The farmer and mechanic. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 18??-19??, 1900-11-06
ILLINOIS, NEW YORK
Either One in Democratic Column
Means Party Success. Thinks
All Three Safe for Ticket.
KENTUCKY IS ABSOLUTELY SAFE
The Democratic Party This Year is Organized,
Reunited and Confident of a Great
Victory Next tuesday.

Although he does not aspire to be
known as a political prophet, James
Creelman's predictions as to the result
of State and national elections have
50 frequently been verified that a
statement from him carries to politi-
clans especially great value as a prog
n~ostication.
In the following interview given to
The New York Morning Telegram, Mr..
Creelman distinctly gives figures and
facts to substantiate his prediction,
Instead of being called a prophet, the
proper name for Mr.. Creelman is his
torian before the fact.
Without further preamble, he finds
in the present condition OF affairs
everything pointing to the certain
election Of William Jennings Bryan
to be President OF the United States:
Il nave thought until the last few
days said Mr.. Creelman last night,
that the coming Presidential election
would be very close, witt the chances
slightly in favor of Mckinley.
But have changed my mind since
then in consequence of new facts which
have developed, and from present indi-
cations / say that Mr.. Bryan will carry
the country.
Il have 50 far written no forecast over
my name, because / have been in doubt.
But at the present time | do not believe
that any man who is conyersant with
the recent political developments in the
so-called doubtful States can make any
other claim with certainty than Mr.. Bry-
ans election.
IN ERROR BUT ONCE.
In Justification of my forecast, | may
state that / have written four political
prophecies, and in but one Of them has
the election proved me in error. That
was with reference to the State Of Ken
lucky. The organization Of the Gold De-
inOcracy in that State carried it for Nc
kinley, but even then by a narrow mar
gin of 300, while Bryan got one Of the
electoral votes.
tHa I'm my opinion Mr.. Bryan has enough
States certain for him now to warrant
| the assertion that ] make. | make it
deliberately, and with all the knowledge
OF the situation that is possible that if
Mr.. Bryan carries New York. Ohio, or
| Illinois he is certain of election. On the
other hand, Mr.. Mckinley must carry all
three of these States in order to be
elected.
The loss of any one of these States
means his defeat. l am willing to stake
my reputation on this
'Of the States which the Republicans
have been claiming there is no doubt in
my mind, proceeded Mr.. Creelnlan, that
Nebraska is as safe for Bryan as Texas;
Colorado, also; Kansas not SO safe as
Texas, but | consider it fairly certain.
Fusionists have never been beaten in
Kansas and the Fusion organization in
Kansas was never SO perfect as now.
KENTUCKY IS ABSOLUTELY SAFE.
Kentucky is absolutely safe. Not
withstanding a Gold Democracy organiZa-
ton in every county and district, and
with such opponents as Henry Waterson
and the Courier-Journal, and with the
Louisville & Nashville Railway spending
money like a drunken sailor, Mckinley
only carried Kentucky in '94 by 800. The
Goebel trial has been an illustration of
the remorseless spirit of the Republi-
cans of Kentucky, opening the eyes Of
their former allies. l therefore claim
that Kentucky is so safe for Bryan that
a bet of 4 to / is a safe bet.
maryland likewise is safe. l am will
ing to say that the vote of the State will
give a Democratic plurality of 10, 900. Cor
man is working hard and loyalty for the
ticket to my personal knowledge.
-Four years ago l made a tour of West
Virginia, and l said then that the State
would go 10, 600 Republican. l was abused
for this statement. The State gave Nc
Kinley in round numbers 11,O0c plurality.
The reason for this was that the State
had been virtually abandoned by the
State committee. which hadn't even
money enough to pay necessary expense
of the campaign, while the Republicans
spent a quarter of a million dollars.
This year West Virginia's Democracy
has the finest organization ever known
in that State. The chairman of the
State Committee, John T. McGraw, is q
, politician of extraordinary parts, and is
r making the fight of his life. Besides
, this Senator Elkins admitted to me that
r the Democrats had nominated the besu
ticket ever given to West Virginia vo-
a ters by the party.
0 WILL NOT STAND COLONIZATION.
g Senators Elkins and Scott have beer
relying on the colonization Of onscur,
counties by negroes from hopeless South
ern States in order to Offset this tremen
I dOuS change, but the State committee ha
followed them with detectives and tn
reckless Republican leaders will have a
S unpleasant surprise on election day.
q South Dakota l regard as a Demo
cratic State this year. The change ha
been steady but sure toward Bryan.
S Colorado is perfectly Democratic, tn
e Republicans cannot break down that plu
rality of 100 600. OF Delaware, too. | thin
e there is no doubt but that it will g
d enthusiastically for Bryan. Indiana is a
certainly Democratic as it has ever bee
in it's history. All the Gold Democrat
in the State are enrolled for Bryan. Will
. the strongest Republicans, like forme