The Montgomery advertiser., 1904-09-28
New York Herald.

New York Herald,
 Surveying the political field in h., the he last week in September these things
 New York State is doubtful, and the situation Is complicated.
 Influenced by It's first poll, the Re State by S0,0 for Roosevelt and Fair banks, but this poll was conducted be- fore the State nominations were made. and must be revised. .,
 It is conceded by Republicans as well as by Democrats that if the election were held today the Democratic State ticket would be elected by large plu- rality.
 As New York is the hub around which the entire Democratic campaign re- wolves 1t Is Necessary to examine the situation elsewhere with particular ref" erence to the events which have taken place here.
 Dispatches to The Herald from all the doubtful States. printed yesterday agreed that the Saratoga Convention. which nominated Judge Herrick. had encouraged the Democrats in all the doubtful States with the exception of Rhode Island.
 Drift Toward Roosevelt.
 Careful inquiry among the campaign managers however, shows that the drift has been toward Roosevelt Tor more than month, and unless the Democrats succeed in turning 1t toward Parket the betting will continue toNthe end of the campaign at odds in favor of Roosevelt.
 This condition will cause both parties to watch closely the effect of Judge Parker's letter of acceptance, printed today.
 Judge Parker is a believer in a short campaign. He thinks this election will be won in the last three weeks of the ferred his letter of acceptance seven weeks later than the letter of Samuel J. Tilden, whose fight was made on like issues. Governor Tiidens letter was
 New York Democrats are confident of carrying this State for both Parker and Herrick. Some of them look for plu- rality for the Albany Judge reaching to be a well founded expectation, then the State could not be carried for the Republican electors
 In 1888, when Harrison carried the ed Governor. the Republican electors had a plurality of 13.002 and the Demo- cratic Governor a plurality of 19.111. Here was a difference of 32,173 votes.
 In New York State. The Republicans regard the situa tior in the State for the State ticket asdes- perate. The leaders find a deep seated feeling of resentment among the Re publican voters against Governor Odell. This Is due to several things. One is y which he has been subjected, and which constant reiteration has made effective Another Is the belief that he crowded Senator Platt out of the leadership of to serve out his days as the head of the machine. Added to this is the popular impression that Mir. Higgins is "Odelfs man" and that this should be resented by the defeat ot the State ticket.
 An active leader of the party said l yesterday that he could not conceive il l possible for MT, Higgins to change the 1 drift which had set in against him. He said he had asked about ten Republi cans how they were going to vote anc all but two declared that they would vote for Herrick. Two men who were standing in the rooms of the State Com mittee said they would nail the Odel | ticket"
 MT. Higgins will no doubt try to ri( l himself of this "Odell tag" but the feel Is likely to be aggravated rather thar diminished. The Governors presenc, as chairman of the State Committee 1: offensive to every independent Republi decided that he ought to talk and keeI himself before the public throughout the campaign. The opinion of nearl, all his associates on the State Commit. tee Is that he Is doing quite as mucf l harm to the State ticket by being in terviewed IS Richard Croker did in 1S9! to the Van Wyck candidacy.
 Making OdeH an Issue.
 To show the basis of the expectation! of the Democrats 1t Is only necessar, to say that they believe that they havC succeeded in making the Governor tn, paramount issue in the State The, expect his personality to hurt not only the State, but the national ticket
 It is asserted that Mir. Higgins will have a plurality In several westerr counties that will exceed that given fo, MT Mckinley in 1900, but that he will suffer in most of the cities of the State In Albany the Republican estimate ha! been cut down from the 6,60O giveI to Odell in 1902 to between 2,500 anC l,500. Rensselaers Republican vote i expected to fall off 1.5O0. In Rochester Syracuse, Utica. Watertown and Og densburg the Democrats hope to mak, tremendous inroads on the Republican vote. Their expectations, however, ar, confined to the State ticket. They lool for Roosevelt to run well. In tn, southern tier the unpopularity of Gov ernor Odell Is expected to be offset b, the dissatisfaction of the followers O John B. Stanchfield, who failed In