Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1902-11-01
SMALL VOTE IN OHIO
STATE CHAIRMEN WILL MAKE
NO PREDICTIONS.
A Fight on Senator Hanna and Trou-
BILE in Gen. Grosvenor's District
Have Bad Effect.
Special Dispatch to The Evening Star.

Special Dispatch to The Evening Star
COLUMBUS. Ohio. November 1.-The
chairmen OF the state committees seem
reluctant to give estimates In figures of the
election result. Chairman CARRIER of the
democratic state committee does not even
claim that the democrats will carry the
state OF course, he comedies nothing. The
most definite statement The Star CORE
spondent could secure from him concerning
the election result was that he expected
that the democrats would gain two congress
sional districts. No doubt he refers TO the
third and the twelfth-hoth now represented
by republicans. and both placed in the
doubtful column by all careful estimate
makers.
Chairman Dick expresses confidence that
the state will go republican by a consider
able plurality. He has given no figures TO
the public yet. but 10 his friends he has
expressed the opinion that the plurality viii
be much less than it was last year. He ex-
poets to see it fall somewhere about 5000.
That would be 1900 less than the plurality
given Governor Nash last year 7 he slump
he expects to result from small t~tal vote
and that from the fact that no legislature
and no important state officers ~e to be
chosen this year. and the congressional dis
tr1cts. with two or three exceptions, are not
close enough to invite a hard fight and
bring the voters out to the polls
Governor Nash. who has spent several
tunity to feel the political pulse in all sec
tons of the state, says the total vote cast
viii be comparatively small. He would not
put 1t over SO coo. There are about l. 1o9.-
600 voters in the state The only prominent
politician who has given a prediction Of the
election result in figures Is General Gros-
Venor, and his success as political prophet
entities his prediction to attention He
places the republican plurality at 60 900.
Gen. Grosvenor's District
The story that has been sent out to the
effect that change made in Gen. Grosve-
nors district may prevent his return to
Congress is not wholly groundiess. though
1t is misleading. 1t Is a fact that the legis-
lature changed his district-the eleventh
last winter by adding Fairfield county to It.
Fairfield county Is democratic and general
ly good for from LOO to 1900 democratic
plurality. 1t was cut from this district In
order to make the capital district republi-
can. IL possible. But Gen. Grosvenors dis
trict had normal republican plurality of
about 1900 so that safe margin Is left
him. The coal miners, OF whom there are
about 5000 In his district. have now no
special reason to oppose either the general
personally or the republican party. and
there Is no reason why the eleventh district
shosld be taken out of the list Of those that
are sure to go republican next Tuesday
Gen. Grosvenor will certainly succeed HIM
self again.
The tide seems to have turned against the
republicans in the twelfth district. and from
the present outlook it seems likely that In
spite of the attempt to make the district
certainly republican by taking Fairfield out
of 1t. the republicans will lose it. If so 1t will
be mainly due to the unpopularity Of the re-
publican candidate, Cyrus Huling There Is
strong opposition to him among the repub-
leans, and the recalcitrants are men that
no organization can reach 1t Is reported
from the east that this district has been
picked out as one OF a number of doubtful
republican districts that the democrats can
q inc oil nHc.
the result funds from the national organi-
cation are finding their way here to be used
In making the next House democratic e
possible.
Move Against Hanna.
At the close Of this campaign one hears
fnklings Of factional movement against
Senator Hanna that has for It's object his
defeat as a candidate to succeed himself
In the United States Senate in 1904 1t
looks as though his old opponents. led as
before by Charles l.. Kurtz, and aided by
the new enemies the senator has made,
would try to prevent the election Of a re-
publican legislature next fall. 1t Is known
that some Of these republicans are advising
that the fight be made against Senator
Hanna on his declaration in favor of per-
petual franchises for street railways and
his efforts before the special session of the
legislature to secure such a provision In
+ the municipal code. The development OF
such plan for next year will, Of course.
have some effect upon the present cam
paign, but not sufficient to affect the gem
eral result. 1t will have serious effect on
the congressional election here, however
because the head and front Of the anti
Hanna movement is located here
The latest reports from the thirteenth
district indicate that the republican hopes
of carrying that district are not well found
ed, and that DR.. ]. A Norton. the demo-
cratic congressman. Is practically sure 10
be elected. Early reports indicating Rep
resentative Nevins' reelection in the Day
ton district are affirmed. As the situation
stands now, the democrats are likely TO
make a gain of one congressman in Ohio;
that gain they Will make in this district.
That will give them five Of the twenty-one
members Of the state delegation In the
House.
Last year on total vote of S27.5i Gov.
Nash had a plurality of 81, 567. The con-
sensus of opinion seems to Indicate this
year a total vote not far above 800 900, and
a republican plurality Of about sc, 900.