Arizona republican., 1906-01-29
The Senate Outlook.

It is altogether improbable that there will be test of strength in the fight over the statehood bill this week. though as indicated in the dispatches this morning there may be a contest for position between the shipping bill and the Hamilton bill which may show something of the alignment as to the latter. But no such contest could be conclusive as Co the fate Of the bill.
 A majority of the dispatches from Washington express the opinion that the bill cannot pass in it's present form. All agree that there is a large section of the republican senators ob- scured by doubt.
 One correspondent says: Counting Senators Burton of Kansas. and Ball of Delaware, there are eighty-eight votes to decide the fate of the bill. The democratic strength comprises thirty-three votes. All of these will be cast against the bill except that of Senator Clarke of Arkansas, a mem Der of the committee oa territories. who will vote with the republicans. The estimated strength cf the republi- can vote against the bill varies be- tween eleven and fifteen. To consi- tute majority of the senate requires forty-fiv votes.
 With thirty two democrats to count on. it will need thirteen republicans to defeat tle bill. Senator Foraker counts on eleven sure, while Sen ator Carer of Montana, estimates the republican in5urgent vote to reach fifteen. The republican senator's whose status Oil the proposition is known from having voted on the prop osition in previous congresses count up nine in all They are Ejllins, AIger Hansbrough, Heybdrn. , McCumber, Foraker, Galinger, Penrose and Per l1ins. Of the new senators, Carter of Montana, is openly and avowedly against the bill and among those reck- oned doubtful are. Nixon, of Nevada; Sutherland of Utah: Flint of Califo-- nia; and Piles of Washington. If all these vote against tlc house ball, the total will be sixteen. However, there is serious doubt whether these can be counted upon in the long run and the result of the fight will show that vic tory on either side will have been purchased by the narrowest majority.
 Piles is known to be favorable to the bill and Nixon is also counted upon by friends of the measure. The fight will be on the Fo-aker amend ment, providing for a referendum in the case of New Mexico and Arizona, leaving the people of these territories to decide by their votes whether they desire to be admitted jointly or not at aH If this carries. Oklahoma and In dian Territory will be admitted with out further ceremony and without ref erence to the fate of the ether two ter ritories.'
 There may be added tc the nine ad- mittedIy against the biI others who the correspondent says are doubtful There is for instance. Senator Flint, of California, of whose position there is no doubt Senator Nixon of Neva- da, has assured Arizonians of his in tention to vote against the bill Sim liar assurance is said to have been re- ceived from the new senator from Oregon, Senator Burkett of Nebraska and Senator Sutherland of Utan.
 It has moreover, been lntlmated that ether republican senators wlo would oppose the straight defeat of the bill will be led to support so eminently fair a proposition as the Fo-akeT amendment.