The Barre daily times. (Barre, Vt.) 1897-1959, 1912-11-04
Indicates Are He Will Have at
Least $50 Votes
IN THE ELECTORAL COLLEGE
New York Herald Canvass Gives 80
States to Wilson, 6 to Taft, to
Roosevelt and II Doubtful
Candidates Statements.

New York, Nov. 4.--Woodrow Will
son the next president of the United
States That is the deduction to be
made from the New York Herald's can
vass of the nation, now drawn to close.
Based on test ballots and the personal
investigations, the following analysis Of
the electoral vote is justified;
Governor Wilson, 800; President Taft
81; Mr. Roosevelt 7, and 1877 doubtful
To Governor Wilson in the table are
given thirty states. To President Taft,
six-Idaho, New Hampshire, Rhode ISL
/ and, Utah. Vermont and Maine. To Mr..
Roosevelt is given one--Washington--
| while eleven-California. Colorado, Hill
nois, Massachusetts,, Montana, New Jer-
scy, North Dakota, Oregon, Pennsyl-
vana, South Dakota and Wyoming
classified as doubtful
OF the thirty-seven states wherein
test ballots We're taken Governor Will
son leads in twenty-six, President Taft
leads in five and Mr.. Roosevelt in six.
In the same group of states Mr.
Roosevelt runs second in twenty-one
Governor Wilson in eleven and President
Taft in five. The total number of votes
taken throughout the country reached
the imposing figure of 3l9,32l, of which
Governor Wilson received 1872, or &c.
253 more than Mr.. Roosevelt, and 67,-
400 more than the president.
A significant and interesting feature
of the straw vote table is that the rela
tive strength Of the three leading nomi
nees is about the same in the closing
days of the canvass as it was early in
September. For instance, the president
was polling .2l6 Of the test ballots when
the first tabulation was made in Sep
TENDER. He gathered in 20s per cent |
of the last vote cast, showing him to be i
q shade weaker than he was. Mr.. Roose- |
welt started by getting 300 per cent. of |
the ballots. As the campaign ends he |
draws .30d per cent. Governor Wilson |
received APO per cent. of the first vote |
taken. He closes by receiving AS per
cent.
Throughout the campaign there has
been but the slightest fuctuation in the
relative positions Of the nominees. There
have been persistent reports of threat.
ened Iandslides to this or that condi-
date, but the voting, taken with great
est care in the very sections where the
outbursts were expected to occur, failed
to foreshadow any such thing.
In the closing days there are rumors
that the great silent vote-that of the
men who decline to express any pref
arenee in advance-will swing to Mr. /.
Roosevelt. The Herald has made every
possible effort to sense" any such gem
aral drift, but has been unable to do so.
II is true that in New Jersey there has
without doubt been a swing TO MIR.
Roosevelt. Ii has been so marked that
he Herald this week places the govern
,r's home state in the doubtful column.
Heretofore it has been regarded as Ger.
ain for Mr.. Wilson. Test ballots give
he governor a good lead over his rivals.
lust how extensive the shift away from /
Governor Wilson and to Mr. Roosevelt .
sill be no one pretends to estimate ex- i
Ictly. From what the Herald has been !
bile to gather there is a possibility but
Tot a likelihood tina Mr.. Roosevelt will Z
AIRY the state. Il
There are intimations also that Mr.. [
Roosevelt has been gathering strength |
mong workers in some of the New Eng !
and factories, and that in Pennsylvania :
e may make cleanup" There are f
o Indications in the Herald's ballots or
n the reports of its investigators to Q
upport that declaration. No doubt, as 4
he great battle nears its end, Republ- /
ans are a little worried over the talk of
Swing to Roosevelt" and the Wilson I
democrats are glad the fight is so near n
IS close. However, the Republicans h
ave no hope of electing the president. n
nd the Democrats have not the slight. +
st doubt of the election of their candi-
ate
There appears to be little or no like
hood that any change can come which P
'ould throw the election of the presi-
ent and viee-president into the House
r the Senate.