The Evening statesman. [volume] (Walla Walla, Wash.) 1903-1910, 1904-11-08
900. There is little doubt that Roose-

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welt will carry the state by 10000, as
the democrats in this state have al
lowed the national contest to go by
default while they concentrated their
energies on the fight for Turner and a
railway commission. 1t will take a
slump of over $4,000 in the republican
presidential vote to elect Turner. 1t
is estimated that 10000 of these votes
will be cast by commission republicans
on this side of the Cascades and that
the remaining 5000 will be found on
the west side. In Pierce county alone
the republican state ticket will fall
short not fewer than 1000 votes, while
the slump in King county will be near
ly as great. The republican detection
in Clarke, Pacific, Lewis, Skagit, Sno-
homish, .Thurston and other counties
aggregate as many as 1900 votes.
If these estimates prove correct, Tur-
ner will be elected by a majority so
small that it may be two or three days
before the result is made certain.
However, the slump in his favor on
the west side may be greater than
here estimated and in that case his
majority may go as high as 5000. The
Statesman does not expect that mark
to be passed.
Meads election depends upon check
ing and minimizing the republican
slump in King and Pierce counties
and in keeping; Turner's majority on
the east side below 10000. If this can
be done the railroad candidate may
win by small majority.
The Statesman does not believe that
partisans on either side are warranted
in betting on larger majority than
5000. The result may be as close as
in 1900, when Governor Rogers was
elected by little over 1000 plurality,
while McKinley's plurality was nearly
$4,000.
In this county it is now practically
certain that the democrats will elect
the county commissioners and the au-
ditor, that they have the advantage in
the contests for assessor and county
attorney and that they have an even
show ON the remainder of the ticket.
The chances for the election Of the
democratic legislative ticket are very
good, as it is recognized that in order
to- win victory on the paramount is
sue, that of an appointive regulative
railway and tax commission, a legisla-
ture must be elected that will act in
harmony with Governor Turner.
The Statesman will wait until to-
morrow before making any predictions
on the presidential election. From this
viewpoint the chances seem to favor
Roosevelt. although Parker has a good
fighting show to carry New York. He
must have 80 votes in addition to the
votes of the solid South, including
Maryland-159-in order to give him
the 239 votes necessary to elect. New
York would give him 80 of these and
he must get the remaining Al from the
doubtful states of Indiana, with Is
electoral votes, New Jersey, with IL,
West Virginia with 7, Connecticut
with 7, Rhode Island with 4, Colorado
with S. Delaware, Montana and Ne
vada with each. Roosevelt can win
easily without New York, but that
state is absolutely essential to the sue
cess of Parker. The odds are certainly |
against Parker and nothing but a |
landslide can carry him |
through. The Statesman cannot truth
fully say that it has discovered evil !
dence that such a landslide is impend- |
ing.