The Topeka state journal. [volume] (Topeka, Kansas) 1892-1980, 1910-10-19

IN the mouse.
resented by a Republican CDenby) who
won the last election by 5000 votes out
of "a, 900 cast, but who will have very
hard fight for reelection.
The LIST Iowa district, now represent
ed by a Republican (kennedy), who
won the last election by 1000 votes out
of $4,000 cast
The End Iowa district, now represent
ed by a Republican (Dawson), who won
the last election by 1900 votes out of
$4,000 cast.
The 9Th Iowa district. now represent
ed by a Republican CKendaID, who won
the last election by less than 300 votes
out of 5000 cast.
The 5th North Carolina district, now
represented by a Republican (Morehead)
who won the last election by less than
200 votes out of $4,000 cast.
The 9Th North Carolina district, now
represented by a Republican (Cowles)
who won the last election by I40O votes
out of $4,000 cast.
1t will thus be seen that of these 13
doubtful districts four are now repre-
sented by Democrats and nine by Re
publicans. The successful party will
have to win seven of the IS in order to
control the house, assuming that our
forecast in all other respects is correct.
The fact that the Republicans now have
nine of the Is doubtful districts is the
sole justification for our statement that
the probabilities are slightly in favor
of Republican majority of two or
three.
The extraordinarily close balancing of
power between the two great parties of
the country, as indicated by this, our
preliminary forecast, can hardly fail, 1t
would seem, to be of good cheer to both
to the Democratic party because after
many years it now has power almost
within its grasp, and to the Republl-
can party because it is evident that the
conditions are not so bad as has been
generally believed.
A brief survey of the entire country
and of the important battle grounds in
the coming contest will be of interest.
In New England, the Republicans
have already lost (by early election)
two members in Maine. Representa-
| tive Sideways New Hampshire dis
trict is in doubt, and the 10th Massa-
chusetts district, now represented by
! a Democrat, is also in doubt, as pre-
viously noted. In Rhode Island, Rep
resentative Sheffield will probably fail
of reelection In Connecticut, there
! is a strong Democratic wave of re-
volt. but the Republican majorities in
| all districts are large, and except for
/ the Second Representative Sperrys)
district, there is little chance of DEM
| ocratic success
New York is now represented by
/ VI
Democrats. The districts of Represen-
| tatives Foelker, Calder, Olcott, South
wick, Wilmington, Perkins and Fassett
are doubtful, with probabilities, how
ever favoring the Republicans in all
except the Twenty-third (Albany) dis
trict, where there is strong and
growing feeling against the rule of
BOSS Barnes" Representatives NAL
by, Dwight, Payne, Fassett and Vree-
land, who are strong among the stand
tot "a
Fitzgerald, who led the Tammany
forces supporting Cannon, are virtual
ly certain of reelection, but by ma
terially reduced majorities. In the
Thirteenth district, now represented
by Herbert Parsons, the contest will
be especially close, with probabilities
favoring Democratic success.
woodrow Wilson Popular.
In New Jersey, the nomination by
the Democrats of Woodrow Wilson,
president of Princeton college, is pop
uIar with both parties, and it is be-
lieved that he will sweep the state and
possibly carry with him a number of
Democratic candidates for congress.
The state is now represented by seven
Repub licans and three Democrats,
and, as will be seen from our table, we
find that in but two districts is Re-
publican success quite certain. The
Republican majorities in many of the
that in spite of the dissatisfaction
with ring rule in New Jersey, the pro-
liabilities favor Republican success in
three out of eight remaining districts.
The one really doubtful district is that
of Representative Gardner, and Rep
resentative Loudenslager will also
have a hard fight for reelection in
spite of his ten thousand majority at
the last election.
Pennsylvania shows little signs of
Democratic or Republican-Insurgent
success, the standpatters being too
strongly entrenched in power. The
state is at present represented by ~
Republicans and 5 Democrats, and this
represe ntation is not likely to be
changed. In the Thirtieth district, rep
resented by John Dalzell there are
strong evidences of the bitter fractional
fight preceding his nomination. but it
is locally believed that he will be elect
ed, though by a greatly reduced
plurality
In Maryland, the contest will be, as
usual, exceedingly close. The Repub-
licans are expressing high hopes of
general success throughout the state.
but our own information indicates that
these hopes are not fully justified and
that the prOba abilities are that the three
present Democratic districts will return
Democrats again, while the Third and
Sixth districts, which are now Repub-
/ Iican by majorities of less than 1000,
Will return Democrats. The Fifth dis
trict will probably still be Republican
by narrow margin.
No changes are likely in the repre-
sensations of Virginia, West Virginia
or in almost solid South, although the
Republicans have strong hopes of cap
turing one more representative in