Evening star., 1900-10-16
GAINS FOR M'KINLEY
Will Pick Up twenty-five Electoral
Votes
WEST OF TEE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
Bryan May Lose a Number Of
Others.
REASONS FOR THE CHANGE
Special Correspondence of The Evening Star.

! Special Correspondence of The Evening Star.
| KANSAS CITY, Mo, October II, 1900.
| 1t is possible at this time to outline with
reasonable accuracy the probable outcome
| of the presi1 1ential election in all states
| west Of the Mississippi river. There are
nineteen states included in this area. In
1896 these nineteen states gave President
| Mckinley thirtyseven electoral votes and
| Mr.. Bryan nfnety-four, making total OF
| 13l. Estimated results as closely as possl-
| BILE, after careful and impartial examina-
| ton into the political conditions in each
| and every one of these states, it is safe to
say that President Mckinley will receive
! this year at least ffty-pine out of these
| 131 electoral votes, thus leaving seventy
| two for Mr.. Bryan. This indicates loss
| to the Bryan ticket of at least twenty-five
| electoral votes, as compared with the fig
| ures of 1896.
| Others That Are Doubtful.
| These twenty-five Bryan votes are given
| TO the republicans q most conservative
| estimate OF the situation. There thir-
| teen other votes which may be called doubt
| full But they are given to Bryan in this
| estimate as to be entirely on the safe
| side. The twenty-five votes which Bryan
will lose will come from Washington, Cali
| fornia, Wyoming, South Dakota and Kan
sas. The doubtful votes are Idaho, Mon
tana. Utah and Colorado. The state in
which the republicans have the most hopes
OF victory among these doubtful states is
Idaho. Next to this in republican posi-
biltles is Montana, Utah comes next and
Colorado is apparently the surest for Mr..
Bryan.
These nineteen states west of the Missis-
| CT 1T, ID nIn
votes, represent no inconsiderable part of
the fight, and the losses in this territory to
the Bryan ticket make it far more difficult
for the democrats to win in the east. no
matter If they do carry several of the al
legged doubtful states controlling large votes
In the electoral college. In fact. the demo-
cratic losses in the west may very possibly
represent the balance of power which Will
bring the democratic ticket to defeat
OF the nineteen states west of the Misss-
sppi the following were republican in 1896
Oregon. California with the exception of
one vote), North Dakota. Minnesota and
Iowa. The states that went for Bryan in
1896 were Washington. one vote in Califor-
MIA, Montana, Idaho Nevada, Utah, Wyo-
ming, Colorado South Dakota. Nebraska.
Kansas, Texas, Missouri, Arkansas and
Louisiana.
Washington and California.
Washington will give its four votes this
year to the republican national ticket and
California will present a solid republican
front. Influences at work which rave
brought about this change are those Of
prosperity, lack Of interest in the money
question and Endorsement of the foreign
policy of the present national adminiitra-
ton Wyoming will give It's electoral vote
to the republican ticket owing to the pros
perity which now attends the great live
stock interest of that state. This is m st
decidedly marked among the sheep men
who are now getting twice as much for
= &I,afr fhayy fnr,r nd
they credit the administration with the
policy which has brought about this in
crease. South Dakota will give her four
votes to the national republican ticket
owing largely to the return of the silver re-
pubicans to their original party. South
Dakota is naturally a strongly republican
community and it's lapse into the Bryan
camp was due to temporary alteration
caused by the widespread enthusiasm over
the white metal in the west.
Kansas Probably Republican,.
Kansas Is, Of course, still claimed by the
democrats, but 1T is conceded by many of
them that these claims are not well found
ed. There has been rising tide of republi-
canism in Kansas in progress for three
years past. 1t resulted in 1898 in the cleo
ton of republican state government, and
there has been no apparent subsistence in
this wave since that time. In fact, to the
contrary, 1T has apparently been growing
stronger and stronger as the people of
Kansas realize the very satisfactory conGf-
tions which have been brought about in
that state not only by series Of good
crops but as a direct result Of present Da-
tonal politics. The democrats place strong
hope in the personal popularity ard
strength of Bank Commissioner J. w
BridenthaI, who is the fusion nominee for
governor. and it seems most probable that
Mr.. Bridenthal will run ahead of Bryan in
his state.
This strength of the fusion candidate may
possibly be estimated, for notwith-
standing the advertising he has received
as a conservative his sOcialistic views are
thoroughly well understood in his state
and are considered dangerous by large
element among the people. Kansas is al
ways a problem politically, and as a rule
it Is not safe to make political predictions
in regard to 1t. But the unanimous teSti-
| mony of democrats as well as republicans
in hundreds of communities throughout the
state is to the effect that there has been
| a tremendous slump from the Bryan sup
port which will go directly to the republic
can national ticket.
May Go for Bryan.
AS stated, Colorado, Utah. Idaho and
Montana are also claimed by the repub-
ncans But 1t seems fairly certain that
these four states will give their electoral
vote to Mr.. Bryan. Free silver has been
kept to the front an Issue in these To-
ca1ities: the smelter trust is strong argu-
ment on the democratic side, and as the
vote of these four states Is largely that
of the miners and mill employees and is
naturally democratic 1t would seem that the
republicans were hoping against odds. II
the Mormon church exercises its influences
in favor Of the republican national ticket
in Utah and Idaho it may possibly throw
the latter state at least into the republic
can column. But no matter with what ap-
parent authority any one may speak as to
the attitude of the church 1t Is absolutely
impossible to tell what will happen In this
direction until election day.
Minnesota for Mckinley.
The democrats are making some claims in
regard to Minnesota, which state is given
to President Mckinley In this estimate
There seems little basis, however, for dem
! ocratic hopes in that direction, notwith-
| standing the attitude taken by Gov. Lind