The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1905-07-23
.spcefa, Gable Despatch to THE SIN.

MunCnufln Is NTeuItCu W we WbsSVs
.Spcefa, Gable Despatch to THE SuN. r
LONDON, July 22--Interest in the Rus.
sian situation for the next few weeks viii
by no means be confined to the peace no
gotiatons. 1t Is not improbable that de-
velopments will occur, perhaps within
few days, which will be OF great historio
Importance and which will alter the whole
present aspect of events. 1t is not possible
to forecast what these developments will
be, because great antagonistio forces are
at work and no man can say what move
ment or plan will succeed or what fail.
There are two or three different policies
represented. For instance, at the Moscow
conference one of the aims was to foroe tho
present Government to grant reforms, in-
Guiding a national legislature and constitu-
ton without removing the present sover-
egn. Another party led by Prince Yaku-
skine scarcely concealed it's desire and
purpose to sweep away the whole Romano6
dynasty.
Again, we are told that the authorities
have discovered a vast plot, which was
expected to eliminate to-day, for destroy
ing the Car and all the reactionary leaders.
The secret police have been able to learn
no details, but the partial knowledge 30
alarmed the Car that he determined TO
fee from the danger on his yacht.
There is another element in the situation5
however, Of which no knowledge has yes
reached the public. 1t has been assumed
that the court party has no program be-
yond forcible repression Of all attempts 70
restrict or otherwise interfere with the
autocracy. Such an idea credits them with
| as little sense as has been shown by the
Car himself during the last few months.
They are neither blind nor fools. They
realize fully that the Emperor's vacillstion
has created situation which requires
substantial concession to popular denenda
certain amount Of genuine reform and1
above all, a strong administration at II
source. The Cars weakness has so sx.
asperated them that they are almost heps.
less Of accomplishing anything under his
titular sovereignty. The reader can draw
his own conclusions from that situation.
DOESN'T WANT TO ADMIT DEFEAT.
Curiousy enough, it happens that at the
present moment, the Emperor Is in a most
recalcitrant mood. This has been caused
by an incessant fire Of kilograms from
Manchuria, not from Commander-in-Chie
Linievitch and the prominent commanders
alone. Colonies OF regiments whose tituinr
chiefs are members OF the royal family
are pouring in dispatches addressed direct
to the Gar, imploring him not to make
peace. 1t need not be inferred that tho
motive Of these kilograms Is a belief Of tho
possibility Of military success against
Field Marshal Oyama, but the Emperor
himself naturally 30 interprets them.
Their effect has been that Nicholas 70
CARDS every suggested concession Tor
gaining peace as an affront to the honor
of the army and the country, and he y
indispoeed to agree to any settlement
except on the basis Of drawn game. In
fact, he would prefer to abdicate rather
than make any peace that is possible.
There is strong party among the Czar's
encourage who favor peace on any reasonA-
BILE terms. They arc led by the Dowager
EMPRESS. It was she who secured the ap-
pointment Of NJ. Witte. Her views have
considerably changed in the last few
months, especially toward the former
Minister Of Finance The Gar made the
selection unwillingly, how unwillingly Is
indicated by the fact that at HE two inter-
views before NJ. W:tte departed the En-.
peror scarcely spoke civil or rational
word to his peace envoy.
NJ Witte has no detailed instructions
from the Car himself. He spent almost
an entire day with the Dowager Empress
and it is with her that he has full under
standing He is even in complete ignoranoa
OF the Emperor's proposed meeting with the
, Kaiser, as is evidence d by his emphatic
denials to THE SUN s Paris correspondent
this afternoon, after his sovereign had
actually sailed.
DOES GEAR CONTEMPLATE ABD1cArToNf
The question which is being gravely
: considered III high Russian circles to-day -
,, will Nicholas be on the Russi an throns
when Japan makes known her demands to
M. Nitte and his associates? Put in another
form, the question Of the hour Is: Has the
Car gone to seek advise ofthe Kaiser upon
the momentous proposal of his abdication ir
favor of a regency in the hands Of the Dowa'
r ger Empress'
II such be the object OF his mission Their
cannot be the slightest doubt as to how TIN
, influence of Emperor William will be di
rected. The Kaiser will use his utmos