The Houston daily post. [volume] (Houston, Tex.) 1886-1903, 1901-10-03
SHORT CROP ESTIMATE.
100000 Bales the Figure for Yield Out
side of Texas.

100000 Bales the Figure for Yield Out
side of Texas.
To tho Editor Of The Post.
Meridian, Miss. September os.-It Is
now approaching the season Of the year
when the eyes Of an interested in cotton
are directed towards anything bearing upon
the total yield. .lae small supplies Of Amer
icnp cotton. the prospective improvement
In trade conditions, and the increasing con
sumption. all combined render the lntor-
est In ultimate yield one Of most absorb
Ing proportions
The diversity Of opinions regarding the
yield causes much speculation MS to the
true situation, ana some reports that are
| circulated being Of such sensational ma
turc, really give cause for an alarm which
would Justify the assertion that present
conditions are truly critical At the same
time reports are being ndustriousy clrcu.
lated, aud arc having considerable weight
with tho trade, that the yield will be the
largest on record. There Is absolutely no
truth in any such report Nothing could
| justify such erroneous Impressions and
they have their entire foundation in the
fertile brains Of some who are deeply In
/ terestcd In having a confirmation Of their
missionary work in this direction
The writer is Ms firmly liked In his upin.
! Ions concerning this crop as he WIS In his
! expressions about the crop 1879 1900 and
1 also crop 1900 1901. While my Ideas of the
/ latter crop were not correct as 30 the
! total yield, the divisions 10y States us out
| lln"d in my circular of November 1900,
/ show clearly the mistake WAS made in
| Texas alone, ana in this particular, all aH-
! thoritlcs OF my note made tho same error.
/ 1t Is quite too carly To figure on results,
| and II Is only the intention of the writer
Int Tor TAHln.... H..a
! facts, which are satisfactory to him, In
/ JuStlncatiou OF some views he will express
herein They may appear to some as be-
Ing extreme, and may Ice as much ridiculcd
ms few other figures That have been FUR
nished In years past but which were
proven practically correct
The lntcncss Of this crop Is conceded ON
all sides, In every state; 1t Is also known
by every one that during the month Of
| August In nuy season OF normal coudi
lions, the plant takes on the largest pcr
ent late crop with one Of ordinary YEAR,
II should hC admitted, that this crop then
commenced, or should have commenced h.
best month about August 10, that Is he
tween August 10 and September IL 1t was
expected Of this crop to take on that nrE,
proportion OF bolls which usually prnduc,
our bumper crops. Has this been the case
The writer says unQupstluuahly no. and il
this statement Is borne out by letters from
all sections of the belt Instead NJ Eivml
evidence OF trutlng 10 any extent since
, August II II has In many sections fHlloC
to rctuin a portion of that appearing upol
the piaut prior to that date.
, From every section comes the complain
and from sources that can not he douhtcd
that the plant stopped blooming more sud
denly than ever known before. and sine,
the date mentioned has made no progress
whatever; many sections reporting "A de
tcrioratiOn THAT Is astounding II ha,
been generally understood that the crop II
the delta WIS doing nicely, aud a larg,
p yield has been anticipated. Recently re
ports Of deterioration have come to han,
, from THIS section. and IT Is quite safe &,
! say that the uufaVorablc weather prevail
fccted the yield. This has been the cold
est September for many years, consequent
! ly has added nothing to the crop,
1t VIII be remembered our largest crop
have been produced by warm SCptcmbcr
{ and Octohcrs, This fact alone should caus,
) those Interested deep concern, and convince
. them that it Is now an utter lmpossibiit.
TO produce q bumper crop.
: Viewing the situation from the com
, mcncemcnt Of the crop up to October !
and calculating upon more favorable wealth
err conditions than usually attend II Gro
p after October I, the writer feels perfect
4 safe In declaring 1t viii he impossible 70
the States outside OF Texas and the Tcl
rltorcs to produce exceeding 1900 90
$ hnleS The yield I'm Texas has been est
+ mated from 2,NoOO0 to 100000 bales
Taking the extreme figure of 3,0O0,OOO. an
a allowing what Is considered q maximum
: for the other states aud the crop woul
e only be 10300.0oo, This Is not sun
Il conSumptiyc requirements.
Spinncrs should look carefully into IN
9 above figures and not he misrd hy cNtrnNH
4 CANT ideas promulgated by those interest
u ed In bringing about lower prices, bu
G should hold themselves In readiness to reA
g the benefit Of declining market. and hu
y not oniy for immediate, but future require
q mcnts II win be some time before In
y | size pt the crop can he known, and In III
= meantime prices may rccedc 10 a Rgur
n that should prove tempting 10 all consum
n | ers.
a When the facts have become patent tn
Q rebound will undoubtedly come, AS a di
q after January 1, 1900, when the trade rea
" tied they had been mlsled and deceive
d as to the size Of the crop Of lGO0Ot hnN
II Ing been made 10 believe Il was 1O,aOO on
y TO 100000 when the actual yield wa
p only 05o0.OOO,
l. II must he understood the writer make
n no comments upon the estimates rs TO tn
, Texas crop, but commits himself only I
,, figures for the States outside not pr0du,
- ing over 7.SOO,OOO and is frank 10 say tina
u the weather must he exceptionally fine [
~ reach these figures Much Is feared frol
IL an early frost, and quite rightly, too.
, heavy killing frost by October 10 to Is wi
,p prove a great disaster, and would call fort
X a revision OF my Agures,