The evening times., 1896-11-12
NO EXTRA SESSION LIKELY
Senator Chandler Confirms
Times Tuesday Summary.
ENOUGH REVENUE ASSURED
Senator Sherman's Speech Before
the Union League Club Last Night.
Expressions From Silver Senator's
Show u Protection MajOrity-The
Three Doubtful Points.

Senator Chandler has prepared state
ment as to the probable chances OF fihah-
cial and tariff legislation in a special ses-
sion of Congress next spring. 1t agrees
very closely in the general CONCLUSIONS
reached with an article in The Evening
Times on Tuesday, the very day, 1T hap
pens that the Senator's analysis was made
public in Boston.
Recent utterances of Senators show that
what can he done in an extra session can
probably be done in the present Congress
Senator Sherman opposes the extra session
Senator Chandler counts Al Republicans,
33 Democrats, Populists and silver
Republicans. He admits that there are
three doubtful points in the summary. One
is whether Blackburn's successor viii be Il
Republican, as he counts; another. whether
Higgins successor will be q Democrat, as
counted; and, third, whether Senator Prit-
chard may not succeed himself, instead OF
giving way to ropulist, as the summary
reckons il.
Senator Chandler says, after stating the
facts:
The conclusions which may be drawn
from the above figures are uncertain.
The probabilities are as follows:
l. That the Republicans Will retain the
organization OF the Senate.
g That no protective tariff laws can
be passed. Every Democratic Senator last
winter voted repeatedly against even TAX
ing up a tariff bill. Yet it is possible tn at
tariff legislation may be obtained by The
votes Of silver Republicans who have al
ways been protectionists.
3. That there will be free silver ma
jority i'll the Senate. OF the forty -four
ReubliCans, four, namely Carter, Clark,
Mantle and Warren, are likely TO vote Tor
free silver; so, probably, will five more,
namely, Mitchell of oregon. Perkins sue
cessor; Shoup, Wilson and Wolcott. or the
33 Democrats, only seven against frecsilver
are now to be seen, Caffery, German, Gray,
Lindsay, Mitchell of Wisconsin, Murphy
and Smith. So that 8 Republicans, 70
Democrats, 9 PopuliSts, and Silver Re
publicans, amounting to 4S, Will make a
Senatorial silver majority, with two votes
to spare.
DOUBTS IN THE CASE.
The uncertainties of the case are inter
esting and important.
/. Whether any of the nine Silver Re
publicans above named will refuse TO vote
for a protective tariff unless they can
have free silver remains TO be seen. IL is
TO be hoped that they have been enlightened
and willingly instructed as to the folly of
such pOsitIun bythe 900 900 popull ma
jority and the big electoral majority for
Mckinley aud HOBART
.. As the free silver majority spoken
OF as probable depends upon two votes, il
will be an open question during the com
ing winter whether it is to be realized
1t is to be hoped that such light ma be
e. throw wn upon the subject from consideta-
ton OF the meaning OF the late popular
election as Will prevent such a ma Jority y
from III anifesting itself. The question.
moreover. whether the Senate has or has
nrtt for fraa l-or
is not in itself material, in view of
the overwhelming majority against 1t in
the House. The real ques ton is that first
above statcd-Bamely, as suming such q
majority, whether silver Republicans will
vote against a tariff bill Hnlcs $ they can
force the House and President Mckinley
to accept a free silver bill. 1t is hardly
possible they will take any such position.
Everything will depend upon the atti-
tude of the administration and the Rcpub-
lican party toward bimetalliSrn. If the
result of the Presidential election is to he
taken by President Mckinley as perma-
nent acceptance Of the single gold standard
and no effort, or only formal and inSincere
efforts, are to be made to reQonetiZe sill
yer, there is little hope for any protective
tariff legislation until S99, after the peo-
pie have been again consulted as to the
complexion of the United States Senate,
as well as On bimetallism.
WESTERN SENATORS SPEAK
Already some of the uncertainties .sug.
gested by Senator Chandler have been par
TALLY determined. Utah dispatch says
that Senator Cannon, who is hunting in
Idaho, will not vote for a protective tariff
measure unless coupled with free silver
amendment.
Senator Warren has said that he has
always been ready to vote for a tariff
MOI as R..tlnhllp;inS
without a rider of any kind and he sees no
reason now to change his policy in this
regard.
Senator Clark has said: 81 shall te with
the Republican party on all tariff legisla-
ton. The sooner measure on revenue
legislation isready the betterfor the country.
| will take no part in ma king permanent the
gold standard"
Senators Perkins and Brown have said
that they would vote for Republican
tariff bill without reference to silver lceis-
lation: but the question is what would their
successors do Senator Perkins is likely
to be his own successor, and If he should
not, by some mischance, his successor VIII
act with the Republicans; sc there is no
prospect of a change in that vote. But
Senator Browns successor is very likely
to I've some other man, and the new Senator
will probably refuse to vote for any tariff
measure that does OF provide for o. mage
OF silver as demanded by the Chicago plat
FORM
The positive assertions of Senators Clark
and Warren leave a bare ma jority for sill
yer along the old line of antagonsm to
revenue measure unless free coinage goes
with it, and seven of the men whose posi-
tions were underlined under the new order
OF things brought out by the election are
yet to speak.
REVENUE BILL CAN PASS.
1t is reasonably certain that one or more
OF them viii decide as the Wyoming Scna-
tors have done, and vote Tor tariff bill
independent of silver legislation; it is prob
able indeed that all of them will take his
course. But one is sufficient to break the
free silver majority.
In addition, Senator Morgan has said
that he will not oppose the Dinglcy bill
in the approaching session of the Fifty
fourth Congress, il for no other reason than
to force President Cleveland OH record by
putting such measure before him to
sign. He further indicated. however, that
he wished the Republican party to assume