The Indianapolis journal. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1867-1904, 1897-11-01
With the View of Capturing the House
Two Years Later and Electing a.
United States Senator.
BUSHNELL IS safe In OHIO
REPUBLICANS ALSO CONFIDENT
OF CARRYING LEGISLATURE.
Interest in Maryland Conferred in the
Fate of German, Who May Lose
His Seat in the Senate.

ALBANY, N Y, Oct. 31.-Twenty-four
hours before the practical closing of the
campaign finds a condition as chaotic as
has ever been apparent in the politics of
New York State, and this is due not to any
lack of well-defined ideas of how the vote
would run if state issues alone and the elec-
tion of an Assembly were the prevailing
factors, but to the injection of some of the
most bitter municipal contests that have
ever prevailed in the cities of the State
In Greater New York, in Albany, in
Rochester, in Syracuse and in Buffalo. the
five greatest cities of the State there will
close tomorrow campaigns on local issues
that have been notably bitter. That these
local affairs will have bearing on the vote
for the only state offices in controversy,
the chief judgeship of the Court of Appeals.
must be conceded-and that they will have
a still greater bearing on the Assembly dis
trict contest Is also apparent.
The indications at this writing are that,
while the contest for chief judgeship Of the
Court of Appeals will be a. spirited one, the
chances are distinctly in favor of the cleo
ton of the Republican candidate The be-
lief is general that the Republican vote in
central and western New York. that has for
the past two or three years been abnormal
ly large, will be in some measure reduced
but there are no indications that it will fall
below it's own normality, which is to bring
down to New York city plurality of $4,000
with which to meet any plurality which the
Democrats below there can show. In the
past two years the plurality in the cities
that make up Greater New York has been
a Republican one, and the best computa-
tion of Democrats of their expected plural
ity in. that district is $4,000, so that, upon
their basis of figures, unless landslide
occurs, the Republican candidate for ap-
peals judge must be elected. The Dem
ocratic candidate has some advantages,
however, in being placed twice upon the
ticket and in newspaper Endorsement, and
these things may prove of greater aid than
has been anticipated. 1t is of advantage to
remember that to elect a Democratic state
officer, after the tremendous Republican
pluralities Of the past three years, would be
an almost unprecedented event. In 1894 the
Republican plurality in this State was 1885,
600, in 1895 it was $4,000 and in 1895. a pres
idential year, it was $4,000. If any one of
these tremendous pluralities is cut in half
it will be a partial victory for the Demo-
Gratis
Within thirty years the Democrats have
controlled the Legislature but four times
in it's two branches, and in that time have
elected by joint ballot but three United
States Senators-Kernan, who was carried
in by the Tilden wave, and Hill and MUIR
ply, elected by the Democratic body that
succeeded what was kown az the Hill ap-
portionment. Throughout the State the
Democrats have made strenuous efforts
this fall to increase the number Of Demo-
cratic members of the lower House, and it
is evident that success will crown their
efforts. Indeed. the Republican managers
have at all times believed that this was not
only possible, but highly probable. The
next Assembly will, however, be still Re-
publican by a very good majority, but the
Democrats will accomplish one thing for
which they are evidently striving, the re-
duction Of the Republican majority to such
an extent that in such reduction they
may see hope of Democratic House in
1899. when successor to Senator Edward
Murphy is to be elected. The Republicans
profess to believe that it will be a good
thing for the party to have a smaller pro-
portion Of Republicans, while still retain
ing a majority within their party.
The localities where the Democrats ex-
pect to gain most largely are New York
and Kings counties. In the former they ex-
pect to capture the Tenth, Thirtieth
Thirty-third, Thirty-fourth Thirty-ffth
and the First WestcheSter, in addition to
those they now hold, and this will give
them twenty-seven members out of thirty
seven. In Kings they are claiming to be
able to get twelve of the twenty-one dis
tricts at the least, calculating to gain in the
Sixth, Seventh, Twelfth. Thirteenth and
Fifteenth districts, in addition to those they
now hold. In the upstate counties those
mentioned as gaining points are: Albany,
Chemung, Rensselaer,, Oneida, Onondaga,
Erie and Niagara.
No contest in politics of purely local ma
ture has ever created such interest in the
upstate counties as has the Greater New
York contest for Mayor, and the death of
one of the foremost candidates has but
added to that interest. From carefully
gathered opinions of Republican leaders.
outside of the confines of the municipality
where the contest is occurring it is ap-
parent that the general expectations are
that Tammany will win, and that Mr. Low
and Tracy will have a fight for second
place. These representations are based on
the theory that the normal Republican vote
is very much more evenly divided among
the candidates than is the Democratic vote
and the information comes from such re-
liable sources that it is hardly to be ques-
toned.
In the other cities it is believed the Re-
publican candidates for mayor will be uni
versally successful, with the probably ex-
succeed the present Democrat.