Arizona republican., 1912-05-03
REPUBLICAN, CITY TICKET Councilman, Second Ward DANIEL McDERMOTT Councilman, Fourth Ward
 CLAUDE CISNEY
The Standing

The Standing Figures bearing on either a presi dentiaI election or q presidential nom i ination are always interesting. and i'll the present republican race they are peculiarly so because of the promin- ence of the candidates and the sharp ness of the contest now going on. In st general view of the present situation the following facts stand out most prominently: Prior to the Massachusetts primary President Taft had 437 delegates, Mir. Roosevelt 203. Mir LaFoIette 36, and Mir. Cummns 10. These are the au thoritative figures It is not known yet just whether the Massachusetts primaries will increase MT Tafts lead or not. But the facts with reference to that primary are as follows:
 MT. Taft carried nine of the dis tricts. giving him IS delegates Mir. Roosevelt carried five districts. giving him n deegatts. Also. Mr Taft received the indorsement of the state, giving him the right to the votes of the eight delegates large. These delegates, at least some of them, have declared they will disregard their in- structiOns and the primary law, and will vote for Roosevelt. It is only fair to the latter, however, to say that ne has recognized the presidents right to the support of these men and has renounced his own claims. But if the delegates -at-large should all persist in their expressed intention of disre- garding their instructions to vote for MT. Taft, and if this attitude should he supported by the national conven- ton. President Taft and his opponent will each have IS delegates from Massachusetts
 That would give Mir. Taft 455 and Mir Roosevelt 221
 On the other hand, if the votes of the delegates large should be counted for MT. Taft, he will have 463 votes and Mir Roosevelt 213.
 In the event of the situation first named the president would still lack NS votes of number sufficient to nominate; in the latter event the num- ber required would be 50.
 There are twenty-five states that have not yet selected all their dele gates. Most of them have selected none. From these states 34S dele gates are to be selected. so, it will be seen that if MT Taft gets only a lit Ule more than one fourth of the dele gates remaining to be chosen his re- nomination is assured To put it in another form, if MT. Taft secures an average of four delegates from each of these states, his renomination is certain.
 The states from which delegates are yet to be chosen follow:
 Alabama CD, Arizona (6), Arkansas 1S). California (26), Colorado CD, Georgia CD, Idaho (S), Kansas QS), Maryland 16), Michigan @, Mime sota (2D. Missouri (D, Montana, (S), Nevada (6), New Jersey (2S). North Carolina (24, Ohio 48), Oklahoma (2), South Dakota Q0), Tennessee (S), Texas (40), Utah (S). Washinton G4, West Virginia O6). Wyoming (6).
 The next states to select delegates are Nevada and Arkansas, whose con- ventions occur next Tuesday and Wed nesday respectively. Mir Taft. as is generally known. has large majority in the conventions of both these states and they will add 26 to his list of delegates. It is confidently believed that the states of Ohio, Minnesota and Texas alone will give the presi- dent a sufficient number of delegates to assure his nomination. These states combined will elect 112 dele gates and Mir. Taft is certain of : large majority in each of them
 Thus it will be seen that Mir Taft: nomination is as certain as any even in the future can be As matter o