The Saint Paul globe. (St. Paul, Minn.) 1896-1905, 1900-11-01
SAYS Mr.. BRYANN WIN
FEEL REGARDING THE COM
ING ELECTION
HAS IT ALL FIGURED OUT
The Manager of the Democratic Ma
tiOnaI Press Bureau Makes
Signed Statement Pre-
dieting Results.


gentleman who has been In charge of
the national Democratic press bureau
uurlhg THIS campaign, has about closed
mis- work. In concluding the literary
work of the Campaign Mr. Abbot
today gave out the following state
ment: The presidential campaign OF
1900 is virtually ended It has been CON
rested with vigOr, enthusiasm and in.
tellgence by the supporters of Mr..
Bryan. At Its close the Democratic party
goes to the polls practically a unit. OF
those who deserted its standard In 1856
virtually all have returned this year
Our loyal allies in Mr. Bryan's first bat,
tie, the Populists and Silver Republicans
are still loyal and animated TODAY nv the
same principles of devotion to the well
rare of the country even at the cost OF
self-sacrffice which they manifested then
The work of the Democratic national
committee, representing also the two all
lied parties, has differed in this Campaign
materially from that in the last In 1885
the committee, hostile to the principles
enunc1ated at Chicago, went out of Of
hce and new committee came in. It
was necessary to begin the work of Or
gan1zatlon from the bottom No records
were available, and many of the most
prominent men in the old organization
were hostile to the candidates of that
year. The national committee which has
conducted this campaign in 1900 is in all
Its executive branches the same COM
mittee which prosecuted that Of 90 It
came to the work with the great advan-
taSe of %Harience in one hotly contest
ed campaign, but more than this, 1t be-
gan its work, not when the nominations
were made at Kansas City, but at least
two years before. The press bureau and
the bureau Of organization have been in
existence for more than two years, and
since the first Of January last have been
conducted as though all nominations had
been made and the campaign itself was
fairly under way This long continued
preparatory work has been Of inestimable
advantage to the Democratic party dur
ing the actual struggle.
1t Is fitting that in this closing corl-
munication from the press bureau to
the readers Of Democratic newspapers In
the United States I should say some
thing concerning the outlook for victory
in the election next Tuesday. My own
opinion, which 1 am ready to put on
record at the eliminating moment of the
final contest, iS that Mr.. Bryan will
carry every state he carried in 1896 with
the possible exception Of Wyoming
But leaving Wyoming in the list of
doubtful states and conceding that the
one vote carried by Mr.. Bryan in Cali,
fornia may possibly be lost this year, we
begin our computations with 172 electoral
votes given to Bryan in So which there
is no possible danger of losing today. To
these may be added with perfect GER
tainty New York, Maryland, Kentucky,
Ohio, West Virginia and Indiana, or a
total Of 81 additional votes, allowing for
the one vote in Kentucky which Mr..
Bryan received in his previous canvass.
This makes a total of 269 votes, or 4S
more than are necessary to elect But
there are other states which we concede
to be doubtful, but which in my opinion
strongly tend toward the Democrat
party. These are Illinois, California,
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and Del
aware. In all Of these states the chances
are, if not equal, more than favorable to
the Democratic party.
REFLECTIONS DIFFICULT.
let me outline some of the reasons
other than merely local ones which
Justify the belief that Mr.. Bryan's vic
tory is not only assured, but will be, in
fact, a sweeping and tremendous tri-
umph. To begin with, there is no poliu-
cal task so difficult in these United States
IS to re-elect a president. UnusuaF con-
ditions bred of the civil war gave to
Lincoln and Grant second terms.
Since that time NO president has been
reelected. Mr.. Cleveland, seeking re-
election at the end of his first term, was
defeated Mr.. Harrison, seeking re-elec.
ton at the end of his first term, was de-
feated. Political history in the United
States during the last half century
demonstrates that the chances are wholly
against the president in office who offers
himself again as a candidate for the peo.
pie.
Today the Democracy has gathered to
itself many clements of strength which
il did not possess in 1896, and some which
it has not enjoyed at any period in its
history.
1t is known of all men that Mr. Bryan
was defeated in '96 by the revolt of the
gold Democrats. It is a conservative
gold Democrats of 1896 will vote for
Bryan and Stevenson this year, while an
additional percentage will refrain from
voting for Mckinley
The German American voter in the
United States has usually associated HIM
self with the Republican party In 1852
certain local issues in Illinois and Wis
consin involving the right to existence
of Lutheran schools turred tremendous
number of these voters to the support of
the Democracy. In 1895 the currency is
sue drove practically all of them back to
the Republican party. This year probab-
ly rs per cent of all have returned to the
Democracy. We can count with conf1-
Gence upon an enormous new Democratic
REPUBLICAN DIssENsIoNs.
In 1896 the Democratic party was rent
asunder by dissension over the currency
question. This year the Republican party
is torn by conflicting opinions upon the
propriety of the presidents course in the
Philippine islands. Before the nominal
ton Of Mr.. Mckinley Republican United
States senators like Senator Hoar, Sen,
atOr Mason and Senator Wellington,
roundly attacked the president for his
course while eminent Republicans in
private life denounced him as the un-
holy shedder of innocent blood. That
two Of these senators have allowed party
loyalty to overcome their well matured,
publicly expressed opinions does not
strengthen the position Of the admins
tration before the Republican electorate.
What Senator FOar said before McKin-
ley was renominated carries more weight
than his evasive and rambling excuses
for the president he then denounced.
Senator Wellington has frankly deserted
his party and is supporting Mr.. Bryan.
These leaders stand for an immense Re-
publican revolt. The conscience Of the
Republican masses has been touched and
out of the daily record of cruelty and
bloodshed in the Philippines will come
such protest ct the polls against the
admins tration responsible for it as will
olQ HID Tel dlly III ISl1IltIS ZIG LlSIllDCAS
Of that administration to private life.
While the Irish-American vote in the
main has been for the Democratic party,
there has always been a considerable
Irish-American Republican element. We
find this body of voters turning to Bryan.
led by the Hon. Patrick Egan. President
Harrison's minister to Chill; by Patrick
Ford, editor of the Irish World. and by
John F. Finerty, editor of the Chicago
Citizen. The open and notorious subser-
vience Of the Mckinley administration to
British influence explains this revulsion
Of sentiment, out of which comes very
notable and considerable support for the