The Atlanta constitution. [volume] (Atlanta, Ga.) 1885-19??, 1900-10-08

'tLh Cs IcOOs
the democrats: there are a very great
many people in these United States who
cannot be bought; and Bryan has good
fighting chance to win.
Some Interesting Figures.
Getting down to figures. the states that
can be put down as certain for McKin-
ley-those in which the element of doubt
cannot he said to enter at all-are:
Maine New Hampshire, Vermont, Massa-
chusetts, Rhode Island. Pennsylvania.
Minnesota. Iowa, North Dakota, Califor-
MIA, Oregon. Observation-Disclosures states,
with total electoral vote of 1O7 These
are the only states which the democratic
managers, local and national. absolutely
cOncede to Mckinley
on the other hand. the absolutely GER
tain democratic states are: Alabama,
Arkansas, Florida. Georgia, Louisiana,
Mississippi, Missouri. North Carolina.
South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas and
Vrginia-eleven states with a total cleo
toral vote Of 10. There can be no possi-
bic claim by republicans for any one
of these states and they are conceded
TO Bryan.
That gives Bryan an advantage In GER
tain votes. With regard to all the 9th
uncertainty. Some of them show an I'M
questioned advantage, as things now
look, for one party and some for the 9th
or; but placing these states in the two
columns according to the present indi-
cations. there still remain enough states
doubtful to leave the result up in the
air.
The Doubtful States.
Give TO Mckinley, for instance, Connec-
ticut 90, Michigan 40. New Jersey G0.
Kansas 90 and wyoming CD, and he
has but $50 electoral votes. There seems
at this distance n reasonable certainty
that these states should he placed In tho
republican column, though all of them
are being bitterly contested by the demo-
Gratis and the local managers seem to be-
lievc that Bryan has more than slight
chance in each.
In exactly similar class are the fol-
lowing states which for the same reasons
should Doe put in the Bryan column. In
other words. there seems just as much
reason 10 place these I'm the Bryan col
umn as there Is TO place the group just
mentioned in the Mckinley column.
These are Delaware go. Kentucky O%.
Nebraska o.. The addition of these
states brings Bryan's total up to 1873
So far Bryan stil has an advantage.
Under this reckoning. the states which
are ltE 4tA4iittNly hbtbtAul siAt new 1bi ~
$780, West Virginia 90, Illinois 90. Ohio
(2D. Indiana G5). South Dakota a. Mary
land 90. Colorado az. Wisconsin O9.
Idaho ca. Utah 90, Montana 90. Neva-
dab 90.
Thirteen states with a total vote In the
electoral college of IA
'~1'a 7seihil' les
.sAvith tlssase tables before you. you can
speculate on the final result with just rs
much accuracy as Joe Manley or anybody
else. Predictions are all guess work. In a
case like this. Three possibilities present
themselves:
First-It may develop that the repubu-
can strength is as great as, or even great
er than In 1896 so that practically all Of
these votes viii go into the Mckinley
column.
Second.-It may develop that the revolt
of the people against all that the repub-
leans represent is as great as the demo-
Gratis. hope In which event there would be
such a clean sweep as would land all
these doubtful states In the Bryan col
umn
Third-It may be that the result may
be so affected by local conditions. that
there Will be a dividing up of this list In
a way that Will make the result very
close one way or the other.
In some OF these states the republican
chances are apparently much better thtn
are those of the democrats Nllltc III btii-
ers the democrats have apparently a
little the better OF it. but as have Sald,
they all belong legitimatels 20 the doubt
full column. The fact that il IS possible
there may Toe wave 10 sweep the enure
bunch one way or the other does not
change of the fact of their being doubtful.
Changes Since 1896.
COMPARISONS with the vote Of 1896 are
natural. They are, however, of doubtful
value Four years bring many changes.
There has been growth of Mckinney
sentiment In the far west and growth
Of Bryan sentiment in the middle ana
eastern states as compared with that for-
mer contest In great measure the
ISSUES; have changed. Republican efforts
to revive the scare Of 1896 seem To have
sailed This failure has given the republic
cans a good many votes in the far west,
il has also given the democrats a great
many votes east of the Mississippi. These
republican gains will doubtless bear frult
I'm the shape of some electoral votes;
will the democratic gains be sufficient 10
swing into line for Bryan the doubtful
states of the middle ana eastern statesf
II looks now as If the elements entering
into the contest are much the Same In all
of these doubtful states of the east ana
middle west. Bryan undoubtedly has
chance to carry New York. me odds
may be slightly against him, understand
but he StlIl mas a CildHCc. II nc NeetAAOS
New York and Indiana, there is good rea-
son to believe he will carry West Vir-
einia. Maryland. Wisconsin, Illinois ana
even Ohio.
The possibility of such a result does ex-
ist Possibility, understand.
ON the other hand, II the conditions are
such as to swing New York and Indiana
into the Mckinley column. where they
were before the chances are that most.
# not all. I'm this group Of doubtful states
will go the same way.
In the main, the conditions are the
Same i'm most of these states. If the
neople whose votes swing the political
nenduIum believe there is no menace In
The Institutional territorial pOllcy OF
the administration; If they are satisfied
that the mckinley prosperity with its
trust adjunct Is worthy of Endorsement;
then there VIII DC an NSlMlSAAiAAh5 A0-
publican victory
IT, on the other hand, these people 90
recognize the grave dangers To the repuD-
liz in the ruthless overthrow of the con-
efitution to enhance the personal holdings
of n lot of promoters who are back OF TINS
administration; If they realize the real
meaning of the military programme OF
the republican party Whlch advocates q
GREAT Standing army which would be at
The beck and call of capital; II they nave
onepad their ewes to the possibilities pre-
slantod bv trust control of Syndicated
,,roeidant. if they want in the white house
- man who would see to IS that the gov
crnment is run in the interests OF the
noonle-then there Is the prospect OF a
landslide which will sweep the republican
Marty out of power, and do that by q ma
mir