The times., 1898-10-23
GENERAL POLITICAL GOSSIP.


confine fherhselyes to giittering gen
eraiities. It is the exception also
when the campaign manager admits
that a contest is likely to be at all
close; his particular side is bound to win
by majorities ranging way up into the
thousands. After election it is easy enough
TO explain discrepancies. The other fel-
lows We're better organized, had more
money to spend, and a hundred and one
other excuses that the experienced politi-
clan always has at his tongues end. II
is remarkable how much better informed
the leaders on both sides are after the
votes We're counted. OF course, they knew
just what was going to happen. but could
not for obvious reasons unbosom them
selves to the public while the campaign
was in progress.
Chairman Odell, of the Republican State
Committee of New York, has "staked
his reputation upon the prediction that
Col. Roosevelt will come down to the i'm
aginary line that separates the Greater
New York territory from up the State"
with at least 10000 majority. This Mr.
Odell states, is his first impression. After
he has fully diagnosed the registration,
week. he will issue another prediction,
but he has no sort of idea that he will be
compelled to reduce his estimate of Col.
Roosevelt's vote above the Bronx" AS
a matter of fact. whatever happens. Mr..
odel is apparently firmly resolved not to
cut down his estimate of the Roosevelt
vote by even single vote. The chances
are that he will discover signs which
! uitl mol I'M adj rh.ara
ten to twenty thousand to Roosevelt's
probable majority. His figures are based
upon 1.-THE most complete and accurate
canvass of the State ever made" The
fact that no Republican candidate. with
the exception of Mckinley, in 1896. ever
came down to the city of New York with
a plurality as large as Mr.. Odell claims
for Roosevelt has apparently no weight
with the Republican chairman. Mr.. Roose-
Welt is to break all records for off-year
campaigns and from this distance 1t looks
as If he would have 10 if he is to come
within gunshot of an election.
| Last year the New York Republicans
nominated Judge Wallace for chief judge
I of the Court of Appeals. He was popular,
an able jurist, and had perfectly clean
record. and yet the best he could do up
! the State was to roll up a majority Of
S6.C00. This was met by majority in the
metropolitan district of over 10000. Over
5000 blank ballots. however were cast
in the city district on judge of the Court
of Appeals. If Col. Roosevelt does as we'll
as Judge Wallace up the State he will
have nothing TO complain on The odds
/ are two to one, or better, that he will
. III.
with a majority to exceed 5000 In New
/ York City, which includes the Greater
New York territory, the conditions are es-
! sentially different than they were last
year. The lines have been drawn between
Roosevelt and Van Wyck, and side issues
/ will cut no figure. There will be no con-
/ siderable plumber of blank ballots cast in
New York City this year. Mr. Croker fig
ures that Judge Van Wyck will confront
the Republican army from the interior of
| the State with at least 10000 majority. II
he does he, should win by 25.eO0.
However. while both sides In New York
are induIstng In extravagant talk regard
/ ing the outcome of the election. 1t is just
possible that She result may not be Off
! ciaIiy determined untii-sevetal weeks after
/ the Sth of November. II the vote should
/ be at all close 1t would be necessary to
! await the returns from the First New
York Regiment Of Volunteers, stationed
/ at Honolulu. By-a special act, passed at
( the extra session of the New York Legis-
lature last Summer provision was made
! to permit the New York troops 10 vote at
! whatever station they might happen to
/ be located at the time of the election. The
/ New York Regiment at Honolulu is the
| only regiment that comes under this law
/ although the AstOr Battery, stationed at
! Manila. may also have the right 20 vote
/ The Secretary of State has forwarded the
! proper blanks to Honolulu and Manila to
be filled out with the returns from the re-
! spective places. The vote of the Astor
| Battery at Manila can be reported by ca
| BILE, but it will be fully ten days before
! the returns from Honolulu can be re-
| ceived. If the result should hinge on
| the Honolulu vote" the country would
| be kept in suspense for nearly a fortnight
What a magnificent opportunity would be
presented in such contingency to certain
| gentlemen to manipulate the stock mar
ket, And IL the Presidency Itself were at
! stake there Is no telling what might hap
pen. Probably before the Presidential
/ eitctloii VI l5uV CdDie VIII nave Deen
laid to the Hawaiian Islands. and serious
complications and delays in canvassing
Presidential returns can be avoided
| Another practical demonstration of Col.
| Roosevefts popularity was given at the
| armory of the Fourteenth Regiment of
New York Volunteers on Friday night.
Some person put up a portrait of Col.
Teddy In the armory. 1t was instantly
greeted with storm of Kisses and cat
calls and shouts of derision. He SIAN
| dered the infantry" was the cry and the
| objectionable portrait was speedily taken
| down. In its place appeared a portrait
of Van Wyck. which was received with
| cheers and shouts of approval. If this
can be taken as a criterion of the senti-
ments of the members of the National
Guard of New York toward Col. Roose-
welt. the latter cannot hope to make any
substantial gains In that quarter.
1t has been an open secret-for some time
that Lemuel E. Quisg. of New York
was remarkable man, and he appears to
be trying to live up to this reputation
When Quigg was first nominated for Con-
gress he told his constituents that ii
elected he, would smash the Wilson
bill. Somehow,athe Wilson bill managed
| to slip through Congress in spite of Mr.
Quigg. In,thes course of a few remarks
the other night to his confiding constitu.
ents. Mr.. Quigg said:
THE Fifty-sixth Congress, whether Re-