The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1902-10-28

which are to choose United States Sena-
tors the coming winter will endanger the
Republican control of the Senate. All
the facts point to continued Republican
supremacy in the national and State gov
ernments.
Maryland will elect four Republican
and two Democratic congressman.
1.-The most picturesque and interesting
figure in the campaign is Tom Johnson,
whose circus tent campaign in Ohio,
where minor State officers are to be
elected, has proved to be a failure. 1t
is possible that Ohio will give Re-
publican plurality of more than $4,000.
I'm Pennsylvania Senator Quay will
easily elect Mr.. Pennypacker and the
rest Of the State ticket, besides having
a Republican Legislature to choose
successor to Senator Penrose.
"A careful canvass of New York State
indicates the reelection of Governor
Odell by a reduced majority, probably
around 10000.
Both parties claim Connecticut, al
though the Legislature which will choose
a successor to Senator Plat will be
Republican.
There are signs that the Socialist vote
in many States will surprise the cOun-
try Few changes in State administra-
tons arc in sight"
The New York American and Journal
prints figures and estimates claiming
that the Democrats will carry the House.
Upon reports received from every
county in the State of New York, the
American puts Coler's majority at $4,000.
The Brooklyn Democratic leaders say
Coler's majority in that city will be Eat
least thirty thousand. Western New
York Democrats are confident of greatly
reducing the majorities in the Republ
can strong holds. Senator Hill thinks
that the Republican majority up state"
will be much smaller than is generally
predicted. 1t shows what it conceives as
great errors in the estimates made by
the Herald and the World in the cleo
ton of congressman. They give the
Democrats nothing in Connecticut, only
2 in California, and only II in New
York. 1t thinks California will elect 4
Democratic congressman, Connecticut
will elect and probably 4, while it
looks to sec New York elect many more
than either estimates gives the Demo-
Gratis. Editorially, writing of the New
York situation the American and Jour
nal says:
THE indications as they are interprc-
ted, then, are that Mr.. Coler will be the
next Governor of New York, and that
the Next House of Representatives will
be Democratic.
THE reasons for drawing these deduc
tions are neither abstruse nor involved.
Colonel Roosevelt became Governor
by plurality of about 1880 votes, and
he rode in on the crest of a wave of
popular enthusiasm born of the Spanish
war, from which he had just returned,
heroic, picturesque, and supported by the
spirit OF loyalty to an administration that
had conducted a successful war. More
over, the country was peculiarly prosper
Gus, crops were good, and the trusts had
not yet pinchcd the people to the extent
of making the question personal one
with majority of the voters.
This year the people have been
starved by the beef trust and threatened
with freezing by the coal trust. and busi-
ness has been hurt by the coal famine,
and there has come from all over the
country an insistent demand that these
monstrous aggregations of capital should
be shorn of their enormous power OF eX-
tortion and controlled, and with this de-
mand has come the realization that it is
hopeless to look for relief from trust
exactions to the Republican party.
$50 it is reasonable to estimate that
Mr. Golfer will poll more votes than did
Judge Van Wyck.
I'm estimating the result of this cleo
ton the Herald and other Republican pa
pers estimated that Mr.. Coler would gel
2 plurality of between $4,000 and 10000
in Greater New York. which they believe
Odel can overcome by his upstate plu-
ralities.
1.-THE Republican concedc that Brooklyn
will excel itself this year in Demo-
1 cratic votes, and what comes over the
Bridge, added to the sixty-odd thousand
plurality which Colcr will gather from
New York county, will, tho American
computes. raise a dyke at the Bronx fully
hig enough to rise above the flood OF up
State ma1oritics.
There is no reason to believe that
tho interior of New York will do any
| thing extraordinary for Mr.. Odell. The
l grip of the coal trust and the beer trust
has been felt as severely in the interior
as in the metropolis, and the canal issue
and the squabble in the Republican ranks
all make for a lowering of the Republl-
can vote.
'',rhese. in brief, are the reasons OF
which the American bases its predlcflor
that Bird s Coler will be the next GOV
4 crnor of New York.