The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1912-04-15

they still profess to believe that a large
ma jority of the delegates will be for the
President The unexpected result in
Pennsylvania. however. has thrown all
Republicans into n state Of uncertainty
and very few predictions are being made
now as to what is going to happen.
While the Roosevelt victory in Penn
sylvania has revived in some quarters
the talk of compromise candidate such
as Justice Hughes, the general effect
to-day was TO create the impression tina
n compromise is nov out of the quest ion.
This has been brought about through
the unexpected strength shown by
Roosevelt in the Illinois and Pennsvl
vania primaries
While many OF Roosevelt's supporters
three weeks ago were liking Of forcing
the nomination Of a third candidate they
we're to-day declaring that Roosevelt
himself would now carry away the prize
and De reelected.
The stinging defeats dmipistered to
President Taft ha We the effect of increas-
ing his determination TO stand to the end
Republicans on both sides of the fence
declared tonight that il was now fight
to the finish with very little likelihood oi
either l.it or Roosevelt being elected
whichever one was nominated.
Even il the President should favor a
compror,is" h"ro ~ grave doubt whether
he would !c able TO deliver the ajoritv v
Of the dele gates who have been elected
for him up To- his time. This il especially
true of IN" southern delegates.
Col. Roosevelt plans to continue his
whirlwind campaign trips. II was learned
to-nigh. thai h' viii next jump to Kansas
nj Ncl,p,S.p u,,A vill ~ ,iLc in n,
Arkansas aud tn" SOU, hern States.
This plan of the Colonel to disorganize
the delegates alccady elected for Taft
In the South is regarded bv Washington
politician. as bold stroke.
From inforna tion obtained hero to-
night /, is prarrn' that Col. Roosevelt =
most important work in the South will
not ho his platform utterances. HIS
speec hos VIII serve their purpose. of
course. hui he undoubtedly expects to
reap greater material benefit from his
personal intcrv Jews with Southern Re-
publican leaders than from any pers,ia-
sivc couileuce on the hlstings
Col Roosevelt knows most of he Rcpub-
ican leaders of the South In tho nearly
eight years that hc sat in the White House
he was brough' in personal contact with
them MANY of the Federal otticeholders
were appointed by him and have been re-
tanned by President Taft. There have
been mdIv evidences that some OF the
Federal otiicehoders VINO already have
been selected rs delegates have been in
communication with the Roosevelt man
ayers.
About / - oe the ~, delaga instr,icte d
for or pledged to President Taft come
from the southern States. rrhe Southern
delegates always have been notorious
for jumping to a winning band wagon
and for refusing TO stay put" and natur-
ally this block OF delegates is likely to
cause the Taft mana gers the greatest
concern in the next few weeks.
The Roosevelt managers already have
announced that they will contest prac-
ticaliy all of the Southern delegates.
Several mora Southern delegates are
L. he elected and there is "a strong like
,ihood that Roosevelt will have an ad-
vantage with these men. For example.
Texas is likely 10 elect Roosevelt dele
gates.
While one convention has been held in
Louisiana and six delegates have been
elected for Taft another convention will
be held later which will be- domipated by
Pearl Wight. national committeeman
from Louisiana. This one will be Roos..-
Welt delegation.
In North Carolina the President will
have a hard fight to prevail over the
Roosevelt followers. the indications being
now that he will only get about one-third
of the delegates.
The next important test of strength
will come on Friday. on which date State
wide primaries are to be held in Nebra ska
and Oregon. There will be three candi-
dates in "a ch of these s;tates-Taft, Roose-
Nelt and La Toilette and il is the fact
divided between Roosevelt and La Fol-
lette that gives the President = friends
their main Zone.
Senator La Toilette has been campaign
ing in Nebraska and Oregon Men who
are familiar with the Oregon situation
hp1Yaye a Enll.,fa hnl ,ha
carry that State. senator Chamberlain
Democrat and former Governor of ,h-
state, who IL III close touch with condi-
tions there. believes Oregon will elect
delegates in favor o. La Toilette. Some
Of TaftS friends have expressed a hope
thai a. result Of the division of the
progressive strength the Taft ticket might
prevail. They base their hopes of success
IN Nebraska on theSsame situation.
II is admitted that they hav. NOR q
chance OF realizing their hope in Nebraska
than they have III Oregon. II il conceded
on all hands That the surprising results
for Roosevelt in Illinois and PENNSYLVANIA
will favorably affect his chances in
Nebraska and Oregon, His personal
presence in Nebraska and probably in
oregon before the election may also
serve 10 enngncc his chances for success
Other Republican Presidential primaries
will be hr!I ~ follows: Massachusetts,
April 30, Maryland. May q; California.
May -, N",t virginia. May 10; Ohio.
May ~ New Jersey. May -: South
Dakota. June
With the sudden squirt developed bv
Roosevelt many Republicans view with
alarm the possibility Of Roosevelt and
La Toilette controlling the national con
vention IN the matter of drafting the plat l.
form even 1t they are opposed To each
other aS candidates. Some Republicans
fcar now taat the contest between koo-e-
welt and Taft may be SO Close. that La
Toilette viii hold the balance Of power.
In that event nobody undertakes 10 pre-
dict what would happen. La Toilette has
now thirty-siy delegates and is cert ain TO
, win moro III the West
Newell SdaderS. the new Senator from
Tennessee, VINO * Republican natlona
committerTan from that State. does nor
believe Roosevelt can disrupt the Taft
delegates in thc South.
u do not take any stock in this tax
about Southern Republicans being a lot
Of Office holders aud Office seekers" he
said They are men Of integrity and
convieeion and their support of President
Taft springs from the fact that they be =
lieve his admnistrat ion should be iIdorsed
by the party.
The Pennsylvania primaries put Mr..
TAFT out of the race" said Represent att A
Norris tho insurgent leader Of Nebraska A.
Il know there is always u chance for a
rompromise candidate in a situation of
this kind. but do not think that one will
hc named in this instance | rather ex =