Arizona republican., 1896-09-17
.ee.)aE DOUBT ABOUT IOWA
The Chances In Favor of
 Bryan.
The Entire Farming Element
 Aroused.
Republican Committee Admits DefIection Of O,ooO- Silver
 issue the Cause.

NEW YORK, Sept. 16.-Writing to The World from. Des Moines, James Creelman says of the political outlook in Iowa:
 Tt may startle people in the east to know that as Iowa stands today the vote is about tie
 "The extraordinary strength of the silver sentiment here has been sud- denly revealed to the Republican state committee by the preliminary canvass of the counties Something like two thirds of the districts have been heard from, and they show Republican bolt of more than 30,000.
 "The Democratic defection is in the neighborhood of 10000. With the 32,000 and odd Populist votes joined to the Democratic strength, Bryan would have a majority Hanna has been 1 looking for a Republican majority Of 50,000 or 75,000.
 "Mr. Treynor, secretary of the Re publican state committee, told me that the reports from all parts of the state already in his hands indicated that there were at least 30,000 Republicans classed as doubtful, but actually lean | ing towards free silver. MT. Cummins, National committeeman, confirmed this statement They admitted that on the surface of the reports the silver and gold vote was about a tie, but claimed that there was much reason to believe that a large part of the dis of ffnatld | back by earnest work.
 "The reports of the Republican com mittee tally almost exactly with those of the Democratic state committee. MT. Currie, the state chairman, said that Treynor's figures agreed in a gen. eral way with those reported to the ! Democratic headquarters.
 "When I made the trip tlhro1lgh Iowa a few weeks ago it seemed that most of the Republican free silver talk was froth, for many of the farmers who talked against the gold stendard also expressed admiration for Mckinley. I found Democratic newslapers and pol iticians demouncing free silver. All has been changed"
 After telling of President Ives of the Burlington, Cedar Rapids & Northern issuing an appeal to his employees to vote against free silver as it would mean increased cost of farm products with no increase of wages, he says: Thousands of these circulars were distributed through the farming dis tricts by the Democrats, and former Governor Boies has been pointing out to the farmers of Iowa, who are hold ing last years crop in thaia' bins. in the hope of higher prices, that free siI- yer will lower wages and double the price of farm products. The result of this appeal is shown in the reports which are now pouring into the Re- publican headquarters. It is the old story of the country against the town, the farm against the factory.
 "'The towns and cities are solid for sound money said Secretary Treynor, but there is. trouble in the country Our canvass shows Republican loss in the Second, Third Fourth, Seventh, Eighth, Ninth, Tenth and Eleventh dis tricts.'
 "At Democratic state headquarters had a talk with the chairman, Edgar w. Curry. Nothing can beat Bryan in Iowa this year. Last year the Dem OFFaulC IIu fOplpilSt FOt0 dIllOUuleu u 181 ,O00. and t0lis year it is united and
 will be illcl eassd. The ? . :. , can vote was 2OS,OOO. This would leave a
 Republican majority of 27,000 to be overcome The prohibition vote will
 be about 10000 this year, and at least
 1000 will go to Bryan. I am willing to concede that the bolting Democrats
 will number 12,0O0 and that 1000 od
 them may vote for Mckinley. But take the 30,0OO bolters from the Re
 publican party and add them to the
 United strength of the Democrats and
 Populists, and what chance has Nc
 Kinley got to win? Bryan will carry
 Iowa by 25,OO0 majority
 ''The strangest timing about this un-
 expected condition of affairs here is that the farmers of Iowa have not felt ] the pinch of hard times The lands
 here are fertile Most of the farm.
 CTS have held their last crop of corn
 for nearly a year, proof positive thai they are not in want
 T pointed this fact out to Horace
 Boies when I visited him at Waterloo recently and he replied that the farm CTS of Iowa would inevitably lose all they had gained in past wears if the gold standard continued to depreciate
 prices"