Daily capital journal. (Salem, Oregon) 1903-1919, 1912-10-02
The Situation Analysed.

London Oct. with France active
ly moving to prevent war, which has
practically started in the Balkans,
Great Britain non-committal, and
Germany and Austria practically in a
state Of armed neutrality, the great
puzzle of the near Eastern embrogllo
today Is what will Russia do? Does
the Car want WARP
While the British foreign office re-
fuses to issue any statement on the
expected attack upon Turkey by
Greece Burgaria, Servia and Montene-
gro, 1t is felt in diplomatic circles
that Sir Edward Grey will do all he
can to prevent an explosion. His
hands, however, are admittedly ham
pered. While Britain, for years, has
shielded the Turkish empire from dis
memberment, the growing influence
of Germany at Constantinople, many
say forbodes a new alignment Of the
powers, in which England probably
will resign from the role Of the sui
tans protector, and will align with
Italy Russia and the Balkan states as
as against the mutually interested al
; lance Of Austria, Germany and Tur-
key.
Russia and England Together.
This view of the British position, It
is said, in semi-official circles, is
strongly supported by the presence Of
Russla's foreign envoy, Sazanoff, In
London. The relations between Great
Britain and Russia, since the practical
agreement arrived at for the partition
of Persia, are very close, and there
are those who openly predict that If
Britain is forced to take an open hand
in the Balkans her influence will be
thrown to the side of the allies, who
plan to tear Macedonia from Turkey.
Russia Plays Deep Game.
Russia, the chancellories Of Europe
believe, is playing deep game. When
Bosnia and Herzegovina we're recently
absorbed by Austria 1t is known that
Russia would have opposed the grab
by force of arms had she been pro-
= pared. At that time, however, Poland
4 lay open to a possible assault of Ger
Y many, Austria's alley, and the czar
e with very bad grace, was forced tc
acquesce. Today Russla's levies fiji
d Poland, and It is shrewdly suspected
b that they are there to repair the form
8 er weak spot, and to lend substantial
y backing to Servla, Bulgaria, Montene-
= gro and Greece, in case Germany
e should attempt to call halt on theii
+ Balkan operations, by threat o
s armed Intervention.
Russia's preparations, too are takel
'f with view to checkmating any NOV
e by Austria to aggrandize herself II
A the general outbreak which may follow
d Balkan war. Austria's Bosnian
IS grab evoked the bitterest resentmen
d in Servla and Bulgaria and the forme
is determined II war really develop
t. to absorb the Sandjak Of Novipazai
ID while Bulgaria will grab for Macedo
IL mia, Montenegro for at least part c
le Albania. Greece surely will annex II
I'd long-desired island Of Crete, with, pos
~ slbly, a portion Of the vilayet of So
3 lonika, sufficient to forever cut d
to Ionia from Albania, Monaster and tn
r Turkish provinces lying to the mort
e. Although not directly involved in II
a Balkan affair, Italy, from its preseI
er conflict with Turkey, is expected
ne lend efficient aid to Greece in sweel
in ing the Aegean and Iionian seas
nd any Turkish vessels. Turkeys nav
at best Is Of little consequence in Il
IS impending struggle, but the Mosle
es army, fired by fanatlcism, Is one
he the most powerful in the world, al
nm desperate battles are to be expected
the Balkan Businesses before the Tui
'e- is beaten--even II his armies a
he forced to fight alone against their co
1T. federation OF foes.