The morning news. [volume] (Savannah, Ga.) 1887-1900, 1898-08-17
CROP OF 10,5OO,OOO BALES.
SUCH IS HENRY NEILL's ESTIMA-
TION OF THE COMING COTTON.

Even with Somewhat UnfavorabIe
Conditions His Estimation Is As
sured, With a Million and "a Half
Bales More Within the Range of
POssibiIities-CrOp Rapidly Adj
vancing-The Movement for Au-
gust VIII Be Large, and That OF
September EnOrmOus-Present
Prospect for Picking Good.
New Orleans Aug. 16.-Henry Neill, the
cotton statistician, made public tonight
the following letter, to be issued to-mor
row by Nein Bros, in London. giving his
views of the growing cotton crop;
New Orleans, La, Aug. 8, 1S9S.-The
following is an extract from a circular
letter which published dated July 2S
1894:
IF each state should realize a product
per acre equal to its best previous CROP
the result of the estimated acreage would
give a crop of about 100000 bales, and
the promises to-day July %. 1894, is equal
or superior to any previous year In every
state
''The result that year was a crop, to the
best previous crop in every state in Tex
as, vastly greater product per acre.
than any previous year, and the crop
turned out 100000 bales
I'm a circular letter published on Aug
10, 1897, stated that the promise for 1897
'9S was equal to any previous year in
every state but Texas, and that on the
then estimated acreage, even allowing
hot
vious maximum product per acre by
100000 bales, the outlook was aug. 10,
1890, for a crop of at least 9,75OOOO with
100000 or 100000 bales more within the
range Of possibilities. The result this year
QS97-'99 Is now known to be over 5000. 600
outside of Texas and over 100000 bales in
Hexas
LAS regards the present growing crop. 1t
is apparent that the promise to-day is
equal or superior to that of last year at
this date in every state, and vastly better
in Texas, which state has had weather
conditions equal to those which produced
the enormous crop of 800 pounds per acre
in 1S4-95, and this product applied to the
present Texas acreage (6,750O0O acres) in
Guiding the Indian Territory might result
with equal conditions hereafter in a crop
for Texas and the Indian Territory of over
100000 bales, while for the other states
a, crop equal to the past year would be
over 100000 bales.
II have, therefore, no hesitation in say
ing that the promise of to-day, even with
somewhat unfavorable conditions hereaf-
ter, is for a crop Of over 10, 100000 bales as
sured with 100000 more within the range
of possibilities.
"In addition to this vast supply we shall
carry over, on Sept. l, 1898, in visible and
invisible, fully 100000 more than the sup
ply, visible and invisible, on Sept l, 1897
THE crop is advancing rapidly, with ad-
equate heat and rain and promises to be
earlier than any former year with the ex-
ception of 1861 so that the August cot
ton movement win be large and that of
September enormous
In an interview to-day concerning the
weather conditions since the above letter
was written Mr.. Neil said that picking as
well as the August movement market had
been retarded by rain, which, however, is
beneficial, If not too long continued, to the
ultimate outturn, excepting some portion
of the alluvial lands In the Mississippi val
ley, where, however, the weather has now
cleared UP.