davidaulloa/AmericanStories huggingface dataset:
The Winslow mail., 1905-02-11
LONG RANGE
FORECASTITG
The Weather Bureau DenOunceS
The Long Range Weather
FOrecaSterS as Fakes.

mat the dOIIlLy TO forecast
weather conditions a week, a
month or a year in advance
with high degree Of accuracy
may become a reality. is thing
ardently to be desired. Agri
culture, commerce and even
pleasure are so largely depend
ant upon weather conditions
that a knowledge of what these
will be during the next year
would be worth millions of dol
lars to the people of the United
States. Realizing the Credulity
of the general public with re
gard to this matter, the number
of fake forecaSters is constantly
increasing, and some of them
have already succeeded in turn
ing golden streams into their
Golfers This. too. in spite of
the fact that the Government
maintains bureau whose duty
il. isy4to gather meteorological
data sand make weather tore
casts, at the head of which is
to be found a corps of scientific
men of. the highest standing.
1t is marvellous that individual
men, each protesting to have
discovered the secret of long
range forecasting, and all of
them presumably working out
their forecasts by different
m 9thods. should be able to
catch and hold the confidence
of intelligent men and women,
in spite of the fact that the
men at the head Of the Weather
Bureau. who have given their
lives to the study of the, subject
of meterology, deny that this
science has yet reached such d
stage of advancement as to
warrant the making of forecasts
to cover more than two or three
days. 1t might be charged by
long range forecasters that the
men at the head of the Weather
Bureau are personally interest
ed in the maintenance of the
belief that lOng-range forecasts
are impracticable at the present
time, and that their assertions
to this effect are intended to
perpetuate themselves in their
present positions. 1t must be
remembered. however, that the
perpetuation of these positions
does not necessarily mean the
perpetuation of their present
occupants in them. Besides.
the U. S. Weather Bureau is
supported in the ground which
it has taken by the heads of
meteorological bureaus and by
independent meteorologists of
TIE highest rank throughout the
civilized world.
Have the claims to accuracy
made by long-range foreCasters
been justified by results ? This
question is answered by a com
parison of the percentage of
veritication of long range fore
The Winslow mail., 1905-02-11

place, with the percentage OF
verification of forecasts for the
same place made by the Wealth
er Bureau. The custom of the
long range forecaster is to state
that certain weather conditions
will occur within d large area
and within a period of several
days. and if such conditions
occur at any place within the
area and within the limits of
the several days they consider
the forecasts verified, and pub
liSh the fact as an ADVERTISE
ment of their accuracy. In
order, however to make a com
parisOn of these forecasts with
those of the Weather Bureau
just, it is necessary that they
be restricted to definite time
and place, as are those of the
Weather Bureau. The chief of
the Weathe Bureau has per
sonally verified the work of
many so called long-range fore
casters. and the result of his
investigation is such as leads
him to the conclusion that these
foreCasters knowingly perpe-
trate fraud, the percentage of
veritication being so low that it
is Incredible that they should
have faith in their own work
Some Of these men may be hon
est in the delusion that they
are able to make accurate fore
casts of the weather a year in
advance. but the evidence is
against them. Furthermore,
their forecasts are often so
worded as to admit of verifca
tion by their standards what
ever may be the conditions
existing at the time for which
the forecasts are made. If a
foreCaster believed in his ability
to make forecasts it is not prob
able that he would give these
forecasts double meaning.
1t is to be regretted that SO
many newspapers give valuable
space to the publication of these
harmful predictions. That they
do so is probably due to thought
lessness as to whatever the
forecasts are VALUABLE or iniur-
iOus. Many Of the patrons Of
the newspapers wish to see
them published therefore they
are published. If the news
papers would ignore the pre-
tensions of loug range fore
casters and refuse to publish
their forecasrs, it would do
more than any one thing else
to bring home to a credulous
public the fact that they have
been imposed upon by charla
tans.
AS surely as accurate weather
fOrecasting is valuable to the
various industries of the United
States, so surely is inaccurate
forecasting harmful. The wea-
ther conditions exercise a large
influence over many of the
business enterprises of the
country, and the conditions ex-
isting throughout the country
at the time of the observations.
as we'll as the forecasts, are
examined with the keenest
The Winslow mail., 1905-02-11

