The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1910-09-17

front and retain the rural voter. On tn
contrary. IL is long standing. deep seateC
dissatisfaction. such ~ may be discernec
behind the results In the recent election
in Maine
The hold Of Governor Hughes upon thess
farmers is unmistakable. His popularity
here exceeds that OF Mr. Roosevelt. His
policies that l. his direct primary
measures. command a support denied
the Roossvsltian 'Nationalism.' which "a
speak accurately seems here . danger
Gus sounding title BESTOWED upon a doc
trine not understood hut Enthusiastically
distrusted.
i wish We could vote for Governor
Hughes again. said several persons
whose admiration for the present Gov
ernor was not TO be mistaken.
! OF Republican candidates for Governor
hardly a word was spoken. The most
ardent Roosevelt champion in the days
journey suggested William Loeb. III
MIR Roosevelt will not run himself; but
this was absolutely the only name. AZ
! for the Democratic side. a single mention
Of James \. Havens was the only break
in the universal Gaynor talk. Candidates.
at least. do not interest Republicans in
Genases at the present moment. nor have
they any choice whose nomination would
command support or evoke enthusiasm
Looking back over the days drive the
thing that actually stands out IL the aston
ishing unanimity with which Repubii-
cans forecast Republican defeat and the
utter ahsence Of regret with which they
Accept its coming Hardly less inter
esting il tho absence Of any general
agreement on the reason. Two years
ago these same farmers proclaimed that
they would refuse to support the Repub-
| lican ticket II Governor Hughes were not
/ renominated His denomination. how
ever. they all conceded would meet any
grievance they had. To-day they make
no condition They are simply convinced
that. a. more than one said. 1t il time
there was change in the state Govern
ment at Albany: IL is time that the Re-
publican party went out
/ A day In this section Of rural New York
! contributes more to making il eAsy TO
| understand why all experienced Repub-
lican politicians in the upstate district
expect defeat than any month Of study Of
State or national issues. Tariff, the Aids
/ case. bosses all these doubtless have had
their part in creating the situation; hut
I the situation seems larger than any one
Of the causes II seems more like a wide
spread. determined and fairly self-con-
tanned dissatisfaction. such evidence as
| I have been able to collect in rural and
city districts IL far too slight 20 variant
any broad generalization; but such as IL
IL IL confirms all that the politicians on the
Republican side are privately predicting
/ for November
Save for a few followers Of Grsiner in
the Erie machine. I have not in nearly
two weeks met a single Republican who
expected To see his party win in the No
vember election All the doubt. all the
| apprehension. all the conservatism il
among the Democrats They see favor
able signs everywhere AT hand, hut their
caution in accepting them. their doubt M
90 their value. ~ almost humorous when
sat over against the Republican readiness
to Concede everything and admit cheer
fully that all i lost
81 FAR a. Rochester and the rural dis
tricts hav. visited are concerned. thcre
~ not IN" rlightest evidence that the
victory 81 tn. old guard or ~ the New
Natiouallsm ~ Saratoga will seriously
affect the results IN November In the
cities a Roosevelt victory will send the
conservative and business elements to
the Democratic ticket; u will send TO that
ticket the independents who hate the old
guard but quite as frankly admit their dis
trust 81 the New Nationalist. A. for an
old guard victory its effect with the added
grievance Of defeat Of all direct primary
platform pledges will complete the dis
satisfaction Of "a thoroughly disafected
rural Republican constituency The fore
going conclusions are based upon the
evidence submitted in this Correspon-
denCa They are precisely the conclu-
sions which have been reached 10y the
Republicans - these districts
A. for the compromise feared Nv the
Democrats, which will reconcile Republi-
can factions and placate Republican vot-
ers, have not vet met a single Rspub-
lican who has suggested any way by which
II could be attained Specifically AZ
least the Republican campaign this fall
appears formidable only to Democrats.
whose memories not unnRturnlly restrain
their optimism.
TOHOBILE HORNS.