Omaha daily bee., 1908-10-07

"In New York state Mr.. Bryan will re-
ceive a much larger vote than he got In
1900, but at that he will fall at least 1900
behind Taft. Chanler will run ahead of
Bryan, but 1 think Hughes chances are
about five to three over Chanler.
"lD New Jersey the national committee
Is counting on the Methodist vote TO swing
the state, asserting that this vote is prac-
tically solid for Bryan. Reports coming
to me in the last few days indicate that
there are no good grounds for this belief.
Delaware Is hopeless. The negroes
could change the situation IL they voted
In large numbers for Bryan, but they are
creatures Of habit and will stick to their
old love.
Maryland is a doubtful state, with
present learings, to Taft Bryan has lin
creased in popularity outside Of Baltimore,
but not within tina city.
Rhode Island will most likely return a
democratic governor and give it's electoral
vote to Taft.
Connecticut is a republican state this
year.
West Virginia is surely republican on
the national ticket, as are Ohio and Illi-
nois. indians you know a~bout-possibly
the election Of the democratic candidate
for governor and close vote on president,
with chances f~avoring Taft.
THE western states with few exceptions
arc republican. Nevada and Montana may
go for Bryan. Washington is the only
coast state where the result will be close.
1T has been the rule this year that the
democrats have nominated very good state
tickets. The reason seems plain to me.
Tha sfafa ganf1afian 49, hortaug.- -
understand that the democratic party as
at present constituted is not a national
party, that 1t has not secured the conf
dence of the people in its ability to capa-
bly, administer the affairs of this great
government through its present leaders,
consequently they Ohe state organizations)
are fast becoming conscious of the fact
that their hope of existence lies in winning
local elections, depending upon kind provt-
dence to win national elections. This is one
of the most potent causes for the en-
thusiastic and noisy return to the fold of
those who strayed in 1896 and 1900.
Money is scarce and hard to get. The
individual dollar contribution is a beauti-
full theory, but with always the same dis
appointing results. At the first gun dol
lars crowd each other coming in, and
shortly thereafter a duh drag sets in, and
then it costs one fifty to get in a dollar.
Haskell has hurt Bryan very much In the
east. Ridder could raise an appreciable
sun of money II allowed six months in
which to do 1t. Without a considerable
sum OF money to whirlwind the finish we
are apt to blow up about the 10Th of Octo-
Der. The tide is slowly setting against us
now"
The prediction of this friend of Mr..
Bryan that Bryan's campaign will "bloN
up this year about October 20 is Endorsed
by other democrats connected with Bryan's
campaign, one of whom said today:
I'VE were beaten from the start, heater
from the hour the convention adjourned al
Denver"
In 1896 Bryan's campaign blew up" or
October l, when the silver mine owners
notified in Chicago the late James K
Jones, chairman of the national committee
that they were tired dumping their money
into a rat hole" In 1900 there was neveI
at any time opportunity for Bryan's cam.
paign to blow up" 1t was blown up
from the moment the convention adjourned
at Kansas City.