Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1902-11-03
CLOSE IN CALIFORNIA
/.
With Indications for Repub-
q TBS
lican Success.
~
CONFLICTING CLAIMS
$4,000 MORE VOTERS IN STATE
THAN FOUR YEARS AGO.
Republican Committee Claims Entire
State and Congressional Tickets
by Safe PIuralities.
CONFLICTING CLAIMS


SAN FRANCISCO. Cal, November B.
with the campaign in California practically
over a careful analysis of the conditions In
the various counties indicates that this will
be one of the close elections and that all
previous figures as to results will have to
be greatly modified.
The most conservative estimates that can
now be made Indicate the election of the
entire republican ticket, including the eight
congressman. From estimates made this
evening. after receiving advices from every
county in the state, It looks as If the state
would line up with thirty-four counties CIV
ing total of 1850 majority for Pardee.
the republican candidate for governor,
while the majority for Lane. the demo-
cratic candidate in the other twenty-three
counties will amount to 12.775. This will
give Pardee majority Of 1856 in the state.
Conservative Compilation.
1t must be remembered that these figures
are compiled in the main from democratic
sources and consequently give to Lane the
benefit of every doubt and in some instances
even more than Is claimed by the demo-
cratic central committee. With this under
standing. 1t can be seen that there Is
possibility that the republican claims OF
1S,0CO majority for their candidate may
have some merit. If there has been any
change of sentiment toward the close OF
the campaign 1t has been toward the re-
publican end
California is essentially protection
state, and the republicans have been max
ing their campaign on national issues en-
tirely, claiming that the success of the
state means the success of the republican
ticket two years hence. This talk has been
effective in many Of the country districts
and the recalling to the laboring men of
the city the hard times of several years
when CnYey started his
the continent. has had the effect of carry
ing many votes to Pardee.
Lane Will Garry Frisco.
1t is the general consensus of opinion that
Lane will carry San Francisco by about
1900 ma jority. Four years ago Gage, re-
publican, carried the city by 5000, but at
that time there were. several disturbing ele-
ments in the party, and Mcguire, democrat,
made his campaign carry the burden of a
single tax record.
The past week has tfolght many changes
in the situation SO fat aS the congressional
fights are concerned.s The present outlook
Is that an entire republican delegation will
be returned. In the first district 1t looked
for some time as If Ford. democrat, was =
sure winner. Ford has made a strong can
vass Of the district. apd dnternal republican
troubles threatened the defeat Of Gillette
The troubles have been settled, and outside
Of Nevada county Ford will not get ma
jority. Gillette will probably carry the dis
trfct with an increased majority.
Coombs in Danger.
In the second district Frank coombs is in
danger. His fight has not had healthy
look for some time On account of dissatis-
faction in Sacramento county. That county
is not in favor of protection, and conse-
quently could not be held in line on ma
tional issues Metcalf is a certainty in the
third district. Kahn will be returned from
the fourth district but his majority will be
reduced. Livernash has made hard cam
paign, and is strongly backed by the union
labor element.
Loud will probably win the fifth district,
although for a time 1t looked as If his
chances were gone. Wynn has made a
strong and quiet campaign. being backed
by the street car mems union. Loud, how
ever has been especially active, and at the
present time it appears that he will win.
Needham May Be Returned.
In the sixth district there has been a re-
markable change of front, and present in
dications are that Needham will go back
with an increased majority This district
Is essentially a protection district on ac-
count of the sugar interests, and, while
Ashe has made a splendid campaign and is
personally very popular, the protection idea
has cut the larger figure. The district is a
hard one for a republican to run in, but
Needham will carry several of the demo-
cratic counties. and with his own republic
can strength will undoubtedly be elected.
The outcome in the seventh and eighth
districts has not been in question at any
time. both being strongly republican.
Smythe, in the eighth has made a stubborn
fight. but the district Is too strongly re-
publican to have been at any time in the
doubtful column
Conflicting Claims.
At republican headquarters it is claimed
that the entire state ticket will be elected
with a majority ranging from $4,000 to 3d.
600, and that the entire congressional ticket
is safe by large majorities.
At the rooms of the democratic state COM
mittee 1t Is claimed that Lane will be elect
ed, but no figures are given. They also
claim that five out of eight congressman
will be democrats. with a good chance of
the other three. They do not give names
except in the case of Coombs being defeat
ed, Of which they say they are certain.
The registration of the state is the largest
In Its history. and there may be surprises
for both parties owing to the new element
that has been brought in since the last
election. 1t Is estimated that there are not
less than $1,000 more voters In the state
than at the last governorship election, and
these new votes are unknown factors in the
calculations.