The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1897-11-14
rnn1n 2 rorror aUrssrs.
no T~asntnnny District Leaders nearer Rirht
This Ycar Than Usual.

There Is not much substance to election proph-
ecios after the voting, usually, and the recent
municipal campaign was one OF wild and mis-
ieedlng estimates by politicians generally, y
condition due in considerable measure, perhaps.
10 the sudden shifts during tho fight. The most
certain quantity in tho recent canvass was, of
course. the Tammany Hall vote, and the guesscs
made In the Wigwam concerning It on the Sat
urday preceding the election proved pretty close
to the mark. closer, indeed. than tho prognosti-
cations OF Tammany leaders have been for a
number OF years.
The collective estimate made on Saturday,
Oct, 30, of Judge Van Wyck's plurality in New
York city by the Tammany Hall leaders was
62,lO0. He actually received on the Tuesday
following 90, 200. In the First district, Col.
Murphy, an old campaigner, estimated 2,400 as
the Van Wyck plurality; it was $685.. Alder
man Brown estimated the Second at 5000; 1t
was 2.9Oa. John Purcell's estimate OF the Third
was 1000; 1t was 3,O32. Coroner Fltzpatrick's
estimate OF the Fourth was 5000; IL was 1929.
Senator Martins estimate OF the Fifth was
LOO; it was 367. Senator Sullivan's estimate
OF the Sixth was 2,500; 1t was exceeded
considerably, the plurality reaching 2,0i9.
Mr.. Boyles ,stimatc of tho Seventh was
1000; 1t WINS 2,l74. C~ouncilman.elec
Engers estimate in tho Eighth was 500; 1t was
'-N' ~N'eNbh q htthh rs NNO
Ninth was 1900; it was 1,lOl. Register Soh-
mer's estimate in the Tenth was 500; 1t was
s6l. Former Excise Commissioner Dalton csti-
m ted the Van Wyck majority in the Eleventh
at 600; it was 2,i95. In the Twelfth district
the estimate was 1900; the majority was
1886. In the Thirteenth district eN-Alderman
pooling, made a very close. guess. He figured
Judge Van Wyck's plurality at 800; IL was
1,55s. In the Fourteenth district Alderman
2324., In tho Fifteenth district, ex-senator
tions and is said to have backed them at
wagers are not prohibited by section . Of Article
II. OF the State Constitution; estimated = plural
ifs Gi Too tho tsr ' piaTs, HSn W %Ss a n tse Fi pa,r'lR
Keenan, estimated 1900 in the sixteenth dis
triet as 2 plurality; it was 2,oi6. In the Seven.
tTiet Alderman Murphy estimated $4,000; il was
2,3SG. In the Nineteenth district Mr.. Sexton
estimated the contest as too close to give fig
pre; Judge Van Wy,ck lost the district by 500.
h Il 56e T tSs ninro Mr; kS %ns S.oS S:ti"n In T sSs
Twoniy;irst district MIR. DcnohIo estimated
the majority 2, Judge Van Wysk at 200; his
very aeesratc, for, Judge Van wysk was beaten
in 1t by 957; In the Twenty-sccond district. tho
rality was predicted; $3.50 were the figures at
tnined. In the wenty.third district 1000 was
S plaeed ra l1r S%Ss Confidence nhh msf tx some q Sa sStS on m for
Judge Van Wyck's plurality was 1.429. In the
Twenty.fourth district 1900 plurality was
claimed; -2.194 were the correct figures.
In the Twenty-lfth district former Com
against Van Wyck; the actual majority agai st
him was 700. In the Twenty.sixth district the
Tammany estimate was 1000 for Judge Van
Wyck; 4.161 were the figures. In the Twenty.
seventh district the claim WAS made that the
district was too close for estimate; it was
lost it by 800. In the Twenty.eighth dis
trict Senator Fcathcrson's estimate was 800
for Van Wyck; he attained 1859. considerably
more. In the Twenty-ninth district an ad.
verse plurality Of 200 against Van Wyck was
estimated on the Saturday preceding elec
for Judge Van WICK fell short IT, the district by
1888. In the Thirtieth district, where Mr.
Drlmour is leader Of the amman Hall orces
the best antc-clect' on guess OF all was recorded
-2,3OO plurality for Judge Van Wyck. TIL,
actual plurality was . ,2S9. In the Thirty.frs
the Saturday preceding election by Tammnn.
Hall, the claim being made that the district wa
too close to permit of one. II was not. in fact
so Close as that, for Judge Van Wyck lost 1t b.
$50. In the Thirty-second district $500 plu
rali,y was claimed for Judge Van Wyck
district 1000 majority was claimed: 2,043 wer
the figures. In the Thirty-fourth district 9, 2O
was claimed; 1880 was the plurality. In tn
Thirty-hfth district 1000 plurality was claimed
the actual plurality for Judge v n Wyck wa
3.O49. In the annexed district Of the Bron
1900 plurality WAS claimed and l.O53 pluralit
for Judge Van Wyck was attained.
Mr.. Sheehan was quite accurate in his est
mated plurality of the present city. SO. 900. Judg
Van Wyck fell a little short OF that, but no
election results in a year Of triumph than in on
of defeat.