The free lance. (Fredericksburg, Va.) 1885-1926, 1904-07-26
FROM a REPUBLICAN, STAND
POINT.
Claimed That Roosevelt Can be
Elected Without New York.

How many electoral votes can he
counted IA sure for each presidential
candidate Politicians who are expert
at figures are already at work on the
problem. Equally interesting in the
query. frequently heard, what will New
York dO2
At the present stage New York must
be put in the light of disputed states
Until the campaign has been in progress
sometime, and several doubtful matters
have been cleared up, IL will be impOssi
bic 10 make sure prediction on New
York.
But this need not disturb President
RJOseyelt's managers, nor does 10. They
are convinced that the President can be
elected without New iOrk's 80 electoral
votes, though, of course, there is no dis
position to overlook the Importance oil a
victory In the Empire State. The feel
ing Is that New York must be carried.
10 some tables recently published Con
necticut and New Jersey have been tax
On out OF the Republican column and
placed among the doubtful states. There
are no good reasons for this. Connect
cut and New Jersey will 90 for Roose-
yelt. The only Democrat alive who
could carry them il ex President Cleve.
land. With Judge Parker on the Demo
cratic ticket, an entirely different situs-
tion Is presented.
The same tables place Illinois and In
diana in the doubtful column. Tbis also
is "a mistake These two great states OF
the Middle Weet are safely Republican.
The nomination of United States sena.
tor Charles ". Fairbanks, OF Indiana,
as President Roosevelt's running mate
nsures his state for the Republicans
The best sdyices from Indiana support
this assertion,
Illinois will go Republican, for several
reasons. In the first place, President
Roosevelt il popular there. Secondly,
An unusually strong state ticket. headed
by States Attorney Dinneen for Cover
nor, has been placed in the field 10y the
Republicans. Dinneen's election IL gener
ally conceded through Chicago and the
rural counties. In the third place, the
Democrats are hOpelessly split, la the
recent national convention in st. Louis
the grievances OF the Lorimet and H8r-
rison factions were aired for the benefit
OF the entire country.
The Democrats claim West Virginia,
because their vice presidential candidate,
ex United States Senator Davis, is IA
Weat Yirginian better reason than
that will have to be given. However,
West Virginia at the present time may
properly be placed in the doubtful col
umn.
Democrats claim Wisconsin with some
reason. based on the bitter fight between
the Lafollette and SpOOner wings Of the
Republican party But there is Il pros
pect. every day more clear, that the Re
publicans will settle their differences.
In that event Wisconsin will be safely Re-
publican. Until then, however, IL is
proper 10 class it "a doubtful state.
The sum Of the electoral votes conceded
TO President Roosevelt il 247, or eight
more than the necessary 239. The best
that can be done for Judge Parker is
40. The total electoral votes In the de-
hatable states, including New York, is
80 From these figures it appears that
President Roosevelt can be elected with
out New York.
Following is the table: