The Vinita daily chieftain. [volume] (Vinita, Indian Territory [Okla.]) 1902-1913, 1912-03-28
COL. ROOSEVELT
WILL BEAT TAFT
CBy winheld Jonesl

republicans would stand the best
chance Of winning the presidency at
the polls next November they will GER
tainly nominate Roosevelt instead of
Taft.
Roosevelt would have chance of
carrying the country against the dem
ocrats while Taft wouldn't stand any
show against any man the democrats
could nominate Even in Tafts own
state, Ohio the president could not
carry the election at the polls, espec-
Tally if Harmon is the democratic
nominee. The situation portends dis
aster TO the republicans if Taft is
nominated.
In only 2S Of the AS states is the adj
ministration in republican hands. The
states with republican governors. and
the electoral votes of these states are:
California. 1S; Kansas, 10; Michigan,
10; Missouri, IA; New Hampshire, 4;
Nebraska, s; South Dakota, 5; Ten
nessee. u; Washington, Z; West Vir-
ginia, 8; Wisconsin, 10; Wyoming, 8;
New Mexico, 3; Illinois, 30; Iowa, 13:
Maryland, s.; Minnesota, 10; Nevada,
3; Utah, 4; Delaware, 81 Pennsylvania,
So; Rhode Island, 5; Vermont, 4. Total
2S4.
In the electoral college there will be
5S1 votes, making 266 necessary to
elect. If the republicans can hold the
states in which they now have the
governorships they will need only So
additional votes in the electoral col
lege to carry the election. Under nor
NAL conditions the republicans would
be expected to carry all of these states,
with the exception of Tennessee and
Maryland, both of which are normally
democratic These two states possess
20 votes in the electoral college. But
this is not normal year for the re-
publicans. Republican governors of
IL of these states with 112 electoral.
votes, have openly declared that Taft
cannot carry their states. These gov.
ernors are: Johnson. California;
Stubbs. Kansas; Osborn, Michigan;
Hadley, Missouri Bass, New Hamp-
shire; Aldrich Nebraska; Vessel,
South Dakota: Hooper. Tennessee;
Hay, Washington; Glasscock, West
Virginia; MeGovern. Wisconsin; Carey
Wyoming,
Governors Of six of the republican
states with SO electoral votes, have ex-
pressed doubt that Taft can carry their
states. They are: Deneen, Illinois:
Carroll, Iowa; Goldsborough, Mary
land; Eberhart, Minnesota; Oddie, Ne
vada; Spry, Utah.
Governors of nine states, California,
Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Nebras-
ke, New Hampshire, South Dakota,
Wyoming. and West Virginia, are
avowed Roosevelt men. In every one
0 fthese states there is an overwhelm-
ing opposition to Taft. That's the
principal reason the governors are
against his denomination.
This means that the minute Taft is
nominated there will be Is republican
states with IS1 electoral votes placed
in the doubtful column. =
Republican voters in these states
are overwhelmingly in favor of Roose-
welt, hostile to Taft, and if Taft is
nominated there is the strongest prob
abilit- that the vote cannot be gotten
out, which viii mean that democrats
will carry most of these states. This
is especially true in Kansas, West Vir-
ginia, Nebraska, Missouri, and South |
Dakota
If Roosevelt is nominated he could
CCIJdluly carly AuOic VI tue 20 lSpuD1i- |
can states than Taft excepting Mary
land and Tennessee. If he could carry |
all of the republican states except
Maryland and Tennessee he would |
start with PA electoral votes. He |
would then need only 81 additional
electoral votes, total of 266. to win |
Taft lost Nebraska and Colorado in
1908, but Roosevelt carried these
states in 1904.
Roosevelt would have to carry the I
states which now have republican ad
ministrations, except Tennessee and /
Maryland, and in addition only Maine I
and Massachusetts, which Invariably |
go republican in national elections
though Maine is now democratic. No
republican leader doubts that Rooae-
velt would have far better chance
in carrying these states than Taft In
some of these states the hospitality to
Taft is such that many republicans
would rather see democratic presi-
dent than vote for the present occu-
na,t of fha Nfhita House