The Minneapolis journal. [volume] (Minneapolis, Minn.) 1888-1939, 1904-08-06

Totals ................ 231 1ee 7e
The foregoing estimate places
Roosevelt within eight of the neces-
sary majority and Parker within sew
enty. 1T should be taken merely as
a working basis for future estimates.
It, shows that Parker has the labor
Ing oar in this campaign, and to that
extent, at least, it may be relied upon.
Even his friends admit it, but they
nope to overcome the handicap by
careful campaign management.
Explanations of why some Of the
states We're marked doubtful will be
interesting.
Connecticut.
Connecticut was carried by Tilden
In 1875 and by Garfield in 1880. It
then went for Cleveland three times in
succession and then twice for McKin-
it elected a republican governor by
16,OO8 and a legislature In which
there were 205 republicans and IA
democrats. Since 1896, however, it's
republican rnajorities have been .dwin-
ding. 1t went for Mckinley in that
him by $4,000. In 1902 the guber-'
material majority was the 16,OO8 al
ready referred to. In 1892 Connecti-
cut was carried by Cleveland by about
5000, and since the present campaign
resembles the campaign of 1892 more
nearly than any other, Connecticut
should be classed as doubtful Any
well-populated state Is doubtful whose
margin Is 5000 or less. Conditions
in Connecticut point toward Roose-
welt, and there will be general sur
prise If he does not carry 1t. His
chances there are somewhat better
than they are in NewAJ ersey, and they
are better in New Jersey than they
are in New York.
Delaware.
Delaware is not historically, a re-
publican state, altho it went twice for
Mckinley. In 1872 1t cast it's electoral
vote for Grant, because the memories
Of the civil war were fresh in the
public mind; but from 1876 to 1892,
inclusive times in all-it went
democratic. 1t gave Mckinley a plu-
rality Of $500 in 1896 and of 5000 in
1900. It elected a republican state
treasurer in 1902 by 4,O52 plurality,
and a republican legislature in the
same year. There isn't anything in It's
history justifying a claim for it this
year either way. The Addicks trouble
will not hurt the electoral ticket.
President Roosevelt will poll the full
party strength.
Indiana.
Indiana, with the return Of the bulk
of the gold democratic vote to the
| democ1 attic party, may be classed ais
doubtful. 1t is generally believed by
the best informed men that it's mar
gin this year will be less than 10000.
The total vote of the state will be
| 100000. The republicans feel that
they have the advantage, but the
democrats are just as confident. In
! advance of the state polls, which will
not be completed until the latter part
Of September, 1t will be impossible to
| figure accurately on this state. It is
not even known definitely at this time
| whether Roosevelt or Parker has the
| lead. Beginning with 1876 and end
ing with 1896, Indiana was one year
| democratic and the next year repub-
lican. The only time in its history
since Grants time when it went the
/ same way twice in succession was
when, in 1896, and again in 1900, il
voted for Mckinley. Harrison car.
ried it in 1888 by about $500 and he
lost it in 1892 by about 5000. This
last statement ought to throw some
strength Fairbanks will add to the
republican ticket in Indiana. It may
! be said for Fairbanks, however, tina
he will do his level best. He regard.
himself as a strong presidential pos
sibility in 1908. Obviously, he could
not be considered for moment il
1908 If he were to fail to carry hi!
own state now. He knows this full
| we'll, and the knowledge will cause
him to redouble his efforts If the
state goes republican this year, Fair
I banks will get the credit, as, If it il
democratic, he will get the blame.
New Jersey.
Like Delaware, New Jersey is no
| historically republican. 1t gave it
i electoral vote to five democratic presi
Dental candidates in succession, be
4 ginning with Tilden and ending will
/ Cleveland, but in 1896 and in 1900, OF
i the money issue, it was for Mckinley
4 In 1901 it elected republican gov
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