The Spokane press. [volume] (Spokane, Wash.) 1902-1939, 1904-07-05


ST. LOUIS, MO. July Sin strik-
ing contrast to the lack of popular
interest and enthusiasm displayed at
the Chicago convention Is the air OF
feverish suspense and uncertainty pa
rading ST. Louis today on the eve
of the democratic national conven-
tion. 1t is true that the managers
and partisans of. the several candi-
dates for the presidential nomination
profess perfect confidence in the re-
suit, but away down deep in their
hearts these same leaders who de-
clare that 1t is all over but the shout
ing undoubtedly share the same feel
ing Of doubt and uncertainty In the
issue that Is felt by all unbiased OBJ
servers of the situation. In the CON-
fusion of claims and denials filling
the air today, the tabulated state
nsents given out by the statisticians
of the various headquarters and the
prediction that this or that delega-
tion will flop to the banner of this or
that candidate. there is but one thing
that can be stated with any degree
of certainty. This is the way the
candidates will stand on the first bal
lot. Should the delegations all fol-
low their instructions the several
candidates will be sure of the follow
ing votes when the first ballot Is cast:
Parker is sure Of the following
votes: Alaska, s; Arkansas, IS; Con-
necticut, IA; Georgia. 26; Indiana, 80;
Louisiana. IS; Minnesota, II; Missis-
sippi, 90; New Hampshire, g.; New
York. rs; Ohio. 3; Tennessee. "a: Tex
as. So; Utah. 4; Vermont. s. In addi-
tion to this number he is expected
to have the 20 delegates from Ala
bama. which state endorsed Parl>cr,
but did not instruct. The same is
true of the 26 delegates from Ken
lucky, who are understood to favor
Parker though they are without
definite instructions. This will give
Parker s54 votes at least on the first
ballot.
Next TO Parker in the number Of
instructed delegates stands Hearst.
On the first ballot the New York edi-
tor may count upon the following:
Arizona, s; California, 2o; Florida.
10; Hawaii, 6: Idaho. 9: Illinois, 81;
Iowa. 2S; Kansas, 9; Maine, 9: Minne-
sofa, I; Nevada. 6: New Mexico, g.;
Ohio, s; Oregon, 8: Rhode Island, 6;
South Dakota, 8; Utah. Q; Washing
ton. 10; West Virginia. Q; Wyoming.
8. Total, $40.
The favorite son votes on the first
ballot are expected to stand as fol
lows: Massa chusetts, 81 for Olney
Delaware. 8 for Gray: Wisconsin, &c
for Wall.
The number of delegates without
instructions is 316. Missouri is ex-
pected to vote for Cockren on the
first ballot. and West Virginia will
cast IL votes for Senator German.
The Parker men are confident that
they will get at least a third or 1O6
Of the uninstructed delegates on the
first ballot. In that case Parker would
then have +60 votes. or almost half
the total number. Those who share
this confidence In Parker's strength
expect the New York Judge to be
nominated on the second ballot, after
Wisconsin and Massachusetts, have
cast a complimentary vote for Wall
and Olney.
Parker goes into the convention
with practically the solid support of
the entire south. The southern states
that have instructed him are Ten
nessee. Texas. Mississippi. Louisiana,
Georgia, Arkansas and Alabama. The
southern states which have sent un-
instructed delegates. but which have
gone on record in favor of Judge
Parker. are Virginia. South Carolina,
Kentucky and six OF the 10 delegates
from Florida. The other four Flor
ida delegates are for Hearst. North
Carolina declined to endorse any can
didate. though majority Of the dele
gates from that state are understood
to favor Parker.
These figures show apparently that
Parker is the strongest man in the
race. But, as the old saying goes,