The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1899-11-26
CAYADA,s NEXT GENERAL ELECTION.

CAHADA's NEXT SENERAL ELECTION.
Reasons for Believing That II May Occur
Next Yoar-Ths Political Outlook.
QUEBEC. Can, Nov 24.-The future Of Cana
dian politics and the fate Of the present Dominion
Government arc shortly 10 become the engrossing
topics Of consideration for tho people Of Canada.
General elections have to DO held in the summer
OF 1901 at the latest Only twice In the history
Of the confederation. however. has the Canadian
Parliament been allowed TO run It's entire natural
length without being cut short by dissolution,
and in the case Of the present Parliament It Is
almost certain that II will DO dissolved after a
short session to DO held In February next, and
tha, tho general elections will be next spring.
There are several circumstances that point
or less conclusvely TO this curse, including
the activity that is at present displayed in all
parts Of the country by the leaders OF both political
parties in their rival campaigns Business men
are as deeply interested in the poll teal situation
as the politicians because the result Of the coming
60; contest may have az important bearing upon
Of the federal electoral contest will DO TO post.
p9ne the Resembling OF the Joint High Com,
enough Of his American colleagues TO know that
he cannot expect them TO yield anything at all
approaching TO the Canadian dcmands but he
Is too shrcwd a politician TO be ready to publicly
admit upon the eve Of general elections that he
u. unable 10 succeed. in a court OF arbitration
OF his own proposing In the settlement ~ tho
outstanding international differences The po-
LIT cal tuati"n VII tncr 70 reou 70 him 10 cave
these matters for the present in sdiu quo and tho
once promised treaty OF Quebec seems almost
as far of a. ever.
So many considerations enter into the petty
politics Of this Dominion that IL is not always easy
" forecast the result Of a general election some
months before II takes place. From present in.
business men Of either the United States or Canada
have any reason to npprchcnd any serious dis.
high hopes entertained and the vigorous cam.
paign inaugnratci against the Government by
Sir Charles UPPER and his following, there is
really nothing at tho present time, in the outlook
of a dspassionate observer. TO warrant the belief
that change Of government is impending. Sir
Wilfrd Lauricr has certainly not lost much OF tho
popularity that carried him into power In 1885,
and the conservative opposition has propoundcd
ago. II is true that the Government has given
some offence in the matter Of the Canadian mill
,ary contingent for England. But much as a
large clement OF the French Canadian people dis
Ike the sending OF Canadian troops To aid Britain
in her foreign wars, they know that Sir Charles
Upper was anxious ~ 20 much farther in this
natter than Sir wi!frid Tauricr, and 10 pledge tho
Dominion OF Canada 10 pay the entire cost Of tho
contingent, and even that Of q second contingent
:, So the Upper party does not stand TO win many
French Canadian votes on this score. The prob
ability is thet IL will lose some The English.
speaking provinces favored the sending Of the con-
nctunlir cont by the Ia,iricr Administration, Inc
Canadian LIMOGES Of the Tupncr stamp are striving
~ create the impression that there was lack Of
loyalty TO Britain In the caution and absence OF
enthusiasm displayed by the Government As
this cry, noisy as il is just now seems To ind only
faint responsive echo outside Of distinctiveiy
Conservative circles II will not infic very heavy
loss , upon The Government party even In the Eng
That the liberal majority In the next Parlia-
mcnt VIII be smaller than II is In the present ono
Is quite within the range OF probability. Sir
Wilfrd must expect 20 lose some votes in Ontario,
not only On account 81 the rather Anti British
and Of o his sI Minister s Q, tSohc Works
tho Bocr war but also because OF uusavory cleo
,orsl revelations affecting some OF his political
friends On the other hand. the recent Judgment
there was, no, justification for The dismissal Of
the liberals in oncbcc Their control Of The The pa r
,ronagc, and OF the public works Of the Dominion
ish powerful weapon in electoral warfare
Al ost the entire stock in trade II the Conserve.
q inEnuations The Liberals are Ear too LIBERAL
United States and no, loyal oug 10 the mother
i 0, b. Their nswSps2sL o,snrs for instsnce.
,ion in favor otthe future independence Of Canada
ps 99pef be Hshsd to The British
government for playing into the hands Of the
nilcd States IN the matters of the COIL oil trade
the cohStlnS trade the sealing industry and the
alien labor laws, and these charges arc evidently
to be made the basis Of the conservaiive assault
Of in Canada L? the consumer has advanced from
L., cents gallon in 1898 TO IL cents az present
The change Is undoubtedly due TO the operations
Of the STANDARD on Company. Up.to 1903 there
were nine independent and competing reHneries
Ro t$sn Te HmpssT Then Nth
that Y would not have come here had not SIR
Wilfrid's government given II the right 10 import
or carry oil in tank steamers which had been
refused II by the preceding administration This
cry may catch some votes for the increased cost
o. cool oil VIII affect very large proportion OF
' ~
g. The Tories assert, too that while tho United
Shl.es .aIiI was gong up thus excluding Canad
WINS Hauled down While The e" Amrrieons,s tRSs
gay. we're putting higher duty on barley. tho
anadion Government was placing Indian corn
from the United States on the FREQ list While
alien iabors law, the Dominion Govern ment II is
sscr,ed virtually agreed that theirs should be
=, Another alleged grievance is that although
the United States excludes Canadian ships from
the coating trade Of the Republic yet contrary
70 The law OF the Dominion the Government at
Ottawa has given the Canadian coasting trade
on tho Pacific, including the Yukon business, 10
American companies. and has recently conceded
NE coasting trade OF the upper lakes 10 United |
S!scs Vessel owners tiSpretended tina, the offer
Of Canadians for the value Of tho sealing vessels
which concession. though agreed 10 at Washing.
,on. Is not yet ratified. Is stnSingiy similar 10
Other pretended capitulations
Sir Charles Topper principal nowspnper o,o,p
the Toronto Mad and Empire. Demands thai in
We" 81 its many concessions to the United States
to show it's proposed Washington treaty bcirre
asking the Canadian electorate u entrust II with
another five years lease Of power II may thus !
De seen that The question Of tho International
arc dtstlHcd TO play 4 most important part In the |
Dominions approaching general electlonA