New-York tribune., 1902-10-01
BETTER TO LOSE HOUSE.
5OSEPH II. MANLEY THINKS REPUB-
LICANs WOULD PROFIT III THE
DEMOCRATS GAINED 1T.


Eested a candidate for Governor OF Maine when
the present incumbent. Governor John y. Hf.
relnQuishes that position Joe" Manley, as he is
anectionately called. In charge of the New
the last Presidential campaign. and as a commit
teeman he maintains such close touch with ma
tional Affairs and has shown such accuracy IN the
political forecasts he makes before each election
that ms predictions of the results this year possess
general interest. In a statement made to-day he
analyzes the national situation IN part as follows;
Tho present House OF Representatives consists
of $50 members. one vacancy existing from Penn
out 81 this number he Rspu6hoSns have we 200 the
Dsmoorats lso and others Ave, leaving the Repuh-
The next House Of Representatives under the
puhlioans VIII make a strenuous hight an every dis
i's tie, whers they have any show wneteyer sun ~
SSPgeiican s party IN the Presidential osntsst OF
sentatives, and this is apparent every one IN
the next House should have Democratic majority
they would SO show their hand that the Repub-
tho country This fact 3 Known 70 the DsmSera tic
managers and 4 Is believed with great deal OF
authority that they do not expect and do not desire
10 carry the neat House.
-England gains members. she now has
twenty-seVen memhcrs-tWenty-f Republicans
and three Democrats She viii have twenty-nine.
possibly twenty-five. and the Democratic vote viii
not exceed four. and IN an probability viii not eA-
NeN-York has thirty-four members Of the present
she IS Row represented by twelve Democrats and
twenty-two Republicans. She will have IN the next
nye. and twelve Democrats possibly thirteen.
viii have e m mas the s IN she R Ens o
sna nsr sia ReaGnieans shs viii have se' sn Hepno5 5
ST SSTe 2s iPre ,be noscn, House
and viii 6ave 1Si,y"twS ah yS IN ths @ next she has
three DEMOCRATS now and twcr.ty-sX Republicans
being vacant She win have twenty-nine Repub-
Maryland has siN members OF The present and
viii have six members OF the next House of Rep
ffnfi Tlna- all T.frtrrf
Republicans win carry four OF the districts beyond
any question. probably all siN. The Democrats
Delaware, Of course is doubtful but We place this
,, ,ohio haS & ,~enty-one members 81 me present r,
llSas i9uI lemocIIs ana seventeen hepuuHo""s-
This delegation Will not be chansed .
snd N the neNt house and Il has four Democrsts t
Republicans and five Democrats.
illinois has twenty two IN the present House win
have twenty .hve iu the next. IL has eleven Demo-
Srats and eleven RepuhlicanS Il win have nine
Iowa has eleven IN the present House and IN
the next They are now all Republicans and they
NSsas S 3 has & eg6 IN 5aS Sgsg And r tsS neN +
Will probably stand two Democrats and six Repub-
hcans
next All of them are now Republicans and they
Minnesota has seven in tie present House and
viii have nine in the next all nine VIII be Re
WISCONSIN has ten IN the present House; Il VIII
hase eleven in the next and they viii all be Re
Nehraska has six In tho present House and six
lists and two Republicans There win be TWO Re
pgelioans and four opposition , ... a.. ~.
next. He viii he Democrat
next. lie viii DC a Renubi6an
Idaho has one in this House and one in the next
Will be a Republican in the next House
three ~ the next. They viii probably an three lie
opposition. although the chances are that the Re
csliiornia has seven in the present House and
NJ B5GsS6sss ShSi they V stand seven
North Dakota has one IN the present House. two
IN the next; They will he Republicans
in the next They win both be Republicans
Washington has TWO I'm the present House. three
81 she next. and There WIN be two Republicans and
West Virginia has four in the present House and
VIII have i've in the next The delegation win be
lour Republicans and one Democrat. perhaps, hve
wyomlng has one IN the present House; viii have
one IN the next. and he Will he a Republican.
Alabama has nine IN the present House; will
have nine IN the neat, and they will all be Demo-
Arkansas Ia. six IN the present HOUSE seven in
Florida has Two IN the present House. three in
Georgia has eleven in the present House eleven
IN ths next and they viii en- be Democrats
kentucky has eleven I'm the present House and
WI WI have n eleven n The next They now stand
stand nine Democrats and two Republicans in the
Louisiana has six in the present House and
sever in the next They will an be Democrats
in ths neSt They Viii an he bemSoeSra1hso bSS hoSe s's''
missouri has nfteen IN the House sixteen
and three Republicans
and VIII have ten In the next They stand now
seven Democrats. two Republicans. The Demo-
trlcts and the Republicans one
next The WIZ boh ne se pRslS RsSu6nsaSs nsGgs '"o IN 'he
soIth caroline mas seven N this Holse, seven in
Tennessee has ten IN This House and ten I'm the
next They viii be eight Democrats and two Re-
Texas has thirteen IN the present House; viii
srS,s SsSs S'A''e" IN the next They viii all be Demo
NirFinis l has r IN thls House and ten in the
Utah has one member in the present and will
II viii seen that this leaves The RelSbI,csrs
with thrty-e!ght majority This estimate is made
oul The country on octoner J. The election not
The Republicans can be deprived of the control az
thers leads me 10 ths frn Tts1 Conc I Imnsnt men
next House Is surely R,puhlcsn and M , ,,a. the
change a. This is perfectly natural The countrv
dlton than il Is to-day There IS G ndsnr nfsny % com
SNrong except the coal strike, business 81 every
With great success and great prosperity. Frss,
Ss Sf' paTy and w I sdS TaSg PS 4, nf s st5ons WIN
success u q believed that III coal strike viii not
should not and IN al human probability IL viii be-
The retirement OF Mr. Henderson from the neN,
House. 20 which ne would have been triumphaTt1v
Speaker will no, prove serious blow 10 the RS RSr
nSmser Snsn o 51sn aas me ns S aei one man or Of
ton ~ goes on Just the same Tor when men
contest for ths successOrship of Speaker Hen5s+
son will b. animated, and will Strengthen manv
Republican party. because every candidate 10 sue
oeed speaker henoerson viii be anxious carry
The tarn question VIII not play very important
VIII accomplish their object by. The reciprocity
bpSs ne resent M 0 paTi On SS an mos MO are for
shoglo he kept vii not consent 90 their reduc-