The Montgomery advertiser., 1905-06-25

 JAR FEVER Probability of Fight With
 Germany. ARMY CIRCLES ACTIVE Comparisons of Forces Are
 Being Made. Onicial View, However, Holds That While the situation Is Delicate 1t Does Not Present Any
 Aspect of Danger.

first time since the FaShoda incident the French public is in the throes of the wa rfever.
 Whether 1t will result in anything serious depends on Germany's response to the French not on Morocco, but without considering the exact status of the diplomatic negotiations con- siderable element of the public and press seriously discuss the possibilities of resort to arms.
 Army circles are particularly active and at the military clubs the officers are mainly engaged in making com parisons of the forces of France and Germany. While the financial leaders scout the idea of war. yet the specula- tive element has been quick to seize the opportunity to raid French rentes which, when they closed tonight, within the week. The official view is that the situation. while delicate. does not present any aspect of danger of crisis involving a rupture of relations. This is the Governmental view and na- turally the most favorable aspects of the controversy. However. the Ambas- sadors of the leading powers express impartial opinions fully sustaining the view of the Government It is pointed out in diplomatic quarters that the worst aspect of the Moroccan question does not present a casus belli
 The Controversy.
 Analysis of the controversy shows that the Sultan of Morocco invited the powers to a conference. Germany urges the powers, including France. to accept. Premier Rouvier's latest note shows the willingness of France to consider a conference If Germany explains her purposes, but even should France decline to accept this refusal of the invitation 1t does not constitute a cause for war. A diplomat summed up the situation by saying that the complete failure of the present nego- tiation would not mean war, as the controversy then would proceed along new lines. It would doubtless lead to direct appeals to the Sultan with a view of securing the upper hand in Morocco While the psssimistfc ele- ment foresees that Germany will seek pretext for trouble. yet the actual state of affairs does not warrant such gloomy forebodings.
 The controversy serves to call att tention to the complete state of readi- ness of Frances military stem to meet any emergency. The present peace footing of the army Is 53O,00O men. This force is organized on an elastic basis whereby the doubling and trip ling of the strength of each company doubles and triples the aggregate army The first and second reserves are made up of trained men who here- tofore have completed the military ser vice which the state requires all citi- gems to complete. The equipment of the reserve Is always kept in readi- ness at the barracks. Military experts say that the calling of the first re- serve to the colors would probably furnish an immediate force approxi- mately of a million trained men and thereafter the second reserves and the territorial militia would permit Of much further expansion. The system of mobilization and equipment has un- dergone great improvement as the re- suit of lessons learned during the last war Annual manouvres which con stitute mobilizationa on small scale are frequent and tests of mobilization occur in various districts in which the full strength of horses, wagons, trains and equipments are quickly assem- bled.
 France in Readiness.
 This military preparedness has no direct bearing on the present German controversy but the military critics cite 1t as evidence that France is not likely to again suffer from the contu- sion and delay incident to the begin ming of the last war.
 La Libertie tonight began the pub Iication of a series of articles from IL of public feeling and the activity of the military forces, which are alleged to be constantly drilling and undergo ing inspection. The tenor of the ar ticles is similar to that of those that have appeared heretofore, which show ed the high military spirit along the border and the precautionary meas ures adopted on both sides to keep the forces in a state of preparedness.
 The diplomatic situation remains unchanged, as Germany has not yet presented her answer to the French note. The French and American au- thorities are perfecting plans for the ceremonies incident to the removal of the body of Paul Jones to the United States, which is expected to be a nota- ble event. The American embassy has been advised that Assistant Secretary of State Loomis will arrive here about the same time the American naval party reaches Paris
 Countess Cassini, who is visiting here, is slowly recovering from a long and severe attack of fever. Her physicians pronounce her to be entire ly out of danger and say that conva- lesence is proceeding satisfactorily.
 A government bill has been prepared for introduction in parliament provid- Ing amnesty for those condemned in the high court for the revolutionary blot in 1899. The principal beneficiary should the bill pass. will be Paul de Roulede. former member of the Cham Der of Deputies who is now fin politi- cal exile in Spain. The measure is also intended to revoke the penalties arising from the recent secret army reports.
 KAx