The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1897-11-02
VOTES FOR Low THROWN AWAY.
Wbo Ever Heard or Heating Tnmmany with
out the Republican PartJ's Help

who Ever Heard or Heating amman With
out the Republican PartJ's Help
w. N. Amory of tho West Side Republican
Club is considered to be an expert political
mathematician and he said yesterday:
Attention was called the other. day by the
greater detection had ever taken place in the
Republican party than in the Folger year, when
such detection amounted to 14i9 per cent Of
In 1895 the vote for Secretary Of State in the
district now including Greater New York was
divided in the following way:
The Democrats cast........ ....53l per cent
And ali others. Including the Prohibition PEI cent
lists, Populists and socialistic Labor. Ala per cent
In 1896 tho vote for President was divided as
follows:
Republican per cent
All others a. per cent
The vote for Governor was as follows:
per cent.
Ali other s.. per cent.
Tho Republican candidate for President re.
eSs . IN S Tns' 9 9oT o Sbons Is 700 5o' r .etsst0 mop %,
than the Republican candidate for Governor in
1896. The sound money principles that were
tisi candidate than IN the candidate for Gov
ernor readily account for this increase of votes.
for President and to consider only tho votes for
Governor q. more nearly. Il not exactly. show
present time. 1t is well. known that the feeling
Of lifelong Democrats became, as earnest in
their efforts 70 elect the Republican candidate
business men in their remarkable parade were
but one indication OF the feeling that was
aroused.
Yet here is the remarkable fact to be con-
sidered in the face of the extraordinary feeling
that was known, to exist last year; namely. tho
cent. of their normal vote, while the ,Republi-
ernor the Democratic loss was only GIG per cent,
while the Republican gain was sa per cent: -.
SO, 900 90 votes Hsss t cast for ont governor ov . S4t sH iast year in the the
outlying districts covered by Greater New York,
and further. deduct an equal amount from both
the Republican and Democratic vote of last
| year, say 10000. and allow George, this vote,
and SO leave this also ont of our calculations,
we have q comparatively simple problem TO
We may therefore consider that there remain
and $4,000, less 5000, equals 234, 900 Rcpub.
leans, which Democratic and Republicsn votes
Van Wyok. Tracy, and Low.
OF course. Low will get some Of the votes. and
following is an arPangement of figures showing
| tho proportion Of Democratic votes he would re-
e%ent4gos Of the Republican votes are allowed
'First-Supposing Mr.. Low gets 25 POT cent, of
the whole, Republican vote. no would receive
equal 1tr.cy's vote Low would require So per
cent. Of the sS Whole Democratic VOTE leaving Van
sscond-Supposing Mr.. Low gets 80 per cent.
Of the Republican votet he would receive 70.
equal Tracy's vote Low would have to get from
leaving Van Wyck los. 900 votes;
Thisd-Sgpposing Low has ssis per cent cS Of
votes. leaving, Tracy 10000. Yet. to equal
Tracy's yole, he must get 1880 Democratic
votes. or 80 per cent. OF all Democratic votes.
leaving Van Wyck 121, 900 votes.
F~ourth-Let Low have 40 per cent. of all tho
Republican vote; he would then take from
Tracy 90. 600 votes, leaving but 100000 Repub-
lican votes. and yet to equal this vote he has
leaving Van Wyck 152, 200 votes.
In view Of the fact that under the most ~extraor.
binary circumstances of last year the defec-
ton from the Democratic vote amounted to only
IL per cont. and the Republican to only II per
amounting TO but 14lo .per cent. resulted. 1t
seems clear enough that In this present year OF
1897 no such upsetting of the two great parties
can possibly happen, as Mr.. Low adherents
seem to expect. particularly when their expec.
tationS are expressed in plain figures Arranged
by percentages. as above. II these figures prove
anything, they prove that Low cannot possibly
be better than third in the coming race.