New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1904-11-07
STOKES TO WIN BY 1880
That Majority for HIM a ConserUo-
the Estimate.

,-r.n+o, Nov s-The campaign closes in New
Jersey with Republican success assured LOT the
entire ticket All the untoward circumstances that
rather disturbed Of the leaders a "eeN 90
ore gone The cobwebs that obscured the proSPoOt
have been taken away and the Republican pa pa
in this state never confronted Election Day win
better prospects and with more commence ''"'
does at the close Of this campaign .b
To cav that Mr. Roosevelt will receive the
plurality that Mckinley and Hobart got eight years
ago about $1,000 sounds remarkaoie' anu
there need be no surprise if that figure Is IedCIe
The belief that Roosevelt. will come out oV'' aLle
&c held bv many of the shrewdest forecasters. MAJ
Governor Murphy's estimate of $4,000 given lort
night ago. will prove correct is generaAF acoepteN
The Democratic leaders in private conceoe sueI q
majority. and except for bluff in publication 'heS
do not hesitate to say that the President VIII nave
from 20 600 to 600 The very fact that prominent
Democrat acknowledged yesterday that ne old NOT
believe Parker would lead Roosevelt over ooVV IN
Hudson County shows the nature or the ldiusl"0
in that direction.
There is very good reason for the prediction that
the Republicans will gain at least one Congress
man. 1t is probable they will gain two, ana thdt
Allan L. McDermott will prove to be the solitary
Democratic member from New-Jersey In the next
House of Representatives. In other words, Henry
c. Allen will reclaim the With District for the Re
publicans by defeating William Hughes the present
Democratic incumbent. and Congressman Benny
representing the IXth District will succumo TO MS
Republican opponent. Marshall Van Wrinkle. There
next legislature. 1t is possible Senator Shinn Will
be defeated in Ocean County, although the chances
in his favor. Wakelee. of Bergen, and Lee. Of
Atlantic, will be reelected. and the remaining
counties that elect Senators this year will continue
O; the same political faith.
OF course the Governorship is the great bone of
contention. and it is to the outcome of that fight
that interest attaches. All sorts of estimates have
been made and opinions vary, largely due to the
personal inclination of the calcuators. The Demo-
Gratis officially content themselves with the state
ment that Black will be elected. while those who
are not in authority talk about $500 5000 plu-
rality They unable to so into details, however
in reaching such result. If betting amounts to
anything it is largely in Stokes's favor The odds
from to down to 10 to on Stokes. according
to the enthusiasm or ignorance of the who
wager The ReGuDlican STATE Comnlttee. nio~on
Chairman Briggs, gave out estimate on Thurs
day of HoD0 for stokes, and that stands as the
Official forecast of the party That Stokess chances
had improved was evinced by the fact that Mr..
Briggs Increased the estimated plurality by 1000 in
a week.
The Tribune last week published table of plu-
raltles BY counties. which gave Stokes Ii $50 over
Black There have been changes in the situa-
ton IN the mean time. and they mostly in favor
date has been gaining rapidly Of late but there
are apt to be features affecting the that crop
out at the last moment and always discerni-
PIE. ana as The Tribune desires to be conservative
the folloW'.s is given the final computation re-
gardlng the contest for Governor.