davidaulloa/AmericanStories huggingface dataset:
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
KENTUCKY.
State fs DebatabIe, With Leaning To- ward Bryan that May Upset Re- cent Republican
 Success.

Louisville, Ky. Saturday.-Bryan will carry Kentucky by a plurality of from 5000 to 10000. according to con- serVative non-partisan estimates. The Democratic managers claim the State by 15,00o and the Republicans by up- ward of 5000. Both, however, are ex- ceedingly likely to be disappointed.
 It can be said that the Republicans are serious and in earnest when they declare that Kentucky will go for Taft. Senator-elect ". O. Bradley places Taft's majority in the State at 5000, and Republicans in close touch with the campaign in the State claim the State by 9.3QQ,.
 The Repnb Hean claims are based up- on these conditions;
 In the first place, they argue that Kentucky is rapidly becoming a Re- publican State. They say that Will sons election as Governor by such a large majority demonstrated that sev- eral thousand men who until a year ago had always affiliated with the Democratic party have become Repub- the people of the State are satisfied with the Republican State administra- tion and are in sympathy with Judge Taft and his policies. They boast that never before in the history of the party in Kentucky have they had such a compact organization, and they ex- pect heavy support from the independ- ent tobacco growers, who, they say, will resent at the polls the a:filiation of several Democratic members of Con- gress with trade Organizati tons which have curtailed the tobacco crop and virtually obliterated the market for that product.
 In making their claims the Demo- crats stand pat on the declaration that Kentucky Is a Democratic State, and that whenever there is anything like full vote boiled there can be no doubt of the result. They say that Bryan has always been the idol of the Kentucky Democracy and that his can- didacy this year is much more popular In this State than 1t was either in 1896 or in 1900. They say that every plank in the Denver platform has met with the approval of Kentucky Dem- ocrats. They point to the fact that the party is united and that practically all of the leaders of the gold Demo- cracy movement are now among the strongest in their advocacy of Bryan's election. They declare that the to- bacco question is not an issue in the national election, but that If it does cut a figure 1t is bound to help the Democrats for the reason that the rec ords will show that there are as many tobacco growers affiliated with the tobacco organizations as there are growers on the outside of the organiza- tions. They blame the Republicans fin Congress for failing to remove the tax on leaf tobacco and for fostering the American Tobacco Company"
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25

fdently claimed by State Chairman Walter s. Dickey. Mir. Hadley himself believes his election is certainty.
 Viewing the situation without bias one cannot fall to appreciate the Dem- ocratic drift, and 1t Is difhcult to re- conciie the claims of the Republicans with the conditions. William s. Cow herds election as Governor seems sure. but his majority will fall far short of Mir. Bryan'a
 Governor Joseph W. Folk Is seeking to supplapt United States Senator William J. Stone. His campaign has covered every county in the State. The Republican senatorial primary has not engendered interest to the extent of the Stone-Folk race. though six Repub- licans aspire to the honor of becoming colleague of Senator William War ner. Missourfs Republican member of the Senate. who holds over. Colonel R. c. Kerens, multi-miilionaire and former national committeeman, seems to have the edge for the Republican caucus nomination. Neither Folk nor Stone has an appreciable advantage at this writing for the Democratic nomi- nation. s@-
 Even if he polls the majority votes of his party on November 3, Colonel Kerens's chances of going to the Sem ate are slim indeed. Every indication points to Democratic majority in the next Legislature on joint ballot.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
MISSOURI.
Clean Sweep by Democrats Probable, Though Size of MajOFities Appear
 To Be Doubtful.

