The Mitchell capital. (Mitchell, Dakota [S.D.]) 1879-1918, 1912-02-22
ROOSEVELT CROWD
FIGURE WHAT HE'D
GET AS CANDIDATE
Declare He Would Be
Overwhelmingly
Elected
-
ALSO o TAFT
Claim He Would Immediately
Put Lot of States in
Doubtful Class

Washington. d. C.-The Roose-
welt national committee has given
out this statement through its man
ager, Medill McCormick:
The real purpose of the cam
paign neN fall is the election of a
Republican to the presidency of the
United States in November. To ac-
oomplish hal ought to be the first
Chicago in June. Some c%onsidera-
ton of patent political facts with
regard to the electoral vote of the
country is therefore pertinent at this
time.
In only twenty-three of the for
~ eight states is the administration
now in the hands of Republicans.
The states which have Republican
governors, with their vote in the
electoral college, are: California 13,
Delaware 3, Illinois 30, Iowa 10,
Kansas 10, Maryland s, Michigan
-, Minnesota -. Missouri IS, Ne
braska s, New Hampshire 4. New
Mexico 3, Nevada 3, Pennsylvania
50, Rhode Island 5, South Dakota
>, Tennessee IL. Utah A, Vermont a,
Washington Z, West Verginia s,
Wisconsin 10, and Wyoming 8; to-
tai, 23S.
What the Republican Need.
There will be 53l votes in the
electoral college. making 266 nee
essary to a choice. If the Republi-
cans can hold the states IN which
they now have tie eovernosip they
will heed only twenty-eight addition
al votes to carry the next presiden-
tial election. Normally the Repub-
licans can be expected to carry all
these states except Maryland and
Tennessee. Deducting the twenty
votes of the two states leaves 2lS
electoral votes which, under normal
conditions, the Republicans would
be reasonably sure of carrying.
But the conditions this year are
very far from normal. The goven-
ors of eight states-kansas, Michi-
gan, Missouri. Nebraska, New Hamp-
shire, South Dakota, West Virginia
and Wyoming-have openly Joined
in the movement for the nomination
for Colonel Roosevelt. These states
have an aggregate of s~eventy-one
electoral votes. In all of them there
is strong opposition among Republic
can voters to President Taft and it
is in recognition of this anti-Taft
feeling that the governors have de-
clared for Colonel Roosevelt. The
The Republican voters in these
states ore overwhelmingly in favor
of the nomination of Mr.. Roosevelt
and if President Taft is renominat-
| cd ofLfhn Chionon convention tho
great probability is hat the nor
nal Republican vote cannot be
brought out at the polls. Notably
S this true in Kansas, Missouri, Ne
braska. South Dakota and West Vir-
ginia, which are very likely to be
ost to the Republicans in the event
of the denomination of the PreSi-
dent.
Fifteen States Doubtful.
"In secen other states which now
have Republican Governs-Califor-
MIA, Illinois, Iowa and Wisconsin
there is also decided opposition to
President Taft, such that it is more
than doubtful whether any kind OF
campaign that a be conducted in
case the President should be re-
nominated would be able to bring
anything like the normal Republi-
can vote. These states have an ag-
gregate OF ninety electoral votes.
This puts 161 electoral votes
from fifteen normally Republican
states into the doubtful column the
moment President Taft is declared
the nominee of the Chicago onven
ton, and with at least seventy-ive
of them it gives strong probability
of Democratic success. That is the
situation in the states which nov
have Republican administration con
sidered from the viewpoint of the
denomination of President Taft.
In Case Rooscvclt's Nominated.
''In case the nominee at Chicago
is Colonel Roosevelt there is no rea
son TO suppose that he would fai
to cary any of these tw%enty-thre'
Republican states. with the excep
ton of Maryland and Tennessee. HI
would be assured OF at least 21'
4 electoral votes to start with. |
! would be necessary for him then il
j order to carry the election to viii
E in other states an aggregate of onl.
~forty-eight electoral votes.
t The Roosevelt fight, therefore
would have to be made in Northern
: states which now have Democrat
$ administrations. There are twelv
e of these states-Colorado with
: electoral votes; Connecticut, Z; Ida
no, A; Indiana, 10; Maine, g.; Mas
S sachusetts, 49,; Montana, A; New
e Jersey, IA; New York, 40; Mort
6 Dakota, >; Ohio, "a, and Oregon, )
S Total, 1873.
States T. II. Carried in 1904.
$ "On the showing made in the las
three national conventions every on
n Of these states ought to be easily Re
+ publican. Mr.. Taft lost COLORADO
n and Nebraska in 1908, but Colone
# Roosevelt carried both easily il
1904.
"On any figuring which can b
made in regard to these twelv
n states now administered by Demo
e cratic governor it would be easy TO
Colonel Roosevelt to win the forty
g eight votes necessary in addition t
n the 21S from states at present Re
e publican to carry him to victory.
! cQuld win without Indiana Obi