New-York tribune., 1904-10-02


Doubtful states claimed - 5-,as -.--....-.
New-Torz --.,----.-. 20 va5hirs-
4ldiana ---.- II Wisconsin --..-.,-...... l.
Wes- virginia q Wyoming ,.-...-........
r"tai -.....,......... -254 Total ........-...2ae
Necessary a choice....---. -..-ss5
The Parker and Davis campaign managers, BY
giving themselves the benefit of the doubt and
claiming for their ticket New-TOrk. Indiana and
West Virginia, with six1y-One electoral votes
still are short FIVE votes of majority OF the
Electoral College. They have abandoned hope
Of carrying Illinois. Wisconsin. NeW-Jersey and
Connecticut. Their best figures show that those
States are hopelezsIy Republican this year for
Roosevelt and Fairbanks
The only reason FOR laying claim 70 New
York, Indiana and West Virginia is that if they
also conceded those States 10 Roosevelt there
would be no further use. of running the cam
Daisn- BY keeping Up the bIu2 the national
committee is collecting good deal Of campaign
money which VIII be laid aside fer a rainy day
One OF the principal objects OF the campaign
now. strange as it may appear to the vayfaring
man. is prevent William J. Bryan from
capturing the Nebraska legislature. and thas
make It impossible for him 10 secure an election
20 the United States Senate
Startling deva,,.pueEts in the Nebraska can
vass are expected withia few days Th> Par
the Senate he win become the Iedder OF the
Democracy and VIII again De the candidate for
President in 1905 This is Bryan pan. and It
is what his friends al over the West are striv-
ing TO bring about it was eZacLly this thing
that prompted Bryan to make a coalition with
certain Republicans in Nebraska looking 20 the
services Of the Roosevelt electors and OF Bryan
legislature. The latest reports from Nebraska
Indicate hat the Republicans are going TO have
rr,f4- rTf-e
Roosevelt electors certainly VIII be successful
TAGGART MAKES AN ESTIMATE
An exceedingly interesting talk between Chair
man Thomas Taggart and two Western mem
bers OF the Democratic National COMMITTEES took
place at national headquarters in the Century
Building on Wednesday afternoon It was ad-
uitteG thar an accurate forecast Of -ths result
was possible The men in the conference took
three pads and put down their best guesses
with reference TO States that would go for Par
ker and Davis. The highest estimate vas the
one given at the head OF this article. The lowest
was total Of is votes. with New-York. Ind
lana and West Virginia conceded 70 the Re-
pubucans
The only thing, il was admitted. that ca0 save
the Parker and Davis ticket now is so-s eNrraor-
diuary piece cf misfortune 20 rHe R7pubHcan
+ cauvass-sumething in the nature az a "Bur-
,,nardis~' on the eve of election. This is not
expected by Democrats II is simply hoped fer.
In the foregoing tables the Democrats claim
Colo-aEo which save Bryan -96il plurality
SOLELY because OF the silver issue Governor Pea
body is "a Republican The strike Issue in tle
Centennial state cuts both vays. Roosevelt aUd
Fairbanks 90 uoJ figure in ir directly or tudi-
rectIy. The labor leaders ara urging their sol-
lowing Z, support the Democratic candidate fnr
Governor but -hat IS as far as thair mission
airy vyorz extends. The Republicans a-e more
IksIv TO carry the state than the Dc-aocrags,
because OF the liking Cor Roosevelt on the part
Of the farmers aad miners and cheir sentiment
at the failure o. the St louis convention TO
stand 10y it's guns on the stlv1~ issue
Idaho is claimed by the Parker managers
solely because i- won't DeTcCe~atic four years
ago on the free silver issue. Since then the
drift has been steadily toward the Republicans,
who are confident OF wfpfag out the slim Demo-
cratic plurality Of 2.21f fou- years ESQ
CLARK TO DEL IvER MONTANA
Montana is claimed by the Parker men be-
cause Senator William A. CI1rE has promised
10 deliver it to them. He WIZ be held response
BILE for the delivery. Bryan carried Montana
four years ago by plurality OF 1t.77G in a
total vote OF about G0ee0 This is good mar
gin on q pe-centage basis, but the s. Louis
convention was as blttz~ dose TO the Demo-
Gratis Of Montana as to- thsiv bv0,hers in Ne
brasza Bryan stiI IS the idol OF the Montana
Democrats. The great prosperity of the miners
ana wool growers i'm Montana fn the last four
years has turned thousands of them tc the Re-
publican party.
So much for the reasODa bly, doubtful States
al OF which are claimed by the Parker uler
and which, in "a forecast can be conceded to
them With NeV-Y0rk, Indiana and West vIr-
ginla il is different proposition Not a prom
inent Democrat &. Tanuia1y Han who has had
an opportunity to watch the h0underfng OF the
Democratic State campaign managers expects
Parker win carry the State.
The Tammany leaders expect that the res,,lt
on the state ticket VIII be close art they prs-
diet that Herrick viii win- The Republicans d
not concede It for a minute The slanGerous at
tacks on Governor Odeu. who only a few short
months since was praised 10 the skies for killing
the East River Gas Franchise bin. signed ~
Mayor Mcclellan are now reacting- They have
served To make Republicans alive to the danger
oe losing their STATE ticket There has been a
concentration OF energy among the workers
s1lcb as never WAS seen before -Fha iuCicssFiDrs
now are that Roosevelt viii have mere than
160,N plurality in the state. with Higgins not
M ore than 3OOU0 behind. M,EinIey and RoOse-
velt carried the state four years ago by q
The latest news from West Virginia gives that
up-to-date state 70 the Republicans BY a vote
eGuaIing that OF four years ago. when the Rs-
publcans carried IL by 21,O00
BRYAN-WATSON DEAL FEARED.
The determination on the part OF the Park.-
men 10 prevent Bryan from couilg to the TOP
again is born Of the fear that. following Par
ker's defeat. there viii be a sudden coalition of
the Bryan and watson men all over the couu-
try and that Watson VIII cCme forward with
the demand that Bryan be recognized as the
leader Of the Democracy Watson is not sayinS
hard things about Bryan Bryan is keepins