The Guthrie daily leader. [volume] (Guthrie, Okla.) 1893-1996, 1903-03-23
HARD FIGHTING
FOR DEMOCRATS
They Will Have
to Hustle
SOME PERTINENT FIGURES
Odds VIII be Much Against
Them in Number OF
Years
SOME PERTINENT FIGURES

WASHINGTON, D. c.. March ga
In The discussion OF the possibilities Of
the next contest for the presidency.
the fact that the odds in 1904 will be
more strongly against the Democrats
than they have been for number OF
years seems to have been pretty gen
orally overlooked BY this / mean thar
the electoral college conditions will be
5liicrent The census OF 1900 operated
TO Increase the number of members OF
the electoral college in such way
thai The Republican states Of the north
gain at the expense Of the states which
are considered reliably rrpocratc.
Number Votes in College
Since 1891 the electoral vote has
been 447 The electoral college for
1s04 will consist Of 476 votes--that is,
one for each senator and representa-
tive 10 congress. the number OF cleo
aOral votes necessary to a choice und-
~er the appointment was 224; under
the new. the winner will have to have
z3e, clear majority Of the electoral
college
'rhe thirteen states comprising what
Is known as the solid south will have
EB1 votes in the electoral college. This
aenves gS votes necessary 20 Demo
cratic success. all Of which will have
m come from states that in recent
years have been going Republican.
-Thw states included in the sure list are
Alabama Arkansas. Florida. Georgia.
Nentuclsy. Louisiana. Mississippi, Mis-
szDuri, North Carolina, South Carolina,
xeDnessee, Texas, and Virginia.
About the only two other states
which can be considered reasonably
Democraiic in the light Of more recent
'elnetlons are Nevada with three cleo.
asga' votes and Maryldcd with eight
Thesc two would bring the total up to
ar3 ar n less than the requisite ma
Sufity
Could Lose New York and Others
1t will be apparent from this that
abe Republicans could lose New York
with its 80 electoral votes and any
other one state -even Pennsylvania OF
Illinois and yet be victorious Poll
aicians have always in the past figured
chat New York was really the deciding
state. because as New York went. sc
went Connecticut and New Jersey bu
gshe Democrats under the new appor
itlonxnent could not win with the soliC
rsa1ah and New York, New Jersey anc
CONNECTICUT
New Jersey Is apparealy yer!
.Rtrongiy Republican these days; Wes
Virginia Is more so Delaware viii
grobsbly remain In the Republican
eeolumn as the result of the recent get
tlAE bogether Of the two Republican
ifa1tsmm indiana, whoch used to b.
very doubtful. must be classed as re
publican except in the face Of a Dem
socratic tidal wave
II fhe Democrats carry New Ycr
New Jersey and Connecticut they mus
stnl have nineteen electoral vote:
The EtAtes from which they can bees
nope TO get these votes are California
Colorado. Idaho Montana, Nebrask
and perhaps Rhode Island, which re
Gently went Democratic on local is
aOes.
s-idal Wave Seems Necessary.
Under present conditions IL must b
apparent therefore that the Democrat
flsSrder TO win in 1904 must be aide
by such tidal wave OF retenment q
ward Republican rule as win swee
finto the Democratic column state
which are. under normal conditions, /
liahiy Republican. This fact must !
taken into consideration by the Den
Dcrats in preparing for their campaig
There must not only De complete Der
oeraiic harmony. but the campae
most be one which will draw substa
nagy from the Republican side In
number Of states which are certain
Republican.