Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1904-10-13
NEW JERSEYS VOTE
Will Not Be Influenced by
New York.
TRADE AND INDUSTRY
WILL GOVERN IN DETERMINING
THE RESULT.
Senator Dryden Says People Want to
Keep Factories Going and State
Will Be Republican.
Special Correspondence of The Evening Star.

speclaI Correspondence Of The Evening Star.
NEWARK, N. j.. October 1904.
New Jersey has twelve electoral votes.
Are they within the sphere of New York
influence? l have been trying to find out.
A state capital is VIGOROUSLY a bad place
in which to get at the public sentiment. 1t
is all right for the interchange of views
among the managing politicians. They
have a regular politicians day. each week
at Trenton, but in endeavoring to determine
what the state is likely to do in November
l avoided Trenton on politicians day, and
none of my views was formed by anything
said at the capital.
The real index of New Jerseys intentions
is to be found in a study of trade and in
dustry. Leaders in both parties told me
that the business conditions and the BUSH
ness prospects make New Jersey about the
worst state in the Union for the democrats
to select as fighting ground. Commercial
ent national policies. Contracts have been
made. projects have been discussed and en-
terprises have been entered upon all with a
view to the present situation.
My experience has been that this is es-
pecially true of the man with moderate
capital. He counts even more than the big
combinations of capital on no disturbance
In national affairs In many cases the in
and yet may have a leaning toward his old
associations, but it is very clear he Is not
willing to crafty this sentiment at the
possible expense of his business.
The Industrial Situation.
The statement of the feeling with regard
to business conditions carries with it
hint of the Industrial situation. 1t may be
put very briefly by saying that New Jersey
is a tariff state and that the fear of
general upset in case of democratic success
is very pronounced. Judge Parker's assur-
ance that the tariff ought to be changed,
but that he wouldn't change it enough to
hurt, because the republican Senate would
not let him, does not appear to be getting
votes for the judge in New Jersey. If this
opinion were confined only to republicans
it might fairly be assumed that they were
merely repeating their campaign argu-
mentS, but when democratic leaders pri
vately explain that they have an uphill fight
because of the tariff sentiment in the state,
their explanation may be taken together
with the republican campaign argument
and an understanding be had of some Of the
underlying forces of the canvass.
A succnct republican view of the stua-
ton was given me by Senator Dryden. The
senator has cheerfully accepted his full
share of the responsibility for keeping New
Jersey republican. He also serves in an ad-
visory capacity on the national committee.
He looked from his office windows and
pointed 10 the cnlmneyS OF do not know
how many factories. There he said, lis
the republican argument. Our people want
to keep those factories going. They have
no confidence in the democrats and will
take no chances on the tariff 1t is the
same with business men in all their enter
prises. This commercial community will
not support the democratic ticket"
Senator Dryden commented on the excel
lent organization Of the republicans and
their certainty of getting out their votes,
but the substance of his confidence was in
his terse statement Of the tariff and BUSH
ness. He also counted as one of the ele-
ments OF republican success President
Roosevelt's popularity and the drift of the
young men, mostly the new voters to him.
Concerning the democratic view the few
leaders with whom I had a chance to talk
were shy of being identified that is, they
were shy when they found I did not care
to publish the usual campaign claims for
which party leader always must stand,
but wanted to put forth their real convic-
tons. Credit should be given them. how
ever for the determination with which they
announced that they were going to make
a hight, though they qualified their predic-
tons of democratic success with the ex-
plantations of the causes operating against
democratic success.