St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1893-03-19
NEXT CABINET CRISIS.
Numerous Signs Indicate the
Downfall of Chancellor
Caprivi.
The Army Bill Is Doomed,
Which Means a General
Election.
A New Parliament Opposed to
the Measure Will Be
Chosen.
1t Is Believed Count Valdez
see Will Be Caprivi's
Successor.

oOO w III Dc OdpEAVA
Successor.
LONDON, March 1S.-Numerous signs
IN the last week have pointed to Berlin
as the scene of the next cabinet crisis.
The feeling that at the last minute the
emperor and his chancellor would con-
cede a few thousand recruits rather
than submit TO diSheartening defeat
in the army bill commission was circu-
lated throughout the empire until the
announcement was made that the Ma
tiOnal Liberal offer of As, 900 more re-
cruits had been finally refused. 1t then
became apparent to all, that not only in
the commission. but in the plenary sit
ting of the reichStag, the army bill was
doomed. This means at best general
election. The government is doing its
best to defer All appeal to the people,
who would be likely to return parlia-
ment fully as much opposed to the bill
as the present one, beside electing
many anti-Semitics and Social Demo-
Gratis, the bitter enemies of all decent
parties. Even the Conservatives agree
that Chancellor Caprivi
Has Been Too Unbending
in his attitude toward the parties, and
it is believed that his arrogance will
cost him his office. Twice during the
past week he has borne sharp reproofs
from the emperor, who was especially
chagrlned by his chancellor's failure to
close with Herr Won BennigSen, who
was willing to deliver the forty votes of
the Central Liberal pa rty if the chan
cellOr would abate his demands about
Is per cent. News of this interview
was whispered throughout the city on
Wednesday afternoon, two hours after
it took place. The withdrawal of the
army bill was believed to be assured,
and, despite the accompanying reports
that Caprivi would resign, prices on the
bourse rose several points. A conSDic-
nous Barring street broker gave good
index of the situation when he said
nothing would help the prices of Ger
man securities more than the immediate
retirement Of Caprivi and his army
bill.
That the retirement of the successor
of Bismarck is at hand few doubt.
Chancellor Won Caprivi informed an
East PruSsian Conservative today that
he was weary of the Office and, after
the fight of the army bill, had
Decided EEe Would Retire.
II is not believed, however, that the
emperor will wait for final decision on
the bill before calling new man to the
chancellOrShip. Lieut.. Won HuelSen
has already been dispatched TO Altoona
to convey letters from the emperor to
Gen. Won Waldersee, and the report Is
abroad that this able soldier is the com
ing man. The National Liberals are
pushing forward DR.. Sliquel, Prussian
finance minister, as their preference for
CapriYfS place, but MIGUEL has too lit
tie of the military man about him to
suit the emperor. Some of the Con-
servatiyes are booming Count Bottho
Zu Elenberg, Prussian minister preSi-
dent, but he has shown so little interest
in the landtag debates that his appoint
ment would be highly improbable. The
majority of the Conservatives look to
WalderSee as the rising sun in German
politics, not only on account of the lat
ter'S increasing close relations to the
emperor, but also because, after CaDrivi,
he is the only well-knOwn German who
is at once capable soldier and an as
tute politician. The Radical press hints
that April l, or at latest, May l, will see
the fall of the present chancellor, the
appointment of a successor and gen
eral parliamentary election approaching
in the near future. The Conservative
newspapers, led by the KreuZ Zeitung
suggest the same, eventually. The
Social Democratic editors, with Lieb-
knebcht, of the Vorgwaertz, at their
heads, says plainly the Caprivi regime
is failure anu that the emperor awaits
only favorable opportunity to END it.
CapriVi's Supporters Few.
BERLIN. March lS.-Before the final
vote of the army bill, the committee left
the government face to face with a
definitely hostile majority. Chancellor
Won Caprivi had conferences with Her.
rem Huehne, Rickert, Bennigsen and
Lieber the chiefs of the parties repre-
scented on the committee. The negotia-
tiOnS left the government and the COM
mttee more hostile than ever toward
each other. Only the Conservative and
FreeCOnSevative members of the COM
mttee supported the bills. The chan
cellOr gave as resOlute q rejection to
Herr Bennigsen's compromise pro-
pOsals, though they largely conceded
the governments demands, as he
did to the proposal of Herr
Lieber, which conceded nothing.
Herr Lieber'S proposal about which
much mystery has been maintained,
showed that the Center party had no de-
sire to further treat with the govern
ment. His proposal was practically the
submission of ii new bill providing for
the maintenance of the present peace
effective, with a reduced term of serv-
ice, the government having the option
in the event of emergencies TO retain
in active service the men who had
served their term.
The report OF the committee will be
submitted 10 the reichstag after Easter.
Every indication now points to the
reichStag supporting the committee.
The determined attitude of the chan
cellor proves that Emperor William has
resolved to take an extra step. 1t is
now expected that tine reichStag
VIII Be Dissolved
at the end of April. The question is, is
dissolution inevitable? The emperor
must first obtain the assent of the bund-
esrath OF federal council. the Bavarian
and Saxon members of which are known
to be absolutely hostile TO an appeal to
the country, preferring the withdrawal
OF the army bill. If the bundesrath re-
fuses the emperor's demand for the dis
solution OF the reichstag, Chancellor
Won Caprivi must resign. or if dissolu-
ton occurs the outlook for all the par
ties is perpleXing-
Herr Won Kleist-Retzow, at yeSter-
days meeting of the com mttee, prom
Ised the government the united support
OF the Conservatives. He spoke with
too much assurance. Herr Mirbach,
Manteuffel and other prominent Con-
servatives are already threatening to
desert the government unless the chan
cellor's commercial treaty policy is
abandoned.
Amid the complications of an cIector-