The evening times., 1911-08-23
la Toilette AND
TAFT WILL Be THE
Ss
ONLY \ | CANDIDATES :
Next Republican National Con-
vention win Have Two
!: \: Men as Choices
PRESENT OUTLOOK FAVoRS
PRESIDENTS DENOMINATION

tIIILnI UUlluUh [hyun1
PRESIDENTS denomination
Correspondent Of New York Times
Looks Over the Field and Points
Out the strongholds and Opposition
Of Each Of the Aspirants.
New York, Aug. 23.-The Times
prints tho following dispatch from
its Washington correspondent:
'The next Republican convention
will meet-probably at Chicago
about the middle Of June, 1912, for
the nomination Of a candidate to sue.
ceed President Taft. Already it is
practically determined that Mr.. Taft
himself will be that candidate. No
man who takes even casual interest
In following national politics-ex-
cept some Of the most radical of the
never-righf prophets. like Jonathan
Bourne. Jr., Of Oregon, who estab-
lished his, reputation for accuracy in
political prognostication by his per-
sistent announcement Of the renomi-
nation of President Roosevelt in 1908
will attempt now to figure out any
other result Of the approaching con-
vention. And an examination Of the
situation In the different states
even though It be sketchy and super
ticial-will justify the confidence of
the friends Of the president, who are
saying that so far as the result of the
convention is concerned It is all over
but the shouting.
1T is not to be denied that there
has been much disaffectiop among the
Republicans, and much opposition to
the president in his own party. But
neither can it be denied that in the
last nine months there has been a
most remarkable change in sentiment
among the rank and. file Of Republic
cans all over the country with regard
to the president.
Various causes have led to this,
chief Of which Is the fact that since
the fall of ;1910Ae has out loose, from
the advisers and influences which
heretofore had been potent with him..
He has adopted course and advanc-
ed measures which have materially
restored his popularity, and despite
the fact that he has been in open
conflict with his party In congress,
especially on the Canadian reciproc-
ity agreement, he has gained very
greatly in the country.
When the Republican national
committee meets in Washington next
December to determine the time and
place Of the national convention next
year, it will have to determine also
the number Of delegates who shall
make up that convention. It Is al
ways the custom to have two dele
gates for every vote in the electoral
college, plus certain small repre-
sentation from the territories. The
electoral college has as many votes
ators.
As to the Conventions Makeup.
"At present there are 391 repre-
sentatives and 80 senator's, or, 4S3 in
an. The reapportlonment bill re-
Gently passed by congress. in con-
formity with the census Of 1910, pro-
vides for house membership Of 433,
with 90 senators, makes the electoral
college 526. The Republicans usual
1y allow two delegates to national
conventions for each territory, as
we'll as for the District Of Columbia,
Alaska, Porto Rico and the Philip
pines. Thus. II the next convention
lis made up on the basis Of the new
reapportionment, there will be 1,05O
delegates from the present states,
plus fourteen from the territories and
other districts, or 1,084 In all. But IL
Arizona and New Mexico manage to
get into the union In time they will
be entitled to six delegates each, In
stead Of two, making the total for the
convention 1,072
'tTf the convention is made up on
the present basis. there will be $50
delegates, counting Arizona and New
Mexico as territories. Counting them
as states. there will be 9SS.
'The reapporttonment bill having
been passed by congress and approx
ed by the president is now law, and
there 10 no good reason, therefore,
why the national committee should
not follow 1t in fixing the number Of
delegates for next years convention.
$50 far as is now discernible there
will be but two names seriously pre-
sented to the Republican convention
Of next year. Besides that Of Presi-
dent Taft, who will be- named BY his
own state Of Ohio, the name Of Sem
ator La Toilette will be presented
ON behalf Of Wisconsin, and with the
expectation that it will rally all the
radical and progressive Republican
strength.
"There Is still possibility !, that
some attempt will be made to use the
name Of Col. Roosevelt, but II such an
attempt is made It will be without his
sanction and against his protest. For
some time Col. Roosevelt has been
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