The evening times., 1896-10-31
FALSE ELECTION PROPHETS
-
Prominent Politicians Calcu-
lations WentaAs.ray in '92.
oUAY'S CASE THE WORST
wapamaker, Hobart, Kerens, Car
Isle, Thurman, Jones, EltSins ana
ppyItsb Were :, Few Who Heid Out
wiII-o.the-wisp Hopes-Row the
Cat Jumped on the Last Day.

In connection with the wide divergence
of estimates and claims as to the outcome
or the Presidential election some previous
signal failures Of election prophecies are
recalled.
rour years ago, Senator Quay, in rev
York. said that the election OF Harrison
WAS certain This belief he ADDED. Is
moi based on hope, but on an absolute
knowledge OF the conditions eNlstins III lilc
s,-called doubtful States. Harrison VIII
have III electoral votes OUTSIDE ol iheii"iia'
New York. New Jersey, ,ollilecuS",' anu
West Virginia. Kansas and WISCONSIN, are
perfectly safe.
Hnrnson received but 145 electoral votes
altogether Kansas and Wisconsin were
not safe for Weaver carried Kansas anu
Cleveland carried Wisconsin.
n. C. kerens, member of the national
Republican committee, from missouri,
SAID: II have Investigated carefully ana
know that Harrison Will carry every sta'e
In.it hc carried fOar years ago hailF
son failed to carry eight States that he
had carried four years before.
Johu Wanamaker, 7 postmaster General. mas
been stumping in Indiana, and gave THIS
as his prediction: Il have no doubt, 1uhS-
ing from tie enthusiasm that saw every
where, that Indiana will 60 for Harrison
Indiana gave Cleveland u pluralSy oi over
1000.
HoBART'S FAILURE.
Garret A Hobart said at that time: I'VE
are sure uf New Jersey as we are OF any
thing New Jersey went democratic by
14.00O.
Dr. E. A. Nicholas. OF the Michigan Popu-
list State committee, said that three Oh
the electoral votes OF that state would IN
doubted go TO Weaver. None OF them went
To Weaver.
Regarding New York. the chairman of the
son would get 1t by 900. Harrison lost
IL by 5000.
Sad AlleuG Thurman. candidate for Vice
Pres. .tient on tie democratic ticket. at the
close OF the campaign OF 1855: The Demo
Gratis VIII carry New York and Indiana
without a doubt" They lost New York bI
l,S 600 ANA Indiana by 800. senator Noor-
hees had said lGat Indiana would 20 Demo
cratic Uy 900, and that a republican pom
OF the state winch had been suppressed had
sho wn.a democratic plurality OF 5.ooo.
Gov. Gray, OF Indiana, was quoted as
81 ying that the State was SAFE Tor Ileve-
lana. ana the remark was added: Gov.
GRAY mas the reputation of dealing in facts.
not Ticlon. and L. Lot inclined 10 lie mis-
i,d uy the enthusiasm Of tnc moment
r.iov Gray proved to have been dealing in
fiction.
+ Speaker John 6. Carlisle said few
d:tys before election: There is no count
of CIevcland's election. The Republicans
nave pEavuc.tnS SI,et il ~ ,'r''a hu
got les electoral votes and Harrison LIB
Fred Lehman. who in i SSS was prom
iuent Democratic politician of Iowa. was
bulI enough to say JLat even u ~ state
world 20 for Cleveland. Prohibition he
asserted. has killed Republicanism in
Iowa. People viii be surprised at the NUM-
Der of Democratic votes cast"
OTHER CASES.
Iowa went Republican, as ususal. by 3d.
600. and the number Of Democratic votes
cast was but 1000 greater than in 1884.
Ohio. in SSS. was claimed before elec-
tiun by the Rcpublican n managers by $4,000,
and 10y the Democrats 10y $4,000. The
former We're too gh 10y $500
When the campaign of SSi was draw
ins TO Il Cluse Chairman Jones, OF the
Republican national committee, predicted
that Biaine's plurality in New York would
he 30. 600; in Indiana, 5000, and i'll New
Jersey, 5000. Cleveland's plurality in
New York was ,049; in Indiana, 6 ,527 and
in New Jersey 1858. German had said that
the Democrats would get New York by
&C. 1000
Thurman predicted that the Democrats
would carry Ohio but the Republicans
carried IT $1,000
Stephen B. Elkns decl clared that there was
no question but tn at West Virginia was safe
for Blaine. 1t was safe for Cleveland by
over 1000.
In $50 the Democratic national commit
tee gave it out thaJaclo canvass had shown
that New York would give Hancock a plu-
rality Of 30 900. 1t gave Garfield n plu-
rality of 2l 900.
. .OGo plurality in that State for Hancock.
lis nIuralit Z, for Garfield was 500