Durango semi-weekly herald., 1904-09-05

have 1t In for" President Roosevelt,
and will throw thousands OF votes
against him on election day.
o. The Democratic managers are
succeeding beyond their fondest enti-
cipations In building up an organiza-
ton in the rural counties, where their
organization has been disrupted dur
ing the last eight years and they say
the Republicans will be dumfounded
at the meagerness of thir plurality
above the Bronx.
There are other reasons which the
Democratic managers cite as the basis
OF their confidence. One of these is
somewhat peculiar. 1t is that GER
tain church tProtestanD so warmly
favors Judge Parker and so earnestly
dislikes President Roosevelt that 1t
may be relied upon to effect a change
OF 10000 votes In Judge Parker's
favor. | know nothing about the facts
in this matter; | only give the claim
which the Democratic managers make.
AS for the quarrel betweeen Tamma-
ny and McCarren in Brooklyn the
Democratic leaders say 1t amounts to
nothing whatever SO far as any effect
II may have upon the election. They
are not worried about 1t and declare
ovte. which lis always decisive In that
feel sure Tammany and all other Dem.
ocrats will give Parker loyal support
and that the metropolis will roll up
one of the largest Democratic majori.
ties ever known
Still another claim which the rep
resentaives of Judge Parker make is
that in New York nearly all the gold
Depocrats are going back to the party
and that they are carrying with them
the large conservative. independent
vote, which is already decisive In that
state
Concerning these Democratic claims
OF assured success in New York Of
fer no opinions of my own and shall
not do so until have had opportunity
to make personal investigation of
conditions in that state, which | shall
do later on in the campaign. 1t is
proper to remark here, however. that
| have direct information from Chair
man Cortelyou that he is almost as
confident of carrying New York as his
rivals are. The most Mr.. Cortelyon
and his advisers admit, among them.
selves, Is that their chances in the
Empire state are every bit az good as
the other fellows. Is is also worth
noting that the Democratic claim of
a two-to-one chance for Parker in New
York does not inspire confidence
among the betting men The few
wagers that have been made on the
result In that state. are generally at
even money. or with small odds in
Parker's favor.
! am informed on good authority
that the Parker managers have decid-
ed not to make a contest for Illinois,
Wisconsin or Nebraska. The last
named state they were once inclined
to make fight for. but since the Pop.
nlists and Democrats there made a
fusion on everything except the presi-
Dental ticket the feeling Is that any
effort made to carry that state for Par.
ker could only result In giving possi-
BILE help to Colonel Bryan's senatorial
ambitions without doing any good for
the national cause.
Judge Parker's managers know that
they must carry every state In their
doubtful column in order to win and
they realize that this is a somewhat
desperate chance. Their own esti.
mates. made for their guidance and
not for publication are as follows:
New York-Chances In their favor.
New Jersey-Odds against them.
Connecticut-The same.
Rhode Island-The same.
Delaware-An even chance.
Maryland-Safe for Parker.
West Virginia-An even chance.
1ndiana-An even chance.
Nevada--Probably Democratic.
Montana-Probably Democratic. but
much depending on whether or not
Senator Clark is willing to open up"
Colorado-About an even thing.
One Democrat. well informed as to
the feeling at his headquarters. said
to me:
I'VE are going to carry New York.
But the trouble is we are going to get
1t by small plurality and not by
sweep II is only big sweep that
could carry New Jersey and Connect
cut along with It. and without these
states | am afraid we can't win"