The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1896-09-30
A Tammany Man Thinks His
Chances Are Good.
BETTER THAN M'KINLEYs
Figures $4,000 Plurality For
the Nebraskan.
woRnNeMEN ARE FOR HIM
PaImer's Candidacy is Not Taken Ser
iously Anywhere and Its Only
Effect Will be to Hurt
Mckinley.

Mckinley.
New York, Sept. 28.-(Special to st.
Louis Republic .)-Complicated as the
situation undoubtedly is in New York,
with secret influences at work to be-
tray the National Democracy and with
the aggregated wealth of the metro
polls arTayed against the party, it is
yet conceivable that Mr.. Bryan will
carry the Empire State in November.
No one can survey the field dispasslon-
ately without reaching this conclu-
sion, nor read the prediction of 20O,-
coo plurality for Mckinley without
marveling at the audaclty of the lie
publican prophets. There is nothing
in the situation to warrant such ex-
travagance by Mr.. Hanna's men, and,
all the yerities are opposed to it. This
is debateable ground and must be
so reckoned until the November elec-
ton.
The issue is so clearly drawn that
MO man can fail to measure the
strength of the opposing force as these
forces come to the surface in daily
life. On the one hand stand the
moneyed men of the city, the bankers,
the merchant princes, the trusts and
insurance companies-in short, the
combinations vaguely described as
wall Street Over the way, lined
up for Bryan and Sewall, are the
workingmen and the great middle
classes-the clerks, tradesmen, me-
chanics, artisans and men in practical
professional life, fianked by an army
of farmers and rural voters. These men
do not all quite grasp the free coinage
idea, but they are learning fast, and
they have all the enthusiasm of the
new convert.
In a restaurant not far from the
Republic Bureau, where 300 walters
are employed, straw ballot showed
the other night that Mckinley could
count on only IL votes, though most
of the men have been lifelong Repub-
Leans. | cross the bridge to Brook
lyn, and the street car employees talk
up for Bryan. The ferry hands revile
Hanna and shout for the Democratic
candidate. The postman, the police
man on the beat, the milkman, the
street cleaners, the groceryman, his
clerks-all are for Bryan.
And what is one mans experience
in this respect is another's, wherever
freedom of speech is safe and the real
obtained. In a word, the masses are
Democratic this year, and unless there
is change they viii vote as they talk
The second visit of Mr. Bryan to the
metropolis has given tremendous inn
| petus to his candidacy, and his ap-
| pearance in this city next week will
mark the real beginning of The fight.
| His reception promises To be I'M
| paralleled in point of numbers and en-
| thusiasm. A striking feature of the
| turnout will be parade of the cloak
| makers. There are 10000 victims of
| the sweating evil in New York. and the
| better part of them have already de
| clared for Bryan. Joseph Barondess is
| the leader of the cl0ak-makers. lie has
| organized them into Bryan and Sewall
| clubs, and is addressing them almost
| nightly on the issues of the campaign.
| These half-starved people of the East
Side almost worship Barondess, and
| will follow him in body into the Dem
ocratic fold.
Barondess has been all over the
| tenement district, and he reports that
| the people there are as one in heir
support of the Democratic party. 1t is
not so much because they know and
appreciate the Democratic doctrine,
| Barondess says, but because they hate
Mark Hanna and the system for which
| he stands.
When all these facts are taken into
| consideration and carefully weighed,
| and when it is remembered that the
/ organized Democratic vote of the city
| and State is pledged to Mr.. Bryan, it
| is not difficult to understand the con-
| fidence of the loyal leaders of the De-
| mocracy when they predict a sweep
| ing victory for the National ticket.
| A party of Tammany men, in dis
cussing the probabilities, last night,
| went into figures and summed up a
substantial plurality for Mr.. Bryan.
| They were conservative men and
tackled the problem in a cold-blooded,
business-like way. Said the leader OF
the party:
In 1892 Cleveland polled 654,8 1868
| votes in New York, Harrison COS, $50,
| the Prohibition candidate 38,190, and
the scattering vote footed up 63,737,
| giving a grand total of 1,366,245. The
conditions are changed this year. /
merely quote the figures as the basis
| of an estimate on the vote in Novem-
ber. Harrison polled in 1888 the lar
gest vote ever given to a Republican
/ CsUlultehtC IOI ITSSluSIlt- -O4o, G09. i Ilt-
| normal Republican vote in 1892 should
have been about 650,000. This year
very close to /, 100000 votes will be cast
in the Empire State. The normal Re
publican vote, if the old issues were
up for decision, would be 100000; the
normal Democratic vote $4,000, and
the scattering vote $4,000. But in this
campaign there will be a new align
ment of the parties. Both parties will
lose heavily. Mckinley, however, is
at disadvantage, for the reason that
the Republicans who bolt him will vote