The Barre daily times. (Barre, Vt.) 1897-1959, 1908-10-26
New York Herald Canvass
Gives Him Lead
0F3SM0RE THAN MAJORITY
Careful Canvass Credits Taft with $50
Electoral votes-Concedin Doubt
full States to Bryan, He is
n Votes Behind.
The Probable Result.

iptoi fpNts Ni'NtoiNl VViiVkV s'ss'' 10
Necessary to a choice ....,.a... "a.
Reasonably sure for Taft ......... 2Sl
Reasonably sure for Bryan ..... Isl
Doubtful ....................,. a
Taft's lead over votes needed 49,. 8;
Taft's indicated plurality in New
YORK $3.50. ......,.....,......S O,5Ot
Governorship of New York neck snc
neck.
House Of Representatives Republican
For many years the prediction can.
vases OF the New York Herald have
been received with great interest, as
they have been characterized by careful
detail and impartiality. In years past
they have proven strikingly accurate.
This year The Herald has conducted
q thorough canvass Of all the states, and
its conclusion is that Taft win defeat
Bryan. The Herald claims no more for
its canvass than the fact that it has
been taken with absolute impartiality
and by trained observers.
Gives $50 Votes to Taft.
Without making any positive predic-
ton and basing its conclusion on the
reports Of correspondents connected with
ii and three great Western papers, with
which it has elaborated, The Herald
shows that William II. Taft is reason
ably sure of $50 votes in the electoral
college.
The reports Of the trusted corTespon.
dents on which this estimate is based
have been carefully checked by other re-
ports from independent sources.
William j. Bryan is quite certain to
receive 1856 electoral votes, 20 votes are
with Democratic tendency,
while 20 are doubtful and more likely
to go to the Republicans. If Mr. Bryan
should succeed in carrying all the doubt
full states he would have 203 electoral
less than his Republican com.
petitor.
The canvass also forecasts that the
will probably carry the
House of representatives.. The indicated
strength OF the respective parties is;
2l9; Democratic, l72. There
ire % doubtful districts with Repub-
lean tendencies and 20 with Democratic
tendencies.
Hughes Has Close Fight in New York.
New York is one OF the states that
s classed for Taft. His plurality will
probably be quite large.
The contest for governor of New York
s apparently exceedingly close, with the
ide setting in Governor Hughes direc.
ion.
Two weeks ago the Herald's prehmi-
larry canvass showed Mr.. Chanler in the
cad. The Herald pointed out, however,
hat the opposition to Governor Hughes
lad reached its greatest development in
he early part OF the campaign, and that
he Republicans built great hopes on his
proposed whirlwind tour Of the state, it
icing admitted that Mr.. Hughes was
me of the greatest campaigners of his
generation.
1t now looks as if the fight for the
will not be settled until
he ballots are cast.
Possibility of Bryan Landslide.
1t is only fair to say that under
resent conditions, on the heels OF a
anic, with a large number of working
nen unemployed, with labor in an UNI
ettled frame of mind regarding where
is interests lie, and with Mr.. Bryan
making a sensational campaign in an
fort to shake the East there is still
he possibility of a landslide which might
lect the Democratic candidate, but can
or and fairness require The Herald to
ay that there does not seem to be a
trong probability of such landslide.
Mr. Bryan and his national committee
ave in the canvass which has been con-
ucted for the purpose Of this forecast |
cen treated with great fairness. The
Terald has been committed to neither |
andidate, being an independent news
aper, pledged to its constituents to
i've the news without bias. The Chi |
ago Record Herald, which has conducted |
campaign in portion of the middle |
Vest and in the Northwest, is an indie |
endent newspaper rather inclined |
oward the Republican candidate The
incinnati Enquirer, which has made the
oil in Ohio, Indiana and the border
tates, is an Independent newspaper fire.
uently with Democratic leannigs. The
t. Louis Republic, which had charge Of
ebatable Missouri and Kansas, Is a
trong supporter of the Democracy, but
rst of all newspaper.
The object in organizing the investi-
alton into political conditions was first
all to cover the country and get at
ne real political drift. In order to do
his, each of the newspapers engaged in
lie work spent many thousands Of dol
rs. They sent forth special investi-
ltors, trained correspondents and reli-
BILE canvassers. Thousands of straw
1tes were taken in each of the doubtful
ates. Factories, railroads, exchanges
hole villages, various classes of pro-
,ssional men and mechanics received
allots and marked the candidates for
HON they intended to vote this year
nd for whom they voted in the last
residential and state campaigns. In
inc of the states the investigation was
,ntinued much longer than had origi-
lilly been planned, in order that the
,ntiment both before and after Mr..
RYAN and Mr. Taft had made their
'urs could be ascertained All possible