Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1900-10-22
MORE TALK OF BRYAN
Democratic Spellbinders Gathering in
New York City.
THEY CLAIM INDIANA AND Ohio
Both Parties Mystified by the Situa-
ton in Illinois.
ANENT THE LABOR VOTE

| Special From Staff Correspondent.
NEW YORK, October 22.-There has been
| more Bryan talk here during the past twen-
| ty-four hours than before during a week.
This is not necessarily significant, since the
reason for it Is the arrival of a good many
| OF the orators out Of the west with the
breath Of the campaign about them
The lesser campaigners are sweeping back
upon New York in the trail of Bryan. The
democratic talk relates chiefly to states
other than New~York and is more or less
| loose in character, but, in way, relieves
| the general monotony. Most of what is
heard from these sources is merely idle
| boasting. But from what is said by the
most substantial of the democratic orators
1t appears that their greatest hope for Bry-
an Is in Indiana and Ohio. Though they do
not say so in as many words, the plain in
ference Is that the best observers who have
been swinging through the circle for Bryan
have not been fully satisfied with their ex-
perience. except in those two states, and, of
course, all that they say of the Bryan Senti-
ment there must be taken with great deal
OF allowance.
In Wisconsin it appears that the German
vote is not as responsive to the cry of i'm
perlalfSm and militariSm the democrats
expected it to be. and vague suggestions
are made that the Bryan managers have
not availed themselves of their opportuni-
ties there. Bryan's reference to the money
question in his Milwaukee speech and the
support the leading German papers are CIV
Ing Mckinley appear to have largely coun-
teracted the sentiment that may have exist
ell in favor of the democratic ticket. Alto
gether, / think the democrats are disap-
pointed in the state, though their candi-
date for governor appears to be making a
good canvass
The Talk About Minnesota.
Probably two or three democrats coming
from the west with whom 1 have talked
have said that John Lind would carry Min
nesota for the democratic ticket, but, on
the whole. l should say that Minnesota,
Michigan and Wisconsin are not seriously
taken into the count for Bryan by well-in-
formed democrats. 1t would appear vision
fr fui. 10 speak OF 'hem as In any way doubt
The admissions made by democrats as to
Kansas suggest to an impartial observer
that the state may be placed in the Nc
kinley column, with the chances in favor of
that being right.
OF the group of little free silver states
Utah appears most likely to go for Mckin-
ley The best information / can get indi-
Gates that 1t is likely to go that way, while
Montana, Idaho. Colorado and Nevada may
with reasonable safety be put down for
Bryan.
A very earnest Bryan man who is es-
pecially we'll informed to western poll
tics tells me that Bryan Is much weakened
in all those states: that he will have hard
fight to get 10, 600 majority in Colorado; that
In Montana and Idaho his majorties will
be greatly reduced and that he will lose
Utah. The same man has spent some time
in Kansas and expresses the opinion that
that state will surely go for Mckinley. He
says that on the Pacific coast everything
will be for Mckinley. He says that the
and that while he has lately come to the
impression that Bryan could not carry the
state, he does not feel confident as to his
own judgment on that point, as there are
SO many conflicting things in the situation
there. manifestation Of hostility toward
the administration in Chicago. which had
attracted his attention three weeks ago
was not at all apparent to him, he says,
when he was there four five days ago.
These statements come from a man whose
opinion is worthy Of consideration, and who
is capable of seeing both sides of propo-
sition, however strong his sentiments may
be.
The Turning of the Scale.
The issue of the campaign seems to have
come down to question of what Indiana,
Ohio and Illinois may do and do not think
that 1t overStates the case to say that the
democrats have more hope in Ohio than in
any Of the three states. The reason given
for this hope as to Ohio Is that the Ger
man vote is more largely with Bryan in
that than in any other state and that Bry-
an is going to get most Of the Jones vote.
This claim is apparently based upon opin-
ions expressed by democrats who have been
stumping the state, rather than upon any
sort Of canvass. 1 am told that trial can
vass made by democrats in few precincts
has shown a small falling off from the Nc
Lean vote. The Silent vote appears to be
perplextng the politicians there as else
usually foxy this year. Each side claims
that the men who refuse to make public
announcement Of their intentions make
whispered professions of good will. Demo-
cratic claims appear to be based more on
sentiment and inference, while those of the
republicans are on practical politics and
consciousness of the power that comes from
having compact army of business men
fighting for their cause.
There must be very unusual condition
in Illinois. While there are men making
reckless claims for one party or the other, |
I find that careful men OF each party are
shy of making downright predictions. The
democrats are scared by what they know |
and the republicans are apprehensive of
what they don't know.
Attitude of the Business Men.
The support Of Mckinley by the business |
men is supposed to be, perhaps, little |
more nearly unanimous in New York, which |
from the business point Of view is still the |
country of Bryan's enemies, than in other |
states where the line between classes is not |
quite SO sharply drawn. Certainly |
greater per cent of gold democrats will vote |
against Bryan in this than in the states Of |
the middle west But in a general way |
there appears an analogy between the stu |
alton here and in Ohio and Illinois. In all |
three the presumption is in favor of Nc
Kiney. A man whom I judge plays poker |
sometimes says that Mckinley is drawing
three cards to pair, and that Bryan is
drawing four cards to one ace. The as
sumption is in favor of the pair, but luck
makes good a four-card draw.
Conservative estimates give Mckinley
New York, Ohio and Illinois by declining |
popular majorities, and in decline there is
always uncertainty as to how far it will 60.
The stock broker understands this with
to the market, just as the poker
player recognizes turn Of luck making
good a very remote chance in a draw of |
cards.
The appearances with respect to the cleo
tion are, however, that the decline in Nc
Kinley's votes occurred some time ago. and |
that 1t has been checked and, perhaps, |
given an upward tendency, and that the re-.
publican margins are not likely to be wiped |
out, though any careful man will take into
account even remote possibility Of J
slump.
Within twenty-four hours the republican
committee have had Information that has |
given a little uneasiness about the New |
York farmers. They count on a practically |
aolid farmer vote, In this Sfata thew 4, |