Arizona republican., 1900-10-30
Some Facts from a GentIe-
 man Direct from the City
Two to One on 75,000 for Mckinley Considered Very Conservative et-Some Inside Facts Regard ing the Situation.

York would go next Tuesday. He replied: The impression is so strong that Mckinley will carry the state by 75,000 that republicans and anti-Bryan men are taking all the bets they can find at ? to 1. At the same odds many are betting on 100000 majority. These, mind you, are regarded as conservative figures. Others believe McKinley's majority in the state will be a great deal more than 100000. The Herald's poll of the city shows a standoff and the republican majority coming down to the Harlem is placed by no one at less than l25,000 Some think it will be l50.0G0, and many claim that it will reach 2OO.O0O.
 "A month ago I was uneasy. l be- lievcd it possible that there were enough lunatics in the state to turn it over to Bryan. but when the registra ton returns came in from the up country, showing a gain of 10 per cent, I had no further doubt of the result. I will add that if New York should go against Mckinley he will be buried un- der a greater land slide than covered Greedy up. It will mean that the great undercurrent all over the country has been misunderstood"
 Mir Troy said no one outside the state can form an opinion of the senti- ment there by reading telegraphic and local newspaper reports of Bryan's tour of the state. "I left New York" said he, "on the night of MT. Bryan's first arrival. I was standing on Forty second street when he came in. A large .-l Tf.,#ts was no bigger crowd than would have been attracted by a dog fight Just big, curious crowd. There was no demonstration at all as MT. Bryan passed along Fifth avenue There was. of course, a larger moving crowd than usual, but half the people didn't know that it was significant of anything. A man said to me. pointing to a passing carriage. 'Bryan'S in that carriage None of the features described by the newspapers as having attended his passage through the streets were pres ent. The demonstration at Madison Square. though. was a magnificent af- fair. The word had been passed around in Tammany to be present, and there are 100000 members of Tammany. These. together with other democrats and republicans, the presence of none of whom signified that they were going to vote for Mir. Bryan. were numerous enough to make an overwhelming crowd"
 Reverting to the subject of betting. MT. Troy said he did not believe there was in all New York a man who had sense enough to bet that he is alive who would take an even bet that Bryan VII carry the state. Money is wise" said he, and the men of Wall street who are offering long odds on Mckinley are making a cOld-blooded play to win. Now there's Bell x O.. who have been agents for Tammany for a great many years. By the way, I know that, for I am member of the Tammany general committee but l have never been Bryan man. Bell C Co. are holding several hundred thou sand dollars of Mckinley money, offer ing it at the prevailing odds. That proves that Croker is hedging. Early in the season he made heavy bets of 1 to , and 1 to and 1 to 31& on Bryan. intending to come back later and cover with bets on Mckinley. When he re- turned with offers of 1 to ? moneyed men laughed at him. They said: We'll do better by you than that; we'll give you 1 to 1 or to 1, but we want the Mckinley end. If $40. 900 were laid down against $20O,000 I believe it would be taken quicker than the owner could write his tickets. When $200,000 to $40,00 is laid down it goes off slowly in $500 bets. I am certain that if $2O.OCO to $2OO,OOO were put up so that people would know it was a go, it wouldn't last an hour.
 To study the political sentiment in New York one must be there. In those great democratic meetings about which we read. the speakers allusions to trusts and imperialism are met by gOCI-natured laughter and cries of 'ice.'
 New York is not. as is pOpularly supposed outside. a democratic city. It has 14O, 900 democratic votes. and Tam many cannot be counted. notwith- standing its membership, to cast more than 60,OOO of these. The republicans and independents always have ma jority when they vote. but they make so many mistakes when they are sue cessful that they do not vote the next time. Their successes are usually fol- lowed by increased taxes. One thing to be said in favor of Tammany is that it is competent. It plunders right and left when it is in power. but what money il does apply to public uses is so economically applied that the city is generally better served financially ! by Tammany than by the more honest and expensive refOrmers."
 Mir. Troy's estimate of the result in {. New York state on November 6 is of the same tenor as that by careful ob- servers from all parts Of the country. | The great under current which is more [ majestic this year than ever before. is . to be against Bryan and all . that he represents. This is particular ly true in Arizona. People from all parts of the territory. intelligent demo- crats and republicans. report a rapid development of sentiment in favor of Governor Murphy on account of his re- publicanism, the prevailing belief