The Washington herald., 1908-07-13
STATES BRYAN EXPECTS TO WIN OVER

Washington NEUTRALITY-SUSPICIOUS..
Ne.enS.. '.-.--'---.
12s
Lincoln, Nebr., July 12.-Not until after
he has conferred with the new national
committee next Tuesday will Mr.. Bryan
let any Of his plans for the campaign be
known. That he has had them pretty
well matured for some time however. is
known by his intimates.
His failure to obtain Judge GRAY or a
New York man as running mate. has
somewhat deranged his original pro-
gramme. which was to make the fighting
fast and hot in the East. and especially
in New York State, from the opening to
the close Of the campaign.
week ago he told Herman Ridder that
while he felt certain ne could win with
out New York. at the same time he hoped
and believed he would carry that State.
Now Mr.. Bryan is letting It be known
that he has been made to feel confident
Of carrying California and Washington,
and probably Oregon, too. on the "Orl-
entail exclusion plank IN the Denver
platform. strengthened. as he thinks, by
the navy plank.
Hopes to Reverse States.
In view Of his most recent utterances.
It is thought that Mr.. Bryan will rely for
success in November mainly upon the
chance of reversing the Roosevelt ma
torities Of 1904 In the States of the Cen
tral and Far West. and will largely leave
the Democracy OF New York and other
Eastern States 10 take care Of itself.
lie will boldly invade Ohio. Judge Tafts
home state, and probably Will make only
a pCrfunCtory campaign. II any. of the
heretofore debatable States east OF the
Alleghenies. So many representations
have been made to Mr. Bryan Of the cam
paign in Ohio that it is said he is really
hopeful Of carrying that State
He has been convinced that the nomlna-
tion Of John w. Kern will swing Indiana
back into the Democratic line. and that
with the Roger Sullivan element pulling
hard in the harness. with the regular
Bryan forces. Illinois will be made
Democratic. He thus counts on sixty-five
electoral votes east of the Mississippi and
north OF the Ohio that have been given
10 the Republicans in the last three Presi-
Dental elections.
Thinks Kansas Certain.
10 give him its vote. and his confidence in
carrying his own State of Nebraska seems
TO be supported at the moment by the OBJ
vious fear of the Republicans out here
that there will be another Bryan landslide
this year. as there was I'm 1896 These
two states would give 20 him total OF
eighteen votes which were case for Presi-
dent Roosevelt in the electoral college
four years ago.
Il is known that he regards the three
votes OF Montana as practically assured
and that he believes Minnesota and both
Of the Dakotas. with their total electoral
vote of nineteen. 10 be debatable ground.
But for the lerge Mormon element I'm
Idaho he would count with confidence on
getting the three votes OF that State
California has ten votes which Mr. Bryan
feels extremely hopeful Of getting. and
his expectations as 10 the five votes OF
the State Of Washington are almost as
great as with respect to Californla's ten.
At this early stage of the campaign II
is thus shown that Mr.. Bryan counts on
wrenching from the Republican column
us electoral votes west of the Alleghenles
and north Of the Ohio which were given
10 President Roosevelt in the 1904 land
slide
Added to these are the five votes
Colorado and the three of Nevada Y
he Is said 70 regard as safe. This G.
gives him a total OF l2S electoral vot,
the territory named which for eight y,a.-
have remained mistaken In the Repu9u-
can columns.
New York No lIred OF.
Conceding MarylaI ch Mr.. BRYAN
has never carried - RepublIcans
and relying upon L cadfast loyalty
of the solid South. .uding Missouri
the Bryan electoral vote on paper at this
tline Is "a, OF an even thirty more than
IS needed TO land him in the White House.
This alignment OF States arrays the South
and West against New York and the
East However Mr. Bryan's close politI-
cal advisers insist that he has not desnair-
ed Of New York. and assert that he win
make harder fight there this year than
In either of his other campaigns. although
the people of Mr.. Bryans home CITY are
hopeful of his remaining at Fairview
throughout the greater part OF the cam
paign and conducting a "front-porcb
fight es they understand Judge TAFT is
TO do in Cincinnati 1t is not believed he
can be held here much after the first or
second week in September
AT the present moment his advisers ore
lad N INT A.
tion OF the formal notification Of his nom
ination. The majority Of them favor the
suggestion of Madison Square Garden
New york. as the place. and not later
than the second week in August as the
date. In support Of their contention. they
assert that the New York press not only
is antagonistic to Mr.. Bryan. but also
FOR the most part, is unfair to him in
It's news columns.