The Richmond Virginian. (Richmond, Va.) 1910-1920, 1912-07-08
THALHIMER BROS.
DEMOCRATS HAVE GOOO
SHOW To WIN
Sold i'm Richmond by
Continued from First Pase)

aid, start out in the campaign very
greatly disorganized One might sup
pose that after the terrific factioHal
struggle in the party 1t could not win
q victory anywhere. And yet It must
no be forgotten that the business m
terests of this country who are op-
posed to tariff for revenue only and
believe in the protective system as
well as the financial interests that
were practically drumned out Of the
baltimore convention by MIR. Bryan
Will be united for Mr. Taft.
These interests have actually CON
trolied every election since 1854. They
threw their influence for Gneral Har-
ris3n in 1855, for Mr. Cleveland il
1S02. for Mr.. Mckinley ia 1895 and
1900, Mr. Roosevelt in 1904 and MT.
Taft in l2QS.--- -----.,-.
I'm one respect the campaign of
1872 begins much as that OF 1892. In
1890 the Democrats swept the country
and elected u Democratic congress.
Two years later the Democrats car
rled the country again because of dis
satisfaction with the tariff. which had
really impressed the business interests
of the country favorably TO Mr..
Cleveland.
Even split into factions as it Is,
with the Democrats OF the West and
Southwest arrayed against the Demo
Gratis of the East, the advantage un-
doubtetily at the beginning OF the
campaign is heavily with the Demo
craey. The Republicans are in much
worse plight in every way. They,
too. have the factions Of the West ar
rayed against the factions Of the East
The effect of the disturbances at Chi
cage will he felt for a decade.
1t is not the purpose III these OBJ
srfvatiors to discuss the probable
effect of a third party movement, The
third ticket is not IN the field. If il
should be nomi mated and the third
termers should run electoral tickets in
most Of the doubtful States. the effect
might be like that Of a two edgeC
sword. The third party might, oi
course and undoubtedly would. take
/ many votes from Mr.. Taft. but, oil
! the other hand, 1t might prevent g
/ goat tpgny votes flom goinG to tht
! Ter tocYat'c party"
Situation Analy2e1.
Continuing the Herald thus further
/ anriyZes the situation.
There are forty-etght States nov
: in the Union. as against fortysiX il
1908. The admission of Arizona, viii
threa electoral votes. and New Mexico
with four, and the increased aNot
mt1t II represents tiVc5 IN congress
/ ba~ed upon the eeo5uS OF 1911. h21,
/ been added total of forty-nine to III,
/ electoral college The total Of cleo
toral votes to be cast for presiden
and Vice-presldent next November il
532 IN ! 90S it was rs a..
There is nothing to promise ad
vantage to any political party in th'
! addition votes allotted to tho olda
States nor IN the political complexion
I Of the newly admitted ones. The,
are divided about evenly between tn,
Two principal parties.
THE most noteworthy feature o
the prese II political outlook in th'
large number of States whose cleo
toral votes cannot be placed assuredi,
. I'M either the Republican or Demo
: cratic column.
In 1905 the total of electoral vote
Of the uncertain States was smalle
than the certain vote of either party
This year II is larger than either
CarefGl review OF State election a
aad since 1908 and of other import
! ant political happenings tustities Z
prediction that nj least 1876 electora
votes will be east for the Republican
president ticket and 10 for tn
Democratic nominees. This Leaves
207 in the doubtful column,
The soiid South retains Its ira
I ditionaf Democratic complexion owe
the same geographical area as Of old
1T Is impossible TO predict nov
what changes may be wriiten into III
political map Of the United States mex
November ny the progressive idea II
politics Ii had no concrete eXistenc
in 1905