The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1900-01-14

Take the FIRST twelve days. for analysis, tho
others overlapping into the following meeting a.
far M sequence Is concerned. IL must be first re
mcmbeIed that, nearing the end OF the years
sport, conditions are becoming settled, and thus
when 1895 Is looked at IL will be seen that the aver
eye percentage for the pre- '"ding hye meetings
was 40 rer cent, or lust over the average 43 per
cent, and therefore II was ( air TO expect at Brook
Ign Of that year the fall TO SO per cent In 1897
the previous meetings averaged 10 per cent, or
pointing 10 The great possibility in 1898 when IS
per cent again camc out on the five meetings. previ-
o'ls), that a rising rate was due, because OF the low
Of that year, following the high 81 per cent and
80 per cent OF the two first meetings. OF the season.
In other words, 1898 was a year OF acute contrasts.
meeting after meeting, and this higher reach in
turn fOrctold the general low average of 1899, only
one mrcung, OF course. Shecpshead spring, show
ing a higher figure than the corresponding meet
tng Of the year previous; the Brooklyn fall drop
ping nom The "a per cent OF 1890 10 The ~ per
cent Of 1899, Just along the reverse line. Con-
sidering 1890, 1t will be seen that the first six days
showed thirteen winners, or 80 per cent. these
coming in four blocks of two each and singles.
1897 followed with fifteen winners, or Al yer cent,
dropping in three blocks Of two each and two
blocks Of three: 1898 showed thirteen wins, the
same as 1895. in ont block Of four and one Of two
winners; 1890 handed out twelve, or IS per cent,
with only two blocks Of two winners, corsecu-
lively, a hard problem for the duplicate iavorite
players, as many AZ them doubtlessly emember.
Now note that 1896 was above the average per-
Ccntage when this meeting opened, and note the
80 per cent, also that 1897 and 1898 were fairly
normal, and note the slight increase to fifteen
winners, or Il per cent, the fall 10 thirteen winners.
or 80 PER celt, a still lower figure marking 1899;
In the second half the second six days that Is,
1896 handed In fifteen winners, a natural riso
above the thirteen Of the first half and therefore
easily predicted; 1897 fell TO thirteen winners, as
against the fifteen Of the first half, and 1898, the
year n strong swings, showed nineteen, bringing
The grand percentage up TO "a per cent, The high.
est figure In four years, pointing 10 the fall IN he
year Of 1899, which at this meeting showed six
teen wins, the runs came in 1895 in four twos and
singles; in 1897 they came in four twos and one
block If four; in 1898 there came three blocks Of
twoS and singles, and in 1899 there came a start.
ling FIVE In tho seventh and eighth days, and then
two blocks Of twos and widespread singles, Turn
ing back 10 the Sheepshead meeting, one finds
that in the first half Of 1896 SO per cent, Of favor
ties won in the last tsenty-one races, which surely
pointed TO the five winners IN the first twcnty-one
pointed 10 The strong thirteen winners in the record
Of tic tenth, eleventh, twelfth and thirteenth days,
over 80 per cent
In 1897 about 50 per cent won In the first half
81 Shcepsheld, and showed the way 10 the low
36 rcr cent in the second half; here was again
u fair prediction for the normal ~ per cent show:
ir< in the first half Of Brooklyn, followed
or normal average, to the close. Taking up
1858, he last hall Of Sheepshead showed az per
cent, showing n chance f2r the slight drop, TO
the IS per cent. Of Brooklyn's opening. which
iall showed the way TO the SO per cent, Of tho last
six days u close the meeting. In 1899, the nor
nal 81 per cent closing Sheepshead was so strong
~ marked BY tie nine winners in the last eighteen
races. that the low opening, 80 per cent, OF Brook
lyn, was n iOrcgone conclusion, az also was the
- per Ceat. closing the meeting, the extremely
low average Of 80 per cent being due TO the bare
% per cent of the oveThanging thirteenth, four
tenth and fifteenth days Of that years meeting,
which days belonged TO Morris Park, so often
warned agains, as 4 closing meeting. Thus
the halves OF this meeting nj Brooklyn in each
year show: 1895, thirteen winners; 1897, fifteen;
1898. thirteen; 1893, twelve; and the second
halves show 1896, fifteen winners; 1897. thirteen;
1895, Hinetecn; 1899, sixteen, with grand per
centagcS at this meeting for each year Of 1898,
3S pcr cent; 1897, 3S per cent; 1898, "a per cent;
1880, 80 per cent Truly there does not seem
Ia b. much Of the wizards art necessary 10 fore
cast such general results from such figures OF
record as those shown above, nor should 1t be
difficult for the expert punter 10 form an idea,
from week to wreck. Of what the total results OF
such weeks will bc as regards number Of wins
and their location. The only stumbling block
is not 50 much in average and locating wins as
IN the matter Of the odds laid against them and
whether they will be at playable odds or not;
il thi, could b. fprc:lld the rest would be easy.
This will b. dealt with later IN the Saratoga meet
/ =. which is purpoSrly placed after Morris Park
INSTEAD ot being placed after Brighton Beach.
This answers several questions on this point.
The meeting is not overlooked.