The copper era and Morenci leader., 1912-10-04
MEAlN!:.W El! WILSON. TO
 SWEEP COUNTRY
Democratic Gains. in. Vermont
 and Maine Impressive
OTHER PARTIES PLIGHT
ThIrd. Tsrmers to Poll Their Entire Strength From the Rapidly P Thinning Republican
 Ranks


 tions in Vermont and Maine mean a tremendous Democratic victory in No vember, Is freely admitted by all ex- cept the bitterest partisans. Politi- cal experts have done some. analysing, and some claim to have reached novel conclusions. But these facts stand. out: ..
 On Monday, September g, 1912, the Republican and Third Term parties combined elected William T. Haines governor of Maine, over Frederick w. Plaisted, the present Democratic in clumbent. by 3,023 plurality; in 1908. 8 presidential year, a Republican was elected governor by 7,653 plurality; in 1904, the plurality was 25,8O0, and in 1900 it was 34, 4,132. In other words. in 12 years the Democrats have cut down the Republican plurality in state elections by t.1os.,
 : In this period the Democratic vote has increased from 5000 to 68.000 whereas the Republican vote has de- creased from 74,oo0 to 71.000. The Democratic vote of this year exceeds that of September, 1908. by 1000, but the Republican vote is about 2,0oo less than that, party. cast. four years. ago. . The split in the Republican ranks. following the election of William T. Haines, is pronounced. If the idiyi- sion in Maine in November is as 1t was in the recent Vermont election. six-tenths of the Republican vote will go for, Taft, three-tenths for Roose-- yelt, and one-tenth for the Demo- crats. It is significant that the latter party has to date suffered no losses, as compared with the vote in previous years, from the Third Term move ment. On the contrary, it has gained. The result in Maine may be expected to be something like this: Wilson. 74.0O0; Taft, 42.6O0; Roosevelt, 21.3O0. 2, The returns from the recent Yer mont election show, in round figures, that the joint Republican and third party vote was eight per cent short of the Republican vote four years ago, while the Democratic vote in that state shows a gain of twenty-five per cent. over that of 1908. It is of spe- cials interest to- speculate what will, happen next November throughout the nation if the Republican and Democratic vote for the national tickets happen to be affected as the gubernatorial vote this month in Vermont has been affected. The New York Evening Post has done some interesting figuring along this line and as net result 1t Is shown that. under the contingencies mention ed, President Taft would carry only two states in November, Rhode Island and Vermont, all the others going For Gov. Wilson. The conclusions reach ed by the Post follow,
 TO. compute this result we should have to deduct per cent. from the vote cast for Taft four years ago and apportion the remainir- vote in the ratio of 62 to 3S between Taft and Roosevelt, and we should have to add 36 per cent. to Bryan's vote in 1908, and give the 'demnition total to Woodrow Wilson. in other words. give Taft 57 per cent. and Roosevelt 35 per cent of Taft,s vote four years ago, and give Wilson 126 per cent. of Bryan's vote four years ago.
 -The result in round numbers would be as follows, 50 far as regards Taft and Wilson. &