The Wheeling daily intelligencer. [volume] (Wheeling, W. Va.) 1865-1903, 1899-09-01
FIGURING on 1000.
Less Chances Than Usual for NIathe-
NAUTICAL Combinations.

NAUTICAL Combinations.
There have been two presidential
elections held under the apportlonment
established by the last federal censul
Of 1890, those of 1892 and 1896. and next
years presidential election, though &C.
curing after the enumeration Of the
inhabitants which will be nnde in the
month Of June, viii be subject to the
census Of nine years ago. For this rea-
son, those political prophets and COM
puters who In advance Of a presidential
election are accustomed to ground pre-.
dIctIons on changes in the electoral
college," have no chance at present, for
the number of states participating In
tho next presidential election will be
the same as three years ago, and the
electoral vote in each viii be identical.
Some OF the Bryan supporters, dis
satisfied with the assertion frequently
made that their candidate. II nominated
in 1900, would have less chance of sue
cess than he Ind in 1896. have taken to
figuring the situation In the electoral
college In the latter year something as
follows: Mckinley had ninety-iYe
more electoral votes than Bryan, so
that the Democratic candidate next
year will have to retain all that Bryan
received and secure forty-eight In add.
ton. OF these, twelve are assured
from Kentucky, Delaware is sure to
furnish three more, while Maryland and
West Virginia are naturally disposed TO
old party affiliations and add fourteen
between them to the number needed.
This makes twenty-nine Of the forty
eight and leaves nineteen to be looked
for elsewhere. The two states relied up
on by these Bryanites to make up the
required number are Indiana with If
teen votes and Oregon with four.
These computers, however, take into
no account the prospective losses from
the Bryan column next yenr. Of states
which, since 1896, have gone Republican
Kansas, with ten electoral votes;
wyoming, with three, and Washington.
with four, q total OF seventeen, which
would entirely destroy the correctness
OF the present calculations. In two
states OF the country. both carried by
Mckinley in 1s96-Kentucky and Call
fornIa-the vote was so close that the
electoral vote was not carried Bolidiy
for either candidate. In California,
carried by Mckinley by 1880, Mr.. Bry-
an had one Of the electors, and In Ken
lucky, carried by Mckinley by $50
votes, Mr.. Bryan had one Of the cleo
tors, also. In the state elections Of 1898,
however, California was carried by the
Republican nominee for governor by
IL. 900. and the Golden State is now re-
Earded Us being permanent In the BE
publican column without any serious
danger OF loss this year.
Prior 10 1892 It was customary for the
political leaders OF both parties to group
New York, New Jersey and Cunnecd-
cut together as three doubtful states,
which, subjected usually to the same
political Influences and the same public
considerations, voted the same way. To
these states was Inscribed the balance
OF power" formerly exercised by Penn
sylVania, the Keystone State. but this
consideration OF their political import
ance prevails no longer. for under the
existing appointments the party cur
rying all three il no longer assured OF
success, and in 1899 Mr.. Cleveland, who
received the whole fifty-two votes OF
them. would have received 226 votes
against 1877 for his competitor, Harrl-
son, and 219 for his two competitors,
Harrison and Weaver, had all three
gone against instead OF in favor Of the
Democratic ticket.
Moreover, New Jersey Is now SEE
currly Republican state with n Repub-
llcan vice president Of the United
States. and Jersey member OF the
Presidents cabinet, and the chance OF
It's return to the Democratic column in
or before 1900 is quite remote, The
newly admitted western and northwest
ern states have changed the relation OF
the political parties considerably, but
this consideration does not deter, even
one year In advance OF the nomination,
the political computers from making
their estimates. There will be 4I7 votes
in the next electoral college. and pa
will be necessary to elect. The popular
vote OF 1900 VIII probably exceed 49,
OOO. 900