New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1905-10-28
THE T4HNANY ESTIMATE.

Aocordi,g 70 what is heralded inside in
formationn nv "The Brooklyn Eagle, Tam
MANY homes for McClellan's election by the
narrow MARGIN of from 5000 to 10000 votes.
No long examination Of that inside information
is needed to discover its purpose. laih'hahy
never in good faith conceded Itself so near oe
feat as that In the Shepard cainpalsh an"
before that in the Strong campaign, IL nlaue
hjg claims I'D to the end. Now the Hahasei .
of the Mayor give an estimate ABOUT "hi'H
1.-THE Eagle" says: ut is not particularly en-
s.couraging. But as explained To-Day ho al
.tempt was made TO falsely color the figures
.srbev ara given as representing the exact stu
.ation as revealed by careful and thorough III
"ouiry" OF course. there can be no such
.thorough inquiry" worth anything any more
than there can be a postal card canvass "ol'h
ANYTHING as "The Eagle we'll knows.
An examination of the figures so ostentatloes-
" free from doctoring and published by lam
many TO foreshadow its own possible uele't'
shows Enthusiastically the purpose OF the puoii-
cation. II is only one Of the panic cries winch
we have predicted. 1t Is a desperate attelip'
70 win Republican votes. By all but predicting
Mr. Hearst's election and credting to MI WINS
. ridiculousIy small vote it is hoped to frighten
o large body of citizens who prefer Mr.. WINS
into voting for Mr. Mcclellan. 1t is the OLD
dodge which was worked in 1885, when, IL the
RepuhlcanS who were scared by IL INTO Voiihs
for Mr. Hewitt had stood by Mr. Roosevelt ne
world have been first 1t was tried again in
1897 nv some of Mr.. McClellans present sup
porters who pretended to think Mr.. George
and General Tracy the leading candidates 1t
ought to be too stale to fool anybody twenty
one wears old and Of sound mind.
These secret figures, received from tine men
closest to Mcclellan in private talks, and not
"for purposes of press exploitation" and forth
with exploited TO show how desperate the
situation is" claim for Tammany only 24oooo
and allow to Mr.. Iyins only 103,ooO, the Voie
given for General Tracy eight years ago OUT Oh
a total vote about 10000 smaller than what may
he now expected. Everything else Is allowed 10
Mr.. Hearst calmly ignoring the fact that out
Of the total estimated vote of 5t5oo0 ABOUT
% 900 must be allowed to the ProhlDluohlstS'
Socialists and other minor parties. So. even on
the figures of Tammany's own scare esumate'
Mr.. McClelan's plurality is more than $1,000,
and his condition is not nearly desperate"
as represented
OF course the estimates Of Mr.. 1vIns's vote
are simply ridiculous. The New-York Times"
q self-respecting supporter OF Mr. McClellah'
comedies to him 100000. Governor odeii had
that in a strict party fight. Mi WINS Will
have the regular organization vote. Inc poit
against Ridgway in Brooklyn Will almost GER
tainIy result in the election Of Major E0steln
and give Mr. WINS that borough. Here the IN
dorsement of Mr.. Jerome by the Republicans
whether they succeed in getting his name on
their ballot or not will secure to Mr.. WINS
thousands Of independent votes in addition to
other thousands who under the leadership Of
men like Carl Schurz and Everett 2. Wheeler
were already pledged to him while Mr. RAM
mer was yet in the field Mr.. Wins Is daily
gaining in strength, and the secret Tammany
figures are so preposLerously untrue TO the
facts that no intelligent Tammany man could
honestly hold them for an instant They are
evidently prepared for publication as a cam
paign dodge. They are secret which was
meant to be revealed.
The Hearst figures are purposely eXagger-
ated He will doubtless have large vote, but
without effective organization, and operated
chiefly as a sensation, his campaign cannot do
more than cut down the Mcclellan vote below
that of Mr. WINS. AS matter OF fact, that is
what Tammany fears and seeks to counterfeit
We know of one prominent official of the
Tammany administration saying that If the
Republicans stood firm Mr.. Twins would prob
ably be elected. Another. the head of depart
ment, said that he had no trustworthy esd-
mates. and that even Murphy had none, and
that he didn't know how to compare the WINS
and Hearst vote. The pretence of knowing
that Mr. Hearst will have 10000 votes and Mr..
Wins only 100000 is nothing but silly bluff
that can deceive nobody who does not want to
be deceived Let all conservative foes Of "hon-
est graft stand firmly for WINS, Jerome and
Ebstein against MCGOWAN. alias Mcclellan, Os-
borne and Ridgway and they have every reason
to expect success. Tammany is on the run. 1t
says so itself In Its desperation 1t seeks to
get Republicans to save it, but they are
warned of the trick.
THE MAYOR ON WATER.