Evening times-Republican. [volume] (Marshalltown, Iowa) 1890-1923, 1900-10-27
THE PoLlTIcAL FORECAST.

the POLITICAL FORECAST.
The Chicago Sunday Tribune has at
tempted to give the opinion of thirty
Washington correspondents of leading
papers. Just prior to the election fore
casting the result is a favorite amuse-
ment of newspapers, correspondents
and party chairmen The value of a
forecast depends upon the author 81
fairness and independence and his free
dom Of bias in his partsansllip.
It follows, then, that forecasts made.
by Vice Chairman Payne, of the repub-
lican national committee, by Chairman
Jones, of the democratic national COM
mittee, and by men like C. A. Towne. of
Duluth, have no value whatever. Mr..
Towne is brilliant young man,
scholarly young man, but there are
probably fifty men in Marshalltown
who can give a closer and more intelli-
gent forecast than Mr.. Towne. IN Mon
days Record MIR. Towne places Califor-
MIA, Kansas Delaware, Illinois, In
diana, Maryland, New York North Da-
kota, Ohio and West Virginia in the
Bryan column. 1t was only his mod
esty that kept him from claiming Iowa.
Poor old Adlai Stevenson is quoted as
saying that Iowa is doubtful. The only
thing doubtful about Iowa is whether
McKinley's plurality will be $4,000 or,
100, 900.
Mr.. Towne's forecast ELECTS nothing
but contempt. But to go back to the
Tribune's forecast. NJ G. Sickendorff,
Of the New York Tribune lrep.), gives.
Mckinley 27i electoral votes. David s.
Barry. Of the New York Sun Gnd).
26s; and S. G. Blythe, of the New York
World (dem.), claims Indiana for Brv-
an, but comedies McKinley's election:
Francis e. Leupf, of the New York
Post lind.). comedies Mckinleys cleo
ton, but says the house will be demo
cratic; e. j. Gibson, of the Philadelphia
Press Gep), gives Mckinley I'll; w r.
Ben, of the Philadelphia North Ameri-
can Tep), gives Bryan 235: Henry Hall.
Of the Pittsburg Times Iep.), claims
y McKinleys election, beyond reason
able doubt H. ellison Gardner. of the
Indianapolis News And1. thinks Nc
Kinley's election certain: A e. Huss, of
the Pittsburg Dispatch Gnd). says that
Mckinley will win, and that Bryan
tacitly admits it; Henry Mcfarland, of
!. the Boston Herald (ind.), thinks that
Mckinley viii have larger majority
than in 1896; he also thinks the house
will be safely republican,; Robert L.
O'Brien. of the Boston Transcript
Gnd.) predicts for Mckinley a smaller,
popular majority and a larger electoral
vote than in 1896; Cory NJ stadden. of
that the republicans concede Kentucky
to Bryan and Bailey. Of Texas. con-
eedes Illinois to Mckinley. He also
claims MARYLAND and Gays the anti-
Chinese vote may give California to
Bryan. He makes no guess as to the
result, but how the anti-Chinese vote
cuts any figure in this election it is diff
ticult to see Frank Michinard, of this
New Orleans Times Democrat (de1n.)
says Bryan Will carry more states thar
in 1895 and makes no further predic-
ton: Joseph Oil. of the Atlanta Con
stitution (dem.), says that indications
are favorable to Mckinley: Fred T
Schrader, of the Kansas City Journa
(rep.), thinks the election of A1cKinie,
assured Walter b. stevens, Of tn,
Glebe-Democrat (rep), predicts 10000
for Mckinley in Illinois and thinks thu
drift Is all toward Mckinley; w. S
Daniels. of the st. Louis Republic
thinks the contest close one, with thu
chances favoring Bryan. 1t is well Il
bear in mind that the opinion of tn,
Republic and the opinion of any one
connected with it is nconsequential.
has never failed to claim confidentl,
the election Of its candidate. FREQ
starck. OF the Cleveland Leader (rep.)
gives Mckinley 271: Franklin Hall, O.
the Cleveland Plaindealer (dem)
thinks the result will be close ant
makes no claim; Otto Carmichae
thinks the Bryan campaign is on tn,
verge OF collapse" NJ. E. Crane,sof tn,
9an Francisco Call Tep.), thinks Nc
Klnley will have 2s1 votes; w. W. Jen
nam. Of the Minneapolis Journal (rep)
thinks Mckinley Is sure OF 249; Arthu
/.