The representative. [volume] (St. Paul, Minn.) 1893-1901, 1896-07-01
THE FIGURES FOR IT.
The Silver Forces Must be United to
Win-Other Parties Must
be Recognized.
EThe Rocky Mountain News of Den.
YER, analyses the presidential situa

YER, analyses the presidential situa
tion as follows:
The Rocky Mountain News, of Denver,
has always been a Democratic paper. 1t
is still Democratic, but it wants Teller
nominated for the presidency. In justiti-
cation Of this position it analyses the stu
alton as follows:
The total number of votes in the cleo
toral college will be AT, of which it will
require 224 to elect a president; Is
172 votes which only a Republican or
conceded at the very outset that there are
gold standard candidate can receive.
They are as follows
Connecticut, 6; Delaware, 8; Maine, 6;
Maryland, 8; Massachusetts, Is; Mime
10; New York, So: Ohio, %; Pennsylvania,
80; Rhode Island, 4; Vermont, A; Wiscon-
sin, II; total, 172.
1t is claimed by Democrats that Demo-
cratic candidate will with absolute GER
tainty receive 14S electoral votes, as fol-
lows
Arkansas, s; Alabama, II; Florida, 4;
Georgia, 10; Kentucky, IS; Louisiana, s;
Mississippi. 8; Missouri, II; North Caro-
line. II; South Carolina, 8; Tennessee, II;
Texas, IS; Virginia, II; West Virginia, 6;
total, 148.
1t is upon this basis that all Democratic
calculations commence. Starting here,
Democratic statisticians turn to the states
not enumerated from which to fill out the
complement of votes necessary to elect.
These cast 127 electoral votes, and are
as follows:
California, 8: Colorado, 4; Idaho, 3; Illi-
nOis, "a: Indiana, 10; Iowa, 33; Kansas, 10;
Michigan, IA; Montana, 3; Nebraska 8; Ne
vada, 2; North Dakota, 3; Oregon. 4; South
Dakota, 4; Utah, 3; Washington, 4; Wyom-
ing, 3; total, 1877
If 1t is true that Democratic candidate
AL TOD
votes enumerated in the second table,
then he would require rs votes from the
states enumerated in the third table, or
nearly two-thirds Of them-a hard enough
proposition at best; for all but Indiana are
under normal conditions Republican, and
to secure more than one-half the votes
they cast for a Democratic candidate
would indicate a phenomenal disturbance
of the political balances as they usually
exist
But the basis Of the Democratic count
is not sound. There are at least five of
the fourteen states included in the second
table which are very unlikely to vote for
the Democratic candidate unless he is
man acceptable to the Populists and silver
Republicans in them. Without their as
sistance he cannot possibly carry more
than one out of the five
The states referred to are Texas, Ten
essee, North Carolina, Georgia and Ala
bama. The vote cast in these states in
1894. and the relation of political parties
to each other in them, when they are
fairly understood, emphasize this predic-
ton.
214,Ss2 votes The Populists cast 159,-
224. The Democratic plurality over the
Populist was but 55,658. In Texas the
Democratic party is split upon the silver
question. The gold standard, or Cleveland
wing, has organized to fight free coinage
of Il or6 &c ,i1;,,
county. 1t will nominate separate state
ticket and vote for Republican electors.
This faction constitutes not less than Is
per cent Of the Democratic strength
Deduct it from the Democratic vote of
1894 and they would outvote the Popu-
lists less than 1000. What will become
of a Democratic candidate in Texas who
is not acceptable to the Populists? The
Populist and Republican vote Of the state
would jointly exceed the Democratic vote
many thousands. There is no good feel
ing between the Democrats and Populists
of Texas anyway, and it will require the
wisest of counSels and the most accepta-
BILE of candidates to unite the vote as it
should be, in view of the grave interests
at stake.
In Tennessee the Democratic vote was
104,356 and the Republican vote los, 1O4
The Republican plurality was 75S. The
PopuliSts cast 23,092 votes. Tennessee
is the home of Congressman Patterson.
Under his leadership and the power Of
the administration, to put the detection
of gold Democrats at Is per cent is con-
sentative. This would take from the Dem
ocratic vote more than IL, 900, which, add
ed to the Republican vote, as it most
likely will be, would give the state to the
Republicans by 10000. Must not, to make
Tennessee safe, the nominee Of the Chi
cago convention be acceptable to the
Populsts and silver Republicans? It is
foolhardy to assume that any free silver
Democrat, whoever he may be, will meet
the requirements
North Carolina was carried by the
united Populist and free coinage Repub-
lican vote in 1894. The Democrats cast
127, 593 votes, while the fusion ticket re-
ceived 14S,334. The moral OF this condi-
ton in the tar-heel state is seen without
enlargement.
There were cast for the Peoples party
ticket in Georgia two years ago, SO, SSS
votes. Tom Watson and other influential
men led the Georgia Populists. In 1894
the Democrats polled but 121 ,O49 votes, or
less than $4,000 more than did the Popu-
lists. Is Democratic candidate who is
obnoxious to the Populists certain to
carry Georgia however loyal he may be to
silver? Hoke Smith and other administra-
ton Democratic leaders will deter % per
cent of Georgia Democrats from voting
the ticket. How can majority vote be
obtained for silver in this empire state
of the South unless a candidate who can
unite the silver vote is selected?
Alabama is not far behind Georgia in
the precarious condition of it's politics In
1894 the Democrats polled there 110,S65
votes and the Populists $685. There
were at the last election but q 900 more
Democrats than Populists in Alabama
After deducting from the Democratic vote
of that year, say Is per cent, very low
estimate the majority Is nearly de,
stroyed. If any combination should be
made there between Populists and Re-
publicans, the Democracy is in hopeless
minority.
So much for the South. The outlook
in the West and Northwest for a straight
Democratic victory is even more discour-
aging.
OF the seventeen Western and North
western states, casting 1877 electoral
votes, and out of which nearly 100 votes
must be secured to make at all certain the
election of Democrat, in eleven of them
the Democratic party is a bad third in
the popular vote. The vote in these eleven
states in 1894 was as follows:
Rep. Peoples DEM
Colorado go. ............ S6,975 66 ZIP 6.667
ludHO ...... ............. 1V,ZUS i,lZl l,057
Kansas ............14 ,6T 1889 26 703
Minnesota ..147,944 1881 53, SO
Montana ..... ............ %, 103 1855 1914
Nebraska QS95) ......... 9,156 7O,5GG 1924
Nevada ............ 1851 1923 CTS
North Dakota .......... 23,723 1854 S1SS
Oregon ............. Il, 034 &c, 033 II 49S
South Dakota ..... 800. .401 POST 1856