Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1902-10-29
It LOOKS LIKE ODELL
Size-Up of Situation in New
York.
CLAIMS OF DEMOCRATS
TAMMANY MEN BET THE OTHER
WAY.
Prospect That Odell's Plurality Of 1900
Will Be Seriously Cut
Down.
CLAIMS OF DEMOCRATS
snecis, from n Staff CORRESPONDENT.

Special from a STAFF Correspondent
NEW YORK, October 29.-There are four
days more of the campaign. Sweeping
changes in situations have been accom-
plished within four days. But my best
Judgment, based on careful inquiry in one
direction and weighing and balancing
claims in another, now is that it looks like
Odell. Here in New York. which essentially
is a democratic community under normal
conditions, one is likely to be confused by
the democratic acclaim and get the idea
that it is representative of the sentiment of
the state.
l have been making some careful In
quiries among republican managers as to
their poll of the upstate counties. The re-
suit is the belief that Gov. Odell will come
down to the Bronx with majority from up
state big enough to overcome the demo-
cratic majority of Greater New York, and
to carry the state by 1900 to $4,000. OF
course, that would be a startling contrast
to his plurality of 10000 in 1900, but from
the outset they have expected a reduction
this year that the estimate of 1900 to
1900 is conservative, and represents bed
rock figures of the party organizers. 1t
will come very near being justified in next
Tuesdays election. There's a whole lot of
fuss and feathers in this campaign, but
there are some downright facts upon which
to figure, and the republican leaders are
Big Claims From Minor Reasons.
1t is the custom in political campaigns
to draw big conclusions from minor indica-
tions. Here is a case in point: We were
down in Tammany Hall, mixing with the
democratic captains of districts coming in
TO make their reports. The with me
was well known TO them all, and accus-
toned to dealing frankly with them.
How much majority are you g5ing to
bring in from your district?' asked my
friend of the district captain.
''I will bring in 22o0," replied the cap
tain, confidently.
''That is nice; that is all right. But now
tell me, for my sake, on the level Wnat are
you going to bring in sure enouSh?'
''Why. about 600
That same experience cccurr- w,tn four
district captains. Each one came in with a
big cock-and- bull story of what he was
going to do, and then, when he was ia Ell
aside and asked TO tell ION the level
would shade il about 20 per cent. Now If
the democratic hopes of victory are based
largely the extent of the majority in
Greater New York. the estimates cannot
stand scaling of 20 per cent.
Here is another straw y democratic
friend of mine who is in business told me
he had talked with four of his acquaint
anceS who were democrats AMI engag In
business pursuits Every one Of them to
him that while they would like ordinarily to
see the democrats in power in the state and
in the nation, they realized that demo-
cratic victory at this time W uld Uns tile
business, and that they Were more con-
cerned in preserving normal bu=iness con-
ditions than in further.ng the interI St of
politicians: they would accordingly vote for
the republican ticket state ami con-
gresSional.
Tammany Men Betting on Odell.
That the Tammany leaders are betting
their money on the quiet on Odell is a fact
that 1 have found quite extensively am ng
II. ,n1f nsa Ths,- t-IJz iry
for the ticket in a crowd ard t. en-, if you
know them well enough to so into the ante
room and get them to come right off the
high horse and talk business, you will re-
ceive the contrary impressi H.
Mr.. d. B. Hill is in active manage m Mt
of the democratic campaign. He is deter
mined to make a personal fight against
Governor Odell. The thing presents rat ler
curious spectacle. Here is the young
candidate for governor saying never d
word, personally, against his antagoni t.
but back of him is the real boss of the
democracy firing over his head and en-
gaging in a personal controversy with he
candidate for governor on the other side.
In a two-cOlumn interview publ hei eX-
ciusivtly in one New York pare today
Mr.. Hill renews his charges aga nst Gov
ernor Odell for his al eyed conn, ion WI h
the grocery selling suppli=s t. safe i
tutions. Mr., Hill goes into an ex parse
argument TO prove the case against the
governor. and argues it as if ne were the
cans will make their play tomorrow mig t
to offset the democratic demonstration at
Madison Square Monday night. Governor
Od6ll will speak in three places There VIII
be parades and fireworks, and S cretary
Root and Senator Foraker will add ess
meetings.
Raymond Patterson's Views.
Mr. Raymond Patterson of the Chicago
Tribune. who is one of the most conserva-
tive political writer's in this country. is in
New York. having returned from a month g
trip through the west. He investigated the
political conditions in Ohio, Indiana Hi
rois. Michigan, Wisconsin and Iowa '.'rhe
thing which impressed me most toward the
end of my trip" said Mr.. Patterson to The
Star correspondent was the tremendous
popularity of President Roosevelt and in
my opinion. the congressional ticket is
bound to benefit from it. President Roose-
Velts course in the coal strike has made
him the most popular man in the United
States today.
Democrats of prominence admit that the
Presidents settlement of the strike cut the
ground from under them. Tom Taggart
said II in Indiana. eX-Gov Boies said II in
Iowa. Mr.. Rose said it in Milwaukee Tom
johnson said ii in Ohio and ex-Gov. Patti
son said 1t In Pennsylvania.
In my opinion, the republicans are bound
10 carry the congressional elections.
don't think there Is a question about IL The
democrats VIII gain one seat in Wisconsin
under the apportionment NAV possiblv
gain one in Indiana. will lose in Illinois
may possibly gain one in Ohio There Is
one district in doubt in Iowa the Davennor,
district. Ex-Gov Boies will not carry tbe
Henderson district. The republicans will
carry Pennsylvania All republican fac.
tions are united and working together
T. N. @. NJ.