The daily morning journal and courier., 1903-07-06
SUCCESSOR TO THE PAPACY
ALL KINDS OF SPECULATION
 ALREADY RIFE IN ROME.

Opinions Much Divided Owing to Many
 Interests Which WiI be Affeoted--
 First Question Tor Cardinals to De-
 eide wili be whother tho Conclaye
 shall be Held In Rome or Outside of
 Italy.
 Rome, July 5.-All kinds of specula- tion are already in circulation as to the probable successor to the throne of St Peter Opinions are much divided ow- ing to the many interests which will be affected according to the choice made by the Sacred College. The first ques- ton the cardinals will have to solve will be. whether the conclaye shall be held in Rome or outside If Italy. It is believed that the supporters of the idea of abandoning Rome will be even fewer than in the conclave held after the death of Plus K, when thirty two out of thirty-seven cardinals voted in favor of Rome. The second question will be whether the next pope be an Italian 3or a foreigner It is generally believed that he will be an Italian because in view Of the struggle between the church and the state since the fall of the tenn poral power and the constitution of United Italy all the clergy as well as the clerical party and even foreigners think that an Italian pope can protect better than stranger the advance of the religious and political interests of the church. The candidates chiefly spoken of are Cardinal Rampolla, and Cardinal seranfo Vannutelli They are both representativ of the conserva- tive policy, but are bitter antagonists of each other. Cardinal Rampolla is a very warm Francoppillo, while Car dinal Vannutelli is against the policy inaugurated by the present pontifical secretary of state, of assuming the power to which lie has adhered for fif- teen years. The most probable liberal candidates are Cardinal Bishop Ogliar- di and Cardinal Priest setolli, whose breadth of office and loy of modern ideas have been strengthened during his stay in America. The most proba- ble religious candidates are Cardinal Priest Gotti, who would carefully avoid mixing up in politics, and Cardinal Priest Andelo di Pietro, who also has the very desirable requisite of old age,
 being seventy five years old. All these candidates live in Rome but a strong party which might include good many foreign cardinals advocates the elec- tion of cardinal who is not a mem Der of the Curia, such as Cardinal Sato,
 Patriarch of Venice, Cardinal Ferrori, archbishop of Milan, both intransigeant, or Cardinal Capecelatro, archbishop of Capua, who is perhaps the most learn ed man of the Sacred College and has conciliatory ideas. ,,
 1t is believed that the first ballot will merely be test in which nobody will be elected, but it will be used to see which way the wind blows. It is con- sidered certain that if Cardinal Ram polio sees the impossibiility of succeed ing to the pontificial throne, he will | tllO"s III ldNOI OL outsider, with a view to preserving his candidacy for the next conclave. Un-
 der these circumstances it is supposed that Cardinal Oreglia. dean of the sac red college, will be chosen as he is sev- enty-five years old and lately had a serious attack of pneumonia.
 1 All these plans, especially those drawn up by the cardinals of the curia, may be disturbed by the attitude of the cardi-
 nals coming from outside Rome, princi- | pally foreigners. Things might be
 pushed to such point as to induce a portion of the Italians from the prov l inces to ally with the foreign cardinals, ! in which case alone there might be a
 possibility of foreign pope. However,
 no French or Spanish cardinal could l command the votes of the Germans or English or vice versa; so that if an op- I portunity arises for a foreign cardinal
 to be chosen the most members of the college think that the only one who
 could obtain the prescribed majority is Cardinal Gibbons. t