The Topeka state journal. [volume] (Topeka, Kansas) 1892-1980, 1900-09-15
NEW voRK TEE KEY.

The race for the presidency IS larry
on now between the two great political
parties, and a summing up of the con-
test to September Is seems appropriate
There are certain states that can safely
be counted to cast their votes for the
Republican electors and others that will
declare for Democracy. Those that Mr..
Mckinley can pretty certainly count on
are Pennsylvania. Maine, Vermont, New
Hampshire, Massachusetts,, Rhode ISL
and, Connecticut, New Jersey, Ohio, Hi
nois, Iowa, Wisconsin, North Dakota
California, Minnesota, Oregon, Wash
ington, South Dakota, and Wyoming.
with a total of 18s votes.
Owing to the return of the Gold DEM
ocrats the signs now Indicate that Mr.
Bryan will receive the votes Of the
states known as the solid south, in
GLIDING Kentucky and Maryland, with
a total of 1850 electoral votes: Idaho. ,;
Montana, 3; Nevada. 3; Utah. 3; Colo
RADIO, 4; Nebraska. g. Indiana, Is; Della
ware. s.; making 1872
This leaves Michigan with IA votes,
Kansas with 10. West Virginia with 6
and New York with &c. or a grand total
of Sc votes, to be fought for.
Allowing the foregoing forecast to
be about correct, a close analysis of
the conditions from a., independent
standpoint, indicates that the estimate
is fairly correct at this time. and would
mean that the party that carries New
York carries the country.
Should Mr.. Bryan capture the Empire
state, as Richard Croker says he will,
then Mr.. Bryan will be the next presi-
dent, even allowing President Mckinley
Michigan, Kansas and West Virginia
The Democracy must have New York to
win. But can the Democracy carry
New York? Aye, there's the rub. At
the first glance at the majority returns
of 1896 it would seem impossible. Presi-
dent Mckinley carried the state by a
plurality of 26S, 1853. But in 1897 a Dem
ocratic chief justice was elected by co.
600 plurality. In 1898 Theodore Roose-
welt carried the state Ny $4,000. while
Timothy Woodruff, for lieutenant gov
ernor, had a plurality. of only II. 900.
Throughout the state the congressional
elections of 1898 largely favored the
Democrats, so it viii be seen that New
York is very doubtful indeed. Four
years ago Mr.. Bryan had Tammany,
Hill and the New York World against
him; this year Croker, Hill and the
World are actively supporting the Dem
ocratic ticket.
The return of Cleveland's entire cabi-
net Gncluding John G. Carlisle, who
says he will not vote for Mr.. Mckinley
this year,, and a strong state ticket
nominated by the Democracy means
that the contest in the Empire state is
going to be the scene of one of the hot
test battles that has been held since the
Blaine and Cleveland memorable cam
paign.
Cor gresham Overstreet, secretary Of
the Republican congressional commit
tee, says: There are eighty electoral
votes which were given to Mckinley in
danger now. They are in danger. not
because of any change of political sem
timent, but because of overconfdence
among Republicans and excellent or
ganization among the Democrats These
eighty electoral votes are in New York,
Delaware. Maryland, West Virginia.
Kentucky Indiana, and Illinois. They
were Republican in 1896, because the
people were awake to the danger of Mr..
Eryan's possible election. and we had
the largest popular vote ever known
Nearly every legal voter went to the
polls four years ago.
why do you call New York and Illi-
nois doubtful Congressman OverStreet
was asked.
Because, in New York, Tammany
now has control of Greater New York,
and is using that power to secure con-
troll of the state. It is a big leverage,
which can only be met by alertness and
determination Of Republicans to prevent
Tammany from stealing the state with
corrupt majorities in the city of New
York AS to Illinois, there are the same
conditions, but the danger is not so
great.
1.-The Democrats are in control in Chi
cago, and will try to their power to
carry the city and Cook county, and, if
possible manufacture majorities to over
come the Republican majorities
throughout the state. do not consider
the danger in Illinois 50 great as that
in New York and Indiana, but there is
danger in that kind of confidence that
makes business men Indifferent to the
danger they are facing