The Guthrie daily leader. [volume] (Guthrie, Okla.) 1893-1996, 1912-09-27
MEAN WILSON TO
i SWEEP COUNTRY
Democratic Gains in Vermont
+, and Maine Impressive.
.OTHER PARTIES PLIGHT
Third Termers TO Poll Their Entire
Strength From the Rapidly
Thinning Republican
Ranks.

That the result OF the state lee
tions in Vermont and Maine mean a
tremendous Democratic victory in No
vember, is freely admitted by all ex-
oept the btterest partsans. Politi-
cal experts have done some analyzing,
and some claim to have reached novel
conclusions But these facts stand
out:
On Monday, September g. 1912. the
Republican and Third Term parties
combined elected William T Hatnes
governor OF Maine, over Frederick W..
Plaisted, the present Democratic in
clumbent, by 3.023 plurality; in 1908.
presidential year, Republican was
elected governor by 1858 plurality: In
1904. the plurality was 25,S00, and in
1900 it was 81 1872 In other words, in
12 years the Democrats have cut
down the Republican plurality in state
elections by u.109.
In this period the Democratic vote
has increased from $4,000 to $4,000
whereas the Republican vote has de-
creased from $4,000 to 71,00O The
Democratic vote of this year exceeds
that of Septe mber, 1908, by 1000, but
the Republican vote is about 1000 less
than that party cast four years ago.
The split Il the Republican ranks,
following the election Of William I.
iHaines, is pronounced. II the diyi-
sion In Maine in November is as 1t
was in the recent Vermont election.
,six-tenths OF the Republican vote will
go for Taft three-tenths for Roose-
welt, and one-tenth for the Demo
Gratis. 1t is significant that the latter
party has to date suffered no losses,
as compared with the vote in previous
years, from the Third Term move
ment. On the contrary, it has gained.
The result in Maine may be expected
TO be something like this Wilson,
74,000; Taft, 42,600 Roosevelt, 2l,300.
The returns from the recent Yer
mont election show, in round figures.
that the joint Republican and third
party vote was eight per cent. short
of the Republican vote four years ago,
while the Democratic vote in that
'5tate shows a gain Of twenty-five per
cent. over that Of 1908 1t is OF spe-
cal interest to speculate what will
happen next November throughout
the nation Il the Republican and
Democratic vote for the national
tickets happen to be affected as
tine gubernatorial vote this month
IN Vermont has been affected. The
New York Evening Post has done
some interesting figuring along this
line and as net result it is shown
that, under the contingencies mention
: ed President Taft would carry only
two states in November, Rhode Island
and Vermont, all the others going for
Gov Wilson The conclusions reach
ed by the Post follow,
ITO compute this result we should
have to deduct s per cent from the
iapportlon the remaining vote in the
ratio of 62 to SO between Taft and
Roosevelt, and we should have to add
'35 per cent. to Bryans vote In 1908,
and give the demntion total to
Woodrow Wilson In other words. give
Taft 81 per cent and Roosevelt 35
per cent. Of Tafts vote four years
ago. and give Wilson l25 per cent OF
Bryans vote four years ago
The result in round numbers would
be as follows, SO far as regards Tah
and Wilson