Burlington weekly free press. [volume] (Burlington, Vt.) 1866-1928, 1912-02-15
NEXT CONGRESS To
Be REPUBLICAN
Majority of at Least Al in House
and Increased Membership
in Senate.

Washington, Feb. 12.-Wth the openinr
OF administration Headquarters here and
the forcing of the fighting in the Pres,.
dents behalf Immediately all along the
line In every school district in the country
the republican outlook is more on.
couraging every hour. Representative Nc.
kinley OF Illinois will act as headuuarters
chief here until his presence is necessary
at Chicago to direct the congression, a
campaign after the .:ational convention.
and will keep the enemy Of whatever
stripe on the run every minute of tho
"A hours
Chairman McKinley's congressional
campaign committee has gone over the
situation In every district In the union
where a republican member Is to be re-
tained or one is to be gained. and has set
for Itself the stunt Of giving the s3rd
congress a republican majority in the
House OF not less than Al. This stake Is
set for the minimum. against present
democratic majority of G..
That the republicans will control the
next House by good working majority
"ell-informed leaders who are closely in
touch with conditions all over have not
the least doubt. Dozens OF democrats in
the present House are political accidents
and FULLY realize 1t. They were amazed
to find themselves elected, in nearly every
case by the republican slump in over
whelming republican districts, and they
have no hope of it happening again in a
generation. The republicans will be
soidly united in the congressional cleo
tons next November. and will allow moth
ing to go by default. Consequently the
freak democratic majority IN this Con.
gress will be wiped off the map.
SENATE IN NO DANGER.
Various misleading articles evidently
emanating from ll-informed or antagon-
istic sources are now appearing in the
papers as TO the possibility of demo-
cratic majority in the Senate after
March 4. 1913. AS a matter of fact con-
servative observers now believe that the
democratic high tide has been reached
In the Senate. with the present republ-
can majority Of seven. New Mexico and
Arizona will offset each other. so they
will add nothing to the relative per-
centage. The more recent democratic
gains In the Senate are accidents. fairly
outside the realms Of politics. The stars
fought against the republicans two years
ago. but they are now looking on i,
with smiling faces
The abnormality is illustrated in the
cases of Maine and West Virginia. In
Maine the democrats carried the State
on the liquor issue. taking with It the
Legislature. This gave them n political
accident of the first water In Senator
Johnson as successor to republican Sena-
tor Hale. Then republican Senator Frye
died. and was succeeded by democratic
Senat tor Gardner as temporary seat
warmer In West Virginia the demo-
Gratis barely carried the Legislature by
republican default. and elected Chiffon
in place OF republican Senator Scott.
Then republican Senator Elkins died.
and was temporarily succeeded by demo-
cratic Senator Watson. Ey another fluke
the democrats gained the New Jersey
legislature and elected Wilson's man
MARITIME. the Joke of the Senate. in place
Of republican Senator Kean. The re-
publcans have already regained the Leg
islature. Exactly the same thing may
be said Of New York.
ANALYSIS OF PROBABILITIES.
Here is the present outlook and analysis
as to senatorial probabilities Among the
republican senators whose terms expire
on March 4. 1912. are these: Forah #
Idaho, Bourne Of 0r""o" ~
Jersey. Brown of Nebraska. Burnhan Of
New Hampshire, Crane of Massachusetts,
Cullom of Illinois. Curtis of Kansas.
Dixon Of Montana. Gamble of South
Dakota, Guggenheim of Colorado, Kenyon
OF Iowa. Nelson of Minnesota. Richard
son Of Delaware. Smith of Michigan.
Warren of wyoming and Wetmore Of
Rhode Island. There is not the slightest
prospect or even possibility of the demo-
Gratis gaining n senator from these States
except in Colorado. Montana and
Nebraska. Some of those named will not
succeed themselves. but otherwise than
In the three above States their sue
cessor Is morally certain to be a republi-
can.
In Colorado there is already one
vacancy, and Senator Guggenhiem will
not be a candidate to succeed himself
The three members In the House from
that State are now democrats, but they
have broken with their party on the
metal tariff schedule, and the State Is in
open revolt against democracy. There
fore. the chances are four to ono that
the next two senators from that State
will be republicans. The percentage Of
chance is equally large on favor of the
In Montana and Nebraska.
Where, then. are the democratic gains
coming from? On the other hand the
'epublicans will regain anywhere from
Tx to a dozen Legislatures now held by
he enemy. So much for the prospect Of
democratic Senate.
FOSTER INVITED TO YALE.
Representative Foster was remember
ID by the Vermont club Of Yale Univer-
ity with an Invitation to be present az
he annual banquet of the club to be
,eld on wednesday evening of this week.
Representative Plumley returned FRI
lay evening from ten days absence
n Vermont.
WOlcott brothers of North Colchester,
With their sister, Miss Lucy. stopped
ver In the city Friday on route to then
winter home at Southern Pines, N. c.
Postmaster Bayley has resigned as
postmaster at Beebe Plain. which re-
loves tho situation there He can now
eep the Vermont window In his office
oarded up permanently. and attend ex-
lusively to his office as postmaster o;
tock Island, i. G., at the other win.