Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1912-06-09
WAR CLOUD HOVERS
No European Viii! Say That
1912 Will End in Peace.
PUZZLE TO THE DIPLOMATS
Russia Gives First Impulse to New
Grouping Of Powers.
AUSTRIA FACES CIVIL STRIFE
AUSTRIA FACES CIVIL STRIFE
Magyars Likely to Revolt Against
the Government-Upris
Promoted by Politicians

Special Cablegram to The Star
BERLIN, June S.-That Europe has
passed through the two first months of
spring without a catastrophe of any
kind in the diplomatic field must not be
taken to mean that the sky is now cloud
less and the horizon clear. On the con-
trary, ominous rumblings are heard every
where. and no one dares prophesy that
1912 will end in peace. During the last
few weeks events have happened which
have puzzled the diplomats of all the
great countries-events which seem to
predict the imminency of material
changes in the delicate balance OF old
Europe. Our poor old world. in spite of
all it's enlightenment, still possesses its
fines of Russia.
What Russia's plans really are no one
ever knows. least of all, probably, the
gentle and peace-lOving czar himself.
Russia gave the first impulse to the new
grouping Of the powers when, under Alex
ander III. strong and virile ruler of ex-
traordinary gifts as statesman. she con-
cluded the alliance with France, which
became the unshakable corner stone of
the European position. Now, at least, 1t
seems as IL this corner stone is less firm
than before. France and Russia are no
blamed the French ambassador to st.
Petersburg for the Earring note of the
discord which was dimly heard by those
whose ears are always pressed against
the ground.
Russia as Peace Agent.
Russia wanted to put an end to the war
between Italy and Turkey. but she want
ed something herself from the government
l,-A~
friendly services, and she hoped, natur-
ally, to be backed up by France. In this
hope she was disappointed. and the clos
ing Of the Dardanelles. which followed.
caused the greatest irritation in st,
Petersburg. because it brought home
very forclbly to the Russian statesmen
the immense disadvantage and danger OF
their empire not controlling the outlets
from the Black sea. Now. Of course, the
Dardanellas are once more open. but
many a statesmans head will lie un-
easily until the Russian sphinx has
spoken and made known its plans def
nitely. Meanwhile 1t is admitted that
the continuance of the Italo-Turkfsh war
is not free from danger
Italy cannot think of an advance in
Tripoli until the autumn. and may not be
able to do so even then. Nor can Italy
withdraw with honor. There is an I'M
passe which European diplomacy will
nave 10 remove. but no statesman mas
Yet found a way, and all that M. Saza-
noff's attempts have so far achieved is
the diplomatic sensation In Paris.
The danger which should have been
foreseen by Italy from the outset Is based
Upon the obvious facts that during a Eu-
ropean war. first. there is always the op-
pOrtunity given to each power of advanc-
ing a step toward some unavowed ambi-
ton. and. second. that unless the claim
| Is put forward or the intention made man
ifest before the inevitable congress meets
and the concert of Europe draws up the
terms OF peace, another generation may
have to elapse before the end is achiev-
able.
But. though the Italo- Turkish war has