The citizen. (Honesdale, Pa.) 1908-1914, 1912-09-27

president is to be filled this year in the
If SO he would be badly fooled Mar
tian. We are voting for men to fill Jobs
all along the line from constable to
United States senator. Governors of
more than thirty states are to be elect
ed and state officers and members of
all the members Of the lower house of
congress, aggregating 435 under the
new apportionment and one-third Of
the members of the senate, which may
prove sufficient to change the political
complexion of that body. This takes
no account of county, city and town
offices galore. | don't know what ga
lore" means, and neither does any one
else who uses it, but l have a vague
suspicion that it means a whole lot.
and, as there are a whole lot of these
offices and the word sounds well, it has
the call.
Governors have already been elected
in Vermont, Maine and Arkansas, or
rather the election has been held in
Vermont; but nobody having received
a majority, the choice will be left to
the legislature, which will select the
Republican candidate. Since the re
turns We're received from the two New
England states all the political proph-
cts in the nation and several persons
who are not prophets have been busy
figuring that the results indicated GER
political party the figurer happened to
belong to- \ political prophet can pre-
dict on less provocation than any sooth-
sayer In the business. He foretells the
future without money and without
price. He is hardly ever right, but does
not permit little thing of that sort to
deter him. The adage that figures
don't lie has no reference to the figures
used by the political prophet.
Easy Lessons In Political Prophecy.
Now, as none of the prophets agree
one with another l propose to let each
reader he his own prophet. have not
the official results from Vermont and
Maine, but as nearly as l can get the
they are as follows: Vermont, gov
ernor, 19l2-Republican, 26,259; Demo
crat, 20.350; Progressive. 15,S00 total
Republican and Progressive, 42059, In
190S the vote for governor in Vermont
was: Republican, 45,59s; Democrat, 15,-
953. l add the Republican and Pro
gressive together for the purpose OF
IL, oh
two elements voted for one candidate.
1t may be added that the Progressive
vote in Vermont is 375 per cent of the
total obtained by adding it to the Re
publican, which IS mentioned for what
1t may be worth in working out per-
centages on q national basis.
In Maine this year the result on gov
ernor was as follows: Republican, TO-
92S; Democrat, 67,9O5. In 1908 the
vote for governor in Maine was: Repub-
lican, 1928: Democrat, 66,075. Now,
combining the results in the two states
and adding the Taft and Roosevelt
vote together we have this result for
1912: Republican, 112,9S7; Democrat,
$3.50. For 1903 the combined vote of
the two states for governor was: Re
publican, 1926; Democrat S2,O2S.
The vote Of the entire nation for
president in 1903 was: Republican,
7,G7S,9Os; Democrat, 6,409,1O4
This furnishes a basis for estimating
the popular vote Of the nation this
year as accurately as it can be arrived
Mt from the vote Of Vermont and
Maine. To estimate the electoral vote
It will be necessary to have the vote
I'm each state in 1908 and also the Ia
BILE Of electors 70 which each state is
entitled In the new electoral college.
There is not space here to give this in
formation, and, besides, wish to show
some mercy to readers.
The Popular Vote.
By simple proportion or percentages
1t Is easy to work out an estimate OF
the popular vote of the nation as n
whole; but to figure the thing for every
state would send most people to an
asylum. However, those bent on their
own destruction can get the necessary
information from almost any political
almanac, which can be bought in the
bookstores for a quarter. l refuse to
figure the thing out further-first, be-
cause the results might seem partisan,
and / have forsworn partisanism in
these articles; and second, because do
not want to rob you Of the delight Of
ciphering II out for yourself.
Thus you see, fellow citizens, l am
furnishing you free Of charge a lesson
in campaign prognostication. 1t should
be entitled, "How Every Man May Be
come His Own Political Prophet; or,
the Way to the Dippy House Made
Easy" Now 90 to it and may the
Lord have mercy on your souls!
1t may be added that the Arkansas
state election resulted In the usual
Democratic majorities, or a little more
30, and anybody is entitled to draw any
deductions from this fact that his party
leanings call for and that are not for