St. Louis, Mo. Saturday.-Missouri will give its eighteen electoral votes to W. J. Bryan November 3: will elect Democratic State ticket. including Governor; will return at least twelve Democrats to Congress. and will choose a Democratic Legislature which will in turn elect a Democratic Uni ted States Senator.
 The foregoing forecast of the result of the approaching election in this state, which four years ago developed a Mysterious Stranger. is based on existing conditions and straw votes taken for The Herald and St. Louis Republic, and not on theories or parti- san views of Democratic campaign managers.
 MT. Bryan's plurality is varlously estimated at from 30.00O to 60,000. An ultra conservative estimate places 1t at 35,O00, or, to give the exact total reached after a careful analysis and canvass of the vote in every one of the one hundred and fourteen counties. 36. .O45.
 Democratic statisticians at State headquarters maintain that reports from every school district in the State show gains for Bryan over his 1898 majority, when he had lead over Mc- Kinley of nearly 6O.OOO. At the Re- publican State headquarters Bryan's 8 strength is conceded, but figures are not volunteered.
 The Republican campaign managers cannot conceal their belief that thetr gubernatorial candidate, Attorney Gen- eraI Herbert $. Hadley. who gained national fame as Standard oil neme- sis. will run ahead of Mir. Taft in Missouri. Mr. Hadley's election is con.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
OHIO.
Heavy Vote Indicated With Result Fa-
 VOring Taft and Harris.

Cinciunato. O.--Saturday-With the heaviest vote In the history of Ohio indicated by the gains in the registra ton in all cities. this Ste te appears to be safe for Taft for President. and for Andrew L. Harris. Republican, for Gov ernor.
 Estimates from eighty counties out side of those containing tho cities of cleveland. Cincinnati. Columbus and Toledo, the largest in the State, show a plurality of 15,23O for Taft.
 The Repub ican claim for Cincin- nati and HamiIton County Is 16.0O0: for Columbus and rankin County, $500: for Cleveland, and Cuyahoga County, 5000: and for Tolsdo and Lucas Coun-
 The same figures indicate that the general assembly is in doubt with e strong leaning toward Democratic former Governor James E. Campbell, (DemocratJ. to succeed United States Senator Foraker.
 The German Americans. usually Re- publican, are as class dlsaffected Ds- cause of the spread of the prohibition sentiment. for which Harris and the Republican or sanization are held re- sponsible. If. Ls feared by the Re- publican mana rers. they decide to vote
 
 reach the object of their hostility. the municipal vote will overcome that of the rural sections and make the State narrowly Doubtful.
 The labor vote, union and morgan ized. is in a great measure supporting Bryan and Debs. The cisaffection among the working classes is not con fined to an specific locality, but is gen eral. Taken together there are e greal many men out of employment in Ohio and this vote may be set down as next to solid against the Republican ticket It is out of reach. just as unorganlzed labor Is, and cannot be recko.ied with.
 Next in importance Is the negro vote. Heretofore loyal. it has kept Ohio in the Republican column, casting nearly 50,600 ballots. Because of the Brownsville affair. and the rough treatment of their rc.ognized leader Senator Foraker. by President Roose- welt and Judge Taft. they. too. have become disaRected,. There are still many leaders and many race papers ad- vocating the defeat of the Republican ticket as a measure of reprlsal. On the other hand. many who were three months ago ardent supporters of this program have returned to the fold and are working to bring their brethren back.
 To these should be sdded the person.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25

throw the advantage to Taft. Practi- cal politicians have told Republican managers plainly what is required ana where.
 Against this possibility. spectre before those who would take. this means to win. stands the Baltimore Reform League with the threat that 1t will punish not only the discovery or the use of money. but the attempt by employers to coerce their workers. The Corrupt Practices Act" may lose the State to the Democrats. Democratic committees are watching for indica- tions of any violation of law and the Attorney General and Governor are of that party. It so happens that they do not feel that the expenditure of money is necessary. if they had 1t to spend
 A political event of magnitude, a State or national error. would change Maryland. Taft might walk across one side of 1t and shift 1t or Bryan commit a political mistake which would lose him the State.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
DELAWARE.
Dissatisfaction Wlth State Ticket Nom- inees is Likely to Reduce Tnft's
 Plurality. ..

