Evening journal., 1912-11-04

polls submitted have shown tho Demo-
cratic organization reunited and put
ting up a strong 1ght and the Republi-
can strength almost equally divided
between the regular Republican or
ganization and its younger rival. the
Progresaives. But the managers OF
the Roosevelt candidacy insisted to-
day that when the votes are counted
another Democratic dream" viii have
been shattered while the men TO whom
President TAFT entrusted his campaign
say that at the very last, state pride
is certain to prevail and that he will
pull through, although by very small
plurality. The returns from Ohio will
probably be late and the result may be
in doubt until Wednesday
Illinois seems to have been conceded
to Roosevelt during the last couple OF
weeks by some Of the Republican man
ayers. but according TO the conhden-
tial reports sent 10 National Commit
teeman Martin Wade, who has been
handling the middle west fight for the
Democrats from Chicago headquarters,
the sentiment for Wilson has been
spreading like wildfre in the last few
days, and he claims the state for the
New Jersey Governor by fifty thousand.
The state fight here is most interest
ing because of the break that came be-
tween Colonel Roosevelt and Governor
Deneen. This is one state that the 81
lent vote will absolutely decide, and
where claims Of campaign managers
seem to be based entirely on hope,
rather than definite information
Indiana, claimed by the Democrats
even before the campaign opened. has
been the center Of great Progressive
activity. With former Senator Beyer-
idge making the fight as the guberna-
torial candidate, and with a flexible
and very strong organization in every
county in the state, the fight has been
very bitter and it has been only in the
last month that the Taft men have
started to fight The betting favors
the Democrats here but the silent vote
will be large here also, and in the final
analysis will be the deciding factor
Michigan and Iowa, because Of the con-
ditions prevailing. are debatable terri
tory in which local matters will cut
great deal of ice.
Wisconsin will occupy the center Of
the stage so far as the middle western
states are concerned because of the
attitude taken by Senator LaFollette.
The public announcement by LaFol-
lette that he would not vote for Taft,
Roosevelt or Wilson, divided his fol-
lowers. The Roosevelt men have
claimed the state ever since they
opened their campaign, but the Wilson
followers have insisted that this claim
was not based on facts and have insis-
ted that most of the LaFollette Pro-
gressivos will vote for the Democratic
candidate. The only thing that seems
certain is that the fight IN this state IS
between the Progressives and Demo-
cratic candidates. with the President
certain TO run third
Minnesota, the Dakotas, Kansas, Ne
braska, Colorado. Montana. Idaho and
Nevada are all claimed by the Demo-
Gratis, who say that the Progressives
there will split the regular Republican
vote, and that the Taft men will vote
for Wilson because they fear that un-
less they do so the Roosevelt men will
carry the state and thus disrupt the
regular Republican organization. So
far as Nebraska is concerned, there is
much interest in whether Bryan can
let his mentle fall on the shoulders Of
Governor Wilson. At Baltimore the
Nebraskan promised the vote Of his
state to Wilson and to make his prom
Use good. he has criss-crOssed the state
and made a personal appeal to the far
mers to vote for Wilson. The Rocky
Mountain states are admittedly de-
batable ground, and the problem is
just how strong the Roosevelt senti-
ment is something that It will re-
Quire the count OF the votes to deter
mine.
Much Interest in California.
Interest on the Pacific coast will
center on California. The Taft Re
publicans here are disfranchised be-
cause of the action Of the election Off
cials in refusing to place their candi-
dates for elector on the ballot. Con-
sequently. many Of the Taft men have
openly announced that they will vote
for Wilson. Governor Johnson has not
devoted much time to his home state,
believing that his personal popularity
will be sufficient to carry the state for
the Progressive ticket. He had plan
ned to come back to California some
weeks ago, but the shooting Of Roose-
welt kept him on the stump in the
east, and he has left the management
OF the campaign to the regular party
managers. The Progressives claim
that they will carry the state by be-
tween $4,000 and 100000, and insist
that most of the women viii vote for
Roosevelt and Johnson. Despite this
claim the Democratic managers say
that their confidential reports show
that the action Of the authorities in
refusing to permit the Taft electors a
place on the ballot has injured the
Roosevelt chances, and they say they
will carry the state by more than
10000. There is very little line on
how the women will vote and they are