The Montgomery advertiser., 1904-09-04

| nor; but the Republican plurality in | 1902 was considerably less than third | of the figure attained by Mckinley six years before. The Democratic nomi- i nees for the Presidency carried Con-
 necticut in 1876, 1884. 1888 and 1892
 and If in 1880 Garfield secured in 1t a
 plurality of two thousand six hundred | and fifty-six. 1t was because he also
 managed to carry the adjoining Empire
 Commonwealth. Should New York give
 Judge Parker a large plurality. he is
 more likely to be successful in Con-
 necticut than is his competitor. This State, therefore, should be removed
 from the table of "certain" Republi-
 can States. As to Idaho, North Dako-
 ta, South Dakota, Utah, Washington
 and Wyoming, Bryan carried every
 one of them in 1896. and retained Ida
 ho in 1900. In the last-named year,
 Mckinley carried Utah by a plurality
 of only two thousand one hundred and
 thirty-three popular votes. and Wyo-
 ming by only four thousand three
 hundred and eighteen. If we with
 draw as at least doubtful the three
 electoral votes of Utah and the three
 of Idaho, as well as the seven of Con-
 necticut. from the Evening Suns list.
 the total of safe Republican electoral
 votes is reduced to one hundred and
 sixty-nine.
 We come finally to twelve States l having one hundred and forty three
 presidential electors. acknowledged to
 be doubtful" From these Mir Roose-
 welt must add seventy electoral votes
 to the one hundred and sixty nine,
 with which we have credited him, in
 order to be elected. It is evident that
 some of the assumptions on which | this list is based require revision. Why.
 for instance, should Maryland figure | in 1t? Since the new franchise act be- l came operative in that State 1t can be 1 reckoned upon by Judge Parker with
 as much confidence as can Kansas be
 counted on by Roosevelt. Well-in-
 formed persons believe also that West | Virginia has been secured for Judge Parker by the nomination of ex-Sena- | tor Davis of that State for the Vice. l Presidency. Why, again. should not Nevada, which has never given its | three electoral votes to a Republican
 since and including 1892, be much more
 likely to go for Parker this year than | Is Idaho to go for Roosevelt? Neither are we able to understand why Mon
 tana should be described as doubt | full" Montana has never given its
 electoral votes to a Republican except l in 1892, and then by a plurality of only one thousand two hundred and seven- | ty It Is true that two years ago 1t elected a Republican justice of the Su- l preme Court, but in that case political considerations were by no means pre- ponderant. The thirty-nine votes of ] New York are also placed by The Even ing Sun in the doubtfM column but
 when we compare the vote-getting rec | ords of the competitors we must ad-
 init that Judge Parker has a better chance of gaining the Empire Common | wealth than MT. Roosevelt has of win hing Idaho or Utah. Neither, with the | political contests of the last twelve years in view, does MT. Roosevelt seem to have any prospect of carrying | Colorado. Delaware we are inclined
 to concede to the Republican cadidate | in view of what has taken place in | that State since and including 1894, We hold, moreover. that the nomina- | tion of Senator Fairbanks for the Vice. | Presidency ought to give Indiana to
 the Republicans. We think. on the
 other hand. tha the Evening Sun is
 justified in ranging Illinois, Nebraska. | New Jersey and Wisconsin in the list | of doubtful States. It seems to us plain, | therefore, that Senator Fairbanks acts
 the part of wisdom when, In his In-
 dianapolis newspaper. he urges his CO., workers to cease taking results for
 granted and to be up and doing.