New-York tribune., 1904-10-30

men men are getting the benefit Of it The vote in
l'L6 g, a.stTlct Nv % years ago was as follows:
White Is. L.. 314; Haupt Is. D.. 3SI.
A handicap OF 4,JtD is heavy one TO over
come even in Presidential year and a victory
for Mr.. SAKE is a good deal to expect For the
first time II years Plunkitt is spending money
lavishly 10 save himself He is noTorioIIsl1y
thrifty, and the voters Of the district having
this tact IN mind are evening up old scores with
him. Several independent Democratic clubs
have indorsed SAKE, and the friends of Plunzitt
are worrying over the result.
The Republicans are pretty sure to reclaim
the AIAth District. where Alfred R. Page,
their candidate, is opposed by Charles Pope
Caldwell. This district was lost by the Repub-
Hcans two yeaIs ago on account OF factionaI
squabbles. The vote was as follows:
Russell CD) "a 795; Smith, CR). -. .991: Kav-
anagh Is. l., 500; Springer, Is. d.. 49,; Hay
den Greater New-York Democracy, 7S6
The district is safely Republican in normal
times, and as the factional differences have
been settled there is no doubt about Nh. Pages
election.
TO HOLD OWN IN ASSEMBLY
In Assembymen the Republicans viii more
than hold their own Last year. as before
stated. the Republicans had the assistance il
nearly all the close districts Of the Citizens
Union, and in return for IL in many instances
they supported the Citizens Union candidate
for Alderman rs Mayor McCleIlan's plurality
in the county is about what is conceded to
Parker and Herrtck this year, there is not =
Hcans VIII gain many asSeInblymen.
The Republicans have reasons for claiming
the IVth District. The vote there last year was
schooner CR). 2342; Burns CD), S.482.
A margin OF hoo is not easy TO overcome in
the Nth. as Borough President Ahearn IS the
his district for all Of his candidates. The Re
publicans are running Samuel COhn, while the
The falling off in the Democratic vote is likely
TO elect Cohn, but in The Tribune's forecast
his election is not claimed, because the nat
urai handicap is q heavy
The Republicans are reasonably sure OF car
rying the Vth District, where Richard Van Cott
i ~ufning against Leslie j. Tompki1s.
dree. Louis FreideI has a e6ahcs Of beating
p nett z. S1egeIstein. Tammany. Charlie
Adler used to carry this district by narrow
margin, and Freidel is a sort Of second Adler
in popularity There is a large Jewish vote
in the district most Of which is going TO Roose-
welt. The drift Is likely TO beat Siegelstetn
Relatively, the same conditions prevail IN
the Xth District, also an East Side baiiwick
The vote in this district last year was as fol-
lows:
Etzel. R. 1850; sohmer, D, $500.
The Republicans have renOminated Etzel,
while the Democrats have dropped Sohmer and
taken up John c. Ruff. The district is likely
10 be carried this year by Etzel although
il NAV go the other way in of year" In
The Tribunes forecast Ruf's name is in the
winning column, but if the drift toward Roose-
veIt on the East Side continues, the name Of
Etzel ought 70 be substituted by Election DAY
morning.
The Republicans have some hopes Of electing
Hartman in the XFIth District. Sam koenig
the Republican leader there, has been cutting
down the Tammany plurality year by year
until now ne thinks it is pretty near wiped out
sam Prince the Tammany labor leader, is
running on the Tafnmany ticket He is not
popular in the district any longer. His Repuh-
liCan opponent Is school teacher ana exceed
ingly well liked.
In the xVIIth District the Curry Democrats
are certain 10 knife Michael J. Sheehy, the Nc
MahOn candidate The Tammany plurality
there IS a heavy one, Curry carrying IT by more
than 23O0 last year. AS there are more than
fifteen hundred Curry in the district, Ryan.
the Republican candidate, stands an excellent
chance Of winning.
In the XIXth District Stanley, the Republican.
will easily win and the same can be said Of Will
ism Young. the ex-Corneu athlete, in the XXIst-
Josiah T. Newcomb has been renominated IN
the XXIIId. The district was close one last
year, Mr.. Newcombs plurality being less than
300. The district is slightly Democratic Mr..
Newcomb last year had the assistance OF the
Citizens Union He is likely 10 pull through
again by a small plurality.
Ezra P. Prentice in the XXVth, George 3.
Agnew in the X&FIIth, Frederick z. Perham IN
the XXIXth and Joseph H Beihif in the
XXXIst, are regarded as sure winners in their
respective districts. Mr. Prentice had plural
ity of about 1,20o last fall. and will do even
better this time Mr.. Agnew carried his dis
trict by plurality Of LOO last year. and Will
increase It this year Mr. Perham IN the
XXIXth had Geo last fall and will have much
more than that this year Mr.. Beihilf ought 70
have 1880 and probably viii. The assembly
delegation at Albany last year stood: RepUb-
licans 5: Democrats -. This year the RepUb-
leans are reasonably sure of Q members. and
they may increase IL 70 T.
In the Id district Of Queens Assemblyman
Wflsnack. Republican. IS reasonably sure Of a
victory The last fall was DeGroot. R..
> $50; NIcElroy. D. 5,272. The other district is
safely Democratic.
The County of Richmond is slightly Demo-
cratic. William II. Jackson. jr-. a newspaper
man has been nominated by the Republicans
against A J. 3 Wedemeyer. Democrat. Jack
son is 4 hustler. Last year VANITY Republican,
was defeated by Bechtel, Democrat. by less
than 100