New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1911-05-11
EFFECT OF REBEL VICTORY
Madero May Ask, but Will Not
Get. Recognition.

Washington, May l0.--Neus of the fall Of
.Iuarez came to Washington from the Sc
cret Service agents OF the Department OF
Justice, who have been watching the Dor
der: from the Collector Of Customs at Fl
Paso and from the signal service men Of
the army. The army authorities here be-
lieve that General Navarros soldiers who
have had nearly a year Of field work and
consequently may lie regarded as veterans,
were more than a match for considera bly,
larger number of unframed and i'll organ
lied rebels. To their mind 1T was evident
that there had been lack OF information
as to the real numerical strength of Ma
dero's forces.
Whatever that number might have been,
il is now expected that it will soon he
largely augmented, The news Of Madero's
victory will spread rapidly throughout
Mexico. and without doubt recruits will
swarm into his camp. Logically, with
heavy reinforceNents, his next move would
he march on the capital itself. incidental
" stopping on the way 10 besiege and capt
IRE all the considerable cities and towns in
his path.
one formidable obstacle to such a cam
paign will be the difficulty of armng and
supplying his augmented forces with am
munition. He can scarcely obtain these
supplies from Texas for the administra
ton holds TO its decision that arms cannot
be permitted to go TO the rebels across the
line before recognition Of the belligerency
Of the Maderists. And arms and munitions
Of war cannot otherwise he obtained by
Madero's army until he captures some sea-
port and establishes safe lines of commune
cation with II.
so the question Of the recognition of his
belligerency assumes the first degree Of
importance TO Madero, and without doubt
! through Senior Nasconcelas, the acting
| head of the junta here, all effort may ne
| expected to secure such recognition from
| the state Department Indications are that
such a request will not be granted. for the
present. at least BY that act the Diaz
| government would be relieved of all pc
cuniary responsibility for any damage in
hicted upon Americans by the rebel opera
ticns. The large American business inter
ests in Mexico. which have suffered Sc
verely by the Instruction, would make a
| strong protest against the adoption Of a
course that would prevent them from Sc
| curing reimbursement for their losses. An
| other consideration is that il would oblige
! the United States government TO treat the
| Diaz government precisely as il does the
rebels in denying the right To import arms
and munitions Of war, and would subject
| American goods entering Mexico to seizure
as contraband at the within Of the rebels,
without any recourse.
| Technically there f. no difficulty in find
ing ground for a refusal TO accord bel
Hgerent rights TO Madero. for he has not
vet set up fully equipped government in
stable capital. and possesses no consid-
cradle seaport-things usually regarded as
conditions precedent to recognition.
Just to what extent Madero has benefited
| by the capture of Juarez in changing his
status in the eye of international law the
officials here are not disposed at present
10 say. But offhand it is said that the
| United States will be obliged TO recognize
| his de facto control OF Juarez, an interna-
| tional port of entry In the end he will be
/ able to receive merchandise through his
! custom house and collect tariff taxes IT j.
true that when Aqua Prieta for a short
| time was in possession of the rebels the
/ American custom house at Douglas adj
! loining that place, was closed by the col
! lcctor, preventing the exchange of goods.
! But il is said that had the rebel occupation
! continued "A few days longer that action
of the collector which was not directed
| from Washington. would have been dis
avowed, and trade relations between the
two towns would have been re-established
Mails 10 Mexico City are uninterrupted.
Postmaster General Hitchcock announced
| to-day that communication by way Of La
redo is open and mails are moving in the
usual manner