Evening capital. (Annapolis, Md.) 1884-1910, 1904-11-05
REPUBLICANS COURT VICTORY
LITTLE TOLEAD ONE TO ES-
TMATE RESULT.
Leaders Rest Sercnely Content In
The Consciousness of a
Righteous Cause.


of the last week before election, little
is left to be done but to estimate the
result and wait for the returns. The
Republican leaders of the national
committee still in the city rest Sc
renely content today in the conscious
ness of a righteous cause, the remem-
brance of an energetic campaign mar
red by no apparent mistakes or omis-
sions, and an absolute confidence in
an overwhelming victory at the polls
ON Tuesday.
1t is the confident expectation of
every Republican that President
Roosevelt and Senator Fairbanks will
be elected by substantial plurality.
Judge Parker's election will be pos
sible only through Democratic success
in practically every one of the So
called doubtful states, and this can
hardly be accomplished without a
political landslide. of which there are
no sigus. The Republicans have only
to gain five votes from the seventy
six that are doubtful in order ito win.
and this is. so small a percentage as to
suggest to Republicans a positive vic
tory.
When the present campaign opened
it was the general custom to give
the Democratic ticket l5l votes, with
out further hesitation. That repre-
sented what is generally known as the
solid South. including all the states
nf the Confederacy. and with them
the old border states of Kentucky and
Missouri. which are now included IN
the political solid South. Early i'll
the campaign it became evident that
20 this apparently impregnable nucleus
the Democrats should be able to add
the state of Maryland, with its eight
electoral votes, thus making a total
of l59 woes, which could be counted
upon as sure to be cast for Parker and
Davis. Since this basis of 159 sure
Democratic votes was established,
there has been nothing in the progress
# the campaign, as viewed from the
Republican standpoint, TO indicate
that any other state should be trans
ferred to the sure Democratic column.
At the opening of the campaign it
was quite evident that the fight would
be for the control of the electoral
votes of New York, New Jersey, Con-
necticut, Delaware, West Virginia and
Indiana. Each of these states voted
for Cleveland in 1892, and it was the
hope of the Parker and Davis manage
ment that with a united Democracy
it might be possible TO turn back to
the vote of twelve years ago and by
adding the Cleveland states to the
solid South secure a majority of the
electoral college. Under the circum-
stances, therefore, it was quite natural
at the opening of the campaign to put
the states of Colorado, Connecticut,
Delaware, Idaho, Indiana, Montana,
Nevada, New York, Rhode Island,
Utah, West Virginia, Wisconsin and
Wyoming in the doubtful column.
This figured out 1877 votes for Roose
velt, l59 for Parker and 1873 doubtful.
Then began a process Of elimination.
which rapidly dissipated the greater
part of the doubtful vote in the minds
of the Republican managers.
Giving to the Democrats in addition
To Missouri, Kentucky and the solid
South, the doubtful states of Mary
land, West Virginia, Connecticut and
Delaware, Parker would have l79
elecoral votes to Roosevelt's 221. This
estimate leaves New York, Indiana
and New Jersey, with total of 66
electoral votes, in the doubtful col
umn. OF these three states the Re-
publican managers appear most conf
dent of CARRYING Indiana and New
Jersey. In Indiana, the presence of
Senator Fairbanks on the ticket I'M
doubtedly gives them a decided ad
vantage, which, coupled with the
splendid condition of their organiza-
ton, seems to assure them the vic
tory, though even the most sanguiDe
coneede that the result will be close.
In New Jersey the Democratic state
ticket is stronger than the national
ticket and the contest is largely on
state issues The Republicans give
Roosevelt a plurality of 5000, and
even the Independents believe that
Roosevelt will have large plurality.
In New York the battle has been
one of the fiercest in the political an
nails of the Empire State External
evidence now points to the success
of the Republican national ticket in
the state. The campaign managers
declare with confidence that New
York will give Roosevelt as high as
rs, 600 plurality. 1t is pointed out
that he is stronger up the state than
when he ran for Governor and was
elected. He is also stronger in New
York city than before the campaign.
Many of the big financial interests
which formerly opposed him now
favor his election, as shown by public
interviews, and Roosevelt is also per-
sonally popular among the several
classes of the foreign population usual
ly voting the local Democratic ticket.
With New York's large block of 80
electoral votes thus assured him, the
Republican managers declare today
that the success of the national ticket
at next Tuesdays election is absolute