The Daily Ardmoreite. [volume] (Ardmore, Okla.) 1893-current, 1910-10-21

Close, pr"JaL'y dcnocratic, u.
Total, probably republican lS9.
Total probably democratic, 1S9.
Doubtful, 13.
New York, oct. 20,-On the basis
of information from fifteen thousand
subscribers Success Magazine has
issued a preliminary forecast of the
congressional election. Its conclu-
sion is that while there will be
large democratic increase, the polit-
ical complexion of the next house
is still in doubt. The article says
The extraordinary closeness Of
this coming contest is shown by
our prediction that 16S districts will
certainly be represented by demo
Gratis, and twenty-one more will
probably be democratic, giving to-
tai reasonably sure democratic mem
bership of 1S9; while the republican
party will certainly elect 100 mem
bers and will probably elect twent.i-
nine more, giving a reasonably sure
total of lS9-eXactly the same num-
Der!
There are thirteen districts in
the country in which there is so even
balance OF probabilities that we
cannot possibly predict the result
without restoring to mere guess
work These thirteen districts in
which the balance OF power of the
next house will probably be set
tied are the following:
The Tenth (Boston) district of
Massachusetts now represented by a
democrat (O'ConnelD, who won the
last election by four votes only out
OF $4,000 cast.
The Twenty-thiru (Albany) dis
trict OF New York, now represented
by republican (Southwick), who
won the last election by 5S5 votes
out of $4,000 cast.
"The Second New Jersey district,
now represented by a republican
(Gardne), who won the last cleo
ton by 3,40O votes out of $4,000
cast.
The Sixth Indiana district, now
represented by republican Barn
ard), who won the last election by
LOO votes out of $1,000 cast.
The Seventh Indiana district, now
represented by a democrat (Korbly),
who won the last election by only
6S3 votes out of the 10000 cast.
The Ninth Indiana district, now
representa- by a democrat (Mor-
rison), who won the last election
by LOO votes out OF $4,000 cast.
The Eleventh Indiana district,
now represented by democrat
(RauCh), who won the last election
by 1900 votes out of $4,000 cast.
"The First Michigan district now
represented by a republican Den-
by) who won the last election by
5000 votoes out of $4,000 cast, but
who will have a very hard fight
FOR reelection.
"The First Iowa district, now
represented by a republican (Ken
nedy), who won the last election
by 1.6OO votes out of $4,000 cast.
Tine Second Iowa district, now
represented by a republican CDaw-
SOM. who won the last election by
900 votes out of $4,000 votes cast.
The Sixth Iowa district. now rep
resented by a republican (KendalD,
who won the last election by less
than 300 votes out OF 10000 cast.
"The Fifth North Carolina dis
trict, now represented by a repub-
lican (Morehead), who won the last
election by less than 200 votes out of
3S 900 cast.
The Eighth North Carolina dis
trict, now represented by repub-
lican (Cowles). who won the last
election by 1,400 votes out OF $4,000
cast
"It will thus be seen that o
these thirteen doubtful districts four
are now represented by democrats
and nine by republicans. The sue
cessful party will have TO win seven
of the thirteen in order to control
the house. assuming that our fore
cast in all other respects is cor
rect. The fact that the republicans
now have nine of the thirteen doubt
ful districts is the sole justification
for our statement that the proba-
bilities are slightly in favor of o
republican majority of two or three.