The Atlanta constitution., 1900-07-16

1t is pretty safe to put these states in
the republican column:
Maine, 6; Iowa, 10; New Hampshire, a;
Ohio, %; Vermont, 4; California, 8: Mas
sachusetts, Is; Oregon, 4; Rhode Island,
4; Washington, 4: Connecticut. s; North
Dakota, 3; Pennsylvania, 80; Wyoming, 8;
A total of 130 electoral votes.
In the same way you should put down
as democratic certainties the following:
Alabama. IL; Arkansas. s; Florida. y;
Georgia, 13; Kentucky. 13: Louisiana, .;
Mississippi, 8: Missouri, II; North caro-
lima, IL; South Carolina, 3; Tennessee, IL;
Texas. Is; Virginia. II. A total OF lE
electoral votes.
In this democratic list there is put Ken
lucky. for which the republicans VIII
fight hard and I'm the republican Ist
above there Is put Ohio, which the DEM
ocrats are going to try to capture ana
for which their chances seem 10 pe
about as good as are the republican
chances in Kentucky.
There Is more or less doubt about the
result In every state not put In one or the
other of these certainty" columns. IL Is
among the possibilities for the VICTORIOUS
party to carry all of them. Political iano-
slides are not yet out OF date. Inc oe-
velopments OF the campaign VIII, 10
/
As things now stand, however, the re-
nubIicans seem TO have the better chance
( in New York, So: New Jersey, 10; Kansas
| 10: Minnesota, Q; a total OF DO.
The democratic advantage seems 10 Do
| correspondingly better In Coloraoo. ~
/ Delaware. 3; Idaho, 3; Maryland. s; Mon
tana, 8; Nebraska. s; Nevada, 3; south
Dakota, 4; Utah, 3; total or 81
This carries the totals to: Republican
ELECTORAL
votes. ISL.
This would leave the deciding votes In
the states of Illinois. "a; Indiana, 15; west
Virginia, G; Michigan, IA. and Wiscoh-
sin, II.
The democrats seem to have as good
chance to carry the first three or these
os hove the republicans That would give
them victory without the votes Of Mich
igan. where the Holanders, who are re-
ported to be solid against the administra-
tion. hold the balance of power; or OF
Wisconsin where the decision rests with
the German vote, which is now headed
away from the republican party. Ii the
campaign so shapes Itself as 10 prihs
democratic victory in Illinois ana lnoi-
anna, the chances are the same iiluueiloos %
Will ,put Wisconsin anu nAiciisaA " ~
democratic column.
All of this will figure out a democratic
victory without New York or Kansas
There IS a chance of victory In both those
states. RooseSelt's nomination Will propa-
blv do the republican ticket more sooo
in Kansas than In New York Ihe To-
nublicans undoubtedly have an advantage
IN both states, but II Is among the possi-
bilities that both will In the end be iouno
in the Bryan column
Then Ohio, strange as it may seem, Is
nv no means certain to go for Mckinney.
I have put Ohio's vote In the Mckinley
column. but there is great dissatistac-
tion i'm that state against Hannas domi-
nation of its political affairs. Then 1t
must be remembered that the present re-
publican governor holds office by tho
grace of a minority of $1,000. The COM
bined vote cast for Mclean ana Jones'
who opposed Judge Nash. was $4,000 votes
greater than that polled for the repuo-
| lican candidate. Jones and Mclean ana
all anti-republican elements are pullin>
together for Bryan this year. and Hanna
| has good reason for his statement that
| cit is not a question with the republicans
| of holding Ohio, but of redeeming 1t.
| Altogether, therefore, the outlook Is not
/ en- 'rotten bad for the democrats. III
! we're n democratic politician. / would
predict victory until 1 was blue In the
| face. There is more than one chance In
ten Of its coming, and If It does. there
| will be reward for good husky predicter'