La Junta tribune., 1904-09-10
CONTROL .F THE HOUSE.
No 0rouud for Ciaiminx that Dsae.
crate Will He successful.

NO 0rouuo Tor Claim inR thot Oooos
crsts Will He successfui.
With its usual penchant for exploiting
mares nests the New York Herald has
figured out q statistical possibility that
the election returns on the night OF
November will show n Democratic
House of Representatives" Ii also
thinks the Republicans may elect their
National ticket and "still lose the House
by q large majority"
II 10 interesting to observe the Jug
Cling with improbalities out OF which
this mares nest is constructed. As we
all know, the present membership Of the
House Is 1856 divided into 20S Republi-
cans. 172 Democrats. 2 Union Labor
Democrats and 4 vacancies. the Repub-
lican majority being "a. The Herald
expert figures that there are 150 safe
Democratic districts aud only 150 safe
for the Republicans. making II necessary
for the latter to win 80 OF the II doubt
full districts to secure majority. while
The former would only need 30.
But the Herald Is confronted by the
fact that Of these II, so-called. doubtful
seats the Democrats now only occupy
IS to So held down more or less secure
~ BY Republicans Nothing daunted
by this untoward condition 1t proceeds
to talk glibly of giving six so-called
doubtful seats in Illinois. five in Indiana.
two in Iowa, three In Kansas. two In
Minnesota. four In Nebraska. six In
Ohio, Eve in Pennsylvania and i've In
Wisconsin to the Democrats.
How this is accomplished may be best
Illustrated and exposed by the case MS
stated in regard to Illinois. The six
districts placed in the doubtful column
are the first and twenty-fourtk. now
held by Democrats, the sixth, ninth.
twenty second, and twenty-fifth by Re-
publicans. "a considerable reduction In
the Republican vote in the State" says
this happy conjurer by the hope that
is in 1t. might easily result In the elec-
ton of six Democrats from these dis
tricts." Verify It might result In the
election of six dodos, were 1t not for the
fact that the dodo Is an extinct bird.
In 1902. which was an on year for
Republicans in Illinois, Martin En-
erich. Democrat, was elected In the
first, a strong Republican district. by
a plurality Of 1.152. but solely by reason
OF a fierce fnctionnl eight within the Re-
publican ranks, which has subsidevl.
Congressman Lorimer. Republican. had
a plurality Of only 9SJ in the sixth,
where the normal party majority II over
5000. He is not meeting the same op-
position this year. Congressman Bou-
tell had plurality Of 2.063 in the ninth.
His personal popularity alone insures his
reelection BY ah increased plurality.
Congressman Rodenberg had q plurality
OF 2. 154 in the twenty ty-second. and the
district II good for an increased Republi-
can margin. Congressman Smith had q
plurality Of 2,3O1 in the twenty fifth,
which Is more likely to be doubled than
reduced next November.
OF all the Illinois districts mentioned
a. doubtful the twenty fourth. which
Congressman Williams carried By 252
in 1902, 10 the only one where the Demo
Gratis stand Q possible show in 1904.
and there the strength Of the Republican
National and State tickets promises Mr..
Williams relief from further attend
ance in ths House Of Representatives..
Mckinley carried the counties In this
district By over 200 plnr1lity In 1900
Thus, with at least six Of the pos
sibilities In the Hsrald's mares nest In
one State sddIed. and with IKE analy-
sis revealing simiIar conditjons n all the
othsss, there IL good ground for assum-
ing that the Republicans win not only
retain their present Ascendancy IN the
Houss Of Representatives, bst WIN have
an inersased majority IN ths Fifty-ninth
ConRfpl