Newark evening star and Newark advertiser. [volume] (Newark, N.J.) 1909-1916, 1910-11-07

the State Democratic Committee, each
appear about equally sanguine of sue
cess tomorrow.
Their respective estimates OF plurall-
ties, while for different candidates, do
not materially vary. MI. Briggs claims
the state for Vivian M. Lewis by 23,4OO,
and Mr.. Nugent declares Woodrow Will
son will have a plurality of not less
than "a, 700. Mr.. Nugent declares his
estimate is a conservative one and is
positive of q decided victory, while Mr..
Briggs admits that a serious element of
doubt does exist.
1--WE are reasonably sure of coming
up to the Raritan with a majority of
IS. 000," said Chairman Briggs, land If
the reports l receive from Essex n
Hudson and the Fifth and Sixth con-
gressional districts are verified, about
5000 will be added to the Lewis plural
ity. 1t is true, however. that some dis
satisfaction exists in North Jersey and
that may affect the result materially"
This is the first time in fifteen years
that the chairman of the state Repub-
lican Committee admits on the eve of
election that the result is in doubt. 1t
Is the first time for the same period
hi the chairman of the State Demo-
cratic Committee finds himself in a po-
sition to say there is absolutely no
doubt as to the result.
Estimate Is Conservative.
MY estimate of "a. 100 for Woodrow
Wilson" said Mr.. Nugent, rs a decid-
eddy conservative one, 1t is not based
+, on mere conjecture, but on an actual
and carefully conducted canvas.
1.-The figure I state is the result after
due deductions being made from the re-
ports of some of our more optimistic
We heal the same story on
all sides. 1t is not alone the regular
Democratic voter that is voting the
Democratic ticket this year.
THAT little army Of independent vot-
ers and a host of Republican voters, as
well, are with the ticket his year, and
they have a reason. That eason will
be explained tomorrow, and the result
told in figures Wednesday morning"
Newspaper Estimates.
The Newark Sunday Can, which has
been ardently supporting Lewis, pub
lished the results Of an extensive pos
tai card vote yesterday, which indi-
Gated the election of the Democratic
candidate by at least 1872 plurality
Tt gave Essex to Wilson by 9,997. II
gives Bergen and Union to Wilson by
slightly more than zoo IN a case, but
says these figures are probably too
low. a canvass made by Republican
leaders in Plainfield show that Wilson
is going to carry hat city by q fair
plurality. Union is expected to give
him 1850. The same is true of Bergen.
Like results are given by al the New
York and Philadelphia paper that arc
paying close attention to the outcome
in New Jersey.
That the eleven Democratic candi-
dates for the Assembly in Essex Coun-
ty will be elected is a %foregone conclu-
sion.
The always sure Democratic cendl-
dates counties are Hudson, Hunterdon,
Sussex and Warren, electing a total Of
fifteen A~ssemblymen.
Middlesex now has a Democratic
delegation and will surely retain II,
Union County is reasonably certain OF
electing three Democrats to replace the
Republicans now in the lower house.
Monmouth will probably do likewise.
In Salem and Somerset there will prob
ably be a similar result. This group
of counties has eleven representatives
in the lower house, making d total
Democratic membership of thirty
seven. Democratic chances in some OF
the other counties, especially in Mercer
and Bergen, are good.
Election of Senator'S.
Atlantic, Bergen, Cumberland, Hud-
aon, Mercer, Norris and Ocean are
eiecting Senators this year. There is
no chance for Democratic loss, as
the only one of these counties now rep
Resented by a Democrat in the upper
house is Hudson, where Senator James
F. Fielder, seeking reelection, is sure
OF success. There are five Democratic
FOLLOWERS in the Senate.
This calculation on the Legislature
would mean a Democratic majority on
joint ballot.
All the Democratic Congressman are
certain of reelection. William Hughes,
in the Sixth district; Eugene r. Kin
kead,s in the Ninth, and James 4. Ham
mill in the Tenth will be sent back
TO Washington by probably increased
plura1ities.
The Democrats a strong hopes CT
putting some of the Cannon Congress-
men in New Jersey on the retired list.
In the First district former Mayor Jo-
seph Nowrey, Democrat, of Camden.
has been putting up what looks like a
winning fight against Henry C. Louder
slayer. The American Federation of
Labor has placed a candidate. william
rusv fara WBpOMO OyJININE. - that I,