The citizen. [volume] (Berea, Ky.) 1899-1958, 1908-07-16

seems to lack % votes and Bryan 76. |
Now. as We look over the list OF
doubtful states, we see that Bryan
must have the vote OF New York II
he is to win, because II that state
goes 70. Taft he at orce has more
than the needed %. Even IL that
state goes for Bryan Taft will have a
chance. but Bryan cannot do with
OFT t. Bryan's plan of campaign
indicates that he intends to make mis-
fight In the West. and his managers
claim that they will carry some of
the states that are In the Republi-
can column In this estimate. Per-
haps they will, but Bryan has never
carried any OF these states yet, and
there is nothing to show that he will
have any better chance now than be-
fore-if as good.
This leaves the campaign depend
ing. so far as Bryan Is concerned, on
New York. Taft will have to fight
him in many OF the Western states,
but with more than a. even chance,
because many OF the Democratic
blanks are made to catch the union
labor vote, which is strongest In the
East rnd also because Rooseyelt's
great strength Is in the West, and
he will. be able to help Taft most
there
And how about New York? 1t look.
az II Bryan had given New York up
already. II he had really hoped TO
carry that state he would have Sc
lccted a New York man as his run
ming mate-thereby offsetting the ad-
vantage that the Republicans have in
Shcrmau's nomination. But even.
Win that hell there is great doubt
whether he could have carried the
state. and he himself seems TO have
decided that there was no chance for
him there and that Il would do better
to put the vice-presidentIal nomina-
tion In a state which might be In
duced 70 turn his way.
There are three reasons why Bry-
an cannot carry New York First,
New York has never forgiven him
for free silver. and he has never
carried the state. where his best
friends are luke warm and where also
he is accused OF destroying Parker
four years ago. Second. he and
Murphy. the corrupt boss Of the
most corrupt political machine known
have between them thrown out Of he
party a very dIsreputahle but power
fnl maE-"LOng Pat" McCarren OF
Brooklyn. MoCarren had fairly won
his place in his party. but he would
net obev Murphy. who has been try
ing to extend the power OF Tammany
over b ooklyn Bryan sold Brook
lyn to him. and McCrIrcn was thrown
In. McCarren controls thousands u
votes. Democratic votes. and he said
when he was thrown out that no one
In the convention would live long
enough TO see another Democratic
Governor of New York. lie meant
ii, and he can do II. unless there h
a landslide-and who can believe that
Bryan will get a landslide at this
late day? That makes two reasons
why Bryan cannot carry the state.
The third is the biggest. and its
name Is Hearst Hearst is a regu-
Lar Democrat TO date-has been a
Democratic candidate for Governor
OF New York and a member of Con-
gross. He owns the biggest news
papers in the world, and has a large
and enthusiastic following among the
most ignorant and radical Of the mill
Ions living In New York. And, tho
Bryan has offered Hearst almost any
thing TO coma over. Hearst is against
him. Hearst offered nc objection 10
Biyan's nomination - he tells his
fliends that Re wants Bryan TO
find oft what It is tc be really
beaten badly. Hearst supported Bry-
an in his two previous campaign. but
Bryan was not very grateful. tin the
time came when be could use Hearst
again. Now IL is too late. Hearst
viii not exctly bolt-he will start
new party. o. rather re-organize one
he used a while ago. which he calls
the Independence League. He will
run another candidate for President.
Democrats comfort themselves by say
Ing that he will get a. many Repub-
lican votes as Democratic. so that
what h does will not make any diff
ference. That was true when he
ran for Mayor OF New York. but there
are a lot Of men who vote Republi-
can on national Issues In New York
buf who are DemOcrafs or nuRwumns