The Washington times., 1912-08-27
LOOK TO MAINE
AS FORECAST OF
COMING RESULTS
September Vote Again
i Serves as the Political
Barometer.
CONTINUED from First page.)

CONTINUED from First Page)
other hand. this is not regarded as
very accurately indicative of senti-
inent at large, because Vermont has
been SO far blind the procession of
insurgency and progresvivism.
True, Vermont has been the tradi-
tional political barometer. II almost
always tips the direction of the ma
ttonal campaign. They say that IL
Vermont gives a Republican govern
or less than $4,000 plurality in Sep
tember, the country will elect a Dem-
ocratic President in November. It
frst reused the country in 1876 to the
fact that Tilden was likely to be
elected by giving the Republican GU
ssTpatorisl psI,1s candidate only 2s,72S piI-
were scared, and Democrats proclaim
ed that Tilden would win-which he
did. even though he was later robbed,
The Reelection of Lincoln.
In 1864 Vermont went all wrong.
The Republicans carried II by only
$4,000 in September That meant
that Mcclellan was due to be elected
In November, but he wasn't. Still, II
wasn't Vermont's fault. Between the
date Of the election in Vermont, and
that Of the national election in No
vember, the union armies in the field
carried the country. Sherman captur-
ed Atlanta; Sheridan swept the Shen-
andoah Valley and won the battle OF
Cedar Creek. The North just Topped
over to the Republican side and rati-
hed the doings by re-electing Lin
coin.
Nobody was more surprised at it than
Old Abe himself, who about this stage
of the campaign wrote a letter, that
got published, saying that he expected
The Maine. situation is Just about this:
On State issues, the Democrats have
the best of things. The September
senatorship involved. The Democrats. 8
though opposed to a practically united
Republican party, expect to get the
plums
On national issues there will he no
cans and Democrats, because the Pro-
gressive party will come into the field
and divide the Republican vote for the
November election. So. the Democrats
to say most Republican politicians here
abouts, who have been looking into that
situation. expect the same result.
Roosevelt Will Run Strong.
Roosevelt is going to run very strong
In November, If his people get into the
game following the September election.
The political dope Is that II Democracy
carries the State September 3, it Is as
good as assured it's electoral vote in
November; if 1t doesn't carry 1t in
September. it will still have an excel
lent prospect of winning In November.
The Democrats are putting in their best
speakers and whooping things up for
both September and November.
The Republicans can't very we'll do
that. If they send in regular" speak
ers, 1t will make the Bull Moosers
mad; If they send in Bull Moose ora
tors it Will make the regulars angry,
and strengthen their already strong
disposition to absent themselves from
the polls and let things go by default.
The whole New England situation is
commanding new interest just now, by
reason of the evidences that the
Hearst organization in Massachusetts,
is getting on the Bull Moose wagon.
Thomas L. Hisgen, of Massachusetts,,
who in 1907 ran for governor of
league ticket and got more votes than
the Democrats polled, has come out
strong. for Roosevelt. This means a
powerful lot of votes for Roosevelt.
the theory, now entertained very
widely, that before October is half
over the Hearst forces will openly
and frankly support Roosevelt.
There has been increasing evidence
of such a disposition for some weeks;
1t grows stronger all the time, and
has given a terrific scare to both the
Taft and the Wilson people. The
junction of the Hearst and Progress
things in New York State especially;
but hardly less, in Massachusetts and
Illinois. both doubtful States.