The Richmond Virginian. (Richmond, Va.) 1910-1920, 1912-11-04
new YORK HERALD
GAN SEE NOTHING
BUT GOV. WILSON
In Final Forecast Before the
Election Says He is Ger
tain to Win
ONLY ONE STATE
CERTAIN FOR MOOSE
Taft Is Certain of Six and
Eleven Are Placed in the
Doubtful Column-No
Moose Landslide

Herald IN It's nnal IOFeChst "a Inv ~
suit of the election on Tuesday says:
Woodrow Wilson, the next president
of the United States.
That Is the deduction to be made
from the Heraid's canvass of the ma
ton, now drawn to close
Wilson and Marshall are Indicated
By the great flood of test ballots gain
cred in thirty seven States. They are
indicated by the conclusions of expert
eneed political reporters. who car
ried their inquiry into every county
in every debatable state, getting IN
formation from men In all walks Oh
life.
Based ON the test ballots and the
personal Investigations, the following
analysis of the electoral vote Is JUS
tilted:
Taft. ~: Mr.. Roosevelt, Z, and 49,
doubtful.
To Governor Wilson in the table
are given thirty states. To PRESIDENT
Taft. six-Taaho. New Hampshire.
Rhode Island. Utah. Vermont ana
Maine To Mr.. Roosevelt is given one
--washington--whiie eleven-Iahior-
MIA. Colorado. Illinois MASSACHUSETTS,
Montana. New Jersey. North Dakota,
oregon. Pennsylvania. South Dakota
and wyoming cfassed as doubt
full
Tale OF tho Test Ballots.
or the thirty seven States wherein
test ballots were taken Governor WIZ
SON leads in twenty-six, President Taft
leads I'm Ave and Mr.. Roosevelt In SIX
In the same group OF States Mr.
Roosevelt runs second in twnety-on
Governor Wilson In eleven and Presi-
dent Taft IN ave. The total NUMBER
81 votes taken throughout the ceuri-
try reached tho imposing figure OF
sfs.sa1. OF which Governor Wilson re-
ceived 1879. or 1883 more than MT.
Roosevelt. and s7,4ss more than the
president.
~ the straw vote table Ia that the
relative strength OF the three ieadina
nominee is about the same In the
chosinr DAYS Of the canvass as IL was
early In September. FOR instance, tue
president was polling .2ls Of the test
ballots when the first tahnsahon was
made in September He gathered in
eos per cent of the last vote cast,
4 showing him to be a shade weaker
than no was Mt Roosevelt started ny
getting 500 per cent OF the ballots. AS
TIA campaign ends he draws 500 per
cent. governor Wilson received .4.s
.r,-r cent of the frss vote taken ae
closes by receiving AIS per cent
Throughout the campaign there mas
-
the reiatiYe positions OF the nominees.
There have been persistent reports OF
threatened landslidea to this or that
candidate. but the voting, taken Win
greatest care in the very sectiohs
where the outbursts were expected 10
occur. failed to foreshadow any such
thing. a..
=. IT, chasing days there are ru-
mors that the great silent vote--that
~ the men who decline to express any
preference In advance--will swing 70
Mr. roosevelt. The Herald has made
every possible effort to sense any
such general drift. but has been unable
10 do So It is true that in New ser
se-. there has without doubt been 2
swing to Mr.. Roosevelt. IL has been
80 marked that the Herald this week
p,aces the Governors home state In
The doubtful column. Heretofore X
has been regarded as certain for MT,
wiYson. Test ballots give the governor
good lead over his rivals. Just how
extensive the shift away from GOV.
ernor Wilson and to Mr.. Roosevelt
viii he no one pretends to estimate
aractlv. From what the Herald has
been able to gather there Is pos
s,hility hut not likelihood that Mr.
Roosevelt will carry the stake
There are intimations also that MT
Roosevelt has been gathering strength
among workers In GONE OF the New
England factories. and that in Penn
eylvania he may make "clean-u up.
There are no indications inS the Her
AIDS ballots or In the reports Of ia
investigators to support that declara-
y tir,s,.g. No doubt. as tho. great batth
nears its end. Republicans are q ut
ia worried over the talk OF Swing
to Roosevelt and the Wilson Demo
Gratis are glad the fight is 30 near III
close. However. the Republicans have
no hope Of electing the president. ane
the Democrats have not the siightes
doubt OF the election OF their candi.
Little chancs Of Deadlock.
There Appears to be little or nj
likelihood that any change can com'
which would throw the election OF ths
president and vice. president into TN
house or the senate Governor VII
son in the division OF the eiectora
vote q. riyen in this issue has ninety
four more than the necessary ma1orft,
~ a6e votes to place him In the White
House. IN the states Chased as doubt
ful. which have total Of lS7 votes
the New Jersey governor has. accord
inr to all estimates at least an eve!
chance OF victory. New Jersey, WIZ
its fourteen votes. has herctoI0re Zee
yania-nne Of the great Common
wealfhs where the fattie II raging iron
border to border--it IL TO All appear
ances 3 nip and tuck hight hefweel
~. Roosevelt ana Governor Wilson
With the president gaining votes, bu
not looming AZ a likely winner. Tn
Kevstune State heretofore has bcel
regarded a. Wilson ground This weel
the test ballots show . slight major
IT. Far M. Roosevelt. This II backe'
slp 81 1 spread Of the Roosevelt move
mert IN several mining sections ~
th~ 80 practically OF election 1t SEEM
14 zsss
fconkinuaa m Third Ragel