New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1893-07-02
A GOVERNMENT MAJORITY.
ar CALCULATIONS AGREE THAT THE
ARMY BILL WILL PASS.
,ourrp ISSUES AN APPEAL-THE SCARCITY OF
vonDrR-RUSsIA NEGOTIATING FOR


COMMERCIAL TREATY-OTHER TOPICS.
parlin July 1.-Although no two estimates as 10
aba ultimate composition Of the ReichstaG may eN-
trc arrce all Trustworthy reckonings show Ill
,s,cc Of ONLY Eve members in the estimates OF
,oc WHO will support the Army bid the calcuiators
,scinr the number favorng the measure at between
n5 and 30. As there are 3J7 members OF the
paicb,tag these calculations show sufficiently strong
majority 10 pass tie bill 1t is estimated That the
nnonep,, OF the Government in the next House VIII
number from lS7 to 1872. Whatever uncertainty
sts a. IN the definite strength Of the parties arises
from the motley character OF the pankS Incorporated
I'm the platforms which some OF the candidates
stood when Il was elected under the deSGha-
,on Of National Liberal, Conservative or AGraTian'
.rnported lv union with the Frcisnnige party, IL
became difficult to classify him with absolute ac-
curaCy.
p,of,,sor HasSe. who elected al LcipSic, and
was described In the Kreuz Zeitung" as a National
Liberal ha, written letter protesting against this
cla>sifcton and declaring that he Will Only decide
what faction he will join when the Reichsag opens
Although elected rs National Liberal he says he
will iou ,i'hcr tie Rcichspariei or the conservatives
Do>pto the minor differences. the assured result
NJ the election i tha 204 members will support the
III This number wi be made Of - Cons rvatiV'S
% members Of the R.icisparte 80 National Liberals.
IL Rckor,i,'s j. Poles Ii Anil Semite,. 4 CentrStS
and Independents, against an opposition OF 1913, made
lp Of % Cnri,t> ~ social Demo cat>. - "htcrisiS
10 Volkspartei, Guelphs, Asatans. Poles and
Dane After the Rcichstag is constituted ii will be
necessary to proceed with six reflections, the Anti
,cmitcs Ahwardl. Zimmerman and Werner. The
Socialists Bebel and Wohleeer, and the Richterist
Traeger having each been elected in two districts
The result of these reflections cannot aief the esi
mate above given.
The "Germania," the Centrist organ, contends that
eleven Poles will vote against the BILL while the Nos
ssche Zeitunc tries TO make out that the adhesion
Of the RickerSts to the measure is doubtful Other
opposition organs affirm that section of the Anti
semics VIII oppose the Government With regard
10 The Rickertiss it can be said that the Government
has secured the absolute fidelity OF the faction by the
notifications the Army bill, it is now before the
Federal Council As for the Anti Semites, though
ordinary standards cannot be reliably applied 10 them
the official circle knows that their support can be
secured
Among the members Of the old Rcchstae who have
disappeared much the regret Of almost everybody
IRE Prince Won Iatzfedt and Herr Won kcudell both
Of whom belong to the Rechsparei. The latter was
formerly German Ambassador at Rome The
Ccntrsts have lost Freherr Hoinngen- Huene the
author Of the famous compromise that resulted In
the splitting up Of the party Count Won balleSre'
Count Won Pressing and DR.. Torsch and the lrciSln-
nge party have lost DR.. NirchOw, Dr. liaencl' Herr
Hugo Hlnze and Dr. Bamberger.
The Emperor and Empress will start on July
monies Attendant upon Prince Eel's entering tho
First Regiment of the Guards lieutenant The
Irincc's entry into regular military he
will occur on july :. the tenth anniversary Of his
birth. Prince Ecl is the second son Of lli- Majesty
The Emperor has held several informal conferences
with Chancellor Won Caprivi. and ii Is surm,ed that
Iii, Majesty is shaping his speech from the thron.
with which the RcichStag will be opened on July a.
Herr Richter and six others have issued an appeal
the Radical Peoples party, otherwise the RcAt'r
action Of the FrcisnBige party asking that reunion
Of the members Of the faction be held July IA or
the purpose OF rcarTanging their PLATFORM nNnoer
o. the members Of the faction have declined to attend
Tho meeting The "Vosssche Zeitung" rebukes lierr
Richter as aiming 10 control the party thrNgh a
council like that Of the Vatican. The paper denies
lis authority to call the meeting.
The scarcity Of fodder Is threatening the arrange
ments that have been made for the army manoeuvres
f. the autumn. The Emperor, who ordered special
report on how the vast number Of horses employed
would be fed. found that the districts where the
manoeuvres ere to be held incapable Of Guaran
teeing a sufficient supply Of fodder Special stores
must be erected or housing supply TO be carried To
the field OF operations. or the manoeuvres must De
cnr-ailed The Prince of Naples heir to the Italian
throne and Archduke Franz Ludwig Of Austria Will
attend the manoeuvreS.
Wheat harvesting has commenced I'm south Ger
many Austria and Hungary The drouth that pre-
vailed for long time has affected the Xlelo except
along the Danube River. ana IL southern HuhGaiA'
Russia proposes resume The negotiations Tor "a
commercial treaty In conference to be heo IN Beii
and has nom atcd VI. Tmeriescf. Director OF me
Ministry Of Commerce, and VI. Raftalovtch Ks'
Finance Agent at Paris. as her commissioners Nhal,
cellor Won Caprivi heSates 10 accept the RUSSIAN
proposal No Gcrmau commissioners have yet been
appointed.
The Fine Arts Exhibition at Munich opened TO-DAY
The Regent OF Bavaria. and many ol IN" meWD'rs OF
the BavaIan ROYAL family attended the opening Ih'
exhibits are numerous including many works by Anna
Tadema George Frederick Watts. Sir Frederick Iegl
aFdss oral lean fTfl
the modern school examples Of the best old masters
are largely represented.
Samuel a. Clemens Mark Twain IS In this city
He will take his daughter TO Munich where his family
are staying He and his daughter are the guests Of
Secretary Jackson, OF the American Embassy.
Among the recent arrivals i'm Berlin T. A.
Curtis and |. 6. Brown Of Boston: Alfred COnklinc
and r. T. Denning Of Maryland +. Fizhugh Of Nir-
rinia and W. II. Laird Of Minnesota.
Baron Won uma-Jeltsch. the newly appointed Ger
man Ambassador to the United States. had inter
view with Emperor william today prior to starting
for Washington.