The Detroit times., 1912-10-28
WILSON KEEPS
LEAD IN LATEST
NATIONAL POLL
Roosevelt is Second and Taft is
Creeping Up, Says Chicago
Record Herald
MICHIGAN is PUT
IN DOUBTFUL COLUMN
"New Jersey Man Would Surely
Win if Election Took Place
Today" Newspaper Says

CHICAGO, Oct. 2s.-''Wilson leads
by large margin: Roosevelt runs
second, and Taft Is third, but creep
Ing up" says the Records Herald.
which has jus. taken another nation
wide poll
mine days before election" the ar.
ticlc says, finds the thee leading
presidential candidates occupying the
same relative positions they held four
weeks ago when the Record-Herald
published it's first national political
review.
The kaleidoscope OF politict has
whirled merrily for the last week, but
the perceptible changes have been
comparatively slight, so far as they
affect the relative standing Of the
three rivals in the electoral college.
The remaining nine days OF the cam.
+paign win be the decisive period-the
ilent vote IL still OF great proportions.
IF the battle of the ballots were to-
morrow, the indications given by the
straw votes polled throughout the
country, outside OF the southern
states, are that Wilson would prob
ably get vote of landslide dimen-
eAcns. Nine days, however, is a long
pause between cup and lip. The great
question now Is whether In nine days
Taft or Roosevelt can overcome their
adversary's lead. and whether VII
sons running start will enable him
to outstrip his rivals to the end.
PennsyIvanis 10 Doubtful.
Among the changes OF the week.
as indicated by the straw vote, some
result in profit to Wilson, some TO
Roosevelt Pennsylvania Is placed In
the doubtful column. Last week both
the methods employed in Analysing
the returns gave the state to Wilson
This week Wilson Is favored by the
face returns, but Roosevelt has the
advantage when the switches from
party to party are computed. Illinois
also wanders to the verge OF the
doubtful list. From the first II has
been given to Roos evtlt by the straw
vote tables. This week Roosevelt
wins on face returns, while on the
shift from party to party Wilson is
given an Indicated plurality.
Michigan likewise has been turn
ed into the doubtful column. Both
Illinois and Michigan have strong
Roosevelt tendencies, but they are
,debatable states at present, nine days
before the polls open.
Oregon. which was classed as a
Roosevelt state, has in the last sever
days developed a decided Wilson ten
dency Both the straw ballots and re
ports from political correspondents
indicate that were the election tomor.
row Wilson would win Oregon.
Idaho, which was listed as Roose-
welt state up TO the time the courts
decided that Roosevelt electors could
not get on the csket, Is doubtful,
hanging In the balance between VIII
son and Taft.
Montana, which was doubtful, has
given signs Of yielding Wilson
plurality. Delaware, which Is still
doubtful, sees Wilson In the lead AT
present: North Dakota, classed as a
Roosevelt state, is apparently debats-
BILE territory=-Rooseve Wilson or
Taft, any OF the three is not without
prospects OF winning the state.
Wilson Leads In New York.
New England apparently has un-
dergone no change, Wilson retaining
his lead; New York and the other
large eastern commemorative appar-
entity stand as they did seven days
ago, with Wilson the favorite, Penn
sylvania alone wandering into the
doubtful list.
I'm California. Roosevelt appears
to have Increased his strength; In
Wisconsin, Wilson seems to have been
strengthened somewhat
III Iowa, Taft has picked up moro
than four per cent ON the face of the
straw ballots; Roosevelt has lost
about two per cent, while Wilon has
remained In his old place.
Taft has gained on the face Of the
straw ballots in Minnesota. and SO
has Roosevelt, while Wilson has lost
ground, but retains the lead.
The Electoral College.
The present relauve strength OF
the candidates In the electoral col
lege as indicated by the canvass is as
follows. the table being IN no sense a
forecast. but summary OF indica
ttuus nine days before Nov 3 ;-
For Wilson--s5 states. total elect
oral vote OBSERVATION-DISCLOSURES 500
For. Roosevelt--s states total ell
ectorai vote ..s..,..'.. .ssss: ~
For Taft---3 states, total electoral
Doubtfui-S states, total electoral
vote ,........"..., ..t,-....,.,. lO5
Total ELECTORAL college 80, =. Il sal
Necessary TO elect .a....s., 2SS
WILSON. WILSON,
Alabama ..4,,.1s Montana .....
Arizona ........ Nebraska .......