The Independent. [volume] (Honolulu, H.I.) 1895-1905, 1900-08-13

Fl votes to the Bryan column in the
South already conceded, giving him
total OF $50. Next in considera-
tion comes group OF Western min
ing States-the original stamping
ground OF free silver in 1896-loyai
to Bryan in the last election, and,
though showing signs OF recovery,
by no means to be counted on to
return Republican majorities. They
are Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Ne
vada and Utah. Being probably for
Bryan, their total vote OF l6 should
be added to the Bryan strength al
ready noted, bringing it up to 166.
We come now to some scattered
States, which, at the least, are de
cidedly doubtful. Mckinley car
ried Delaware in 1896, but the party
is not in very hopeful condition
there. Nothing but the money
question saved it in the last cam
paign. The party is split into fac
tions, and in the last thirty years
the State has gone Democratic
seven times out OF eleven elections.
Wyoming was carried by Bryan in
1896 by $50 votes. The State elect
ed Republican governor in 1893
by l 400 votes, and the Republicans
have hope OF carrying it again this
year. But its record has been I'M
steady for ten years Fast. Kansas
gave it's vote in 1892 to Populism
and in 1896 to the Bryan fusion In
the intervening years Of 1894, 1895,
and 1898 it elected Repub!ican.State
tickets. What it will do this year is
reasonably doubtful. Nebraska has
not been a Republican State since
1892. Let us assume that these
States of Delaware, Wyoming, Kan
sas, and Nebraska, together with
the equally uncertain State OF South
Dakota, with their total vote Of %,
will either join or remain with the
Bryauites, and we shall have con
coded that party total Of 1914 cleo,
toral votes.
Bryan would still need 80 votes.
1t is not within reason that he
should gain them in New England,
Pennsylvania, Iowa, New Jersey aud
Oregon. They will be sought in
New York, Ohio, Illinois, Indiana,
North Dakota, Michigan, Wiscon-
sin, Minnesota, West Virginia, and
Washington, and out OF that large
field it is easy to see that one or
combination OF two or three States
might furnish Mr.. Bryan with the
needed 80 votes.
1t has been announced from the
Republican national committee that
the battle will DO vigorously fought
this year west OF the Mississippi,
and slight computation will yindi-
cate the wisdom Of this plan. In
the East and Middle West Repubii-
cans may fairly figure on carrying
the States which voted for McKiu-
ley, with the exception Of Kentucky,
Maryland and Delaware Those in
clude the New England States with
80 voter, the Middle States without
Delaware with 70 votes, the North
Central States with ITO votes, and
West Virginia with 6 votes, making
a total Of 233. Any serious loss
from these must be replaced in the
West. The strength most likely
available in the West consists OF
the 81 votes OF California, Oregon,
Washington, Kansas, Wyoming, and
North and South Dakota. The de-
lection OF New York might be made
good by the votes OF these States,
less Kansas, or carrying Kansas and
losing Wyoming, North Dakota and
Washington. The loss OF Ohio or
Illinois could be made good by Cali
fornis, Oregon and Washington, to-
gether with Wyoming aud one OF
the Dakotas, or in combination with
Kansas. The loss OF Indiana could
be replaced by Californian, Oregon
and Washington. The detection { |