The San Francisco call., 1896-10-26
OUAY,s PREDICTION.

1t is now well assured that Mckinley
will be the next President of the United
States. The desperate leaders of the fusion
party see no chance of success and are en-
deav orlng to discount the certain defeat
that awaits them by raising the cry that
voters are to be intimidated at the polls.
This cry of coercion need not alarm and
probably does not alarm any intelligent
citizen. All the business elements of the
people we'll understand that the election
of Mckinley means the coming OF pros
perity and no senseless campaign cry will
turn them from their firmly fixed pur-
pose of electing the man who will bring
better times to every trade and every in
dustry.
The most conservative estimate which
has been made of the Republican vote is
that of Senator Quay, who, after careful
study of the situation announces that 270
votes in the electoral college are certain
for the Republican ticket. In addition to
these there are sixty-seven votes which
are more likely to be cast for Mckinley
than for the Bryanites. This estimate
may be accepted as reliable. Senator
Quay is well known Tor the accuracy of his
forecasts of political votes. He never ex-
aggerates his claims and never hesitates
to admit defeat if defeat is certain.
1t will be remembered that shortly be-
fore the st. Louis convention, when it was
still doubtful who would receive the nomi-
nation, Mr. Quay, who was then one
of the strongest leaders in opposition to
Mr.. Mckinley, did not hesitate to declare
that Mr.. Mckinley would be nominated
as soon as his study of the situation con-
vinced him of the fact. That was charac-
teris.ic of the man. He never claims any
thing as a political bluff. He has never
misled any one by statements made
merely for campaign purposes. When he
knows the truth he speaks it and his esti-
mate of the coming vote for Mckinley
may be relied upon as that of frank and
outspoken student of American politics.
In giving his estimate of the vote Mr..
Quay did not give the details nor name
States which he expects the Republican
party to carry. His reason for this silence
is obvious. 1t is no part of his business
to let the fusion managers know what
States are regarded as doubtful by the Re-
publican leaders. 1t is not, therefore, cer-
tain whether Mr.. Quay's information puts
California in the list of doubtful States or
not. It depends upon the Republicans of
the State to determine whether or no it is
to be doubtful. With the cooperation of
conservative Democrats, who will not be
foolish enough in a closely contested elec-
ton to throw their votes away on Palmer
and Buckner. it will be easy for stalwart
Republicans to carry the State, despite
the detection of all those extreme free sill
verite Republicans who are not willing to
wait for the establishment of bimetallism
by international agreement.
Sound law-loving Democrats
can do much TO aid in the election of Nc
Kinley, and will undoubtedly do so, but
they cannot be expected to take the lead.
That duty must be performed by Repub-
Leans, and every Republican who has in
fuence among his neighbors can do much
to advance the good cause. 1t needs only
that Republicans assert themselvesto win
over to their side all the wavering, doubt
full and hesitating elements of the people.
The call to duty is the call for an ag-
gressive campaign. Let it be prosecuted
with vigor. Victory in the Nation is sure.
7 eft MS make ii eouallv sure in California