The Union times. [volume] (Union, S.C.) 1894-1918, 1899-12-15
COTTON CROP ESTIMATE.


which they give the latest estimate
OF the cotton crop according to New
Orleans figures, also giving tho per-
centage OF The crop in sight December
lSt for II years, which shows gen
eral average of Jl.li per cent. of the
crops in sight on December 1st for
the - years. The crop in sight this
December 1st is 1911, 900. Ii this
amount is 51.4I per cent. Of this
years crop then the total crop Of this
year will be in round numbers $780,
bales. AS there has been q great in
crease in the number Of American
mills, the American consumption is
necessarily much larger than hereto
fore, while European consumption is
just as great as ii was When there
was 100000 bale crop. This
being the case, somo one is going to
be badly short on cotton pretty soon,
and we have no doubt it will be the
mills Of Europe which have been hold
NC back trusting in the accuracy of
Neill's estimate of an IL ,000, 900 bale
crop. The American mills, being on
| the ground have had moro sense and
Judgment and have been buying
right along at the advance, and have
bought up q good bulk Of the cotton.
The foreign mill men will have their
| eyes opened to the true state Of affairs
pretty soon and then they will make
a squirt to secure tho balance Of un-
marketed cotton, aud up will so the
price. 1t must also be remembered
that there is an increased demand
rom Japan, China, Canada and Mex
leo. With the mills in operation now
ii is safe to estimate that nothing
less than crop OF 10, 100000 bales
will supply the demand. 1t is pos
sible that the surplus accumulated
by the mills Of Europe during The
last 3 or years may tide them ove'
this year with what they can grab o
the remainder Of this years crop, bu
out of this surplus deficiency o
1000, 900 bales this year will have to b'
supplied. This will force thom into
the market witt. early purchasers fo
The next cotton crop. We now have
the situation in hand in the s ,uth
and by little julicious management
on the part OF our farmers they cal
easily reverse the usual order an'
can demand q price for their mex
years crop, simply 60 to work Il
once and prepare for a diversihei
crop, and plant for short cotto
cSN5es, Faife afnd Vegetables, 6aSG b1less' go 60 il
iebt for nothing that you can pos
'ib!y avoid, so that your cotton vii
not I'll be forced uron the ml-i.a, a
the beginning Of Fall 10 pay debts
never come to town without bringin!
with you something from your tarn
to turn into money to cover little in
cidental expenses, chickens, eggs
potatoes, honey, butter; q shoat oc
casionally, q 4uartor Of good beef,
cabbage, turnips, beans, peas, etc.
You will always find a ready mlrlc
in town for these articles, and you
will find it will pay you for your
little trouble and save you th2 max.
ing OF many little debts, then your
cotton will be your surplus and IT oncy
crop. We wish to see the day when
there will be enough mills in the
! South to consume the South's cotton
crop, when the farmer can sell his
| cotton to our own mills and save the
| middle mans profit, when this is the
case we will never hear OF any more
&c cotton. 1t is suicidal for til" far
mcr to put his whole dependence in
his cotton crop. A short crop, al Il
higl. price will pay him much better
than large crop at half price. II
our farmers manage intcliigcl;ly
their next crop we look for s. cDtt0a
at the start next year. Cotton nuyht
nov to be bringing to Zoe instead of
Il to re. The visible anl invisible
supply on September 1st next, will be
the smallest in proportion to the total
consumption that has been known
since the season Of 1SS9-90, when on
May %, 1890 middling cotton touched
l2ic in New York. Nothing to him
der high price next fall except
gluttcd market caused by an ovor pro