The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1900-10-10

| cities out Of the case as settled affirm
atively, let US turn to the other determin.
ing factors in this great campaign. That
the percentage of German Republicans
voting for the Democratic candidates will
not be less than fifteen or twenty, and
in some States may rise to a much
higher figure, is not seriously contested
by those who are at all advertent to
what is going on in tho country. Ma
violent and wholesale hegira of German
voters is expected. Tho Germans are not
given TO demonstration and have quietly
made UP their minds, as usual, how they
viii vote. They see that silver is not
figuring much in the campaign, and they
mean TO strike down the imperial policy
Of the Republican party. No silly CUFF
deters them from voting for Mr.. Bryan.
As to reccnciling their course this year
with their course in 1885, they are not
concerned in the matter in the slightest
degree. Their action each year meets
the appreciation Of their conscience and
their judgment. Let the Republicans who
have reversed their attitude on the money
question since 1896, and who have re-
versed the policies Of all American par
ties in the matter of foreign acquisition,
But even greater factor in the cleo
tion of Mr.. Bryan will be the organized
labor vote in the towns and cities of the
great North. He is far more likely
this year than he was in 1896 to secure
the bigger share of this vote Bryan's
working up of the trust question has
gained for him hundreds of thousands
of the votes OF the working people in
fN.rr 81
the treatment the subject has received
at the hands of Hanna and Roosevelt has
tended to injura the Republican cause.
On this head, | quote Major Heard, an
Representative in Congress from Mis-
souri,: at seems to me that the recent
labor troubles have greatly increased
Democratic prospects. If the coal strike
continues Bryan viii certainly be elect
ed" He also said to me: CAS- matters
stand the chances are even, with Bryan
gaining" That part Of the Irish labor
vote which switched off to Blaine and
afterward went to Mckinley is now back
in the party, doing all it can for Bryan
and Stevenson. Again, and this is a
serious question for the Republicans, not
only in New York, but elsewhere, the
action of the Printers Union in passing
fer sustaining as their organ the New
York Sun after it's scaly treatment OF
union printers. will be sure to consid-
erably diminish the votes Mckinley and
the Republican candidates for Congress
will receive. All of the trades sympa-
thize with any one that is Disseminated
against.
Vice Chairman Johnson's figures on
election I
the Democrats. One of the sturdiest of
the late Mr.. Randall's friends, an old
time Democratic Official of the House.
said to me Saturday last: every such
forecast from official sources. of course.
is a little over what most people would
place the result at, but it is always based
to large degree on the best informa-
tion to be obtained after careful effort
and, making due allowance, it is to be ac-
cepted for what it purports to be. Now
l have always noticed that the estimate
which is highest is most apt to express
the real state of public opinion. Apply
that observation and you see that Bryan
has the best chance, although I have
doubted his ability to win" My own fig
ures, which an intelligent Republican cor
respondent accepts as a good forecast
Win Nhc oihS4G SACGpltOu u NEW 1OFK,
are as follows:
For Bryan-Alabama, II; Arkansas, s :;
Colorado, 4; Delaware, 8; Florida, 4;
Georgia. 49, Idaho, 3; Indiana, Is; Ken
lucky. 49, Louisiana, 8; Maryland, s; Mis-
sissippi, 8; Missouri, 15 Montana, 8; New
York, SO; Nevada, 8; Nebraska, s: North
Carolina, II; South Carolina, o. Tonnes
see, II; Texas, Is; Utah. g. Virginia, H.
Total, 226. Necessary to elect, 224 Ma
jority for Bryan g
The Democrats may carry besides these
States, California, 8; Conectincut. 6; Illi-
nois, "a; Kansas, TO- Washington, a;
Wyoming, 3. total of Sc votes, or
majority in the electoral college Of 81
votes. ! have counted in the first list
only these States which / think will vote
for the Democratic ticket If the revo-
luton goes on, the second list may have
to be added.
CICERO w. HARRIS.