Shoshone journal. [volume] (Shoshone, Idaho) 1884-1931, 1912-08-09
AS ne ROOSEVELT.

II ID DOM TIE DtWDcfdiiC ana re
\ publican national camps there i.
II halurally the greatest interest il
4 The outcome Of the Roosevelt
\ national convention al Chicago
II Notwithstanding The CLANS Of ex-
Il President hOoseyelt's followers as
/ to his strength, there is really no
substantial basis for an estimate Of
H his popular vote and There cannot
\ be for some time 10 come. The
\ only real basis for calculation Of
\ Rooseyelt's strength, il is insisted
\ must be taken from the vote Of
Gen. Weaver, the candidate of the
populists for President in 1892.
Gen. Weaver got 100000 votes
and p votes in the ELECTORAL col
lege, as follows: Colorado 4, Idaho
3, Kansas 10, Nevada 3, and North
Dakota and Oregon each 1. II is
believed that Roosevelt will not
more than double Gen. Viewers
vote; IN other words his personal
following in the country is not
twice as large as Viewers.
! Roosevelt's popular majority over
all in 1904 was 1875, 403, while Taft's
popular majority over all in 1908
was 469,374. But in 1904 Alton B.
Parker did not receive the united
support Of his party, while this
year there is no indication but that
the Democratic party is united on
Gov. Wilson. And yet in personal
conversation ex-President Roose-
welt remarks that he is to get
many Democratic votes, although
some Of his advisers havee candi-
dly told him that the Democrats
feel they are going TO win this fall, |
and with this confidence it is not
likely they will desert their party
candidate. L.
With Roosevelt twice as strong as
Weaver, he should be allowed AZ
votes in the ELECTORAL college.
The total vote OF the college this
year is 53i, making 266 necessary
TO choice. Allowing Roosevelt AZ ,
votes in the college there would
remain TO be divided between Taft
and Wilson 1877 votes. But the en-
thusiastic Roosevelt people tell 4,
you that Roosevelt is three times !,
stronger than Gen. Weaver, that he :
will get 100000 votes in the !.
country and approximately &c "
'otes in the ELECTORAL college.
should Roosevelt get those &C votes y
here would still remain to be di-
'ided between Wilson and Taft -
65 votes. And Wilson starts with =
70 electoral votes from the South.
IN States. He also starts with a "'
God chance of carrying New York
yith its 45 ELECTORAL votes, New :,
eresy with its "A, and Indiana with 90
s i5,which would give him a total =,
I PAT, leaving but 2iS for Mr.Taft :"
hitch would result in throwing :,
ne election into Congress. ~
An effort has been made by sew ~
'al distinguished politicians in ~
10 Wilson and Taft camps to liken ~
he Roosevelt third party move nns
ent this year to the Gold Demo- o. o.
attic movement in 1896 headed by NJ
llmer and Buckner. II is con- -.
nded, though, by those who have -,
Oked into the situation that in
Ily one detail can the Roosevelt ~,
ID the Palmer-Buckner move. sa'
ents be compared their mush- "a
ON growth. Do,
The palmer-Buckner movement -
IS The result of three months ~
,rk and the total popular vote sar
r those Gold Democratic candi- =
ties was but i33,42i. Then, too. pr;
was split only from the Demo- 49,
ltic party. The Roosevelt move
ent, the Col0nels followers in a.,
I. represents split from the Re
bliean party and is supported al
by many ultra-radieal Demo- y,
It's Also many socialists are not po1
srse to Roosevelt's candidacy. 49,.
With these features prominently 80
icated the Coloners followers 80 .
lare that it is utterly Idle and pas,
aeious 10 compare the Bull No.
ose party with the Gold Demo- IN,
tic split Of 1896 go
can