The Birmingham age-herald., 1910-11-06
Dix Will Defeat StimsOn In New York By About
 5O,O00
HARMON SEEMS WINNER
 AND BEvER|DGE LOSER
In Middle west Democrats WnI Gain, But There Are No Indications of Landslide Against the Party
 Now in Power

New York. November 5.-(speciah)-- Democratic victories in New York, New Jersey and Ohio and the election of democratic House of Representatives are indicated by the countrywide impartial political canvass completed by the Herald at the close of the final week of the cam paign.
 In New York, according to the best in formation obtainable at this time, John A. Dix will receive plurality of approx imately 5O000, and the result will be very close on the "palance of the ticket" Ohio has similar situation. While the consensus of opinion is that Governor Harmon, the democratic nominee, will be reelected by from 10000 to 40,0oo, no pre- dictions are made that he will carry through the bulk of the state ticket. Congress May Re Democratic
 The Herald's Congress table, which was prepared only after the opinions of un- had been obtained. indicates the election of 2l7 democrats and 1s4 republicans, wnich. singularly enough. is an exact re- versal of the present makeup of the House.
 They are striking hard blows out in Ohio--the home of Presidents-and the struggle there is being watched, as is the battle in the Empire State for the same reason, with keenest interest because of the vital bearing it's result may have upon the next presidential campaign snould Governor Harmon be elected he .vculd loom large as the next democratic candidate for president.
 Information gathered in statewide cAnvass of New Jersey indicates the cleo ff,A of woodrow Wilson by something like z.s0. The fight there will be carried risbt up Q the polls, and a shift In the situation at the last moment would not cause surprise to persons who have Ia miliarized themselves with conditions in New Jersey.
 Baldwin Seems Defeated
 Tn Connecticut. where most remarka- ble contest Is being waeed. indications point to the election of Charles A. Gooo- win. republican, over Judge Simeon E.. PaIdwIn. His plurality is placed at from coco to 12000. by careful observers that Gov. Eoen ;. Draper will be reelected by something like 2o,o0o Democrats declare they VIII carry the state, controlling the next legis- lature and insuring the retirement of Sen ator Henry Cabot Lodge.
 Robert P Bass apparently will triumph over his democratic opponent Ill New Hampshire and Governor Pothier repuo- lican will be reelected in Rhode Island.
 Tn the middle west and farther toward the Rockies indications point to republ- can yictories with the exception oi ln- diana where the democrats, according to the present outlook, will be in control tsnus forcing the retirement Of senator Al will CT I- can ,,,
 In Wisconsin the republican will win. They will also be victorious in Minneso- Ia and in Kansas Governor Stubbs Will be reelected by an increased plurality.
 E0ect of National Issues
 yn making their canvasses the cor xosnondents of the Herald were in- structed to ascertain just how ueepiy the national issues. which influenced the elections in Maine, Massachusetts tIe Fourteenth congressional district end New Hampshire will cut into the elections of next Tuesday. Failure to discover any great sentiment over the issues which marked the New Eng land elections and the declarations of experienced politicians that the soters who may be nursing a grievance re- main silent put an element of uncer- tainty into all calculations. The inn pression prevails that the high cost of living and the tariff will be found to have been a burning issue in the campaigns throughout the country.
 In states in all parts of the country the battle of the ballots will be fought on Tuesday. One of the most impor- tant contests Is in Ohio, where Gov ernor Harmon. democrat, is lighting for reelection against Warren G. Harding Indications at present, with two days intervening before election, indicate the election of Governor Har- mon.
 Another important contest is in the state of Connecticut. where the indica- tions point to the election. of Charles A. Goodwin, republican. Tn Massa- chusetts a prediction is made that Gov. Eben s. Draper, republican. VII, be reelected.
 Situation In New York
 John A. Dix, democrat, will be e;ect- ed by 50,000, and that there will be close fight on the rest of the ticket is the indicated result of the election in New York state based on reports from Herald reporters. who visited almost every city, village and cross roads in the state in an effort to get an ac- curate line on the situation.
 Figures compiled by these men and presented herewith indicate that II. l.. Stimson. Colonel Roosevelts candidate for governor, will receive, outside of New York city, a plurality of 11,000. bs.0OO fewer than Governor Hughes received two years ago, with which to meet an estimated Dix plurality in New York city of 121000.
 That there will be a strong swtfE of the political pendulum toM ltd democracy. but that the movement &u not reach the volume of a landslide,t fair composite of unprejudfctd el& x ton forecasts for the middle vest& f states. Chairmen of party comn.ittees offer figures that are tainted with psychological intent. Others. ds a rule are content to speculate on general results. Betting to date has not been brisk. The situation has become moro