Idaho Springs siftings., 1904-09-10
CONTROL Of THE HOUSE.
! No Ground for Claiming that De IN o.
| crats Will he Successful.


With its usual penchant for exploiting
mares nests the New York Herald has
figured out a statistical possibility that
the election returns on the night of
November S will show a Democratic
House OF Representatives" 1t also
thinks the Republicans may eject their
National ticket and still lose the House
by n large Majority"
1t is interesting to observe the jug
Cling with improbaiities out of which
this mares nest is constructed. As we
all know, the present membership OF the
House Is 3s6. divided into 2Os Repubii-
cans, liz Democrats, Union Labor
Democrats and 4 vacancies. the Repub-
licnn majority being "a. The Herald
expert figures that there are 1J9 safe
Democratic districts and only 156 safe
for the Republicans. making 1t necessary
for the latter to win 80 OF the Il doubt
full districts TO secure a majority. while
the former would only need SO.
But the Herald is confronted by the
fact that of these IL. so-called. doubtful
seats the Democrats now only occapy
IS to % held down more or less secure
ly by Republicans. Nothing daunted
by this untoward condition it proceeds
to talk glibly OF giving six so-called
doubtful seats in Illinois. FIVE in Indiana.
two in Iowa. three in Kansas, two in
Minnesota, four in Nebraska, six In
Ohio. five in Pennsylvania and i've In
Wisconsin TO the Democrats.
How this is accomplished may be best
illustrated and exposed by the case rs
stated in regard to Illinois. The six
districts placed in the doubtful column
are the first and twenty-fourtb. now
held by Democrats, the sixth, ninth.
twenty second, and twenty-ffth by Re
pubieans. "A considera Bile reduction in
the Republican vote in the State" says
this happy conjurer by the hope that
is in it. might easily result in the cleo
ton OF six Democrats from these dis
tricts." Verify il might result in the
election of six dodos, were il not for the
fact that the dodo is an extinct bird.
In 1902. which was an off year for
Republicans in Illinois, Martin EN-
erich, Democrat, was elected In the
first, strong Republican district, by
a plurality of l.152. but solely by reason
OF fierce factional fight within the Re
publican ranks. which has subsided.
Congressman Lorimer. Republican. had
n plurality of only as5 in tho sixth,
where the normal party majority is over
5000. He is not meeting the same op-
position this year. Congressman Bou-
tell had n plurality OF 2.0S3 in the ninth.
His personal popularity alone insures his
reelection by an increased plurality.
Congressman Rodcnberg had plurality
Of 2.154 in the twenty and the
district is good for an increased Republi
can margin. Congressman Smith had
plurality of 2.301 in the twenty fifth,
which is more likely to be doubled than
reduced next November.
OF all the Illinois districts mentioned
as doubtful the twenty fourth. which
Congressman Williams carried by 252
in 1902. is the only one where the Dehno
Gratis stand a possible show in 1901,
and there the strength of the Republican
National and State tickets promises Mr..
Williams relief from further attend
ance in the House of Representative.
Mckinley carried the counties in this
district by over 200 plurality in 1900.
Thus, with at least six of the pos
sibilities in the Herald's mares nest in
one State added. and with like analy-
sis revealing similar conditions in all the
others. there is good ground for assum-
ing that the Republicans will not only
retain their present ascendancy in the
House of Representatives. but will have
an increased majority in the Fifty ninth
Congress-