The Bridgeport evening farmer., 1911-09-15
WAR CLOUD IN EUROPE
 SIZED UP
Germany Using France as Foil
 to Strike Blow at England
Kaiser's Deep Laid Scheme to Get France and Russia in AL
 liance Against John Bull
Special from United Press.)

Special from United Press.)
 New York, Sept. 15-Charles F. Stew art, for the past four years general
 European manager for the United Press, returned to New York, today
 after tour of France and Germany during which he made careful inves- legations into the relationship between certaining the real density of the pres ert war cloud The following is his size-up of the present crisis:
 By Charles P. Stewart.)
 (Copyright, 1911, by United Press.)
 Nominally. it is between Germany and France that relations are strained Really, it is between Germany and England. To predict early hostilities would be going too far. There is a possibility of then-no more. But that England and Germany will have to
 fight out their differences, sooner or later, is reasonably certain. English and German interests are in hopeless conflict. This conflict cannot be end ed by arbitration One country or the other must be reduced to second place. Neither is willing to be that one One of them will have to be beaten into it.
 England has recognized this for a long time. Ever since Germany be- came a formidable power it has been the English policy to band the rest of the old world nations together against it. At present, the lineup is England, France and Russia on one side and Germany, Austria and italy on the other. Russia is a. rather Un- certain ally of England and France. Italy is suspected of disloyalty to Ger many and Austria, France and Eng land, however, are real allies. Austria and Germany are so closely bound to- gether, so far as international policies are concerned. as to be practically one country.
 Just as it is to England's interest to unite as many nations as possible against Germany, it is to Germany's to break these combinations up. This is the explanation of it's persis- tent1y hostile attitude towards France. Of France, alone, Germany is not afraid It would even like the republic as an ally of it's own. But as Eng lands friend, it is very much oppos- ed to it, indeed.
 At sthe. present time. the English navy being something like twice as strong as Germany's, and England be- ing an island, it is impossible for the Fatherland to get at it's arch foe. But it is not impossible for it to get at France, which lies across no more ser- ious obstacle than an imaginary line, with a defensive army almost as much weaker than the German as the Ger man navy is weaker than the English.
 Accordingly. the German game is to annoy England through France with each blow dealt from Berlin at French interests Or French pride, the Kaiser glances an invitation towards Eng L- s%<x< 1wxy% SaS< convinced that England dare not do it, for the English army is microscopic even compared with the French and for a continental campaign, such as the English must engage in to protect France, of course, the English navy is of no use
 Sooner Or later the Germans are con- vinced that France will grow tired of an ally which like England uses France but when France needs aid does nothing at all. When this time comes, Germany will undoubtedly say to France:
 "Why not have an ally that is worth something-come in with us.''
 If France goes, Russia certainly will do so too, and England will be left alone, with Germany at the head has ever known.
 But before this happens, England will have to fight whether it wishes to do so or not. And there is a strong party among the British which opposes waiting until the last moment for a declaration of hostilities. Logically, this party has a strong argument Ger many is building warships at such a rate that it is gradually overhauling the English navy. Not to be overhaul ed very soon, the English are compell- ed to build at terrific rate.
 twill it not be better?' ask the mi1- itarists, ito dernolish the German navy while we are still able to do so than to delay until it is as strong as our own? To do it will not only be 8 measure of safety but will relieve us of the frightful expense we are be- ing put to now to maintain our lead"
 The war party's answer to it's own question is an emphatic, 'yes'. If this party gains control of the government, which may happen at any time, there will surely be trouble at once.
 Aside from their political riva1ries, Germany has been growing enormous y in the past few years and abso- utely must have room in which to ex- oand. England has all desirable ter 'itorieS pre-emptied. With Germany determined to take possession of at east a part of Eng1and's possessions. and England equally determined to keep all it has got, the outlook for continued peace between hem is not bright.
 The expenses of a modern war are SO enormous and the stakes in strug- gle between England and Germany so sreat that both countries naturally he's tate when an actual crisis is reached md so far, indeed, as any given cris- s is concerned, it is generally safe to count on temporary patching up of ha difficulties involved This dnoc 1ot mean. however, a settlement of he central issues, and while these re- main undecided the danger of an Ang- O. German war will always be imni- l