The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1900-07-24
The Hopes OF Organism.

Organism enters upon this canvass with
the absolute assurance Of winning the
li2 Electoral votes Of the eleven States
OF the old Secession Confederacy, besides
II more from Missouri. or 100 In all. To
these may be added the 10 Of Colorado.
Idaho. Montana. Nevada and Utah and
probably the 8 Of Nebraska, or 1853 In the
aggregate,
The whole number Of Electoral votes
under the present apportionment Is ~.
and pa are accordingly essential 10 an
election. Where. then. does Organism
expect to get the II additional votes It
needsf
First. II relies on carrying Delaware, g..
Kentucky. IS. and Maryland. 8, or "A in all.
Kentucky is In a condition Of political
turmoil, which may give the State to BRYAN.
Republicanism in Delaware ia rent by
warning factions. which may make Presi-
dent MCKINLRY's chances somewhat Doubt
ful in It, yet they are far better than
BRyAN's. The attitude OF the Gold Demo-
Gratis OF Maryland since the Kansas City
Convention makes that State at least rea-
sonably sure for MCKINLEY. But even II
the Electoral votes OF all these States are
given to BRYAN, they make up his aggregate
TO only III, or A less than Is necessary
to ar election.
In 1894 BRYAN carried Kansas. with 10
Electoral votes. and he assumes that he will
have II again In 1900; but In 1898 Kansas
went for the Republican Governor by
is, 1874. as against BRYAN's II. 2es in 1898,
and Its present condition Of prosperity
may be set down as assuring 1t TO MCKINLEY
this year. In 1895 South Dakota, with 1
Electoral votes. was carried by Organism.
but only by the bare plurality Of 1888, and
subsequent elections seem to indicate that
1t is now safely Republican,
All Of the Pacific States California.
Oregon. Washington and Wyoming-are
sure to 60 for gold and expansion next
November, In 1895. President MCKINLEY
carried California by less than three
thousand plurality. but In 1893 the Republi-
can Governor was elected by a plurality
Of 1908. McKINLEy's plurality in Oregon
In 1898 was only a little over two thousand,
but in 1893 that of the Republican Governor
was 1851. BRYAN carried Washington
In 1895 by IL, 49S, but 1t went Republican
in 1898 by s.ll3. In 1895 BRYAN carried
Wyoming by $50. but it went for the Republi-
can Governor by 1894 in 1898. All these
Pacific States may be set down assuredly
for MCKINLEY next November.
Giving BRYAN the 1T Electoral votes
we have named. where Ia he going to get
the Al more necessary to his election? He
has no hope In the East. His only hope Is
In getting them from the middle West
from Illinois, "a. Indiana, IS, Michigan, IA.
Minnesota, 0, Ohio. %. and Wisconsin. IL.
The Bryanite theory is that the humbue
Of imperialism" will draw of enough
German votes from MCKINLEY to enable
him to get from those States the addi-
tional votes he needs. In 1898 he had no
less hope. and fear OF the result in these
States prevailed generally. But how did
the election turn out? MCKINNEY and
gold carried them all by these great plu-
%ralities:
Illinois. ......... l47.4os Minnesota ...... $3.50
Indiana ...-,... 1871 OHIO '",..... A7,lo7
Michigan ....... bs,sss wiscon sin. .,... Io2,sia
Those returns, certainly. do not offer
any comfort for BRYAN. Nor was there
any encouragement In the elections Of 1898
when the Republicans carried Illinois by
4s,45O, Indiana by 1883, Michigan by 49,
oa7. Ohio by 1908, and Wisconsin by 81. 7s4.
Minnesota. it Is true. was carried by LIND,
the Scandinavian Fusion candidate for
Governor. by 20, ls4. but that result indicated
no change Of sentiment so far IA concerns
national politics. for the entire Congress
delegation elected was Republican. and in
all except one Instance by large majorities.
In Ohio. IL il true, there was in 1898 a vote
Of 100, 72l for the eccentric JONES, so that
the Republican candidate for Governor
received 57.8ss less than the aggregate
Democratic and Jones vote: but Of the
Congress delegation Of twenty-one elected.
fifteen were Republican.
II will be seen, therefore, that the grounds
for BRYANs hopes in those States do not
seem to have any justification; but his
entertaining them indicates that it is in
the middle West that his most ener-
getio efforts are 10 be expended. Nor
need II be doubted that this Bryanite
effort will bey let by corresponding energy
on the part Of the political forces arrayed