The Guthrie daily leader. [volume] (Guthrie, Okla.) 1893-1996, 1904-04-21
FfgLlrira8 on HOse' ~
TgIfyl Presidency


presumption Is that in other stae as
we'll as Indiana the Republicans viii
lose ~ per cent Of their vote and the
Democrats viii gain 2.9 per cent, that
Is upon the theory that the support
ers of the labor tickets and other
smaller organiza ions viii this time
affiliate to greater extent with the
Democrats than they have heretofore
done That change throughout the
country would reduce McKinIey's
plurality of 1900 by about 100000
votes. Should this change occur the
Democratic nominee wouli be elected.
although he might not gel a plurality
vote throughout the country This
statement sugges strongly that the
results in a single state can not be dis
associated from the result in other
states According to Mr. Clark. il the
states carried by MT. Bryan In 1900
remain Democratic. the candidate
starts in, under the new apportior-
ment with l65 electoral votes In the
states then carried by Mckinley. he
takes the total number Of voters who
would have to change from the Re
publican 10 The Democratic ticket in
order to throw the election. He fig.
ures that a general change throughout
the country at IL per cenf would car
ry Utah CD. making 16S electoral
votes A change CT 2h per cent
would carry Indiana t15). and Nebras.
ka (S). making 191 A change Of 3
per cent would carry Maryland 6,
making 1879, change Of 81 per cent
would carry Kansas (io). and Ohio
(23), making 232 Increasing this
percentage to AZ he finds that the
Democrats can carry Illinois with y
electoral votes, or total Of 269, which
IS 20 more than is necessary TO elect
the next president of the United
states. Four and one fourth pc. cent
would carry Delaware, per cen.
would carry New York ana West vir,
ginia. mailing in all S0S electoral
votes
From thass calculations 1t will be
seen that a change Of small per
cantage Of votes would elect Dem
ocra president. But while this per
centage looks small On paper It IS not
an easy thing tc convince This mary
suffragists to the belief that their best
Interests would be preserved by sup
porting the Democratic nominee for
president IN 1904. Nebraska, Uah,
Kansas. Illinois. and New Jersey viii,
Of course. be the hardest nuts to
crack in this respect, while Maryland
with and New York with its 80 cleo
toral vo es are reasonably certain to
20 to the Democratic nominee should
he hail from New York or the imme
date vicinity. as VIII Delaware with
It's 3. Connecticut with it's Z, and New
Jersey with its -. IL the electoral
vote Of the empire state be found in
the Democratic column and taken as
criterion. And little Rhode Island
can in this event also be put in this
category Adding the electoral votes
Of these states We find that the Dem
ocrats win lack three Of the necessary
z39 to elect the next president Of the
United Sta'es.
Existing conditions in Indiana and
Illinois are not unfavorable 10 Dem
ocratic success this year but to place
Democratic hopes on these states al
this time would not appeal to the av
, erage thinker Il Is true that the
great railroad interests Of Indiana ane
the country generally have no love
for Mr. Roosevelt and his regime and
when we turn our eyes to Illinois We
r fnd political turmoil only equalet
7 by the great Douglass and Lincoll
7 struggle Of the latter SOS In this
: sta.e there are today what Is KNOW
4 as the Yates and anl.Yates factions
: each determined TO down the othe