Graham guardian., 1912-11-01
Mean wilson TO
sweep COUNTRY
Democratic Gains in Vermont
and Maine Impressive.
OTHER PARTIES PLIGHT
Third Tsrmsrs 70 Poll Their Entire
Strength From the Rapidly
Thinning Republican
Ranks.

That the result Of the state cleo
tions in Vermont and Maine mean a
tremendous Democratic victory in No
vember. 10 freely admitted by all ex-
cept the bitterest partisans. Politi-
cal experts have done some analyzing,
and some claim to have reached novel
conclusions. But these facts stand
out:
On Monday, September 9. 1912, the
Republican and Third Term parties
combined elected William T. Haines
governor Of Maine. over Frederick w.
Plaisted, tho present Democratic in
clumbent. by 3.o23 plurality; in 1905,
a presidential year. . Republican was
elected governor by 1858 plurality; In
1904, the plurality was 25.S0o. and in
1900 1t was 34.133. In other words. in
IL years the Democrats have Gu:
down the Republican plurality in state
elections by 31.Ios.
In this period the Democratic vote
has increased from $4,000 to 6S,0J0
whereas the Republican vote has do
creased from $4,000 to 1900. The
Democratic vote Of this year exceeds
that of September, 1908. by 1000. but
the Republican vote II about 1000 less
than that party cast four years ago.
The split In the Republican ranks,
following the election Of william T.
Haines, is pronounced. II the dlvi-
sion in Maine In November 10 as it
was in the recent Vermont election,
six-tenths Of the Republican vote will
go for Taft. three-tenths for Roose-
welt, and one-tenth for the Demo
Gratis. 1t 10 significant that the latter
party has to date suffered NO losses,
as compared with tho vote In previous
years, from the Third Term move
ment. On the contrary, It has gained.
The result in Maine may be expected
to be something like this: Wilson,
$4,000; Taft. 42.60o; Roosevelt. 21,30O.
The returns from the recent Ver-
mont election show. In round figures,
that the joint Republican and third
party vote was eight per cent short
Of the Republican vote four years ago.
while the Democratic vote In that
state shows gain Of twenty-five per
cent. over that Of 1908. 1t IL Of spe-
cial interest to speculate what will
happen next November throughout
the nation II the Republican and
Democratic vote for the national
tickets happen to be affected as
the gubernatorial vote this month
in Vermont has been affected. The
New York Evening Post has done
some interesting figuring along this
line and as a net result 1t is shown
that, under the contingencies mention
ed, President Taft would carry only
two states in November, Rhode Isla nd
and Vermont, all the others going for
Gov. Wilson. The conclusions reach
ed by the Post follow,
ITO compute this result We sholild
have to deduct 8 per cent. from the
vote cast for Taft four years ago and
apportion the remaining vote In the
ratio Of 81 to 3S between Taft and
Roosevelt, and We should have to sdd
35 per cent. to Bryan's vote In 1898,
and give the 'de.Inition total to
Woodrow Y. =. In other words, give
Taft 81 md Roosevelt 35
per cent vote four years
ago, ard un l25 per cent. of
Bryan's vC.t .,.r years ago.
THE result In round numbers would
be as follows. SO far as regards Taf,
and Wilson.