New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1912-10-09
GENERAL. CONFEDERATION
EXPECTED IN PARIS
Further Declarations Likely to
Follow Completion Of
Mobilization.


Mobilization.
Paris. Oct. S.--A general confagra
ton in the Balkans is expeced by on
Gals here within forty-eight hours
Montenegro's declaration Of war against
Turkey is regarded merely as the be-
ginning. 1t is believed that the other
units in the Balkan coalition will fol-
low suit as soon as the mobilization OIL
their armies is complete. There Is only
a faint hope now that the representa-
lions of the powers will avert general
hostilities.
Montenegro's move is considered In
Paris to be all a part Of prearranged
plan. 1t is asserted that Greece was
first selected by the Balkan confedera-
ton to force the issue and inaugurate
the war. This could easily have been
done by Greece seating in her parlia-
ment the Deputies from Crete, which
was certain to prove casus belli 10
Turkey. Greece, however, declined to
accept responsibility for starting the
fame of battle.
Montenegro was then picked for the
task. She had a long standing quarrel
with Turkey over the boundary ques-
ton. and Turkeys refusal to grant
satisfaction was seized upon as just-
fication for Montenegro's resort 10
arms. A prominent diplomat said to-
night:
1T looks as II our fine European
diplomacy had been beaten by the
cleyerness Of the Balkan States. These
states have grown weary Of Ottoman
promises. Turkeys recent decision to
inaugurate reforms. which were con-
sidered unsatisfactory. and the slow
ness and hesitancy of certain powers
to join in urgent intervention have led
the Balkan peoples to feel that tho
battlefield was the only sure means or
exactlng what they felt to be Justice"
Pressure Will Be Irresistible.
1t is not doubted here that cooler
heads in Bulgaria have been against
the war from the start, but popular
excitement is at such high pitch that
that country Will practically be driven
to war to satisfy public opinion
|. IN. the failure of Intervention every
fibre Of energy will be exerted by the
great powers TO prevent the war fame
from engulfing Europe. 1t Is realized
that all depends on the eventual atti-
tude of Austria, which, according 10
late advices, has already mobilized four
army corps-in Croatia, Bosnia, Herze-
govina and Southern Hungsry--and
stands ready to occupy the sanjak OF
Noyibazar should this coveted strategic
territory be menaced by the Servians
and Montenegrins.
Despite Russian sympathy for their
Slav brethren Of the Balkans. whose
political welfare Russia has fostered.
no complications are expected be-
tween Russia and Austria, and both
these nations have assured the other
powers Of their determination not to be
drawn into any Balkan imbroglio.
| Official circles in France greatly re-
greet the criticism of certain French
newspapers that Great Britain's slow
ness In agreeing to the phraseology of
the note has embarrassed and retarded
the representations of the powers.
This criticism, II Is averred, does not
represent the official French view. II
is pointed out that such criticism Is
liable to cause false impression
abroad. and that It has already fur
nished ammunition for an attack by
| the German press on Great Britain.
Revolution Threatened.
Confirmation of the forces impelline
King Ferdinand to go to war is found
| in a letter Just received In Paris by a
brother of a Bulgarian captain now al
the front. The officer wrote:
This week brings decisive events Either
| the powers must effectively guarantee tn'
| cessation of the century-old practice o
prosecuting and massacring Christians, o.
| we make war. But II the Bulgarian gov
eminent permits itself 10 De ClBarmed 'DS
the powers it Will be the signal for
revolution.
Every Bulgarian ardently desires war
| Our mothers, daughters, sweetheart
have seen us off to the front, stoically
| heroically and without a tear. They sim
| Div said, "Goodby! God watch over yot
and help you TO victory!"
In conclusion, the writer Of the let
ter expressed the opinion that they
would soon be before the walls Of
Adrianople, and added: "Without
doubt 1t will be another terrible Muk'
den. But IL 100000 Of us fall at Adrl
anople. 100000 will remain 70 march
on Constantinople."
The real story Of how the Balkan
powers forestalIed and outwitted Euro
pean Intervention is told in the OF
fetal advices from Cettinje. The Aus
TRAN and Russian representatives pre-
sented the note in the name of the
powers, warning the Balkan States
against war at IL o'clock in the morn