New-York tribune., 1900-10-13

Of the people, are exerting a wonderful influence
upon those wavering Democrats whose votes hang
in the balance.
Baltimore is a centre of the clothing manufactur-
ing industry The senior member OF one OF the
largest firms In this line Of business, a house which
employs fully one thousand people. said yesterday
that the firm moving very slowly Just no" IN
manufacturing. and that It would move even more
slowly II Bryan should win.
I'VE have received orders he continued, that
are to be filed in case Mckinley Is elected. These
come from the South. well as the West we
are not trying induce our customers 10 ouy re-
eardless OF the result, believing, as we do that
business would he seriously affected if the Bryan
element should gain control. I have made effort
to influence the men who work for US. but II they
study their own interests they will vote against
change"
Jacob s Rosenthal. Democrat who for twenty
years has made study of registration and election
figures in Maryland and who has made the closest
sort Of predictions in number Of campaigns Is as
certain now Of Mckinley carrying Maryland as ne
was in 1896. He says:
IF am right in my assumption that the State
is normally Democratic by 5000 it, of course fol-
lows that McKnIeys plurality of 32O00 in 1895 was
brought about by 10000 Democrats voting the Re-
publican ticket That is just what happened
have attempted 10 make somewhat careful analy-
sis of the political situation in this State, and 1
have come to the conclusion that less than half Of
the Democrat tic vote which went TO Mckinley will
be lost to him this year. But assuming that only
half of the Democratic votes which Mckinley Sc
cured in 1896 should go to him this year, he would
still carry Maryland by 1900 plurality Lowndes
carried the State by $4,000 and yet four years
afterward, after giving the State as good an ad-
ninistration as it ever had, he defeated by
Governor Smith, Democrat by about 1900 indl-
eating that about Is 900 Democrats who had voted
for Lowndes returned TO their party allegiance and
voted for present Governor In point Of fact
this is true. 1t generally conceded by those
whose opinions of accepted value that at least
1900 Republicans for reasons best known TO them
selves, voted for the Democratic candidate and If
this is Smiths plurality. in the absence of this
party disloyalty would have been 5000 instead of
1000.
The same conditions existed in the MayoraIty
contest Of the preceding spring. In each of the
above elections the Democratic candidate had and
deservedly, the enthusiastic support of a united
Democracy. If therefore, only 5000 Of the 10000
Democrats who voted for Mckinley should this
year vote for him again the puralities which Gov
ernor Smith and Mayor Hayes received would be
more than wiped out. I convinced that
than twice the latter number will repeat their con-
duct Of 1896, and Mckinley will carry the State
by = OO0.'
Chairman Phillips Lee Godsborough OF the Re
publican State Committee is confident than
ever of the State going for Mckinley. and of the
Republicans eecting least five the six Con
gressmen-a gain Of three over the present delega-
ton.
"A tabulation of the voting and registration fig
ures in recent elections in this State" said Chair
man GoldsborOugh. will show some Of the rea-
sons for the large plurality which Governor John
Walter Smith gained over Mr. Lowndes the last
election. 1t also carries with il lots promise
the defeat Of Lowndes to have been brought about
by the dlsadectiOn of Republicans and various
local conditions in the counues, in the State and
city which J believe be already reIne-
died. believe that Colonel Smith poled the full
Democratic vote and a few Republicans. 1
also know that appalling number OF Repub-
licans did not go TO the polls.
There more than thirty thousand stay q
home voters in the last election. In 1898, when
there only one Congressman TO vote for
homes, and little interest in the election. We
polled however, six thousand than the
Democrats. Assuming that the number of people
who voted the ticket either side in that election
were genuine party men, and think
sonably do so, the increase decrease In the 1899
over that OF 1898 ought tell tale of how
the battle was lost.
We find in going over the returns that the stay
at home vote was much larger than II should be-
that the Democrats made gains in every county
largely in excess OF gains and that the at
home vote in Republican strongholds is very much
larger than In Democratic strOnsholds.
Il don't know how many genuine Republicans
the Democrats figure on in lhis State who are
with the Republican party entirely from principle
but ! think have taught them that when we
all together are this year. II is a figure
that sets them to thinking how TO overcome II
Sound Money people. the men who opposed 70
Bryan any kind Of platform. the who
think that the country is now prosperous and who
believe in the policy OF letting we'll enough alone,
and not forgetting the large number OF Democrats
who have tOined with the Republicans this year