El Paso herald. (El Paso, Tex.) 1901-1931, 1910-10-28


t Calder Olcott Southwick, MillingtoT
| Perkins and Fassett are doubtful, wit
| probabilities, however. favOring tn
Republicans In all except the 23rd Cal
bany) district, where there is stronl
and growing feeling against the rul
| of Boss Barnes" Representative Nal
by, Dwight, Payne, Fassett and Vree
land, who are strong among the stand
pat Republicans, and representat1v
Fitzgerald, who led the Tammany force
supporting Cannon, are virtually Ger
tain of reelection, but by MATERIAL.
reduced majorities. In the 18th dis
trtct, now represented by Herbert Far
CONS, the contest will be especial.
close. with probabilities favoring Dem
ocratic success.
New Jersey.
In New Jersey. the nomination by thu
Democrats of Woodrow Wilson, presi
dent of Princeton college. is popular
with both parties, and it is believed
that he will sweep the state and pos
sibly carry with him a number of Dem
ocratic candidates for congress. The
state is now represented by seven Re-
publicans and three Democrats, and, as
will be seen from our table, we FIND
that in but two districts is Republics
success quite certain. The Republican
majoritieS in many of the other dis
tricts are. however, so large, that in
spite of the dissatisfaction with ring
rule in New Jersey, the probabilities ia
vor Republican success in three out Of
eight remaining districts. The one
really doubtful district is that of rep
resentative Gardner, and representa-
tive Loudenslager will also have a
hard fight for reelection in spite of his
10000 majority at the last election.
Pennsylvania snd Maryland.
Pennsylvania shows little signs Of
Democratic or Republican, nsurgent
success, the standpaters being too
strongly entrenched in power. The
state is at present represented by q
Republicans and five Democrats and
this representation is not likely to be
changed. In the 30th district, repre-
scented by John Dalzell, there are strong
evidences of the bitter factional fight
preceding his nomination, but it is To-
cally believed that he will be elected,
though by a greatly reduced plurality.
In Maryland, the contest will be, as
usual. exceedingly close. The Republic
cans are expressing high hopes of gen
eral success throughout the state, but
our own information indicates that
these hopes are not fully justified and
that the probabilities are that the three
present Democratic districts will re-
turn Democrats again, while the 3rd
and 9Th districts, which are now Re
publican by majorities Of less than
1000, will return Democrats. The 9Th
district will probaly still be Repub
ican by a narrow margin.
Central and South.
No changes are likely in the repre-
;entation of Virginia. West Virginia.
Jr in the almost solid south. although
he Republicans have strong hopes OF
capturing one or more representatives
n Oklahoma, and the Democrats of
sending a complete Democratic delega-
ion from South Carolina.
In Ohio the Republicans are likely to |
oSe three members. General Keifer in |
he eth district will have a struggle !
or reelection, but probabilities are in |
lis favor
Political conditions in Indiana are !
'retty chaotic. Senator Beveridge will l
ave a strong support among the Dem
crats. Representative Barnard. Kor- !
ly, Morrison and Rauch will have very |
ard fights for reelection. Represen-
ative Crumpacker will almost I'M
oubtedly be reelected.
In Kentucky, two or three districts
vhicn are at present Republican are
likely to go Democratic Caleb Powers
will probably be elected in the 11,h
istrict, as the normal Republican ma
ority is very large.
Central West.
In Wisconsin no changes are 'prOba-
le although representative Cary will
ave a somewhat hard fight for re-
lection, with the chances in his favor.
In Minnesota, Sidney Anderson, who
efeated representative Tawney at the
rimaries, may have some difficulty in
ecuring the "stand-pat" vote. and
here is a little doubt of the reelection
( representative Hammond Demo
rat) in the End district; otherwise the
tate delegation is not likely to be
hanged.
In Iowa. the result is doubtful in the
st and 2nd districts, represented at
resent by stand-pat Republicans, and
representative KendalFs district, the
tn. In the 8th district a Republican
ill quite surely take the place of
representative Jameson (Democrat)
nd representative Smith will have a
ard fight for reelection in spite of a
considerable normal Republican ma
,rity.
In Missouri the present Republican
representatives. in the 18th, 18th, 14th
9Th and 10th districts are likely to be
,placed by Democrats.
In Nebraska, a Democrat will prob
bly, succeed representative Hinshaw
the 18th district. Representative
orris, who won his election two years
go by only % votes plurality, is
rongly supported by both Republicans
I'D Democrats and will almost surely
: reelected.
In the West.
In Montana, the probabilities favor
lie return of a Democrat in place of
preventative Pray (Republican)
The Pacific states Except Nevada)
e almost solidly Republican. as usu-
except that in California the cleo
on Of g Democrat in the 4th district
replace representative Kahn is prob
,le.
One OF the most interesting phenom-
la disclosed by investigation is
e large number of stalwart Cannon
epublicans who have seen a great !
sht." and are either openly or sur l
ptitiously announcing to their con- I
ituents that they will never again
tie OF "the old man" OF course, I
'thing in politics is more certain !
an that speaker Cannon will never I
Jain secure any considerable measure 2
party support for a denomination :
the speakership, and. knowing this, Z
any of his present supporters I'M ,
Il 90 g.