The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1899-08-15
GREAT COTTON CROP PREDICTED.
Henry ~. NeiIl, of New Orleans, Fore
casts One of IL, O0O, OOo Bales.


casts One of Ia, 900, OOo Bales.
NEW ORLEANS. Aug. 14.-Henry NJ. Neill, the
cotton crop expert Of this city. who alone pre-
dicted the enormous crops OF 1S04-H5. lS91-HS
and lS'S-iH'. is out with a forecast indicating
that the crop now maturing will exceed any
OF these and may reach tho unprecedented
total OF 12.OOO.OOO bales. In circular issued
to-lay. he says:
On 2Sth July. 1904. published n forecast
oil the cotton crop Of 1894 90, in which said:
II each state should realize product per acre
equal To its best previous crop. the result would
he about 3.GOO.OOO bales. and the promise to-
day l2Stb July. 1890 ia equal or superior to
any previous year in every state The result
that year was a crop equal to the best previous
IN every State. and in Texas vastly better than
in any previous year. and tho crop turned out
$500. 900 bales.
On 18th Aug. 1897. | stated that the prospect
was equal to the best previous year in every
State but Texas. and that the promise at that
date 18th August. 1897 was for crop Of at
least $3.50 GOO bales. with j00.O coo to a million
moro within tn, range OF possibilities. Tho
result that year was a commercial crop OF H.
100000 bales, with, according to Mr. Hester's
annual statement. $50. 900 bales grown and
not marketed
"On 18th August. 1898. | stated that tho
promise for the crop OF lS9S-o9 was equalizer
superior TO that Of lS97-DS in every State. and
vastly better in Texas. and the outlook. even
with somewhat unfavorable conditions there
after, was for crop OF 1O,5OO.OOO
assured. with 100000 TO 100000 more
within the range Of possibilities. This crop
turns out about IL 100000 in spite OF the most
severe winter ever known In the South. during
which vast deal OF cotton was lost in tho
fields. That it would have reached II. 100000.
and perhaps 100000, but for this heavy loss.
Is now generally admitted.
For the present crop am satisfied that. on
the average, the promise per acre is fully equal.
The temperature has been perfect. and tho
rainfall generally sufficient and most oppor
tune. with alterations of fine weather. so that
| the crop ia now very far advanced and so
| heavily iruitcd that with ordinary weather. q
large crop is assured in every state.
| Texas. with the exception OF the loss in the
| Brazos valley (which will hardly reach 100000
| bales l. has been peculiarly favored with alter
| nate ram and sunshine. and now promises the
| best crop to the acre ever known.
| The rapidity with which the crop has adj
| ranced over the whole rouRtry. and the enor-
| nous fruitagc, will soon make 1t independent
| OF future weather. ana II axe q great crop GER
| tain. no matter how early a frost should come.
We shall doubtless hear o! much shedding the
| fruitage is so immense that no plant could ever
| carry II all to maturity.
1t must be borne in mind that while the
past crop (lsS)S-!Eh will sum up the largest on
record its possibilities. but for the dreadful
weather Of December. January and February.
1t is from this vast possibility. which now ex-
lists Tor this year also. that any triiing loss
from decreased acreage. or any subsequent de-
teroration must be deducted"