Pine Bluff daily graphic., 1911-07-19
BOTH PARTIES
 HAVE FAIR START DEMOCRATS DIVIDE WITH RE- PUBLICANS WHEREVER POP
 ULARITY DEVELOPS.
FORECAST BY STUDENT
Both Parties Are Split Into Factions But Republican Troubles Are
 The More Serious.

The chances of the Republican anG
 Democratic parties in the forthcom- ing presidential contest as viewed
 from present-day developments are
 comprehensively summed up In the July Hampton's Magazine by o. K
 Davis, famous as a Washington stud
 ent of politics.
 Both of the leading parties are
 split into factions" he says, but the
 Republican trouble is much more ser
 ious than the Democratic. The Re-
 publieans, to use the colloquial but
 expressive phrase, are all shot 10
 pieces Their leaders are hopeless
 of effective reorganization. The Pro-
 gressive faction is going it's own way,
 cheerfully convinced that It has the
 Old Guard beaten to ultimate de-
 struetion, and that when the reorgan-
 ization is finally effected Progress
 sives will be in control from fop to
 bottom. The Old Guard or reaction
 ary element, rages helplessly, aware
 of it's own impotence, and apparently
 determined to drag down the temple
 about it's own ears if 1t cannot do
 anything else.
 The Democrats are in better case. There is no denying the split in their ranks, along lines similar to those of the Republican cleavage But there is great difference which makes for hopefulness of cooperation among them. It is the fact that they are woefully hungry. They are willing enough to divide on questions Of poli- cy, but there is no division when it . comes to a question of pie. It is sixteen years since the Democrats Lad the right to walk unchallenged Up 0 the pie counter, and that is mighty long period of fasting, even Or Democrats who got pretty we'll Ised to going hungry after the Civil Var.
 ''The success they had in the cleo ions of last year has convinced them hat they cannot be beaten at the oils of 1912, and they mean to con- lete their victory then by carrying  he Senate and the presidency as we'll E s tie House of Representatives. the protectionists mong them are willing to make ome concessions to the low tariff len and free traders, and the low sriff men are willing to give some { to the protectionists. here is spirit of compromise nong the Democrats which the bit 1T differences between the Old Guard nd the Insurgents have destroyed in le Republican camp.
 The feeling is widespread through Ut the country that unless the Dem erats make some very bad mistakes uring the present Congress, they ill march to certain success in 1912. When the special session convened arly in April there was lingering ope among some of the old line Re- ublicans that the Democrats would emain true to their traditional pro- ensity to do foolish things and make that would render Repub- ican success possible next year. But hus far the Democrats have played killful politics.
 The Democrats are hopeful now of changing the situation. They figure ,n demonstrating their right to popu- ar confidence by their course in Con- sress during the present special ses- ,ion and the regular session of next winter. The leaders openly admit hat they are on trial now, and are lsing that circumstance to keep their hCh HI ilhC lO dfpAN iiAICt roubles. AS things have been work ng out for them, they are in fair way to succeed.
 Not much has occurred since last all to make the Republicans more with themselves That is, 1 here has not been much to lead most l If those who stayed at home then to [ become enthusiastic in 1912 On the ! contrary, several things have occur ed to emphasize dissatisfaction lmong them. First of these is the 'ction of President Taft in negotiat- ng the reciprocity agreement with 'anada.
 The Republican Congress killed 1t t the regular session to which it was irst submitted. and the Republicans l the present special session are do- , g everything in their power to de- troy it by indirection, if they cannot ill it directly. The old time high :