The Tupelo journal., 1908-09-25
COLD FIGURES
AUGUR VICTORY
Taft Must Win n Doubtful
Votes, and Bryan Must
Win 81.

New York, Sept. %. The
Herald's Chicago correspondent
says: Coming to Chicago from
the East, where til, paramount
issue for weeks has been wheth-
er Gov. Hughes would be renom.
mated, one is struck with chang
ed conditions in this Western ter
ritory that has come anout in a
a month. There are several
things that stand out conspicu-
ously. Ore is the republican
chill. Another is the republican
nervousness, another is the re-
republican inactivity. Another
is t"a republican incapacity to
&c agether. Another is that it
is ii the republican plan of
ca .Jaign, as it was in August, to
rest on the oars and assume that
the Roosevelt pluralities were so
large four years ago that no mat
ter what strength Mr.. Bryan
may show, he cannot top the
crest of the wave in getting
democrats back into his party.
Looking over the democratic
side of the fence, one is impress
sed with the jubilant air of the
campaign managers at the West
ern headquarters. Whethec they
are together" or not, the dem
ocrats are giving the impression
that they are fighting shoulder to
shoulder. They seize on every
thing and magnify it.
They are glorying in the fact
that each week brings a new
state that the republicans admit
has suddenly become clouded
with doubt, first as to how the
state ticket will fare and second
as to how the electoral ticket will
run.
They are laughing at the lead
Mr.. Bryan has over Mr.. Taft as
a campaigner. They are hoping
that the republican candidate will
meet Mr. Bryan>in joint debate.
They profess to have nothing but
good news to offsesethe bad news
which is concealed by their more
frank and candid brethren in the
republican headquarters, and
they are generally creating the
impression that Mr.. Bryan has
much more than a fighting
chance.
New states have come into the
doubtful column, and new states
are being added to the list of
surprise states, and it becomes
necessary to revise the table of
states that Bryan and Taft are
reasonably sure to get, and to
make new classification of the
number of votes each will have
to gain from the doubtful list in
order to get the necessary 242
votes in the electoral college
1t should be said before max
ing this classification, that the
data on which it is based come
from both republican and demo-
cratic sources. That is to say
there is no question in the minds
of either democrats or republi-
cans that the classification based
on codnitions today is correct.
The situation as it appeared to
unbiaSe observers at d given time
about 4 weeks ago was as fol-
lows:
Total vote in electoral college 483
| Necessary to elect president -242
Republican reasonably sure 2O6
Dernociatic reasonably sure e----- 16l
: UouULIul - 11o
Tat to WIN must get
doubtful votes) s)----36 Sc
Bryan to win must get
| doubtful votes} 81
The situation today appears to
be as follows:
Total vote in electoaal college 49, -4S3
Necessary to elect a PRESIDENT 242
Republican reasonably sure 165
Democratic reasonably sure -161
Doubtful 157
Republicans to win must get
doubtful votes) -77 n
Democrats to win must get
doubtful votes) --.8 81
The states which have slipped
into the doubtful column since
the notification of Mr.. Taft and
Mr. Bryan, while Mr.. Bryan has
been al concert pitch in the Mid
die West, and has invaded the
East, and while Mr.. Taft has
been playing golf at Hot Springs
and fishing at Middle Bass island
and making up his mind what to
do, are given as follows, with
the number of votes each has in
the electoral college:
| Kansas 10
| NOrCn DdkOCd-