The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1904-09-11
pRACE TALK Is PREMATURE.
yFJTHER RUSSIA NOR JAPAN
WILL YIELD NOW.
european statesmen Believe That the Flu.
lure Requires That They Should Fight
10 tho Exhaustion OF One or Both
Russia Hopes to Fight Next Year.

10 tho Exhaustion Of One or Both
Russia Hopes to Fight Next Year.
Special cable Despatch 10 THE SUN.
LONDON, Sept. 1o-Stil there ia talk Of
intervention or mediation in the war in the
Far East and still there Ia nothing likely
IN come Of il, nor is there likely to he for
q long time to come. The effect Of the strug-
Gle around Liaoyang, on the whole, has not
been to make for peace.
The Japanese victory was won at such
terrible price that it was by no means de-
cisive. Had the Japanese succeeded in
capturing or annihilating Gen. Kuropat-
kin's army, the blow might possibly have
induced Russia to make terms: but the
present determination Of the Russian Gov
eminent is TO fight at least another years
camraign, beginning with Hardin as
base.
II NAV still be expected that If Japan
reaches the neighborhood OF Hardin be-
fore tie winter embargo begins she will
offer to end the war. This offer will certainly
be rejected unless, indeed, grave internal
events in Russia should happen to inter-
vcne
No country is likely to try to influence
Russia to make peace under such circum-
stances There are only humanitarian
motives to induce any country to do so,
and these are the weakest forces in state
craft Not even Great Britain, politically
spc aking, wishes to see Japan an easy
and overwhelming victor. 1t isn't that
she fears the Yellow Peril, but for the war
to end suddenly, without any draft on the
reserve powers OF either side, would al
most certainly prove inconclusive. Rus
sia would refuse to rest permanently under
the heavy disgrace and Japan would soon
display some Of the arrogant ambitions
Of newly acquired greatness.
1t will be better, from the point Of view
most European statesmen, that the
ar continue until the superfuous energy
of both sides be exhausted. Those who
PROFOUND these cold blooded arguments
insist that they accord with American
interests even more strongly than Euro
pean.
The last fortnight's test Of arms has COM
pleted radical change in the foundations
Of the worlds diplomacy. The Spectator
to-day points out some Of the things that
are about to happen. The Spectator says:
an a short time the Japanese feet may
be made the strongest on the Pacific, and
even as it Is the current Of action Of the Euro
pean Powers toward the States OF the North
Pacific will be abruptly arrested. Who is
to seize the Eastern Archipelago, now the
object OF SO many ambitions il Japan
remarks. No. that is part Of my rever-
sionary heritage? Who Is to dictate to
China il Japan antagonizes Frenchmen,
who say that Indo-China Is in danger
from Toxic?
1T may be talking nonsense. but it is
certain that II Japan claims Siam as an ally.
Siam will not be invaded, and the grand
idea Of the French colonizing party, which,
to speak plainly, is the absorption Of Siam
and Yunnan. will not be realized.
Japan may not be able to rule China
as those who believe in the yellow peri
think, for the pride of the Chinese Empire
may forbid it, but the protection of China
from disintegration has already become
Japanese interest of the Fundamental
kind. Japan's first necessity is room to
expand, and China cannot find for her that
room. Her second necessity is economic
prosperity, and her own idea is that pros
perity will come from the virtual, though
not official monopoly Of the Chinese mar
ket She will have no necessity to close
her ports while she can undersell COM
EDITORS. Japan. once at peace. with her
energetic trading powers VIII produce
great merchant fleet and regard the
Pacific, as We think, as her own waterway
1hst in such circumstances she should
lrgprl her contemptuous exclusion from
81. American-Pacific States. British Column
bia and Australia with anything but angry
gnnoyrnce seems impossible, and an an
nuNcd Japan would be weighty factor in
The arrangements Of the Eastern world.
ran no doubt may honestly intend
to mako her civilization solidly Western
and to be admitted in all respects, benevo.
'lcnce included as one of the Western Pow
ers. but to claim the privileges Of corpo-
ration, il you sacrifice yourself for its in
terests. is only human. The meekest
Christians are impatient OF insult, and the
last CT the Christian virtues which Japan
will display will be humility
1t is for reasons similar to these that
English and Continental statesmen, in the
interests CT the future and Of greater peace
are not concerned to try to stop the war
at tho present time. They believe that the
dangers OF complications which seemed
imminent few weeks ago have largely
&hated, They prefer to risk those dangers
some time longer rather than face the con.
SAINT menace Of new perils which would
follow an inconclusive and premature
peace.