The Topeka state journal., 1911-09-02
ALL Is fUh IAf
Practically Agreed President
VIII Be Renominated.
Opposition Sentiment Has Failed
TO Crystalline.
THE EAST Is SOLID
Roosevelt Only One Who Has
Been Discussed.
Insurgents Nay Make Fight for
La Toilette.

washington Sept 2.-The next Re
publican convention viii meet-prOb-
ably at hicago-about the middle OF
June 1912. for the nomination Of
candidate to succeed President Tart
Already IL is practically determined
that Mr.. Taft himself viii be that can
didate- No man who takes even casual
interest in following national politics
except some OF the most radical OF the
rever-right prophets, like Jonathan
Bourne jr.. Of Oregon who established
his reputation for accuracy IN political
prognostfcations by his persistent an
nouncement of the denomination Of
President Roosevelt in 1S0s-wilI at
tempt now to figure out any other re-
suit Of the approaching convention
And an examination of the situation in
the different sraVes-eVen tnolSn II =
sLzetchv and superficial-WilI Justify
the confidence of the friends Of the
president. who are saying that 50 lar
as the result Of the convention is con-
cerned it is all over but the shouting
It is not TO be denied that there mas
beer much disaffeCtion among the Re
publieaus. and much opposition to the
president in his own party. But nelsH-
er can il be denied Ehat IN the last nine
months there has been a most remark
able change in sentiment among the
rank and file Of Republicans all over
the country with regard to the presi-
dent
Of 1910 he has cut loose from his ad-
vfsers and Influences which heretofore
had been potent with him He has
adopted course and advanced meas
uFes which have materially restored /
his popularity. and despite the fact
that he has been in open conflict with
his party in congress epeeIa1y on the
Canadian reciprocity agreement he
has gained very greatly in the country I
When the Republican national COM
mfttee meets in Washington next De-
cember TO determine the time and
place of the national convention OF
next year. il will have to determine
also the number Of delegates who shah
make up that convention. 1t Is always
the custom to have two delegates for
every vote in the electoral college. plus :
the territories The electoral college /
has as many votes as there are repre- /
ssntatives and senators.
II present there are 391 representa- /
tives and % senators. or asa in all !
The reappgrtiOnme ent bill recently I
passed bv congress. in conformity with /
the census OF 1910. provides for q /
house mem bership Of 43S. which with /
senators makes the electoral college /
5 20 The R9pu bItCaus usually allow !
two delegates to national conventions
for each territory. as well as for the /
District of Columbia Alaska. Porto |
Rico and the Philippines Thus. if the
next convention is made up on the
basis of the new appOrtionment there
VIII be 1850 delegates from the pres
ent states plus 4 from the territories
and other districts. or 1 1.064 In all. But
ff Arizona and New Mexico manage to
get into the union in time they will be
entitled to six delegates each. instead
OF two. ma king the total for the con-
venuiOn 1.072.
IF the convention is made up on the
present basis, there will be $50 dele
gates, counting Arizona and New Mex
leo as territories. Counting them as
states there viii be 9SS-
The apDortiOnment bill having
been passed by congress and approved /
BY the president is now a law and
there Is no good reason. therefore. why I
the national committee should not fol-
low it in fixing the number OF dele
gates for next years convention
50 far as Il now diScernfble there
viii &c but two names seriously pre-
sented to the Republican convention of
next year, Beside that Of William How
ard Taft who viii he named by his own
state Of Ohio. the name Of Senator La
Toilette viii be presented on behalf Of
Wisconsin, and with the expectation
that It viii rally all the radical and
lnsUrgent Republican strength.
Roosevelt eNIn Hopeful.
There Is still a possibility that some
attempts VIII be made to use the name
II Colonel Roosevelt. but If such an
attempt Is made It VIII be without his /
s9Ecti0n ana against his viii. For some
time Colonel Roosevelt has been saving
10 MS close friends that even if he I
were nominated without opposition he I
could not accept the nomination.
The recent open differences between /
7tH and President Taft regarding the /
throwing open Of lands on Controller
Bay Alaska for entry has been used I
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