The Topeka state journal. [volume] (Topeka, Kansas) 1892-1980, 1896-10-12
HOW WILL
KANSAS GO.
Estimates Made By All the
State Chairmen.
Many Voters Silent as to Their
Intentions.
THIS FACT WEIGHTY.
It Makes the State a Doubtful
One.
THIS FACT WEIGHTY-
Wide Variance I'm the Claims
of the Managers.

All estimates on the probable results
Of the election in Kansas are liable to
be wrong More than $4,000 voters are
utterly silent as to which way they are
going to vote. 1t is impossible to poll
them. Notwithstanding this. the cam
paign managers of the various parties
have made up their estimates as close
~ as possible.
notwithstanding the immense amount
of work performed by the central COM
mittees and the splendid organization
Of forces on all sides. ID is quite impos-
Efble to give a safe prediction Of what
Kansas viii do On election day Each
chairman seem content to rest upon
his estimates a two weeks ago, and
these vary from 5000 majority for Nc
Kinley TO $4,000 for Bryan. In the e1-
uberance Of Mack Loves fancy, $4,000
for Bryan is not an extravagant figure
Republican Chairman Simpson re-
fuses TO make any estimate Of the vote
beyond saying that Mckinley win car
~ the state. and that Morrill, viii run
10000 ahead of Mckinley. The Repub-
hcans have conducted a long and Wig
orous campaign and have had the as
sfstance of a splendid roster of foreign
speakers, such as John NJ ThurstOn.
Warner Miller. j. b. Foraker. Charles
H Grosvenor. William Warner, George
c. Cr0Wther, J. c. Burrows, Richard
Yates, Stephen A. Douglas, Congress-
man Brosius. Generals Howard. Sick
les and Stewart, Corporal Tanner and
Colonel Charles p. Lincoln. Senator
w. H. Sterne. the Topeka. member Of
the Republican state committee. has
been figuring on the November
probabilities, and reaches the conclu-
sion that Major Mckinley viii have 25.-
GOO majority in the state. and that the
Republicans viii elect all the congress
men. His figures by congressional dis
tricts are; First 5000 majority; Sec
ond. 1000; Third 5000: Fourth, 1000;
Fifth, 5000; Sixth, 1000; Seventh, 5000;
at large, 5000.
Chairman Breidenthal of the Populist
committee claims the state for Bryan
by 25.0 900 plurality. and that the Popu-
lists viii elect I'VE of the eight con-
gressmen, with a figuring chance for
all of them. The doubtful districts
from his standpoint, are the First, Sec
ond and Fourth. He believes Botkin
viii carry the Third district by $500
and that Simpson viii defeat Long in
She Seventh by q majority equally as
large. He admits that Bryan viii run
ahead of Leedy a few hundred votes
but not enough to materially change
the result. He places the middle of the
road Populist strength in the state at
LOCO and the Palmer and BUckner vote
az less than that number his idea be-
ing that the gold standard Democrats
viii make use of their votes in helping
Mckinley. The POpulist and Demo-
cratic combination viii increase its
campaigning force during the next two
weeks. and meetings viii be held in
every school district. j. w. Bailey OF
Texas, is to devote a week to Kansas,
and the following speakers from Colo
RADIO have rendered their services.
Thomas Buchanan. H H. Eddy, Will
liam j. Kerr. Charles S Thomas. Ed
ward Browne and s H White For
the final roundup the committee is to
have Mr.. Bryan in the state for two
days Immediately preceding the cleo
ton.
Chairman Hagan Of the national
Democratic committee says he is meet
ing with unexpected success in organ
fzing the gold standard Democrats, and
that the canvass UP to this time indi-
Gates q voting strength Of $1,000 for
Palmer and Buckner. He gives Bryan
10000 the best of the fusion state tick
ct. and believes that Morrill, viii be
elected governor, as he viii receive the
support OF the gold Democrats, the lat
ter having no state ticket in nomina-
ton. On the general issue Mr.. Hagan
expresses the opinion that Mckinley
win carry the state and that he viii be
the next president.
In 1892 the Republicans had to con-
tend against a fusion of Populists and
Democrats with the fusion electors
favorable to the Populist instead Of the
Dmocratic ticket In that election the
Republican electors received a total of
157.237 votes and the Weaver electors
163.111- To be successful at the coming
election with the vote of 1892 as bas-
is, the Republicans viii have to make
a gain from the opposition of at least
5000. or increase their own party vote
To the extent Of 5000 or upwards They
have the advantage Of having gained
a state election in 1894 by a small ma
Jority over the combined opposition, al
though there was not complete fusion
in that year
The vote in 1894 was: For Morrill,
(RepD, Jas. CSC, LeWelling (Pop), u.s.
S29; and Cvermyer (Dem)s rs. 709-the
combined opposition. including the
Prohibition vote, being 14e,534, thus
giving the Republican candidate fol
governor the small majority of 163 in g
total vote of % .23l "A little better
showing for the Republicans was made
in the vote on secretary of state in the
same year, Edwards (Rep) receiving
149 401- Amis (P0p), l12 $50. and Rern-
ing (Dem), 27.7S5-the total opposition
vote, including Prohibition, being 49,
632.
The fgues in the last two elections
fully Justify the placing of Kansas il
the doubtful column this year since
the total vote has not materially
changed in mum Der. and the conditions
are much the same as in the previous
elections All the political gresseTs are
at sea on the question Of the free silver
Republican strength and the extent 81
the gold standard Democratic vote
Another evidence of the close divis-