Evening bulletin. [volume] (Honolulu [Oahu, Hawaii]) 1895-1912, 1904-08-08
ADvA,SE CLAIMS IN the "A.
TIONAL FIGHT.

Political forecasters have already he
gun heir work Of laying out what
States the candidate for President must
carry to secure success, what States are
included in the doubtful list and what
can be depended upon from the start by
Republican and Democratic managers.
These DEMONSTRATIONS are of course
Influenced by the partizan affiliations
OF the prophets. They are all interest
ing, however as showing the expecta-
tons vi bo,h paroles and outlining the
CHEZ battle giounas
The electoral College this year con-
sists OF IiO members, Of whom 23y is
u majority. The Democratic claim,
maze up at Esopus. puts down 1863 of
these votes certain, making 10 to be
gained IN Order 10 elect Parker. Har-
mony Is the watch word of the Demo-
cracy. LIS leaders are making their
first move to patch up troubles in New
YorK. New Je,sey, Indiana, Illinois.
Wisconsin. and ohio. Delaware. Mary
Land ana West virginia are scheduled
TO return to the Democratic column.
Bryan Is to be allowed free rein to sat
isly nis ambition 100 electing a Demo-
cratic legislature In Nebraska. but his
State is not marked as favorable fight
ing ground by national managers.
10 be elected Judge Parker will re-
quire New York. Illinois and Colorado,
- or New York, Indiana, New Jersey and
Colorado or New York, Wisconsin,
New Jersey, Nevada and Colorado.
New YORK is essential TO Judge Par
ker. with New YORK there are several
reasonable and possible combinations
any one of which would EJECT him.
This is on the assumption that every
New England State VIII go kepubli-
can. while both Connecticut and Rhode
Island are good ground. Rhode Island
has a Democratic Governor, and Con-
neGliGut Is a fair field.
What New York viii do Is of course
vital but Republicans claim that they
can sweep the boards without New
York, II 1t should appear that Parker's
stand for sold puts the State in his
column. IL is claimed that New Jer-
a Y
SAFELY Republican. Cleveland was the
only Democrat who ever carried these
States and Parker cant duplicate the
job. Indiana is put In the hepublican
column because of Fairbanks candi-
GaCy. Illinois is claimed because the
President Is popular there, the Kepub-
licans have strong State ticket and
the Democrats are hopelessly split.
West Virginia, though accepted as
doubtful, is not conceded to Candidate
Davis by any means. According to the
Republican scheme Roosevelt is certain
OF 2i7 electoral votes or eight more
than the necessary 239. The only dis
puted States are New York, with 50
electoral votes, West Virginia 7, and
Wisconsin 10.
In addition TO these forecasts the New
York Herald has sized up the situation
In behalf of Democratic hopes, partlc-
nlarly those Democrats whom Parker
made glad with his gold declaration.
II presents the outlook in its most I'M
favorable light for Republicans and
the claims are therefore valuable us
showing the best the Democrats claim
they can do. The Herald says:
President Roosevelt and his cam
paign managers admit the changed con-
ditions existing In the national cam
paign since Saturday. when Judge Par
ker sent his now famous gold telegram
TO the Democratic convention at St.
Ionic aud tho o,
Bay between the President, Senator
Fairbanks, George B, Cortslyou. chair.
man OF the National Committee; G. N.
Bliss, treasurer Of the National Com
mittee, and others OF prominence dur
Ing the last few days are frank recog-
milton OF the probability that instead Of
having a walkover they may have n
desperate light"
Now Democratic courage takes the
place OF despair In several OF the States
which the Republlcans had appropriate.
ed md there is to be fight all along
the Line. The President is nightly In
te!este1 in the effect OF the gold stand
OF Judge Parker in the States OF New
YORK., New Jersey, Connecticut, Indiana
and Illinois lilo Is also interested In
the effect Of the nomination OF Henry
q. Davis n West Virginia, Some of the
beet informed campaigners on the Re.
publican side frankly admit that In the
last four days about half dozen i'm
portant states have become entitled
TO places in the doubtful column. and
the President has been told so,
II Is sail that the alignment as stated
to he President very recently stands
sJU t1ing Ike this;
Republican states California, i0I Dol.
tWEIr . Iowa 10, Kansas, 10; Maine.
q, h asa 'hpeets, 10, Michigan, ~;