The evening times., 1898-10-24
ANALYZING THE FIGURES
Various Predictions Wrought
by Registration Experts.
BOTH SIDES ARE SATISFIED
Indications of Heavily Increased
Democratic Ma5orfties i'm New
York Ctty-Republicans Claim the
State VIII Offset Them-VigOrOus
Campaign Work TO BE Done.

New York, Oct 24.-Now that the regis
tration of voters is ended predictions as to
election results are thick as autumn
leaves Leaders on both sides declare they
are pleased with the figures, but all agree
that active, vigorous and unceaslng work
until the closing OF the polls two weeks
from tomorrow shall be the paramount
order of the day.
Many leading Democrats do not hesitate
TO express their convictions that Van
Myck will score a great victory. So far
as this city is concerned, no few of them
insist that Mr.. Croker's estimate of a ma
jority up 10 Bronx borough of 100000 votes
is not incautiously based. John F. Car
holl, The Tammany chieftain's right-hand
man and first lieutenant, out-Crokers Cro-
ker He thinks the Democrats viii carry
the city by upward of l3o,Gc0 votes, and the
State by %, eco. Carroll has the reputation
Of being a clear-he2ded observer of po-
liticaI events, and his prognosticatons
certainly hll the souls of his party asso-
clates with much cheer.
The total registration in the entire city
for the four days is 556. .SSs This is n,eoO
whole registered coo more. The Republi-
cans from this claim gain. Their de-
ductions are met by the Democrats with
a reasonable answer.
WhN Figures Fell on.
Last year the local election IN the great
er city was OF unusual Importance, be-
cause the first mayor OF the consolidated
communities was 10 be chosen, and be-
cause Mr.. Lows candidacy interested re
formers and dilettanti, who are not
aroused this year. In the central districts
the reverse is the case. The voters there
had no State ticket TO enthuse over last
year. while this fall Republicans were
earnestly urged to register and vote
In other words. a falling off in registra-
tion locally is normal, and a failure to in
crease the registration materially up the
State would have been surprising
Greater New York, naturally, consumes
the greater attention of the cipherers.
and the most conspicuous fact is thar
McCUllagh who had promised Plat 10
cut down the registration 5000 votes in
the lower end OF the city, failed signally.
Such reduction as there is, is explained
by the fact that every year the voting
strength down town decreases. owing TO
the removal of residents TO uptown dis
tricls
The Showing in Kings County.
In Kings County, which is the home of
the Democratic candidate for governor
the increases of registration in the Demo
cratic wards have been unusual
They offer a decided contrast TO Re
publican wards, where there has been a
distinct decrease. Kings promises 10 be
an important factor in the election. and
Democrats are confident Of carrying it by
20o9e at least Comptroller CoIer's reve-
lations 10 fraud and wasteful expendi-
ture of money TO friends of the last mu-
niciPal administration are said 10 have
caused serious Republican detection.
Up the State there is no precedent for
the situation existing there. In towns OF
less than 5000 the system Of personal reg
istrati0n does not obtain Therefore the
rural registration proper is purely an es,
innate. The canal towns, $50 in number
might show heavy registrations. yet the
fact indicates nothing to Republican ad-
vantage. Owing to the resentment felt in
canal towns TO the Black administration
IL is fair to assume that they will all
show greatly decreased Republican vote
and, logically, the greater the registration
the greater the Democratic gains
News comes from Albany that a Repub-
Iican election district captain and 100 fol.
lowers neglected 10 register. In the Dem
ocratic town of Schenectady the registra-
tion exceeded all expectations. In Utica
the friends Of Mayor Kinney worked in.
dustriously. and the mayor is on the In.
dependent State ticket. Activity there
means a Republican loss.
Reports from Democratic committee
chairmen from numerous counties up tho
State are very encouraging TO the mana
gers in this city.
Instituted Campaign Oratory.
Two weeks of campaigning remain be-
fore the vote is cast. The active show OF
oratOry will end on the Saturday night
preceding election day, but between that
time and the closing hours of Tuesday
every mans coat will be off to see that
no voter is allowed TO go a fishing Col
Roosevelt's friends have arranged an itin-
erary for him this week that will test tho
Rough Riders wonderful physical
strength. Most Of his orations will be ot
necessity of the five-mnute class show
ing himself to the denizens of the little
towns during the day time with his wal
stories and making set speeches at night
In the larger cities. These bigger places
include Buffalo, Albany. Rochester and
other points where the managers will hire
a hall. The small fry" will have q
chance to hear a few words from the cal
platform and catch a glimpse of a militia
ry wave of his head and a swing of hi: