The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1904-11-02
Describing 1.-THE Develop
ments of the Week.
THEY FAvORTHE JUDGE
An Analysis of Some Forecasts That
Favor Roosevelt on the Surface
But Which are at Bottom
Prophecy Of Parker's
Election.
BY CICERO w. HARRIS.
Specia TO News and Observer


Washington. Nov. AL the Dem
ocrats here seem to regard the devel-
opments of the past week as highly
favorable to Parker and Davis A
very judicial Democratic official OF
Congress who from his position cam
not be quoted here, says that if this
week shall show as great change as
the last did there will be strong
chance of q Democratic victory InlS
gentleman has not been optimistic at
any time Among the things likely TO
make such a change are these: Judge
Harker's speeches, especially those in
Connecticut and New Jersey; the de-
Veiopment of increased strength III
Greater New York, reacting powerful
IN on States in the vicinity and upon
Indiana; the efforts of Mr.. Taggart IN
the latter State, and the continued ac-
Cession of hopefulness there among
Democrats, included in causes of
which is the discomfort of the colored
voters i'm Indianapolis with their treat
ment by the Republican party; the
fact that the pressure by the Demo-
Gratis of the burning question of high
prices of neceSSarieS of life in the
cities, while wages have not corre-
spondingly advanced will influence
and individuals of other classes pos
sessing small incomes. The Republic
cans have undoubtedly become arous-
ed and are no longer optimistic. But
is the awakening soon enough? DEM
ocratic reserve strength, in all the
doubtful States, has slowly been COM
ing out during the past few days and
il appears that it will all be brought
forward this week. A good deal more
iC c a
by both sides. The Democrats have
probably wisely husbanded their more
meagre resources until the end of the
campaign. They will use all that is
necessary and lawful in the contested
States. This will bring out the full
vote. If there shall be a general turn
out of Democrats on the day of cleo
tion the probabilities are that the
electoral ticket and the Congress will
be of the Democratic complexion.
Democrats are not over confident.
They say that their party has live
chances of victory and may win with
the earnest work now being done in
New York, Indiana, etc.
The Political Forecasts.
The forecasts of various newspa-
pers are commented on freely here
and those of closer calculators, like
the Baltimore Sun and New York Her
aid, are regarded as favorable to the
Democratic presidential ticket wher
studied carefully. Specifically they
elect Roosevelt and Fairbanks, the
former barely and the latter by {
majority not very large. The truth
is that the Herald's information from
several States does not tally with other
equally reliable news received and il
offset by that intelligence. / there
fore examine the total poll of the Her.
aid and find sufficient matter to war
rant great encouragement Not count
ing doubtful" States, the New Yorl
Papers say Roosevelt Will have 25l
votes. Parker 159. But in this calcula
ton or footing up of probabilities are
included such risky figures as those
below stated: The Herald puts dowr
as probably Republican 18 electora
votes, ; cast by Colorado. 3 by Della
ware, ) by Montana, by West Vir
ginia. Well-posted Democrats here
say that all these States are more
probably Democratic. Again, the Her
aid places in the Republican column
Connecticut, z; Idaho, 3; Indiana, 10
New Jersey, IL: Rhode Island, 4
Utah. 3; Wyoming, 3. The total of the
two lists is IS. 1t is believed tina
much the larger portion of these vote!
will be given TO Judge Parker. Thu:
Democrats count Montana as sure, ane
delaware, Idaho, Indiana, New Jersey
Rhode Island. Utah. as highly prob.
able. Besides the Herald says Nevada
is probably Democratic, whereas, here
it is claimed by Democrats as sure
Democratic State Again the Herald
gives Wyoming, which Democrats re-
gard as likely to go Democratic as q
certain Republican State 1t places
West Virginia in the Republican col,
umn, whereas Democrats make the