The Birmingham age-herald., 1911-09-15
R. l.. BordOn Cannot De-
 feat the Issue
ELECTION IS SEPT. 21
Review of Situation Shows Laurier Campaign Making Good Showing With Probable Gain to It's
 Original Majority

Toronto. September A.--It Is conceded reciprocity will sweep Alberta and Sas- liatchewan and split Manitoba. On the other hand British Columbia will prob ably return seven conservatives. Prob ably the real battle ground is Ontario, because the rural vote in dozens of close constituencies goes strongly for the lib- eral policy
 R. l.. Borden will not be able to make large enough gains to defeat reciprocity. The manufacturing centers are already strongly conservative with few excep- tions, and these latter are not numerous enough to offset . solid or nearly solid rural vote if the pact continues.
 Quebec, the stronghold of Sir Wlfrid Laurcr, has given heart to the conser- vatiyes, who are wagidg battle in Bou- rassa. This it is feared will split the province, the natienalists putting up & herce campaign against their old time idol because Of his naval policy.
 Ii is the only part of the country in which reciprocity Is not the supreme is- sue.
 In the maritime provinces, which return 35 members, or between one-seventh and one-sixth of the total membership of the Canadian house of commons, there prob ably will be slight change Reciprocity appeals strongly to the inhabitants of that section, but it is not the only issue, and the party advocating the agreement already holds 26 of the 35 seats.
 An increase on the liberal side to 30, or on the other hand conservative in crease to IA, are both reasonable calcu- lations.
 Mir. Borden. opposition leader. must change the political complexion of 9 seats to wipe out Sir Wilfrld Laurier's major ity. ....
 Candidates all over the Dominion of Canada entered the contest for the reef procity sweepstakes at noon today. The result will be decided one week hence.
 At Fever Heat
 The political fight in Canada now is at fever heat, and it without question the most keenly contested known in the do- minlon since the confederation.
 Halifax. N. S.. September 14.-Opposins political forces formally lined up in pat tie array in the district of every parlia-
 
 barring a few counties where polling will take a week or more after the day of the general elections, Thursday, Septem- Der 2l Parliament has membership of 22l, of whom 132 were supporters of Sir Wilfrid Laurrier and S9 opposed as fol- lows: f-
 Ontaria, liberals 35, conservatives 51
 quebec liberals 53 conservatives l2
 Nova Scotia, liberals 12, conservatives G.
 New Brunswick, liberals H. conserva- lives ?.
 British Columbia, liberals, 9 conserva- tiyes s. s
 Manitoba, liberals ?, conservatives 2. Saskatchewan. liberals g. conservatives l. Alberta, liberals 4, conservatives S Prince Edward Island, liberals 3, con- servatives 1. Yukon, liberals l. conservatives O. | There were no unopposed nominati 1ns in Nova sScotia today M Robert. Laird Borden, the conservative leader, was renominated for one Of che two Halifax seats His counsin, Sir Ere lick Borden, Sir Wilfrid Laurier's minis ter of militia and defense. was renominat- ed in kingss county I'd Finance Minis- -~~~~>>-~->>-- ~~~
 (C0NTINUr, rk AGE a)