New-York tribune., 1896-11-02
CONFIDENT OF THE RESULT
ESTIMATING M'KINLEYS ELECTORAL
AND POPULAR MAJORITIES.
REvULsIoN OF FEELING AGAINST FREE SILVER
IN THE WEST AND THE CAUSES THAT
fly TELEGRAPH TO THE TRIBrSE.I

pagn complete nothing is more certain tnan a
complete triumph on Tuesday Outside the puoy-
ant Jones headquarters in the Auditorium An
mex the lowest estimate OF the electoral vote
which Major Mckinley will receive Is 23o lie IL
| likely to get sixty more than this. and 1t may
be. even as Mark Hanna says, that he VIII mount
a good deal higher. His popular majority Will
correspond to his majority in the Electoral Col
legc 1t would not surprise those who nave
| been figuring closely the Middle West II the
| Republican majority on the popular vote should
| be over 100000 There are Republicans in chi
cago who, judging from what they sec gong on
around them place the majority closer to 1"o-
900 than to half that number but this is reckon
| ing on a trembling of the political earth. Ii IS
not surprising that those who form their Juds-
ment visible signs here in Chicago should
paint glowing pictures Of what is to happen Iues-
day. To all appearances Chicago is as over
whelmingly for Mckinley and sound money as
New-York In the business and residence sec
! tions Of the city the only Bryan spots wfere
Bryan feeling exists are at the Democratic
State and National Headquarters. The flags
are all Mckinley Tags. and the pictures in the
windows are almost exclusively those of the Re-
publican candidates. For distance of six miles
out OF the city. rides between rows on lows
OF houses and stores with Mckinney pictures In
! the windows. Mckinleys portraits show up by
the thousand, and Bryans hardly by the dozen
! Most OF them are in undertakers shops and
| saloons.
MKINLEY'S SURE COLUMN OF STATES.
II is safe to count for Mckinley. by varying
maiorities every State east Of the Missouri and
north Of the Ohio AM Potomac. These eighteen
States east 2iJ votes in the Electoral College and
it is safe TO add to them Kentucky 18th thirteen
votes. giving the Republican candidate Gear
ma jority east OF the Missouri and leaving
generous margin in the rest OF the country out
Of which To gather in others All these states
can he put in the Mckinley column just as
surely AS though the votes were ALREADY counted
What is OF as great value, in carrying them, the
Republicans will he sure ot a sourd-nOney ma
jority in the House while. with what is going on
! In States OF the Missouri. enough Legis-
latures will be carried to give a Republican ira
iority in the Senate. II the election fad been
held month after the nomination Of Bryan. he
J might have had chance.
There was time when Bryan and free silver
might have carried most Of the States Vest OF
the Ohio That was when the craze was at its
height before the Indianapolis Convention fsd
shown dissatisfied Democrats way out; before
the Maine election had disclosed the utter futility
OF looking for any help in the East; before the
hollowness OF the free-silver arguments had be-
gun to impress those who We're first turned ay
by the specousness of the cry for more money
and finally before ii had been Thoroughly
pressed home that the triumph of Bryan meant
also the triumph OF Altgeld. Tillnan. Debs ana
| the rest OF the Anarchstc crew. The farmers OF
the West are sometimes deluded but the last
! few weeks have shown that. a body. they can
not he swept off their feet by the theories ci
| government which Altged expounds.
ATTITUDE OF THE LABOR VOTE.
An important factor in the improvement, so far
/ as Chicago and other cities in the West ore ccn-
cerned is the labor vote. This vote did much
| to elect Cleveland and Altged in 1892. hut this
year it has been swung with extraordinary uni
formity into the Republican column. There has
never been a campaign in which - much has
I happened 10 impress upon the workingman the
fact that his interests Identical with those
| Of his employer. Here in Chicago. every en-
ployer has been a soundmoney missionary. The
! fact that McKiney's election was necessary To
the opening up Of the closed factories and the
/ continuance Of shops and stores which iad been
struggling along against odds in hope OF letter
/ times has been growing more and more ION
the minds OF the whose daily bread depends
| upon their daily wage.
This has been Of the most striking things
about the campaign in Chicago. The inters sts
| Of the employer and employed have bren 50 OBJ
| viously intertwned that in hundreds of instances
the workngmen have shown zeal equal TO their
! employers. and have taken polls. organized clubs
/ ard arranged parades without saying word 10
! their employers about 1t. The majority OF the
labor vote In all the large cities out here viii be
/ for Mckinley.
WIEAT'S RISE FATAL TO POPuLlSM
Another potent factor has been the rise in
wheat The turn of the tide in Minnesota and
the Dakotas dates from the day wheat began TO
Nahr lin hay fplf
the effect so strongly that the Republicans in
| both those States expect 10 carry them. SO
striking has been the effect that some Of the
farmers imagine the Republican National Com
| mittee must have been at the bottom Of IL, and
they credit tha rise to Mark Hanna. A few days
ago he received a plaintive letter from farmer
down in Southern Illinois: You have done
good thing by wheat" he wrote: lin Heavens
| name get under corn. We raise a lot OF ii down
| here" .
The work of the Sound Money Democrats in
! The Middle States has been exceedingly effective
! II it were not for the vote In Missouri. inoiana
| Iowa and Kentucky. those states might nave
heen carried for Bryan. as the Republicans
alone with the defections from their ranks,
| might not have been able TO meet the Demo-
Gratis and Populists combined. The recalcitrant
Democrats are. II anything, more eager and
! untifing than the Republicans themselves. They
| display an intensity Of feeling against the
nominees of their party which will lead most
| ~ them to vote direct for Mckinley and relish
their work One of the largest Palmer and
| Ruckner clubs in Chicago last night, after
| adopting resolutions condemning the insults
offered the Indianapolis candidates on their Mis-
souri, tour adopted unanimously other resolu-
tons declaring n purpose TO vote for Mckinley
| and Hobart These men are now eating the bitter
| fruit of their sowing four years ago. when they
urged Altgeld and his friends for the purpose
OF gaining Cleveland votes
THE SILENT VOTE FOR MKINLEY
Tho silent Democratic vote which will go to
Mckinley without bazoning It Is an element
OF uncertainty in all the canvasses. 1t is be-
lieved by the Republican managers to be the
only silent vote OF any consequence here in
Chicago These the men who do not wish
Arc.k with their marty and whose