The daily morning journal and courier., 1896-09-22
SILVER WAVE HAS BROKEN
BRYAN ROSE ON ITS CREST, BUT IS
 NOV OUT OF SIGHT.

S"ANo "oes Nitt niBures uy UeorBo H. ny .
 man of the Massachusetts Republican
 Committee-Mc Sure of 23S Votes
 the Last Three Presidential Elections
 Will Support the Republican Ticket
 They Hold the Balance of Power-Silver
 Sentiment on the Decline Ever Since the
 Bryan Fiasco In New York
 Boston, Sept. 21.-George H. Lyman, chairman of the republican state com- mittee of Massachusetts and member of the republican national committee, makes the following statement of his views on the political outlook:
 II feel absolutely certain that Major Mckinley will be elected. Mind you, of the hard, earnest work which is now in progress all over the country. It is never wise to underrate an opponent in politics or in business. The situation calls for the very strongest effort be- tween now and election. A complete restoration of confidence requires that the Bryan party shall not only be beat en, but in a most decisive and conclu- sive manner
 This great campaign of education will be very expensive; but every school district in the country must be reached, and the instruction kept up until the day of balloting. For after all is said as to McKinley's winning, 1t is on the supposition that the campaign be fought as we fought it in Maine. We cannot allow our efforts to slacken in any respect, nor can those who believe in our cause afford to relax their con- tinued and substantial support and help towards enabling this campaign of ed- ucation to go on. Failure would mean financial bankruptcy and ruin. I have the highest confidence that this work will be done and the desired result reached.
 .sThe free silver movement is on the decline, and this cannot be stopped. The movement was at it's climax in Au- gust, and Bryan came on the crest of a wave which has turned into a harmless spray by the tiasco in New York. That wave will never be reformed.
 1t may be that my judgment is af- fected by the prevailing sentiment in the east but I think I can give logical reasons for my forecast of the result. Previous to 1860 it will be remembered that the democrats had governed the country for many years. They had held all of the offices, and nearly all of the leading men of all communities were democrats, When the party was divided, and Lincoln was elected, each wing of the democratic party expected to carry the country and fought from that point of view. Now the situation is very different
 l 'One wing of the democratic party is determined to directly or indirectly help the republican party defeat the other wing. The total vote in a na- tional election is about 12,0000O0; 6,o90,- GOO of republicans and 6000,000 of dem- ocrats. The election is usually decided by the independent voters. Twice in the last twelve years they have voted for and decided the elction of Grover Cleveland. Eight yeaTs ago they voted for Benjamin Harrison and helped to elect him. I think impartial men of all parties will agree that the independent voters are unanimously for Major Mc- IAilllCy III tliS Ccllilpdl6H. WILL be a great source of strength.
 'tAs to the two wings of the demo- cratic party, I think it is clear to everyone that the sound money demo- crats include most of the men of brains and influence, and much of the finest political talent of that organization. They are not so numerous as the Bryan wing, but one can readily see what their influence will be in a country where the two national parties have been so evently divided. The west, of course, is where the real battle will be fought.
 My public and private advices from that section are what lead to my ab- solute conviction of Major McKinleys election. The Germans, the Hebrews and the Hungarians are almost unan- imously for sound money and will vote the republican ticket. Of our Irish fellow citizens believe that most of those who have real estate and other property will stand for sound money, and help to swell the grand total of our strength. have said that the free sil- yer craze is declining. l am told that in many places in the west, where in August you could count 100 men for free silver, you now may find 50 or 60, and by election day even this number will have dwindled.
 q feel pretty certain that Major Me- Kinley will carry these states: Maine, 6: New Hampshire, 4; Massachusetts, 15; Rhode Island, 4; Connecticut 8; In- diana 15; Illinois, 24; West Virginia, 6; New York, 36; New Jersey, 10; Della ware, g. Ohio, 23; Wisconsin, 12; Min nesota, g; Iowa, 13; Michigan, IA; Penn sylvania, 32 Total, 23S.
 "It requires 224 votes to elect, and it will be seen that I hve made very conservative estimate. I might reason ably include Kentucky, Virginia, Cali fornia, Maryland and Louisiana, but our chances in those states will more than offset any possible loss in any one of the western list. I firmly believe that we shall have total electoral vote greater than the aggregate of all the states which I have named. l am one of those who believe 1t will be a land slide. Do I not think that the press will nave large influence? Most cer- tainly. The independent and demo- cratic papers which are directly or in- directly aiding us are of the leading and influential kind. I ought to have