New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1912-04-25
WINTER WHEAT DAMAGE
Abandoned Acreage in Illinois,
Indiana and Ohio.
SURPLUS IN ARGENTINA

NVt'
peports from Abroad Are Both
Good and Bad in
Sections
49, wheat situation offers study for
- ,b. specuator and the consumer. AS
w., during the winter and spring months.
,.srious grain houses have their experts
Ting overtime trying to estimate the
1,abls and possible crops for the ensuing
I'm The pessimists then had fruitful
'''.,ciaIp information to send ont this
- and the market has responded with
',,ne that have made the hearts Of the
-, c,ovd go into successive delightful
,n;,ot;ons. and caused corresponding de-
lesion on the part of the bears
o.,ort from the spring wheat districts
~. uhole are favorable. but the winter
sec,ions have been sending out dole
~, ra,orts. until IL would seem that all the
rinter wheat states VIII he sacrihced 10
49, crons. If any cultivation of the ground
4, made this spring Any one who has
.,.r lived among farmers knows that 10y
,a,ure they are pessimistic. II makes no Diff
,.r.,ca whether he he a grain farmer
,,,J, farmer or truck farmer TO him It is
liner TOO cold too warm. too wet or too
49,, for crops. and he never acknowledges
.n., the future may hold something better
,nar indicated by visible factors.
r,or, Chicago comes report Of ahan
Aar.d acreage estimated 20 be three million
sorss in the states Of Illinois, Indiana and
ohio In Kansas it is reported that the
cheat district will he reduced by ono mill
tan acres Some OF the experts say the
abandoned district viii reach FIVE million
acres
Another estimated abandoned acreage
,,.ces seven million acres as the total, al
iorine four million acres for Illinois. lnd
ana and Ohio From Ohio it is reported
tina, from 81 to 20 per cent Of the winter
acreage will be ploughed. "Ihe st. Louis
Modern Miller on the crop outlook pub
lshes the following:
The best prospects for the soft winter
wheat crop are in the section TRIBUTARY 70
tho Ohio River both north and south or
me river as also IN Southern Missouri and
tho Southwest In the more northern re-
gions Of the winter wheat belt conditions
ere AZ their worst there not having been
favors hle weather 10 forward growth, ana
n lie in this section that the largest area
s uloughed M. Increased complaints OF
damage are coming from hard winter wheat
territory but the general outlook there is
satisfactory In Texas II is thought that
The crop will he heading out within two
weeks
There is no question but what the winter
wheat crop got a bad start the heavy rains
having put the ground I'm such saturated
condition that the seed got forced grow IN
which was not natural Then there were
freezes and thaws which in some sections
had serious effects on the seeding. on the
other hand, wherever the snow stayed On
the ground all winter and kept the ground
banketed the wheat ives allowed to de
Velcr, and there should he a good crop.
The snowstorms were the worst known for
period Of forty years. and should be
favorable rather than unfavOrable.
II all the had information that has come
is true. the wheat outlook is serious beyond
dispute and means not only hish prices for
wheat but an increased cos; of living in
numerous other Of lifc's necessary sus-
tenances. in 1911 Illinois raised 2.o0O0 900
bushels Of wheat. and the worst reports
ssy the crop this year will not exceed %
W4") bushels. Indiana in 1911 raised a.
&ioN and Ohio last year produced 36.240Oo0
bushels and in both these states the reduC-
items are said to be very sharp this year.
Nest OF the Mississippi, however. the re-
Ports are more favorable. though TO say
Just how much may be expected from there
would be only wild guess
Spring wheat outlook is good. in fact
he. q, fe4l
smount Of subsoil moisture. and while the
I!oughng Is and will he late, the drouth
Of the summer it would seem will ne es-
capped, al least part Of the lofui effects.
which will add 10 tho harvest The total
yield Of winter wheat last year was 100
MON bushels. in 1910 434.l42 bushels. Sprins
wheat yield was 1868 IN 1911, and 2oo,97s
Bushels in 1910
The spring wheat crop on the average
may be estimated about half tho winter
crop Sometimes II has been less than
half. From Russia there come reports Of
rad outlook for grain exports, owing 10
the famine caused by tho failure of crops
III East Russia and Western Siberia. As a
rule Siberia has raised a surplus Of grains
and other products for Western Europe. so
Ne present outlook IL not encouraging. on
tht whole. however, the outlook for crops
IL Europe is rather promising. In France
the talk is not calculated to spread JOY
among bread eaters. but there IL so much
talk that Ia only gossip that actual re-
turns may change the tone.
Argentina. the strongest competitor OF
The United States in the worlds markets
may have an eXportable surplus. approx
hitting 100000 bushels last year Argcn-
tina exported about $685., 900 bushels. Ger
many. Hungary and India send discourag-
mg reports which must be thrown in with
Inc balance Of bad news. With an in
creased population. which means increased
consumption. logically We must expect
higher prices for farm wheat than last
year. which was around 81 cents. but this
price was the lowest since 1906. In 1909 the
farm price OF wheat was 9Si3. and it may
&c that this year may see higher prices.
Ihere seems 10 be no question that lib
eFai percentage OF bad news is true, and
lnai our winter wheat crop will be snort
ou' II Is not wise 20 he too pessimistic I'M
VI toe season is a little further advanced
wren safer estimates may be made.
EXAMINER FOR STEEL SUIT.