New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1894-01-14

GLOOMY OUTLOOK FOR THE NEW
YEAR.
Paris. December 80.

! either Italy will be obliged TO declare herself IN
solvent, as Portugal first and then Greece have
already done, equvalently; or Italy must tear
herself asundar from that Triple Alliance with
! Germany and Austria which has brought her to
/ the verge ot bankruptcy and throw herself into
the arms OF France, which is the only nation
rich enough and willing Under corditions) to
come To her aid: else an inerna tional war
must come to relieve her embarrassment; or, at
least. an internal revolution must change United
Italy from kingdom which will have failed in
full youth. into federal republic. Sgnor Crisp
has come into power to aay each and every
one of these four possible storms which may be
waiting to surprise from the springtime hori-
ION.
Several months ago experienced diplomat
when asked in what country the interest OF
European politics would be centred this winter
answered without moments hesitation. IN
Italy" It the time when the Franco-kus-
sian Alliance and its probable consequences were
almost the exclusive object OF attention There
was a r,Imor in the air that italy had kept her
reserve troops under arms along the Alpine IRON
tier after the autumn manoeuvres, and that
England had joined Italy and the Triple Alliance
against France and Russia in behalf Of her own
threatened interests in the Mediterranean In
reply to a sec md question the same cear-sighted
the internal situation. of Italy. which will demand
attention." He added that the financial prob
lens would precipitate the crisis. and that moth
ing good was 10 be hoped from n return to
power IF Signor Crisp.
United Italy from the start has been spend
, thrift at home. The army of state funcuonares
has been double The needs of the Government
Thu state has eyer! where taken on itself heavier
EXPENSES in public works and institutions than 1t
I could easily support. even with the wholesale
/ confiscalion Of the old ecclesiastical property.
/ II is sufficient to mention the prodiga scatter
ing If universities in provincial cities ana the
Investment by the State i'm new and costly mes
Of railroad The Italian Government has also
been 'he first to encourage the mania for Destroy
ing all the old picturesque ruins and monuments
and replacing them by expensive modern build
ing This speculation in masonry. which was
rampant for a few years in nearly every city
and town was nearly everywhere followed by
financial panic and permanent loss. The result
has been dimuntiOn Of private fortunes. the
mmobilizing Of needed capital, and the impoYer-
ishment of municipalities.
Meanwhile agriculture. especially in the Roman
region and in Sicily. has had 10 struggle with an
antiriiated system OF landhOlding, in which
+ mid ilensn ada to the burden Of rent and all
taxation Is sure t. fall on the devoted tiller OF
the land and not on It's owner While httie or
un,binc has been done to remedy this veritabe
disease of agriculture. politicians have come to
b.. more and more reproached by the public voice
with Aagrant jobbery and even worse. Signor
Cfsp's connection with the recent bank scandals
Is nv no means tho first example from his own
career: and his influence over practical politics
has always been assigned. in great measure 10
his skill in distributing the spells Of office. NO
matter what may be the degree of truth in THIS
matter il is certain that government notorious
for living beyond its means has also lost It's
reputation for honest dealing among the discon~
tented population.
Tho foreign policy of Italy moreover, has OF
late years led straight to disaster. II is not the
mere desire Of italy to pose as a power or the
frs;-class which has brought her within sight OF
+ bankruptcy. II Is as everybody now sees he'
enf,nrlemont with Germany and Austria in the
Tribe Alliance. II has burdened her with mill
tarv expenditure which. added to the interest
an an indebtedness that already strained all the
resources - the country makes an annual dehcit
If 500 900 001 in the budget. In this expenditure
any serious economy seems out 81 the question,
unlass A total change is made In the foreign
+ uo';cv of the ne tion. And the national sentiment
seems as much opposed 10 this as does the temper
of III. king who rules however. consttutonaily'
T. would require history Of the resurrection OF
italy in dc'ail to explain the meaning OF thS
Germano-mania. II had it's rise In the vatican
rhohia II Mazzini Of whom Crisp! was the dis
cinl. I'm spite of the latter's acknowledged
ability Of adapting himself and his policy 10 cir
cnmstances ii would he mistake to imagine
tia. no has eyer lost his early hatreds Ihese
yora frs, for the Pope and afterward for France
which was supposed to be always ready 70 restore
rho pone 10 his temporal dominion. II was this
hf,, n
1t,lv in tho TRIBE Alliance Prince Bismarck
plava1 s<ilfully on this one key until the treaty
ha. boen secured The turning Of national senti-
mont against France was then the most natura
thing in the world. Italians who do not love
Germany because they hate the Pope still rear
Lropce hoc,usp they are convinced that she de-
c,ros war And the Triple Alliance has peen
nr,sonted n them as the only means OF Keeping
the balance and the peace of Europe 10 '"s
thore seems to have been added in the NINA Oh
the King and his partsans fear thar with rove
or France the republic would make us appear
onca in italy No one at this day can suppose
that the French Republic would interfere TO give
, throne :, the Pope But the Republican con-
federation Of the Italian peoples. who are sun
far from being united. is always near posi-
bility.
While the public debt is burden ALREADY IN
currcd and future economy seems lmPracucao'e'
any increase Of taxation threatens 20 cause d
revolutionary outbreak The Government hio
| nopoies which embrace even SAT- are a'cd"s
severely felt by the common people, ana '"es "''
not in a mood to submit to a grist-tax or some
,bor similar rxpedent The one cry In the
cici,,on riots has been against the municipal
ovcise people who feast when black bread Is
,,o,tv have called on the name Of the King at
Tho same time that they faced the soldiers Sent
ONT ia fire on them. In Italy alone mas .ne
! movement of Socialist Anarchy eX,ehueo 10 VIZ i
| recent economic history. Signor Crispi VIII heeu
| something more than an army to dissolve tnt I'M,
Easel del Lavorator and others tnah va"
tho, they shall collect their taxes kindly. inns
or, NJ economic crisis is superadded To the cruei
financial difficulty in when the ha'o" WAS az