Birmingham state herald. (Birmingham, Ala.) 1895-1897, 1895-11-05
THE POLITICAL HOROSCOPE
What the Election Results Will
Be on Tuesday.
OUR LIVE CORRESPONDENT
At the National Capital Views the Contests
and Gives His Deductions.
TAMMANY WILL WIN BEYOND A DOUBT
But New ork State Will Go Republican.
Democracy Will Win in New Jersey.
Maryland and Kentucky, but
Will Lose in Ohio.

Washington, Nov. 1.-(Speclal Core
spondence.) Jon Tuesday next will occur
a battle royal of the ballots in more than
one state of the union, and the result will
determine the probable expectation of de-
mocracy in the elections that will come
Oft in the succeeding November. 1t Is,
therefore, with more than ordinary In
terest that the news telling of the out
come will be watched. From careful
research among those who have had
advices from the battle grounds your
correspondent is enabled to give the read
ers of the State Herald statement of the
conditions existing in-the different states
and the deductions he has drawn from
the information at his hand.
New York.
In the Empire State and especially in
New York city, there is such comglom-
Grafton of affairs that COMPREHENSIVE
statement is well nigh impossible. OF
the city fight l will say that unless all
signs fail, Tammany, bold, determined,
organized Tammany Is going to win, ana
while the victory will not give into the
hands of the tiger that most cherished nope
and necessity for continuance In pow
er--the offices-still the moral effect Will
be such that there is little doubt that In
the next election Parkhurst and P!att,
Grace and Fairchild will be buried deep
under an avalanche of public disapprovai.
Besides the three well-known organiza-
tions in New York city, namely, the re-
publican party, Tammany and the state
democracy, there are the good govern
ment people, better known as the goo
zoos :" the Cerman-American reform
union, styled the "garoos," and numerous
other minor independent organizations
that are of interest no where outSlde oi
the great metropolis. So 1t Is easily seen
how mixed is the state OF affalrs, nut
Tammany will wln-of this there Is niue
doubt. -,
Talxine the state as whole, the
chances are that the republicans VIII
come out victorious. A Tammany adiier.
ent told me in conversation TO-DAY unat
the managers outside of New YORK CITY
had given up all hope or carrying the
state for democracy and would peho eV-
erv energy to elect the local ticket
In the Tenth Congressional district IN
New York CITY Amos Cummings is max
ing the race for congress to I'LL the va
cancy caused by the death OF the repup-
lican who was elected last November ue-
feating General Sickles. Besides the re-
nubucan candidate Cummings Is opposed
by man named Brown nominated by
the state democracy Cummings being
the Tammany nominee. Many nave col-
founded this Brown with VIII Brown,
who ran and was defeated by Lemuel Ely
Ouigg to fill the vacancy caused by the
resignation of John r. Fellows. Brown
Is printer and single tax advocate
and while his candidacy will not amount
10 much still the race between Cummings
and the republican will be very close, and
It is feared that the few votes Brown VIII
get if given to Cummings would insure
his election. Even as 1t is the chances
are that Cummings will VIM
New Jersey.
For twenty-seven years democracy
has had the governor of New Jersey, but
the republican landslide of last year,
which elected every republican candidate
for congress and gave the state senate
to the republicans by one majority has
made the chances for democratic success
this year very slim.
John Griggs, a popular lawyer. is the
republican candidate, and he has made a
thorough canvass of the state, while the
democratic standard is borne by Chan-
cellor McGill, who succeeded Theodore
Runyon as chancellor when the latter
was appointed ambassador to Germany.
Besides governor there are seven SEN
ators and a full lower house of sixty to
be elected The republicans are claiming
a victory by 10000 majority, but the DEM
ocrats say if they can get full vote out
they can redeem the state. Last year
the vote was 296,216 out of total regis
tered
ton has fallen off nearly $4,000. My in
formation is meager from New Jersey,
but l am constrained to believe that de-
mocracy will triumph.
Maryland.
That German and democracy are 60
ing to win in Maryland is becoming more
apparent as the day for the battle of the
ballots draws near. The result hinges
on Baltimore city; the rest of the state
will be about stand off, and unless the
Sun paper can cause a detection of 10 00C
from the democracy by its treachery
there is no danger of a defeat. Mr. VIII,
liam M. McKaig, who represented the
Sixth Maryland district in the last con-
gress, said today that Hurst will surely
be elected. but our greatest fear is that
the republicans will capture the legisla'
ture.
Ohio
Campbell will not be elected in the
Buckeye State. With normal majority
of 10000 and a majority of $4,000 las
year the republicans are confident OF
electing their ticket on Tuesday next
The democracy will not feel defeated
however, If they shall loose by not more
than 100000 and from the advices tina
seems about the figure the most conserv
alive of both sides place upon the result
of the eletion. There is no denying thai
Campbell has made a gallant fight ant
him. In Cincinnati there is an increased
registration of 1000, made up mostly II
democratic precincts, and If Senator
Sherman's book, with the reluctance tina
great many of the best republicans are
following Boss Coxs lead, creates much
division in the ranks of the republican:
Campbells chances increase proportion
ately.
Illinois.
In the Eighteenth Illinois Congressiona
district Edward Lane is running for con
gress to fill the vacancy caused by tn
death of Frederick Remain. Remain
beat Lane last year 2600 votes, although
Lane had been a member of the Fifteth
Fifty-frst, Fifty-second and Fifty-thir'
congresses. Lane is strong silver advo
cate, and has been assisted in his cam
paign by Bland and Champ Clark of Mis-
souri, and Bryan, the gifted young orato
from Nebraska. The contest is drawn o
the financial question and the prospect
that silver will be triumphant. There wer
few more popular men in the last hous
than Edward Lane, and his many friend
I. I1t ,-aft