The Daily Ardmoreite. [volume] (Ardmore, Okla.) 1893-current, 1912-02-04

Washington, February 3.-lnterest
and speculation in the election in 1872
has been redoubled since the passage
of the reapportionment bill by the
special session OF the last congress.
With the knowledge of what the fu-
ture strength Of the various states
will be in the electoral college. pOliti-
clans are working overtime with pads
and pencils trying to figure out what
the probable outcome will be.
The democrats are calculating how
they are going to elect the next pres
ident. They profess to believe there
it, little question OF the outcome Of
the 1912 election. All the hopes of
the democrats rest in their confidence
OF being able to carry the state Of
New York. If they can bring New
York under their banner it is possible
they can carry the country. Should
they fail in their expectation TO carry
New York even the most ardent OF
their leaders are dubious of the re
suit
The republicans will not admit that
there is any danger of them losin2
New York. Republican interests are
relying on the large Interests" to
pull them through. Despite the air of
security that the republicans assume
New York they realize what it would
mean to them to lose the state and
ar" not under estimating the strength
Of the democrats. Both parties will
leave no stone unturned in the com.
ing presidential election to win the
popular will OF the people in New
York The thickest of the fight made
by both parties will center in the EN-
pire state.
As the next national election draws
near the importance of New York will
be emphas lied. That state always
a great battle ground in presidential
elections. will be more so than ever
in 1912 Politicians on both sides are
claiming the state, with assertions of
great confidence, but inwardly they
are not as positive as they would
have everybody believe
In the last electoral college tie"e
were 4S3 members, of this number
Taft got 32l and Bryan 1862. Bryan
received the votes of Alabama, Ark
ansas, Louisiana, Maryland, Misss-
silpi. Nebraska, Nevada, North Caro-
Ina. oklahoma South Carolina, Ter
nessee. Texas and Virginia. These
states then had vote of 1862 in the
electoral college, and under the reap
portionment bill will have ia. There
is but little doubt that the democrats
will again control these states in the
next election. Nothing Will break
the solid south in the next campaign.
In the next electoral college there
will be 531 votes including Arizona
and New Mexico. Two hundred ana
sivty-siX will be necessary for an
election
Should the democrats retain the
lt2 votes they had in the last elec-
toral college it will only be necessary
for them to gain 80 votes in the next
college to win the presidency. 1hjS
is by no means an impossibility.
President Taft will in all probaDii-
ity carry his home state, Ohio, but if
JudsOn Harmon is nominated for
president by the democrats it will he
a bitter and close fight. Many dem
ocratic leaders are bold enough to
assert that if Harmon is nominated
he will carry the state by 4 large
popular majority. Harmon is aGont
the only man VINO could make things
uncomfortable for Taft in Ohio. Er-
en- il Harmon could wrest the sta.2
away from lut 'lDlANdHo IL NCui'
not assure the presidency to the dem-
ocrats. for in SoTe sections OF the
country Harmon is not strong and
would not carry tHe states that either
Champ Clark or Woodrow Wilson
would. What he would gain in one
place he would .ose in another.
Another important state that Will
have a great deal to do with the elec
ton of the next president is Illinois.
The chances favor its retention ty
the republicans. 1t can hardly be
classed as doubtful state.
Eliminating Ohio and Illinois iroth
the democratic column the democrats
may possibly gain these states; Cali
fornia -; Indiana Is: Missouri IS;