The Cairo bulletin., 1906-11-01
LABOR VOTE TO
DECIDE THE DAY
REPUBLICANS WILL HAVE TO
WIN ENOUGH BALLOTS TO
OFFSET DEsERTioNs.
HEARST SCARE IS REAL
And is, Now at High Tide--League
Candidate Makes Big Gains in
Factory Towns--opponent
Y Working Desperately.

Syracuse ~ y, Oct 31.--Th
answer to the question who will b
week." will be found in the answe
to the further question, will the shift
OF the usually Republican labor vote
to Hears outbalance the shift of The
usually Democrats vote to Hughes 2
That is all there is to it. for afte
all the hullabaloo about the chang'
of the farmers Ii seems certain tina
SO far as the farmers are In the TWEEN
ty-two great agricultural counties In
the Eighth, Seventh and Fifth iudicia
districts are concerned, they will vote
as they have always voted-the Re
publicans for Hughes and the Demo
Gratis for Hearst. They have not
changed and they won't. They will
vote straight tickets, and most of
them are Republicans.
In the towns the Democratic disaf-
fection j. marked There are small
villages in this vicinity where as
many as half of the Democrats have
openly declared that they will vote
for Hughes and in the cities of west
ern and central New York, in Buf
falo Rochester, Auburn. Oswego,
Syracuse, Watertown, Rome and
Utica, the percentage. based on what
the Democrats themselves say, is
large
Just how large II is is what is
bothering the campaign managers for
they know 1t must be great in order
usually Republican labor vote to
Hearst. The labor vote is for Hearst,
not universally, but more Of the labor
vote will go to Hearst than to any
Democratic candidate of recent years.
The unions are strong In the manu-
featuring towns They talk of casting
their entire vote for Hearst but that
is bosh, for the campaign managert
in the cit es and in the manufacturing
towns have made careful canva ses
of the Unions and the shops and they
find that there is split. There are
many union men who will vote for
Hughes.
Hearst Loses "Quiet" Vote.
Recognizing this, the greatest en-
deavor, are being made TO get the
normally Republican labor vote back
into line The Hughes managers are
satisfied with the position of the far
mers. They know about some of the
Democrats who will vote for Hughes
and have reason to believe that many
who are keeping quiet will vote
right" on election day. The great
problem is to corral the boiling Re
publicans who belong to labor unions |
and who work with their hands in
The shops and factories.
Here as in the Seventh judicial !
district. the calculations are based on |
he Higgins vtte of two years ago. |
The registration everywhere H. large. |
The pluralities for Higgins in the
Fifth judicial district were: Herkimer
1883: Jefferson, 4,77S; Lewis,
,02l; Oneida. 1897; OnOndaga, 9,5i$;
Oswego. 1910; making total of 3d..
j27 for Higgins.
President Roosevelt had S,S9f more
iotes than Higgins in these counties.
There are five good sized cities where
abor unonism Is stronger than else
where. although many of the smaller
owns do much manufacturing and
rave sore union men. These cities
ire Oswcgo. Watertown. Rome. Utica,
md Syra suse. and they furnished one
Iuarter Of the difference in the vote
# Roosevelt and Higgins.
Syracuse is a large manufacturing
own. and the labor men here are
veil organized.
These men are more generally for
Iearst than for Hughes. There is no
enying that. nor Is there anv denial
or the statement that in the past ten
avs there has been a marked trend
D Hearst. What II has been based on
as not been discovered. but the un' I,
,rejudiced observers here and ,
throughout the Fifth Judicial district
ay they have seen II.
The fact is that no one knows hch- ,
itely what will happen. It ia all en-
raced in that one proposition: How ,
tx is the labor shift to Hearst. and
ow big is the Democratic shift to
Iughcs?"
Throughout the towns the vote for :
Iughes will be larger than the vote
lr Higgins. for most Of the Republi-
ans and many Democrats will vote
" Hughes. In the cities the vote for
hughes is likely to be smaller than
ie vote for Higgins. because of the
ibor strength Hearst has developed.
here ara more labor men in the
ties who will vote for Hearst than
lere are Democrats who will vote for
ugbes. Thus. striking an average. it =
sems to the best ObserveTs that the
p