The times dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1903-1914, 1910-04-01
FORECAST OF WAR
sT|Rs DIPLOMATS
Political Sensation Caused by
Memoirs OF Nice-Admiral
Fournier.
SEES WORLD : C oNFL.I C T
SEES w WORLD coNFL.IC T
Emperor OF Germany Contra!
Figure, With Defeat for
United States.

Paris, March 31.-The memoirs OF
Admiral Fournier, commander of
the Mediterranean squadron of the
French navy, in which he discusses
particularly the possibility of a war
between the United States and Japan
and the resultant danger of dragging
all Europe into a terrific conflict, We're
issued in book form Tonight The
memoirs have caused something of a
sensation in political and diplomatic
circles.
Admiral Fournler accords the star
role on the stage of international poli-
tics to the German Emperor. not only
in Europe, says the writer. where the
Emperor is trying desperately to break
the league of powers against him, but
also Indirectly as an influential factor
in the relations between the United
States and Japan.
Admiral Fournier says that II is
useless to deny that there is posi-
bilitv, OF war between the United States
and Japan as result OF popular irri-
tation In America should Japan's de-
mands or Japan's policies of absorb
tion prove intolerable to America 5 eS-
cessive self-esteem or interests in the
Far East.
These interests, the admiral adds.
are antagonistic to those of japan
which pushed on by fate to expand IN
the Aslatic continent BY conduest OF
automatic victory, seeks TO necoHle
predominant in the very regions Whieh
the United States protects IN support
ing the Integrity OF emma ana 'ie POI
icy of the open door.
The admiral declares that Japan's
great fear is that the friendly rela-
tions between the United States ana
China will culminate in an out-and-ou1
alliance, and thus, In event OF war, the
United States would have base OF
operations and general resources vastly
superior to the Philippines. japanis 5
Increased ornaments, therefore, a.
explainable, not as a menace 10 hus- -
sia. but In preparation to compat peloie
IT is too late the peril contained IN
Americas policies.
Admiral Fournier thinks tnat IN .
naval strength of the United states VII
one day not only exceed that OF ~
but probably will equal that OF Gtea Is.sa
Britain. in spite OF the ellotl - .S ;
iand "a nreserve her supremacy of the
sens. and Japan's inferiority woula
obl,re her ally, England, to come ~
,ar aid An the event of a eonflict WIN
the United States
Ernnce Against United states.
Tn case of a hostile coalition OF the
United states with the Triple alian1a, a,,Ia ne
~ adm,ral believes, France would DC
fnrced TO supplement the forces OF
england. Japan and Russia
He doubts, however, IN the y, Gesina.. : dal
sirs "a smash the league, and adopting g
= a. diplomacy as unscrupplous as that
of the "Iron Chancellor" would enter !
an rhe nerilous venture OF such a war
which would offer little chance or VIC
tory on sea or land,
"Without the intervention In Enrope
4 az the navies of the Triple Alllance
1 ~ wav to help the American flee
at the moment it was seriously en-
gagged In tho Atlantic and the Pacific
/ the decisive superiority In that strug'
/ gle u declares the vce-admiral, "wouh
1 rest with the forces of Japan ant
England Under these conditions
4 which spell defeat the United States
4 would undoubtedly resist the temptn'
1 tion to settle her differences Will
i Japan by an appeal to arms"