The Hawaiian gazette., 1912-03-19

Governor Frear s reply to W. A. Kin
ney's brief in support of Delegate Ka
lanianaole's charges against the Gov
ernor was made public yesterday in
Washington, and contained lot Of in
teresting figures as to the voting popula-
ton of the Territory, answering Kin
ney' statements that there was a rising
tide of Asiatic ascendency in the Is
lands, and that in ten years Asiatics
would cast thirty per cent of the votes
here and in fifteen years majority.
The Governor responds with figures that
will be of interest to politicians as well
as to those interested in the controversy
with Kuhio, for according to his tables,
the much talked of domination of local
politics. by Japanese or Chinese voters
is at least a long way off, and probably
will never develop at all.
The Oriental Vote.
Governor Frear says that the figures
given by Mr., Kinney are in part in
correct and in part misleading, and that
the differences drawn from them by Mr..
Kinney are very misleading. After
quoting lot of statistics of population,
he disposes of the proposition of Chi
nese or Japanese domination in Hawai-
ian politics in the following language:
THE number of registered Chinese
voters has increased gradually from 143
in 1902 to 396 in 1910. If none of the
Chinese in the Territory who are Amer
lean citizens, whether above or below
the voting age, die or leave the Terri
tory and are otherwise qualified, the
number of possible Chinese voters will
be as follows: In 1912, 1873; in 1913,
933; in 1914, 1043; in 1915, 1071; in
1916, 1899; in 1923, $500.
Few Japanese Voters.
sat the last census there were only
fifty-three japanese males in the Terri
tory who were American citizens of vot-
ing age; of these, only thirteen regis
tered to vote, and of the remainder
some may have been disqualified for
various reasons. The number of regis
tered Japanese voters has increased
from three in 1902 to thirteen in 1910.
If none of the Japanese in the Territory
who are American citizens, whether
above or below the voting age, die or
leave the Territory and are otherwise
qualified, the number of possible Japa-
nese voters viii be as follows: In 1912,
1879; in 1913, 207; 1914, 2S9; in 1915,
1884; in 1916, 523; in 1923, 2676.
Sat the last census, there were in
| the Territory 1850 male citizens of
voting age other than japanese and Chi
nese; of these, Ia, 033 registered to vote,
and of the remainder some, of course,
were disqualified for various reasons
The number of such registered voters
has increased from 1896 in 1902 to Ia,
033 in 1910. If none of the citizens
other than Japanese and Chinese
whether above or below the voting age
die or leave the Territory and are other.
wise qualified, the number of possible
voters other than japanese and Chinese
exclusive Of new Corners, will be as fol
lows: In 1912, 1891; in 1913, 19,705;
in 1914, 2O,425; in 1915, p ,l29; in 1915
21,SSs; in 1928, 1929.
Great Caucasian Majority.
"Thus, in 1910, the registered voter.
We're: japanese, 10; Chinese, 1876
Others, 14,033; and the possible voters
so far as citizenship, sex and age ar'
concerned were: Japanese, So; Chi
nese, $40; others, 1850; and in 1923
or thirteen years after the last census
the possible voters, barring deaths, de
partures, arrivals and disqualification
for various reasons, win be: Chinese
$500; Japanese, 1916; others, 27,29s
The losses from deaths and disqualified
tions may not vary much in percentag,
among these three classes. The losse
from departures will be greatest amonl
the Japanese and next among the Chi
nese, while the gain from arrivals vii
be greatest among the others. Japanes
and Chinese can not be naturalized
Their numbers are given above can b.
increased only by the return of thos
born in Hawaii and absent when tn
last census was taken, while the mum
bers of others will be increased mate
rally by arrivals of Caucasians iron
the mainland of the United States, iron
Europe and elsewhere who are alread
) American citizens or who may b
naturalized. 1t is doubtful if there vii
be more than 1000 OF 1900 voters eae
of Japanese and Chinese by 1923. Sine
: the last census the arrivals of Amer
a leans from the mainland have increase
considerably.
"There is therefore little ground 70
the complainant 3 alarming predictions