Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1910-10-19

resented by democrats ana hihe ny ie-
publicans The successful party will nave
to win seven of the thirteen in order 10
control the House. assuming that the
forecast in all other respects Is correct
The fact that the republicans now nave
nine of the thirteen doubtful districts -
the sole justification for the statement
that the probabilities are signify III iaNoi
of republican majority OF two or three;
The extraordinarily close Daiahclns o
mower between the two great parties OIL
the country. as indicated by this pre-
liminary forecast, can hardly 1ali' ~
would seem. to be of good cheer 10 potil
to the democratic party because aiee.
many wears it now has power almost
within it's grasp. and to the republican
party because it is evident that the CON
ditions are not so bad as has oeen gen
orally believed.
and of the important battle grounds In
the coming contest will be of interest.
New England.
In New England the republicans have
already lost (by the early electon) two
members in Maine. Representative sui
loway's New Hampshire distrist Is IN
doubt ard the tenth Massachusetts dis
trict. now represented by democrat, Is
also in doubt. as previously noted IN
Rhode Island. Representative Sheffield
will probably fail of reelection. In con-
necticut. there is a strong democratic
wave of revolt. but the republican ma
jorities in all districts are large. and eX
cent for the second Representative
Sperrys) district, there is little chance
of democratic success.
Middle States
New York is now represented by
twenty-six republicans and eleven demo-
Gratis. The districts Of Representatives
Foelker, Calder. OlcOtt, Southwick, Mil
lington. Perkins and Fassett are doubt
full. with probabilities. however. favor
ing the republican in all except the
twenty-third CAIbany) district. where
there is strong and growing feeling
against the rule of Boss Barnes. Rep
resentatives Malhy, Dwight, Payne, Fas-
sett and Nreeland, who are strong
among the stand-pat republicans. ana
Representative Fitzgerald. who led the
Tammany forces supporting Cannon, are
virtually certain of reelection, but by
materially reduced majorities. In the
thirteenth district, now represented o!
Herbert Parsons. the contest will be
especially close, with probabilities favor
ing democratic success.
In New Jersey the nomination by the
democrats of Woodrow Wilson, president
of Princeton University, is popular with
both parties. and it is believed he Will
sweep the state and possibly carry with
him a number Of democratic candidates
for Congress. The state is now repre-
scented by seven republicans and three
democrats and as will be seen from our
table we find that in but two districts is
republican success quite certain. The re
publican majorities in many of the other
districts are. however, SO large that in
spite of the dissatisfaction with ring
rule in New Jersey the probabilities Ia
vor republican success i'll three out Of
eight remaining districts. The one really
doubtful district is that of Representative
Gardner and Representative LOudensla-
ger will also have hard fight for re-
election in spite of his 10000 majority at
the last election.
PENNSYLVANIA shows little signs of dem
ocratic or republican-insurgent success.
the standpatters being too strongly In
trenched in power. The state is at pres
ent represented by twenty-Seven repub-
licans and five democrats, and this rep
resentation is not likely to be changed
In the thirtieth district, represented by
John Dalzell. there are strong evidences
of the bitter fractional fight preceding
his nomina ton but it is locally believed
that he will be elected. though by
greatly reduced plurality.
The South.
In Maryland the contest will be.
usual exceedingly close. The republi
cans are expressing high hopes of gen
cral success throughout the state. but
information received indicates that these
hopes are not fully justified. and that the
probabilities are that the three present
democratic districts will return democrats
again. and that the third and sixth dis
trcts which are now republican by ma
| jorities of less than 1000. will return
| democrats The fifth district will prob
| ably still be republican by narrow
margin.
No changes are likely in the repre-
| sensations of Virginia, West Virginia, or
| in the almost solid south. although the
republicans have strong hopes of captur
| ing one more representative 10 Oklahoma,
| and the democrats of sending complete
| lima.
The Western States.
| In Ohio the republicans are likely to
| lose three members. Gen. kiefer in the
| seventh district will have struggle for
reelection, but probabilities Gre in his
| favor.
Political conditions in Indiana are pref
| ty chaotic. Senator Beverage will have
| a strong support among the democrats.
| Representatives Barnard. korbly, Morri-
son and Rauch will have very hard fights
| for reelection. Representative Crum-
| packer will almost undoubtedly be re-
| elected.
| In Kentucky two or three districts
| which are at present republican are likely
| TO go democratic. Caleb Powers will
| probably be elected in the eleventh dis
| trict. as the normal republican majority
| is very large.
| In Wisconsin no changes are probable,
| although representative Cary will have
a somewhat hard fight for reelection,
| with the chances in his favor.
| In Minnesota. Sidney Anderson, who