Atlanta Georgian. [volume] (Atlanta, Ga.) 1912-1939, 1912-09-02


American Review has had notable
success az cold blooded political
prophet
He alone predicted the nomination
OF Taft and Wilson two years ago.
and told correctly the reasons why
each would in the end be nominated
In the September number OF his maya
(. zine Colonel Harvey analyses the pres-
ent political outlook and The Geor
gian is enabled by his courtesy to|
print this synopsis OF his view in ad
vance.
The true appellation Of the three
leading candidates, he declares, are:
Taft. Conservative. Wilson. Liberal.
Roosevelt Radical. He continues:
The contest has already mar
rowed. as in 1924, to the Democrat
against the field. Now. as then he
is practically assured a plurality Of
votes in the electoral college: and
now. as then his defeat can be ac-
complished only by Withholding
from him an actual majority over
all, thus again imposing the cleo
ton Of a president upon the house
Of representatives.
II the states should vote in the cleo
soral college as they are now repre-
, scented politically in the house Of rep
.resentatives elected in 1910 the result
"ould be: Wilson. 29s Taft. i67;
Roosevelt 66. The editor continues.
Taft's Probable Vote.
Without assuming that the voting
in November viii follow closely the
lines indicated. We nevertheless find
In these actual results Of 1910 the
best basis obtainablc for inteIli-
gent speculation. Certain deduc-
tions. for example seem fully war
ranted-to wit:
!. Roosevelt can not be elected
He may expect with reason 10
obtain the Go votes allotted 10 him
in TIA above table Give to him
from the Tart column: Illinois. 2g;
Pennsylvania. 3S; Wisconsin. 10.
Michigan, 70. Massachusetts. IS.
and Delaware, ga total. with the
original IS OF 1872 Add from the
Wilson column. Arizona, O. Colo
RADIO 8. New York. 45. North Caro-
lima ~ oklahoma. 10-total rs.
grand total 25S or 8 less than the
requisite number The widest i'm
aginins can not accord Roosevelt a
majority.
?. Taft can not win
Allot to him t67. as recorded
above. including the doubtful Sd
from Illinois, Minnesota and Wis
consin from the Roosevelt column:
Utah. 4. from Wilson Maryland S.;
New York a.; Ohio. "a. West Vir-
glnia, S--total 256 or 10 less than
majority This must be regarded
as the topmost Of Mr.. Tafts posi-
bilitier
b case Wilson should not obtain a
majority over both Taft and Roosevelt,
the house OF representatives would be
called upon to elect a president on the
second Wednesday Of February. Each
state would have one. vote. and the
result would be: For Wilson, %, oppo-
sition, %. divided. 4--Mainc. Nebraska
New Mexico and Rhode Island. Neces-
sary to a choice, IS. only Taft. Roose-
Welt and Wilson could be voted for.
Obviously neither Roosevelt nor Taft
would have a chance Wilson would
have to win over three non Democratic,
states virtual impossibility, The.
house Of Representatives. therefore,
WOULD be unable to elect a president
The editor continues
Meanwhile the senate. acting un-
der the same provision of the con
stitution. would be engaged in
choosing vice president. since
Marshall necessarily would have
faff - cot,
electoral college. in common with
Wilson Choice would be restricted
to the two persons who had re-
ceived the largest number of cleo
torat votes-Marshall surely and
Sherman probably-and the SEN
ators would vote individually in
stead Of by states. as in the house
OF representatives Forty nine votes
would he required to elect The
senate is now classified politically
as follows: Republicans. so, Demo
Gratis. a.; vacancies. 2 The vacan-
cles will be filled presumably by
the legislatures Of Colorado and
Illinois. iu January Apparently.
therefore. the Republicans would
have surely one and possibly three
more than the 40 required for the
election Of a vice president. who
would become president on the 9Th
Of March. This seems to mean that.
in the event OF Wilson falling to
obtain 2sS electoral votes, Sher-
man would succeed TAFT
Senate Might Then Act.
But here enters another factor.