The Democratic advocate. [volume] (Westminster, Md.) 1865-1972, 1900-11-03
BRYAN WILL WIN !!
WHERE HE WILL GAIN THE
VOTES THAT WILL
ELECT HIM.
BY WILLIS J. ABBOT.
Chief Political Writer, Hearst's Chicago,
American.

MIR. Bryan will be elected. The gen.
eral result in the country at large will be
greatly affected by the return of a vast
majority Of the gold Democrats, dissen-
sions among Republicans, springing from
the ilnperialistic policy of the Administra-
ton; the German support of the Demo-
cratic ticket on the imperialist issue; the
Hollandish vote, influenced by the Ad-
ministration attitude toward the Boer re-
publics; the Irish American vote, former
ly Republican, now Democratic, on account
of the Administration pro- British poll
cy the reform vote as exemplifed by the po-
sition of Mayor Jones, of Toledo, and the
great advantage which the party in oppo-
sition always possesses over the party in
power, and which has made it impossible
to re-elect President since the time of
Grant.
Twenty thousand votes cast for Bryan
in certain doubtful states in 1896 would
have elected him. Some of these states
are in the immediate field of Hearst's Chi
cago American. For example, change
of $50 votes in Kentucky would have
gained Bryan | 2 electoral votes. A change
in Indiana of $500 votes would have
gained for Mr. Bryan 10 electoral votes.
The other states in which comparatively
small changes would have entirely reversed
the result are California, Delaware, Ore
gon and West Virginia. The elections in
Vermont and Maine show an increase in
the Democratic vote in the neigborhood Of
35 per cent.
Now, in the state of Illinois Demo-
ocratic increase of Is per cont. over the
vote of 1896 will carry the state. If 10
per cent. more Democrats should vote and
per cent of the Republicans should, as
as we know many will, refrain from voting,
the state is organs.
The state of Ohio with its % electoral
votes, can be carried by an increase of 5
per cent of the 1896 vote. Bear in
mind that in Ohio 10, 900 votes were
cast last year for Mayor Jones, who is
stumping for Bryan today.
A IL per cent. change will carry Mich
igan, state which has the largest Holland
vote of any of our commonwealth, and in
which the German voters almost hold the
balance of power.
Wisconsin, which is essentially the Ger
man State, was carried by Mckinley in
1896 by very heavy majority reversing its
verdict OF 1892, when it was carried for
Cleveland. A change Of Is per cent. of
the vote of that State would be essential to
carry it, but the indications Of German
support Of the Democratic ticket and Re-
publican apathy promise such result.
Minnesota in 1896 gave Mckinley a
heavy majority, but at the next succeed
ing election was carried by the Fusion can
didate for Governor, John Lind, who is
now making an earnest and active canvass
for Bryan. This State, too, has heavy
foreign population, and in it the anti-im-
perialist and antitrust arguments have
proved particularly effective.
Republicans have no confidence of sue
cess in any of these States, and today are
making their strongest effort in Illinois,
filling it full of their most prominent speak
ers aud arranging rallies and parades in
all quarters. WILLIS J. ABBoT.