Pine Bluff daily graphic., 1912-11-03
THE TERMS OF 31
 SENATORS EXPIRE Eighteen of the Retiring Senators Republicans and
 Thirteen Democrats.
CONTROL IN SENATE
May Go to the Democrats Tuesday, Progressives May Elect Mem.
 bers of Upper House.

WdSHlHSloA, NOV. A.-DeSDlte the fact that the constitution has dis tinc.ly provided for the election of Senators by the various state legis- latures so that they may be exempt from popular elective influence, the political uncertainty today prevalent has been mirrored in the Upper House where the terms of 31 Sena- tors expire on March 4, 1913.
 Eighteen of these retiring Senators are Republicans and thirteen Demo- crats. In addition to this there are two vacancies to be filled, one from Colorado, caused by the death of Charles l.. Hughes, a Democrat and one from Illinois, causel by the un- seating of William Lorimer, a Repub- lican.
 The normal majority of the Repub- lican party i'm the Senate is but six. The! continued power of that factiin therefore depends upon the selection of Republican state legislatures on November 5.
 Those who have been trying their hand a.. writing the political future upon Democratic campaign literature claim that this change will take place. They base their hopes on the election of Democratic Senators from Colo lraido, which will choose two and from Delaware, Idaho, Kansas, Massachus- etts, Montana, Nebraska, New Jersey, Oregon and Wyoming. Such a return from the various state legislatures would give the Democrats eleven ad- ditional members in the upper house and also a safe working majority at least between March 4, 1913 and March 4, 1915.
 It is by no means certain that the Democrats can accomplish this feat however! In factgthe Republican po- Mtical circles are confident that they cant. and point to the fact that many of the eighteen Republican Senators whose terms expire come from strong Republican or Progressive states, where, in the ordinary course of even.s, Republican or Progressive would be returned to the Senate in place of the departed.
 The Republicans have already made one gain and again assuring control of the Maine Legislature, thus insur- ing the election of Edwin c. Buleigh, Republican, in place of Obadiah Gard ner. Democrat However, this gain may be offset by the selection of a Democrat to succeed Newell Sanders, of Tennessee, Republican, who IS serving by appointment.
 On the cther hand the Progressive prognost caters say that neither the Republicans nor the Democrats of the old guard will bel in control of the Upper House. They claim that the balance of power will continue to rest with the alliance of Progressive Dem- ocrats and Progressive Republicans who have seve al times asserted thelr potency by throwing their strength to either the Deanocratic or Republ1- can eide and thus defeating measures advocated by the strict partisans.
 They state that Colonel Roosevelts mopularity will 50 influence the voters in several of the middle and far western sta,.es that Progressive state legislature will be elected. These of course. would return Progressive Senators to Washington, wherever contrary direct primary cho'ce has moi been made thus strengthening the Progressive wing in the Senate
 The full membership of the sen- ate k 9e. With two vacancies in The present congress, the Senate is com nosod of 51 Republicans and At Demscrats. This gave the Republl- cans an apparent control of that body hv eight votes, but the party actuahy had only two seats over majority o1 the full membership.
 Among the Democrats whose terms will cxpire are Joseph w. Bailey, o1 rexas; LeRoy Percy. of Mississippi and, Thomas H. Paynter or kehcucky Senator Bailey declined to be can didate to succeed himself and m the regent Democratic primaries Repre- sentative Morris Sheppard Of the First Texas Congressional District wax. chosen as the party's nominee ,or inc Senate before the State Legs ls,ture, and this is equivilant to cleo. t,on. t The spectacular vardiman haz hen chosen in Percy's place. sena'ol paynter was defeated in thel Ken tucky m primaries in RepFesenta1lvs tho will take Paynter'