The Topeka state journal., 1911-09-02

who are seeking the election or Ia1t
delegates The probability now is that
a divided delegation will go to the
convention from each state. Senator
Cummfns is recognized insurgenI
leader in Iowa and he Is friendly 70
LaFollete, with whom he has worked
constantly ever since he entered the
senate. Senator Kenyon, his insurgent
colleague. however. IS not likely to 90
with him in a campaign for LaFof-
lette delegates, and there are several
congressional districts that the insur-
gents will likely not be able to cap
ture Iowa apparently, is slowly re-
turning to the regular" Republican
fold.
The Minnesota situation is largely
like that in Iowa Senator Clapp, in
surgent is a staneh LaFoIlette man.
Senator. Nelson. an fnsurgent on tariff
matters, is not likely to &c with Clapp
on the LaFoIlette proposition. The ex-
pectation now is that the insurgents
viii control three of the congressional
district conventions, and that Taft's
friends will have the others
Missouri. the home Of Secretary
Nagel Of the department of commerce
and labor. is practically certain to be
found in the Taft column with her
delegation Missouri has never been
a radical state, and insurgency has not
made much headway there The Re
publican leaders of the state are with
President Taft, and if the LaFollette
men are able 10 accomplish anything
at all it will not be much.
East Solidly for Taft.
This side of the Mississippi river
there is very little show for the cleo
ton of any LaFolIette delegates out
side of Wisconsin The Taft organi-
zation will. of course. make no effort
IN Wisconsin. and it is only fair TO say
that il could not accomplish anything
there If it tried, although LaFollette
has many opponents in the party in his
own state.
Illinois IS in a turmoil. owing to sew
era1 causes The desperate fight be-
tween Governor Deneen and the Lori
mer forces has badly broIen up the
party orga izaticn. That situation is
now complicated by the organization of
an insurgent league there. which has
already opened its campaign for next
year. Charles r Crane. Who was ap-
poi lted miristar to China and got as
far rs San Francisco, only to be recall-
ed in disgrace. is the chief angel Of
the Illinois insurgency, but recent re-
ports have been to tho effect that ne Is
firing of the expense. Others who have
been helping tIIat cause along have re-
ceatiy come into the presidents camp
The L0riner case has added to the
party disruption there. and the candi-
dacy of Senator CuIIom for re-election
has not smothered the trouble Opin-
Ions differ widely as to the outcome,
which indicates that the delegation
may be divided. But in that case the
president is likely to get the major
portion IF the delegates.
No Place to Co.
Tn ere are several of the oId-line Il
linOis Republicans. among them Sena~
tor Loriuer and former Speaker Can |
the president, but who are still Organ1- I
zation Uer first and foremost. ana
VINO in the end will probably vote for |
Taft delegates.
troll in their cases. If every other con-
sieers ton fails They have no other |
nan to whom they can go. Much as
they NAV dislike the president, that I
ioeIing is only a whimsical fancy. com /
pared to their hatred Of LaFollette- IL
IA ere were a middle course they would +
De glad to take IL, but as II IS they /
viz have to swallow hard. and stay I
With the president
In Michigan, Governor Chase Osborne.
he out ard out trsurgent. who won 4
asst year has announced himself pub I
fcfv as for the denomination of Presi- /
lent Taft and SO have II out of 81 Re /
publican members Of the general as !
;er5. hlv The congressional delegation 1
s for the president. ard the probability /
: he will have the solid delegation /
rom that state
IN indiana there is no sign Of oppo- /
.ftfou now, and unless former senator
Seve-fdgs makes a fight against the
PRESIDENT there will be none. All the
ions in Indiana are out in the open
or Taft. BeveTidge is in Europe and
las not expressed himself. Eut he was
he only one Of the insurgents in the
ast senate to support the reciprocity
,iU. and has worked with the presi-
lent on everything but the tariff law
# two years ago
President Taft's own state-Ohio-t
viii give him a solid delegation for
-e,torTiration. All the Republican lead
RS there except former Senator Foraker
md Jarres r. Garfield, former secretary
Il the interior. have pronounced for
lin. Tie insurgents would ike tre-
nenffouslv to divide that delegation.
ven if they could capture only one or
NO congressional dis4rf7ts. BUt a. thc
present showing they haven't a
;hance-
A considerable part Of the opposition
o the denomination of Mr.. Taft three
ears ago came from New England,
,4t rext year the New England states
will no doubt send a solid delegation
4 favor of his denomination. Only one
# the New England states. New Hanp-
hire. has been touched as yet by the
insurgency so far as the Republican or
:anization is concerned
Governor Bass. Of New Hampshire,
las not announced where he win stand
n the question Of the presidents re-
,ornination, but his close friends and
POLITICAL assistants are with the Taft
orces. There was some OPPOSITION to