Evening times-Republican. [volume] (Marshalltown, Iowa) 1890-1923, 1900-11-05
EXPECT BIG PLURALITY
Iowa Republican Leaders Say No
Kinley's Plurality in Iowa
Will Be $4,000.
Chairman Weaver Confident That
the Republican Majority Record
Will Be Broken.
None Of the Congressional Districts
in Serious Doubt-Wsrk Of
Managers
Special to Republican.

special to Republican.
+ Des Moines, Nov. 5.-The closest esti-
mate upon the vote in Iowa this year,
places the republican majority at ILL.,
900. This result has been reached by
several persons after the most careful
Inquiry in all the counties upon differ
ent bases of calculation. Reports from
about two thirds of the counties show
that the average republican increase
over 1896 is 5.4 per cent. The democrats
under normal conditions will gain 1.5 |
per cent over 1896 This rate of gain
applied to the entire state would give3
a republican gain of 1852 and a demo-
cratic gain Of 1856 over 1896. The total
vote then would be: Mckinley, 304, ,915;
Bryan, 227,097. This gives Mckinley IT, |
S1s plurality.
Chairman Weaver made an estimate
yesterday to the same general effect,
| only he estimates that the republicans
will gain ten votes to q precinct over
! 1896. There are :. .145 precincts in the 4
state. Governor Shaw had $1,000 ma
! jority last year. Thus it viii be seen
that the gain of ten to a. precinct would
give a republican majority in excess of
$4,000.
\ In the congressional districts there is
no longer any serious doubt as to the
result except in the Second district. and
THAT district is very close indeed. The
reports are conflicting and no one seems
] to know exactly what the conditions
are The attitude of the Germans in
the city of Davenport is the greatest
4 of all the uncertain quantities. It is
lIgenerally agreed that If Rumple carries
i Scott county by as much as one Vote
.the will certainly be elected. because
I, Muscatine and Iowa counties will give
i him TOO or 500 majority. Out of this
1 Hlust come probable majorities against
4 hln in Clinton, Johnson and Jackson
counties altno the latter two are stout
lily claimed tc be almost a tie. Both
Il sides claim Scott county by najorities
ranging from 400 to 1000. The support
,l ers of Noilnaer say that Mckinley Will
i carry the county by at least 1000 ptu-
: Iralisy. They claim tnat Vollmer will
Eovercome all this and have. ii is con-
n serwativeiy estimated, from 400 to 500
majority. II he has this he VIII be
elected. The republicans are equally
( insistent. however, that Rumple will
q carry Scott county. They say that if
Mckinley has 1000 majority is is ab-
t surd to claim that Vollmer can over
!, come this. That is the foundation OF
: the hope of the republicans that the
: Landslide for Mckinley in the state will
Ecarry Rumplc thru. Chairman Weaver
, honestly believes he will be elected.
S In the Sixth district there is no long
e e'r any doubt of Mai. Lacey's election
i The closest and most thorough orsani-
5 zation and effective work in that dis
e ltrict has had its effect. The majority
will not be large, but it is sufficient ant
: Icertain.
), The Titus proposition to arNend tht
constitution u, have biennial elections
will receive a tremendous majority. Al
the reports that have been received
show that the vote in its, favor will b
T VERY heavy ant; that no organized op
position is being made to it. The farm
10 ers believe is will save the state soo000
st year and 50 do many ether people
Ie Politicians have tacitly agreed to kee
ls hands off. altho many of them woul
y like to oppose IL. The business inter
! iests quite generally feel that it viii b
\
publican county c'lairmen when aske
'f for opinions concerning the attitude :
ss their counties on the matter either sal
Y. they knew nothing. about 1t or that
u. would receive all the way from two
: lone to ten to one majority.
l. All estimates made upon the resu
thus far have been based upon a fu
rt,t ala Ia1-
ie rains have made the roads bad an
ls some politicians believe that if the raj
D makes the corn fields too muddy
az work in the rural vote will be increase
iie rather than diminished by bad road
= Another element in he calculation
- favor OF the republican ticket is tn;
- = this is going to be great year for yo
= ling the straight ticket-for marking
!, the circle at the head of the ballot ar
=. Letting it go at that. Many voters RICH
a = " fear to tamper with their ballots, lie
]. - they make some mistake that will eau
: their votes to be thrown ont. The on
safe way is to vote the straight ticke
and that of course is always to the a.
It vantage of the republican party
ng Iowa.
II j.
The governing desire OF voters in th
700 state is to give Mckinley as large
th majority as possible, and all adyices
IT far received indicate that there will
+ very little scratching of tickets III
ought to bring the returns in earlier
,st About 5000 republican speeches fa
y. been made in Iowa during the past ii
In weeks. The active speaking campa!i
in Iowa during the direction of the !
publican state committee has been
little more than a months duratic
lto The speaking speaking campaign "
in managed by A. F. Dawson, Senator
an llison's private secretary. He has h
lunder his direction at various times
speakers. some of them only for a. f
DAYS. The county committees have be
lte. particularly active. especially in
at5 last two weeks, and they have had I
services of about 100 local speakers
sides the assistance OF those sent (
1a- BY the state committee.
-. s3ss5 = = sss
Nr. Dawson's uanAsensat q
ss sssss