The Birmingham age-herald., 1911-07-31
GERMANY TODRIVE
 HARD BARGAIN Not to Be Foiied as She Was
 at Algeciras WAR IS NOT PROBABLE Washington Believes Kaiser Wilhelm Is Playing Greatest Diplomatic Game in Many Years-Wants
 Room to Expand
WAR IS NOT PROBABLE

London, July O.-(special. )-War
 over northwest Africa will doubtless
 be- averted but Germany, in the opin- ion of astute observers In all the capitals, will not be foiled now as she was at the Algeciras conference. She will succeed in driving an extremely hard bargain with the members of the triple entente.
 That she will secure immense ter ritorial advantages. though possibly not
 all of them in Africa, Is regarded in
 Berlin as a moral certainty.
 fIt Is also felt that her chances of
 getting a naval base is increasing.
 Nashinctcn's view is that William
 II. the most brilliant monarch in Flu rope since Napoleon. is playing the greatest diplomatic game the last 80 years have witnessed; and cool headed
 Rrito, 5 and Frenchmen concede that
 he is pound to sccore heavily in "com- por Oons."
 Two controlling considerations of the activity of the German foreign
 office, according to a London publicist
 in close touch with Sir Frederick Pol ock, have an American end. First comes the desire of the Elm peror and his advisers to find some
 where a sure future arena for Ger
 many's expanding commerce and col onizing enterprise.
 Ten or Is years ago the Kaiser be- lieved it could be found in South Amer ica. but the revised Monroe doctrine
 smashed that idea.
 John Hays interpretation gave Der lin's inner circles a tremendous shock What was lost in Brazil is sought in | Africa Pressure by financial interest upon the Berlin foreign office Is con | tinuous.
 President Taft's arbitration propa- ganda provides the other factor in- fuencing the Kaiser to get a pied I de terre" in Africa at almost any cost | forthwith. The German sovereign per
 ceives that, if he ever Is to submit to arbitration particularly with an Eu- rean power, possession will be nine points in the case. M. De Selves, | French foreign minister, is conducting | the vitally important disputes between France and Germany with a resource | fulness surprising to all the chnacel- leties but one of whom had ever heard of him when he sprang Into the lime | light on the recent formation of the | Caillaux cabinet.
 | 1t is everywhere realized that he is | not li,leiy to fall into the errors of | rbeorile Del Casse. chief of which was as $ Paris dispatch puts 1t, "an excess | of candor."
 l There is widespread impression however, that the trail now followed
 by the Ouai DOrsay is the one blazet Isvaars ago by Del Casse when demand | ing that his colleagues stake all. eve,
 war. upon the issue ultimately referred | to the nations at Algeciras ana set
 tied there temporarily by the adroit ness of the American representatives l Though in the back ground Del Cass, | has voice in the Caillaux minister,
 more potent as to foreign affairs thai any other melntcr save the premier ant Selves. Not the least significant feature O ] German organ that the Del Cass, principles minus the Del Casse man
 ncrs may yet build a safe bridge" | CaiilauN cannot count upon Frencl
 patriotism, to quite so high degre
 as MT. As luith can rely on the back | ing of men of all parties in the Unite,
 Kingdom.
 Goaded to madness by their recen | failure to bring his ministery to it
 knees at the Palas Bourbon in thu | matter of reinstatement of discharged | railway employees, French socialists ar declaring that Caillaux is bent upoi war;