The Banner-Democrat. [volume] (Lake Providence, East Carroll Parish, La.) 1892-current, 1895-08-17

ton. This, let all recolloct, was when
about 40 per cent of the crop had been
shipped 10 market, and when Mr..
Neill with his "cosily" Investigations
should have known the exact amount
of cotton remaining in the interior.
Bnt, singular 10 Say, the crop turned
out to be 100000, and MIR. Neill
missed by 100000 bales his latest at
! tempted guess. This blunder was a
email affair compared to his attempt
on Juno 6, 1892, to forsee Oct. J., 1898,
| period OF sixteen months ahead, The
quantity of cotton TO be left at Euro
pean ports and mills. This he placed
al 492 GOO bales. Based on 1000, 900
bale crop, but with crop 100000 less
than 100000, there remained at.
European ports aud mills 1,8O00 600
bales. Thus Mr.. Neill again bum
| dered to the extent of 100000 tvles.
! Not learning by this 1t is never safe 10
prophesy unless you know, it is seen
| that such errors as were committed in
! 1892 have no terror TOR Mr.. Neil now,
for only three days ago he burst forth
with another series OF estimates. This
time he is not thought to be bullishly
inclined. In this latest effort be un-
deriskes to tell the cotton world in
plain English that The season 10 date is
superior to last years and that the
marvellous conditions that existed for
growth and maturing, after this date
last year, can be excelled this year, or
how else, on his own acreage, can he
say q crop OF 100000 or 100000
bales may be calculated on? Mr..
Ncill says the past crop will be 10000
900 commercially. Everybody knows
that there is in sight to-day 9.650,0G0
bales only, and on Sept. LIST, the crop
cannot exceed 9,750,000. To reach this
| figure several hundred thousand bales
belonging to preceding crops were
shipped TO market aud credited to the
past years commercial crop, otherwise
the crop would not exceed 100000
instead of Mr.. Neill's 10 100000 baled
and picked. Ii should not be forgot
len that in January last Mr.. Neil was
not satisfied with 10,250,000 bales
minimum, but announced that he
would rather raise than lower his esti-
mate in other words TO call the crop
1O.500,000 bales. Mr.. Neil says 200.-
600 bales will be carried over in the
interior on Sept. LIST, that he has no
data for this assertion goes without
saying, as it is notorious fact that
the South YVES never before swept so
clean of cotton. ThYs cannot be dis
puted, as many Southern mills cannot
obtain cotton anywhere in their re-
spective sections. Mr.. Neill asserts
that 400, 900 bales will be carried over
as q surplus by the American mills.
This in the face of The absolute fact
that practical cotton famine exists
among Southern cotton mills. Ii he
had said 100000 bales he might be
nearer the mark Than 100000 bales.
Mr.. Neill completely ignores the in-
fuence of fertilizers as a stimulant to
cotton production that the South has
actually bought ouly about IS 10 60
per cent OF last years fertilizers meets
with no serious attention at bis hands.
Evidently he wishes TO lead The trade
into believing that The Southern farm
l Cso tn tCtCit ooto tie'c sOSis''stJ
wasted millions of dellars in ferliliz-
ing their lands; in other words,
whether cotton fields are fortified or
not, The productive capacity is the
same.
Mr.. Nell asserts that the Texas
acreage is reduced only per cent.
IL is safe 10 say that he has no docn-
meItary evidence confirming this.
/ On the contrary, wolI-estao iished data
shows that al last 5 per cent OF the
Texas acreage has been thrown out OF
4 cnitIyatlou by the Inability 10 cultivate
il properly owing to grass ard weaAis,
i caused by excessive May aud juno
raiiIs, ard in the North aud Northeast
Texas rains continue TO date. 1t IL
also safe TO say tina, Mr. Neil has no
documentary evidence, or evidence of
any nature, 10 justify llis assertion hat
q The other States nave rcdnced their
4 acreage only 10 per eeut. Where did
1.-THE farmcrs of these other States OBJ