Ottumwa tri-weekly courier. [volume] (Ottumwa, Iowa) 1903-1916, 1912-10-29
FACTS REPUBLICANS MUST FAcl

This is the way the Kansas City
Journal puts it:
Mr.. Roosevelt is not running for
president. He is running for Wilson
for president. f
Before taking exceptions to that
statement, republicans should look
at the facts. In 1908 the popular vote
for Bryan was 6,4O9,1o4 and the vote
for Taft was 7,678,90S. The demo.
Gratis have not increased their
strength. Indeed, it is practically Ger
tain that Wilson will not poll as big
a vote as Bryan polled four years
ago. But assuming that Wilson Is as
strong as Bryan, Roosevelt would
have to get the vote OF eight out OF
every ten republicans in the country
to be elected. No sane man believes
that he will do this, and 1t Is idle to
advance the claim that Roosevelt VIII
get any proportion OF the democratic
vote. Information received by the
national republican headquarters
shows that for every democratic vote
going to Roosevelt, four or five Will
70 to Taft. Roosevelt will have to de-
pend on the votes Of those who were
republicans in 1908, and he must have
practically all Of them in order to
stand any show of election. Isn't It
perfectly apparent that he cannot get
them? Isn't it fact apparent to every
republican that the great bulk OF the
republicans are supporting President
Taft and the republican ticket?
Here are a few figures based on the
republican and democratic vote cast
in 1908 to show that Roosevelt can
only cut down Tafts vote and stands
no possibility Of election whatever. In
Kansas, where Bryan's vote was l6l,-
2O9, and Taft's 1925 in 1908, Mr..
Roosevelt must have 81 $40 per cent
of the republican vote in order to car
~ that state. In Illinois Mr. Roosevelt
must get seven out OF every ten re-
publicans, with the same percentage
in Iowa, North Dakota and New 1ork.
In Missouri he would have to nave
nine out of every ten. In Pennsylva-
mia and Oregon six out OF every ten
republicans must vote for RooseVelt
In order for him to carry the state.
Is there human being who believes
that this proportion of republicans IN
each state will vote for Roosevelt!
Here is the danger that the repub-
lican party faces. Republican votes
cast for Roosevelt are wasted 80 far
as helping Roosevelt Is concerned.
But if enough republican votes are
cast for Roosevelt, Wilson Will be
elected. Sixteen out Of every 1OO re-
publicans in the country at large vot-
Ing for Roosevelt would give Wilson
the popular majority, based on the
Bryan-Taft vote of four years ago.
It is a fact that every republican
must face that the only way to de-
feat Wilson is to vote for President
TAFT, A vote for Roosevelt helps Will
son: it cannot by any possibility elect
Roosevelt.
The thing for the voters, not only
republicans, but democrats, to con-
slider, is this: Do they want contln-
uance OF the present prosperity with
the produce of the farmer finding a
ready market at the highest prices,
and the worker getting the biggest
wages he has ever received, or 90
they want uncertainty. business de-
preston, a return to the low level OF
prices. the low salaries, the closed
factories, soup houses and the IDLE
ness that is certain to follow In the
event of Wilson's election?
Do they want to exchange an as
s1red good for a nearly certain evil?
They have prosperity now; 90 they
want To risk losing it?