Holbrook argus., 1912-10-15
MEAN WILSON TO
 SWEEP COUNTRY
Democratic Gains in Vermont
 and Maine Impressive.
OTHER PARTIES PLIGHT
Third Termers to Poll Their Entire Strength From the Rapidly Thinning Republican
 Ranks.

That the result of the state cleo tions in Vermont and Maine mean tremendous Democratic victory in No vember, is freely admitted by all ex- cept the bitterest partisans. Politi- cal experts have done some analysing, and some claim to have reached novel conclusions. But these facts stand out:
 On Monday, September g, 1912, the Republican; and Third Term parties combined elected William T. Haines governor of Maine, over Frederick w. Plaisted, the present Democratic in- clumbent, by 8,023 plurality; in 1908, a presidential year, a Republican was elected governor by 7,653 plurality; in 1904, the plurality was 25,S00, and in 1900 1t was S4,132 In other words, in 12 years the 1Democrats have cut down the Republican plurality in state elections by 31.10s.
 In this period the Democratic vote has increased from 39,000 to 6S,000 whereas the Republican vote has de- creased from -74.000 to 71,000. The Democratic vote of this year exceeds that of September, 1908, by 1000, but the Republican vote is about 1000 less than that party cast four years ago.
 The split in the Republican ranks, following the election of William T. Haines, Is pronounced. If the divi- sion in Maine in November Is as 1t was in the recent Vermont election, six-tenths of the Republican vote will go for Taft, three-tenths for Roose- welt, and one-tenth for the Demo crats. It is significant that the latter party has to date suffered no losses, as compared with the vote in previous years, from the Third Term move ment. On the contrary, 1t has gained. The result in Maine may be expected to be something like this: Wilson, 74,000; Taft, 42,600; Roosevelt, 21.300.
 The returns from the recent Yer mont election show, in round figures, that the joint Republican and third : party vote was eight per cent. short of the Republican vote four years ago, while the Democratic vote in that state shows gain of twenty-five per cent over that of 1908 It is of spe- -cfal interest to speculate. what will happen next November throughout the nation If the Republican and Democratic vote for the national tickets happen to be affected as the guberhatorial vote this month in Vermont has been affected. The New York Evening Post has done l some interesting figuring along this
 line and as a net result it is shown that, under the contingencies mention
 ed, President Taft would carry only two states in November, Rhode Island
 and Vermont, all the others going fo1 Gov. Wilson. The conclusions reach
 ed by the Post follow,
 ITO compute this result we should , have to deduct 8 per cent from the vote cast for Taft four years ago and apportion the remaining vote in the I ratio of 62 to 3S between Taft and Roosevelt, and we should have to add ] 35 per cent to Bryan's vote in 1908
 and give the 'demnition total te Woodrow Wilson. In other words, give ] Taft 57 per cent. and Roosevelt 8; per cent. of Taft's vote four years ] ago, and give Wilson 125 per cent. ol s Bryap's vote four years ago.
 The result in round numbers would be as follows, so far as regards Taft D and Wilson.
 l