The morning news. [volume] (Savannah, Ga.) 1887-1900, 1893-07-02
VICTORY OF TIE KAISER.
A Majority Of II to II Claimed for
the Army Bill.

Close Calculators Give the Government
200 to $40 Members Of the Reichstag,
Out of a Total Of e7-opposition
Organs Claiming Divisions in Some
of the Factions.
Berlin, July Although no two esti-
mates as to the ultimate composition of
the reichstag may exactly agree, all re-
liable reckonings show a divergence of
only members in the estimates of those
who will support the army bill, calcula-
tors placing the measure at between 2O5
and 210. AS there are 397 members of
the roichstag, these calculations show
sufficiently strong majority to pass the
bill. 1t is estimated that the opponents
of the government in the next
house will number from 1S7 to 1922
Whatever uncertainty exists as to the def
mite strength of the parties, arises from
the character of the planks Incorporated
in the platforms on which some of the
candidates stood when they were elected.
Under the designation Of national liberal
conservative or agrarian, supported by a
union with the freisinnige, party it be-
came difficult to classify him with abso-
lutte accuracy
Despite minor differences. the assured
result of the election is that 204 members
will support the bill. This number Will
be made up of "a conservatives, "A mem
bers of the reochspartei, 80 national lib
erals, 70 richterists, lG Poles, Is anti
lemites, 4 centrists and Independents;
against an opposition of 1913, made up of
50 centrists, "A social democrats p rich
terists, u volkspartei, guelphs, Alsa-
tians, 3 Poles and Dane.
SIX MORE ELECTIONS.
After the reichstag is constituted it
will be necessary to proceed with six
elections. Anti-semites Ahlwardt, Zim-
man and Werner; socialists Bebel,
Wohlegier, and Richterlst Traeger, having
each been elected In two districts,
DR.. Virchow has been offered the can
didacy won lby Herr Traegar, The re-
suits of these reflections can't alter the
estimate above given.
The Germania, the centcrist organ,
contends that eleven polls will vote
against the bill, while the Vosseische
Zeitung, tries to make out that the adhe-
sion Of the Richterists to the measure is
doubtful.
Other opposition organs affirm that a
section of the anti-semites will oppose the
government. With regard to the Richter
lists, it can be said that the government
has secured absolute fidelity of the fac
tiOn by notifications in the army bill as
it is now before the federal council As
for the anti-semites, though ordinary
standards can't be reliably applied to
them, the official circle knows that their
support can be secures. The emperor has
held several informal conferences with
Chancellor Won Capri, and IL is surmised
that his majesty is shaping his speech
from the throne with which the Reich
stag will be opened July4.
Herr Richter and six others have issued
an appeal to the radical peoples party,
otherwise the Richter faction OF the
freisinnige party, asking thata reunion of
the members of the faction be held July
IA, for the purpose of rearranging this
platform. A number of members of their
faction have declined to attend the meet
ing
Russia proposes to resume negotiations
for commercial treaty at conference
to be held in Berlin and has nominated
NJ. Timeriesff, director of the ministry of
commerce, and NJ. RaffalOyitch. the Rus
sian finance agent at Paris, as her com
missioners. Chancellor Won Caprivi hesi-
tates to accept the Russian proposal No
German commissioners have been APP
pointed yet.