The Manitowoc pilot. [volume] (Manitowoc, Wis.) 1859-1932, 1896-10-29
HOW WILL THE ELECTION GO:

one IS interested. The estimates
made by leaders are SO clearly for the
purpose of deceiving that no conf
dence can be placed in them. Judg-
ing from local conditions Wisconsin
is quite certain to give large major
lty for Mckinley. Those are the in
dicatiOns, but so uncertain is every
thing, and SO heavy is the silent vote,
on which no one can calculate, that
surprises may be looked for The
populist vote will go largely to the
national democratic and state tickets.
There are 25,O00 National Democratic
votes in the state, of which only a
small percentage will go for Palmer
and Buckner. The strength of that
party will not be made clear in the
election, though it will affect the re-
suit materially. Judging from the
number of silver republicans in this
county, there are not many such
throughout the state But there is
reason to believe 1rom reports that
there are many more of these in the
state tnan the republican committee
is willing to concede.
The silent vote in this county is 80
per cent. gold democrats. Confident
ally one hears of them from the most
unexpected quarters Bryan will lose
about 600 democratic votes in this
county without making an estimate
OF the silent vote the extent of which
no one knows. To offset these are the
populists and silver republicans, the
latter not being numerous.
A week ago the best opinion was
that Mckinley would carry the coun-
ty. But the magnificent fight the
silver democrats have made here is
having its effect 1t has not affected
the city of Manitowoc materially, but
the remote country towns and sections
of them which have been ignored in
the past, have been worked with con-
summatc generalship. 1t is the ablest
conducted campaign ever managed in
this county and under the most un
favorable conditions that the party
ever went into contest. The signs
are now that the county will give a
small majority for Bryan, always ex-
Guiding that silent vote, which is like
ly to prove an important factor. The
state is reasonably sure to go for Nc
kinley with the prospects of a large
majority.
A careful and unprecedented survey
OF the situation is much in McKinley's
favor throughout the United States
If labor is for him to the extent it is
claimed his election is assured beyond
a question. But it is not wise calcu
lation to figure labor as favorable to
Mckinley as it is reported to be.
Labor has been led to believe to a
dangerous degree that its interests
and those of capital are antagonistic.
Find ont how Your employer is going
to vote and then vote the other way.
and You will be right has become an
mode of procedure with
many laborers.
Granting to Bryan all that is reas-
onably claimed for him including Ken
lucky, and CHASING as doubtful the
pivotal states, and with them New
Jersey, Maryland, and Delaware, and
he has 209 votes. That gives him the
benefit of the doubt in every state not
classed doubtful. On these figures
has 119 certain. and 10 are
classed as doubtful. Throwing out
all doubtful states and giving to each
what he is reasonably sure
of getting, without the benefit of the
doubt to either. and the vote will stand.
159, Bryan 179. Doubtful
100. Distributing the doubtful states
as the Pilot estimates they will go,
and Mckinley receives 234, Bryan 213.
There are endless changes and read
iustments all of which are possible and
some probable of occurrence. But
the advantage is Oh the main with
Bryan has this to his advantage:
He starts out with a greater number
Of electoral votes apparently certain
for him. Mckinley has this: He is
more certain of large
of the electoral votes of the |.
doubtful states.
As the contest approaches its ter I
mination the probability of land
slide decreases. If there should be
none, neither candidate will have
much of a majority in the electoral
college. The silent vote may change
all conjectures based on the best in /
but it will hardly cause a
The electoral college con
sists of AT electors, pa being neces-
sary to a choice.
PERFUME Triple strength 25c. per