Twice-a-week plain dealer. (Cresco, Howard County, Iowa) 1895-1913, 1904-07-29
Prospect. Of Democratic Victory.

Prospects Of Democratic Victory.
In these later days the prophetic role
is one Of the easiest that can be es-
sayed, for the all sufficient reason that
the truth or falsity Of q prediction can
not be ascertained until after the event.
Anybody can juggle with election fig
ures and let the imagination run riot
to his hearts content without damage
to anybody except some silly enthusi-
asst who bets upon his arithmetical de-
auctions. Ny venerable and vitriolic
friend, General Charles Henry Gros-
yenor, of Athens, O., for whom enter
tain great personal affection and upon
whom ky reason Of his numerous and
gorgeous representations l have be-
slowed the title Of '9The Prophet Maxi
mus of the Great Hooking Valley" has
taken his pad and pencil in hand to
rend the veil Of futurity for the enlight-
eminent OF mankind as to what will
happen on the 9Th day Of next Novem-
Der. By his astonishing array Of figures
he will forfeit his reputation as the
uneal successor Of Elijah and Isaiah,
or lose my guess. He allows to the
Democrats only the following electoral
votes: Alabama, IL; Arkansas, 8; Flori-
da, 8; Georgia, -; Kentucky, 10; LOU
isiana. 8; Mississippi, 10; Missouri, 10;
North Carolina, u; South Carolina, g.;
Tennessee. II; Texas, 18, and Virginia,
II. Total. Isl.
The good gray general was so
wrought up with enthusiasm in his
Vaccinations that he even intimated
that 1t might be that the 18 votes Of
Missouri would be subtracted from the
151. leaving US only beggarly 1873.
All the rest, except the 151, he posi-
lively claims for the Republicans. His
popular sobriquet Is "Old Figgers,' an
honorable nickname. Once in the heat
Of debate l dubbed him 1.-THE Stud Bug
Of Arithmetic" title of affection, but
I dissent from his conclusions toto
coelo.
/ wish General Grosvenor no harm.
On the contrary, I wish for him all
things that are good. I most fervently
hope that he may live till Missouri
casts her electoral vote for the Repub-
lican candidates. II he does, he will
double discount Methuselah as the old
est man that ever lived.
A more conservative estimate recent
ly published states the case as follows:
Surely Democratic, the 1b1 votes here
tofore mentioned; surely Republican,
California. 10; Iowa, 18; Kansas, 10;
Maine, 8; Massachusetts, 16; Michigan,
ID; Minnesota. IL; Nebraska, 8; New
Hampshire. 4; North Dakota, A; Ohio,
%; Oregon, A; Pennsylvania, "a; South
Dakota, 4; Vermont, 4; Washington, s.
and Wyoming, 8. Total, 178.
The states not included in these two
lists will have 1852 votes in the electoral
college. They are; Colorado, 8; Della
ware, 8; Connecticct, Z; Idaho, 8; In
diana. 10; Illinois, 81; Maryland, 8
Montana, 8; Nevada, 8; New Jersey
Ia; New York, 80; Rhode Island, 4
Utah. 3; West Virginia, 7, and Wiscon
kn, 18. Total, 1852.
There are. 478 votes in the electoral
college. Therefore 239 will be neces
sary to elect. In addition to the ISL
conceded to the Democrats by every
body except General Grosvenor, they
must capture IS. Where are we to gel
fhem7 What states placed above in the
third or doubtful class are we more APT
TO carry. than are the Republicans?
In order to form a rational opinion
tbs entire history Of the states, and MOI
merely their history for the last eigh1
years, must be considered, so far as
Democracy and Repubncanism are con
ceened.
New Jersey until 1895 was one Of the
most reliable Democratic states in thu
Onion. In 1855 she voted for Buchan
an. In 1880. when all other northern
states voted for Abraham Lincoln, littl,
Jersey gave Stephen A. Douglas par
of her electoral vote. In 1864 she voted
for Mcclellan. She continued to &c