davidaulloa/AmericanStories huggingface dataset:
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04

three weeks ago yielded Roosevelt a
plurality downstate of 61,500, with Will
son second
ION the face returns of the ballots
Wilson has an indicated plurality
downstate of 46,4OO, with Taft second.
Up 10 two weeks ago the ballots indi-
Gated a plurality of 45,67O for Roose-
Welt, with Wilson second.
The ballots collected In the week
ending last Wednesday night. when an
alyzed separately from those of former
weeks, give Wilson a plurality of 120,-
0OO in Illinois when computed by the
percentage Of change method, and
plurality Of 26,000 on surface returns.
BY both methods Taft appears to run
second downstate.
The straw ballots demonstrate the
existence OF a situation of such extreme
completely in Illinois that the optimist
and pessimist alike in all three parties
can extract comfort from an analysis
of their results Nowhere, perhaps.
has the temperamental phase of the
situation entered into the straw voting
more than in Chicago. The Roosevelt
following has cast its ballots with en-
thusiasm; so has large portion OF the
Wilson support, while the Taft men
have been backward in casting straw
ballots.
With election only one day removed,
all the surface indications and the log
ic in the situation favor Dunne-unless
an 11th-hour change OF great proper
tons should take place. The demo
cratic nominee apparently will run
$4,000 to $4,000 votes or more ahead
of Wilson.
The straw vote taken in the week
ended Wednesday night when consid-
cred alone indicates that on the party
| TO party movement basis Dunno will
carry Cook county by 10000, and by
| $4,000 on the face returns II his plur-
ality in Cook county reaches 10000
the politicians believe It could not be
overcome by any plurality Deneen
could run up downstate. with Funk
cutting into the republican vote az
| he is.
ANY method by which the straw
vote is analysed gives Dunno the ad.
vantage. On the grand total, exclusive
of the state fair vote, Dunhe is given
an indicated plurality Of pa, 900 by face
returns and of 100000 by percentage
OF change. On the votes collected IN
TO last week the percentage Of change
method gives him a plurality of SO, OOO
and the face returns give him 5000
Deneen carry ing the downstate sections
by 1000 and Dunno carrying Cook
county by 1900.
supplemental estimates from 65
down7tate counties indicate that
Dunne, by grace of the presence Of
f'Fnk in the race, is cutting into re
publican strongholds. -Four years age
81 Of the 65 counties went for Deneer
and rs for Stevenson. The estimates
give Deneen 80 OF the 65 counties and
Dunno "a. or gain Of six counties II
two-thirds of the counties downstate."
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04

an apparent desire on the part Of the
voters to carefully weigh the issues
and to exercise their God-given intel
ligence and preogative in settling the
great questions of moment that now
confront the people of these United
States. In this attitude of the people
/ can see but one thing, and that is
the election of Governor Wilson to the
presidency On the fifth of November,
and the utter rout of Wall street and
the big interests.
And when the news comes that Will
son is the choice of the voters-as
come, l believe, it surely will can
picture how happy that noble man and
his wife will be in their New Jersey
home. But out in Nebraska there will
also be another man and his wife
equally as happy, for it will mean to
us the consummation of 16 years Of
struggling and fighting for a prin-
ciple-a great cause-and the victory
will be just as sweet as If it were my
self instead of Governor Wilson who
had been elected to the highest Office
within the gift of the American peo-
pie.
/ This is my message to the people
| of the United States-a message of
| hope on the eve of victory.
/ Yours for a Triumphant Democracy,
WILLIAM JENNINGS BRYAN.
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04
Appeal to the
Democratic Voters

To the Democratic Voters: 1t
is but necessary to vote your con-
victions tomorrow to win. In view
of the division in the republican
party there can be but one solu-
ton of the problem. The dem
ocrats have but to stand true and
be counted to triumph.
This is as true of the situation
in Rock Island county as any
where else in the land. The dem
ocrat has but to uphold his colors
to help his party to victory.
It is incumbent upon all demo-
Gratis to stick for their own party
as never before. Vote the ticket
straight from beginning to end.
Make a cross in the circle at the
top of the second column on your
ballot and thus indicate your pref
erence for Wilson. Dunno and ev-
cry candidate on the ticket with
them
Do not neglect the special judi
cial ballot. Vote for Marshall
Vote yourself and get your
friends and neighbors to vote.
G. F. JOHNSON,
Chairman Democratic committee.
II. P. SIMPSON,
President Wilson Democratic Club.
c. ]. SMITH,
President Dunno club.
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04
WILSON STILL is
IN The LEAD BY
STRAW VOTECAST
No Change in Outlook as to the
Next President-Dunne
Sure, Too.

