The Salt Lake herald. [volume] (Salt Lake City [Utah]) 1870-1909, 1896-10-21
THE CHANCES FOR DUBOIS
His Friends Confident That He
Will Succeed.
The Opposition Laugh at Those
CInims-AIi Other Quotations Sub
ordinated to the Senatorial Issue
The Probable Vote of the State
Pat at 26,0o0-How 1t viii he Di-
yided.
[speeia, Corresponaepce.l

| BOISE, Idaho, Oct. 19.-Chaos is the
only word in the English language thai
expresses the condition which
obtains in affairs political in the state
of Idaho In SO far as the national
/ ticket is concerned there need be nc
apprehension. Mckinley, of course
has a following, but when the ballots
are counted it will be found to be sc
infinitessimal that the time consumed
in counting the votes cast for Mark
Hannas protege may we'll be con-
sidered wasted.
Probably in no other portion of the
United States is more interest taken
in the approaching election, as indi-
Gated by street corner groups engaged
in discussing the issues involved, than
in Boise. Politics. politics. politics.
nothing but politics. Go where one
may he cannot escape becoming in
volved in political discussion.
SENATOR DUBOIS CHANCES.
The burning question of the hour is:
will Dubois be returned to the SEN
ate?' AS one citizen put it in conversa-
ton with me: D the national ticket
What we want to know is something
about Dubois chances"
My answer to the question is an ex-
tremely equivocal one; it is yes" and
no.
Yes, if the letter of the Democratic
and Populist national committees has
the effect intended among the rank
and file. No, if the letter does not have
the anticipated effect This is year OF
that little attention will be paid the
wishes of the national leaders. On the
other hand the inherent respect for the
national organization may be of
sufficient strength TO check any ten
dency to disregard the national COM
mittees manifesto.
The free silver Republicans claim the
letter viii be sufficiently influential to
elect fifty members of the legislature
favorable to Dubois, thus insuring his
return to the senate. The Democrat
Populist fusionists laugh at this state
ment and confidently predict Dubois
retirement to private life.
There is little doubt that Dubois and
his friends made a grave mistake at
the commencement of the campaign.
Had the senator freed himself entirely
from the Republican organization at
the outset, the political atmosphere
would be clearer than it is at present.
The free silver Republicans charge
with having suppressed kilograms from
the Democratic and Populist national
committees on the day Of the fusion
convention in this city which, if read,
would have resulted in complete
fusion of all silver forces in this state,
thereby making certain the reelection
of Dubois. The Democrats and Popu-
lists deny this charge and assert that
at no time were the free silver Re-
IL
through chicanery and personal am
bition, Dubois defeated himself
The above facts are written simply
to show the feeling which exists. Idaho
is in the throes of a bitter, unrelenting
political war. Both sides are desperate
and it will be a fight to a finish with
no quarter asked or given.
To an unbiased observer the fight
appears to be close and not until the
official count of the ballots is COM
pleted will the result be known
One essential part of the fight is
patent to anyone at all versed in poll
tics. The free silver Republicans have
a more perfect organization. Shrewd
political manipulators are at the helm,
and unless 1 am very much mistaken
this is not the case with the Populists
and Democrats.
AS to the McKinleyites-welI they
are simply not in 1t.
THE STATE VOTE.
Two years ago 24,OOO votes were cast
in Idaho. OF this number the Re-
publicans received 10000, the Demo-
Gratis, 1000 and the Populists 1000.
This year it is estimated that $4,000
votes will be cast An entirely thew
consisting of 40 representa-
tiveS and q senators-T0 in all-is TO be
elected. In order to be reelected Du-
bois must capture SO votes on joint bal
lot. His managers assert that he will
have so. The Democrats and Populists
declare he will not have more than 25
An analysis of the vote discloses the
fact that Dubois must win from his
opponents not less than 1000 votes in
order to be successful, taking as a basis
the 1000 votes conceded the Mckinley
ties and the $4,000 votes of the COM
bined Democratic and Populist forces.
1t seems like a herculean task. 1t
will put Dubois popularity
to a severe test.
The Democratic-Populist leaders
have sent out large numbers of circu-
airs calling upon Democrats and Popu-
lists to remain true to the pledge made
IN convention to elect representatives
and senators who will vote for a
Populist United States senator. To
destroy the influence of these circulars
Democrats are touring the
state in conjunction with free silver
urging upon the people the |
necessity of re-electing Dubois and de-
,laring that the letter of the Demo-
ratio national committee absolves
hem from their pledge to vote for
oopulists
]. II. Hawley is the most notable |
Democrat working in behalf of Dubois |
md his influence is said to be great.
FUSION IN COUNTIES.
There is every variety of fusion in
he different counties and it must be |
,onfessed that personality will enter I
argely into the campaign.
Fusion has been arranged between
Democrats and Populists in Kootenai,
-alah Nez Perez Owyhee, Canyon,
Ada, Boise. Gilmore. Blaine. Cass.a,
3annock. Oneida, Fremont, Bingham
md Lemhi counties. Between Demo-
rats and Silver Republicans fusion
las been arranged in Shoshone, Idaho.
Boise and Custer ccun-
les. In Bear Lake county there are
hree legislative tickets in the field.
In this county (Ada) two years ago
,o07 votes were cast for governor. OF
his number the Republicans received
26. Democrats 5S3 and Populists 49S.
making the combined strength of the
Democrats and Populists 1,0S1 Here.
lso, must be taken into account the
fcKinley vote in estimating the
trength of Dubois. The vote for the
anton phenomenon will be small, but
everrheleSS must not be entirely OVER