Evening times-Republican. [volume] (Marshalltown, Iowa) 1890-1923, 1912-05-22
Outside Point of Wen

, The present political ccmpaign has
done much to destroy the prophetic
| writer's OF the magazines as we'll as
such weeklies as the Saturday Even
ing Post. the Outlook. and others OF
less Importance and reputatoin. The
public are just finding out that the
Christmas number placed on the
news stands the 10Th or 18th OF De-
cen9ber. was printed late in November
and shipped by freight in carload lots
20 save postage 70 the larger cities and
then the smaller places supplied by
mai! from the points Of freight ship
menL So that "a forecast of the stu
alton must necessarily have been
written at least two weeks earlier. This
has resulted in many cases this year.
that the forecast" was read by thou
sands Of subscribers. after the pri-
maries and conventions had been held,
and the known result in several cases
was the very oppostt Of the prophesy.
Even the weeklies have fallen down,
the returns from Illinois and Pennsyl-
vania made some wise prophesies read
ike the weather DEMONSTRATIONS in an
almanac.
For instance Wilson's strength in
Texas astonished even his followers.
Roosevelt carried Pennsylvania at az
founding figures. We know how and
why CumInins lost Iowa but the mag
azine writer's Of March now know how
little they knew at that. time The
fact Of the whole business 10 that the
year 1912 Will ruin the reputation Of
many able political writer's. even some
on the daily papers who have the ad-
vantage Of writing editorials at mid
night. seven hours before the voting
places are ready to do business. NO
man writer or otherwise, this year
knows what a day will bring forth
In view Of all this 1t seems the height
Of folly for this scribe to pose as a
prophet SO what follows can be
classed as a guess, for which the writer
is only responsible All know that now
there are 266 delegates to the Chicago
convention. who can not take with
them the credentials of the state con-
ventions used where they reside. The
credentials committee OF the national
Republican convention has majority
Of Taft men. Undoubtedly they Will
turn down" all of these contesting
delegations. which insures the nomi-
nation OF MI Taft. Now in the ranks
OF these contestng delegations are
United States senators and governors
Of states 70 say nothing Of other prom
!nent republicans the country over.
Here's the guess. After Mr.. Taft is
nominated, either as the result OF a
bolt in the convention or az country
wide call for, new party will be born.
| II will be called the independent re-
publican party or something that
means the same. Delegates to con-
yention Of that party will be elected,
convention held and Theodore Roose-
Welt will be nominated.
A week after the republican national
convention is held. the democrats will
gather. Here's another guess. Needing
two-thirds vote none Of the present
named candidates will get the noni-
nation. BY that time loud whispers OF
the independent Roosevelt movemen,
will be heard everywhere. There's
| only one man that can beat him.
"Bryan's the man." and the only man
] the democrats can unite on So there
will be a three cornered fight. And
who would win? This is too big a
R11ess