The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1900-11-04
OHIO, ILLINOIS, NEW YORK
Either One in Democratic Column
Means Party Success. Thinks
All Three Safe for Ticket.
KENTUCKY IS ABSOLUTELY SAFE
The Democratic Party This Year is Organized,
Reunited and Confident of Great
Victory Next Tuesday.

Vic'ory Next Tuesday.
Although he does not aspire to be
known as a political prophet, James
Creelman' S predictions as to the result
of State and national elections have
SO frequently been verified that a
statement from him carries to politi-
clans especially great value as prog
nostication.
In the following interview given to
The New York Morning Telegram, Mr..
Creelman distinctly gives figures and
facts to substantiate his prediction,
Instead of being called prophet, the
proper name for Mr.. Creelman is his
torian before the fact.
Without further preamble, he finds
in the present condition of affairs
everything pointing to the certain
election of William Jennings Bryan
to be President of the United States:
Il have thought until the last few
days" said Mr.. Creelman last night,
THAT the coming Presidential election
would be very close, with the chances
slightly in favor of Mckinley.
But / have changed my mind since
then in consequence of new facts which
have developed. and from present indi-
cations ! say that Mr.. Bryan Will carry
the country.
81 have so far written no forecast over
my name, because / have been in doubt.
But at the present time l do not believe
that any man who is conversant with
the recent political developments in the
so-called doubtful States can make any
other claim with certainty than Mr.. Bry-
ans election
IN ERROR BUT ONCE.
SIN justification OF my forecast, | may
state that have written four political
prophecies, and in but cne of them has
the election proved me in error. That
was with reference to the State of Ken
lucky. The organization of the Gold De-
mocracy in that State carried it for Nc
Kinley, but even then by narrow mar
gin Of 800, while Bryan got one of the
electoral votes
I'm my opinion Mr.. Bryan has enough
States certain for him now to warrant
the assertion that I make. / make it
deliberately, and with ell the knowledge
of the situation that is possible that if
Mr.. Bryan carries New York. Ohio, or
Illinois he is certain of election. On the
other hand, Mr.. Mckinley must carry all
three of these States in order to be
elected
The loss of any one of these States
means his defeat. l am willing to stake
my reputation on this statement.
'Of the States which the Republicans
have been claiming there is no doubt in
my mind" proceeded Mr.. Creelman. that
Nebraska is as safe for Bryan as Texas;
Colorado also; Kansas not so safe as
Texas, but / consider it fairly certain.
Fusionists have never been beaten in
Kansas and the Fusion organization in
Kansas was never SO perfect as now.
KENTUCKY is ABSOLUTELY SAFE.
Kentucky is absolutely safe. Not
withstanding a Gold Democracy organiza-
tion in every county and district, and
with such opponents as Henry Waterson
and the Courier-Journal, and with the
Louisville & Nashville Railway spending
money like a drunken sailor, Mckinley
only carried Kentucky in "a by 300. The
Goebel trial has been an illustration OF
the remorseless spirit of the Republi-
cans of Kentucky, opening the eyes OF
their former allies. l therefore claim
that Kentucky is so safe for Bryan that
bet of 4 to / is a safe bet.
Maryland likewise is safe. | am will
ing to say that the vote of the State will
give Democratic plurality of 10000. Cor
man is working hard and loyalty for the
ticket to my personal knowledge.
-Four years ago / made tour of West
Virginia, and l said then that the State
would go 700 Republican. | was abused
for this statement. The State gave Nc
Kinley in round numbers 11.000 plurality
The reason for this was that the State
had been virtually abandoned by the
State committee, which hadn't even
money enough to pay necessary expenses
of the campaign, while the Republicans
spent a quarter of a million dollars.
'This year West Virginia's Democracy
has the finest organization ever known
in that State. The chairman of the
State Committee, John T. McGraw. is 9
politician of extraordinary parts, and is
making the fight of his life. Besides
this Senator Elkins admitted to me thai
the Democrats had nominated the best
ticket ever given to West Virginia vo-
ters by the party
WILL NOT STAND COLONIZATION.
Senators Elkins and Scott have beer
relying on the colonization of obscure
counties by negroes from hopeless South