The weekly chieftain. [volume] (Vinita, Craig County, Okla.) 1905-1913, 1912-03-29
COL. ROOSEVELT
WILL BEAT TAFT
(By Winfield Jones.)
special to Tie Chieftain.

republicans would stand the best
chance of winning the presidency at
the polls next November they will Ger.
tainly nominate Roosevelt instead OF
Taft.
Roosevelt would have, chance OF
carrying the country against the dem
ocrats while TAFT wouldn't stand any
show against any man the democrats
could nominate. Even in Taft's own
state. Ohio, the president could not
carry the election at the polls, espec.
Tally if Harmon is the democratic
nominee The situation portends dis.
aster to the republicans if Taft is
nominated.
| In only 90 of the As states is the adj
ministration in republican hands. The
states with republican governors, and
the electoral votes of these states are:
California, 13; Kansas, 10; Michigan
Is; Missouri, IA; New Hampshire, 4;
Nebraska, 8; South Dakota, s. Ten
nessee, 12; Washington, Z; West Vir
ginia, s; Wisconsin, 13; Wyoming, 3;
New Mexico, 8; Illinois, 30; Iowa, 13;
Maryland, 8; Minnesota, 10; Nevada
8; Utah, 4; Delaware, 8; Pennsylvania
SO; Rhode Island, 5; Vermont, 4. Total
2S4.
In the electoral college there will be
531 votes, making 266 necessary to
elect. If the republicans can hold the
states in which they now have the
governorships they will need only 50
additional votes in the electoral col
lege to carry the election. Under nor
NAL conditions the republicans would
lbe expected to carry all of these states
with the exception of Tennessee and
Maryland, both of which are normally
democratic. These two states possess
20 votes in the electoral college. But
this is not normal year for the re
publicans Republican governors o.
IL of these states with liz electoral
votes, have openly declared that Taft
cannot carry their states. These gov
ernors are: Johnson, California;
Stubbs, Kansas; Osborn, Michigan;
Hadley, Missouri; Bass, New Hamn
shire; Aldrich, Nebraska; Vessel
South Dakota; Hooper. Tennessee;
Hay, Washington; Glasscock, West
Virginia; McGovern. Wisconsin; Carey
Wyoming
| Governors of six of the republican
states with 50 electoral votes, have ex
pressed doubt that Taft can carry theiI
states. They are: Deneen, Illinois
Carroll, Iowa; Goldsborough. Mary
land; Eberhart, Minnesota; Oddie, Ne
vada; Spry, Utah.
Governors of nine states, California
Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, Nebras
ka, New Hampshire, South Dakota
| Wyoming, and West Virginia, are
avowed Roosevelt men. In every one
o fthese states there is an overwhelm
ing opposition to Taft That's tht
principal reason the governors are
against his denomination.
This means that the minute Taft il
nominated there will be Is republican
states with lS1 electoral votes placeG
in the doubtful column
Republican voters in these states
are overwhelmingly in favor of Roose
velt, hostile to Taft, and if Taft il
nominated there is the strongest prob
ability that the vote cannot be gotteI
out, which will mean that democratl
will carry most of these states. Thii
is especially true in Kansas, West Vir
ginia, Nebraska, Missouri, and Soutl
Dakota.
If Roosevelt is nominated he eoult
certainly carry more of the % republi
can states than Taft, excepting Mary
land and Tennessee. If he could carr.
all of the republican states excep
Maryland and Tennessee he woult
start with 214 electoral votes. H,
would then need only 50 additiona
electoral votes, total of 266, to win
Taft lost Nebraska and Colorado il
1908, but Roosevelt carried thes'
states in 1904.
Roosevelt would have to carry TIL
states which now have republican ad
ministrations, except Tennessee ant
Maryland, and in addition only Main'
and Massachusetts, which invariabl.
20 republican in national elections
though Maine is now democratic. NJ
republican leader doubts that Roose
welt would have far better chanc'
in carrying these states than Taft. Il
some of these states the hospitality t.
Taft is such that many republican
would rather see a democratic presi
dent than vote for the present oceu
pant of the White House.
On the other hand if Taft is tn