The Seattle post-intelligencer. [volume] (Seattle, Wash. Terr. [Wash.]) 1888-1914, 1896-11-01


week Republicans nor only feel confident
thar they will carry all the states claimed
by them a month ago. but have even
placed some of the dOubtfuT ones n their
column Democrats and Popul.sss. on the
contrary. are conceding states heretofore
claimed and content themselves now with
claiming the election OF Bryan BY small
ma tority OF the electoral votes.
Either all the oid-time leaders. tho war
horses of many past polstscal campaigns.
both Republicans and true Democrats. are
wholly at sea IN their predictions OF party
victory, or there viii be on election day
such q tidal wave IN favor OF upholding
the national credit as swamped our of
sight forever the greenback craze OF de-
parted and unwept memory
Here is a summary of what - 10 be ex-
pected Tuesday. from q Republican stand
point. The solid South broken. and Ken
lucky joining its interests with those Of
the New England states. on the Pacific
coast, California. Washington and Oregon
probably for Mckinley; IN the Middle
West and Northwest. Ohio. Indiana. Illi-
nois, Michigan and Minnesota hosting the
gold standard with overwhelming MAORI
ties.
The estimates Of Vice Chairman Apsley.
of the Republican congressional commit
tee. only leaves Bryan II votes. ne
pablicans at headquarters are making
strong talk to back this opinion. One
friend OF Mr.. Apsley had sufficient conf
dence in his judgment TO offer TO Chair
man Faulkner, of the Democratic COM
msttee. a wager of leo even that Mr..
Apsiey's estimate of 325 electoral votes for
Mckinley would be found more correct
on the morning after election day than the
estimate Of Chairman Faulkner. The lat
ter gentleman declined the wager.
Secretary Edgerton. OF the Populist con-
gressional committee. was not behindhand
with estimates showing the feasibility OF
Bryan's election He Is even more cock
sure Of the result than Chairman Faux
ner. Of the Democratic committee. who Is
unable TO see more than 20 sure votes for
Bryan, the other four necessary votes be-
ing lost In hope. But Mr.. Edgarton is
confident that Bryan Is already cure OF
233 electoral votes. nine more than Is
necessary for his election. A few words
suffice TO show how he makes out this
sure" resuit-aiso 10 prove that this con-
hdent calculator possesses in a most re-
markable degree the faculty OF twisting
things his way: California. Indiana. Ken
lucky. Minnesota. Nebraska, Oregon.
West Virginia and Wyoming go In Mr..
Bryan's sure column. To these he adds
IS probably for Bryan" Delaware. ILL.,
nois, Iowa. Maryland. Michigan and Ohio
SIS more votes. which would make the
total Bryan vote 3ls. leaving Maj. Mckin-
ley les.
There are others'-estimates. ] mean
thick as vallambroSa's leaves, but these.
given by the most prominent men In each
party, are fair samples OF how the pen
ellis have been at work on this simple
sum OF addition. In the vain effort to get
the right answer. The permutafions and
combinations OF forty-fire states. even
when only two candidates are considered.
are so varied that the figuring becomes re-
ally fascinating after one has worked at
it as long as these men.
So far as individual opinion goes each
man seems 10 look at the situation la each
doubtful state and all over the country IN
the way he wants 1t TO 60. The most en-
couraging indication is that sporting
men, have more money to wager for Nc
Kinley than they have for Bryan. Sport
Ing men," as rule. are not inspired with
sufficient sentiment for one side or the
other to place their money where they
are the most likely TO lose it, Sporting
men" generally get the best information
for the reason Mat they seek 1t oat In a
business way. and il often costs them
money In the obtaining of inside facts.
They size up an election precisely as they
90 a morse race. Vt CouTsc tiitS some tunes
lose hut in general. DIT elections as well
as races. they get their living by backing
their opinions. and generally awe money
10 spend
Betting IS punished by very stringent
laws in the district court OF The District
OF Columbia--if IL ever becomes known TO
the courts-but bets are posted publicly
in the most prominent saloons frequent
~ running up into ne thousands There
has been considerable fluctuations in the
odds in various doubtful states but en- the
general results the oJds are Almost m
variaby three TO one in favor of McK.n-
ley-never less than two 10 one. Gambl ly
men who keep In touch with their srater-
nifty all over the country say that there
| is not city of any size in the United
| fered, and that millions of dollars will
| change hands on the result.
| Advices from the best sources are that
| the Democrats have barely flghtny
| chance in Indiana the weakest of all ne
| middle Western states. In that state the
Democrats have aad an excsatingIs lame
| organization and few funds with which :,
| better matters. This state. therefore. may
| be considered reasonably certain for Ne
| Kiniey.
Not TO compete With the national COM
| mit:ees in making tabu.ar statements, hut
| simply TO afford ante-eie,tion readers in
Washington -iew of the siIGstlcn VIII. Il
| a prominent Democrat AMI an equally
| prominent Republican consider c.rtfu.
| conservative and who'll safe prophecy, /
| present HEREWITH he following:
| STATES REASONABLY CERTAIN FOR
.H>-ah~.s[.