Evening bulletin. [volume] (Honolulu [Oahu, Hawaii]) 1895-1912, 1908-09-21
States that
ARE DOUBTFUL
Where Partizans Agree
On Necessity For
Hard Campaign
Especial Correspondence
Munsey Syndicate)

Especial Correspondence
lMunsey Syndicate)
WASHINGTON, ID. c.. Sept. 1. -
What are the really doubtful States
this Year,
A Republican and Democratic
list, placed side by side for COMPARE
son, suggest some of the uncertain
ties of tails campaign at the present
date. The truth is that 1t has not so
far taken shape that there is any
basis of agreement as to the States
which is the latter weeks of the con-
fstitute the debatablc ground.
The Republican list of doubtful
States at this time-is headed by Ne.
braska; then In about the order of
their admitted uncertainty come In
diana. Tennessee. Kentucky. Missou-
| ri. New York. Illinois, and Ohio. Col
orado appears in some lists. and so
Goes Montana. But they are not con-
sidered important on the Republican
side because they are not exactly nee
essary for success in any of tho Re-
publican calculations.
On the other hand, the Democratic
list places Indiana first. New York
second. and includes Wisconsin, Ohio,
Illinois, Nebraska. Colorado. Mary
land, West Virginia, California, New
Jersey. Iowa, Minnesota, both Dako-
tas, and Idaho. Connecticut and
Utah appear in some lists and in all
discussions.
Nebraska Is Uncertain
The Republicans admit that Ne
braska Is uncertain; the Democrats
insist that It is certain to be Demo-
cratic. Republicans admit some I'M
certainties about Indiana; Democrats
confidently claim It. Republicans
claim chance to win Tennessee and
Missouri and Kentucky; Democrats
frank that trio of border States as GER
tain for Bryan. Democrats say they
have a good chance for West Vir-
iginia; Republicans laugh at the idea.
Democrats are confident of Colorado
and Montana; Republicans count
Colorado safe for Taft and Montana
really uncertain. Both sides talk
With apparent confidence-for pub
lication-about getting New York by
100000, and both sides in private
conversation admit that the State IL
very uncertain.
Each Claims California
California Is rated by the Repub-
licans as rock-ribbed Taft State
the Democrats always list It as one
OF their promising prospects. Wis
consin is claimed by the Democrats
to be one of the most uncertain
States in the Union, while Republi
leans say 1t is good for a big major
land as certain for Taft. while tn,
Democrats say that when Bryan ha
made his tour of the State 1t will lin
up for him safely. Illinois and Ohi'
cans when they are mentioned in
doubtful list; Democrats persist II
regarding them as doubtful, and de
clare that the candidates for Govern
Ter and Senator, on the Republica
side, are even now appealing to thei
national committee for aid. Tha
Senator Hopkins Is either wOrryin
or else CRYING wolf In order to &c
assistance that will make assuranc
dpubly sure is well known. The Ser
ator has not made any virtue OF over
claiming the situation.
Really on the Fence
doubtful States It is impossible q
this stage to make one on which
disinterested observer would care
1 stake his reputation as a prohpet. Bl
granting that conditions later ma
l change present situations, 1t seen
fair to say that these States are rea
n lly doubtful:
II Nebraska, Indiana, New York, Tel
Il nessee, Colorado, Montana, and Wi
l consin.
/ In making this restricted list 1t
assumed that unless a landslide sue
as is hardly to be expected from an
manifestations thus far, shall chant
II the situation. Ohio, Illinois, New Je
/ sey, West Virginia, Iowa, Kansa
and Minnesota will be Republican.
is likewise conceded that Missouri
Kentucky, and Georgia will be Der
ocratic.
Mr.. Bryan is conceded to be pla
ing his politics cleverly and with 4
teligence this year. He is going
talk In Nebraska, Kansas, Iowa, Il
Dakotas, Minnesota, Wisconsin, III