Daily capital journal. (Salem, Oregon) 1903-1919, 1904-07-05
RESULT
SEEMS
CERTAIN
Parker Has Long Lead Over
His Opponents at ST.
Louis

est and enthusiasm displayed at the
Chicago convention is the air of fever.
ish suspense and uncertainty pre-.
vading St. Louis today on the eve OF
the Democratic national convention
1t is true that the managers and par
tisans of the several candidates for the
presidential nomination profess per-
feet confidence in the result, but
away down deep in their hearts these
same leaders who declare that it is
all over but the shouting undoubtedly
share the same feeling of doubt and
uncertainty in the issue that is felt
by all unbiased observers of the situa-
ton. In the confusion of claims and
denials filling the air today the tabu-
lated statements given out by the
staticians of the various headquarters
and the prediction that this or that
delegation will flop to the banners of
this or that candidate, there is but
one thing that can be stated with
any degree of certainty. This is the
way the candidates will stand on the
first ballot. Should the delegations
all follow their instructions the sew
eral candidates will be sure of the fol-
lowing voters when the first ballot is
cast:
Parker is sure of the following
votes: Alaska, 6; Arkansas, IS; Con-
necticut IA; Georgia, 26; Indiana 80;
Louisiana, IS; Minnesota, IA Miss
issippi, 20; New Hampshire, s. New
York, rs; Ohio, 2; Tennessee, "a;
Texas. SO; Utah, 4; Vermont, 8; In
addition to this number he is expected
to have the % delegates from Ala
bama, which state indorsed Parker,
but did not instruct. The same is
true of the 26 delegates from Ken
lucky, who are understood to favor
Parker, though they are without
definite instructions. This will give
Parker 354 votes at least on the first
ballot.
Next to Parker in the number of
instructed delegates stands Hearst.
On the first ballot the New York edi-
tor may count upon the following;
Arizona, 6; California, 20; Florida, 10;
Hawaii, 6; Idaho, 6; Illinois, 54;
Iowa, 26; Kansas, 6; Maine, 8; Mime
sofa, Z; Nevada, 6; New Mexico, 6;
Ohio, 8; Oregon, 6; Rhode Island, 6
South Dakota, s; Utah, 2; Washing
ton, 10; West Virginia, 2; Wyoming,
6; Total 210
The favorite son votes on the first
ballot are expected to stand as fol-
lows; Massachusetts,, 80 for Olney;
Delaware, 6 for Gray; Wisconsin, 26
for Wall.
The number of delegates without
instructions is 91S. Missouri is ex-
pected to vote for Cockrell on the
first ballot, and West Virginia will
cast ~ votes for Senator German.
The Parker men are confident that
NhS9 viii SSl az lVetob lhllu VI lVO
of the uninstructed delegates on the
first ballot. In that case Parker
would then have 460 votes, or almost
the total number. Those who share
this confidence in Parker's strength
expect the New York judge to be
on the second ballot, after
Wisconsin and Massachusetts, have
cast a complimentary vote for Wall
and Olney
Parker goes into the convention
with practically the solid support of
the entire South. The southern states
that have instructed for aim are
Texas Mississippi Louis
ana, Georgia, Arkansas and Alabama.
The southern states which have sent
delegates, but which
nave gone on record in favor of Judge
Parker, are Virginia, Sonth Carolina, |
Kentucky and six Of the ten dele
gates from Florida, The other four
florida delegates are for Hearst |
North Carolina declined TO indorse |
my candidate, though a majority of
he delegates from that state are un-
lerstood to favor Parker.
These figures show apparently that
Parker is the strongest man in the
ace. But as the old saying goes.
there's many a slip 'twixt the cup and
ne lip" Despite the strongest denials
rom the parties concerned, the rumor
viii not down that a combination is
orming TO down Judge Parker. Sen
tJr German Is credited with being
he chief promoter Of the movement.
)thers whose names are mentioned in
he same connection are ex-senator
imith OF New Jersey, John r. Nc
can OF Ohio, and Col. JJ. NJ. Gutfey
I Pennsylvania. In justice 10 these
saders il should be added that no