The Washington times., 1908-10-25
Indications Are That Ohioan
Will Have Margin of l8
Electoral Votes.
CAN WIN IF BRYAN
GETS ONES IN DOUBT
Impartial Analysis Gives G. o. P.
200, Without Indiana, Ohio,
Maryland, and Nebraska
By JOHN SNURE.

By JUHN SHURE.
One week from Tuesday the voters
OF the United States viii select a Pres
ideut for the -year-term beginning
March :, 1903.
For weeks and months the forecast
ers have been busy with their pencils
and have worked out every cOucelv-
able combination of votes that might
elect William Howard Taft or VIII
liam Jennings Bryan as the successor
OF Theodore Roosevelt.
The week beginning today viii prac-
ticaUy witness the end Of the cam
paign. Indeed, IL might almost be said
the campaign Is already al an end. II
may reasonably be doubted whether
a single state will be changed from
the Republican 10 the Democratic col
umn or from the Democratic TO the
Republican column by the efforts OF
candidates, campai gners, or manipu-
IatOrs i'm the next week For the most
part, the voters OF the country are
aligned, they have made up their
minds how they Will ballot, and from
what is known Of conditions in the
various States one can Judge approx
mately the verdict on election day.
Indications Favor Taft.
That william Howard Taft VIII be
elected President is now strongly indi-
Gated. The chances ia Mr.. Tafts favor
are heavy. An impartial analysis Of
the situation leads 10 the conclusion
that AIr. Taft today is far n the lead
OF Mr. Bryan. and tl5 the Democratic
candidate viii be defeate5 by a large
plurality OF electoral votes except in
the event OF contingencies not now
regarded as probable and that the po-
HucaI signs cannot fairly be said to
indicate.
The States that viii probably throw
their votes 90 Taft include California.
.Coauecticut. Delaware, Idaho. Illinois.
Iowa. Kansas, Maine, Massachusetts,
Michigan. Minnesota. New Hampshire,
New Jersey. New York. North Dakota.
Oregon. pannsylvania, Rhode Island.
South Dakota. Utah, Vermont, west
Virginia, Wisconsin. Wyoming and
Washington
Electoral Vote, 400.
The electrical votes of these States ag-
gTegate -54 In The Electoral College are
3S3 votes. and 242 are necessary 10 elect.
il Mr.. TAFT is given the votes CT the
States that are here named. he viii
therefore have eighteen more than
enough To insure him the Presidency.
Ar Bryan will have the votes OF Ala
bama. Arkansas. Colorado. Florida,
Georgia. Kentucky, Louisiana, Missouri.
Montana, Mississippi, Nevada, North
Carolina, Oklahoma. South Carolina,
Texas. Tennessee, and Virginia. Cole
radO, ID is true IS classed in some quar-
ters as Republican, but in both OF Mr
Bryau's prior campaigns he has carriei
t. The votes of the States enumerated
give Mt Bryan a total OF l69.
Four States are so close that they
must De cIaesed as doubtful. Indiana.
Maryland. Nebraska, and Ohio. These
states have a total of hfty-four votes.
II Mr. Bryan should add these 10 the
I69 already referred 10, ne would have
a total of 228 leaving him nineteen votes
snort of q majority OF the Electoral Col
legc.
New York Would Win.
II fz apparent that If Mr.. Bryan could
carry New York with its thirty-nine
votes. along with the states here emu
merated as doubtful. he could easily be
elected. Certain combinations can be
made. moreover. that would bring gbOut
the election Of Mr.. Bryan without the
helm of New York. For instance, II Mr.
BRYAN should carry West Virginia and
New Jersey, along with Indiana, Mary
land. Nebraska. and Ohio, he would be
elected The Democrats profess TO be
making marked gains IN New Jersey,
but AIr Taffs managers still are con-
fdout the state is reliably Republican.
Practically. New York holds the key
to the situation 50 far as Mr.. Bryan Is
concerned. Without New York he mus.
have landslide in other parts OF the
country 10 be elected. The signs are
there viii be no landslide It cannot
be denied there are many symptoms the
country over of a marked drift OF senu-
meut toward Bryan. but it may well be
doubted If this drift is heavy enough
10 drive the strongly entrenched Repub-
Hcan party ont of its seats of power.
Bryan Is Confident.
AR BRYAN is confident of his own
election and so are many of the lead
ing Democratic politicians. They base
their faith on the belief that November
3 will witness a landslide, political up
heaval- of tremendous proportions. In
contrast with this, the average Republ-
can politician believes the country will
witness something like return TO nor
NAL conditions as between the Demo
Gratis and the Republicans, with the tre-
mendous Republican plurality obtained
by Roosevelt in the popular vote of 1904
greatly reduced.
The largest single fact in the present
situation that looms up as an obstacle
i'm the way of the landslide that Mr..
BRYAN and his Heutenants look for is
the remarkable prosperity Of the farm
ers in the Mississippi and Missouri val
levs and in the region about the great
lakes. Stated generally. the agricul-
turaI population OF the States OF Ohio.
Indiana. Michigan, Illinois. Wisconsin.
Minnesota, the DakOtas, Iowa. Ne
braska, and Kansas was never more
prosperous than # is today. II Is the