership
/. from 391 to 433 1t has given eXcellen
n ground for study OF the next presi
n dental election.
1. This bill may have an importan
e. bearing upon the election. Il was pas
: sed nthe senate only after senate
Root OF Now York, made hgh
1t to leave the membership of tn
l. house at its present number. Thl
l. motion being defeated he tried to Fl,
~ the membership at 4O5. but this ais
70 wa sdcfcated by combined vot,
of the Democrats and insurgents.
with a good strong vice presiden
tial candidate from New York an,
Harmon Of Ohio. the Democrats ough
j, to carry both Of these states. If the
A. carry New York and Ohio there vii
be little doubt that the Republican
y, will be licked to "A frazzle. Shoul,
= the Democrats nominate some othe
A. candidate than Harmon they woul
p have no chance at all of carryin
Ohio. Taft would undoubtedly swee
> the state because It is his home stat
A. and is also normally Republican. !
10 the Democrats lose Ohio they vii
m stand good chance OF defeat. If the
ar lose New York on top Of Ohio in al
70 probability they would lose the cleo
ts tion. 1t viii be the best possbl
!. political startegy for the Democrat
to nominate the presidential cand
dates from Ohio and the vice pres
Dental candidate from New York.
a Kalers serve the pesv creams an
a t,na NH.ak xyo..w RrN. .Ada A