The Chicago Record-Herald's straw
vote revised completed in yesterdays
issue indicates the certain election Of
Wilson for president and Dunno for
governor Of Illinois. It gives the fol-
lowing Summary:
For Wilson'S states, total cleo
toral vote. 3s1: for Roosevelt. two
states, total electoral vote. 20: for
Taft. three states. total electoral vote.
~; doubtful. nine states, total cleo
toral vote. 1873; total electoral college,
531: necessary 10 elect. 2G6.
The Record-Herald says OF the ILL
nois outlook:
illinois is the prize enigma Of them
all. The state is so doubtful that
the high chieftains in all the parties
secretly confess that they are all at
sea and that which ever way il goes
they will not be in the least surprised.
Up to a week or two ago Illinois was
Roosevelt's.
Then It entered the doubtful column.
For the last week symptoms have
been discerned OF subterranean move.
ments and OF changing sentiment. Taft
strength has grown rapidly; Roose.
velts strength has diminished. Wilson
has been chief beneficiary. not so much
by a growth in his own support as
through the evening up Of the forces
backing his adversaries. This is re.
vealed by the straw ballots. and the
Shifting process will remain active
right up to Tuesday. adding to the
doubt in the situation
"Statisticians in all the parties who
have made a real study of conditions
assert that predictions are acts Of pre-.
sumption. Those who know the intri,
cacies OF the situation best, are most
ready TO assert that they know nothing
OF the probable outcome
THE preponderance Of the surface
indications at present. however, seems
70 show that Wilson is running ahead
OF Roosevelt. The progressive candi.
date appears to have the advantage in
Chicago and Cook county, but down
state he seems to be distanced by vii.
son.
Reduced 70 pluTalities, the fr>'
batch indicates that by the percent
age OF change plan of computation WI
son would carry the doTynstate sec
tons by 1924. with Taft second. Tn,
ballots from the same cities two O
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04

for their interests as a newspaper man
in Washington.
/ invite you to recall any line that
! have ever written, and TO ascertain
from others whether / have each and
every time been on the side OF the
working people or on the side OF the
special interests.
| submit that my record Is is strik-
ing contrast to that of my opponent,
who. at the very moment the working
men needed his help most, went into
court and attacked by injunction the
organizatios OF the molders, and it has
never to this day recoveed from his
bitter warfare against 1t. invite you
to make inquiries OF others for verifi-
cation Of this statement.
| need your help. wish l could i'm
press upon you the importance Of the
outcome OF this fight; that 1t is really
your fight after all, as much as II Is
mine. because If | am elected It will
simply make me that much more use
full to you and all workingmen.
Very respectfully,
CLYDE H. TAVENNER.
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04

Mr.. Taft and then failing to help him
TO make good, he asks US to accept
him as his substitute for Taft. Could
anything be more audacious?
Governor Wilson is the only hope
OF the nation, II We would free our
selves from the burden OF taxes and
IN menace OF monopoly. He is a big,
orainy statesman and patriot-a man
who has the courage OF his convictions
and who. If elected, will make this
country one of the best and safest
presidents it has ever had.
People Of the United States, this is
no sham battle. We are not drawn
up on dress parade. We are a fight
ing band that has been battling for
Is years and We hope to make this
the last battle OF the war for human
rights and progress. The breastworks
OF the enemy are crumbling before
the onslaughts of a united and trl-
umphant democracy and ere another
week has passed l confidently expect
10 see the glorious banner OF dem.
ocracy floating from the shattered
ramparts Of the disorganized republic
an army.
| firmly believe in fair play and In
being charitable TO u disabled op-
pOnent. but when they tell me l am
striking a man when he is down, be-
cause / criticise the policies OF Roose-
welt and his past and present atti-
tude in the campaign, reply that
brave men when they go into battle
do not put their wounded in front II
Is as Roosevelt says-a campaign Of
issues, not men-and ! further say
that IL is a matter that must be de-
cided by good. hard common sense.
not sentiment; q question that must
be settled by the sane people of the
country, not by a maniac.
We are at the close OF one OF the
greatest campaigns the country has
ever known. ! have not found IL a
campaign of noise and bluster. but, on
the whole, one Of sober attention and
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04
BY WILLIAME. INCOMES.

