The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1900-10-06
GUESSING AS TO THE RESULT.

Manly, of Republican headquarters,
gave out of a forecast which gave Nc
Kinley 266 votes, Bryan 112 with go
doubtful. To show the absurditv of
these figures it need only be stated
that Missouri, Montana, Nevada, Ida
no, Nebraska and Utah are put in the
list of doubtful States. Even Henry
c. Payne laughed at the figures, say
ing that the Republican managers do
not expect to carry Missouri"
Not to be outdone by Republican
figuring, johnson, of Democratic head
quarters, has issued detailed state
ment in which he claims 326 sure votes
for BRYAN, gives SO to Mckinley, and
counting only 33 doubtful. Whatever
may be said about his predictions, no.
body will deny that he has seen"
Manly and gone him one better As
a buffer, Manly is a pale, Intellectual
fire by the side of robust Johnson. A
Kansas man can beat Maine man
every time in a contest of that kind
In support of his big figures, Mr..
Johnson says:
''The figures which | give out, arg
based not only upon the most reliable
information which our committee has
from every State in the Union, but
also upon this further remarkable
fact: Everybody knows that it was
the Gold Democratic vote of this coun-
try which elected Mckinney four years
ago. 1t is equally well known now
that at least so per cent OF TINS vote
will go for Bryan this fall.
1.-The German vote was almost unan-
imous against Bryan in 1896, while
this year we have trustworthy lntor-
nation that leads us to believe that
fully so per cent. of the German vote
in the pivotal States will be cast for
BRYAN. This statement is true not
alone of the Germans but of other dis
tinctively foreign classes of voters.
The great body of the organized labor
vote which was induced to support
Mckinley four years ago will be near
Nv solid for the Democratic ticket next
month.
The New York World publishes an
estimate which it says was prepared
by the Democratic National Commit
tee and approved by each member
which gives Bryan $50, Mckinley 100,
with the votes of Kansas, Nebraska,
Nevada, West Virginia, with total u
in hn
umn. The World has evidently been
imposed upon, for it is manifestly not
the opinion of any well informed ma
tional committeeman that Illinois can
be put down as safe for Bryan while
Nebraska and Nevada are doubtful.
1t takes PA votes in the electoral
college to elect. 1t looks like Bryan
will Get more than enough, but no
calculation that fails to put New York
and Illinois both in the doubtful col
umn can be said to be without partl-
san bias. Both are doubtful. Bryan
can win without either, but it is prob
able that the candidate who carries
these two States will be the next Pres
ident. The Washington Post figures
that as goes New York SO goes the
presidency.
The only absolutely certain States
for Mckinley are these: Iowa 13,
Maine 6, Massachusetts, Is, New Hamp-
shire 4, Pennsylvania 81, Rhode Island
4, Vermont 4. OF course there are
other States like Wisconsin and Ore
gon that are pretty sure to go for
him but there is some doubt about
them. The only States certain to go for
BRYAN are: Nebraska, Colorado, Ida
no. Missouri, Montana, Nevada, Utah,
and all the Southern States except
MARYLAND, West Virginia and Ken
lucky which he lost in 1896. OF course
there are other States that are pretty
sure to go for him, but there is some
doubt about all the others. Bryan
has more certain electoral votes, but
McKinley's probabilities in States like
Ohio and Connecticut are better than
Bryan's.
Bryan's cause has grown tremen-
dously in the last ten days, particukr r
ly in the Northwest and in New York
and New Jersey, and there is little
doubt that large majority of the
voters favor his election. The only
Al &c, he
effect of the. policy of coercion upon
employees and the corrupt use OF
money.
A NORTH CAROLINIAN HON ORED.