The Washington times., 1910-01-13
Insurgents and Democrats
Have Opportunity to
Obtain Majority.
FIGHT IS CLOSE
IN MANY STATES
Opposition Has But Seven to Gain
To Dominate Upper
House.
By 7. c. WELLIvER.

horsed, and TO lose control OF that
body after March (. 1911, is the pre-
diction Of many Democrats and prOgTes-
sive Republicans
The prediction is based on CslCUla-
tons Of the probable outcomes OF the
Senatorial elections next year. The
progressives consider that they are 60
ing 10 make so many gains that, while
they viii have small chance TO organize
the Senate committees two years hence.
Yet they believe that the Aidrich-Hale
forces VIII no longer :.old their ma
jority In the upper chamUer, and a COM
binatton Of Democrats and progressive
Republicans viii be strong enough in
numbers to defeat the organization at
critical times.
There are now thirty-two Democrats
and sixty Republicans IN the Senate
Counting eleven Of the Republicans in
sUrgents, the organization has forty
nine Republican votes on which It can
rely, Giving it credit, however, for the
two Louisiana Senator's. It would have
ffty-one; but these two would not be
potent 70 control the organization, be
cause they could not enter he Repub-
Icau caucus, though IN matters Of Iegis-
lstion they have been cast with the Re
PUblicans IN the recent tariff session.
More Than Enough.
On the basis. then. Of forty-nIne or
Eanization votes. the organization has
three more than enough to control the
Senate. 1t requires forty-seven votes.
iu a fun session. 10 do business. The
estimate Of eleven insurgents at the
present time includes the ten who last
summer voted against the tariff bill,
and IN addition. Senator Borah- Thers
Is q" matter OF legislation now in sight
on which these eleven could he con-
ceived as working together and in con-
junction with the entire Democracy
BEJ despite that. these eleven are re-
Garded as Insurgents, and liable 70 be
able in the futTe 10 work IN general
harmony on some propositions looking
10 overthrow Of the present OrEaniza-
ton
But assuming that there are seven
tEsurgent Republicans-that IS, the
seven who stood the test and voted
against the acceptance OF the confer
ence report on the tariff biII-then the
organization has clear majority OF
seven over the CON biuation Of insur-
gent Republicans and Democrats. The
real question IS whether there Is a
chance CT the Insurgents and Democrats
gaining that many votes
Twenty Republicans who are cIassed
- regulars viii come to the end Of
their present terms, on March L 1911
Ihey are Aldrich OF Rhode Island.
Bulkeley Of Connecticut. Burrows OF
Michigan carter Of Montana. Clark Of
Wyoming, Depew Of New York DICK OF
Ohio dU PO1t of Delaware. Flint OF
California, Hale Of Maine. Kean Of New
Jersey, Lodge Of Massachusetts,, Nc
tumoer OF North Dakota, Nixon OF Ne
yaday OnVer Of Eennsy lvania, PAGE OF
Vermont, Piles Of Washington, Scott
Of West Virginia, Sutherland OF Utah.
and Warner Of Missouri
Insurgents Who May Win.
OF that twenty. Burrows, Depew. Dick.
Flint, NcCumber, Piles, and Warner
have either hard fights to return, OF else
are out Of the race to succeed them
selves Piles is not a candidate. and
his place seems certain TO so to Pofn-
dexter, insurgent Republican, and a
fighting one at that. He is a member
Of the House, and reports from Wash
lnETon SiGEe are thar he viii win.
Flint has indicated that he viii not
"a a candidate from California, and the
Enu-SoutheTn Pacific forces in that
Sfats hope 20 make former Governor
Fardee, an insuTgent, the next Seuat tor
l1uTTOWs Is reported from Michigan 10
ne likely 10 lose TO Represent a rye
IOWnSend- Mr. Townsend is running in
Michigan as an iusurgent, but in Wash
L1Eton he has been for a year cIassi-
red as decidedly regular
senator Depew Is understood 10 be
more than willing to succeed himself.
E1t with chances decidedly against him
and in favor Of some other man equally
loEal 10 the organization succeeding
hin Dick has a hard fight in Ohio,
and NAV be succeeded BY a proZres-
sITe- MCCumber is commonly regard
cd as booked for defeat His present
colleague IS 2 Democrat. and his term
also VIII expire In the next year The
next Legislature Of North Dakota viii
nave to Senators TO elect, with the
chances that Tom Marshall and Repre-
F-rnnna
gents. Will win.
Democrat May Succeed Burkett.
Senator Burkett. OF Nebraska. who
was not one Of the seven insurgents at
the finish on the tariff bill. and is not
rcW counted an insUrgent Of the efec-
I've type. has a hard fight for re-eIec-
ion, with the chances today decidedly
favornE a Democrat succeeding him.
Senator Carter has a fight. but IT is
not so serioEs as short time ago. be-
tause President Taft has removed The
nan most meuacinE to Carter bv nam
Hunt
senator Hale has a fight on his hands
which IS attracting much attention in
New England, and which his friends
regard as serious. though II IS not be
HsEed here that Hale is in any danger
Likewise tlere has recently been a
most refna rzabse outbreak OF inSur-
AIA~9 AZ e4LuOnL. Wnlcn IS giving
TuEch concern TO the Republicans of The
organization, and might possibly,
though not probably. prevent the re-
election OF Senator Page
west virginia IS q much more prcuis-
ing state for the Democrats. because the
contest there is determined. and the
state IS not 50. Overwhelmingly Repub-
Gcsu-
The general belief is that Sutherland
viii be reelected in Utah and that a
Democrat VIII come from Missouri in
mace Of Warner.
Out OF the whole complication Of
chances, there Is considered 10 be an
even opportunity for the Democratic
iusurgent forces 10 hold majority II