Evening star., 1900-10-22
UNBIASED CONCLUSIONS
REPUBLICANS WILL WIN FOR Nc
KINLEY AND THE NEXT CONGRESS.
Re.uIt of n Complete investigation Dy
Careful New York Herald
Commissioners.

The New York Herald predicts that NC
Kinley and Roosevelt will carry the coun-
trv by a landslide, and that with the eH-
ception of Kentucky the republicans Will
hold all the states they carried IN le9o anu
make a net gain of eleven electoral votes.
Reviewing it's prediction, the Herald says:
..The data upon which it Is based nave
been collected with more than usual care
Men of experience in gauging public senti-
ment on political questions have been STA
toned for weeks in so-called doupt1ui
states where both parties have been max
ing great efforts. These men nave oohe
their work absolutely without bias ana
have reduced their observations TO a colo-
blooded calculation. and in each instance
have given what they consider the strong
probabilities. ,
canyassed In another way, through otner
correspondents or through newspapers as
sociated with the Herald in the gathering
of news. This second poll was c1nduceto
for the purpose of ascertaining the prob
able complexion of the Fifty-seventh Con
gress and furnishes, as a check on the
other canvass, indications as to now the
election is going for President.
in both investigations practlcally the
same result has been reached In all the
states which during the campaign nave
been regarded as fighting territory.
the southern states that went for Mckin-
lev and Hobart in 1896, with the exception
of Kentucky. Kentucky is doubtful still,
but the probabilities are in favor of its go
ing for Bryan West Virginia, Maryiaho
and Delaware are regarded as safe for the
republican candidates. Mckinley will prob
ably have Indiana, and If he gets 1t the re-
suit will be due entirely to the farmer vote
The states which were carried by Bryan In
1896 and which Will go for Mckinley this
year, are South Dakota, Kansas, Wash
ington and Wyoming. Bryan got one cleo
toral vote in California in 1896. California
ton of Kentucky, Mckinley will hold all
the states of the Union that he carried In
1896, and make net gain OF eleven cleo
toral votes in California, South Dakota,
Wyoming and Washington.
Sweep Will Garry Fifty-Seventh Con-
Eress.
I'm the poll made for the purpose Of as
certaining the complexion of the Fifty
seventh Congress careful estimates were
made in each doubtful district in the coun-
try The result shows that unless there is
a very close contest over the presidency
both houses of Congress will be controlled
by the republicans.
I'm the case of an unexpected landslide
to Bryan the House would be surely demo-
cratic and the Senate would be doubtful.
In the present House the republicans
have 1S5, the democrats 162. all other anti
republicans I, while there are vacancies
This gives the republicans a working ma
jority of 6. The information furnished by
correspondents is that the new House will
have certainly 1S5 republican votes, the
democrats will have 153, there will be
fusionists and silver republicans, popu-
lists and IA districts are doubtful
Gains in the House have been made by
democrats in the west and south, but they
are offset by gains made by republicans in
the east
I'm the Senate, where the republicans
now have so members, the indications are
that next year they will have at least At
members, which Is one more than a ma.
jority. There are II doubtful senatorial
elections pending, and the republicans car
scarcely lose the control of the Senate
even should Mr.. Bryan be elected. Quay
may not be elected in Pennsylvania Elkins
may be defeated in West Virginia and Pet
ugrew may lose in South Dakota
Result of Electoral Vote.
The Herald summarizes its conclusions Ii
the following interesting and valuable
table: