New-York tribune., 1904-10-31
THE NEXT CONGRESS SAFE.
A WORKING MAJORITY.
CoaserUatfOs Estimate Places 1t at
I9; Mau Be eS.

8 view 20 securing an accurate forecast Of the
vote conservative estimate ernanating from
absolutely trustworthy sources. places the Re-
publican majority at not less than nineteen
with the probability OF it's reaching twenty
eight prevailing conditions remain un-
changed
The Congress campaign developed a strong
and In many districts. 9 bitter hght leading
Up. II a few cases. 20 factional differ
ences which have been difficult 20 harmoniEe
The Republicans. certain Of the victory Of Presi-
dent Roosevelt determined 20 elect a House to
support and carry out the policies Of his ad-
ministration- The Democrats. at all times fear
ful Of PArkeT's defeat have carried on a vigor-
Gus campaign hoping TO elect a Democratic
House. thereby enabling them in the coming
four years 20 pursue more successfully the
policy OF obstruction TO which their party Is
committed
While q careful campaign has been carried
on IN distr1cte surely Republican. N order that
no democratic bomb might be exploded IN the
closing days OF the canvass, the Republican
managers have concentrated their greatest
efforts IN the doubtful districts. particularly in
those districts where the Democratic incumbent
secured hiR seat by intentionally small
plurality Districts IN California Colorado.
Connecticut. Illinois. Indiana Iowa, Massachu-
sets Michigan. Nebraska New-Jersey and
Nsw-York have been invaded with this object
"a view. and the reports indicate the probability
az Republican gains
AFTER TOWNSEND sCUDDER's SCALP.
A Republican successor 70 Townsend Scud-
DER o. the Ist Eew-York District, who was
elected 10 the present CONGRESS as Democrat
BY q vote ot Il 7SS to II 6Sl for Frederic Storm,
VIII Il Is confidently said, be elected. w W.
Cocks. the Republican nominee Is popular. and
his ability TO overcome the small Democratic
he
represented by E n Bassett. OF Brooklyn. will,
Il is declared be redeemed r. E Waldo. the
Republican nominee. is making an aggressive
and apparently winning fight against ]. J.
Roach hts opponent
IL the With District Il is probable that Anti
Pass Baker OF Brooklyn. Will be retired from
political life That his retirement may be per-
Enanent is ferveIt.y desired By Republican and
Democratic Representatives alike. who have had
az opportunity 10 observe at close rHrge hs
spectacular, grandstAnd plays tn the House.
Mr. Baker was unfail!ng souros OF aInuse-
Enent 20 tie majority and frequently the cause
Of serious embarrassment to his Democratic COL
leagues. His probable successor. W. NJ Calder,
viii tr conseQ uence. be welcomed TO the LIAh
Congress for many reasons other than those OF
partisan character
Herbert Parsons the Republican candidate in
ths XIIIth District. now represented oy Francis
Burton Harrison the Democratic noininee for
Lieutenant GOverncr, IS making q spirited can
vass and keen political observers predict hts
success over Edv -rd Swami These changes
would increase the Republican representation In
the House by toGr members from +hls SIass
alone.
The Republicans are making a desperate effort
70 redeem the VIta and IXth New-Jsrsey dis
E7cts. WIKI Srsttryins chances OF success Rep
rssentztive Hughes. OF the With was eIscfed ss
q democrat from e normally Republican strong
hold because OF conditions EhlCh DO nov
exist. while Congressman Benny. Of the lXth
District. received a plurality OF only a few hun-
ored over his Republican opponeut IN the cleo
t:on Of 1902 The only district IN the State on
which the Democrats rely with certainty Is the
Sth represented by A L McDeruott. OF Jersey
City.
GAIN IN INDIANA POSSIBLE.
In Indiana the Republicans may gain one seat
Eno possibly TWO. though conservative estimates
give nine Republicans and four Democrats IN
the House the same representation that 4;
now has a determined Aght has been made IL
the Id and XIIth districts represented.
Epectively. by r " Miers and J. n Robinson.
both Democrats. They hold their seats by small
plurai!t,es. bu, both men are aggressive cam
paigners and shrewt politicians. and may be
abe q stand OF the Republican attack though
the figures. either way. VIII be close Repre-
sentative Overstreet, secretary of the Congress
sioEal Committee is having the battle OF his life
n the Indianapolis district Though Thomas
Teggart wiki al the resources at hts command.
4s working hard defeat him. little uneasiness is
felt IN Republican circles as TO the outcome. for
the OVerstreet district is normally Republican
by about four thousand votes.
Republican gains are expected in Illinois be-
cause o: the s"eeIing majority the State Will
give TO the national ticket. This tremendous
vote WILL naturally influence the vote for Con-
gress candidates II every district Of the State
the Republicans are united. enthusiastic and
aggressive, while apathy and q general lack OF
forts.
In Iowa Judge Wade of the Id district the
Oily Democratic Representative from that State
ana one OF the sDlest members Of the House
minority. is making a desperate effort 20 re-
tain his seat, out the chances are against him.
the hepuD!icans are determined 10 send a solid
celesati ion 10 the next House and, for that pur-
pose have concentrated their IRE on Wades
district.
NEBRASKA TO RETIRE HITCHCOCK
Nebraska viii probably retire G. NJ Hitch
cock the Democratic Representative from the
Id district His election TO the LVIIIth Con-
gress WA affected through e bitter factional
aght among the Republicans of Omaha This
bitterness no longer exists and a Republican
successor 10 NJ. Hitchcock Is practically as
Eurez
Indications now point TO a decided change in
the representation from Missouri II is de-
clared that the XIth, the XIIth and possibly
Cne other district. now represented by Demo-
Gratis may be captured by the Republicans
II Wisconsin Socialism. has been ma king great
hsaCWay, and the possibility OF a loss OF two
Republican seats n tAe Milwaukee districts
IS fs.r from remote Chairman Babcock OF the
Republican Congress Committee claims his
.e-eiectior by comfortable plurality. Repre-
sentative Minor of the iXth district. is also in