New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1909-10-25
viii come. Barnard win have a splendid
& plurality

viii come. Barnard viii have splendid
ANOTHER FORECAST.
william Chilvers, leader Of the 2Sth
Assembly District, who is taking an ex-
cepuonally keen interest in the fight as
Mr.. Barnard lives in his district, has
made a careful study of the entire stu
alton. His analysis shows that Ban
nard will win by a large plurality. He
said last night:
The registration this year is a little
over 100000, from which not more than
$4,000 votes viii be cast. From these
$4,000 must be deducted about 10000
which are scattered each year among the
SociaHstic, Prohibition and other smaller
tickets, leaving about $4,000 votes to
be divided between Barnard, GaynOr
and Hearst.
For the last three years the normal
Republican vote in greater New York
has been 100000 This was the vote
that Governor Hughes got when he first
ran for Governor, and it was the vote
that he received last year when Chanler,
Tsmmany, the advocates of personal
liberty and the racetrack interests
formed a strong combination against
him and were confident that they could
defeat Hughes.
IF Barnard should receive only this
Hughes vote there would be 100000
votes to be divided between Hearst and
Gsynor Polls taken in different parts
Of the city. and the general sentiment,
show that Hearst will poll from 100000
10 10000 votes. Taking the smaller
figure. there would be only 10000 votes
that Gaynor could draw on.
THE SILENT VOTE
I'm addition 20 this, it must be re-
Tnenbered that there is a huge silent
vote, composed OF the independent and
conservative Democrats and the bust
ness men Of both parties, which elected
Mcclellan four years ago, and which
under no condition will vote for radical
men or geysers. Mr.. Hearst is every
where regarded as a radical, and the
same objection applies more strongly to
Mr. Gaynor. who has further alienated
this vote from him by his irrsscibility,
violence and exhibitions of his tempera-
ment This large silent vote must OF
necessity 90 to Mr.. Barnard. for he is
the only conservative candidate in the
field. and the only one whose candidacy
inspires the respect of thoughtful bust
ness men.
while there may be a few defections
from the Republican ranks. they are
outweighed a hundredfoId by the acces-
sions Of business men and conservative
Democrats.
while the two radical candidates are
waving their hands and abusing each
other, Mr.. Barnard is quietly going into
the sister boroughs and through the East
and West sides of Manhattan, addressing
thousands upon thousands of the people.
His candidacy is inspiring the respect of
all classes of persons and his election is
thoroughly assured.
Judge Gaynor is not popular in Tam
many Hall circles; the rank and file are
suspicious Of him and OF his sincerity,
and there are many objections urged
against him.
with regard 10 the rest of the ticket,
its election is not only assured but pri-
vately. conceded by Tammany Hall.
Tammany Hall captains and high Tam
many officials in the city department
have stated that they have no hope for
their city, county and borough tickets.
With a great ground swell irresistibly
rising for Barnard. with Hearst making
"A splendid fight which win poll him
100000 TO 10000 votes, and with all
these Hearst and Barnard votes piling
up for the fusion ticket, we shall have
a landslide that has never been equalled
in The city-one that viii bury Tammany
Hall forever and give us a splendid ad-
ADMINISTRATION that will extend beyond
Tafts term as President and relieve us
of waste, incapaeity and graft for four
long years to COME