Manchester Democrat. [volume] (Manchester, Iowa) 1875-1930, 1904-01-27

of the relative strength of the parties
In the coming presidential election con-
cedes to Democracy the following
States, with total of 151 electoral
votes:
Alabama ".... .1OINorth Carolina. ~
Arkansas ...... 9South Carolina. 8
Florida ........ 8 Tennessee 80. ~
Georgia ........ 10 Texas ..........1s
Louisiana $3.50. 9|virginia ...... IL
Kentucky ......13 Total ....... 151
Missouri .1S
This Republican estimate comedies
to be doubtful:
Delaware ..... 3INew York -. 80
Maryland $500. -
Nevada ........ 8 Total SO
A more conservative calculation
places the following States also in the
doubtful column:
Colorado ....... 5iOregon ......... 4
California $40. 10 Utah .......... 3
Idaho ..........
Montana 5000. Total ....... %
And this fairer calculation comedies
to Democracy Maryland, ,with'S votes,
and Nevada, with 3 votes, bringing the
total of Democratic States up to 1852.
1t will be observed that neither of
these estimates, made by Republicans,
admits of the possibility Of Democratic
victory In any event, $50 votes being
necessary to n choice. They afford,
nevertheless, basis for argument.
Taking them for what they are worth,
Democracy may make some calcula-
tons on Its own account.
In addition to the 1862 votes conceded
by the more liberal Republican estl-
mate, Democracy requires a votes in
order to win. New York would pro-
vide 30 of these, and in the event of
carrying New York Democracy would
probably have New Jersey, with -,
and Connecticut with q; the combined
vote of these States being So. Out of
the remaining doubtful States Democ-
racy would have to gather but 10
votes With its fair share of strength
in the West these would be forthcom-
ing.
Republican estimates claim absolute
ly: Connecticut, 4; Delaware, 5; lii
nois, 2I: Indiana, 10; Iowa, ID; Kan
sas, 10; Maine 6; Massachusetts, 16;
Michigan, IA; Minnesota, IL; Nebraska,
8; New Hampshire, 4; New Jersey, u;
North Dakota, 4; Ohio, %; Pennsylva-
mia, 81; Rhode Island, 3; South Da-
kota, 4; Vermont, 4; Washington, 5;
West Virginia, 4; Wisconsin, 13; Wy
oming, B.; a total of 247. Obviously,
under this calculation, the loss of any
one of Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas,
Massachusetts, Michigan. Minnesota,
New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania OF
Wisconsin, or the loss of any two of
the remainder, would be. fatal. This
calculation is based upon n Republican
solid Middle West and Wyoming and
Washington in addition.
AS initiating against the force OF
this calculation it should be remem.
bered that Maryland is most probably
Democratic; that Democraeyr- has {, ffat,
cnanee-n Brtas| el,e. Wyoming
is likely to go Democfnthlat aat Wash.
ington is by no means Republican
certainty; and that Democracy has a
fighting chance In the Dakotas, in view
of the issues and existing conditions.
Though its calculations exclude New
York as doubtful, 1t is safe assump
ton that the Republican, party cannot
win without New York, especially In
view of the fact that the loss of New
York would probably entail the loss
of Connecticut and New Jersey Will,
their 10 votes. On the other hand. i,
Is conceivable that Democracy might
win without New York. with the tariff
and trust and Doodle issues defined ms
between the producing regions and the
East.
AS for the other "doubtful' States
not all of which are conceded to be
doubtful by Democrats, Democracy III
Il majority of them-intleed in all of
them except, perhaps, California-has
a better than even chance. The total
doubtful vote, MS compiled by Re.
publicans, is but 2S, exclusive of New
Yorks. Democracy might yield this
md yet, with a South admittedly solid
and by winning It's battle in the East
which it may reasonably count upon
in the light of Pammany's late victory
and with its normal following in the
producing regions. carry the day.-St
Louis Republic.