The times and democrat. [volume] (Orangeburg, S.C.) 1881-current, 1911-09-23
Outlook for Victory.

OoI4ooh AoH sASSS>S
There is a feeling all over the
country that the T ,mocrats stand a
splendid chance of winning the Pres
idency in next years election. They
may, but it will be no child's play
for them to do it. The Republican
party, notwithstar ling the reform
of some of its leaders, is
lust as much of tool of the interests
as it ever was. and it will go into the
Presidential election next year with
the biggest corruption fund ever con-
tributed by the interests to control
an election. The money interests,
whether represented by socalled
Democrats or Republicans, will be
lined up to defeat The nominee of the
Democratic party unless it Is allow
ed to name the candidate.
Let us look over the field and see
what the Democrats will have to do
to get their candidate in the White
House. That party may count on
Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, Florida,
Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Mis-
sissippi, Missouri, Nevada, North
Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina,
Tennessee, Texas and Virginia as
sure to support its candidate. These
seventeen sure Democratic States
have an electoral vote Of one, hun
dred and eighty-one out OF total
of five hundred and thirty-one In
the entir electoral college. This
would leave the Democrats lacking
eighty-five votes to elect their candi-
date. Where are they to come from
is the question?
The Norfolk Landmark thinks that
il Woodrow Wilson is nominated,
New York with is votes and New
Jersey with IA ar, virtually sure; If
Harmon is the nominee, Ohio with
"a and Indiana with Is may be re-
oarded as safe. Wilson'S nomination
leaves 90 votes to be secured and
Harmon's 46.
Last year New York, New Jersey,
Indiana and Ohio all gave Democrat
ic maiorities as did Colorado with
six electoral votes; Connecticut with
seven; Maine with six Massachusetts
with IS; and Montana with 4. If
Harmon could carry New York and
any of the other states which last
year gave Democratic majorities he
could defeat Taft and if Wilson could
carry Ohio and any other state in the
foregoing list besides the two which
are credited to him he would be
elected.
In discussing The prospects the
Landmark says "the only one of the
five states which are not given to
either of the leading candidates that
could not be carried by the Demo-
Gratis in a Presidential election Is
Maine. Until 1876 Indiana had been
Democratic as often as Republican
or even more frequently. 1t is very
likely that the Hoosier state will give
it's vote to Wilson if he should be the
nominee; similarly it is almost sure
that New York would go for Harmon
If he should be the choice of the
convention. Ohio is doubtful for
any candidate other than her present
governor, while New Jersey could
harly be carried II Wilson is not the
banner bearer.
''If this reasoning is correct, Will
son would need II votes more than
he can depend Upon and Harmon
would need one. Wilson could al
most certainly carry Connecticut with
seven votes and would have an ex-
cellent chance of winning in Montana
which gives the exact number requis-
ite for a victory. Harmon would have
a better than even opportunity of
carrying either Maine or Connecticut,
On the whole, the Democratic pros
poets with either Of the leading as
pirants looks vastly better than the
Republican, especially If the stan
dard bearer is Taft as now seems al
most a certainty" The landmark S
estimate leaves out of the calucla-
ton all the middle west States where
the Progressive Republicans are most
numerous. Some of them will vote
with the Democrats next year.