The Savannah morning news. (Savannah, Ga.) 1900-current, 1902-01-29
planters, LAWYERS, etc,

and merchants, AZ; cotton manufac-
turers, IL; cotton ginners and ware
housemen SO; oil millers, is; general
merchants. 20l planters, lawyers, etc,
8. Total AS.
Total number of bankers, 352: total
number cotton buyers and merchants,
1876; total number cotton manufacture
ers, 81; total number cotton ginners,
and warehousemen, 112; total number
oil millers 26: total number general
merchants, S5S; total number planters,
lawyers, etc. SIS. Grand total 1897.
l requested in my inquiries:
First, an exact statement of the
comparative stocks of cotton this year
and last in each town.
Second an estimate of the production
of each county for the present year,
the census production for two previ-
Gus years being given.
Third, an estimate as to the percen-
tage of cotton remaining in planters
hands in each county.
The comparison of reported stocks
at the uncounted towns shows that
the stocks now on hand are upon the
average only "a $40 per cent. of the
amount on hand at the same time last
year, The comparison by states. is as
follows: States, number of towns,
stock, 1902, stock, 1901, decrease of per-
centage: Alabama, 20, $3.50, 110,709,
24,156, 21.S; Arkansas, "a, S1,243, $780,
52S, 1926, 1915; Georgia, 49, 77,766,
1864. 5906S, 43.1: Indian Territory,
25- 1884, 27,700. 1925 81 6; Mississippi,
81, SS,057, 1876, 0S7, 50,030, SO 3; Louisiana,
81, 35,003, 40,990, 1888, IA g; North Caro-
lima, 49, 4O,263, 67,25S, 27015, 40.1; Ok
lahoma Territory. IL, 1906. 1850, 7,345,
$50: South Carolina. 81, 1886, 1851,
50996, 59.5: Tennessee, "a, 5,S4S 1878,
255,410, 56.6. Totals, 1914, 661, 946, 1905
S55, $4,000; equal to 45 IL per cent.
In making up this statement (full
details of which by states and towns,
together with the names of parties
reporting stocks will be mailed to my
correspondent l have invariably quot
ed the party reporting the largest
amount on hand both this year and
last.
1t is to be said however, that in
most cases the variation was not sub
stantlal, and where the reports were.
Identical, the first answer received is
the authority given.
The total indicated crop by states
is S,741,022, as against total of $685.
4I3, arrived at by the same method
two months ago, and set forth in my
report of Nov. %. This variation is
equal to 1856 per cent. of last years
crop. Adding to the later total, the
s per cent, which is my practice to
allow in such compilations. l estimate
the total yield for the current season
to be 9,44O,304 bales.
The details of the comparison be-
tween the two estimates.
Estimates by states, Nov. %, 1901 -
Number of counties, yield, 1900-1901,
number of replies, from counties, indi-
Gated YIELD Alabama, &c, LOCI ,67S, II,
so, 1895, 76S: Arkansas, II, 828826 70, SO,
$685.; Georgia, 1877. 1,270,597 1872, SO,
1,229, 454; Indian Territory, 5, 2SS,114, 8,
4, 320,704; Louisiana, As, 714,073, 40, IS,
75S,S26; Mississippi, 72, 1055, 1858, a.. So,
1,0S9. 5s5; North Carolina, II, 500, BAL so,
So. 359,643; Oklahoma Territory, IA, 49,
S75, Is. II, 94,413; South Carolina, 40,
7S0.7S2, 60 81, 5SS,16S; Tennessee, "A,
227,601, 40, 81, 1853, 45S; Texas. 1859, 1885,
SOC, IT'S, 100, 2,277,s39; Florida, 20, 90, 696,
49, II, 1896; Missouri, II, 1880, 9, 3,
24S18. Totals, 761, 10,474,031, S13, $40,
S,545, 473; add 8 per cent, $50, 63S: To-
tai, 761, 1O,474,OS1, s13. $40 1929, Ill.
Estimates by states. Jan. rs, 1907. -
Number of replies from towns, in
counties, indicated yield, quantity in
hands of planters: Alabama, 11S, rs,
SO, 1.024,76s, 74,O61; Arkansas, 1852, So,
81, 1885 50,S51; Georgia, 249, 146, 1902,
Sc, 5. 24S,943. 10000; Louisiana, 20, 81,
"a, 734147, 1896; Mississippi, III, 100.
so, 1,10S,061, LOG, 1855; North Carolina, 179,
los. Sc. 36S, 1856, 47,351; Oklahoma Terri
tory, 80, 20, IL, 106,272, 5,O24; South
Carolina, 172. 81, 80, 660,191, 57,114;
Tennessee, SO. A. 81, 1929, 1s,413:
Texas, 445. 283, 1870, 1881. 1852. 160,545;
Florida, mot reported assumed.
AZ. 966, 1887; Missouri (sape
&c L.. ~ oao
Totals, 1887, 1000, SIC. S,74f.O22,
696, 203: add per cent. 500, 2s2: Total,
1897, 1850, 576, 9,44O,3O4, SOC, 203.
A more detailed analysis of the pres
ent replies and the estimates, county
by county, will be mailed to my cor
respondents and will include also the
quantity of cotton still In the hands
of planters which averages per cent.
and equals 696213 bales. The CORE
spondence between the two reports,
considering the fact that an interval
of two months has elapsed between
their compilation and that the later
report is made up from more than
twice as many replies as the former
and for the most part from different
people is remarkable and to me con-
vincing. Disregard of such testimony
violates all rules of evidence, and
comparison of my two reports with
the New York Journal of Commerce,
Messrs. latham Alexander e. Co,
Messrs. j. II. Parker & Co.. and
Messrs. r. T. Wilson & Co., further
emphasizes this view of the case. This
comparison is as follows: United
States government derived from 90
900 replies 1874, 800; Latham, Alexan-
der & Co. derived from 3,476 replies,
9,733, 900; New York Journal of Com
merce derived from S13 replies 1894, 647;
J. H. Parker & Co. derived from 470
replies, 9,6O5,619; r. T. Wilson & Co.
(number OF replies unknown) 9,445,704.
Total, 24,575. 1853. $40. Average OF
above estimates, SOFIA My esti-
mate as above and previous estimate
derived from $50 replies, 9,440,304.
Aggregate replies, 27085. Average all
above estimates, 9,54S,979.
Has there ever been such a mass
of competent evidence in such sub
stalntfal lagreemnt on this subject
bfore the only basis for disregarding
IL is the fact that last years crop
moved slowly and that present re-
ceipts, which obviously reflect the de-
man and DO not have any effect what
ever upon the price of cotton where It
Is produced. are heavy, thus lending
color 10 the large estimates on the
part OF a few individuals. As against
this " may be said that large re-
ceipts during January and February
in the case Of a small crop, are by no
means an exception. The insight
movement I'm January and February
1900 when we marketed 9,436,000 and
produced only 100000. aggregated
.s02. 900 bales. while the movement for
the same months the years previous,