The Topeka state journal. [volume] (Topeka, Kansas) 1892-1980, 1904-08-18

son carried it in 1888 by $4,000. and two
years later 1t went $4,000 the other
way: Bryan got il IN 1895 By o 1000. and
see Kansas is impartial To be frank,
1 think the Republican chances on the
national ticket are better than ours,
| though it is never safe to predict about
Kansas. / believe that we will elect
our state ticket We have fused with
the Populists, and the Republican cam
didates for governor and state treasur-
er are very unpopular
Mr.. Orr's statement that the Demo-
Gratis have even a very Slight" chance
to carry Kansas for their national tick
ct VIII create smile among those who
have closely studied the political situa-
ton with the figures before them. 1t
viii not be at all surprising of Roose-
Welt carries Kansas by 10000 plurality.
A man made this statement to a
state house official a day or two ago,
coupled with the statement that the
tight on the state ticket would be close.
You've got softening of the BRAIN"
said the state house man.
But here are the figures:
In 1900 Mckinley got 1S5, 900 votes
in Kansas. Bryan got 1890 1t is
generally acknowledged that Roose-
welt will get a considerable number
OF Populist and Democratic votes that
Bryan got two years ago, but many of
these votes will go to the fusion state
ticket on state issues. 1t is not a wild
guess to say that Roosevelt will get
5000 votes that Bryan got four years
ago, which will bring his vote up to
100000, and bring down the fusion
vote to 147, 900, which for the sake
of round numbers and Hberality can
be called 10000. If these are di-
vided equally between the Parker and
Watson electoral tickets each will re-
ceive $4,000, and Roosevelts plurality
Will be $4,000. If, as some people
p la he leana1 mill fn..a
big end of the fusion vote, Parker
may receive 100000 to $4,000 for Wat
son, but this would still leave Roose-
velts plurality around the 100000
mark.
On the other hand it is not wild to
estimate that at least two-thirds of the
former Bryan men who vote for
Roosevelt will not vote the Republican
state ticket because of it's make up.
This would bring the Republican state
ticket down to $780, 900, and the fusion
state ticket UP to 100000. a difference
of 10000. Therefore if there are 49,
state 1t would be sufficient to make the
state ticket in doubt but still leave
Roosevelt about 100000 to the good.
A man who was prominent in the
Wichita convention and who stands
high in the councils of the Republican
party some time ago made fun of the
statement that there is any danger of
a close vote on the Republican state
ticket. Now he writes the State Jour
nal as follows:
81 had been out of the state some
time when l made my former state
ment and I did not realize the situa-
ton. now believe i was mistaken.
In nv judgment the normal Republic
can majority on the state ticket on a
full vote does not exceed Is, 900. Dale'S
problem is to get the Populist vote. and
to get it out. There is sufficient disaf-
70 in ha TT m
set the Republican majority on full
vote, if Dale gets all the opposition.
Our hope now is that the Populist vote
will be apathetic and stay at home"
While the opening of the Democratic
campaign is scheduled to be held at
Wichita on September 10, Judge Dale
will really make mis- first speech at
Burlington on September 3. L. d. Ep-
pinger a prominent Coffey county
Democrat, was in Topeka "Wednesday
and made an arrangement to have
Judge Dale at Burlington on that date
Fred Dumont Smith repudiates the
statement that he is a Burton sup
porter. 81 was elected in 1900 as
Baker man." he says. IT was pledged
to Baker and stayed with him as long
as he was in the race. 1 was not
Burton man."
Washington. Aug. Ex-senator Long
of Kansas was one of President Roose-
levts callers today. He talked Kan
sas politics with Mr.. Roosevelt for half
an hour. AS he left the White house
the senator said:
1.-The contest i'm Kansas is so one
sided this year that the people are not
aroused. Roosevelt and Fairbanks will
get an unprecedented ma jOrity in the
state. Four years ago. when the Dem
ocrats and Populists were united, the
Republicans carried Kansas, and this
year these parties have separate local
which will enable the Republi-
cans to sweep the state"