Dissatisfaction With State Ticket Nom-
 inees is Likely to Reduce Tnfts
 Plurality.
 Wilmington. Del, Saturday.-Dela- ware will give Taft a small majority. estimated today at from 500 to 2.500 votes.
 Labor, which holds the decision, Is unable under present conditions to gather sufficient votes to carry the State for Mir. Bryan. Wilmington, which has the large labor vote of the State, has been thoroughly canvassed by Republicans. who now know the weak spots. Any losses in the city will be made up from Republican courl- ties. Reported disaffection In Kent and Sussex counties has been bridged over. and both will bring forward good working majorities for the Kepub~ licans. 5s3sss +'s4
 While there is still dissatsfacton over some of the candidates upon the State ticket-and the Republicans ac- knowledge that selections of greater vote-drawing power might have been made-this is not so serious as at first supposed. There winsbe some heavy cutting, of the state Republican ticket. Efforts to arouse the negroes over the Brownsville affair have failed. and the Democrats are abandoning that as an Issue finding their only hope in the encouragement they get from organ ized labor.
 Republican majorities in Delaware show a decided downward tendency, and even at 2,500 plurality, which is one of the higher estimates, MT Taft will have suffered severe losses. Tn 1904 the State had majority of 1854, but in 1906 this was reduced to 3.092. Only the city of Wilmington had an election in 1907, but there the Republi- can majority of the year before was again cut in two.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
CALIFORNIA.
Night ReEIstratiOn Likely To Cause DtmInIshed Plurality for Taft
 Little Interest in Campaign.

San Francisco. Cal, Saturday.-Wn- liam H. Taft will easily carry Cali fornia next month. A conservative es- timate of his plurality places It at &C., O0O. It certainly will not be less than that and 1t Is confidently predicted by many, who have closely studied the situation. that it may be as high as 5O,00O. Seven Republican represen- tatiyes are certain to be returned and fha entire eight may he sent back.
 The Legislature will be safely Re publican in both branches. United States Senator George c. Perkins, whose term expires next March. appar- ently will have no Republican opponent and according to indications will be nominated on first ballot to succeed himself.
 MT. Bryan's personal following in California Is large and while he will suffer from defections in his own ter ritory and from the probably increased Socialist vote, he will be able to ma terially increase MT. Parker's vote. MT. Roosevelt carried the State by e plu- raIity of 115.000.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25

al followers of Senator Foraker. While it Is true that his prestige has suffer ed greatly from the publication of inc Standard Gil letters, yet he has many supporters and strong sympathizers who have heretofore exercised consJd- erabel influence in convent, ms and at the polls. Only last week, in Pike County resolutions were adopted eulo. gizing his course, and endorsing his return to the Senate.
 While the Republican managers hope to profit by the temperance fights in the various sections of the State, yet they adnph that the issue .s cutting both ways The wealthy brewers and distiliers. who for years contributed largely to the Republican campaign fund and len their influence in the handling of the so-called floating vote. are not with that party this year. This Is especially .-e of the brewers. Here in Cincinnati some of :ie dlstilIers are for Taft. He openly opposing Har- ris for Governor. Following the lead of the wholesalers. the retail dealers are leaning toward the Democratic ticket not because of love for it but further legislation by the present regime. which is backed by the Anti Saloon League There are also indi- cations of a return to the Democratic told of many gold Democrats. While not numer us. they are as a class wealthy and influential men.
 While there has been eet forth here many things against Taft, there are many factors left In his favor. For c time the merchants, manufacturers and bankers seemed indifferent to his eausei but within the last fortnight a move. ment in his favor Is gathering ground That 1t is based on distrust of Bryan and the fear of the radicalism of or- ganized labor is conceded. The appear ance of Samuel Gompers in the State and the immense demonstration in fa- vor of Bryan. here is directly responsi- ole for the movement. Employers of large bodies of men have been repeat ing the tactics of 1896 and are plead ing with them not to prevent the re- turn of prosperity by voting against Taft. Preparations For shop campaign ing are under way, and pay envelopes are containing leaflets In the interest of the Republican ticket. Labor leaders are charging that coercive tactics are intended, Such as shutting down the plants until after election.
 Of more importance, however as deciding factor Is the agricultural vote. The farmers of Ohio are pros porous and contented. They have had large crops and high prices. They have '-been told that Bryan's. election may
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
MINNESOTA.
Democratic Chairman Comedies State to Taft, but Governor
 Johnson Will Win.

