The Twin City star. [volume] (Minneapolis, Minn.) 1910-19??, 1912-11-02
Managers O. All Parties Posi-.
!, lively Claim Success
ARTHUR W. OUNN'S views.
Veteran Washington Correspondent
Discusses the Conditions and Gives
Il as His Belief That tho Democratic
Candidate Will Have . Big Majority
In the Electoral College.
BY ARTHUR w. DUNN.

Washington. Nov. 1.-(Special. l-Po.
time in every presidential year There
has been lot Of predicting ever since
the nominations were made. and. of
course. the managers Of all political
parties have been giving out positive
claims Of success. Now, It Is apparent
that only one Of the three leading can.
didates can be elected. The prognos-
tications of the managers of the other
= two ure wrong.
Naturally many Republicans hone
that Chairman Hilles is right when he
says President Taft will surely have
280 electoral votes. fifteen more than
enough to elect. with several states In
the doubtful column. With some
amazement we look at the claims of
Chairman McCombs. who puts his
hand over the map Of the United
States and says all or practically all
will vote for Wilson. With consider
able interest we study the claims OF
Chairman Dixon AMI ponder his en-
thusiastic claim that there IL ground
swell or landslide coming for Roose
velt.
Mr.. Hilles tabulates his figures by
states. Mr.. McCombs gives few
states with few electoral votes AZ
possibly Republican. Mr.. Dixon dOes
Tot specify beyond dozen states. but
says the uprising IL bound to sweep the
pp00raScivoc fufo yn1vor
Newspaper Predictions.
Most of the newspapers supporting
the different candidates are following
the predictions Of the campaign man
ayers and backing up their claims
They want their candidates to win. anc
to "lay down" before the election II
not considered good political fighting
Newspaper correspondents. as far ~
possible. are following the policy Of
the papers they represent and with
"ifs'' and ION the other hands" they
give the impression that there IL a
fighting chance or a hopeful outlook
for their candidates.
A Personal Prediction.
Ny own personal opinion Of the re
suit Of the coming election IL that
Governor Wilson will be ele, ted by
such q majority In the electoral col
lege as will make the comparison
60 hack to 1852. when the Whig can
didate carried only three states. II
does not take very much political sagac
ity to predict Wilson's success. With
two candidates who have both been
elected as Republicans dividing the
Republican vote. It seems to me almost
hopeless to think Of Republican suc.
cess or the success Of the Progressive
candidate.
The elections in 1872 and in 1902 were
very one sided. In my opinion the
coming election will he more one sided
than either Of those which were term
ed landslides
Reasons Why.
The Republicans have had sixteen
years Of uninterrupted control. and
many people want a change. Two
years ago the Democrats carried the
country in the congressional elections.
For many years big victory two years
before presidential election has been
followed by the success Of the same
party in the greater contest. might
add that the "straw votes" and betting
odds are largely favorable to Wilson.
and while neither are sure indha lions
Of forthcoming results. they are con-
6rmatory OF the general conditions
which 80 strongly ipdicate a Democrat
ic victory.
Seems Q Natural outeonsN
To me Democratic success seems Q
natural outcome Of all the conditions.
Governor Wilson should receive most
Of the votes cast for Bryan four years
ago. He will get many former Demo
cratic votes which have been cast for
Republicans during the Bryan years.
In many states It is. known TINT stand
pat Republicans will vote for Wilson
In order to defeat Roosevelt.
Possibly there will be 100000
votes cast. Bryan had G.400!00O votes
four years ago. Defections from his
vote to the other candidates will bs
made up by gains for the reasons
stated. Let us say that Wilson will
have 6.500.OO0 votes and the 100000
are divided between Taft and Roose-
velt. II would be m impossibility to
arrange them In states 80 as to pre-
a. l. -