Chairman of the Democratic Ma
tional committeeD
All we ask is that the demo-
Gratis vote. We have fought our
battle and We are absolutely con-
WINGED that We will have an over
whelming victory. We have made
n personal appeal to all our work
ers for democratic voters to cast
their ballots election day. I do
not care to say how many states
we will carry or what states they
will be, but We will have more
electoral votes than any party has
registered in the history of this
country.
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04

To the People OF the United States.
On the eve OF another presidential
election, with the day for choosing
successor to President Taft but a few
days distant, | find the outlook for
democratic success bright. indeed In
no state that ! have visited have |
found any indication that the cleo
toral vote will be given to either Taft
or Roosevelt. Democratic success
seems as absolutely certain as any
thing human can be Everywhere
hope is ascendant and the very air
seems surcharged with the spirit OF
approaching victory. OF all presiden-
tial years within the past score, this
seems essentially TO be democracy's
year. and the only danger OF falling
short in this respect lies in overcon-
fidence. During the remaining days
of the campaign every democrat
should be on his mettle and should
work with renewed energy and en-
thusiasm for the success OF the ticket
national. state and congressional.
While We have had a great deal TO
overcome. our cause seems 10 have
made such amazing progress as TO
furnish substantial ground upon which
20 build q logical hope of triumph all
along the line. From the exhaustive In
quiries and personal observations
am absolutely convinced that the
voters are weary OF republican mis-
rule and party strife and are only
awaiting the chance 10 institute a new
and better order Of things politically.
Il is not strange that the voters of
the country should turn from Presi-
dent Taft and condemn his failure TO
lead the peoples fight for reforms.
But IL is strange that anyone who OPP
poses Taft should turn TO Roosevelt
Tor relief Colonel Roosevelt had
twice as long in which &c secure re-
forms as Taft land We do not know
how many more he wants. in which
10 do what he could have done when
DE was president After giving us
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04

and enthusiastic force stands ready,
the only united and militant force to
which the people can turn with any
prospect that they will be served,
promptly, effectively and upon clear
principle of action-the great demo-
cratic party, now at last solid and OF
clear purpose To it all who are full Of
hope and Of the vigor that makes to-
morrows are fiocking-the young men
of the nation, the noble and devoted
women who wish to see better days
for their children and for all who are
oppressed, the men who never grow
old but always press forward to en-
terprises of the new age, all who de-
sire free opportunity and love the pub
lie course that is just and righteous
and quick with the hopes of mankind.
A great people is turning its face to
the light. not desiring a revolution, but
loving the right and determined to set
ii up, wisely, temporarily, honorably,
with prudence and patient debate, not
in irritation or in haste. but like men,
not like children. 1t is a great day and
propitious one. The responsibility is
ours. and we shall assume it knowing
what it means. The decision of the
9Th of November will usher in, II we
be true. new day of confidence, free
dom and prosperity. 1t will be no mig
gardly trump of party or a faction
but the triumph of a people. The
democratic party will be, not the self
ish victor. but the trusted instrumer ,
and the years that follow will test
every principle of the great republic
God grant we shall be worthy to pre-
vail. WOODROW WILSON.
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04
BULL M0OSERS HOLD
A RALLY IN MOLINE

The bull moosers held a rally at the
Moline theatre Saturday night at which
Medill Mccormick and DR.. Russell,
both OF Chicago, were the principal
speakers. good crowd was present.
10th speakers lauded Colonel Roose-
Welt whom they look upon as the only
man who can save and preserve the
country and they exhorted everyone
to disre Tard precedent and put the col.
onel back in the White house to<
third term.
Incidentally both endorsed the candi-
dacy of Judge G. J. Searle for con-
gress and brought before the voters
once more the question where does
Searle stand, with the bull moose or
with the republicans who nominated
him?
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04
WIN
IN The ELECTION
Present Indications Are That He
Has Better of Fight Over.
Searle in the Race.

