New-York tribune., 1896-05-16

c.pIIsI,ES RECKLESS AND MISLEAD-
,.,o ESTIMATES coNTRAsTED WITH ACTUAL
THE TARIFF FOR DEFICIENCY
,,vrps Up ITS DEADLY WORK
-. rr,raRAPH TO THE TRIBUNE]
..,,oton. May 1.-THE dehciency producer
"as The Wilson law continues Its deadly WORK
kho..cs,pts for the first hat OF the mphth VI .aS
The go ga .ss and the deficiency for the fifteen
~ oh.' r,on,h Is in round figures s5.ooO,oo II Is
days Oh -" ,hat the month OF Mayjs going to be as
sppa'e .,c as numerous Other months-pract-
os.arv month in fact-since ;he law went INTO
eaiy l. scarcely probable that the receipts for
ehe'" will reach 326,0O0,OOO thus falling AoVo"'
the ono oa below the average monthly expenol-
Ths deficiency for the fiscal year thus far
tures over SOS 900 900. slo0oooOO In excess OF
h' C,rlsle's latest estimate and $56, 00o 900
secre'"' his original estimate. AS guesser on
pofo " .,o,s of the Treasury Department Secre-
'oe r,,s,s Is not a success On December q, 1884,
"V ~. wilson law had been over three months
vne" vna,,on Mr. Carlisle in his report TO Congress
said; s.,o, rnon the basis Of existing laws
il lsaanue y 81 the Government for the nscaI year
the reveb ~ from customs SlS5 10000. from internal
49, lss.,me we, .ls0oOOOc. from miscellaneous sources
$4,000 ..,, ;. ,r...r,.a hi. e,,,.
fo"h expenditures which he put at 1857 100000
ns" nsa q, the postal service. His full statement
"..a IN with the estimate that the surplus Tor
'o' go, wear ending June 80 1886, would be vs.
u W. 7, ,s now within forty-six days OF the END
Is~ escal year. Tho customs receipts. whicn
o. rr,isle estimated would be slS50 900. are now
NJ nm and to this the next forty-sx days Will
.hou, sl5 900 900 bringing the total to Sl6oooo
w., w. round figures So. 900 below MT Carlisle $
VIZ @.,. He also estimated that internal revenue
", would be for the year. S90,0o0,ooO. They
srount 10 Sl27, ,oOO 0oO and will be at the END OF
Nv u.., forty-six days hence. about $4S"Oooo or
.ss, .n' M short Of Mr.. Carlise's estimate
=. :. now apparent that the operations OF the
49,, YEAR instead OF producing surplus OF W.
s,oM a estimated by Secretary Carlisle. VIII pro-
assc,ency OF about $35 000. 900. besides the pos
~, ,.s,,.ncy witch VIII probably amount to about
.asom making the real deficiency for the year 49,
.aor instead of a surplus of SIS. .S14s2o Had Secre-
49,, carlisle carried out the orders Of Congress IN
.s.,d 10 the refund OF internal revenue tax paid
a, alcohol withdrawn for manufacturing purposes.
,,.,s would have been taken from the proceeds OF
a.. ,Avenue law N2OOOD0, thus increasing the de-
fciency by that amount These hgures ~ snouu G oe
,,membered. include nothing for the sinking tund.
III. Law requires that gwen & amour, 70, x,iesh the
public debt Had this requirement. been conplsleu
With it would have added L. s4S rs coco COO 10 the de-
SrIsncy making 1t over s10oo 900 for the year
The recklessness OF Secretary Carlisles original
estimate OF seSOO00 surplus for the fiscal year 1895
"a The more strongly marked because 1t was made
IN the face Of extraor inariy low receipts under the
wilson law at the time the estimate was sent 10
Consress This estimate was made on December 3,
iS when the Wilson law had been In 2 oPerat1on Per at
three months and had averaged only $DOWWV
month in its total revenue. Yet Mr. Carlisle based
his estimate OF receipts on assumption OF 90 per
cent more than the law had produced up TO that
time -, 1,,,,
The constant assurance of the friends Of the Will
scn law that 1t would improve with age. SO 10
speak, or in other words. furnish more revenue
after Il had got into working order is not being
realized The customs receipts for the last month
fsl nearly 10000 short OF the corresponding month
ShaN lircy
$4,000 short Of those OF the preceding year. The
total deficiency for the month of May, 1888. was
rwlS while the deficiency OF May, 1896. up TO to-
day is 10000. The falling off in the customs re-
cepts is due 10 the falling off in the importations
which enormously In excess OF public demand
during the first year Of the Wilson law. So eXces-
sve had been the importa tions Of last year that
those OF the present year have fallen on greatly.
ne April mportations only $5S 7O5 2s9 against
NMSS in the corresponding month OF last year
hNug off OF over 900, and a consequent re-
du.top in the customs receipts. The total de-
aseny since the Wilson law went into operation.
iEeny months and eighteen days ago. Is over *so.-
MM and the total expenditures In excess OF re-
esipts since this Administration came into once Is
, nounH numbers NtA