New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1911-10-18
NANKlNG MAY FALL NEXT
oficial Picking, However, Thinks
COLLAPSE of Movement Near.

Picking. Oct 1.-THE acting American
( Consul at Marking, Alvin W. Gilbert
telegraphed the American Legation here
to-day that the fall Of Marking was
imminent He asks that a gunboat be
sent there. The British second class
cruiser Newcastle arrived there to-day.
Strong detachnents Of troops from Ho-
Nan have united with the government
troops from the north and a joint naval
and military bombardment of Wu-Chang
will probably occur on SATURDAY. This
will be followed by an assault. II is
predicted here the collapse Of the reyolu-
ton is only a matter of DAYS. It Will,
however. have had the effect Of intensi-
fving the agitation for the immediate as
senlbling Of a national parliament and
for radical reforms in the provincial ad-
ministration system. which the throne
will he obliged to accept
So far as can be learned the situation
al Wu-Chang for the last six DAYS has
remained absolutely unchanged. There
are no indications that the rebels possess
any allies at points elsewhere, and, con-
sidering all the circumstances connected
with the rising in the provinces Of HUI
Peh and Human. the revolutionists do
no appear 10 he making much progress.
II is now said that the insurgents mum
her at the most six thousand drilled men.
together with few thousand armed
auxiliaries. II is asserted by Chinese
officials that their success az Wu-Chang
was a pure coup de main precipitatsd
by the seizure and decapitation of some
civilian revoluuonaries. With these
civilians were associated many Of he
Wu-Chang soldiers.
Admiral Sab Chen-Ping arrived At
Hankow to-day with eight warshiDs
There are not fewer than a dozen for
eign warships living in the harbor. The
British vice-Admiral Sir Alfred L.
Winsloe. commander Of the British East
ern feet. also arrived there TO-DAY.
The desertion Of General II Yuan
Herg from the rebel leadership is re-
ported. but this is believed 10 be a gov
eminent story designed 70 encourage the
inperialist troops The legations are
strongly Of the opinion that when the
investment Of Hankow is complete the
chinese amy will not risk battle but
will open negotiations with the object
~ inducing rank and file to surrender
their leaders on the promise Of pardon
and a reward for the rebel troops
DISPATCHES from Shanghai report that
owing 20 the publication by the native
rress of statements that the japanese
newspapers are belittling the revolution.
describing il as mere riot. the revo-
lrtionaries are circulating pamphlets
urging a boycott of all japanese goods.
They take the ground that Japan does
not recognize The party Of the revolution
and Their fore should have no considora-
tion.
The government which Is constantly
On the lookout for japanese machine
lions directed against Manchuria. IS Of
the opinion that the present Chinese
crisis viii prove that Japan's acuons and
rolicv are entirely correct
The Chinese Foreign Board has issued
an optimistic comminiqut annouhcins
the arrival 81 the troops an HarkoW
and anticipating the speedy recapture
o. Wu-Chaug and yang Nine
troop trains left Pao-Tins-Fu to-day.
All the soldiers are ia excellent spirits.
The American Consul Geaeia!. Eoslr