The Austin weekly statesman. (Austin, Tex.) 1883-1898, 1897-11-04
IN NEW YORK STATE 1T is
THOUGHT THE REPUBLICANS
WILL BE VICTORIOUS.
STATEMENT BY HENRY GEORGE JR.
Says He Will Carry Out Every Prom
Use of His Father Especially
the Prosecution of Public
COrruptiOnists-NOt

| hours before the practical closing of
the campaign finds II condition as cha0t-
ic as has ever been apparent IN tine pol
tiles of New York state, and is due, not
to any lack of wel-defined ideas of how
the vote would run If state issues alone
| and the election of an assembly were
the prevailing features, but 10 the in
lection of some of the most bitter NUM-
cipal contests that have ever prevailed
in the cities of the state. In Greater
New York, in Albany, in Rochester in
Syracuse and in Buffalo there will close
tomorrow campaigns upon local is
sues that have been notably bitter.
That these local affairs will have a
boaring upon the vote for the only state
office in controversy. the chief judge
ship of the court of appeals, must be
conceded, and that they will have still
greater bearing on the assembly district
contests is also apparent.
The Indications at this writing are
that while the contest for chief Judge
ship of the court of appeals will be a
spirited one, the chances are distinctly
in favor of the election of the rcputli-
can candidate The belief is general
that the republican vote in New York,
which has for the last two or three
years been abnormally large, will
be in some measure reduced. but there
are no indications that it will fall below
its own nomality, which is enough to
bring down to New York City Il plurali-
ty of $1,000 with which to meet any
plurality which the democrats below
there can show. In the past two years
the plurality in the cities that make up
Greater New York has been republic
can one. and the best computation of
democrats of their expected plurality III
that district is $4,000. so that upoa this
basis of figures. unless Il landslide oc-
ours. the republican candidate for court
of appeals judge must he elected. The
democratic candidate has some adyan-
tages. however. in being placed twice
upon the ticket an in newspaper en-
dorsement, and these things may prove
of greater aid than has been anticipated.
1t is of advantage to remember that to
elect Il democratic state officer after tn"
tremendous republican pluralities OF the
past three years would he ali almost nm
precedented event. In 1894 the republic
can plurality in the state WAS 100000,
in 1895 it was 10000, and in 1896. Il
presidential year, it was $4,000. If
any one of these tremendous pluralities
is cut in half it will he Il partial vie
tory for the democrats. Within thirty
years the democrats have controlled the
legislature but four times in its two
by joint ballot but three Ulited States
senatorS-kernan. who was carried lii
by the Tilden wave, and Hill and Muir
ply, elected by the democratic body
that succeeded what was known rs rhe
Hill apportionment. Throughout the
state the democrats have made siren.
uous efforts this fall to increase the
number of democratic members of the
lower house. and it is evident that sue
tt.ill thn;p Inla
the republican managers nave at all
times believed this was not only posi-
BILE. but highly probable. The next as
sembly will. however. he still republic
can by a very good margin. but the dem
ocrats will accomplish one thing. for
Which they are evidently striving, the
reduction of the republican majority TO
such an extent that in such reduction
they may see hope of Il democratic house
Murphy is to be elected. the repull
cans profess to believe that it would
he good thing for the party to nave a
smaller portion of republicans while
still retaining II majority within their
party. The localities where the demo-
Gratis expect to gain most largely ale
New York and Kings counties. In
the former they expect to capture the
Tenth. Thirtieth. Thirty-third. Thirty
fourth and T'hirty-tifth districts. ard
the First Winchester. in addition To
those they now hold, and this will give
them twenty-seven members out of
In Kings county they |
are claiming to he able to get twelve |
out of the twenty-one districts. at the |
least. calculating to gain in the Sixth. |
Seventh. Twelfth. Thirteenth and Fiji !
teenth districts, in addition to those |
they now hold. In the up state coun- !
ties those maintained as gaining points |
are Albany. Chemungo. Rensselaer,. |
ONEIDA, Onondaga, Erie and Niagara.
No contest in politics of purely local |
nature has ever created such an inter !
est in the up state counties rs the Great |
or New York contest for mayor, and the |
death of one of the foremost candidates |
has but added to that interest. From
selected opinions of repuhli-
can leaders outside of the municipality |
where the contest is occurring it is ap' !
parent that the general expectations are |
that Tammany will win and that MIR.
Low and Mr.. Tracy will have Il fight |
for second place. These prognostica-
tons are based upon the theory that the
normal republican vote is very much |
more evenly divided among candidates
than the democratic vote. and the in
formation comes from such reliable
that it is hardly to be ques-
toned. In the other cities it is be-
ieyed the republican candidate for
mayor will be universally successful, !
With the possible exception of Albany,
where n democrat may succeed the pres
ant democrat