The times dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1903-1914, 1910-11-06

1
Forecasts nf election made by people
who Judge from appearances or reason
| from analogy at distance. may o,
| may not be correct. But the drift oil
forecasts, like the drift of sentiment as
expressed at by-elections, Is an tndi-
cation OF results.
National dailies from time to
time during the past few weeks. In
Judging of tho probable complexion of
the SiXty-sccpnd Congress. have. OF
course. included Virginia. At first they
gave the Ninth District to the Republic
cans, and classed the Fifth as doubt
full. This was natural. A majority OF
i.101 for Representative SIemp only two
years ago over his Democratic oppon-
ent, was enough to make any ono skep-
teal of the election of any Democrat.
unless he had been on the ground and
had Witnessed for himself the cam
paisn the Democrats have been making.
and which has been pronounced. 1t is
said, by Senator Martin. who Is no in
funt in politics, as the most wonderful
Organization he has ever seen.
But now the Ninth is classed as
doubtful by the papers at a distance.
They have evidently heard something.
say Virginia leaders.
Latest Reconsideration.
In its annual forecast, Success Maya
zine, usually careful and accura tn
prognosticator, gave out statement
yesterday regarding the congressional
election. in its list 1t gives nine OF
the Virginia districts, including the
fifth absolutely to the Democrats. and
says that the Ninth is close. probably,
Democratic"
The most cautious OF the leaders OF
the party in the Ninth, which is the
battle-ground of the State say the same
Ithing-"Doubtful. probably Dom ocra-
TIC" Others equally as conservative in
thought and in judgment. II not In ex-
preston, say Notwithstanding.
Democratic"
Evidences multiply every day OF the
PROBABILITY CT Mr. stuarts election. It
seems impossible that any one can
visit the Southwes, without becoming,
Infected With the party spirit which
is In the air, Every one is on the qui
vive, and nothing but politics is dis
cusseCl Democratic enthusiasm perhaps
runs all the higher for the reason that
1t has had no outlet for a decade, dur
ing which lure the Republicans have
had it all thcr own way
Republicans Busy.
Neither party is leaving stone I'M
! turned. 1t Is not to be supposed thar
| the Republicans have been inactive, or
Il tnat lnCy nuNcs ptSlia tutiS't iiito SSSuh
ty, or that they have given Zip the
| hsht and are in retreat. They are ac-
tive. virile, working desperately with
ali the strength that is in them. Mr.
Slcmp himself is putting every ounce
of his physical and mental strength In
/ to the campaign. 1t is political life
Tor death with him.
! Getting down To actual hsures, NC
Hooks as though Mr.. Stuart's majority
might reach 500 Estimates have gone
much higher than this. But conserva,,
4 tive figures have placed his lead at
/. around 22o TO 500. This looks indeed
1 like a very small majority considering
the enormous vote which VIII be cast
i IN the district next Tuesday, which may
4 approximate $4,000. But 1t should be
4 remembered that every man Is counted
Iout there by both sides, Probably never.
Ebetore In the history of the district
4, has there been such u Gloss orsaniza-
4 ton, or when so much personal work
lin atseertaining the position OF every
lvoter has been accomplished.
i Probable Figures.
4 BEGINNING at the western end.
i stuart IL expected to carry Lee coun-