Polk County observer. (Monmouth, Polk County, Or.) 1888-1927, 1912-11-05
WIDE DIVERGENCE SHOWN IN
PREDICTIONS BY OFFICIALS
OF OPPOSING POLITICAL
COMMITTEES.
POLK FOR TAFT BY 1863
Secretary of Republican Committee
Says President Will Win i'm County;
''WiIson by 475" Says Hayter;
Roosevelt by $50" Declares Bull
Moose Secretary Stone.

Interviews with the different Dallas
politicians regarding the probable
outcome of today's balloting in Polk
county reveals a wide divergence OF
opinion, especially on the result on
the head of the ticket. Representa-
tives of the Republican, Democratic
and Progressive parties, in response
to a request from The Observer, have
given their views of the vote and
each one has figured the matter so
that their candidates have a majority.
Polk county has a voting strength,
according to the latest figures on the
registration, of 1897, and of this num-
ber the Republicans have total of
2022, or a majority of SAT over all
opponents combined. The Democrats
have normal strength of 995, all
other parties total $50. In ordinary
years the Republicans have carried
the county, especially on the head of
the ticket, by substantial majorities,
but their opponents this year claim
that the Bull Moose movement has
lette, 461. Mr.. Stone. eveidently be-
the party will either land poor
SeCOHO, OF even III IHlFu
Says Taft VIII Carry 1t.
Secretary Mark Ellis, of the Repub-
lican central committee, gives the
county to Taft by 1913 majority and
places Roosevelt third in the race.
He figures that Selling will carry the
county and that Lane will come sec
ond. In the April primaries, Selling
received 952 votes and Bourne 292.
Mr.. Ellis complete figures are as fol-
lows: Taft, 1918; Wilson, 1850;
Roosevelt, $50; Selling 1850; Lane,
1,O0O Bourne, 500; Clark. $50;
Paget, 800.
Hayter Says "WilsOn."
Oscar Hayter, chairman of the
Democratic county central commit
tee, has made the following estimate
of the vote: Wilson, 1875; Taft,
1850; Roosevelt, 72O; Lane, 1900;
Selling, 1000; Bourne, $50. In the
presidential race Mr.. Hayter figures
on a basis of 3245 votes and on SEN
ator he uses 3050. He doesn't take
into consideration the prohibition
candidates on president and senator,
nor the Bull Moose candidate for
senator. While the Democratic reg
istration in the county is 995, Mr..
Hayter claims that Wilson will gain
from the Republicans and independ-
ent voters more than 400 above the |
Democratic registration.
Stone Sees Only Roosevelt.
c. B. Stone, secretary of the Polk |
County Progressive committee, can't
see anything to it but Roosevelt. He
believes that Taft will be a poor third, |
and gives the county to the Colonel |
by $50 majority. He makes no pre-
diction on the senatorial race. de-
claring that the party in this county |
is more interested in the vote on the
head of the ticket, and that no es-
pecial effort has been made to learn
the trend of opinion on the other
candidates. His figures on the head
of the ticket are as follows: Roose-
welt, 1850; Wilson, 1000; Taft, 500;
Chain, 275. In the primaries Taft
received sos, Roosevelt 504; LaFol-
lette, 461. Mr.. Stone evidently be-
lieves that Roosevelt will receive the
bulk of the LaFollette vote. He also
predicts that Campbell will beat Haw-
ley by 200 votes in this county.