New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1912-11-03

tended, vote for Mr.. Taft this year
rather than face the inevitable reduc-
ton of wages which would follow the
election of Mr.. Wilson. The fight in
Connecticut has been led by Represen-
tative f. ]. Hill, who has fought like
a Trojan and to whom great credit Will
be due If the Nutmeg State gives its
seven votes to Mr.. Taft Z
Rhode Island is practically conceded
to Taft by all in a position to judge
of conditions.
Both Claiming Illinois.
Both parties claim Illinois vociferous-
", but from inside and dependable
sources it is learned that both are
greatly in the dark regarding the OUT
come in that state. On the fact that
Illinois gave Mr.. Taft a majority Oh
nearly 10000 four years ago, the Re
publicans largely base their confidence
for this year. They do not believe that
so large a majority can be overturned,
although they admit 1t is likely to be
largely reduced.
Illinois has been one of the chief
backgrounds of the third party, and
Mr.. Roosevelt, it will be recalled, re-
ceived a large primary vote in that
state in comparison with Mr. TAFT. On
the other hand, the total primary vote
comprised only a small percentage OF
the voters. The fact that two Senators
are TO be chosen by the Illinois Leg
islature makes the state election all
the more important, and the vigorous
contest which is being conducted will
hardly end until the polls open on
Election Day.
Third Party Checked in Indiana.
In Indiana the third party, led by ex-
Senator Beveridge, who is himself
candidate for Governor, made great
Roadway for a time, but that has now
been checked and it is generally con-
ceded that Mr.. Taft is gaining rapidly.
Republicans in charge of the campaign
in the state are convinced that they
will win, a conviction which becomes
converted largely into a hope by the
time it has filtered through the heads
Of the leaders of the national party.
The popularity of Governor Marshall
is an element of strength TO the Dem
Ocrats, and they are convinced that
Indiana may safely be placed in the
Democratic column.
Ohio Counted for Taft.
All recent reports from Ohio indicate
that Mr.. Tafts own state will give him
her twenty-four votes. There are some
bad spots in the state, but the expos
ure of Mr.. Roosevelts bad faith with
regard to Canadian reciprocity and his
treatment Of the negroes in his person
ally conducted convention at Chicago
! have both had their effect.
Where the influence Of the papers
/ controlled by Dan Hanna is extensive
1 the opposition TO the President is still
strong. On the other hand, very effec-
| tive work has been done by the Pros
perity League, organized in Cincinnati.
and the old soldiers are standing SOL
| idly for President Taft and Il. Il.
| Brown. the Republican candidate for
| Governor.
Missouri Turning to Taft.
Governor Hadley and his fellow
workers in Missouri are confident that
state will be found In the Taft column.
| They say that since the Governor has
| declared himself for Taft the third
party has become too attenuated 20 be
discerned by the naked eye. Further
more, Governor Wilson is far from
/ popular in the home of Champ Clark,
and great numbers Of Democratic farm
| ers will vote for Mr.. Taft.
! OF course, in Missouri, as in the other
Mississippi Valley states, the large
crops to be sold with prospects that a
! Democratic victory would seriously de-
: press the market, especially until after
the farmers had all been compelled TO
sell, appeal strongly TO the farmers Of
( both parties and predispose them TO
cast their votes in accordance with
their personal interests and for pros
I perity, rather than as dictated by party
( affiliations. even of long standing. But
in Missouri, unless the Republican
managers are badly deceived, resent
ment Of the methods employed at Bal
timore 10 prevent Champ Clarks nom
ination constitutes the chief source of
Republican strength among the Demo-
Gratis.
Republicans Count on Iowa.
In Iowa the campaigning Of Sena-
tor Kenyon, a Progressive and a can
didate for reelection; the bumper crops,
the general indifference Of the farmers
to the call Of the Bull Moose, or "the
loose bull" as they say in that coun-
try, have lent encouragement to the
! leaders, and 1t is believed by them that
Iowa will be found in line casting her
thirteen votes for William Howard
Taft.
Wisconsin Wants no Change.
Wisconsin. also is a state in which
the desire to preserve the prevailing
prosperity is strong, and that is max
ing for the success Of Mr.. Taft There
too, the resentment engendered by the
treatment Of a favurte son is playing
large part. There appear to be few
supporters Of Senator La Toilette who
will vote for Mr.. Roosevelt, while there
is little prospect Of any detection OF