The Bridgeport evening farmer., 1912-07-18

land, Middlesex. New London and Windham counties, the situation is an interesting one. In 1910 MT. Henry carried nine out of the IS towns i'll Holland county. but by such small pluralities in six of them that Mir. Lonergan. who carried four of these towns, had a. total vote of 2,211 to MT. Henry's 2,l81, Tn other words, the Democratic congressional caMdi- date actually carried this county. 1t is also evident that the four towns
 carried by the Democrats in 1910. will
 be carried again by them with tn-
 creased pluralities. and that out of nine towns carried in 1910 by Mir.
 Henry, at least six of them are de- batable ground.
 In New London county Mir. Jodoin, the Democratic congressional candt-
 date, received 266 more votes than
 his Republican opponent. MT, Hig- gins. ,. Moreover, he carried nine out of the 21 towns in that county. Tn the 12 towns carried by -Mr. Higgins. the pluralities In at least six of them were very small. This leaves in this county. for the reasons already stated. at least nine towns as certainly Dem- oeratic, six as debatable. and six as probably Republican.
 In Windhanl county. MT. Higgins defeated MT. Jedoin by 346 votes. MF. Jodoin carried six out of the IS towns of this county. Out of the nine towns carried by MT. Higgins. three were by comparatively small pluralities. Under prevailing conditions it can very fair ly be- stated that six of the towns in this county are surely Democratic, six are probably Republican and three are debatable.
 In Middlesex county, which is now part of the second or New London
 district. Mr. Shepard. whose home is in Portland. carried the county by something over 300 votes. Mir. Reilly, his opponent, carried four out of the 15 towns in this county. and in the II towns carried by Mr. Shepard. the pluralities were comparatively small in six of them. Adding MT. Shep- ards plurality of s45 in Middlesex
 county to MT. Higgins plurality of "a votes in Windhan and New London counties. we have a total of 39a votes. From this must be subtracted Mir. Lonergan's plurality in Holland of 30 votes which makes total Repuubli- can plurality in the present second congressional district in 1910 of 3s2 votes. Who will deny that this year
 under the prevailing conditions that
 this Republican plurality will not dis- appear and that a Democratic con- gressrnan will not be elected? The conditions in New Haven coun- I ty, which is now the third congress
 sional district, are too we'll known to
 need enumeration. MT. Reilly ear- ried the county against MT. Shepard l in 1910 by over $500 votes. At least ten of the towns in this county. car-
 ried in 1910 by the Republican can ] didate. are debatahle ground.
 Tn Fairfield county in the 1910 elec- ton the plurality of Mir. Hill, the Re- publican candidate over that of MT. Wilson, his Democratic opponent. was something over 1,400 votes.
 l Two years before, in 1908, he had carried this same district by pfu-
 rality of over s.7oo votes. The 1910 lelection, therefore. shows a falling | off in MT. Hills vote in Fairfield coun- l ty, Of ,7, 300. There is no doubt that than he was in 1910 and there is ex- cry possibility that Fairfield county will elect a Democratic congressman this year.
 In Litchfeld county in 1910, MT
 Hill rolled up plurality of some thing over 4.400 votes. Two years before his plurality in this district
 shad been considerably over three times as large. When one consid- CTS in this connection that the towns of Ansonia, Derby. Naugatuck. Sey- mour, Beacon Falls. Middlebury Southbury, Oxford, Waterbury. Pros peet, and Wolcott are now in the
 Litchfield county congressional dis trict, it puts different complexion lupon the situation there. Tn 1910, . .-.