The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1912-08-15
TRADE BLOW TO Z. s.
Alliance Would Mean End
of Commercial Rivalry in
Big Provinces.
SLAvS CHANGING FRONT
Urge an Agreement With Late
Fop-One Writer Points to
Americas Weakness.
sp,c,oi cable D..patch 10 rus suS.

spsc'ni Gable Dsspdfch 10 TBs SuN.
Sr. PETERSBURG, Aug. ii.--For the
moment Russia's attention is quite
absorbed by Far Eastern affairs. Turkey
no doubt also interests the Cars
Ministers. but before they can play an
active part in southeastern Europe they
must frs; feel quite secure in CHINA
and Manchuria. And at present events
there are moving rapidly. owing to
The Mikado's death Prince katsura
o.'tted this country sooner than he
a, first intended but not before he had
attained the aim and object CT his
tourney. True. he has signed no fresh
treaty and made no new proposal. But
he has taken with him to Toxic the
certainty that in all future emergencies
the two -adversaries will act to-
sether in the Far East. Outsiders de-
sirous OF exerting political influence
there, or influence which can be said
to have a political aspect. must apply
TO the two self-constituted guardians
Of the Pacific. No naturalization
schemes such as MIR. knoXs Man
churian railway project will stand any
chance. They are eliminated already
The Far East Is earmarked.
These hardly pcrceptiblc changes IN
the international situation are OF mo-
mentous interest tn the people of the
United States. and during the last few
weeks the American Embassy here
has been working at high pressure
recording them. Long ciphered tele-
grams are frequently despatched to
Washington or received from that city
In st. Petersburg.
And no wonder For the policy at
present decided upon by Russia and
Japan leads straight to the partition
of Manchuria and outer Mongolia and
tn the overlordship OF those two en-
pires in China proper.
Fencing on the Far East.
They are not bent upon effecting
these changes tomorrow. They are
quite willing to wait. But they are
determined to lose no time In fencing
OF the Far East. as 1t were. so that
come what may. no upheaval there may
upset their plans. while certain changes
will serve to accelerate their realization.
Neither IL there any question of clos
Ing the open door. The matter has
never been mooted yet. But If there
ne people who imagine that when Man
churia anu Inonso"a "a'e zee" 'ne'i
po'a'ou =" uee.a "Au 'ap"" 'e'pe
uNoi'' VIC uou' o." ov MY, 'pe
~. ''o'' i'u'opt "'
'"e "'e.e' Wv, az p.op :"
.oous' 49, u,'
u.'oo' e"u -, '"e
p1eson' po"ey VI 'apa" anu NuSS'a 10
w" s'oo"s VI '"' ope" uo'' '""l 20
apsoiuteiy CeIta'n' ana the argument
IN IaVor OF th's orast'c measure VIII
then be unansWeraOle diplOmatically
for no one can deny that Russia and
Japan possess an indefeaslble right to
close their ou,n doors IN outaiders ~
,bair ,nt.ra.,. coll 1or .uch a nracou.
~ p... nN
.,. pu, az Po'e' o,e va" ."a'o"se
'neir T'snt 10 e~propra'e Mahchurla
ana Mongolia from emma. consequently
those Powers who would then protest
IN vain should now bestir themselves 8
n render inoperative the cause which
u-1ll hr,nv ahout thia disa strou. osyoct
n,.c,..,r~ -. s..u.
The Russian press In full or vehe-
nent articles discussing these matters.
And almost all the papers favor expro.
prla'i"n' opihion oiners only as 10 the
spoil Take. for instance. the organ OF
the party now In power, the Zcm shtshtna.
This journal holds that Russia will be
Obliged" by circumstances to annex
northern Manchurla. One OF these cir
'urnStances. and the most favorable, Is
Japans resolve 10 seize the southern
part OF this province. The Zemshtshtno
on July 26 said:
We should baye M cboics than hu, .,
follow our neiehbors examnia Other-,iss
japan would seek and n.rb.r. con,r,ve
to approprjate the nor,hern dc, 10, a.
.Ioh' as buner state II lacks the vital