The evening times. [volume] (Grand Forks, N.D.) 1906-1914, 1911-11-17
new YORK HERALD
SEES TAFT AND
HARMON FIGHT
Believes They Will I :. =
Their Parties in Presi-
Dental Contest
THE IA toilette ESTIMATE
LEAVES OUT NORTH DAKOTA
dtiy One District Conceded Him in
THIS State by the Political Isaiah Of
tho Herald-Taft Has Nearly Solid
Republican Convention.

Republican Convention.
New York, Nov. IA special
Washington dispatch to the Herald
Nays:
Political opponents of President
Taft will fall Into grave error II they
overlook In the estimate Of his tour,
Just ended, the opportunity which 1t
has givon him to come into close
touch with political conditions. This
may easily follow the efforts to min
ltlixe the results Of his trip to the
president is today in closer working
relationship with the leaders of his
purity In the contested territory than
any other man in either the Republic
can or Democratic organizations.
Through the courtesy Of n. man who
has Just made a careful investigation
in thirty states, the Herald is able
to present an estimate of both Repub-
lcan and Democratic conditions as
to change. The details of the report
on which the estimate is based will
become the property of whoever is Sc
iected to manage the next Republican
campaign.
Democrats in Control.
Seven men now participate In the
control Of the votes to be cast In the
next Democratic convention. Named
in order Of their apparent strength.
they are Harmon, Wilson. Clark. Bry-
an, Underwood. Marshall. and Folk.
All but the first two are REGARDED
somewhat as dark horses" So good
a political prophet as Henry Wat
terson said when President Taft was
in Louisville that the Democratic
nomination was. because of the two
thirds rule in tie Democratic conven-
tion. likely to go to a dark horse"
In the Republican party the :..tua-
tion is in striking contrast. President
Taft's mana gers assert that he will
have 975 of the probable 1.072 votes
in the Republican convention. Sena-
openly against the president. This es-
innate leaves him less than 100 votes.
Twenty-Five of the conceded dele
gates for I4aFollett" come from his
own state Of Wisconsin, and twenty
six from California. where the. COM
mittee which will control their selec-
tion was named in 1910 No one 9TH
er state will be his in its entirety If
the Republicans are correctly inform
ed. Other possible support for Sena-
tor LaFollette is found In Kansas,
where he is likely to have the Victor
Murdoch district: Iowa, where. with
the assistance of Senator Cummins,
IlaFollette may get as many as six
districts: Washington. where he. T.
given the Spokane district; North Da-
kota, one district in South Dakota,
and three in Minnesota.
Preparing for 1915.
There is disposition even in some
of the territory that will be for La
-; ;o
warming up for 1916. While the state
of Wisconsin is conceded to be for
him. he stands in danger Of losing
the Milwaukee district.
There is little, If any. LaFollette
work being done in the south, al
though the tracks Of Senator Bourne
of Oregon are found in Alabama. A
cousin of Senator LaFollette is max
ing an effort to aid him IN the Second
field is at work in Cleveland.
Ohio is Of course for the president
as are Virginia, Pennsylvania, accord
ing to her two senator's; Maryland
and Delaware. There Is no serious
opposition to the president in New
Jersey, except in Jersey City and New
ark, where the "New Idea party" has
some strength. New York is counted
for MIR. Taft north of Wall street
or at least north of Yonkers. His
managers are not overlooking the op.
position to the presidents trust views
but they expect him to gain in
strength in the great money center
New England is for the president
The state convention in North Caro-.
lima has indorsed him. and in South
Carolina that action was taken by the
Republican state committee. When
a meeting was held to elect new
national committeeman In Florida
the president was indorsed.
Expects Many Contests.
Already the LaFollette men are
talking Of contested delegations. This
may be tried in Georgia, but is moi
likely to be successful. That state
with Alabama. Kentucky. Indiana
Michigan. Missouri. most Of Kansas
ten Of the twenty-sIx delegates in
Iowa. all but one district in Nebras.
ka. Colorado. Utah, Nevada. Idaho
New Hampshire, Wyoming. Washing.
ton. outside of Spokane: all but one
district in South Dakota, all but three
districts in Minnesota. Illinois. Arkan.
sas. Arizona and New Mexico. are
some of the contested territory which
is asserted to be for the president
in the convention.
Tennessee has just given an indica
ton that she may be for him in No.
vember. as well as in the convention,
Kentucky declared for the presiden,
in nominating O'Rear for governor
there is no contest Of Importance ir
Missouri. and both Republican fac
tions are for the president in Colo.
RADIO.
Wilson Loses Influence
Investigations in the south indicate
that the Wilson strength has beer
overestimated In some states. There
has been a loss to him because of the
Republican success in New Jersey
This is regarded as n handicap. 1t II
perhaps matter of some surprise
that the Investigations on which thi.
estimate is based show that MIR
Bryan Ia likely. under the present
conditions. to control the delegation.
in the Democratic convention from
Washington and the two Dakotas.
II Mr. Bryan is not a candidate
Gov. Harmon will probably get the
Nebraska delegation. There is de.