Arizona republican., 1899-04-15
But Events All Tend Toward a
World War.
LITTLE FAITH In CZAR'S PLAN
Russia at This Time Is Doing Every
thing IN Her Power 10 Increase
Her war Strenqih-COnfeSt Is
Likely to Arise Over Partition of
China-Greaf Britain and America a
Have Common Interests.

London, April 14.-Some languid in
terest in the czar's peace conference IS
manifested as the time for the assem-
bling approaches, but it is still true
that no one prominent in political life
expects any important or direct re
suits from the deliberations at The
Hague. The moral and indirect effect
may be valuable, but as a practical fac
tor in politics the conference is scarce
ly considered seriously. Moreover
the suspicion of Russia's good faith in
the matter has by no means disap-
pea1ed The czar's personal sincerity
is generally conceded, but nobody re-
CARDS the clever diplomats who really
direct the Russian foreign policy as
individuals free from guile. Some fear
is expressed in diplomatic quarters
here that the first sessions of the con-
ference will be marked by disagree
ment over what shall be discussed and
what tabooed.
Il think the whole plan is ridiculous,
especially coming at this time" said a
prominent member of the Diplomatic
corps today :'Of all times this seems
to be the most opportune, 'nCt for uni
versal peace, but for universal war,
and truly 1 do net see how i can be
anything but question of a short time
when the crisis will come. And events
are not shaping themselves in any way
favorable to peace either. Each days
news makes war more probable, and
when one d0as cCme it will be DiG
one. | am unable to see why the ma
tions should accept in all seriousness
the propositions for peace from such
a madman as the car of Russia is
known to be. Why, even while max
ing his proteStations for peace, he is
using every means in his power 10 in
crease his wa power, 50 that when the
crash that he we'll knows is inevitable.
and which he is trying to ward off,
does come, Russia will be able to hold
her own, at least.
France, far from being in a safe
pice. Any days Developments may
bring on a war with England 81 Ge~-
many. Interests in the far east aIe
conflicting with those of these tive
countries, and it is gcing to be a case
of the survival of the f1ttesl- and the
fittest will surely not be the French
The so-called dreibund between G5r-
many, Austria and Italy is on a very
weak footing, and is hardly worth, 50
far as war purpose IS concerned, the
paper on which il is written. No one
believes that either country would
hesitate to break it were il to her ad-
vantage to do SO. And now that Italy
is working hand in hand with England
in China, and the latter country is at
least not friendly with Germany, no
one believes that I5aly will forsake
England for the sake OF the dreibund.
THE Macedonian question III Turkey
is coming to focus, and = is only
matter of the patience of the powers
before it will develop into another
Cretan question. Spain, shorn of her
colonies, would, il general war, lose
what little is remaining TO her in the
we'll known that England IS very
anxious to get hold of the fortress OF
Ceuta, and in the event of trouble.
would not be slow in seizing it.
''The Philippine and Samoan ques-
tions will get the United States mixed
up in a war sooner or Iater. and even
the South American republics are not
free from war clouds. Chilli and Ar
gentine are still jealous of each other.
and are only waiting a chance to' prove
finally which is to be the supreme
power in South American affairs.
Brazil has her hands fGM with her in
ternal revolutions, which are period
ieal The northern st3tes will never
rest until they are SEPARATED from the
rest of the ,epub,ic, and while they
may be temporarily repulsed they will
always be mnaca to the peace of the
country.
LAS far as the Central American re-
publics go. their logical end = annexa-
ton to the United States, as they can
not exist independently. The annexa-
IlOn VI I-OIIO 1N1CO VIII Iul4I Iil-II
trade with that country, about all the
trade they have, and they must soon
join the procession.
IF present Developments ara to be
taken into consideration China will be
the first battle-ground, and that long
suffering country will have to bear the
brun9 of the battle fer while at
least. China is now in about the