The Minneapolis journal. [volume] (Minneapolis, Minn.) 1888-1939, 1904-09-27
NO EXPORT WHEAT
EAST OF ROCKIES
Thornton, Of Duluth, Says Elk
IRENE West Has the Only
Surplus.
His Deductions Still More Plaus-
ible When Lower Crop E;sti-
mates Are Used.

The general shortage Of wheat this
year has brought many new problems
before the mil1ers and the grain men.
problems not pressing for solution at
present, but sure to work to the front
before the crop distribution is COM,
ing the movement of wheat marketward
are likely to be disregarded. There is,
for example, probability that consid-
cradle Pacific coast wheat may come
east overland, which would be a move
ment ordinarily contrary to economy
of market delivery. ,.,s
With reference to the position Of the
Of ef's sst inH 4 f. 3 Da
has prepared some timely and interest
ing figures, showing that the entire ex-
portable surplus Of the United States is
located west of the Rocky. mountains,
and that, altho the great bulk of the
that territory is really def ient by
100000 bushels after deductions have
been made for consumptive require
ments and seed.
= How He Figures.
The hard winter states show surplus
of 77,200O00 bushels; the northwestern
spring states ns7qd aRg d dSTa w M
100000 bushels Of the Rocky noun
tain statessbe added, there is a surplus
of 1877 $50, 900 bushels.
But the soft winter states have raised
94,950,000 bushels, and, with a popula-
ton Of 22,850,OO0, have bread require;
ments of l25,575,000 bushels and seed
143,575,0OO bushels, leaving a shortage
Of 4S,625, 900, while in the same manner
the southern states figure out 4O,27O,0OO
bushels short. Adding the north At
lantic requirements of 105, $685. 900 bush
Lels makes the total deficiency 194,25S,'
$4,000, leaving only 100000 bushels
or, if the Rocky mountain production
be omitted from the surplus account
deficiency of 5,7OS,OOO bushels.
Then comes the Pacific coast with
44,375,000 bushels to spare, giving 9
small exportable surplus lying on the
extreme western edge of the country.
Exportable Surplus Far West.
If any wheat is exported it must e
from the Pacific coast, or else, if We
continue to export from central anc
eastern supplies, we must some day
draw on the Pacific coast for our owl
eastern requirements. 1t is, evidently
condition that /" sets at nauglht al
previously conceived ideas of values
It will gbe observed that Mr.. Thorn
ton 8 deductions are based upon an es
! timated total crop of 540,93O,000 bush
: els, while the recent estimate Of Mr.
Jones puts the total crop in the n neigh
!, ton takes his total as a basis upo1
! which to figure, and the, value of hi
: calculation as a guide to distribution O.
yield relative to requirements, is no
= necessarily affected by the question O.
the reliability of the basic figures. If
however, situation showing only abou
38,OOO,O00 bushels available for expor
is demonstrable from an estimate'
total Of $40, 100000, the Jones estimat
Of 514OOO,OOO is indeed worthy o
careful consideration.
The whole suggests the thought tina
private crop estimators who are homes
and capable may do great service to tn
- country. Mr.. Jones has been severel
). criticized for his extremely bullish re
t, ports, but later reports from time t
d time tend to bear him out. If the SUI