Evening star., 1896-10-27
CAREFUL SURVEY
The Situation in North Carolina From
Both Points Of View,
fHE HEAVY REGISTRATION fHIS YEAR
Probability Of a Fair Count Of the
Negro Vote.
w II A T M AY H A P P E N

Special Correspondence Of The Evening Star.
GREENSBORO, N. c., October 28. 1895.
There is no section Of the old north state
where more interest is taken in national
politics than in this beautiful city of west
ern North Carolina, and several of its lead.
Ing public men have been taking a very
active part in the present campaign, visit
ing by invitation of the several committees
respectively. many of the cities and towns
where they addressed large public meet
ings.
Col. James e. Boyd, republican national
committeeman for North Carolina, whose
home is in Greensboro, last night was
asked by a reporter Of The Star to give his
views on the outlook for publication.
Republican Review.
In reply. Col. Boyd said:
From the best light which have been
able to obtain, 1 estimate that the aggre-
gate vote of the state this year will be
2@o,oOO to $4,000. Our population is 1,60O,
OG), and counting one voter to five of pop
lation gives us ;.J,tsO votes 1t Is safe to
say that ~ per cent of the vote will be
poiied ordinarily, but in the coming cleo
ton believe it will exceed that in this
state. and that will poll In the neigh
Dornood of Ea,.oD votes. / believe That the
vote for Mckinley will be between IJ0,HU
cans. G.nD to 5000 sound money protection
democrats. and at least 1000 poDuiists who
prefer Mckinley to Bryan. 1 estimate the
h.gh-wa.er mark for Bryan AT 14b,eOo, COM
posed OF l2pHn democrats and 10000 pop
ulists. Palmer will probably poll 5000 to
3,Ho, and Levering 300 to 5000.
"Ine demo. rats and populsts have
flnally agreed IN joint electoral ticket
Gratis. five Bryan and Watson populists and
one Bryan and SewaN silver party man.
inc national democratic party has put
up an electoral ticket, and has commenc ed
an active campaign In the state. The can
n1nates for Congress are as follows:
First district, Harry Skinner, populist
lndorsed by the republicans, and J. II. Lu-
cas- democrat. Skinner Will he elected.
Second district. George II. White repub-
can: and F. A. Woodard, democrat This
is the colored district. and in ii the repub-
Means have majority of some 5000, and
whites election Is assured
dorsed by the republicans. and Frank
Thompson, democrat. The chances are de-
cidedly favorable to Fowler.
fourth district. w. F. Stroud. populist
1ndorsed by the republicans, and E. w
Pou. democrat. 1t is generally conceded
that Stroud will win.
Other Districts.
Fifth district. Thomas Settle republican; !;
w. w. Kitchen, democrat. and A. J. Dalby
populist. This is the district in which 1
live. Settle was chosen in 1894 by 200
over his democratic competitor. and 900
over both the democrat and populist can
didates together. The silver issue will take
some popuiSt votes to the democratic
column this year, but In my opinion this
increase for the democrats will be more
than overcome by the democrats who will
vote for Settle
This is a manufacturing district, and
the mill owners. who are generally demo-
Gratis. are. in the main. for our ticket this
year. J. regard Settles election as pretty
well assured
He is making a strong, determined
nght. and Is presenting the republican
cause with marked ability.
sixth dIStr!ct-E II. Martin populist in
dorsed by the republicans. and J. A. Lock-
hart. democrat Martin seems to have the
best of the situation
Seventh district. a. Shuford. populist.
indorsed by the republicans and s. J. Penn
berton, democrat. Shuford defeated Hen
derson. democrat, in 1s94, by something
near 1000 majority. He VIII probably fall
below this this year. for the reason that
some republicans may decline to vote for
rim on account of his populism and free
silver doctrine, but his election by large
majority appears to be certain.
Eighth district-R. Z. L;nney. republican,
Endorsed by the populsts and II. A.
Doughton. democrat L:nney has a hard
fight for the district, which has. until 1894
been heavily democratic. but Linney car
ried it in 1854 over Horton Bower, demo-
crat. by some 3.U1 majority. He was sup
ported then by both republicans and popu-
lists. My opinion is that he will lose some
popuiiSt votes this year, but he will still
be elected by safe majority.
Ninth d:strict-Richmond Pearson. .repub-
hcan and j. :. Adams. democrat. This is
a straight fight. and Pearson will be elect
ed
Fight for Governor.
1--WE have four candidates for governor in
North Carolina. viz: Daniel J.. Russell, re-
publican; Cyrus B. Watson. democrat; WILL
liam A. Guthrie, populst, and jeremiah W.
Holt, prohibitionist.
III the candidates above named remain
in the field and are voted for. I am conf
dent Of Russell's election, though the re-
publican electoral ticket will, in my opin-
Ion, receive from 5000 to 10000 more votes
tran our state ticket. l estimate Russelrs
vote at 14SOn: Watson, 125,WO; Guthrie
10000. and Holt, 5000. 1 estimate that
Bryan will receive in this state 1900 more
votes than Watson, the democratic candi-
date for governor. These l draw from
populists who will vote for Bryan, but not
for the democratic candidate for governor
and think that the democratic state ticket
Will get 5000 of the sound money demo-
Gratis who will not vote for Bryan This
gives Bryan 120,0OO democrats and 2OWO
populists, for. as l stated before, Bryan
VIII not poll the populist vote by several
thousand, and watson for governor will
poll 5000 more democrats than Bryan, As
before shown, l estimate the vote for
Guthrie, pOpulist candidate for governor.
at 3o.WO This is rated rather above than
below his strength. This leaves $1,000 pon-
ulists who will vote for governor that in
my estimate are not counted for Bryan n
These 1 class with the number before
stated who will vote for Mckinley. viz.
1910, and 1 think there are as MANY more
who Will refuse to vote for the Joint elec-
toral ticket principally because of SewaI II.
against whom they are very bitter
The Legislature.
The legislature to be elected will choose
United States Senator to succeed Senator
Pritchard, who is filling out the residue
or Senator VaIce's term, which expires
March 4, 1897. From present indications
neither party will have a majority on Joint
ballot, but out of the fifty senators and
12O members of the house, estimate that
the democrats will have sixty and the re-
naming no will be nearly equally divided
between the republicans and populists, The
large number of populists in the legislature
is due to the fact that in over half the
counties in the state the republicans and
populists have fused on legislative and
county tickets This, Of course, as YOU
can readily see places the matter of Sena-
tor In some doubt. The republicans and
populists combined In the legislature of
1885, and elected Marion Butler, populist.
Tor the long term and ]. c. Pritchard, re-