The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1903-10-30
How Will the Tide Run on the Third
Of November?

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How VIII the Tide Run on the Third
OF November?
In the city of New York but single
issue will be presented next Tuesday
to the voter, the issue, namely, OF good
versus bad municipal government. In
many other parts Of the Union, however,
party lines are sharply drawn, and the
outcome of the elections will indicate the
drift Of public sentiment.
So far indeed, as Iowa and Mississippi
! are concerned, the result is open to no
doubt. In the former State Gov
ernor ALBERT D. CUMM1Ns is certain
to be reelected, and in the latter Mr..
JAMES X. VARDAMAN, having carried
the Democratic primaries, will be chosen
Governor. We also take for granted
that in Massachusetts Governor JOHN
l.. BATES will be reelected, although the
friends of his Democratic opponent
Mr.. WILLIAM A. CASTOR, have put Of
late a good deal of energy into their
canvass. and profess to be able to cut
down materially the Republican plu-
rality, which, last year was about $1,000
1t should be noted that in this State
the Republican plurality has steadily
declined since 1896 In that year Mr..
McKINLEY's plurality was, in round
numbers, 17s,OOO but it shrank in 1900
to 1000. Should Governor BATES re-
ceive considerably fewer votes this year
than he did last, when his plurality was
only about half that of Mr.. MckINLEY's
in 1900, theSe would be some ground for
the belief that the tide has turned. and
that, with q candidate at once conserv-
alive and popular, the Democrats would
have a chance OF carrying even the old
Bay State in 1904. The fact should be
kept in view that In Massachusetts there
will be Prohibitionist Socialist and
Socialist Labor candidates for the Gov
ernorship, and that, of these, the latter
two are expected to draw votes mainly
from the Democratic party.
In Rhode Island, also, there are four
nominees for the Governorship, tho
Prohibitionists and Socialists having
put forward candidates. As the Legis-
lature to be elected this year will fill
the seat in the United States Senate
now occupied by Mr.. ALDR1cH, the Re-
publicaus are deeply concerned In the
contest, and may be able to prevent
the reelection OF Governor LuorUs F.
c. GARvIN, who, last year, obtained
a plurality Of about 1000.
In Ohio, Mayor Tom l.. JOHNSON, the
Democratic candidate for the Governor
ship, does not even profess to expect
10 defeat Mr.. MYRoN T. HERRICK, his
Republican opponent. In Ohio unlike
New York and Massachusetts, the Re-
publican plurality has increased beu-
nially since 1896, when the State gave
Mr.. MCKINLEY 81, $40 more votes than il
gave Mr.. BRYAN In 1893 the Republic
can plurality was 81 ,l39 in 1900 it was
69, O38, and in 1902 it rose to 9O,465. In
view Of such a record, Mr. JOHNSON is
undoubtedly right in regarding his
attainment of the Governorship as hope
less, and if he has prosecuted his can
vass with remarkable energy, it has been
with an eye to controlling the Legisla-
ture which will elect Senator HANNA's
successor Mr. JOHN H. CLARKE, who
was nominated for Senator by the Demo-
cratic State convention, has been a
stalwart Gold Democrat, and it will be
interesting to observe whether he Sue
ceeds in polling the whole of the Bryanite
vote If he does the consolidation of
the Democratic party under a Gold
Democratic leader will have proved
to be practicable.
The outcome of the contest in Mary.
land will be watched with anxiety by
the friends Of Senator GoRMAN, for,
should the Democrats fail to elect their
candidate for Governor and TO secure
control Of the Legislature that chooses
a Successor to Senator MCCOMAs, Mr.,
GoRMAN's influence over the Demo-
cratic minority in the United States
Senate and in the Democratic national
convention will be- sensibly weakened.
II seems to be generally acknowledged
that the new election law, which has
provided "A complicated ballot, will
have the intended effect VI diminishing
the negro vote, but, on the other hand,
the keputhlcaDs have made Of late years
such considerable gains through white
emigration Ia the western part Ot the !
state that they count upon reaching tho |
city u Baltimore with plurality III |
about rom Whether the Democrats |
III The oity, who prepohderate over tho
ay0wsd Iepublioans, can overcome tho |
small plurality named depends upon
the question whether they naD gain
about "a third ~ the independent vote,
which holds the baIaBn. ~ power, II |
ia. Republicans should carry Maryland
this year Nr hOOsEyELT viii, u course,
expect "a rspoai his predecessors er-
L..