The Vinita daily chieftain. [volume] (Vinita, Indian Territory [Okla.]) 1902-1913, 1912-03-13
PRESIDENT TAFT
DOOMED TO DEFEAT
(By Winfield Jones.)
Special to The Chieftain.

0NtN - bNAh6 oAONh C1CA 0ags nC
standpat republicans, who are the
mainstay of the Taft campaign, are
unable to make any headway Tafts
weakness as a candidate is clearly
shown by an analysis of the electoral
vote.
In only twenty-three of the forty
eight states is the administration now
in the hands of republicans These
states have 2SO votes in the electoral
college.
There will be 5S1 votes in the cleo
toral college, making 266 necessary to
elect. 1t is doubtful if the republicans
can hold the states in which they now
have the governorship.
In eight states republican governors
are leadingare leading strong opposi-
tion to Taft
The republican voters in these states
are Overwhelmingly in favor of the
nomination of Mr.. Roosevelt, and if
the president is renominated at the
Chicago convention the great probable
ity is that the normal republican vote
cannot be brought out at the polls in
these states.
In seven other states which now
have republican governors-Ca california;
Illinois, Iowa, Minnesota, New Mexico
Washington, Wisconsin-there is also
decided opposition to President Taft,
such that it is more than doubtful
whether any kind of campaign that
can be conducted in case the presi-
dent should be renominated would be
able to bring out the normal republi-
can vote. These states have an ag-
gregate of ninety electoral votes.
This puts 161 electoral votes, from
fifteen normally republican states, into
the doubtful column the moment Pres
ident Taft is declared the nominee of
the Chicago convention
In case the nominee at Chicago is
Roosevelt, there is reason to suppose
that he would fail to carry many of
these twenty-three republican states.
He certainly would not carry Mary
land and Tennessee.
The Roosevelt fight. therefore, would
have to be made in states which now
have democratic administrations.
There are twelve of these states Colo
RADIO, with 6 electoral votes; Connect
icut, Z; Idaho, A Indiana, Is; Maine,
l6; Massachusetts, IS; Montana, 4;
New Jersey, IA; New York, As; North
Dakota, 5; Ohio, "a. and Oregon 5.
Total 1853 Mr.. Taft lost Colorado and
Nebraska in 1908.
On any figuring which can be made
in regard to these twelve states now
administered by democratic governors
Taft eould not win the votes neces-
sary in addition to the 230 from states
at present republican to carry him to
victory If Mr. Taft is renominated,
he will start with an aggregate of elec-
toral votes considerably under 100, and
it will be necessary for him to win
about It's electoral votes from states
that will properly be classed in the
doubtful or possibly the democratic
column.
This is practically certain The
president will be disastrously defeat
ed if he is renominated.
The truth is that the country as a
whole is tired of years of republican
misrule and extravaganza, and wants
change The country don't want
any do-nothing traveller or any wild
eyed broncho buster in the White
House in 1918. Neither does it want
anybody tinged with soeialistic doc
trines. 1t wants a safe and sane
man who can do things for the people
and who has done things for the peo-
pie.
Every sign now points to democratic
victory next November. The republi
cans are fighting like Kilkenney cats
and the two factions are so bitter
against each other that which ever
side wins in the Chicago convention,
the losers will take the greatest dc
light in throwing down the victor at
the polls. All the democrats have to
do is to steer a sane and sober course
and their candidate will be inaugurat
ed president. The democrats have
had better chance to win than they
have now.
Presbyterian Church.