The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1904-11-01
ANALYSIS Of THE
DEMOCRAT CLAIM
For the Most Part Very
Conservative.
VIEW AS TO CONGRESS
Interest in the Presidential Election
ShouldsNot Swallow up the Con-
gressionaI, Declares This
Writer, Who Goes Over
Cawherd's Figures.
BY CICERO w. HARRIS.

especial to News and ODSerVer.l
Washington, Oct. 31.-It will not do
To let the Presidential swallow up the
Congressional election, however i'm
portant it is to carry the former in or
der to effect reforms in administration
and reverse wrong policies. 1t is very
true indeed that there seems likeli-
hood of Republican Senate ali
through Parker's administration, if he
is the choice of the people next Tues
day. But while this is the
present outlook, something may oc-
cur to change the situation
and give the country a Democratic
Senate and House, as we'll as a Demo-
cratic President In view of that con-
tlngent event the interest in the Con-
sressional election this year should be
deep and thorough. The Democratic
party, say most thoughtful Democrats,
cannot afford to neglect any of its in
tereSts, or to put all of its eggs in one
large basket. Hence the figures given
by the Congressional committee should
be scanned closely and the voters of
the party everywhere, especially those
charged with party leadership and
work, should make good the forecast
presented. 1t is an optimistic fore
cast as such things usually are. But
it is by no means considered here as
one impossible, or even improbable of
realization. In some spots the figures
are moderate and reasonable to a de-
gree unusual in such things. Thus, in
the instance of Missouri, what politi-
cal manager has ever cheerfully con-
coded in advance the loss of a men,
Der of Congress in a strong Democratic
or Republican State
Cowhcrd's Claims.
Chairman Cowherd claims 225 out
of a total membership of 1856. 1t is III
teresting TO go over the figures and
scrutinize them separately in the light
OF facts and probabilities. The effort
is worth the time and space given. [
am not advised as to the situation
which warrants the expected gain OF
one in California. On the face of ii it
appears over-Confident in such a State
at such a time. The gain of one in
Colorado is very likely under the pre-
vailing conditions in that dictator-rd-
oen, corporation-harri outraged
Siate gain of three in Connecticut
looks large on paper. but we know
that great fight is making there and
strong hopes are entertained by our
party friends in that commonwealth.
Some gain is likely A gain of two in
Illinois seems probable, as likewise
gain of three in Indiana. Even il
nothing more is accomplished than TO
beat HemenWay and Overstreet a great
victory is won. A gain of one in Iowa
is among the possibilities gain of
three i'm Maryland is very likely, in
deed So much cannot be said of the
gain of one in Michigan, though there
is some confirmatory information.
other news is to the effect that while
the Democrats are gaining anew men,
Der they may lose the one from the old
CCrliSS district n gain of one in Min
nesota is not improbable. The expect
eel gain of two in New Jersey is to my
mind contingent on the trend of the
current i'm the last week toward Par
ker. If the State goes for the Democrat
ic presidential candidate as it viii if il
appear by the end of the week New
York vii lcertainly go by good ma
joTity, the Democrats Will gain one or
two districts. hardly so much as three.
But Mr.. Cowherd only claims a gain
Cf two. He claims a gain of three in
New York. There the Republicans are
conceding no losses and claiming Il
gain of several in the lower part of
the State, especially in Brooklyn and
Long Island. The expected gain of
four in Pennsylvania and five in Ohio
seems large, but the public will under
stand that the conditions in both States
are favorable for Democratic gains.
There is hardly a doubt that the lar
ger part of the expectation will be
realized a gain of one in Rhode Is
land. giving both Congressman to the
Democracy is very likely. Likewise the
expectation that one in Utah and one
in Virginia (the only Republican from
that State) will be gained is not at all
Improbable. although a close fight is
Naged in both States TO prevent the
less by the Republicans. The most
likely of all these expected gains are
those included in the next batch OF
States-the WIS. A gain of as many
as five in Wisconsin and three in West
Virginia may not be made, but a not
able gain in both of these States an
pears to be on the cards. if there is
anything at all definite in the polti-
cal outlook. a gain of one in Wyom-
ing may or may not be made, but it is
very sure the Democrats have strong
hopes of Wyoming this year. Taking