The Minneapolis journal. [volume] (Minneapolis, Minn.) 1888-1939, 1904-11-04
GIVES ROOSEVELT
MARGIN OF l40
Recent Careful Estimate Assures
f President of Long Lead in
3, Electoral College.
PARKER SURE OF ONLY
TWO STATES IN NORTH
These are Maryland and Nevada
Montana Is Also Likely
to Be His.
BY w. w. Jermane.

r. by W. W. JermanS.
New York, Nov. 4. The solid south
has 151 electoral votes, Maryland has
eight and Nevada has three, making a
j. total of 1852. These votes will undoub BIT
edly be Judge Parker s next Tuesday.
1t is also suspected that he may get the !
three votes of Montana and if he does !
his total will be 165. More than this,
do not think the situation iustifies
The rest of the country seems very
certain to go for Roosevelt, giving him
Bill electoral votes, or a majority of
149 in the electoral college, which is
g rssG than snct the er mry gge secanS
time and received a majority Of 223.
I have conceded Montana to Parker
and yet the country need not be sur
prised if Roosevelt carries it. A slight
uation, I believe, would not only bring
Montana into the republican column,
but make Nevada very doubtful, and it
Is by no means certain that such a
movement will not materialize:
=, On the other hand, a slight downward
b movement Of the republican situation,
u sagging of the lines, also possibility,
while it would not imperil Roosevelt 8
election, might take from him one or
ware, idaho, Colorado, Utah and West
Virginia, with total of twenty-one
electoral votes.
Empire State Safe for. Roosevelt.
It does not seem likely that anything
that will happen between now and next
Tuesday will prevent republican vic
tories in New York, New Jersey, Con
necticut, Rhode Island and Indiana.
Judge Parker will probably carry this
republicans concede him 10000, and the
democrats claim $4,000. I believe it
can be as much as the democratic
claim without imperiling Roosevelt
chances; Up the state, according to
Roosevelt will run better than McKin-
ley did in 1900, and in several coun-
ties, where test polls have been made
this week, the Roosevelt pluralities are
almost equal to those given Mckinley.
year Mckinley carried, the state by
268, 1859 and in 1900 by l43, $685.: 55,.@-s
aa~e AT republican NATIONAL headquarters
1t is believed, on the basis Of the. most
careful Investigation it has been DOS
down to the Bronx with 100000 plural
ity. This is minimum figure, for it
is realized that the upstate republican
plurality may go as high as l15,O0o to
100000: This would eat up the demo
whether 10000 or $4,000, and leave, a
very satisfactory margin besides. The
betting continues to favor Roosevelt s
carrying the state, the odds being al.
most two to one. A plurality of $4,000
mean the election Of Higgins for COVER
nor. .'..' - : ;
New Jersey, Connecticut and Rhode
Island are conceded to Roosevelt by the
best-informed democrats:
..s..T In Delaware the republican outlook Is
# very good, but the state comes neare,
being doubtful than any state in the
east. A general Frightening up of the
democratic prospects, the result OF
Parker's speeches, might turn the Della
ming along until election day as it has
been going for the past two weeks, Del
aware will be republican, and 80 place
1t in the Roosevelt columns.
West Virginia ought to go for Roose
yeti BY 10000, but ~, nos BODY can fore
of the gubernatorial complications. Thu
republican candidate for governor will
win, If at all, by narrow margin
Roosevelt is conceded to be severa
thousand votes stronger than the stat
ticket. A great deal Of money will b.
among the negroes, who must b
bought in every campaign as in Indi
ana. Naturally republicans, they will
vote the republican ticket if the in
ducements are even. The average pric
Is So a head.
Colored Voters Enjoy It.
It Is thought that Indiana will go fo
Roosevelt by about 10000, altho it nee
excite no surprise if the figure is cor
siderably less than that. Tom Tagga1
is making a determined contest, afte
his usual custom, and the negroes al
having the time of their lives. Unde
the Australian law, it ism It worth Will
for the democrats to let the negroes g
to the polls, for there is no way c
delivered or not. The favorite pla
now is to get up large negro picnics fl
election day, at convenient points alon
the railways outside of the cities. Thes
picnics are literally supplied wit
SANDWICHES, cigars, beer and 'fnigger,
in the morning before the opening
the polls and return after they hay
been closed in the evening.
One Of Taggart g diversions tn
year is said to be negro excursion
St: Louis, to . start star. bright and ear
the republicans make as liberal offe
a as the democrats, the Indiana negro
usually 90 to the polls and VOTE Th
NE campaign both campaign committees
Indiana have large funds, and SO
in clover knee deep.
The polls Of the state, even aft
allowing for the worst that Tagga
Il can do, show a substantial republics
margin.
Utah, Idaho and Wyoming are t
most certain of the western mounta
states and will certainly go for Roos
welt unless slump should come /
tween now and Tuesday.
Colorado may go for Roosevelt
10000. 1t would surely do so but I
the fight on Governor Peabody. B
even the Peabody handicap will n
give the state to Parker, according
the best advices which have been
ceived here
Roosevelt is. more unfortunate tn
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