The Washington times., 1911-11-03
BOTH PARTIES IN
MARYLAND FIGURE
VICTORY AT POLLS
Extreme Confidence or Good
Bluffing Exhibited at
Headquarters.
BALTIMORE SWINGING
POINT FOR GOVERNOR
German Men Figure Six Thousand,
Goldsborough Five, From
District Reports.
By ]. FRED EssARY.

BALTIMORE. Nd. Nov. AT the
heaoquarters Of the two parties in this
city today At was found there either is a
vast amount Of confidence on the part
OF both organizations or a vast amount
Of blufing.
For instance, Gen. Murray Vandiver,
Democratic state chairman. has the ex-
act figures to show that Arthur p. Cor
man Will carry the States by at least
5000 votes. These figures he has down
on paper. In detail. showing the wards
and precincts that are gcing to produce
the maJorities.
Down on Baltimore street at the Re-
publican headquarters John B. Hanna,
Republican State chairman. has an
other set Of figures. The total IN this
case Is 5.0oo but the majority here is in
favor Of Phillips Lee Goldsborough
And these figures are not fictitious.
They are made up from reports of
ward and precinct workers who know
their business.
30 It is there is either a big lot Of
four-nushing'' or these campaign man
aGers Trsr, believe sv all that is told them.
the German ticket is looking to Balti-
more city. for $500 majority. With the
democratic machine working we'll. this
would not be an extravagant hope
either. Baltimore city normally is about
1000 Democratic. that is. when the ma.
Cnine Is running under full head Of
steam.
Machine In Dicrepute.
But this machine is in disrepute. II
is sadly sSiscredited by the fraud dis
CLOSURES. and 1t cannot be looked to for
the old ma1ojrities. If the city Is car
ried at all. the majority for German
VIII be much narrower than $500. 'rhe
fact is. few politicians right down in
their hearts expect Mr.. German to carry
the city. They said Mr.. Preston de-
feated Mr.. tTimanus in the mayoralty
election only bv about 600 votes. and
that It is ridiculous to expect the ma
Chine to have even the force it had
Mr.. Germans friends realize that Bal
dmore city cannot be depended upon for
majority That Is exactly why the
candidates have been kept out in the
counties almost from the beginning
They have made scores Of speeches at
picnics, barbecues, at town halls. and
on court green's. They have canvassed
the me CO.., counties over and back. and they,
This is done in the hope that the coun-
ties Will pile up German ma ajority that
will overcome any lead which Mr.. Colds
borough may have in Baltimore city.
It Is true that during this last week Of
the campaign Mr.. German has made
machine has shown some signs of COM
Ing back, but no real hope is entertained
of carrying the city with anything like
safe margin. =
Republican Calculations.
The Republican majority, as 1t is now
written down on paper. will come, in
John Hanna's opinion, from the city.
from the eastern shore, and from west
ern Maryland. He has figured that
Baltimore city will give Mr.. Colds
borough at least 800 majority. that 200
more will come from the eastern shore
counties. and that a like number may be
expected from the big Republican coun-
ties of western Maryland.
In other words, the city will provide
three-fifths Of the majority necessary to
win and the counties will provide the
other two-fifths.
This calculation does not take into
consideration the likelihood Of southern
Maryland going Republican. This par
ticular section now has a Rep.
Congressman, the only one In the State,
and Tom Parran, former State chair
man, but now member Of Congress. may
come up with a thousand or TWO 40
his section.