The morning call. [volume] (San Francisco [Calif.]) 1878-1895, 1894-04-03
RECENT POLITICAL FORECASTS.

Thomas Carter. chairman of the Repub-
lican National Committee. in paper con-
tributed to the last number of the North
american, confidently predicts the return
Of the Repu olicans TO power as the result
of the next national election. He main
tains that the hold of the party upon the
people is as strong as at any former time.
BE shows that at the last election change
of onlv q, 426 votes distributed in Califor-
MIA, Delaware, Idaho, Illinois, North Da-
kota. Indiana, Kansas, Missouri and West
Virginia, would have given those States 20
Harrison and secured his election.
In the country north of Mason and
Dixon's line, Notwithstanding the Peoples
party movement, Harrison 10 1892 fell only
14S, 276 behind his vote in 1883. Cleveland
in the same territory received in 1892
r. 431 less votes than he received in 1883.
The principles of tile Republican party
were not repudiated in 1892, as subsequent
events have clearly shown. The change
that has been going on in the public mina
warrants the opinion that nearly all the
Western and Northwestern States will
return to their allegiance. to the Rep1bli-
can party. Suppose that party should
sweep the country at the next Presidential
election? Where, then, would be the as
sumption that its principles were repudi-
ated in the preceding election? The
country has already reached the conclusion
that little or nothing can be expected Of
the party now in power. Disappointed
Democrats have freely expressed their
dissatisfaction. The trend of public senti-
ment has been strikingly indicated in the
recent elections in New York, Pennsylva-
mia, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas and elsewhere.
These large Republican gains indicate the
rising tide.
One of the New York Democratic papers
has just made a series of calculations
based on the changes shown during the
last four months in contrast with the re-
suits Of the canvass of 1892 In that fore
cast it was conceded that the Republicans
would lead in the next House of Repre-
sentatives by majority of eighty. Many
sanguine Republicans believe that the plu-
rality will be much larger.
The most remarkable fact in the politi-
cal discussion of the day is the willingness
on the part of many prominent Democrats
to concede very large gains to the Rspubli-
cans at the Eext Congressional election.
The reason for this conclusion is that the
party in power has not met the expecia-
tons Of the country. 1t is conceded that
there has been a great change of public
opinion and that the change is still going
on. This does not result from any changes
in the attitude of the Republican party.
1t has not modified a single one of its
cardinal principles. 1t stands therefore
just where il has stood for the last quarter
of a century. The Democratic experiment
goes on in the face of continued protests
from many prominent members in that
party who are conscious of it's mistakes
and the disasters that threaten 10 overtake
it. If it satisfied the country the cause
for the changes that have been noted
would be mystery. This assured SUI
premaey in the smear future of the party
that went into retirement short time ago
is the hope of the country. 1t foresh adows
the dominance once more of those political
principles that have insured the greatest
measure of prosperity to the country.