The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1903-10-25
Roth SIDES CIPHER VICTORY,
FrsIONISTS SAY BY $4,000: MUIR
PLY MAKES NO FIGURES.
INT 10000 Plurality for Mcclellan II what
the Tammany Men Talk About--Bet-
ting Inching Up 10 Favor LOw-No
Republican Stay.at.Homes This Year.

RepuOllcan stay.at'fiOmeS THIS Year.
With the closing week of the municipal
campaign at hand, the Citizens Union cap
tains and the Republican major-generals
believe that the Low ieket is far in tn e
van; on the other side. Leader Charles
r. Murphy and his friends believe that the
Mcclellan ticket is a sure winner.
Eminent fusionists predicted yesterday
that McClellan's plurality in the ,roughs
Of Manhattan and The Bronx would not be
over 10000, and that Low would carry
Broc klyn by anywhere from 10000 to $4,000
plurality, and would win on election day
BY not less than Is 900 plurality in the greater
city. Leader Murphy was not disposed
to put his claims into figures, but some OF
his friends said that Mcclellan VIC uld have
. plurality in Manhattan and The Bror K
OF O.. 900; that he would carry Queens and
Richmond, and that Low would not get over
5000 plurality in Broo klyn, which would
elect Mcclellan by over 10000.
There is a difference of opinion in the
two camps as to which year the political
marhematicians should takefor their guide
in making prophecies this year. The flu
sion people say that 1901 should be taken
as guide, inesrnuch as j, "a municipal
campaign year in which stiitt party lines
were not drawn. The Democrats, on the
cont rary, stick to the figures Of last year,
when there was a st riot party fight between
Coler, the Democratic candidate for Gov
ernor, and N!ell, tho Republican canGi-
date
The fusor list and their Republican allies,
hoi ,lo;, hot
he elected by certainly not less than $4,000
plurality, point out that in 1901 Edward
" Shepard the Democratic cane idate
'or Mayor against Mr.. Low, carried only
one borough. that of Queens. and this only
nv the slender plurality Of SOL; whereas
Low, Mr. Shepard's fusion opponent,
carried Manhattan and The Bronx by 5,687,
Brooklyn by 25,7s7 and Richmond by 1853.
making a total plurality in all the city of
s2,75a
Then the f,'s!onists ask if Mcclellan is
stronger candidate than Shepard was in
1901, and almost to man they say no, and
they point that Shepard, if any Democrat,
could have been relied upon to capture the
independent Democratic vote of Brooklyn.
The f,isionists say that Low is very much
stronger III DIOOhlNil IMAM lie lNo StuiS
ago. because of the land improvements in
South Brooklyn and the lessened taxes.
The fusioniss also rely to a great extent
oil the attitude of Hugh Mclaughlin and his
friends toward the Mcclellan ticket.
The Democrats point out that Coler car
riei the entire city by plurality over Odell
OF i22 ,533. as follows, The boroughs of Man
haitian and The Bronx, se,6Oi; Brooklyn.
2s,5ll; Queens, 7,lsO; Richmond, 1855.
The Democrats, speaking of Broo kyn,
say hat it was demonstrated in 1901 that
no Democrat, no ma ter who he is, can carry
the borough o. Brooklyn in a Mnyoralty
tight. They admit that there is a vast indie
pendent spirit IN oCkyn and that this
independent sentiment always comes out
in municipal campaigns, whereas in Glher-
Material and Presidential years it is almost
entirely forgotten, as illustrated by the
plurality for Coler in Brooklyn last year.
Whereas Low, in the Mayoralty fight in
1901, carried Brooklyn by 25.367, this was
entirely oblterated in the Gubernatorial
campaign in 1902, when Coler carried Brock
Ign by 20,5li.
The Democrats note that Charles A. Schie-
rem was almost as popular Republican in
BROOKLYN as Mr.. Low has ever been, and
that Schieren carried Brooklyn by the
heaviest Republican plurality III the history
of that city in a Republican Mayoralty
fight. This was in 1893, when Mr., Schieren
carried Brooklyn by 80 900 plurality: but
hs was aided, it is insisted, by Democrats
who were angry against the Ee nocratic
Mayor, David A. Body up for reelection,
because he had signed the resolutions OF
the Board OF Aldermen permitting the
trolleys to grioiiron Brooklyn. Tie troll
leyizing OF Brooklyn at that time was very
unpopular. and Republicans and Demo-
Gratis joined in defeating Mr. Body.
Reports as to the situation in Brooklyn
are to the effect that the districts III South
Brooklyn are very strongly. IN favor OF
Mr.. Low, while the districts in the + lstern
District, or old Williamsburg, part OF which
is still known as Old Dutchtown, are more
favorable to Mr. Mcclellan than they were
10 ,epard in 1901.
Leader Murphy's friends. besing their
calculations on 1902. declare that Mcclellan
will carry all the boroughs, just as Coler
did last year. and they go on TO say that
the vote for Coler last year represented an
min!strations which If anything, has been
Intensified within the past year. II was
known last year, though, that 10000 Re-
publicans were stay homes, but there is
no such showing this year In the
Republican districts you may find dis
satisfaction with Mr.. Lows administration,
bu, rot to the extent OF personal Feeling that
was shown against Gov, Odell last year.
The Democrats are bending all their
energies toward making the hight clear
cut one between themselves and the he
publicans. but up TO this time, in the oplnio n
Of conservative people. they have been
hardly successful, and many folks have an
IDEA that the Mcclellan ticket fro m the start
has been on the defensive. And then there
i, the betting, which some days Is even on
Low and Mcclellan, and the next day the
Odds are against Mcclellan Old sports
men said yesterday that lust as III 1901 the
indication pointed to Odds Of II to 7 or 10
TO . IN favor Of Low before this week is
out
Of course, almost every vote that Devery
gets viii lie taken from Tammnny Hall
and there are wide differences as to the
Devcry vote, some putting II at 5,OOo, ana
very few putting II above lO,OOo: But
IN a year like tits there are many Demo-
cr}ts who say Mcclellan cannot spare many
votes 10 Devery,
RI the Democrats vote their ticket
Met elan will be elected, is a saying that
YOU will hear in all Of the boroughs' ara
this statement is made with run under
Sanding Of the attitude Of Hr. Mclaughlin
and his frier de- toward the Mctlel Ian ticket
Bur then, this saying ID based entirely
npou the returns IL 1909. " anything ike
the sediment prevails this year that pre-
vailed in 1901, II is calm ard dIsEassio1ate