The evening times., 1900-04-30
POLITICAL NOTES AND GOSSIP.

GrosvenOr, the Caicufator-(en
Charles H. Grosyenor has resumed his ia
nous role as Mr. HanBa's lightning calou-
lator- He is predicting Mr. McKin.ey's re-
election by "a decreased, majority in the
Electoral College. As General Grosvenor
figures il, there are now assured to Mr..
Mckinley 260 electoral votes and to Mr..
Bryan ia, leaving thirteen votes in doubt.
Grosvenor gives to Mckinley these States:
California, Connecticut, nlinois, Indiana
Iowa. Maine. Massachusetts, Michigan,
Minnesota. New Hampshire. New Jersey,
New York. North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon,
Pennsylvania. Rhode Island. South Dakota,
Vermont, Washington. West Virginia.
Wisconsin, and Wyoming He comedies
that MIR. Bryan will carry these States:
Alabama. Arkansas. Colo-ado. Florles,
Georgia, Idaho. Kentucky, Louisiana, Ma
Tyland. Mississippi. Missouri, Montara,
Nebraska, Nevada, North Carolina, South
Carolina. Tennessee. Texas, Utah, and Viz
giRia. Kansas and Delaware are the Oliy
doubtful States. according TO General GIos-
yenor. Kansas has ten votes and Delaware
three votes in the Electoral College. Ae-
eepting the Grosvenor ea,culatiOn as repre-
sentative of the Administrator view OF
the situation al present it is evident that
there is a worse scare" at the White
House than heretofore has been acknoNl-
edged The Democratic managers are rot
willing to oonoede North Dakota, S-u
Dakota, or Washington TO the Repu leans
In their calculations, these three States
will bring eleven votes to the Bryan col
umn. This. then. according to General
Grosvenor's climate. would redues the Nc
hinley vote to 2f9 and increase
Bryans to 1856 With Kansas ten
votes-and the Populists as we'll as tee
Democratic managers say Bryan will again
carry Kansas-Bryan's vote is increased
10 l95-only twenty short of The nee
essary number to elect him. II Delaware
Is doubtful the chances are more in favor
of Bryan in that State than of Mckinley
Everything in the Blue Hen State bas
been tending toward return 10 the De-
mocracy for three years This would give
Bryan three more votes, bringing his ,otal
up 10 lSS- Why the Administration should
rely on West Virginia 5 vote this year,
when Senator EllOins virtually has surren-
dered all hope OF reelection. cannot be
reconciled TO the usual theories upon
which political fOrecasting is based. West
Nirginia's six votes are as safe for Bryan
as are Maryland's eight votes This es-
innate brings the Bryan vote up TO "a
only ten short of the required number u
what is needed cannot be picked up In the
l MIDDLE West the Democratic managers
will be the worst fooled lot of politicians
that ever managed a campaign. To get
them they have two States to rely Upon
with reasonable hOpe-Indiana and Mime
scta- IL is true that the latter State could
bring to Bryan only nine votes. thus
still leaving him short OF the goal by one
vote. but il is not believed that even so
optimistic a Republican as General Gr0s-
YenUr would contend that ANYBODY could
mis- he h~r
margin as that. especially when the same
causes that would give Minnesota 10
Bryan would be operating with equal
strength in Indiana. with Illinois exposed
TO like conditions Of uncertainty