The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1900-11-03
DOUBTFUL STATES
ARE FOR BRYAN
;-~ ~
A Tidal Wave Will Sweep
Him In.
HIS CHANCES YESTERDAY
What Correspondents Of Independent
Papers Say.
BRYAN CONFIDENT or HIS ELECTION
Both Simmons and Carr Are Claiming The Vic.
tory in the Senatorial Primary and
Their Friends Are Hard at

tory In the Senatorial Primary and
Their Friends Are Hard at
Wok.
Mayor Jones, of Toledo, has sent this
telegram to the New York Journal:
AT least 70 per cent of the vote of my
personal following will go for Bryan. /
am greatly encouraged at. the outlook,
and shall deem it strange indeed if we
do not carry the State"
VIM. Cowell, of Toledo, who managed
the gubernatorial campaign for Mayor
Jones in Ohio last year, is confident that
Bryan will carry Ohio. He said: THE
Jones vote of last year, 100000, was made
up about equally of Democrats and Re-
publicans. l believe Bryan will receive
the $4,000 Democratic Jones votes and
"a per cent of the Republican vote cast
for Jones. This will give Bryan about
$4,000 of the votes cast for Jones, which
will be sufficient to insure him Ohios
electoral vote by plurality of not less
than 10000 to $4,000. Mr. Bryan will get
$4,000 votes in Cuyahoga county, where
Jones got $4,000 year ago. Columbus
will go Democratic and Lentz will be
elected. Bryan will carry Lucas county
and this Congressional district and Coch-
ran will defeat Southland for Congress"
Attorney General Monnet, who has can
vassed Ohio for Bryan, says he finds
Tidal wave for the Nebraskan. We
quote:
''The lowest estimate of the floating
vote which went to Jones last year is
that rs per cent of it will be for Bryan
this year. In some places this is con-
ceded by the Republican leaders. A large
number of laborers and men who did
not vote the Democratic ticket in the
last election will also vote for Bryan this
year. The public will be as greatly sur
prised at midnight on the night of No
vember when the election returns
begin to come in as it was last year
in Cleveland and Toledo, and the spring
previous, when Jones made his first run
Independently in Toledo. 1t reminds
me of the first campaign of Mayor Har-
rison in Chicago, when all the political
wiseacres and newspaper prophets were
completely fooled and surprised by the
tidal wave that swept the old conserva-
tive element from their mornings"
A Cincinnati correspondent of the
Washington Post says:
Apart from the greedy claims at
headquarters in Chicago, Indianapolis,
Columbus and Louisville, there are many
self-contained Democrats and Republi
cans, intelligent and observant, who will
not be surprised at whatever result the
election will show. "A Mckinley land
slide or a Bryan landslide is easily posi-
BILE, the betting to the contrary notwith
standing
The Cincinnati correspondent of the
Washington Post, gives this view of the
Ohio situation:
Here in Cincinnati. where McKinley's
plurality four years ago appropriated
10000, nobody will be surprised to see a
plurality for Bryan. The Bryan and
Mayor Jones meetings of Wednesday were
an eye-opener, and calculated to greatly
disturb Republican serenity. 1t is very
evident that the Republicans no longer
lightly regard the Jones influence, and it
may upset all calculations.
"That Jones is labor's idol and ideal in
Ohio there can be no doubt whatever. In
spite of all of Ohios Republican tradi-
tions, labor under the leadership of Jones,
may deliver the State to Bryan. Col. w.
A. Taylor, who headed the Democratic
State ticket in 1892, when the Republican
electoral ticket was successful by paltry
1912 plurality, has record as the most
astute political mathematician in the
State. He claims to have system for
figuring on Ohio that has never failed in
the past and he is resting his reputation
as calculator on his general prognosti-
cation that the total vote of Ohio will
be under rather than over the vote of
1896, and that Mckinley will show loss
of per cent and Bryan a gain of per
cent, which in round numbers, would
give Bryan the State by 900 plurality.
Col. Taylor declares that Dicks claims
that the Democratic farmers are flock
ing to Mckinley are ridiculous. And
whatever may be the tendency of the bet
ting, it would appear certain that Ohio's
position in this campaign is to be de-
termined by the Democratic farmers If
they stick to Bryan it will be difficult
for Mckinley to carry the State. What
is true of Ohios Democratic farmers is
true of the same element in Indiana and
illinois,"
Writing from Chicago to the Washing
ton Post. Mr.. H. l.. West says:
1.-THE claims bureaus of both national
headquarters worked overtime today.
Henry C. Payne, vice chairman of the Re-
publican National committee, gave out
the following estimates of Republican ma
jorities in the States named: Illinois,
100, O00;i Wisconsin, 100000; Ohio, $4,000;
Michigan, SO, 0O0 Kansas, $4,000 to 10000;
Minnesota, 10000; North Dakota, 10000;
South Dakota, 10000 Indiana, $4,000 to
10000.
'The Democratic committee gave out
statements placing Ohio. Nebraska and
North Dakota in the Democratic column.
The Democratic majority in the last
named State win be. it is said, at least
1900 The statement regarding Ohio is
very lengthy and detailed, and bears the
signature of Vice Chairman Johnson, of
Kansas. He places the Democratic ma,