New-York tribune., 1901-11-03
SCOUT CROKER'S FIGURES.
HOW SOME OF HIS LEADERS look J-PoV
HIS ESTIMATE OF 1923 PIU.
RALITY FOR TAAfMANY

Following time -honored custom the Tar,.
many district leaders met in executive session
yesterday afternoon, the Saturday before cleo
ton, and compared figures. After the meeting
Rlchard Croker. speaking for the organization
made the announcement that Tamulany would
have plurality of 47.323 in this county, There
were TWO Things about this announcement that
caused the politicians TO doubt the sincerftv or
MT CrokeTs forecast In the first place he de-
clned TO make known the estimated Tamrnany
vote oy districts, giving reason that IL
might reveal Where the ticket weak. In the
second place ne would not comment upon the
hsures- He contented himself with giving the
ngures in the aggregate and then remaining
silent.
Ihere was not politician in the citv vestsr
day who believed that Croker was sincere in
making this forecast In fact il is known that
the figures given out by the Boss do not tally
with those furnished him by the leaders rbA,,
were made public. it is known for campaien
purposes. 1t has been the custom In years past
when the executive committee meets the sarur-
day before election. to send out forecast Last
year this was not done. for various reasons II
is known that when Croker heard the reports
from all his leaders yesterday he hesitated about
giving out a forecast He finally decided to do
So for fear that failure would be taken as an
indication Of weakness and hurt Tamrnany
1t is known that some of the leaders yesterday
furnished Croker with estimates that will not
be borne out Election Day. Some OF the
leaders feeding the old man dope figures
said Tammany leader. That is just the situa-
ton. Many of the leaders realize that the drift
is against them. They cannot ascertain Just
how strongly the tide is moving and IN making
their estimates they provide literally for pos
sible reaction in Tammany's favor. week ago
poll of the leaders brought out an estimate OF
1000 plurality in the boroughs of Manhattan
and The Bronx. Since that time the tide has
turned even more strongly against Tammany
and it may be said that not single leader who
heard the figures last evening believed that
they would be even approxima teIy substantfated
Election Day.
TIDE AGAINST THE wIGwAM
The statement made yesterday by one IN
a position to know that Tammany would not
have 10000 plurality below Fourteenth-st 1t is
in the downtown districts that Tamulany gets
its big majorities- II this is true Tamnlany
will not carry the county. The Tanarnauy lead
admit in private that they have never been
up against" a fight like the present one They
say the invasion OF the lower East Side by the
fusion campaigners has disintegrated the Tam
many forces there. The whirlwind campaign
made by Jerome has turned thousands Of votes
on the East Slue IdIHldNN, DeSlOeS, IS TORN
by internal dissensions. The Id, With and
IXth districts, considered a rule safe for Tam
many-the lid and Nth by huge rnajorities-
are in the balance this year. Sheehan, once
Tammany leader in the IXth. will nearly carry
his old district. and the Foley-Divver fight in
the lid has left its scars Uptown the heavy
registration is another bad argument for Tam
many. Tammany always gets out its vote.
and when there is abnormal registration it
is safe 70 assume that so per cent Of the in
crease over normal is anti-Tammany strength
In the downtown districts Tammany will have
lighter vote owing TO the fact that these dis
tricts are becoming less and less resident dis
tricts each year
Croker was not in good humOr yesterday. and
in a surIy manner refused to discuss the figures.
About all he and the other leaders can do is re-
vile and abuse Justice Jerome They are bend
ing every energy to defeat him. but surface in
dicatlons are that Jerome will run ahead OF
his ticket The leaders We're all in i'll humo--
They seemed to realize that defeat imrni-
nent but obeyed Croker's Injunction not to talk
James Shevlin. speaking for Kings County.
predicted a Democratic plurality in that county
Of 10000 Nicholas Muller said that Richmond
would give /. 200 for Shepard. and Cassidy said
Queens would turn in 3.pO plurality Tor Shep-
ard.
AS for Shevlin's prediction of $1,000 in Kings.
even the Tarnmany men laugh at that They
reaIize that there will be a fusion majority
across the bridge and only hope that it Will be
small and that they will have a plurality In
Manhattan big enough TO offset it, Croker spent
most of the day at Tammany Hall yesterday.
and he pIied every one ne met with questions as
to how the election would go He did not seem
70 he at ALL sure himself of the way things would
turn out
The executive committee met IN the eAeculi'e
room, in Tamulany Hall at o'clock There was
a bS crowd of politicians in the adjoining rooms
.<tar a session Of over two hours, Thomas r.
Smith for Croker announced that. according 10
the reports Of the leaders Of the various districts
!, Manhattan and The Bronx Mr. Shepard
,-o,ld have a majority of 41.323- Mr. smith
,daad that ne would not give the figures oy AS
e,,b,v districts as that would reveal. the
-+-.,e+b of some of the districts and the weak
ness of others
Daniel F. Mcmahon presided Soon after the
wasting was called to order-the meeting being
Croker introduced resolutions de-
the ISLANDERS directed against our
,,v in the effort to rnislead the people: con-
5annins attacks on the conditions in New
Work. ard urging ali citizens who take proper
WINTER HOMES IN SUMMER LANDS
A hook issued by Southern Ry-. offers many
ShA