New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1898-10-03
OUTLOOK IN THIS STATE.
REASONS FOR BELIEVING REPUBLICANS
WILL WIN.
CAUSES THAT CONTRIBUTED TO PARKERS VIC.
TORY LAST YEAR DO NOT EXIST NOW
MCRPHY's UPHILL TASK.

CAUSES THAT CONTRIBUTED TO PARKER's VIC.
TORY LAST YEAR DO NOT EXIST NOW
MURPHYs UPHILL TASK.
lFsoM REGULAR CORRESPONDENT OF THE rRIBuyE.I
Albany, Oct. 2.-The State campaign which
Is about opening, in the opinion OF Republican
leaders. is exceedingly hopeful, so far as the
selection OF State candidates Is concerned. no
matter If Alton 3. Parker. the Democratic CAM
didate 10. Chief Judge OF the Court OF Appeals.
was elected last fall. Well-nformed Repub-
licans believe firmly that Colonel Roosevelt and
his associates on the Republican State ticket
will be elected
II is pointed out that Judge Parkers election
was mainly due to the circumstance that thou
sands of Independent Republicans who voted
for Seth Low for Mayor in New-York neglected
to mark the column on the blanket ballot head
ed by the name OF William J. Wallace the Re-
publican candidate for Chief Judge, and thus
more by accident than design, Mr.. Wallace
lost the votes Of thousands OF Republicans
enough 10 have tipped the scale In the other
direction Added 10 this OF the most re-
markable transforms In intensity and length OF
duration swept over The interior Of the State on
Election Day. Hundreds OF Republican voters
were thus forced TO remain at home. The Re-
publican vote in the Republican banner coun-
ty' OF st. Lawrence decreased In consequence
Of that rainstorm from 15.2S7 in 1896 to 6S3S
in 1881, and the Republican plurality dimin-
lshed from 953S to 1868 In Erie County the
Republican leaders aftcrward said the storm
was tremendous that when they sent around
carriages they could not induce the Republican
farmers to leave the shelter OF their homes.
President Mckinley had 1925 plurality In tha
county in 1896; Judge Parker carried it by
plurality of 155 votes.
THE VOTE IN NEW-YORK CITY.
But it was in New-York City where the
change was the most remarkable William
Mckinley had received plurality Of 90 755 over
William J. Bryan but Judge Parker's plurality
over Judge Wallace was 91,439 Judge Parker's
Democratic plurality in New-York was an un-
usually large Democratic one. In 1892, for in
stance, at the election for President Mr.. Cleve-
land had only 1890 plurality in the city. and
in 1888 Mr.. Clevelands plurality only
57174 In 1898 Cord Meyers plurality over
John Palmer. the Republican candidate for
Secretary Of State. was only $3.50 II is thus
seen that Judge Parkers plurality Of 91.4S9
was exceptionally large, and is not likely ito
be repeated. With the Independent Republicans
and Independent Democrats voting for Theo-
dore Roosevelt it is not possible that Augustus
Van Wyck should receive such large plurality,
Judge Van Wyck also labors under the dis
advantage of being clearly Tammany Hall
candidate for Governor His election means tha
extension of Tammanys baneful influence from
the city OF New-York over the entire State. j.
Soat Fassett raised the cry Of "Tammany.' in
his candidacy for Governor, it may be pleaded
by some Democrats. and yet was defeated by
Roswell P. Flower. But 1t must be remembered
that Mr.. Flower ostenslbly lived al Watertown.
Jefferson County, and tn refore was not sup
posed TO be intimately connected with Tam
many Hall. Especially in Northern New-York
Mr.. Flower was regarded as Granger rather
than "a famboyant millionaire and actually
a resident OF New-York City. Judge Van Wyck
will not be able TO make that plea. He is a
resident OF New-York and directly under tho
influence Of Tammany. He owes his nomina-
ton TO Richard Croker. and to the influence OF
his brother, Robert c. Van Wyck the Tam
many Hall Mayor of New-York
NATIONAL AS WELL AS STATE CONTEST.
The indications here are that the Democratic
State Committee intends to make as strong an
effort to elect a. majority Of the Democratic
candidates for Congressman and for members
Of the Legislature as they do 10 elect Augustus
Van Wyck as Governor. Thus 1t becomes a
National contest as well as State one. Whia
no word was said in the Democratic PLATFORM
about the silver policy Of the last Democratic
National Convention. nevertheless, every ona
knows that such men as Congressman Sulzer
and Cummings stand ready to support every
line Of the Chicago platform If reelected To
Congress. In 1896 only five Democratic Con-
gressmen were elected in this State-vehslage,
Bradley. Cummings Sulzer and McClellan-and
all Of them were elected within the city Of New
York. On the other hand there were twenty
nine Republican Congressman elected from ths
State They form a most important part Of the
present Republican majority in the House OF
Representatives. Naturally. the weight Of tha
Democratic attack will be upon the Republican
Congressmen representing districts in New-fork
and Kings counties, which elected nine Repub-
lican Congressman in 1896 A large proportion
OF these districts ought 10 be retained Cold
standard Democrats undoubtedly VIII vote for
the Republican candidates giving the most
assurance Of the maintenance Of the gold stand
ard.
The chIeftains of the Democratic party also
intend to make a savage attack upon George n.
southwick the Republican Congressman from
this (Albany district. Mr. Southwick success
fully offered at Saratoga the inclusion of plank
In the Republican State platform favoring bien-
NAL sessions Of the Legislature The Democrat
ic candidates for Congress and for the State Sem
ate, however will be tied up by the declaration OF
the Democratic State Convention In favor or
biennial sessions and Mr.. Southwck therefore
will have this point in his favor as well as a
successful career in Congress.
Another Congress district which the Demo-
Gratis intend attacking is that Of Rowland p.
Mahany, in Erie County, which the Democrats
supposed when they carved 1t out in 1892 would
he perpetually Democratic. Mr.. Mahany has
been very industrious at Washington IN the
transaction of the official business Of HIS con-
stituents, and therefore is strongly supported
for a reelection.
DISMAL PROSPECT FOR MURPHY.
Senator Edward Murphy. jr. is a candidate
for reelection as United States Senator, and
therefore will make a most tremendous effort