Evening star., 1896-10-30
HOUSE TO : HOUSE POLL
Counting the Mckinley I Vote in His Own
StatAt
Prediction That He WIN Carry II
by 100000 Plural-
1ty.73

COLUMBUS. Ohio. October %, 1885,
The democrats are closing the campaign
in this state with a squirt and flourish. The
republicans are keeping up the hard fight
they have been making all through the
contest There seems to be no change in
the trend of public sentiment, however, and
the sound money advocates seem to be
making steady if small gains. This is
borne out in the statements that have been
given out from the two state committee
chairmen. Contrary to expectations. Chair
man Kurtz has made an estimate OF the re-
suit based on the summary Of the polls that
have come to the committee. The fact Is
that the poll taken by the republicans in
the last three weeks Of the campaign-a
house to- house poll-indicates that the plu-
ralfty OF Mckinley in this state will be
11S.oOO. AS the vote for Palmer and the
other small party candidates for the presi-
dency will be very small. the plurality and
majority will not be very different this
year.
Gold Democrats.
1t is generally conceded that nearly all
the gold democrats will vote directly for
Mckinley in this state. This is not due to
any lack of zeal effort on the part of
ex-Consressman Outhwaite. who las had
charge Of the sound money democratic
campaign in this state. but to the fear born
OF The extravagant and unWarranted claims
OF the silver advocates that they would
carry the state for Bryan. With that US a
possibility. the democrats who were firm
enough sound money men to leave their
party, would take no chance in voting for
faimer and Buckner. who they well know
cannot be elected. Early In the campaign
II was estimated that the sound money
democratic vote in Ohio would be about 30
ooo Now the highest estimates do not put
| it above 10 600 1t will prohahI not excaed
12,UUO.
Nearly all of these votes nave gone over
10 the republican organization. The repub-
icahs expect that great many democrats
VINO are saying nothing about it fully in
tend to vote against Mr. Bryan The ma jor
part OF this element they expect to vote d.
rectly for Majcr Mckinley. AS they do
not expect that any one shall know that
they vote against their party they might
| as Well make their votes count as much as
possible.
Chairman McConville's statement of the
result In the state, as he sees it, is not
very satisfactory to the members of his
| party: He will give no figures. but says
that betting Is strong at even rates that
Mckiniey's majority will be not greater
than three-fourths of the figure named by
Chairman kurtZ. This Is easy way to
admit that Bryan cannot carry the state
Outside of those who are closely Interested
can be found who will assert that the dem
! ocrats will carry the state and back it up
with an even WAGER. he
Urban Resi stration.
The registration in the cities of the state
Is enormous. Registration does not extend
| to the rural districts nor to the villages
and hamlets. 1t may be that the same Gag
erness to vote is felt by the voters in the
latter precincts, but 1t has not been ex-
pressed It has in the cities. From these
business centers there will come a loud and
vigorous protest against the change of the
standard of values. 1t is generally admit
ted that the cities will all show enormous
republican gains. About one-half of the
voting population of the state live in cities.
1t Is altogether unlikely that there is the
same esprit du corps among the voters Of
the rural districts, granting that they are
pretty thoroughly permeated with the free
silver theory, as there Is among the voters
of the cities who are clearly for sound
money In this city, which has 10000 regis
tered voters, the republican poll shows that
Mckinley Will have a plurality Of $500.
He had only $50 two years ago, when he
ran for governor. If this proves to be
correct, it will mean that Lentz, fusion
candidate for Congress. will be defeated in
this district by D. K. Watson, republican,
by at least 1000 votes.
The only city about which there is any
doubt is Cleveland. Several Strikes last
summer have disgruntled the labor vote
can party has aggravated the difficulty.
Not long ago it was estimated that the
| city would not give more than 1900 repub-
| lican plurality. With plurality as low
as this the republicans could not hope to
carry both of the congressional districts
there. Representative H G. Smith. who
was here yesterday. says that the condition
| there is much more favorable to the re-
publicans. and that 10000 is a conservative
| estimate of the republican plurality in Guy
ahoga county.