The Montgomery advertiser., 1909-11-25

tive In that county than In any other in the state From the viewpoint of slate headoaarters that, is the only county In the State that may be count cd upon surely bys the amenders.
 Chambers for the first two month : Amendment. But Manager Long says the defenders In Chambers resent the infimatIon from Headquarters that Chambers may So fer the amendment. Of . certainty the defenders have rained ground there and several coun- ty oaicers have united in the predic- tion that It will vote against the amendment. But 1t is the home coun- ty Of Judge N. D. Denson. and Con- Ersssman J. Thomas Hefiin and the church is regarded as being strong in the county's political affairs.
 Macon County is doubtful, although the local defenders will resent the classification. Macon County will have . majority one way or the other of not more than seventy-1ve. The de- lenders are positive that they are go- ing to get that majority and so is the other side. ..-
 Lee County fs another probiematical county. If the reports sent in beat by beat are to be relied upon the major fly against the amendment will be more than 200. But discounting re- ports and appreciating the fact that the amenders have made a desperate nght, Lee might be considered doubt ful. with the defenders having the best of it.
 Escambia is put in the doubtful cof- umn, notwithstanding the earnesS claims of the defenders in that coun- ty. It is notable however. that the amenders have since the campaign be- gun, been stronger in Escambfa than in any county between Montgomery and Mobile. The defenders are claim ing 1t only by from fifty to 100 major ity and the amenders are laying claims to 1t by much the same majority.
 Fight tn Lawrence.
 If the defenders are not mistaken they have won, their fight In Lawrence County, but Lawrence must still be chased among the doubtful counties. The speakers who have been out in the country precincts in Lawrence return filled with absolute confidence. Depu- ty Collector of Internal Revenue Che nault. after g visit to Lawrence and other North Alabama counties returns assured that the amendment will lose in every North Alabama county. He believes, however, that the vote will be close In Morgan and in Lawrence.
 Taking these estimates by and large, discounting them as being perhaps a little partisan, the fact nevertheless re- mains that there are not fifteen coun- ties in, Alabama which, according to probabilities. will go for the amend ment. Perhaps. there are. say. eight or ten counties more likely to go for the amendment than against it.. Or going farther, say that ten counties will go for the amendment with a pos sibility of carrying five more, the gloom of the amendment leaders Is as deep as 1t ever was For in no one of the counties will they get majority of any consequence. On the other hand say that fifty counties will go against the amendment as is claimed by the more conservative defenders, those counties will Include half 6 dozen which will roll up immense majorities
 Under such circumstances the de- fender headquarters are naturally more than confident. they are jubilant.
 The defenders are recognizing this fact. of political hintory. however. in practically every prohibition election the prohibition vote has been larger than was expected. They discount this by pointing to the fact that the people of Alabama do not look upon this as a prohibition and anti-prohibition fight.