The Paducah evening sun. [volume] (Paducah, Ky.) 1906-1929, 1908-10-19
The Cincinnati Enquirer. New
York Herald and Chicsgo
Tribune Predictions.
Slump in Cities tn Bryan; Gain
in Country for Taft.
ONO Is SAFELY REPUBLICAN

With the election just two weeks
on, political experts are beginning TO
apply their own fayorite tests. vari-
ously Ingenious, to ascertain the
trend OF public sentiment. Generally
speaking all--the Chicago Tribune.
the Cincinnati Enquirer and the New
York Herald agree. ~ the situation
appears. that Taft has the best of Il.
The Tribune says his election Is In
evitable; the Enquirer says Bryan
will have 10 make greater gains than
he has, In order TO win; the Herald
says the situation Is ripe fo- a land
slide and the inclination IL toward
TAFT All agree on another thing:
that there Is a decided trend OF the
city vote toward Bryan based on the
Roosevelt majorities of four years
ago. This has been proven deceptive.
They agree. too, that Republican
gains are certain In the country. and
there seems little question OF Taft's
ability to carry the west and most Of
the middle west. They think he Is
reasonably sure OF New York.
The Herald says:
There are political conditions In
the west indicating a landslide. There
are signs In New York presaging po-
litical chaos. Obviously, II Mr.. Bry-
an Is 10 be swept into the presidency
Il must be a landslide. or rather an
avalanche. In the direction of the
Democratic party. lie can do moth
Ing under conditions that are normal
or nearly. normal.
ION the surface MIR. Taft Is creep
ing nearer the goal OF 242 electoral
votes. According to the Herald's cal
culation. based on straw votes. polls,
reports. opinions. wagers and general
evidences on which newspapers must
depend. outside of POLITICAL commit
tees that are always biased. Taft Is
sure today OF 20i electoral votes.
Bryan II sure of i6i. A week ago
TAFT seemed sure Of lSS aud Bryan
16G. Thus Mr.. Taft In probability
has made a gain In one week Of iG
electors. while Mr.. Bryan has retro
graded Ave electors.
''To be more specific IN describing
the shifting OF states that has taken
place in seven days. while Delaware.
with three electors. has been dropped
out Of the Republican column. Idaho
and Utah, with three electors each.
and Wisconsin. with is. have been
added TO the Taft string" Mary
land. with eight electors, has been
lifted out OF the Bryan column, and
Nevada. with three. has been added.
"The farmer Republican vote In
Ohio and Indiana Is per cent on
this year. The correspondent says
conditions are ripe for a landslide one
way or the other. but they are now
favoring Taft. THIS correspondent
has for a long time been skeptlcal
about Mr.. Taft's election"
The Enquirer says:
ut Is my deliberate judgment pre-
dicated upon the very best data OBJ
tainable from all sources, including
the chief officers of the national COM
mittees OF the two leading parties,
that Mr.. Taft will have TO lose more
than he already has lost to be de
foated.
The Republicans depend upon the
agriculturallsts TO Offset the disaf-
lection of labor. Everything indi-
Gates that the Republican farmers as
q rule are going TO be loyal, and that
there will be some accossions from
Democrats"
The Polls.
Following Is the Herald's poll:
Total vote In electoral college,
4s3.
Necessary TO elect president, 2is.
Republican. reasonably sure, 20f.
Democratic. reasonably sure, f61.
Doubtful, Republican leanings, Us.
Doubtful, Democratic leanlngs. I'D.
In the balance, II.
Taft TO win bust get, doubtful
votes, 2s.
Bryan to win must get. doubtful
votes 81.
Reasonably Sure Republican.
California, t. ,............ 10
Connecticut F. ....,......... Z
Idaho .............. .. 3
Illinois .........'....' ...'.' -
Iowa ...-..,...... .......'. l."