The border vidette., 1912-10-05
MEAN WILSON TO l. SWEEP COUNTRY
Democrats Gains in Vermont
 and Mai.le Impressive.
OTHER PARTIES
Third Formers to Poll Their Entire Strength From the Rapidly Thinning Republican
 Ea1ks

That the result of the state cleo tions in Vermont and Maine mean a tremendous Democratic victory in No venber, is freely admitted by all ex- cept the bitterest partisans. Politi- cal experts have dcne some analysing, and some claim to have reached novel conclusions. But these facts stand out:
 On Monday, September g, 1912, the Republican and Third Term parties combined elected William T. Haines governor of Maine, over Frederick w. Plaisted, the present Democratic in- cIumbent. by 3,O23 plurality; in 1908, a presidential year, Republican was elected governor by 7,653 plurality; in 1904, the plurality was 25,S00, and in 1900 it was 34 132. In other words, in 12 years the Democrats have cut down tho Republican plurality in state elections by 3I,109.
 In this period the Democratic vote has increased from 39,000 to 6S,000 whereas the Republican vote has de- creased from 74,00J to 71,0OG The Democratic vote Cf this year exceeds that of Septt tiIlber, 1908, by 1,0O0, but the Republican, vote Is about 2,0O0 less than that party cast four years ago.
 The split in the Republican ranks. following the election of William T. Haines, is prcnounced-s If the divi- sion in Maine in November is as it was in the recent Vermont election, siX-tenths Of the Republican vote will go for Taft, three-tenths for Roose- welt, and one-tenth for the Demo crats. It is signincant that the latter party has to date suffered no losses, as compared with the vote In previous years from the Third Term move ment. On the contrary, it has gained. The result in Maine may be expected to be something like this: Wilson, 74,00O; Taft, 42,600; Roosevelt. 21,3OO
 The returns from the recent Yer mont election show, In round figures, that the joint Republican and third party vote was eight per cent. short of the Republican vote four years ago, while the Democratic vote in that state shows gain of twenty-five per cent. over that of 1908. It is of spe- cial interest to speculate what will happen next November throughout the nation if the Republican and Democratic vote for the national tickets happen to be affected as the gubernatorial vote this month in Vermont has been affected. The New Yerk Evening Post has done some interesting figuring along this line ana as a net result IL IS SnO"n that, under the contingencies mention ed, President Taft would carry only two states in November, Rhode Island and Vermont, all the others going for Gov. Wilson. The conclusions reach ed by the Post follow,
 TO compute this result We should have to deduct s per cent. from the vote cast for Taft four years ago and apportion the remaining vote in the ratio of 62 to 3S between Taft and Roosevelt, and we should have to add 35- per cent. to Bryans vote in 1908, and give the 'demnition total to Woodrow Wilson. In other words, give Taft 67 per cent. and Roosevelt 35 per cent. of Taft's vote four years ago, and give Wilson 125 per cent. of Bryan's vote four years ago.
 The result in round numbers would be as follows. so far as regards Taft
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