Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1900-10-31
All Tangible Evidence Indicates He
Will Garry New York.
REVIEW OF ELEMENTS INVOLVED
Business Men and Their Influences
Are for Him.
WORKINGMEN FOR BRYAN
pec,al From a Stafr Correspondent.

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paign, those men on both sides who have
been aggressively cocksure of the result
are SOLDERING down a little and coming to
recognize that nothing but the cvolutions OF
nature are absolutely certain until after 1t
has happened. This Is the week OF DIG
claims and small confidence. There is no
absolutely certain way of determining In
advance what the voting population out or
76 O0O, 900 will do. There are certain ac-
cepted indications of politics. as there are
of the weather, but at times all signs fall
| The most familiar signs at this time are
| favorable to Mckinley, yet this does not
! relieve his most conservative supporters
| from anxiety. Those who say they have
no apprehension at all are either not sin
| cere or else are not cautious in their judg-
ment. This might be said of the other side
also, but there would have TO be added
that the democrats have not the same cX-
ternal evidences to sustain their con-
fuences. / believe that an absolutely i'm
partial man, judging the situation from
what he finds in evidence in this city, would
place the odds on McKinley's election about
| where the gamblers have placed them, out
| If he were cautious man he would recog-
| niZe an unknown element in the situation
| and refrain from betting.
| Experienced men of either party tell me
| that there is something in the present situ-
| alton more paradoXical and confusing TO
calculations than they have ever before
| found in a campaign. The partisaas Of
! both parties claim that this unusual ele-
| ment is favorable to their side, but it is all
| mere inference and speculation Roosevelt
| and Bryan are rushing frantically through
| this state, with Hill and Depew and Cock
ran and all the lesser lights their trail,
| trying to get in the most work possible be-
| fore time is called on them.
Voters Minds Made Up
| The indications are very marked, how
| tS
tically over, as far as the voters themselves
| are concerned, and that there is very little
prospect of any material change in the situ-
| alton through speeches and big meetings.
| The lines seem to be pretty distinctly in
| dicated, without any possible means OF de-
| termining which is the stronger. With
/ conceded state of facts, the Judgment of
| the most intelligent men will differ as to the
conclusion that may be drawn.
| Here are some of the conceded facts al
the situation is viewed from this point;
+, Organized business, with its direct de-
! Tendencies, is supporting Mckinley with
| the greatest confidence of success.
! Organized labor and its influences are
| supporting Bryan with an unusually strong
| sentiment
AS a rule the Bryan demonstrations are
| more strongly marked for the crowds and
| the recognized manifestations of enthusi-
| asm.
| The republican canvass is more thorough
| and the reports favorable to Mckinley
| more explicit.
| In the course of their respective tours
| Roosevelt more often meets with demon
| strations Of hostility than does Bryan,
and he does not as frequently overcome
| it by what he says to those who disturb
| his meetings.
| On the grounds of anti-imperialism Bryan
| Is gathering some republican votes but
not nearly as many as was anticipated
| by his managers. The antitrust issue is
| doing more for him.
Gold Democrats for Mckinley.
larger percentage of the gold demo-
| Gratis will vote for Mckinley than the re-
publicans really expected at the opening
of the campaign, and good many men of
influence who no longer have any appre-
| hension of silver and might vote for Bryan
| II that We're the only thing in the way, re-
gard his doctrines with reference to social
| conditions as dangerous, and are there
| fore very earnest in their opposition to
him. Among men of this influential class
| he is less regarded than he was Immediate
| ly after his Indianapolis speech, which
caused some at the time to waver in their
opposition to him.
| Mckinley has, made a decided gain
| among the farmers, who have been pros
| porous. Bryan has won over yerv mod
| crate percentage of the Germans, a larger
| percentage of the Hollanders and most of
| the irish who were not already with him.
Much of the vote which was with him in
S6 Tor no other reason than that he ad-
| Vocated silver Is now lost to him. More
| than the usual number of Catholics are
| supporting Bryan. but this Is probably SIM
ply a part Of the Irish vote that he has
gained.
This. in a general way, is the material
from which deductions must be drawn. 1t
may be seen that the forces working in
the interest Of Mckinley can be more read
lily gauged than can those which tend to-
ward Bryan. Business enterprise is more
in evidence than is the underworking Of
society. There is no certainty How the lat
ter tends nor what is it's volume and mo-
mentum. Moreover, whatever this under
working may be, business conservatism is
powerful guide or check upon it.
1 had a talk today with Representative
Fowler of New Jersey, who is a member
of the state executive committee, and asked
his opinion Of the claims recently set up by
| the democrats with reference to New Jer-
sey I'VE had g. conference" he said. ..,e-
tween the republican state committee and
the chairmen Of our county committees,
| at which the entire situation was gone over
very carefully. After checking of the re-
ports and adopting minimum estimates. the
would have $1,000 majority in New Jersey"
Mr.. Fowler says that he finds conditions
much the same in all of the several states
he has been in during the canvass, and that
| they are all strongly favorable to McKin-
ley.
Sentiment Among Business Men.
In business circles, he says. there is just
| the one sentiment everywhere.
What he terms the community sentiment
is, he says, favorable to the republicans in
| all places where he has been. A few men
| here and there who did not support Bryan
| in '96 are going to vote for him this time,
but these, he says, are conspicuous be-
cause they are rare, and they are, as a
| rule, men who want office or who are in
| fiuenced by fine spun theories.
Much about the situation, he says, is
obscure, but what can be seen indicates
republican triumph, and he regards it as
| against reason that with conditions Of
prosperity such as they are there should
| be an undercurrent Of sentiment strongly
antagonistic to that of the business COM
munity.
are concerned. it Is a matter of claim and
counter claim, partly sincere and partly
the result Of supposed necessity. A broad
and sweeping claim may; be had from
either headquarters any day
The conviction that Mckinley Is going
| to be elected still remains firm In Wall
street. In the lobhies OF the Hoffman and
/ the Fifth Avenue there Is now a marked
tAndency. however. to make inquiries