The San Francisco call., 1910-10-23
BELLS DEFEAT
ESTIMATED At
100000 Votes
Meyer Lissner Calculates John
sons Probable Plurality on
Basis of Primary Vote
Chairman of Republican State
Central Committee Compares
Former Election Returns

Ihat Hiram W. Johnson will bea
Theodore A Bell by a plurality of from
4. 'oeO TO l00,0o0 is the opinion of Meye
N-ssner, chairman of the repuhlica,
state central committee.
LlSsner's estimates are based on th,
apparent situation and comparative de
auctions from the republican primar,
vote or 1910 and the republican genera
election Of 1906.
COMPARISON OF VOTES
Here is the way Lissner sized nm III,
situation yesterday:
II is well known among nolifi
clans that the main contest in p
sNate election focuses in the large
centers OF population. A compari
son OF the vote cast for the head ~
me republican ticket four wears
ago, and that cast for the replh-
i.can candidate for governor at the
eA1saSt primary, in the counties of
san francisco. Alameda and Los
- setes, proves TO be very inter
sung and encouraging from the
dc plp!lcan standpoint
IN 1906 Gillett received I'm the
c"ilnties OF San Francisco Alameda
ana Los Angeles 44s6S votes Al
lne august primary Johnson re-
cetref IN these same three counties
-a..lo Notes, or approximately 3 900
htofe votes than GilIett received at
ne general election four years ago.
m addition 10 the votes cast for
Johnson IN those three counties at
ne primaries. more than 81. 900
Eotes were cast for the other re-
publican candidates
PROSPECT OF INCREASE
IT is probably conservative es-
innate to assume that Johnson viii
receive in addition to the votes he
received at the primary election. a
vote equal to az least tlree-fourths
ot the votes cast for other repub-
Ican candidates at the primary
election.
Many keen political observers as
{ sert that Johnson viii poll the
nominal republican vote In these
counties, but the estimate of three
fourths Of the votes cast for the
other republican candidates is con-
serNative. because il is well known
that thousands Of independent dem
ocrats propose TO vote for Johnson
Al the coming election.
II then. Johnson receives three
fourths Of the $1,000 additional re-
sddition to the 47,7l5 cast for him
En- these counties at the primary
eletcien. approximately $4,000 votes
which would be lead of $4,000
over the Gillett vote in these same
three counties.
OTHER COUNTIES ESTIMATED
Outside of the three counties
mentioned. il is generally conceded
that Johnson will carry practically
every county IN the state, and If TO
the plurality that the above figures
plainly demonstrate he VIII receive
IN the three counties, is added the
overwheln1ing vote he will receive
fr the rest of the state. 1t seems too
plain for argument that we have
sSaiu demonstrated that johnson
VIII carry the state by anywhere
from 70, 600 to 100000 plurality.
Forced to Run
TSr,cIoI Dfsnofch 10 The Call
STOCKTON, Oct. 22.-Judges J. A.
Pummer and Frank II. Smith Of the
superior court today rendered judg-
srent in the matter of the petition Of
= " Stuckenbruck. democratic candi-
cate for the assembly from the twenty
fourth district for a writ Of mandate
20 have his name excluded from the
81 mpie ballots as candidate NOM
mated by the prohibition party.
The Judges held that the petitioner
IS not entitled TO writ of mandate
against County Clerk Eugene ID. Ora
ham
The decision also affects J. r. Pear
son, who was defeated for the repub-
lcan nomination for sheriff. but Sc
cured the prohibition nomination, and
C. I. Ortman. who was the candidate
for county assessor.