The Irish standard., 1904-10-01
The Nomination of Herrick BY the Demo-
Gratis Has United All Factions
Of the Party.
New York City Looked to, to Give Ire
mendous Majority for Both Parker
and Herrick.

Croker did in 1898 to the Van wyck
candidacy.
MAKING ODELL AN ISSUE.
To show the basis of the expecta-
tions Of the Democrats it is only neces-
sary to say that they believe that they
have succeeded in making the gov
ernor the paramount issue in the state.
They expect his personality to hurt not
only the state but the national ticket.
1t is asserted that Mr.. Higgins will
have a plurality in several western
counties that will exceed that given
for Mckinley in 1900, but that he will
suffer in most of the cities of the state.
In Albany the Republican estimate
has been cut down from the six thous-
and six hundred given to Odell in 1902
to between twenty-five hundred and
fifteen hundred. Rensselaer's Repub-
lican vote is expected to fall off fifteen
hundred. In Rochester, Syracuse,
Utica, Watertown and Ogdensburg the
Democrats hope to make tremendous
inroads on the Republican vote. Their
expectations, however, are confined to
the state ticket. They look for Roose-
welt to run well. In the southern tier
the unpopularity of Governor Odell is
expected to be offset by the dissatis-
faction of the followers of John B.
Stanchfield, who failed in nomination
for governor efter he got the dele
gates.
But it is conceded that New York
city is the great danger point for both
Higgins and Roosevelt. The Demo.
Gratis are already talking of surprising
the $4,000 for Coler on the state
ticket this election. On the other
hand, their city figures on the presi-
dental ticket are generally below the
one hundred thousand plurality mark.
IN THE DOUBTFUL STATES.
The Democrats are not yet satisfied
with the outlook in any of the other
so-called doubtful states. The situa-
tion continues to be that they have
states certain to go Democratic which
will give them 159 electoral votes. In
order to obtain 239 electoral votes, or
bare majority Of the electoral COL
lege. they must get eighty votes else
where. New York, Connecticut, New
Jersey, Indiana and West Virginia
would give them just eighty. Losing
New Jersey and carrying all the rest
and also Wisconsin, would give them
24O-one to spare. They could lose
West Virginia and Connecticut and
carry all the rest including Wisconsin,
and still fail, unless they could ''pick
up one vote somewhere else. This
might come from Delaware or from
Nevada.
The Democrats are by no means con-
f1dent of carrying this combination Of
states, unless they can get the public
profoundly stirred, as they did in 1892.
If the condition throughout the
country were like that which exists in
New York the betting on Parker would
be at odds in his favor. But only in
Wisconsin is the situation so bad as
in New York.
So that condition does not exist.
The Republicans assert that they have
made headway in Connecticut and
that the Democrats have lost ground.
This, they say, is also true in Rhode
Island. That state two weeks ago
was doubtful. The Republicans are
today making emphatic claims.
The result in New Jersey depends
altogether on the way the employees in
the manufacturing establishments in
the northern end of the state will vote.
There is as yet no sign of political
revolution. Something more than
union in New York will be needed to
turn the scales, in the opinion of men
whose minds are not blinded by par
tisanship.
In Delaware the situation is not yet
satisfactory to the Republicans.
West Virginia has been practically
wiped off the slate of Democratic ex-
pectations. 1t is protection state,
and the recent speech Of Henry G..