The Washington times., 1911-05-12
Probable Lineup Shows In
surgents, With One Excep-
ton, Against Measure.
HOUSE PROGRAM TO
HAVE SOLID SUPPORT
Democrats of Lower Body Work
ing Solely With Eye to
Next Year.
By JUDSoN C. wELLIvER.

For the Canadian reciprocity bill, in
the Senate, there are now counted A
votes; against it, AZ. The expected roll
call:
For the BILL Republlcans-Brown, Bur
ton, Crane, Cullom, Kenyon, Lodge,
Lorimer, Penrose, Poindexter, Root,
Works-I1.
For the bill. Democrats-Bacon, Bank
head, Bryan, Chiffon, Clarke of Arkan-
sas, Culberson, Davis, Fletcher, Gore,
Hitchcock, johnson of Maine, Johnston
OF Alabama, Kern, Lea, Martin, MARITIME,
Myers, Newlands, O'Gorman, Overman,
owen, Paynter, Percy, Pomerene~ Ray
ner, Reed, Shively, Smith of South Car
olina Stone, Swanson, Taylor, Terrell,
thornton, Tillman, Watson, Williams
S.
Grand total now counted for the bill
q.
Against the bill. Republicans-Borah,
Bourne, Bradley, Brandegee, Briggs,
Bristow, Burnham, Clapp, Clark of Wy
omhg, Crawford, Cummins, Curtis, Dill
nngham, Dixon, du Pont, Frye, CALM
ger, Gamble, Gronna, Guggenheim,
heyburn, Jones, La Toilette, Lippitt,
Oliver, Page, Perkins, Richardson, Smith
OF Michigan, Smoot, Stephenson, Suther-
land Townsend, Warren, Wetmore-SS
Against the bill. Democrats-Bailey
Summons, Foster; g.
Uncertain, Chamberlain Democrat-1
From Polls Taken.
The list is prepared from the polls
taken by Senators in the last three
days, representing different views of
the subjects. Different polls have not
entirely agreed, and nobody pretends
that he can make a complete roll call
with confidence in its present accuracy.
That there may be some changes be-
tween now and the date for the vote is
also conceded. There has recently been
strong intimation that the insurgent Re-
publcans, instead of dividing, may ge;
together almost Solidly on program of
presenting and pressing vigorously the
CumminS amendments, denounCing the
measure, and then finally voting for II
under protest But the success of such
get-together campaign does not seem
very probable at this time. The strong
majority Of insurgents are likely TO vote
against the pact.
The House tariff program is likely.
after all, to have an almost solid Demo-
cratic support in the Senate.
The lodestar of 1912 is the magnet that
nowadays holds all Democratic political
mariners to- their. .scourse. They know
that they must de certain things before
they can hope to win.
They must prove that they can getto-
gether.
stay together.
They must make a program calculated
to appeal to the country.
And they must support IL in such
fashion that the country will know 1t
would have succeeded If the Democrats
could have had compete control
Expected Split.
month ago there was strong expec-
tation of serious Democratic division in
the Senate on reciprocity. free list. and
the rest of it. Today it is declared that
not over three Democratic Senators are
likely to vote against reciprocity or
free list bill.
That even these will do so is not re-
garded as at all certain. 1t is explained
that the Democratic Senators have been
taking careful account of public senti-
ment in their States and in the country
generally; and they believe that the
House program is making good with
the country. That is why II is getting
stronger with the minority Senators.
Bailey, Simmons, and Foster are
named as three Democrats who may
likely vote against reciprocity; the rest
are counted for it with the exception of
Chamberlain of Oregon, who is classed
as undecided.
The reciprocity measure Is counted to
come out Of the Finance Committee, and
generally expected not to come out of
Finance unless the Senate orders it re-
ported. On that point there is likely
to be a hard contest, with considerable
changes in the alignment from that on
reciprocity.