The herald., 1898-04-13
One MORE ULTIMATUM
TO PRECEDE THE BEGINNING OF
HosTILITIEs
BEFORE M'KINLEY INTERvENEs
Spain Will Be Given an opportunits
to Withdraw Peaceably From
the Island

Associated Press Special Wire
NEW YORK, April 12.-A special to thu
Herald from Washington says:
Should the President be clothed with au
thority to use the military and nava
forces to intervene solely for the purpos'
or establishing s.ace and order In Cubu
he proposes to exercise 1t first by trans
mitting to Spain a copy Of the resolution
| with the statement that his obligations re-
quire him to carry out the will Of Con
gress and a notification that he will do sc
at once unless Spain withdraws from the
island.
In other words, the President will deliver
an ultimatum to Spain before making
naval demonstration In the hope that Spair
may at the last moment consent to q con.
| cession of the independence of the peopl,
| of the island upon an indemnity, or upor
some other basis which may be satisfac-
tory to all parties involved. II war should
then come, whether "holy" or ''unholy,"
he will feel that the responsibility is on
Spain.
The one significant sign of peace is tina,
diplomatic relations between the United
States and Spain have not been severed as
a result of the message sent to Congress
today.
1t is true that all our Consuls have been
called out of Cuba, and this would indicate
a preliminary sign of war, but our Minister
Is still at Madrid and Spains representa-
tive is still here.
1t was supposed that when the Presi
dents message went to Congress Spain
would at once take umbrage and recall
Minister Polo. She has not done so. nor
has the President recalled Minister Wood
ford. The two Ministers are thus at their
post of duty and in position to resume
negotiations for a definite settlement of
the Cuban question and pending differ
ences between the two countries involving
the Maine disaster in the event that Spain
should succeed in getting the Cubans to
consent to the armistice which the Queen
has proclaimed.
For the present the matter is left in the
hands of Congress. so far as the President
Is concerned, but If anything should come
Of the negotiations which are known to be
secretly under way toward securing the
independence of Cuba on an indemnity
basis, there is no doubt that the President
would quickly open negotiations with
Spain while Congress is celebrating over
the form of action 1t will take.
The administration is not particularly
sanguine that the insurgents will consent
to Spain's last appeal for peace. The text
Of the armistice, which is now in the pos
session of the President. was rather dis
appointing to the authorities here, and If
the full terms had been known sooner the
addendum to the Presidents message In
timating desire for delay might not have
been inserted.
Spanish Hopes
NEW YORK, April 12.-From the Min
listers downward, with few exceptions, the
Spaniards are convinced that the main
tenance of Spanish sovereignty in Cuba is
assured now, says Madrid correspondent,
of the World. They believe that the ces-
sation of hostilites, having been decreed
without their entering into any positive
engagement with the United States. must
necessarily lead, through the assistance
Of European powers, to some settlements
satisfactory to their honor and dignity
which means the retention of Cuba and
Porto Rico.
The Span!ards do not seem to have un-
derstood that America, not having been q
party to this suspension, and not having
uPOh oHy Sh6o6cMSht VI ~ OhiiSe
with Spain, has her hands quite free now
for the future. both during suspension OF
hostilitfes and afterward. IL it produces nc
result. They also seem to forget that the
elaine and question pending between the
two countries are by no means suspended
by an event which the United States had
virtually nothing officially to do.
In view of the relations between the two
| rtrine = hao 70 -
vantageous for Spain to have accepted
direct engagements for an armistice ant
the pacifcation Of Cuba suggested by the
United States last week.
Does Not Expect War
J NEW YORK, April 12-The followins
) statement was made to a New Yorl
World correspondent in Berlin by a gen
tleman who, although not an official him
SELF is Immediately acquainted with III,
views Of the foreign department and per
sonally knows its chiefs:
t ut is the opinion of Herr Won Buelow
Germany's Foreign Minister. that ther
Y will be no war.
HE believes that Spain will yield at tn
4 last moment, preferring to risk the tenn
porary dissatisfaction at home, which vii
. result from her yielding to American dc
mands. rather than face the certain rev
u oiution and dynastic crash which would b
the outcome Of an unsuccessful war.
u Neither the Kaiser nor his foreigI
Minister was attracted by the propositio
OF mediation coming from the Empero
Of Austria-Hungary, and they gave 1
q only lukeJwarm support at Washingt on
The World correspondent Is informe
= that the foreign Office in Berlin and tn
y leading commercial circles are in thei
y hearts not averse to the idea of a wa
j between America and Spain. The Cham
- bers of Commerce in both Hamburg an
> Bremen, or rather, the leading member
$ of those bodies, have expressed sanguin
j. hopes that hostilit!es would be followed b
e large increase In the volume of Germa
trade both with Spain and the Unite
States.
The last few days has seen modificatio
% of anti-American views Of the minister.
s press.
1t is beginning to be recognized the
X Germany has several thorny questions I
l. settle with America and that the expre
d sion of too pronounced friendship for Spai
ii Fo, tlotr )