Evening star., 1898-11-03

fair to class the district as doubtful with
the chances decidedly in favor of Low
The sixteenth district embraces West
chester county, the first district north of
the city line. Both parties are claiming the
election of their candidates, with equal de-
grees of certainty. Both candidates are
new men. and the republicans are confident
that the democratic nominee cannot over
ccme the large republican majority given
Tor the candidate Of that party last year.
The seventeenth and eighteenth districts,
which embrace the counties OF Orange,
Rockland. Sullivan. Dutchess Putnam and
Ulster. are republican without question.
The Troy District.
The nineteenth, 1.-The Troy district, may
be classed doubtful, with leaning to-
ward the republican candidate. The regis
tration in the city of Troy was largely in
creased this year and the democrats assert
that it indicates democratic victory. Co.
1umbia county, which is included in this
district, has always been depended upon by
the republicans to Offset a large democratic
Vote in Rensselaer,. Increased registration
makes this doubtful
The twentieth the Albany district
may also be classed as doubtful. with
leaning toward the republican candidate.
In the twenty-first district it is estimated
that the republican candidate. j. X. Stew
art, will be elected by $500 majority.
l.. n. Littauer, republican, VIII be elect
ed in the twenty-second district, as will
l.. w. Emerson in the twenty-third The
democrats did not hold a convention in the
latter district and Emerson has u walk
over.
In the twenty-fourth, twenty-tifth and
twenty-sixth districts republican congress-
men will be elected by majorities estimated
at 5000, .. 500 and 5000, respectively
In the twenty-seventh district il is esti-
mated that NJ. ]. Driscon will DC elected by
5000 majority. George II. Gilbert his op-
npnin Tod hx- thn MrI.r rfs,la
League and the democrats after Congress
man Belden had declined a similar nonIina-
tfon. The secretary of state threw out the
Mckinley League nomination, leaving Mr..
Gilbert to stand upon the democratic plat
form.
The twenty-eighth, twenty-ninth, thir-
tieth and thrty-frst districts may be safe
ly counted in the republican column.
In the Buffalo, thirty-second district,
Congressman Mahany is SAID to be having
a desperate struggle. The district is really
democratic, the big majority of the voters
there being Irish and Poles. Mahany, il is
claimed, captured the seat last term in a
sort of landslide, but this year the demo-
Gratis are making a dead set against him,
and all kinds Of assurances are made that
he will not be reelected or that his ma
jority will be very small. In the municipal
contest last year the foreigners IN Ma
hany's district voted solidly democratic,
and if they are kept in line this year it will
make the result very close. The district
may be classed as doubtful.
In the Buffalo (thirty-third) district Alex
ander, il is believed, will be elected His
district is full Of republicans, and they
rarely change in their allegiance to him.
His usual majority. every one says will
not be reduced this year His district is
filled with wealthy and solid business men.
In the last district. the thirty-fourth,
Warren B. Hooker, republican, will be
elected.
A Recapitulation.
Reduced to the lowest terms the con-
gressionai situation in New York state is
about as follows:
The republicans will control the state leg
islature on joint ballot by a safe majority
This will insure the defeat of Senator Ed
ward Murphy and the return of a sound
money senator from New York. This SEN
ator will probably be Chauncey NJ Depew,
powerful commercial and political interests
having ranged themselves on the side of
DR.. Depew now that he has made an active
canvass of the state in company with Col
onel Theodore Roosevelt.
In the lower house at least seven districts
may be fairly said to be in doubt. These
are the second (Brooklyn), sixth Brook
lyn), fifteenth (Harlem), sixteenth West
nineteenth CTroy), twentieth (Al-
hanyl and thirty-second (Buffalol. II is
also only fair to say that In every one of
these districts the chances favor the re-
publtcans. The only other a.strIct classed
as republican in which there is even a
ghost of a chance Of the democrats winning
Is Quigg's district. the fourteenth. Though
this is claimed by the democrats II would
De unfair TO classify IL even among the
doubtful. Calling the fourteenth repub-
liean, il viii be seen that the republican
delegation in the next House will certainly
consist of twenty members. The probable
delegation is twenty-seven, since the re-
publcans will probably capture all of the
seven districts indicated as doubtful The
districts which will return democrats un-
less the unexpected happens. are the sew
enth, eighth. NINTH tenth. eleventh, twelfth
and thirteenth. This leaves a sure demo-
cratic gain Of one in the next New York
with, of course, a chance OF
making inroads in the list of seven classed
as doubtful.
Taking the worst horn Of the dilemma
therefore, and granting that the democrats
capture all Of these doubtful districts IL ia
still evident that a majority of the deleea-
ton VIII be fer sound money, the represen-
tat.yes from New York state at the very
>. rst standing; Republicans, 20; demo-
cra.s- II.