The Sentinel=record., 1911-09-21
RECIPROCITY
 TOMORROW
MIGHT BEFORE FINDS CANADA IN MIDST OF MOST INTERESTING
 PERIOD OF HISTORY
Premier Laurer Has Sta<ed His PolIti- Cal Future On The Acceptance of
 Reciprocity Agreement

Noillfeh, Qhe.l, Sept. 2O-ThiS election eve, when a great question mark lies across the Canadian map from Atlantic to Pacific, finds the dominiion more interested in itself and the whole world more interested init than ever before.
 Tomorrow will answer questions vitally affecting the country and nearly as deep concern to the Unit ed States. Shall the Laurier re gime continue and shall Canada by giving the government party of the last fifteen years continuance of agreement alpsady sratified by the power, put into effect the reciprocity republic across the border.
 On this night before" the leaders on both sides are expressing extreme confidence. The government papers this evening assert that the liberals will win by fifty majority. thus in creasing their strength for the 18th parliament's house of commons by seven seats.
 On the other hand the opposition papers claim an equal majority for the party of Leader Borden and point with unequiyoeal ce1titude to the governments defeat and it's realiza- ton that defeat is impending.
 The Montreal Star which has con ducted an especially aggressive anti reciprocity campaign prints in large type tonight tEe statement '"gov- ernment defeated. :" Newspapers on both sides support their claims on the detailed statements telegraphed by the party organizers in the cab inets of each of the ten provinces.
 Observers who claim the opportun- fly for impartial survey of the situa- ton say they expect the government to be returned with reduceG r,v- iority. This forecast ranges from 10 to B, though few are willing to concede so high figure as the lat ter. There are some who count upon the government being returned with an unavoidable majority, which, il Is supposed, anything below ten might prove to be. In such an event 1t is probable that no attempt wond be made to secure ratification of the reciprocity agreement before another election was held
 It is generally conceded that the providence of Quebec holds the key 10 the situation During the fifteen years that Sir Wilfrid Iaurier has been in power this province always has rolled up a majority sufficient to adverse voting in other provinces. SD consistently has this been the case that it has come to be regard cd as certainty and in recent cleo tions the conservatives have made but infFequent and spasmodic ae- tempts to gain seats here.
 Tn the present election, however, q coalition has existed in Quebec be- tween the conservatives and the third party. known as the nationa ists. and there is a contest for every seat. In Q few instances there are three cor nered contests, an independent lib- eral running against straight party candidate and nationalist-conserva tive.
 The nationalist party in Quebec has paid but little attention to reciproc- fly. It has conduced it's campaign upon opposition to the governments naval program and the record of the government in general. It has been led by Henry Bourassa. former liberal member of parliament who is not at this time candidate. The nationalists also have had the sup port of a number of French and Eng fish newspapers. Upon the question whether this enthusiasm has been coined into votes against the govern ment probably hasgs the fate of Lau- rier's political future.
 Extreme nationalists are claiming their party leader with the straight conservatives will elect 30 members from Quebec at tomorrow's election If thev do this, it Is generally con ceded that the government will oe defeated. The electon of one hai this number would have the same result In the last parliament VAe conservatives seating was l2. The liberals however. have not overlook cd Quebec. They have conducted strenuous campaign throughout the