The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1902-10-28
ELECTION FORECASTS.


AIDS forecast of the election, based upon
a careful poll of voters and a study of
all conditions, have been more nearly
correct than those of any other paper,
1t devoted several pages on Sunday to
summing up the result of its poll.
The Herald's poll indicates that the Re-
publicans will carry the House by only
seven majority "and may even' lose con-
troll" In the estimate of seven majority
for the Republicans. the Herald puts
two of the North Carolina districts in
the doubtful column. AS both will go
Democratic, it seems clear that the Her
aid is not too Democratic and that it
gives the Republicans the House by
only five majority. The present Re
publican majority is 46. This is
tremendous turnover from the Congress
siOnal election of 1900. Appar
emily that majority has been nearly
wiped out. Hard luck for the Republi-
a~few mistakes or tendency of indie
pendent voters, even slight toward De-
mocracy, and it is gone" We quote:
1.-THE Senate, with Legislatures in
doubt are Idaho, Indiana and Pennsylva
MIA, and with Delaware likely to go
Democratic, viii probably stand: Repub-
licans, So; Democrats So; doubtful 8.
ut has been high tide in the Repub
lican party in the nation for almost ten
years. The tide is ebbing. Whether it,
will turn before the next Presidential
election is a question; but it is perfectly
clear, judging from political conditions
prevailing ten days before the election,
that the voters are rearranging their
views in sufficient numbers to cause the
gravest apprehensions on the part of the
Republican managers"
polls indicate the election of Odell as
Governor of New York by u 900 plurality
"but strong trend to Golfer" 1t gives
Golfer g., 209 in New York city, % 094 in
Brooklyn, 1000 in Queens and 1000 in
Richmond, total in these counties of
SS,303, or 5000 more than Van Wyck
had in 1888. 1t says the campaign is
very similar, so far, to that Of 1899
when Roosevelt beat Van Wyck only
$4,000. 1t says:
THE great significance of the returns
received by the Herald and its associate
in the canvass is found in the large num-
Der of changes of Republicans who in
New York county say they voted for
Odell for Governor in 1900 and are now
going to vote for Coler and those who in
Kings say they voted for Low for mayor
last year and are now going TO vote for
Coler.
MANY of these wrote on their postal
cards that their reason for changing was
the trusts. the coal strike and the tariff
''The replies indicate an unmistakablc
drift toward the Democracy, which will
probably force the Republicans in the
closing days of the campaign, to shift
their policy and boldly meet the trust
question"
The figures of the Herald and Brook
Ign Eagle agree that Coler will have a
record breaking majority in Brooklyn.
The polls indicate a gain OF $500 over
the big Van Wyck vote. Many who
vote for Coler. In the Republican part
of the State, apathy prevails. Unless
that can be changed the Herald thinks
Golfer will win, but it's advices are that
Hills attack upon Governor Odell will
put an end to the apathy in Republican
farming counties.
The Heralds information is that the
result in Pennsylvania and Connecticut
is in doubt. The Democrats will make
gains in New Jersey and Maryland; in
Ohio the settlement of the coal strike
saves the Republican ticket We quote
from the Herald:
"All over the East combinations have
been made between the Democrats and
labor union. In New York State. in the
counties of Schenectady, Saratoga, Wash
ington and Warren, where a street car
strike had lasted for several months the
workingmen have been arrayed against
the Republican party, and the Demo-
Gratis have eagerly nominated active labor
agitators for the Senate, for the Assem-
bly,, for Congress and for various local
offices. 1t was in order to take advant-
! age of this growing sentiment of unrest
| among the laboring glasses that Senator
Hill, at the Democratic State convention
| in Saratoga, inserted in the platform his
grotesque plank for the government
ownership of the anthracite coal fields.
| For the same reason Democratic orators
on Wednesday night endeavored to make
| John Mitchell the great popular hero of
| the age, and put all the blame for the
coal strike and for everything else the
public complains of on ]. Pierpont Nor
gan. Once more the masses are being
| arrayed against the classes.
This is one of the pregnant signs of
| the times. 1t would seem to foreshadow
great coalition in 1904 between the
| Democratic party and the sOcialistic and
/ labor element"
| The Washington Post presents an ex-