The Kimball graphic. (Kimball, Brule County, Dakota [S.D.]) 1883-1905, 1894-11-24
AN AAIlLYSs OF THE VOTE
Three Million Democrats Re.
malned at Hone.
Paper Read rscfore the National Satisfied
Association by Frederick G. Waite,
Formerly a Special Census
Agent-some Figures.

WASHINGTON, Nov. IDA society
calling itself .'The National Stats.
tical association with headquarters
in Washington, holds regular monthly
meetings at the Columbian uut
versity. This association is com.
posed of men hnbitually engaged In
mental labor and who might be do
scribed perhaps as scholars. At their
regular meetings they are in the habit
Of h~oaring papers road, discussing
current matters aud reviewing til,
affairs of nations. At the las
meeting Frederick c. Waite, formerly
a special ag ent Of the eleventh census
delivered an address on the subject Of
Election Certificates"
Mr.. Waite said that the recent over
whelming defeat of the democratic.
party had becn accomplished by 5000,
goo voters who remained away from tho
polls. He detailed the forces which,
operute against a party in power and
contribute to its defeat. He said Che
results OF this election furnish the Same
surprising TEXTURES as hat of 1892,
whenl eco, 900 republican ayriculturists
remained away from the polls, while
1000, 900 more voted the populist ticket.
During the Inst twenty years. said
Mr.. Waite, land also the twenty years
ending with the breaking up of the
wing party, tho democrats carried
every alternate presidential election,
and vet were always defeated at The
intervening presidential election. 10
the democrats, 1885 and 1876 brought
victories at the polls: 1870 and 1880 de-
fcnts; 1874 and 1854 victories; lSIS und
1855 defeats: 1882 and 1892 Victories.
| Moreover, during both periods, the
democrats carried Off every congress
sionnt election except the one during
the Mexican war. The forces which in
presidential elections bring about
the defeat of the party in power are
two:
81. The feeling against that party is
30 strong among the members of tia
party out OF power that the latter feels
it TO be II sacred duty to turn the ras-
Gals out, aud this year, as well as in
1890, the people took the first oEportu-
nifty. On the other hund. the adher,
ents of the party in power arc con.
stantly being disappointed. They feel
that they don't receive anything like
oAS ~ aIN illIolt WHICH pu5
promised.
"2. There is an inherent ebb and
flow OF enthusiasm among the adher.
ents of q political party. Natur.
ally the number vt wears from
flood tide TO flood tide of en-.
thusiasm is determined by the recur-
renee, once in eight years, OF the cause
which falls In with it and carries it tn
the maximum height, namely, The storm
of indignation against the high handed
partisan lnisrule of their opponents.
The %opaation of these two companion
forces is seen most clearly in the case
of the three doubtful states, Connect.
cut, New York and Indiana, in which
the general movement in favor of tho
party out of power has all but once
during both of these periods of twenty
years been strong enough to carry the
election.
Two years ago in a lecture at Johns
Hopkins university. having ts1vs
pointed out in detail that-the election
pendulum swings the mantle OF su,
premacy from party to party with
mathematical regularity wheneve,
there is no great moral issue between
the political parties, | said: There il
nothing surprising to the statistican in
the Cleveland vote. The republican
farmers have not become Democrats
Last year, l said, and it is as true this
year as it was last, the democrats have
not voted the republican ticket. but
have merely allowed the election to go
by default
ITO show that the republican farm.
ers did not vote for Cleveland in 1899.
analysed the election returns town BY
town throughout the curui districts OF
New York and discovered that the ru-
raj vote for Cleveland was even less in
1892 than 1855 i'll every agricultural
county of the Empire state. In Ohio it
was just the same. CioveIand's vote in
se2 was less than in 1883 in all the ru-
raj townships of the agricultural coun-
ties. This year the republicans have
not east us large a per cen of the full
vote as in 1888 in q single state. Hence,
the only reasonable conclusion is that
In 1892 the dissatisfied republican
farmers, and this year the discontented
democratic laGorers Joined the STAY at
home voters.
THE stay at home vote has in
creased in New York from rs. in
1883 to 1s5,0uOin 1899. and 425, 900 this
year. In Pennsylvania it has liner euscd
from 10000 in 1883 to 23O, 600 in 1892.
and to 400, coo this year. 1t has in
cseased III ONO from 400 @ in 1855 to
] 10, 900 in 1852. md to 800, 600 in 1894.
South Carolina, when she had so. 600
less voters than now, cast ls3:62l votes
Tor Hayes and Tilden. The total vote
This year, however, was not much over
10000, or about Il fourth of the full
vote.
The immense republican plurnlitics
THE year are not the result of an ex-
t~raordinary republican vote, but of an
exceedingly small democratic vote.
Wisconsin has not polled for the
democratic candidates sncir aIs,nall per-
centnge of her full vote fors:twenty-fve
years. In Pennsylvania the democratic
party has not asst on an imnportane
election such a small vote for half a
century. The astonishing features Of
the recent election are. the same as
those of 1852, when 1000, 900 republic
can farmers stayed at home while their
popullst brethren cast 1,O4a, 531 votes"
TILE C,ADEnnv , n,y -,