New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1904-07-02
DEMOCRATS GUESSING.
HOW TO BEAT ROOSETELT.
Contention May Take a Week-The
Tzpo-thirds Rule Obstacle.
rDr TELEGRAPH TO TIE TRlBUxr.l

[BK TELEGRAPH TEIBCNE.l
ST. Louis, July 1.-The Democratic National
Convention IS supposed to last for three days,
beeinntng next Wednesday Maybe the work
will be done within that period. but on the other
hand it may last for a week. for unless the
factions come together much closer than they
are now q deadlock IS not unlikely. There is
even now talk of abolshing the two-thirds rule
In order TO avert such probability but it will
not be easy to find any one bold enough to
sorce through such change in Democratic
principle.
The great national Democratic guessing con-
test has opened Every man you meet here has
his own guess. and one seems TO be as good as
another. Here you find Parker man rubbing
elbows with & Cleveland champion; across the
corridor another potential weather prophet
swears by David r. Francis; several oldtimers
ars positive that German has the call, while
group Of enthusiastic Hearst boomers already
see his name on the ticket.
'"whatu We do?" repeated one serious worker
IN the Democratic vineyard Heaven only
knows! Looks to me, the way things are shap-
ing. as If our purpose in coming here were TO
help insure Roosevelts election. We have
varied collection Of factions, and each is
bent on its own triumph and the discontinue OF
another, regardless Of how It helps or hurts the
party. If I had my way I'd send them ell to
the rear and nominate Joe Folk He doesn't
represent any Of the contending elements, but
he does stand before the public representing
something. and is the only man I can see who
would make even decent run
PARKER HAS LONG LEAD.
As it stands now Parker has long lead OF all
the candidates. but he does not come within
several hundred votes Of having the necessary
two-thirds requisite TO nomination.
The arrival OF the Tammany leaders to-mor-
row is expected TO handicap the efforts OF the
Parker men. As matters stand now Mr.. Muir
ply and his cohorts will probably find on ar
irving here that it VIII be necessary to concen-
trate their forces behind some man other than
Cleveland If they are going 20 cut much figure
in selecting the candidate
Prominent Democratic leaders received a Sc
we're shock to-day when they were urged 70
agree to the nomination Of either Z. c Wall
Wisconsin's favorte son. or Mayor Dave"
Rose Of Milwaukee for second place on the ma
tonal ticket. They mad assumed that the fight
between the Republican StaIwarts and the La
Toilette Republicans insured the Badger State
10 the Democratic candidate, whoever he may
be, and they were surprised and panied to learn
that such was not the case. They were frankly
informed, however. that even the Republican
State contest would not insure the State to the
Democrats, and that the candidacy OF one or
assurance.
it added. of course, that either man
would make a strong candidate In secons place,
tnat he would add strength TO the ticket out
side of Wisconsin, and that, with the prospects
ktro1g Cor an Eastern for first place the
West deserved recognition. Moreover, the Ger
man vote had been converted to tie Republican
cause, and It would require the nomination OF
wisconsin man for second place TO Offset the
Ger
vote 10 be cast for Mckinley and Roosevelt anG
Ni4ica would Induce the Germans TO vote for
with that element
1t is too early 20 make predictions. but Il ma,
De SAID that the arguments OF the Wisconsin
polluclaIlS nave been received with attention,
h!id the !eaders-those OF them that are on tho
Sl2uoare e ~ ere, asking each other If it would bs
her favoTite sons for Eecond place
CLEVELAND MOVEMENT NOT SINCERE.
Alton 3. Parker is unquestionably the favor
!te o. q majority OF the deleeates now
on the ground m ST. Louis. and many
prominent Democrats are ready to assure
TIE lEcGiring newspaper man that 1T IS
a. one way! Tor 4 time the Interviews OF
SEeE;es r Murphy and John r. Mclean. in
-, - uey declared that Grover Cleveland
rt'dlu present the strongest mann. with which
tiie democrats could appeal to the country
si0G 10 awake Some Cleveland sentiment
@I.4 a lew Tanmany men uoyy on tbe Ground
t,,1 ...s ;leir best 10 keep the sentiment alive
61Mlth 60 Mlth Attle apparent success; II is freely.
Xtsen, mat Cleveland would lose to the party
- ~. al ana Kentucky and other States whicn
NaI,o,d d5-ocrdls count on as thei, own and Il is
Tots h. caI I.a when Mr.. Murphy arrives IN St.
1-ffo-3 -, % VIM IN readily appreciate how futile his
- = Ht ~ atAIt "a Doom for the ex-Presoicent and
90" dangerous it is 10 undertaj[a 70 .,,e.. go,
nent At long range '0'>e I" gauge Sei-'i-
OF iJec 80 1aqGIeoYef suspicion that 10 one
So 80 eHIti!laD pc gentlemen named is entirely
n,e1ii WIN MS fellow partlsans or with the
gtr. gg-s,ro. X - graFely asked Is not Mr. 0or.nan
tF.-s 20 tchTe the extreme radicals into l,ne
aussestliS the nomination of so extreme u
Utt- :. '%I4Fe! Moreover. would no: Mr. German
~ - s an IA position 70 dictate the personality
60 - 1-4l IAN O the Uai. .onal committee some
TO- i,stiF e7ri Fat-Fe man like Arthur Pue German,
w., 1tS,Ic.' and is he not endeavoriny to de-
~ .ese-1ea sentiment through his political
ground " ]4SPe u iii"hlhs uauI'S
c. one lS asking where Colonel Guffey will
ar,,.e "a lhe coming fight, and there does not
nsl-S 90 De any one here to satisfactorily
cisr tHe question: buc those who know de-
thdt tae valiant colonel viii be found on
:, lining SIDE, whichever II may be- and that
9liy remains for Judge Parker To develop
ncleht strength and he can command the
sSttS go support OF Colonel Cuffey and his Penn
s!i.ania adherents
'aerH nas existed any 1o;bt rs =, VIC like
inIsa fI,f.