The Detroit times., 1910-10-19

who won the last election by less
than 200 in the $4,000 votes cast.
Eighth. North Carolina, which was
carried By Cowles, Republican, whose
plurality was / 400 In total OF $4,000
votes
Analysing the figures as complied
fro m the votes OF the life subscribers,
Success says:
In New England the Republicans
have already lost two members In
Maine. Representative sideways
New Hampshire district is in doubt,
but he will likely win. In Rhode
Island Representative Sheffield Will
probably fail OF election. In Connecti-
cut there is a strong Democratic wave
OF revolt. but the Republican MAORI
ties in all the districts are large and
except for the second (Sperry's)
there Is little chance Of Democratic
success.
New York Districts Doubtful.
I'm New York the districts OF
Foelker, Calder, Olcott (who was de-
feated for the nomination by Ben
nett), .Southwick, Mnlltpgton, Perkins
ard Fassett, are t>NbtMI with ths
probabilities favorink the Republicans
inss al but the Southwick district.
tSouthwick declined q denomination
In this districD Malby, Dwight. Payne
and Vreeland, who are strong stand
patters, are virtually certain OF re-
election, but by reduced pluralities.
The same il true OF Fitzgerald, Dem
ocrat, who came to Cannon's aid. In
the thirteenth district represented by
Herbert Parsons. Republican, the
contest will be especially close with
the probabilities favoring the Demo
crat
In New Jersey the nomination by
the Democrats OF Woodrow Wilson,
president of Princeton, Is popular
with both parties and 1t is believed
that he will sweep the state and
probably carry with him a number OF
Democratic candidates for congress.
The state Is now represented by sew
en- Republicans and three Democrats
and In but two districts Is Republican
success certain. The Republican ma
jorities In the various districts are SO
large, however, that In spite Of the
dissatisfaction with ring rule in New
Jersey the probabilities favor Repub-
lican success In three out OF eight re-
naming districts. The one really
doubtful district Is that OF Gardner
while Representative Loudenslager
will also have q hard fight in spite Of
his ten thousand majority at the last
election.
Pennsylvania Is likely to remain
the same with the exception Of the
3Oth district where John Dalzell Is
facing the 3rd and 9Th districts which
are now Republican The fifth dis
trict will probably remain Republican
By a narrow margin.
mo changes are likely In Virginia,
West Virginia or the South, although
the Republicans hope to get con.
gresham in Oklahoma, while the
Democrats are trying for complete
delegation from South Carolina. In
Ohio the Republicans are likely to
lose three members and in addition,
General Keifer, In the Seventh, ia
having a hard struggle, but should
win out. In Indiana, Senator Bev-
eridge is receiving support from Dem
ocrats. Crumpacker Ii almost certain
to win ont, but the fight against Rep
rison and Rauch Is most bitter.
Tawney's Fate In Balance.
"In Kentucky the Democrats will
probably gain two congressman. No
changes are likely in Wisconsin. In
Minnesota the delegation is likely to
be unchanged although Anderson.
who defeated Tawney at the primar-
les and Hammond, Democrat, in the
second, have hard fights. In Iowa
the result Is doubtful In the first, Sec
ond and sixth. In the eighth the Re-
publicans will return a member In
place of Jameson, Democrat.
In Missouri, Democrats will re-
place Republicans. In the twelfth,
thirteenth. fourteenth, fifteenth and
sixteenth districts. In Nebraska, q
Democrat will succeed Hinshaw In
the fourth. Norris is sure TO win,
having Democratic and Republican
support. In Montana Democrat will
replace Pray, Republican.
"The Pacific States, except Nevada,
are solidly Republican. as usual. ex.
cepting that In California a Democrat
will replace Kahn In the fourth dis
trict."
According to the managers OF the
poll the big surprise has been the
number of stalwart Cannon Republic
cans who have seen great light
and who are now either openly or
surreptitiously" announcing to their
- Al s.rr H. q he