Evening times-Republican. [volume] (Marshalltown, Iowa) 1890-1923, 1910-11-07
SLUMP IN REPUBLICAN VOTE
ALWAYS LARGE IN OFF YEAR
Total For Ticket Estimated at 100000
to 25o.0co-Little Foundation For
Hope Of Democrats in Any One Of
: Congressional observation-disclosures to
Organize Bolts FAIL
Special to Tines-Repuo!ican.

by the party headquarters vii! relate
10 the vote for governor TWO years ago
rather than the vote for president. TWO
years ago Carroll and White were OPP
posing. There We're 2.2al precincts
in the state. The vote for Carroll vas
26S.Sso; the vote for White 1S6a29
Carroll majority. 60,051. The major
ity for president was 74.43S. The re-
publican majority on governor aver
aged 20 to a precinct. The republican
majority was about y per cen. Of the
&c tai vote.
There was not a great difference be-
tween the vote on the ticket, some of
roll 6o,051. Clarke 6s.9s4. Hayward
1880. Bleakley 1926. Byers 7o,ss7.
Riggs ss.245. The majority for the
ticket" could not have been very Ear
from 10000 al the last election.
A computa ton of the vote for every
election the past ten years. not on
president. but on secretary OF state and
governor shows that the republican
anajority In Iowa has averaged in that
time over 10000.
The total vote of the state ar the last
election was 495145 but four years
before 1t was 4S5103. eight years be
tOre. or IN 19Dt, u was oSU.5ao. ana an
1895 it was 521.547 The actual total
voting strength OF the state is therefore
over a half million
The phenomenon OF the regular fall
ing off in the vote after each president
ial election is We'll known. The falling
off from 1858 TO 1870 was - 600 from
1892 TO 1894 II was q 900. from 1895 %
1895 il was 90 1000, from 1900 - 1902
il was 1874 900. from 1904 10 1905 ii was
$1,000.
The slump in the -epu blicaa vote has
been invariably larger than that % ih7
democratic vote. The loss in the re-
publican vote from 1895 10 1898 was IS
per cent or 5000 from 1900 10 1902
it was $4,000 or about % per cent:
from 1904 TO 1905 T. was 1000 or
about 80 per cent. The Taft vote Two
years go was o75.343: 25 per cent
falling of would stu leave the re-
public ms with 20. geo votes which *
1000 more than BRYAN received. 10000
more than Fred White received and
II 900 more :han Porter got the las
time he vas candidate.
At republican headquarters the ex-
pecration i that the republican Voc
will run somewhere between 100000
and 256.000 The democratic predic-
ton is that it will fall below 100000.
Al least a portion Of the hope OF the
democrats % CAPTURING CONGRESSIONAL
districts IS with little foundation, a
will be shown by q few figures from the
Seventh district Here the democrats
started out 10 take the district Clins
Price has been conducting a strictly
',gumshoe" campaign his chief encour-
agemeut being from a small group OF
leaders VINO are advertised as the reg
ular' republicans. /. IS represented
that only d Reasonably small change
viii wipe oGl the repuo lican majority.
Now Captain Hull got 7,31l maturity II
the district the last time over Charles
y. HOLY. Inc democrats ass ,ne MAJ
his Is the disI-ic- majority taey have
10 overcome. But ro4y was q Very
strong candidate, - shown by the tact
taeC Aa actually reduced tae republic
can majority over 1900. The majority
which Mr.. hayward received IL tne
Seventh district, for secretary o. state,
was just Il,525. That IS the republican
majority which tae democraIic-s stand
pat alliance must overcome i II is
overcome at ali. Virtually one out OF
every five vi ihe republicans VIII nave
10 bolt and cast MS ballot FOR The dem
ocratic candidate in order ~ defeat
Judge Prouty. But While Immediately
in Des Ao;nes, wnere regularity Is
Of the most virulenc type, and IN a few
spots IN Marion county and possio., il
Warren there is organized effort 10 in
duce boiling, Inere IS nothing of me
sort in the rest % ne district Judge
Prouty believes ne will have near TO
5000 majority; his friends are confident
OF from 900 10 3.Q40.
tricts Will show q similar stale of af-
fairs. A great many OF the republic
can candidates for congress have not
been securing the fun republican vote.
When comparison : made with the ac
tual republican vote n such districts
the situation looks different.
Another interesting study prior to the
election IS tn atot the effect Of the
voting machines which are in use in
Polk county. The record will show
Z either that they discourage scratching
or that the PoIk county republicans are
not great on that specially. Two years
ago Iatt received majority IN the