The Pickens sentinel. [volume] (Pickens, S.C.) 1871-1903, 1893-11-30
WHY WE GOT BEATEN.
FREDERICK C. WAITE TELLS WHY
THE DEMOCRATS LOST.


The Stsy.at Home Vote Did It-Cs cles of
Democratic Defeat-Populism VIII
Throw tho Election OF President IN 1899
Into the House.
WAsIIINGTON, ID. g., Nov. 2l.-
Frederick &. Waite, who did a great
deal OF expert estimating Tor Superin-
ten 'ent Porter in the census office, said
some notable things this evening in his
lecture at the Columbian University.
Prof, A. Il. Craven IN Introducing him
said: 1--WE have with us this evening
q rising stntistiCian whose remarkable
insight into figures enabled him twelve
months ago to point out in his lectures
at Johns Hopkins University that the
forces which produce commercial crisis
were at food tide. Had the bankers
been as eXpectant of disaster, they
would have maintained their reserves
and thus STAYED on the blunt Of the cri.
sis.
''Mr. Waite, who is making an elab.
crate investigation of the cause of dis
content in this country for his Lectures
at Johns Hopkins, and who says only
what he can prove, will now address
us upon the lessons to be drawn from
the election. AS the election is the KEY
board by which the citizens CT q CONT
nent express and record their wishes
their hopes aud their dlscontents, the
scientific study of election statistics in
such hands ts emlnently fitting in q
practical course Of economics like ours"
Mr. Waite said: Another "tldal
wave" Of dlsapproval has been recorded
at the polls. Let us analyze the re-
turns IN the light of sixty years OF elec.
ton statistics. FROM my statistical
chart, "comparing the political complex.
ion of elections for t. epty years with
those of forty years previous" you will
see that during the last twenty years
aud also the twenty years ending aith
he breaking up OF the Whig party, the
d. moe ats carried every alternate Pres
iJenlial election and yet were always
deteated AT the intervening Presidential
election.
TO the Democrats 1886 and '76
brought victories at the pol s; 40 and
| 80 q, leafs; '44 and 'S4 victories; '48 aud
SO d fats; '52 aud '92 victories. More.
over, YOU 20 ice That durlUg both pc =
rluds the Democrats carried every off
Congress lonal clcciicu, except the one
during tie M, Xicau war.
a year ago, IN lecture at Johns
| l"pK'us University, having thus pOmt-
"a ou~ i'll de- al that the election pet,
| 'un sAluyS tnc mani e Cf supremacy
from party TO party with ma'hema .icai
T. gualllY whenever there is no great
lesu" bc'wcel the political parties,
said: "Thcre Is nothing eurprisiug TO
| The stni's Ic'an in the Cleveland vote.
The Il pa lican farmers have not be-
come D"mCcrats." THIS year | add,
INST the Dcm' Eats have Dot voted the
Republican ticket, but have merely al
lowed the cltcliOn 10 20 by def ,uit.
S'ucc the R,.uubllCan vote FIR Uarri-
son IN 1888 q talGd q larger per cent OF
The lO'al nuNDer Of legal voters in New
Y Oh than the greatest Democratic vote
ever p"llch, it Is inir 30 assume that the
voters not anillatiug with the lesser
parties one halt are Republicans aud
| the Olher half are Democrats. There
| tore by sublraCing from the Rcpu pican
hall the Republican vote in 1898. and
from the Democratic half the Dcmo.
clatic vote, we find that 10000 Repub-
licans aud 100000 Democrats did not
their own party ticket with the eXcep-
ton OF say, 5000 Democrats.
Mr.. Dcpew, however, claims that
100000 Democrats voted The EepubIi-
can Ilcket. II so, by deducting that
l5O 600 Democrats from the 2I5,000
Democrats VIII did not vote the Demo.
cratic ticket, we have left $4,000, tho
number who didn't vote atall. TIE total
number not voting was 400, 900. Sub
lractine the $4,000 Democrats we have
left 335, 900. the number OF Republicans
not voting.
Hence it 10 in order for Mr.. Depew TO
explain why he thinks that 335 600 Re-
publlcans deemed their ticket unworthy
or being voted, while all bat G5, 900 Of
the Democrats marched in solid col
umns to the polls.
To show that the Republican farmer
old not vote for Cleveland | analyzcd
the election returns, town by town,
throughout the rural districts of New
1ork, and discovered that the rural vote
tor Cleveland was even less in 1892
than in 1888 IN every agricultural county
OF the Empire State. SO great was the
decrease, that 1t more. than offset the
Cleveland gains In New York CITY.
Buffalo and the cities Of the interior.
In Ohio it was just the same. Cleve
lands vote was less in 1892 tn IN in 1883
IN the rural townships Of all the agr
cultural counties.
Hence .ne only reasonable conclusion
is that last year the dissatisfied Republi.
can farmers, and this year these and
other dIss!tl fled Republicans and dis.
contenLed Democratic lpborers by the
| hurdlcd Of thousands, have jolued the
stay.at'home Voies. Last year the
Stay-at.homc vote in Pennsy ylvania num-
bcred 270 900, this year $50 900, in New
York 100000 last year, This year 400.
600; in Virginia last year Is 900, this
year $50 600; in Chicago 5000 last
year, tE's var 100000; 10 Nebraska no..
600 III 1888, this year 10000. 1t
me 0taY.at home party which has made
such phenomenal gains, while without
an important exec pLiOu in any SAFE
"h'cN has had an election, there bus
btrn decrease III the vote OF the r..
publican, Democratic and all other par.