New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1904-01-26
THINKS JAPS WOULD LOSE
SEES ENGLAND,S HAND.
j. ". Book7oaIter Says Gar Wants
Only Open Port.


here. has travelled extensively in the Far East.
and three years ago published his observations
in book entitled Siberia and Central Asia"
HIS Investigations have made him familiar
with the peoples and problems Of that portion of
the world. Being asked for his views the
existing situation there related to the pos
sible conflict between Russia and Japan, he
said:
The present Far Eastern situation is full Of grave
s!deration OF a question of worldwide significance
Should the war begin between Russia and Japan.
as now seems imminent. other powers viii doubt
less DC involved. and the ultimate result will be a
question. IN its brosdest sense, that may be in
fhat which is 6jv ana ssntt1e1tsi ON one
side and the Credentials. who represent the guam
mas no ambition. primarily to extend her terri.
eyed OF The care Of 3efached eTTitoTv When She
tnlns she wants and which is an absolute neces-
Sly TO her in this age Of International commerce
Is an open port for with all her vast territory, she
- OoIItieu up HnelAeE she seehs an outIet LhIouSn
the Black Sea, by way OF the Persian Gulf or
through Manchuria or Corea she IS laid open to
This is not. however the fundamental purpose, bit
Is Incidental, and OF secondary moment Russia Is
Whlcn is OF course impossible without access to
She has been shut in by the coalition Of European
powers or which England is the head, and it looks
doubtedly Inspired by England. aims to perpetuata
1ae same purpose Russia is said to be less pro
IN ouls connection # should be remembered that for
projected an OF Continental Europe against the
INVASION Of the Tartar hordes. and In doing this
The powers Of Europe should recognize the fact
Snce' great and lasting obligation. But for tho
Tartar food. Europe might have met even q more
csS@stIous tate than overwhelmed her IN the early
cSnt1Fles when the Iartars overran the land under
sco restst.ess leadership Of AJtila. called The
Every, step in Russian policy looking to the
OF her cor ~ an IIoGt essential 70 the Ep9uldnG
CHINA gag2 stV v 20 india or EnElish ambitious IN
eyes upon the millions Of possible cSHsumeTs in
6roF1 = IS people hey want 70 manpu.ate for
land and the United states. is commercIalsm
seven thousand miles. and the clinical sympathy,
Tgts-ue reg 10 connection with their close pTox-
The same clinical relation Includes Japan, and II
"'ner lnruences We're not At work, there would ba
imagined in the light ~ ali the cirs2rsta1-cs tba.
tde Fenuted desire to promote peace would seem
4tude assumed by England. her ancient enemy,
h.Ssa. cannot rcceGe- The conflict IS Inevitable
RUSSIA WOULD ARM HILL TRIBEa
may Be sey Pre9sted sa 1 ass5 w Mi aR se tEt
runs very near the T T5re rs as Means Ro W
INTERPRETATION foT guns and war munitions, with
OF these there are 1905 600 or a0o,9 op5 ana lie
whole country could easily he sat ablazs The
M io's OK Intia has hitherto been kept under Eng
ives to equip themselves with modern implements
IT The line was that such equipment could reach
{Ae indians through the seaports. nut since Eng
guarded the ports tIat All eluI1nlcrt for v,ITIre
Casa,a road Over f[27 5AG g@ 3s, TIE ran.-
lance ~ two thousand niles is essentially mill
I1ry Tq21. Every man employed upon r. i a sol
o. 70 al IA
tended. IL VIII nearly cross TAi5et and wiU 10
strategic Importance than tho trars-Sl6erau ROAD.
Upon tho latter travelled rs the only American
PASSENGER on Tie 1rst thToqEh t-atn from MOSCOW
The line has hen completed It's run length or eco
lad visited China nearly twenty years ago and
conditions IN Central Asia that nads the TIP IN
Russia. extending II into Siberia as Far the road
siberian road into military highway over wiieh
70 the Far East. on every verst Owo-thrds o; a
guard. and with such complete system OF pro-
lection interruption OF tratilc would not be easily
man employed on The line would he a soldier IL
transported to the probable theatre OF war over
Japan could only hope at best to secure a briefly
temporary advantage. Tor IN ne end Russia ,will
against her they cannot drive her out % Russia
and they cannot prey upon her commerce; Tor sho
sources. and is self-contalned. She can manufact-
her and munltlOrs or war. ana
when foodstuG5 considered It should be re-
membcred that she exports almost as much grain
the United States
The Western world IS looking 70 the commercial
tous TO acquire sphere % influence. while China
is only speci1rv concerned about the retention OF
the Middle EivgdOfn-that within the Wall which
eDCioscs fCvr-nfths OF the we1lth aud four-nfths
of the population. The Great Waii. the most mar
yelloUs work OF man, built 70 protect this ter
ritory from the iucursionS or the TartarS, and
affairs that might give her relief from the respon-
E.bty imposed by this country that fIinges tho
Middle Kingdom.
That Russia was not disposed TO encroach upon
road attestcl ~ the fact that the original
y-v leading TO NladivOstoCk made great detour
border. II was only when the treaty right was
GRANTED TO Russia. after the China-Js panese war,
that Russia abandoned the original route, and but
the present air line across Manchur1a to V!adl-
II is probably wide Of the truth TO assume there
Is sympathy between Russia and China. Should
tude unfriendy TO Russia, II IS highly probable that
a Russian army would promptly occupy Peking.
Or il might be done with the consent OF China.
Eu"lishmCn living I'm Russia with whom came
fetal miscorceptIOu Of Russias purpose and
sert that there IS IN fact real community OF inter
natural autagonism so frequently assumed. Rus
sia's purposes broadly Interpreted present
for conflict and n The problems now presented
viewed in rational light, and settled upon n
cialsr Il VIII make for universal peace for many
centuries But Russia IS sChOOled In the OF
diplomacy. and the hand of England pushing Japan
10 the conflict IS III concealed. Once war begins
England will expect that the United States VIII
take a hand, because. like England, seeking
peoples to exploit
BIG LINER OUT ON HER TRIAL TRIP.