Arizona republican., 1912-07-22
Out of the Growing Confu- sion which is Enveloping the Situation, Almost Anything May Be Expec- te to Come Forth.
SOME OF THINGS
 LIKELY TO HAPPEN
One of Them Is the Wiping Out of Supposed Demo cratic Majority in New State, and the Reasons for the Hope.

Not far below the horizon of Ari- zona's politics there is massing a series of political events that will give every one at all interested in i the states affairs plenty to think of | for the next several months. In fact, the air is literally charged with pos 1 abilities, and the man who wants run for his money-meaning the man who is seeking for some real political action-iS certain to get his desire.
 and that before many moons have waXed and waned.
 l Events are so shaping themselves , in Arizona, and they have been com l ing thick and fast lately, that he is | bold indeed who is willing to venture 1 a prediction as to the probable out come of the present situation. Of course, everyone is acquainted with
 the fact that as general proposi- | tion the status of political events ! throughout the country is almost un- paralleled And not only is this state a part of the big national pug gle. but there are some independent 1 matter that belong to the problem
 which make the case of Arizona one tOl p6CuIdr
 | In the matter of national politics, there is this fact that first presents itself There never has been such g.
 thing as a national election in Ari- zona. so the state is without that po- l litical history that furnishes the ba- sis on which the political calculator relies for his starting point. It is true 1 that because the state went demo- 1 ,rrx, s< s- orally regarded that that party wilt 1 have the best chance this fall. But that supposition does not necessarily have to be accepted. It has been a
 noticeable fact that each election in 1 this state has been a law unto itself There are nearly always so many side issues to he taken into consid-
 eration. and these affect the result to
 such an extent that political surprises
 are due at any time. And in the
 coming election there are so many
 matters that will have a bearing of
 one sort or another that all claims
 made at this time are the veriest sort of guesswork.
 1 The truth is there are half dozen
 contingencies. any one of which may
 have a vital effect on the result of |
 this matter into consideration, the
 first thing that suggests itself is nat
 urally the question og a third party.
 The third party movement in this state. it will be seen, is in a most
 peculiar situation AS pointed out re-
 centlly. the state will have three votes
 at the coming Bull Moose" conven-
 ton. But three votes do not neces-
 sarily mean three delegates. Tn fact. l there is no set rule as to the number
 of delegates. Under the call recently promulgated by Senator Dixon, it is
 provided that each state shall cast in the convention a number of votes
 equal to the whole number of sena-
 tors and representatives: but state
 may send a number of delegates larger or smaller than the number of votes.
 It is a rather peculiar fact that in this state the delegates to the coming Chicago convention are to be chosen by a convention. It is another pe- culiar fact that delegates to the state convention will be chosen by county ! conventions. Tn other words, there will be no such things as popular pri maries-the very thing over all others
 over which the fight between the Taft
 and Roosevelt adherents in this state has taken place.
 ! The details of the new party move
 ment are also matters of much spec- ulation In this state the same
 problems confront the leaders in the tnew movement that have arisen in many other states-and that is the Iquestion as to a party name. Like wise, the construction of the neces- sary machinery is a live issue just now.
 It is apparent, however, from the
 call that has just been issued that
 the new movement is to be entirely independent of the republican party.
 In one place the national convention
 to be held at Chicago, August 5, is l progressive" party. And again the call denounces the bosses" and the interests in the two old parties. So Il it may be fairly presumed that so far las the state of Arizona is concerned, ithere will be no attempt to carry on this movement under the banner of ,republicanism. but that a separate lset of presidential electors will be placed in the field.
 I And there is another thing of vast interest in this call. It is addressed to the people who want "a return to the principles of government taught l (COntinuel on Page n.