The Washington herald., 1912-11-03
THE WASHINGTON HERALD SUNDAY NOVEMBER 3. 1912.

ward ,. Dunn. he psnscEasss eaals-
oaes spr 0ovsraes - vssy popular 90
nes . eood chanea.
~, tansie IN WIsoonsln = sueA tAaG
...oeeey i. eare maks any yguphsey a1set
seAlp. ana VIM taks rart Of ID 1oiiov-
mS ykh him. sending thsm psohably 70
wilson. The Tsft people ere supoerting
AAsea he Dsuaocrntic nominee Tor Gov.
csnof' ana win vote for Wilson e ttsy
sn.nk Roosevelt has .. chance IN the
Acoovern. the Rspub,iean eaaAsAsaa.
VINO mas declared tor Rooosvelt, has the
oeos chance Of election.
hard hight for first place. and win Gse Il.
Y the TAFT people throw any strsagth 70
WILSON Otherwise. Roosevelt, running
away ahead Of TAFT VIM get The twelve
electoral votes Of the etAts.
Wilson LsaAs In IsWa.
In Iowa. Senator cumminA who viii
vote for Roosevelt, bslisvss that Wilson
VIII carry the stats. % does LAfs
Young. editor Of the Dss Moines capi-
tai. and an ardent standpa&tsf. The Pro-
gressives have Q great strength. but Il
lacks organization. the leaders are not
strong men and the candidate for Gov
ernor 10 drag on the ticket.
Missouri went for Taft BY only 80
votes four years ago. and there seems
to be no possibility that II win not 90
for Wilson this year. with the Bull
Moosers taking away great blocks OF
TAFT votes. In Kansas City and neigh
borhood the Bull Moose vote 10 particu-
larry strong, and there II plenty Of It In
and around st. Louis. No Governorship
or Senatorial fight fogs the issue. which
is straight three-cornered night It
may be that Taft will run second in
Missouri, but 1t wouldn't Be . gilt-edged
bet.
Michigan. another manufacturing
State, Is full of Progressive sentiment
and the Bull Moose leaders arc very
confident. They even assert that they
will get half of the Democratic vote a.
well as two-thirds Of the Republican.
but with this view the Democrats take
direct ISSUE. Edward Shields. the Demo-
cratic State chairman. says he has den.
mite Information that no inroads are
being made in the Democratic ranks and
that the State will 90 for Wilson by
decisive majority.
Pennsylvania Political Chaos.
Any one who can get any prophecy out
Of the political chaos in Pennsylvania
will gain the respect and admiration Of
all the old leaders. who are dumbly
waiting to see what is going to happen.
The anti-Penrose vote. which has
been built up vastly by the revelations
in the Standard Oil letters IN Hearst's
Magazine. has killed the Taft hope OF
running second. The Roosevelt strength.
however. Is divided. The Democrats are
getting a lot OF 1t.
The Roosevelt strength 10 weakened
by opposition to Bill Finn. the Taft
strength by opposition to Penrose. And
II the Democrats sit tight and poll their
own vote the chances Of carrying the
State are excellent.
In New York Wilson's chances are
founded on the loyalty of the New York
City organization. There are no present
Indications that the Democratic candi-
date will not have the full support OF
the Tammany men who refused to re-
nominate Dix solely because the Gov
ernor would have handicapped Wilson IN
the State. Upstate there II abundant
Bull Moose sentiment. but apparently the
Taft strength has not been a. greatly
impaired as In Western States.
Democrats Appear United.
Barring a Roosevelt landslide. the
colonel has a fair chance Of getting
electoral votes only In Illinois, Michigan.
Minnesota, Ohio. and possibly Indiana
Of the ten States in question. He will
not get these II the Democrats hold their
own. And II must be remembered that
while Democrats sometimes scatter when
there 10 no hope Of winning. the prospect
Of victory unites them like brothers.
1t Is in,pos sible to measure the Roose-
welt strength before the ballots have
fallen.
1t is unorganized in every State save
New Jersey. Part OF It IL based on op-
position to Taft. part on the Progressive
idea, part on the personal popularity of
the colonel. which is still great. and
which was helped by the assault on him
in Milwaukee
Taking It on the whole. the Roosevelt
landslide may come but 1t isn't in sight
There are too many stone walls to
stop It, too much level ground for II to
cover And Democratic success is only a
question Of keeping the party together
and taking the electors as they come In