The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1903-07-17
GLOOMY VIEW ~ PEkIN-
There Russia's Policy Is Considered Warlike
and MenacIng.
Special Gable Despatch to THE sun,

Special Gable Despatch 10 The Sun.
PEEIN, July 1s,-Cnusual st agnation pre-
walls in Chinese foreign politics, as though
affairs were presaging or awaiting the long
expected real crisis through Russia. who,
alleging 10 he Chna's only real friend, is
nov threa' ening her dissolution by the exc
c'ton Of war plans, (which, If successful.
will probably defeat the career Of America
and Great Britain in eastern Asia
The action Of NJ Lessar, following his
arrival frou the conference at Port Arthur,
IL awaited for the first authentic demon
s'ration Of the plans adopted by the Port
Arthur conference, but there are several
reasons that are accepted as indicating
FIssia's desire for war.
The first of these is that Russia fears that
America will be strong enough in a few
years to compel tho integrity Of the open
door; the second. that she relies upon her
traditional friendship with the United Stat ~
and Americas present foreign policy for
neutrality, and third that she relies upon
Germany and probably France to prevent
Japan IRON occupying Corea in case Of
war.
Meanwhile, advices fromNa high official
source az NewChwang contain the following
fherences which were gained from mem
Der of the Port Arthur conference imme-
dlately after its adjournment
rlISl, that Russia expects to hold fast
~ all MaAchuria; second, that she wants
war as an excuse for the permanent oc-
clpa'lon Of Manchuria, and that her hos
.Ie preparations are already about com
Peted; third that she intends To prevent
Japan from becoming first-Class Power
SS'u continual menace on her Pacific
rontier, and will, therefore, whip her once
or ALL and that Immediately; fourth, she
nrUeEeS thar her feet is strong enough
10 defeat the Japanese, but does not ex-
pecI TO Use 1t except for defence, she not
Intending to risk a large naval engage
WW"nl and, fifth, Gen. kouropatkin. Russian
'WI'sier OF War, has not attempted among
Gs Trends 10 Disguise his contempt for
He Japanese Army, which he observed
"tTrihH his recent visit to Japan.
"" Russians in Manchuria regard the
"aPahNse as having no originality, as being
"nlorrernI, and AS being unqualified for
luminous warfare with Russia. Russia
ncohhd"nt that Japan will receive no sup
R"rt from any other Power, while the
nlIed States and Grea, Rr itain will he
mere Observers
practically admitted that a comhina-
,nn oI these three Powers could prevent
m" CARRYING ont OF the Russian plans, but
S ~N Combination is not expected. There
, ,, II the action Of these Powers promises
S Z" provoke war, which would be- surely
moved by the ACKNOWLEDGMENT of China :,
.cS'l"n TO Russia will vanish, Japan
mml ur'erorate, and England will be pre-
wye" from occupying the Yangtse Valley
a. member of tho Port Arhu; conference
,t"hrns that China has already agreed
sds VA" '"rms proposed by Russia. He
wn S 'ai Foreigners in Manchuria expect
fo a, 1t is Also minated that the con-
ro'HH," probably organized n government
tb Mdhchurla, and that Admiral AleXieh
ao r commander of the Russian forces IN
n n"Si@rn Asia, probably will be soon APP
w. also said that If Japan refuses to GO
!" val the crisis will be over.