The Washington times., 1912-06-19
FIGHT TO THE END
AGAINST TH|EvERY,
ROOSEYELT'S ORDER
'.
Says His Nomination Is
i. Secondary to Cleaning
\ Up Convention.
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than enough to nominate a candidate
for President.
On the face Of this vote Taft is de-
foated. Mr.. Roosevelt is not yet NOM
mated, but will be. Taft can lose only
rinteen votes; Roosevelt must gain
three or four times that many But
Taft seerns certain to lose some, Roose-
Welt certain to win some. 1t is vastly
essier to specify where Taft will lose
the votes he cannot spare than to point
out where Roosevelt will gain those he
must have.
Analysis of Vote.
Under analysis the vote on temporary
chairman shows this:
The Taft people had to put forth all
the. strength they could muster to win
by IS margin. Last night they gave
out positively that they would elect
Root with from 10 to 50 majority;
their inside office figure. that they
themselves expected to get, was Cos, or
Ss more than enough to elect.
Instead, they got only is. It was a
showing of astounding and unexpected
weakness.
On this Root roll call, moreover, they
held these votes that they cannot DOS
sibly have on the first ballot for Presf-
dent:
Illinois, I; Oregon, 3; Maryland, s;
New York, /.
The one in New York represents
woodruff who has declared he will
oppose Taft. Taking these nineteen
votes away from Taft. he is Just one
Short of enough to nominate
But this is only counting sure
things. In addition. Taft stands to
hose probably ten more in New York.
That leaves him eleven short Of the
nominating majority. He will lose
one in North Carolina. and Ave in
enteen short Of the winning total
Still the possibilities which are al
most certainties are not nearly ex-
hausted. Among the Texas deleg tes
who yesterday gave thirty-one votes for
Root, are a number who personally
prefer Roosevelt's nomination.
Will Not Support Taft.
The President cannot hold these
after one ballot, and may not hold
al of them that long. In Tennessee
there Is situation even more serious
Tor the President. While 90 of the
efats's "a votes supported Root yester-
nay,1 number of the delegates are
determined that they cannot support
TAFT Tor the nomination, because they
think 1t would injure the party's
chances in the election this fall to
nominate him. He will lose from 6
10 IL OF these votes on first ballot
according to the best information.
Utah gave an intimation of its real
atutude of mind by casting one vote
a9r McGovern for chairman, despite
Claimed as positively solid for Taft
Ihe truth Is that most of the State
aessHsit esates prefer. personally; that
anxious to break away. The solid
eight will stick for the first ballot,
but never after that.
mississippi gave McGovern only four
ably seven for Roosevelt.
Alabama gave % of its "a votes to
Boot but the Taft managers are fear
ful of several losses there.
Georgia gave the colonel's candidate
Tor chairman six votes: IT has more
IN reserve for him, certainly after
the first ballot, and probably on the
Finally. aside from some certain
and some highly probable losses that
tart must sustain there is yet to be
considered the fact that the creden-
tials committee will do its work to-
morrow. Of considering anew the en-
tire series Of credentials contests
The convention will then receive and
consider at great length the reports,
and Will vote on them.
Vote Cannot Survive.
The Roosevelt people are perfectly
confident that the steal OF Washing
tons solid vote for Taft will not sur
vive the committee and the conven-
tion's action. They have assurances
that the steal in Missouri will go the
same way, and that the outra geous
facts being fully exposed in discus
sion, the convention. If not the COM
Inittee, will undo the wrong perpe-
trated in that case.
That the steal of the Fifth Cali
forria district will stand is not fear
ed by the Roosevelt people, or be-
lieved by the Taft leaders. There is
now, for the first time, a chance to
appeal TO the moral sense of a great
body of delegates, and that appeal
Will be made in the most effective
fashion.
These changes, again, must be aug
nented by the number Of votes that