The Moline Sunday Press, (progres-
sive), comedies the election Of c. H.
Tavenner, as follows:
Never in the history of the present
generation has there been such tense
ness on the eve of a great national
election as is manifested at the pres
ent time.
Outside of the national and state
fights, it is believed that our own con-
gressional district, the Fourteenth, Is
attracting more attention throughout
the state and nation than any other
political division. The fight is between
Charles ]. Searle. republican. and
Clyde H Tavenner, democrat, both
more or less known throughout the
state and nation. Mr.. Tavenner &C
CURED a large acquaintance through
his connection with a news bureau
which he has operated from Washing
ton for several years, and his fight to
win election in a republican strong
hold has attracted more than passing
attention.
"On account of the political unrest, II
is little difficult to thoroughly ana
lyze the situation and make pre-elec-
ton predictions, but that Mr.. Tavenner
will be elected in the conclusion Of all
who have taken the trouble to ascer-
tain the existing sentiment.
THE one element which will con-
tribute strongly to Mr.. Searle's defeat
| 10 hic affort 70 nourf fovor both from
the republican and progressive voters.
He was regularly nominated by the
republican primary, after which an eff
fort was made by a certain element
of the progressive party to endorse
him as their candidate and have his
name appear on both tickets, which
was found to be impossible under the
present election law. All efforts to In
duce him to declare either for Taft or
Roosevelt were unavailing and as q
result, he will lose many votes which
he would have secured had he not at
tempted to "straddle" this issue.
at will be remembered that Mr.
Tavenner two years ago cut into Con,
gresham McKinney's vote to the ex
tent of about 5000, at a time when con.
ditions were normal and full republt
can vote should have been expected
for its candidate With the present
political unrest and dissatisfaction
against the republican party, It II
difficult to predict Just what the diver
sion from the republican ranks will
be, but that it will be large is certain
"The total vote by counties in tn,
1910 election was as follows:
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04
Democratic Club
Meetings

The Wilson and the Dunno clubs
will meet in their respective headQuar-
tiers, the former in the Rock Island
house and the latter at 1s1s-1s20 Third
ay enue, at s o'clock this evening to
complete arrangements for assisting
the county committee tomorrow.
Both clubs will receive the returns to-
morrow night at their respective head
quarters.
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04

Group is MOST prevalent during the
dry cold weather OF the early winter
months. Parents of young children
should be prepared for it. All that ia
needed is a bottle OF Chamberlain
Cough Remedy. Many mothers are
lever without 1t in their homes and
IT has never disappointed them. Sold
BIZ all druRRists.-(Adve
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04
Total ...........17.029 IS

1T is evident from the above figures
that Mr.. Searle must depend upon the
vote of Rock Island county If he ex-
poets to be elected, and moreover. he
must get a much larger vote out of
this county than did Mr.. Mckinney.
Report comes from the three lower
counties in the district, McDonough,
Hancock and Warren, that Tavenner
will carry these counties by a large
majority, largely through his own pop
ularity and through the dislike for
Searle which the voters have mani
tested on previous occasions. AS an
evidence of Searles unpopularity in
the lower end of the district it Is
necessary only to cite his vote In the
recent primary election. In Warren
county he received but ZIG votes, In
Hancock $50, and in McDonough, 244.
The small vote Is attributed to a GER
tain extent to the popularity Of L. NJ.
Magill and Dean Franklin, his oppo-
nents, but the fact remains that his
personal following Is very small Out
of a total vote Of $3.50 for Searle in
the ulSlIICt, ne IcCelNtu O,o5J Vi tniS
number in Rock Island and Mercer
counties.
while Nj. Searle is conceded large
vote in this county in the coming cleo
ton, 1t is likewise evident that Mr..
Tavenner's vote will be larger than 1t
was in 1910. Two years ago Mr.. Tav-
enner was practically unknown to the
majority Of voters, but through his eff.
forts in behalf of the laboring people,
he will receive a much larger vote
from the rank and file than he did
two years ago.
While Mr. Searle is popular In Mer-
Ger county he cannot expect to receive
as large vote there as Mckinney did
in 1910. Aiedo being the home of the
present congressman. IL Mr.. TaVen-
ner cuts into this vote and holds his
following in Rock Island county which
he had two years ago, and 1t is be-
lieved that he will do better than this,
there is no reason why Tavenner
should not be elected"
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04
The Final Word FIR ON
National Leaders
BY JOSEPH e. DAVIES.

