Evening times-Republican. [volume] (Marshalltown, Iowa) 1890-1923, 1901-11-04
FIGURES NOI CHANGED
Final Estimates on Election Do
Not Vary From Those
Previously Printed.
Sure TO Be a Light Vote But Re-
publican Plurality Will
Be Large.
Gains and Losses In the Lesis-
lative Districts-.A Few
Close Districts.
pecial to Times Republican.

| Special to Times Republican,.
| Des Moines, Nov. 4.-The republican
party managers are the only ones who
have had the courage to give any figures
on the party totals at the election to-
morrow Chairman Spence has not
mittee materially since they We're first
given to the public in this correspond
ence OIL Oct is last. He counts ON to-
! tai of 10000 votes and a plurality of
5000. Chairman Spence comedies the
urohibitonists li,000 votes, and they
Claim 25,oGo. The democrats merely con-
tent themselves with claiming that the
others don't know anything about it. Ic
/ is morally certain that the democratic
state committee knows nothing about
what Will happen or election Gay. plu-
rality Of 75,g00 or even $4,000 for Cum
Minis would be significant Shaw got a
plurality of $4,000. Sherman had $4,000
plurality, Gear had plurality OF 1900
and Jackson rolled up 32.00G A big drop
| in the vote is always to be expected the
next year after presidential year. The
I this to be unofrim rule. Since the be-
ginning of political history in Iowa the
average loss in the republican vote the
next year after Il presidential election as
compared with the vote for president
has been 17.74 per cent. In the same time
the average loss in the vote of the oppo-s
siticn has been S.I7 per cent. There mas
been less loss in the opposition because
history shows that the next year after
presidential election is always the time
for gains in the minor parties. me
minor parties have shown an average
gain of 81 .25 per cent. The democratic
marty loss has averaged about 10 per
cent. If the average is maintained pN
all parties the figures will be about as
given by Chairman Spence. But TINS
campaign has been likened to that wfllch
followed the death of Garfield in 1881,
except shat the democratic candidate Tor
Governor is not making any such can
s-..sss as wa, made by Judge sJS'nre that
wear. Many persons would feel no sur
prise if there. was loss of l00G00 votes
in Iowa this year from last years fs-
ures.
The large republican majority IN the
legislature is sure to be increased ma
terially Republican gains will be made
in five or six districts in the senate. In
Jasner there seems to be do doubt that
e T.. Maytag will beat A. III. Harrah.
tho the democrats are well organized.
and have conducted hard campaign.
Maytag is connected with one of the big
manufacturing concerns in Newton and
I,, tJ,f o-
shiek district e. z. Johnson. for many
years resident of Decorah, a popular
scandinavian is sure to beat the pres
ent democratic senator. ID. a. Lyons. OF
Cresco. Lyons would not have been
elected four years ago but for disseh-
sions in the republican party. In wash
ington and Henry counties similar
condition prevails. Four years ago the
republicans ignored the demands OIL
Washington county and nominated
man from Henry county when the nom
ination should have gone to the other
county in rotation. The democrats took
advantage of it and elected Aiberson.
This year the republicans have nomin-
ated J. a. Young, a popular banker OF
washington. AS both nominees live in
Washington the location question is out
of consideration. In Clinton the iepub-
licans are very confident that the pop
ular mayor of Clinton, George McDaid,
will beat John l.. Wilson, tho the coun-
ty is normally democratic. In the Cass-
Shelby district, James Il. Bruce mas
gone up against a hard proposition, to
defeat Senator Emmert, but the repup-
leans are confident. Bruce, who is the
Ninth district committeeman ana a
popular business man OF Anita mas
made a splendid canvass OF the two
counties. In the district composed OF
Harrison, Monona and Crawford coun-
ties the fight between f. l.. Iiogue, re-
publican and John ID. Carey, democrat
is a warm one and the republicans
have some hope of success, but VIII not
be surprised If they fail to overcome the
big majority against them. The demo-
Gratis have not signified that they have
any hopes of gain anywhere IN the
senate unless it is in Scott county.
In the mousse there is sure to be sew
eral republican gains. There VIII be
gain in Henry county, where Garden
will beat Campbell, unless all Signs tan.
In Clinton at least one of the republi-
can canuIudIeSl Is likely " ~ e1tsssNe.
possibly both, but of this latter the re-
publicans are rot sure. The democrats
scout the idea of losing Clinton, Rep
resentative Sirkwood, of Harrison
county, is pretty sure TO be retired III
favor of H. Il. King, of Woodbine, VINO
has made a nexcelent canvass and is
being well supported. Republicans eX-
pect change in Des Moines county and
want at least one of the representa-
tives. They are more confident, how
ever. in Scott county of taking both the
In Clayton and Chick
asaw democratic members are sure teI
be superseded by republicans. The DEM
ocrats are confident of making a gain in
Iowa county and in Plymouth, and they
are making a pun fer jackson and for
the O'Bien-Lyon representative dis
tr.ct. They do not concede either Chick
asaw. CLAYTON. Des Meines, Scott nor
Clinton, aud have no doubt that they
will win in Harrison and Shelby but
they give no figures. At best they can
expect to sustain a loss of about half
their representa- ton in the legislature.
The political headquarters are DESERT