Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1894-10-11
NO REPUBLICAN WALkOVER
A New York Man Who Looks for a Close
Fight
Hilfs Advantage In Superior Orga nj
zation-The Chances Carefully
Weighed.

A prominent republican of New York who
has participated I'm nearly all the great
political battles in that state said to a
Star reporter today that the situation in
the state was by no means as overwhelm-
irgly favorable to the republicans as parti-
san declaration indicated. Il am In favor, /"
he-said. "of Mr.. Morton's election, and be-
lieve that he will be elected by a small ma
tority. There is no sense In these wild
claims of republican landslides and the
like. In Mr.. Hill we have a very formidable
adversary. He knows the state probably
better than any other man, and understands
the management of his political machine.
He has positive strength in his popularity
among certain classes and in his skill as a
political manager. This A. p. A business
Is going to give him the bulk of the Catholic
vote. The liquor men will generally be
for him regardless of party, and there are a
great many voters in the state who don't
rise above the admiration OF a man for
mere smartness, and q great many of these
among them republicans. will go for Hill
merely because they think he is smart. The
probabilities are that the votes Hill will
get from these three classes will much
more than counterbalance what he will lose
through the Independent democratic move
ment- Morton is an admirable man; would
make an excellent governor and has the
respect of the best people throughout the
state, but he has no positive strength, such
as Is known as magnetism or personal popu-
larity with the boys His principal chance
OF success and the chief danger to Mr.
Hill Hes with the tin-bucket brigade.
fili Is usually strong with the steady go
ing working people. but he is at this time
IN danger of losing heavily in that quarter
nile the laboring people have no enthu-
Slasuc attachment to Mr.. Morton, they
nave rothing against him, and will nat
urally go to him If dissatisfied with the
present condition of affairs There is no
questioning the fact that the hard times
nave Pressed severely upon this class, and
mat they are dissatisfied and hold the DEM
ocratc party largely responsible for the
hard times. Most of them will proba bly
vote the republican ticket. This and the in
creased republican vote among the agri-
euI'ut IL! VIII be What will elect Mr.. Nor
ION mere Is no SCI Sc, however, in talking
ABOUT wak-over. There is more danger
thah profit in this. If Mr. Morton wins as
ihihk he will, 1t will be by a hard, close
Lsht. Inc mistake some of our people are
now making is In claiming leo much and
eNctins an over-confidence which NAV
prove very dangerous to them. There are
d Sreat many voters in the coup try districts
VINO VIII not go to the polls unless there is
some very apparent necessity for their DO
ing So These are not enthusiastic enough
over MI Morton to Inconvenience them
be YES Ior no other reason than simply to
oe apie TO say that they helped to elect him
TX they feel that their votes are not neces
s,t! great many of them will enploy
themselves In some other way and leava
lhe siectlon to take care of itself II will
not DO to take too much for granted in a
nsht where you have for an ANTAGONIST a
, n.S as clever and resourceful as is Hill.
Inc democrats have the best of MS in ma.
cnIne management. Their organization Is
perfect throughout the state and Hin will
nave the advantage, whether the Informal
ton Is satisfactory or not, of knowing he
Iorehand Just what the situation is in all
s So OF the state. If there is anything
that can be done to correct an unsatisfaco
tory condition anywhere he will know what
10 90 ana Will be prompt to do it. Plat
on the other hand is not a successful cam
palgn manager. He can manipulate a con-
vention ard is wonderfully skillful in de-
featinS men who are seeking nomination
within his own party of whom he disap-
proves, but when he gets his candidates in
me neiu or has to deal with the election
throughout the state, and not men assem-
bled together UT der one roof, he is not as
successful as a manager. While he has dom-
mated the party conventions he has made
d Ialiure every time except once that he
mas mad the management of the election.