The Jersey City news. (Jersey City [N.J.]) 1889-1906, 1904-10-26
PARKER MAY WIN
WISCONSIN
E. G. Wall Of That State
Tells the Nominee Dem
ocratic Chances Are
Good.
THIS CAMPAIGN LIKE THAT OF 1884
Betting Was Then on Blaine
But the Counting Of the
Votes Elected Cleve-
land.
THIS CAMPAIGN LIKE THAT OF 1884

NEW YORK, Oct. 70, 19O4.-E. y.
Wall. of Wisconsin, who was prominent
ly mentioned at the st. Louis convention
as Vice Presidential candidate. who
came here Sunday to tell Judge Parker
what he considered the Democratic
chances of carrying Wisconsin, says that
while he would not at this time declare
that the Democrats would certainly get
the electoral vote of that State, he be-
lieves that they have an excellent chance
Continuing he said:-
'Of course, everyone who reads the
newspapers knows of the La Toilette
Stalwart fight, but one has to be in Wis
consin to realize the bitterness which ex-
lists between these two factions. l be-
lieve that the result of his fight will
have its effect upon the national ticket.
The conditions are such that one can
not safely predict with any degree of
| certainty. | think that it can be looked
upon, however, as a good emergency
| thirteen votes. 1t has frequently been
said that ne matter how Republicans
vote before election, they will forget
about it on the day for voting and cast
their ballots for the National ticket.
! do not think that this will be true in
Wisconsin this year. The factional fight
is altogether too personal and bitter to
permit of any pacihcation on election
| day.. think that Wisconsin would make
a very interesting State for Democrat
to bet on.
Speaking about betting, it is no indi-
cation as to which way the election is
| going. | mean not necessarily so. In
substaptiation of this one has but to look
! back at the election of 1884, when Cleye-
/ land defeated Blaine This present cam
paign is more like that than any two
campaigns within my memory. A re-
view of the betting in 1884 will show
that the odds against Grover Cleveland
were about the same as prevail against
/ Judge Parker at this time. For instance,
the betting, according to the newspapers
of October 90, 1884, was ten to eight on
Blaine on the general result; ten to nine
that he would carry New York; ten to
L
seven on New Jersey. and ten to nine on
Indiana. On November / the reports
showed that Blaine was gaining as a bet
| ting favorite. 1t was then ten to six on
the country. General Granville e.
Dodge on that day offered to bet ten
thousand to eight thousand that Blaine
would win. There were no takers, and
| there were many bets offered at the pre-
vailing odds that Blaine would carry
all the Northern States. The next day
the betting odds were two to one that
Blaine would carry Indiana; even money
ON New Jersey and Connecticut, and ten
/ to seven and one-half on New York. On
| November the betting on New York
| changed to even money, and it was gen
orally wagered at two to one that Blaine
would be the next President. The Re
| publicans even went so far as to claim
Florida, Louisiana, and Virginia, and
many Democrats began to hedge on their
bets. On the day before election the
Republicans claimed, both New York and
Indiana by forty thousand. The betting
that night was two to one on general
results; even money on New York; ten to
eight on Connecticut. and two TO ono on
Indiana.
'sThe election, returns showed that the
wise bettors had miscalcalated, for Gleye-
lland was elected and carried every State
which the Republicans had been betting
most of their money on. If one were to
take the betting this year as between
Roosevelt and Parker as a criterion, the
Democrats might just as we'll not go TO
! the polls on election day at all,s for the
Republicans have claimed everything.
How different is the official claim which
has Just been issued by the Democratic
National Committee after they shave COM
p.eted canvass of the country. That Is
I not any haphazard prediction, but there