The Houston daily post. [volume] (Houston, Tex.) 1886-1903, 1896-11-01
THE PRESIDENTIAL OUTLOOK.

The careful and observant editor of the
London sta,ist, who is now travelling in
the United STATES. has cabed his paper
that all predictions Of the politicians in
reference to the coming election should ne
rejected. The only horoscope he is will
ing to venture is tina. the election Will b.
very close. a temperate review OF the sit
uation VIII convince any mind that the
English editor is right To be sure, a
landslide Is always possible in an American
election. but there is no good reason to
believe that one is 20 occur this year.
AS chances 60, the outlook is certainly
more favorable for Bryan than for Mckln-
ley, nor is this assertion dlscredited hy the
fact that the gamblers of New YolH C!ty.
who set the pace for the gamblers OF the
entire Republic. are giving odds in favor Of
the Ohio candidate. Their faith s based
solely on the magnitude OF the republican
campaign fund. and while this is rot to be
overlooked as a strong factor 10 the contest,
j, yet remains to be proved that tAc CON
yictons OF majority Of tAeueopie of ts>
land can be outwelghel by money
An analysis of the electoral yot- shows
that 300 votes. OF total OF Az. are hcyond
the reach Of contest, Of these Bryan VIII
get l79 and Mckinley III This division
by states is as follows:
For Bryan assured Kansas 10. North Da-
kota 8. Oregon 4, South Dakota I, Wash
lngton 4. Wyoming g. Colorado 4, Idaho 3,
Montana 3. Nevada g. Utah g. Albania II,
/ Arkansas S. Florida T. Georgia 10, MIssiss
/ ipri q. South Carolina ., virginia Il, louis
ana S. Missouri II. North Carolina i, Ten
uossee u, Texas IS. Total lis.
For Mckinley. assured-conncctlcI 6,
Maine g. Massachusetts, is. New Hampshire
T. New Jersey 10, New York So, Pennsyl-
yanla 22. RAcde island 4. Vermont l. Total
Iii.
The PROBABILITIES attached to the remain
ing vote may be more easily studio. by
classifying The States in three !ists-d,abt-
full with Bryan tendencies doubtful vitf
Mckinley tendencies. and absolutely doubt
full.
In the Bryan doubtful column belong
Kentucky 10, Nebraska S. Delaware g. In
diana -, Michigan -, California 6. Mary
land s. West Virginia 6 To,al &c.
The doubtful States with Icktulsy lean
iugs are Ohio %. Wisconsin u, Iowa 10
Total 49,
The States which, as far as mt5 b
gagged b. a study OF all reports, appear
to be evenly poised are lllionis "a. Mime
sofa .. Total 80.
This division requires Bryan to secure
81 votes and Mckinley tO7 votes from
doubtful States to obtain majority 10 III,
electoral college.
The States of Kentucky, Nebraska. lndi
ana, California and West Virginia adde,
to the Bryan column would give him III
exact minimum number necessary :or cleo
ton.
With Indiana, Illinois and Kentucky vot
{ ing for him. Bryan could surrender al
other doubtful States TO Mckinley and hav
a majority of one in the electoral college,
, II either OF the doubtful States OF Ill
nois. Wisconsin. Iowa, Michigan. ohio O
Minnesota goes for Bryan his election VII
, be virtually assured,
t Bryan has a large lead N the States Ger
tain to vote for him, and nm equally larg
lead in the natural probabilities eros in
? out of the doubtful States. THO only req
, obstacle to his election is !Iaunas s!us
: fund. and the main question Ia, how man
votes can be corrupted by It?
,