The morning news. [volume] (Savannah, Ga.) 1887-1900, 1893-05-21
No INCREASE EXPECTED.
Talmage'S Sons Probably Mistaken
in Their Rice Crop Estimate.

The Brokers Here Inclined to Look for
Smaller Acreage and a 1OPer Cent.
increase in Georgia is Anticipated.
Little Credence Given to the CircuIar
Making a 100000 Bushel Esti-
rnate-The Conditions inPLouisiana
Seem Against the Increase and Re
ports From That State Do Not Indi-
cate 1.-THE Circular Thought to be a
Rear Movement.
The rice brokers here who keep posted
m the situation are very much at vari-
ance with the estimate of Dan Talmage's
Sons of New York, who put the crop of
next season at 10000, 600 bushels.
In the first place the circulars of that
firm have not the widest reputation for
reliability, but have been questioned and
corrected on more than one occasion. This
was so in their estimate of the amount of
fine Louisiana crop unmarketed at New
Orleans made some weeks ago, in which
thew stated that it amounted to 96,O00,OO0
nounds. This brought out a circular from
the Consolidated Rice Company of New
Orleans. which was headed tThe Rice
Controversy" The estimate of that com
many was 58,212,OOO pounds unmarketed
rice, while the figures taken from the
official report of the New Orleans Board
of Trade showed only Sc, sos, 112 pounds
The impression among rice men is that
Talmage's Sons circulars are rather in
dicative of the turn they desire the mar
ket to take than of the real facts of the
situation. Their recent circular predict
ing crop of 10000, 900 bushels would,
therefore, Indicate that they are trying to
bear the market.
The crop of last. season WIS but little
over 100000 bushels, all told. This crop
was larger than that of the year before.
New lands were planted in Louisiana,
causing an increase of the acreage about
% per cent. 1t is well known that these
lands-and they will have to be used again
largely-will not produce the crop they
did last year on account of the fact that
the soil has been largely depleted of the
clement taken up by rice.
25 PER CENT. LESS ACREAGE.
Then, too, the crop planted so far is in
this section % per cent. less than it was
last year at this time, and Talmage's
Sons state in their circular that but little
over half the crop is in the ground in
louisiana.
A great deal, of course is looked for in
the June crop, and in this section that adj
ditional % per cent. may all be put in the
ground. The June crop may increase
the Louisiana acreage even beyond what
it was last year, but estimates received
from there state that while a larger
acreage is expected, it is thought that the
yield will be much smaller than that of
last year on account of the fact that the
season just past was phenomenal one in
the way of good rice growing weather.
Such a season is not expected again
soon. Based on these facts which
have been contributed to the brokers
by the planters from every section it is
estimated that the crop this year cannot
possibly go over what it did last year,
which was in the neighborhood of $780,
600 bushels.
Mr.. John Screven, Jr., who receives adj
vices from every section, says it is eSti-
mated, although there is a possibility for
a larger acreage in Louisiana, that the
crop there will be 200 900 sacks or SOC, 900
bushels short of what it was last year.
DON'T AGREE WITH TALMAGE.
Mr.. Screven says that the Talmage
estimate for Georgia is very far wrong.
He gathers from the adVices received from
the rice growing portions of the state that
the crop will be aDout 10 per cent. short of
what it was last year. A number of
plantations, he says, are not being worked
at all, and while so per cent. of The aver
age crop may have been planted the June
crop, he says, is rarely over 10 per cent
of the whole and generally less.
Last years crop reached something
over 6,500000 bushels for Louisiana, and
that of the Atlantic coast states about
100000 bushels. 1t seems to be the
opinion that the circular of Talmage's
Sons. Wh1gp additional y S(0 O0O
on the crop for next year, is made for the
OUrDOSp of baa7siDcr III a ,,,a7.l-o+