Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1896-10-14
It Will Be Bitter During the Best Of.
the Campaign.
COOK COUNTY TEE BATTLE GROUND
Both Parties Claim the State, but
Mckinley Has the Odds.
SOME FIG q RES GIVEN


The fight in Illinois will be fought closely
from this time 1t is the intention of
the democrats to bring all of their best
speakers here, and they will deliver speech
es in every part of the state, making their
chief effort in this city. The democrats
have rented fifty halls for the closing days
of the campaign. and fifty speeches will
be delivered every day in this city. All
of the best orators will be here ..
1t has been arranged that Candidate
Bryan is to be in Illinois from October
q to October 80. Three of these days
will be given by Mr.. Bryan to Chicago. and
the others will be devoted by him to
speechmaking throughout the state. 9th
er speakers who are to be assigned
to Illinois are Senator Butler of North
Carolina, Jerry Simpson, Governor Alt
geld, Senators Dubois. Allen. Pettigrew.
Cannon and Blackburn, Allen W. Thur
man Of Ohio. Governor Stone Of Mis-
souri,, j. W. Sovereign of Arkansas, Eu-
gene V. Debs. John MacBride, Amos Cum
mings. Champ" Clark. "Coin" Harvey.
Congressman Towne Of Minnesota, General
Weaver, General Finley. Ex-Governor
Boies. Governor Matthews Of Indiana. Vice
President Stevenson, P. Wat Hardin Of
Kentucky. Congressman ]. W. Bailey of
Texas. Walter Thomas Mills and Thomas
Patterson.
ne EepuDuCdnS claim tndt THIS effort On
the part of the democrats is made not SO
much with the expectation of carrying the
state for Bryan. but with the belief that
they will be able to secure the election
of Altgeld. This is believed to be the true
reason for the campaign which has been
planned The republican leaders are will
ing to concede that Altgeld will run from
10000 to 500D votes ahead of Bryan. and
the democrats believe that this will be
sufficient to make his election sure.
Rennhliranu E,nuuuv Act1vo
But on the other hand, there is to be no
diminution on the part of the republicans
in the activity with which they will push
the canvass. They have determined to
send the best Of their speakers here.
Speeches have been delivered by Cochran
and Ingersoll this week, and they will
deliver several more. Carl Schurz is to
go to Peoria and answer Altgelds reply
to his famous speech at the Central Music
Hall last month. Speaker Reed will make
four speeches; the first will be delivered
next Monday. and on the next afternoon
he will speak at Joliet. On October Il
he will speak at Peoria. and the next day
he will go to East ST. Louis. The republic
cans will send other leaders here to make
other addresses. and it is safe to say that
every speaker of prominence will be here
during the next three weeks.
The national democrats, will be no less
active. Former Congressman Forman, the
candidate of the party for governor, will
speak in nearly every section of the state
He intends to travel from one end to she
other during the whole of the campaign
General Palmer himself will make three
or four speeches. and the flower of the
partys orators will also cover the field.
Chairman Hanna will remain here until
the close of the campaign, and will manage
the canvass in the surrounding state from
this point. Apparently the republicans are
very confident of success. but the demo-
Gratis profess no less confidence. The battle
VIII be contest between the city and the
country. The best opinion Is that Cook
county will give majority for Mckinley,
but that the country is likely to he car
ried by Bryan. Chicago's republican ma
jority on the mayoralty was 10000. while
in 1892 Cleveland carried the city by I6,-
900 Chicago is VIGOROUSLY tickle in its
devotion to one o.: the other Of the two
parties. This year the surface indications
are that it will be carried by the repub-
licans by a majority which may range
from the 500 which the democrats are
willing to concede privately to the 100000
which the republicans who are the most
enthusiastic claim On the other hand, the
silver sentiment seems to be very strong
in the country, and majority in favor of
Bryan may be polled there.
A Populist Estimate. -
A careful estimate. which has been made
by a populist who believes in Bryan's sue
cess, is that the country will give a. 900
plurality for Bryan. This is on the basis
that the northern counties will give 1,O9S,
the central 29,5s1 and the southern % .954,
total of 54.t33.
The process by which he arrives at these
figures is interesting. In the first place, be
figures that in 1892 the combined poou-
list and democratic vote in the twentysix
southern counties was 1887. while the
nine counties carried by the republicans
gave 81 .S91, & net majority of 14,146. There
were 1917 prohibition votes and it is be-
lieved by the silver people that The fusion
or 2.545. making the majority 1851 en- the
basis of 1892. 1t is generally believed that
the democrats will hold their own in that
section. The democrats claim large gains,
which are estimated in the present Instance
at per cent, and this does not seem 10
be excessive. This. reckoned on a basis CT
5 of the total vote, adds 1858, swelling
the total for the thirtysix counties to 49,
954
In the central division, by adding to-
gether the combined majority in those
counties, twenty-five give 20, ia. Seven
counties gave the republicans 4.739, a ccm-
bination of 1875. Adding two-thirds Of
the prohibition vote, which is 5;671, makes
total of =, 646. The gain here is cOmput-
ed at four per cent, or 1885, total for
the thirty-two counties of 2?,5S1. In the
for the fusion. while twenty-five counties
gave a republican majority of 20,O19, net
republican majority of 14,965. Taking the
sixty-six per cent of the prohibition vote
1.O.S plurality.
This is claim of 54,653 for the fusion
lists in the counties outside of Cook, and
even on this basis the republicans are apt
to win. The bets in Cook county are US
ually that the city will give over fifty
thousand, which would make the state very
close.
pI,c Hest Belief Fnvors Mckinley.
The truth of the matter seems to be that
the state at large will give the fusionists
about the same plurality that in 1882 was
given to Cleveland. adding the populist
vote This would give Bryan 14,236, and
this Is not far from the truth. From in
formation obtained from every section of
the state, 1t would seem that the. populist-
democratic fusion is complete, and that the
democratic detection and republican defec-
ton will be about equally great. If any
thing, there are likely to be more republic
can boilers to Bryan than democratic bolt
ers to Palmer or Mckinley. In 1892 Weaver
polled 2O.543 votes outside of Cook, while
the vote of this county. which gave 90 .35u
for Cleveland, was sufficient to carry the
state. With $1,000 outside the city, the
1 TT, L.