Daily Kennebec journal. [microfilm reel] (Augusta, Me.) 1870-1975, 1895-11-11

in the Republican list of 1892, and still
more solidly Republican in their major
tiles now than then. OF the 81 former
anti Republican votes the Republicans
are sure, by reason of Tuesday S results,
of Ohio's /, New York S 80 New Jersey s
10 and Kansas 10. This totalof 81,
with Utah's three votes, represents an
uactual gain by the Republicans on
Tesday of 60 in the 10 involved.
Or the 145 electoral votes cast for Gen.
Harrison in 1892, how many are in doubt
for 1896? One which California cast as
against s for Cleveland; and one of North
Dakota's 3; a total of g Concedng
these to the Democratic ticket, we have
by recent elections gained from the full
Cleveland list Of 1892, in addition to the
gains of Tuesday, Connecticut's 6; thus
leaving a net gain on Harrison vote of
Turning the 145 into 149 Indiana S
fifteen votes, given for Cleveland, are
solid for the Republicans next year, all of
the thirteen congressman elected in 1894
being Republicans and the sentiment Of
the state strongly against the administra-
tion policies. Michigan, which votes tor
electors by congressional districts, in
1892 divided its IA votes, giving Cleve-
land ) and Harrison 9; but the 10
congressman elected in 1894 were all
Republicans, ana while therefore the en-
tire Michigan electoral vote is likely to be
cast for the same party we will claim but
IL of the IA, gain of g. This, with
Indiana S ID, adds certainty of Is to the
l49 above recorded To this solid Repub-
lican list of 167 electoral votes add the
ID in, Tnoclnx-'c N,
and we have total of 227 on which any
Republican presidential nominee may
count as confidently as he may count
upon the advent of election day. And
PA are necessary TO elect.
In this calculation we have been con-
sentative to the extent of favoring the
Democracy. But there are other i'm
portant figures to be considered. Mary
land, with eight votes, we believe to be
scheduled for the Republicans in 1896
The Democratic split is IA hopeless one
The administration will not forgive, and
German will not forget. The Republican
majority of Is, 600, unprecedented in the
history of the state will not be overcome
kentucky we regard us uncertain, for the
reason that 1t is possible, in view of free
silver's deathblow on Tuesday in every
state where it constituted an issue, to
oblitcrate the Democratic differences for
a presidential election. While, therefore.
we look hopefully toward Kentucky, we
are willing, for purposes of calculation, to
leave her with the Democracy
Illinois with "a, Wisconsin with 12,
Delaware with 3, and West Virginia with
6 votes TALL carried by Mr. Cleveland in
1892 may be claimed by the Democrats
AS debatable ground but in each state all
congressman recently elected were Re.
publicsns. Illinois and Wisconsin will
undoubtedly be ours and Delaware's
Legislature is Republican on joint ballot
West Virginia is genuinely debatable.
Summing up the result of 1873 with the
certain result of Tuesday and the prob
able result in uncertain districts we have
the following as q conservative statement
of the outlook for the Republican candi-
date in 1895:
Votes.
Certain, 227
Reasonably certain, 27t
Possible, with Kentucky. West Virginia
and part OF North Dakota, 29i
Necessary to choice "a
No amount of Democratic figuring can
change this certainty of defeat into any
possibility of victory.