Miss M: "A. Klingensmith, the
principal of our schools. has
received a communication from
Judge r. G.. Smith informing
her that in all probability it
will be impossible to hold a
county institute before next
fall. The reason assigned is
lack of funds.
The Winslow mail., 1905-02-11
M. E BLYSTONE,
Section Director.

Keep your eye on the girls
with the black shirts and red
and yellow ties
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
IS 4 BUSINESS WOMAN.
Not IN Spite, but Because of Her College
Training, This Girl Is Successful

TIE dEys are oTsz. happily. when every giri who
IS ETzdns.e6 from college becomes 4 teacher q
matter os ooEzA College women are going into
bnEauess Gt c rate 20 sstonish the person who IS
not n position 70 know what the woman with
Shs higher ecucst;on under her hat IS doing with
8. And n n.nety-nins cases ont ot one hundred,
where ths college girl turns her back the
gchooiroo1n 20 enter crs3ness she makes splendid
success of 81
As witness Mss Jane G. Caskey. Mount Holyoke
~ who has cnarge OF tie literature department
of the Presbyterian board OF foreign missions
Instead OF being eusiness woman in spite Of her
four years ct college Miss CaSkey finds that she
3s one because OF St
Without the training got at college I should
never have been able take hold OF this work
dc" Ehe SAID glsncing around at the dles.
the letter spikes. the clicking typewrfters OF her
assistants and the rows OF missionary leaflets,
lesson papers tracts. etc. which go 10 furnish her
ofhoe n the Prehyts-ian Building.
I cant think of any special course that gave
this training, but the effect of college life in
general ts, ! think, TO encourage versatility in
g1Tls TO 6sTelop executive ability and TO mako
them resouTcstLl never had any business train
sng except Euch as obtained while working with
the student volunteer movement before coming,
here. an not q stenographer or typewriter, and
know very little about Bookkeeping. There are
6 great many positions where training in the
technique OF business IS Indispensable but think
the fact that could come IN here at the opening
q the busy season and push the work satis-
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23

factori2Y shows what college training will do for
one"
The position OF head Of a department. OF this
kind calls for a considerable command Of routine
and 4 clear head for detail Twenty years ago the
average college woman would have considered such
business beneath the consideration of a mind which
drew its sustenance from Plato. calculus and the
mysteries Of the starry heavens To OF the
generation OF college women the filing OF
orders for tracts the answering OF letters per-
tanning to the business and the oversight OF an
Office force distinctly worth while.
There are all sorts of orders to be filed" ex-
planned Miss Caskey. From this office goes out
movement Of the Presbyterian Church. There arc
standing orders which call for so many lesson
tian Endeavor societies and Women's Foreign Mis-
eionary circles. see that these are filled ten
received all the time This Ieafet gives the topics
for the foreign missions monthly concert or
prayer. Here IS a short article on open doors ara
strategic points IN foreign missions Me nave
something every subject, every field where the
Presbyterian Church maintains missionary or medi-
''I have to order in these supplies and that
they time for 10 I'LL my orders promptly.
] am responsible for all the weighing and stamp
ing. and also for the expressage, although there IS
q boy TO do up the large packages that go by eX-
press. We also have missionary calendars, for
which we are the distributing headquarters and
maps Of all the countries to which the PreSby-
terian Church sends missions, which lent out
upon the payment Of the postal charges.
'I consider the social training received IN the
college fraternities ana societies one OF the most
Miss Ceskey. The girl who does nothing but
study books while she is in college gets mono of
social well the academic side Of college life.
I had. I manager Of the college paper. and
had cnarge auihg ing my senior year 4t % tb
teach girl how TO work with and over people
one OF the most important acquisitions college
woman or any other can possess. whether she is
IN business not
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23

