Fort Worth gazette. [volume] (Fort Worth, Tex.) 1891-1898, 1893-10-18
100000 BALES.
NErL1's ESTIMATE or THE cRoP
or 1so3-o4.
Comparison orthe Yield With That
orLast Year-Rapid Maturity, Due
to Dry Weather.

NEW ORLEANS, Ia. Oct. IL
The long-looked for cotton crop esti-
mates Of Henry NJ Neil was giyea To
the press this afternoon. il predicts
minimum crop VI lsJ3-94 Of 100000
bales. In explanation Of his figures
Neil says:
The past crop was such 4 total fall
ure toutside Of Texas it seemed very
unlikely planters would ind it in their
power TO much increase the acreage.
while now there j. consensus Of opin-
lou that the acreage planted this year
VIII exceed that OF last year on an Az
rrage by about I pr cent IN the Atlantic
states ind Texas aud . per cent In tie
Gulf states. 20 al average Increase vi o
DER cent for The whole country.
As the actual grpwih last year tin
elusive of old epttunl was G.4jO,UoU
haleS, adding q pet cent for acreage,
would give us a clpp vi 6,SJu,ulJ even
oh a production per acre 10 better than
last years. While the crop aid not
make carly or have u very promising
start, yet a favorable July aud August
gave a very heavy irtlltage, Wiiica. from
not and forcing weather, with intervals
Of ruin. has come rapidly 10 maturity.
Tie plant is not large. but - well
iruited there IL already more cotton ma
iured aili open than last years whole
crvp amounted TO- There has been some
Development Of ~ crops since September
returns, which may give 4 small add
non II frost b. delayed. From this.
howcyer. outside Of Texas not much need
be expected. Us except IN Texas. II is
quite unusuA, for September blooms TO
mature. For above reasons | ain able
az this early date - formulate IN esti-
mate, with 4 proNso, however, that
while little hecd be feared from frost.
most Of he crop being mltur,d and Il
lhif crop already certain. there j. in
Texas lns well as eisewlercl u new de
Nel0pinant -iucc the rains OF thr 18th
aud 9th Of September, Which promises.
u frost be delayed even to the ioih Of
November. 10 add materially 10 her crup.
IN consequence Of this rain / now esti-
mate that SKATE at l.gUOOGU bl.es.
a7unst a growth Of 2.OJp.VOO last year.
nithough the acreage is per cent
greater, indicating a reduced produce
ger acre Of u per cent. But II the
weather continues favorable and frost
he delayed another month, her crops may
be mucn more
No one familiar with the calamity
which strucs the crop outside Of Texas
can imagine there is any similarity what
none.
IN spots, no doubt, worms. drouth or
rust or all three, have done d great
deal Of harm. No crop ever escaped en-.
ure!y, aud locking back no further than
lsJl-92. the nine million crop, the disas-
'ers 80 called, OF August and September
81 that year were reported very much as
this. Tie fact is. just as after the two
enormous crops NJ lSbO-9l and 1918
zach nearly 9,QOu,Otu IL seemed impOs.
slble 10 fall down TO $500. 400 last year.
50 now, after 100000, Il is equally diff
hcult 10 realize the possibility Of large
crop. i make no pretcuse that this crop
viii be anything Ike those crops. either
iu acreage og Production for chat would
mean about S.jUl,O0O on the present acre.
age. But do say, excepting Texas, where
conditions hHi not unti September been
favorable. the crop Is vastly better than
the calnmituus results Of last year.
In the Atlantic states, the improved
production, due 90 better weather and
largely increased use of fertilizers, ! cs-
Innate At 70 per cent In the gulf states
including Texas, the crop Of last year GER
lululy was the worst ever known and
far below the crop which for years has
been looked back To as synonym n dis
astcr. Compared TO last year therefore
look for an increase Ia production per
acrc In those states averaging % per
ccUU'
In reference TO details by states, Ncill
sly-;
while there may be some dispute
as to individual Estates ] am well satisfied
that for totals the figure OF 100000
may be taken as u minimum, with posi-
bly, considerably morc ii the present
splendid weather continues. The frosts
reported yesterday and today have done
little injury, owing TO dryncss OF the
weather and the crop being mainly ma