New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1912-11-03
FIGHT LIES BETWEEN
TAFT AND WILSON
With RooseveIts Chances Hopeless, Republi-
cans and Democrats Must Settle the
Question Of Who Shall Be Elected.
COUNT ON PRESIDENTS SUCCESS
Review Of Conditions in Every State Convinces Party
Leaders That the Chief Executive Is Bound
to Wm-Efect Of Outcome on Congress
of Great Importance.

intense interest which attaches 10 the
three sided Presidential race, Of the
utmost importance in the effect its out
come will have on the Senate, as well
as on the House Of Representatives.
In the present Senate the Republic
cans have a majority Of seven votes,
with vacancies in the representation OF
Illinois. Idaho and Colorado. loss
of two Senators as the result of the
approaching election would reduce the
Republican total to forty-eight, one
less than a majority of the whole SEN
ate.
The terms Of thirty-two Senators eX-
pirc on March 4. Some Of these are
from assured Democratic states, while
others are from states which are in
doubt. Those which may be assumed
to be hanging in the balance are the
following:
Oklahoma, which is to elect a sue
cessor to Senator owen Dem); West
Virginia, which is to elect a successor
10 Senator Watson Dem0; Colorado,
which is TO elect a successor to Sen
ator Guggenheim (Rep) and fill the
present vacancy; Delaware, which is
TO elect a successor TO Senator Rich
ardson Rep.); Idaho, which is to elect
successors to Senators Borah and Hey
burn CReps): Illinois, which is TO elect
a successor to Senator Cullom (Rep9
and a Senator to the place made va
cant by the expulsion of Mr.. Lorimer;
Iowa, which is to elect a successor TO
Senator Kenyon RepJ; Kansas, which
is to elect a successor to Senator Cur
tbs (RePD; Massachusetts,, which is
to elect d successor to Senator Crane
lRepD; Michigan, which is to elect
successor 10 Senator Smith (Rep);
Minnesota which is to elect successor
to Senator Nelson CRep); Nebraska,
which is TO elect q successor to Sen
atoI Bristow (RepD; New Hampshire,
which is TO elect a successor TO Sena-
tor Burnham RepD; New Jersey,
which will elect d successor to Sena-
tor Briggs ReP); oregon, which will
elect d successor to Senator Bourne
lBcpJ; Rhode Island, which will elect
a successor to Senator Wetmore Rep);
South Dakota, which will elect sue
cussor to Senator Gamble Rep). and
Wyoming, which will elect a successor
{, Senator Warren (Rep).
States That Are Sure.
Tennessee will elect two Senators as
the result Of the death Of Senator Tay-
Tor. brt there are few who believe the
Legislature Of that state will be other
than Democratic Nevada will also
have a vacancy, resulting from the
death of Senator Nixon (Rep), whose
seat Is now filed by w. A. Massey
(EepD.
Of the other states named there are
few who do not concede that Wyoming
viii so Republican and re-elect Sen
ator Warren, and comparatively few
who do not expect to.see a Republican
elected to succeed Senator Crane Of
Massachusetts,. Maine has already
elected its Legislature and as the ma
jority is Republican, Senator from
that party will succeed Senator Gard
ner.
The entire membership Of the House,
of course, will be determined at the
coming election The present member
ship of the House is 1893, but that Of
the House in the new Congress will be
43j.
Aside from the states Of the solid
South" almost every state in the Union
is claimed by all three of the contend
ing parties. The real contest, however,
appears to be between the Republican
and Democratic parties, and while most
Of the. states are more or less doubt.
ful, those which stand out as pre-
eminently so are Arizona Colorado,
Delaware Indiana, Illinois, Maine,
Maryland, New Jersey, Nebraska,
North Dakota and West Virginia.
While both Democrats and Republi-
cans claim Nebraska, oregon and Okla
homa. both concede that there may be
some ground for claiming them for the
third party, and California, where the
Republicans have been DISTINGUISHED,
as well, but both are convinced that
the third party stands no show Of
carrying any states other than those
named.
New York the Pivotal State.
Perhaps to a greater extent than
ever New York is this year a pivotal
state. At no time has there been any
likelihood Of the state giving its cleo
toral vote TO Roosevelt, but it is ad-
mitted that the third party candidate
for Governor, oscar Straus, looms large
on the political horizon. Mr.. Straus,
IT is admitted, is likely to poll large
vote among the members of his own
race.
1t is claimed, however, that most Of
those who will vote for Mr. Straus
from racial reasons will also vote for
Mr. Taft. Intense gratitude is felt to
Mr. Taft by the Jews because Of his
pre-eminent fairness TO their race, be-
cause he denounced the treaty with
Russia as soon as it became obvious
that negotiations to secure from Rus
STA just treatment of the Jews were
futile, and because the course of Mr..
Taft has been substantially recognized
by the B'nai Birth. which In interna-
tional council awarded to President
Taft medal, indicating that they re-
garded him as the one man in the
world who had done most for their