Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1902-11-01
CALIFORNIA OUTLOOK
Pardee's Election by $1,000
Indicated.
A HOT FIGHT FOR KAHN
REPRESENTATIVE LOUD MAY
LOSE HIS SEAT.
Combination Of Union Labor and De-
mocracy Against Him-Probable
Congressional Delegation.

Congressional Delegation.
Special Correspondence of The Evening Star.
SAN FRANCISCO, Cal, October "a, 1902
In order to arrive at some definite con-
clusion in relation to the political situation
of the state Of California the correspondent
of The Evening Star sent letters to reliable
persons in every county in the state, re-
questing a plain and unbiased statement of
the situation SO far as the two great par
ties were concerned. Among the queries
were the following:
do you know of any republicans who
will not vote for Pardee for GOVERNOR
do you know of any democrats who will
not vote for Lane for governor"
What do you estimate will be the ma
jority in your county for Pardee?"
What do you estimate will be the ma
jority in your county for Lane?'
What will be the result in your county
for congressman"
A Majority Of 10000 for Pardee.
Responses to these inquiries have been
received from every county in the state and
a careful tabulation made. AS the replies
have been received from members of both
parties in every instance, an average has
been struck. the democrats being given the
benefit of every doubt In some instances
the republican replies gave the democrats
more than. they claimed themselves. With
all elements of doubt eliminated it is shown
by these returns that Pardee will receive
majority in excess Of 10000. If the higher
estimates be taken the totals will give to
Pardee majority of at least 10000. and
there are many who compute that his ma
jority will be in excess of these figures.
AS there is no especial fight made on any
~ Iato tla 4cSo %;oly will
follow closely the vote for governor but in
the various congressional districts there
will be material changes from the figures
returned by the general vote. In the first
district Thomas S. Ford. the democratic
candidate, Is making a winning light, snd
the indications at this time are that he will
have safe majority over j. N. Gillette,
the republican nominee. Gillette has not
been able, 80 far, to overcome the antago-
nisms engendered at the nominating conven-
ton, and has been handicapped by opposi-
tion in his own party ranks in close dis
trict. 1t Is believed by close observers In
this district that even II he should now be
able to reconcile the differences It will be
too late to have any effect on the result. 1t
can, therefore. be set down that the con-
gresham from the first California district
will be democrat.
Coombs Will Be Elected.
In the second district Frank L. Coombs.
the republican candidate, and incum-
bent, will be returned with an increased
majority. He has a new district, including
the mountain counties, and has such
surety Of election that the democrats In,
the district are devoting neither time nor
money to the campaign. Coombs Is a quiet
campaigner and makes very little display in
his work. but is considered one OF the pest
politicians in the state. In the present IN
stance the opposition is not making strenu-
Gus efforts to prevent him from gathering
In the spells. His opponent, t. A. Ball, Is
a young man with political aspirations, and
has put himself forward as the necessary
sacrifice in the hope that future reward
may be given him in local politics.
In the third district Victor H. Metcalf has
a walk-over His work in Congress has
pleased his constituents to such an extent
that he will draw a large democratic vote
His opponent. Calvin B. White, was elected
sheriff of Alameda county on the populist
ticket in 1894. and since that time has gone
into the democratic party. He IS Grand
Army man and is making his canvass on
the strength of that fact. 1t is estimated,
even by the democratic managers or me
district, that he will fall considerably De
hind the state ticket in the district
Indications Favor Kahn's Election.
In the fourth district is one of the hottest
fights in the state. and while the indica-
lions are that Julius Kahn will be re-elect-
ed. it will be with a materially reduced ma
jority unless something occurs between now
and election day to initiate against his OPP
ponent Kahn has a strong following
throughout the district, but at present there
is an element of danger for him in the fact
that the labor unions are backing e. j.
Liyernash, and combining with the demo-
Gratis in effort to defeat Kahn.
Loud May Be Beaten.
In the fifth district Representative E.
F. Loud is having hard fight, as
there is combination Of union Ia
Dor and democracy against him. VIII
liam ]. Wynn is making strong cam
paign and is making inroads In Loud ma
jority. The labor element is strong in the
district and the workingmen are bitterly
opposed to Loud. The Chronicle, the prln-
cipal republican newspaper in the state, is
against him. and while it is not making
fight II does not mention his name. This ST.
lent opposition is having erect, and the
probability is that Wynn will be elected.
In the sixth district Representative James
c. Needham is having difficulty in holding
his own against CASTOR NJ. Ashe, who Is one
of the most popular young men In the dis
trict and has host of friends in the repub-
lican party who are giving him assistance.
There is strong proba bility of Ashes cleo
ton. but Needham still has fighting
chance.
In the seventh and eighth districts the re-
publican candidates will have large ma
jorities. Both districts are strongly repub-
lican and there will be effort to increase
the normal vote.
The Probable Delegation.
At present writing it looks as If the Cali
fornia congressional delegation would be:
| First district. Thomas s. Ford, democrat,
| of Nevada City; second district, Frank L.
| Coombs, republican, of Napa; third district,
| Victor H. Metcalf. republican, of Oakland
| fourth district. Julius Kahn, republican, Of
| San Francisco: fifth district, William ].
| Wynn. democrat. Of San Francisco; sixth
| district. CASTOR M. Ashe, democrat, of San
| Benito: seventh district, James McLachlan
| republican, of Pasadena: eighth district, NJ.
| ]. Daniels republican. of Riverside.
&c 20