New-York tribune., 1904-09-08
FULL VICTORY LIKELY.
HOUSE WITH PRESIDENT.
II Congress Opposed to the Erecu-
tiUe Most Unusual, Figures Shoe.
TFRoM THE TRIBUNE BUREAU.I


Washington Sept 7-Charman BabeocB Of the
Republican Congressional Campaign Committee,
while in Washington recently. sounded warning
regarding the possibility OF the election of Demo-
cratic House. and at the time said that
President Roosevelt would unquestionably succeed
himself. In this prediction Mr.. Babcock evidently
overlooked the custom OF electing President and
a majority OF the national House Of the same
political faith. There have been twenty-nine Pres-
Dental elections in this country. and hardly one
of them furnishes any ground for concluding that
the two great prizes of the quadrennial contest
will be divided. President Roosevelts election is
confidently predicted by those who have made
careful study of the political conditions and. fol-
lowing nearly every precedent of lis years. Re-
publican majority should be returned this fall in
the House of Representatives.
The exception usually cited is tho Presidential
election of 1876 when Hayes, Republican, became
President having 1S5 electoral votes to 1S4 for
Tilden. The Democrats found themselves in con-
tinued control of the House. by majority of nine
which subsequently somewhat increased 1t
was the second time they had had majority in
the House since the beginning of Pierce's admin
istration in 1853. In 1874 in Grants second term
the Democrats gained control of the House. making
Randall Speaker. The peculiar circumstances at
tending the induction of Hayes into Office destroy
the value OF The Congress election of 1876 a
precedent showing that party may elect the
House and another party the President.
There is one other precedent which might be re-
garded as of some significance. but It occurred a
long time back and under peculiar conditions that
are not applicable to present day politics That
was the election OF Zachary Taylor, hero of the
Mexican War. over Cass. Taylor, a Whig had
16S electoral votes. against 127 for Lewis Cass
the Democratic nominee who resigned his seat IN
the Senate as soon he had received the nomina-
tion But the House. chosen at the same election.
stood Ill Wings to 116 Democrats and Howell Cobb
afterward Governor of Georgia and Secretary OF
Inc treasury under Buchanan. was elected Speaker.
EARLY TENDENCY THE SAME
In the early Congresses the same tanaancv =, ,ra
House to go with the Presidency was apparent
rederahsts dominated in the Congresses of Wash
iHst2h ana the first Adams administrations but
"hen Jefferson was elected President as Demo-
cfat In 1900. the Congress. chosen the same wear
was Democratic. and selected Macon. Democrat,
as Speaker There considerable confusion
ABOUT parties after the disntegration of the Fed
eraIsts but for the twenty-four years after Jerer
son nrst election. Congress generally with
ule administration When John Quincy ADAMS
was elected In 1925 the country elected a Dorno-
cratic House for the XIxth Congress but II viii ba
remembered that Jackson led in the number of
electoral votes. and the election was finally decided
IN the House each State having one vote. jackson
came into the Presidency with Democratic House
ana at his second election there was a Demo-
cratc House. which. after about a wear bo,,a,.s-
passed over to the control OF the Whigs a Demo
erauc House also came in for two years WITH tb
eIecuon OF van Buren, in 1896, and James K PoTl,
atterward a Democratic President. was obosa,
Speaker. was 0hoseh
The first Harrison. elected in 1910 by 9aa a,o,.-,
votes 10 % Tor Van Buren, brought In a Housa that
comprised lSS Wings and lO2 Democrats whom the
Wings called 'Lccos." '''
Inc almost unfailing tendency OF the House TO
Ioio" the popular will toward the President 49,
again emphasized in 1s4i when Tvla- - -.
oeeded by Polk. Democrat The Housa eIecte5 tba,
year had l42 "Locos' and II Wings besides a srrau
vote Tor minor parties. Then the exception OF
"iIs PRESIDENT and Democratic House. already
mentioned. came In 1913. The general rI,,a bo11
ever applied again in 1852, when Pierce Den,ocrs,
was elected President General Scott bv 2si
to a. the House standing $50 Democrats 20 II
wings ana Free soiiers. Buchanan. Democratic
President was elected in 1886 and the House ~ ,be
AAANth Congress, which began with his term of
March g. 1851. had 131 Democrats. 92 Republicans
ana ii OF the American party. In the electoral
college Buchanan had Ia. Fillmore Candidate OF
the Americans) and Fremont ll4
The conditions during the Civil War were unusual
because OF the secession OF Southern States and
the division in the Democratic party Lincoln had
$50 votes In the Electoral College Douglas T. Brock
inricge Y and Bell SO. Tho representation In the
House from the loyal States 1O6 Republicans
42 Democrats and IS Unlonsts Lincoln was re-
elected by 2l2 votes. against a. seeding States
not being reckoned In that vote nor In the vote
of the House that year. which stood I4S UnioniStz
and % Democrats.
IMPROBABIL1rY OF A CHANGE THIS YEAR.
There were 50 electoral votes against Grant IN
each OF his campaigns for the Presidency He had
a4 electoral votes In 1865 and 26S in ls72 the in
crease In the Electoral College being due to the
census of 1870 and the larger population but at the
beginning OF both Grants terms there was a
Republican House. In 1872 the House of the
XLHId Congress comprised 1s3 Administrationists
and s2 Liberals. as the Democrats were then called
Grant the first OF Republican Presidents TO
find himself confronted by politically hostile
House in the middle OF his term.
After the election of 1876. when Hayes had 1S5
electoral votes and Tilden 1884, the House standing
Isl Democrats and 1i2 Republicans. the result OF
Presidential and House elections has been as fol-
lows down to the present time:
In 1880 Garfield had PA electoral votes and Han
cock 155. The House stood 146 Republicans, 1SS
In 1884 Cleveland had 2ls electoral votes and
Blaine 49, The House stood 24 Democrats 100
In IssS Harrison had 23s electoral votes and CIeve
land 1863 The House stood 166 Republicans. I59
In 1892 Cleveland had 277 electoral votes and
Harrison l45. The House stood 22e Democrats, 1875
In 1896 Mckinley had 27i electors, votes and
In 1900 Mckinley had 2s2 electoral votes and
Bryan 155. The House stood 1sS Republicans 153
Democrats.
The improbabity OF Democratic House ana a
Republican President this fall hardly admits of
argument when the precedents are searched The
political conditions throughout the country are
such that the election of President Roosevelt prac
tcally insures the election OF Republican House
OF Representatives
NO PARKER MONEY I'M SIGHT.