The Mathews journal. (Mathews C.H. [Court House]) 1903-1937, 1912-01-11

IL rs probable Maine wlil suggest Gov
ernor Plaisted. the first Democratic
executive OF the old Pine Tree STATE
an a generation. and although Cover
"Or tOSs, OF Massachusetts. has de-
CARED MS intention of retiring TO pri-
Nate lie. II is not improbable the
o@y State Democracy may come for
waEu with recommendation that he
DC nominated. Even North Dakota is
expected To elect delegates pledged
10 her Democratic Governor. John
Burke Senator Newlands has beer,
mentioned. and there doubtless will
be votes cast in the convention for
half a dozen other candidates in The
nope that attention may be attracted
10 them when the break is made
Under the long-standing rule of the
democratic convention the successful
Sahuloate Tor the nomination must
nave a two-third'S majority. Even AZ
this early date it is evident that no
candidate can come anywhere near
that mark on the first ballot. Then
the trading and swapping will begin.
anu no one can. with accuracy, tell
the outcome.
With the Republicans the situation
is quite different. In their convention
majority is sufficient to nominate
Mlth the exception of President
hayes. every Republican President
mas been renominated, and Roosevelt
who assembled from the vice presi.
uehcy' was given a presidential nom
NATION in his own right. johnson
ana Arthur were not. Harrison was
the only republican renominated who
was defeated.
Accordingly. the chances are re-
Sarded as largely in favor of the re-
nomination of President Taft. Sena-
Tor la Toilette is the only avowed
candidate opposing him. although
there are indications that Senator
Cummins. of Iowa, lis wiIIin'." and
also that former Senator Albert J.
BeVerldge. of Indiana, would enter If
anything should happen to prevent
president Taft from receiving the
honor.
The only doubtful factor In the
republican situation il former
PRESIDENT Roosevelt, who, although
ne has declared he II not "a cnndi-
oate, ms ss yet failed to say he
would decline the nomination III IL
were rendered 10 him.
In the troubled situation in which
the Republicans find themselves and
win deteat threatened. many profess
TO believe that the outcome will be tie
nomination of Roosevelt by a stampede
Inat is the only way the party can be
saved from disaster. However the
Iatt managers already are seeing to il
that enough delegates are chosen who
VIII go TO the convention under iron
pounu Pledges TO support him for re-
noinlnatlon, TO prevent it from slipping
50 far as issues are concerned the
G gemlocr%tS Us having control of the
tarin paramount. They have always
Deen more successful with that fssue
man with any other. The Republicans
VIII cling to the doctrine of protection
but viii be upon the defensive. They
Woelu prefer to make the trust ques-
ton more conspicuous
Generally, the campaign promises TO
shape itself so that the adninistrarlon
VII De on the defensive at all points
1ltnOuSh the Republicans are hoping
bI', tnIouSh some biunder or out
oreak which will destroy Democrat
ma mony. they may be able to turn the
laoies upon their opponents.
Much. therefore. depends upon the
acIoh or lnaction OF the present Con-
SFress' control OF which is vested in the
democrats of the House, and nominalIv
IN the Republicans OF the Senate al
though actually in n combination of
D1eIhocrats and Republicans If at any
any matter. FO''
Democrats Are Confident.
Inc situation at the opening of
the new year In that the Democrats
are confident, more 80 than they
nave been since the last Cleveland
WIFI Ph,Sn ,n twenty year: ago:
founded IL merely a matter of
opinion, but they have TO support
IL the elections of last year, yrhtck
were decidedly in their favor. On
the other hand, the Republican,
are only hopeful, and their hope Is
OF fear.
In the last analysis, much. II not
everything, depends upon the electoral
vote of New York. or course. il is
possible FOR either party TO win with
out the Empire State. 1t would h.
easier for the Republicans to gain sue
cess without IT than for the Demo-
Gratis. but IL Is figured that any poIiti-
cal wave which would be strong enough
TO sweep into the Democratic column
a large number of Western and mid
gle western states also would flow
state along with il. So. If the Demo
Gratis win, it is likely to be by land
through. it is more likely to be by
nose.