Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1902-11-03
COLER SEEMS TO GAIN
New York Herald Says Result
is in Doubt.
=4RO III 81
A POSTAL GARD POLL
DEMOCRATIC DRIFT IN MANHAT-
TAN, KINGS AND ERIE.
House of Representatives May Be Re
publican by Majority
of Six.

The result of the election in New York is
in doubt. The state is in the balance, and
the chances of Odell and Coler apparently
are even. This is the opinion of the New
York Herald, a newspaper which has fore
told results of other elections with a great
approach to accuracy.
The Herald of yesterday on compiling its
second canvass of the probable vote of New
York, says it finds the result so close that
it is impossible to predict the result, but
the chances still seem to favor OdeI."
The result obtained by the Herald In its
second canvass is:
Odells pluralities by counties. ia 80
Colers pluralities by counties. lib 90
odelrs plurality over Coler.. 1913
Contest Close. ..
The figures indicate a strong drift of
voters toward the democratic candidate for
governor. The indicated plurality in Great
er New York for Coler is 1851 600 His ap-
parent lead in Manhattan and the Bronx is
1900 and in Kings county $4,000 The Her
aid gets democratic news from Erie county
where, it says, Coler seems to lead by
5000. The Herald says that if the upstate
counties hold their normal republican ma
jorities the governor will probably be re-
elected by a slight plurality.
Forecasters Baffled
The Herald says editorially: 1T seems
likely that the republicans will have a
smaller majority in the next House of
Representatives than was indicated by the
preliminary poll of a week ago. In this
state the returns and estimates reduce by
nearly one-half the probable plurality Of
Governor Odell indicated by the preliminary
poll. This would make Mr.. Odelrs margin
SO small that it might be wiped out by one
of those undercurrentS that battle politcaI
forecasters, or 1t might be increased in the
same manner. AS stated in the article in
which the indications are summed UP, the
Herald in the circumstances prefers to
make no prediction as to the result In this
state. Eus -.-
Increase for Coler.
An extract of the Herald's article on it's
poll follows: 5Fr =
This paper has spared neither expense
nor effort in endeavoring to make a con-
scientious estimate offthe vote of Gov. B.
B. Odell. jr, and Mr.! Bird S. Coler.
1T has made a second postal card poll of
Manhattan and the Bronx, and in coniunc-
ton with the Brooklyn Eagle, a second pos
tai card poll of Kings county. In addition
TO this in order p ia whether there
of the state, it maae pills by means of re-
turn postal cardsp OF the cities of Buffalo
and Rochester. On top of this it renewed
its inquiries throughout the state.
1.-The result of This Il to lower the total
pIuralities of Gov, o4ell to 1896. from
$4,000 of week land to increase the
pluralities of Mr. Cofer from 93.953 of a
week ago to 113, 23s efhis gives Gov. odeii
a lead of only 1913 votes over Mr.. Coler.
1.-The postal card polls of New York and
Kings counties and the estimates of Queens
and Richmond counties give Golfer lead in
the greater city of 10S,22S over Odell. The
republicans will regard these figures with
skepticism. and it is doubtful IL Tammany
will fail to be surprised. The division Of
the indicated Color plpralities is:
New York (Manhattan and the Bronxl.
75,O51; Kings (Brooklyn) 2S,877; Queens
(estimated), $500; Richmond (estimatet).
1000. Total, los, 226.
Outlook in Erie.
THE postal card poll of Buffalo shows
that Coler will carry the county by 5678,
and the Rochester poll shows that Odell
will be cut from the general estimate of
5000 and 340O to 2,426. This shows no
such shift from republicans to democrats as
is taking place in New York and Kings
counties, and does not indicate landslide
10 Coler in the other cities Of the State.
Using absolutely cold-blooded calcuia-