The Caucasian. (Clinton, N.C.) 188?-1913, 1912-05-30

To Get Sominafiun-Sayx Mr..
Roosevelt xna Get Part of sh~ S~w
York DeaewAaiaa Which .. rnln-
structed-If All Contc~a~ shosald
he Decided I'm President TAft's ra-
vor the Vote In Convention woaid
he Gose-where the Dclexaaew
Are Yet to be Eiecsed-win be q
Great and Exciting Convcntion.
Especial TO The caucasian.l
Washington. ID. C. May IS. 1919.
These Is less intense interest in the
results in New Jersey today. strange
AZ IL may seem. than there was in the
results of the contest between Taft
and Roosevelt In Illinois. Pennsyl-
yania. Massachusetts, Maryland, and
Ohio. This is due 10 the fact that
there is general feeling. not only
among Republicans. but among pol
iticians of all parties at the national
capital. that Roosevelt; will get a ma
jority OF the delegates from New Jer-
sey. There is also a general feeling
that no matter what his vote In New
Jersey is, that having secured ma
jority or even half of that State, his
nomination is almost certain.
The contest, however. is so close
that there is no little careful figuring
as TO probabilities OF the first vote In
the Chicago Convention. Many poll
ticians today were figuring on the
table OF instructed votes between
Taft and Roosevelt. as published by
the New York Herald.
How the Vote Stands Up to Date
Outside of the vote in New Jersey.
the Herald table gives ASS votes 10
Taft; this, however, includes all OF
| the uninstructed vote OF New York
State and of all the southern con-
tested delegates. The Herald table
gives to Roosevelt 424 uncontested
and unquestioned delegates. This
leaves 60 delegates TO be elected. and
| fed column.
The unclassified delegates are: s
from Arkansas, from Ohio; the
/ delegates at large from Massachu-
| setts; from North Carolina; 26
| from Texas, and Il from Washing
! ton.
The delegates yet to be elected are
| the 28 from New Jersey, being voted
| for today; 6 to be elected In Arizona /;
| 2 to be elected in Araknsas; the
| delegates at large in Ohio; the 10
delegates from South Dakota. and
| the delegates at large in the State
of Texas, also to be elected today.
| 1t is generally conceded, however.
| that the delegates from Texas will
go to Roosevelt 1t is also generally
! conceded that in the State of New
Jersey Roosevelt will get Is or 20
of the 2S delegates, or more, while
many admit that Taft will not get
more than 4 or 6 delegates in New
| Jersey, and the highest estimate Is
| 10.
| Roosevelt Will Get Nearly All OF
| Them.
| The general concensus Of opinion
| is that Roosevelt will get between 30
| and so, at least, OF the so delegates
yet to be elected, and that he will get
! 40 or more of the unclassified dele
gates. IL this is correct. then the
/ delegates from these two classes.
added TO the La Toilette and Cum
minis delegates, making 36 in num-
/ Der, which must finally go TO Roose-
! velt, would give him q clear majority
/ in the Convention. regardless OF how
/ the National Committee might decide
| contests.
1t is also pointed out, according 10
| the Herald table land that paper is
anti-Roosevelt) that il is necessary
| for President Taft TO secure At least
| so delegates to be elected from now
on TO secure the nomination, and this
statement is made on the assumption
| that every contest will be decided in
his favor, and that he will secure So
of the go delegates from the State Of
New York who are uninstructed.
Where Can Taft Get the Necessary 80
More Votes?
1t Is generally admitted that IL is
impossible for President Taft TO get
So votes from the States and districts
yet TO act. including New Jersey, in
which State. no one. outside OF ex-
treme partisans claim more than ten
for him. Thus il appears that the re-
suit at the Convention viii be ex-
treEely close, even IL the National
Committee should decide every con-
test in President Taft's favor.
The next Republican National Con-
vention will be the greatest and most
exciting Convention of the party since