The Newark journal. (Newark, Ark.) 1901-1959, 1912-10-04
MEAN WILSON TO
SWEEP COUNTRY
Democratic Gains in Vermont
and Maine Impressive.
OTHER PARTIES PLIGHT
Third Termers to Poll Their Entire
Strength From the Rapidly
Thinning Republican
Ranks

That the result Of the state cleo
/ lions in Vermont and Maine mean a
| tremendous Democratic victory in No
vember, is freely admitted by all ex-
cept the bitterest partisans. Politi-
cal experts have done some Analysing,
and some claim to have reached novel
| out:
On Monday, September 8, 1912, the
Republican and Third Term parties
combined elected William T. Haines
| governor of Maine, over Frederick w
| Plaisted the present Democratic in
clumbent, by 1923 plurality; in 1908,
presidential year, d Republican was
Gwcted governor by 1858 plurality; in
| 1904, the plurality was 25,S00, and in
1900 it was ABB In other words, in
! Il years the Democrats have cut
down the Republican plurality in state
elections by 31,109.
In this period the Democratic vote
has increased from $4,000 to $4,000
whereas the Republican vote has de-
creased from $4,000 to 1900 The
Democratic vote OF this year exceeds
that Of September, 1908, by 1000, but
the Republican vote is about 1000 less
than that party cast four years ago
The split in the Republican ranks,
following the election of William T.
Haines, is pronounced. Ii the divi-
sion in Maine in November is as it
was in the recent Vermont election
siX-tenths of the Republican vote will
go for Taft, three-tenths for Roose-
welt, and one-tenth for the Demo
Gratis. 1t is significant that the latter
party has to date suffered no losses.
as compared with the vote in previous
years, from the Third Term move
ment. On the contrary, it has gained
The result in Maine may be expected
to be something like this; Wilson.
$4,000; Taft, $4,000; Roosevelt, q, 300
The returns from the recent Yer
mont election show, in round figures,
that the joint Republican and third
party vote was eight per cent. short
of the Republican vote four years ago.
while the Democratic vote in that
state shows a gain Of twenty-five per
cent. over that OF 1908 1t is of spe-
cial interest to speculate what will
| happen next November throughout
the nation if the Republican and
Democratic vote for the national
| tickets happen to be affected as
the gubernatorial vote this month
! in Vermont has been affected The
New York Evening Post has done
some interesting figuring along this
line and as net result it is shown
that, under the contingencies mention
ed, President Taft would carry only
two states in November, Rhode Island
and Vermont, all the others going for
Gov Wilson. The conclusions reach
ed by the Post follow,
ITO compute this result we should
have to deduct per cent from the
vote cast for TAFT four years ago and
apportion the remaining vote in the
ratio of 62 to SO between Taft and
Roosevelt, and we should have to add
So per cent. to Bryan's vote in 1905
| and give the 'demnition total to
| Woodrow Wilson. In other words, give
Taft 81 per cent and Roosevelt So
per cent. of Taft's vote four years
ago. and give Wilson 125 per cent of
Bryan's vote four years ago.
THE result in round numbers would
be as follows, SO far as regards Taft
and Wilson.