The evening times. [volume] (Grand Forks, N.D.) 1906-1914, 1912-10-17
Its Survey of Political Field
Indicates Good Lead for
Governor Wilson.
BULL MOOSE HOLDS HIS OWN.
LOSING some AND GAINING some
Republicans are Taking Heart and
Throwing on Listlessness, Hone to
Carry New York-Unrest Among
voters-President's PROGRESS in east
(New York Herald. =,

(New York FIerald.)
New York. Oct. -17.-President Taft
maj making gains in several states. but
The bull moose nominee holding his
own. losing in some sections and gain
ing in others.
Gov. Wilson still we'll in the lead Of
both his rivals and still going strong
Such is the situation In the great
pattie for the presidency. as indicated
by the New York Herald's impartial,
before election.
Conditions have changed but slight
! ~ since week ago. If test ballots
and reports of trained political OBJ
servers are to be accepted as an in.
dex, Gov. Wilson is easily the favor
ite. The bull moose movement has
TO all appearances. touched its high
est point. Best indications obtainable
are that the bull moose nominee is
running second. and the president
third, with chance in some states,
II the present growth Of his move-
ment continues, to overtake his near
est rival
Wilson Keeps First Place.
Test ballots taken in states both
east and west Of the Mississippi con-
i
place Gov. Wilson first, with the
president third in the race.
| Friends Of the president and some
or his campaign managers declare,
however. that the tide toward the
president has set it. They point to a
drift to him in PENNSYLVANIA. They
say that in nearly every part Of the
country republicans who ten days ago
We're threatening to vote for Gov.
wilson to save the country from the
null moose" are now streaming back
into the Taft camp. fully believing
that the president has a good chance
OF being elected.
Evidences of this were found in
some sections Of the country, notably
New York. Connecticut. New Jersey
ana oregon. In other sections the
reporters found evidences of a growth,
N the drift from Taft to Wilson to
defeat the bull moose candidate.
Unrest Among Voters.
Democrats are satisfied that moth
Ing can prevent the election Of Gov.
Wilson. The campaign managers de.
clare that they will carry nearly every
state in the country. 1t is, however,
TOO early to predict what story the
millions Of ballos will tell on Novem-
Der 3. Cross-currents are at work ali
over the country. and there seems to
be feeling Of unrest among voters
IN many communities. which may
bring about a marked change in con-
ditions between now and election day
Ine Herald makes no prophecy based
on straw ballots. 1t presents the fig
ures for what they are worth. It is
notable fact, however. in the pres.
ent campaign that the reports Of spe-
cial correspondents continue almost
without exception to bear out in a
general way the story told by the
straw votes.
Up to the present time the Herald
has taken 154.771 test votes. It has
made every possible effort to have
them bona fide. It is a fair assump-
ton that some Of them have been
been deposited by persons with a
purpose to serve. but in every case
the canvassers have asked the recipi-
ents of the ballots to indicate their
true attitude toward the national con-
test.
Bull Moose Runs Second.
,on of has the rsa.a, ls4 votes east Gov vii;
moose nominee 46.31S. President Taft
33,759. and Debs 9,52s.
| or total Of 39.861 votes taken in
the great battle ground Of the middle
west the president received s,0s1. Gov.
Wilson 1868, and the bull moose
candidate 1925. These votes were
east IN the states Of Ohio, Illinois.
sofa and Iowa. In Ohio the president
has gained. but Gov. Wilson appears
to be easily in the lead. The vote Of
the republicans is apparently to be
split about in twain. In Illinois the
Dull moose continues to be in the
lead. but Gov. Wilson is pressing him
hard: The president is making gains
IN hut .
| hind the other two nominees.
In Indiana Gov. Wilson appears GER
tain to carry the state. barring unseen
Developments. In Michigan Gov. Will
son Is gaining on the bull moose can
didate. with the president running
third. Wisconsin is leaning strongly
toward New Jerseys governor, and
with the president and the bull moos-
er running neck and neck for second
place. Iowa promises to 60 for VIII
son. Republicans there are afraid
that the president cannot be elected.
and rather than risk the possibility
Of having the bull mooser in the
white house they are threatening to
son.
Changes Noted in the East.
There seems little doubt that the
president has, made progress in vari-
Gus sections Of New York state ami
in parts Of New England. In Rhode
Island. Connecticut. and sections of
Massachusetts,. where the bull moose
sentiment has been very strong. many
manufacturers and business men are
declaring openly for the president. on
the theory that they do not want the
tariff interfered with. This is ap-
parently having considerable effect
upon employees Of some institutions
which would be injuriously affected
by any disturbance Of the tariff sys-
tenn.
In some parts Of the country the
republicans have injected new life into
their campaign. They are not as pes
simistic and listless as they were
short time ago. In New York state,
for instance. the leaders have started
real campaign for the president.
They are reused to keenest activity
by the nomination Of popular favor
ite. Job e. Hedges. for governor, and
they are making Q real campaign,
Some Of them believe they will win.