Dlehl. ir. George Ehret. ir. Charles J. Gunther
LOUIS r. Newman. DR.. n. l. Peters. John j.
ochTntt, Arthur F. Windolph; representing Beetho-
ven bachelors. Harry Hardermann. c. T. Klein
S5eorge Morgraf, Henry Rau. Otto Reimherr, Frank
morn norm conrad Uhl. jr.. Charles Vonholf jr
among the patrOnesses are: Mrs. Perry Bel
mont Mrs. Hubert ellis Mrs Jacob Doeger Mrs
Feter Doelger, Miss NJ. L. Ehret. Mrs l.. Flesch-
mann, Mrs. NJ. Fleischmann. Mrs. Charles r Mac
lean Mrs. W. G. Nuschenheim Mrs. Louis Ctt-
mann Mrs. Herman Ridder Mrs. Jacob X Ippert
mrs +. > Spitzka. Mrs. II. T. Poggenbure Mrs
99lh ~ n Reisenwebt Mrs Rudolph Schaefer. Mrs.
Il b. SchaTmann, Mrs. Henry Schwarzva lder
mrs Jessie Selismau. Mrs. Joseph Siegcl Mrs
anna Woerishoffer, Miss Garcia Woerishofer and
Mrs. j. WOrnSer.
Among the patrons Cornelius y. Bliss
Henry Batterman, George G. Boidt. John D. Grim
ninss Thomas r. Crimmns. Adrian IseIin Will
lam lam r. iselin. James Speyer Cornelius Wander
pH. William X Vanderbilt J. r IAN Nor-ncr
Henry Siegel. Jacob Siegel. Jerome Sicgel. Isador
Straus, Oscar Straus, Edward Uhl and DIR. r c.
Valentine.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
SPECIAL CHEER.

J. H B. has sent 81 for the coal fund. Zenobia
10 cents for album. and Charles Brockway 81 for
little cold feet" This last at once
given to a respectable working woman whose hus-
band has been out OF work three months. and she
has struggled to support the family by washing
Her children needed shoes, and some of the stock
lngs from the Newbug box were added TO her
parcel of clothing.
The special cheer contributed for the invalIds IN
New-Jersey, Pennsylvania, Virginia and 'the
artist We're forwarded on Saturday, and money
from the coal fund to a widow in Maine. TO g coll
ored man. TO two needy families Long Island
and six families IN Manhattan, also the Ever
Ready Branch box of warm clothing and under
wear went to branches and individuals in four
States.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
GERMAN CHARITY BALL.
To Take Place in the Waldorf-Astoria on
Thursday.

The fifteenth German Charity Ball Will take place
on Thursday evening at the Waldorf-Astoria under
the auspices. as heretofore, of the Iiederlzranz
Bachelors Circle. Jung Arion and the Beethoven
Bachelors. the bachelors association Of the three
leading German singing societies.
The ballroom the Myrtle Room and the Astor
Gallery viii be effectively decorated J. NJ Ian
der's Band viii furnish the dance music, Franks
18th Regiment Band the promenade music ard Van
Bars Hungarian Band will entertain in the Astor
Gallery. Congressman Jacob Rupert tr., is presi-
dent Of the ball committee. He Will open the ball
at 10 p. m, leading the march with Mrs. Peter
Doelger jr.
The fourteen balls given IN the years 1891 TO 1904
resulted IN the distribution OF S126.70o among the
charitable institutions of this city AS all the boxes
for the forthcoming ball were sold over fort
night ago, and the receipts for admission tickets
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
MEETING OF THE RADCLIFFE CLUB.

