The daily journal. (Salem, Or.) 1899-1903, 1900-03-08

Forecasts IN Politics.
The political outlook is that the Re-
publicans will nominate Mckinley and
the Democrats will nominate Bryan.
Beyond that, it is not altogether clear
what will happen.
There is great deal more sdissatisfac-
tion with Mckinley in the Republican
ranks than there is with Bryan in the
Democratic ranks. 1t is clear that
Bryan will receive a great many Gold
Democratic votes that were denied him
in 1896; it is clear that Mckinley is not
as strong with the masses of the party
as he was in 1896, either in New York or
New Englsnd, where thousands of Gold
Democrats and Independents who dis
liked Mckinley voted for him reluctant
ly because they dreaded Bryan and de-
tested his platform. Among this great
body Of Gold Democrats and Independ-
ents. the prevailing feeling is reported
to he one Of profound disgust for Nc
Kinlcy's administration. Mckinley
has tried to carry water on both should
ers in the matter Of the tariff, while the
prominence of Hanna, his influence at
the White House and in congress, and
the feeling that he is virtually presi.
dent, are reported to have brought Nc.
Kinney into increasing disrepute with
independent voters OF both parties.
While Mckinley is clearly weaker with
the Gold Democrats and Independents
than he was in 1895, Bryan will be sup
ported this year by many men who
voted for Mckinley or Palmer, or did
not vote at all, in 1896. There is visi-
BILE tendency Of former Gold Democrats
in the direction Of Bryan. The btterest
anti Bryan papers Of the South in 1896,
like the Charleston News and Courier,
and the Richmond, Va, Times, declare
for Bryan this year. II the Gold Demo-
Gratis and Independents sustain Bryan
IN New York, he would be dangerously |
likely to carry the state. This would
not be because they do not dislike
Bryan, but because they dislike and
listrust Mckinley more. Gold Demo
Gratis aud Independents say that Bryan,
even II elected, will be practically pow
erless to reverse existing financial con-
litions, and that free silver, while a the
oretical calamity, has ceased to be a
practical danger for the present. Con-
Gold Democrats and Republic
can Independents are reported as saying
the interests Of the Republic have less
TO fear from the triumph of what is
called Organism now than from the con-
Iinuance four years longer Of thegovern-
ment by plutocracy, into which we have
lrifted under Mckinley"
Leading Gold Democrats say that,
while Cleveland was elected in 1892 on
platform declaring for tariff for revenue
only, nevertheless the Democratic Con-
sress refused TO enact II, but substituted
protection with discrimination, They
say also that Bryan elected on a free
silver platform would not mean the en-
lctment OF free silver, for the Bryanties
,an not possibly hope TO control the
Senate during the next four years; and
that ii their party were in
power, its representatives in Congress
would assume a conservative position,
and all Of them from the business world
would vote against silver legislation.
Many Republicans also hold that the
passage OF the gold-standard bill by Con-
sress will eliminate the financial issue
from this years campaign that ii GER
tain tendencies now so prominent be
not checked this year, there will be a
political revolution in 1904 so violent
hat its leader would be a worse man
Ihan Bryan and ready to proceed TO
greater lengths of radicalism These
signs Of discomfort stand for state OF
feeling that might lose the Republicans
such States as Indiana, Ohio, and Cali
iornia. Bryan in 1896 lost no state that
was Democratic in 1898, 1894 or 1895,
but gained the States Of Kansas, Neb-
-aska, South Dakota, Montana, Idaho,
Nevada, Colorado, Washington and
Wyoming. He reduced the Republican
majority in Indiana from 5000 in 1894
10 Is 600 in 1896, and in Ohio from 92..
300 in 1895 10 1900 in ls96. Kansas
went Republican by $1,000 in 1895, and
yet Bryan carried il by 1900 in 1895.