The semi-weekly messenger. [volume] (Wilmington, N.C.) 1897-1908, 1904-07-22
Friday July ~ 1904.
THE POLITICAL OUTLOOK

The papers OF the country have be-
gun already to figure upon the votes or
the electoral college. There Is no doubt
that the nomination of Judge Parker
his telegram to Mr.. Sheehan and the
conventions reply thereto have greatly
increased the prospects of success of
the democratic party. 1t is evident,
also, that these three things have great
ly disturbed the republican leaders.
n New York Herald. which is al
ways a good prophet as to political
matters, editorially declares that the
Parker telegram and the conventions
reply has caused dismay among the re-
p~ublicans. 1t says it cannot count up
but one hundred and eighty-four votes
as certain for Mr.. Roosevelt, out of the
total of four hundred and seventy-six,
while before Mr.. Parker sent that tele-
gram Mr.. Roosevelt was given three
hundred and four votes. The Herald
places both Illinois and Indiana in the
doubtful list.
AS another fact presaging democratic
victory, The Herald says:
For the first time in twelve years
democratic leaders in this city are go
ing into the national campaign conf
dent that their fund will exceed that
placed at the disposal of the republic
cans. Judge Parker'S supporters in
the financial and business districts
have taken stock, and according to es-
Inmates they have received they are
confident they will have a fund at least
four times the size of that contributed
toward the election of William ].
Bryan in either 1896 or 1900. The re-
publicans, on the other hand, have
discovered that if they raise a sum
one-half the amount collected by Mark
Hanna in each of the Mckinley cam
paigns they will be doing exceedingly
well.
The Herald say Chairman Hanna
raised four million dollars for the Nc
Kinley campaign in 1896 and an esti-
mated fund of six million for the last
campaign, and that for this year the
estimate is placed at about w million.
According to The Herald, Mr.. Cortel-
you paid a visit to New York recently
where he had an interview with Cor
neIius n. Bliss. treasurer of the repub-
lican committee on the subject OF
raising sufficient campaign funds; after
which he went to see Mr.. Roosevelt to
report to him the diSheartening outlook
after going over the situation with Mr..
Bliss. 1t is said by The Herald hat
Republicans in Wall street with
Who Mr.. Cortelyou talked made it
plain to him yesterday that the demo-
cratic Golfers would be filled early in
the campaign and would remain full
until election day. They told him that
at least five % of ~financiers in
the street." who worked openly to
prevent the democratic campaign
anage in 1896 and 1900 from OBJ
tanning funds On account of the cur
rency question would be substantial
contributors this year.
. The amount of the Bryan campaign
fund four years ago was under a mil
Hon dollars. Republican leaders this
year estimate it at from three and a
half millions to foul million. They
say that three. groups of New York
moneyed men with which August Bel
mont, Thomas F. Ryan and Henry G.
Davis are associated can raise the
larger part of this fund.
If these facts and figures given out
by The Herald are any where nearly
correct they make very bright the pros
poets of success for the democratic
party. With party discord removed, a
mar at the head of the ticket in whom
all people have confidence, and a large
campaign fund it looks very much like
victory is within the grasp of the DEM
ocrats.
To show Mr.. Roosevelt's slim
chance for carrying New York state
the New York World also gives some
figures as to republican majorities in
that state. 1t shows that the majori-
ties of the republican candidates for
governor in the preceding five elections
averaged one hundred and thirty thou
sand, including the less han eighteen
thousand for Mr.. Roosevelt in 1898.
The World declares that Mr.. Roose-
velt's unpopularity in his own state
was at that time so great that he would
have been defeated but for the stupid
blunder of Boss Croker in refusing a
denomination to Judge Daily on the
ground that the latter had not giver