The Montgomery advertiser., 1905-12-16
COTTON.

New York, Dec. 15.-Herewith I sub-
 init my forecast of the coming ginning
 report of the Census Department from
 reports from representative gins. It
 shows, g s5T soo It will be noted. a total of
 Of December. which is estimated to be
 S5.4 per cent of the entire crop as
 against S,54S.537 ginned in 1903 (which
 was SS: 8 per cent of the entire crop). and S,s2S,7 ITO in 1902 (which was S4 per cent Of the entire crop). The smallest
 quantity ever ginned previously after
 the 18th of December was 130,20O bales.
 The average daily ginning for the ten
 December 18th. is 59,O00 bales as
 against 79,000 bales per day for the
 nfteenworking days from the 18th of
 rate of decrease certainly does not in- dicate exhaustion, and in several points Tn Northeast Texas my reports indicate that the ginning has been from 150 per cent to 200 per cent of the quantity gin- ned during the same period a year ago. The total indicated production on the
 basis of my figures is 10,S53,00O bales. The indicated crop by States as com tural Department agrees very closely except in the States of North and South Carolina, Georgia and Oklahoma, where the quantity already ginned is sub ral Departments estimate of the total crop. and in Texas, which appears to underestimate the Agricultural De- partment by about 200,000 bales.
 My figures point to a total yield in Arkansas of about 640,000 bales, where as, MT. Julius Lesser stated only as late as aso yesterday that the crop would be cated crop is only 2S6. 900 bales. where as, the Agricultural Department itself estimates the yield 336.000, and no less an authority than Messrs. c. F. Earn date of the 1st of December that 1t is their opinion that the crop in Tennes- see will be larger this year than last year. year so The he yield in Tennessee last year
 A careful study of these figures con- vinces me that the total production this year will probably closely approximate II, ,O00,0 ,000 bales.
 Doubtless the national ginners asso- citation and others will vigorously chal- Ienge by estimate of the quantity m ginned on the 18th of December which lpatfng such criticism, I would say that my inquiries lead me to believe that short crop is. as rule, less rsasdG rsp1dIy fGr fgin9esda fsas than large one The me by one of the best informed plant CTS in the Mississippi Valley. who writes me as follows:
 Referring to the alleged statement 'f MT. R. A. Taylor. president of the national ginners association, wired romed rome Washington yesterday. that -HSIS VIII not De 2OO.OUO bales left to 'e .ginned after December 18th wou1S ,all your attention to the custom of many planters in the Mississippi Val ey and elsewhere during short crop 'ears to delay their ginning until the 'rop Is harvested. The reason for this s owing to heavy advances having ,een made to the negroes throughouf he cultivating season. If the crop 'hould be ginned as the season pro- sresses, the labor would soon find ont | here would be nothing coming 10 them md jump the crop. therefore the plant IT prefers to make only one or two sinnings." (Dec. IA, 1905)
 One of the largest planters in North | Carolina under date of the l2th of De. ember writes me as follows:
 As you know cotton was low the | irst of last May and hence I reduced | he acreage on my home farm 40 per 'ent While I am not half through l sinning 1t has all been weighed in as brought in from fields and the total l mount produced is AZ per cent less han last year. while the acreage as tated above, Is 40 per cent less. The l hief reduction in my county was the | creage."
 One of the best informed men in femphis, Tenn, telegraphs me under | ate of the 14th of December as fol- ows:
 T hear of good deal of cotton yet O pick in north and southwest Texas | nd some in the territories. You know licking Is not entirely over anywhere ct, and never was this early"