The Honolulu republican. [volume] (Honolulu, T.H.) 1900-1902, 1900-11-07
SWEEPING VICTORY
FOR THE REPUBLICANS
New York Herald,s
Poll Indicates Par
tvs Triumph.
INCREASED VOTE FOR MklulEY
HOUSE AND sENATEcLosK But
FAVOR ADNINIsTRA-
TON MAJORITY.
Democrats are Likely to Garry Ne
braska and Send Bryan to
the Upper House OF
Congress.

NEW YORK, oct. eo-The Herald
says;
Mehinley's probable electoral votes in
1890. Isl: Bryan's probable electoral
votes in 1900. lssi Whole number of
votes in Electoral College. Al. Neces-
sary to choice. 224 MeKinley's prob
able majority in 1900. III. MeKinley's
majority in 1896. %.
This is the Herald's prediction of the
result of the presidential election The
data upon which il is based have been
cgllected with more than usual care. Men
ri experience in gauging public sentiment
on political questions have been stationed
for weeks in the doubtful states, where
both parties have been making great eff
forts These men have done work ALSO
lutely without bias and have reduced
their observations to cold blooded calcu-
lation. and in each instance have given
what they consider the strong probabili-
ties. In addition 10 this the country has
been canvassed in another way. through
other correspondents or through newspa-
pers associated with the Herald in gath
ering news. This second poll was con-
Quoted for the purpose of ascertaining
the probable complexion of the Fifty
seventh congress. and furnishes as
check on the other canvass. indications as
TO how the election is going for president
In both Investigations practically the
same result has been reached in all the
states which, during the campaign. have
been regarded as fighting territory.
Mckinley and Roosevelt will hold all
the border southern states that went for
Mckinley and Hobart in 1896. with the
exception of Kentucky Kentucky *
doubtful still. but the probabilities are
for Bryan. West Virginia. Maryland
and Delaware are regarded as safe Cor
the republican candidates, Mckinley will
probably have Indiana. and if he gets
il the result will be due entirely to the
farmer vote. The states which were
carried by Bryan IN 1896 and which will
go for Mckinley this year are South Da
kota. Kansas. Washington and Wyo-
ming. Bryan got one electoral vote in
California in 1896. California is solid
for Mckinley now.
With the exception of Kentucky. Nc
kiuley will hold all the states he carried
in 1876 and make a net gain of eleven
electoral votes in California. South Da
kota. Wyoming and Washington.
In the present house the republicans
have 1S5, democrats 162. all other anti
republicans I. while there are three va
cancies. This gives the republicans
working majority of Is. The new house
will probably have 1S5 republican votes.
the democrats will have 153, the-a will
be three fusionists and silver republicans.
two populists. and fourteen districts are
doubtful. Gains in the house have been
made by the democrats in the west and
south, but they are offset by gains made
by the republicans in the east.
In the senate. where the republicans
now have 30 members, the indications
are that next year they will have at
n majority. There are eleven doubtful
senatorial elections pending. and the re-
publicans can scarcely lose control of the
senate, even should Bryan be elected.
Quay may not be elected in Pennsylva-
MIA. Elkins may be defeated in West Vir-
ginia and Pettigrew may lose in South
Dakota.
No states indicate as great majority
for Mckinley as in 1896. The plurality in
New York will be more than cut in two:
Illinois. which gave $4,000 republican
majority four years ago. viii not give
over 10000. and the democrats are likely
to elect the governor and legislature
The majority in Ohio will also be cut
Nebraska will give Bryan 5000 plu-
rality. and elect fusion Legislature
which will. in turn, elect Bryan TO the
United States senate
The Herald's returns reveal that while
the voters are not satisfied with the poll
ey of the government in Porto Rico and
the Philippines. and while there is a great
dislike and distrust of the industrial ten
denotes toward trusts and combinations
of capital. the powerful factor controlling
voters will be the fear of Bryan on finan-
cial questions and the belief that he would
bring commercial. financial and industrial
disaster If he went to the White House.