The St. Louis Republic., 1903-12-30
Woodward Doctor Eugene Saunders. Doc
tor H. S. p. I.are and Doctor II Grfswold
ComStock.
PROFESSOR F. E. NIPHER
ON THE TROTTING HORSE.

Professor F. +. Nipher in his address
said, in part:
"About twenty years ago the writer de-
duced an equation representing the rela-
tion between the record speed of the trot-
ting horse and the time, estimated from
amy assumed date. This equation was
not obtained from the actually observed
times when. the record had been broken.
It took no account of Individual cases.
THE date when any given speed. as,
say, 2:3O,. originated was determined by
| capable of making that speed or better.
At some date the first horse of this class
would appear. Each successive year the
numher 9. horses of this class increases.
The law of such increase can easily be
determined by graphical or mathematical
methods. In this way the date when the
can be determined by means of this curve
of increase t. r@i'- -
Knowing the dates for the origin of
each speed. the relation was shown to be
published, giving the speed for any given
gate. Recently this curve was plotted
from 1870 to date and the performance of
every horse which has broken the record
since 1875 was put on the diagram. A
very interesting fact was at once OBJ
served. The increase in speed is not con-
unuous. but proceeds by sudden and rapid
changes. separated from each other by in
tervals of no change. The horse will be
pehlhd The speed computed from the equa-
ton, and some horse, usually in rivalry
with another. will perhaps in "A single
year put the horse ahead OF The COM
puted speed. 81
RECORDS OF HORSES.
In 1853 the horse was about three sec
onds behind the computed speed In that
year Highland Maid advanced one sec
9nd, and from 1856 to 1853 Flora Temple
mad carried the recond ahead six and a
,ysr ,~l.,..n Il.
speed. .fF7E -. 20
In 1867 Dexter found the horse again
ABOUT LIS behind and in two races during
that summer. placed the horse LIS head
OF the computed speed. In 1871 Goldsmith
Maid found the horse behind nearly a Sec
end and by 1874 put the horse ahead Of
me m, &c, computed speed by about 2.25 seconds.
Mhen Rarus appeared in 1875 the horse
was again nearly a second behind, and
r;;.p R;arns: ST. Julian, Jay, Eye See were in
.Lhey not only kept the record from fall
ing sun further behind, but in 1885 Maud
2. hnally sent the record ahead of the
computed speed about L5 seconds -
IN 1881 Sunol again found the horse
slightly behind the computed speed and
advanced him half second During the
next next year Nancy Hanks appeared and
sent the horse ahead again. During this
year appeared also q marked discontinue
y IN the evolution of the running gear
improvements IN had been constantly made
,9,n - ssnahy uuiiHS All OF the time from
is9o TO 1872 At this latter date the mod
ern suiky with pneumatic tire, 2SLinch
Wheel and ball bearings was first used.
WIN this running gear Nancy Hanks
placed the horse a little over three sec
Vnas s1s,s ahead OF the prediction. and in 1894
Alix lowered this record a quarter of a
second more .t.-i y.
LATEST RECORD MADE
SIX years later the present generation
| of trotters began. The Abbot lowered
the time Of Aix by half a second, and
then began the contest between Cresceus
| and Lou Dillon. which has resulted I'm
putting the trotting horse 45s seconds
ahead of the predicted speed
These successive generations of horses
nave changed the record as follows:
Flora Temple .....:s25 MAUD, ............5:aS