New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1905-10-23
4 NATTER OF ARITHMETIC.

About this time look out for Tammany
attempt to start a panic with reference TO the
Hearst candidacy. 1t is an old trick ana
should deceive nobody If the natural sup
porters of Mr. WINS keep their heads and 90
not let themselves be stampeded by the cries
/ of the enemy, Tammany is certain TO be peateh
and Mr.. WINS elected The Tammany man
ayers are already in despair over the dlsanec-
ton in their own strongholds. In the dis
tricts where they have hitherto exercised a
despotic sway Mr.. Hearst has divided their
vote and even drawn over some of their pre-
cinct workers. What is usually an inert, sond
mass of Tammany voters is now only
broken reed in Murphy's hands, and we may
expect that in few days he will be appealing
TO Republicans in the name of conservatism
and social order to save him from defeat
When such an appeal comes wise men VIII
Just study the figures and refuse to pull his
chestnuts out CT the fire.
The vote at the coming election is likely TO
be about 100000 The straight Republican
vote here is more than 100000. Three years
ago. with a smaller electorate, Governor Odell
had 2O4, 499 in the city and last year Governor
Higgins received 1852 Governor Higgins's
vote was doubtless swelled by the exceptional
interest of the Presidential campaign, but 1t
ran SO far short of the vote for President
Roosevelt as to have been almost entirely
party vote Certainly the Republican vote two
years before was generally regarded as
measure of the partys strength in an off year
without substantial Independent assistance.
Two years ago Mayor Mcclellan received 314,
712 votes The same forces, with the present
larger electorate, would give him, perhaps,
$4,000 votes II Mr.. Hearst polls 10000 Of
these pulling Mr.. Mcclellan strength down
to 100000 Mr.. WINS will almost certainly be
elected. If Tammany is ready to admit that
its organization is utterly disintegrated and
that only minority OF its normal vote is sup
porting Mr.. Mcclellan, there may be reason
TO consider seriously the possibility Of Mr..
Hearst's election. But in that case the duty
Of all conservative citizens, including Mr.. Nc
Clellan's supporters would be to rally to Mr..
Wins in order to defeat the radical ticket.
SO long as Tammany is able to hold the
greater part Of it's old adherents the fight is be-
tween Mr. WINS and Mr. Mcclellan 1t is a
plain matter Of arithmetic that when Tam
many cannot do this the fight will be between
Mr.. WINS and Mr.. Hearst not Mr.. Hearst and
Mr.. Mcclellan The Republicans have an IN
broken organized force behind Mr.. WINS. OF
itself it is not enough to elect. him without in
dependent help or q split in the opposition
but any split in the Tammany vote serious
enough to bring Mr.. DGcCIelan'S strength down
to the solid Republican minimum for Mr. WINS
is sure to leave both parts of the opposition in
a minority, unless, indeed, Mr.. ATcCIellan's
vote dwindles so that he is left hopeless third.
Any attempt, therefore, by Tammany to start
panic in favor Of Mr.. Mcclellan would simply
be a confession Of despair. It would not be an
honest appeal to the patriotism Of conserva-
tive opponents, but a selfish attempt to save
its own organization from wreck at the risk
of drawing enough votes from Mr. WINS to
elect Mr.. Hearst