The Barre daily times. (Barre, Vt.) 1897-1959, 1912-11-04
Result of To-monow'S Election
Cannot be Forecasted
WITH DEGREE OF ACCURACY
MON, state Library
Vermont state lA0''s
In National Headquarters the Green
Mountain State Is Put Down as
Doubtful" and So 1t Seems to
Be from All Indications.

just what position Vermont will take
in the presidential election tomorrow
is something which has caused consid.
cradle uncertainty with the national par
ty managers, but because OF the fact
that Vermont commands but four votes
in the electoral college the tangled sitn-
alton in the Green Mountain state has
given little uHeasiness to the managers
Of the campaigns.
In Vermont, too, there is nearly as
much certainty among the election
prophets because of the result of the
September state election. in which no
majority was returned so that the
choice had to fall to the legislature.
In that election, normal total vote
was cast, the Republican party polling
26.259. the Democratic 20,3j0. the rro-
gressive $500, the Prohibition LAB,
and the Socialist 1881.
If sentiment were unchanged from
September and like number of voters
should 60 to the polls tomorrow, Yer
mont's vote in the electoral college
would 60 OF course, to President Taft
and the candidate Of the party to be Sc.
leeted for the vice presidential nominal
tion IN place of the late James S. Sher-
man, because the election is bv plural
ity. But it is quite certain that the,
total vote tomorrow will not hold up
- H. I'll - Ix, II
tion, thus bringing down the probable
margin which Will give victory to one of
the three leaders. If any party is to
suffer more than the Others because of
this stay at home vote, it is likely to be
the Republican party. Hence, one might
expect a reduction in the Republican
vote tomorrow.
But there also is a possible changed
sentiment to be reckoned with in figur-
ing up the chances tomorrow, because
the election of September was tangled
with local sympathies and distrusts of
II candidates on the state ticket. The
normal Democratic vote in a state cleo
ton was largely increased last Septem-
Der because of the unusually large COM
plimentary vote given the party's cam
ldate Harland B. Howe of st. Johns
bury, in his home county, Caledonia.
A large number Of Bull Moose adher-
ents and many Republicans. if reports
be accurate, cast their ballots for Mr..
Howe in Caledonia county, who viii
swing back tomorrow to their real in
.cntion. That being the case, it is like
Y to strengthen the Progressive party's
'hances and weaken the Democrats ma
erially in Caledonia county
Throughout the other parts of the
tate, too, there has been a shifting of
ointment, largely perhaps between the
republican and tie Progressive parties,
8 the Democratic party is united on its
and can only hope for accre
ions from the few dissatisfied persons
f the other two parties. Just which of
he two parties most seriously affected
ince September is the gamer can be
oniectured only from various bits of
lformation that have cropped out dur
70 the past few weeks. If straw votes
'ere to be relied on for a conclusion, it
'ould seem probable that the Bull Moose
arty were in the aseendancy. as most
t those reported have shown marked
party strength Then. too,
he formation of Bull Moose clubs in
uch hitherto untried territory has
rived to increase the sentiment in favor
Roosevelt; while in the northern tier
counties the antagonism toward Taft
ecause of his reciprocity proposal has
ot subsidized
Against these is the influence of a
net campaign conducted by the Re
Iblican state committee in bolsteriug
, sentiment which normally is strong
regular" but which has been shaken
nsiderably during the last few months.
neither this has been effectual in hold
@ sufficient votes to make a Taft plu-
lity is causing the Taft managers
uneasiness; which measi-
IS has been transmitted. in turn, to
e national committee in the shape of
certainty. which would be uneasness
r them if Vermont were able to east
ore THAN four votes.