The news & observer. [volume] (Raleigh, N.C.) 1894-current, 1896-11-03
The Managers on Both Sides
Are Confident.
HOW THEY FIGURE 1T OUT
Ho1ton Counting on Populists
Voting for Mckinley.
Bur AVER SAYS THEY WILL NOT
Chairman Manly Thinks the State is
Safe for Bryan by 10000 Ma
jority at the Lowest
Estimate.

hfIGht Gay VIII De suspicious OF
Democratic victory. confidently hope
for both to- morrow. Notwithstand-
ing Republican brass, backed by Han
mas money and their contemplated
schemes of fraud, we will carry North
Carolina. An enormous registration
of white and black, which2has never
before been polIed, prevent my giving
figures, yet, every intelligent observer
of public sentiment comedies North
Carolina to Bryan by at least 80 900.
This estimate | think correct, and in
wolves the election of our State ticket
by safe majority. Congressional flu
sion between Republicans and Popu-
lists will prove a failure, and the Dem
ocrats will carry a majority of the
Congressional districts o-norrow.
Every hour this day comes news pres
!. aging victory for Democracy, and the
heart beat of the people is with us.
CLEMENT MANLY.
Chairman Manly is a very confident
man. There is no doubt of his sincerity
when he says Mr.. Bryan is going to be
elected. He believes it as firmly as he
believes in his own existence. Nor is it
an extraordinary thing that he should
have this confidence. He showed me
great stacks of returns from the Demo-
cratic registrars at every precinct In the
State giving the number Of voters whose
names are on the books as qualified elect
ors and how they will probably vote.
Later, another and corrected poll was
taken and now Mr.. Manly has the fig
ures which tell him that Bryan's success
in North Carolina is assured beyond any
sort of question. 1t is hardly possible
for him to be mistaken. His subordin-
ates in all parts of the State are men
who have made the party battles in the
past-men of character, ability, re-
sourcefulness-p lucky leaders who have
known the true situation of affairs at all
times during the campaign and will see
that their party gets its full rights to-
day. In every county the Democratic
management is in strong experienced
hands. These facts show that Mr.. Man
ly knows what he is talking about.
1t is not necessary to praise his man
agement of the campaign. In politics
he is just what he is in businessmen,
practical, resourceful. He is never at
loss for an effective method for strength
ening party lines, whenever he discovers
q sign of wayering. A good Judge of
human nature, he is able to guard himself
against being imposed upon by those
whom he appoints to certain tasks.
1t is these facts that cause the above
predictions to be of value and should
make them an inspiration to-day to
every Democratic voter in the State.
Chairman Holton is equally confident.
There is no doubt in his mind that Me-
Kinley is to be the next President of the
United States and that North Cardinals
electoral vote will, for the first time with
in recorded history, be chained to the
Republican triumphaI chariot.
l asked him last night what he thought
of the situation on the eve of the election,
and he wrote out for me the following
signed statement
There will be SIT 900 votes poIIed
to- morrow in North Carolina. Mr.
Mckinley will get 1865 900 and MIR.
Bryan las, 900. This estimate will
vary in proportion to the number of
votes scratched by Democrats and
Popuiists. There are IS, GOO Demo-
Gratis who have declared they will
scratch Watson electors, and "a 900
Populists have declared they will
scratch SewaII electors. The fusion
majority will be about 10000. Rus
sells majority will be about 40, 900.
The Democrats will have s Senators
ans 70 members in the Legislature.
A.. &. HOLTON.
MFR. Holton is mistaken and / will tell
you why. / think / can point out the very
manner in which he is deceiying himself.
First, let me say that when the election
is close campaign managers rarely know
when they are beaten. This, of course,
applies to all parties alike. But it is not
true that one campaign manager is as
likely to deceive himself as another and
the confidence at this time Of Mr.. Manly
is more significant than that of Mr.. HoI-
ton. The organization Of both has been
equally thorough and complete, but Mr..
Holton has been imposed upon by his
subordinates. His henchmen over the
State, flushed with the victory of two
years ago, given them by the Populists,
have sat themselves down to dream of
the flesh pots of Egypt and fat revenue
Office. They have put down upon their
registration returns what they hoped
and believed rather than what they
knew. If these returns which Mr.. Holton
now has in his office are true, then the
Populist platform is a lie and fraud
and many Of the Populists themselves
are political perjurers, for upon these re-
turns from Republican registrars more
Populists are put down as intending to
vote for Mckinley than for Bryan. But
this is not true Chairman Aver says it is
not true. The Populists themselves say
it is not true.
Now ! do not charge that these men
have been dishonest with their chairman.
They are simply mistaken and all the
facts up to this point go to prove them
so. Mr.. Holton has been deceived. He
is placing faith in state Of facts which
does not exist. lie is hanging by rope
Of sand. Take the Populists out of his
count and he has self-confessed min
ority.
The truth is the Populists, almost to a
man, with the exception Of those who are
really Republicans but are masquerad-
ing as Populists, viii vote the Bryan fu-
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