The times. [volume] (Washington [D.C.]) 1897-1901, 1900-08-01
Calculations From London.

NgTOSNGHOT, Oh OulO, mas aSdin Eot
TO work with his calculating machine. He
cannot wait until he returns to his native
| land. and makes a survey of the field, but
| from across the ocean, from the city OF
London, which for practical purposes and
| particularly as recognized in the State De-
partment, may be considered our seat OF
! government, the general sends on the
wings of lightning his calculations Of the
votes to be cast next November and the
consequent results While few States are
| conceded to the Democrats the general is
not the least bit modest in his claims of
States certainly Republican, among
which he mentions such States as Illinois,
Indiana, and Ohio. According to the GTos-
venor theory it were useless waste OF time
for the Republican party to make any cam
paign. they being alres9y assured of such
a large majority OF lie certain electoral
votes.
In these roseate long distance estimates
ii is no doubt assumed as a basis that the
Republicans will hold all they had in 1896
and proportionate- share of the increase.
But the searcher after facts and not fan
cies would prefer to seek his evidence
nearer to the scene of action.
Take, for example. the voters of foreign
birth or descent, an element of our citizens
especially strong in the section extend ng
from Ohio to Minnesota inclusive. The
so-called German American vote alone is
much more than sufficient if largely divert
ed from the Republican candidates to re-
verse the result of 1896.
Perhaps there is no person better fitted,
by careful and conservative habit of
thought, as also by his former experience
as Chief of the German Bureau of. the Re-
publican Campaign Committee. to form
correct estimate of the tendency OF the
sentiment Of German-Americans than Mr..
]. w. Habercom. of this city. He says:
'This much is already absolutely certain. Nc
Kinley received in 1926 not less than 80 per cent
OF the Germsn-American vote-perhaps S..
Private letters received by me recently from
many States indicate strong opposition among
German American voters to imperialism.
Drawing careful conclusions and desiring to
be very careful and conservative. think that the
90 or IS per cent Of the German vote which
cast for Mckinley IN 1896 will be reduced to at
least 10 per cent; it may go even lower than 80
per cent, but that depends future events.
Bryan will get not less than 60 per cent Of
the herman American vote, and IN my luoYfneft,
that means that he will gain in Ohio from 30, 900
to 5000 votes; in Indiana 5000 to 1900: in IL
linois not less than 5000; in Wisconsin, $1,000;
in Michigan from 1000 to 1900; in Minnesota
from 5000 to 1900"
Mr.. Carl Schurz has expressed a similar
opinion as to the inclination OF German
sentiment The reyulsion from the Re-
publican doctrines, as at present taught is
by no means confined TO that element of
our people who are Of German descent.
The same causes are producing like results
among all classes OF our citizens. The pre-
diction of Grosvenor may serve to amuse
the general in his leisure moments, and
may encourage the British allies of the
Administration in the prospect of success.
but Its value on this side of the water is
worth nothing like the cost OF the telegraph
tolls which would be required to transmit
it. However. the owner Of the paper pub
fishing the Grosvenor London figures also
owns the ocean telegraphic cable over
which 1t was sent.