The Mitchell capital. (Mitchell, Dakota [S.D.]) 1879-1918, 1904-09-09
CONTROL OF THE HOUSE.
No Ground for Claiming that Demo
Gratis Will BE S~uccesaful.
Vy
hitting anything.

CTdt VIII DE SuCCeS1Iuis
With its usual penchant for exploiting
mares nests the New York Herald has
figured out a statistical possibility that
the election returns on the night of
November 8 will show a Democratic
House of Representatives" 1t also
thinks the Republicans may elect their
National ticket and "still lose the House
by a large majority"
1t is interesting to observe the jug
Cling with improbalities out of which
this mares nest is constructed. AS we
all know, the present membership of the
House is 3S6, divided into POS Republi-
cans, 112 Democrats, . Union Labor
lican majority being 81. The Herald
expert figures that there are 159 safe
Democratic districts and only 156 safe
for the latter to win 50 of the II doubt
full districts to secure a majority, while
the former would only need SO.
But the Herald is confronted by the
fact that of these II, so-called, doubtful
seats the Democrats now only occupy
IS 70 53 held down more or less secure
ly by Republicans. Nothing daunted
by this untoward condition it proceeds
to talk glibiy of giving six so-called
doubtful seats in Illinois, five in Indiana,
two in Iowa, three in Kansas, two in
Minnesota, four in Nebraska. six in
Ohio, five in Pennsylvania and five in
| Wisconsin to the Democrats.
How this is accomplished may be best
illustrated and exposed by the case as
stated in regard to Illinois. The six
districts placed in the doubtful column
are the first and twenty-fourth, now
held by Democrats, the sixth, ninth,
tw~enty-second, and twenty-ffth by Re
publicans. "a considerable reduction in
the Republican vote in the State" says
this happy conjurcr by the hope that
is in it, might easily result in the cleo
ton of six Democrats from these dis
%tricts." Verify it might result in the
election of six dodos, were it not for the
fact that the dodo is an extinct bird.
In 1902, which was an off year for
Republicans in Illinois, Martin EN-
erich. Democrat, was elected in the
first, a strong Republican district. by
a plurality of 1,152, but solely by reason
OF a fierce fractional fight within the Re
publican ranks, which has subsidized.
Congressman Lorimcr. Republican, had
Il plurality of only $50 in the sixth,
where the normal party majority is ever
! 5000. He is not meeting the same OPP
position this year. Congressman Bou-
tell had IA plurality of 2,OS3 in the ninth.
His personal popularity alone %insures his
reelection by an increased plurality.
Congressman Rodenberg had a plurality
of 2,154 in the twenty-second, and the
district is good for an increased Republi-
can margin. Congressman Smith had a
plurality Of 2,3O1 in the tw%enty-ffth,
which is more likely to be doubled than
reduced next November.
OF all the Illinois districts mentioned
as doubtful the twenty-fourth, which
| Congressman Williams carried by 90
in 1902, is the only one where tho Demo
Gratis stand a possible show in 1904,
and there the strength of the Republican
National and State tickets promises Mr..
Williams relief from further attend
ance in the House of Representatives.
Mckinley carried the counties in this
district by over 5000 plurality in 1900.
Thus, with at least six Of the pos
sibilities in the Herald's mares nest in
one State added, and with a like analy-
sis revealing similar conditions in all the
others, there is good ground for assum-
ing that the Republicans will not only
retain their present ~ascendancy in the
House of Representatives, but will have
an increased majority in the Fifty-ninth
| Congress.