East Oregonian : E.O. (Pendleton, OR) 1888-current, 1912-10-29
$1,000 -

The following story of the presi-
Dental situation is taken from the
Oregonian of Monday, oct. 2S, and Is
based on figures resulting from the
straw ballots taken by the Chicago
Record-Herald and the New York
Herald. The poll places Woodrow
Wilson far in the lead, with Roosevelt
remaining stationary since the first
poll was taken on September 90, and
a slight gain being shown by Taft
The story from the Oregonian is as
follows:
IF straw votes ana newspaper polls
were to go for anything. the presiden-
tial election of 1912 might be consid-
cred a foregOne conclusion and II
would be all over but the shouting. \
poll taken throughout the Northern
states and the unusually doubtful bor-
der states by the New York Herald
for four consecutive weeks shows
that, conceding the solid South to
Wilson, he will carry 35 states with
429 electoral votes, Roosevelt Will
carry seven states with rs votes, Taft
three states with II votes, leaving
three states doubtful with Il votes
"All the circumstances point to
Wilson's election.
THE influence of the shooting of
Roosevelt on the election is variously
judged by observers of political
weather. 1t is declared by the Chi
IN have UqiDp1
votes for the colonel in Illinois and
California, and a few in the East, but
not enough to change the outlook. In
the Rocky Mountain and prairie states
ii is said not to have affected the
situation. but In Ohio it had decided
effect. Before the shooting the re-
publicans had turned all their guns
on Roosevelt with a view to securing
second place for Taft. They met with
such success that they had decided
to divert the attack to Wilson in a
fight for first place when the shoot
ing of Roosevelt caused them to con-
tinue to fight for second place.
IF the election were to result as
shown by the New York Herald's poll
of 205,332 voters in 33 states on Oc-
tOber 20, Wilson would carry, in ad-
dition to the solid South, the follow
ing northern and border states New
York, Connecticut, New Jersey, PEN
nsylvania, Maryland, Delaware, Mas
sachusetts Maine, New Hampshire,
Rhode Island, Ohio, Indiana, West
Virginia, Kentucky, Wisconsin, Min
nesota, Iowa, Missouri, Kansas, Okla
Mexico, Nevada, Colorado, South Da-
kota, Arizona. Roosevelt would car
ry Illinois, Michigan, Idaho, Wash
ington and California. Taft would
carry wyoming and Utah.
Roosevelt would, on the same bas-
Is, have second place after Wilson in
the following states: New York, Con-
necticut, New Jersey, Maryland, Della
ware. Maine, New Hampshire, Rhode
Island, Indiana, West Virginia, Ken
lucky. Nevada, Colorado, Minnesota,
Iowa, Missouri. Kansas, oklahoma,
Nebraska. South Dakota and Ari-
zona.
Idll would De SeCOHu u NllSoll III
Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, Ohio,
New Mexico and Wisconsin.
Wilson would he second to Roose>
Welt in Illinois, California, Michigan,
Idaho and Washington, and second to
Taft in Utah and Wyoming.
New England has been shaken
loose from its habitual republican,
ism. but strong influences are coun-
teracting the trend to Roosevelt. In
Massachusetts Wilson leads, but re-
publcans say Taft will finish a close
second. In Main democratic conf
dence is founded on the small margin
OF the combined republican and pro-
gressive forces over them in the state
election. New Hampshire is given to
the democrats by the Herald by a
small margin. but the republicans pre-
dict , a Tart majority. though there
has been a progressive revolution in
the state. Rhode Islands shows a
drift to Wilson, with anti-republican
sentiment stronger than in 1892. with
the Independent vote all for Wilson
and with nine-tenths of the progress
sive vote drawn from the republican
ranks. The republicans claim Yer
mont by a narrow margin and are