The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1900-11-04
lanes CREELMAN REGARDS
BRYAN'S ELECTION AS SURE
He Reviews the Situation in Mastery Fash
ion, Taking u % State by State.

dous change, but the State committee has
followed them with detectives and the
reckless Republican leaders will have an
unpleasant surprise on election day.
South Dakota | regard as Demo-
cratic State this year. The change has
been steady but sure toward Bryan.
Colorado is perfectly Democratic, the
Republicans cannot break down that plu-
rality of 100, 600. OF Delaware, too, ] think
there is no doubt but that it will go
enthusiastically for Bryan. Indiana is as
certainly Democratic as it has ever been
in it's history. All the Gold Democrats
in the State are enrolled for Bryan, while
the strongest Republicans, like former
President Harrison. are either silent OF
quietly opposing Mckinley.
''Now to come to figures. Mckinley
at the last election had 90 plurality in
the electoral college. Forty eight votes
swung either way would elect Let us
then foot up the electoral votes of the
States the Republicans are claiming for
Mckinley, but which. as | have said, will
go for Bryan. They are Delaware, which
has electoral votes; Indiana, 10 Ken
lucky, 12; Maryland s, and West Vir-
ginia, 6. These make a total of Al votes.
Only four more are necessary to elect
William j. Bryan.
DOUBTFUL STATES SIZED UP.
''Now take the doubtful States: New
York with it's SO electoral votes, will give
Bryan 80 votes; added TO these Al Ohio
with it's 20 will give 67, and Illinois with
it's "a will give 6S. This refers to what l
said earlier, that any one of these three
States will elect Bryan, while to be elect
ed, Mckinley must get all three.
Suppose we deduct the only doubtful
States admitted to be so by the Republi-
cans from Bryan's calumn: Wyoming,
3; West Virginia, 6, and Kansas, 10.
They make total of 19, which affects Mr..
Bryan's electoral college plurality very
little"
Mr.. Creelplan paused here and then
said Understand, | am not making
any party claim; it is not my business to
root for the Democratic party-that may
be left to the official claim bureau; /
am giving a conservative estimate of
what the real situation is-that's all.
But let US consider the three States,
New York. Illinois and Ohio, separately.
"Ohio, is ordinarily assumed to be
Republican State. The facts do not jus
tify this assumption. In 1892, when the
Democrats spent very little money and
made no campaign of Importance, the
Democrats carried one electoral vote for
Cleveland, while the rest went Republi
can by only 1.072 Four years later, with
$4,000 to 10000 gold Democrats working
for Mckinley, with every bipartisan cleo
tion board made up of Republicans and
gold Democrats who supported Mckinley,
with the Democratic organization almost
dissolved, with the Cleveland admnistra-
tion aiding Mckinley with all it's vast in
f1uence, Mckinley only carried his own
State by 47497. He carried it by Demo-
cratic and not by Republican votes.
ARE BACK WITH BRYAN
"This year, while a few former gold
Democrats still oppose Bryan, the great
body of them is supporting Bryan. Yes,
the gold Democrats in Ohio are back with
Bryan The truth is that, judging by '92
and 80, the State of Ohio, without out
side factors and voting on strict party
lines, is nearly an even thing.
''The situation this year is vastly diff
ferent Last year Mayor Jones of To-
ledo, as an Independent candidate for Gov
ernor, received 106,721 votes. Most of
these votes came from large industrial
centres which this year heartily support
Bryan. About so per cent of Jones sup
porters were Democrats; the rest were
Republicans in revolt against Hanna.
Every one of the Republicans who then
supported Jones know that if the Hanna
machine is continued in power they will
be prosecuted. l have been through the
State myself, have talked with the lead
erS of these men and know
''Hanna carry Own county of
Cuyahoga, had to fight desperately, while
in the State the funds of the National
Committee were freely drawn upon, be-
couse it was obvious that the defeat of a
Republican candidate in Ohio would be
taken as a rebuke to Republican Pres
ident.
''In that campaign Hanna began his
career as an orator. He went about ap-
pealing desperately for help. The result
of that election was q .321 votes for the
Republican candidate, 1926 votes for
jones.
I'm Hamilton county (Cincinnati Jones
received a plurality of 12,503; in Lucas
county (Toledo) 1878.
INDUSTRIES CLOSED BY TRUSTS.
I'm Ohio today industries of all kinds
have been closed by the trusts, furnaces
blown out, bicycle factories shut down.
rolling mills closed, while thousands Of
skilled workingmen have had to go back
to the pick and shovel. These men will
vote for Bryan. In fact organized labor
in Ohio is solid for Bryan. John Mclean
has taken charge Of the campaign in Gin
cinnati, Tom Johnson in Cleveland, Mayor
Jones in Toledo, Colonel Kilbourn in CO.
lumubus thus relieving State Commit
tee Chairman Ling of much of the city
work. | repeat that Ohio will go Demo-
cratic this year, and Hanna knows it.
ITO come to Illinois, it has been shown
by a careful estimate that the Demo-
cratic vote iii the country districts equals,
and in some parts exceeds the vote for
Cleveland in 1892. Everyone admits that
Chicago is solid for Bryan this year.
New York State next and last An
actual canvass of the counties shows the
largest doubtful or silent vote that was