The Paducah evening sun. [volume] (Paducah, Ky.) 1906-1929, 1910-10-19
Doubtful Districts Will Tell
Tale in Number Of States...
Thirteen are so Classified
With no Apparent Leaning.
UNITED Press Association. }


that the official count will be needed
to decide.
This prediction Is made by Success
Magazine as the result of its conf
Dental canvass of fifteen thousand
OF its life subscribers scattered in
every section Of the United States.
Two years ago this magazine in the
same way predicted the election OF
President Taft, its poll of the states
agreeing absolutely with the official
result excepting in Missouri. which II
gave to Bryan. but al the time in
sisted was very doubtful. and which
was found to have gone for Taft only
when the Official count was avail
able.
The present poll was reached by
sending ballots to $4,000 of the life
subscribers and the figures compiled
from the replies of the Is, 900 that
answered present what the Success
publishers believe to be a fairly ac-
curate portrayal of the sentiment in
the country at large. II is shown
| that where the reaetionary candidates
won out lp the fight for the renomi-
nation, they are so secure in their
districts that II would require a land
slide to GUST them. Where insur-
gents won they robbed their Demo
cratic opponents of their para
mount" issue, downward revision of
the tariff and Cannonism. This is
especially the case in the middle
west and on the Pacific slope.
Commenting on this, Success will
say:-"Both wings of the Republi-
can party are now diligently engaged
in their historic occupation Of bury
ing the hatcbet,'----.- d ~
The result of the poll indicates
that 100 congressional districts are
safely Republican; les safely Demo-
cratic: that 29 are probably Repub-
lean and 21 probably Democratic.
This being true the two parties would
be tied with 1S9 each and ON the
remaining thirteen districts would
hinge control Of the house.
Doubtful Districts.
First of these actually doubtful
districts Is the Tenth Massachusetts,
(Boston) now represented by O'Con-
nell (Democrat). He won the last
election by four votes out OF $4,000
cast. Next comes the Twenty-third
New York where Southwick, Repub-
lican, was elected two years ago by
plurality OF SIS out of SO, 900 cast
and Success says that 1t is doubtful
because Of the strong growing feel
ing against the rule OF Boss Barnes. I"
The other doubtful districts in or
der are:
Second New Jersey where Gard
ner. Republican. was elected by a
plurality of 3.4OO out of $4,000
votes cast.
Sixth Indiana. where Barnard, Re
publican, was elected by LOO votes
out of $4,000 cast.
Seventh Indiana, where Korbly.
Democrat. was elected by 6s3 votes
out of $1,000 cast.
Ninth Indiana. where Morrison,
Democrat, was elected by LOO votes
out of $4,000 cast.
Eleventh Indiana, where Rauch,
Democrat, was elected by 1900
votes out of SO, 600 cast.
First Michigan. where DENLY. Re
publican, received 5000 plurality
out of $4,000, but who is now facing
the hardest fight in his career.
First Iowa. now represented by
Kennedy, Republican, whose plural
ity was 1900 out of a total OF $4,000.
Second Iowa, where Dawson, Re-
publican. won by 1900 out OF as, 900
votes.
Sixth Iowa, now represented by
Kendall, Republican, whose plurality
was 800 in total of $4,000 votes.
First North Carolina. now repre-
scented by Moorehead. Republican,
who won the last election by less
than 200 in the SS 900 votes cast.
Eighth North Carolina. which was
carried by Cowles. Republican, whose
plurality was / 400 in a total of 49,
900 votes.
Analysis of Figures.
Analysing the figures as compiled
from the votes OF the life subscribers,
success says:
"Tn New England the Republicans
have already lost two members in
Maine. Representative Sulloway' s
New Hampshire district is in doubt,
but he will likely win. In Rhode Is
land Representative Sheffield will
probably fail of election. In Con-
necticut there Is a strong Democratic
wave of revolt. but the Republican
majoritles in all the districts are
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