New-York tribune., 1904-10-30
rally like youthfulness and courage in a stand

rally like youthfuIness and courage in stand
| ard bearer.
Perhaps there IS still another cause worthy Of
| being denomnated a leading" one The radi-
| cal Democrats. under the leadership Of Watson
| and Hearst, have deadened Democratic enthusi-
asrn for Parker because of his being controlled
as alleged, by David B. Hill, William F Shee-
han. August Belmont, Senator German and
others. The Hearst anti-Parker propaganda has
| been skilfulIy conducted. While it has not at
| any time gone to the extent OF espousing the
| Republican cause, its tendency has been TO con-
vince free thinking Democrats that Parker and
| Davis represent malign influences, and that hon
| est Democrats should avoid them. MI Hearst
| although running for Congress on the regular
! Democratic ticket has no word Of conmenda-
| ton for Parker and Davis
! There is every reason to believe that Debs the
! Socialist Labor candidate for President who
four years ago poIled about six thousand votes
| in the county will this year have about ten
| thousand. The vote OF Thomas E Watson the
Peoples party candidate, is likely to equal that
! Of Debs in the county. These two candidates
| draw almost entirely from the regular Demo-
| cratic ticket.
| The Debs and Watson meetings have been
| largely attended, and the adherents OF these
! leaders are doing lot OF hard work.
The Tammany leaders are not Overexerting
| themselves. Mayor Mcclellan has not been on
! the stump as yet, and the leaders seem to be
! saving steam" for the fight next fall The
| Iammany pIuraAty IN the county is large
I enough TO insure the election Of Victor J.
/ Dowling as Supreme Court Justice and Joseph
/ I Green as City Court Justice Charles F.
| Murphy last week authorized a public appeal
| for contributions, which is hint to the Parker
managers that times are hard and not TO ex-
pect great things on November S.
TAAIAIANY AWAITING NEXT FALL
That Tammany should prefer to husband its
resources till next fall IS only natural, as it is
then and not now. that McCarren is to be
| driven to the political woods-that is, If Mur-
| ply can do 1t. Next fall, if a certain amend
ment TO the State constitution is approved
week from Tuesday there will be a sort of
automatic reorganization of the Supreme Court
districts. whereby four new justiceships will be
created in this county. With three justices re-
| firing, there viii be seven places on the bench
| TO fill These all life jobs called. at
rect and indirect at the disposal Of the Justices
Then, too, there viii be a complete county
ticket, with District Attorney. County Clerk.
Register and Coroners, TO be provided for, In
addition to a city ticket Tammany is saving its
resources for next falls fight. Parker has
proved a disappointment to the Tammany lead
ers and there VIII be no lasting sorrow ne
returns 1n1Icate av~E- ping RepUDIlLa~. ,uTy
for the National and State tickets Herrh.- is
& good enough friend of Murphy but the Judge
| EOss's record shows that he would have po-
lItical machine Of his own and Murphy is sus-
| picious OF al Up State politicians.
The Tammany district leaders admit TO their
newspaper friends that the Parker plurality in
/ IS enough for Tammany. A Presidential year
/ is off" year to Tammany.
The Tribune Thursday printed significant
| interview with of the Tamnany sub-leaders
/ Of the XVIth District, typical East Side Tam
/ many stronghold. in Avenue c neighbOrhOOd-
/ II is controlled by City Chamberlain Patrick
/ Keenan,. Mr. Keenan, Is broad spirited and
popular, and If anybody could hold his men in
! line he ought 10 be able TO do it. The Tam
many canvass in the XVIth shows a loss Of 400
| as compared with last year. and OF 1000 as COM
! pared with 1902 when Coler had a plurality Of
/ $500 The district this year will barely give
/ Parker plurality of 1.1OO.
! West Side district leader when asked
! Thursday about conditions around Thirty
foUrth-st. and North River. said:
| Parker viii get not more than 10000 In the
! county. Eighty per cent or the Germans. 30
per cent Of the Jews, 80 per cent Of the Italians
/ and 100 per cent Of the negroes are for ROOse-
! velt. We can't hold them in a Presidential year
4 with an unknown man at the head OF the ticket"
This statement is cited not because 1t decides
/ anything in particular, but because It shows
/ that there is little fighting spirit in the Tam
anything in particular at stake. They have be
! come used to largely decreased plurality IN
| Presldentlal years and what mas happened regu-
/ larly before, they reason, will happen again.
EXPECTED REPUBLICAN GAINS.
Looking down the line" the Republican lead
ers believe that they will make substantial gains
on their Congress ticket. Joseph Levinson, the
Republican candidate in the IXth District, be-
lieves he will win. In 1902 the vote fol-
| lows:
] t.to sd
| Jonas (SOc Dem.), 1888; Katz (Soc Labor, 499
/ II looks as If the Democratic plurality OF 25OO
| two years ago, when Coler had $4,000 in the
| county VIII be entirely wiped out The Repub-
| licans holding their forces well together and
| making enormous gains The Debs and Watson
/ managers likewise claim large accessions while
! the Tammauy people freely admit losses Mr
] Goldfogle succeeded in getting Judge Parker 10
! attend q theatre party in his district Monday
| night, but il did not stem the tide of Jewish
| voters 10 Roosevelt
Republicans generally concede the election Of
/ Sulzer in the Xth, Hearst in the XIth and Cock
| ran IN the AIIth- The normal Democratic plu-
/ raIities there are too heavy 10 be svyept aside
even in a good" Republican year.
| Herbert Parsons will win In the XIIIth This
/ is the district carried by Francis Burton Har-
| rtson two years ago by i plurality of about
! 100 The county viii need 10 90 Democratic
! by more than 100000 10 elect & Democrat there
/ this year. Gr. Parsons is a worker. His plural
| ity probably will be close to 8 900 His Opponent
Is Edward Swami, who is not doing much to
| elect himself.
In the XVth District Jacob Van vechten Oh
/ colt. Republican. VIII have an easy time of it,
His Democratic opponent. NJ. Francis Lough-
/ man. is making lively canvass. but the district
! IS safely Republican in a Presidential year. Mr.
| LOughman has been indOrsed by the Watson
| Democrats. He assisted in circulating the Wat
son petition nominating himself On the order
| Of Charles r Murphy. he was obliged to de-
cIira tba Endorsement of the peoTieSs ,1art,,
1 which, feeling ahronted by the snub has nomi-
mated one of its own men for Congress.
In the XVIIth District there is q battle royal
between William S Bennet, former Justice OF
/ the Municipal Court OF the upper West Side
| and Franklin Leonard ir. the Tammany candi-
date. In 1902 Shober. the Tammany candidate
beat Andrews. Republican by a vote OF 10 24S
| 20 IL 73I. The district is normally Republican
/ The Republicans are united this year. and AIr
/ Benuet's election Is conceded by the Tammany
leaders. Shober Is Hearst man. and was
| naturally feel the slight. and will square the
account on Election Day.
The Republicans VIII gain at least one, and
| perhaps two or three. Senators this year The
| Trfbures forecast comedies all but the XVIII
and XIXth districts TO Tammany. The friends