The fourth annual meeting and luncheon OF the
Radcliffe Club held yesterday afternoon at the
Hotel Manhattan. Graduates OF Radcliffe College
compose the club Miss Theodore h. Elwin. OF the
class or 'S4. is president. and Miss Ada Elliot
known 1.-The Angel OF the Tombs"-is vice-presi-
dent A luncheon first served The object OF
the meeting was 70 solicit subscriptions among the
members and to increase the number OF students
from New-York City. Professor lie Baron =.
Briggs, president OF Radcliffe College told or the
need OF money for endowments. DR.. William Allan
Nelson compared Radcliffe and Barnard with Har-
ward and Columbia, prophesytng that the former
would be equal 10 the latter in time.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
THE SIMPLE LIFE.

TIE SIMPLE LIFE.
The simple life doesn't seem to be
So simple. after all;
A more perpleXius Quandary
I cannot now recall
The more the subject IS discussed
The less seem TO know.
Except that the eternal must"
Just keeps Us on the go;
And somehow, when we look ahead
or think of days long past,
A sort Of wonder and Of dread
Makes every heart beat fast
Awhile ago the strenuous LIE"
Was set before each youth;
Aye. BE a hero In the strife
For honor. love and truth;
That stirred our souls,
And wasn't quite so hard 20 understand.
Great waves Of courage DER us roll.
Like seas upon the sand.
Visions Of strife that make worth while
The most prosaic day;
Victory and peace our thoughts begiilsI
Ambition points the way.
But when there's just the simple life
To be ones inspiration,
The husband looks unto the wife
To seek a explanation
Brother and sister talk il Ger,
Friend asks OF friend the meaning.
The thing AT last gets quite q bore,
No satisfaction cleaning.
Dear friends. take heart. The simple hfes
Though fail we 20 define II,
Above tho babel tongues and strife
And all that can malign II.
Is lived each day: this world OF ours
Could do without IL never,
And when we cease TO count the hours
- - 90 M P. MOORE
- rrool3vp
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
READING aLATTER

After reading your magazines and illustrated pa
pers do not forget that others may derive similar
pleasure In reading them. There are soldiers and
sailors. ranchmen. lighthouse keepers. mountain
whites and others living in remote and isolated
places TO whom profitable reading comes as ray
OF peculiarly helpful sunshine The homesick
soldiers in the Philippines will be greatly cheered
by home reading. 1t only takes few minutes to
roll up g agazins paper and send IL on its
sunshins mission Many soldiers will enjoy such
cheer II sent 10 Lebbeus +. Ferguson corporal.
9Th Battery. Field Artillery, Pasay Garrison.
Manila, Philippine Islands.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
WORDS OF APPRECIATION.

Miss Bigelow. member of the T. 8. g..
writes the kind OF letter that is always gratifying
to receive at the Office. 1t not only expresses a
desire help scatter sunshine" but Il shows ap-
probation of what Is being done 10 help make the
world brighter and happier for others. She says
In part: -, ,-.-..,
work What comfort and happiness you are able to
send into lives that heavily burdened! How
rightly named your society ts-Sunshne! What
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23

In the Housewives Exchange a few weeks since
two articles appeared. both mentioning "a me
red powder that is sometimes found in old furni-
ture particularly around tho drawers OF a bureau
or sldeboard. According TO an old fashioned but
very experienced, and skilful cabinet maker this
powder IS the work Of a minute insect worm.
fis remedy for il is to paint Thoroughly with
spirits Of turpentine ell the unpublished parts Of
the wood. Two bureaus treated N this way, one
many years ago the other more recently. have
been entirely free from the powder since the applt-
cation OF the trrpentine. NJ D.
NeW-BriKhton, Staten Island.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
REPLY To INoUIRIEs.

All packages and communications intended for
the T S. S. should be addressed Tribune Sunshine
Society, Tribune Building. New-York City" All
checks money or express orders should be made
payable to Tribune Sunshine Society"
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
roLA VAl BRANCH

Mrs. ]. r. Adams. president Of the Tola Cva)
branch, acknowledges with many thanks the holi-
day box of sunshine from the general Office, the
contents OF which gave much cheer to younger
members. She also reports parcel containing
muR. yarns, pieces and feathers received from
Miss Hester Jones, OF Delaware. which were passed
on 10 an elderly member. Reading also the Wom-
ans Pages received from Miss Lucy Thomas
and Mrs J. h Austin. and all members have tho
privilege of reading the Some plain clothing
for infants Is needed for distribution in this branch.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
- IS GIVE THANKs.

