Bisbee daily review., 1912-05-19
FIGURES MAY
 LEAD ASTRAY
Democratic Nomination De- pends on Conditions Besides Instructed
 Delegates
NEW YORK RIG FACTOR
lnY Robert Cnmninnl


 ! WASHINGTON. r. C.. May lS-
 As the time for holding the democrat, 1 ic convention draws neatyr and the | campaign tO capture delegates grows | hotter and hotter, politicians here are weighing carefully the chances of the candidates. win the nominee be ! Clark, Wilson. Harmon. Underwood or some dark horse" yet to be un- covered? they ask, as they chalk up the delegates pledged to each candl ! date.
 5 Figures are said not 10 lie. but at ! this stage of the game one may go ! far astray by sticking to figures { alone. Other conditions must be con sidered, if one Is to make al accurate | guess as to the identity of the demo, ! cratic nominee. At first sight, esdn
 ated by the delegates pledged to him | Champ Clark would seem to be first | choice. He has to date 2I5 pledged [ delegates and his managers say they 1 are sure of capturing l62 more. Gov. Wilson. in the popular mind, comes i second. He has 62 instructed dele. | gates and has fair chance of in | creasing this number to l4S hy con | yention time Underwood has Si { pledged, while Harmon. PTOviding he gets ohios 4e, Uill go to the con. ! yention with close to 100.
 | On the face of these figures it is | plain that none of the candidates has ! a chance Of capturing the convention { on the first ballot It will take a two
 thirds vote. or 729 delegates, to win;
 therefore the successful candidate i can hope to win only by increasing | his Strenith as the balloting prOgres ] Ses. In short. the candidate who can | poll the vote Of the uninstructe0 1 states, after the first ballot is taken, l Is most likely to win.
 Inasmuch as the south will divide 1 its delegates among all four candi. ! dates. for victory they must look to i New York, Indiana and Ohio. With. ! out New York and Indiana neither 1 Clark nor Wilson can win This is I conceded by the managers of both. | Clark's chance of capturing the New . York delegation, it is admitted, is | slim. Wilson, it is equally true, has ! no chance at all And because of | the breaches between the Clark and | Wilson forces in Indiana, growing out ' of the bitterness of their fight there, | neither is sure of that states delegs. ! ton. IL remains then 10 be seen what 1 Harmon and Underwood can do with ! the New York and Indiana delegs- tons.
 1 Appraised without bias. Harmon's J chances with the New York delega. ! ton seem brightest, although Under. wood lately has found considerable 1 favor W tn the political forces of that | state. New York. always seeking to | be with the winner, undoubtedly will { throw her strength to the Ohio Gov. | ernor if it is shown that neither 1 Clark nor Wilson can win. Assuming 1 that the convention deadlocks on ! Clark and Wilson, who then can draw 1 the votes Of these men? This ques. | ton answered and the conventions | ultimate choice is not hard to pick. ! IL is best answered by saying that the | democratic party leaders, sensible to ] the fact that the wide and irreconcil- { able breach in the republican ranks ] has given them an opportunity to land 1 a candidate in the White House. will ! choose carefully and wisely. Their ! choice unless good judgment is lack | ing, will be the man most acceptable | to all elements Of the party and the 1 one whose record. when lie stands be. [ AOA 70 NAiC ltFlfAsF ANNsoN aAhtAg " "AAA 1 stand the batteries of the enemy. f Democrat Women to Banquet
 To what extent women influence t the councils of the democratic party ' will be told here on May 20 at a jub. E flee breakfast for democratic women + effect will be to these fair politi.
 clans what the Jefferson aud Jackson [ feasts are to the men. The gathering T1stIl ha sv, cf
 cratic party's return to National pow.
 CT, and will be unique among the Cap
 ttals social and political events
 Harmony will be the keynote.
 Twelve hundred invitations have
 been sent out to the wives and daught.
 CTS of ''Blg" democrats throughout the
 country, and acceptances from women as far away as California have been
 received. The guests of honor will
 be the wives Of the men now in the T. presidential race, together with those
 who have been named in connection with the democratic nomination for
 the presidency in the past. These will include Mrs. Woodrow Wilson,
 Mrs. Judson Harmon, Mrs. Champ
 Clark, Mrs. Oscar Underwood. Mrs. w. J. Bryan Mrs. William k Hearst, -HiS. <htOu ID. Tar heI5 MTS- W !llldn1
 J. Gaynor. Mrs. John r. Kern and Mrs. Norman Mack. It Is also prob able that Mrs. Grover Cleveland and
 Mrs. Daniel Lamont will attend |, A table will be reserved for the
 descendants of presidents, included among whom will be Mrs. Mary Cuts Craig. grandmece of Dolly Madison,
 Mrs. Champ Clark will preside. The idea originated with Mrs Robert c Wickliffe. wife of Representative Wickiiffe. of Louisiana, and Miss Ro
 berta Bradshaw, a Washington news paper woman