The Minneapolis journal. [volume] (Minneapolis, Minn.) 1888-1939, 1902-10-31

the seventh and ninth districts where tho
populists have candidates Of their own
for congress. Elsewhere the Meighen
strength will be scattering. He will get
some votes in his home county of Fill
more, a few in the cities, and some In the
sixth district. In the ninth there is war
on between McKinnon and Moen, and the
populists for Moen are inclined to stand
by their whole ticket. I have given
Meighen 1000 votes there, and $500 IN the
seventh. Kandiyohi county alone, the
home Of Chairman Lawson, will give
Meighen 600 Or 700.
Many VIII Vote for Van SAINT.
This vote will cut largely into Rosing.
but the populfst vote just now Is shit
ing, and is looking for place to stop.
It is just now very independent vote.
and is inclined to go for the man rather
than the party. For that reason the re-
publicans claim that Van SAINT will make
large gains in the seventh and nfntn'
where his stand on the merger has made
him strong, especially with former popu-
lists, seems just.
Former lines will SHIFT at this electioLl.
Republican gains in the west and north
will mean safety for the republican tikcet
in Minnesota for years to come. There
will be some surprises. Republicans or
democrats, or both, will be disappointed
in the sixth and eighth districts. Ciauns
there are wide apart Bert Fesler OF Du-
luth, who has looked after these Two ois-
tricts for Rosing, claims them ny lo'ooo'
The republicans claim each district by
fair margin. The democrats claim large
republican disaffection in these dlstricts'
which is disputed by republicans. Inc
latter expect to make gains there over the
vote Of two years ago.
Tn estimating the vote of the state,
have gone over it county by county, WIN
the vote of the last two elections LOT eoh
narison and reports from every county OF
recent date to guide in dividing the votes
roofing these up, the result by dlstrlcts
Is reached, and is given in round numbers.
In estimating and comparing the Vote,
T have left out Of account the n,n,ol
parties, the prohibitionfsts and soclailsts.
The vote given for past elections Is only
ranrh,ican and democratic, but this year
The Meiehen vote is taken into account
The situation is here given as 1t appears
by districts.
FIRST DISTRICT.
There is probably more apathy to the
square inch in the old first than IN any
other section of the state, and II IS pre-
aicted that the vote there Will ran oeio"
1898, the last off year. Then the alstpl I.
gave Eustis 17,140 votes, and LIND 1855.
Two years ago Van SAINT carried 1t by
5.120. getting 21,562 to 16,442 for Limo
There is some feeling among republicans
against Van SAINT. The Tawney men,
some of them, blame the governor lot
Knatvold's candidacy, and are lukeWarm
in his support. Owatonna is sore over
the board OF control, and there Is some OF
the same feeling at Rochester, though
local republican leaders in each case calm
that very few votes will be changed on
that issue. In the strong republican
counties Of Fillmore, Mower, Freeborn
and Dodge, there Is practically no. local
nd
men are in despair over the prospect or
q, light vote In Winona 1t will be hard
to get republicans out because the counuly
is hopelessly democratic. There Is local
interest in the other counties, however
which will bring out fair per cent OF the
vote, Senator McGovern Is making fight
for himself against Tawney, and there are
few traces of work for the democratic
state ticket except in Winona county,
where Governor Van SAINT and Chairman
Buck of the democratic state COMMITTEES
reside. Governor Van SAINT will get
good percentage Of light vote. Chair
man Jamison counts on at least $500 In
the district which the democratic claims
scale to 1000. My estimate gives him
1000 out Of a total vote slightly over 3d.
900, about as follows:
Van SAINT .................''''''' iaa'iiW
T HaslH SAINTS plurality ::::.::.:.:. 40o9
The only difficulty in the second is
light vote, The banner county Of Fart
bault has only one county ticket, and there
is little opposition in Blue Earth. The
opposition has also laid down. in Rock
and Pipestone. These counties VIII show
up with a light vote, smaller probably than
cast at the primaries. The other counties
will do no better than four years ago.
Governor Van SAINT has no broken fences
Mo(N oor Ia
at the helm here, and he had the district
organized by counties and election dis
tricts. This will get out a vote larger than
1898, but it is impossible in the second to
approach the 1900 figures. Four years ago
the counties now comprising the second
district gave Lind 206 plurality over Eustis.
In 1900 Van SAINT carried them by 1,461.
He will better it this year, even with the
reduced vote. John Lind's home was in
Brown county, and his personal hold ON the
district was strong. It does not know A.
L. Rosing. Brown county republicans are
making 8, strenuous effort to carry the
county for Van SAINT, and the democratic
plurality will not exceed 800 there, against
700 two years ago. Martin county will be
Close but every other county of the dis
trict should show a plurality for Van
SAINT. He should carry the district by, the
following vote: tu
van SAINT ..... L. 100
noslny 500. ......... .............. lzOOV
Van SAINTS plurality .................... 1900
Eighth District. .-
The territory about the head of the lakes
is more uncertain than any other section
Of the state. There has been opposition
to Governor Van SAINT in that section.
which the democrats are magnifying, but
things seem we'll harmonized. Much hope
is reused among the democrats by Cap
tain Fay's campaign for congress, which
is putting considerable money in circula-
ton, and improving the efficiency Of local
democratic committees. The democrats
count on Swedish defections in Isanti,
Anoka, Mile Laos and Aitkin, and on
the effect Of the Fay campaign on the
large floating population in the north end.
They claim the district by $500, while
Chairman Jamison expects to get at least
$500 for Van SAINT up there. The district
made big switch in 1900, going for Van
SAINT by 1879 though Lind carried It in
1898 by 1882. This district has the small
est population in the state, but is rapidly
growing, and should cast much more than
the 10 900 registered in 1898. In 1900 Van
SAINT got IA, 239 and Lind 1920. Allowing
for off year stay-at-homes, the district
should cast %, 900, Of which the two rivals
for first honors should get as follows:
Van SAINT l.60O
Van SAINTS plurality NEUTRALITY-SUSPICIOUS.. 800
Ninth District.
The Red River valley has way OF
surprising the prophets that makes one
approach it with fear and trembling Be-