The Marion daily mirror. (Marion, Ohio) 1892-1912, 1912-03-13
AN OPINION
EXPRESSED
On Politics by Our Washing
ton Correspondent Thinks
Taft Will be Defeated
For Election.
Omitted Press Leased Wirc)
(By Winfield JOncs.)
Especial to the MlrrorJ

especial to the MirrOr)
Washington. March ls--Presidcnt
Taft is doomed to defeat If he is re.
nominated His weakness as candi-
date is being shown every day. The
standpat Republicans, who are the
mainstay of the Taft camruign. arc
unable to make any hcadway. Tarrs
weakness as a candidate is clearly
shown by an analysis of the electoral
vote
In only twenty-three OF the forty
eight states is the administration
now in the hands OF the Republicans.
These states have 230 votes in the
electoral college.
There will be 53f votes in the cleo
toral college. making 26G necessary
to elect 1t is doubtful If the Repub.
licans can hold the states i'm which
they now have the governorship
In eight states Republican gov
crnors are leading strong opposition
to Taft.
The Republican voters I'm these
states are overwhelmingly In favor OF
tho nomination of Mr. Roosevelt and
If tho president is renOminatcd at
the Chicago convention the great
probability IL that the normal RE-
publican vote cannot be brought out
at the polls in these states.
In seven other states which now
have Republican govcrnors-LCall-
fornia, Illinois. Iowa, Minnesota. Now
Mexico, Washington. Wisconsin,
there 10 also decided opposition to
President Taft. such that II Is moro
| IT.
campaign that can be conducted In
case the president should he rcnoml-
mated would be able TO bring out the
normal Republican vote These states
have an aggregate of ninety electoral
votes
This puts 16i electoral votes. from
! fifteen normally Republican states.
into the doubtful column tho moment
President Taft Is declared the nomi-
nee OF the Chicago convention.
In case the nominee at Chicago Is
Roosevelt. there Is reason to suppose
that he would fail to carry many of
these twenty-thrce Republican states.
He certainly would not carry Mary
land and Tennessee.
The Roosevelt fight therefore,
would have to he made In states
which now have Democratic admin
istrations. There nre twelve Of these
states. Colorado. with G clcctora
votes; Connecticut, Z; idaho. 4; In
diana 10: Maine. 6: Massachusetts
l1S; Montana, 4; New Jersey, IA; New
York As: North Dakota. ): Ohio, %
land Oregon, ). Total 153. Mr.. Taf
lost Colorado and Nebraska in 1908
ON any figuring can be made IL
regard to these twelve states now
administered by Democratic governors
Taft could not win the votes neccs
sary in addition to the 230 from state
at present Republican TO carry hin
to victory. If Mr.. Taft Is rcuonlnatcd
he will start with an aggregate o
electoral votes considerably under 100
ana II VIII be necessary for him {,
win about 175 electoral votes from
states that will properly be classed II
the doubtful or possibly tho Demo
cratic column.
This Is practically certain Th,
president will be dlsastrously de.
feated IL he Is rcnominatcd
Any Democratic nominee can beat
Taft. Uncle Jud" Harmon or Tn.
derwood could do It hands down The
best thing for the Republicans to do
Is to nominate Roosevelt but even
when they are not going to stand
any chance of winning at the No
Vcmber polls.
The truth Is that the country as u
whole Is tired OF years of Republican
misrule and extravaganza, and wants
a change. The country don't want
any do-nothng traveller or any wild
eyed broncho buster In the White
House in 1913, Neither does 1t want
anybody tinged with Socialistic doe
trines. 1t wants a safe and sane"
man who can do things for the pco-
pie and who has done things for the
People.
Every sign now points to Demo
cratic victory next November. The
Republicans are hghting nike XII
kenney cats and the two factions are
so bitter against each other that
which ever side wins in the Chicago
convention the losers will take the
greatest delight in throwing down the
victor at the polls All the Demo
Gratis have to do is to steer sane
and sober course, ana their candidate
win be inaugurated president The
Democrats have never had a bctLcr
chance to win than they have now.