The daily morning journal and courier., 1896-09-21
A REPUBLICAN ESTIMATE
TJrENTY-FOUR STATES WIFE oyS
 TOTES CLAIMED FOK 1,KINLEY.

New England Heads the List With Thirty-
 nine Votes-kansas, Nebraska, North
 Carolina, North Dakota and Wyoming in
 the Doubtful Column-Louisinna, Ten
 nessee, Missouri, Texas and Virginia Not
 All Certain for Bryan-OnIy Seventy Votes Conceded to the Free Silver Ticket
 Republican Cause Gaining Daily.
 Athens, O., Sept 2O.-General Gros- venor tonight gave out table of esti- mates of the probable results for the election at the request of certain mem- bers of the press in the east
 He said: have been urged for sev- eral weeks to authorize the publication of table of estimates of the presiden- tial election and have hesitated to do so because there was more or less un- certainty in regard to the result; not that there has ever been any uncer- tainty or doubt in the intelligent mind as to who would be elected, but follow ing the St. Louis convention and the nomination of Bryan and Sewall by one faction of the democratic party and the substantial absorption of the popu- list party, which succeeded that event, l there was some uncertainty as to how | a number of the states would finally | go.
 This condition of uncertainty has not yet entirely disappeared, but the l general drift of political events has l reached a point where think need not hesitate to point out substantially how the special states will go. The six | New England states with 39 electoral votes, will go to Mckinley, so head l my table as follows
 New England, 39; New York, Se; New Jersey, 10; Maryland, s; Delaware, g., Pennsylvania, 32; West Virginia, 6: Ohio 23; Indiana, 15; Illinois. "A; Michi- | gan, IA; Wisconsin, 12; Iowa, 13; Min- 1 nesota, g; South Dakota, 4; Kentucky, | IS; Oregon, 4; Washington, 4 Califor- mia, g; total, 27S.
 Here is total of 278 votes or 54 more than sufficient to elect, all of which are practically sure for Mckinley. l I next come to some states which are l still in doubt but which under the high 1 tide of republican success now sweep l ing over the country would almost be sure to vote for McKinley--if not all of them, at least very large proportion of them, to wit:
 Kansas, 10; Nebraska, 8; North Caro- lima, III; North Dakota, 3; Wyoming, 3. Total 35.
 l Here are 35 electoral votes from which Mckinley will surely receive enough to make good any accident that may befall the total of 278.
 Of the remaining states Louisiana 8, Tennessee 12, Missouri IT, Texas 15, Vir- ginia 12-total 64-are one or more of them in the line of possibility, might almost say reasonable probability. concede to Bryan and Watson or Bry- an and Sewall, or whoever it may be at the right time:
 | Alabama, II; Arkansas, B. Colorado. 4 Florida. 4; Georgia, 13; Idaho, g.; 1 Mississippi, g; Montana, 8; Nevada, 8: South Carolina, g; Utah, 8.
 These are practically sure for the op- position, although there may be pos sible dispute even along that line. [ put my estimate upon the facts within my own personal knowledge of the rap- i'd and mighty change in public senti- ment that has been going on ever since the actual campaign of 1896 began. | believe that the vote of Arkansas, to which our opponents are pointing with pride, Is more significant of coming re- suits in the middle and western states than is even the magnificent victory in Maine.
 The fact that a state like Arkansas. l hn nhu nefe fer.n nf xayIn oJo we have become so familiar, exhibited such a splendid increase of republican, votes and such significant decrease of democratic votes Is in the highest degree important and relative in- crease of republican votes in the other states of the middle west would give us I practically solid vote.
 No sensible man can shut his eyes to the fact that the Mckinley tide has been rising since about the first of Au- gust, and that the ratio of it's increas- ing power grows greater every day The entire campaign is suggestive of 1872, when In July and August there was grave apprehension that Greeley might be elected. Yet in November he was overwhelmingly and disastrously | defeated.
 | prophetic utterances of our opponents may be we'll illustrated by the situa- tion In Ohio. During my recent trip to the east I found scores of republicans who were anXiously inquiring if Ohio would be carried by Mckinley, and scores of democrats who insisted that their information left no possible doubt of McKinley's defeat in his native state. I even saw attributed to Chair man Jones of Arkansas the suggestion that Ohio was confidently relied upon | as a Bryan state. Since my return [ have had advices from every congress sional district in the state and I pre- dict with confidence that am willing to maintain at any hazard that Me- Kinley will have more than 100000 ma- jority in Ohio, and that we will carry as many congressional districts as we did in 1894, or in no event will we lose more than one district.'
 Chicago, Sept. 20.-Chairman Hanna left for Cleveland and the east last ] night. When he returns he will de- vote all his time until the close of the campaign to this center of the political battle. He said he was better satisfied