Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1910-10-31
HOPE LIES IN THE WEST
Southern States Also Expected to
Show Republican Gain.
LOSE SEATS IN THE EAST
Closeness of Many Districts Shown
in Pluralities of the Previous
Congressional Election.
Special From a stan Correspondent.

Special From q STAFF Correspondent
NEW YORK, October 31.-Distinctiy
encouraging reports of a change for the
better In the republican outlook for the
next House reach New York from many
sections Of the country. 1t would hardly be
exact to say that the, advices coming to
New York are for surety OF repubii-
can majority in the next House, but they
indicate such a change in sentiment dur
ing the past two weeks as to lead to the
belief that the vote will be very close.
Indeed if the more optimistic of the
reports should be borne out, and the mir
acle happen, these reports would show
the possibility of republican majority
Of nine or ten. The present majority is
forty-tve.
Losses in East Certain.
The republicans are certain to lose
seats in the east, here and there in
nearly every state east Of the Mississippi.
To what extent these losses will occur
cannot be estimated. because they will
depend upon whether a democratic land
slide Is impending or whether there will
be close vote between the two parties.
The republicans expect to hold their
own in most of the western states, gain
in some. and to gain in at least four dis
tricts south Of Mason and Dixons' line.
1t is quite evident from the tenor of
some OF the reports being received that
the estimators find puZzling, or rather
Daf1ing condition among the voters of
their sections, and are experiencing diff
Guilty In making their polls. Apparently
there is q deep ground swell which is
hard to gauge or fathom, and not until
election day will 1t be recorded.
To cite one instance: Here Is the con-
gressional district over in Newark, n. j..
now represented by Richard Wayne Par
ker. republican. The leaders over there
tell me they honestly don't know whether
Parker will have q majority of $500 or
whether 1t might not be q majority that
large against him.
Voters Are Secretive.
They say tho voters are very secretve:
That undoubtedly they are talking and
arguing among themselves. but are averse
10 committing themselves when. the can
vassers come around to sound them
The improved condition In the repub-
lean prospects In the country at large is
accounted for by the untiring efforts of
the various district campaign committees
IN hyytaees. Never In any previous con-
gressional election In an ''on year. has
there been ssseh effort in the direction of
educating the voters The sum total Of
speeches and campaign documents dis
tributed from headquarters and through
these auxiliary district committees
reaches the record figure for all off years.
The tenor of this campaign literature
in the main has been to defend the ad-
ministration, the legislation of the last
Congress and to try to dissociate the
tariff and the high cost OF living; 1
In these last days of the campaign the
final effort viii be an appeal to party
regularity. In this state the republican
state chairman Is daily sounding note
of warning to republicans Of the danger
Of cutting the ticket Out west you see
Senator Cummins. the great progressive,
including the arch-enemy of the pro-
gressives, Uncle Joe Cannon, in his
plea for support by republican voters.
Contest Narrows Down.
With the republicans the fight for Con-
sress has narrowed to contest for in
dividual voters. so close is the election
going in some sections. The greatest
secrecy is maintained by the campaign
managers a. 10 the location of the dis
tricts they are working on hardest. In
those districts they are laboring secretly,
going after individual voters, pleading
and arguing.
Never in any previous congressional
election has so little money been expended
by the republicans in this. The re-
publicans simply could not get IT, for a
number of reasons, which / have de-
tailed from time 10 time.
Here are a few figures to indicate how
close the election for Congress is. based
upon the narrow pluralities i'm the last
election Bear in mind that these plurali-
ties are out of a total vote in the re-
spective districts running sometimes
high as 10000
Where Vote Is Close.