The Topeka state journal. [volume] (Topeka, Kansas) 1892-1980, 1910-10-19

, jersey.
The next house of representatives
will be almost exactly in even balance
The probabilities are slightly in favor
of Republican majority of two or
three, but it is impossible to predict
with certainty at this writing which of
the two parties will organize the house.
There will be a large increase in the
Democratic membership, but there will
be no Democratic landslide"
The explanation of this rather unex-
pected result appears to be that the
Progressive wing of the Republican
party has come into power at the pri-
marieS in a very large proportion of tn :
Republican districts, while in many OF
the districts where the standpat ele-
ment retains control of the Republican
machine, the normal Republican plu-
ralities are so large that the standpat
candidates are likely to succeed. all
though by greatly reduced majorities.
Both wings of the party are now diI:-
| gently engaged in their historic occu-
patton of "burying the Ratchet"
In other words, the heretofore gen
orally expected Democratic success in
| the closer districts of the country has
been put in jeopardy by the nomination
of more or less popular Insurgent Re-
| received by us indicates that there will
| be little Republican boiling in such
districts
This. III brief. is the result of the ex :
| haustive investigation of local political
conditions Just made by Success. Maya
| zine among the membership of its
Auxiliary Editorial Board of Life Sub
I scribers. Nearly fifteen thousand out
of the twenty-five thousand members
have responded to requests for this in
formation in a clear, specific, frank
and most interesting manner. and it is
impossible to doubt the conclusions
reached.
As It Appears.
The extraordinary closeness of this
coming contest is shown by our predic-
ton that 16S districts will certainly oe
represented by Democrats, and 81 more
will probably be Democratic giving Il
total reasonably sure Democratic mem
bership of 1879; while the Republican
party will certainly elect $50 membe cs
and will probably elect % more. giving
a reasonably sure total of 1S9-exactly
the same numberi
There @>e thirteen districts in the
country in which there is so even d
balance of probabilities that we can
not possibly predict the result, without
resorting to mere guesswor These
thirteen districts, IN which the balance
of power of the next house will prob
The 10th (Boston) district of Massa-
chusetts, now represented by a Demo-
crat (O'Connell) who won the last cleo
ton by 4 votes only out of $4,000 cast.
The 23rd (Albany) district of New
York, now. represented by Republic
can (Southwick), who won the last cleo
ton by $50 votes out of 63 200 cast.
The End New Jersey district, now rep
! resented by a Republican (Gardner),
who won the last election by 3,400 votes
out of $1,000 cast.
The 9Th Indiana district, now repre-
sented by a Republican CBarnard), who
won the last election by LOO votes out
| OF $4,000 east.
The eth Indiana district. now repre-
scented by a Democrat GKorbly). who
won the last election by only 6S3 votes
| out of the 10000 cast.
| The 9th Indiana district. now repre-
sented by Democrat CMorrison). who
won the lest election by LOO votes out
/ of $4,000 cast.
/ The 18th Indiana district now repre-
scented by a Democrat (Rauch), who
won the last election by 1000 votes out
of $4,000 cast.
! The LIST Michigan district, now rep