Evening times-Republican. [volume] (Marshalltown, Iowa) 1890-1923, 1900-09-10
DISTRICTS N UlNBl|R
Loss Of Ten Per Cont n Rspublt-
loan Vote VIII Lose some Con.
gressiolsl Districts
Dangerously Small Margins In
Some Districts-A Study in
Figures For Votsra
Chairman Weaver Points Out How
Republicans Nay Defeat Their
Own Ticket.
Special to Times-Republican..

Des Moines, Sept. 10.-"Did you ever
take the trouble to calculate what
would be the effect In the congressional
districts Of Iowa Of falling Off in the
republican vote Of 10 to 20 per cent 81
asked Chairman Weaver OF the repub-
lican state. committee. as he took down
a copy Of the Official Register giving
the vote by congressional districts in
1896 and 1898.
The only serious danger which con-
fronts us as a party and az a campaign
committee in Iowa this year is the APP
parent over-confdence Of republican
voters. They seem to think that it
doesn't matter much whether they vote
or not, that everything will be all right
anyway. think can show these men
the danger OF the course they are ppr-
suing and convince them that 1t is nee
essary for every man to have his vote
counted this fall if he expects to be.
satisfied with the results.
Let US take the First congressional
district. In 1896 the republican vote
was 21,9A and the plurality 1926. A
falling off of 20 per cent from that vote
would give the district to the demo-
Gratis by large majority. for the full
democratic vote will be polled this fall
In 1898 the republican, vote was 1857
and the plurality 8. 249. Twenty per cent
loss from that vote would give the
democrats a comfortable margin. They
are counting on just this thing happen
ing, and that is the reason why they are
claiming that they will carry the First
district. That district is made up very
largely of strong republican counties.
offset by some democratic strongholds.
The democrats will all vote. The repub-
Leans up in the country are expected
by the democrats to stay at home.
Democratic expectations are based
upon republican carelessness and a
close organization on the part of the
democrats. This they have throughout
the state this year, very much better
than they have ever had before Sec
rotary Walsh, of the democratic ma
stional committee. boasts that he is in
personal communication with $1,000 pre-
cinct workers in Iowa. sS
Take the Second district. In 1896 the
republican vote was 23,2O2, plurality
of 1920. In 1898 the republicansvote was
1890 and the plurality 1882. Even a
10 per cent loss here would defeat Capt.
Rumple. the republican nominee.
1T Will be said that the Third district
is safe because In 1896 1t gave Col.
Henderson majority OF 10,423 and in
1898 a majority Of 6941. But it has not
always been so in this district. In 1890
Col. Henderson carried the district by a
plurality Of 1856 and in 1892 by ], 459. If
there Is a heavy falling off in the repub-
lican vote in that district this year 1t
will encourage the democrats to make
another fight on Col. Henderson and he
will have to stay at home two years
from now and defend his seat in con-
gress. The same may be said of the
Fourth and Fifth districts. They have
good, safe majorities now. but both of
them have in recent years been carried
by the democrats, and if the republic
ans relax their hold for single year 1t
will be necessary to make another big
fight to hold those districts.
I'm the Sixth district Maj. Lacey was
elected in 1896 by a plurality Of 1901.
His vote was 21,970. In 1898 he had a
plurality Of !, AT over Gen. Weaver. the
republican vote that year being 1898
1t does not require much figuring to
show that 10 per cent loss in the re-
publican vote in that district this year
would land a democrat In congress The
democrats are making a special effort
to carry the Sixth district. Col. Hep
burn had 24.783 votes in the Eighth dis
ltrict in 1896. but his majority was only
S27. In 1896 his vote was 22,327 and his
majority 1908. That is another district
which the democrats are claiming and
will make great effort to carry. II
40 per cent Of the republicans in that
district were to refrain from voting
Col. Hepburn will be defeated. The
same would be true in the Ninth dis
trict, where the republican vote in 1896
was 24.904 and the majority 2,240 Two
years later Smith Mcpherson, with 81
976 votes. had majority Of $685. The
district is now considered safely repub.
l3lican, but if there should be slump II
be again placed in the doubtful column
The Seventh. Tenth and Eleventh dis.
ltricts have always been republican by
large majorities in recent years. But
there Is no surer way to disrupt the
i Ols q GUlolTlCIs du0 IutkS lEOu DIE
for the party than for the republican.
| to show lack OF interest In the cleo.
ltion Of their congressman and allow hi.
majority to reach low-water mark.
The records Of the county9votes here
show that in many counties the repub.
4 lican county ticket has been elected by
a small majority and that If 5 or 10 pei
cent, that Is. one republican in ten OF
twenty. says at home and does mo-
vote, the republican county ticket will
be defeated and the party organization
will thereby be demoralized and thu
democrats will be intrenched in a posi-.
ition Of advantage for the future.
ut Is Just as necessary to roll up 6
big majority in Iowa this year as II
ever wac. Iowa is now considered g
sure republican state. Ia there any re.
publican who desires to participate II
casting q cloud upon that title by re.
ducing the majority to such poin
that the democrats will be encouraged
Ito claim that Iowa is veering around
toward the democracy and may. b,
strenuous effort on the part of tn,
democrats become a democratic state.
1t will be much easier and much more
satisfactory for republicans to retair
their hold by bringing out their sful
strength this fall than by permitting
the state to slump and make; q misleaa
ling record. Iowa's positior1 In favor y
sound money and protection has beer