The evening times., 1900-10-03
NOTES OF THE CAMPAIGN.

ManIey's F>recast.-The untrust-
worthiness of Republican estimates is
shown by the latest forecast issued by
the Hon. Joe ManIey from Mr.. Hanna's
headquarters in New York. On Monday
Mr.. Manley gave out statement proving
TO his own satisfaction the invincibility of
Mr.. Mckinley. but conceding to Mr.. Bryan
the States Of Della ware. Wyoming, and
South Dakota. representing ten votes.
When the ManIey figures were wired to
Mr.. Hanna in Chicago Mr.. Manley was call
ed up on the long-distanee telephone and
ordered in language unit for publication
TO forthwith revise his estimate, including
these three States in the Mckinley col
umn and putting in the doubtful column
States that are -bsolutely safe for Bryan.
Mr. Manley Immediately applied himself
to the task and brought forth forecast
which is the most wonderful thing Of his
wonderful career. He gives Mr.. Mckinley
266 electoral votes and leaves only 112 for
Mr.. Bryan. In his evised estimate Mr..
Manley classes as doubtful these States:
Colorado. 4; Idaho, 3; Kentucky, 13; Mis-
souri, II; Montana, 3, Nebraska. s. Ne
yada, 5: Utah, 3-totaI, 81. He
comedies to Mr.. Bryan only those
States which lie wholly South of
Mason and Dixon's line and have never
given Republican majorities except when
forced TO do so at the point of the bayonet.
With a sangfroid that IS delightful TO be-
hold, Mr.. Manley Places in the safe Nc
Kinley column these States, some of which
are sure 20 be carried by Bryan and others
of which are doubtful. Delaware. 8. Illi-
nois. 24; Kansas 1G; Maryland, S; Mimi
esota. s. New Jersey, 10; New York, So;
South Dakota, 4; Washington 4; West Vir-
cir ing 70 he
ley figures, Mr.. Mckinley could lose New
York and still win the election, provided,
OF course, he carries all the other States
credited to him. But if he should lose New
York and Maryland or West Virginia he
could not win unless he carries 1ndiana.
which Mr.. ManTey declares is the mos.
doubtful of all the States. Democrats are
able to figure out victory for Mr. Bryan
without New York's vote, thus: Concede
to the Republicans the four votes of Wash
ington and the one Ia California (which
Mr. Bryan got in 1886.
Electoral College with III votes Add TO
this total the votes OF Indiana tI51. Mary
land {S), Delaware 81. Kentucky (le@sBry
an got one of Kentucky's Is votes in 1S96},
and West Virginia (6l, and the Democratic
standard bearer is thus given 2l5 votes, or
only short CT the necessary number.
Minnesota's vote would be exactly what
ne needS 10 reach the geal, according 10
this estimate. Bus he has Illinois f24)-
and even Ohio (23)-to fall back On II he
should carry either of these States. he
could afford to lose Delaware and Ken
lucky or West Virginia and Kentucky and
still win the Presidency by a safe majori-
y without New York. But the Democratic
managers account Kentucky as absolutely
safe for Bryan, rega. diess OF what may
happen to the State ticket down there IN
no Democratic or conservative estimate
is Kentucky put in the doubtful column.
And Democratic hope Of New York is grow
ing every day and will continue to grow
until, in the highly improbable event of Mr..
Bryan's fiat failure TO arouse the masses
there on his forthcoming tour, it becomes
evident that there is no use to make
fight in the Empire State