The Montgomery advertiser., 1909-10-31
As tat<restipx rirht.

4 municipal contest in New York. a city of nearly ssoDo.0oo inhabitants. is naturally interesting to the entire country. We all know a great deal about New York. just as the average Engiishnian knows much about Lon as to who will be the next mayor or the greatest American city. The elec- ton comes off next Tuesday.
 h the last mayoralty race In 1905 MMeCie,ian, Meslei Democrat. got zas, ,ooo votes: Twins. Republican. IsT.ooo, making u total of 500o0o votes.
 In the last gubernatorial contest, held at the same time as the presiden- tiai election. Chanler, Democrat, got s2o00o votes in New York City; Hughes. Republican. got as2. .0o0, and mere was scattering vote of about 57:00o. making total of 640.000.
 drew out voters who do not appear in the merely local elections. and there- fore il Is hardly possible that the vote this year will reach b40.000. It Is apt to s go oyer .s ssoSS s ooa and
 How will this vote be split up among the candidates?
 The Tammany vote may be set down at about 23o.ovo. This would leave cans. Independents and Democrats who do not affiliate with Tammany Halt, and upon whom party allegiance sits lightly Of the 370s00o voters at least publicans and 120.eoo are Independents.
 In the present contest Judge Gay nor announced htmseH as candidate Ia response to q hearty demand from with any political organization suD- eequently Tamnlany placed him at the headsof It's ticket. i, He Is therefore the Democratic candidate for mayor and vote. plus considerable part of the Independent vote. Judge Gaynor stands pre-eminently for personal liberty and thls Is apt to make him many friends among the Germans. the ties. The effort made In the latter days of the campaign to hold Tam many Hall--and especially the Jewish and Irish leaders therein--responsibie for the prostitution that exists in the This evil exists in all cities. 1t doubt less existed just as flagrantiy under the ajministration of Mayor Low as 1t has under the regime of Mayor Mc- purely. a political device. and any sensible man can see through 1t.
 Judge Gaynor ought to get the nor nal Democraticsyotsseands considerable
 Against the Democratic ticket there Is a fusion ticket which has a double head. namely Barnard the Republican, and Hearst the Franc Tireur. As Hearst Is being supported by William M. Twins, the last Republican nominee for mayor. 1t Is possible that he may take some of Bannard's Republican strength away from him. On the other hand 1t Is reasonable to suppose that Barnard will get some. of the indepen- dent vote away from Hearst. Thus ii would seem that the fusion, vote would be divided pretty. evenly be- tween Hearst and Barnard. With the Siamese Twins fighting one another for dear life, it Is hard to see how the Democratic candidate can fail to be elected.
 Judge Gaynor ought to get at leas, half of the vote cast and the other two candidates ought to eliminate one another. The general impression IS the vote he got when he was running against candidate who represented Tammany purely. He Is not likely tc receive any help from Tammany be- cause he has turned and rended the Tiger whenever he had the chance Tammany has as little to expect from Hearst as from Barnard: while from Democratic mayor Tammany men would naturally get a share of the "spoils" It is noticeable that all the independent papers that are lined uL of Barnard, none are .supportinl Hearst He however is the surprIss of New York politics, and 1t would noI be safe to make prophecies about hts strength.
 At this point of observation. how. ever, tho chances seem to favor the success of Judge Gaynor