, 1896-08-18

lOtdlS. .........lt l-o 10
Now let us begin to build on each Of
the first columns and take away from
the last, or doubtful" one. We have
reached the point where trouble begins,
and yet it becomes more interesting as
one gets deeper into the column Of
contentious. An honest money men
will be most concerned in the manner
in which Mckinley will most certainly
make up his deficit of "a electoral
votes. 1t will be noted, with surprise.
| do not doubt, that l have placed as
doubtful Indiana. Illinois. Michigan
and Wisconsin, having 65 electoral
votes among them. AT least three of
these states are as certain for Mckinley
as in New York. Michigan. if reports be
true, may properly be classed for the
present as fighting ground for both
parties. Omitting Michigan's IA votes.
there are yet 81 electoral votes that no
one need hesitate to count for McKin-
ley.
ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI.
With these, however, the Ohio candi-
date is still 80 votes short of a major
ity. Does any one dispute crossing the
Mississippi river. that Iowa's 10 votes
should be added to the Mckinley total?
Iowa was true to Harrison in 1892, CIV
ing him a plurality OF 1855 and a ma
jority OF 1870 over Cleveland and
Weaver together. In 1893, Horace
Boies, for governor, ran 1920 votes
behind jackson, the republican candi-
date, who had a majority OF 1922 over
Boies and the populist combined. In
1894, the last state election, the repub-
licans polled 1896 plurality over the
democrats and 44.4S9 majority owe
both democratic and populist candi-
dates, running separately. The IL con-
gressmen from the state are solidly
republican, and in every case won over
the populist and democratic oppo-
nents. Why hesitate about putting
such a state in the sound money col
umn? Iowa's 10 votes, therefore, take
the Mckinley strength over the 200
mark-1S1 and Is making 204, or 20
short of the much desired number.
What state comes next in order as a
Mckinley probability?
Michigan's IA votes are not to be
lost sight Of at this juncture; but as l
conceded that state as genuinely
doubtful l win pass those votes and
lake UP Minnesota. Can any popo-
GRAFT give a substantial reaso for keep
ing those nine votes out OF the Mckin-
ley column? Harrison carried 1t by
q, 9O7 plurality four years ago, when
republicanism was at low-water mark.
and a presidential elector who was on
the democratic and populist tickets was
beaten 1854. At the last state cleo
tion, in 1894, in a th~ree-cornered fight
the republicans polled 147,944 votes,
populists 1881 and democrats $3.50
a republican majority over both OF g.
1874. Besides this sweeping victory. iD
the seven congress districts the repub-
lican candidates won and in four OF the
them had majorities over democrats
and populists together. II the figures
OF the past mean anything. certainly
Minnesota can be classed with the 9TH
er Mckinley states, and when so plac-
ed its nine votes bring the sound
money cause within II votes Of a tri-
umph.
There are several states west OF the
Mississippi from which these nine
votes might reasonably be expected.
and ever III they could not be had and
the republican concentrated in
doubtful Michigan, with its IA votes.
the battle would be won without going
further. The Mckinley column would
then foot up as follows:
1OWd ....... / y