El Paso herald. (El Paso, Tex.) 1901-1931, 1912-11-04
NEW YORK HERALD
SEES WILSON ONLY
Believes He VIII Garry the
Country by the Biggest
Vote in History.
CWired TO IL Paso Herald by Demo-
cratic National Committee.)

I \ w II Gu ~ III dSO I4Clet4Q Dg GEAAU-
cratic National COmmittee.)
{ New York, y. Y, Nov. 1.-The New
I York Herald's political forecast, pub
] lIshed sunday. indicates the election Of
( woodrow Wilson by the largest cleo
! toral vote ever received by "a candi-
I date. The next house of representa-
/ tves will be Democratic by an over
( WheImlnS majority, the Herald claims,
/ and the indications are that the con-
I troll OF the United States senate Will
+ pass to that party. In the division of
Z the electoral vote as indicated by the
Herald's forecast Gov. Wilson will re-
ceive 800, president Taft -, Mr.. ROOse-
| Welt Z, and 1877 are placed in the
/ doubtful column. There are 81 votes
in the electoral college and 266 are
necessary for a choice. As a basis for
this forecast, the Herald has had a
personal poll of 31g,S21 voters by far
( the largest number that has ever eX-
pressed a preference in prediction
canvass. This poll has been supple
mented by the observations and con
clusions Of experienced political re-
porters VINO have gone into every
county and every debatable state and
talked with men in every walk in life,
according to the claims of the paper.
Wilson in the Sculh.
In the division of the electoral vote
as a result Of the canvass, the Herald
had given to Gov. Wilson l26 from the
coded to Gov. Wilson. They are Ala
bama. Arkansas. Florida, Georgia,
Louisiana, Mississippi, North Carolina,
South Carolina, Tennessee. Texas and
Virginia. Added to these are the votes
Of the following states, which the Her
aid SAYS the canvass indicates that
Gov wilson viii carry: Arizona 3,
Connecticut :, Delaware 3. Indiana Is,
Iowa Is, Kansas 10, Kentucky Is,
Maryland s, Massachusetts, is. Mime
sofa u, Missouri 16, Nebraska S. Ne
Vada 3. New Mexico 3, New York -,
Ohio p, Oklahoma 10. West Virginia
s. Wisconsin Is. This viii make a
total of Al states for Gov. Wilson, with
an electoral vote of $50. SO more than
are necessary for q choice.
To president Taft has been given the
following states with their electoral
vote: Idaho 4, Maine 6, New Hamp-
shire 4, Rhode Island ., Utah +, Yer
mont 4: total -.
Roosevelt Given One state.
To Mr. Roosevelt has been given the
state OF Washington, with seven cleo
toral votes, where the women voters
viii undoubtedly decide the contest.
In the doubtful column has been
placed the following states with their
electoral vote: California Is, Colorado
g, Illinois %, Michigan Is, Montana 4,
New Jersey II, North Dakota 8, Oregon (
., Pennsylvania IS, South Dakota ., l
Wyoming 5; total 49,.
In the larger Of these states-Penn-
Sylvania, Illinois, Michigan, California !
and New Jersey-the contest appears
TO be between Gov. Wilson and Mr..
Roosevelt New Jersey, the home state /
of the -Jemicratic nominee, has not I
heretofore been placed in the doubtful {
column Late reports indicate a drift
toward MIR. Roosevelt and, while 1t is /
not believed to be extensive enough {
to menace the chances of Gov. Wilson,
the state has been put in the doubtful F.
column.
California, classed by the progress !
ives as a state for Mr. Roosevelt is ,
truly doubtful, though the Herald be- I
ueVes that Gov. Wilson viii carry the Z
mort ern part of the state and Mr.. 4
Roosevelt the southern section.
The Doubtful States.
In all the doubtful states there is a 4
silent E--s, larger than ever before. I
There have been rumors in the closing /
days OF the campaign that this would T.
swing TO Mr.. Roosevelt. The Herald (
has made every possible effort to de- /
termlne If this vote was going one /
way and is unable to find that it is.
In Illinois, Michigan and Peunsyl- I
vania the candidates vary in the diff ]
1erent sections OF the state. The re- /
ports show they are even more likely /
Roosevelt but they have been placed !
in the doubtful column.
The one thing that stands out in all
reports to the Herald and which may
be the determining factor of the cleo /
ton IS that the Democratic party is /
practically united, while the Republic /
can party is divided.
Evening Herald's Claims.
ne view I 9TH ENEulu6 E1eEalQ sun
day said:
THE presidential campaign of 1912,
IN many respects one of the most ex-
traordinary in American history, is fin
lShed, ana awaits now the verdict of
the ballot box. Judging by all the |
ordinary tests Of political mathemat-
les and political experience, Woodrow
wilson, OF New Jersey, and ThOs. r
marshall of Indiana, each the governor
OF MS state, and nominees Of the
Democratic party for president and
vice president respectively, viii be
elected by an overwhelming ma
Jorlty, possibly an actual majority
Of the popular vote and by an even
more impressive majority of the cleo Z
toral votes of the states. A very ordi-
nary probability indicates that the
Democratic ticket will receive not less
than 3S7 out Of the 531 electoral votes,
far in excess Of the 266 required for an
actual majority.
Democratic Claims.
The following matter is given out by
the Democratic national committee
wilson and Marshall will have 200
majority in the electoral college and
both the senate and house will be
Democratic on the 4th of March With
out making any gain, the Democrats
viii have 43 senators out of a neces-
sary 40 to control the body OF the
senatorial seats in doubt. the Demo-
Gratis need to gain only six to control.
Ihree states. Illinois. Idaho and Colo
RADIO, each elect senator's Both those
from Colorado will be Democrats. with
an even chance Of securing both in
Idaho, and an even better chance in
The latest news from Hi
nols indicates Democrats all along the
llne. The Democrats feel confident
Of electng senators in Nebraska, Iowa,
delaware, South Dakota. Massachu-
sets, oregon and Minnesota.
CROWDS IN OHIO FLOCK
TO GREET PRESIDENT TAFT
gainesville, Ohio, Nov. Crowds to-
day flocked about president Taft's prf-