The Guthrie daily leader. [volume] (Guthrie, Okla.) 1893-1996, 1904-07-16

mercial, financial Added to the nor
mu Democratic strength which such
a leader aculd command will be the
accession of Republican votes repelled
through distrust Of an fmpulsive and
unsafe candidate
On the other hand the Republican
party Is IN no shape for contest
Peace between Platt and Odell is as
difficult as between the pie bosses in
Missouri. On the same day when New
Yorl, votes for a president Il will elect
governor, and OF necessity he viii be
either a Platt or an Odell man. Il Is
certain that to some extent the knife
will be piled by the factionists, Platts
followers IN the city and a by no
means inconsiderable number in the
state would fight an Odell man. prob
ably with even more vigor than they
fought Odell In 1902. The Odell peo-
pie upstate would battle to down a
Platt man. The presidential stake will
not have sufficient weight to sus-
pend the factional war. II should be
borne in mind that both factions are
essentially hostile TO Mr.. Roosevelt,
The New York Republican situation is
not essentially different from that in
Wisconsin. IN the latter state the feud
is fresh. IN New York it is old and
deep.
with New York added to the Dem
ocratic count the element Of doubt
over the result in November is les
sened by tremendous margin. Two
hundred aud thirty-nine electoral
votes are required to win, and Of these
Democracy stands assured Of 1913; be
inc the 159 Of the solid south, includ-
ing Maryland, which the Republican
authorities concede, and the thirty
nine Of New York. Democracy, there
fore, has to find but forty-one votes.
AS New York goes so in all probabil-
ity will go Connecticut, with its sew
en- votes, and New Jersey with its ten
West Virginia, with its seven may be
counted upon with reason. California
with ten Is likely to be taken from the
Republican column. Republicans con.
cede it to be doubtful. Wisconsin,
with thirteen, is doubtful, but Dem
ocratic probability The total elector-
al votes OF these states Is forty-seven.
Indiana may be considered conf
IDENTIFY a Democratic opportunity. BY
carrying Indiana with its fifteen votes
Democracy could make up its neces-
sary forty-one votes without Wiscon'
sin and without Connecticut--or with
out West Virginia.
In Illinois Democracy has good
flehting chance. Its twenty-seven
votes simplify the question OF posi-
BILE combinations. But without either
Illinois or Indiana, and indeed with
ont Wisconsin-any of which states
furnishes the key to Democratic vic
tory several estimates founded upon
reason remain to furnish the neces-
sary forty-one votes.
Nevada is concededly Democratic
California is probably Democratic
Oregon, Idaho, Montana. Utah and Col
orado are placed in the doubtful col
umn by the narrowest and most re
luctant Republican estimates. Della
ware is Likewise placed in this col
umn. though it would seem to be less
doubtful than several of the others.
and may he left out of the calcula-
ton. The total vote of the other
states named in this group is twenty
nine. Democracy requires but seven
teen OF these votes added to the votes
Of New Jersey. Connecticut and West
Virginia in order to win. Give Dem
ocracy California, Oregon and one
other OF the western group OF seven
states named and the total is made
Or give California and Oregon to the
Republicans, and the remaining Of the
doubtful group Of Democracy. and the /
result is the same.