Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1902-11-03

tons, the Herald has cut it's Odell estimates
in those cities which it believes will be af-
fected by the general trend, and in several
counties it has marked them up, on in
formation which it believes to be reliable
ana adequate. 1t believes it has given Coer
the highest vote he can get in the greater
city and has kept Mr.. Odells vote down to
the lowest notch in the state
Under the test of the Herald's postal card
poll. Erie county promises to give Bird S.
CoIer a greater majority than it has given
to any candidate since 1896, when 1t rolled
up 15.0OO surplus votes for President Nc
kinley and gave Frank S. Black a margin
of nearly 5000 for governor Both Gov.
Odell and Mr.. Coler express absolute con-
fdence that Erie will give them a major
ity this year. This confidence is shared by
the chairmen of their respective campaign
MANAGERS in the state and by the local
campaign managers in the county itself.
Bird S. Coler's plurality in Kings county
computed on the results of a second postal
card poll made by the Brooklyn Eagle, is
indicated 26.S74. AS the result of the
poll made by the Eagle, the details of
which We're printed in the Herald of last
Sunday. Colers plurality in the county is
indicated as 23O94. The supplemental poll
gives him increase of $3.50.
House Of Representatives.
The New York Herald concludes that the
republicans may retain control of the
House of Representatives by majority of
six. 1t says:
1.-The New York Herald's final poll of the
country on the probabilities of the congress
sional elections would seem to indicate
still further swing of votes from the repub-
lican party. The result. however, does not
seem to portend a landslide, but is rather
of negative character
THE Herald's poll a week ago showed
that the republicans might have 200 MEM
bers of the next House the democrats II,
while fifteen districts were doubtful On
that showing, even If the democrats should
carry all the doubtful districts, the House
would still remain republican by fourteen
THE Heralds calculation. now based on
non partisan reports from two sets of can
vassers, each working independently of the
other, would indicate that the republicans
will probably be able to elect 1876 members,
the democrats certainly III, While the
doubtful districts have grown from fifteen
to nineteen. Thus the increase in the
doubtful column has come entirely from
the republican side while the democrats In
the total have not gained any certain dis
tricts, with the result that the republicans
may apparently have the House by bare
majority of six.
Claims of Partisans.
Representative Joseph w. Babcock,
chairman Of the republican congressional
committee claims that there are 204 hard
and fast republican districts, insuring the
republicans the safe working majority of
twenty-five.
Representative James NJ. Griggs, chair
man of the democratic congressional COM
mittee, claims that the democrats will con-
troll the House by not less than sixteen
majority. By this Mr.. Griggs figures out
that the democrats are sure of electing 2O1 !
members, and that the republicans, II they
get everything else, will only have 1S5.
Thus it will be seen that in case of a
heavy democratic trend, which is entirely
possible In this campaign-so remarkable
.kaI Sfatn Gov nx-t
and SO noticeable in the east for discon-
tent at existing conditions and resentment
against the republican party because of
the trusts-the republicans may lose the
House
Is Tide ShiftingP
.'In New York, New Jersey, Delaware and
MARYLAND the reunited democracy is work
Ing great changes in the conditions that
have recently prevailed In a week 1t has
been necessary to revise the congressional
fgurs in NV York as to give the republi-
cans twenty sure districts out of thirty
seven, instead of twenty-four; to raise the
democratic figures from twelve sure dis
tricts to fourteen, and to place two more
districts in the doubtful column. making
three There is only one certain republican
district in Kings county. the third. in which
Dunwell will be elected.
I'm New Jersey the chances week ago
out of ten districts, and the democrats only |
two. The republicans today are only GER
tain of five districts, while three are doubt ]
full and the democrats still are sure of |
two. The doubtful districts are the first, |
fifth and sixth.
Members From Maryland.
..In Maryland President Cleveland's APP
pearance the stump has SO encouraged |
the democrats that they are now talking of |
carrying four of the six congressional dis
tricts in that state. Senator German be-
lieves that the next House of Representa-
tives will be democratic. He expects to see |
a landslide which will wipe out the present |
republican lead of forty-six and give the |
democrats a majority of between twenty |
and thirty. In view of the changed political
conditions in Maryland the Herald places
three districts in the republican column and |
three in the democratic column. week /
ago the outlook seemde to be such that the |
democrats could only carry two districts /
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