The evening times., 1900-09-27
NOTES OF THE CAMPAIGN.

Some FigHres--No politician who is
honest with himself and who knows any
thing about the situation as it stands at
present can deny the proposition that Mr..
Bryan in all probability has ''cinch' on
ia electoral votes. as follows: Alabama.
II. Arkansas 8: Colorado. 4; Florida, T.
Georgia, Is: Kentucky. Is; Idaho. 5; Lou
isiana. s; Maryland. g.; Mississippi, 3; Mis-
souri,, II; Montana, 3; Nebraska, 8; Ne
yada. 8; North Carolina. III South car
olina, 8; Tennessee. 12i Texas, 10; Titan,
3; Virginia, u. By the same process or
reasoning Mr.. Mckinley can be given 1i6
votes, accepting the Republican claim that
neither Illinois nor Ohio is doubtful, and
also accepting their claim that neither
Michigan nor Wisconsin is doubtful. On
this basis, then, the sure Mckinley States
are these: California, 8: Connecticut. b;
Illinois, "a Iowa, 13; Maine, 6; Massa-
chusetts, Is; Michigan, IA; North Dakotu.
3: Ohio, %; Oregon, A; Pennsylvania. 81:
Rhode Island, 4; New Hampshire, 4; Yer
mont, 4: Wisconsin, u; Wyoming 3. Ac-
cording to this view of the case there are
nine doubtful States, with total vote IN
the Electoral College of 81. These States
are: Delaware. 3; Indiana, Is; Kansas,
10: Minnesota. 8; New Jersey, 10; New
York, 36; South Dakota, 4; washington,
A. Wese Virginia, 6. This estimate shows
Mr. Bryan to be short exactly fifty votes
and Mr.. Mckinley to be short forty eight
votes. II Mr.. Bryan should carry New
York and Indiana he would be elected
with only one vote to spare. If Mr.. Me-
| Kinley should carry the seven other
doubtful States-Delaware. Kansas. Min
nesota, New Jersey. South Dakota, Wash
| ington, and West Virginia-he would De
short Of the goal two votes. Either ol
| them could win by carrying eight of the
| doubtful States and losing New York. O1
| the 81 doubtful votes it is reasonably
/ certain at this time that Mr.. Bryan
! stands an excellent chance Of getting Is
| Kansas 10), Delaware 81, and Indiana
| tl5}. On the same law of chance, Mr.
Mckinley prospects are good to get 2
of the 81 doubtful votes in the Electora
| College-Minnesota 90. New Jersey Q0)
! and South Dakota a. This leaves A
votes to be fought for by both candidates
| New York (35). Washington "a, and Wes
| Virginia (6). Giving to each the bench
| of the doubt in his favor, it is shown tha
| Mr.. Bryan woula nave 202 votes ant
| Mr.. Mckinley 199-leaving the frs
! short of the Presidency TWEEN
I ty-two votes and the lat
| ter twenty-five. OF course a landslide /
/ a possibility. and in that event all thes
calculations would be knocked sky high
for then it would be likely that the Demo
Gratis would sweep the Middle West, in
Guiding Illinois Michigan, Minnesota
Wisconsin. and even Ohio. But as a land
slide cannot be reckoned Oh by Tolitica
prognosticators, it is obvious that Demo
| cratic hope for success now rests in In
diana and New York-the same old situa
| tion that has confronted Democratic man
| ayers for thirty years. Senator Thursto
summarized the case the other day sue
cinctly when he declared it was alway
possible for the Republicans to win with
out New York though they never had, an
it was always impossible for the Demo
| Gratis TO win without New York. Where
fore. it may be confidently expected tha
the energies of both parties will be con
ceutrated upon the Empire State and In
diana from this moment until the clos
of the polls on November 6. The man
ayers of both parties may not talk thi
way, but the facts in the case scar OF
| this assertion