The Birmingham age-herald., 1902-11-03
WHAT WILL BE
 THE MAJORITY That is Main Question to be
 Decided Tomorrow DEMOCRATS ARE ACTIVE
It Is Prevailing Opinion Among Party Leaders That the Total Vote VIII Reach from so,ooo to 12o,ooo.
 Burnett Will Win.
BY E. E. KERsH.

in the state election for Alabama to- morrow there is but single question of particular interest to the people, and that is:
 What will be the majority for the democratic ticket?
 In estimate making two questions are to be considered. First, the estimate of the total vote of the state. and second, an estimate of the probable vote that will be cast for the republican ticket.
 The opinion prevailing among well posted politicians is that the total vote will reach from 5000 to 10000. Unless there is a considerable falling off in the vote of the central and southern coun- ties 1t appears from comparison that the larger figures are more likely to be cor rect. The republicans are making their strong fight in the upstate counties, and 1t Is natural to presume that in the counties where there are contests the vote tomorrow will be proportionately heaviest. In round figures the total vote cast in the democratic primaries in Au- gust was 9O,0O0. The Seventh congress sonal district cast but little more than 5000 in that election. There was not one
 
 trict that cast as many as one thousand votes.
 Big Vote Expected.
 The indications tomorrow point to a vote three times as great as that cast in democratic primaries, as there are strong opposing tickets in each county. This would net gain of 10000 votes. The eighth district cast about 10000 votes. whereas it is counted upon to cast more than 15,OOO in the general election. The vote in the Ninth, Sixth and Fourth dis tricts is also expected to be increased, probably bs. 10000. votes. This would bring the total vote up to about 115, GOO, and these are the figures that are gen. orally accepted as close to correct esti- mate.
 Based on total of 15,000 votes cast, 1t is considered possible that the republi- cans may fall 4O,O0O. leaving a democratic majority in the state of 35,000. If the total vote in the state does not exceed 100000. the democratic majority may not reach more than 30,000.
 Chairman Campbell of the democratic state campaign committee only claims a nrobable majority for his ticket of 27, 900, hut 1t must be known that in the matter of claims and conservatism, MT. Camp bell ranks with the most conservative chairman the party has heretofore nam ed. Boastful claims have in no way char acterized his campaign methods.
 Republican Chairman Cook says that the total vote in the state will reach 115OOO. and that of this number the re- nublicans will reach 6O000, a majority of 5000. There is not the slightest doubt hut that MT Cooks confidence greatly exceeds MT. Campbell's conservatism.
 Republicans Make Claims.
 The republican chairman claims that his ticket will carry twenty-seven counties, with forty members of the leg islature. Chairman Campbell does not concede a single county to the repubi- cans and not a single member of the legislature. He does not lay claims to all of them, however, nor does he name doubtful counties. A careful and non partisan visG of the legislative situation show that refere are eleven counties with twelve members, that may be considered in the doubtful column. These counties are Clay. Coosa, Cullman, Chiffon. Blount, Bibb Marshall, Shelby, StClair, Etowah and Winston. The democrats seem to have the better show to win Coosa, Cullman, Clay Bibb, Marshall and Etowah.
 The democrats will win in each of the nine congressional districts without ap- parent trouble. The republicans have con- centrated their efforts in the fourth and seventh districts, but the democrats have no fears as to the result. They expect that MT. Bowie will win in the fourth by at least 250O majority and that Mir. Bur nett will be elected in the seventh by from 1900 to 1900 majority.
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