The morning Astorian. [volume] (Astoria, Oregon) 1899-1930, 1904-10-21
WHEREIN PARKER's CHANCES LIE.

When one studies the table of votes in the eec-
should be deeply interested in the situation in In
diana and New jersey as he is reported in our dis
probably receive the electoral vote of one or both
Of those two states, which figure most prominently
in democratic calculations Wednesdays 0regonian
contained Washington dispatch, presenting the
claims of the national republican committee, which
may mislead those who are following the fight Ac-
cording to this dispatch, the republican committee
comedies Parker 166, claims 29O for Roosevelt and
classes 35 as doubtful Here we have total of
4sQI, or Is more than will be in the college. The
comm ftee has probably conceded 151-the solid
south-ss Parker.
The democrats figure several plans of winning.
They will get the 151 votes of the south Should
they be able to swing the states classed doubtful
Colorado, Delaware, Maryland, Montana, Nevada
Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming-into the demo-
cratic column and also carry New York, with its
39 votes, they will have total of 225. The num-
Der necessary to elect is 239 and the vote OF Indi
ana, Is, would just make up the deficit.
1t will be seen from this statement that the dem
ocratic candidates may be elected without any par
ticular landslide The democratic managers claim
fighting chance in Wisconsin and Connecticut, al
though it is reasonably certain Wisconsin will give
its 13 votes to Roosevelt Connecticut has hereto
fore been influenced by New York, and a democratic
victory in New York might put Connecticut's seven
votes in the Parker column, although this is not
to be expected
But the democrats are able to figure a simpler
table of victory and Judge Parker's anxiety about
New Jersey and Indiana indicates that he is relying
upon this other combination for success The solid
south and New York will give him 100 votes 1t is
not unreasonable to suppose that West Virginia and
Maryland will go democratic this fall for up to the
time of the nomination Of Mr.. Bryan both states
had been unswervingly democratic Their Is votes
would bring up the total to 205. If C6loradOs five
and Delawares three are also captured by the demo
Gratis, the total will be 213, and Indiana and New
Jersey, the latter with 12 will find Judge Parker
in the 240 hole
1t is quite probable that the democrats hope
to win through victory in the states included in
this last classification. New York is, of course,
claimed by both candidates, and despite the claims
the state is one Of the most doubtful. Parker is
depending entirely upon the Empire state, for
without it he can not hope to win. West Virginia
and Maryland may perhaps be counted for him,
leaving Colorado and Delaware to be fought for.
IL the democrats can win in those states and carry
Indiana, where Tom Taggart is making heroic ef
FORTS and New Jersey, their nominee will come
out with 240 votes or one more than enough tol
elect
Here we have the democratic election dream in
a nutshell. Whether or not they can hope for In
diana is questionable, for the state not be fig
ured on at any time. In 1896, when Illinois gave
Mckinley more than 100000 plurality and New
York rolled up lead of 100000 for him, Indiana
gave him only $4,000 and but 5000 more four years
later The vote Of New Jersey for the past 12I
years shows that the people there voted just about
as those Of New York voted, and it is reasonable
assumption that the candidate who gets New York
will also get New Jersey. - -
The democrats are up against one very difficult
proposition, and as yet none of their spellbindersI
has offered solution of the trouble In 1885,
and 1900 Bryan was opposed by gold democrats,
who have been given the credit for the election of
the lamented Mckinley Parker this year must
contend with those Bryanites who will not heed
the tom-tom of any other candidate than Bryan.
There is bound to be apathy among those demo-
Gratis this year, but to what extent they will refuse
to support the national ticket can not be foretold