Arizona republican., 1901-10-02


 adoption of reciprocity as an active policy of the administration Is in the prejudice of manufacturers, which is even more formidable than the fear that it's adoption might infiict losses upon their business.
 They will not look ahead he de- clared. If they would they would see that a lowering of duties would in- evitably lead to greater consumption and to far greater business. The fight for reciprocity must be. for some time to come. q fight against this prejudice. Many see in the principle the first step toward free trade. instead of recogniz- ing that it Is a distinguishing charac- teristic of the policy of protection. It Is an evolution of that policy
 CHANGES OF SUCCESS.
 It has been frequently said that reel procity has no better chance for sue cess now than it had under the splen- did and skillful leadership of MT. Me Kinley. For two years his best efforts seemed wasted against the steadfast opposition of the congress. held firm by manufacturing interests that felt most alarm over the new idea. It is said that if MT. Mckinley, with his superb mastery of politics, with his intimate acquaintance with all pubic men. with his peculiar adroitness and powers of persuasion-if he failed with all these qualifications for the task Mir. Roosevelt has still less chance uf success.
 This is not the view, however, cf those who are best qualified to forecas. the attitude of congress upon the que-- tion of the adoption of the policy of reciprocity. or. rather. of treaties in- volving that policy. The policy itself is already a part and parcel of repui-- licanism. Those who have given most time and care to the study of the sub ject are firm in the belief that popular sentiment has grown in it's favor. At first it was not fully understood. I. had an appearance of backing down from the out-and-out policy of protec- tion.
 But the prejudice against it has waned, and the last efforts of MT Me- Kinley. in his great speech at Buffalo, which closed his career like a mighty peroration, have done much to clarify the popular mind and strengthen aul increase belief in the virtue of the principle. This change in the public mind must inevitably be felt in con- gress-
 WHY TREATIES FAILED.
 
 called the Kasson treaties. failed in the senate for several reasons. It is now recognized that it was a mistake. but possibly an unavoidable mistake, to submit the treaties in group A singie treaty stood good chances for ratifica- ton. but when several were grouped the interests affected were so greatly multiplied that the opposition became irresistible.
 Of course, when one nation was ot- fered reciprocity, others wanted it also. and so a number of treaties had to be submitted at the same time. and it may be said that the opposition was doubled by the addition of each treaty. The alarm spread even beyond the cir cles of trade and manufacture that were affected.
 These treaties were also unfortunate in calling down the opposition of some of the leaders of the senate. Mir. Lodge strongly opposed the French treaty. for instance. The lowering of rates on several products he feared would sefi- ously affect his state.
 And yet the treaty with France is claimed to be a most excellent piece or bargaining on the part of the American commissioner. The Dingley tariff law, under which the treaties were nsgoti- ated. allowed a margin of reduction in American duties on articles to be af- fected by the reciprocity treaties of 9 per centum. The treaty negotiated with France has an average reduction on articles for import from that country of only 6.S per centum, while this coun- try was to obtain reduction in tariff duties on every article in the French tariffs. except nineteen, of from 26 to IS per csntum. The United States tariff
  sions are offered on only 126, while 579 are untouched. There are 654 numbers on the French tariff act. and only D are reserved from operation of the tfeaty. It has been calculated that American exports to France. under the reciprocity treaty, would have been in creased by $20, 0,0o0, 900 or s30,O00, ,o00 i year.
 TREATIES NOW PENDING.
 There are seven reciprocity treaties now pending in the senate-with France, with the British West Indies. with the Argentine Republic, with Mic aragua, with Denmark, with the Do- minican Republic and with Ecuador. It is generally said that they have failed, but this is not true. There is still chance and some degree of hope for all of them. If they do fail, 1t Is probable that the work of negotiating similar treaties, although authorized by the Dingley bill will be discontinued for a time. If they succeed. the work will. of course, be pushed forward.
 MT. Roosevelt has very strong hope of being able to pull the treaties through the senate. He will not con- slider the fight for reciprocity as lost, even if all the present treaties go by the hoard hut he is determined to make a hard struggle to have the treaties ratified. He has adopted reel procity as the leading policy of his ad- ministration, and he will not let it per- ish in the senate without making desperate fight for 1t, as the principal avenue for the continued expansion Of A nnerican fnreign trade