St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1894-07-30
DEMOCRATS CAN CARRY MIN
NESOTA,

IOpGliStS udu OWcu lOI tuott kuD0' h"-
torial candidate, and he is again their
standard-bearer.
In 1890 the vote for governor stood as
follows:
Merriam (RepublIcan). ........... SSH
Wilson OemocraO. .............. S5.S44
Owen (PopuliSN ............ 5S,514
Pinkham (Prohibition) .......... S,424
Total vote of the state .24O, 500
Total Republican vote. SSH
Total anti-Republican vote. 100 52, 7o2
Majority against Republicans. 64,6n
Republican plurality over Demo-
cralS..... NEUTRALITY-SUSPICIOUS.. S'%ui
With majority of over $4,000 against
the Republican party there is no basis
to claim that Minnesota is certain Re-
publican state.
On The contrary. it demonstrates that
after being for many years the dominant
party the Republicans are now in all
overwhelming minority.
1t is only necessary for the Democrats
TO stand together and the tritling Re-
publican plurality of 1890 can be trans
formed into a handsome Democratic
plurality in 1894.
In 1892, which was presidential
year, the total vote for the four candi-
dates for governor was 1929 more than
were cast in 1890. The Republican vote
was q, 100 greater than In 1890; the
Democratic 756; the Prohibition, :, SIS;
| while the Populist vote fell off 1861.
This year the Populist vote is morally
certain to quite largely exceed the vote
| cast in 1890, while the Prohibition vote
of 1894 is morally certain to largely ex-
coed that of 1892, and the Prohibition
vote of that year exceeded that of 1890
by over 5000.
The determining factor in 1894 will be
where the votes come from to increase
the Populist and Prohibition follow
ingS.
The Prohibitionists have nominated a
popular Norwegian for governor who
completes in nationality with Gov. Mel
son. The strength of the Prohibition
lists largely lies among the Scandinavian
population and that vote will be
substantially entirely drawn from the
Republican party. In 1855 the Prohibi-
tionists polled for president 1871, and
in 1892 for president IA, 1872. 1t is certain
| ly conservative to estimate that
the Prohibition candidate for gov
ernor will poll $4,000 this year
or 10000 more than i'll 1890. All of
this vote will come from the Re
publicans. and as that party polled
p, 100 more votes in the presidential
year of '92 than IN 100, this will reduce
the gain to 1000.
Statistics show that in off years the
stay at-homes reduce the total vote
! from to 10 per cent, but assume
only per cent reduction this
year and that will cut off nearly
5000 more votes from the Republicans,
| leaving only margin of 5000 Republi-
can votes in 1894 over 1892. and this
without counting Fopulist votes, which
are sure to be drawn from the Republi-
| can ranks this year.
No one with any judgment doubts
that MIR. Owen will receive more votes
| than he did in 1890. AT that time he
| received 1861 more votes than Dom
nelly did in 1892. Allowing Owen only
gain of 10 per cent over his vote of
| 80 and we have 24.601 more Populist
votes in 1894 than in 1892.
| AS there are far more cranks aud
| fanatics in the Republican than in the
| Democratic party, it is conservative to
assume that two-thirds, or 10000, of the
Populist increase over 1872 will be drawn
| from the Republicans. Taking the Re-
| publican stay at homes at 5000, the de-
serters to prohibition at 10. 900 and to the
| POpulistS 10000, we have a total reduc-
ton of $4,000 votes over 1892. making
! the total Republican vote in 1894, u, 220,
as against IS, Ill cast in 1870, when the
Republicans only secured plurality of
2,267.
Allow the same percentage of per
| cent for the Democratic Stay-at-homeS
over 1892 and we reduce that vote Alto.
Add 5000 Democratic loss to the Pop.
ulists (Which is one-third of the esti-
mated Populist gain over 1892 aud we
have total of IL. ITO to deduct from the
Democratic vote of 1872. reducing it to
| 81. 230, as against 1854 in $780,