NOHdli NhS " VoNNAh
quarters of the Democratic Ma
tional Committee.)
Conceding Utah to Taft and con-
sidering California, Washington
and Wyoming doubtful, there are
in the western division % states
with total electoral vote Of 269,
all of which will be cast for Gov
ernor Wilson. Only 266 votes in
the electoral college are neces-
sary to a choice. 1t will thus be
seen that without the seven re-
naming states of the solid south,
Florida, Georgia, Maryland, Mis-
sissippi, North Carolina, South
Carolina and Virginia, with total
of II votes in the electoral col
lege, and which are certain for
Wilson and without a single state
in the eastern division, all of which
are reasonably safe for Wilson
with the exception of Vermont and
possibly New Hampshire and
Rhode Island, Governor Wilson is
certain of election.
The states of New York, New
Jersey, Pennsylvania, Delaware.
Massachusetts,, Connecticut, Maine
and West Virginia will simply
swell his majority and make his
election by the electoral college
only a little short of unanimous.
The certainty that Woodrow
Wilson will carry % out of the
20 states in the western division
which have been under the Chica-
go headquarters of the democratic
national committee is shown by
an analysis of the political situa-
ton based upon the republican and
democratic vote applied respec-
lively by Taft and Bryan four
years ago.
Conceding that a small percent
age of the democratic vote of four
years ago may be lost in major
proportion to Roosevelt and in
minor proportion to Taft, it must
be admitted that this loss will
be- Offset by direct gains which
will be made by Wilson from the
republican vote Of four years ago.
Reports made upon the most
painstaking investigation show
that for every democratic vote lost
to Roosevelt or Taft, there will be,
at least, three votes gained by
years ago. For the basis of argu-
ment, however, it may be as
sumed that Wilson will poll the
same vote that Bryan received
four years ago or its equivalent.
Therefore, the percentage of d.
vision of the republican vote be-
tween Taft and Roosevelt will de-
termine the size of Governor Will
sons plurality in each state.
Taking as a basis for figuring
the most damaging percentages
possible, the result in the several
states would be as follows:
For Wilson: Illinois, Indiana,
Iowa. Kansas, Michigan, Minneso-
ia, Missouri, Montana. North Dako-
ia, Ohio. Oregon. Wisconsin,
Idaho, South Dakota, Nebraska,
Nevada. Arizona, New Mexico,
Texas, Louisiana. Arkansas, Ken.
lucky, Tennessee, Oklahoma and
Colorado.
For Taft: Utah.
Doubtful, California, Washing
ton and Wyoming.
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04
To the workingmen Of Rock Island:
campaign has de-

veloped into a fight
TO the finish. A
few votes may de-
eide II either way.
| am informed that
my opponent is
spending m on e Y
lavishly TO defeat
me. AS he is the
attorney for most
Of the big and
powerful corpora
lions, ne is IN a
position to do this.
| have not received
a single pen n y
from any trust,
corporation or
special privilege,
and II elected will
be free TO repre-
sent the common
people Of this dis
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04

Many school children suffer from
constipation. which is often the cause
of seeming stupidity at lessons. Cham
berlain's Stomach and Liber tablets
are an ideal medicine to give a child
for they are mild and gentle in their
effect and Will cure even chronic con-
stipation- Sold by all druggists
advertisement
Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1912-11-04

triet, just as have tried to look out