The evening times. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1895-1902, 1900-10-29
OUTLOOK Tn CALIFORNIA
New Issues Making Votes for the
Democratic Party.
The Question of Chinese Exclusion
Again Agitatiag the PeOpIe-Sic-
Argument against MciSinIeyism.
The Republicans overconfident.

SAN FRANCISCO. Oct. 29.-Republieans
who have been congratulating themselves
over the belief that California is certain
TO declare fer Mckinley by a big majority
November 6 may be the victims Of
shock when the election returns begin to
come in.
The confident belief of Eastern Mckin-
Ieyttes has been founded on the special
commercial benefits to accrue to San Fran
cisco and other porss in California by ex-
pansion over Pacific islands. This has I'M
doubtedly solidified the bankers, exporters,
and importers of San Francisco in favor
Of the Republican ticket. But there are
other forces at work.
For instance. the anti-Chinese cry,
which appeals powerfully to Caiifornians,
is raised again. This is largely because
of the recent ruling of United States Dis
trict Judge NJ. NJ. Estee, in Honolulu. that
Chinese and Filipinos cannot be restrained
from going from one part of United States
territory to another. Such a decision, II
sustained, means. that the Chinese Of the
Philippines can food California The cry
has been taken up and the laboring men
are aghast at this possible overriding of
the Exclusion act.
Then, too, the Democratic national plat
form specifically advocates the contin-
uance and strict enforcement of the Exclu-
sion act The Republican platform is silent
on that subject
The saddest argument that makes
thoughtful men oppose Mckinley is the
procession CT helpless wrecks of soldiers
daily borne through the San Francisco
streets from returning transports ships.
These dead, crippled, or feverstricken
men are silent pleas against McKinleytsm
Another point that is helping Bryan in
California is the large element of Spanish
Americans, the Observation-Disclosures, who
form large part of the population OF the
southern part of the State. These voters
oppose the Administration almost IMAM
/ imously. Low prices OF wheat and fruit
! and three successive seasons of drought in
/ the great San Joaquin Valley and the
| counties south of Tehachapi are also help
ing TO pile up votes for Bryan Here the
prosperity arguments hoilowness is clear
J y seen Los Angeles will be close. but
( San Bernadino. Orange. Riverside. Santa
| Barbara. Kern, Fresno, Tulare, San Joa-
| quin Sau Luis Obispo, MERGED, and Mon
terey are counted by Democrats in their
! column
/ NJ F. Tarpey. of the Democratic Ma
/ ti0n3l Committee, says:
Reports that come to the State Com
mittee and to me daily coula not be more
! enccuTagi ng While I know the RePub-
! iicans claim a sure thing here, yet | am
1 convinced that California will go Demo
( cratic. There are two cities. outside of
/ San Francisco which we do not expect to
J carry. These are Sacramento and Vallejo.
| In san Francisco the vote will be close,
/ but I feel sure of carrying the city.
The vote of the wholesale merchants
! and bankers of San Francisco is all IN the
/ district bounded by Montgomery, Market
/ and Pacific Streets and the water front
/ These men meet at their stores ald IN
/ their clubs and talk things over. They are
! nearly all Republicans. and everyone
! they meet is going to vote the same way
they naturally say the city is solid fol
/ Mckinley.
This makes the Republican managers
overconident. But I know from our re-
ports that the big laboring element in me
/ southwest section CT the city is for Bryan
/ almost to a man 1 a:s: not saying this t
| encourage false hopes, but I feel as SUR
as I ever did of anything that we viii car
~ the State"
| Mr.. Tarrey is an old campaigner and /:
| acknowledged by men of both parties II
be as shrewd and wideawake a politica
| manager as there is in the West. Sacra-
mento, which he comedies to the RepVnrh
| cans is the stronghold OF the Southern
/ racine Company Inc influence Oh I0E
company CT the men employed in the rail
road shops gives a voting balance tina
Will probably carry the city for the Ad
ministration. Vallejo, also conceded. i
the residence of hundreds Of artisans an
laborers employed at the Mare Island Ma
| Wy Yard. most of whom naturally vii
vote for Mckinley SO as to keep up tn,
work on warships and transports.
In 1885 California gave Mckinley an off
cial majority of $500, but, according t.
revised precinct figures, the total wa
nearer 2,0GG. This small margin, tn
Democratic State Committee is conf1den
of overcoming.
The Republican managers scoff at tn
| idea, but it is a fact noticeable 10 all OBJ
! servers that the Republican manipulation
are remarkably overconfdent. They ar
not conducting the campaign with half tn
aggressiveness of their opponents and ar
not doing the work they did four year
ago by long odds. Colonel Stone, tn
State Committees chairman, is sending
few spellbinders around, but the McKin
ley men generally say the election is al
ready over.