The Detroit times. [volume] (Detroit, Mich.) 1903-1920, 1912-10-09
GILLESPIE SAYS
MARX WILL BEAT
THOMPSON2O,O
Claims G.. o. p. Candidate Will
Carry Every Ward But
Seventh and Ninth
STRENGTH EARLE SHOWS
WILL BE BIG FACTOR
Large Vote for Progressive Can
didate Would Give Thomp-
son Chance to Win

The question as to how many votes
will be cast for Horatio s. Earle. Pro-
gressive candidate for mayor, Is the
leading problem OF the day for the
supporters of Oscar B. Marx and
William d. Thompson.
Basing his calculation on the pre-
diction that Earle will not poll more
than 1000 votes, John Gillespie, cam
paign manager for Marx predicted,
Tuesday. that Marx will win by a
plurality Of 10000 votes.
John G. Nagel, campaign manager
for Thompson, predicted that Earle
will poll 10000 votes, and on that
basis predicted Thompson's victory.
He would not undertake to forecast a
plurality for Thompson in figures.
Nagels estimate OF Earle's vote IL
excessive In the judgment OF most
politicians, while Gillespie's estimate
OF 1000 Is considered more reason
able and conservative. Inquiry among
the leading political lights places the
popular guess as to Earle's vote al
5000. IL could be almost double that
figure without spelling disaster for
Marx, according to Mr. Gillespie,
Earle has not the undivided support
OF the Progressive party for the may
orally. the followers of City Clerk
Nichols and other candidates on the
Progressive ticket announcing their
intention of voting for Marx as the
stronger of the candidates opposing
Thompson.
1.-TWO years ago Mayor Thompson
received 27,000 votes" said Mr.. Gil
lespie, in Analysing the situation. Il
don't think he will poll over 10000
this year. estimate Earle's vote at
between 5000 and 1000 and allow g.
200 votes for other mayoralty candi-
dates. ] estimate the total vote to
be cast for mayor at 10000, which will
give Marx q plurality OF 10000, or a
clear majority of 10000. When
Thompson was running against owens
the Republican vote did not come out,
but the Democratic vote did, more
than usual. The recent registration
showed great falling off in the Dem
ocratic wards with an equal increase
in the Republican wards. | predict
that Marx will carry every ward In
the city except the Seventh and
Ninth. In these two wards the Demo
cratic vote will be cut down consider
ably. The river precincts which have
always been strong Cor Thompson.
and usually the cause of his election,
will be found against him because OF
his recent attacks on them for their
refusal to support hfs candidacy for
nomination.
II have been asked a number OF
times why Marx does not attack
Thompson for his franchise record
Every one knows OF the mayors ac-
tons In that respect. On the other
hand we realize that the first requisite
for a clean administration is a clean
campaign, and we are conducting as
clean campaign as We know how.
This program will be carried out abb
solutely, irrespective Of what the
mayor and his friends may say or do.
II a candidate conducts a clean cam
paign, il is pretty safe conclusion
that he will have clean administra-
ton"
Marx spoke in German to 200 mem
bers OF the German Mems club, at
McKinstry and Howard-sts., Monday
night, and received a great ovation
on his talk for municipal ownership,
lower taxation and efficiency in city
dana RI manta