The Birmingham age-herald., 1911-02-06
JUAREz IS KEY ID
 MEXICAN REVOLT
Gustavo Madero Pleased With
 Days Reports
REBELS 11,eoo STRONG
Government Surrounded By Hostile Territory nnd If Juarez Falls the Mexican Administration
 Will Also Fall

New York, February 5.-"Juarez Is the
 Key to the arch. If Juarez falls, the
 Mexican administration will fall. Give us
 Juarez and we shall have the country in
 GO days"
 This was the way that Gustavo A. Ma
 dero, brother of Francisco l. Madero,
 leader of the revolutionary forces in
 Mexico, summed up tonight the latest advices from the front
 "All the news received today" he con- tinued, both that contained in the press dispatches and our private advices we
 construe as highly favorable to our
 cause, but it seems to us an error in strategy that the federal forces were
 allowed to advance by rail on Juarez when it was in the power of the revo- iution1StS to cut communications" Senor Madero now estimates the total federal forces in the state of Chihuahua
 at 4OOo and the rebel forces at $500.
 "The government he said, "has sent
 Ire thousand men into the state and half of these have deserted. The federal
 troops are conscripts, many of them con- yicts, fighting against their own hearts,
 and when they encounter opposition and are forced to give ground, their with drawal does not constitute a retreat, it becomes a dispersal. They vanish dis sipate, desert In body at each check. The engagements thus far fought have proved that one insurrecto is worth six federal soldiers in the field
 our men are young men. ihting for their ideals. Some of them have turned Sc without ever casting a vote.
 'In my estimate of the present situ. ation it must not be forgotten that xxyifh tbo road in government control and the news under rigid censorship 1t has been pos sible to keep up an appearance of tram guilty in the north for the rest of the country. But now that the railroad is blocked the people say that must be more than a nest of hornets. If Juarez falls the moral effect will be incalculable Ninety-hve per cent of the nation secretly is disaffected now but fear of Diaz and his savage reprsals has kept them under cover. Give them the signal and tho whole country will burst into flame. There will be news tomorrow of another state in revolt &
 "Diaz will never live to see his armies triumphant If Juarez holds out 1t will be for us only a retreat into the mountains, into country every inch of which Is friendly to us and bitterly hostile to pursuing enemy. Even if n. 1t would take two years to subdue it with all the forces the government can command"
 Senor Madero estimates that the ef- fective federal army is 24,000 men and that the insurrectos have 11,600 men in the field and control eight states out of 27. One more state, he says, is open ly disaffected and in still another something grave" has happened, news Of which the government has succeeded thus far in keeping bottled up. He counts the following states in the in- "srrecto column; go, Zacatecus. Vera Cruz Puebla and Oaxaca San Louis Potosi seems to be and Senor Madero suspects that more has been going on In Tama- ulipas than yet has come out.
 Thus it may be seen, according to Madero. that the revolution is scattered three parts of the country the northern border states from the Pacific coast to Nueva Leon on the At lantic; the central states of Zacetacas, Durango and San Luis Potosi, and the southern states of Vera Cruz, Puebla and Oaxaca. The bulk of rebel forces gre in the border states of Chihuahua and Coahuila (3500), and the states south of Mexico City where 5000 men are in the field. In short says Madero. the government is surrounded by hos tile territory on all sides and the up- rising is a real revolution.