The Montgomery tribune. (Montgomery City, Mo.) 1892-1910, 1904-07-22
FIGURES GIVE Big
LEAD TO ROOSEVELT.
Can Win Without New York,
West Virginia and Wisconsin.

New York, July i6.--The mana
gers on both sides seem to share
the general impression at present
that the campaign will he like the
old time campaigns. How many
electoral votes can be counted n
sure for each presidential can
didater Politicians Yao are. \
pert at figures are already at
work on the problem. Equally
interesting r. the query, most
frequently heard. what will New
York dop" At the present stage
New York IL put In the light OF
disputed states by the democrats.
Until the campaign has been 10
progress some time and several
doubtful matters have been cleared
Up. IL will be impossible to make
a prediction on New York, they
allegc. But tins does not disturb
president Rooscvclt's managers.
They ATE convinced tina, the prcsi-
dent can be elected without New
York, though Of course there i no
disposition 10 overlook the Inn
portancc Of a victory 10 the Empire
state. The feeling IL that New
York will be carried.
Ia some tables recently PUBLISH
ed Connecticut and New Jersey
have been taken out II the rcpub-
lican column aud placed among
the doubtful states. There are ma
good reasons for this. Connecti-
cut aud New Jersey will go for
Roosevelt. The only democrat
alive who had a chance to carry
them II 'cs-prcsiicnt Cleveland.
With Judge Parker on the demo-
cratic ticket, M entirely different
l. presented. The sane
tables place. Illinois aud Indiana
In the doubtful column. This also
Is a mistake. These two great
states 81 the middle west ARE safe
~ republican. The nomination 81
United States senator Charles W.
Fairbanks 81 Indiana n president
k~oo-cyo.t's running mate lnsurc-
his state for the republicans.
Illinois will go republican for
several reasons. In the first place,
president Roosevelt l. popular
there. Secondly, m unusual
strong state ticket, headed by
states attorney Dcncen for goy-
crnor, has been placed In tho
hcli ~ the republicans. Dcncen's
election is generally conceded
throughout Chicago aud the rural
counties. In the third place, the
democrats are h~opclcssly split.
The democrat. claim West
Virginia because their vice prc-i-
Dental candidate, cx.C nited
States Senator Davis, Is n West
Nirginian. \ better reason than
that will have to be- given. How
nscr, West Virginia, ut the present
time, may be placed In the doubt
iul column merely a. n matter of
argument. Democrats claim Wis
consin, based On the fight between
the L.afollcttq and Spooner wings
Of the republican party. But there
IL u certainty that the republicans
will settle their differences. Until
then. however, II may he cla-scd
as "A doubtful state, also for urgu-
ment's sake.
The sum OF the electoral votes
conceded to president Roosevelt il
2iI. or eight more than the 6cccs-
sary 239. The best that a be
done for Judge Parker IL 40. The
total electoral votes ~ the dcbat-
able states, Including New York,
Il III ty-ninc. From these figures
II appears that president Roosevelt
can bc elected without New York.
Following Il the table;
Republican statcs-California,
10; Connecticut, !; Delaware, 81;
illinois, q; Indiana, II; Iowa, -;
Kansas, ~; Maine, d; Massachus-
ctts, ~; Michigan, IL; Minnesota,
II; Montana 3; Nebraska n; New
Hampshire, I; New Jersey, ~;
North Dakota, 1; Ohio, -; Oregon,
{; Pennsylvania, -; Rhode Island,
4; South Dakota, 4; Utah. 3; Vcr-
mont, I; Washington, 3; Wyom-
ing, 3. Total, 2i7.
Democrats states-AIabama n.