The state herald., 1904-12-23
LONG RANGE WEATHER FoREcAs1lNc.

W Ssosh1S ~ soAc III SIVon.
LONG RANGE WEATHER F0RECASTlHG.
From the earliest timss interest in the
weather for approaching seasons, in view
OF it's bearing upon agricultural and 9th.
er pursuits, ns,ueally prompted efforts
to predict the weather. Note vas made
Of the conditions that preceded good OF
bad weather, sad the rssppsarsnss si
certain conditions was taken % . basis
for predicting certain weather. To these
observations we're added othsrs, such aa
the fight OF blrds, the movemsnt or &C.
ton OF sninals, even aches and pains Of
the human body, and the like, resulting
in the acceptance a. true Of many shrswd
and interesting observations, but mora
that we're sbsurd. Astronomical phs.
uomsns, such - PHASES Of the NEON and
the conjunction Of the planets. Of all the
most irrational, were and ais still credit.
I'd BY come With control Of the weather,
notwithstanding persistent observations
on the part Of the leading sstronomsrs
and taeteoroloeis,s OF the world have
demonstrated them to be devoid II in
huencs.
In modern times ms,eoroloey is 70.
strictsd to the d-partusnt Of natural
philosophy which treats Of the weather.
and 10 naturally the most difficult and
involved OF sciences and thus far incsp.
able Of reduction to absolute accuracy,
sAsssh sfsrts to attain this end hsvs
accomplished much. The Emitted States
and the leading governments of the old
world are devotinR incalculsble labor in
efforts to evolve from simultaneous OBJ
servAtions OF daily weather conditions.
the laws which coutroi and influence the
Weather. and such advance has bssn
made in this regard - to suabls fore.
casts to be nsdc accurately for 4S hour
~ advance except when affected by new.
iy arising conditions.
Every effort, IN . scientific manner, 10
also being made TO ascertain lhws that
will make II possibls TO forecast, 10 n
general vay, whether an spproach,ng
sssson will conform to or depart from,
the weather common to such ssasaps;
this time, however, has not yet arrived,
but uniius'tt.d observations thus far made
have Demonstrated tho impossibility Of
~xessdins . period OF tso or ,hres days
in seourate for.casting for . particular
date.
II 70 obvious that IN accurate forecast
for . particular date oan only hs made
froa, known conditions. The forecast
itself 10 . psedetsrmiua,iun Of continu
nncs OF OF change In the conditions
known In ssi.t Al time Of forecast. Il 10
equally obvious, therefore, that IL q
change IN the atmospheric conditions oc.
ours after forecast and during the term
thereof. no, scientifically anticipated .,
the time OF the forecast, the forecast H.
sslf must fail. These chsng,s IN atmo
sphsrio conditions are cotslsu,iy occur
ring daring the term Of . ts.hour fore
cast. aud are certain ~ occur, not once
but frsqusntiy. duriuc the term Of .
lons rsssr forecast, aud are wholly be.
yoah human aoticips,iou or scisnua,
kno~iedge.
This demonstrates eonelusisely that
unless the long range for.cns'ers arc gift
ri With dev,ns foresight aud torsknow
lrse of tbe~e changes, = forecast for al
iudsani,s period 10 I'll. future can pca
sees no valn.. aud tie vcriiieAt,oa 10 pure
I, ~ accident. or rather coiscltlsnes
Important iaterr~ts ars affected by ,h,
condition OF the weather. aud inhusncsd
by . for~k no~lsge OF ,,s condition. L
10 clear. therefore. that any long rang,
forecast. impossible sn nsturs, must GER
ts,niy do unts.d harm. A pssphst be-
aud ell ever attract sitsniiou. We ~,
proa. To look into the future Trading
general, fos sale. upou this element .
banss sstnrs. msa spring in.o sot,U
from time to time by prstssdlns to fore
cast, NJ long rsas., severe siorus. Hoods
dfoashts aud other atmospheric pho
noaosaa. thus Influencing the cieduiou
to their pfeiad,os.
10 The seasons Of the year when ceas
sssras are u irsqusnt oeourrsscs
storms are forecast iu bAxy vay ~,
appilastls 10 aa iadsfnits LEGALITY. Il
The winter. the time oi snow aud wiad
amos and wind 81 sems place st some IN
Jshr'ts time are forecast A. o,hs
time, terrible nsgds or tlirhsirs drou
sb,s calculated 10 strike ,srrof 10 tn
hearts oi the ,imiJ. are predicted. II,
lie thing. lis. rains throughout . iimi,
ID afss. though u forkpoxl.ss thsfso
would he oi real bsp.liI, are not ds.ms,
so'ihy Of consideration hy these men h
Sha@ The mysteries Of heaven sod earl,
sssm 10 have b.ss ibtrus,sJ. The ts'
ror n men must bs stousej strange
s.y. vhsp b, = mere coincidence . stors
Appeals ~ drought occup within ib
sross e-rsrss ~ ~. United s,stss. n