Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1896-03-14

The Ohio Candidate Against
Other Support
of Situation in Various States

York. p; North Carolina, 5: Pennsylvania
60; Utah. 9; Minnesota, 49, South Dakota,
!, and Tennessee. 8; making Alt.
Votes in Doubt.
This leaves 125 votes in doubt or divided
as between Mckinley and the field
Georgia. 1S; Kentucky. %; Missouri, A;
Virginia, Is; Washington. s: Wisconsin. q;
Wyoming, 6; Arizona, 2; New Mexico, g.;
Oklahoma, .: District of Columbia, 2; In
dian territory, .; Alaska. 9, and Pennsyl-
vanfa, 4, in addition to JOG delegates con-
tested OF these most of the Michigan and
Kentucky votes are apt to go to Mckinley
if the states are not represented by favor
lite sons. Bradley is almost sure to have
the Kentucky vote on the first ballot 1t
Is doubtful about Michigan presenting a
fevorite son.
For Reed.
Reed will nave the IS New England votes
sure and with reasonable certainty from
North Carolina, from Tennessee, IL from
Virginia, 2 frcm Florida, making 1903. 1t is
believed that he will get out of the con-
testing delegations Is from Louisiana, pos
sibly all the Lynch delegation from Mis-
sissippi, IS; II from Alabama and a ma
jority of Texas. 1t is expected that he will
get in Georgia, in Missouri, % in New
Jersey, half. if lot all the IS California
delegates. 1G from Maryland. These latter
estimates are only approximate, since no
definite calculation can now be made as
to how the s-nti-McKinley delegates. when
there are divided delegations, will be dis
tributed -among the several other candi-
dates. 1t is thought that Reed will have
on the start upward of 300 votes, Tot count
ing large blocks of delegates who will be
tied to other candidates at first.
Alifson's Strength.
1t is difficult to estimate Allison's
stl ength. He will have the twenty-six
Iowa votes and few scattering here and
there to start with, but is second or third
choice in many quarters. On account of
the possibilities of a deadlock his stock Is
quoted high, without much being in sight at
the start. 1t is counted as not improbable
that the entire Indiana delegation may go
to him very early in the fight. He is likely
to draw largely from Michigan. Minnesota,
Illinois and parts of the south, on a break
up.
Other Candidates.
Merton and Quay will go in each with
his big state delegation behind him, and
each with few delegates in the south. AS
to both these, all the rest is mystery.
Davis will have Minnesota and South DaS
kota to start with. Bradley will probably
have Kentucky behind him. Alger or Bur-
rows may be presented by. Michigan. Man.
derson will probably have all but two of
the Nebraska delegates. Cullom will prob
ably have all but four of the Illinois dele
cation.
A most careful survey of the field dis
closes situation which indicates a strong
improbability Of Il nomir alton on the first
two or three ballots. A liberal allotment
to Mckinley of the delegates whose posi-
ton Is doubtful would hardly give him
strength to control the convention at the
start against the field. The field seems to
have the biggest bunch.
New England.
1t is conceded by every one that the solid
New England delega ton will be for Reed.
Maine and some other of these states, it is
confessed by the friends of other candi-
dates, will stand by Reed to the end, what
ever the result may be, but they profess to
believe that the delegates from some Of the
New England states will have second
choice. and will leave Reed after a while.
The Reed people claim, and the general in
dications are. that there will be no second
choice with any of these delegations. and
tfat il the Maine man should be defeated
the whole of New England would still be