Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1895-09-07
FIGURING THE VOTE.
Politicians Specializing on the Re-
suit in November.
EXTENT OF fHECHANGE IN SENTIMENT
Has 1t Been Enough to Insure a
Democratic Revival?
ANXIETY OVER TWO STATES

| The politicians are using their pencils on
the subject of the vote in November. VIII
1t be large or small? If large to what will
1t be reasonable to ascribe the change from
| last year? If again swaziland particularly
1 II the democrats are again inert-what will
the portent be touching the race of next
year?
Last Years Majorities Not Expected.
Nobody is expecting duplication of last
| years majorities They grew out of a con-
oltlon which, to some extent, has certainly
changed II the proper acceptation of the
| term, there was no race at all last year.
| The democrats put up tickets but did not
support them. The republicans had a walk
over Numerous explanations were offered
| for state of things SO unusual I'm
IatfeEce with the administration on ac-
count of its foreign policy, the effect on
the people of the scandals growing out of
| the tariff legislation, and lingering kicking
here and there about patronage all were
quoted to account for the marked neglect of
democrats in every section of the country
| to go to the polls on election day. The re-
| turns next morning. to use the language
| enlreiy appropriate to the occasion, cast a
| gloom over every democratic community.
The more respondent of the brethren gave
UP all for lest, and began discussing the
| problem of reorganizing the party in time
| for the naticr al race in 1900.
| Some Change, but How MuchP
While a change from that condition is
noted. the extent of it cannot be foretold.
| Nor is there agreement as to the cause
| of it. The administration has not changed
| its foreign policy, the tariff bill, which cost
| the democracy such travail, is not yielding
revenue enough to support the government,
and those men who were murmuring last
year because of failure to secure recogni-
| ton in the distribution of the offices are
still murmuring. The man who murmurs
| on that account continues to murmur until
| he is taken care of. And since then the
| serious divisions in the party on the silver
question, and the agitation of the third
term question, have been added to the
causes already contributing so much to the
democracy's discontinue. But, neverthe-
! less, the democracy is believed to be in
| much better fighting form this year than
| last. The party shows unmistakable signs
! of it, and the republicans concede it by
| tfeir preparations for good stiff battle
| in all the territory classed as debatable
conditions.
4Is There n Democratic Revival:
But to what extent must the republican
majorities of last year be reduced to give
| the democracy the appearance of a genu-
| inc revival-a revival calculated to inspire
confidence in national success next year?
Suppose the majority in Ohio should be
brought down from one hundred and forty
thousand to thirty thousand. Would that
uooSl MI SdIupDeil LOT the PRESIDENCY
and CORRESPONDENCE injure Gov. McKin-
ley? Would not the state still be left re-
liahly in the republican column? If last
years majority should be wiped out al
together b! Mr.. Campbell, that would of
course create a tremendous sensation. His
stock as a presidential quantity would go
to par at one bound while that of Gov.
Mckinley would necessarily suffer depres-
SIGN. Take New York. The republicans
have no thought of polling last years ma
3ority IN that state There are still serious
The issue of Hill and anti-Hil remains
and more recently the contest-well defined
below the surface of things-between Mr.
Hill and Mr.. Whitney over the control of
the delegation to next years national con-
vention has begun. But the democracy
has rallied from last years beating Mr.
Croker thinks that Tammany will again
control the city through divisions in the
ranks of the allied republicans and mug
wumps VIII the state go with the city?
New York is accounted democratic state,
and SO democratic majority there this
fall might not convey a greater intelli-
gence than that the local democracy had
again come into possession of its own.
Mr.. Hills fortunes would be somewhat adj
varced and Gov Mortons somewhat in
jCred. But If the republicans, by even ten
or twenty thousand majority, should again
carry the state, the blow to the democracy
would be a heavy one, operating against
the states influence in next years national
convention and in favor of that good
western man., whose coming in compro-
mise majority to save the national day
is now in some quarters SO impatiently
awaited.
Anxiety for Two States.
This line of speculation does not include
the condition of affairs in Maryland and
Kentucky, where the democracy,in a square
contest, has never been defeated. That is a
condition apart. 1t is likewise regarded as
of the greatest moment. If those two
states should go republican this fall, the
result would be charged up to the admins
tratIon, and the effect On the presidential
race necessarily be most depressing. The de-
lection from the regular order in both
states is from factions flying the admins
trations flag; and this must be remedied, or
democratic defeat, it is thought, will in
evitably follow. Even a close vote in those
states maintaining the old supremacy
would operate as a democratic disaster
considered in its national relation.