The sun., 1896-10-18


Chairman Afford of the Popocratio Committee
says that he is sure California will pile up 50,-
900 plurality for Bryan. His estimate Is made
on the combined Democratic and Populist vote
of two years ago, which amounted to over so, 900
in excess OF tho Republican vote.
Tho Republican figures will not have It that
way. They admit the natural fusion majority
of 10000 or moro, but they say they can easily
moro than overcome 1t. Judge ]. A. waymire.
leading Republican, says that he is certain
there is Ave gold Democrats In California to one
silver Republican. Then, too. the young mems
vote is nearly all going TO McKtnley according
to the Judge, so there is not the slightest doubt
In his mind that the state will go Republican.
Everything has been done by the Repu ublican
managers to educate the people of the interior.
and TO impress upon them the fact that an
abundance OF money will not help them so long
as the mills are shut down and farmers cannot
get enough for their produce to pay expenses of
growing 1t. The object lessons In protection in
California have been striking. Nearly every
great industry in the State has been Grip
pied, and not single county has escaped suffer-
ing. The Republicans have appealed to the wool
growers, the sugar beet producers. the lumber
meu, and the gold miners to Join hands and re-
store the Mckinley tariff that gave California
the returns show that these appeals have had
great effect. Tnus in the raisin district of
jorty. because The lie was beaten ut' ont Of tho tho
M raisin Industry by the Wilson law Al through
people ars sore over the opening OF the coun
try TO foreign oranges and lemons when
a small duty would have meant sev
eral millions every year to them In legitimate
profits. The men who made good profits grow
Ing sugar bee,s are not disposed to vote, for
about two cents pound Off their profits. Tho
wool men are desperate. as for four years they
wool counties tho Republicans expect to have a
walkover. as unlimited free silver can't help
permitted to come In and drive out tho homo
In all the manufacturing centres of Califor-
mia the Republican vote will be heavy. Tho
deserted mills and the factories running on half
time tell their own story The Wilson lazy has
only by great effort that manufacturing was
built up here, with the Handicapped higher wages
towns. where every family counts several idle
factory hands. the Popocratic vote will he Gu
count S o ote hSt M
ize the fusion OF Popocrnts and Populists, but
any one can see that this vote must be large
when the figures of the last two elections are
In is9e the vote of California in round num-
democratic, ils.114; Ponulist, 25.30o. In 1894
tho vote stood: Republican. 100000; Demo-
increase of the Popuist vote is one of the fac
tors which is worrying the Republican,. 1t rep
from both the older parties. but an element OF
$4,000 new voters These, the Populists claim,
are the young farmers who cast In that year their
6rst votes, and they are confident that this per-
centage OF increase will DO shown at tho
coming election. II Il s. then tho result will be
O great surprise to all the old politicians.
The Republicans are not hopeful of getting
many Populist converts, but they do claim very
heavy defections from the Popocratic ranks.
This. combined with the Democrats who will
vote for Palmer and Buckner. will cut down the
total vote over 10000. according to the best
calculations. With nil these gains. however,
the Republcans will be fortunate tf they win
California by from three to tlve thousand.
There Is always n large floating vote in this
State which can never be counted on. and this
year 1t is \ more uncertain quantity than usual.
The Congress fight is badly mixed. The Repub-
licans are OF only two-liilborn in tho
Third and Bowers in the Seventh. The Demo-
Gratis are equally sure OF DevrIes in tho Second
and Mcguire In the Fourth. Tho others are nll
doubtful, with fighting chance for the Repub-
licans. The Legislature will probably be Popo-
cratic. which will give that side the United
States Senator.