The Bourbon news., 1912-10-04
mean SWEEP =
FOR WILSON
Democratic Gains In Vermont
and Maine Impressive.
OTHER PARTIES IN PLIGHT,

mira Iermer9 TO roll neir 6ntiTo
Strength From the Rapidly Thinning
Republican Ranks - Indications Are
That Taft Will Carry but Two States,
Roosevelt None.
That the results of the state elections
in Vermont and Maine mean a tremen-
dous Democratic victory in November
is freely admitted by all except the bit
terest partisans. Political experts have
done much analyzing, and some claim
to have reached novel conclusions. But
these facts stand out:
{ On Monday, Sept. 9, 1912, the Repub-
lican and third term parties combined
elected William T. Haines governor of
Maine over Frederick w. Plaisted, the
present Democratic incumbent, by
1903 plurality: in. 1908, presidential
year, Republican was elected COVER
nor by 1868 plurality; in 1904 the plu-
rality was 25,S00, and in 1900 it was
"a, ,132. In other words, in twelve
years the Democrats have cut down
the Republican plurality in state elec-
tions by 81, 100.
In this period the Democratic vote
has increased from $4,000 to $4,000,
whereas the Republican vote has de-
creased from $4,000 to 1000. The
Democratic vote of this year exceeds
that of September, 1908, by 1000, but
the Republican vote is about 1000 less
than that party cast four years ago.
The split in the Republican ranks,
following the election Of William T.
Haines, is pronounced. If the divi-
sion in Maine in November is as it
was in the recent Vermont election
six-tenths Of the Republican vote will
go for Taft, three-tenths for Roose-
velt and one-tenth for the Demo
Gratis. 1t is significant that the latter
party has to date suffered no losses,
as compared with the vote in previous
years, from the third term move
ment. On the contrary, it has gained.
The result in Maine may be expected
to be something like this: Wilson, a.
600; Taft, 42,6OO; Roosevelt, 21,300.
The returns from the recent Vermont
election show in round figures that
the joint Republican and third party
vote was 8 per cent short Of the Re-
publican vote four years ago, while
the Democratic vote In that state
shows a gain Of % per cent over that
Of 1905 1t is Of special interest to
speculate what will happen next No
vember throughout the nation If the
Republican and Democratic vote for
the national tickets happens to be at
fected as the gubernatOrial vote this
month in Vermont has been affected
The New York Post has done some in
teresting figuring along this line, and
as a net result it is shown that under
the contingencies mentioned President
Taft would carry only two states in
November, Rhode Island and Vermont,
all the others going for Governor Will
son. The conclusions reached by the
Post follow:
To compute this result we should
have to deduct s per cent from the
vote cast for Taft four years ago and
apportion the remaining vote in the
ratio of 62 to 3S between Taft and
Roosevelt, and we should have to add
35 per cent to Bryan's vote in 1908
and give the ''demnition total' to
Woodrow Wilson-in other words, give
Taft 81 per cent and Roosevelt 35 per
| cent Of Taft's vote four years ago
and give Wilson 125 per cent of Bryan's
vote four years ago.
The result in round numbers would
be as follows, so far as regards Taft
and Wilson: