The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1905-06-25

against the nation ana not against lHe
Individual Minister and hence there is
complete revulsion Of feeling in Paris and
a cordial welcoming Of English support.
French newspapers and publcsts are
freely discussing the probable result OF
conflict between Germany and France
and England in alliance. There is nothing
more rcassuring than remarkable article
ny NJ Delafossr, one Of the ablest Deputies
in the Conservative opposition. II Is
pointed out in this article that whatever
early success German troops might win
against France Germany could not endure
for many weeks the destruction OF her
navy and commerce by an nglish block
ode.
France. in fact has taken heart COM
pletely in the last few days. Instead OF
believing that the Kaiser is determined to
force war upon her she now doubts very
strongly his Willingness to risk conflict
@ gairst the two Powers,
German protestations Of friendship and
sugpestions of Franco German alliance
which we're somewhat in evidence early in
the week, when it was supposed that France
YVES or the point of conceding all that was
demanded found no response in any quartz
Suca a combinatio according to French
belief, would bring no substantial reward
and would speedily result in Germany's
paramountcy in Europe.
WILL HE RISK WAR?
The next move must come from the
Kaiser. He has made known in effect
his dissatisfaction with the French reply.
Will he give the screw another dangerous
turn? He is confronted also with eXas-
perated Russian resentment against the
measures he has taken to profit by the col
lapse of that great Power. Russia is no
longer able to bring force to bear in any
direction, but her diplomacy ia still capable
of important influence in certain directions.
especially in the Near East.
The master mind at Berlin has many
weapons which he can bring to bear on the
situation. Tho present Indications are that
his main ambition to break the Anglo
French entente will fail, but he will not
neglect other opportunities TO profit by
the incapacity OF Russia
The question on everybody's lips is, Will
he risk war? The answer is completely
obscure. England thinks not and French
opinion is now inclined to agree. Assuming
that this view is correct, the chief danger
lies in the fact that the crisis may he pushed
so far that it will be impossible to maintain
peace.
1t is this peril more than actual belief
IN warlike intentions which is upsetting
the market and creating public anxiety
more acute than since the last Continental
conflict.
The grave situation in Austro-Hungary
Is well epitomized by the Spectator. which
says: The paralysis Of Russia has re-
leved the Magyars of secret fear, and they
seem to be determined to try the dangerous
experiment of separating their State from
the dual monarchy. Taught by his long
experience, the Austrian Emperor will,
OF course, try to avoid final rupture with
the Hungarian people. but parliamentary
life is suspended and It will be difficult or
impossible to collect taxes. The next step
will therefore be watched with alarm as
we'll as curiosity by all the statesmen of
the Continent, who are we'll aware hat the
dissolution of the Austrian Empire will be
followed by the most dangerous explosion
In Europe, the Germans contending with the
Magyars and the Slavs with both.
1T must be remembered, however, that
whenever discussion gives place to action
there is one check on the Magyars. namely
their imperfect hold on the majority of
their own population, which is Slav.'
THE CARS WEAKNESS.
The world has witnessed this week the
bumiliating cynical process whereby every
good intention of the Car has been thwarted
doubt that he made definite promises of
genuine internal reform, including the
immediate summoning Of representative
assembly, to the zem,tvo delegates on
hol'ldy. IL IeuulTeu less IMAM tITee Gays
for his encourage to cancel all the con-
cessons and Teinstate the extreme auto
cratic policy. The sad spectacle demon
strates once for all the futility Of any hopes
that the Car will become the real authority
In Russia. He is mere puppet and the
real rulers are beyond reach
This fresh disclosure is a poor augury
FOR peace None is better aware than Japan
Of the uselessness of negotiating or even
Of settling terms with the Russian Govern
ment as now constituted No treaty could
be relied upon, no promise would be held
sacred in the future any more than in the
days before the war, when Russian viola
ton Of pledges was the chief cause of the
conflict. If. therefore, the negotiations
ever reach the point OF probable agreement
it will he found that Japan will secure her
self against perfidy hy an expedient which
will astonish the W estern world and mean
much to the Russian people. with whom
Japan has no quarrel.
The st. Petersburg correspo ndent of
THE Sun says n Sakharof, Minister of