The Saint Paul globe. (St. Paul, Minn.) 1896-1905, 1900-10-14
illinois Is TOl BRYAN
CHAIRMAN WATSON SEES NO
CHANCE FOR A REPUBLICAN
VICTORY
COOK COUNTY IS CERTAIN
Democatic Party Is Expected to
Elect Net Less Than Four New
congressman In the
State.

| CHICAGO, Oct. 13.-Dr. Watson, chair
man of the Democratic state central
! committee, who heretofore has refrd1ned
| from making claims as to Demoera Tic
| chances IN Illinois, announced YESTERDAY
that in his judgment the state would
give Bryan and Alsehuler plurality OF
20 600 to 10000 outside of Cook county.
| DIR. Watson says he has devoted most
| Of his time to the country, and IS not
| prepared to speak for Cook county. The
! Democratic state committee has just re-
ceived returns from a poll of the state
begun Oct. and ended Oct. o. In each
| Of the FOL counties IN the state OUTSIDE
! of Cook, DR.. Watson says the Demo-
Gratis have made substantial gains over
1885, with a single exception. L 90 not
feel disposed to give this county away, y
said Chairman Watson, ''as there are
| particular reasons why the Democrats
should lose in that territory. This eoun-
| ty shows loss of fifty votes for Bry-
an as compared with 1896 The report
made to the committee from this county
was accompanied by an urgent appeal
| for money"
Dr. Watson says that the Democrats
have gained chiefly In Northern Illinois.
''This is due to the fact" said he, that
Southern Illinois is largely Democratic.
| However, we have maze gains IN the
southern part of the state, too
| EXPECT CONGRESSIONAL GAINS.
| The Democratic chairman expresses the
opinion that the party will gain four
congressman outside of Cook county.
He does not specify which districts will
be reclaimed, but it is generally under
| stood that the Democrats are angling
particularly for the Eleventh, Four
| teenth, Fifteenth and Twenty-f1rst dis
| tricts. All these districts were cut out
| for Democratic districts in the last ap-
/ portionment. The Eleventh, Or Reeves
! district, is the most doubtful of the four.
| Still it has a large mining constituency,
and the Democrats say. they have rea-
! son to believe that the miners will not
support the Republican ticket this year
with the same enthusiasm manifested in
1885,
Congressman Reeves, the Incumbent.
was one Of the quartet of Republican can
didates for the gubernaterial nominal
ton last May. Reeves put up a hard
fight against Gov. Tanner, and Tanner is
presumed to exercise considerable infiu-
ence over the coal miners. Much will
depend upon the adhesions which have
formed over the Republican wounds of
last spring. Reeves carried the Eleventh
district by a plurality of 4,9S2 In 1894, 6,251
in 1896 and 1886 In 1888 Whittemore car
ried the district two years ago, but Mill
ward f. Dunlap carried Woodford
| county.
PEORIA MAY GO DEMOCRATIC.
The Fourteenth, or Peoria, district
ought to go Democratic this fall. Jesse
Black, Of Pekin, the Democratic .candi-
date, is making a hard fight against
Congressman Graft. Whittemore carried
the district for state treasurer two years
ago, but TazeweH and Mason counties
were carried by Dunlap, and Putnam,
Marshall and Fulton counties were Re
publican by small pIuraItties. Peoria
county controlled the situation, and this
year Democrats say Peoria will go DEM
ocratie.
The Fifteenth, or Adams, district, rep
resented by Congressman Marsh, of War
saw, is exceedingly close. The district
has large German constituency and has
been carried by the Republicans in the
last six years by close pIuranties, rang
ing from 242 In 1898 to 325 in 1894. Two
years ago Mr.. Dunlap carried Adams,
Hancock. Brown and Schuyler counties
| by comfortable pIuralities, while White
more was left only Henderson, Warren
and McDonough counties. The district
was carried by Dunlap.
The Twenty-frst, or Belleville, district
is also a close district Congressman
Rodenberg squeezed in two years ago
by q plurality of sos, and in 1895 the Re
publican congressional candidate had
| only 402 votes to spare. Dunlap carried
three and Whittemore four counties, but
Monroe county, which Is credited to
| Whittenaore, was saved by three votes.
The BeIlevtlie district also is strong
/ German. district and the Democrats are
| making a valiant fight therein. Fred j.
Kern again has. been nominated by The
Democrats, and Congressman Rodenberg,
| of East St. Louis, has been selected by
the Republicans to defend his title.
OUTLOOK OF COOK COUNTY.
| In Cock county the Democrats expec'
| to carry the Second and Sixth districts
| now represented by Henry Sherman Bou.
| tell and William Lorimer, respectively
Emil dorchester has been renouinated by
! the Democrats in the Sixth district and
| John J. Feely in the Second. The Third
| Fourth and Fifth districts are already
| in the Democratic column, with excel
lent chances of remaining there The
| First and Seventh districts are hopeless
ly Republican. Nothing short of poiitt
| cal revolution could defeat Cong1 Hsmer
| Floss and Mann.
! AS to pIura.Eties In Cook county the
Democratic leaders are making no claims
! In Democratic headquarters it has beer
| predicted, however; by conservative polft-
icians= that the county would give Bryan
and Alschuler 81 plurality ranging from
10000 to- 10000 The Republican county
managers are claiming the county by from
5000 to 10000 and the state from IS, est
to. 10e,00e.
PROSPECTS IN EGYPT
! According to an alleged Republican poll
| of the southern half Of the state it Is
| figured that at the rate Of Republican
! gains in Egypt the state would go to Me
4kinleY and Yates by 81, 00o. This method
| Of computation is deceptive, however, for
| the reason that the heavy Republican
majorities are punched in northern Iii
| nois and a relatively larger Republican
vote in Egypt would not seem to furnish
any clew as to probable results in North
] ern Illinois, where Alschuler is particu-
larly strong and where there is wide
spread hostility to Gov Tanner.
/ For instance, the test of strength
| between Tanner and Cullom in the vote
for temporary chairman of the RepubH-
/ can state convention at Peoria the Eighth
! Ninth, Eleventh, Thirteenth Fourteenth
and Sixteenth congressional distiets sup
| ported Charles G.. Dawes These arr
| the heaviest Republican districts in the
! state, and Tanner was the issue The
| Twelfth. Joe Cannon's district, gave con.
| siderable aid and comfort to Tanner, ano
| the Fifteenth and Sangamon districts
split nearly even. John J. Brown of Van.
! dalia, Tanners candidate 70 temporary
chairman, did not get vote In the
/ Reeves district.