The Marlboro democrat. [volume] (Bennettsville, S.C.) 1882-1908, 1904-08-05
HOW WE MAY WIN.
Figures Showing Several Ways to
Elect Judge Parker.
MUST CARRY DOUBTFUL STATES.

MUST CARRY DOUBTFUL STATES.
Names OF Some of Them that Parker
May Garry. Success Depends
ON Appeal to Indepen-
II dent Voters.
The New York Evening Post which
is an independent Republican paper,
publishes the following interesting ar
ticle on the possibilities of the presi-
dential election:
Judge Parker's message to the St..
Louis convention and its acceptance
by that body, followed by the nomina-
tion OF Henry g. Davis OF West Vir-
ginia, German Democrat, for the
vice presidency, were events which
greatly accentuate the anticipated
movement Of the Democratic party
eastward and goldward. 1t has for
months been generally assumed that
the recent convention would nominate
ticket far more acceptable to the
east, and less 80 to the Organized
States of the west, than these Of the
last two campaigns. But the cOnven-
tion has gone further in this direction
than was generally expected. While
Parker's nomination was not un-
expected, the dramatic way in which
his adherence to the gold standard in
terests OF his p2rty was emphasized,
has made him preeminently favOrite
of the Democrats OF the east. Davis
nomination is in the same direction,
although less so than would have been
the selection Of a man identified with
the Palmer and Buckner movement,
like JudsoE Harmon Of Ohio. The
convention insisted on making reg
ularity in 1896 requisite for either
place on the ticket, but having salts
fed that requirement 1t went long
way towards meeting the wi shes Of
the east and it's conservative element.
1t Is generally conceded here that
Parker and Davis will carry Maryland
and West Virginia, States which in
the last two presidential campaigns
have been found in the Republican
column. The Democratic ticket would
have stood good chance OF success
in these States, particularly in Mary
land, without the Davis nomination,
but with it, and in view Of the fac
tional fight among the West Virginia
Republicans, and the growing of the
Democratic strength in Maryland,
they will both be likely to land in the
Democratic column. This is the re-
spect in which the action OF the con
vention has most specifically affected
estimates OF the result. Before the
convention these two States were
placed in the doubtful column, one
with Democratic and the other with
Republican leanings. Today they by
common consent belong in the Demo
cratic column.
1t will at least take an eXtraOrdi-
nary fight on the part Of the Republi-
cans to save the State of Davis birth
and that which he has represented in
the senate. Mr.. Roosevelt personally
Is not strong wherever the negro con-
stitutes any considerable part of the
population. The proposed Republi
can inquiry into disfranchisement in
the south operates in the same direc-
tion. Maryland Is naturally Demo.
cratic. 1t was the German Democrats
Of Baltimore, and quite conspicuously
the Jewish vote which rebelled at the
free-silver ideas of Bryan and took
the State out Of the Democratic
column. Isadore Rayncr, who has
now been elected to the senate, will
take the stump in behalf Of the Demo.
cratic ticket, and few men exceed him
in effectiveness as a campaign orator
He will feel 1t incumbent to hold
the Jewish vote for the Democratic
ticket, now that the free-silver scare
is passed, and that he has been elect
ed to the senate. Everything is an
sparently ready for Democratic e.I,ccess
-.A 3 q q presidentlal E9ts:We 9s5s: West Virginia
ia something of follower" OF Mary.
land, although naturally less Demo
cratic. The DAVIS nomination will
doubtless make up the difference.
GROUPS THAT NIGHT WIN FOR DEMO
The 13 States of the old south
which are not open to real contest,
cast Isl electoral votes. TO these the
is votes Of Maryland and West Nir
ginia may be added, making 166. OF
the 476 members of the electoral col
lege, 239 will be necessary for the
Democrats to elect a president. Were
the ballot to fall 238 on each side, the
contest would be transferred to the
present house Of representatives,
where with each State casting one
vote, the Republican ticket would
prevail by vote of 30 to Is. The
Republicans thus have the trifiing,
though interesting, advantage that
238 electoral votes would elect their
ticket, while 239 will be the minimum
required to elect the Democratic.
1t will be necessary, therefore, for
the Democrats to get 73 electoral
votes north Of Maryland and West
Virginia. Several combinations might
do this, but for any one OF them which
Is within reason New York State will
be necessary. Should New York's 80
electoral votes be cast for Parker
there would remain necessary fer Dem
ocratlc success only "A more electoral
votes.
To carry New York and to pick up
these "a extra votes, besides saving
Maryland and West Virginia, is thus
the problem that confronts the man
ayers OF the Democrtic campaign.
These "a votes might come from
either OF the following combinations:
Group one New Jersey II, Dele
ware 3, Nevada 3, Montana 3, Indiana
10; making 3G, two more than necces-
sary, or 24l in the electoral college.
Group tWO-Indiana Is, New Jersey
10 and COnpecticut 7 making an avon