The times dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1903-1914, 1905-07-09
new GROUP|NGOF
POWERS TO COME
War in Far East, Will
Have This Effect. Des-
chanel Says.
GERMANY WILL
SUPPORT RUSSIA
In New Diplomatic Alliances Fol-
lowing Declaration Of Peace
France Will Probably Join
England or Germany.
Attitude Of United
States.
BY M. Paul Deschanel.

H
President OF the French Parliamentary
Comn,ittee OF Foreign and Colonial Az
fairs; President CT the Chamber OF Dep
uties. .1s9s.loo2
Written for potentin Copyright in Great
Britain and the United States, 1869
PARIS, July s.-Germany will support
Russia. and that for three reasons. The
first Is that she has All Interest in
maintaining Russia in he Far East In
order to have all the voice In the Near
East; the second is that she sees a
means Of causing breach between US
and England in forcing her to choose
between Anglo-Japanese alliance and the
Entente Cordiale:'' the third IS that
thus she Will drive France into collabor-
ating with her TO help our allies.
4 Ever since the conclusion OF the Franc o.
Russian alliance Germany has pursued
alternately two different policies; while
trying to draw closer to England, and to
divorce Paris and London, she has set
herself to unite against England. the
three Continental Powers. The former
OF those two policies having miscarried
Cat the end OF 1900 In China and a, the
beginning OF 1901. and in the Venezuelan
affair." she devoted herself to the second
(the inauguration of the Klel Canai, the
treaty Of ShlmonOseki, the Chinese cx-
pedition under the leadership OF Field
Marshal Waldersec). In Intervening in
s the same sense that we do. she will try
70 restore the triple entente in 1886
It Is to Germany's interest that Rus
sa should be kept occupied IN Asia
Russia In the Far East means Ger
many mistress In the Near Eas. and
arbiter OF Europe.
Germany's Power Increased.
The military disorganization OF Russia
distinctly increases the military power
OF Germany II Russia and England re-
main estranged the Baltic is at the
mercy OF the German fleet. In the
Chinese seas the Japanese merchant
marine will prove a ruinous competitor
10 the German coasting trade. and Ger
many. which al kiao chau is only twelve
hours at sea from the japanese arsenali
Saseboo. must long to keep Russia as a
buffer. 3
For all these reasons then, Germany,
desiring at once her friendship and her
exile. must support Russia. The Foreign
Otiice. IN the Japanese alliance, wished
70 keep the Russians I'm check. but far
from driving them TO war. tried to hold
athetn back. to the point even OF arous-
Ing the complaints OF the japanese press,
Whlch saw IN the alliance rather an OBJ
stacle than In action against Russ a.
AFTER the opening Of hostilities Van
C0uVer es, newspaper expresses It's fears:
II Japan. 1t said, '.is victorious, VIII
.1 ,nat DC n ge3d thing for British Colum-
ola, which has already so many subjects
3 OF the Mlkado; and what will happen II
VICTORIOUS Japan make pretensions to
pre-eminence in the Southern archipela %.
commanding Australia? Certain conse
quences may arise which have not been,
snticipated BY the authors OF the
treaty" o
England Begins to Reflect.
The English in India. who at first had
seen IN Japan nothing but valuable ally
cngasal in holding Russia's attention
Wniie they did their business In Thibet,
Afghanistan and Persia are beginning To
reflect. and Lord Curzon rs driven to take
severe measures against the influence ex-
erclsed BY the japanese upon the Hndus.
1t Is realized even in India that there is
room In Asia for Russia and for England
"a view that Lord Salisbury held, and
7 that Mr.. Balfonr and NJ Nitts hold.
Finally the most important English news
papers Of japan, tho Kobe Chronicle and
the Daily Mail, have put the japanese on
their guard against the temptation they
S incur OF failing to keep their pledges,
even In what concerns the Independence
of Corea.
On the other hand, Germany nspIrcs To
be mistress Of the sea. and England can
not suffer that loss without herself be-
Ing lost. The naval programme OF Ger
many. as has> been repeatedly stated
officially in the Rcichstag, Is openly di-
rected against England The European
foe that, England has to fear is not at
st. Petersburg.
The Englishmen who direct their energy
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