The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-18
Incidents and Opinions Throwing Light on
 The National Contest

making for Bryan among the people who make up the base of the pyramid of the social stfuctnre. McKinley's plurality of 17.000 in these sixty coun- ties may easily be-. supmersed Tax ing the States as whole. an ayerage change of about eight votes t0 ths pre- cinstmslght cIsrco,sg l. xotes sgs 9gt of sSo-woIld saloons alone will produce pre- babiy one-half of that ch.-nye in their man ipulation of the floating Vote. General conditions threaten to produce the re-
 Over q Million Votes sWm Be Cast.
 considering now the whole mass of voters in Ohio. we find a. probability Both the Socialist and Prohibition vot- CTS will increase, and both will draw most from the Republfc,.ss The h. ddepenaenes party vote VIII be small. naaWlng nart,an about equally from the other about equally divided, Republican and Democratic. comparison Icing made with 1900. Virtually every man who voted vote , for Bryan E eight years age. wilt changes from him; all the changes are the other way. Bryan is still in ,iis., favor, with the business !. 4terests. but that IS not 2 loss to. him. They were gain for him. They are not as active or intense In their oppositiou as they were They are making fewer md rssolsr efforts to- influence the men whom they employ. e @tfe.45N \
 LOW many votes Is Bryan likely to gain through the influences which are at work for him. There Is no possi- niiltX of giving more than an ap- pfoximation. The exact ecienca Of mathematics cannot of course be.ap- piled here. We must guess The man, agers Of the political machines with all their organization and polls have nor nor ascertained. They, too. are guess
 Bryan Looming Up In Ioua.
 Dea Moines Special to Louisville
 Courier-Journai.
 one of 1874 to carry Iowa for MT. Bryan, and yet 1t can be expected. i. The normal Republican majority of fhis state Is about 7e,eos, though MT. Then he did not receive any more votes than did MT. AlcKlRleX tue four years previous. The reason for this abnor- nal plurality for Roosevelt four years fully 7s,ooo, remained aawy from the polls. and 1t Is said here. that at least 20ea0 if not more. voted for the Re- publican candidate ..~t.s..4-4
 The Democratic leaders T have talked to here do not believe they can carry the State for Bryan, although they have hopes that the unexpected, may happen.
 At Des Moines I talked with a num- her of leading Democrats and also many Republicans. The Democrats all, claim, and present facts to sustain their claim, that they will make Ire. mendous gains, but whether sufficient or not to overcome the heavy Repub- lieafi pluralities in previous years they do not know. As the Republicans. they admit that the Democratic gain will ba large. but laugh at the idea of Mr Bryan carrying the State.
 Democrats WiH Gain 100000.
 For the first time in my travels, I find two different aspects of the polit- ical situation. While in Ohio. Indiana, and Illinois the Democratic candidates for Governor are conceded to be stronger than the Democratic candi- date for President, yet here Mir. Bryan Is very much stronger, I should say from 25.000 to 3e.000 more votes than MT. Fred White the Democratic cant dldate for Governor. I have satisfied myself that the Democratic vote here for President will show gain Of 100,- q 900 over four years ago. While this will not help the candidacy of Mr. 4 Bryan much. 1t shows the drift of pub-k lie sentiment in favor of him. Hefe. as elsewh ere, the labor vote Is largely for Bryan. This Is unmistakably 50. The Democrats claim eight-tenths in E this section and the Republicans con oede nearly as much.