The Washington herald., 1906-10-08

New y fork. Oct. w. R. Hearst the
Democratic and Independence League can
didate foS governor. IS back from his tour
Of speeclA-makiug in the upstate coun-
ties feelilg sure that~He VIII be elected
in November
While. With few exceptions, there We're
no great displays OF enthusiasm at the
county faiis ut which he appeared. OF IN
the halls g. which ne spoke, he came
back with Ne confidence that 1he farm
ers. although not demonstrative. were
with him at lhcart
Mr. Hearst lgOt back to confront 4 situ-
alton that lnl need the patience and
skill of poHufal genius to straighten out
There is no lodging the fact thar the
matter is a strious one. especially 10 Mr..
Hearst h.mstlf, and f. harmony cannot
be- brought babout between the regular
Democratic Organization in New York and
Kings ana the Independence League in
the mauerj OF local nominations the
break viii probably cost 1Ir- Hearst ,he
election ana blast his hopes for 2residen-
tat honors h 1903.
The truth {appears 10 be that some of
his managefs, through personal am
bitions. have gotten him into the worst
sort of q snarl with the organizations
upon whicI ne must rely for his votes
below the Bronx, and how he can be
elected without them is beyond the minds
Cf the oldest political observer 40 IaJhOm-
This is thA practicable side Of the ques-
tion witEout any regard 70 sentiment or
what Mr. Hearst may have said in times
gone by and under radically different cir
cumstances about certain bosses.
Now IbemOcracy's Candidate.
WhateyeA he may have been hereto
fore, he IS now primarily the candidate
ct the democratic party, and it is to
Democratic support that he must look
for his vbtes. No other Democrat has
been ablel to be elected without carry
ms the greater city by a tremendous
plurality Since the last Democratic
governor telected, the political divisions
have beeIi radietify changed TO the ad-
vantage OF the Republicans
The gerEymander of 1894 has made It
impossiblel FOR a Democrat 10 carry the
State even when he wins by a big piu-
rality In the city. Van Wyck carried the
city BIZ - 60 in 1895 yet he was beaten
by l7.00I by Theodore Roosevelt. Bird
S. Coler lcarried the city by pAGJ0 in 1902
and yet he was beaten by OdelI by 800
votes. These figures show the folly of
a DemzcTat relying on the votes he may
get upstate. With a single exception
the Rfty-siX counties above the Bronx
are Republican, and so far as surface
indichtiOns go they are likely to remain
Republican.
KNOWING the actual facts in the mat
ter ( which are disclosed by political his
toryh unbiased observers are greatly puz-
zled{ over the course the Hearst man
agers are pursuing The situation now
is radically different from that of last
fall when Mr.. Hearst was the independ-
ent candidate for mayor. He was then
bouRd by no party ties of any kind, and
thousands voted for him who hate the
bossSs and who do not consider partisan
ship1 in purely municipal elections.
= Party Lines Are Drawn.
But this year Mr. Hearst is the candi-
date of the Democratic party for the
highest Office in the State. and it is fig
ured that naturally the vast bulk of the
vote would, as usual, be cast on partisan
lines.
It is beginning to look now as though
SOME sort of a truce will be patched up
betfTeen Hearst and Murphy, and that
they viii come to an agreement on the
104al ticket, which is the chief bone Of
coRtention, but no such nope Is held out
in Brooklyn, which was a Hearst strong
hold last year. The war clouds still hang
lovf and both sides are firm. Hearst mas
declared that an independent ticket will
be |put in the field, come what may Sen
4 100 n
that declared that If Hearst puts up such
a ticket, he Will loose the porougn by
3, ,OpO. Neither has receded from his po-
sitiPn nor are there any signs Of a COM
promise
An impartial estimate Of the campaign
up ito date shows that the Republican or
gaHizatiOn has gained a big advantage
since the nominations were made. It
would be idle TO say that the actual
machine men wanted hughes. but they
seemed 20 be shTewd enough 10 lay aside
their personal preferences and select a
candidate who had never held office be-
fore, and whose personal character is so
high that IL is practically unasSaiIable.
That is what is called good politics.
Hughes Not Well known.
Nevertheless, Mr.. Hughes is handi-
capped in some respects. One of the dis
advantages is that he is known to the
people only for his work as a lawyer.
he is not one OF the great heroes Of the
Republican party, as Is Roosevelt, and as
was OdeH The great rural population
that Odell and Platt before him made so
sOlidly Republican knows him not, and
he has but four short weeks 10 make
their acquaintance. Then, too. there is
apathy among the rank and file of the
party workers Of the state, who believe
that the rewards should 60 10 the victors.
They can see nothing in it for them if
Hughes Is elected
In the few speeches he has made, how
ever. Mr.. Hughes has shown himself TO
CONTINUED on SECOND PAGE.
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