Twice-a-week plain dealer. (Cresco, Howard County, Iowa) 1895-1913, 1903-01-23

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~ Timber Chances Of Demo- u.
cratic Victory - - - II
H II II II
other men on the Democratic ticnc.
met with defeat thus proving his great
popularity.
s The fact that Judge Parker is prac-
teal farmer will have a tendency to in
crease his popularity. He owns and
lives upon farm of 14O acres on the
banks of the Hudson. His place is
called Rqsemont, and there he spends
all the time which he can snatch from
his judicial labors and is neither ashiln-
ed nor afraid to work with his own
hands, as did that other great New
York Democrat, Silas Wright.
While not enthusiastic as to the Dem
ocratic platforms of 1896 and 1900,
Judge Parker supported Bryan man
fully and in good faith in both those
campaigns.
Those who are acquainted with him
declare him to be genial and lovable,
yet possessing the reserve and dignity
becoming In one holding high judicial
position.
Perhaps Judge Parker is the Demo
cratic Moses, to borrow a popular
phrase-the Democratic Joshua. more
properly speaking, for it was Joshua
and not Moses who took possession of
the promised land.
Declines.
King Solomon said, .There is nothing
new under the sum- but this new thing
has happened nevertheless: A Republic
an statesman declines a good fat office.
Hon. William a. Taft, governor gener-
al Of the Philippines, declines to sue
coed Mr.. Justice Shiras on the supreme
bench because Of q sense of duty to fin
ish his work in the orient. The place
has been rendered Hon. William r.
Day, now a United States circuit judge
in Ohio. who succeeded John Sherman
as secretary Of state and who helped
negotiate the treaty of Paris, which has
given us lots Of trouble and which is
perhaps destined to give us more than
any other document created since the
world began. Judge Day is a man of
fair capacity and high character. He
was a special friend and pet of Presi-
dent Mckinley and will do as we'll for
supreme judge as most Republicans.
Democratic Chances.
II no more states are admitted, there
will in 1904 be 476 votes in the elect
oral college. Two hundred and thirty
nine will be required to elect presi-
dent and vice president. VIZ
In 1902 the Democrats carried Ala
bama With 1 electoral votes, Arkansas
with Q, Florida with 5, Georgia with
Is, Kentucky with 49,. Louisiana with
8, Mississippi with 10. Missouri with
Is, Nevada with 8, North Carolina
with u, Rhode Island with a, South
Carolina with 0, Tennessee with 70,
Texas with 10 and Virginia with 70,
aggregating 1913.
Therefore in order to elect presi-
dent and vice president In 1904 the
Democrats must hold the states they
have and in addition thereto carry
enough states to give them 81 more
electoral votes.
Can they do it? The chances are
fairly good for them to do so. Most
sassuredly we are not without hope in
] the world.
In what states have we the best
prospects Of securing the 81 extra
electors? !.
From 1900 to 1902 the Republican
ma1orities shrank In the following
states by more than one half (any-
thing approaching a like shrinkage in
1904 will land every one Of them in the
Democratic column) In w Wisconsin from
106,5S1 to ~, 500, in New York from
7143, COG e8,803, in New Jersey from
$500 to II, 1873, In California from
z 80, TO to 1850, in Pennsylvania from
28S,433 to- 15G,41O, in Michigan from
s1O4,584 to 81, 184, In Massachuset
from 81, 1863 to 37,12O, In New Hamp-
shire from 1914 to s,271. -
Those states have 142 electoral votes,
81 more than we need.
No man in his senses expects Penn
sylyania to 60 Democratic; hence the
"a votes OF the keystone State ought
to be subtracted from the 81, which
leaves 81 more than we need.
But In discussing the possibilities
and the probabilities Of 1904 the 4.
votes OF Connecticut and the s votes
of Maryland ought to be added to the
~, making AZ more than we need. for,
while their Republican majorities did
not fall of 30 per cent or more, Con-
necticut's fell from 2s, $40 to l6, 1O7 and
Maryland.s from 1891 to 8,5OS the
latter figures being the net majority on
congressman in 1902, there being no
state ticket. In calculating the chances
1t must also be rememb ered that both
Connecticut and Maryland are normal
~ Democratic states and 60 Republic
an only in moments Of temporary aber-
ration. a..
Here 10 Food For Thought.
There is another group OF states
npon which the gentleman from Ohio
should fix his eagle eye when he next
essays the role Of seer. The small Re-
publican majorities which they gave
last year Will furnish him much food
for thought when he takes out his pen
Gil and his pad to record his prognos-
tcations for 1904. In 1902 the Repub-
Leans 3carrih Delaware by 1853, Mon
tana by 10, 4SG, Nebraska by 1856,
Utah by 4s7S1, West Virginia by Il, 773,,
Idaho by $3.50, Colorado by 1925,
Wyoming by 4,466.
Any or NIL Of those states may go