The Topeka state journal. [volume] (Topeka, Kansas) 1892-1980, 1904-11-01

will vote for Roosevelt and for Herrick,
because they feel it would be unwIse for
in the national administration at the
present time.
On the other hand, there is evil
dence of a certain trend from Bryan
to Roosevelt. This represents class
of voters who went with Bryan not on
the money question but because they
believed him to be antagonistic to cor
porations, and now they are turning
toward Roosevelt for the same reason.
Among the Jewish voters of greater
New York there is practically unani-
nifty for Roosevelt His firm stand
and the efforts he made to secure the
amelioration of the condition of the
Russian Jews have made him firm
friends among the Jews here, and they
viii vote for Roosevelt almost to a
man. The importance of this, how
large percentage of this same vote
was cast for Mckinley on the money
question, because even the humblest
Jews, from their commercial instinct,
had little sympathy with Bryan.
Tanlmany Will Make Record.
In spite of these side issues, how
ever, all reports agree that the Demo-
cratic plurality in greater New York
is to be a record breaker. Two years
ago Coler carried Manhattan and the
Bronx by $4,000. He worked up H.
600 more in Brooklyn, and yet Coler
was beaten in the face of a small vote
for Odell up state. In the mayoralty
election last year Mcclellan carried
Manhattan and the Bronx by only S.
600. and the result was a standof
in Brooklyn. But of course last years
election was not a fair test of party
strength. There were municipal is
sues involved There was some split
ting of the Democratic vote, and Low
undoubtedly secured large Democratic
and independent strength, especially in
brooklyn, where he was openly sup
ported by one wing of the Democracy.
Coler's majority in greater New York
of $4,000 in round numbers is a maxi
mum which has not been exceeded in
the last ten years. The Republican
managers have figured on that as the
extreme Democratic vote for this year,
and they have asserted it would be
easy to discount this by the Roosevelt
vote up the state.
Leader Murphy and the Democratic
managers generally, however, assert
with absolute positiveness that Parker
will have at least 10000 majority in
New York, Kings, Queens, and Rich
mond, and they expect Herrick will run
about 10000 ahead of Parker.
High Water Mark Is 10000.
These figures are verified by polls of
both parties and by most of the news
paper forecasts, so it will be a good
thing on election night to remember
that high water mark of 100000, rs 900
more than CoIer had two years ago
when he nearly carried the state, Will
be the basis of calculation on the re-
turns as they come in.
If Parker's vote in greater New York
runs much below that he win not car
ry his own state. If it reaches that
figure or goes beyond he will have the
80 electoral votes of New York, and
Herrick will be elected governor, un-
less the Republican vote up the state
| is equally phenomenal. Anything less
| than 125, 900 in greater New YoA spells
| defeat for Parker.
| All these estimates on the result in
| greater New York, encouraging
though they are for the Democrats,
| are met by a corresponding suggestion
of a Republican or Roosevelt tidal
wave up the state.
Farmers Are for President.
Reports from interior counties, and
particularly the extreme northern and
northwestern sections of the state,
unite in indicating an enormous farm
! er vote for Roosevelt. In many cases
it will certainly exceed that for Nc
Kinley, because. in spite of their
proximity to the financial wisdom of
Wall street, there were a good many
poor farmers in 1895 who were en-
ticed from the Republican ranks by
the specious silver theories of Bryan.
Like the farmers in the west the
Icountrymen in New York state have
been exceedingly prosperous, have re-
ceiVed topmoSt prices for all their
fproducts, an dhave done so well that
farming has once more become a
profitable occupation. Besides that,
the presidents attitude on the trust
tquestion and the general record of his
administration have made him an inn
mense number of friends.