The times. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1890-1903, 1900-07-19
c1-isI;LNr COMMENTS.

The Albany Argus has an interesting
article on the probability Of Mr.. Bryan
election. which is based on the fact that
the political parties in
The Law of America have swung back
s"o".eo. and forth like pendulum
for SO many elections that it is more than
probable, in the opinion Of The Argus
that the same change will take place at
this time We quote the article for what
it is worth, with the single statement
that no man ever has known what is in
the heart Of the people as whole, and 1t
is not likely that they will know. even
after the election this November, why the
people chose the candidate they are going
10 choose.
BY the law of chances-the doctrine Of
robabiites-William j. Bryen is des-
tined 10 defeat William Mckinley Tor
President this time.
First-In every election for President,
in which the same candidates confronted
each other for the second time, the canai-
date who had lost the first fight Won the
second.
Thomas Jefferson. who was defeated by
John Adams in 1896, defeated Adams IN
1903. Andrew Jackson. who was defeated
Through the vote of the House of Repre-
sentatives) by John Quincy Adams in 1924
easily defeated Adams in 1928. William
Henry Harrison, after being showed I'M
der by Martin Van Buren, in 1886 showed
Van Buren, under in 1910, Grover CleVe-
land. who was beaten by Benjamin HarI'i-
son in 1885, beat Harrison to standstlll
in 1899.
There is not single exception to the
o1iiShpI
Seconi-No President has been elected
since 1872 without receiving the electoral
votes of New York and Indiana; and
never. in all that time. have New Iork
ana Indiana voted in the electoral college
for the same party for which they hau
voted in the previous presidential election
Previous fact, and present probability
under this second head, may be briefly
tabulated as follows:
Year N Y. Indiana. Elected.
1s72... Rep. Rep....... Grant, R.
1S,6..Dem Dem......T ilden, d.
1886. Rep. Rep....... Garfield, r.
1884 Dem. DEM. Cleveland. D.
1883. Rep. Rep. Harrison, X.
1892 Dem 49, Dem. Cleveland. D.
1896. Rep Rep. Mckinley. 4.
1900 -. Dem. Dem. Bryan, D.
Whatever there is in the Swing OF the
pendulum'-and political observers know
that there is much-is all IN faEor OF
Democratic success this year
The Atlanta Constitution has an inter
estine article on the price that Great
Britain has paid in blood and men for the
guns that were sold to
'he Fr'ce .. the Beers and Chinese by
.o"''"e' &C. her manufacturers. The
article is as follows:
when Ben Franklin moralized upon
the price paid for a whistle he furnished
moral which is every day eXempli1ied
Among those who are urging an active
participation in the invasion of China are
those who look upon il as the entering
wedge Of large commerce. Already it
has been discovered that through this
armed and equipped ana that the bullets
which greet English soldiers were sold
for that purpose by English merchants.
The Transvaal war has already cost the
English government S75.G01,GO0. The
Beers had been armed by English manu-
facturers who made a few thousand
pounds profit, but the burden of paying
the SI50,00o000 debt will hang upon the
common people. who have had no share
in the profits which made the debt posi-
bic. It is very well to encourage manu-
facturers and merchants. but there should
be a little discretion as we go along.
An interesting description OF the Boxer
Society is given in the National Geographic
Magazine, published in Washington, for