Durango semi-weekly herald., 1904-07-07

| tishHS OF tue several candidates fOf
the presidential nomination profess
perfect confidence in the result. bu,
away down deep in their hearts these
self same leaders who declare 1t is all
over but the shouting undoubtedly
| share the same feeling of doubt and
uncertainty in the issue that is felt by
| all unbiased observers of the situa
don In the confusion Of claims and
| denials filling the air today. the tab,
ulated statements given out by the sta
| tisticians at the various headquarters
| md the prediction that this or that
delegation will Hop TO the banner OF
| this or that candidate. there is but one
| hing that can he stated with any de
gree OF certainly. This is the way the
| candidates will stand on the first bal
| lot Should the delegations all fol,
low their instructions the several can.
didates will be sure OF the following
| votes when the first ballot is cast:
Parker is sure of the following
votes: Alaska 6 Arkansas. Is, Con
necticut II; Georgia. 26. Indiana 30; ;
Louisiana. is: Minnesota. IA: Missls-
sippi 20. New Hampshire, s.: New
York. IS. Ohio. 2. Tennessee. "a:
Texas. 36 Utah. 4. Vermont. s. In
| addition to this number he is expect
ed to have the % delegates from Ala
bama which state indorsed Parker.
but did not instruct, The same is true
of the % delegates from Kentucky
who are understood to favor Parker
| though they are without definite In
structons This will give Parker 354
votes at least on the first ballot.
Next to Parker in the number of in
structed delegates stands Hearst On
e first ballot the New York editor
may count upon the following: Ari-
IONA. 6; California 20; Florida. 10:
Hawaii. c; Idaho. 6; Illinois, 81 Iowa.
90; Kansas, 6; Maine. 3; Minnesota.
4 Nevada, 6; New Mexico. 6: Ohio,
8; Oregon. G: Rhode Island G: South
Dakota, s; Utah, 2. Washington. 10;
West Virginia, 9 Wyoming. g. Total.
2l0.
The favorite son votes on the first
ballot are expected to stand as fol-
lows: Massachusetts, 20 for Olney:
Delaware. for Gray; Wisconsin, 2G
for Wall.
The number of delegates without
instructions is 3ls. Missouri is ex-
pected to vote for Cockrell on the first
ballot, and West Virginia will cast II
votes for Senator German.
The Parker men are confident that
they will get at least third, or 100,
OF the uniustructed delegates on the
first ballot. In that case Parker would
then have 400 votes. or almost half of
the total number. Those who share
this confidence in Parkers strength
expect the New York judge to be nom
mated on the second ballot after Wis
consin and Massachusetts have cast
complimentary vote for Wall and
Olney
Parker goes into the convention
with practically the solid support OF
the entire South. The southern states
that have instructed for him are Ten
nessee. Texas. Mississippi, Louisiana,
Georgia. Arkansas and Alabama. The
southern states which have sent un-
instructed delegates, but which have
gone on record in favor of Judge Par
ker, are Virginia, South Carolina, Ken
lucky and six of the ten delegates
from Florida. The other four Florida
delegates are for Hearst. North Caro-
lima declined to indorse any candidate,
though majority OF the delegates
from that state are understood to IA
vor Parker
These figures show apparently that
Parker is the strongest man in the
race. But. as the old saying goes,
there's many slip 'twiw the cup
and the lip" Despite the strongest
denias from the parties concerned,
the rumor will not down that a com
bnation is forming to down Judge Par
ker Senator German is credited with
being the chief promoter of the move
ment. Others whose names are not
mentioned in the same connection ar"
ex-senator Smith of New Jersey. John
r. Mclean of Ohio, and Col j. NJ.
Guffey OF Pennsylvania. In justice To
these leaders IL should be said that
| no proof exists that they are concern
ed in an antlParker conspiracy.
In regard to Senator German, how
ever. a strong belief exists that he will
| be one of the dominant figures OF the
| convention and n prime factor in IN"
| final result Others whose attitude
NAV be counted on to influence tn"
result are William j Bryan. John Hop
kins of Illinois, and Leader Murphy OF
Tammany Bryan is expected to give
| sincere support TO Hearst as long as
there appears to be possibility oi
The latter getting the nomination,
| Whom he would favor as second
choice against Parker or any other
candidate put forth by the "conserva
aiyes" is one of the Interesting ques
tinns of today. Charles J. Murphy
undoubtedly would like to see Mayor
Mcclellan OF New York in the running
in case there appears chance for
dark horse TO win.
Several other dark horses undoubt
edly would be sprung on the conVen
ton in case of deadlock among th'
leading candidates, among the number
held in reserve being Judge Harmon
of Ohio and Ex-Governor Pattison o
Pennsylvania.
AN EVEN THOU