Evening star., 1912-11-03
Thirty States for Wilson.

To Gov Wilson in the table are given
thirty states; to President Taft, six-Ida-
ho. New Hampshire, Rhode Island. Utah.
Vermont and Maine. To Mr.. Roosevelt Is
given one-Washington; while eleven
California, Colorado. Illinois. Michigan,
Montana. New Jersey, North Dakota,
Oregon. Pennsylvania, South Dakota and
Wyoming-are classed as doubtful.
OF the thirty-seven states wherein test
ballots were taken Gov. Wilson leads
in twenty-six. President Taft leads in
FIVE and Mr.. Roosevelt in six.
In the same group OF states Mr. Roose-
welt runs second in twenty-one, Gov.
Wilson in eleven and President Taft in
five.
Votes Taken Total 310,321.
The total number Of votes taken
throughout the country reached the i'm
posing lgure Of 319.321, of which Gov.
Wilson received 133.792, or 1926 more
than Mr. Roosevelt and 81, ,499 more than
the President.
A significant and interesting feature OF
the straw vote table Is that the relative
strength OF the three leading nominees
Is about the same In. the closing days of
the canvass as it was early in September.
For instance, the President was polling
.216 per cent OF the test ballots, when
the first tabulation was made in Sep
tember. He gathered in .206 per cent
of the last votes cast, showing that he
was q shade weaker than he was in
September. Mr.. Roosevelt started by
getting .3O6 per cent. Gov. Wilson re-
ceived .429 per cent of the first vote
taken. He closes by receiving ALB per
cent.
Only Slight Fluctuation.
Throughout the campaign there has
been but the slightest fluctuauon in the
relative positions of the nominees. There
nave been persistent reports of threatened
Iandslides to this that candidate, but
the voting. taken with greatest care in
tine very sections where the outbursts
were expected to occur, failed to fore
shadow any such thing.
In the closing days there are rumors
that the great silent vote-that Of the
men who decline to express any prefer
ence in adyance-will swing to Mr.
Roosevelt. The Herald has made every
possible effort to sense any such gen.
eral drift, but has been unable to do So
without doubt been a swing to Mr.
Roosevelt. 1t has been SO marked that
the Herald this week places the govern
or's home state in the doubtful column
Roosevelt May Get New Jersey.
Heretofore it has been regarded as cer-
tain for Mr.. Wilson. Test ballots give
the governor a good lead over his rivals.
Just how extensive the shift away from
Gov. Wilson and to Mr.. Roosevelt will
be no one pretends to estimate exactly.
From what the Herald has been able to
gather. there is a possibility but not a
likelihood that Mr.. Roosevelt will carry
the state.
There are intimations also that Mr.
Roosevelt has been gathering strength
among workers in some Of the New Eng
land factories. and that in Pennsylvania
he may make Cleanup" There are
no indications in the Heralds ballots or
in the reports Of its investigators to sup
port that declaration. No doubt, as the
great battle nears its end, republicans are
a little worried over the talk of swing
to Roosevelt" and the Wilson democrats
are glad the fight Is so near its close
However, the republicans have no hope
Of electing the President and the demo-
Gratis have not the slightest doubt of the
election of their condidate.