Richmond dispatch. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1884-1903, 1894-11-04
have cut any figure had there been no
Third party candidate:

flrst n III. .......20. AZ 2l,OSl --- sl2 H.
second ". II. ....20.9a8 q. .42, --- 429 r.
Eighth y. }. ......l4.293 l3.40o - 9sS H.
Seventeenth y. Yl7.eJe 1895 - IA IT,
Eightccnth y. \ ..20,1l5 2i,03i - 9l9 r.
Thirty-frst y. y. 1925 1872 - IO7 Il.
Ninth Ohio ..:.....@,on 2o.oZl 73s lfD
Sixteenth Ohio...l1.3lf 1873 II d.
Twentieth Ohio. $50 174l7 - 9s7 f.
seventh Penn. ....I .Nj q aS5 ---- $50 H.
Eleventh Penn. ..i0.2%) 1854 ---- hs9 r.
tlrst X L. ........ll,2JS lO,3o3 --- 80 -.
Scconu X. !. .....lu.NO lo.OD - $50 -.
wyoming .......... $500 N,dll - Oh d.
or the % districts in which the maiori.
ties were under 1000 at the last election
the Democrats carried 20 and the Republi-
cans carried IS. and n careful analysis OF
the previous election returns shows that
seven Of the districts in this list were
formerly held by the Democrats
Considering the very large maiorities
by which the Democrats carried most OF
the northern and western districts In
cluded IN the table above. comprising the
total OF 6}. II IS quite reasonable to as,
sumo that In spite Of dlsafection and
landslidcs they will hold 30 OF them next
Tuesday. That wOJld be giving the Re
puhlicans - districts they have no fair
right 10 expect. OF the 80 districts IN
which the ma jOrities either way were less
than 1910 in 1892. and in view Of Z
having formerly been reliably Democrat
&c. IT Is allowing the Republicans all they
ought % figure on when il IL said they
Will this time probably elect congressman
in 20 Of the districts, and the Democrats
I'm Is districts.
Take then the los surely Democratic
districts in the South ana add TO the num-
Der &c districts in the Northern and West
ern States. which every indication would
seem 20 say Will again be Democratic.
ana you have ISL. or two more than a
majority in the House of Representatives.
This is pretty close figuring. when IL is
considered that there are 3J5 districts in
the United states. but In the estimate
the Republicans have been given 20 dis
tricts in the South, and they are Just as
liable 70 get only 10, and in that event the
Democratic majority in the next House
VIII be swelled to l3, the total number OF
Democrats being then 1el.
In the foregoing estimate only eight
Democrats are claimed from Illinois. and
even the Republicans admit the Demo-
Gratis will DO that we'll in Illinois, as the
last Democratic Legislature fixed the dis
tricts with view Of making from twelve
to thirteen Democratic.
In scanning the table above containing
the sixty-three Democratic districts which
were carried IN 1892 by such large majori-
ties, II is really not claiming too much to
say that the Democrats this year would
only b. holding their own IL they were
to carry nfty-fve OF them, and they
might even carry more In that event.
the Democratic majority would be still
larger.
THE POPULISTS.
Should the Populists elect as many as
twenty IN mbers OF the House, it IS be-
lievod they viii hold the balance Of
power. provided they happen TO cut more
into the Democratic ST.. Myth than the
Republican. However all signs are they
viii hurt the Republicans more than the
Democrats in the North and West. and
If that proves true. II will not seriously
upset the Democratic calculations. The
Republican managers do not secretly
figure that the Populsts will elect
member Of Congress from the south.
The South has never yet elected POpu-
list as Speaker Crisp remarked In
speech several days ago. and this seems
to be n bad year for that party 10 ac-
complish It. IN spite OF the wild and
dreamy claims made here by the chair
man Of the Fopulist Campaign Committee.
