Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1908-10-19
NEW YORK'S SO VOTES
Barrier That the Democrats
Must Overcome.
RISE OF THE TAFT TIDE
N. O. M. Finds That Ohioans s
Strength Grows Steadily.
FEAR OF BRYAN DOMINATING
News From the Middle West Still
Keeps Republican Managers
Uneasy.
RISE OF THE TAFT TIDE
FEAR OF BRYAN DOMINATING
Special From a Staff Correspondent

Special From STAFF Correspondent.
NEW YORK October 19-Figure and
count. cast up and recast as they will.
the democratic managers cannot strike a
balance showing Bryans election without
New Yorks thirty-nine electoral votes.
From whatever direction they approach
the White House, they find the path
blocked by that fateful '39' And they
do not see how they are to get it out of
the way
Bryan Is basing his confidence of cleo
tion upon substantial hope in Indiana
upon reasonable expectancy in Ohio. TAX
ing in consideration the many existing
elements unfavorabe to the republicans;
upon a vague and altogether nebulous
theory in Wisconsin of La Toilette treach-
cry: of personal popularity in Kansas. and
of a general something in the air. indi-
eating landslide in other states.
Indications are that he will be disap-
pointed in Ohio and Indiana: 1t is almost
a certainty that he is counting without his
host in Wisconsin,, and the republicans
claim Kansas confidently.
But, if he should carry Indiana and
Ohio. and lose New York. he will still be
without majority in the electoral col
lege. He would have to take out the
whole middle west In one grand sweep to
win without New York.
And every day. al the election draws
nearer, that ''thrty-nine' looms larger as
menace to the Bryanites. There is no
mistaking the steady rise of the Taft tide
i'm this state. The volume of the vote
promises to sweep over and submerge the
hostile labor element, the opposing rail-
road vote and even the unemployed
Taft Growing Stronger.
The Taft vote Is swelling and surging
among the great conservative classes of
this majestic state and In this teeming.
busy. thinking. reading population. Be-
ginning with the small merchants in the
towns and cities, the men who are accus-
toned to figure closely. sail close to the
wind and take few chances, then through
the clerks, professional men and up to
the fnanciers, capitalists and investors,
the tide is sweeping on and reaching out
into the country. where 1t Is gathering In
the farmers, always conservative In TINS
part of the country.
And what Is the dominating sentiment
which is producing this state of feeling?
Fear of Bryan's stability and consistency,
apprehension that his election would un-
settle business. depreciate values. make
hard times harder and imperil the jobs
that are now held Contrasted with this
fear is confidence in Taft's conservatism
and kind of superstitious belief in the
republican party's luck and Its associa-
ton with prosperity.
am not writing a brief for the republ-
can. party or making stump Speech OUT
simply trying to describe the mental proc
ess which is making toward the probable
retention of New York state In the re-
publican column in this presidential cam
paign. 7 am trying to show how II Is uh-
likely that New York will be carried Tor
cd
New York. and barring a landslide. there
is no prospect of Bryan securing enough
votes outside of New York TO win the
White House
Vigorous Fight in New York.
Now, in order to discount the effect Of
a partial landslide in the west. every ef-
fort is to be made by the republicans to
button up New York state so tight that
not an ELECTORAL vote can be swiped from
old Father Knickerbocker's jeans by dem
ocratic searchers. This will be done by
throwing all the energies Of the national
campaign with overwhelming and crush
ing force into New York state in the
closing days
There is no question now that money In
plenty for legitimate campaign expenses
will be forthcoming. The best speakers
all the resources of a competent and we'll
equipped literary bureau. the utmost en-
deavor of a masterful state machine. will
be utilized to mold public opinion and
to bring out the vote
1t is within the range of possibilities
that Gov. Hughes may go by the board
indeed. he has been on the seamy side
all throughput at the same time. It
might turn out that the Taft vote will
be so large as to carry him through.
There is not the slightest doubt that
in Greater New York Tammany will
sacrifice Bryan votes for Chanler and its
local tickets if the republicans will trade
1'an
Bryan TO be unlikely or difficult. Tam
many will do as it has done scores OF
times before and save its own bacon in a
swap. And every such swap will mean
another vote for Taft.
In the Middle West.
The news from the west is still of
character to keep the republican man.
ayers active. although as stated in these
dispatches last week, republican pros
poets are steadily improving in Ohio and
Indiana. the two states where the great
est danger is admitted to exist.
1t is interesting TO look back and see
how the pendulum has swung in those
TWO states. Four weeks ago Indiana
was hopeless. In the opinion OF candid
republican observers in that state, ana
Ohio seemed TO he all right. Suddenly
the confidence in Ohio caved in like
breaking through an egGshell The re-
publicanS got TO work and began patch
ing up the shell The work is progress
Ing slowly but steadily. and the best and
most conservative reports from the Buck
eye state Indicate that il will go for
Taft. In the meantime Indiana has
picked up 10 such an extent that the
republicans are now hoping for their
state ticket as we'll the national ticket
Chairman Mack's Confidence.
Mr. Norman f. Mack. chairman of the
democratic national committee. returned
today from Chicago headquarters. full of
hope and high resolution. He is conf
IDENTIFY claiming New York. Ohio and In
diana.
Chairman Mack made a drive at the
merchants and manufacturers who are
said To be trying TO intimidate labor the
manufacturers by threatening to close
or not TO reopen in event OF Bryan's cleo
ton and the merchants who are giving
orders. subject 10 cancellation on Bryan
victory.
The democratic national committee re-
ceived today by cable from Richard
Croker in Dublin. a contribution of 81 OOD