Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1899-10-27
With the Chances Slightly in Favor
of Judge Nash.
JONES' STRENGTH is GROWING
Which Party He Will Hurt Most is
Question.
BIG RURAL VOTE EXPECTED
Special Dispatch to The Evening Star.

Special Dispatch to The Evening Star
COLUMBUS, Ohio, October 27-With but
single week of active campaigning inter-
vening before the Ohio election the result
must be said to be more decidedly in doubt
than at any time since the contest began.
What promised to be at the beginning a
walk-over for the republicans has now de-
veloped into the hardest race that party has
had in this state in ten years. There may
be discussions among the democrats, but
If there are the disaffected members of the
party are keeping their grievances to them
selves. 1t is not SO with the republicans.
The offended members are many, and they
are proclaiming their grievances from the
house tops. 1t has been suggested that the
democrats who have it in mind to bolt their
ticket this year keep still about it. be-
cause of the feeling that Mclean may be
elected, which is Enthusiastically in the air
here. After a long series of defeats they
would not like to be found on the other
side on the single occasion of victory for
their party. This is given for what it is
worth The fact of the matter seems to
be, however, that the democrats are bet
ter united than they have been in any state
election for many years.
Jones Is Il Big Factor.
One of the most notable developments OF
the closing days of the campaign is evil
dence of increasing strength of the Mayor
Jones nOn-partisan movement. He is hav-
ing the largest and by far the most enthu-
siastic meetings of the campaign. Neither
of the two parties even when they bring
celebrities like the next Speaker Henderson,
of Iowa here, have been able to arouse so
much enthusiasm. 1t is so not merely IN
the large cities, but also in the smaller
towns. Experienced politicians who are not
supporting him have admitted that if Jones
had time to go into every county in the
state and make a speech he would carry
the state. But he cannot do this, and
while his movement gives evidence of great
strength, it has no intelligent direction. He
has no organZa ton. He has no money with
which to establish such committees as the
two big parties have, and he would not
permit 1t to be so used If he had. 1t is
contrary to his principles.
And so, while his vote is certain now to
be large-much larger than any third party
candidate has received in this state-his
election seems quite out of the question.
Still some people here, whose judgment is
considered good, claim that he has a fair
chance. Chairman Dick of the republican
state committee admits that the Jones vote
will be large, but thinks it will fall below
$1,000. 1t is likely to be about twice that.
1t will come principally from the cities.
The rural vote will not be much affected by
1t. In fact, the rural vote in Ohio does not
change much. Your Ohio farmer, be he
republican or democrat, generally votes his
ticket when he votes at ALL He has a way
of staying away from the polls, however,
that plays havoc with the election results,
when he is not satisfied with the actions of
his party.
Rural Ohio is Democratic.
But rural Ohio is democratic. Excepting
only Hamilton, Dayton and Sandusky,
there is not a city in the state of over
10000 population that is not republican.
The aggregate republican plurality con-
tributed by the cities in the state elections
is about 10000. The rural districts are
sufficiently democratic to bring this plural
ity down to about 80 600 In 1896 the voters
them, SO that notwithstanding there was a
considerable detection of gold democrats
Mckinley carried the state by only As 600
The next year the disappointed and unin-
tereSted farmers did not turn out and the
republican plurality went up to almost
50 900.
These facts are interesting in their appli-
cation to the election of this year, for this
is the year in which the decennial land
appraisers are chosen. The farmers are
deeply interested in this land-appraiser
election, much more SO than the capitalist
and manufacturer, for his wealth is large
ly IN the form of real estate, and the land
appraisers chosen now will put the vaIua-
ton upon this property, at which it will be
taxed for the next ten years. 1t is likely TO
bring out full rural vote. 1t has done
decades and ten years ago was instru-
mental no doubt in electing Jas. E. Camp
bell, the last democratic governor Ohio has
had.
Ex-Gov. Campbell to Take the STUMP
Ex-Gov. Campbell. by the way, is an
to spend all of next week on the
stump In Ohio in the interest of Mclean.
This is another fact in confederation Of the
statement made above that the democrats
are getting together in most remarkable
way. Campbell has not trained in the Nc
Lean faction for a number of years and
1t was predicted that he would not speak
for Mclean in the campaign. This seemed
TO be borne out until just now. He will
cover a number of the democratic strong
holds, including his own city of Hamilton
and will close here the evening before the
election-November 6.
The nomination of a fusion ticket in
Hamilton county by the democrats and the
anu-Hanna and anti-Cox republicans seems
10 indicate just such a result in Cincin-
natl as was reached two years ago, when
the fusion ticket was elected At any rate
the chances of the two parties there are
ABOUT even, and that is great improve
nent for the democrats in a county which
gave Mckinley plurality of 10000. Even
bets are being made here that Nash will
not carry any of the large counties-that
Is, the counties in which Cincinnati, Cleve-
land, Columbus, Toledo and Dayton are sit
uated. 1t seems reasonable to expect that
Jones will carry Toledo, and possibly Cleve-
land, and that the fusion ticket will be
elected in Cincinnati and that Mclean will
carry this city and Dayton.
Betting here still gives Nash a little the
best of 1t, but no one is now betting on
plurality for him Of over 25,OOO and but
few are willing to put the figures SO high
Foraker Answers Questions.
The republican meeting here last night,
addressed by Senators Foraker and Bur-
rows, was large and fairly enthusiastic and
calculated to inspire the republicans who
hope of success. Senator Foraker replied
to a part of a dozen questions put to him
in an open letter from local democratic
newspaper. Such questions as how he re-
garded the republicansm of Senator Hanna
and Mayor McKisson. and what he thought
Of Judge Nashs letter to Gov. Bushnell
saying he could not in self-respect retain
an appointment under him, he said were
personal matters that he would only dis
russ in private.
He denied that there was a compact be-
tween Senator Hanna. and himself by which
he had cut loose from the anti-Hanna fac
ton and was now supporting Senator Han
mas candidate, in order to secure Senator
Hannas support when he (Foraker) be-
came a candidate for reelection to the SEN
ate, and said, as matter of fact he was
not particularly stuck on the Job" If the
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