Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1902-10-30
POLITICAL FORECASTS
Republicans in New York
Stand Pat.
SURE OF VICTOR Y
CLAIM THE STATE BY REDUCED
MAJORITY.
Adyices From Outside the City In
dicate Democrats Will Lose
Congress Again.
SURE OF VICTORY

Special from Staff Correspondent.
NEW YORK. October 3O.-"Congress
safely republican by good working MAJOR
ity; New York state republican by reduced
majority" These continue to be the fore
casts of the political prophets. All KINDS
of figures are offered on the state majority,
but the conservative estimate is repuo-
lican majority of 1000 to $4,000.
..I do not sec how we can carry less than
900 congressional districts" said Chairman
Babcock of the republican congressional
committee to The Star correspondent THIS
morning. "That is my most conservative
estimate, and I believe we will carry 2o4 or
2O6 districts" The latter would give a ma
tority of twenty-six in the Fffty-elgnth
Congress. Some of the managers claim
majority of thirty.
Favorable reports continue to come from
the country at large. The committee mas
waged a splendid campaign. The week will
end in a whirlwnd of republican oratory IN
the close districts. The spellbinders' bureau
conducted by Col Henry Casson has staked
every stump and hustings platform with
eloquent pleaders for the republican cause
Through the systematic handling of the ar
rangements not meeting has been skipped
nor an engagement broken by the little
tees auspices
Appeal in Roosevelt's Name.
The party managers appeal to the voters
of the country to indorse President Roose-
velt and his patriotic course by electing
republican candidates for Congress Re
ports which they have received indicate
that there will be an immense democratic
vote cast for republican candidates for that
reason.
The democratic congressional mana gers
are figuring on the big slump to democracy
In New York extending to other states, and
thus carrying the House for them. They
calculate that the admitted growth of
democratic sentiment in New York portends
a like increase of democratic seatim nj In
other communities. Reports which the re-
publicans receive from their experts In the
middle and western states do not show the
existence of a similar condition. The demo
cratic party in other states is widely divid-
ed on the question of campaign issues, as
evidenced by their state platforms. re-
publican politician who has made an eX-
haustive study of the situation in the w st
analyzed the case this way to me today:
The democrats started out with their
Philippine policy. 1t was fiat failure, and
they had to drop it. Then they switched to
the trust issue. President Roosevelt an
ticipated their game and took the wind out
o. their sails Then they fell back on ca
lamity and the empty coal scuttle Pres!-
dent Roosevelt has filed the coal scuttle.
Then they held up their party as the labor
ing mans friend. President Roosevelt has
done more, in fact. for organized labor In
securing arbitration of the coal strike t. an
the democratic party even promised to do
in its most iridescent dream. My informa-
ton from the west is that the democrats
have not single sound issue to present as
a claim for support, and that the people
will vote to maintain existing normal con-
ditions.'
Pretty Fight in New York.
This New York fight is pretty because it
is so close If some fellow should foolishly
open his mouth within the next three days
1t might swing the pendulum either way. If
either party could spring a good old-fash
ioned lusty canard at the right moment
the situation is so ticklish that the election
might be carried by just such tactics. The
respective state chairmen of the two par
ties are watching each other like couple
of game cocks, each afraid the other may
dash in and deliver a body blow. Each
chairman is wondering what the other fell
low has up his sleeve for the last play.
Betting Is increasing. The odds are TO l
on Odell, and some heavy bets are up 1t is
hard to place money the congressional
elections, the local bettors being unfamiliar
with the situation in the first place
know of one bet of $1,000 that mas gone
begging for a week with no takers.
Tonight New York will be ablaze with re-
publican enthusiasm. and the big guns of
will thunder Mr. Hill
Staten Island TO talk. and the democfats