The times dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1903-1914, 1911-12-10
BALANCE OFPOWER
LIKELY TO CHANGE.
Berlin Press Discusses Possibili-
ties Growing Out Of War
in Tripoli.
COMPENSATION FOR TURKEY
Clauses in Settlement Regarding
Morocco Cause Disquict
in Belgium.
ny rItEpI3R,CK WERNER.


tspseia Gable TO The Timcs- D!sputch1
/berlin. December 9.-The Berlin
press Is discussing the possibility OF
a change IN the balance OF power arts
Ing out OF the war in Tripoli In
recent editorial the Kreuzzcitung
says:
Every alliance between two States
implies certain equality OF forces.
interests and responsibilities SUCH
. equality between Turkey and any Of
IN" Western world powers cannot he
spoken of. The latter, in view OF the
manifold and sharp frictions OF the
ottoman states with all the imaRlu-
able open and disguised political aim.
OF noiEhboring powers. and In view OF
the complicated International problem.
arising from the motley racial compo.
sition of Turkey and her patronage
over all believers In the Koran, would
undertake obligations the burden OF
which would be altogether out of re-
lation TO any possible benefit from the
connection. unless. indeed the Porte
were TO give It's partner very special
geographical or economic ADVANTAGES
as Said Pasha expressed himself
These. 1t Ia argued. Turkey is not
likely TO offer TO Great Britain In
return for the right to retain
shadowy suzerainty over to provinces
OF as little value aa TrIpoli and
Cyronaica. Therefore the Ottoman
empire will reconcile itself to the loss,
but the effect VIII be the creation of
extensive friction surfaces between
Italy on the one hand and Franco and
England on the other owing to the
change in territorial distribution In
the Mediterranean.
Moreover. the Consuita Will have 10
think Of military backing against
her two rivals on the Hca, which she
Will hardly seek elsewhere than in
Germany and Austria Hungary. Con-
sequcntly, instead of loosening the
ties OF the Triplice. the war Will
rather strengthen the alliance and
bind it's members all the closer to-
Scther.
''Italy's two partners will md 1t
necessary 10 increase tffair armamcnts,
and for Germany the much discussed
arnored cruiser problem VIII become a
burning one. AS for Turkey. IL Is
o-day Will hold out their hands to one
another. The role Of reconciiing me
diator would naturally fall to Ger
many. and from that would result the
possibility OF satisfactory solution
OF problem SO important for the en-
Tire Oriental policy, namely. that of
establishing in the Mediterranean
place OF the present one-sidcd prcpon-
dcrancc of the entente powers"
1t Is not believed here that success,
Will attend the efforts Of the powers
to secure the localization of the Turko,
Italian war to the African coast line
or htnterland. The object OF war la &c
force upon the loser a peace advan.
tagcous to the victor. But if Italy
were confined to warfare in Tripoli.
which Is already costing millions OF
francs day. Turkey, spending moth.
ing there. Is In position TO refuse the
terms of peace demanded for an In
definite period. during which the ex-
istence OF an open sore would threaten
the peace of mind of all European ma
lions. England with them. On the
other hand. the moment the war ceases
10 be locallzcd-that Is, the moment
italy endeavors to force peace upon
turkey by attacking more vital pontS
OF the ottoman empire than Tripoli-
the fatal Eastern question Is raised
again. and the world. as crystallized
after tho Napoleonic upheaval bv the
SIS series of treaties. is onco more
IN state of solution. Under such
conditions anything might happen.
IN Russia the press Is urging on the
government the view that Turkey is
seeking compensation for the loss OF
Iripoli In the disputed territory on the
Tnrko-Persian frontiers about Lake
)rmia Russian agents have recently
been over the ground and in concert
nave carefully Investigated Turkish
proceedings there. In official circles
no apprehension whatever is felt az TO
Turkish intentions In that region al
present. because the number OF Turk
ism troops sent theirs from time to
time is small
In any cnsa Rueoi, vii,
turkey to establish herself on Persian
territory, for the simple reason TINT
inc position ontfianks all the defenses
OF Russia's southern frontier. And
russian opposition to the Turkish at
tempt at ACKNOWLEDGMENT is fully sup-
Ported by England.
Although the Belgian press has been
displaying great caution in its COM
incnts on the Franco German settle
ment regarding Morocco. am in
position to state that the clauses of
me arrangement relating to the Congo
and ubangho are causing great dis
quiet In the Belgian official world.
Belgian statesmen are fully con-
WINGED that the Kaiser's government
has cast longing eyes on the Belgian
colony. of which Germany has become
the close neighbor by the agreement
with France.
Tho latter's refusal to assent to any
change in the status Of the Congo with
out consultation of all the powers who
signed the Berlin treaty concerning the
Congo basin Is not considered in the
least reassuring. 1t simply transfers
TO tho European concert the question
as to whether France is to be allowed
a any time to. part with her right Of
presumption over the Belgian Congo,
and according to the views held here
such a question should not even be
raised, MS the right was only granted
to France personally, in exchange for
equivalent advantages and as a favor
untransferable to any third power.
Indeed, the late King Leopold II. only