The Bridgeport evening farmer., 1912-10-09
WILSON OVERWHELMING IN
 LEAD IN HERALD POLL

New York, Oct 9-The, second pol
 of the New & Yorl< Herald nl1sSse ssR' 1 nor Woodrow Wilson decidedly fin the [ lead over Roosevelt and Taft. The Herald devotes five pages to it's straw votes which were taken in New aey, Pennsyl lvania, Maryland. Dela- ware, Illinois Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa, Michigan. South Dakota. Wash ington, Idaho, Missouri, Nebraska, In Wyoming Kansas and Oklahoma. The Hera1d's expert canvassers have noted 6s.O4e votes. Of these Cover nor Wilson has received 90, ,261, Roose- welt 20,74S and Taft 13,055.
 The net Republican loss from 1908 is 1735s. while the Democrats show 3. net gain of 625
 The Third Term candidate takes 12,- 064 from Taft while Wilson gains G. 173 votes from the President.
 The Herald will publish it's third poll on October 13, and predict that they
 will then have enrolled more than f50, 900 votes
 Democratic leaders have digested the HeraId's poll with care and they point out that the prediction of the Roosevelt followers that he would ta i1e from the Democratic columns is not carried out. Instead of losing votes to either Taft or Roosevelt. Will son has gained half of the Republican votes that, have changed from 1903. If this percentage should be kept up throughout the country, the Demo crats would carry every State in the Union.
 The Herald points out that Taft is gaining strength and that Roosevelt is running behind. The Herald claims that Taft is gaining, notably in the New England States. That in the far West there is a swing towards the President from Roosevelt. The Her aid states:
 But even with his apparently in- creased strength. MT. Taft still ap- pears considerably behind. Cover nor Wilson's friends say their candi- Moose managers, privately expressing g no great hope of victory for their can didate, say that they have already n- sured the defeat of the President. Straw votes aggregatins approxi- mately 10000, taken in tHvepty-nine States, put Governor Wilson in first place. They indicate that he is lead of the 29. The Bull Moose leads in five and the President in one Utah. The Herald further cornnlen tS: .'In most of the localities the situa- tion has changed but little since the Herald table was published last Sum day. The Democrats are working shoulder to shoulder and all differ ences have been buried. Gruan nblers l who were recalcitrant at first have entered the Wilson campaign. On
 not working as harmoniously as they l should-esp pecially is this true in Mis- 1 souri," The Herald further states: 1 "Governor Wilson, according to pres ent indications will, carry New York State by large plurality. That the
 candidacy of the Third Termer has
 split the Republican party almost in
 two and for the first time in many years, a Democratic candidate for the
 Presidency will lead in the counties north of Manhattan Island are indi- l cated by a careful canvass by Herald
 correspondents in every section of the State.
 There is no indica ton of a break among Democratic farmers. At thls time there appears to be no shift pos
 slble which would jeopardize MT. Will
 sons chances. He seemingly needs to hold only what he has, and assertions, l should they reach any formidable size, l will be offset by a rush of old line ERepublicans to his support eee
 Political sentiment in Albany and | upstate judged by. surface sentiment, indicates the. success of Governor Will
 son through the division of the Re | publican party In some districts in
 Eastern New York, the Progressive party is strong, but at present it is 1 believed the Third TerIner will run third.''