The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-05
DEMOCRATS
 REJOICING In Estimates of Repub
 Majorities. MIR. HlTcHcecK's FIGURES The Defeat of Mr. Taft is Prac-
 tically Conceded. Some Interesting Political Gossip of the Two Leading Parties-Things Look Exceedingly Brisht
 for Democrats.

Chicago, Oct. 4.--(Special. )-Demo-
 scrats have found cause for much re- l joicing In the estimates of Republican 1 majorities In certa States recently
 made O. Chairman Hitchcock of the l Republican National Committee | According to their analysis of Mir. l Hitchcocks figures, he practically
 comedies the defeat of Mir. Taft. T see that MT. Hitchcock has made
 an estimate of Republican majorities l in seven Western States" said MT. l Publicity Bureau of the National Com mittee, In discussing the matter. 'If 1 his figures are accurate, Mir. Hitchcock. l in effect, comedies the defeat of the Republican candidate. ln the seven | States which he mentions, California. l Colorado, Idaho, Montana. oregon. l Washington, and Wyoming, MT. Hitch I cocks estimates show an average falling off in thes Republican vote of I approximately Is Ia per cent. If the | average Republican loss in States which he still claims as certain for
 Taft Is Is l-3 per cent, then there is | good reason for believing that this | proportion of loss will hold good in | States which are admitted to be doubt
 fuf. Applying the 15 1-3 per cent Re- | publican loss, which also means 8 | 15 1-3 per cent Democratic gain. to l those doubtful States, we ind that ! New York will be Democratic by S7,000. West Virginia by 5000, Indiana by l 19,000, Maryland by 13,000, Delaware
 by 2,5OO and Missouri by 7o.000 The electoral votes of these hfx States
 added to the seven from Oklahoma. which are conceded to the Democrats. | would bring Mir. Bryan's vote in the electoral college up to 2S0.
 States for Bryan.
 "In addition to these States. Re- publicans admit that Nevada with three votes Is assuredly Democratic. Then take Montana: In 1900 MT. Bryan boiled 5000 more votes in that State than did MT. Roosevelt in 1904. If Taft should get every vote in Mon. l tana that Roosevelt got, and Bryan should get no more than he did in 1900, Bryan will carry the State. As
 no one believes that Taft can possibly be as strong Tn Montana as Roosevelt l was, that State, too, must be con- cede6 to Bryan, bringing his total up to 236, or within six of a majority. Carrying the percentage proposition 1 A little further, MT. Hitchcock's figures give New Jersey to Taft by only 5000, l and Connecticut by only 1000. If Mir. Taft's election depends upon these it is virtually a cohcessi6n that he is defeated. But Nebraska. which Mir. | Hitcheockts figures would put in the 1 Taft column. is assuredlly Democratic. l The State has eight votes and these without New Jersey ana Connecticut.
 would be enough to elect Bryan. to
 say nothing of the other long list of
 States, such as Ohio. Kansas. North and South Dakota, Colorado and others which the Democrats are going to carry this year.
 "But in some particulars Mir. Hitch cock Is even more liberal than we
 would ask him to be. Take New York
 as an example. Four years ago Roose- | welt carried it by 175.0O0. Of this ma joritY k0,Oa0 votes making a difference ] of 100000 otn the total were bought | bx s the1 S2S0,o00 which Mir. Hartman 1 raised at the eleventh hour of the cam | paign.- Mir. Hartman says so himself. | In hfs Webster letter, he declares un- l equivocally that the money as used changed 60,000 votes in New York City alone. Without Harriman's money, the Roosevelt majority would have been only 75,000. So that if Mir Hitchcock will concede only a Republican loss of | i've per cent-not ifteen--we shall carry New York with its thirty-nine electoral votes. Yes. Mir. Hitchcock's estimate is an admission of the election of Bryan"
 Violating Federal Statute. | The ua5 8O4C AtlUG0 Int5 year as in former years sending out campaign literature in violation of the
 franking privilege. An instance has l Just been disclosed wh erin the frank of Congressman William D. Mckinley. of Illinois. chairman of the Republican Congressional Committee, was used in sending to voters unfrankable material.
 The speech of Congressman Edward ! L. Taylor. of Ohio. on the coiored vote" Is being sent broadcast under l a Congressional frank. This Is all right since that particular speech Is frankabls matter. but in the envelope
 containing the appeal for "the colored
 vote," are the following pamphlets
 which are not entitled to go through l the malls free of cost. William How
 ard Taft. a Man who Has Done
 Things" "william H. Taft. An Appre-
 ciation." by Rev. Lyman Abbott. D. D.. Christian Missions and Civilization" by the Hon. William H. Taft. "Ad-
 dress of James s. sherman in Response
 to a Notification Speech"
 Every instance of this violation of the franking privilege saves the Re- publican party four cents.
 Newspaper Contributions.
 Recent newspaper contributions to
 the Bryan and Kern campaign fund are:
 Rocky Mountain News. Den
 Daily States. New Orleans. Il,092 7s FlF1. fNrzv,a Al