II viii Ue noted that the Democrats
Of Virginia and North Carolina have a
great deal at stake. and If any dis
tricts are lost next Tuesday in those
States il will be due TO the votes drawn
away from the Democrats by the Popu-
lists.
To give the Republicans a bare majori-
" of ! in the next House-l79 being
quorum-they viii have 70 elect the fol-
lowing number Of members in the States
named below:
California, 8: Connecticut. 3; Idaho. !;
Illinois. y. Indiana, Z; Iowa, Q; Kansas. 4;
Kentucky. .: Maine. 4: Maryland, !; Mas
sachusetts. =; Michigan. 10; Minnesota, o;
- fHnF Ne. = a.
New Hampshire. .; New Jersey e; New
York. -. North Carolina, l; North Dako-
"A. .: Ohio. l.: Oregon, .; Pennsylvania
%; Rhode Island, 2; South Carolina, ];
Tennessee, 8; Vermont. .; Virginia 2;
Washngtcn. .: West Virginia, I, Wiscon-
sin. Q: wyoming, /. Total li9.
TO illustrate how sweeping such claims
as the above are It is only necessary 10
say that the Republicans, In order TO
realize any such result, would have TO re-
verse things in number Of the Northern
states. From some Of the States IN which
they claim nearly everything the Demo-
Gratis have at present in the House the
following representation, the number OF
cougrcssmcn in each delegation also being
given:
California, 4 out Of :; Connecticut, 3 out
Of 4: Illinois. II out Of O.; Indiana II out
Of T.; Massachusetts, out OF j; Michl-
gan. out Of l.; Minnesota, out OF q
%ew Jersey. 6 out Of S. New York. 10
out Of 81. Ohio. i out OK q; PENNSYLVANIA.
10 out Of 90; both OF the members from
Rhode Island, and out Of ~ In NiSoon-
sin.
The Third District Of Pennsylvania was
not counted IN the list Of siX'y-three
Democratic districts in the North ana
West tabulatcd above for the reason mat
NcAleer ran as an independent Democrat
two years ago against the regular nom'-
nee and was elected. and the vote was
30 cut I'D that reliable Democratic igures
cannot be obtained, but the district can
safely be put down for the Democrats
tbs year. ,,,
At the Democratic and Republican
headquarters II is not conceded that the
PCpullsts VIII elect more than ten or
tvs elye members OF Congress. They may
nCsslbiy secure fifteen. and if they 90
they VIII BE scattered around Ike this:
Two In Colorado; in Kansas. probably 3
In Nebraska, (ani possibly y in MIME
sofa, l Ccertaim IN Nevada, proDdbO
In California. ana perhaps they may
squeeze one Of their men through in some
OF the other Western States, for they are
making q hard fight in both Wyoming
and Idaho. There Is one misfortune 10
be- dreaded if they succeed. and that Is
should the presidential election be inrOMH
into the House in the winter of 1897 the
Populs;s might hold the balance OF
power when the votes are taken by States
as the Constitution provides.
II may also happen that the delegations
Of some Of the States may be evenly dl-
yided. a few years ago New York was
evenly divided, and 1t Is likely TO occur
AT tie next election. II the Democrats
lose the congressman In Delaware there
g another gain by states for the Repno-
leans. and 1t Will not do 70 lose man
In Florida, as the state has only TWO
members. which Is true also Of Rhode
Island. The managers Of both partles
are looking carefully 70 this very point.
1t Is feared the Republicans have JUST
a little the advantage Of the Democrats III
this respect; but, OF course, there Is no
certainty that the next House VIII be
called on 20 elect the President. The
issue Is more likely to be decided at the
polls. Il has been a long time since an
election was thrown into the House.
REPUBLICAN CLAIMS.
The Republicans have just taken Tor
granted that they are going 10 sweep the
country next Tuesday. ana they seem 10
think the Democrats Will sit down quietly
and permit them to do IL. They claim
everything. and there has been too much
% on idea IN the minds OF some