Evening star., 1900-10-01
FAVORABLE TO Mckinley.
A Mid-CampaiYn Poll of the Whole
Country Shows the Chances.

A Mid-Campaign Poll of the Whole
Country Shows the Chances.
From the New York Herald today.
The Herald's mid-campaign canvass of
the country indicates that Mckinley and
Roosevelt are far in the lead of Bryan and
Stevenson.
Unless conditions undergo a tremendous
change, the republican candidates are rea-
sonably certain to receive 25S electoral
votes.
The democratic candidates are sure of 16s
electoral votes.
There are only three states about which
the Herald's correspondents will not hazard
an opinion. These are Indiana, Idaho and
Montana, with a total of twenty-one cleo
toral votes. These states are classed as
doubtful and the report of the Herald's
conservative correspondent, who has just
been through Indiana, is printed today.
Mckinleys strength comes from the New
England and middle states, including Della
ware; from the middle western states, in
Guiding West Virginia and excluding In
diana; from the far western state of Kan
sas; from the northwest, including the Da-
kotas and Wyoming, and from the un-
broken Pacific coast
Bryan's strength is made up of the almost
solid south, excepting West Virginia Gao
electors), and Of Nebraska, Colorado and
Utah.
Bryan to win must knock the apparently
solid republican column literally to pieces
Even should he carry all the doubtful
states including Indiana, and add Illinois,
West Virginia and Delaware to his list, he
would have only ODD electoral votes, or five
less than a majority of the electoral col
lege This indicates that to be eiected
Bryan must carry New York.
The Herald in order to ascertain the
drift of the campaign, has had men at
work in all the states that have been con-
sidered doubtful. Careful inquiry has been
made in Indiana. Illinois, Kentucky, West
Virginia Maryland, Delaware, Kansas,
North and South Dakota, Ohio, Idaho,
Montana, Wyoming, Colorado and the Pa
cific coast states. Investigation OF condl-
tions in New York state have also peeh
made with a view to testing the Demo
cratic claim that this state Is doubtful
There are no signs on the surface to indf-
cate that New York is doubtful Nothing
short of a political revolution can give 1t TO
Bryan, and nothing portends such reVo-
luton at this stage of the campaign
According to the Herald's correspondents.
Mckinley will hold all the states he carried
in 1896 excepting Maryland and kentucky,
which show an inclination TO go for Bryan
and Indiana, which is doubtful, ana is the
scene of a desperate political conflict.
Bryan, on the other hand, will hold the
states he had in 1896, with the exception
of Kansas South Dakota, Wyoming and
Washington, which now reported rea-
sonably certain to cast their electoral votes
for Mckinley, and Idaho and Montana,
which are conceded to be doubtful.
the republicans have no chance whatever to
carry Missouri. Colorado, Utah and Ne
vada which they are claiming, and that the
democrats have an equally hopeless pros
pect in their efforts to break into the states
of New York, New Jersey or Connecticut.
The worst situation for the republicans Is
in Cook county, H., where Chicago Is STU
ated Republicans expect Cook county to
go against them because of the labor trou-
bles in the building trades. Cook county
went for Mckinley in 1885, by 69617, but
Illinois outside of Cook county, gave Nc
kinley 72, s21 plurality.
The problem now is to have the vote OF
Chicago swamped by the farmer vote of the
rest of the state. But, as pointed out the
democrats to succeed must make other
gains from the republicans than from Illi-
nois.
Mr. Bryan has only fairly started his
speaking campaign. He has great faith In
his persuasive eloquence and expects to set
the earth on fire this month. David B. HILL
says Bryan is going to steadily grow in
strength and will be elected. What are ap-
parently reliable estimates at present may
have to be revised after Bryan's eastern
tour