The Washington herald., 1910-04-25
SHERWOOD BASES
CLAIMS ON FIGURES
Representative Sees House
Majority in November.
CALCULATED ON ELECTIONS
According TO the Ohio Legislator,
Aggregate Given in sixth Missouri,
Fourteenth Massachusetts, and
Thirty-SecOnd New York Districts
Is 5,2S5-Success Depends on Gain.

That the Democrats VIII have a majority
Of 81 in the House next November. II the
rate Of gain shown By three special Con-
gressional elections in different parts OF
the country continues, is the belief OF
Representative Sherwood. Of Ohio.
The aggregate gain in these three. the
sixth Missouri Fourteenth Massachusetts,.
and Thirty-seCOnd New York districts, ac-
cording to Gen. Sherwood. is Ss-S5. or an
average gain for each district Of 1850
He stated that he had examined the
official figures Of ever. Congressional dis
trlct in every state that elected Re
publican Congressman in 1905, and said
that he found that only forty-ive were
elected by more than ln50o majority.
Depends on Cain.
The Ohioan declared that should the
rate Of gain continue IN November as
7 shown in the districts where special cleo
tons were held. the Democrats would
elect Si6 Representative. and the Repub-
leans f0rty-fye. The three districts men
toned. said Gen Sherwood, probably rep
resent the average opinion OF the electors
Of the United States Of all classes. In
citing figures Of the 1865 election. he
said
There are 31 members IN this Con
gress, and the Republicans now have ZI7
members and the Democrats I7Z Taking
these three special elections for q basis
/ Of estimate. how many Congressional dis
tricts viii the Republicans carry in 1910.
and how many viii the Democrats obtain2
Every student OF politics Is deeply inter
! ested IN this question.
Take Massachusetts. Maine. Vermont.
/ Rhode Island. Connecticut and New
Hampshire, and only nine Congressman
were elected by more than 1905 majority
/ in 1908.
Only Twelve Republicans.
IN the following group OF eight States
/ Idaho. Iowa, Kansas. Michigan. Mime
sofa, Montana, Missouri. and Nebraska
/ the election results OF 1905 show only
twelve Republican ConEressmen elected
by over IooCo majority. Take North Da-
kota, Oklahoma. Oregon. South Dakota,
Tennessee, Utah. Washington. West Vir-
ginia. and Wyoming, and only nine Re
/ publican COngressmen had over l6CW
majority in 1908.
The BIZ 81 majorlties received by
! Ohio Congressman IN 1aoS were Thomas
CNineteenth district. 1858; Longworth
(CincinnatD, 1920; Cassidy cleveland.
1851. and Taylor CColumbus). 500.
Take Indiana. Crumpacker. Of the
Tenth district had the largest RepubIi-
can majority in that State-5,212
In Illinois, Mann, of Chicago. had
lI47S majority; Fossa 1920; Fuller. 1855:
Lowdea. u.42i; Snapp 1885; Lundin. H.
425. No other Republican in Illinois re-
ceived 5000 plurality in 1905
Majority of 10000.
Take Pennsylvania with thirty-two
Congressional districts and only eight
districts in the State show a majority Of
over 1900.
Take New York. with thirty-seven dis
tricts, and only three districts show over
1000 Republican majority"
Gen. Sherwood would make no prediction
as 70 what would happen in November.
Let every optimistic and pesslmistic
prophet Of our political destiny" he said.
take his consolation or coincidence from
the figures I have quoted on the theory
that figures do not lie"