The Washington times., 1905-07-30

NEW YORK. July 29.-"The Russian
revolution, gentlemen. and may we all
live to see 1tt''
l suggest that as a suitable toast for
any assembly of sanguine sexagen-
arians. For those who live to see the
Russian revolution will live a long long
time.
Russia is difficult country to prophesy
about for Just the same reason that It Is
diflcult to forecast a day ahead the ac-
tions of man who does not know what
he wants 10 do. Moreover, it is i'm
moral to prophesy except about horses.
About the. dofngs of talking animals 1t is
more virtuous and prudent to bet.
I bet against the Russian revolution,
and If that tremendous and fascinating
personality. the principal operator, .
whose recorded exploits amid the shouts
and trampIings Of Tattersaifs are fol-
lowed with admiring interest in remote
corners of the earth; If he Is thinking
according to his habit of throwing the
weight Of his influence into the market
upon this event, would earnestly recon-
mend him 10 follow ne. For this horse,
though public fancy, isl have 1t
straight from the stable-a bad starter,
an ungenerous beast, on the light side
as regards bone, backward in mis- prep
aratioa and non-tryer.
What Revolution Means.
1t is necessary, of course, to know ex-
actIy what IS meant by revolution" ="
Vague general terms arc well enough for
the loose practices Of prophecy, but for
a question that has climbed to the high
est plane of wager exact definition Of
terms and conditions are necessary. For
a theorist expounding the probabilities
of the next big race it IS proper to be
little mysterious and pin his faith
to ''the outstanding son of Fryingpan"
or to talk of seeing the popular lemon
and vanilla jacket once more triumph
ant.
But when the principal operator comes
into the argument with his methods of
expression the horse he fancEes is
spoken of very definitely as Pancake"
And no doubt he will be careful to have
Il clearly understood what is meant by
revolution" before he begins to make
his investment. for revolution is far
too loose a term for serious wagering.
1t would cause wrangling as TO its in
terpretatioH. Reputation of response
bility and ali the trouble and ill-feel-
ings incidental to reference to the
committee of Tattersalls.
JeuS1dl DtGGkuuWu.
For example. a bad loser who had bet
OF q revolution taking place in Russia
light easily argue that revolution is
already occurring. if. indeed, it has not
already occurred. The Russian system
has broken down; general discomfort
has expressed itself in a sort of pas
sive resistance to administrative au-
thority. The people having ceased 70
give willing obedience. the government
had practically ceased to govern.
It would be difficult to contend that
a nation in such q condition is in a
state of revolution. should not pay
over constructive revolution. Also l
bar palace revolution. That is a dark
kind Of horse that has effected many
startling surprises In Russian history,
and may easily bring off another coup
some fine day.
mere change of ruler or even a
change OF dynasty without any altera-
ton in the principle or system of gov
ernment does not constitute the sort of
revolution that l am letting against.
l. would be so easy.
When the People Rise.
The revolution I mean is the full
blooded French article-a national
movement. not a family affair. When
the people Of Russia rise in over