Arizona republican., 1901-01-15


 written across the twentieth century
 Beginning with the United States, he
 says the tranquility of the country de
 bends upon the development of the imperial" policy.
 'If the United states is swept away
 by the wind of imperialism it must
 make ready so sustain. during the com
 ing century, formidable struggles, in
 order to assimilate what is still want
 ing to the satisfaction of it's imperial
 istic dreams, and no time should be lost
 in the preparation of the means which
 will permit the serious realization of
 this ideal"
 England has gradually and surely, accrding to this seer. yielded to the
 Fascination exercised on nations as well as mcn by the mirage of con- quest" Its means of defense mus. therefore always be formidable. 1t must protect its vast colonial domain, If 1t is to be protected by it., The at tachment of the colonies to thn mother country Is to be secured by their"sense of security" and the home territory must be saved from surprise" Brit ish foes must be kept in fear of the pr stige" of Bri;lsh arms. M. de
 Blowitz does not name the direction from which war will come. but "the logic and force of existing circumstan- ces" compels her to be prepared.
 For my part believe that the twen- tleth century will witness numerous and terrible wars throughout the entire globe. In the center of Europe see war break out on the morrow of the death of Francis Joseph"
 This last remark is anpliGed by an analysis of the tangled skein of Aus. tiian-Hungarian politics. and by forecast of the struggle that will prob- ably follow the death of Francis Jo- seph of Austria. This struggle will. he believes involve Bosnia. Herzegovina, Montenegro Bulgaria. Servia. Slav Croatia, Roumana-''the cockpit" of Europe. The death of Francis Joseph would be an occasion for arbitration: but arbitration. M. de Blowitz thinks, is q mad chimera."
 In Germany the prophet discovers the Europe"-a power which none would dare to insult. Yet from NJ. de Blow itz's point of view, it inspir,s mo inn mediate appre hension. William II has by himself tempered the anger of Ger many's enemies and moderated aheir impatience. But he feels well enough that. were he to disappear today. he would not have Justified the imperious action which upset the omnlpotent chancellor. During the coming century the young sovereigns role will become quite different and more mark ed. And in the more or less general conflict of which l catch glmpses his part will not be one of the least prepor. derant."
 Respecting France, NJ. de Blowilz says that her chief danger is from within. Her menace Is 'social para sftism,' her privileged classes. M. da Blowitz laments that each government has bequeathed its privileged classes to it's successor. and so from regime to regime has been growing and extend Ing In it's parasitic mass; so that today over France that fancics itself demo- cratic, and which aspires to be so. str,tches like an immense. constantly shifting blotch this social parasitism. these throngs of individuals always dis contented always with unslaked thirst, always ready to upset existing things on the chance of finding a place or reaping an advantage by possible up- heaval. It seems to me to constitute the veritable danger against which she will have to battle during the coming century. and which she must learn to conjure away if she would escape the perils which beseG the existence of nations"
 Russia seems to be an insolvabla problem for our prophet. It does not come within the logic of history for the reason that it's government is that of individual aocion, of single pre- dominant authority. Violence alonr can alter this situation. and what will then happen s,aggers thought. Russia has had a cZar creator; 1t has had d cZar cmanclpa.or; it will have a czar llberator. But in determining 1 role; 1t cannot pretend to prophecy"