The farmer and mechanic. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 18??-19??, 1900-11-06
JAMES CREELMAN REGARDS
BRYAN'S ELECTION AS SURE
He Reviews the Situationln mastery :"
ion, Taking Up State by State.

NAV 10 come 10 figures. McfNilieS
~ ,he last election had 80 plurality IN
the electoral college. Forty-eight votes
swung either way would eject Lee %
then foot IN the electoral votes VI t'
S.a1es the Republicans are claiming Tor
Mckinley. but which, as | have sald' VIZ
90 for BRYAN. They are Delaware. Whlch
boe 2 electoral votes: Indiana. y; Ken
lucky. -: Maryland, 8, and West VT
ginia. 6. These make q total OF ~ votes
Only four more are necessary 10 elect
William J. Bryan.
DOUBTFUL STATES SlZED UP.
.Now take the doubtful States: re"
York with its 81 electoral votes. VIII give
BRYAN 80 votes; added 10 these ~, ONO
with its % will give e., and Illinois with
its "a will give GS. This refers TO what !
said earlier, that any one of these three
States will elect Bryan. while TO be elect
ed. Mckinley must get all three.
"SuppOse we deduct the only doubtful
States admitted TO be so by the Republl-
cans from Bryan's calumn: Wyoming
8: West Virginia, 6. and Kansas, ~.
They make z .caai Of 10, which affects Sir.
Bryan's electoral college plurality very
little"
Mr.. Creelsnan paused here and then
said: "UndArstand, / am not making
dDV party claim, II IS not LILY buSliiCoo -
root for the Democratic party-that may
be left to the official claim bureau; |
am giving a conservative estimate of
what the real situation is-thats all.
But let us consider the three States,
New York. Illinois and Ohio, separately.
'Ohio. is ordinarily assumed to be a
Republican State. The facts do not JUS
tify this assumption. In 1892, when the
Democrats spent very little money and
made no campaign Of Importance, the
Democrats carried one electoral vote for
Cleveland. while the rest went Republl-
can by only 1,072. Four years later, with
%, 200 to so, 600 gold Democrats working
for Mckinley, with every bipartisan cleo
ton board made up Of Republicans and
gold Democrats who supported Mckinley,
with the Democratic organization almost
dissolved, with the Cleveland adnainistra-
ton aiding Mckinley with all its vast in
fuence, Mckinley only carried his own
State by 47.497. He carried it by Demo-
cratic and not by Republican votes.
ARE BACK WITH BRYAN.
This year, while a few former gold
! Democrats still oppose Bryan, the great
body of them is supporting Bryan. Yes,
the gold Democrats in Ohio are back with
Bryan. The truth is that, judging by '92
ILL ~, ~ pldtC VI oLIo, itllo w
side factors and voting on strict party
lines, is nearly an even thing.
'The situation this year is vastly diff
ferent. Last year Mayor Jones Of To-
iedo, as an Independent candidate for Gov
crnor, received 1O6, 721 votes. Most Of
these votes came from large industrial
centres which this year heartily support
Bryan. About 60 per cent Of Jones sup
porters were Democrats; the rest were
Republicans in revolt against Hanna.
Every one Of the Republicans who then
supported jones know that if the Hanna
machine is continued in power they will
be prosecuted. l have been through the
State myself, have talked with the lead
erS Of these men and know.
Hanna, to carry his own county of
Cuyahoga. had to fight desperately, while
in the State the funds of the National
Committee We're freely drawn upon, be-
couse it was obvious that the defeat of a
Republican candidate in Ohio would be
taken as a rebCke to a Republican Pres
ident.
I'm that campaign Hanna began his
career as an orator. He went about APP
pealing desperately for help. The result
Of that election was q 321 votes for the
Republican candidate, sc, 255 votes for
Jones.
I'm Hamilton county (~CincinnatD Jones
received a plurality of II, SOB; in Lucas
county (ToledO) 10, 739.
INDUSTRIES CLOSED BY TRUSTS.
"In Ohio today Industries of all kinds
have been closed by the trusts, furnaces
blown out, bicycle factories shut down,
rolling mills closed, while thousands Of
skilled workingmen have had to go back
to the pick and shovel. These men will
vote for Bryan. In fact organized labor
IN Ohio is solid for Bryan. John Mclean
mas taken charge Of the campaign in Gin
cinnati, Tom Johnson in Cleveland, Mayor
Jones in Toledo, Colonel Kilbourn in Co
lumubus thus relieving State Commit
Tee Chairman Ling Of much of the city
work. | repeat that Ohio will go Demo
cratic this year, and Hanna knows it.
TO come to Illinois, it has been shown
by a careful estimate that the Demo-
cra'lc vote III the country districts equals,
ana IN some parts exceeds the vote for
Cleveland in 1892. Everyone admits that
Chicago is solid for Bryan this year.
New York State next and last An
actual canvass OF the counties shove The
largest doubtful or silent vote that wae
ever known. 1t is SO much larger thar
usual as TO puzzle the leaders of both
parties. Inc Republicans claim a plural
lty IN the State of 100, coo. Four wears
ago II was 2GS, 5000. The Democratic State
committee has made a careful canvass ~
thlrsy counties, relying on county Leaders
, lot the hgures from the other twenty
me hgures show a large increased vot,
LOT bryan over what was polled for Van.
Wyck. a
THEIR PLURALITY UP STATE
The Republicans will come down +
! tne Bronx with not more than 10 90
. plurality. | give that figure as the mavi
mum ana that is giving more than hal
OF the Silent vote to Mckinney.
S in my judgment New York CITY wi,
e erv rom .o'ooo to $4,000 plurality t
n Bryan at the lowest estimate prva
VIII carry Kings county, probably bv fror
o,ooo TO 10000, and he will also oann
S queens and Richmond. "a"
10 sum up the whole Situation 60
. d;sor 8 .nele was a widespread panic
: d oisorganized Democratic marty 49,.
K rapt and almost leader,ess 0"