The Minneapolis journal. [volume] (Minneapolis, Minn.) 1888-1939, 1905-08-23
THIRTY MILLIONS
OFF THE CROP
MAXIMUM WHEAT PROMISE RE-
DUCED BY THE RUST.
H. v. Jones Issues q Summary Cover
ing the Northwest Production-T
Old Jones' Northwestern Miller Con-
> troversy Touched pon-Analysis Of
the Production Of Last Year with
Distribution Totals.

Following up his report giving the
at 74,000,0O0 bushels-l66, 100000
spring wheat and 100000 macaroni-
H. V. Jones today issued an analytic
| summary of the whole.
! The three northwest states of Min
nesota, North Dakota and South Da
kota, he says, have lost 30,000,000 bush
els OF wheat this year from the maxi
mum promise on account of black rust
and it's resultant effects. The quality
| last year. There will be a good deal
of low-grade wheat, however, due to
| light weight and smut It is a fair
presumption, he says, that the quality
Of considerable grain is impaired as a
result of premature ripening. There
should be good proportion Of best
milling grades. A few districts will
The Sleepy Eye district will have avail
able considerable sixty to sixty-four-
pound wheat, the Jim valley will have
good quality barring smut; the Mis-
souri, slope should have good quality.
Macaroni will be great disappoint-
ment. Much of it is blighted badly
and rusted, thus doing away with the
| claim by the government bureau that
it is immune. He has allowed 100000
l0,000,00O. 49,. .s.,-. ...-..
| - The Miller's Figures.
=: The controversy Of last season be-
tween Jones and the Northwestern
Miller is touched upon. The Miller
discredited the Jones reports, took the
| opposite side Of rather long drawn out
argument, and contended that the Jones
estimate was too low by far. Of this
Jones has to say: ,--~.
/ The Northwestern Miller is evidently
making preparation to run the wheat sup
ply as high as possible for last year, as
it Is basing this years output on bushels
| 10 pounds Of wheat to the barrel Of flour,
as against ~ bushels the previous year.
| This will result in gross error, however.
because the larger amount cannot be
made to apply uniformly to the output be-
cause Of the use Of sound winter wheat
| and to the fact that the allowance is
extreme anyway, SO great did the amount
used per barrel vary in localities. The
Miller makes the further error Of basing
q wheat estimate on flour production. 1t
cannot be done, because for reasons stated
above that lead to excessive statements OF
rival firms on output, the whole statement
is vitiated. We cannot mix flour anc
wheat to arrive at g. wheat distribution
any more than we can mix other raw ma
total Of raw material.
The question can be stated in a nut
shell-don't split hairs. We will eliminate
5, 900, 900 to cover one two little items
to suit any critic and remain less thar
!, 10000, 900 in error. We will cut only
5000, 900 from the Miller's unofficial coun-
try flour output and remain only 7,000,0
in error. g..
And then We have the great convincing
| 70 nf hot ,,ioh in, MIR nd
Of last years crop because Of the price
u an average, for the year considerabl!
above one dollar, and last years whea
still holding above one dollar.
It is conservative to estimate the value
of our crop report to northwest farmer
, last year at 10 cents bushel, or sic, 900,
900. Had the rust damage not beel
punched early the situation would no
have become apparent until after tn
heavy marketing. This profit to the farm
er became a support to every business i,
the northwest. The cry of crop killer
: was simply the reflection Of narrow judg
: ment. We have estimated yields in tn
: northwest in our time on range from
. 11S, 900, 900 to 100000. We have give
I an estimate this year 30,000,000 bushel
larger than last year, outside Of a loss Q
: 10000, 900 bushels. We deal both frankl
and honestly with the public. We Civ
out information early and give reasons 70
conclusions.
:. Northwest Crop Of 1904.
3 We estimated the northwest whea
crop in 1904 at l39,O00,O0O bushels
I The distribution shows an error Of les
< than 100000 bushels. as follows;
Receipts wheat Minneapolis
o and Duluth Aug. 1, 1904,
n to Aug. /, 1905. ....-.. III, SOC, 0C
i Used for seed spring 1905. $4,000, 0(
= Country mill consumption, .
twelve months ......... $4,000, 0(
8 Shipped out Minnesota
r south Of Minneapolis, not 90.
; ceipts . ........ ~. ".' 1,5ooot
g Carried over by farmers
q Aug. /, 1905 and in
l. country elevators ....... . 5000, o(
a Total gross supplies for ." 1...-
IS year ............... 1874, 900, Of
$ Deductions to get net spring wheat
h Receipts winter wheat, q ..rr- s.
+. Minneapolis ............ S,75e,O00
- Receipts Pacific wheat, ..-
- Minneapolis ............ 1,723, 900