The Topeka state journal. [volume] (Topeka, Kansas) 1892-1980, 1904-11-01
MAKING FIGURES.
Estimates Given Out From Both
National Headquarters.
Republicans Seem to Feel That
New York Is Close.
FOR PARKER 257 VOTES
That Is the Claim of the Demo-
cratic Managers.
But Republicans Say 1t Is Not
Sincerely Made.
FOR PARKER 257 VOTES

Chicago, Nov. IA New York spe-
cial to the Tribune says:
With only a week remaining for ac-
tive campaign work the Democratic
managers have practically thrown up
the sponge and admitted the election
of Roosevelt.
Judge Parker personally is conf
dent of election. But that is another
story. His managers or at least the
majority of them admit everywhere
that the country cannot be secured
and that Roosevelt is certain of a
large majority of the electoral college.
and that hope is by no means an ex-
travagant one, although the chances
seem to favor slightly the Republican
national ticket and the Democratic
state ticket.
Gives Parker 257 Electors.
In making up his estimate of the
probable result of the election on Tues
day of next week. Delaney Nicoll, the
official forecaSter of the Democratic
national committee asserts that Parker
will have a total of 257 votes, or only
eighteen more than are necessary to
elect. This is, really, the maximum
Democratic claim. given out for off1-
cial publication. 1t is based upon the
states which are now known to be
surely Republican, and when examined
in detail the utter hopelessness of the
Parker campaign at once is exhibited.
In fact, it is we'll understood that Mr.
NicolPS maximum was given out for
the express purpose of warning Demo-
cratic leaders throughout the country
not to waste any time or money IN
betting on the presidential result, put
to confine their attention as far as pos
sible to local, state, legislative and con-
greSsional results.
How Figures Are Reached.
In making up his total of PSI De-
lancey Nicoll has taken the origlnai
nucleus of the solid south with 151
electoral vote of Maryland, New York,
New Jersey, Connecticut, Delaware,
Indiana, West Virginia, Montana
Utah and Idaho, with one or Two
smaller states thrown IN LOT sooo
measure.
There is not one of the Democratic
mana gers who has the remotest lde9
that either New Jersey or INDIANA VIII
go Democratic. They have practiCaly
no hone of Connecticut. They belleVe
there is q chance to get the electoral
vote of New York, West Virginia, ana
of course Maryland in the east ana
Colorado, Utah, Idaho, Montana, ana
Nevada in the. west. In private CON
lyersation they admit freely they will be
more than satisfied If Parker can run
up to 200 votes, which is 80 snort OF d
majority.
New York State in Doubt.
AS to the result III New OAh 7No"eN'
both parties are a good deal at sea-
because it is a question as to the reia-
| tive strength of two distinct and entlre-
| ly dissimilar elements. Polls or potn
parties, newspaper forecasts, ana per-
sonal opinions of active state managers
on both sides all coincide in the oeileI
that there is to be large RooSeNeit
vote up state, and almost equaIly ds
| large a Parker vote in greater New
york The whole problem is simmerlng
Il
the relative strength of the town ana
| the country. Tammany Leader Murphy
asserts he can produce not less thah
| 15O 600 plurality for Parker in New
york. Kings, Queens, and Richmond
counties, forming the consolidated CITY
| of New York. Everything indicates
this phenomenal vote in the city, ana
| the ReDublicans concede that the COM
Ebined plurality in the metropolis viii
go over 100, 900, but they believe II VIII
stop at or not to exceed, 12o,OOo.
| United Democracy in City.
Polls taken by both parties show that
there has been a general nnlhg up OF
Democrats to significant degree IN an
the city wards of New York and BROOK
| ivn Practically all the Democrats who
voted for Mckinley are going back or
have gone back into the Democratic
camp and will be sure to vote Tor Har-
lxer This includes all the So-called
"Gold Democratic" element in the city
| SO far as it relates to the rank and ME,
but it does not include a good many
| renresentatiyes and wealthy men who
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