The Washington herald., 1912-10-29
VOTE TlDUuT|0h
GIVES WILSON 81
Little Chancs II xlesteral college
Deadlock mn Present
lineup.
SURVEY INDICATES SAFE
MAJORITY FOE GOVERNOR
Reesevslt Seems 10 Have Ad.
vantage in Race for sec-
ond Plsee. =

L
vantage in Race for sec.
ond Plaoe.
The possibility that the selection Of Z
President for the next four years viii
Be made by the House Of Representatives
has bscn the cause Of no little discussion
during the campaign. and 1t has been ths
boast Of many third-party chieftsins that
Col. Roosevelt's candidacy will accom-
plish this much at least
While the possibility u not exactly re-
mote. II II far from q probability, &C
cording to the present outlook. The
Washington Herald has taken advantaSe
days virtually from every State In the
Union to summarize the situation - II
now appears.
The silent vote. the thousands in all
parts Of the country who refuse to name
the candidate for whom they will cast
their ballot next Tuesday, 10 the factor
which may upset almost any predictions
Taking II for granted that this silent
vote will be % distributed as not to at
feet the ultimate result. however. the
following figures show how the States
may be expected to line up.
How Candidates Stand.
Roosevelt il leading In Illinois and
Washington, which have twenty-nine
and seven votes, respectively. in the
electoral college. Total. thirty-siL
The following states and votes may Be
conceded to President Taft: Connecticut.
q. Maine. 6: New Hampshire. 1: Rhode
Island. S: Utah. 4: Wyoming. 3. Total =.
90
good lead In the following states: Della
ware, 3; Iowa, L; Massachusetts,. Is;
Maryland. 8; Missouri. IS; Montana. 4;
New Mexico. 3: New York. q: Oregon,
S: Vermont. 1; Alabama, Il: Arkansas.
|s; Florida, s: Georgia, II: Louisiana, TO-;
Mississippi. 10; North Carolina. II: South
Carolina, 8; South Dakota, 5: Texas. 90:
Virginia. L.: Arizona. 3: Kansas. 10:
Kentucky. 13; Nebraska. 8: Nevada. 3;
New Jersey. Il; Oklahoma, lp: Tennes-
see. Il: West Virginia. g. Total 81.
In the following states the race Is so
close between Roosevelt and Wilson as
to require a separate classification: Cali
fornia, 13; Michigan. l5: Ohio. "a: North
Dakota. 5; Indiana, Is: Pennsylvania. s.:
Idaho. 4: Minnesota. II. Total 1c6.
Wisconsin with thirteen votes and
Colorado with six votes are placed by
themselves because political prophets
seem able to reach but one general con-
clusion. that they don't know which
way the vote IL going.
Wilson Has Majority.
Recapitulating. Roosevelt has as votes;
Taft. .: Wilson. 32l: to be divided be-
tween Wilson and Roosevelt, Ids. and 10
which may 60 any way.
The total vote in the electoral college
is 531. In order to prevent the vote
from being thrown into the House of
Representatives. some ono candidate
must get one-half Of the total electoral
vote. or 266.
Woodrow Wilson. from present indi-
cations, has a safe margin Of fifty-five
tabulated as doubtful go either to Roose-
welt or Wilson. the election would not
be thrown into the House.
The Bull Moose leaders. however.
banking on a Roosevelt landslide in the
silent vote. profess confidence in the
ability Of their cause to muster the
requisite number Of votes to prevent a
decision in the electoral college.
Western Voters Not Reticent.
1t is the observation of political sur
veyors that in the Mississippi Valley
States west Of Illinois the silent vote
which promises to be such a large factor
in the general result a week from so-day
is less in evidence. and in consequence
prophets find themselves more willing
to forecast the results.
Despite the great strength generally
attributed to Col. Roosevelt through
his Western admirers. he ia conceded
none OF the important States between
Illinois and the Pacific Coast. with the
possible exception Of California. where
1t Is realized he will run neck and neck
with Wilson.
As the regular Republicans have
been crowded OF the ticket in Califor-
mia, II is only reasonable to suppose
that Gov. Wilson will poll a large Re-
publican vote. Senator Works. who
is a Progressive, but not a Bull Moose.
has announced his intention of voting
for Wilson. and II Is supposed that
many will follow his example. On the
other hand, IT would surprise no one
IL Col. Roosevelt should poll a large
Democratic vote in California, where,
through his afnliation with Gov. John
son, he has appealed strongly to the
class Of voter who does not put party
above convictions.
The other important states embraced
in this territory, excluding, Of course.
toral vote for Wilson, give every indica-
ton Of going into the Democratic col
umn. Among these are Iowa, Missouri.
Texas. Kansas. Nebraska and Oklahoma,
with a combined electoral vote OF seven
ty-nine votes. Taft seems to have q
comfortable lead in Utah and Wyoming,
which have seven electoral votes be-
tween them. Roosevelt has an excllnt
chance for the seven electoral votes
from Washington, and except that con-
fusion in the ballots probably will
throw the state to Wilson. Roosevelt
would carry Idaho. which has four votes
The fight in North Dakota is extremely
close. and the i've votes from that state
may 60 to either Wilson or Roosevelt,
though Wilson seems to be a little the
favorite. South Dakota is going through
a hard fight with Wilson leading and
Roosevelt close second, Taft being