The morning news. [volume] (Savannah, Ga.) 1887-1900, 1896-10-31
BRYAN TO BE HARD TO BEAT.
CHAIRMAN wAsHBURNE LOOKS ON
HIM AS A SURE WINNER.

He Has six Chances of Success
Where Mckinley Has One Only.
The Chairman Cites a Number of
Possible Combinations, Any of
Which Would Give Bryan the VIC
tory.
Chicago. Oct. SO-The following final
statement from the populist side as to
the election day probabilities and eXpec-
tations throughout the country was given
tonight to the Southern Associated Press
by Chairman Washburne of the Chicago
headquarters: 'In view of the fact that
the people are anxious to know what COM
binations of states are liable to win, 1
have grouped together several, any group
of which is liable to be the correct one on
election day. 1t is conceded that the DEM
ocratic gold detection will be offset by the
silver republicans, which leaves the nor
NAL conditions of the two parties the same.
Then add to the democratic vote the 2,0O0,-
900 populist votes and it is apparent that
Bryan must win. Fortunately the popu-
list vote is largest in states where it is
most needed, and while Bryan cannot win
without it, he is sure to win with 1t, and
will get the full populist vote.
I'm analyzing the vote of the country,
I have grouped as Bryan states the agri-
cultural and mining states, where the
gold democratic detection and floating
vote is smallest, and where the success of
the ticket depends on the farmers, who
have been educated on the silver question
through school house and alliance meet
ings, and who feel insulted if offered
price for their vote or were coerced in
any manner. Therefore, it Is conceded
that the thirty-one states west of the
Mississippi and south of the Ohio rivers,
representing 242 electoral votes, or Is more
than needed are the states which Bryan
is most likely to carry, and the states
which are comparatively sure for McKin-
ley are the New England states, together
with New Jersey and Pennsylvania, rep
| resenung 81 electoral votes. The doubtful
states are the middle western, including
Illinois, Indiana Michigan, Ohio and
| Wisconsin, together with New York, maxi
| ing 124 electoral votes. 1t is apparent to
any political student that while Bryan
can be elected by half dozen different
combinations, that on the other hand Nc
| Kinley must carry every eastern state,
| together with every one of the central
western doubtful states in order to win.
| Therefore, he has one chance where
Bryan has six.
"While Bryan can win without the
|
! them are better than McKinley's, and
| should he get them all it would prove to be
| a Veritable landslide OF the thirty-one
Bryan states the most doubtful are Iowa,
Kentucky, Delaware and Maryland. We
can lose Iowa and Delaware, or Kentucky
and Delaware, or Maryland and Della
| ware, and still win, without carrying a
single doubtful state in the middle west.
We can give Mckinley all of the eastern
and middle western or doubtful states, to-
gether with Iowa, or Kentucky, or Mary
| land and Delaware and then win.
"Of the doubtful states Ohio Is most
! likely to furnish the greatest surprise
! The silver republicans vote will be enor-
nous.
"Our most conservative polls and re-
| ports from Indiana, Illinois and Michigan
! give these three states to Bryan.
"Now concede the other three doubtful
| states, New York, Ohio and Wisconsin, to
| Mckinley, we can afford to lose Kentucky,
! wyoming, Maryland, Delaware, Nebras-
ka North Dakota, oregon, West Virginia,
| Minnesota and Iowa, and still win.
again, we can carry Indiana and Mich
gan, which are sure for Bryan and lose
| Illinois, Ohio, New York and Wisconsin,
| in addition to all this give them Ken
| lucky, Maryland, Delaware, North Da-
| kota, West Virginia and Iowa, and all the
eastern states, and we still win. There
clude states naturally for Bryan, and
! which, in a like manner, would enable
| him to win.
In Illinois, Bryan will carry the state
| outside of Chicago by between 10000 and
| 10000 majority. The uncertainty is Chit
caso, with its 10000 unplaced votes. If
| Bryan carries this city he will carry the
| state. and no combination can beat him
| in the rest of the state.
"In former years the floating vote could
be bought because there was only one or
| two pivotal states. While it is possible
to buy the floating vote Of a single state,
| it is not possible to buy up whole nation.
Then, again, in former years the floating
| vote was Indifferent to the results. This
| year every man has strong convictions and
| will secretly vote them in the booth,
whether he takes any money or not.
Possession is nine points Of the law.
Bryan has already enough states to win
with more than an equal chance in the
doubtful states and only needs to hold his
own. He will be our next President"
DENMARK IN WITH RUSSIA.