LIZ 10 G1N T. IAA~A-NANS'
For the discipline of sorrow
For the angel of distress,
For the unseen hands that drew US
Into greater blessedness;
For the lips that close in silence.
For the strong hands clasped in prayer,
For the strength OF heart that suffers,
But sinks not in despair;
For the penitenCe and patience
That are meek beneath the rod.
And for hopes glad resurrection.
We give Thee thanks, God!
For the hope that right shall triumph,
For the lifting OF the race,
For the victories of justice.
For coming day of grace,
For the lessons taught by failure.
Learnt in humbleness and pain,
For the call to lofty duties
That will come to us again.
For the hope that those who trust In God
Shall not be put to shame,
For the faith that lives in all the world,
God! we praise Thy name.
-(Marianne Farningham
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23

are larger than ever before. It promises be
more successful, financially and socially. than its
predecessors.
The officers are Jacob Rupert. Jr, president;
Hubert ellis. treasurer William ]. Feldkamp, re-
cordng secretary. and George H Diehl. 1r.. cor
responding secretary.
The members OF the committee Of arrangements
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23

arei Auxiliary committee. Edward N. Burghard'
Charles Brandt. jr.. Hubert ellis. William Forster
Charles Forster Frank Fetehteler Joseph HaIk.
merer, William II. Rlenke. c. Lucius, X }.
Schaefer, /. r. A. Treueben: representing Bachelor
Circle German Ldederkranz, Harry T. Eschwege. II.
@. Friedman, William ]. Feldkamp, Louis Qtti Jr..
William i. Rudolphy, @. o. Rudolphy, Jacob Rup-
pert r. Emil Seized, Otto Won SchrenhS; repressnt-
Ing Jung Arion. William B. Anderson. George H.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
SECRET OF MOIST CAKE.

In answer 10 the correspondent IN San Diego.
CAL about using buttermilk. would say take one
teaspoonful each OF baking soda and pure cream
Of tartar 20 each pint Of buttermilk Cake keeps
moist ana tastes better made without baking
powder. For a layer cake. scant cup Of butter
milk a scant half cup butter. one cup or sugar,
two eggs, half teaspoonful each or baking powder
and cream tartar sifted dry In one ana one-haf
cups OF -four. This makes three layers Use Il for
every kind OF filing s. F. w.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
DR.. DAVIS ON REFoRMAToRY WORK.

Miss Katharine Bement Davis. Ph. D.. supsrin-
tendent OF the New-York State Reformatory for
Women at Bedford. VIII describe her work for these
unfortunate women az the League for Political
O'clock.
DR.. Thomas r slicer viii give the fourth lecture
IN his course on Poems Of Destiny tomorrow
morning II o'clock. His subject viii be ''The
Book OF Job; the Righteous Mans Dilemma"
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
THE RIGHT STATE OF MIND.

IFl hIGHI ETATE OF MIND.
As am always greatly interested IN the various
oI-nlons presented in the Exchange. I will venture
. give my idea Of the simple life. Il seems 10
.-e 4 That most Of the contributors have correct
80 o. the subject. To live simply, according 10
s5-..lNc'y' in its highest. purest sense. implies
o-s away with gil that is euperauous This does
-y1 mean 70 bar out eli the fine. ernobline things
-t @ S-s world offers hut 70 use them rightly and
te-llgent nina - 0 N-''4 14i-i'-@e'oi OF the n
.Ss0hefer, requires certain state OF mind
~ eccNS-5y ~ our inner selves. and IS not so easy
thee b-.sh Gs one might at first suppose for
Us sr5 innate tendencies 70 combat IN all OF
rpeef ys. ~ matter how lofty purpose we will
Ffars Z esco urageIneLt Il IS really spiritual
~ N@ILtled into our daily lives
IN hsrS S--f4e NE and true Christianity go hand
born 0-s- :. - ss IS quoted IN the Bible being
~ 80 SckAln Mrs. T. s. CLEVENGER
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
AN DSDTvIpUAL PRoRLEaL

