The weekly chieftain. [volume] (Vinita, Craig County, Okla.) 1905-1913, 1912-09-27
MEAN WILSON TO
! SWEEP COUNTRY
Democratic Gains in Vermont
and Maine Impressive.
OTHER PARTIES PLIGHT
Third Termers TO Poll Their Entire
Strength From the Rapidly
Thinning Republican
Ranks

That the result OF the state cleo
tlons in Vermont and Maine mean a
/ tremendous Democratic victory In No
vember, is freely admitted by all ex-
cept the bitterest partisans Politt-
cal experts have done some analyEing.
and some claim to have reached novel
conclusions, But these facts stand
out:
On Monday, September 9. 1912, the
Republican and Third Term parties
combined elected William T. H&ines
governor OF Maine. over Frederick w.
Plaisted. the present DsnnOeratio In
olumbent by S.O2s plurality: IN 1908.
a presidential year. Republican waa
elected governor by 1883 plurality; in
1904. the plurality was 2S.SOo. and In
1900 1t was s4.132. In other words, in
IL years the Democrats have cut
down the Republican plurality in state
elections by 31,10s.
In this period the Democratic vote
has increased from $4,000 to $1,000
whereas the Republican vote has do
creased from $4,000 to 71,00O. The
Democratic vote of this year exceeds
that OF September. 1908. by 1000, but
the Republican vote is about 1000 less
than that party cast four years ago.
The split in the Republican ranks,
following the election OF William T.
Hatnes, is pronounced. II the divE
sion In Maine In November is as IL
was In the recent Vermont election,
stx-tenths Of the Republican vote will
80 for Taft. thrss-tsnths for Rooss-
Vslt. and onetsnth for the Demo
Gratis, 1t 10 significant that the latter
party has to date suffered no losses.
as compared with the vote in previous
years, from the Third Term move
ment. On the contrary, 1t has gained.
The result in Maine may be expected
to be something like this Wilson.
$4,000; Taft, 42,600; Roosevelt, 81, 300.
The returns from the recent Yer
mont election show, In round figures,
that the joint Republican and third
party vote was eight per cent. short
OF the Republican vote four years ago,
while the Democratic vote in that
state shows a gain OF twenty-five per
cent. over that of 1908 1t Is of spe-
cial interest to speculate what will
happen next November throughout
the nation II the Republican and |
Democratic vote for the national
tickets happen to be affected as
the gubernatorial vote this month !
In Vermont has been affected. The |
New York Evening Post has done
some interesting figuring along this
line and as net result 1t is shown |
that, under the contingencies mention.
ed President Taft would carry only
two states in November, Rhode Island
and Vermont, all the others going for
Gov Wilson The conclusions reach.
ed by the Post follow,
To compute THIS result we should
have to deduct per cent from the
vote cast for Taft four years ago and
apportion the remaining vote In the
ratio of 62 to 38 between Taft and
Roosevelt and we should have to add
% per cent to Bryan's vote in 1908, |.
and give the demnitlon total to
Woodrow Wilson. In other words, give
Taft 81 per cent and Roosevelt 35
Der cent of Taft's vote four years
Ago, and give Wilson 125 per cent. of
3ryan's vote four years ago.
The result in round numbers would
'e az follows, 30 far as regards Taft
md Wilson.