The Democratic advocate. [volume] (Westminster, Md.) 1865-1972, 1900-10-27

DENTAL election. Well it did, and its best
information lead it to predict 282 electoral
votes for Mckinley and los for Bryan.
To arrive at that conclusion it claims
California, with votes, Delaware with ),
Illinois with "a, Indiana with 10, Mary
land with 5 II ere are % votes,
which, if they should 90 for Bryan, would
leave but 223 for Mckinley, less than
majority
Maryland and Delaware are as sure tor
BRYAN as Pennsylvania is for Mckinley.
No Observant person denies that Indiana
is more certain for Bryan than for Me
Kinley. and that Illinois is doubtful.
California electoral vote was divided IN
1896. and everybody comedies that MIR.
BRYAN is far stronger now than four years
400. The elections in Vermont aud Maine
this fall clearly demonstrated this. 10
Maine the Democratic vote was = per
cent greater than in 1896 and the Re
nubIcan vote declined in about the same
proportion. The result in Vermont was
similar. A change of FIVE per cent. in
California would give the state to Bryan
by large majority.
South Dakota 3 votes are put in the
Mckinley column and yet the state went
for Bryan in 1896. Wyomings 3 votes
are also given to Mckinley, and that state
voted for Bryan four years ago.
Minnesota, Michigan and Ohio are also |
counted for Mckinley, with their aggregate |
of 46 electoral votes. Minnesota and Mich !
gan are as certain for Bryan as they are
for Mckinley, ana Frank A. Richardson,
the observant and well-informed CORES |
dent of the Baltimore Sun, recently classed |
Ohio as doubtful, and gave his reasons,
which were published in the ADVOCATE
last week
New York Democrats are claiming the |
SO electoral votes of that state for Bryan.
We do not expect Bryan win get them,
but Democratic activity. coupled with the |
splendid canvass by Mr.. Bryan throughout
the state, viii put the Republicans upon
their mettle to carry it, and money and I
speakers, that otherwise could be sent to |
other states, viii have to be kept at home.
Every Hanna Mckinley paper in the |
United States viii parade the Herald 5 /
forecast before their readers, and claim the
election is already won.
But the Herald does not credit its own
figures. They are mere guess work and
are no more valuable than guess from
Republican reports any paper could make,
In speaking Of the Congressional pro
liabilities, the Herald says
to BRYAN the House would be surely (
Democratic and the SENATE would ne
doubtful "
The Herald thus admits possible land
slide to Bryan, and this conclusiyely shows !
that the Herald knows no more of proha-
bilities than any observant person does.
The Heralds figures show this very
significant fact-that Bryan is much
stronger now than he was in 1896 and
Mckinley is weaker. Thus, IN 1896
Mckinley had 26S, 469 majority over
BRYAN in New York and the Herald has
cut it now to lis, 900, falling off of l53,
600. Mckinley majority of -, PA IN
Maryland in 500 is cut down to ., 900, and
in Pennsylvania, New jersey and Connecti-
cut it says the Republicans majOrities will
be far less than in 1896.
As to Illinois, which is placed in the
Mckinley column, the Herald says
Illinois has been the scene of one OF the
fercest struggles in the Middle West
The State went for Mckinley in 1896 by
142. 900. For many months there has
been at Chicago a great strike. This has
been taken advantage ofby the Democrats,
and much unrest exists among the laboring
men. Republican factional fights have
also been a handicap to Mckinley. Cook
county is the key to the situation. If the
Democrats get very large plurality there
the State is doubtful and likely to go to
Bryan.
Here is a significant I'll" and a con-
fession that Illinois is doubtful at best, yet
the state "a electoral votes are counted
for Mckinley.
1t is noted above that the Herald FIG
ures show that Bryan is much stronger now
than in 1896, and Mckinley is weaker.
The Herald does not state the fact, but
its figures do. They show Mckinley losses
as follows In New York 1872, 800, in
New Jersey 40, 492, in Maryland u, 224,
in Illinois, 80, 1873, in Wisconsin 1852,
in Minnesota IS, 875-a total in eight
states of 49,, SOL. If the Herald's fig.
ures are approximately correct they show
that Bryan well have a large plurality of
the popular vote. II we subtract the Ne
gro vote Bryan viii have about two mil
lion majority of the white vote.
A close scrutiny of the four pages the
Herald devoted to a forecast of the election
shows great doubt as to nearly all the
States usually classed as close or doubtful,
vet the Herald counts all of them for
Mckinley in its table printed in black type
ON its first page And it must be remem
bered, too, that the Herald's information
is mostly from Republican sources, just
ike its reports from Maryland is, and its
Maryland correspondent can guess but D.
900 plurality for Mckinley in this state