Washington standard. [volume] (Olympia, Wash. Territory) 1860-1921, 1912-10-11

Third Termers to Poll Their Entire
Strength From the Rapidly Thinning
Republican Ranks - indications Are
That Taft VIII Garry but Two States.
Roosevelt Mono.
That the results Of the state elections
In Vermont and Maine mean a tremen-
dous Democratic victory in November
is freely admitted by all except the bit
terest partisans. Political experts have
done much analysing, and some claim
10 have reached novel conclusions. But
these facts stand out:
On Monday. Sept. ., 1912, the Iepub-
lican and third term parties combined
elected William L. IIaines aoveruor of
Maine over Frederick w. PlaiSted. the
present Democratic incumbent. by
1923 plurality: in 1903. presidential
year, Republican was elected COVER
nor by 1868 plurality; in 1904 the pu
rality was 25,SOO. and in 1900 it was
34.132 In other words. In twelve
years the Democrats have cut down
the Republican plurality in state cleo
tons by BLOB.
In this period the Democratic vote
has increased from $4,000 to $4,000.
whereas the Republican vote has de-
creased from $4,000 to 1900. The
Democratic vote of this year exceeds
that of September, 1908. by 1000. but
Dn~ ta to al - OAn loss
than that party cast four years ago.
The split In the Republican ranks.
following the election Of William L.
Haines, is pronounced. If the divi-
sion in Maine in November Is as 1t
was In the recent Vermont election
six-tenths Of the Republican vote will
go for Taft. three tenths for KOose-
welt and one-tenth for the Demo
Gratis. 1t is significant that the latter
party has to date suffered no losses
as compared with the vote in previous
years. from the third term move
ment. On the contrary. it has gained
The result in Maine may be expected
to be something like this: Wilson. "a
600; Taft. 42.6OO: Roosevelt. 21.3OO.
The returns from the recent Vermont
election show in round figures that
the joint Republican and third party
vote was 8 per cent short Of the Re
publican vote four years ago. while
the Democratic vote In that state
shows a gain of 25 per cent over that
of 1908. 1t is of special interest to
speculate what will happen next No
vember throughout the nation II the
Republican and Democratic vote for
the national tickets happens to be az
fected as the gubernatOrial vote this
month In Vermont has been affected
The New York Post has done some in
teresting figuring along this line. and
as a net result it is shown that under
the contingencies mentioned President
Taft would carry only two states in
November, Rhode Island and Vermont.
all the others going for Governor viii
son. The conclusions reached by the
Post follow:
To compute this result we should
have to deduct per cent from the
vote cast for Taft four years ago and
appOrtiOn the remaining vote In the
ratio of G. to 80 between Taft and
Roosevelt. and we should have to add
IS per cent to Bryan's vote in 1908
and give the "demnition total" to
Woodrow Wilson-in other words. give
Taft 81 per cent and Roosevelt 80 per
cent Of Taft's vote four years ago
and give Wilson 125 per cent Of Bryan's
vote four years ago.
The result In round numbers would
be as follows. so far as regards Taft
and Wilson: