Ottumwa tri-weekly courier. [volume] (Ottumwa, Iowa) 1903-1916, 1906-11-06
NO FORECAST
IN NEW YORK
Old TIME METHODS OF EsTlMAT.
ING ELECTIONS ARE OF NO
USE THIS YEAR
BOTH SIDES CLAIM 1T

: 7 *
State Have Been ob!iterated-Politi
cal Affiliations Of Lifetime Thrown
Aside.
New York. Nov 5.-Today will wit
ness the closing scenes in one OF the
most remarkable political campaigns
in the history of the Empire state.
What the outcome Of tomorrows bat
tie of ballots will be cannot be fore
cast with any certainty The old time
methods of anticipating the results OF
an election have been rendered al
most useless. Party lines in many
sections OF the state have been almost
II not quite, obliterated. Political af-
citations of lifetime have been
thrown aside and thousands Of voters
tomorrow will follow their chosen
leader rather than any party.
Widely Different Conclusions.
4 The respective leaders Of the great
parties basing their estimates upon
what they claim have bee careful.
pafnstaking canvasses, have reached
widely different conclusions as to
what the result will be. The managers
of the republican, and democratic, par
ties and the independence league cam
paigns each has announced himself
as convinced that his candidate will
have a plurality of at least two hund-
red thousand votes. Hughes will ad-
dress seven meetings this afternoon
and evening in various sections Of
New York Hearst will address three
and possibly four meetings tonight.
Bet Five to One.
4 Several bets at five to one that
yIughes will be elected governor were
made in Broad street today. Charles
F. Murphy, leader of Tammany Hall,
said today: eT am confident Hearst
will cary New York City by big
plurality as that given Coler in 1902,
which was 122,624. Chairman Wood
ruff of the republican state committee
said today he regrets the election Of
Hughes as practically certain"
Hughes will get 100000 or more
above Bronx" said Woodruff. Hearst
cannot get more than $4,000 plurality
and in my opinion the greater city
I will come close to giving Hughes a
Confidence Displayed.
One of the most remarkable things
about the present campaign Is this
confidence Of the better element in the
democratic party in the election of
Mr.. Hughes. Republicans do not doubt
that he will have plurality of not
less than 100000 and do not openly
claim more. But democrats who have
refused to swallow the disgusting
Hearst personality and doctrine say
the republican candidates excess of
votes will be more than twice that
number
Francis A. Willard manager of the
democratic state committee headquar.
ters at Albany, said: 1--WE give
Hughes the election by majority of
from 100000 to 250,000."
Letters, circulars and other cam.
paign material attacking Hearst were
mailed from Albany democratic head.
quarters at Albany to nearly. 100000
democrats. About 100000 letters were
sent out from the Rochester headquar.
ters and about as many more from
New York city and Auburn.
Rebel Campaign Thorough,
Every county in the state has been
thoroughly covered. The demand at
Albany for stamped envelopes was SO
great that the local postoff1ce authors
ties had to call on Troy and Schenec
tady to help fill the orders.
Judging from the letters we have
in nr1u fo oir
said Mr. Willard tonight, "Rock-ribbed
democrats who have voted nothine
but the democratic ticket for years
will break away this year and vote fol-
Hughes. These men all voted fol-
Bryan, but will not vote for Hearst.
Il base my estimates of 100000 tc
250,000 majority for Hughes on the
large number of democrats who will
vote for him and also on the supposi
ton that the republicans will get out
the republican vote. Much depends
on the weather. / it is fine the full
republican vote will be polied.'
Advices which the Albany headquar
ters have from all parts of the state
show that many democrats rather
than vote for Hearst decided not te
vote at all and consequently did no,
register But the vast. majority o1
democrats opposed to Hearst say they
will vote for Hughes.
Detection Strong on Farms.
The democratic detection from
Hearst will be the largest in the rura
districts. There are only five counties
in the state above the Bronx which
the Albany headquarters do not regard
as strong anti-Hearst districts. They
are Niagara, Broome, Chautaugua
Cattaraugus and Dutchess.
Reports from Oneida. Jefferson
Cayuga and other interior counties
chow that Hughes will receive The
votes of thousands of democrats