The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-08-24
COFFEE IN BRAZIL
LEADS ALL COUNTRIES IN ITS PRODUCTION.
Mr. saultus of south American Corn- try Talks interestingly Of the Tndustry--gome Statistics
 Compiled.


 Compiled.
 Washington, Aug. 23.-(Special)--- Relatively speaking Brazil leads aiisthe countries of the world In the produc- ton of coffee in something like the same proportion as the United States in the production of cotton.
 For several years there has, been scare lest the supply of coffee would be inadequate. and all sorts of predlc- tions have been made that the price of this household need would eventual ly become so high as to be practically beyond the reach of the poorer classes.
 In Washington at present Is well posted visitor from Porto Rico In the person of Palo v. de Saultus- He says that the time is not far of when the production of coffee Is going to fall short of consumption. That in his opinion, will also result in decided advance in the price. He states that few coffee trees have been planted in any of the large fields of Porto Rico in the last several years. From four to six years elapse after the planting of tree before it bears.
 Speaking further of the situation Mir. Saultus said:
 "The cofee drinking world is depen- dent upon the existing trees. They gradually lose in the volume of their production after they reach the age of twenty years. It is safe to say that at least one-half of the coffee produc- ing trees gre upwards of twenty years of age at the present time
 'In a few years the world will re- quire at least 100000 900 bags of cof- fee per annum, and the production will be only ahodt 17,o00.000 bags. It is plain to see that coffee will be at a premium then, and only the prosperous and luxury loving people can afford 1t. Even then they must be content with an inferior grade, because the planter is going to mix his poor cof- fee with his best. '' .4....
 Mir. Saultus Is of the opinion that this situation has been brought about chiefly by the American campaign against coffee drinking. The planters, he declared, were not making their oid- time profits because production was more than equal 10 the demand. and as they had become, wealthy they re- tired from business.
 Few young planters have entered the | field, so when tne antf-coffee craze dies out and the world again demands It's supply of good coffee he thinks it will have to pay dearly for it
 The Bureau of ManufactUfes has 1 made public some interesting informa- tion on the subjcc. of coffee. being ex- | tracts from a recent report made at Rio de Janerio,s and published in the l greatest coffee port in the world. The | following facts are taken from its Let us see what the clements are | that will go to form the crops during | the next quadrenniun. l90S-1g12, and the average annual crop that may -be looked for. t
 since 1902 no more coffee trees have been planted in Sac Paulo, and as 1t takes four 10 six years for coffee to bear, the only possible element of pro- | ductton are the trees already in exist | ence, all or almost all of which are in bearing at present. The last trees planted will be at their best and in full bearing in the course of the cur rent quadrenniunn. whilst the influence of replanting exhausted areas. as we'll | as tine intensive cultivation lately fol- 1 lowed. will also reach It's climax during i this period. Under such circums stances | 1t seems reasonable to suppose that the annual average production during the next four years, 1s0s-1sf2. wiu be | the same as for the previous quad rennium. plus per cent increase from freshly-bearing trees. or. in alL about 10000 900 bags per annum.
 Twenty years ago consumption was | between 9.000.0O0 and l0.000,0O0 bags; 1 ten years later it had rison to 13.000,. | 900. and this year is generally estitnat. ed at l7.250. GOO bags.
 | At this rate. at the close of the current quadrennium in 1912, consump- | ton should reach 19.000,O00 bags, es- pecially if the official propaganda should be as effective as Is expected. :"
 The visible supply of the world on l June 30. 1908, was about t4.000.00O bags. Next years production Is estt- mated by the we1l-tnformed Dutch brokers as follows.
 Brazil: Santos. s.250 900; Rio. 2,750,- 900; Victoria. 300 900; Bahia. 100000; total. Brazil, II, ,50O,000. Other eoun- 1 tries: Central America. i,500. 000:. Co., | lom bla and Venezuela, s50,O00; Hayti. 350.OQ0; other West Indies, B0,0O0: East Indies and Java. 6s7,O00; total other countries than Brazil, 3.697 ,000; grand total. l6.Is7.0 900 bags. st.
 l Visible supply on June 30. 1908. 14.- | 100000 bags, Total visible supply on June 30 1908. and estimated production | l97. .0O0 bags, less the consumption for | the fiscal year 1909-17.l97,0 GOO bags which leaves the visible supply. at the close of the year 1909. 12,0O0.00o 1 bags.
 ] By 1915 consumption, at the rate of 1 increase of 40O,00o bags per annum, | the average of the last twenty years. | should reach 10000 900 bags per an- mum, whe production. in the best l of hypothesis, will not exceed l7.000.- l 900. and the visible supply will have
 Alfred J. stofer.