The daily sentinel., 1912-10-23
Mean WILSON TO
SWEEP COUNTRY
Democratic Gains In Vermont
and Maine impressive.
OTHER PARTIES PLIGHT
Third Terrsrs to Poll Their kntlrs
Strength From the Rapidly
Thinning Republican
Ranks.

That tire result of the state elec-
tions in Vermont and Maine mean a
tremendous Democratic victory in No
vsmber, is freely admitted by all eE-
Oept the bitterest parttsans. Politi-
cal experts have done some anstyzing.
and some claim to have reached novel
conclusions But these facts stand
out:
On Monday, September ?. 1912, the
Republican aud Third Term parties
combined elected William T. Raines
governor OF Maine, over Frederick W.
Plaisted the present Democratic in
clumbent, by 3.02s plurality; in 1908,
n presidential year. a Republican was
elected governor by 1883 plurality: in
1904, the plurality was 25,S0O. and I'm
1900 it was a 1872. In other words, in
Il years the Democrats have cut
down the Republican plurality in state
elections by 81 ,lO9.
In this period the Democratic vote
, has increased from $4,000 TO $4,000
whereas the Republican vote has de-
creased from $4,000 to 1000. The
| Democratic vote of this year exceeds
that OF September, 1908, by 900, but
the Republican vote is about 1900 less
than that party cast four years ago.
The split in tho Republican ranks,
following the election OF William I.
Hatues. is pronounced. II the divi-
sion in Maine in November is as it
was in the recent Vermont election.
siS-tenths of tho Republican vote will
10 for Taft, three-tenthB for Roose-
welt, and one-tenth for the Demo
orats. 1t is significant that the latter
| party has to date suffered no losses,
/ as compared with the vote in previous
/ years, from the Third Term move
ment. On the contrary, It has gained.
| The result In Maine may be expected
to be something like this: Wilson,
Z $4,000; Taft, 42.6o0; Roosevelt, 1880.
The returns from the recent Yer
mont election show, In round figures,
that the joint Republican and third
| party vote was eight per cent short
of tho Republican vote four years ago,
while the Democratic vote in that
state shows gain Of twenty-five per
| cent. over that OF 1908 1t is of spe-
' ,ihi lt'el'SI W epttulult VITAL Will
happen next November throughout
the nation If the Republican and
/ Democratic vote for the national
I tickets happen to be affected az
tho gubernatoFisl vote this month
in Vermont has been Affected. The
| New York Evening Post has done
| some interesting fsuring along this
I line and as a net result it is shown
! that. under the contingencies mention
/ ed. President Taft would carry only
4 two states in November. Rhode Island
and Vermont, all the others going for
] Gov. Wilson. The conclusions reach
ed by the Post follow,
To compute this result We should
have to deduct per cent from the
vote cast for Taft four years ago and
apportiop the remaining vote in the
ratio OF 81 TO IS between Taft and
Roosevelt. and We should have to add
IS per cent. TO Bryan's vote In 1905.
and give the 'demnition total TO
Woodrow Wilson. In other words, give
Taft 81 per cent. and Roosevelt 81
per cent. OF Tafts vote four years
ago, and give Wilson 125 per cent. OF
Bryan's vote four years ago
The result in round numbers would
be as follows. 50 far as regards Taft
and Wilson.