New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1898-01-15
TREATY'S FATE IN DOUBT.
BUT THE FRIENDS OF ANNEXATION
STILL HOPE FOR SUCCESS.

THE SIXTY NECESSARY FOR RATIFICATION
AT PRESENT. But EXPECT TO
GAIN THEM BEFORE THE
DEBATE CLOSES.
rBY TELEGRAPH TO THE rRrBuNEl
Washington Jan. 14-Although the considera-
tlon Of the Hawaiian Annexation Treaty is being
pressed in the Senate with much energy by
Senator Davis and the other advocates Of rati-
fcaton it cannot be said that vote on ap-
proval or rejection II taken to-day. would he
to show the necessary two-thirds atlirma-
tive majority. While It is true that the treaty
has gained materially in strength since the re-
assembling OF Congress- It's friends are not yet
entirely satisfied thai they have enough votes
20 put ratification beyond danger. When the
two houses reconvened January at least
six or eight Republican Senator'S were inclined
to oppose annexation-at least for the present.
while on the Democratic side of the chamber
only two Senators were known to he cordia!ly
and outspokenly in favor OF extending the SOW
ereignty OF the United States over the Hawaiian
Islands.
SEVERAL SENATORS WON OVER
In the last ten days much progress has been
made in the work OF enlisting the full Repub-
can strength in the Senate the side or ratil-
cation: and 1t may be safely said that only one
decided opponent OF annexation is now ieit
among the forty-three Republican members OF
the body. The Silverite and Populist Senators
eleven in all-have. with perhaps three eNcep-
tions been counted on from the beginning OF the
session as supporters OF the treaty. Mr.. Teller.
~ Colorado Mr. Cannon. Of Utah, and MessrS'
Jones and Stewart OF Nevada, being among l's
most consistent advocates. On the Democratic
side however. the tendency to make the ra.i
cation OF the convention a party ISSUE 50 ho'io.
able a month ago, has been checked Win VII
fculty and the great majority or the De'no-
cratic members seem disposed TO go on record
against annexation. chiefly because OF 'he'. us
inclination to support what they consider
measure OF Republican policy
Mr.. Morgan and Mr.. German are the TWO
Democratic leaders who have vigorously han
tanned the traditional party doctrine OF Natlohh'
exnansion and manifest destiny; and ther
efforts n bring other Democrats over 10 thls
historical view have in the last few days oeen
married. with some success. Yet 1t is doupuul
abether more than six Of the thrty-tVe Demo-
cratic nembers of the deliberative branch Wouiu
todav give their votes 10 ratify the pehui"6
convention Sixty Senators must vote TOT '"e
.roatv to insure its success. with forty-t"o nc
nub,icans. six Democrats and eight Populis's anu
Silverltes the treaty'c supporters woulu mum
her dfty-six and the convention Wouli Ian ~
inst four votes. But in the week OF i''o'e ""'
wilt intervene before the debate cloSe' ~
friends Of the convention hope 10 hiaNo ei0
gains on the Democratic side 10 overcolle, ,, Cno
5oarrov, margin which still separates theih l'ohi
assured success.
THE REET SUGAR ARGUMENT GKOC CNDhr'07
A number OF Republican Senators from ''a'e.
particuarly Interested In the prouu0"o' "
sugar beets had been Influenced 10 oppose '"'
,roatv because Of the injury to local producers
which II was fancied free competition WIN
Hawaiian sugars might bring in It's train sen
-. ,rh,,rstor of Nebraska and Senator'S Gear
ord Allison Of Iowa have not hesitated TO say
that thov would prefer TO have the treaty rail-
ratbor than discourage or cripple the Deet-
craving Industry which is being fOstered IN tue
Northwestern States Mr.. Spooner, or WIsC3n.
sin has also held much the same views pa ba'
tho ARGUMENT on which this opposition 10 ratli-
cation has rested has been shown 10 De "houy
a delusive one for transportation rates rom tlic
Pacific 10 Eastern markets are more tnah
niciart bar to competition with American pro-
dncers on the part OF the now shrinking Ha-
waiian sugar crop. The Iowa ana NeDraskd
Senators have had several conferences WIN tIIe
praSident on this subject recently. and though
their attitude Is still slightly doubtful, IL IS
considered highly probable that they VIII event
ually vote to carry the annexation treaty '"''
effect. o,;.,oo,
Mr. Morrill, opposes annexation on pohtica'
not economical. grounds. and is not counted on
10 support the treaty under any circumstances
OF the Populst and Silverite Senator'S MT
Allen Of Nebraska, and Mr.. Pettigrew. or Soutn
Dakota are the most conspicuous enemies or
annexation Mr. Butler. Of North carolina, Is
also counted as hostile 10 the treaty
WHY DEMOCRATS OPPOSE 1T.
The fight against annexation on the Demo
cratic side is being led by Mr.. White. or CALI
fornia. and Mr. Gray of Delaware. The latter
Senator was perhaps the most conspicuous ad-
yocate I'm the Senate four years ago or the mo-
narchical restoration programme attempted TO be
enforced by President Cleveland Most of the
Southern and Southwestern Democrats are
against the treaty be- ause they think they see
in If the germ OF an enlarged Navy and or an
evanston of the role of the United states in
international affairs. Besides Mr.. Morgan ana
Mr. German the friends OF the convention hope
10 bring to it's support Mr. Pettus, Of Alabama
Mr. Morgans tOwnsman and colleague; Mr.
Turnie OF Indiana. Mr.. Money. OF Mississippi.
formerly a member OF the Foreign Affairs Com
,n,ttee Of the House; Mr. Turner. Of Washing
ION. Mr. Daniel OF Virginia; Mr.. kenney. OF
Delaware and Mr.. Murphy. Of New-York
The result Of the vote. however. Is a cause OF
great concern and anxiety to the advocates of
Tatidco ton: nor will II be possible to arrive with
anv accuracy at the Senate's verdict on the
nnnding convention until the roll IS actually
aI