The semi-weekly messenger. [volume] (Wilmington, N.C.) 1897-1908, 1900-10-26
DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL TICKET.
FOR PRESIDENT.
WILLIAM ]. Y
FOR VICE PRESIDENT.
ADLAI E. STEVENSON.
wATCHMAN! WHAT OF THE
NIGHT?

If the political p~artisans and their
organs are not entirely mistaken a most
marvellous result IS to follow-both
parties will triumph. Tho republicans
are extremely boastful, and if big
claims will win, then the next house
will be republican by an increased ma
jorfty and Mckinley will be elected
by an immense popular majority and
by a large majority in the electoral
vote. The Messenger is willing to let
both sides be heard
Hanna says South Dakota, Nebraska
and Minnesota will go for Mckinley.
Does Mark know? Does he speak his
minds? Is he a blatherskite? Is he
claimed that Maryland will go repub-
Ecan and the republican count in Kan
sas puts McKinley's majority at 25,-
600. Michigan will go republican by
56, 900. Mckinley is to get West Vir-
ginia by at least $1,000, and so on and
SO on. You see Mckinley is sure to be
eIected-that is according to the repub-
Iican prophets.
But hear the other side. Hon. Adlai
e. Stevenson, democratic candidate for
vice president, says his estimate on the
-21st IS this:
For Observation-Disclosures, 8; Con-
necticut, 6; Iowa, 10; Maine, 6; MasSa-
chusettes, Is; Michigan, IA; Minnesota.
8; New Hampshire, 4; North Dakota,
3; Oregon, 4; Pennsylvania, 80; Rhode
Island, 4; Vermont, 4; Wisconsin, II;
Wyoming, 3. Total, 1873.
For Bryan-Alabama, IL; Arkan-
sas, s.; Colorado, 4; Florida, A; Georgia,
ID; Idaho. 3; Indiana, 10; Kentucky.
Is; Louisiana. s; Maryland, s; Missis-
sippi, 8; Missouri, IT; Montana 3; Ne
braska, 8; Nevada, 8; North Carolina,
IL; South Carolina, 8; Tennessee, 12;
Texas, Is; Utah, 3; Virginia, II. Total.
1S9.
Observation-Disclosures, "a; Kansas. 10;
New Jersey, 10; New York, SO; Ohio,
%; South Dakota, 4; Washington, 4;
West Virginia, s; Delaware, 3. Total.
100"
But the New York Herald, for Nc
Kinley, elects Mckinley in its figures
of the 21st. 1t gives him 2S2 electoral
votes, los for Bryan, more majority
! than Mckinley received in 1896. But
81 what a the democratic cangreSsion-
al committee now. 1t makes IN esti-
mate that will the demo-
cratic heart if it is well based, with
probabilities in favor of the forecast.
1t says:
"A tidal wave of democracy is sweep
ing over the country and indications
now point to the greatest popular ma
- iority for Bryan next month ever given
100 any democratic presidential candi-
date. The great popular uprising III
favor of Bryan IS not confined 10 any
particular section of the country; 1t Is
TL~ -s~n 1z ~ Ehn CHx- md
it spells victory 1t is universally con-
coded, even by the republican leaders
that Mr.. Bryan has lost nothing Of
the strength he had in 1896, when less
than $4,000 votes. properly distributed,
would have elected him. 1t therefore
follows that this year he will receive
at least a. many votes as in 1896, plus
the natural increase in the number OF
young democratic voters who have
come of age since the last national
campaign. But this year Mr.. Bryan
has many elements of strength which
he lacked in 1896. and which are suHl-
Gent to insure him a tremendous ma
jority. both in the popular vote and the
electoral college"
So be it, But do not bet. and do
not bet on this figuring. The Herald
also gives the next house of represen-
.tatives to the republicans. The Wash
ington Post ditto. 1t says the "indica-
lions point to q safe republican MAORI
sty." Perhaps! 1t estimates that dem
ocrats will gain Is and republicans IL
1t
Secretary Kerr, ait democratic head
quarters in this CITY, IS claiming tbs
next house by a majority Of at leas
fifteen, even if Mr.. Bryan is defeated
Such a majority is plausible on ape
IL one includes a number of district:
Indicated in the Posts dispatches a:
doubtful. As an example, in Indiana
s9here might be a democratic gain o
.rhree, instead of one. The dispatcl
from Michigan indicates a gain or lou
democrats, instead OF two, as credited II
the table above"
The Herald has made an estimate, a
lis its custom. and through what it call
polling. e. guessing-we may neces
sariy suppose. The Post, referring to it
statements, says this:
-r'he New York Herald printed th'
,.resIts OF a poll Of congressional dis
&fricts in yesterdays edition. in which
sit gave the republicans 1S5 member
i'm sche next house, the democrats 154
the fusionists and silver republicans
populists 2. doubtful districts II. A.
179 will be a majority of h house, thi:
poll would assure the republicans {
margin of al beast six votes. The Her
aids congressional poll, which wa un'
Ndoubtediy carefully taken, nevertheless
differs in several particulars with re
suits ,ascertained by the Post while II
MANY particulars itruns along with ex
actly similar figures"
Well, it is quite sure, if the Herald and
Post are safe prophets h Jig is up
In Ohio it is doubtful assto congress.
49, rnnrrh1inonG IT u
claimed that republicans will gain thres
: members in Missouri two or NOR
I'm New York, solid delegation in Wis
It is conceded by republican,
THAT the contest in Maryland will b