Bismarck daily tribune. [volume] (Bismarck, Dakota [N.D.]) 1881-1916, 1904-11-02
AN ELECTION FORECAST.

last, there is an election forecast,
gathered from the leading newspapers
of all the states. AS a result of the
information thus furnished the Tri-1
bune predicts 314 electoral votes for
Roosevelt, ISL for Parker. and Ill
doubtful. The solid south is conceded
to Parker-Maryland and Nevada are
classed as doubtful and the other
states are given by the Tribune to.
Roosevelt. : ~.-. -
In explanation of it's forecast, the
Tribune says: ..
Three days before the presidential
election Of 1900 The Tribune printed
a forecast of the: result, giving Nc
KinIey and Roosevelt 1903 ELECTORAL
votes, They received 292. In pre-
pairing this forecast The Tribune fol-
lowed an entirely novel method, Sc
curing the forecasts Of leading news
papers B in the various states and
basing it's figures on their estimates.
The forecast proved so accurate that a
similar course has been followed this
year and the results tabulated above
were secured from scores of the lead
ing newspapers of the nation, supple
mented lin a few cases by the esti-
mates of the republican state chair
men in states unquestionably demo-
cratic or republican. In the so-called
doubtful states, however, the figures
of the press have been depended upon
without exception. ss:
The results obtained and included
In the forecast show number Of
significant indications, not the least
important of which is the apparent
certainty that Parker will be beaten
worse than Bryan. The census Of
1900 added % to the electoral total
vote, raising it from. 447 to ATS. In
1900 Bryan carried seventeen states,
receiving 155 ELECTORAL votes. If
Parker should carry the same states
j the electoral college. But conceding
him the two states which may be fair
ly considered doubtful, Maryland and
Nevada, his total will reach only 1862,
even If he carry fifteen states. The
change lies entirely in the Rocky
Mountain states. OF these Bryan car
ried Idaho, Montana, Colorado and
Nevada. This year Parker may carry
Nevada. Maryland, which gave its
vote to Mckinley, shows some signs
of trend back to the democratic
column. Thus it is clear except for
these two states Parker and Davis will
carry no states outside Of the "solid
south, /" and it is not unlikely that they
may be beaten in these states and re-
dtfced 20 the unlucky number of
thirteen. r..&5 III
The election of 1904 promises to
show other noteworthy features. At
the outset Of the campaign, New York,
New Jersey. Connecticut, West Vir-
ginia and Indiana were designated as
doubtful states and both parties con-
centrated their Efforts on these states.
Wisconsin, also because Of republi-
can split, was cheerfully included IN
the list by the sanguine democrats,
despite its immense republican ma
1orities in late years. But the col
lapse Of the democratic national cam
paign several weeks ago fully shat
tered any hope they may have actually
cherished about any Of these states:
The Tribune canvass. furnished BY the
press III all these states shows that
the tide Is setting toward the re-
publican ticket Ia an unmistakable5
manner New York. New Jersey and
Come cttcut have long ago passed out
sof the doubtful column. West Yir-.
ginia and Indiana were longer ii.
doubt. but Indications from both.
slater make the republican snccess
certain there Taggart,s influence on
the foating vote II Indiana. III other