The times dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1903-1914, 1911-08-25
FIJI, CAMPAIGN OF ,o,.

'"at n nomcntohs session Of
Congress has closed and left the arena
of legislative politics vacant. tho al.
tehiion OF the country has been turn
ca to the national campaign of ,s1o
Increased interest is given to popu,ar
discussion OF the subject by tho an
nouncement that SHORTLY Presidon,
Tart VIII swing around the circle
again invading the hear, Of tho for.
riiory which is opposed to him
Realizing that he is seriously weak in
the West, he is getting ready to pu,
forth an his energies in an a,temp,
10 win over the !nsurgent section of
The country
Estimates OF the relative strength
In the electoral college next year of
the two leading political parties are
nov issued daily. The great difficulty
; OF the prophets however. lies in fore
telling the probable course of the few
doubtful and pivotal states. On the
vote of single such State. the choice
of chief magistrate of the nation
may hinge, MS past experience shows.
The general conviction seems to be
that either Ohio or New York will be
the pivotal State next fail,
This conviction has been formed
through the system OF grouping. I'm
der the provisions Of the new appor-
tionment law. Arizona ana New Mexico
having been admitted. the total num-
Der OF votes in the electoral college
,n 1912 will be 5Sl y majority of
these votes will be 266. The states
that are normally and almcs unores-
tionably Republican are: California
idaho, Illinois, Iowa. Kansas. Niassa-
chusetts. Michigan, Minnesota, New
Hampshire Pennsylvania. Rhode ISL
and. South Dakota. Utah. Vermont.
Washington, Wisconsin and Wyoming.
mastering In all 1877 votes The states
that are normally and almost unuucs-
tionahly Democratic are: Alabama.
Arizona. Arkansas Colorado, Floridn.
Georgia. Kentucky. Louisiana. Mlssis-
sippi. North Carolina, Oklahoma, South
Carolina, Texas, and Virginia. repre-
sentine 146 votes There are seven
teen states i'm the doubtful list. which
are: Connecticut. Delaware, Indiana.
Maine, Maryland Missouri. Montana.
Nebraska Nevada. New Jersey, New
Mexico, North Dakota. Oregon. Ten
nessec, and West virglLia, represent
ing lsS votes II Connecticut. Della
ware, Montana Nebraska. nevada.
New Jersey. Now Mexico, North pa
kota. Oregon and Wisconsin. repre-
the Republican column, and If Indiana.
Maine. Maryland, Missouri, New Ter
sey. New York and Tennessee. mus
tering us votes, arc put in the Dem
ocratic column, the vote would stand
24S Republican TO 2s+ Democratic One
would lack twnnty three of the re-
CURED majority and the other would
lack two, With this supposed con-
dillon, consider Ohio. Its twenty
four votes. II Republican. would give
that party majority plus one: if
Democratic, the Democrats would have
large margin beyond majority
Ohio is rightly regarded as doubt
ful il has gone Republican more
often than Democratic. but Just now
II mas a Democratic Governor who
was elected last fall by plurality
OF 100000 votes. Ohio has often
changed It's political complexion in a
short time and the election Of Har-
mon IN 1910 as Governor does not
signify 'neoessar ~ that it would
give him It's vote for President in 1872.
inc New YORK World contends that
Rev York IS the pivotal state next
year ana 'hat ho'hins put tidal
wave could give victory 10 the Demo
Gratis without that state. Ohio is con-
ceded 10 the Republicans for the pur-
poses OF the estimate OF The World,
"hicA hebres That counting New York