The Birmingham age-herald., 1908-10-05
MUCH REJOICING
 AMONG DEMOCRATS
Republican Election Estimates
 Are Made Very Low
TAFT'S DEFEAT INDICATED
Republican Congressional Committee Is Violating Law in Sending Out Literature Under the
 Franking Privilege.

Chicago, October 4.-(Special.) )-Demo- crats have found cause for much rejoie- l ing in the estimates of republican major ities in certain states recently made by i Chairman Hitchcock of the republican na- tional committee. According to their an alysis of Mr Hitchcocks figures he prac- tical1y comedies the defeat of MT Taft. | q see that MT. Hitchcock has made an estimate of republican majorties in seven western states" said MT. Josephus Daniels, chairman of the publicity bureau of the national committee, in discussing the matter. "If his figures are accurate, MT. Hitchcock in effect comedies the de-, feat of the republican candidate. In the seven states which he mentions Cali fornia, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, ore gon, Washington and Wyoming, MT. Hitchcock's estimates show average falling off in the republican vote of ap- proximately 15 1-3 per cent. If the aver l age republican loss in states which he still claims as certain for Taft is 15 l-3 per cent, then there Is good reason for believ- | ing that this proportion of loss will hold | good in states which are admitted to be | doubtful Applying the b 1-3 per cent | republican loss, which also means a 10 l-S | per cent democratic gain, to those doubt 1 full states, we find that New York will 1 be democratic by S7000 West Virginia by | 5000. Indiana by 1e,000, Maryland by l3OOO, ] Delaware by 25O0 and Missouri by 7OOo0. | The electoral votes of these six states, | added to the seven from Oklahoma, which 1 are conceded to the democrats, would | bring MT. Bryan's vote in the electoral | college up to 230.
 Tn addition to these states, republicans admit that Nevada, with three votes, is | assuredly democratic Then take Mon tana. In 1900 MT. Bryan polled 2OOO more l votes in that state than did MT. Roose- | welt in 1904. If Taft should get every | vote in Montana that Roosevelt got and | Bryan should get no more than he did in 1900, Bryan will carry the state As no | one believes that Taft can possibly be as | strong in Montana as Roosevelt was, that l state, too, must be conceded to Bryan, bringing his total up to 236. or within SIX | of a majority. Carrying the percentage | proposition little further, MT. Hitch cocks figures give New Jersey to Taft by only 5000 and Connecticut by only 4oOO If MT. Taft's election depends upon | these slender majoritIes in these two | states, it is virtually concession that ne 1 is defeated But Nebraska, Whlch MT. l Hitchcock's figures would put in the Ta1t , column. is assuredly democratic. The 1 state has eight votes and these without | New Jersey and Connecticut would pc 1 enough to elect Bryan, to say notning or | the other long list of states such as | Ohio, Kansas. North and South DaKota' 1 Colorado. and others which the demo- crats are going to carry this year
 But in some particulars MT. Hitchcock ! is even more liberal than we would ASK | him to be. Take New York as an eA- ] ample, Four years ago Roosevelt carried it by 175, ,OO0 Of this majority 5oooo votes, making difference of 100000 in the totai' 1 were bought by the s260,0oo which NIT. | Hartman raised at the eleventh hour or 1 the campaign. MT Hartman says so himself. In his Webster letter he declares uneouivocally that the money as used changed 5O,OO0 votes in New fork clty alone Without Harriman's money the Roosevelt majority would have been oniy 1 75 ooo So that if MT. Hitchcock will con- cede only a republican loss of per cent not 15. we will shall carry New York
 with it's B electoral votes. Yes, MT. Hitch , coclx's estimate is an admission or the election of Bryan"
 The renublican congressional committee,
 which has been dominated by law -defylng | thing like violating federal statute. me | committee has gone ahead this year as III former years sending out campaign nter- ature in violation of the franking priV- ilege. An instance has just been disclosed wherein the frank of Congressman Will liam D. Mckinley of Illinois, chairman Of the republican congressional campaign committee, was used in sending to voters unfrankable material The speech Of l Congressman Edward L. Taylor Of ono. on "the colored vote Is pelng sent | broadcast under a congressional frank. l This Is all right since that particular | sneech is franxable matter. but in the | envelope containing the appeal for the | oolored yote'' are the following pamph- lets which are not entitled to go througn n the mails free of cost William Howard | Taft. a Man Who Has Done Things, | ..yvil,iam HI Taft, an Appreciation" by | the Rev. Lyman Abbott. D. D.; 'Christian | Missions and Civilization by the Hon. | William H. Taft; Address of James S.
 sherman in Response to Notincatlon l Speech Al. 1 Every instance of this violation Of the | franking privilege saves the republican
 party 4 cents.
 Recent newspaper contributions to the Bryan and Kern campaign fund are:
 Rock Mountain News, Denveryr .S1l, All .s5
 Daily States, New Orleans n,y92 I9
 The Commoner, Lincoln 5000. .O0
 Commercial Appeal Memphis :. 7,697 10
 rrbe Post Houston :. . :. .. :. 4,670. 50
 Eventne Times. Buffalo . .. :. .. 4000. .00
 WorIdHerald. Omaha . .. .. .. 3,O00. .00
 Daily Oklahoman, Oklahoma City 2,942. 10 The State, Columbia, s. c. 2,5S5 .25
 News and Observer, Raleigh, N. C. 2,2O0 "a
 Tin,es Detroit :. :. .. .. ], ,994. .25
 rrhe Tennessean, Nashville ;. :. :. 1,512 50
 Ixnoxville Sentinel, Knoxville :. :. 1,293 20 The Bulletin. Bloomington .. :. .. S42. .0O
 Montgomery Advertiser, Mont
 gomery, Ala 54o.50
 Shreveport Times, Shreveport 460.00
 Telegram, Greensboro, N. c. 400. 25
 Advertiser, Huntington, w. Va. 3S5 .25
 $65, ,O93 .24
 Every voter in the city of Dixie, La, l contributed $1 each to the Shreveport Times fund. There are 200 papers through