The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1897-10-18

1t La Pretty Certain to Have . Republican
Majority Again This Wear.

ALBANY. Oct. 1.-THE Assembly to be chosen
next month will be the third elected under tho
new Constitution adopted in 1894, which
increased the membership of the lower house
from 12s 20 $50. The first Assembly chosen un.
der the terms established and under the nppor.
tionments made in compliance with it was
elected in 1895. and consisted OF lib Republi.
cans and II Democrats. The second Assembly
chosen under tho new conditions was elected
last year. and WAS composed Of 10 Republicans
and 80 Democrats only. The Assembly to be
chosen next month will have no part in the cleo.
ton of n United states senator unless, in the
meanwhile, = vacancy should arise, for the term
OF Senator Murphy does not expire until March.
1sN9. and that OF Senator Plat until March. 1908.
The Democratic mInorit! OF 80 last year. little
more Than onc.third Of In" total membership
OF the lower house. was made up of / REPRE-.
sentative from Albany. = from Erie county, 7
i from Rensselaer,. and / from SchoharieS> wShich,
was the on y one OF the sixty counties in New
York carried for Bryan and Sewall at last years
last Assembly, 30, or siX.sevenths of the total
number, came from t%errit9ry TO he included
borough OF Queens. or at least so much Of it as
includes Long Island City.
With an Asscmbl OF $50 members, 20 are
required to constitute n majority, and the Dem
%ocratic representation must, therefore. be moro
than doubled to put the Republicans in any peril
OF losing the lower branch OF the next Lrgisla.
ture. From all present reports the probahili.
will be increased. it will not be increased to an
extent so great as to tut in jeopardy Rcpubli'
can Gontrol; The present Indications. indeed.
100 members, and the Democrats will elect from
80 to 30, giving a safe and secure Republican
majority. but a smaller one than there was in
The session of 1897 or IN that of 1896. IL is
hardly 10, be expected. al accounts agree. that
as large. this year. with only a.Iudge TO be voted
FOR on the state ticket, as il was u year ago in
to the preservation of the public faith and credit.
but also to the election for four years of "a Prcsi.
dent Of the United States; and for two years of
u Governor OF the state of New York.
\ diminution OF the Democratic vote is prob
able. TOO. though to a less extent; and, more
over, in some OF the d~istrictso of the state, though
not all, the National Democrats, so called. are
this year { yorinE the organizes on state ques.
may make difference enough to turn the scale.
This is especially. so in a county like Eric. Erie
county has now eight members of Assembly, and
SIX OF them IN the last Legislature were ltcpub-
leans. H. the Fourth District Of Erie. however.
this was the vote last year: llepublicnn.. :, 1l6:
Republican plurality was 50 votes; but. with the
National Democrats added 10 the Bryan poll, the
200. This is one Of the districts which the Dem.
ocralS expect 10 gam, and another is the First
District OF Oneida, more generally called the
Utica district. 1t was, last represented by u
Republican; but in the election Of 1901 it was
carried by the Democrats by 400 majority. and.
likely, some politicians think, to be found again
in NE Democratic COLUMN this year.
wanda district. is another which some OF the
iDeniocrats are claiming. In Last years election
in Monroe county, which now has I members of
Assembly, the Brynniie vote was III. 500 ana tho
Mckinley vote 26, zoo, On tho GOvrrnorship.
however, tho Black vote was "a. 900, III" Porter
vote $1,000, and tho National Democracy vote
46s. This gave the Republicans IA good majority
under conditions unusually favorable TO their
success, but a majority by no means large
enough to assure Republican success in all four
districts of Monroe in an ordinary fight. A gain
OF one or two AssembiynCn hero j. therefore
mates include. / q. n gain of ono in Albany, one
IN seneca, which Is usually llcmOcratic, and one
in Oswego. the First Assembly district of which
was carried by the Republicans last year by Il
majority of 30 votes only.
These gains, which the Republicans by no
means concedc, would make 40 material change
IN the Legislature were II not for the fact that
there is some apprehension of Republican losses
IN the territory OF New York by reason Of the
vinfictiyc and trca"hrrOun course OF the So
called Otis in running candidates to divide tho
Hepuhiican vote in many districts otherwise
Republican. There were fourteen Republican
n'cinbers OF Assembly In Kings county in the
last Legislature there were thirteen from Sew
YORK city; there WAS one from richmond one
from Queens, and one from the portion OF WCst-
chester which has some NJ the Greater New
lork, within its boundaries. a total ~ thirty
members in adjust the same As the Demo
cratic membership from tho Greater New York
year ago. This year in stand.up light be-
tween Inc Two parties n Democratic gain IL four
or nye districts would not be uneNnCCted and
would make no great difference. With, now
ever, rival Citizens candidates running IN some
! democrats may. perhaps, be gained.