The Seattle star. [volume] (Seattle, Wash.) 1899-1947, 1904-11-05
ny II. gibson GARpA0
S1eelal Correspondence 90 the seq
Ito Star

CHICAGO. Nov. Are the mlvi-
ayers OF Theodore Rooaeveits cam
paiFn In for an enormous surprise
partyg In the republican confidence
based on false grounds And viii
Alton Il. Parker awake November ?
20 find himself elected PRESIDENT
There are some well posted and
HhreWd students ~ political affairs
who answer these aueations In the
affirmative.
They find that the republicans
have overlooked several very i'm
pOrtant factors in counting their
chances OF success Moreover,
strange things like this have hap
ponud. In 1850 the republicans we're
taken entirely by surprise when the
democratic candidates for congress-
were swept IN. and took control OF
the lowcr house. two 10 one. EysSl
that ErlEEled veteran Of many bard
fought bottle. Uncle joe Cannon.
vas numbered amoaE the missing
And he. too. was surprised.
There has been a general DISPOSE
ton 20 zee the presidential cam
paign from only one side. This very
fact may be responsible for the
apathy which IL everywhere appar-
ont. and which the democrats vel
came aa making for their Interests
~ Roosevelt Is defeated. the fol-
lowing are a few of the reasons. to-
Eether with some OF the facts which
have mlalod tho republican man
ayers
In the first place republican
hopes and expectations are based on
the performances Of the party IN
two national campaigns which have
no points 81 similarity 20 the pres
snt one. because Wisconsin gavs
100. COO plurality for tho republican
electors four years ago. n taken as
haaia for a reckoning that thr
state will probably give a similar
piuraloy this time. OF even a larger
one Now. az a matter OF fact, con
ditiunH are entirely changed In Wis
oonain, and the figures Of -four
years ago are Of no more account In
making a forecast for next week
than are the figures OF the plural
Ity By which AriHtiaes was hanished
from Greece some years II. G. Con.
dltiona IN Wisconsin are changed
They are 90 changed. and the party
lines are 30 ohiiterated. that no man
can tell what the outcome may be
Roosevelt votes are being traded foi
f.aFollctta votes and Parker votes
Tor staiwarta. Hundreds and thou
sands will forget the electoral ticket
entirely In the hitternf ~ OF tho 10
cal faction fight wisconsin might
very easily turn up with Parker
electors: and IS electors from that
state might very easily turn the
scale
There l. no great certainty about
that.
Republicans are haainE their hope
~ carrying Now York ana other
~tatea In the Vicinity on polls which
assume the regularity Of party lines.
No one claims that each voter has
been INTERCEPTED as 60 hts inteu-
tioua The managers take II for
Frantaa that a man who voted the
republican, ticket four years ago In
tends 20 DO 20 this fall.
nut again the calculation falls 20
take account Of the fact that there
are two conservative candidates thiH
time. while there was but one be-
fore. -Four and eight years ago all
the conservative Influence OF the
country was solicited aud driven
Together. hy the fact that the OPP
ponittan candidate and platform
we're Of a character to alarm the
business Interests Every store
keeper. every owner of stock IN a
railroad. every taxpayer or holder
~ real estate. every employe 81 a
railroad or big industrial comhina
ION. every manufactures enjoying a
tariff protection. all these interests
Npre massed salidly on the side OF
the republican candidate.
And yet Mckinley did not win by
any such great margin.
Today these forces arc not mass
ed In favor OF the administration
marty. There are two conservative
rsndidatea The business world Is
not alarmed at the possibility or the
prospect OF democratic success.
With a republican senate In power
the presidency for the next four
Neara Is 10 be n matter OF execu-
tive management anyway. And the
etecsion ~ Alton y. Parker would
result merely in preserving the
status quo" There would be no
trust legislation or agitation.
The forces OF conservatism, a.
they might be eoled. the moral In
nuence OF the vast railroad systems
and Of the banking and commercial
world. are divided In this campaign.
They are quite as willing 20 entrust
their future for four years TO the
democratic party managers as TO
the Roosevelt dominated republican
al administration. Perhaps they prefer
the former Republican control OF
all branches OF government gives
too much power.
Subtract from the republican,
assets half OF the conservative In
fluonce In politics, and what GER
tainty have ehey left2 In states like
New York, which went republican
by meager $4,000 four years ago
"a loss OF 10. 900 over four years