Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1899-11-04
Forecast Of the Results In the Assem-
bly, Districts.
REPUBLICAN MAJORITY ASSURED
Prospect Of Internal Strife in Ranks
Of Democracy.
7 II E HILL-CROKER FEUD
Special Correspondence of The Evening Star

SaiiN oSS Vi ali lle counties III TIE SIal6 WITH
view to forecasting as near as possible
the result OF the coming election for assem-
blymen. The contest possesses considera-
Die significance, aside from q. control Of
the legislature. 1t will show the strength
OF the republican party in the state
whether it has been weakened or strength
ened by the first years administration Of
Governor Theodore Roosevelt. By many
the result will be regarded as vindica-
ton or condemnation of the policy Of the
governor. and most important of all 1t Is
expected to clinch the republican victory
OF last year and to present a solid align
ment for the great battle Of 1860, the plans
Tor which Will be begun soon as the
votes In the present contest are counted.
The situation in the various counties is
follows:
Albany-lt is probable that republicans
viii be elected in the first second and
fourth districts. The democrats will elect
In the third, where there is no republican
opposition.
Allegany-There is no particular fight
against the republican candidate and his
erection may be considered sure.
B1oome Cattaraugus, Cayuga and Chau-
tauqua-Will also surely elect republican
assemblymen.
Close Contest in Chemung.
Chemung-The election in this county is
considered close with the proba Utilities in
favor of the republican candidate.
Chenango-The election of the republican
candidate is sure.
Clinton-This county is close, with the
probabilities against the republican nom
inee. An old fight that has been waging
in the republican ranks for years is the
cause.
Columba-It is believed that the demo-
cratic O6i6ate will he elected nv about
200 ma jority..
Cortland-The probabilities favor the
publican candidate in this county, while
Delaware county will undoubtedly go re-
publican by a decided majority.
Duchess is sure to elect a republican in
the first district, and while the second is
close it favors the republican nominee.
In Erie county the campaign Is one of
personal popularity regardless Of party af-
fliations. This and the introduction of
voting machines compicates matters. Can
ddates and their friends expecting votes
from the opposite party are afraid the
complications of the machines will cause
many who would otherwise split their tick
cts to vote the straight ticket. The vote
In the fourth and sixth districts promises
to be interesting, and close, with the proba-
bilities in favor of a democrat in the FOR
mer and a republican in the latter In the
other districts the first is probably demo-
third probably democratic; the fifth sure
democratic, and the seventh and elghth
probably republican.
Five Republican Counties.
Essex. Franklin, Fulton, Hamilton and
Genesee will all go republican
Greene county will probably return Syl-
vester B. Sage, democrat. to the assembly.
The socialists have organized in several
towns and are expected to poll quite
vote drawn about equally from the old
parties.
Herkimer will be close. with the chances
favoring Kelley. republican who IS ez-
pectcd to have probably 100 majority.
Both districts in Jefferson county are sure
republican.
In Kings county the effort Is to overcome
the democratic majority of 1880 polled at
the last election. 1t is in South Brooklyn
that the effort is fiercest. This district ex-
tends from Wall street ferry 20 Jamaica
bay on the river side, and from the Brook
Ign city hall to Coney Island. This region
has been known as the Gibraltar of the
democracy of Kings county.
Estimate in Kings County.
From the most conservative estimates
the results will probably be follows:
First close; republican probably elected
Second democrat surely elected.
Third democrat surely elected.
Fourth, close; republican possibility.
Fifth. close; republican possibility.
Sixth. close; no prediction.
Seventh close; democrat probably elected.
Eighth. democrat surely elected.
Ninth, democrat surely elected.
Tenth. democrat probably elected.
Eleventh, no prediction: close.
Twelfth democrat probably elected
Thirteenth democrat probably elected.
Fourteenth, democrat surely elected.
Fifteenth, democrat surely elected.
Sixteenth close; democrat probably
elected.
Seventeenth republican surely elected.
Eighteenth, democrat probably elected.
Nineteenth, democrat surely elected.
Twentieth democrat probably elected.
Twenty first, democrat surely elected.
Lewis, livingstone and Madison counties
surely republican.
In Monroe county the first, third and
fourth districts close, with the chances
in favor of the republican candidates. The
second is surely republican.
Observation-Disclosures Walroth repub-
lican. will be elected in this county by at
least 500 plurality.
In New York county Tammany is bending
all it's efforts to defeat Robert Mazet in
the nineteenth district otherwise the dis
tricts are about as last year They will
surely carry twenty-five out Of the thirty
three districts, with four others as prob
abilities. including MaZet's
Niagara-The OUTLOOK in the first assem-
bly, district indicates a close contest The
district is normally 200 republican. The re-
publican party is divided while the demo-
Gratis claim to have healed their factionaI
differences
The SECOND assembly district Is close hut
the defeat of Jay Rowe. republican. is prob
able. The district is close, but on national
elections is about 300 republican.
Outlook In Oneida,
Oneida county has three assembly dis
tricts and two of them,c the second and
third, will certainly return republican. The
first district, which Is made up of the civ
of Utica, will be very close.
Onondaga county, in which Syracuse is
located. will probably return republican can
didates by decisive pluralties Practically
no fight is being made on the republican
candidates for the assembly.
Ontario and the first district of Orange
county Is sure republican, The second dis
trict of Orange county Is close with the
chance favoring the republican nominee.
Orleans-The regular republican candi- |
date will be elected by 800 majority,
oswego and otsego counties are surely
republican. -
Putnam is close, with the chances In ia
vor of the republicans.
All three districts in Queens are close
and no predictions can be made.
Rensselaer-There are two hot fights In |
two of the three districts, with the indi-
cations that Galbraith republican, will |