The Washington times. [volume] (Washington [D.C.]) 1902-1939, 1903-02-08

objection that italy might be disposed
to raise. There remains Austria Has
Austria been first isolated. and then
squared with promise Of servta OF
otherwise
Servia Allotted to Austria.
That question is the ultimate pivot
OF the situation and although the actual
facts are secrets in the breasts of for
eign ministers, there are certain indica-
lions from which any observer can draw
his own conclusions. We may safely say
that Count Lamsdorff's tour resulted liz
some arrangement with Austria The ar
rangemeHt must have been TO make war
or keep peace, or to put joint pressure
on the Sultan
There have been plenty OF semi-of-
fetal limitations that the object OF the
arrangement was to compel the eXcitabIc
BuIgarians 10 keep quiet, restrict the
operations of The Macedonian committee
and enjoin the Sultan to set his house II
order But in that case. why was Count
Ignatief allowed 10 make inHammatory
speeches al Shipka Pass. His tour and
Count Lamsd0rff-s tour. considered side
by side, illuminate each other, The the
ory that a Macedonian rising is not only
anticipated, but has been arranged for.
is the only theory that fits all the facts
The Possible Program.
The course of events will be some
what as follows: The program Of re
forms which Russia France and Austria
have pressed upon the Sultan will rot
be carried out. The SHOWS viii melt, and
the insurgents viii take TO the noun
tains. The rising viii be put down. and
the bloodshed involved will be exagger-
ated. The Macedonian committee will
no longer be held back. Bulgaria viii
come to the rescue of Macedonia. and
Russia will have to come to the rescue
OF Bulgaria. Austria will have to stand
aside, keeping in the ring and await
ing the stipulated reward OF a var like
the last one.
Duel Between Russia and Turkey.
THE war will be duel between Rus
sia and Turkey, but please do not fmas-
inc that the result Of such a war is 9
foregone conclusion. Whatever may be
inefficient in Turkey. the army is Ell
Client tt is far better army than TWEEN
ty-fve years ago, and even then II wa:
quite good enough to have won if the
generals had been allowed q free hand
History may repeat itself IN this respect
sr1
wear Russia out
The Russian army may be bigger but
there viii hardly he more fighting men
in the line so far from the base. while
the only Russians for whose fighting
qualities the Turks have any respect are
those Of the Imperial Guard The main
difference between the conditions then
and now Is that then Turkey had COM
mand Of the sea Now Russia has il. but
unless Russia can carry the Bosphofu.
by a coup de main, which in view of the
Notifications is improbable the differ
ence viii not Eave much practical i'm
p0Ttance- The sea power viii not enable
the Russians to land an army IN the
vicinity Of the capital There are nc
harbors available. and rocks and shoals
abound Failing the darkening Of coun-
sci IL the palace Of the Porte, the wa,
VIII more likely end IL a stalemate thar
IN any other fashion
England Awakening.
The truth is that the whole situation
is only Just beginning TO impress ftseI
upon EngIishmen. There has been n,
sign thus far of any popular deman,
that Great Britain should interpos
forcibly to thwart Russia's ambition. /
is assumed, OF course, that EsvPr vii
fall 10 England's lot. but is it probable
that France viii gracefully acquiesce
Il she does, where viii she get a lib
ersl share of the spoils which it is Ger
tain she VIII demand Even her boast
ed friendship for Russia can hardly h
relied upon to induce her to remain
empty handed
But Russia is not yet in Constantine
PIE. and If the Turkish gentleman abov
quoted is right in his judgment. it vii
be q long time before she gets there
The point for immediate consideration
Is the Indication. which grows stronge
every day. thai she has decided to pu
the issue 10 the test, and that beCor
the year is much older