- ---on has been said about the simple life that
a. E--'Se mas become 6 hsckneyed one and falls
-. a. e@ls with little or no meaning. In fact.
,~..- = bhat Is simple TO one is most complex 20
S.ss, so that the problem after all, Is an in
NJ 20. n one for each 70 solve IN her own way
herrr1sg.l loea OF the simple life Is not one of
feio1--- seclusion from al that interests ones
Of y1h5, Dut LIE with definite aim, IN the light
fcisl - Ws VIII exclude the trivial and super
- 1-u oeVote ourselves 20 the real and perna-
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
HouSee0fVeS ExcbonGe.
ONE VIEW OF THE SIMPLE LIFE.

ONE VIEW OF THE SIMPLE LIFE.
The greatest the most perfect, example OF the
simple life for all time Is Christ At His birth Cod
the Creator OF all things great and wonderful
saw IT. n lis infinite wisdom, TO announce the
birth OF His only Son 10 the humble shepherds.
simple people. as Wagner himself well knows.
Els birth. Eis life and death. and even His
glorious resurrection. were wonderful in their sim
plcity. The great men OF the worId have been
simple men Ct heart but have they not suffered +?
les. even death itself CnselAshness is the keynote
OF The liver OF this life and his habtation the
country, Gods country, away from the rush and
turmoil and graSpiug tor the things OF the world.
Ine simple man Is not necessarily an Ignorant
nan Tor his COGntenance TaaiaIes d beauty OF
ulao and heart not visible IN a worldly man.
Anc. again. 4 fair example Is q little child. its
wondering eyes looking on the world beautiful
s.o Us little mind as yet untouched by the world.
We mink how lovely children are and how sim
PC their faith, and how Christ loved them in His
ste&lness and gathered them in his arms. Il am
Ne good Shepherd Though these people are a
pan, simple people he took their life IS His ex-
eple AID a. last gave Il W TO the lost sheep
tA9e. n y N. i. J..
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23

nent. Let Us less for things material, and
more for things spiritual In Il word, the only
simple life IS the life patterned after Jesus Christ
Let Us learn its secret, as did Pastor Wagner
from the four Gospels. LILLIAN r. SEE.
No. 4S1 Manhattan-aNe.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
YOUNGEST SUNSHINE BABY.

baby son born January to Mrs. A. J. GILL
a member OF the Nassau CBahamas) branch is the
youngest member of the T. S. S. Mrs. Gill was
formerly Miss Burke. and early last spring mar
risd the Rev. Mr. GILL curate at the cathedral in
Nassau. A greeting for the little will be sent
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
CONTRIBUTIONS

quantity OF excellent clothing; Mrs. A. B. Stone
twelve knitted neckscarfs; Mrs NJ w. Ward. a
package OF magazines Miss Torrey. OF Cornwall
pictures cards and illustrated reading; from New
burg n. Y, six pairs OF new stockings. with
out d name.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
JACOB RUPERT. JR.
President OF the Ball Committee.
Copyright by Pach Bros.)

could we do without it7 II I may, I should like
to be enrolled Of your members. And I
shall try to scatter OF the rays around. where
I know the burden il heavy"
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23

Ny life is a brief, brief thing:
I am here for little space.
Ard while I stay
I would like. II l may.
To brighten and better the place.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23

LAXATIVE BRO1Io QUDdNE
Always remember the fun szn4 80 cents.
New-York tribune., 1905-01-23
WORK OF AN INSECT.

No. a2s stuyvesant-ave.. Brooklyn. y. Y.