New-York tribune., 1912-01-14
SOCIALIST VOTE 4,4OO,OOO.
This Number Estimated in Ger
man Reichstag Election.
SlxTY.FOUR MEMBERS WIN
twenty-five Additional Seats
Likely To Be Secured at
Second Ballots.

Second Ballots.
Berlin jan 12-The immense rally 10
the Socialist flag during the elections 10
the Reichstag is indicated by the ngures
of the number OF votes in nifty con-
stituencies taken at random. These snow
that nearly 32 per cent OF the voters
were Socialists and foreshadow an az
gregate Socialist vote at the close OF the
polling of 100000.
A late analysis OF the situation gives
some reason to believe that the Radicals
after the rebaloting may return to the
Reichstag in nearly their former strength.
They will participate In "a reballots. and II
Is estimated that their chances are good 10
win in ~, possibly in 90. These victories
would include four seats now held by the
Conservatives and two each from the Ma
tional Liberals and the Centre and the
Socialists. The Radicals are assisted IN
their fight bq the fact that both the Ma
tiona Liberals and the Socialists support
them In preference TO efther the Centre or
the Conservatives and both the latter sup
port them against the Socialists
The "Norddeutsche Allgemeine Iei-
tung" to-day heads its column with
warnings 10 the government and TO all the
non Socialist parties TO make strong ef-
forts in the second ballots against the
return OF Socialist candidates. The So
cialists, Il SAYS, exercise turbulent ter
rorism at home and build up n vision OF
the general determination OF the peoples
OF the world. The foreign enemies and
rivals OF the German empire, the news
paper continues, build their hopes on the
Socialists. and will rejoice II they add
to their victories in the second ballots.
In closing. the article says: Our work
for peace can only prosper when We Keep
ourselves strong and united as nation
Among the first tasks OF the new Reich
stag will be the guaranteeing OF our de-
fensive power. The party calling itself
international is incapable of meeting
this most important demand"
Unoficial returns OF the result OF the
polling for the elections to the Reichstag
have been received from all OF the Ss7
constituencies. but owing 10 discrepan-
cies in the tabulations. II is still difficult to
make any definite prediction OF the COM
plexion OF the new Reichstag. as there
are 1ss constituencies in which a second
ballot VIII be necessary.
Coalition Badly Shaken.
The Conservative Clerical coalition.
which has had uncontrolled domination
of the imperial Parliament since the fall
OF Prince Won Bulow, has been badly
shaken on this occasion. It's absolute
majority is probably a thing OF the past.
but the combination OF the two powerful
parties must still be reckoned with as
the strongest factor in the Reichstag.
The Socialists have run up the number
OF their elected members TO -, or, ac-
cording 20 some reports. TO GO, OF whom
% wrested their seats from members OF
other parties. and the Socialists are also
concerned in l22 second ballots. They
need only 10 hold their own in the re-
ballots in order TO return TO the Reich
stag as strong numerically as they were
in 1903. when their representation
reached high water mark. They will
probably this year pass their old limit
cf 81 Deputies by 10. as they seem to be
almost certain OF securing 90 or 81 seats.
The National Liberals and the Radi-
Gals hRve paid the major portion OF the
bill for the Socialist feast at tho first
ballots. but the Conservatives and Cen
trists will pay the remainder OF the
reckoning at the second ballots. In l0s
Of these the Conservatives and Clericals
face an adverse majority OF Radicals.
Liberals and Socialists. and many OF the
seats will be lost TO them II the three
more Democratic parties combine. as
they probably will do In most cases.
The Result Of the BsIlotina.
The latest and most correct non Official
figures OF the results OF the first ballots
are as follows:
or the Conservatives. with their anti
Semitic and Agrarisn allies, 35 have been
elected, against 80 elected al the FIRST bal
lots Ia 1907, and as compared with l03.
which was their strength al the dissolu-
ton.
or the Centre. with their Polish and Al
satan allies. IO2 have been elected. against
lOS at the first ballots in 1907 and com
pared with 40 at the dissolution.
or the National Liberals. 3 have been
1907. and compared with 81, their strength
at the dissolution.
OF the Radicals, none has been elected,
against NJ tHe ITbl DallOts IN 1871, ana
compared with ~. their strength at the
dissolution.
or the Socialists. "a have been elected. as
compared with 20 at the first ballots IN
1901. and So. their strength at the dissolu-
ton.
Two Independents also have been
elected.
The Conservatives are contestant at the
second ballots in s. constituencies. the
Centrists in 43. rhe National Liberals in
Ga, the Radicals in &c and the Socialists
in 10.
The gain OF the Socialists UP 10 now Is
2S seats, Of which were captured from
Radicals. . from National Liberals. from
Centrists, and 3 from Conservatives
disturbance occurred at Dortmund
during the elections. the Socialists and
National Liberals coming 10 blows on the
streets. Otherwise no incidents are re
ported.
ASKS REPORT ON CAIRNS