The Saint Paul globe., 1896-10-16

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the possibilities are there will not be
so many. the cold water party advo-
Gates everywhere showing a tendency
TO vote yea or nay ON the currency
question, and majority of them fav-
oriDg Byran.
1t is not denied that John Lind is a
power among the Scandinavians, but
SO is Knute- Nelson. The latter is
working as he never worked before.
he lays the law down to his country
men as no native American would dare
do. With Lind on one side and Sena-
tor Nelsonon the other. the poor Swedes
and Norwegians are really between
two fires Many of them are going to
compromise by voting for Lind and
mckinley. In Brown county the
SWedes have what they call a Gold
and Silver club" The gold part Of it
IS for Mckinley, the silver part for
Lind. Knute Nelson is now the big
gest Republican in Minnesota. His
leadership is under fire 1t is being
tested. He feels that he must carry
the state for Mckinley or suffer a loss
or prestige which may be fatal to him
In the near future. Senator Nelson ex-
poets to win by upwards of 10000 ma
jcrity.
The situation in the congressional
personality of the men. At Washington
last winter, two members of congress
Who made the most notable speeches
ON the silver question were from Min
nesota-McCleary for sound money
ana ToWne for silver. McCleary is
stanolng Tor reelection in the south
western district of the state and will
win by 5000 or 1900 votes. He had
500o majority over Democrats and
Fopulists two years ago. The vast
number OF voters throughout the coun-
Try who have read Mr. McCleary's 8
speeches during this campaign will
pe glad to learn that he is surely going
back to congress. Not SO with his
pfllllant young rival in the arena of de-
pate Towne, who deserted the Re
pletlcan party and is running as the
candidate of the Democratic Popu-
hst1c-S1lver alliance in the Duluth dis
trIct is hard pressed by the ReD11hli-
can candidate, Page Morris. The re-
suit is in doubt Two years ago Towne
mad 5000 majority over both elements
OF the opposition. He has a personal
folloWlng, and his services to Duluth
as member of the river and harbor
committee are appreciated.
In the southeastern district Mr.
IaWney, VINO made such a fine reputa-
llon last winter in his attention to
the proposed reciprocity legislation.
VIII be reelected with a larger ma ior-
lty than he had two years ago. and
lhat was $500 over all. Joel Heat
Wole VINO made successful member
OF the foreign affairs committee last
WINTER, may be defeated by fusion. as
MS district Is very close Mr. Eddy
III the Red River Valley, district. will
doubtless fall 5,000.v behind in his
race Tor reelection, as his district is
the Popuhst stronghold He wouId
have been beaten by 5000 two wears
ago had there been fusion against
hlm. In the two city districts there is
nttle II any doubt of the success of
poth Republican candidates There is
more anxiety concerning the Minneap-
oils district than over this, though ST
Paul has in the past been more in
cllned to Democracy than it's twin and
rival. The Republicans are certain of
three congressman and the fusionists
OF one; in one district conditions
largely favor the Republicans. and IN
the remaining two the chances are
Minnesota is a Republican state. 1t
has never failed to give a Republican
plurality in presidential year. I'm
III 1882 it gave to the Republican can
d1dates majorities over all. Harrison
lalled by a majority of 1000, though
ne had 1900 plurality over Cleveland
In 94 the state cast it's greatest total
vote. Though Nelson for governor had
only 5000 majority over Democrats
and Populists together, this did not ac-
Cufateiy measure the strength of par
ties. On congressman the Republicans
had 10000 majority, on lieutenant-gov
ernor 1S,000 on secretary of state - :
OOO, and on other state officers ranging
from 14,G00 to $4,000, the Iast-naned
being exceptional, an effort to effect
Iuslon On an opposition candidate for
Judge OF the supreme court failing mis-
erably.
Taking the state on it's latest and
heaviest poll, and making allowance
Tor the fact that 1894 was q high tide
Republican year, it is safe to divide
\ the electorate of Minnesota thus: Re
publicans, 10000; fusion, 100000. The
actual vote for governor in 1894 was:
Repubilcan, 148 600; fusion, 141 900. For
secretary of state it was Republican.
l55,000; fusion, 128,000 If we assume
that the Republicans were 10000 ahead
en- an average vote in 1894 we have A
basis of eStimate-a suggestion of
What Is likely to happen, merely to put
IN concrete form the various elements
tfat must be taken into consideration.
and not a prediction, as follows.
Mckinley. Bryan
Normal vote of 1884 . 150. 600 140 6g00
Increased vote of 1896. .......... 10000 10000
Iotal -.,..... .170,o 600 15e, 900
rree siFer Repuphcans. 10000 10000
co,l9 r9tal ,........; 100000 17o,oOo
mans and business vote..... $500 25, 900
IotaI 900 145, 600
Mcklnley's majority .......... 10000
The conditions favor some such result
as this. do not see how the sound
money majority can fall below $4,000.
and I can readily see how it NAV %
as high as $4,000. Archbishop IreIand's
recent letter is already having a tre-
mendous effect, especially among the
German Roman Catholics 1 am able
to say also that the fusion campaign
managers do not expect to gain the
state for Bryan They hope to elect
their candidate for governor, who is