New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1902-04-02
THE BRIDGE IS GIVING WAY.
RECIPROCITY IN SENATE.
PASSAGE OF THE CUBAN BILL NOT IN
DOUBT-AMENDMEN PROBABLE.


Washington, April 1-Although the insur-
gents" of the House continue to hold caucuses
and give out reports Of their intention bitterly
to contest the passage Ct the Payne CUBAN
Reciprocity bill reported yesterday by the
Ways and Means Committee, no credence what
ever is given here their assertions Of suflcieht
strength 10 defeat that measure by cooperating
with the Democrats. As has frequently been
said in these dispatches, it is believed that at
the final roundup the insurgents VIII not be
able to muster more than fifteen votes, and even
if every Democrat in the House should vote
against the Payne bill which is not AZ all likely
the measure still would have a safe majority
| Nor is It probable that the lncorrigibie 'lHsur-
gents in cooperation with the Democratic free
trade "kicters' can delay the passage Of the Dill
longer than week from the day it is taken up
in the House. The bill Will be called UP next
Tuesday. and it is the intention Of the managers
10 put it through the House within a week and
it may be finally disposed OF by April L.
When the bill gets TO the Senate the following
week II IS expected that a great deal Will be
said about its poor prospects, but every we'll in
formed person IN Washington realizes that the
measure Will pass the Senate with majority
quite as large proportionately as It VIII get IN
The House liberal estimate shows that II VIII
be Impossible for the beet sugar people to con
fro, more than forty-one votes in the Senate
member Of the Senate who has declared his OPP
position TO Cuban reciprocity in any FORM but
also every one who has intimated in the remot-
est way any sort Of misgiving 10 the wisdom
or necessity Of the legislation proposed AS
forty-fve votes will be required TO defeat the
bill in the Senate it Is plain that all assertions
Of the dominant strength Of the beet sugar
sentiment in that body the merest bluns
Moreover. it is known that the vote that viii
E7.f-g, hold
soIIdlv together in all efforts 10 reduce the
House bin 70 the form demanded by the ad-
r,frle+-afIon the principal features of which are
,,,a+ the conditions prescribed by the House in
tho matter of forcing the Cuban Congress TO
adopt the immigration and contract labor laws
~ the United States VIII be- stricken out by The
Senate as will also probably the limitation Of
fourteen months fixed by the Sibley amendment.
The Senate also will increase the tariff reduction
IN % per cent With these amendments forced
NV the Senate the President then Will be EN-
powered TO make a straight reciprocity treaty
with Cuba as soon as the government is formed
az Havana whereas if the restrictions imposed
Nv tba House should be retained it is not con-
si5ered likely that the Cubans would consent TO
/ enter into a reciprocity arrangement with the
| United States.
An ANALYSIS Of the situation In the Senate on
The reciprocity proposition at present gives this
result:
Republicans against the Payne Billiard. Of
California: Burrows. OF Michigan Deboe, OF
Kentucky; Dietrich. Of Nebraska; Elkins. or
West Virginia; Gamble, of South Dakota; Jones.
| Of Nevada: Kearns. Of Utah; kittredge, OF South
Dakota: Mcmillan OF MIchsan; MllIard, OF
Eebraska. Scott of West Virginia; Stewart, Of
Nevada, and Warren. of Wyoming
Democrats against the Payne bil-Bacon, or
Georgia. Bailey, Of Texas; Clark, Of Montana :;
CnIherson OF Texas; Dubois, Of Idaho: Foster.
! of LOUISIANA; Gibson. Of Montana; Harris. Of
] Euhn MCf Of iS-
Iana. Pa ttersOn Of Colorado; Rawlins, of Utah;
Taliaferro. Of Florida: Teller, OF Colorado and
Turner. of Washington.
OnarIes Of Wisconsin: Wellington. of Mary
land; Clapp and Nelson. OF Minnesota; Clark
~ wyoming: Foster OF Washington, and Nc
Curoler of North Dakota, Republicans, and
Vest, of Missouri and Tillman, of South caro-
lima Democrats.