Evening bulletin. [volume] (Honolulu [Oahu, Hawaii]) 1895-1912, 1903-12-03
A NATIONAL FORECAST.

One of the most interesting common.
taries on the New York city election
and its possible influence on the ma.
tional political game is found in one
of Walter Wellmans dispatches to the
Chicago Record-Herald about a week
before the election. Wellman in
speaking Of the interest at the White
House in the November election, said:
president Roosevelt is keenly in.
terested in next weeks elections. His
greatest anxiety is as to New York
city and the State Of Maryland. II is
admitted by administration leaders
that If Tammany carries New York
city against Low, the result will irdi.
cate that next years presidential bat
tie is to be hard.fought contest New
York state will be debatable ground,
with grave danger that the Democrats
may be able to win its electoral votes.
Should New York go Democratic in the
presidential contest, New Jersey or
Connecticut. or possibly both, might
follow suit. While this would not de.
feat Mr.. Roosevelt without the loss of
some western states usually consid.
cred Republican, 1t would make mat.
tiers uncomfortably close.
"A Tammany victory in the metrop
oils next Tuesday, indicating a pos.
sible triumph of the Democracy in the
State next year, would cheer up the
Democratic faithful in all parts of the
country. and encourage greater efforts
on their part to get together
"On account of the lack of harmony
in the opposition forces. and the ap.
parent impossibility of their finding
a man upon whom they could unite,
some of the Presidents friends have
hitherto been disposed to regard next
years campaign as mere walk over
for Mr.. Roosevelt. But IT is now ad.
mitted that a Tammany triumph next
week might greatly change the situa.
ton"
According to the result judged by
this forecast, a hard fought political
battle is in sight during the coming
year. provided the Democrats can rise
to the opportunity and present a solid
front. With New York in the doubt.
liul list the Democrats have n real
nucleus about which they may assem-
BILE reasonable hope. Roosevelt is
solid west of the Mississippi and the
Democrats are sure OF all the electoral
votes South of the Mason-DiXon line,
| Provided the Democrats can obtain a
man and a platform that will appeal to
the great pivotal States, they have q
chance Of making a fairly close fight
Another bright star on the Demo
cratic horizon is an apparent tendency
/ toward the almost invariable hard
, times that follow a period of prosper
/ ity. Searching around for a reason
the people usually decide a national
| change Is needed and turn the Demo-
/ Gratis loose to bear the brunt Of re-
/ sponsibility till they make such a mess
. Of II that the voters are glad to call
4 on the Republicans to set the country
( straight again.
! Though Wellman's forecast presents
/ n somewhat dangerous outlook for the
Republicans, his opinions are not
. sHtl'u NY lbllNlNhl l'hN'lo NA'N' ~
view of the situation seldom appears
In print. These men state privately
that President Roosevelt and the Re
publican party will have to make some
terrible mistakes in order to give the
Democrats fair chance of success
They are not so sure OF conditions ioul
years hence, when the Democrats vii
have had time to patch their broker
fences and the periodical demand roI
o change may arrive.