New-York tribune., 1912-01-27
FULL RE|CHSTAG RETURNS
CIeriCO Conservative Alliance
Loses Its Predominance.
IN MINORITY OF ABOUT TEN
Leaders on Both Sides, However,
Predict Working Majority for
Kaiser's Government.

Berlin, Jan. 26-The parties In the
Reichstag, after a thorough checking of
the original returns, stand as follows:
Conservatives. Il; Centrists, SO; Poles, IL:
Alsatians. 8; Guelphs. 5; National Liberals.
AZ, including two members of the Peasant
League and one Independent National Lib
eral; Radicals, q Socialists, 10; Bavarian
Peasant League, 2; Independent members
from Lorraine, Q; Dane, l, and Indepen-
dent. ex-Minister Of the Interior Count Won
Posadowsky- -Wehner, l.
The Radicals say that two Bavarians and
one member from Lorraine are pledged to
vote with their party. The other member
from Lorraine, the Dane and the Liberal
Count Won Posadowsky-Wehn probably
will line up with the members OF the
Right
The alliance of the Conservatives with
the Clerical Centre party, which con-
trolled 20S OF the 3g7 mandates in the last
Reichstag, has thus been overthrown. That
coalition ls now able to muster, II It en-
rolls every possible man from among the
Poles. Alsatians, Guelphs and others with
Conservative and Clerical tendencies, only
1893 or l9i votes, against the 2D3 or 2O4 which
can be counted by the National, Liberal.
Radical and Socialist groups.
The uncertain and unreliable construc-
ton of the new parliament has naturally
resulted in a crop OF predictions that its
life will be short and that speedy disso-
luton may be looked for. The majorities
in any case depend upon heterogeneous
groups and are easily changeable by the
detection, death or retirement of three or
four members.
The worst menace to the life Of the new
Rcichstag Is the solid block OF 10 Social
lists, who arc out-and-out enemies Of the
government.
Experienced politicians, like the Radlcal
leader, DR.. Hermann Pachnicke, and the
prominent Conservative, DR.. otto Arendt
point out, however, that threatened par
liaments, like threatened men. live long,
Each OF these leaders foresccs the forma-
ton OF an adequate working majority FOR
the Kaiser's government. This seems also
certain when subjects are dealt with which
the government. through its statements
made In the semi-ohicial "Norddeutsche
AlIEemeine Zeltung," has indicated as Inn
perative tasks for the new Rcichstag.
These tasks include the strengthening OF
the army and navy and the financial pro-
vision for this Increase of strength They
comprIse also new social legislation ana the
continuance Of the present tarin policy
through the ratification of series OF ne"
commercial treaties.
All the parties except the Socialists VIII
be found behind the new army and navy
bills when they are brought up for discus
sion. The critical question VIII be that OF
the new taxes, but this undoubtedly VIII be
solved even II the government has to I'M
nose the inheritance tax, the Introduction
OF which occasIoned Prince Won Buelows
fall This will have TO be done against
the oprosltion Of tho badly riddled Con-
servatiye ranks
Prince Won Buclow emerGcs from the
election clothed I'm the garb OF a true
prophct. I'm tho result OF the polling ne
secs the fulnlmcnt Of every prediction ne
made I'm his farewell interview In july
1909. when he warned the conservatives
Of the coming retrhution for their share IN
his fall and held out the vision. like Caesar
phost TO Rrutus. OF tho coming day OF
phIIippi Their depleted ranks now mum
ber only II, instead of the 100
members they had in the last Rcichstas
The red tide of Socialism is also again In
full flood. as he forctold: the Guelph enc
mics Of Prussia, whom he hunted out OF
the Reichstag. have returned while the at
tennis 10 GcrmanIze the Polish provinces
are at standstill.