The Birmingham age-herald., 1911-11-19
GERMANS ARE BUSY WITH HOME AFFAIRS ROyalists In Portugal Have Ceased Activities NEW OUTBREAK NEAR Seems Turkeys Star Has Set and That Ottoman Nation Is Now
 Dying of General
 Paralysis
NEW OUTBREAK NEAR
By FREDERICK WERNER

before, Germans have very little time to waste In speculating on the international outlook although German interests are involved on many points.
 Events in England. however, are still followed with considerable interest and the recent changes in the English cabi- net have been largely commented on by the whole German press. It is not yet clear to the German mind what Winston Churchill's and MT. McKennas exchange of portforlios may mean to Germany.
 Churchill has the reputation of being friendly towards Germany" says the Der finger Tageblatt, land it Is quite certain that compared with the French loving d-George, he has far more pleasant diplomatic manners. Possibly Churchill was made first lord of the British admiral ty to avoid further friction, but most as- suredly he was not made minister of ma rine because of any suddenly born friend ly feeling towards Germany, but rather for reasons closely connected with British home politics. Lloyd-Georges great labor insurance bill is not yet safe and nobody knows what 1t will cost to carry 1t. And then comes the home rule bill. If the present liberal government in England is to fulfill it's promise and give home rule to Ireland the diplomatic sky must be cloudless. The conservative party must not be given any opportunity to bring the time honored scarecrow of the German peril in the field against the measure. Therefore we In Germany must be pre- pared for a. lot of British diplomatic nice- ties as long as the home rule agitation lasts"
 Such Is the general opinion of English politics in Germany and do not think it is wrong on any essential point.
 Tn Portugal there Is a Hull in the opera tions of the roylaists on the frontier, but 1t is-quite evident that they have no ln- tention of abandoning their attempts to restore the monarchy in Portugal. Even the government admits this. although 1t Is convinced that the royalists will never be successful.
 The government Is not relaxing It's wig ilance. The whole frontier line is being kept by over 20,00O men and 130 guns and all the warships are fully equipped and under steam night and day. This, of course. entails enormous expense on the governments already depleted coffers
 The royalists are distributed in small hotels in the villages surrounding Orense In groups of 12, under the supervision of sergeant. Thus they will be able to as- seHible at moments notice. Most of their arms are deposited in the monas- teries of the Carmelite and Franciscan friars in the neighborhood, where also are | lodged the royalist leaders,
 l Prince Francis Miguel Is endeavoring to | push his own cause to the detrment of the dethroned Manuel It Is stated shat twice in the last ten days he eluded the vigilance of the republican troops and with conspicuous courage penetrated the Portuguese territory to hold conferences with the monarchists. He has published manifesto endeavoring to show the republic has not answered the expecta- tions of the country. He assures the people that if he Is elected King he will concede perfect liberty to all.
 Meanwhile the republican government is appointing a special jury and tribunal for the trial of the monarchists under arrest The exact number 1t is impossible to as- certain, but there are many hundreds In different parts of the country, and in the Lisbon forts and prisons about 1000 The tribunals will be held in the churches and the conspirators will be tried in patches of 20O
 Portugars chief difficulties. however. are of the economic order. The country is simply bleeding to death. The secret so- ciety of the Carbonarios is hastening its demise Trade is in a state of stagna ton the Tagus Is now practically devoid of shipping, and freights are lower than they have even been before. The steamers of the big lines, such as the Royal Mail Steam Packet company; Booth. Lamport and Holt, and Royal Hollander Lloyd, still arrive regularly, but 1t is doubtful to what extent they benefit by their visits. The aristocracy and the moneyed class are leaving the country: 1t is common sight to see large houses shut up. the oc- cupants having gone abroad. The people appear to be waiting for some great event which shall have the effect of setting the country one way or the other.
 My information warrants me in assert ing that the royalists are still organizing a serious and desperate attempt on the republican defences. and that anything may happen within three or four months
 At this moment the whole attention of the republic Is devoted to spying out sus- picious craft. Every boat coming up the Tagus Is boarded. At night the shores are ablaze with searchlights from the forts. So much have these ''phantom" ships got on tho nerves of the defenders that the loss of the Sac Rafael gunboat, whilst making for Oporto, and admitted at the moment to be due to the default of the navigating officer, is now stated to have been caused by torpedo from a rcyalist ship.
 
 Evidently Turkeys star has set the twi- | light of her gods Is turning into night and in all probability men of the present gem eration will witness the fullness of the change. ,'
 The Ottoman community Is dying of general paralysis. and seems already be- l yond the reach of aid. True, there are some who give the ailment a less alarming ] name and deem it transitory. but they prescribe only one remedy and no cure-- | the maintenance of their own party at the | post of infallible physician. Unless we | are allowed to save Turkey let her perlsh' | is their advice. Yet there Is not one man | among them all-not excepting DJavid | Bey. whom I regard as the Vergnlaud of | a party foredoomed to dismal failure who fills any considerable span in the | eyes of his countrymen. One. and all, they | are average individuals snatched from humble but honest callings and hoisted | into the glare of the footlights on ons of | the worlds high stages. The Young | Turks have been cruelty dealt with by | circumstances. They are statesmen de- | spite hemselves-blacksmiths set to mend | ladies' watches with hammers, anvlls and | pincers.
 Three years have elapsed since the Turkish revolution became an historic | fact. The self chosen saviors of their country then suddenly came into power. obtaining the unique chance of their lives. True, in the life of nation 70 | months constitutes but narrow span. | Historical causes need much longer pc- | rods to work in. The upheaval which | aS1 <kn cl11t pI~~