New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1895-10-21
OUTLOOK GoODFOR BRADLEY
FoRECAsTING THE RESULT IN KEN
lucky.
DEMOCRATS CLAIM THE STATE BY 5000 TO io'"o'
AND REPUBLICANS BELIEVE 1T WILL bh
BRApLEY's BY .o.0co-ANALYzINd
THE SITUATION.

THE SITUATION.
my TELEGRAPH TO THE TRrBrNEl
Huntsville KY Oct T-Two more weeks OF
active campaigning will bring to a close the most
interesting and exciting political struggle Ken
lucky has seen since the war. The hopes OF the
Republican managers have been raised TO the
highest pitch by the brilliant success of Colonel
Bradiey's stamping canvass. and requests Tor ad-
ditonal speaking appointments have beer pouring
in upon the Republican candidate with almost
embarrassing urgency and rapidly. so great Is
the general desire to see and hear MT. Haruh
sound money" opponent that the Repuohcah
Campaign Committee has been practically forced
to Introduce a decided innovation in Kentucky
campaign methods.
For the next two weeks Colonel Bradley will
continue his canvass special train, put at mis-
exclusive disposal. and in this way he VIII be
enabled to fill three or four times as many speak
| ing appointments as he was booked for originally.
Central Kentucky and the Ohio River counties
are the only two parts of the State which he has
yet to cover thoroughly, and. as these TWO sec
tons are easily accessible by railroad. he will be
able to make the personal force of his candidacy
felt much more extensively and effectively during
the closing DAYS of the campaign than he could in
his tedious and laborious, though painstaking,
canvasses of Southern and Eastern Kentucky.
The trip through middle Kentucky will begin
next Thursday at Lebanon and end on Saturday
night at Newport The following week will be
spent in the Ohio River counties and will include
a days visit to this city. where final Repub-
ucan rally is to be held on the evening Of Novem-
| Der /.
PREDICTIONS or THE RESULT.
| AT the rival committee headquarters here Wig
| oroue efforts ha We been made procure reports
from all the counties in the State on which TO
base provisional estimates of the vote TO be cast
next month Such a thing as an accurate canvass
of the State has never before been attempted In
Kentucky, and the leaders of both organizations
have depended in former years CHIEFLY On per- 5
kilful guesswork for the success OF their custom
airy representations.
The Democratic Campaign Committee imported
an Indiana politician n week or TWO ago 10 get
some aid in making an accurate canvass OF the
state, but his work has borne little substantial
fruit as yet. Very little money Is used by either
party here in even the most Legitimate campaign
work and neither organization had advanced be-
yond the rudimentary stage OF Development The
estimates made by both sides must be taken.
| therefore, as little more than fairly intelligent
guesses at the result of the vote next month The
more conservative Democratic managers now pre-
diet plurality of from 5000 to 10000 for Mr. Har-
din The Republican leaders feel confident that
Colonel Bradley Will win by 10000 votes. Neither
| guess is oversanguine, though the actual result
If the vote for candidates for Congress last
| year can be taken with any degree of safety
| as a basis for calculation. the chances must
be admitted to favor the Republican estimate.
| The vote last fall-an unusually heavy one
| showed the two parties to be almost equally
balanced in power. the Republican candidates
for Congress having an apparent plurality or
from 1000 to 5000. Kentucky has eleven CON
gress districts Five of them were carried in
| 1894 by Republican candidates and two were
| lost by pluralities of lOl and 223.
|
This year the Republican managers are count
| ing on two districts alone to insure safe
plurality in the State for Colonel Bradley.
These are the With. or Louisville, Distrct-the
hotbed of the Democratic Sound Money" OPP
position to Ha~dn-and the XIth noun
tain District the traditional stronghold of Ken
lucky Repubcanism. The normal Republi-
can plurality in the XIth District is about
| ten thousand. Last fall two Republican cam
! didates ran for Congress against one Demo
| crat and their united vote exceeded his by ony
| S67l. Colonel Bradleys personal strength IN
| the mountain region will probably increase the
| Republican majority there next month 10 !z0Vo
This city and county gave Representative wal
Fl, ter Evans last year plurality OF 4.l3o over ms
| Democratic opponent. f.. j. McDermott. Inc
| Democratic organization here has been greatly
| weakened in the last twelve months. ana, WIN
| the aid OF the anti-Hardin Democrats. Colonel
| Bradley should get plurality in November
| of from 5000 to 5000 In these two districts,
| then, the Republican candidate should leai
| his free-coinage rival by nearly 2O.ooo votes.
| HARDIN'S STRENGTH IN FREE-SlLVER
COUNTIES
| Mr. Uardin's greatest strength is in the rabid
| free-silver counties of Western Kentucky. The
| LIST and lid Congress districts, which include
| the greater part Of this region, known as The
| Purchase" have a Joint Democratic plurality
| Of about eight thousand and Mr.. Hardin may
| capture enough Popust votes besides to bring
! his total margin of advantage there to fully
10000 The lid and WITH districts, nearer the
| middle of the State, were both carried last
| wear by Republican candidates, the respective
| pluralties being 9O1 and 1,190. Both are likely
| TO be close and doubtful next month.
| In the With, or Newport-Covington, Dlstrlct
| REPRESENTATIVE Berry. the sitting Democratic
| member was returned to Congress last ran py
| a plurality Of 2O4O. Mr.. Hardin Will be lucky
| TO carry this district at all; Tor IL is announcer
| centre of the Sound Money" revolt against
| his free-slver candidacy. The With, or ASH
| land. District has a normal Democratic pu-
| raIitv OF from 1000 TO 5000. The dissensons
| caused by Colonel Brecknridges unsuccessful
| canvass for denomination enectually wiped OUT
| this preponderance year ago, the DerhocIa'ic
| candidate for Congress winning ms cerllnc az,
| by only l0 votes. Mr.. Hardln may carry M, ny
| NTH District by perhaps $500 plurality. Inc
| three remaining districts, the With. lNth ana
| Xth are all close, and VIII give neither c"i'u'-
| date a dec 1ed margin of advantage
| II f. difficult to see therefore, how MI. mar
din's managers can figure out saie piuraHy
| for the champion Of free-coinast ne eiein, ,,
| 1r greatest doubt in all calculations IL the
| streneth Of the anti-Hardin bolt In the Demo-
| cratic ranks. If this revolt attains al an re-
| srectable prOportions-say 20OOO votes III tne
whole State-Mr. Hardin's election VIII De Hi"ue
| practically impossible.