The Scranton tribune. [volume] (Scranton, Pa.) 1891-1910, 1897-10-23
Forecast OF The
New York ReSdIf
From the New York sun,

From heNew York Sun.
The general Indications of the campaign
and special investigations made In all the
assembly districts by both parties agcee
in the suggestion OF large vote for
Henry George. He and his managers
profess, and undoubtedly with entire sim
Certy, that their confidence in his election
Is stronger now than ever; but neither
the Republicans nor Tammany believe
that there is any solid justification for 1t.
Besides the distraction of Tammany votes
by George, there will also be loss of
some Democratic votes 10 Low. This
number is not likely to be large, but they
will serve. SO far as they go, to divide
still further the Democratic vote, and to
that extent will II ilitate against Van
Wycks chances. Putting together the loss
to George and to Low, how can the re-
| nainder left to Tammany be enough to
| elect its ticket?
.Unquestionably, the first requisite to n
reasonable examination is to estimate the
| strength of the George movement. Such
votes as George gets will be drawn al
most wholly from Tammany. Hence no
| reasonable estimate of Van Wyck's vote
| is possible until we have reached some
conclusion as to the proportions of the
| George movement and accordingly 1t is
| hard to believe that the Wall street bets
| of great odds in favor of Van Wyck are
| other than mere electioneering devices.
| That he will suffer seriously from the di-
| version of TanImany voters to George is
undeniable. Georges candidacy is sup
ported manfestly by a great part of the
| intense and enthusiastic Bryanite senti-
| ment which gave Tammany $4,000 votes
| last year and polled 225, 600 votes for Bryan
| in the Greater New York. That he will
| divide and perhaps get the lions share
| of 1t. How, then, can any sane man at all
| a a n ted x3yfth irc
tions look upon Van Wyck's election as
| sure or even probable? We question II
| there is any such man. Many men may
have the hope; the absolute confidence is
| in none.
Lows candidacy suffered a blow from
| the George nomination from which il
| cannot recover Georges friends lent
powerful assistance in filling up the Low
| petition, but VIXEN their own hero be-
| came a candidate himself all hands
| dropped Low forthwith and turned in en-
| Enthusiastically to the support of George.
| He and not Low is now the leader of the
| opposition to political organization. The
Low movement is swallowed up in the
| George movement so far as concerna
that sentiment. Apparently there remains
| to Low onIy the support of the Mug
| wumps and the few thousands of Cleve-
land Democrats and Republican desertera
who will cling to him to the last The
election of Low may be dismissed from
the possibilities. He is not likely to come
within sight of the goal.
| The election of General Tracy is as.
sured, under present conditions, if the
| Republican strength is concentrated or
him. The normal Republican vote of the
| Greater New York, calculable according
to the percentage of the whole vote showr
in past elections during a long series OF
years, exceeds 100000. The loss in 1t dut
to the Low candidacy viii be small ac.
tually and proportionately, as we have
said already, and that loss will be made
UP wholly or largely by Democratic votes
for General Tracy as indubitably the can
didate whose election is most probable
and who alone represents the opposition
to Organism, defeat of which Is recog
nized by every conservative man as es
sential to the prosperity of this cOmmun
ity. Looking at the situation thus dis
passionately, General Tracy is assuredly
in the lead.