Democratic Chairman Comedies State
 to Taft, but Governor
 Johnson VIII Win.
 St. Paul, Saturday .-Minnesota will probably give W. 1T. Taft. for Presi- dent a majority of about 50.0O0.
 Chairman Day of the Democratic State Central Committee, comedies that Taft will carry the State, although he puts the majority lower than that. Chairman Brown of the Republican Committee. refused to be quoted as to figures. There is considerable Bryan sentiment, but not enough in sight to make a Bryan landslide possible.
 In the State fight Johnson will prob ably defeat Jacobson. the Republican candidate. by from 10000 to 10000 ma jortty, although the rest of the Re- publican State ticket will be elected. In the Congressional fight. all of the Republicans are likely to be elected. Tn the First, James A. Tawney will he reelected over A. J. French by 1000 or 5000. In the Second there is a close fight between w. S. Hammond, Demo- crat. and J. T. McCleary, Republican, with chances favoring the latter by 1900. C. R% Davis will be reelected in the Third, and in the Fourth and Fifth. Stevens and Nye, from st. Paul and Minneapolis, respectively, will be returned by majorities in the neigh borhood of 5000 each. c. A. Lind berRh in the Sixth, A. J. Valstead in the Seventh. c. B. Miller in the Eighth and Halvor Steenerson in the Ninth will all be electedl
 The Legislature will be Republican and county option will be lost.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
IOWA.
Carroll Will Run Ahead of Taft, Whs
 VIII Get Vote of State.


 Des Modnes, Iowa, Monday.-That Taft will carry Iowa is conceded by many Democrats. MT. Bryan Is known to entertain the idea that he may get the State. Republicans are confident.
 If Taft has 250.0O0 votes and 50,000 plurality the most sanguine Republi- cans will be satisfied. They would be gratifed by half the plurality.
 Labor will vote for Bryan. Some farmers are going to vote for him. Taft had no personal following in Iowa and was taken because Roosevelt rec commended him. In the last twelve years Bryan has built up large per sonal following in this State.
 Auditor of State B. F. Carroll Is the Republican candidate for Governor and Fred F. White Is the Democratic can didate. MT. Carroll is regarded by many as certain of election by a larger plurality than Taft.
 Four Congressional districts are in doubt. The Democrats have reason for claiming that they may win In the First. Second, sixth and Eighth. The Republican claim them all. The chances are that the Republicans will send solid delegation.
 A United States Senator to succeed Senator Allison is to be elected this winter The Legislature will be Re- publican. Governor Cummins, by call ing a special session of ths Legisla- ture, according to the claim of his supporters not only aided the Repub- llcan party to carry the State for Taft and Carroll, but insured a Republican Legislature The special session amend CT the primary law to give the Re- publicans the right to choose their candidate for Senator at 8 special pri- mary on election day. Governor Cum mins and Major John F. Lacey, for mer Congressman, are the candidates. It is believed that Governor Cummfns will win the primary election by about 25, 900 votes. The Legislature will be Republican by about fifty.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
KANSAS.
Removed from Doubtful CoIumn After Vigorous Canvass and Cencedediy
 For Taft by 25,0OO.

Topeka. Kansas, Saturday.-Taft will carry Kansas by from 10000 to 25,0Oo over Bryan. Chairman Dolley of the Republican State Central Committee claims the State for Taft by 10000. Chairman Martin of the Democratic Committee says Bryan will carry Kan sas. but gives no figures.
 Six weeks ago this State was con- sidered doubtful by Republican lead. CTS. Appeals were made to the na- tional committee to bring Taft and Governor Hughes here to arouse Re. publicans These and other national leaders came and put enthusiasm Into the campaign.
 It is believed that the Republicans will elect the solid delegation of eight members to Congress. The only two districts where the Democrats have a fighting chance are the Fifth and Sixth. u
 To win the Legislature and elect United States Senator next January the Democrats will have to increase their present membership in that body sixty five.
 w. R. stubbs Republican candidate for Governor. will be cut by several thousand machine" Republicans, but 1t is certain that he will get enough Democratic votes. to offset this bolt.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
MICHIGAN.
Sure for Taft, With Greatly Reduced PIuralityi But the GOvernOrship
 Is In Doubt.

