The Montgomery advertiser., 1904-09-28
NEW YORK THE PIVOT OF
 PRESIDENTIAL CAMP AIGN
Survey of the Canvass Six Weeks Before Election Causes the State to be Chased by Republican
 Leaders as Doubtful

nomination for Governor after he got | the delegates.
 | But 1t is conceded that New York city is the great danger point for both Hig- are already talking of surpassing the l22, 900 for Coler on the State ticket this election. On the other hand, their 1 city figures on the Presidential ticket are generally below the 100000 plural | ity mark
 In the Doubtful States. The Democrats are not yet satisfied with the outlook in any of the other so-cafled doubtful States. The situa- ton continues to be that they have States certain to go Democratic which will give them 159 electoral votes. In order to obtain 239 electoral votes, or q they must get eighty votes elsewhere. New York, Connecticut New Jersey, In diana and West Virginia would give them just eighty. Losing New Jersey Wisconsin, would give them 240-one to spare. They could lose West Vir- ginia and Connecticut and carry all the rest, including Wisconsin, and still fail, somewhere else. This might come from Delaware or from Nevada.
 The Democrats are by no means con- fident of carrying this combination of profoundly stirred, as they did in 1892. If the condition throughout the coun- try were like that which exists In New York the betting on Parker would be at odds in his favor. But only in Wis consin is the situation so bad as in New York.
 So that condition does not exist. The Republicans assert that they have made headway in Connecticut and that the Democrats have lost ground. This, they say, Is also true in Rhode Island. That State two weeks ago was doubt full. The Republicans are today mak- ing emphatic claims.
 The result in New Jersey depends al- together on the way the employees in the manufacturing establishments In the northern end of the State will vote, There is as yet no sign of political revolution. Something more than union In New York will be needed to turn the scales, in the opinion of men whose minds are not blinded by parti- | sanship.
 In Delaware the situation Is not yet satisfactory to the Republicans, West Virginia has been practically wiped off the slate of Democratic ex- pectations. It is a protection State and | the recent speech of Henry G. Davis, claring for protection, was intended to be an effort to discount the harm the letter of Judge Parker, supporting inn mediate tariff revision, win do to the | Democratic cause in that State.
 Western Battle Grounds. Indiana and Wisconsin will be the battle grounds in the West. Chairman | Taggart returned to Democratic head quarters last week and reported that the Indiana Democrats were in better condition than they had been since 1892 | He thinks the State is going Demo- cratic. On the other hand, Chairman Indiana. An impartial observer, whc has been making estimates on that State for many years, gives the opinior that the Republicans have the best oi NNtN IA~ ~orfxv haa ta1 tabulation of the sixty day poll of the State, and until they get the figures al headquarters tire will. of course. be considerable do,ot as to the drift. Both parties are sturdily claiming Wisconsin. The Democrats hope that the trouble between the Repubncar "Stalwarts' and half breeds" will de- feat the Republican electors. They | the State and that 1t will be difficult to make either faction vote for Parker electors or for independent electors The troubles between La Toilette anG the "stalwarts" will come up in the | Wisconsin courts tomorrow at Madison
 There is to be contest for electors in all of the Rocky Mountain States In Colorado the labor troubles are ex' pected to affect the Republican vote. The State went for Bryan fusion cleo. tors in 1900 by 29,661, and for Cover is no fusion now to help the Demo- crats. The Republicans confidently claim the State for the Presidential ticket. but there may be a surprise.
 Idaho Wyoming. Montana and Utaf are all now in the Republican column The Democrats have made good State nominations in all these State and wil contest with spirit for the electors. Or the other hand, the Republicans think they have a good chance to carry Ne vada.
 Situation Summed Up
 This is the situation six weeks he fore election. The Democrats are hop ing for change in sentiment among the great masses of the voters whict will enable them to carry enough "doubtful' States to give them eightl electoral votes that are not now clearly in sight. The Republicans are hopinG for a continuance If present conditions
 Throughout the campaign New Yorl will engross attention. for in New Yorl a situation might develop which would give the Democrats the advantage they are looking for. It might, in the opin ion of some veteran campaigners, be come so bad for the Republicans tha the bottom would drop out of the en tire Republican campaign in the East