The Washington weekly post. (Washington, D.C.) 1878-1916, 1900-10-23
UNCERTAINTy A. To NEW YORK.
Republicans should Gain Mt Least Two
Votes and Probably More.

Special 70 The Washington EOst.
Albany, y. Y. Oct. 2L-The delegation
in Congress from New York State now
consists Of eighteen Democrats and six
teen Republicans. Republicans expect, by
carrying the state OF New York for Nc
kinley, to reverse this Democratic major
ity by the capture of at least three dis
tricts now represented by Democrats. The
three that are regarded as most liable TO
change this fan are The First. which was
carried In ISIS by Townsend Scudder
(DemOcraO, with a plurality of al: the
Twentieth district, whica Martin II. Giynn
OemOcraD carried against George n.
Southwick Republican, by a plurality OF
81, and the Thirty-seeond. where Rowland
Blenerhassett Mahany Republican, went
down before a Democratic plurality Of
6s8 cast for William II. Ryan Both Ryan
and Mahany are running again in the
Thirty-second district, and the fight will
be a lively one, with bets even. 1t is not
a strong Republican district. Some Repub-
leans declare it normally Democratic. Ma
hany relies on the vote for Mckinley
carrying him through, and Ryan believes
the Bryan vote will hep him TO a larger
plurality
Brooklyn Republican leaders hope to
carry the Third district. now represented
by f. II. Briggs OemOcraU who had a
plurality of LIB in 1855, because OF fac
tional fights. They claim also the Fourth
and Fifth, but only because they were
Republican in 1896.
The Sixteenth district where in 1895 the
Republican nomination Of j. Irving Burns,
man with an unenviable State legisla-
tive record, was rebuked by a Democratic
plurality Of over 1OcO0. there is a faint
hope expressed by Republicans that they
will carry it. Democrats ridicule this idea,
and assert their ability to carry it for
c. A. Pugsley.
The Democrats nearly carried the Nine
teenth district in 1898, but this year the
chances are less favorable because Of an
open alliance between a Democratic fac
ton in Troy, the largest city of Renssa-
laer County. and the Republican organiza-
ton, which will help all Republican can
didates in the county
Republicans rely on the same kind of a
deal in Albany County to elect Southwlck
over Glynn. The contract has been made.
and the only hope the Democrats enter
tain is that the faction leaders who engi-
neered the Democratic side OF il NAV not
be able TO deliver the goods.
The expectation of the Republicans that
they can reCapture the Fourteenth
Quigg's old districts not based on any
very substantial reason, as the LIeacn In
the Republican ranks has not been healed.
OF the nineteen Congressional districts,
outside of New York City Including the
Sixteenth district, which takes In the
TWenty-fourth assembly district of New
York City and all Of West Chester COun-
ty), the Democrats have only a fair
chance in the Sixteenth and a fighting
chance in the Nineteenth, Twentieth. and
Thirty second districts. The Republicans,
therefore, are tOlerably certain Of carry
ing sixteen out of the nineteen districts,
and may capture all but one.
OF the first fifteen districts south of the
Bronx, a fair estimate would give the
Republicans two-the First and Third
with possibly the Fifth, in which Jacob
Worth, the former Republican boss OF
Kings County. is running against Repre-
sentative Frank r. Wilson Dem.), who
had nearly $500 plurality in 1898.
This conservative estimate would divide
the State delegation of thirtyfour into
eighteen Republicans and sixteen Demo
Gratis, an exact reversal Of the present di-
vision. A tidal Mckinley wave would
probably increase this TO twenty or tVen-
ty-one Republicans and a tidal Bryan
wave, which is not now deemed possible,
would upset all calculations ond retain
the present Democratic majority in New
York's delegation. or increase il.