Grand Rapids. Mich, Saturday That Taft will carry Michigan Is con ceded even by the Democrats. He will not receive the 227 900 majority given Roosevelt in 1904, nor the 105,00O Mo- Kinley majority of 1900. but his plu- rality. nevertheless, will run we'll up Into the five figures. There will, from present indications. be a considerable drift of the industrial vote in the cities to Bryan. but the farmer vote will abide with the Republicans almost as unanimously as ever.
 AS to the State ticket there is chance for argument and some guess- ing. Conditions exist which make the results on the Goyernorship somewhat doubtful. The probabilities are that Governor Warner will be reelected. but the majority will be reduced.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
NEW YORK.
Looks Like Taft With Hughes and
 ChanIer in Doubt.

New York. Saturday-New York State seems to be preparing to give Its electoral vote to William Howard Taft It also seems to be inclined to smile on Governor Hughes, but more shyly
 Conservative estimates made by trained correspondents, after consult tation with Republican and Democratic county chairman and town and city leaders in every county of the State. indicates a safe plurality for Mir. Taft. It also indicates that Governor Hughes will come to the Bronx with a plurality of 121, 400 and that Mir. Chanler will receive a plurality be- tween the Bronx of 115.90O.
 There has been a tremendous change In the last two weeks. and it is pos-
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
NEVADA.
Assured to Democracy Through Efforts of RepubIlcan Senator to Repay 1 Private Obligations, to
 Political Foes.

Goldheld. New, Saturday.-Presiden- tial ticket in doubt, with balance in favor of Democrats, owing to the aeI ton of Senator Nixon. Republican" openly supporting Bartlett for Con- gress and Newlands for the Senate both Democrats, to repay them for ser vices in bringing State police and Uni ted Etates troops into, .Goldfeld last January to police the property of the Goldfeld Consolidated Mines Company, a corporation controlled by Nixon.
 This is the sole issue of the State campaign. and Sixon's attitude in supporting two Democrats will con- tinue Nevada In the Democratic col- umn by a possible plurality of 800. George A. Bartlett at large will be reelected to Congress, and Francis c. Newlands will succeed himself in the Senate.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
publican plurality of the landslide

year.
 Governor Deneen is expected by the party chiefs to run neck and neck with TAft. His plurality Is estimated at from 140,ooo to 100000. The Dem. ocrats insist that Adlai F, stevenson will win by . margin of over 10000. They base their hopes upon the trouble caused among the Republicans last August by the Yates Deneen fight at the primaries.
 As to the United tSates Senator ship-that will be bone of conten- ton to be fought out in the Legis- lature. Senator A. J. Hopkins got the largest popular vote st the primaries. his opponents being George E. Foss and William B. Mason. The assembly, men in general, however, assert that they will vote as their districts voted.
 In the Congressional fights the Re- publicans are considered sure of car- rying nineteen of the twenty-five dis- tricts. Four districts are considered doubtful. The big fight Is in the Dan- vile district, where Speaker Cannon has been fiercely fought by Samuel Gompers and the labor unions. The return of Uncle Joe" to the House Is considered a foregone conclusion by the leaders. although the plurality of 10000 he had two years ago will be whittled down.
The Montgomery advertiser., 1908-10-25
MAINE.
Republican Plurality Wtn Be 2o'OOO
 and May Be Increased to SO,OOO.

Augusta, Me. aturday.-Maine will give Taft about 25.o0o plurality.
 Numerous leaders both in the North ern and southern sections say that Taft's plurality will be S0.0o0; Byron Boyd, chairman of the Republican State Committee. says it will be upwards of 10000.
 Maines Congressional representation continues solid Republican.
 The State Is so thoroughly Republl- can on national issues that funds have been solicited for use in the doubtful State. The recent election of Bert M. Fernald. of Poland, by about 5000 Re- publican plurality, awakened much focal interest. but with the State is- sues decided political activity practi- cally ceased.