The Minneapolis journal. [volume] (Minneapolis, Minn.) 1888-1939, 1904-07-26
Making Election Tables.

| - - 80 S,%a;
Making Election Tables.
OF the making of election tables
there will be no end from now until
Nov. 8. In the main, such work
is without profit, and yet there are
certain fundamental facts regarding
the campaign which should be under
stood by every newspaper reader.
1t is the expectation of every re
publican that President Roosevelt will
be elected. Six months ago it seemed
certain that his electoral majority
would equal that of Mckinley, and
the man who predicted a close vote
could not be found in either party
Judge Parker's personality, however
and the circumstances attending his
nomination, have demanded a re.
vision of these earlier estimates, and
| it now seems likely that the result
will be much closer than was at first
thought probable.
Judge Parkers election will be pos.
sible only thru democratic success ir
practically every one of the so-called
doubtful states, and this can hardly
be accomplished without a politica
| landslide, of which there are now nc
signs. His party has the laboring oar
but enough Of hope enters into the
situation to impel the democracy tc
make a determined fight
The republicans have only to gair
five votes from the seventy-six that are
| doubtful in order to win. and this is
so small a percentage as to Suggest
the strong probability of republican
victory.
The solid south, with Maryland
added, give Judge Parker 1876 electora
votes, or 70 short of a majority. The
north and west give Roosevelt 234
electoral votes, or five short of a ma
jority
The doubtful states appear to be
Connecticut, 7 votes; Delaware 3
Indiana, Is; New Jersey, 12; and New
York, 39-76 in all OF these states
Roosevelt appears to have lead owe
Parker in Connecticut and Delaware
making 10 votes, and bringing hi
total UP to 344, six more than a ma
jority. Parker appears to have al
even chance in New York am
New Jersey, and should he carr!
these states his electoral vote would
be PIT, or 20 short of majority
Such showing makes Indiana al
important factor in the campaign
and it's IL votes, added to those al
ready conceded for the sake Of argu
ment to Parker, would give him 232
or within seven Of enough. He woul,
have to carry Connecticut in addition
to Indiana in order to- win.
But while Indiana is perhaps doubt
full this year, the republicans Their,
have the advantage. The presence o
/ Fairbanks on the ticket, and tn
splendid condition of the republican
organization, offer reasonab les excus
4 to republicans for claiming the state
I The return of at least a part Of TIL
Indiana gold democratic vote to it
former allegiance, however, will re
duce the normal republican margin
there to $1,000, or even less, and an,
u lIdL SIZE Ill SuCl1 d SCdl6 d
Indiana means it is doubtful.
The estimate here made is neithe
republican nor democratic. 1t is
conservative grouping of the claims o
both sides, for the purpose of dis
closing what for the present appear
to be the real situation. Sixty day
may visibly change this alignment, II
o.
We believe, for example, that befor
election day republican chances vii
be as good as the democratic in Ney
Jersey, and perhaps better. The
may also improve in New York.
1t is not worth while at presen
for republicans to claim such state
as Maryland, Kentucky and West Vir
ginia. Maryland was republican t.
1895 and again In 1900 because of tn
gold democratic vote in Baltimore
That vote will this year be cast 70
Parker. Senator German began tn
work of making the state democrati
by his campaign last fall, when hi
sole issue. was the Booker T. Washing
ton luncheon at the White House
Kentucky was republican chiefly o
account of the money question. TIL
negro question will cut an importan
figure there, as in Maryland. Yves
Virginia was strongly Democrat
from 1876 to 1892 inclusive, votin
for Tilden, Hancock and for Cleve
land three times. It went republica
twice on the money question. It II
|
likely than ever to be SO this yea
because Of the bitter feuds whic
divide It's republican forces.