Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1911-11-05
Speculation Regarding Per-
manency of Triple Alliance.
WAR IN TRIPOLI THE CAUSE
Reticence at Rome Regarding Gov.
ernment's Purpose Resented.
POLITICS AT FEVER HEAT
Open Talk of War Between France
and Germany-Attitude
Of Austria.

Special Cablegram to TIE Star.
BERLIN, November 4.-Here. as IN
Vienna, there is a good deal OF specula-
ton as TO the permanency OF the triple
alliance.
Clerical papers In Vienna, whose con-
nection with the highest circles is no
torious. have been debating the attitude
of the Vienna foreign office toward Italy.
They declare that since tho annexation
crisis Count Aehrenthal has continually
courted Italian favor and rendered Italy
great service. although the Rome gov
eminent ranged itself. in all European
questions. on the side of the western
powers, and did not even deign to post
her allies OF her intentions regarding
Tripoli, These papers declare that the
position of Count Aehrenthal Is shaken
and that the question OF his successor is
even being discussed
In consequence Of an article in the
Berliner Tageblatt in which the enuncia-
ton of the triple alliance is recommend
ed, reports have gained ground that In
leading quarters in Vienna and Berlin a
dissolution OF the alliance, so far as Italy
is concerned. is desired. These state
ments are discussed in leading articles by
the Vienna journals.
Prince Bulow, who said. Italy cal,
only be allied with Austria, or else At
war with her.
Viewed With Distrust.
The considerable military preparations
of Italy on the Austrian frontier. and the
reported mobilization of an army corps
at Milan, Verona, Turin and Genoa are
regarded here as extraordinary. The
feeling can be best gauged by the fact
that all the Vienna papers publish the re
cent lecture given at Vienna by the Ber-
lin publicist Herr Macmillan Harden.
whose relations with Bismarck are well
known. He spoke upon Morocco and
Tripoli and said ii was entirely due to
Anglo-German differ noes that France
finds herself in Morocco and that Italy
has taken possession of Tripolt.
Herr Harden argued in favor of the re-
moval of Italy from the triple alliance.
which. he said. brought advantage
neither to Germany nor to Austria. Great
establishment was caused by his asser-
ton that. according to the opinion shared
by leading influential persons in Ger
many. war between France and Ger
many is unavoidable and will occur
within a relatively short time.
Thoughtful statesmen. indeed. attach
very little Importance to Itaiy's presence
in the triple alliance. The Berliner
Tageblatt prints a long article. from
special quarter" advocating Italy's ex-
pulsion from the alliance, as ''undoubt-
eddy in the future the friendship or
Turkey would be more valuable to US
than that of her present opponent" How
ever. the paper which prints these views
associates itself from them. suggesting
the consideration whether Italy would
not be a real increase of strength to the
opponents of Germany and Austria IL she
were thrust out OF tho triple alliance.
Opposite Opinion Expressed.
From source that has nearly always
proved reliable, il is learned. however.
that the kaiser and Emperor Francis
Joseph strongly wish to maintain the pres
ent grouping of powers. as otherwise Italy
would be made an open and bitter enemy
OF Germany and Austria.
The policy of the BallplatZ in this re-
srect. therefore, viii remain unchanged,
whether Count Won Aehrentha remains at
his post or is relieved as some Of the
Berlin papers seem to wish. These jour
nails are not only dissatisfied with Italy.
but also with Count Won Aehrenthal. who.
they say, has not sufficiently supported
Germany in Morocco The clerical press
in Austria also attacks Count Won Aehreh
thai. The count went too far, they de-
clare. In currying ltaly's favor. His IN
activity at the time OF the last Albanian
rising and the recent Italian naval action
IN the AQfldtlc severely Injured
reputation in the near east
As the clerical journals are usually
we'll informed, the conclusion might be
drawn that the heir TO the throne dis
approves OF Count Won Aehrenthal's pol
icy. Anyhow, there Is so far no sign That
Count Won Aehrenthal has forfeited the
favor of the monarch. His position Is
certainly not SO strong as at the time
of the annexation of Bosnia, but his
resignation need not be expected in the
immediate future.
Russia's Budget for 1919.
The Russian estimated budget for 1872
has just been presented to the dumas. It
balances with a total of 2,9T5. Do 100 rou-
bles, and shows an anticipated surplus OF
ordinary revenue over ordinary expendi-
ture of more than 169.eoUo roubles
CSS5, 900, 600. thus enabling the minister Of
finance to assign an increase OF credit TO
the minister of war of 100000 roubles.
to extend the sum already allotted this
year for railroad construction by 1880.
600 roubles, and to devote 100,Oo0.OOo rou~
bles toward writing OFF the national
debt. This favorable financial statement
for the next twelve months is the result
of the splendid harvest of the last two
years and the careful financial policy fol-
lowed since the war with japan.
The dangers OF the Italo-T Turkish con-
fiict are small as compared with those
Of the Morocco dispute. for In the back
ground of that question is Anglo-German
anita gonism, the only question that counts
in the European situation today. The Mo
roccan imbroglio, however, is considered
practically arranged In political circles
The negotiators have settled the quality
of the goods that are to be delivered by
Germany; it now remains only to agree
on the price.
France Gains Much
The Kongo part OF the understanding
will be relatively a smooth affair France
gain too much by obtaining the protect
crate of the Shereefian empire to haggle
over a few swamps near the Ubangi. or
course, there will be popular discomfort,
both i'm Germany and in France, but
when concluded the settlement viii be-
approved IN both countries, by a sane
majority of the people, as equitable and
fair.
The alternative would be a return to
the pre-Agadir unsettlement indeed, 10
an agg awaited form thereof, disturbing
business and credit and threatening the
peace of Europe. The prospects now are
for Franco-German impeachment, so
much more profitable than mutual sus-
picion. Morocco herself will be the great
est gamer, for she will henceforth be able
to develop her resources Under the aus
pices OF a rich European nation with an
open door to all countries.