Evening times-Republican. [volume] (Marshalltown, Iowa) 1890-1923, 1900-10-18
ARE SURE 0F NEW YORK
Mckinley and Roosevelt Will Car.
~ the State by Safe
Plurality.
Croker Himself Has No Hopes 81
the State Going For
Bryan.
Walter Wellman Gives Some In.
teresting Figures on the East.
ern Situation.

six electoral votes of the Empire state
The republican plurality can not drop
below 10000; it may run to over 100000
Fef this result there is no reasonable
doubt
+ No Que here-not even the democratic
leader Mr.. Crokel.-belisves that BRYAN
mas as much as a lighting chance for the
state. Mr.. Croker's lieutenants almost
tie q man Know they are beaten and pri-
fNately say so; some of them have had
Istaes courage to tell him What theyethink
Nothing but Il miracle, nothing but a
sulprise springins up like an earth
&tiGahe. coniounding the calculations oil
Ill@auers on Doth SIDES, could give the
State to this democrats.
lnaslnuch as Bryans hopes of cleo
tiGn hang almost altogether upon this
state. t is easy t. sse that Bryan is
ileatsn. am convinced that When Mr..
+ Bryan lief t New York City this morn
ing he knew that Tainmany's loyal sup
88Gori and Tammanyts great welcome to
him last night signify nothing So far as
che elsctqral Vote of New York is con-
scsinea and that he second battle fol
sEae presidency is lost.
Here are some of the salient features
Kof the situation iii NeW York state:
The conservative elements of society.
i3tlt whatever political aiiiliation, do not
Trust Bryan or Organism any more
#thail they did in 1896.
Less tl.an one-hali OF the democrats
Who l5ft their party fotrf years ago
have 5now returned 10 it.
The democracy IF New York state is
5disruPted, not Only because If distrust
{of iseyan. but because of dstrust fear
Eor hatred of Croker, the Tammany boss.
who has made himself master III the
party IN the state and Who is regarded
as Bryan IS general manager.
There are other democrats who could
SWALLOW Croker if it We're not for Bry-
55an: there are other democrats who
could swallow Bryan If it Mere not for
tCrol1er there are thus a great many
wh08 can not stand the Croker Bryan
ALLIANCE in che dose.
The old GleNeiand democracy are
iseneraltN opposed ia Bryan. and are the
more bitter against him. now that Cro-
iler has become his chief faetotem.
Added - these Cleveland democrats
are many Hi and Golet men. Who are
NOW angry because Croker has seized
Ethe reins Of power.
, The business men of Greater New
( York and OF thecities and towns thru
8eut the state are against Bryan almost
IS spiidly as they We're in 1886.
i .a3l#fsars OF APATHY have disappeared
; and a heaNN Note--an unusually heavy
yGte-7is promised III both cities and
country
4 The one fact encouraging 70 the DEM
331crats IS an increase If their note
among the Tailoring nlel. This in
crease is not an Illusion. il EXISTS, and
sit is going % show considerable force.
HJlt fqf5 i -dciNsniasis maj9ritysin Nav
4 York would be almost equal 10 the 26s.-
o(9 Of feui. years ago,
From careful Investigation among all
4leieinents and private talks with leaders
$on both sides baye reached /. c0nclu-
\ sion as 10 the approximate resultSot the
4ballotins II is tiifs:
4 That i'll Greater New York, or below
The Bronx. Bryan viii get a plurality
Z ranging fr9in 10000 10 $4,000. | should
.saN the latfer figure represents the ex-
IRENE posedb ilitg. T is not likely 10 be
fsacllett sixty thousand is about the
figure indicated by the known condi-
ftiona,
In the up state region Mckinley and
lsaos'sN vel " ii ilaNe from 10000 to 1866.
i Ntio over Bryan and Stevenson. senator
I Platt, Whanl / SAN yss'terslay. says his
PARTY Wi cerrla & eN,1 10 the city With Il
3ffall 100000. MIR. OdeIi Is quite confident.
H But an efsasiicef2 these figures are Too
s. NJ Oh, l'our Years ago the up-statest gave
4 Mckinley 200, GOO. In 1925 & gave Roosa-
iI,p
.Efall somewhere between those two ex-
tren.es
'Fhe heavy registration upstate indi-
3ca taa net or}y that the republicans are
}t5g9iTlg to get oui q full vote but that
#taany democrats who did net care 10 e
S4tc the polls four y ears a 60 are now pre-
Eparlng to Vote for Bryan. The republi-
5Erans admit that compared wift, The tidal
ssaVe Of 9G they W}ili less- somewhat Ii
iFnss; Of the upstate cities hut CLAIM
they viii gain int!le rural districts.
abeiis@e fhsy Will suffer considerable
in the cities ard slight losses in
i the country districts. With a ne,s loss, a
Il @Iosi'laloa 20 600 or 10000 from the 1891
sIpuraiity.
i Y IS true that tho Hill democrats Ia
A lhany, Buffalo and other cities are
going TO knife the Cfokegized ticket
land tlatfhruout the state are many old
i Inc democrats Who want to bury l,fy-
Il an 50 deep he can never get up again
sEoGt the weight of evidence. is that The
ls hesitate ticket VIII give 4 plurality 8,
Nabout 10000 for the republican ticket
striking balance sieet Of our esti.
mates We get the following results:
Best Dem. Best Rep. Acu,ual
f. probability. prob'btv prob MI,
/ ..reaterN. =. Bryan 900 10000 5000
2lai.p-statc. Alckin'y $4,000 10000 1,5t(a
4 Setior aclNln'y... 10000 120.G0o s5Og
4 The figures in the third column are
IN my opinion. conservative. They. rep.
resent a consensus Of the best obtain
liable Information and Judgment from
\ the leaders and practical workers or
4 aboth sides.
Greater New York will cast on cleo.
4 ton day nearly 100000 ballots. agains1
900 four years ago. OF this great
number about $4,000 will be divided
between Mckinley and Bryan.
In 1886 Mckinley carried Greater New
4 York by So plurality. He had 55.7 pc,
i cent of,the votes cast for the two riya
/ tickets. Two years go Van Wyck car.
ried Greater New York over Roosevelt
4 by $4,000 plurality. Roosevelt had Al (
per cent Of the vote. OF course ii is i'm.
Il ri