New-York tribune., 1906-04-01
OUTLOOK FOR CAMPAIGN
CHANCES FOR CONGRESS-.
Leaders Erpect to Hold Al Nor
mally Republican Districts.
rFrom The Tribune Bureau. ]

Washington, March 31.-The impending cam
paign for Congress is engaging the serious at
tention Of the Republican leaders In the House.
Speaker Cannon and his immediate lieutenants
do not share the pessimism prevailing in some
quarters which apprehends Democratic victory
in the congressional elections. Mr.. Cannon thinks
that the Republicans will have a safe majority
in the next House. though perhaps not with so
wide margin as now prevails, The present
majority is 112
The Roosevelt tidal wave Of 1904 contributed
in large degree it is admitted, to that phenom-
email majority. There districts in Western
states particularly considered hopelessly Dem
ocratic which went Republican on the Roosevelt
ticket. In the State of Illinois more than one
candidate stood as joke and awoke the morn
ing after election 10 find he had been elected
in all earnestness.
The managers, however not losing sight
of the fact that some hard work must be done
to maintain the normal majority in the House
No one expects that the election will return as
many Republicans now seated In fact
some of the close figurers think that twenty
five thirty seats may be lost to the Democrat
in the ordinary run of campaign possibilities.
Going over the districts 1t is found that Illinois
presents some difficult problems for the campaign
committee The list District now represented by
Mr.. Madden, Democratic by 1900 plurality
in the 5Sth Congress. In the last election an in
dependent Republican split the vote, and the NOM
inees of the Prohibitionst Democratic and Peo-
pies parties and another candidate divided the
remainder. The 4th District was Democratic
by 1900 in the 5Sth Congress. 1t went Repub-
lican by $500 in the 59th, with a Socialist vote
of 1914 The 9th District was Democratic by
1000 in the last Congress. The Republicans
carried it this time by less than thousand
with 1900 scattering and $500 Socialist votes
The 8th District was $4,000 Democratic in the
last Congress and went 1000 Republican on the
Roosevelt wave. The Socialist vote there was
4.2OO. The 21st District was Democratic By
1000 in the 6Sth Congress. and went 200 Re
publican in the last election, with 1 200 Social
| list votes. The 2Sd District was Democratic by
| 2.lO0 in the 6Sth Congress- but went Republi
can by 500 at the last election. The oath Dis
| trict was Democratic for six Congresses unit
1900 y
In Indiana two normally Democratic district
| Went republican on the Roosevelt ticket TIL
| "a District had been represented by q Democra
| tor nye Congresses, but Republican pluraIit,
OF IoOO was rolled up. The 18th District ha
Uelrocratlc Tor four Congresses. and tn
In New York six districts which were ranre
SenteG by Democrats in the 5Sth Congress wen
These were the LIST, 4th 9Th, 9Th i3th and ~,
In pennsylvania the Republicans Captured la
| 80 80 'nIce oisLricls winch IN the previous Cor
| Spess were safely Democratic. These were N
| 10TH 18th and 26th "efe III
In Ohio three Democratic districts were carrto
| by the Republicans on the Roosevelt ticket ~
| oth' Izth and 18th. In other states there we,
similar gains most of them due to the ne, "ei
.aar1lty or the head of the Republican nation,
OF course, in this campaign no gucb aavo,
tage VIII accrue to the Republicans and ~
campaign will have to be fought without ~
pres1dents popularity. notwithstanding tn
hanolcap, however, the leaders are conh5a,
that they will be able to maintain safa ru
1ority IN the next House The Democratic hoI
OF success Is based mainly upon the ground tb,
the Republicans will disagree over innortaI
legislation. -'por 'ai
the leaders in Congress are sure they will !
aole 10 compose the differences between -
house and the Senate on important hills or
that legislation acceptable to the countr1 HI, St
be enacted, ~ OOun'Iy WI