New-York tribune., 1912-04-08
PENNSYLVANIA FOR TAFT
renroSe Says 66 Delegates Are
Sure for President.
ROOSEVELT MAY GET TEN
Colonels Supporters Have Made
Little Effort at Real 0rgani-
cation in State.
tRr Telegraph 70 The Tribune J

PHILADELPHIA, April with the rounding
ND OF the primary campaign in Pennsyl-
vania. Senator Penrose is not concedlng
Roosevelt more than ten Of the seventy
six national delegates which the state VIII
have in the Republican National Convention
He makes that the utmost limit. OF course
the Roosevelt followers claim more Ou'
they are not giving figures.
One Of the difficulties in making accurate
calculations lies in the fact that there are
so many other things 10 be decided at the
prirnaries on April l3. and these are more
or less complicated with the electloh u
national delegates. There are candldates
for Congress 10 be nominated IN th!IIS-'"0
districts. for the State Senate in twenty
hve districts and candidates Tor the lo"eI
house Of the Legislature in districts when
will elect a total of 2o7 members. IN auu.
ton. delegates 10 the state convention anu'
in many places. members OF party coiiliIi'-
tees will be chosen. Not IN all oisu'c's'
but in many, there are Taft candidates anu
Roosevelt candidates and other candidates
for these various places. Experienced poA-
tic,ans well know how combinations ana
trades are made when such conditions exist
Result Difficult TO Forecast.
This alone is sufficient 10 create uncer-
.aintv as 10 the outcome IN some districts
ana makes II difficult definitely 10 forecast
the result. There Is some Roosevelt senu-
rnent in Pennsylvania. as there IS else-
ubers but # has been abused and minim-
tied BY the way in which some d!seredlted
ro,iticiars have attempted to use 1t for
Their personal advantage. In fact there Is
~ conspicuous Roosevelt leader anywhere
,n the state who is purely unselhsh IN MS
nreference. some are opponents OF the
reguIar Republican organization in the
ststA and take UP with anything in the
hope OF smashing II; others have personal
.risverces and all of them want to get
somewhere. The real Roosevelt sentiment
,r ,bs state has been chilled by such lead
ership.
With such conditions existing, II Is DOUBT
ful ~ Roosevelt could get more than thfee
or four delegates of Pennsylvania seven
tv-six il there were nothing but the cholee
cf national delegates involved in the pri-
-nartes. The highest estimate now mace
for him is twelve, but few expect ne VIII
receive as many as that
The state convention will have an over
vhelming majority for Taft. and VIII
elect twelve delegates al large. In the
six districts of Philadelphia twelve more
delegates will be chosen, and no one VINO
understands the situation has any DOUBT
that ten Of them. and possibly all VIII oe
for Taft. The only city district about
which there is any doubt is the Sth, now
represented in Congress by Democrat
and pretty generally regarded as dlihcult
30 count on.
OF the eight delegates from Allegheny
County. IN which is Pittsburgh, there is
rro present prospect that more than one
will favor Roosevelt II is probable that
ex-senator William Finn, who has really
been the main support Of the Roosevelt
movement in Pennsylvania, will be elect
ed His colleague. however, will be
Taft man. The business interests Of
Pittsburgh have organized so effectively
for the President in that city that there
has been a great change in the outlook
there within the last ten days.
Little Effort at Organization.
In the interior counties Of the state
away from Philadelphia and Allegheny
there has been little real effort TO effect
Q Roosevelt organization. But in the an
thracite counties almost anything may
happen. l, IS possible that Roosevelt
may get four OF the six delegates elected
IN the three Congress districts composed
separately OF Schuylkill, LuIerne and
Lacka wanna countiss-in fact, one in the
last named county is the only one the
Taft managers feel safe in counting upon
Added TO these will very likely be two
Roosevelt delegates from the 18th Dis
trict, and possibly two in the 14th. There
ere many counties with large independ-
ent sentiment, but the greater proportion
81 this is for Taft
m the summing up the seventy-six
PENNSYLVANIA delegates will show at least
sixty for Taft, and possibly sixty-seven
The reports from nearly all the upstate
sections indicate that Roosevelt has been
losing ground rapidly in the last two