Daily Kennebec journal. [microfilm reel] (Augusta, Me.) 1870-1975, 1903-03-14

Illinois. If the Democrats can carry
those states, they have more than an
even chance to get Names electoral
vote.
What is the outlook for New York,
the more fundamental Democratic re-
lance? In its recent election it showed
itself a wonderfully close state, Odell
having received but 4S.05 per cent. Of
the vote against 47.41 for Coler. Elk
perience has; proved however, that
Republican national ticket in New
YORK fsn9RS4n ssSs,6ob to- $4,000 votes
strSngfE i hsasRi7a arIF*publiean state
ticlHt. This has been shown over and
oves again, Cleveland's stupendous
majority on the state ticket in 1882 al
most vanished in 1884. In 1885, 1886,
and 1887 the Democrats each time car
ried the state. only to lose it on the
presidential ticket in 1888. They even
carried it on the state ticket in that
year, the difference between the Re
publican strength of the two votes ex-
ceeding 10000. In the stupendous Re
publican landslide of 1896 the Presi
Dental candidate ran far ahead of the
Republican state ticket, while in the
off year-Roosevelt against Van
Wyck-the Democrats almost recov-
cred the state. In the Presidential
vote of 1900 there was a difference of
90, 900 between the Republican majori-
ties on the electoral and state tickets.
1t is, therefore, fair to assume from
the experience of twenty years that,
had. there been a presidential election
last November, with Odell- having
plurality of only 5000, the lead for the
head of the Presidential ticket would
haxe exceeded 10000. This is, of course,
on the assumption that national issues
and candidates will hold about the
same relation in New York interest
that they have held in the past. There
will be no Bryan and free silver in 1904,
but that the Democratic convention
can do business without some recogni-
ton of Bryan is much to be doubted.
After looking over the field in this fash
ion the Post sums up the outlook as
follows:
TT may safely be said tl1at never be-
fore in the history of the Republican
party were its prospects of success 20
months before the Presidential cleo
ton so good as they are today. Even
trines favor the Republicans. The
new electoral college will contain an
even number of votes, and, should
there be a tie the election would so to
the House of Representatives, which is
overwhelmingly Republican, and es-
peraIly so OIL the basis of each state
counting as a unit. The Republicans
are apparently in control of all the
states of the North except Nevada. In
Rhode Island the results We're divided,
but no one supposes that this state
would be lost to the Republicans in q
| Presidential Xote. Montana has re-
| Gently given Republican majority of
| 10. COO Idaho OF 5000, and Colorado of
| 1000. Maryland in spite of its election
| or Democratic senator IN tiie pei9oii
of Mr.. German. and its new ballot
| law, gave a substantial Republican
plurality on the recent congressional
vote. 1t will require a series of politi-'
cal explosions, therefore, to dislodge
the Republican party from its present
| position in season to effect the result
| in 1904. The Democrat capable of
| charging the mine and touching the
| match has not yet been spied out by
| observers in Washington"