New-York tribune., 1904-10-17
MARYLAND TO BE IN LINE.
Democratic Hopes There Based on
Wrong Foundations.

Baltimore Oct Is tspsciaD.-Through the aid OF
s-ack ballots and the cry OF ''nigger' the Demo
r-s..c managers arc hoping that they viii be able
70 carry Maryland and elect four OF the six Con-
--essunea Murray Vandive-, chairman % the
Democratic State Committee says that Parker viii
receive 2ooo0 plurality. Chairman Hanna Of the
PepubMczn State Committee. Senator McComss,
zTIHiarn f stone sergeant-atarrns OF the national
committee. and other Republican leaders laugh at
VandIvers boasts, and believe the State will give
q substantial plurality for Roosevelt
Il is realized by those Republicans thoroughly IA
.ar with conditions in this State that the results
NJ the November election should not be forecasted
OF State returns. They believe that the returns
she national election in 1906 and at the Congress
election tTo years should form the proper
basis OF computing the returns IN November with
q due allowance for the return Of part OF the Gold
Democrats 10 the regular ticket. They further be-
leve that cognizance should be taken OF the fact
thar Maryland IS fun OF voters who support the
Democrats at State elections and the Republicans
a. Presidential and Congress elections. IS shown
by the great disparity between the two sets Of
turns
The Republicans have carried Maryland at every
national and Congress election since and including
1se4 II the same period they have the
State elections 1885 and 1897 and the election
IN 1901 when there was a split on the State candi-
dates they elected Thomas Parren. clerk OF the
Court Of Appeals by a larger majority than was
rtven Dr. Hertn, Democratic candidate for Con-
sroler, though the Democrats won the House OF
Delegates BY narrow margin. ard We're thus able
10 elect Nj. German Senator. IN 1895 Maryland
gave Mckinley the enormous plurality OF S2224,
larger than has ever been given Democratic
Presidential candidate by this State.
The Democrats argue that because they carried
MARYLAND last year they VIII do so this. The
Democrats carried Maryland in 1929 for Governor
John Walter Smith by about the same majority
vvbrh Governor Waraeld received last year. and
vet the Democrats lost the State IL 1900 by 1884.
This means that the Democrats. 10 carry Maryland
this year for ex-Judge Parker. must convert one
half the who four years ago cast their BAL
ic+s for Mckinley a change Of 6S74 men.
Anv conparison OF the returns OF the coming elec-
s,o- with Others IN this state since 1901 must take
into account the operation OF the election law ana
.ha consequent rejection OF defective ballots II IS
admitted that the Republicans have suffered more
than have the Democrats by the wholesale re5ec-
ton Of ballots the main loss being due 10 the IN
ability OF The nIterate oolored voters 70 mark the
ballot accurately The Republicans viii be az q
greater advantage under the election law this year
than they have been since its enactment. except at
the Congress election two yeaRs ago. when they
swept tie State. The Attorney Generals decision
that a mark beside the name OF the Presidential
candidate on the ballot IS sufficient. and mat Il IS
not necessary 70 put mark beside the name or
each Presidential eIector, reduces the number of
marks on the ballot two. Those Democratic at
fornevs who have objected his Interpretation OF
the election law seem TO have forgotten that the
ruvisiou relative 70 the voting for Presidential can
sro5irr q possible contest IN the federal courts.
contest made more probable than IN state cleo
zion nv the fact that there IS a direct vote for
federal ofsciaL
When the Democrats begin their computation OF
the uaa1orities n the State for Parker by con-
--eSs districts they VIII soon ind themselves IN
difficulty. They certainly ind nothing 70 encouT-
age them IN the Ist District. embracing the LAST
err shore and they viii be fortunate Il they break
even there though they claim that hundreds OF
p7- Gong
Jackson Republican. for Congress, viii vote for
Parker for President. Even II this calculation
should be borne out BY the returns. though they
cannot reasonably expect any solid and satsfac-
Tory results there. any substantial gain which
they may expect there VIII be furnished By Cecil
County and any gain from that source Will be
loss IN the I'd Congress District, from which the
county has been transferred 10 the Ist since the
last Presidential election. Two years ago CeciIs
first IN the Ist District cast. and ii gave
q Democratic majority Of only l46.
Taking the district AZ large II viii be found
that the Democrats cannot look forward 10 any
considerable majority there for Parker IN 1870
there was & discrepancy Of sS4 votes for Mckinley
between the maJorities given Mckinley for Presi-
dent and Jackson Tor Congress on the Shore Nc
Knley's majority being ca. while Jacks0rs was
L5l
Democrats are placing great hopes on Central
Maryland counties. which. with the Fifteenth and
Sixteenth wards OF this city form the Id Congress
District y the Democrats cannot carry this dis
trict for Parker though their chances Of electing
their Congress candidate are very doubtful, they
had better 90 out OF business in this State Even
in this district their majority VIII fall below their
expectations for there. as elsewhere IN Maryland
are hundreds OF voters who support the Democrats
N local and State elections and the Republicans in
Presidential elections II changes had not been
made n the district since 1900 in consequence OF the
federal laT tAat year increasing the Of rep
resentaslon Z, Congress Il would probably 20 Re
publican th.s year In 1890 il gave MckinIey a ma
Congressman was
defeated 1or Congress by Mr. BIakeney by 20
majority. BY tie gerTyElander OF the district Cecil
Cyylnly mas been transferred 70 the Ist District.
Ai-eA a-- IN TACT. the chances there favor AIr
roosevelt while Congressman Frank Wachters
-s--e-ec-on IS almost q tOregone conclusion.
--e q DS-I-cL, nearly nalL OF baltimore City.
las a habit of going Republican Presidential
Si..--4-s ana democratic at or year elections
--Ha3oL De2ly, Democrat. was elected IN 1888 and
80 olt was defeated IN 1850. IN lsS6 and 1860
toriues chaD IL went Democratic IN 1888 and 1902
tOI years ago Il gave Mckinley for President
$50 majority Jhan Il gave Mr. Schlrm for Con-
-Four years ago the vth District gave Congress-
- syoLey Audd majority OF 3.65o Two years
ago t.ls hgure increased 4.s40 and this. too
a spite q the dlsfranchisng election law. which
- iol III operation IN 1870, and which was passed
~ itd1ce the Republican vote IA Southern Mary
trict he Democrats viii bave in addirion 70 tbe
name q Congressman Mudd. the Republican can
S.-sSe tae names ot two other Mudds TO appear
Tie Win District at the last national election
sase CONGRESSMAN FeaEce majority OF 5.5sJ. Two
:s.ts Ssq hls majority Was S.SL II 1900 Mckinley
Il IS the independent vote IN Maryland that has
made IL Republican national aud Democrats
81 state elections. In RaItIunore there are from
hv)9 10 10000 OF these independents. Twice they
voted Tor AIcKinley and II is believed that two
thirds 0l them VIII for Roosevelt Charles !.
sonapdrtc, the lawyer and Civil Service reformer.
Who say they viii vote Tor Roosegeit but he has
not encounlered q single Republican who will sup
One banker who tuo weeks ago was hurra hing