Ottumwa tri-weekly courier., 1904-04-26
FOR JUNGLE J0E"
THE CANNON BOOM is GROWING
IN POPULARITY EVERY
DAY.
Though Secretary Shaw Is Very Pop
uar and Would Make Good Running
Mate for Roosevelt Many Politicians
Lean to Speaker Of National House.
(BY H. ]. MAHIN.)
Washington Bureau of Courier.
Washjnoton. D. c.. April 25,

Washington, D. c., April 25.
In spite of the great measure of per-
sonal enthusiasm there is for Secreta-
ry Shaw as the running mate for Presi-
dent Roosevelt the under current adj
vising the nomination of man from
a more doubtful state than is Iowa
seems to be growing stronger. Reports
of serious nature regarding the dam
gerous probability of democratic sue
cess in the state of Illinois have re-
vived with unusual vigor the boom for
uncle Joe" Cannon. The personal
qualities that have been counted in
Secretary Shaw's favor would apply
also to Speaker Cannon. The two men
are more alike in their rugged good
sense and honesty than any other two
in public life.
Because the strategy of the demo-
Gratis in the national campaign is rap
idly selecting the states of New York
and Illinois as the pivotal territory,
republicans are planning to make the
very strongest fight for the thirty-nine
electoral votes of New York and the
twenty-seven votes Of Illinois.
Mr.. Cannon is regarded as the most
popular republican in his own state,
and if there should be strong doubt
about the result In Illinois about the
| time the national convention meets,
the influence of the administration will
be used to force him to go on the
| ticket.
Democrats believe they can get the
electoral vote of New York and elect a
democratic governor and democratic
Legislature. In looking over the field
they find that New York and Illinois
have gone the same way in the last
four presidential campaigns. Condi-
| tions in the two states are quite SINH
lar. In New York The republicans are
rent by factional strife. In Illinois they
are also torn asunder. Both states are
centers of large financial interests.
Both contain large cities which have a
great foreign population, and in each
of them the labor vote is very strong.
Where Democrats Will Work.
I 1t is believed by democratic leaders
that the same influences which will
control in New York will control in
, Illinois, and they will concentrate
: much of their effort in capturing the
!, stake of sixty-six electoral votes of the
: two states. To these they will try to
: add the votes of New Jersey and Indi-
ana one with twelve electoral votes
; and the other with fifteen.
To win it will be necessary for the
democrats to carry not only New York
and Illinois, but either New Jersey or
Indiana.
Here is the calculation made by the
politicians ns:-Democrat are practical
,, ly certain to carry Alabama, Arkansas
Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana
!, Maryland, Mississippi, Missouri, Neva
da, North Carolina, South Carolina
Tennessee, Texas and Virginia. These
give them 162 electoral votes.
To elect president under the pres
: ent membership of the electoral col
: lege, which is exactly the total m EN-
bership of the senate and house of rep
J, resentatives, the democrats must have
239 electors, and the states regarded as
: certain leave them n votes short O.
! the goal.
e If they carry New York and Illinois
9 the democrats will have increased
e their strength to 228 votes, and eithe
q New Jersey or Indiana will give then
t a majority of the electoral college
e With New Jersey they would have "a
y votes, or just one to spare, and witt
/ Indiana they would have 243. Shoul
they lose both New Jersey and Indian;
they could not recoup by carryin,
Connecticut, because that states sever
!. votes would only give them total O
: 225.
q States Republicans Count On.
n Republicans calculate that they wi
a be able to carry without trouble Cor
J. necticut, Delaware, Illinois, indiana
n Iowa, Kansas. Maine, Massachusetts.
J. Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Ne,
a Jersey, New Hampshire, North Dakc
Y ia. Ohio. Pennsylvania, South Dakota
n Vermont, Washington, West Virgini;
e Wisconsin and Wyoming. These Civ
= total of 243 votes. They also boas
|, that they will get more than half 9
e the electoral votes of California, Co
g orado, Idaho, Maryland, Montana, Ne,
!. York, Oregon. Rhode Island and Utal
: which have seyenty-nine votes.
Republicans have left New York OF