The Minneapolis journal. [volume] (Minneapolis, Minn.) 1888-1939, 1904-10-21
ROOSEVELT HAS
EMPIRE STATE
Odell Poll Assures New York
State to the Republican Ma
tional Ticket.
Canvass by Leaders in Three
Chief Backgrounds Shows
Victory.
BY w. w. Jermane.

New York, Oct 21.-The time has
now, como to say that the Roosevelt
electors will carry New York state. l
tabulated statement of the final poll
of the state, made under the personal
direction of Governor Odell, who is ad-
united to be the cleverest political STRAIT
eglst the state produced for many day.
That poll shows a plurality for the re-
publican electors of $4,000; in other
words, the republican pluralities above
the Harlem will much more. than offset
the democratic pluralities in the city.
Odell has the most perfect Organiza-
ton that the republicans of New York
have had for generation. He has
abundant means for getting at the ex-
act situation, and he is not 'rain-
bow ehas nn;i "a But even after DISCOUNT
1880, remains, and if this in turn
should be discounted so per cent, the
republican margin is still 1880.
On the result of this poll there is
result will be, and this is Particularly
true when it is remembered that the
democratic polls show that the plurality
Tor tor P Pa in, the city must be at least
10000 in order to '.break evon' with
the republican plurality up the state
This Odell poll is not being used to
influence the campaign, nor for public
circulation, and only the party leaders
are supposed to know anything about
it. understand that it has been turned
over to the chairman of the republican
national committee, who has submitted
1t to the president. 1t is intended for
the guidance of the party managers, and
on that account it has been carefully
''edlted' and Druned wherever there
seemed to be doubt.
Betting Odds Raised.
Apparently some of the people who
wager money on elections have heard
about 1t. The, odds on the general re-
cut Rn6sa are now four to- one in favor Of
sight, while Parker people are waiting
for them to reach five to one before
taking out their pocketbooks. Between
~ O'Clock and noon yesterday $4,000
had peen Wagered on the general result
on the Broad street curb at four to
one and during the afternoon this sum
was almost doubled. One broker offered
$4,000 to $1,000 that Roosevelt would
carry the state. but there were no tax
srs, and ST. 100 even that he would get
better than 10000 plurality, this also
The odds on Herrick for governor
{ have diisnappe:asred, and it is now be-
the state by a plurality half as great
as that shown by the Odel1 poll, HIGGINS
will be the next governor.
-, 1t is noteworthy that four years ago
the ODDS on Wall street were four to
Oilo VI 4hOIAlulSy, anu more mOn6V was
offered than found takers A week be-
fore election the odds increased to five
TO one. The 1900 performance seems
likely to be repeated this year. -Four
years ago bets were made here that Nc
Kinley would carry the state bv 100
OOO, plurality. but odds were demanded
and given. The total sum wagered was
not large, because the Bryan people did
not. have the courage Of their
preiudices.
Focused on Three States.
aware, the presidential campaign has
now been focused on three states
New York, West Virginia and Indiana
1t is a little early to speak certainly re-
garding Indiana. Bryan has Just fin
ished his tour Of that state, and Watson
has started to cover the BRYAN trail
All apathy has disappeared, and from
now on to the night before election the
state will have one of it's old-time
fevers Of excitement. I am satisfied
that while it is close, it is leaning to
ward Roosevelt, but a more definite
statement cannot be made until the las
OF next week. 1t will take until the1
fol-. the party managers on both side.
to figure accurately on the results Of thu
Bryan and the Watson tours
On the highest authority T am permit
tea to say that senat or Fairbanks, il
Ri nr+ c a11d,1 reports to Chairman
~
diana as absolutely safe. He says it
republican plurality will be 10000
As in the case Of the New York poll
his estimate is not intended for publ
consumption Senator Beveridge, VIII
Is paying close attention to Indiana
also says 10000, The Fairbanks esti
mate was called out by telegraph
During the Bryan tour there was feel
I Egg uh among Leading republicans. tina
short In outside states and arrange t
devote more time to Indiana. His re
ply was that he would devote the las
week of the campaign to Indiana, bu
week, Of the campaign to Indiana, bu
do that much.
At the same time, however, I prefe
not to make any definite claim as t
Indiana for the present, beyond sayin
that, while 1t seems close, its leaning
are undoubtedly toward Roosevelt.
West Virginia Fairly Safe.
I would say the same for West Vii
ginia. The situation here cannot b
safely predicted for a week or ten days
Speaker Cannon is now covering til
trail recently made in that state b
Henry Gassaway Davis, David Bennett
Hill and Charles A. Towne
:. During the past week a decided reat
ton IN favor Of the republican cand
dates has been noticeable, and it come
so near the election as to render den
ocratic condensation exceedingl
improbable. This republican reactio
has followed on the heels of an earle
one, which manifested itself shortly a.
ter the publication of the letters Of a.
ceptance.-
1t is this upgrade movement whic
has lifted New York out of the mil
and made it safe for Roosevelt. It hs
had similar effect in Delaware an
Rhode Island, which are now safely r.
publican. It has also had a marke
effect in Indiana and West Virgini
and explains why in these states tt
leanings are very clearly toward repu7
licanism.
If there were "October states,'' :
there used to be, the country wou
have an illustration of what the fore
of this latest reaction is. In 9TH
j., Continued on Second Page.