St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1893-06-18
THE KAISER MAY WIN
His Opponents Have a Small
Majority Of the Members
Elected.
Success Of the Army Bill
Depends Upon the Second
Ballots.
Eugene Richter's Radical
Party Have Not Carried a
Single District.
Great Increase in the Votes
OF the Anti-SemiteS and
Socialists.

BERLIN, July 1s.-The returns have
almost ceased coming IN. although re-
ports from thirty districts are still lack
ing. At IL o'clock the army bill parties
and groups had SO seats; the opposition
parties IS. All depends upon the second
ballots. The government has decided
to exert all its influence TO induce all
the factions favorable to the bill to
unite against the Richterlsts, Social
Democrats and Clericals in the bye
elections which will be held about
one week from tomorrow. Second bal
lots will be necessary. it is estimated, in
almost 200 districts. The returns re-
ceived so far have not been complete,
enough to render possible accurate pre-
dictiOns of the result. Of the thirty
four districts from which ali the figures
bearing on the second ballot have been
icalS will win %, the Social Democrats 2,
the National Liberals, Conservatives
and Agrarians 6, and the Particularists
l. The Radical Unionists are expected
to gain several more seats All day the
Reports From the Constituencies
have continued to give evidence of the
collapse of Eugene Richter's Radical
party. The South German Democrats,
with whom the RichteriSts joined hands
at the opening of the campaign to fight
more effectively against the army bill at
the polls, have secured five seats, one
Of them wod from the National Liberals.
and are likely to enter the next reichs-
tag with their delegation increased
to fourteen or fifteen. Not dispatch
has been received to indicate that the
RichterSts have carried constituency
on the first ballot The failure is due
partly to the fact that the Radicals who
deserted Richter to make government
campaign under the banner of the Radi-
cal Union were the cream of
the old party. Excepting Virchow,
hardly conspicuous deputy
stood by Richter after the dis
solution of the reichstag. Rickert,
Broemel, HinZe, Barth, editor of the
Nation, Slemens and Hannel deserted
at once to the government. The dis
sidents are known to have elected two
deputies and to have the best chances
of electing seven or eight more on the
second ballot. The Richterists. who
constituted two-thirds of the parlia-
ably few more than twenty men
into the new reichstag. This state OF
affairs is distinctly
Favorable to the Governments,
as the loss of the Radical opposition is
expected more than to counterbalance
the gains of the Social Democratic oppo-
sition.
The anti-Semites are believed to be in
way to procure twelve seats. AhI-
Wardt and Goeckel, the most blatant
members of the last parliamentary
group. have already been returned.
The aggregate vote of the
anti-Semites has increased amazingly
since 1890. The National Liberals, ac-
cording to latest reports, are likely to
return to Berlin with approximately
their old delegation of forty. The OPP
position ClericaIs under DIR. Lieber
have retained virtually all their
old constituencies. as far as can
be ascertained. and will return to
Berlin with probably nearly 100 depu-
ties. The government Clerical-Agra-
garian movement, under Freiherr
Hoene, has shown few evidences of
success. Nine Independent Clerlcals
have been elected, but of this number
only4ive are declared advocates of the
army bill.s. s.ConServatiyes and Free Con-
ServatlveS, as was. expected, are suffer
ing no losses. They will enter the
reichstag with about eighty-fve seats
together. The Social Democrats are
still triumphant at the expense of the
Richter Radicals. In general, the ad-
vantages
Gained by the Government
are to be found in the prospect that
some ten Radical Unionists, who voted
against the army bill and who now
favor it, have good prospects Of sitting
in the next reichstag, and that the
anti-Semitic representation, partially
favorable to the government. bids
fair to be greatly increased.
If the National Liberals, Free
Conservatives and the Conservatives
make binding cartel IN all close dis
trlcts, they will be able to rally IT'S
votes for the government at the open
ing of the reichstag. Both Chancellor
Won Caprivi and Count Botho Zu Eul-
enberg, PruSsian minister president,
have been ropsed from their apathy
and have set the bureaucratic mac hi
merry of the government in operation to
this end.
In calculating what accession of
strength the Socialists will gain In the
reichstag, the fact must be remembered
that the whole force of the party has
always hitherto been polled on the first
ballot, whereas other parties through
anti-Socialist coalitions show the great
est strength on reballot. 1t was thus
in 1890 when the Freisinnige party won
in all thirty-five of the reballots be-
tween them and the Socialists. About
eighty Socialists will stand in
The Coming RebalIots,
and it is rational estimate to credit
them with securing twenty-six more
seats. Before the elections Herr Vol
mar, one of the sanest heads of the
party, predicted that forty of his col
leagues would appear in the new reich
stag.
What ought to concern the govern
ment quite as much as the increase of
Socialists in parliament is the develop
ment of socialism throughout the coun-
try. Chancellor Won Caprivi held con-
ferences with the emperor on Thursday
and again last evening, reporting to his
majesty the character of the returns. 1t
is rather significant that the semi-official
organs today recur to suggestions as to
how to curb the popular vote.
Regarding the Centrists, the recent
schisnlS do not appear likely to serious
ly affect their strength. The party may
lose fifteen seats and still remain in the
most solid party In the house. If, after
the reballot, the Centrlsts in favor of
the bill appear fifteen strong it will not
| greatly affect the fighting power Of the