Rock Island Argus. (Rock Island, Ill.) 1893-1920, 1904-07-15

dependent elements have since been
taken into the democr attic fold. Eight
years have wiped out New York's re-
publican plurality. De mOcratic organ
izatiOn has superseded democratic
chaos in the vital state, and Parker
spells enthusiasm for All elements and
worthy interests, populs T, social, COM
mercial, financial Add ed TO the nor
NAL democratic strength which such
leader would command will be the ac-
cession of republican votes repealed
through distrust of ar impulsive and
unsafe candidate.
On the other hand. the republican
party is in no shape for a contest
Peace between Plat and Odell is as
difficult as between the pie bosses in
Missouri. On the same day when New
York votes for president it will elect
a governor, and of necessity the
republican candidate will be
either a PIatt or an Odell man. 1t
is certain that to S ONE extent the
knife will be piled by: the factionists
Platt's followers in the city and by
no means incOnside rable number in
the state would fig 1t an Odell man,
probably with even more YigOr than
they fought Odell in 1902. The Odell
people upstate wOul,I battle to down
Plat man. The I residential stake
will not have sufficie Mt weight to sus-
pend the factionaI war II should be
borne in mind that both factors are
essentially hostile 10 Mr.. Roosevelt.
The New York republican situation is
not essentially different from that in
In, LOT .~ar lf
feud is fresh. In New York it is old
and deep. Here is the way the St.
Louis Republic figures it:
With New York added to the demo-
cratic count the elerlent of doubt over
the result in November is lessened by
a tremendous margin. Two hundred
and thirty-One electoral votes are re
quired TO win. and of these democracy
stands assured of 1873; being the 159
OF the solid south. including Maryland.
which the republican authorities con
cedo, and the 50 of New York. De
mOcraCy, therefore. has to find but Al
votes.
As New York goes so in all proba-
bility will go Connecticut. with its
seven votes. and New Jersey with its
TO- West Virginia. with it's seven. may
be counted upon with reason. Cali
fornia with 10 is likely TO be taken
from the republican column. Repub-
Leans concede it TO be doubtful. Wis
cOnsin, with -. is doubtful. but dem
ocratic probability. The total electoral
vote of these states is AZ.
Indiana may be considered conf
IDENTIFY a democratic opportunity. By
carrying Indiana with it's 10 votes
democracy could make mp it's neces-
sary II votes without Wisconsin and
without Connecticut-or West Vir-
ginia.
In Illinois democracy has a good
fighting chance Its - votes simplify
the question of possible combinations
But without either Illinois or Indiana.
and indeed without Wiscon sin-any of
which states furnishes the key to dem
ocratic victOry-several estimates
founded upon reason remain to fur
nish the necessary Al votes.
Nevada is cOncededly democratic.
California is probably democratic. Ore
gon. Idaho. Montana. Utah and Colo
RADIO are placed in the doubtful col
umn by the narrowest and most reluc-
tant republican estimates. Delaware
is likewise placed IN this column
though it would seem to be less doubt
full than several of the others. and
may be left ont of the calculation.
The total vote of the other states
named in the group is %. Democracy
requires but Il of these votes added
to the votes of New Jersey, Connect
cut and West Virginia in order to win.
Give democracy California. Oregon
and one other of the western group of
seven states named and the total is
made Or give California and Oregon
TO the republicans. and the remaining
of the doubtful group to democracy,
and the result is the same.