The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1905-07-23
Special Cab,e Despatch 10 THE Sun.

ianch,iria Is Credited to NJ. Wltte.
Special Cable Despatch 10 THE Sun.
LONDON, July 22.-Interest in the Rus
sian situation for the next few weeks will
by no means be confined to the peace ne
gotiations. 1t Is not improbable that de-
velopments will occur, perhaps within
few days, which will be Of great historic
importance and which will alter the whole
present aspect of events. 1t is not possible
to forecast what these developments will
be, because great antagonistio forces are
at work and no man can say what move
ment or plan will succeed or what fail.
There are two or three different policies
represented. For instance, at the Moscow
conference one Of the aims was to force the
present Government to grant reforms, In
Guiding national legislature and constitu-
ton without removing the present sover-
eign. Another party led by Prince Yaku-
skine scarcely concealed it's desire and
purpose to sweep away the whole Romanoff
dynasty.
Again, we are told that the authorities
have discovered vast plot, which Vas
expected to eliminate to-day, for destroy
ing the Gear and all the reactionary leaders,
The secret police have been able TO learn
no details, but the partial knowledge no
alarmed the Car that he determined to
fee from the danger on his yacht.
There is another element In the situation,
however. Of which no knowledge has yet
reached the public. 1t has been assumed
that the court party has no program be-
You'd forcible repression Of all attempts to
restrict or otherwise interfere with the
autocracy. Such an idea credits them with
as little sense as has been shown by the
Car himself during the last few months.
They are neither blind nor fools. They
realize fully that the Emperor's vacillation
| has created a situation which requires
substantial concession to popular demand,
certain amount of genuine reform and,
above all, strong administration at Ito
source. The Cars weakness has 80 ex-
less of accomplishing anything under his
titular sovereignty. The reader can draw
his own conclusions from that situation.
DOESN'T WANT TO ADMIT DEFEAT. ...
| Curiously enough, it happens that at tho
present moment, the Emperor Ia In most
recalcitrnnt mood. This has been caused
by an incessant fire Of kilograms from
Manchuria, not from Commander-in-Chief
Linievitch and the prominent commanders
alone. Colonies OF regiments whose tituar
chiefs are members OF the royal family
arc pouring in dispatches addressed direct
| to the Car, imploring him not to make
peace. 1t need not be inferred that the
motive Of these kilograms is belief OF tho
possibility of military success against
Field Marshal Oyama. but the Emperor
himself naturally 30 interprets them.
Their effect has been that Nicholas re-
CARDS every suggested concession for
gaining peace as an affront to the honor
of the army and the country, and he Is
| indisposed to agree to any settlement
except on the basis of drawn game. In
fact, he would prefer to abdicate rather
| There is a strong party among the Cars
encourage who favor peace on any reasons
bic terms. They are led by the Dowager
Empress, It was she who secured the ap-
pointment of NJ White. Her views have
considerably changed in the last few
months, especially toward the former
Minister of Finance. The Gar made tho
selection unwillingly, how unwillinGy is
| i'll tal hx,t bo Tor hot at hio {ntnr-
views before M. witte departed the Em-
peror scarcely spoke civil or rational
word to his peace envoy.
NJ. Witte has no detailed Instructions
from the Car himself. He spent almost
an entire day with the Dowager Empress.
and 1t is with her that he has full under
standing. He is even In complete ignorance
of the Emperor's proposed meeting with the
Kaiser, as is evidenced by his emphatio
denials to THE SUNS Paris correspondent
this afternoon, after his sovereign had
actually sailed.
| DOES CAR CONTEMPLATE ABprcATroNf
The question which is being gravely
considered in high Russian orioles to-day IL:
Will Nicholas be on the Russian throne
when Japan makes known her demands to
Nj. Witte and his associates? Put In another
form, the question Of the hour is: Has tho
Car gone to seek advice Of the Kaiser upon
the momentous proposal OF his abdicatiou In
favor of a regency in the hands Of the Dowa-
ger Empress? ~
II such he the object Of his mission there
cannot he the slightest doubt a. to how tho
influence Of Emperor william will be di-
rooted. The Kaiser will use his utmost
|