Jamestown weekly alert. [volume] (Jamestown, Stutsman County, D.T. [N.D.]) 1882-1925, 1912-08-08
.IP0lI1eAL S!Ig.:.,0N
IS ,1PllCAltD
sScp4
GaM OF THE PARTIES AS TO
0HANCEs IN ELEGTeRAL
CD4ARGE.

St. Paul, Mann., Aug. 1.-THE
Democratic party enters the caan-
paign united and co1hdent of VIC
tory. The Republicans are torn 10y |
factional dfssord and a third ptdrty
movement.
AS viewed from washington, the
fight in ellis campaign will be &aged
between Governor Wilson aad Col
onel Roosevelt. Despite the han
dicap under with he runs, Colonel
Roosevelt ii expected to make bet
ter showing 'ofsstrength at the polls
and i'm the electoral college than
President TAFT.
mink Taft adey Garry Three States,
Most of Tie Democratic leaders!
aMd many Frogressives sare of the
cobinion that President Taft will not
eearry to eaceed three sstates. Sone
c6f them gcs so far as 10 say that the
ppresidentaNsill not poll "a single elsc-
ttoral vote States that are s,fp-
posed totbe reasonably certain for
! Taft areuUtah, vernent and Rhede
island. The Democrats, who al
ready hAve counted 'Mr. Taft out of
the rhAa1ing, predict that Gov. SVil-
I: sonwwhl carry aear1y all Of the
states, notably iGalifornia, and
fighting hope only in New York.
~rh a --'.1.r~.-~+~ a,tass. n.-'>+- '~-N Se-s
RU1Sro .+haf thoir candidate will win
without that state.
The total vote in sthe electoral
collegessis 531; necessary to choice
266; reasonably RepAblican under
normal conditions 15a; Democratic
40; doubtful 2O7. The Republic
cans to win must get 112 doubtful
votes. The Democrats ITO win must
get 81 doubtful votes. The Wilson
leaders Insist that majority of the
votes classified as Republican will
land in fheir column. TThey figure
also on polling a majority of the So
called doubtful votes.
Hilles ignores Third PARTY.
Charles ID. Hilles, chairman of the
;Republican national committee, is
;sproceeding ON the theory, at least
son the surface, that the tftird party
movement will not seriously damage
,Jnis candidacy. OF the states that
MIR. Hilles regards as douatful now
.Mkr. Taft in 1908 carried, &onnecti-
cut, Idaho, 1qdiana, Maine, Massa-
chusetts. Montana, Nevada, New
Jegsey, New Work, North Dakota,
Ohio, Oregon. West Virginia and
Wisconsin. These fifteen estates
have a total of R81 electors
Here are the estates that GChair-
man Hilles regards as reasonably
certaan to cast their electoral votes
for president Eaft: California,
Delaware, Illinois, Iowa, Michigan,
Minnesota, New Hampshire, Penn
sylvanfa, Rhode Island, South Da-
kota, Utah, Vermont, Washington
and Wyoming. Total 1856.
Solid South for Wilson.
The Solid South" is generally
conceded ito Governar Wilson, a.
though Colonel Roosevelt is ex-
,pected to make hot southern CAM
.paign and pay get some electoral
votes. Under this head ere the fol-
'lowiag states: Alabama, Arkansas
Florida, Georgia, Louisiana, Missis-
.sippi. North Carolina, soMth Caro-
lima, fYirginia, Texas, Arizona, Ok
.lahoma, Kentuosky and Missouri.
The staaes named have 1853 eelector-
al votes. Most Republican Aeaders
.concede Wilson ALSO the states of
Nebraska. Colorado and Nevada,
(which have sixteen votes.
According to these figures Presi-
dent Taft begins the campaign with
a practical certainty chat he wAl
have 1856 votes and Governor VIII
son 174. Takt1g these figures AZ
a basis. Mr.. Taft needs l22 to win,
while Governor Wilson only has to
gain ninety-three. NJ
According to the claims above set
forth. the battle-ground in the 1912
campaign will be waged in the fol-
lowing states: Connecticut, Idaho, |
Indiana, Kansas, New Jersey. Maine. /
Maryland, Massachusetts,. Montana.
New York. North Dakota, Ohio.
Oregon, Tennessee. West Virginia.
Wisconsin and New Mexico. These
states have 201 electoral votes,
Colonel's Friends Claim $50 Votes.
In the above calculation no con-
sideration is given the third candi-
date. Friends Of Colonel Roosevelt
say His candidacy Will gather