Oxford Democrat. [volume] (Paris, Me.) 1833-1933, 1894-08-07
POLITICAL OUTLOOK.
Work or THE TWO CONGRESSIONAL
CAMPAIGN COMMITTEES.
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FULL ~ aro congressman nc large. count
ing NJ such o single member from a
smnll state 10 there are 3ia chosen
from districts. and In thc.e the vote ~.
Zen Huctuatos much moro widely and
wildly than in the state nc large at ilie
same election Il IL this that gives 90.
casion for such minute calculations and
such charming diversity of views nj
the headquarters ~ the two congres'
sional campaign committees Ina this
city. where two corps of experts are
watching the daily reports from all
parts of the country and sweating over
long columns Of figures on past cleo
tion.. from which they strive o. deduoc
che probabilities ono thing note n,
tho start with great pleasur-namcly.
the honesty ON 10th sides There j. no
nitenp, 10 disguise the truth that thi.
IL u year of doubt and uncertainty.
Both admit that 10 never was at this
stage morn difficult 90 forecast the ~.
suit u an election. The Republicans
ay. III IL were not for that eonfound-
e,l sllid south Tho Democrats say,
III u wasn't for that dash blankcd New
York and Indiana and Illinois They
diff.r, you see. In their grammar AMI
cxplctivcs quite as much as In their pol
itics
The Neat iioa.e.
In the next house there will b. but 10
congrc.smon at largo and therefore 3lG
from districts. and down 10 date tn
nominations are almost exactly three
fourths denominations. or nominations
of men who have served In former con-.
,rc,scs. - unlc,, there l. greater and
moro varici.arcd revolution than ever
bsfore the finy.fourth congrvss will
con.i.t very largely a experienced men.
This proportion would have bo,n still
larger IL several mcmlcrs had not dc.
clincd denomination Tho veteran Judgu
Culbr~on r,tir,. at the end of ?Oycgrs'
continuous service H. l. only % yC.-i
old. but IL considerably brokcn and tl'c
more willing to quit n his sori l. Ia l..
elected governor ~ Texas this fsll
There arc three candidates fur his plac,.
but the committee has taken no note q
their relative standing. as the rian !.
surc % L. 70 Democrat anyhow.
In Illinois Hons John e. Black ani
A. J. Hunter. representatives az lgIg4
ro Gu, un account ~ the rslistricting
SIR. forman has declined. Mo-srS
whecl,r and Childs are thrown into
other districts. and Messrs Henderson.
Durboruw. Funk and Mcdonald are al.
r,ady defeated ~ here arr nine good
men from Illinois who cannot b. with
"a. In 1887. aud the elections still
three month. distant The Republicans
tell NJ they will make the alscntoc.
nine mOrc. but that may be their en-
thusiasm. AZ any rate. there will h. the
hottest Kind u lighting In every one o.
the 20 districts. aud both sides agree
that for lurid and picturesque politics
Illinois will have no superior this year
Matter. Is the s.a,h.
THREE Kontuckians have also dcclin.
ell r,nomination--namely. Ellis of the
s.cond. Goodnight of the Third aud
Payntcr IL the Ninth-whilc In Mary.
land there are two vacancies. Mesh.
Waugh and Conn IL Indiana have al-o
declined. and Mr. Dayey u Louisiana
thinks he will, a. he ''cannot Afford %
live in Washington Three Ohio men,
II not four. have declined rcnomina
ton. and as many In the west and
south who were new members and not
u national reputation
Neither of the committees, however,
can figure out that any ~ iheso will
make difference In the chances for tho
next house In the ~ states usually
spoken ~ n the solid south are ~ dis.
tricts Ia which there u no opposition tO
the Democrats 90 none that amounts 10
anything. but at least Il ~ these dis
tricts will H. contested % some extent
this year. Some ~ the cases aro curious
enough 10 H. called 10 public attention
once more Thus. In Texas, Mr.. Bailey
had 2i,Ds3 votes a. i.563 in South
Carolina Mr. Talbcrt had s,0Oi to 80
"scaitcring. Mr.. Latimcr $3.50 to 'si
and NJ. Shell 10. iOi 90 I. $50. Missis
sippi. however. takes the cake All Oh,
seven members received lees than 30, O0o
votes. and all their opponents of ali
parties. including scattering. not
quit. 10000 The Indiana man. VIII
L. accustomed 10 SEEING every school dis
trict fought over 90 the last hour of cloc
ton day and every invalid man haulcdtc
the polls whose wife aud physician will
allow II. cannot help thinking that iho''
fellows down there would have NOR
fun IL their elections were not sc
burned unanimous"
The storm Center.
The political MAPS of both commit
tees show that In all New England and
the middle aud south Atlantic state
acry few conventions have yet BE-
held. but IL L. known that the percent
age II denominations will L. even sr,ai
er than the average ahpye given. In th'
eastern half of the country generally.
divided ON population. the conyontions
are late Il IL In the middle. west and
south that things aro previous. and In
calculating the majority In the Fifty.
fourth congress Illinois Is hy common
consent taken A. the storm center In
New York the losses are already dis
counted by the Democrats. while In
Ohio and Indiana the peculiar sysiem
of districting will cave several men
who would Otherwise 20 under by larga
majorities Even In Illinois the able
gerrymander has got la its work. but
more on legislative than congressional
districts. and II IL figured at Republic
an headquarters that u will require q
mai xity Of 80. 900 for the state 10 make
surs of tho reelection Of senator Cul.
loan Tho Democrats 20 them 1900 bet.
tes and put Il at <0,o0o. A. to the
chances .tr congrtssmeh. tho reiistrict-
ing has rot made 80 much differonce
Mr.. Aldiich of the present fint dis.
trict IL renominaied and already counted
IN by the Republicans ar. McGann ot
the present Second l. now in the Third
and still safe. though probably not by
the $4,000 majority he got in iso2. Mr.
Durborow Of the proscnt Third was de-
fcAted la the new deal. and tho nomi.
nee, Mr.. Frank Hocnaii. IL n new man.