The Topeka state journal. [volume] (Topeka, Kansas) 1892-1980, 1904-09-27
AS IT LOOKS NOW
New York Herald Sizes Up the
Situation.
General Aspect Is Favorable to
the Republicans.
NEW YORK FOR PARKER
Tide in Doubtful States Set
Towards Roosevelt.
Democrats Are Still Hoping for
a Late Change.

AGWS-
Surveying the political field in the
last week in September these things
stand out with clearness:
New York state is doubtful and the
situation is complicated.
Influenced by its first poll Ice Repub-
hcan state committee claims this state
BY $4,000 for Roosevelt and Fairbanks,
but this poll was conducted before the
state nominations were made and
must be revised.
1t is conceded by Republicans. as
well as Democrats. that if the election
we've held today the Democratic state
ticket would be elected by a large plur-
atty.
As New York is the hub around
which the entire Democratic campaign
IeVClves ii is necessary TO examine the
situation elsewhere. with particular
Ie1efviIce TO the events which have ia
ken Tiiace here
isps,Johes from all the doubtful
states agree that the Saratoga cOnven-
ton, Wnlcn nominated Judge HerTick,
has encou. aged the Democrats IN All
the doubtful states with the exception
Or hnOIe Island.
Careful inquiry among the campaign
nlaIIaseis. however, shows that the
uII1t mas been toward Roosevelt for
InO4e imam a month. and unless the
Democrats succeed in turning it toward
Eaixei the betting Will continue TO the
emu Of the campaign at odds in favor
OIL Roosevelt.
Juose iarHer is a believer in short
campaign he thinks this election viii
be wou in the last three weeks OF the
canvass. FOR that reason he has de
1elreC mis- letter o. acceptance seven 4
weeks later than the Ssster OF Samuel
= Tilden. whose fight was made on like 4
issues Governor 1ilden's letter was /
printed on August .. 1870
New York Democrats are confident I
of carrying this state tor both Parker
and Eterr1Ck. Some of them look for I
a plurality for the Albany judge
reaching 100, If that should prove
TO be well founded expectation, then
the state could not be carried for the
Republican electors. I
In 1855. when Harrison carried the
state for president and Hill was elect
ed governor. the Republican electors
had plurality OF 1902 and the
Democratic governor a plurality of
1911 Here was difference of 49,
IFS votes.
The Republicans regard the situa-
ton in the state for the state ticket as
desperate. The leaders find deep
seated feeling of resentment among
the Republican voters against Cover
nor Odell-
The Democrats are not yet satisfied
with the outlook in any of the other
so-called doubtful states. The situa
ton continues to be that they have
states certain to go Democratic which
will give them 159 electoral votes. In
order to obtain 239 electoral votes. or
a bare majority of the electoral col
lege. they must get so votes elsewhere.
New York. Connecticut, New Jersey.
Indiana and West Virginia would give
them just so. Losing New Jersey and
carrying all the rest, and also WiscOn-
sin. would give them 240-one to
spare They could lose West Virginia
and Connecticut and carry all the rest.
including Wisconsin. and still fail, I'M
less they could pick up one vote
somewhere else. This might come
from Delaware from NeVa Qa.
The Democrats are by no means
confident of carrying this combinatiOn
OF states, unless they can get the pub
lie profoundly stirred, as they did in /
1892. If the condition throughout the /
country was like that which exists in /
New York. the betting on Parker 4
would be at odds in his favor. But
only in Wisconsin is the situation so .
bad as in New York.
So that condition does not exist |
The Republicans assert that they have |
made Roadway in Connecticut and that /
the Democrats have lost ground. This !
they say. is also true in Rhode Island. !
The state two weeks ago was doubt |
full. The Republicans are making to- /
day emphatic claims.
The result in New Jersey. depends /
altogether on the way the employees i
in the manufacturing establishments in /
the northern end of the state will vote. |
There is as yet no sign of a political /
revolution Something more than /
union in New York Will be needed to /
whose minds are not blinded by parti- |
sanship.
In Delaware the situation is not yet |
satisfactory to the Republicans
West Virginia has been practically |
wiped of the slate of Democratic ex- /
pectations. 1t is a protection state .
and the recent speech of Henry G. I
Davis. the candidate for vice president. /
declaring for protection, was intended /
TO be an effort to discount the harm
the letter of Judge Parker. support
ing immediate tariff revision, will do i
TO the Democratic cause in that state.
Indiana and Wisconsin will be the
battle-ground in the west Thomas
Taggart. chairman of the national
headquarters last week and reported
that the Indiana Democrats We're in
better condition than they had been
since 1882 He thinks the state is
going Democratic. On the other hand,
Chairman Cortelyou seems to be very
confident of Indiana An impartial
observer. who has been making esti- 4
mates on that state for many years,
gives the opinion that the Republicans
have the best of it. Neither party has
completed it's tabulation of the sixty
day poll of the state, and until they
get the figures at headquarters there
will, of course. be considerable doubt
as to the drift
Both parties are sturdily claiming
Wisconsin. The Democrats hope that
the trouble between the Republican
-stalwarts" and half breeds will de-
feat the Republican electors. They adj
nit that Roosevelt is very popular in
the state. and that il will be difficult
to make either faction vote for Par
ker electors or for independent cleo
lotte and the "stalwarts" viii come up
in the Wisconsin courts tomorrow at
Madison.
There is to be a contest for electors
IN all of the Rocky Mountain states. In
Colorado the labor troubles are expect
ed to affect the Republican votes. The