The Richmond palladium and sun-telegram. [volume] (Richmond, Ind.) 1907-1939, 1908-10-24
Man Who Gets Electoral Vote
OF Empire State Will
Be President.
EFFORTS CENTERED THERE.
GLANCE BACK INTO POLITICAL
HISTORY WARRANTS ASsER-
TIoN-oTHER GOSSIP FROM MA
TIONAL CAPITAL.
Special to Palladium.

Washington, Oct 24.-Keep your
eye on New York! Now that the cam
paign has rounded itself into shape,
politicians generally are agreed that
the man who gets the electoral vote
of the Empire state will be the next
president. From now on republican
and democratic managers alike will
center their efforts on the New York
fight.
1t is an old saw of politics that as
New York goes SO goes the nation, but
this is not of necessity true. Four
years ago Roosevelt could have given
Parker New York's 80 electoral votes
and still have had the comfortable
college. You often hear it declared
that New York is necessary to the
success of this candidate or is not
necessary to the success of that one.
AS a matter of fact, New York's vote
is never necessary to the success of
presidential candidate-provided he
gets enough votes to elect him without
New York. The point is that the con-
ditions which will turn New York one
way or the other are certain to over
flow into and affect the result in 9TH
er states, and enough other states to-
gether with New York to determine
the result
Hence the saying that as New York
goes SO goes the nation. A glance
back at political history will show
that this is warranted. In 1876 Tilden
carried New York and Hayes was in
augurated president, having finally
been declared to have a majority of
one in the electoral college. Since
then New York has been an unerring
barometer. Garfield carried it in
1880, and was elected; Cleveland car
ried it in 1884, and was elected; Harri-
son carried 1t in 1883, and was elect
ed; Cleveland carried it in 1892, and
was elected; Mckinley carried it in
1895 and again in 1900 and Roosevelt
carried it in 1904.
Yet we find that in each of these
cases the successful candidate would
have been successful even without the
vote Of New York, though in 1884
Cleveland would have had but one
vote to spare without the SO electoral
votes New York then had In all 9TH
er cases the successful candidate
would won by a comfortable margin
had New York's vote been entirely eli
minated from the contest. Had New
York's vote not been counted in 1880
Garfield still would have had mar
gin of 81; Harrison would have had
20 in 1888: Cleveland "A in 1892; Nc.
Kinley SO in 1896 and 101 in 1900,
while Roosevelt would have had 11S in
1904. In 1880, 1884 and 1883, there
fore, had New Yorks vote been given
to the opposing candidate Garfield,
Cleveland and Harrison would have
lost, while in 1892, 1896, 1900 and 1904
Cleveland, Mckinley and Roosevelt
would have won had New York been
carried by their opponents.
When politicians say this year that
as New York goes so will go the nation
they mean in the sense that it deter
mined the result in 1880, 1884 and
1888 and not in the general sense that
It will indicate the drift of sentiment,
as In the subsequent elections.
The diplomatic world holds the
opinion that the next acquisition of
territories by the United States will
be in the West Indies and that Santa
Domingo will be the particular piece
of real estate to come under the Am
erican flag. We are busy down there