New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1894-10-21
THE NEWS OF EUROPE.
SPECULATING ON THE DEATHS OF THE
CZAR AND THE AMEER.
THE BELGIAN INSTRUMENTATION n
THE EAST-MR CHAMBERLAINs PRO.
GRAMME-DIsCORD IN IRELAND
MR.. BAYARD's ADDRESS.
(BY CABLI TO THE TRIBUNE
(BY CABLE TO THE TRIBUNE.



Copyright: 1884,: BY The Tribune As;OciatisnJ
London. Oct. 20.-The grave condition OF the
Car of Russia, especially at the moment when
England may have difficulties on hand in AZ.
ghanstan and when the Chinese problem u
approaching a settlement, naturally causes No
small anxiety here. Judging from past expert
ences. everybody is agreed that Aexanders In
fuence would in all these matters wherever they
affected him be cast for peace. Notwithstanding
all his bigotry and obstinacy-largely In conse-
quence Of the latter-Alexander was able to steer
his empire through perils and dangers which
might have ended in war; 1t his ruling de-
sire to abstain from enterprises which might
provoke conflict with neighboring States His
Central Asian generals sometimes got out OF
hand, and once nearly brought about war with
England. But in far off Samarkand the Cars
will came to be respected
Within the last few days, with one foot in the
grave he has rudely checked the ambitious prof.
ects of General Youoff. There Is little doubt
that the border conflict between the Rus
slams and Afghans on the Pamirs. reported this
week. ended in bloodshed and in Russian ad-
vance into territory claimed by the Ameer. No
sooner this known to the Car than he
ordered the withdrawal of the Russians within
the old lines Of the frontier on the ground that
cslon OF the Anglo Russian Delimitation Com
mission This more than just and
proper ster, but how seldom have Russian ad-
venturers acted justly in the far-of regions Of
Central Asia. NJ. Gortshakoff's broken pledges
to England are as numerous as mile-posts.
Alexander III has nor been all that Western
nations approve. He is anti-Semite, and IN
the hands OF one and one ony-his old
tutor Pobedonostseff-he has in all religious
matters acted upon lines Of positive bigotry. Nor
can he be acquitted of responsibility for the
many horrors of Siberian exile. On the othes
hand when the Car fully realized the workings
of the Pan Slav agitators in the Balkan. and
the encouragements their proceedings gave to the
discontented nearer his own throne, he peremp-
torly restrained their zeal and shipped off the
chief wirepuler to distant post.
These matters, however, were all within Alex
anders empire In his foreign relations the
Cars conduct was more praseworthy, and
Europe is now wondering whether his successor
will continue the same line Of policy. All the
world knew the frmness with which the Car
held his Ministers and Generals An check. With
the exception Of Pobedonostseff. every man OF
them was his clerk. and IL was doubtless this
attempt to act the part of Atlas that has shaken
the Cars giant constitution 1t is impossible
to expect similar powers from his successor. He
is known TO be amiabls and easygong, but
certainly is not credited with possessing any
special firmness Of character. Moreover, he has
not had sufficient experience to put the brake
upon the ambitious men who have been nursed
in military system and who look to war FOR
fields of promotion. II adds to the difficulties OF
the situation when we remember that NJ. De
Giers who is at the head of foreign affairs must
soon retire, by reason of III health and advancing
Years How difficult il will be to find another
in his place with such peaceful tendencies!
Grand-duke Vladimir, in passing through
France yesterday, sm)othed the anxieties or
Parsians By declaring that Russian friendship
for France would undergo no change. This may
be true but is significant that the illness OF the
Car caused a fall in the Paris Bourse, which
holds twelve milliards Of francs Of Russian Stock.
II is also generally understood that the Care
witch is not personally enthusiastic about tho
French alliance and is decidedly more friendly
to Emperor William than the present Car.
The issues OF the Afghan question involved in
this lamentable illness closely affect England.
The Ameers death is not unlikely TO befollowed
by civil war. II England forcibly interferes to
maintain the rights Of Habibuah against his
younger brothers claims, Russia may demand
to occupy Afghan territory from the Oxus to
the Hindoo Koosh This policy Is already indi-
Gated by the "Novoe Vremya," ard IL adopted
would possibly lead to a proposal for the parti-
ton of the kingdom or the acceptance of Ishak
Khan as ruler This pretender was recently
reported dead. but he is generally expected TO
come to life again at tie first opportunity, as an
instrument in the hands of the Russian party
in Samarkand.
The Belgian elections will give great impulse
to the Socialistic movement on the Continent as
is already apparent in Vienna. Though the final
result is not yet known 1t seems likely that the
Clerical majority is TO be confronted. not by solid
Moderates or Liberals, but chiefly by a Socialist
opposition. The conflicting elements OF such
divergence may lead to grave results, especially
as the Socialists are Coectivist to a Their
desire for the State to possess all industries and
al capital may bring them into collision with the
peasantry who largely farm their land.
But apart from any issues with the peasantry
there are quite sufficient dangers before the
State in the extreme hostiHties which prevail
between Clericalism and Socialism.
Last week brief reference was made TO the re-
ported efforts of the British Government. to bring
about the intervention Of the European Powers
in the Eastern struggle. Some Government
papers attempted to deny this story obviously
Influenced by the circumstance that Lord Rose
bery's efforts were unattended with success
The Daily News now admits the truth Of the
circular According this sem-official explain.
aton IL was the knowledge that China was Will
ing To negotiate f"r peace that induced Lord
Rosebery to sound the Foreign Powers, and The
Daily News declares that a majority are In ac-
cord with England as to the course to be pur'
sued 1t also asserts that Japan has not ex-
pressed definite rejection in answer to Lord
Rosebery's inquiry whether certain proposals
might be regarded as a basis OF negotiation.
The whole meaning of the situation Is this. that
a majority OF the great Powers are not unwilling
to intervene with England when the proper mo-
ment arrives, but the time for intervention VIII
not hoyo haap raa chad uuut one Of the com.