The Washington weekly post., 1900-09-25
Democrats Talk Confidently
of Carrying the State.
FIGURE on $4,000 IN THE CITY
IL Is said that the Desnserat. Can Over
come the Majority OF 1896 n. Easily as
the Republicans Overturned the Lars e
Vote Tor CieyeIand-A Poll Is New BE ing
Made Of the state, bat IL Has Not Pre-
sressed Far Enough 20 be Reliable.

question which politicians are asking
one another. Long ago Senator Jones.
chairman of the Democratic National
Committee, insisted that there was a pos
sibIlity of a Democratic majority IN New
York State. His optimistic statement
was laughed TO seOrn by the Republicans.
To-day there is much figuring over the
outcome
New York went Republican in 1se6 bv
26S,0co. Mckinley even carried New York
city. The vote was a landslide Large
figures, however, are not always a safe
guide in predicting a similar result when
the next election day arrives. Witness
the SQ00,o by which Cleveland carried the
State, and the remarkable change when
he ran again. Realizing that the great ma
jority of 1886 is not altogether indicative
of this years vote. both parties are ener-
getically endeavoring to determine. by
means OF a poll, just how the voters now
stand The poll is not yet complete. and
no definite conclusions are obtaina bic.
The Herald says that the polls already
made are conflicting. Five districts in
Manhattan were canvassed, and they
showed the same results practically as in
1895, when Roosevelt barely pulled
through.
Gold Democrats Returning.
Another canvass showed that of the
Gold Democratic voters of 1896 who chang
ed to Van Wyck in 1885, about 70 per cent
would vote for Bryan and 50 per cent
would vote for Mckinley. Yet another
inquiry among voters who had changed
showed that for every three Democrats
who had become Republicans seven Re-
publicans had become Democrats. This
last inquiry was by no means exhaustive
or conclusive. The Herald also tells how
in about twenty rural counties polls have
been completed with varying results
Some show that the vote OF 1896 will be
adhered TO 'if the voters come out"
Others show a similar condition to 1898,
when Roosevelt and the old flag had TO
be carried into every county to stir things
up.
Not until Roosevelt and Bryan have
toured the State will there be anything
like definite idea of how the great mass
of voters are toe cast their ballots. IN
New York, as elsewhere, the silent vote
this year is very large. The Republicans
are apathetic. and are slow TO indicate
their intention of voting for Mckinley
The Democrats, as naturally would be
the case, are more alert. and in the north
ern part Of the State are working with
much earnestness. There is no doubt that
the Bryan meetings will be largely at
tended, although whether he will actually
gain votes by his speeches is a question
rot now to be answered satisfactorily
The demand for his presence, however, is
much mere general now than it was four
years ago, and the appeal which was yes
terday made to him in Chicago to extend
his tour through New York is a sincere
one. II is probable that he will agree to
enlarge his programme, because, what
ever any one else may think, Mr.. Bryan
does not regard New York as barren
ground. When he was making his tour
in West Virginia he said that the Demo
cratic prospects in New York were bright.
Representative Cummings Prediction.
1t is the opinion of Representative
Amos Cummings, of New York, that the
city will give Bryan at least 5000 ma
Jority. Croker puts the figures as high
as 100000 but this is probably excessive
There is no doubt, however, that the vote
which Bryan will get in New York City
will be surprising. Information received
in Washington indicates that men who
haze previously aligned themselves with
the Republican party have soured on the
administration, ana are ready and will
ing TO knife Mckinley. This is true of
business men, as well as of lnanciers
The latter take it for granted that the
money question is out of the way, and
cannot be disturbed, and they have real
or fancied grievances agairst the admin
istration; for which they seek revenge. In
addition to this. it is reported that the
Democratic party is united. Candidate
Stanchfield and ex-senator Hill have all
ways been close friends. and Hill knows
that If Stanehfield is elected. he will have
friend in the executive mansion at Al
bany. HilPs appearance upon the stump
FOR Bryan and Stanchfield is expected
az an early date. and the efforts Of both
men upon the stump Will certainly make
Democratic votes in the upper part OF the
state. If New York City can give $1,000
majority for Bryan, the Republicans in
the State will have 10 come out to the
polls In undiminished numbers to roll up
a greater majority. At the present time
their apathy is affording the Democrats
much ground for hope
A Poll Now in Progress.
Inside information from New York Is
to the effect that the Republican mama
gers are not as confident as they were
a month ago. They are making anxious
inquiries as to the drift of sentiment.
Last week Candidate Odell had the coun-
ty chairmen of his party at the head
quarters in New York City. and he ques-
toned them closely as to the outlook. He
found that they had made no record OF
the changes OF voters, aad had attempt-
ed no poll. Under his direction, a Doll
was at once inausurated, but. as already
stated, II has not yet progressed far
enough to afford any reliable basis for
prediction