Arizona silver belt., 1893-11-18
FORECASTING STORMS
ACCURACY AND TlMELlNssS IN FORE,
 CASTING WEATHER.

The signal achievement of tho gov ernment weather bureau in predicting she disastrous tornadoes In Iowa 24 hours in advance of their awful visita- tions brought into new prominence the remarkable accuracy with which in these days of advanced science a weather forecast can be made.
 The prediction of the Iowa tornado offers noteworthy example of the value of tho government bureau and illus trates the perfection of the system it em- ploys, but the forecast in point of accu- racy is duplicated daily It isn't every day that Q tornado starts on wild stam- pede, but the weather sharps are expected to keep the cities and towns of the coun- try posted in advance in regard to the weather The daily forecast has become an all important element in all calcula- tions. whether of pleasure or of business, and could no moro be dispensed with than the telegraph or any of the other agencies which have revolutionized affairs
 Several years ago couple of young army lieutenants who saw tornadoes in every cloudoap kept the western farm CTS lodging in and out of low ground cellars until they became round shoul- dered and neglected their crops, but the young heutenants' experience is now one of the amusing traditions of the office. It is told, too, possibly as joke, that the colored janitor who hGd rheumatism and looked upon his left les as a reli- able gauge did the prophesying business when the heutenants were invited to some swell function.
 Things are run differently now, as the reliability of the predictions and the able administration of the bureau at test It is doubtful. moreover, if any country on the globe has better equip ped service This is due in some meas pre to the opportunities of study offered by tho diverse climatic paculiarities of the United States, These peculiarities make the work of weather prophesying here a most difficult task, requiring the employment of men of wide experience and learning Itis by no means an un- common circumstance for tho weather bureau to ohase half a dozen different varieties of storms over the country in day It may be hailing in North Da- kota, tornado may be making sad havoc in the western farming belt, windstorm may be bowling along the Atlantic coast, inlperling shipping, and four or five thunderstorms may be creating alarm in as many different sec tions.
 With all these complications, short, thickset man, with gray eyebrows and gray mustache, calmly looks over the maps which are mado on the reports of every one of tho government observers throughout the country and figures out just the kind of weather that may be expected in every state and section. This short, thiclzset man. with gray eyebrows and gray mustache, is the official who, en examining the maps on the night of July ,, paused for mo ment, and then, to the surprise of his assistants, murmured. This looks like tornado"
 Major Dunwoody was the officer who read the signs aright, The government observers at Sioux City, Des Moines, Keol.uk and Omaha had all reported threatening atmospheric conditions, and their reports when reduced to tracings on the maps showed that the center of the atmospheric disturbances was at Cheyenne, with the winds racing from all four points of the compass toward tho Wyoming capital Major Dun woody has Lad Gn intimate acquaint- ance with storms for years, and this tornado didn't fool him by pretending to rendezvous at Cheyenne The major is an old army officer, who understands all about flank movements, and be began to figure out where tho main attack might be expected.
 He was sitting on a high stool in the forecasting room ut the weather bureau, calculating on the tornado's probable evolution. The major read tho report of the storm scntinels ct Sioux City and Des Moines over again and then drew a circle, with the center at Cheyenne and the circumference toward the east, touching Davenport The majors ex- perience taught him that the most trouble might be expected in the south east segment of the circle, and before o'clock that night all the observers who furnished the alarming reports were in- structed by wire to send out warnings to cities and towns on the respective sec tions, and orders were also given to em- ploy every meaus to inform the country districts of the impending peril.
 Hours before the storm broke with it's terrible fury express trains running through the isolated communities had carried tho bureaus intelligence, and those who lived far from the railroad station were warned by whistles which were blown according to an established end well understood code.
 How quickly all this was accomplished illustrates the efficiency of the govern ment system as directed by Chief liar rington. AtSo'clock on the night of the 9th the observations were made, and an hour later Major Duawoody, with quick judgment based on ong experience, had located the storm and had sent out q forecast to the threatened community, tellingof tho dangers to be feared How much greater might have been the dam. age to property and how much greater the loss of life but for the warningsl
 The weather bureau did not announce that tornado might be expected, as tornado predictions went out of favor with the young army lieutenants. The warning, as sent out, was to the effect that severe local thunderstorms were threatened, and the farmers knew full well what was meant. As interpreted by them it signifled that ground cellar would be a good place in which to spend July 6, 1885 Washington Cor. New York World,
 The Horses Hat.
 The horse's hat, which last year hu
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