Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1909-10-31
DECLINES TO PREDICT
Tammany Leader Withholds
Estimates on the Election.
WILL NOT GIVE FIGURES
Declares He Has No Doubt of Gay.
nor Winning.
BARNARD COUNTS ON SUCCESS
Chairman Gehring Of Civic Alliance
Says Hearst Will Have a
Majority.
BARNARD COUNTS ON SUCCESS

Special Dispatch TO The Star.
NEW YORK. October 3O.-Charles F.
Murphy. the Tammany leader, reconsid-
cred today his promise made a week ago
that he would give out on the Saturday
before election his forecast of the result.
The district leaders were called together
today, as usual. and they handed in their
estimates. After the meeting Mr.. Murphy
refused to make any prediction.
THE leaders handed in their reports in
sealed envelopes he told the reporters.
land the envelopes We're not opened. So
can't say just what the leaders think the
vote for Gaynor will be in this county"
Perhaps Mr.. Murphy did not know that
several of the envelopes wereNo pened and
read. What the figures in them were
Tom Smith. secretary OF the executive
committee. refused to divulge, and 1t was
also ascertained that the leaders had been
directed not to talk Of what happened at
the meeting. The only leader who al
lowed himself to speak was Arthur III.
Murphy of the thirty-fourth district. who
is the Tammany candidate for president
OF the Bronx.
81 don't want to say anything about the
situation in Manhattan" he said, DE
cause 1t Is not my borough. but 1 will say
that l will beat Haffen and carry the
Bronx by a plurality of 1900"
When Mr.. Murphy was asked after the
meeting why he was disinclned to give
out the figures he said that he had not
had time to 60 through them.
Will Not Disclose Figures.
will you give them out tomorrow"
he was asked.
'sNo" he replied
"Can we get them on Monday" the
reporters asked.
NO.. was the answer, Il haven't Civ
en- out figures for two or three years past
and I'm not going to give out any this
year"
Didn't you like the reports that were
handed in this afternoon"
Il haven't seen 'em, so how can / say
what they will show? I'll go through
them tomorrow. but L will have nothing
to say about them"
Mr.. Murphy said in reply to further
prodding that he had no doubt that Gay
nor would win by a substantial plural
ity and he added that the developments
of the campaign led him to think that
Hearst would run second.
viii Hearst be a close second?' 1t
was suggested.
Hearst will be second, but he will be
far enough behind Gaynor to prevent
any doubt of the election of the judge,
was Mr.. Murphy's reply. He refused to
discuss the prospects of the borough and
county i.ckets.
Bannard's Estimate.
Otto T. Barnard, the republican candi-
date, said that he felt assured that he
would be elected. He and his campaign
managers have worked it out that this
will be the result of the election: Ban
nard. 25s. 600: Gaynor, 2O7, 600, ana Hearst,
l25.O0O Chairman Parsons of the repub-
lican county committee will not have
his figures ready until tomorrow.
Chairman Charles f. Gehring of the
civic alliance said: Mr.. Hearst will
have a majority of all the votes cast.
From every quarter of the city polls have
been received, showing conclusiyely that
this prediction can be made. L believe
that not only will Mr. Hearst be elected.
but that the entire fusion ticket will be
swept in with him."
John +. Calvin, democratic candidate
for president of the board of aldermen.
made this prediction tonight: LAS a re-
suit of a careful canvass l predict that
Judge Gaynor, Mr.. Moore and myself
will have vote in the greater city OF
335 900; that Mr.. Barnard will receive
175OO0. and Mr. Hearst 6O,OD. That
means that the democratic city ticket
will win by a majority over the other
two candidates of 100000.
Giving Odds on Gaynor.
The betting today on the result of the
election indicated that Tammany had
small hope of electing its county ticket.
The odds on Charles s. Whitman, the
fusion candidate for district attorney.
were quoted at = to 1, and the 3 to 2 on
Gaynor OF yesterday was not bettered
today. Tammany betters believe that
Gaynor will slide through, but that he
will have a fusion county ticket-and
thus a fusion board of estimate-behind
him.
Hearst Takes a Rest.
Hearst was the only one of the trio
who did not speak tonight. William j.
.Gaynor spoke at an uptown riding acad-
envy, and Barnard delivered six speeches
the principal one of which was at Cooper
Union.
Judge Gaynor will hold his final meet
ing Monday night in Harlem. Hearst
will close his campaign at Madison
Square Garden tomorrow night.
At Cooper Union tonight Mr.. Barnard
said.
Without hesitation L have publicly
stated my views upon all questions peril
nent to my candidacy. NV habit of mind