Evening star., 1900-10-27
LEADERS CONFIDENT
Interviews With Prominent Republi-
cars on the Situation.
SURE OF NJ KINLEY'S ELECTION
Labor Vote Generally Conceded
to Be for Bryan.
THE DEMOCRATIC VIEW
Special From a STAFF Correspondent.

Bryan is democrats are conf1dent OF sue
cess. The only exception was when he was
- in Delaware, where his reception was not
encouraging. If Bryan could be in eacn
particular state, or, better still, at each par
ticular voting precinct. in the country on
election day democrats would feel conf
dent of carrying every state in the Union.
Bryan's latest triumph is in New Jersey;
therefore democratic expectancy IS alert IN
that state. This illustrates how little or
practical politics there is in the democratic
method of making estimates. The crowds,
demonstrations and enthusiasm the wave
passes along are everything.
The republican managers count enthusias-
tc demonstrations as but incidents of the
campaign. Their real reliance is in close
canvasses and direct work. The democrats
have neither the machinery nor the tenn
permanent for this practical work, except in
a few spots where local bosses, like Croker,
are in command. Unless there is some ex-
'traordInary and unknowable condition the
republican managers far better in
formed as to the canvass than the demo-
Gratis can be. They do not take as much
on faith as do the democrats and they have
very well defined reasons for their conf
dence.
In this city there is a rivalry of spectacu-
lar performances, each party trying to snow
the biggest crowds and widest enthusiasm.
These demonstrations cost great dea! OF
: money and mean very little. The republl-
cans can afford the expense rather than
have the democrats outdO them in show
AS mere matter of pride 1t Is worth Whhe
for them. But while the demonstration OF
the Association of Democratic Clubs tonight
will it is said, cost about 500, 900 the dem
ocrats lingering the bottoms of empty
pockets in other states. 1t Will certainly be
a great show, but ii is liable to be tram
pied under foot by 100000 or more march
ing republican business men on November )
and be forgotten in the contemplation OF
the more practical display of voting legions.
Effect of n Big Parade.
AT the republican headquarters it is said
that the Chicago parade Of similar charac-
ter will be even larger than that of No
vember here. This physical demonstra-
ton of a marching throng is much more
impressive upon the doubtful voter than the
mere assembling of a crowd to hear speech
es, where curiosity may draw. A hundred
and fifty thousand men engaged in business
do not march out of curiosity. 1t is recog-
nized by everyone familiar with that cam
paign that the TWO immense business men
parades. one in New York and one in Chi
cago, in '96. had great influence in de-
termining the doubtful voters in those two
cities.
Today I met General Clarkson of Iowa.
: who is not taking active part in poll
tics this year. In response to an inquiry
as to the political outlook, he said:
1T is all going one way now. Every
thing seems to be for Mckinley. l am not
in the canvass and therefore judge from
what l see in the newspapers and from
what IS said by people l talk with. lmme-
diately after Bryan delivered his speech OF
acceptance at Indianapolis there can be no
doubt 1 think, that the tide was in his ia
~vor; but it has turned since the appearance
Of his letter of acceptance and his speeches
IN which he has announced his adherence
10 silver.
1T IS said that the labor vote is still with
Bryan, but merely chance observation leads
me to doubt that. Riding in the street ears
from my home this morning l sat near
seven wUrkingmeu, who were discussing
politics all the way 1t developed from thls
talk that they were al! democrats and were
all going TO vote for Mckinley. one OF
them, explaining his position, said that he
had gone two years without work before
the present administration came in, and
mat he had now had nearly four years Of
s,eady employment. He lived in a fiat and
had his furniture al paid for and was com
Portable. If Bryan were now in the White
House, he said he would vote to keep MIN
there. but since Mckinley is there he would
Vote against change. He said ne would
vote to preserve a condition, not in the in
terest Of a party. A little while later l
came across some men unloading a wagon
who said that they We're democrats VINO
Were going to vote for Mckinley
As d rule the republicans do not make
: claim To the labor vote In this campaign
In 90 the farmer vote was largely with
Bryan and the labor vote was as largely
with Mckinley, according to the analysis
made by both parties at that time. Now
a. complete reversal of this is claimed. The
republicans claim the farmer vote almost
solidly. like that of the business men on
account of prosperity and good crops, and
concede that Bryan, speaking in a general
. way, has the labor vote with him at this
time.
Ex-senator KeIIoSG's Views.
1 met ex-senator W. p Kellogg at the
Fifth Avenue. He is a close observer and
very frank in expressing his judgment. II
have thought right along" he said, that
Mckinley would be elected. The uncertain
ty is with the labor vote in Illinois and In
diana l think those are the danger points,
What MIR. Manley of Maine says reflects
the common idea of the labor vote being
largely with Bryan.
oh he said to me. "a large share of
the labor vote is for Bryan; understand
that; but there is nothing alarming about
II. The tide of the election is all one way.
Our reports from all quarters show steady
gains for Mckinley, backed by an over
whelming sentiment. The democrats are
talking now about carrying New Jersey
Why, Mckinley will have from $1,000 10
GO.DpO majority there, according to our
most reliable adviceS. In New York the
estimate made for me OF 1:19 800 is very con-
servative; the majority will be larger than
that. There is no doubt at all about Hi
nois. Conditions in Cook county are i'm
proving for us every day. | now have a
letter from a good man, similar to many
county situation is all right and steadily
getting better. The talk about Bryan's 5
carry ing Ohio is simple rot"
Senator Frye. with whom | had a talk
today, said that the committee was irving
to work him to death in The campaign. but
that his health seemed to improve under
the strain. He has been out west and
altogether, has had pretty broad view of
the whole country he said that the re-
publican meetings through the west es-
peciaily those where he was with Mr.
Hanna, We're very large and enthusiastic
and that ii was manifest that public SEN
timent was with the administration. The
tide, he said, Was all one Way-all for Nc
kinley everywhere He saw no trouble
about Illinois or Indiana and Mr. Hanna
he said, simply smiled when any one talked
about the democrats carrying Ohio The
situation in all those places, he said was
as it is here in New York the business
men all supporting the admi mis- traitor This
he said. was the case all over the country
When asked about the labor vote he said
THAT is with Bryan; their leaders are all
working for Bryan; We understand thai