Arizona republican., 1899-02-01
THE PEACE TREATY
Ratification Next Monday Re.
 gdrded Certain.
Break in inc Ranks of inc OppoSi- tion-The Force of Business in- tereStS - No Sugge Sfion for Amendment to Be Entertained.

Washington, Jan. 31.-Friends of the
 administration have no simgivings as
 to the result of the vote which is tC
 be taken on the treaty of peace next
 Monday. They are confident that the
 treaty is to be ratified because they be- lieve the country will demand that the question be settled at once, and they are sure that of the men the names of whom Senator German has placed on his list a sufficient number will fail him to cause his defeat when the test is made.
 Some of the republicans on whom i Senator German has been counting with confidence have decided to vote for the treaty One of them is Senator Mason of Illinois, who asserts that he will vote for the treaty whether or not his resolution for Philippine indeoen- dence is adopted.
 Senator Wellington of Maryland is sure to stand with his party. his friends say, Senator Spooner of Wis cOnsin, an avowed opponent of expan- sion, will not only vote for the ratifi- cation of the treaty but he has pre- pared a speech in support of it, which he will deliver tomorrow Senator Sullivan of Mississippi who is on Senator Germans list of oppo- nents to the convention has intro duced resolution, the adoption Of which may open the door for some of those senators who are talking of vot- ing against the treaty to come out in favor of it.
 The resolution is the mildest which has been presented and provides mere Ivy iy Two -Ioo commit the United States government to a permanent colonial policy That goes without saying, for the treaty transfers the question of the future Of the Philippines to congress, but some of the friends of the treaty believe that if the adoption of the resolution will satisfy the scruples of any senator it might just as well be adopted
 The forces which will compel tho ratification, if there is any doubt about it, is the business interests Of the United States.
 It has been impressed upon business men everywhere that a failure to rat fly the treaty would incite Aguinaldo and his men to continue their resist ance to the American forces and per haps to make an open attack A state of war in the Philippines arising from a failure to ratify the treaty might re- suit in business demoraliZation for the moment at least, and might check the tide of prosperity which has set in so strongly since the country became as sured that peace was at hand
 Business men have been in Wash ington urging the ratification and some of them who have called on Sena- tors have taken pains to assure them that personally they were not in favor of expansion They have no patience however, with the opposition to a treaty the ratification of which means permanent peace.
 The speech of Senator Davis in ex- ecutive session last Thursday has also had strong influence in the direction of ratification The senator did not attempt anything like an argument, but outlined the conditions which con fronted the American commissioners at Paris, and showed how impossible it was for them to arrive at any other conclusion than the one they did.
 After the close of the debate at least one senator who has been gener- ally classed with the opposition said that he did not see how anybody could vote against the treaty after such an exposition of the circumstances which led up to it's formulation, and that sen ator doubtless voiced the feelings Of others