The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-20
A WHIRLWIND FINISH
WILL IT HE A LANDSLIDE OR PO-
 LITKOAL CHAOSs
Great Struggle of the Campaign to Re Waged Uhti Election Day In
 New York State.
Washington Special to N. '. Herald

w cHfA " 8tgta- GttfsNtoA stO A+
 There are political conditions in the are signs In New York presaginy po- iiti9a ca sa chaos opyicnsly resIGsne # MT nTyah must be landslide, or. rather ,an avalanche, in the direction of the Dem ocratic party. Ee can do nothing un- normal. On the surface MT. Taft is creeping nearer and nearer the goal of PAP electoral votes. According to The votes. polls. reports, opinions, wagers and general evidence on which news; paper must depend, outside of political committees that are always biased.
 states that are Doubtful.
 States that The Herald feels justified in chasing as doubtful with Republi- can b3, leasn,inss hSxe sixtysisht eiec10ss, tors thirty nine Electors. states that are regarded by The Herald as doubtful and in the balance number but two these. singularly enough. are in the East. One of them, Delaware, was last week classified as Republican. while classificd as Democratic.
 MT. Taft in order to win must get thirty eight donL tful electoral votes. MT Bryan to win must get eighty-one
 To be specific. in describing the shift ing of States that has taken place in SCtGH udy5. WHtlG OeldWdfGt WlIH lhlC CS electors has been dropped out of the Republican column, Idaho and Utah, with three electors each, and Wiscon- a he is Ta sh aryaSd hayf oSen wtS ght electors, has been lifted out of the Bryan oS column u1 ana Nevada. with three.
 Indiana, Kansas. New York and South Dakota, with sixty-eight elec- tors. have been chased as doubtful with Republican. lsanings, and Cobra
 
 thirty nine electoral votes. have been classified as doubtful with Democratic leantngs
 Not Given as a Prophecy.
 The aboye distribution. of electoral face indications. 1t is in no sense a prediction, The Herald not yet entering the realm of prophecy. If there is a Mes dad for in NJ New Ryen ypk in of hs mfdf proportions to upset all calculations-- such landslide, flor instance. as oc- cured in ls92-Mr. Bryan will be Is landslide for Mir. Taft, MT Bryan on election night will scarcely run better than he did in 1900.
 Everything depends upon the under current. If 1t Is true that Mir. Bryan is holding the great mass of the labor vote;, If 1t is true that all of the men tober or on reduced time are going to vote the Democratic ticket; if 1t is true that President Roosevelt has lost his influence with the masses and also gro vote Is going against the Republi- can. national ticket-then, indeed. the men f1ens whe h5ye been betting on cleo signs of Republican success will be dimmed by the Bryan bonflres on Nov. :.
 New York storm Center.
 New York is to be the center of the conflict at the very end of the cam paign. MT. Bryan. it is said, now re- alizes that he must have the thirty nine electoral votes of New York or he cannot be elected to the Presidency. Judge Taft, it Is understood, realizes If he loses New York he will lose his States in the Middle West, Delaware. Maryland and. perhaps New Jersey and Rhode Island in the East, and will The strategy of the last two weeks of the campaign, therefore, surrounds preparing during the week and viii further prepare next week to attend to such odds and ends" thro,--Iout so that they can forget I the rest nsceSSs of thss United States in the last six or eight days of the canvass and Ego after" New York In deadly earnest.
 MT. Taft has been through Ohio seeking to wrest 1t from the unfor- tunate condition In which bad party politics has placed it and make 1t safe followed this up with A hurried excur- sion through the South. and will next go into Maryland and West Virginia, traii which the Repubiiossn "ca candidate % mas just been making.
 Indications Favor Taft.
 The betting favors MT. Taft in New fork: MT: Bryan Is counting on carry
 a the uproaH saaa thrGSga tn Nsa So4S SFsPS cSS $ Ho the other cities of the State. He hopes to poll the solid laboring vote. which been largely Republican, and add that to the normal Democratic vote. Con Seryative estimates as to the present outlook JOG M in New York are that the State
 This situation might speedily shift under the excitement of the last few days of the campaign. because poiiti- cal sentiment in a campaign runs in waves, and great political battles have been won and lost in weeks time. :, A hurried survey of the country out existing conditions. There is admitted to be considerable unrest in New Jer- sey' No one yet knows exactly what Roosevelt in 1904 had a plurality of 90.00O. That must be overcome if Bryan gets the State. The general Taft. but the Republicans will count Themselves lucky if they get 25.OO0 There has been considerable trouble in Pennsylvania especially in Pitts burg. No one imagines for a moment that the State is doubtful. Senator Knox estimates Taft's plurality at 3O0,000.
 Trouble in Delaware.
 Delaware has suddenly become a de- batable State owing to the pustipR of T. Coleman DuPont from national h cad quarters the recognition by the admin istration of J. Frank Alice, the nomlna- ton by Republicans of a wretchediy weak ticket and the diSsa tisfaction of workingmen In Wilmington. In addition to that the State has been cor rupted by the use of money at cleo tions and cash will be needed In order to poll the vote
 Maryland has become a doubtful state whereas a week ago 1t was con sidered safely Democratic. The swing tn ere at the moment Is towards Taft The Herald polls show this: Indiscrim- mate straw votes reaching all classes gave Taft small majority. The thea hU ba Ia Ilul