The Dawson news. (Dawson, Ga.) 1889-current, 1912-11-05
WILSON, TAFT AND ROOSEVELT
ARE ALL CLAIMING THE
BIG STATES TODAY.
THE ESTIMATES MADE BY EACH

NEW YORK.-Seldom if ever
have conditions Immediately preced-
ing a presidential election been more
unfavorable to intelligent prediction
as to the outcome than at the pres
ent. The fact that the republican
vote seems almost squarely cut in
two by the candidates. of w. H. Taft
and Theodore Roosevelt points to the
election of Woodrow Wilson Tues
day by an enormous popular plurali-
ty and a plurality in the electoral
college almost as unprecedented. But
there are so many influences to be
considered, so many possibilities re-
suit out from the tri-cornered con-
test, that at what first seems assured
becomes problematical, at least in the
minds of many. The silent vote is
larger this year than ever before,
the ultimate action of hundreds OF
thousands of voters being beyond the
possibility of intelligent predlc-
ton. Newspaper representation IS
overwhelmingly in favor OF Wilson
election, but of the thousands OF
straw votes taken all over the coun-
try there are just enough indications
of hoosevelt's popularity to warrant
HIS ardent supporters III looking
hopefully toward Landslide" Wnlch
shall return him to the white mouse,
and there are enough evidences OF
the growing strength of Mr.. Taft to
give his supporters hope that he may
be elected.
Wilson.
The elaborate Wilson canvasses
which have been conducted jointly
by the New York Herald, the Chicago
Record Herald, the Cincinnati En-
quirer, the St. Louis Republic, the
Boston Globe, the Denver Republi-
can and the Los Angeles times point
to Mr.. Wilson's election by large
plurality. At the same time these
canyasses, as the weeks have gone by,
have shown gradual increasing
strength on the part of Mr.. Taft and
Mr.. Roosevelt, especially the latter,
and corresponding weakening OF
the percentage by which Mr.. Wilson
leads his rivals.
The percentage tables based upon
these canvasses on September 2Sth
gave Wilson AS, Roosevelt 229, Tart
1872, and Debs, the socialist, OH. A
month later, on October 9th, the
percentages were: Wilson 4O9,
Roosevelt 305, Taft PIG, Debs O.7Q.
According to these tables Wilson will
carry Connecticut, Delaware, 1ndl-
ana. Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Maine,
Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota,
Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Ohlo'
Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania,
South Dakota, West Virginia, Wis
consin and the solid South; Roose-
welt will carry Idaho, Illinois, Mlcnl-
gan. Washington and California;
Taft will carry New Hampshire,
Rhode Island, Wyoming and Utah.
Roosevelt.
The New York Press, an energetic
supporter of Roosevelt, is able to see
in the political skies clearly DEM
ed rainbow presaging progressive VIC
tory. Quoting George w. Perkins
and Senator Dixon, and through them
the various state chairmen OF the
PARTY. it asserts that in state atter
state 70 per cent of the republican
vote will go to Roosevelt with enough
democratic votes from the manutac-
turing centers to give these common
sweaIths to the bull moose party. Mir.
Perkins believes Roosevelt will carry
New Jersey, New York, Vermont,
Maine. Illinois, Pennsylvania and
Ohio. together with the northwestern
and far western states. He regards
Georgia and Tennessee as debatable
ground. Medill Mccormick gives
Minnesota to Roosevelt by $4,000 to
10000. The bull moose chairman IN
California claims that state for
Roosevelt by a handsome plurality;
while Iowa, Nebraska, Oregon, South
Dakota and Michigan are claimed un-
hesitatingly for Roosevelt by the Dull
moose chairmen in those states.
Senator Dixon predicts that the
number of votes cast in Tuesdays
election will approximate 1 100000.
These. he says, will be divided ABOUT
az follows: Roosevelt 6,11700O,
Wilson 5,64S,000, Taft 1850 OOO,
Debs $4,000 Chain 100000 II
the electoral college, the senator
saws. Roosevelt will have 2S7 votes,
266 being a majority.
Four years ago Taft received Z
1888 900. Bryan 6,49O, 900, Debs
APO 900, Chain 100000.
Taft.
Chairman Hilles of the republican
national committee expresses the
greatest confidence in Mr.. Iatt
election. He feels absolutely certain
+bat +he great states of New York,
Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota
and Illinois will be found in the IaIt
column the morning after the elec-
ton. He states that for the past
month the one-time RooseVelt sup
Dorters have been returning to the
republican fold and that many thouS-
ands of democrats prefer present con
ditions in business rather than the
uncertainty and lack of confidence
which would follow Wilson's cleo
ton. ; 4,,o
Mr.. Taft has developed during the
mast few weeks far greater strengIn
than he showed some time ago. he
is not an unqualified success upon
+ba stump but his written state
ments to the public, in which he sums
mn the principles of the various par
Ties have been powerful arguments
for q continuation of the republican
president in office. He has dwelt
forcibly upon the general prosperity
which now exists, and in the most
convincing language has called upon
the people to consider deeply before
n1nnging into the uncertainty which
wouId follow tariff reform under
democratic president. His statements
uOA -, ! ;+b foo+o and figures