Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1910-11-06
Majority of 23 or More Is Esti-
mate Put Forth by Chi
cago Tribune.
PROGRESSIVES TO SWAY
UNITED STATES SENATE
Forty-Two Doubtful Congressional
Seats to Determine Complexion.
LANDSLIDE Is NOT EXPECTED

tion-Dix Claims $50, 900 Major
ity Against Stimson's Hope
of 10000 in New York.
Special Dispatch to The Star
CHICAGO, H., November 5.-The peo-
pie OF the United States Tuesday next
will contide to the democracy control of
the national House of Representatives.
They also will place the democrats and
progressive republicans in command In
the United States Senate.
This prognostication Is based upon re-
turns received by the Chicago Tribune
from its correspondents in every state
in the union, and their comparison with
the claims and concessions made by the
campaign managers of the rival political
PARTIES.
Forty-Two Doubtful Seats.
There are 391 congressional districts
under the present constitutional appor-
tionment. As far as it is possible to fore
cast the result ITOHl tiIc pdi liSdh
reports received. it may be epitomized
as follows:
SafeI! republican .167
SAFELY democratic Is:
Doubtful ~
The voters in the forty-two doubtful
districts will decide the issue of the bat
tie and the size of the victory. The party
that gets the lions share Of these dis
tricts will capture the House of the next
Congress.
OF course. it is possible the republicans
may squeeze through with a bare mar
gin. Chances appear to be against any
such contingency.
The forty-two congressional seats In
doubt have been SO ciassed on the basis
of Information as authentic as can be
obtained on the eve of the casting OF the
ballots, and in view of the local cOndl-
lions that prevail. 1t is predicted that
IS per cent of these districts will swing
into the democratic column.
Probable Division Of House.
A conservative guess will give the
democrats twenty-five of the doubtful
districts. If this be correct. then the
next House of Representatives will be
made up as follows:
democrats ............ .SvS
Republicans ................ASs
Democratic majority ............. %
There are many political authorities
who declare conditions favor a demo-
cratic landslide Some go far as to
say that the result will be similar to
that of the election Of 1870, following
the passage of the Mckinley tarin bill,
wnen republican House was struck by
q cyclone.
Nnen the republican managers counted
the returns. they found they had rescued
only eish -eis ht members of their party
from the wreck. The democrats had 236
representatives..
The democrats do not expect, however
any such result Tuesday, though there Is
protest against the Aldrich law and the
high cost of living, similar to that made
i'm 1sao. in reference to the Mckinley law
and the increased charges for the neces-
sites of life. Moreover. all indications
point TO the probability of the disap-
pearance of the landslide sentiment.
The primaries In dozens of districts
took the wind out of the sails of demo-
cratic hopes. Wherever progressive re-
publicans were nominated. democratic
stock went down.
In many districts the democrats were
50 unfortunate in their nominations that
republican stock Immediately went up
several points. So. all in all, the land
slide talk at present writing Is greatly
discounted.
Lloyd's View Of Things.
No one would re more disposed to
claim landslide than Representative
James T. Lloyd. chairman Of the demo-
cratic CONGRESSIONAL committee. But Mr..
Lloyd does nothing Of the kind.
In the formal statement he issued to-
day he places the democratic majority In
course. would mean tremendous over
turning of the present republican major
NY OF forty-three but ii is not a land
slide
Mr.. Lloyds formal statement is as fol-
lows:
We believe. after a careful and con-
servatlve estimate of the political situa-
ton, that We will have majority of
fftN-one in the next House We arrive
at this CONCLUSION by giving to each party
the districts which we think they are
reasonably certain to carry. and dividing
the doubtful districts equally between
them.
While our gains will be most pro-
nounced In the east. they will not be con-
fined to any particular part Of the coun-
try, as We have every reason To believe
We VIII make gains in every state which
now has republican representation, with
the possible exception of four We do
not expect TO lose more than two dis
tricts now represented by democrats
In the beginning OF the campaign the
prospects fo- democratic victory looked
so bright that we feared it would be
only temporary. We congratulate our
selves that the revolt against the Payne-
Aidrich bill and the republican misnan-
aSement of government has grown each
day since the campaign oegan, until
now IL has become SO evident that an
owe. whelming victory for democracy is
absolutely assured"
Chairman Mckinley Cautious.
Representative William b. Mckinley.
chairman of the republican consr ession-
al committee. issued formal statement
yesterday in reference to republican
claims. 1t Is noteworthy he declined to
give figures, contenting himself with the
statement that he expects the republica <
TO control the next House by "a fair
working majority"
The text of Mr.. McKiniey's statement
n as follows:
From the best reports obtainabie from
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