The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1905-07-02
REVOLUTION SEEMS NEAR.
Russia Moving Steadily Toward . Crisis
Republic Not Likely.

Special Gable Despatch to THE SUN.
LONDON, July l.-Stronger and stronger
the conviction grows that the fateful hour
for Russia is about to strike. The revolu-
ton cannot come by slow stages. The
moment the disaffection of the naval and
military forces becomes general the storm
will break. 1t may still be held in check.
The news now coming through is too
confused and contradictory to permit any
rclia BILE estimate as to how widespread
the insurrectionary movement among the
troops may he. 1t seems to be confined
to the reservists instead Of the regular
troops in most places. The spirit of re-
bellion. however, has reached the Cars
doors at Tsarskoe- Selo. The reservists
have arms and the regular soldiers, ex-
cept the Cossacks, who might be induced
to fire on the general populaPe. cannot be
relied upon to attack their brothers in
uniform.
The question Of the hour is, How can the
Russian people be rescued from tyranny
without an indiscrminate slaughter sur
passing the French Revolution in hoTor3
1t seems impossible. for bloodess coup
d'etat has no chance Of success. There is,
however, a we'll defined and organized party
Of Russian Liberals who are awaiting the
proper moment to seize the Government
and install a new regime. In their pro-
gram secret force must of course play
large part but every effort will be made
to limit the bloodshed.
Will CARBON be altogether destroyed?
Few in Russia believe that republican
form of Government is suitable for the
Russian people. 1t is scarcely practicable
TO set up a new dynasty. liberal con-
stitution will ass,lredly be established and
it is said that a representative regency
will be appointed during the twenty years
minority Of the Cars SON.
The correspondent Of THE Sun at st.
Petersburg asked a prominent man there
who suggested this expedient what in that
event would become Of the Emperor Mica
olas, The only answer was a shake of the
head.
1t was said in the somewhat cryptic
despatch in yesterdays Sun that peace with
ia, an would not be made by the present
Russian Government, This is interpreted
by the European press, which widely dis
cusses that telegram, as mere prophecy
that the present regime will be overthrown
before the negotiations are finished. Its
meaning has a wider scope than that.
Let Jspan's position in dealing with Rus
sia be considered for moment. What was
the sole cause of the present war? Notori-
ously nothing but Russia's reputation OF
her solemnly made obligation. OF what
value to japan then would be fresh set of
promises from the same source? Japan
has no quarrel with the Russian people.
She has nearly 10000 of them as prisoners
within her borders. She has fraternized
with them. She has learned to like them
and to symrathize with them in their OPP
preston. Why under all the circumstances
should she not require that peace when it
comes in order to be permanent, should
lie ratified by a representative national
assembly; The thing may be unprece-
dented; it may even be an unjustified attempt
to interfere in the domestic affairs of her
enemy. but that does not alter the reason
ablencss of such a demand. 1t may be EN-
tirely necessary to put forward this among
the conditions Of peace; Russia herself
may provide it before the negotiations are
rpnClu6eI