The evening times., 1900-01-22
BOER DEFEAT PREDICTED
The Opinion of Fritz Mosenthal.
Once Dom Paufs Prisoner.
The Critical Point of the War VIII
Have Been Reached and Passed
When Lndysniith Is ReIieyed-The
British Triumph Cannot BE Long
DeIayed--An Option ON DeIagoa Bay

NEW YORK, Jan 22.-'Lady smith is
feats the Beers and relieves that city the
critical point of the war will have been
reached and passed The Boer fights we'll
from behind cover, and well while victory
is with him, but the Boer army will not
preserve its integrity and defensive power
after one great reverse"
This is the opinion Of Fritz Mosenthal,
ing companies in johannesburg, who was
long prisoner of Dom Paul after the
Jameson raid. and who left the Transvaal
when war was declared, together with all
other British subjects. His view Is essen
TALLY that of the Uitlander
Mr.. Mosenthal arrived here Saturday on
the Cunard liner Campania and is visiting
his sister at 16 West Eighty-ffth Street.
and his brother. Cedar Street insurance
broker. at 112 West Eighty-ifth Street.
He is a man of wealth and education, who
has lived for thirty-five years in South
Africa.
Politically speaking, Mr.. Mosenthai is
English. but he gives clear reasons for
his position. He knows the Boer from
long acquaintance. With ffty-seven other
members of the celebrated Reform Com
mittee he was arrested in johannesburg
after the Jameson raid. Four of the pris-
oners were sentenced to death The 9th
ers of whom Mr.. Mosenthal was one. were
to serve two years in prison. The death
sentences were commuted and Mr. Mosen-
thai, after spending six weeks in confne-
ment. paid fine of Sl0.0 900 and was freed.
The latest news is good said Mr.. Mo-
senthal. The English, it seems. are about
to relieve Ladysmith. II that be done the
Beers must soon retreat to their own ter
rtory. Then the English with free foot
and no difficulty from flank or rear. will
cross the mountains in their own time.
Once this is apparent / think the bot
tom will fall out Of the Boer resistance.
'Boer successes thus far? Yes, they have
done well. The English have made some
mistakes, chiefly this that they have not
given enough weight to the fact that the
Boer strength lies essentially in a bush
whacking sort of campaign. But now there
are some 1000 loyal colonists enrolled
men who shoot as true as the Beers. know
the country as well, and what is more.
are of superior intelligence.
These colonial troops together with the
altered tactics of the British are having
their effect. There can be but one and the
British triumph cannot be long delayed.
Talk OF European Interference growing
out of the use OF Delagoa Bay Is absurd. II
is known that England has long held by
treaty an option on Delagoa Bay. Should
she decide to buy and the Portuguese to
sell, there is no chance of any cOmplica-
tion.
1T is simply a question whole
pf ha nd
of South Africa having just rule and equal
rights for all breadwnneTs and property
holders. as being dominated by the Beers
who ruled that an 0utlander could not be-
come citizen with franchise rights no
matter how long he had lived in the coun-
try. until he was elected to citizenship by
a majority OF the burghers resident therein.
which meant in most cases that he would
not become a citizen at all. since the men
with votes-the old burghers-would sure
~ defeat him.
II know Dom Paul He Is a typical
Boer He had been preparing for war
since 1856, and since that year the Trans
vaal has spent $50. 900. 900 for cannon,
small arms and ammunition He is an !
astute man-but a Boer. Many of the
Beers officers have had a European mill /
tary training. Such foreign officers as
serve with them are men who were COM |
PEELED to leave the service at home.
The education OF q Boer-the highest |
he aims ats to be able to read the Bible, |
become a member Of the church. be con- |
firmed, and be able to write. He despises !
more knowledge than that He is a dead .
shot, but personally grant exceptions /
lis not courageous man.
His fight is not one for home, freside. :
and religion. II is fight for political +
power plain and simple. Up 10 1887 there (
were only so 900 people in the Johannes I
burg district. Now there are zoe, 600. and /
the income from that territory is $40. 0.O00.- |
900 annually. The men who increased this |
annual income from $500 900 are the men
who have been denied their rights.
Dom Paul will not take bribes, the /
speaker said, slowly and with peculiar /
emphasis. "No. A contractor built him 1
a grand house and made him a present OF 4
It. Then he obtained a concession of i'm /
mense value These things we're almost /
Another man wanted a
farm. Dom Paul had one to sell for 6 1 900 |
The man paid him 6 5 900 a year for an
option of purchase at s1O0. 900. He got
the sole right to manufacture dynamite in
The Transvaal This, doubtless, is a
singular coincidence" And he smiled
Olandiy.
Mr. Mosenthal left Johannesburg in Sep
.ember and sailed from Cape Town to
England when Butler landed. His house,
ike that of thousands of johannesburg
'esidents, is locked and empty.
SAGE LEAVES HIS CHURCH.