The Washington herald., 1907-09-07
SEES NO WAR CLOUD
Chinese Editor Takes Issue
with Capt. z. ?. HObsOn.
JAPANESE TOO FAR SIGHTED
Poverty of Nation and Danger TO
Trade Relations Principal Deter
ring 1nfiuence-Mr. TsaO' OF So"th
China Daily, journal, Finds There
Is Danger of Trade Freeze-out.

Cant. Richmond Pearson Hobson's belief
that the United states is in imminent
danger of being plunged into war with
Japan is deprecated by Y. 5. Tsao' an
editor OF the South China Daily Journal
and one Of the students who have come
to this country to fill scholarships in Yale,
Cornell and Wellesley,
japanese statesmen are quite clever,
and they know that Japan could not long
carry on a struggle with the American
nation" said Mr.. Tsao, in perfect Eng
lish. last night
"Japan is poverty-stricken country as
compared with the United States, and its
resources are so limited that war would
be a very short affair True, Japan might
seize the Philippine Islands In hasty
struggle. but in the end there could be
but one outcome to such a struggle-the
victory OF the United States. both on the
field Of battle and in the marts of trade.
America as Japan's Customer.
Another feature that should not be
overlooked Is the fact that the United
States is one of the best customers Japan
has for tea and similar products. and
that country could iu afford TO face
bovcott on the part Of the United States.
Japan knows. too. that In the end that
country must depend upon the resources
Of China. China would be another such
country as the United States II IL were
developed. That is all it lacks; sufficient
capital and industry 10 uncover the MD
den boards Of wealth that japan knows
fun we'll must be used In her own aid at
some future time. China would regret 70
see a struggle between the United States
and Japan. and China's wishes in this
matter. for the reasons I have stated,
should have some weight with that
country.
For instance. in China. silk is quite
common. We do not care to import silks
from Italy and France. because We make
as much, or more, than we can use at
home. We do need cotton goods, how
ever. as much. OF more. than any other
country on earth What country pro-
duces the most cottOn2 The United States.
20 be sure-practically all there is pro-
duced.
No Partitioning of Trade.
Therefore. IT behooves China to main
tain trade relations with the United
states. and it is quite unlikely the coun-
/ try would permit the japanese people to
partition off trade among European ma
| tons, as Capt. HobsOn suggests, without
some protest.
"Then. again, you must remember that
/ Japan, right now. is after trade in China.
/ What effect do you suppose Il would have
on japanese Industries II China should
declare a boycott on japanese goods
Japan could i'll afford running q chance OF
such action On the part Of China. and you
may be sure her statesmen will look far
enough ahead TO steer clear Of such dan
gerous reefs, for, as have said, they are
clever men.
when the Panama Canal Is completed
your East viii be directly connected with
the countries or. the Pacific Ocean. and
as has been sail before. the Pacific will,
eventually, bear the same relation to the
worlds commercial history as the Medi-
| terranean has In the past. The world
circuit viii include the American conti-
nents, Japan. China, Australia, and the
/ Philippines, and eventually the nations
OF the Old World must take a back seat.
Party Leaving Washington.
Mr.. Tsao is one of a party Of ten men
and four young women who successfully
passed examinations az Nankin to COM
pIete their education In this country
They left China on August 4, and have
been several days In Washington. Yes
terday morning the young women, under
the care Of Supt Taotai Wan. In charge
Of the party. left for Wellesley and
| Mount HOlyoke, and on the return OF
the superintendent. who is accompanied
by Dr. Yung Kwai. second secretary OF
the Chinese Legation. the boys viii enter
school As planned now, four of then
will enter Yale and two will 60 to Cor
neil.
Mr.. TsaO is a brother Of S. X. Tsao
who was IN Washington two years agC
studying at the local Y. VI, c, A, TO fl
himself Sor the position Of secretary Of
the China Y NJ. c. A., which position h
is now holding