New-York tribune., 1911-11-06

FREDERICK d. GRANT.
wrongs 1t grew out of the determina-
ton of certain Republicans in the House
| to overthrow "Cannonism.' That ac-
complished. II ceased to have a reason
for being. but was seized upon and fos-
tered by those who believed IT would
afford a stepping stone to posts of power
and influence in the Republican party
to which they could never hope to attain
by their unaided abilities. The fact tnat
the sponsors of insurgency in its new
| form were United States Senators. OF
whom there are only ninety-two' insured
] for il a prominence it could not other-
wise have attained. while the enthuslas-
tic assistance Of certain malcontents ana
disgruntled members Of former admin
istration proved invaluable in giving to
| il a wholly fictitious appearance of inn
portance What it actually amounts to
can best be measured by the platform or
the Republican Progressive League
the sonorous official title Of the La -'ol-
I lette campaign committee. and by the
! strength of the WisConsinte support
/ throughout the country.
Senator La Toilette, the accepted can
! djdate of Republican insurgency, will not
receive more than 20 votes out of totai
of 1.o64 I'm the national convention. Even
If Senator Cummins would and could
throw the Iowa delegation To La Toilette
and there is little probability that ne
J could if he woud-there is no reason 70
! believe that La Toilette would receive
! 100 votes out Of the total of over LOCO
This statement is made after the most
careful inquiry. conducted I'm every state
| possessed Of or credited with possessing
! insurgoDt tendencies. II is far more lib
! oral than my judgment dictates. for J;
! includes the California delegation which
| ! believe will go to President TAFT anG
gives La Toilette the delegates from
, doubtful districts which are more likely
! TO send Taft delegates. And how much
attention does candidate for the Presi-
dency who cannot command 100 dele
gates in the national convention deserve?
There is. Of course. another phase "i
! insurgency. That is its possibility oi
working injury to the Republican candl-
, date. That II possesses some power IN
{ that direction is true That it possesses
much is doubtful Its power to do harm
is susceptible of notification by Presi-
dent TAFT himself and by his supporters
in Congress. And if President Taft can
not or will not employ the methods
which the great mass Of the people de-
mand. it will need no assistance from
the Insurgents to compass his defeat. On
the other hand, if he does increase ms
popularity as much at the next session
as he has since he left Beverly on Sep
tember 10. the combined forces OF the
Insurgents will be pOwerless materially
to affect the size of his majority.
Big Majority Of Delegates for Taft
Conditions in the states have been
chronicled at considerable length in my
dispatches written on the Presidents
special train. Therefore only sum-
maryof the observations made along the
trip need be presented here. First as to
the delegates to the national convention
There is every reason TO believe that
with the exception of those from eight
states all Of the delegates will he in
structel for Mr. Taft. These eight de-
batabe states are Wisconsin, Kansas
Minnesota. North and South Dakota
California, oregon and Washington. The
major portion of the Wisconsin delega
tion will be for La Toilette. Three dis
tricts are in doubt, and may send Taft
delegates
The California delegation probably
hinges on Presidential primar. 1t is
i'm the power of Governor Johnson to
scnd La Toilette delegation as things
stand nova power derived from the
last election. BIT there is pressure on
the Governor To ask the Legislature,
which he viii soon convene I'm special
session. to provide for a Presidential
urinary. The friends of President TAFT
believe thatif the Legislature takes this
step a majority Of the people will vote
for TAFT ddcgates and thus insure a
solid delegation for the President.
In oregon Senator Bourne IS conduct
inC vigorous La Toilette campaign.
On the other hand, the II lends Of the
President have abandoned the old reac-
,iop,rv machine and have a hustling
lca,,raien committee, composed of
Ic,ebteen young. progressive Repu
t,core who are working onergetically
80 win votes FOR President iaft. The
por,land Oregpnian" and other well
coated authoritss on politics in that state
boIieye they viii win. In April the peo-
ria NJ oregon win express their choice.
Tho Reuublicans voting for Mr. TAFT or
for La Toilette. according to their pref
orence and the solid delegation will be
bound 10 vote III accoiuah'' with the eX-
pressed preference oi majority Of the
voters.