The Birmingham age-herald., 1910-04-22
LONG EXPLAINS WHY COL. O'NEAL IS SURE ID BE WINNER Gives Detailed Figures to Show How Majority Is Near
 ly 10000 MANY FACTORS ENTER
 INTO THIS CONTEST Defeat of Amendment Was So Over wheIming That Many Fsvorlng It Were Convinced By This Fact
 They Were Wrong

eve do not concede but one county in all the state of Alabama to MT Mallory. He is not sure of carrying a single county in the May election out side of Dallas, his home We coulu all go home and tend the crops anu awake the morning of May next ana find Colonel ONeil the choice Of the democracy of Alabama for the next governor of the state" These are some of inc remarks made by State Chairman J. Lee Long yesterday morning In ols- cussing the claims of the managers or the Mallory campaign.
 "rhe claims of the O'Neal headquar- ters and the figures they are based on are not the results of hap-hazzard euesswork or over confident estimating bv men who are fooling themselves or who are seeking to fool the voters of the state," continued MT. Long, but are as accurate and truthful as the work of the auditor or business ex- pert who is paid to tell the exact status of a business without regard to whether they tell story or loss 
 or gain.
 "Great care has been taken to get at the exact condition over the state. If O'Neal is winner we want to know 1t. If he Is a loser We want to know that. The result is that we are in possession of figures that are reliable They show that O'Neal Is gaining. They show at present that his majority will reach nearly 10000. If the present gains hold up his majority will ex- ceed that number"
 MT. Long expects the vote of the state to reach ,000 in the May primary election. Of that number he says 3D. 900 make up the list of voters who have paid their poll tax and quail fled since fast November. In the opin- ion of the O'Neal leaders this 32,000 will more than offset the republican vote cast in the November election. Prac- tically all of the new democratic vote of S2,OO0 will be for Colonel O'Neai, is the opinion of MT. Lcng.
 A"The sy-aires in our possession prove this belief" said MT Long. Take our report from beat g In a northeast Ala bama county. In the election of last GA. Eighteen were cast for the amend ment and 46 against 1t. Next May 3 Colonel O'Neal will get 82 votes there while MT. Mallory will have to content himself with the same IS that were cast for the late lamented amendment that he stood for.
 Here is an increase in the vote cast last November of IS votes, of which Col onel O'Neal gets every one.
 Then consider the reports from Beat 1 in southwest Alabama county. In the election of last November 2S votes were cast, 15 of them were cast for the amendment and IS of them against it, a majority of two for the amendment. In the primary of May 2, g more votes will be cast than were cast last November MT Mallory will get five of them, while Colonel o'Neal will get F. In other words, the vote will stand 20 for Mallory 90 for O'Neal. or a reversal of a major ity of two for the amendment into a majority of 10 for O'Nea.
 q am at loss to understand how the Mallory claimants can get around these figures if they are in possession of them I am constrained to believe that they in possession of the actual conditions throughout the state now.
 Our reports are nearly complete from over the entire state. We have detailed returns from 1231 precincts out of 1887 in the state. and it is from these reports that we reach our figures of 10000 for Colonel O'Neals majority.
 There is factor in the present cam paign that 1t appears to me alas been overlooked by the men in charge of MT. Mallorys campaign. Mr. Mallory him self may have overlooked it. In fact, sI am of the opinion that he has. The defeat of the amendment was so astound- ing to the men who fought for 1t and voted for 1t that many of them were persuaded by that overwhelming defeat that they were wrong and further, that they will be wrong to vote for the man who did so much to further the effort to foist 1t on the people of Alabama. These voters are acting on this sober second thought and are turning to O'Neal as the man who led the fight against a piece of radicalism that the voters of Alabama repudiated. Many men with whom I have talked agree with me in believing that this is sound, logical req soning and is the only way to explain the revuson Of the voters from the Nal lory standards.
 fo Ln in the May primary explains much that is at first puzzling concerning the re- ports we have gotten from counties like Madison, Jackson. Limestone, Elmore Houston, Dale, Coosa, Crenshaw, Gull man, Covington, Geneva, Henry, Lauder dale, Mobile, Lamar. Colbert and numer- ous others. Each and every one of these counties will give larger majorities for Colonel O'Neal than they gave against tho amendment.
 'In brief to recapitulate my statement or a few minutes ago. 1T. all of these counties we will get the newly qualified voters to a man and then we will get the voters who are persuaded by the overwhelming defeat of the amendment that they were wrong and that they do not want any more of 1t or of the men who fathered it or fought for it's adop- tion.
 ''The figures in the possession O.. the ONeal campaign management are open to the inspection of any man who wants to see them. Whenever man presents himself at the O Neal headquarters and asks to sec the reports he is taken into the private office. is given a chair and 4l.. ir rixrox, on l,o inf