The National tribune., 1906-10-18
THE REPUBLICAN VIEW.
Representative Tawney. Speaker Cannon.
senator Hopkins. Secretary Hitchcock
and Gen. GrOsveBOr All Confident the
Republicans VIII Control the House.


Gen. Chas H. Grosvenor, of Ohio.
has won a National reputation for the
accuracy of his political forecasts. He
says:
1T is a little early now to fix the
status of the next House of Representa-
tives, but it is very certain the Repub-
licans will have n good working majori-
ty. As to that there can. be no reason
able doubt. l have in my hand a list
of IL districts, which We're carried by
the Democrats in the 5Sth Congress and
by The Republicans in the 59th Con-
gress. Their locations are as follows:
California. 3; Delaware, 1; Illinois,
4; Indiana. 2; Iowa. l Kentucky, 1;
Massachusetts, l; Michigan, l; Mime
sofa, 1; Missouri. s; Nebraska, l; New
Jersey, .; New York, 6; North Caro-
lima, l; Ohio, 8; Pennsylvania, 2; to-
tai, Al.
"One change was added by a contest
in Missouri, which made AZ. In the
present House we have ia Republican
ma j1rty. Assuming the Democrats will
carry all these AZ districts they will
gain 81 votes, leaving a majority of 80
for the Republicans, assuming the Re
publicans carry every district this year
they carried two years ago. Neither uf
these results is likely to follow. That
would be most unheard of.
'" w III
In looking over these AZ districts I
think it is fair to say the Republica rs
will carry 10 of them this year. | co,.ld
select them, but that would be going
too much into detail. Take 10 from
AZ and you have 80, and that makes a
change of 81 and leaves so majority.
/ have not allowed the Republicans to
carry any district they did not carry IN
1904-and it may well be said it is not
likely they will carry very many-but
it is fair to say they are as likely 10
carry some districts that they lost in
1904 as that the Democrats will regain
more than 80 of the districts they lost.
Here appears n great majority of
so. How is the Democratic Party to
overcome that? Where can the basis
be found for a judgment of that char
acter? l am quite aware the enthu-
siasm of the party about the close Of
the last session was equal to a result rs
great as that, but there is no such talk
among Democrats to-day"
80 Vice Chairman Tawney's Hopes.
Congressman Jas. A. Tawney is Vice
Chairman of the Republican Congress
| si0nal Committee, and has charge of
| the Chicago headquarters.
President Roosevelt puts great re-
lance in the good judgment of Jim
Tawney. Tawney was in charge of the
Western field during the last Presiden-
| tial election, and astonished some OF
| his Republican associates by predicting
Missouri would go Republican, a pre-
| diction that was fulfilled to the letter
Having recently gone carefully over the
situation in the West. Mr.. Tawney made
a few representations concerning the
| House in the 60th Congress.
| Il believe We will hold every seat we
| have in the House now from Missouri" "
| said Mr.. Tawney, and we may gain
| one. 1t is practically certain that we
| will not lose more than one seat. any
how, and the chances are mighty good
that we will make a gain Of one from
that State Representative De Armond
one Of the principal Democrats in the
House, may not be a member of the
! next House"
Mr.. Tawney predicted that the Re-
publicans would break the soid Demo.
cratic delegation in Arkansas by send.
/ ing one Republican from that State tc
the House.
In Pennsylvania Mr.. Tawney admit.
ted the probable loss of three of foui
districts, three in Ohio and "a few in
/ Illinois. In Iowa he conceded one
doubtful district.
Secretary Hitchcock is back from
Missouri with "A confident air as tc
what the Republicans will do to the
/ Democrats next month in that State.
| Republicans Of Missouri are m ,s
hopeful said Secretary Hitchcock
''They believe they will hold the seat.
in Congress won by them at the las
election and possibly gain another. \!
to the Legislature, the belief is stront
that the Republicans will elect a ina
jority. The Legislature elected thi.
time will choose a successor to Senator
Stone. The Legislature, therefore, vii
be an important one
Il Senator Hopkins, while hopeful fol-
the return of the "a Republicans from
Illinois. is willing to admit the Demo
Gratis may retIke two or three of TIL,
Chicago districts. which the Repub
leans unexpectedly carried two years
ago in the Roosevelt landslide.
Speaker Cannon and Representativ,
watson. of Indiana, came to Washing
ton last week fer a Gying visit to tn,
: President and Secretary Cortelyou.
Wherever we have been" said tn,
Speaker. enthusiastic meetings hav,
been held. This may be an off year. il
: the sense that it is not a Presidential
: year, but it is Republican year. I'm
less all the signs fail. the Republican:
Will have the next House by yer,
comfortable majority; and to those wht
: have been about the country the sign
surely look good.
I have not the least doubt as t,
what the counting of the ballots vii
show after the vote has been cast mex
month. The people are alive to tn,
Importance of keeping the Republican,
in power, and it should be the duty o
every citizen to see that every Repub
'iican vote is out in every district"