New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1904-11-06
SITUATION IN WHAT ARE CALLED DOUBTFUL STATES

Two days before election The Tribune finds,
m reason for changing its estimate of last week
y, .he electoral vote for President Roosevelt.
all the States where the indications of a week
evo seemed to insure Republican victory there
has been distinct increase in the trend in that
direction. While the Democrats st,ll make for
nal claims for Indiana. Connect :, New-York.
Rhode Island New-Jersey, W.T. Virginia and
Delaware the real estimates show an entirely
different situation. The eleventh hour vocal
lucubrations Of the candidate have not in any
way affected the campaign. In Connecticut his
reception was notably icy; in New-Jersey his
ISLANDERS Of President Roosevelt have alienated
votes. The betting in Indiana has ceased TO be
important as an index OF the national vote, for
even At 10 l the Democrats fail 10 cover the
short end.
The only change that IS to be noted from the
figures Of last week is in the States that at that
time were classified as doubtful, Maryland and
Nevada These are now conceded to Parker. not
because Of any gain in strength, but because it
has become evident in both States that the
Democrats, through their control Of the ma
chinery Of election and by means Of their dis
franchisement laws in Maryland. will prevent
The honest count which would unquestonably
keep the latter State in the Republican column,
and the same situation exists in Missouri and
Kentucky. which are uneuestionably doubtful
or an honest ballot.
IL West Virginia the tide CT Republican sue
cess has steadily risen. The democratic press Of
she Stale now concedfng a substantial Roose-
velt majority. On the State ticket there has
been notable progress also. but this remains
g-ol~- 7. 7-a ~F net 7r1
ticket has become equally certain. the State
ticAet remaining still in doubt. Wisconsin has
ceased tc be q debatable ground, even in the
minds CT tie Democratic rainbow chasers, but
here. also the vote or the STATE ticket IS prob
lenaticaL Governor La Toilette has certainly
better chance than he had last week, and ma
.ority Of the WiscCrsin press forecasts his cleo
ton In New-Jersey, neYer doubtful on the na-
tionGl ticket, the Republican State ticket is now
regarded as certain 20 succeed by safe plu-
Tality. Delaware shows equal Improvement.
and the State ticket = now reasonably sure to
be tiected and there. as in New-Jersey, the ma
tonal ticket was never in doubt.
OF ali tie doubtful States that is, the States
which the Democratic campaign managers have
nt;erpte3 20 classify as doubtful there remains
only Eew-T0gk. Here. as elsewhere. the con-
ditiors slow steady Improvement. During the
past week TIE Tribune carvassed the counties
along the Southern Tier. where Democratic or
gans alleged that issatsfaction existed, and the
State ticket, and also The national, would fall
short Of Tie Mckinley pluralities. The result
OF tie canvass indicated that Roosevelt would
equal II lot exceed the figures OF 1900 and
Higgins those OF Governor Oden in 1902 the
difference between the two figures consisting al
most entirely Of Democratic votes cast for Presl-
dent Roosevelt and for the Democratic State
ticket. From al parts OF the State the same
report IS heard. and estimates Of the upstate
pluraliues o. the Republican national and state
tickets are 50 great as TO challenge belief
The conservative estimates Of the result In the
State indicate that President Roosevelt VIII
have 10000 plurality and Lieutenant Governor
Higgins VII not be far behind There are
many who place the Roosevelt plurality as hlgh
Is 100000. with a corresponding increase IN the
Higgins figures. All over the state 1t is cIeaf+F
manifest that the Democrats have entirely abaf
ooned the campaign for the national ticket |nd
are yainly attempting 10 barter votes for the
Republican nationa! ticket in exchange Tor
votes for their State ticket. But their state
ticket has steadily lost strength since the day
of its nomination. Lieutenant Governor Hig-
gins. by his personal campaign and by his frank
talks with the voters, has dissipated the Sian
he Democratic campaign of viihcation has re-
acted all over the State, Democratic newsPa-
peTs ike The olew-York Times" have Tetracted
al least portion Of these unWarranted attacks.
AID Lieutenant Governor Higsinss campaign
4s strongest now at the close
Ine leading Democratic newspapers through
out the country in their forecasts Of last weea
Indicated the election of President Roosevelt
@Aa conceded that the real interest lay In the size
u MS electoral majority. Last week "Harper's
weekly" Independent publication, followed
'ne figures used By The Tribune last week iden-
"cSlly. There seems no reason for any
'erther change. Parker win have the 159 votes
q the States that have been generally grouped
ss The solid South" Maryland apparently re-
turning 10 this alignment. and the three votes of
nevada He will thus carry fewer States than
ola William J. Bryan in either OF his cam
pslgns, his electoral vote showing increase
o1e solely 10 the increased electoral vote of the
'''ul-eIn states a result Of the reapportion-
'i'eaI following the census Of 1900.
Last week The Tribune printed a large num-
Nei oi statements from the newspapers Of the
@i-ous States forecssting the result and ex-
I-o'Hhg the local conditions. This week il has
00-4e-Aeo from its regular correspondents and
N'iiiileital friends In the States that the Dam
''1" Train TO FLORIDA AND AUGUSTA