The St. Louis Republic., 1903-09-21
FIRST MASON NO
OHE-TO-TWO SHOT,
Son of Manola Mason Should Win
Last Event, but Flintlock
Has Chance.
LORD HERMENCE is BEST.
Third Event Should Go to Dan
iels's Colt, but F. Smith
Is Bad Rider-0th-
er Events.

First Mason and F1intlocl1 will tie up in
the last race at Delrnar to-day With the
aureola of being McChesney's half-brother
about him. First Mason will be a 1-to-2
shot, when he should be TO 5.
On Taby Tosa'S defeat of First Mason
and Taby Tosa's three hard races with
Flintlock. FlIntlcck should come close to
winning to-day. Taby Tosa beat First
Mason easier and by safer margins than
he ever beat Flintlock
fFfrst Mason is fast and probably a
much more valuable horse than Flintlock:
but he is green. unseasoned colt, while
Fhntlock is thoroughly seasoned horse
and is at his best just now. Then First
Mason is a front runner and will set the
pace. This will suit FIintlock to a ricety.
TO BEAT oNE-TO-Two SHOTS
Another thing in F1intlock's favor will
be that he will not be favorite. Singular
as il may seem, horses stand better
chances of being beaten when they arc
prohibitive favorites than otherwise. They
may run their races to the notch. even
'outrun themselves" to use a track
phrase. but it is a fact that it is much
harder to win at l to than at to L
Dick Welles was l to one day to beat
A D. Gibson. at 10 to l. weIles was away
well ana ran his best race. yet was driven
hard to beat Gibson head Gibson outran
himself Many horses do outrun them
keives when running at a 1-to-2 shot.
4 The writer thinks First Mason will win
sn6 that he is the best horse. But he is
not 1-to-2 shot or 4-to-5 shot. Flint
lock lock is YER liable to beat him. 1-to-2
shot means an almost certain winner
horse who breeZss in. He who ex
poets 10 see First Mason breeze to-day
will suffer disappointment.
Again. First Mason has beaten but two
bad horses. Beiyino. whom every one has
beaten and Custus. 800 platter. The
oenly fair fair platter ne has met has been
The son of aIanola Mason is green and
seems to be tucked more than he should.
He ought TO win but it is not a cinch.
TWO INCONSISTENT MARES.
Montana Peeress and Revenge Dare
should have the fifth race between them.
Neither of them runs consistently, and
either is liable to beat the other. 1t does
not seem Likely that they will be split
Yana has worked very fast is dig and
strong as can be- and may come home
alone. She is not l00-to-l shot. Her last
race was not true one, as she never had
chance after she got of.
This mare is a bad actor and seldom
starts. hence she must have a chance
when she goes to the post. After the Ball
has not shown her true form here. She
displayed speed under Castro one day.
She is liable to come off to-day.
FRANK BELL AND STAND PAT.
Frank Bell should win the fourth race
on the dry. Stand Pat may give him an
argument. and if the track is soft may
beat him. Hilee is not in form, but the fast
track may suit him better than the slow
one of Saturday. Forehand is good col:
but can scarce concede the weight to the
other, especially Stand Pat to whom he
Is asked TO give eight pounds.
r. SMITHS BAD RIDING.
F. Smith seems to have passed up his
contract to ride winners for Mr. Daniels
ana signed one to ride losers for some
body else.
cay he will win. II he does not win the
fault will lie with Smith. All this with
one proyiso: That Mr. Watkins does not
improve Hugh MCGOWAN seventy-five
bounds since last Saturday.
+ MCGOWAN plainly lacked something last
saturday and ran a bad race. Mr.. Wat
klns Is clever man with a horse and II
Is quite within the limit CT the possibili-
ties that he can improve him enough to
W.n here; Mr.. Watkins has run his horses
very Wen and close to form, but evidently
las been soured by his races against
Riunland at kinloch, and may try to emu
late that clever money-maker, Mr.. Gold
Mr.. Watkins is probably too clever and
[easohabIe man to pull 1t off with Nc
oO"aH tc-udy. RelyinE upon Mr.. Wat
klns prudence AMI app-e eciision of the
fitness of things, it prjbably viii be safe
10 bet on Lord Hermeaca. Wreath Of Ivy
snouId De a certain second and Hugh Nc
GoWan an excellent last
WIN Shelly outclas.scs the lot In the
second race and should win. My Surprises
siSeeo VIII stand him IN hanl. and lie Is
sure to be up there. Hsnlock has a chance
II ne runs his best race but g not much
account. Shelly can win If everything goes
TO suit him
PHILLIDA A GOOD THING.
Phillida will be good thing in the first,
and 1t is said that she is a real eood 1lIy
Nellie Cromwell and c. Ache look IKE
better ones, however, on what has been
Ashown. Hoedown has a chance. and Fond
Memory is said to be fast, while Mon
Chere has broken watches in works WiIJ
McDaniel scarce would carry a had one
All summer. and he has Mon Chere win
MIN now. Mr.. Mcdaniel is not noted for
packing bad ones around in his stable