The Honolulu republican. [volume] (Honolulu, T.H.) 1900-1902, 1901-09-04
AMERICAS WONDERFUL oRowrH


promptly suppressed. the United
States would have q population Of
I0s. 20S 900 in 1900.
He based this prediction on the
percentage OF increase in population
from 1890 to 1860. The Increase from
1890 to 1900 was q little over IS per
cent. From 1900 to 1910. the increase
Was S6.05 per cent There was de-
cline in the ratio OF increase in the
next decade, but in 1850 there was an
increase Of 50.s7 per cent. and in 1850
An increase Of 1888 per cent, making
an average decennial increase Of s4.61
per cent in population for the seventy
years from 1880 to 1850
Assuming that this ratio of increase
would be maintained. Mr.. Lincoln pre-
dicted that the United States would
have a population Of 1929. 900 in 1870,
81. s67 900 in 1880. 1851, 900 in 1890,
1Os POS, 900 in 1900. 1873 ,91s.0OO in 1910,
IS6 $4,000 in 1920, and 25l.6sO 900 in
1880.
But the civil war came. and the per
centage OF increase from 1860 to 1870
fell to 22.63 per cent The percentage
of increase went up TO 80 per cent in
1880, dropped to 24,Ss per cent in
1890. and to 21.ss per cent for the
decade ending with 1900
The population OF 1870 failed tn
reach Mr. Lincolns estimate by 1854.
900. In 1880 the population was g.
s11 900 below the estimate, 14.O55.OOG
below in 1890. and 26.s1s.O 900 below in
1900 The ratio of increase for the
asst decade was the lowest in ninety
years.
Commenting on these figures, Pro
fessor Lewis NJ. Haupt. member OF the
isthmian canal commission. says. in
the last issue of Lippincott's Maya
zine. that the low ratio of Increase OF
our population in the last decade can
not be accounted for by the Spanish
war or the financial crisis of 1898
The lowering of the ratio in the las,
ten years has been greater even than
In the decade of the civil war. Ar
mics have not been slaughtered as
hey were then. and there has been
no great departure from normal con
ditions,
Seeking an explanation for all this
Professor Haupt contends that the
law of our national development de
mands greater transportation facilities
Than those now existing or projected
especially by water. to maintain tht
equisite supplies. To keep up II
he march Of civilization the UniteS
states must look to its commerce ant
its diplomacy. The era of railway de
velopment between 1870 and 1885,
marked our greatest increase in popu
lation since the war.
Professor Haupt reasons from THU
that the decade in which the Nieara
qua canal is completed win witness
another heavy increase in population
The opening of the canal. he contends
will not only stimulate our CONNER
cial growth. but win contribute to ou
agricultural and manufacturing
growth and to our internal develop
ment. as did the era Of rapid railwa,
construction. He believes that II tn,
lsthmian canal Is not constructed b,
the United States. and at once. ",
win not be able to maintain even tn,
ratio Of increase in population show,
in the last decade.
Professor Haupt ignores in his dis
eussion. however. the influence OF II
new expansive tendencies Of the ns
ton. and their stimulating eject o,
industry and commerce. The strons
er the United States is. the create
its power in shaping policies. th.
wider its influence on sea and land
the more rapid viii be It's development
along lines that attract immigrant
and that contribute 10 peace and pro.
Iperity.