New-York tribune., 1911-12-24
pEK|NG PESS|M|ST|C
AS TO NEGOTIATIONS
premier's Objection to Republic
Fortified by Better Finan-
CiaI Position.
NEW JOINT NOTE PROBABLE
development of Socialism in
Nippon Makes Japan Anxious
for Preservation of Mon
archical Form in China.

Il
reking. Dec. 23.--In government cir
g.. hcrc there seems to bc little doubt
~, tho conference at Shanghai be
,,een tho representatives Of the inn
.r,,l government and of the revolu-
,,,,r.. party will prove failure.
PREMIER Yuan Shih-kai continues to
.xnbanse frequent kilograms with Tang
shso.xi his representative at Shanghai
:, is understood here that Yuan desires
% have all the differences settled i'm ad-
,srca Of the formal sittings Of the peace
.orference. so that the sole business Of
,he delegates Of the imperial govern
,,sn, and of the revolutionary party will
hs IN sanction the decision already ar
riyel al.
Tang Shao-yi has not communicated
tho premiers reply 10 the republican
leaders nj Shanghai, evidently because
q is not satisfactory. Yuan still de-
clara, that under no circumstances will
ne accept a republic.
That Yuan will also refuse 10 accept
the preferred presidency Of the proposed
,cnUhllc Is considered certain. even by
,hose who believe that ne is a self
sneLsr. They assert that if a republic is
,orceJ upon him ne will relinQuish the
Premiership. and. recognizing tho diff
,ul,i.s Of the first Presidents position.
will await the country's call To save IT
from disaster. II is reliably stated that
tho Premier is able 70 continue the gov
,rnment for several weeks. perhaps
months. vet without foreign loan.
Yuan Shih-kai has been endeavoring
~ n~ouaeate the view that foreign inter
forepcc will be detrimental to both
rar,ies evidently hoping that his action
will tear weight during tho negotiations
at Shanghai
II is thought that the Japanese gov
srnuent fears the development of So
cslism i'm japan should a successful re-
rublic he established in China. Hence
Ito Jarancsc Legation is supporting tn"
british plan in advocacy Of monarchy.
The British fear possible disorders in
MONGOLIA. Tibet and Turkestan. with
ambitious Russian officers within and
sIcne tho borders cndeayoring TO impli-
cato. their government in territorial de-
srps although the Russian and British
governments are cooperating apparent
y 20 secure order.
The British consulates are arresting
British missionaries who refuse TO leave
The interior when ordered. No such
drastic action is being taken by the
American authorities.
Shanghai Dec. 23.-Thc peace confer
euce between the delegates OF the i'm
perial government and the revolution
aries will not resume its sessions for
several days Tang Shao-yi, who came
10 ;he conference as the representative
Of Premier Yuan Shih-kai is greatly oc-
ouped i'm exchanging dispatches with
Peking and in receiving callers.
Within the last few days the economic
situation i'm the interior of the country
las greatly improved. kilograms and
letters from all points show that while
lavlessucss continues in the outlying
country districts the local government
officials have succeeded in making a de-
,idcd Improvement in general condi-
lions
Marking Dec. 23.-The present temper
o. the revolutionary troops in this vicin-
ily in spite Of the increasing cold, gives
ground for the fear that the armistice
Hov existing between the two forces
may be broken and that a serious en-
counter may occur in the territory TO the
north Of the town Cf Pu-KOw.
Within the last two weeks Chang
lisun. formerly I'm command OF the i'm
perial government troops at Nanking
and incorrectly reported TO have been
killed. has received heavy reinforce
ments both of men and guns. He has
now advanced 10 the south as far as Su
Chop-sn retaking many towns and liv-
Ing upon the country as he marches.
Chang Hsun's force is about ten thou
sand strong while the army OF the revo-
lutionaries numbers about fifteen thou
Sand. A distance Of less than one hun
cred miles separates the opposing forces.
Chang-Hsun declares he will retake
Nanking, while the southern or revolu-
uonary forces are keen to advance on
Peking.
The reyolutionaries, both officers and
men, are firmly convinced that the con-
ference between the delegates Of the two
parties now taking place at Shanghai is
merely ruse TO afford Chang IIsun the
time 10 concentrate his reinforcements
shd 10 enable the imperial government
FORCES TO strengthen their positions.
London. Dec. 23.-Considerable crriosjry
p" been aroused in diplomatic circles here
With regard 10 tho reasons for the proposal
Of Great Britain and Japan TO undertake a
d1sl mediation IN China. after the powers,
including the United States, had decided 10
present an idontic note 10 the conference
10" meeting al Shanghai
There was D tendency 20 believe that the
japanese government had made the pro-
PoSal and that japan was anxious 10 inter
Fene. u turns out now. however that the
proposal really came from the British gov
eminent, acting in the belief that the Brit
ION Consul al HankOw who had induced
me combatants 90 agree TO an armistce.
might again succeed az a mediator IN the
larger question.
II is understood that tho State Depart
ment az Washington IS making inquiries
ooth IN Japan and Great Britain in regard
70 the proposed Anglo-JapaDese mediation.
me reiterated report that the Anglo
japanese mediation contemplated insistence
Oh the maintenance Of the monarchical
government is officially denied. 1t was
STATED al the Foreign ONCE this afternoon
mat the eforts 90 tba pritish government