The Guthrie daily leader. [volume] (Guthrie, Okla.) 1893-1996, 1910-11-07
LOCAL 0pT|OMISTS
APPEAR SANGUINE
Say Thsy viii Come Out Of
East Side with 100000
Maj Ilty

The Dallas News, summing up the
Oklahoma political situation prints
the following:
Oklahoma's statewide election is TO
be held next Tuesday. with four po-
litical tickets in The field Compared
with the first state election tSeptem
Der, 1900, when the constitution was
an issue, and with the eie, ton two
years ago, this has been mild cam
paign, Notwithstanding governor
and complement of state officers are
to be selected. The state was Dem
ocratic in 1907 by a plural ty of 57S45
and In 1908, the presidential year, by
plurality of 1881 This year un-
official forecasts from Democratic
sources give Cruce, the Democratic
nominee for governor, a plurality be-
tween 25,O0) and 10000 over McNeal,
Republican.
Size of the majority, Democrats
feel, depends somewhat upon the num-
ber of Africans barred from the polls
by the grandfather clause The ne
gro vote In Oklahoma is largely an
unknown quantity. 1t is estimated to
be all the way from 10000 to $4,000,
not more than 10 per cent Of whom
are reckoned as being able to stand
the grandfather test, which is reading
and writing a section of the state con-
stitution. Since the Federal courts
inability to take jurisdiction in the
Sims case, which cast off the final
hope of Republicans for immediate
relief, il is believed that few negroes
will go to the polls.
From the Republican side comes the
word that McNeal has fighting
chance, even in the face of heavy dis
reimbursement 80 per cent Of which
affects the Republican votes. Lead
ers who have closely canyassed the
state admit, however. that Republic
an success depends upon how far an
apparent apathy among Democrats
will work to keep them away from the
polls. In the northern section of the
state the countryman is practically
free with time, while in the southern
districts cotton bringing lac per
pound is securing his attention.
If these reports do not prove cor
rect, and the grandfather clause is
given perfect effect. they expect the
head of the Republican ticket TO only
show good majorities in the First and
Second congressional districts, with
the Third breaking about eyel and
the Fourth where there is said to be
large Indian-Republican vote, nearly
so. From their figuring the Demo-
cratic plurality would be produced in
the Fifth district.
In the Legislature, Republicans be-
lieye they will have as many OF the
members of the house as they did two
years ago, If not more. The grand
father clause. presumed to produce an
effect similar TO that upon state races,
from the Republican viewpoint can
not be applied to the state legislature.
In districts where Socialists have no
legislative candidates they will large
ly vote the Republican ticket. Re
publicans had Al out OF lO9 in the last
house
Socialists assert that their total
vote will be about 10000, even with |
their negro vote eliminated; which |
they aver, is a very small per cent OF
the total Socialists have checking |
system for their active organizations
and can tell in a few minutes to Q
man how many members they have
In good standing upon the rolls.
In the first state election the ticket |
polled 9303. One year later tl9OS) |
the party had 1900 red card mem
bers" in good standing. and polled
81 .OS9. This year Socialists have be-
tween 1000 and 5000 red card mem-
bers." and while the usual ratio OF
seven votes for each member OF the
organization can not be applied 10
Oklahoma. they claim that experience !
iustifies the estimate of about 10000
The Democratic organization, how
ever. saws Socialists will not poll in
excess of 10000. The prohibition
ticket in the primary election polled
rs votes, hence is not regarded as a
factor in the general election.
Congressionally the unofficial opin
ons of both Democrats and RepuDlis-
ans appear TO be at little variance
Mcclure (Rep.) may win in the First
district: the Fourth and Firth dls-
tricts are Democratic, and the sec
ond and Third are liable to be so this
election. Davenport, In the Third;
Fulton, in the Second; Carter, in the
Fourth and Farris in the Fifth are tne
Democratic candidates. Neal e. NC
Neill of Pawnee is the Democratic
candidate against Mccuire N the First
district
The number OF votes that VIII be
cast is variously estimated from 24o,
400 to 100000 Democratic members
of the state election board place y