The Fairmont West Virginian. (Fairmont, W. Va.) 1904-1914, 1906-10-13
HgGHEs By sOO.Ol0.
AN ANA ysIs or IN 6 voT that
LEAVES LITTLE FOR
tlEARsT.
NC foIlowIngI letter ID the u

g. a. 6 y
To the Editor q the New York Times:
By an analysis Of tho conditions ex-
listing in the country at large in the
summer of 1904 reached the conclu-
sion that Roosevelt would carry ey-
cry northern State. by similar treat,
ment Of the elements Of the present
situation in New York | am led to
the conclusion that Charles u
hughes will be elected governor Of
New York by a plurality approXimatl
ing 100000.
Normally, New York, is equally di7
vided between the two great parties.
The State Is now Republican, but the
carly elections of this year in other
State indicate by the low level of the
Republican vote that this is an off
year" II other things were equal, the
State would evidently 20 Democrats
by small plurality. II saved to the
Republicans, it would be by Roose.
yelt's leadership and the prestige Of
his latest success in Cuba and in spite
of sqlally conditions in labor circles.
But here hope for the nominee Of
the Independence League and the
Democracy ceases. Every factor in
the situation serves simply to measure
the extent OF the disaster toward
which the forces behind William Ran,
tlolph Hearst are advancing.
Every influence ever known to con.
troll the partisan voter is working to
give Hughes every Republican vote.
He is sure of substantially one-hals
Ct the votes TO start with. The party
Is united and enthusiastic, and con-.
frontad with forces which lack both
these elements OF strength and attraC,
tiveness to the detached voter. No
candidate so clean in character and
so absolutely representative of what
the public wants has ever been known
to fall short OF the full vote OF his
own party.
What recruits, then, ear Mr.
Hughes count upon?'
1. The real independents-the mug
wumps-were never so numerous as
this year, ana never so unanimously
for a candidate. l estimate that this
is good for 100000 plurality for
Hughes.
2. Not included in this categcry
are q second group Of voters, Demo
Gratis in party allegiance. men OF prop.
erty and culture, who see peril to
the present social order in the Hearst
movement. 1t is safe to estimate
these at another 100000 plurality for
8. The Bryan Democrats would adj.
here to Hearst If he were in a way to
win, but with his supporters demoraE
lied and quarreling, they will be re-
sponslve to the argument that Hearst"
success would shelve "the peerless
leader. = Put down 10000 plurality for
Hughes on account Of these voters
4. Dislike of yellow journalism and
distrust of It's methods will help or
the disintegration of the Democratic
psrty to the extent of a plurality Of
30 900 more. Every fake portrait and
bogus interview Hearst's papers have
printed for ten years will hear fruit
in votes for Hughes.
5. The issue of the moral character
Of the candidates would not he potent
TO effect the vote If there was nor
nal lineup of parties. still less III
Hearst were an anti-monopoly candI-
date running against Il mere creature
of the corporations, but with Hughes
what he is, and Hearst what he is re-
puted to be, politically and morally
100000 Is not too high an estimate for
he Hughes gain in plurality on this
account.
G. Enthusiastic partisans overlook
Inconsistencies when the cause ISL
but are sensitive to cEiti-
cism when the battle is turning intol
II rout for their side. Hearsts change
of front on Murphy is good for 10000
more for Hughes.
T.. The quarrel with McCarren ana
other party leaders is sympomatc . a
state of panic and hysteria which viii
add another 10000 to the. plurality Of
The conquering hosts gathering to ele-
ale Charles f. Hughes to the pinnacle
OF political prominence. This COM
pletes the 100000.
Not all of these dcfections will take
he distinct form of votes for HughesS
Tut when the American people ulder'