The times dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1903-1914, 1904-07-19
THE TURNING
OF TIE TIDE
Democratic Victory iii New
York Will Mean Great
Changes Elsewhere.
NEGROES AND THE PRES lDENT.
a Startling Indication Of What.
Republican Policy Has Led
Them to Expect

Them to Expect
(Trom Our Regular Correspondcnto
WASHINGTON, y. c., July 1S.-Thcre
cannot be found a Republican these days
who will not admit that New York is
a doubtful State. There cannot be found
a Democrat who believes the Repuhli-
cans have more than q. slight chance OF
carrying tho State. This Is a great
change from the sentiment prevailing In
both parties six months ago, when the
possibility that the Democrats would
carry the Empire state was so remote
as to be unworthy OF consideration. 1t
is no wpretty well assured that un-
less the entirely unforeseen occurs, the
electoral vote OF the State will be cast
for Parker and Davis.
Nc Kinley's majority over Bryan N tho.
state OF New York In 1900 was 143, 60&
These figures make the fact that tho
Republicans concede the State to be
doubtful of all the more interest II the
Republicans admit = t. is probable, the
Democrats will be able to turn Re-
publican majority 81 snearly$ one hundred
and fifty Thousand votes, into a Demo
cratic majority, It'll lis perfectly plain
the other narty8 realizes there has been
a great change In sentiment IN this
country IN the course rot the past four
years. , IS Al +
Predicts Other Changes.
The Democrats cannot win by gaining
New York alone. But If there is to be
Euch an enormous change ofssvotes Gin
that State, why should 1t not be expect
ia that there would be changes OF equa!;
magnitude IN other States? New Jersey
gave a Republican majority of $3.50 IN
400. The electoral vote OF that State
Z Is almost Invariably cast as Is the cleo
storal vote of New FORK. New Org
goes Democratic, 1t is safe to say that
New Jersey will also So will Connectl Z,
cut, in all probability. The Republican
majority IN tesssa
$3.50. 81 81. " Il ",
The Democrats are as hopeful Of car
$,yihF Wisconsin as they. are of any of
The Republican States, with the Hexcep-s
ton Of New York. The Republicans of
that State are split wide open. The
faction headed by Senator Spooner is
said to be weaker than the Lafolletts.
faction, which he is sfighting, and each
wing of the party has q Ticket. In the
field. Roosevelt and Fairbanks are on
each ticket but the Democrats hope TO-.
induce a sufficient, number Of Republic
cans to vote the straight Democratic
ticket to insure the State for Parker
and Davis. There Is no doubt4the Demo-
Gratis will elect their State ticket. s.ii ~
Illinois offers a more promising field
for the Democrats than wa IS thought pos
sibleEa short time ago. The Democratic.
factions sare getting ogetherB out there,
and 1t Is said they will present a solid
font on the day of election. Mr.. Bryan
has indicated his Intention of going into
the State and making number OF
tcpeeches in behalf OF the ticket. II no
does SO. and talks as he aid in hisflatest;
Interview. l,et will dc the party much
good. hut. rs has been stated In this
cores ondence, the Demo cratic managers
are In some doubt as to whether Mr.,
Bryan is going TO live UP to the promise
which he made at St. Louis.
A Negroes Viewsof Roosevelt.
The Democrats OF Washington. and &es-3
pecially those, from the South, have. been.
commenting ION III Comm Uni cati on; which
appeared nAthe- Pest. this anorningS from
~ negro rlaned 9snry:f aker;,ainl the
course Of whlch7 thcs writer sayst.tha III
Roosevelt isselected,i & will so encour-s
age the colored5 men that We will demand
that Professor Booker sliington shall
be the Republican cand idata for Vice
President in lsos."5f The letter says fur.
sther: t3 81 39
tI.et not myscolored brethren forget
that scene In the Repu blicang Conven-
tlon when beautiful white girl was N
placed upon the sta ge5Sa and by her 8s
side negro boy. They then placed
& flags In their hands and allowed
them to lead IN tic cheering. thus
making the first and tSrandests exams I'd
pie Of the EQUALITY 9 { the ii aces that +
Convention there was not n single coll
ored man. It was IN. word B and in
deed a white mans convention o a
X white mans party. t.All hall to. Roose.-s
Welt. who has given the poori4negro
so much to encourage him to persist II
IN his political and social rights. i.
The letter contains much more along
the same line. commanding Roosevelt for
having stood for the social equality OF
5:he two races. aid lauding him aforthis
action In 8lunching with Booker W ASH
fington at the White House. In short
The letter lauds tho President for doing
everything for which tho hest whites,
North and South, have condemned him.
Davis Passes Through.
Senator Henry G. Davis was In the
city a lew minutes yesterday en- rOute
from his hona In Vest Virginia to New
York to attend the Democratic confer
ence In that city tonight. lie did not
travel III his private car as 1t was stated
he would do. but rode as an ordinary
Pullman passenger. He changed cars
here, A few friends met him at the
station. and the walt OF aeveral minutes
vas spent in chatting with them. Sem
ator Davis appears to he about sixty
years OF age. One can hardly believe
No has passed his eightieth birthday. He
is as alert and as active ms many men
twenty years his junior, s.a Ks
Senator Joe Bailey, OF Texas, who Is
fercnne L.nf Dam :lcra tie lendera liz erx