The Seattle post-intelligencer. [volume] (Seattle, Wash. Terr. [Wash.]) 1888-1914, 1900-04-14
THE NEXT ELECTORAL VOTE.
CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATE OF RE-
SUIT NEXT FALL.
While Some Uncertainty Surrounds
Election of Congressmen, 1t IL
Difficult to Figure Even Prob
able Defeat of Mckinney
Special Corresponding.

Special Correspondence.
WASHINGTON, April 13.-Whfle Repnp-
lican leaders do not attempt to conceal
the anxiety with which they look forward
TO the results OF the coming congressional
elections none has the slightest doubt
of the reelection OF President Mckinley.
The present Republican margin In the
house Of representatives Is so narrow
that only n slight change is needed 20
give control to the Democrats. Party
division respecting the Puerto Rican
tariff legislation, local disaffection In
many sections Of the country, and the
fact that at the last congressional cleo
tion a large number Of Republicans were
elected by dangerously narrow majorities.
all contribute TO making the outcome this
fan uncertain. This situation is fully
understood by the Republican congress
sional committee, and unusual efforts are
being directed toward the preservation
OF party harmony and the adjustment of
local differences which may affect control
of the next house
II is wholly different with the presi-
dency. In isolated Instances the vote
of state in the electoral college may be
divided. as was the case In Kentucky
and California four years ago Gener-
ally speaking however, the political COM
piexion OF a whole state may be changed
In order to shift the electoral votes from
one party 10 the other. Therein is af
forded safety to the Republican national
ticket. while the election OF congressman
may be In doubt
Basing their opinions upon careful esti-
mates and an intimate knowledge Of the
conditions in the various states. politi-
clans Of skill and experience regard II as
practically impossible for the Democrats
to win the coming presidential election
with Bryan as their candidate and the
platform. New York Is certain to go
Republican No careful observer hon
estiy believes that Bryan can carry that
state, and none, save demagogues OF The
Ieniz-Sulzer stripe. will go on record as
predicting Democratic success there with
Bryan at the head OF the ticket. The
Republicans therefore feel safe so far as
the electoral vote of the Empire state Is
concerned.
The only states. in fact, which the DEM
ocrats have the slightest chance Of taking
away from the Republicans this fall are
Indiana with IL votes. Illinois with "a;
Kentucky. with ~. and Maryland with s.
Deducting the one electoral vote which
the Democrats got In Kentucky four years
nRo. that would make total gain for the
Democrats OF s. But the Republicans
are practically sure to get Kansas with
10 electoral votes: South Dakota with 4:
washington, with 4. Wyoming with z
and TO regain one which the Democrats
Rot In California IN 1896. This is a total
gain for the Republicans OF % leaving a
net Democratic gain OF 49, In 1896 Bryan
received 176 votes I'm the electoral college
Adding TO this the 36 which he may gain.
~ Indicated in the foregoing he would
have but 2l2 votes. while Mckinley would
have 235
This is a most liberal estimate for the
Democrats. IT IL wholly Improbable that
they VIII get Indiana or Illinois. the odds
are against them In Kentucky. and II will
take hard struggle to make the Demo-
crate OF Maryland swallow Bryan
When Senator Beveridge had reached
the middle Of HIS speech Thursday. A tall
spirituelle-looking old gentleman strobe
softly into the chamber from the Republl-
can side and eased himself down into the
nearest vacant chair. Among the few
Senators who aid MIR, Beveridge the court
esy or remaining In the chamber while ho
was speaking was his colleague, though
Mr., Fairbanks paid no attention 10 the
speaker The chair taken by the tail old
gentleman was next to the desk occupied
10y senator Fairbanks The visitor leaned
over and asked Senator Fairbanks who II
WINS speaking, Senator Fairbanks told him
with surprised look that IL was his col
league, The tall, spirtuelle. old gentlemen
who asked the question was John Sherman
He and Beveridge are not contemporary
nor are they similar.
Cost Of Living In Manila.
Lots ~ people think that In the trofIrs
All you have TO do when YOU want brook-
fast Is 10 go out and shake a banana tree.
or knock on "A cocoanut Living isu't
guile that cheap however In the Philip.
pines, a. H. shown by the following list Of
prices which an army officer Mt Manila.
writing To friend In Washington. SAYS
are She prevailing market rate there now:
Irish potatoes are 81 a bushcl; onions. 80
huShel cabbage brings 20 cents A head.
tomatoes are 10 cents a dozen and IA fishes
10 cents a bunch canned peas are ~ cents
a quart fresh curumbcrs ~ and - cents
apiece. slrloin f. 70 cents a pound; pork
chops % cents and round" beef steak 20
10 and ~ cents, according TO the cut: eggs
are ~ cents dozen; mutton chops cost
~ cents a pound Even the things Tint
one would expect 90 he ehcap there are
high. oranges are 70 cents a dozen; rice.
n cents q pound common FISH such as
perch and silver nsh p cents a pound 4
fat duck hrlpgs 20 cents. dressed fowl
from 90 to - cents, Japanese chestnuts trs
- cents a quart, navy beans. s. a aushc.--
ahost dorhlo the price In thls country.
coffee IL fair nj 70 cents "A nounH s,.n.t