The Saint Paul globe. (St. Paul, Minn.) 1896-1905, 1902-10-22

up to surprises Nov. 5. Crow Wing
county is one Of the counties return
ing big Republican majoritieS for
years. 1t will return Republican ma
jority this fall. but when its total for
Van SAINT is balanced up the geniaf
governor of Minnesota will experience
shock akin to that he inflicted on the
German race when he punched Prince
Henrys ribs. He will run far behind
his ticket and the vote will be light.
Instead of capturing any of the Lind
vote in Crow Wing, Van SAINT will lose
votes that he secured two years ago.
Well informed Republicans closely in
touch with the political pulse of the
county admit Van SAINTS majority will
be reduced by fully % per cent. The
first cause for the falling off of the
Van SAINT vote is his personal unpop-
ularity. A second cause is the appar-
ent cinch the Republicans have on the
election of the local ticket and two
thirds of the legislative ticket. The
Republicans believe G. D. Auyer, the
Democratic candidate for state Sena-
tor, does not hold the united support
of his party in Morrison county and
are anticipating a walkaway for A. +.
Ferris, of Brainerd. DR.. Werner Hem
stead, of Brainerd, is the only Demo-
cratic candidate for the house and his
election is generally conceded by both
Republicans and Democrats, which
means that either Rider or Bouck, the
Republican candidate, is slated for the
discard. In Grow Wing the Demo-
cratic local ticket Is incomplete and
the whole situation in conducive to a
do-nothing policy on the part of the
Republicans, who have now allowed
the game to drag along so far that 1t Is
doubtful If by the eXertion of their
every influence they could draw out
full party vote. Indeed, some of the
leaders are not anxious to draw 1T out,
believing that Democratic gains on the
head Of the ticket would be proper
tional with the increase they secured.
The Democrats confidently believe they
have Buckmans majority cut down to
400 or 500, and the Republicans only
claim 600, falling off Of 200 from
Morris edge over Truelson two years
ago.
Even Break In Aitkln. ~
Aitkin county presents a front full Of
hope to the Democrats. Two years ago
Van SAINT carried the county by 200 He
will do well If he manages to get away
active Republicans in the county, who
will vote for Van SAINT and is bending
every energy to carry the county for the
task is a hopeless one. An even break
is the best those inside the machine
dare to hope for, though, as a. matter
Of course, they publicly claim they will
come out with 100 to the good.
Thomas McHugh, of Itasca county,
the Fifty second district, will make ire
mendous gains in Aitktn county 1t Is an
open secret that Ole Mousten, of Aitkin,
the Republican candidate, is hostile to
Senator Clapp, and is expected, if elect
ed, to cast his fortunes with the Tom
Shevlin senatorial campaign. Clapp Is
strong with both Republicans and Demo-
Gratis throughout the district, regardless
of McCarthy's strenuous support of Ev-
ans two years ago, and Mousten will pay
dearly for his alleged desire to lay out the
junior senator. Mousten is also person
ally unpopular with an influential element
in his own party and the Republican busi-
ness men In no small numbers are un-
equivocally for McHugh
Capt. Marcus L. Fay. the Democratic
candidate for congress from the Eighth
district, is looked upon as sure to make
deep inroads in the normal Republican 2,apo
sidered as safely within the ratio of three
to one.