The progress., 1904-07-30

1sss 1sss ..".:sfs .:..sss 81 s5s s5s Z ! ss
THE DEATHS DUE TO TUBERCULp-
SIS GALL FORMS).
Males ..,......ns,....,.n.36l 1871 $3.50
Females ................n327i B,3G6
PERCENTAGE OF TOTAL MORTALITY
DUE TO TUBERCULOSIS.
1902 ....."..r".".".,..., z per cent.
1903 ...."....""......".. .,1151 per fceht.
Let us now attempt to estimate the
Average cost of living as basis for
computation Of the expense of raising a
child up to Is years of age AS to
the cost of living, the Daily News AL
manac for 1904, on page 34S, being a
tabulation from the November Q903)
bulletin of labor, shows the average
cost of food in family of five per-
sons. This, of course, varies with the
Yelstive cost of various supplies of diff
ferent years, as well as in different Sec
tions of the country. 1t is not fer
from $34O per annum. l find the tab
uletion taken from volume 2, report of
the United States commissioner of la
Dor Carroll D. WrighD, page 19s6-19e3,
showing that in Massachusetts,, in a
farnlly of two, with three children the
total expenditures are divided as fol-
love:
cisthins. rent. fuel, lighting. ..".ss per cent,
OtEAr purposes, es,,,.......n.,.n.,H per cent.
Using these proportions with an es-
tin+te from the other table, a family
Of Ave persons would expends
For food, od,.........,..,.,,.u46 46 per cent. or $340
Fee clothing, etc. ......,36 per cent. or z5
Fos other purposes........1S per cent. or 13s
Being a total of........................y1 y1ss
This would give an average of s147
ar nually for each member of the fam
rs. In order to be very conservative In
OIL: estimate, figure that it will cost
at least two dollars week to raise a
child until 1t reaches the age of Is
ye,rs. Based upon this estimate, It
7y-uld cost $500 to rear child up to
Is years OF age. Assuming that UP to
20 years of age no loss Is involved, be-
scnd the cost of bringing up those who
have died at the rate of $1OO year
for the nrst Is years of life, the deaths
at those ages represent loss of about
s1,1S7. 500 Assuming that for those
lifting and diseased between the ages
Of 20 and 60, about 100000, the inn
pa lrcd condition represents a loss of
earning and saving capacity averaging
$3.50 for the current year, the total loss
ssgrsgating $30,000,000. Assuming that
for those dying between the ages of
20 and tJ the loss of future savings
may be estimated as equivalent to a
present value of $1,000 for each per-
sen, those deaths, 5,139, represent q
Ices of s., ,139, 900. Assuming that in those
above the ages of go, or not classified.
TO pecuniary loss is involved beyond
the Extra expense of caring for them
in sickness. estimated at about $50 per
apDum, about $500 cases living, we
have an extra expense of $225,000. II
TIE different assumptions are not ex-
travagant. and it does not appear pos
sible for them to be so, they indicate
tctat annual waste by reason of tuber
ctllosIs of s3e.551, 900.
With the recent annual death rate
in Illinois from tuberculosis of 1925
deaths, they would probably represent
total of over 100000 living sufferers
fl ON the disease at the present time.
This may seem at first sight liberal
estimate, but IN determining these
there should be considered the fact re-
ferred to in . later portion of this
paper. that GO per cent Of the living |
people are or have been infected with |
consumption; that the period intended
to be covered by this hypothesis is the |
entire duration of the disease from the |
original infection, or from the first evil
dsnces of predisposition: whereas. the
average duration Of the disease. as
shown in the statistics of those who
h ave died. probably covers. In most
cases. only the period Of the final and
fatal attack: also, in view OF the pro-
portion OF deaths. this seems reason
able estimate. Estimating 100000 con-
in the state at the present
I.me is on the basis of only six per
rcnt Of the entire population OF the
tate Of 5000 900 people. Counting all
q hose efficiency is in any degree i'm
psired by the infection Of this disease
,sd even allowing for the-most con-
'ervstvs rslucticp Of this estimate, tpf