Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1912-10-27
TAFT NEEDS UNITED
VOTE OF REPUBLICANS
inducements for Farmers to Go to
Polls Will Be Lacking.
EXPECT PAY FOR TIME TAKEN
Not Much Heard Of Tammany.
Democrats Show Little Modesty
When It Comes to Max
ing Claims.


BY N. o. MESSENGER. s
NEW YORK. October 26-The politicas
prophets are wrangling over New York's
predicted presidential vote like a couple
| or terriers over a stuffed Teddy bear
Not that it makes much difference In the.
outcome. since in the evolution-or shall
we say revolution-of politics II is mott
likely to be this year a case of las
| goes New York SO goes the nation" The
nation already has gone
Honest Injun. it is hard to guess New
York. Given inside and confidential fig
ures based upon the returns OF election
district captains, there Is a diversity OF
result that would drive a national bank
| examiner to drink and even an adding
machine would not save him.
Figures are tiresome unless they refer
to the right side OF ones bank account,
and it is not my purpose to bother you
on the Sabbath with a lot OF political
wise guy calculations. Heaven knows
they are presented to the visiting corre-
spondents In such profusion that they
| look like a collapsed kaleidoscope. But
| there is no reason why You should have
| to be pestered. We are paid for IT.
Some Salient Figures.
| However, a few salient totals may be
taken up in passing. but let's put il In the
| vernacular rather than In the tabuiated
form. Assuming that Wilson will carry
Greater New York by $1,000. the repub-
licans must come down to the Bronx with
q plurality of $1,000 from upstate. That
would give Taft a plurality Of 10000 in
J the whole state.
! Boss Barnes figures that Taft will come
tdo3U with q plurality Of Ill 600. which
would give Taft plurality In the state
1 Anew the foregoing assumption that
/ Wilson might carry Greater New York
by $1,000 is based on these possible and
calculated figures: Wilson. 2SO,O00: Taft,
2OOO0O; Roosevelt. 10000: all Ot~ers,
35. 900.
General View Of Situation.
But now let's abandon figures and look,
at the situation from a viewpoint by and.
| large. The democrats carried the state
two years ago. electing a governor. leg
islature. one United States senator. a.
| whole parcel of representatives in the
| House and all that. To be sure, there
were 100000 stay-at-home republican
| votes. What is the difference now?
Isn't 1t the same old fight between the
L
ives, with the added consideration that
now there are three tickets In the field?
What are the odds whether the silent
vote of two years ago goes to Wilson
or still stays at home? Are not the re-
publicans torn in twain?
Doesn't it appear that 1t would take all
the united vote Of the republicans to
carry the state for Taft? Where are you
going to get 'em? Is 1T possible that
these silent voters OF two years ago are
( not actuated by the same motive which
| impelled them at that time to destroy
Roosevelt? II they see chance for
Roosevelt are they not likely to go over
| to Wilson,? Anyhow, IL the republican
vote is thus SPLIT for whatever reason
that may be assigned, including the pres
ence of the third party in the field. it
publicans
And yet they are going around with
their chests all swelled out and some
OF 'em are putting up real money.
Expect Many stay-at-Homes.
Speaking of money. there is likely to
be big stay-at-home vote in this state
November 5. The three parties are just
about ''all in at this time. as far as
cash Is concerned. Now 1t is a fact.
regrettable as it may be, but well known
to every native Of New York state. that
come election day there is very con-
ton that won't go near the polls unless
the local boss shows up with q five or
a ten for the farmer.
They don't count it as anything venai
on their part; they are honest. church,
going people. But from time imme-
mortal they have been accustomed 10 be-
ing paid for their teams and recon-
pensed for the time lost from their farms
In this way. Actually they feel that
they are being defrauded of their just
dues IL the money is not forthcoming.
Well, there will be great disappoint-
ments along this line next election day.
and the prospect is being mourned at
all headquarters. Many a team will
stand hitched in the barn yard from
early morning till dewy eve with never a
satchei-bearing chap appearing.
Little Talk Of Tammany.
To change the subject Can you re-
call a campaign where you heard so
little Of your old friend Tammany Hall?
When was there q time Croker or MUIR
ply was not to the fore In New York
politics? There is hardly a whisper OF
Tammany In this fight. Something must
have happened to Boss Murphy at Bal
timore last summer and backed up on
him" at Syracuse. He is not uttering a
peep.
Mr.. Hearst is doing valiant service for
his party through his newspapers. Over
at Nauheim he is taking the waters. but
between sips has his fingers on the cable
and is boosting Sulzer for governor most
heartily, and whacking both Taft and
Roosevelt. The prospect OF Wilson's
election. OF course. postpones Hearst's
presidential hopes for eight years but he
is keeping regular and is still a young
man.
The republicans have abandoned maxi
ing claims by states. Dave Mulvane. in
charge Of western headquarters. did in
deel put out a claim q week or SO ago:
which was duly telegraphed to The Star
upon Mr.. Mulvanes responsibility. That
claim was too rich for the blood of the
people down here. They simply gasped
and let 1t go at that: charged IL up to q
different in temperament between the
east and west. perhaps.
Some Democratic Claims.
But the democrats are up ana doinD
with their claims. and they are nooi