Evening star., 1902-08-13
CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK
Republicans Expect to Lose a
Few Seats.
DETECTION TN WEST
THEY WILL RETAIN THE HOUSE,
HOWEVER.
Wall Street Helping the Democrats
for Fear of 5Anti-Trust
Legislation.
DETECTION In WEST
Special from a Staff Correspondent

| Special rom Staff Correspondent
NEW YORK, August 13--In conversation
with republican politicians who have drift
| ed into New York within the past ten days
| l gather that there are some localities
| where it is not altogether plain sailing for
| the republicans in the congressional cleo
| tions of next fall. At this season of the
year every body comes to New York some
| time. 1t is the great relay house between
| the bounding west and he}summer resorts
| of the east and north. Refreshment for
| man and beast is furnished, and after bed
| ding down the cattle and stirring up the
camp fire there is time for talk.
Between the Fifth Avenue Hotel and the
Waldorf, taking in a few old-fashioned
places that refuse to go out of business,
you will meet at one time another al
| most everybody you want to know. More
statesmen and politicians than you can
shake a stick at, as we'll as men prominent
in the financial and business world.
The politicians from whom l have alb
sorbed the idea that it is going to be hard
shedding and no signs of snow for the re-
publicans, in some places do not admit
that the next House is to be democratic.
They are reasonably confident the republi-
cans will win, but they are frank enough
to say that there are districts that will
have to be won with figf4. | don't know
how the national managers feel on the
subject, for they don't talk. The stories |
| hear are not dealt out by the republican
congressional committee sbut come from
the workers in the field, csrgressmen and
men prominent in state politics.
State Issues Cause the Trouble.
The trouble seems to be that the republi-
| cans in the localities referred to- while con-
tented with the national issues, are pestered
with factional friction growing out of state
issues There are fears. that the democrats
may abandon their national issues and go
in upon the state issues, taking ad-
vantage of the emba rrassment of the
republicans over their factional squab bibles
| to break up the congressional vote.
IF we could just keep the democrats up
| to the Philippines, free trade and their
Kansas City platform we would wallop
them to a tinish," said a. republican SEN
ator from beyond the Mississippi He eX
pressed view which frequently is elab-
Grated by republican Bolsticians. There
seem to be republican embarrassment In
Michigan, Iowa, California, Connecticut
and Wisconsin.
There is this much about it; experience
has shown that the republicans have way
of fighting like Kilkenny ,cats up to the
day Of election and thens stopping long
enough to go to the polls and vote the
straight republican ticket. resuming their
pickering next day perhaps. How often has
Ohio presented that spectacle? 1t seems to
stress Is now being laid upon 1t to help pull
the G. o. P. elephant out Of some bad fords
where he seems likely to get begged down.
In Michigan there is danger that the dem
ocrats may switch the state campaign onto
the main line with the Congressional cam
paign, in which case thereswould be trouble
for the republicans The death Of Senator
Mcmillan may bring factional rivalries
| which might hurt the congressional ticket.
But the Michigan republicans are said to be
alive to all the possibilities of the situation
and striving to handle them.
Factional Fight in California. =
California has a nasty factional fight
Within the republican party. 1t grows out
OF state issues altogether, but already is
threatening the congressional ticket The
main hope OF the republican managers of
the state Is that in the last days of the
campaign furore can be saroused over ma
tional questions, the Philippines and the
tarll1; an appeal made to the party to stand
together on the national ticket and In the
end to succeed in that way in pulling the
congressional ticket through
In Wisconsin 1t is not To be denied that
danger threatens the republicans if the old
and recent wounds are not salved. Some
wisconsin politicians, outside of Congress,
say that the fight between the friends of
senator spooner and the followers of Gov
erhor La roulette if continued until No
Vember, will lessen the republican vote on
the congressional ticket Every effort will
De made In the meantime to prevent such a
catastropne or course, and the best talent
" shlliul poHtlcal managers eXerted, but
the outlook now is ominasIs in one or two
Wisconsin districts
The Iowa republicans are squabbling a lit
tie n9e serious danger probably can be
maiueu oif. senator Allison, Senator Dol
llVer, Secretary Wilson, Speaker Henderson,
representative Hull and Representative
HePDurn nave powerful influence with the
rang ran (. an ana ME of the republican party Of
rxy;u
dlHerences to threaten a congressional seat.
Inc iowa republicans are organizing for a
campaign of unusual activity.
~ CohIectlcut the voters are more inter-
esleu IN state affairs than in national issues.
A constitutional amendment may figure in
the campaign. One presentative-at-large
Is 10 oe elected under the new apportion-
ent l' anu, as the state Is republican normal
possible congressional district
General Prospect ,Unanected.
Ihese threatening situations In scattered
districts do not affect general prospect
"hich IS regarded as goda for the republi-
cans. These cases are only idwelt upon
because they represent a feature of the
existing situation and an s,1ch should be
told about.
Is IN the air that the republicans are
soy ~ Serry the next House. Reflection Of
sentiment everywhere shows it, Democrats
OF wide experience and good Judgment have
:; ;oiu me since have been in New York that
II Is no, NOT on the cards for the democrats to
YIN YIN ms ms fan They cannot see anything in
Ne ,ne situation which Yields democratic hope.
more than that, great many democrats
40 40 NOT want to carry the House. They
tn t,nonestly believe that it would be better for
.ne party In the presidential campaign if it
Gere NOT IN possession of the House next
SoIisress. Ihey argue that If the repubii-
cans are left in complete power. political
SSaP,tal can be made by the democrats in
,, ,,oiding tne republicans responsible for fail
hustings.
AS stated in a previous dispatch. Wall
M s.reeI hopes the democrats viii win Wall
from antitrust legislation With the demo-
crals IN control Of the House. no compro-
mise ms. OF republican and democratic anti
thought
| With the republicans In the majority In