New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1896-01-12
&c 1T REALLY A CRlSIS9
Continued from First Page.


rlo oThs Economist" says that the results to
-. Rrjtain and Germany in the event of war
oid he the immediate deprival OF Germany Of
III per cent Of her foreign commerce. against
Englands loss "f per cent II England kept
co,.. az Germany would be paralyzed. while
HrngIisb trade would be pushed in markets
"T contested by the Germans.
NE the tone Of the German papers published
T.. London indicates the mood of the German
anulatjon which is estimated at So 900 here
- while strongly disappearing of the En-
,aror's conduct. resent British hostility to Ger
-, &C unius.ihcd. Many Germans who have
hnan settled ir England for a long time pro-
use 10 become naturalized owing to the pros
rrscr OF war. This viii prevent Germany from
calling upon Their, 10 bear arms in the event
Of actual hostilItes.
"The Westminster Gazette" commenting on
.bs relations between the Emperor and the
british royal family, says that these relations
ars offensive He uses the imperative in his
Intercourse with ell his relations in England
and Germany, and holds himself to be the head
NJ the family next to the Queen AS the
NJ the British Princess Royal he always con-
tends that he is heir to the British throne.
In connection with this subject the "Frankfort
Zeitung" renows the story that Emperor Will
lam IN the event Of The death of the Queen. will
claim the throne Of the United Kingdom and
prepare to enforce his rights by force Of arms.
As believer in the divine right of kings, he
would not regard an adverse decision on his
claim by Parliament
President Krugers retention OF Dir. Jameson
ani the other prisoners captured by the Boers
and the seizure @: further hostages gives Min
isterial circles Qualms Of doubt as 10 whether
the Queens message Of thanks to him was not
premature. Mr. Chamber lain, the Colonial Sec
retary too quickly concluded THAI President
kruger meant to Immediately release the pris-
oners President Krugers message postponing
his anal decision on the question OF release until
quiet shall he restored in johannesburg is now
read differently from what /; was when first
MANUFACTURING NEWS.
TIE Berlin dispatch published by The Tele-
graph" this morning. stating that Emperor Will
tam had sent a conciliatory letter to the Queen.
In response 10 an autograph Litter Of rebuke
sent to him by Her Majesty appears to be
canard without even the meri, of originality. 1t
simply re-echoes story that has been current
here since Wednesday. The dispatch Is ignored
BY some Of the evening papers and sneered at by
others "The Telegrauhs" correspondent says
thai Lord Salisbury has avoided asking explana-
tions Il the Empsror's attitude on the TransVaal
question. which explanations might be unpleas-
ant and adds chat the governments or the sew
eral German States have begun TO protest that
no Stility - England was intended; that no
protection Of the Transvaal is desired. and that
70 German Interference in any form
Intended As all this Is directly contrary 10 all
the information that has been allowed to reach
the journalists who are in touch with the Gov
eminent officials here the Va ue OF these stories
from Berlin can be gagged. 1t is deemed neces-
sarv however. to notice them, as. were they
true. they would alter the whole situation.
NEED OF BELLIGERENT POLICY.
With view to ascertaining from authentic
ta,a the ratio OF British and German interests in
the Transvaal the Government caused the Board
Of Trade officials TO prepare report on the imm-
grafton into that Republic during the period COW
cred by the returns in the Boards possession
The inquiry Of the Board has resulted In the es-
Enlistment Of the remarkable fact that during
The last fifteen years only r. 900 foreigners eXcu-
eive Of the British. have gone into the Iransvaai.
The returns include Americans. Frenchmen, foi-
landers Italians and Germans. but do not give
the ratio OF each. The report Will De submitted 10
Parliament as soon as 1t meets, ana VIII DOUBT
less be used as an important factor in deailng
with the German pretensions or a rght 10 inter-
fere in the South African Republic.
While the production II these statistics may as
sist and justify British diplomacy IN reDut'ng me
German claims. 1t is the CONVECTION IN oiliCiai
circles that only the strongest ana openly peing.
eren policy can avail Great Britain III the race OF
q possible European coalition against HtI. me
crisis SO far as the TransvaaI is concerned seems
to be over Lord Salisbury has clincned the po-
sltion at Delagoa Bay by informing the Govern
rnent at Lisbon that the landing Of any Foreign
troops there will be Immediately followed oy the
occupation Of the place by the British
BY Wednesday five British cruisers WIN De s'a
toned at Delagoa Bay This procedure rather
sayors of a bluff as no Power threatens to land
troops there but IT is part or me strong manu-
the British Government is compelled TO play.
The Globe" says it hears that the nylhg
squadron Just formed viii first 60 to the Mediter-
ranean. 1t adds that the vessels attached 10 'ne
squadron. which may eventually DE ordered 10
proceed 10 DelagOa Bay, Portuguese East AFRICA
will probably go by way of the Suez Canal.
The whole statement has a doubtful air. DIS.
patches from Portsmouth say that the date OF
the departure of the flying squadron from that
port has not yet been fixed. but 1t Is expected
that Rear admiral \. r. Dole, who has been APP.
pointed TO the command Of the squadron, VIII
be at sea by January ia
Although the crisis in the Transvaal is ap-
parently over, affairs in Europe are ap-
preaching a phase which is big with the
peror Williams message to President Kri-
ger Of the hostile language Of the German Off
Ministers with the Boer representatives have
been vouchsa fed to Lord Salisbury. There is
reason 10 assert that he has dema nded such ex-
plantations and that orders to prepare the Navy
Tor war we're issued after he had duly advised
Count Won Har.zfed, the German Ambassador
here that the German Government ought to give
the explanations requested
THE EMPERORs ALLEGED MOTIVE.
The abatement Of the hostile tone Of the Ger
man inspired papers cannot be taken as indicat-
ing a change in the Emperors policy or Of a less
ening OF the danger to England. Among the
theories discussed by the press in trying TO In
terpret the Emperor's action. II Is understood
that Lord Salisbury accepts only one. and tnat Is
that the message to President KrUger was part
OF a calculated and long played game or involv-
Ing England in complications which would weak
er her force as factor In European afairs Inc
chiefs OF the British Foreign Office have known
FOR A long time that in consequence or Herinan
diplomacy in the East. Lord Salsburys eHorts
TO bring about settlement or the armenian
ouee,fon have been tnwarted. and that Germany
has made overtures to Russia in favor OF com
mon policy 10 check England's expansion IN any
part Of Asia. The key 10 all this lies IN me I'm ,
Tner0r's recentmcnt Of the policy OF LORD sails
burr. While the Liberals were in power the
CInperor expected that cold neutrality wouId De
Ior1 Salisbury when he came into power. would
enter into some form of entente with the lilple
Alliance Disappointed in this the emperor c or-
cided TO make England feel the weight Oh ueI
man hostility. How far the Emperor has sue
ceeded in obtaining coalition against STiea Urea