New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1912-11-03

| In the opinion Oh MI. ANelsOl uoth h"'O
reached their climax and are rapidly
subsiding, to the obvious advantage OF
Mr.. Taft.
Big Taft Majority in Michigan
All the reports received at the ma
tional headquarters from Michigan are
to the effect that the insurgent wave
is receding and that the President VIII
receive a majority Of from nifty thou-
sand to seventy-fve thousand IN that
state. There, as in other border states
Canadian reciprocity played an I'M
portant part early in the campaign
and there, as in other states. the eX-
posure of Mr.. Roosevelts course win
respect to that policy has caused re-
vulsion of feeling, a revulsion whlch
has been greatly promoted by the able
address Of Ex-Governor Bachelor, or
the National Grange. There, too
bumper crops are playing their part,
and if the predictions Of the local
authorities can be taken at even half
their face value Mr.. Taft VIII have
big majority. The Bull Moose legisla-
tive ticket is only half filled, insuring
the reelection OF Senator Smith.
West Virginia Uncertain.
There is one Eastern state regarding
which comparatively little is known
and regarding which it is wholly unsafe
to venture any predictions. That Is
West Virginia. The reports from there
are extraordinarily conflicting. Some
of the local leaders maintain it is GER
tain to give majority to Mr.. Taft and
others that II should be placed in the
Wilson column. West Virginia hasonly
eight votes in the Electoral College,
and to whom they will go will probably
remain a matter of pure speculation
until the ballots are counted.
Maryland in Taft Column.
The Republican leaders are counting
on Maryland 10 give her eight cleo
toral votes to Mr.. Taft. They admit
, that Mr.. Roosevelt was strong there
at the time the primaries were held.
but they contend that his treatment OF
the negro delegates at Chicago, where
the Progressive steam roller ruthlessly
crushed all negro delegates from the
Southern states. thus practically sane
tioning Southern disfranchisement, has
alienated almost the solid negro sup
port of Maryland, where Mr.. Roosevelt
secured a majority Of the delegates,
although he did not receive majority
of the Republican vote cast.
Governor GoIdsborough has been do
ing excellent work In the campaign,
and he is in large measure responsible
for the optimistic views which the Re-
publican National Committee enter
| tains regarding his state.
Delaware in the Balance.
Little Delaware, with its three cleo
toral votes, also hangs in the balance.
The fact that Mr.. Roosevelt, or his
managers, has tried TO regalvanize the
old J. Edward Addicks machine under
| the name Progressive" has caused a
serious setback 10 what once looked
| like a sturdy third term movement, but
.
II would cause no surprise to see It's
! electoral vote given TO Wilson.
Tennessee and Kentucky for Wilson.
The third party movement in Ten
I nessee was almost stillborn and did not
/ survive the first perilous hours OF It's
infancy, but that affords little encour-
agement 10 Republicans, and there Is
/ every reason 10 believe that Tennessee
will remain part OF the solid South"
while the same is true OF Kentucky, al
though the Republicans may secure a
| few members OF the House from that
I state.
Kansas Probably Democratic.
! There are a few enthusiastic leaders
who claim that Kansas Will be found
! In the Republican column, but there is
every reason 10 believe that their
optimism exceeds their good judgment.
The politics Of the state were tied into
a double bow knot by the long continued
refusal Of the Republican electors, who
vowed they would vote for Roosevelt
II elected, TO get off the ticket. They
we're finally compelled to do so by the
force OF public opinion, but intense
bitterness had been engendered.
| Then Governor Stubbs captured the
/ primary nomination for the Senate, al
though he failed to receive a majority
OF the votes. His opponents are deter
mined that his ambition shall not be
gratified through a technicality, and
they will vote the Democratic ticket
rather than take any chances. All the
indications point to the Democratic
electors receiving Republican vote Of
sufficient proportions TO overthrow the
majority Of 10000 received by the Re-
publicans four years ago.
Nebraska for Wilson.
What has been said Of Kansas is
largely true Of Nebraska. There is some
hope OF Nebraska on the part Of the Re-
publican leaders. but little faith. The
antagonism between the regular Repub-
licans and the Insurgents Is intense,
and as a consequence Governor Wilson
will receive a large Republican vote.
enough, II is feared, to carry the state
into the Democratic column, especially
as Governor Wilson has received the
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