Evening times-Republican. [volume] (Marshalltown, Iowa) 1890-1923, 1908-10-27

at Paterson. n. j., early in the morn
ing, taking a flying trip into Connect
cut. and winding up at the big rally at
the Madison Square Garden tonight.
In the meantime, Mr.. Taft went over
to New Haven. where he spent so
MANY happy days as Il college student,
worked his way back to the city thru
Bridgeport and other places on the
sound and wound up with seven rat
Ting speeches in BROOKLYN tonight.
Two More Days Fighting.
The two candidates have crossed
each others trail frequently during
the day and they viii continue to do so
tomorrow and Wednesday. Mr.. Taft
comes back to New York for his big
rally Wednesday night and will stay
in the state until the end of the week,
winding up his campaign at Cleve-
land and Youngstown, o.. the day be-
fore election.
The presence of the presidential cam
didate. the return of Chairman Hitch
cock from Chicago. and the continued
reception of favorable reports from up
the state put the republican managers
and Spelbinders in extremely good
humor today. They see nothing but
victory up the state, and in New York
and Brooklyn the conditions have i'm
proved materially and are expected to
rest of the week.
1t is just beginning to dawn upon the
democratic managers that they have
been making their estimates on New
York state entirely on II false basis.
In the first place. they took the
ground that it was unfair to make
comparisons with the Roosevelt vote
of 1904 because that was phenomenal.
The republican managers agreed to
this proposition and readily accepted
the prospect of a reduced vote.
Democrats Fool Even Selves.
The democrats in their polls and es-
Inmates. however, made figures on the
men who had voted for Roosevelt in
1904, and proposed to vote for Bryan
this year Then they took the percent
age of loss thus figured out and COM
pared 1t not with the Roosevelt vote
to which it properly belonged but to
the Mckinley vote in 1900. In this
way they fooled even themselves into
the belief that the state was doubtful,
whereas there has been no time since
the opening Of the campaign when Taft
did not have an absolutely safe major
ity in New York state.
Those who are acquainted with pol
itical conditions here know Parker did
better in New York than anywhere else
in the country. His vote was actually
larger than that cast for Bryan four
years before whereas in the western
states part of Mr.. Roosevelts phen-
omenal majority came from the demo-
Gratis who staid at home.
Four years ago the total vote of New
York was 100000. Roosevelt's plur-
ality over Parker was $4,000 This
means that to carry New York the
democrats must show a change of ST.
500 votes among the Roosevelt follow
ers in 1904. In other words, one out of
every ten of the people who voted for
Roosevelt would have to turn over to
Bryan. even assuming that the demo-
Gratis met with no loss in the cam
paign.
The reports made to- both parties
show that the change of votes is only
a fraction of this number Besides that,
according to the polls. again many men
who voted for Roosevelt and again
many who voted for Parker now intend
to vote the socialist ticket Debs polled
nearly $4,000 votes In 1900. and raised
it to about 81 600 four years ago The
canvass Of the east side wards and of
the downtown districts shows that the
Debs vote is to be largely increased.