The National tribune., 1892-10-27
POLITICAL.
Notes Relative to the Presidential and State
Campaigns.

Notes Relative to the Presidential and State
Campaigns.
The apathy in New York State is now fast
disappearing The registration returns indi-
cafe heavy vote. So far as the Repu blicans
are concerned, their leaders declare the outlook
is much brighter. At Republican headquarters
it is claimed that reports from the country
have practically dispelled the fear of losing the
electoral vote of any State in the North which
Harrison carried in 1888. The Democrats are
making strong claims for Nebraska, where the
combination of Democrats and Weaverites is
making a determined fight, and some Republic
can leaders fear the loss Of the Legislature and
a United States Senator. But the combination
is believed to be losing ground. As for the
protection issue here. however, any one can see
that the destruction of the wooi-growing in
dnstry would mean enormous loss to the State
in two ways, for much of the corn that is raised
goes to feed the sheep that grow the wool.
Nevada, with its three electoral votes. is
claimed by the Weaverites. without the ben
efits of protective tariff. Nevada would be OF
even less Importance than she is now. Colo
RADIO is also claimed BY the Weaver men. 1t
was Colorado men who demanded the duty on
the Mexican silver ores which the Democratic
House sought this year to remove.
Montana is declared to be safely Republican,
as are Idaho, and Wyoming. and the Pacific
the Dakotas. and the Republican Committee is
very hopeful. In spite of the fusion between
tie Democrats and Weaverites in Minnesota,
the Repu bicans hope TO easily carry the State.
Very encouraging letters have come to the
Republican Committee about Wisconsin, aud
that State is considered out of the doubtful
column. 1t is expected that Iowa will go Re-
publican By Is 600 majority.
Even such au enthusiastic Democrat as Mr..
Whitney says that he does not count on Kan
sas. Michigan is conceded to the Republicans
OH the aggregate vote. About Illinois there is
not the least doubt, among the campaign lead
ers, of large Republican majority.
Indiana is doubtful State just at present.
The illness of Mrs. Harrison and the Presi-
| dents inability TO give any attention to that
State. In which lie managed the campaigns SO
many years. has been something of a loss to the
Republicans. 1t is believed that the fight will
be close one. There are chances strongly IA
yoring the Republicans, and those chances are
/ just as good now as they were in 1888.
The Democrats claim nearly everything 10
the South, but the Republicans expect to carry
West Virginia and Delaware. The Democrats
admit North Carolina to be in doubt, and they
! fear the result in Tennessee and Alabama. New
| Jersey is doubtful to both parties, The Repub-
| licans claim Connecticut and the Democrats
admit it to be in doubt. The Democrats con-
| eede all of New England with this one excep-
! ton.
The Republican leaders seem to take good
/ deal Of comfort out OF the registration in New
/ York. 1t would seem TO be favorable to the
| Republicans. In the country it is large, and in
the Democratic cities it is small The Repub-
| licaus who come out only III Presidential years
! are registering.
Mr.. Dickson, Chairman of the Democratic
| Campaign Committee, the other day said in an
! interview: / believe a great political move
| ant &c an Tha rafi an
shows that. j think, of course, that it is to be
! an uprising in favor of Cleveland, but whether
or not l am right in that judgment am salts
| fed that the election is going to be an unmis-
taxable and decisive judgment either for or
against US, and that the doubtful States will all
| be swept one way or the other"
1t will take 223 votes to make majority in
the Electoral College. The States which seem
reasonably sure for the Democrats, according
| to experience, are: Alabama, IL; Arkansas, 8;
Florida, A Georgia, ID; Kentucky, 10; Louis
lana, 6; Maryland, 6; Michigan (part), 4;
/ Mississippi, 8; Missouri, II; New Jersey, 10 ;
North Carolina, II; South Carolina, 8; Ten
nessee, II; Texas, Isl Virginia, IL. Total,
1914
The Republican States arc: California, 8;
Idaho, 3; Illinois "a; Iowa, ID; Kansas, 10;
| Maine, g; Massachusetts,, Is; Michigan, 10;
Minnesota, 8; Montana, B; Nebraska, 6; New
Hampshire 4 North Dakota 8; Ohio %
Oregon, 4 Pennsylvania, 81; Rhode Island
A; South Dakota, q; Vermont, 4; Washing
ton, 4; Wisconsin, ~; Wyoming. 3. Total
207.
This leaves in the doubtful column: Con
necticut, 6; Colorado, A ; Delaware, 81 Nevada
3; New York, SO; Indiana, 10; West Virginia
g. Total 70.
The Republicans will need l6 votes under
that calculation. Connecticut, West Virginia
and Colorado would furnish them. New York
would do il alone, and allow the loss of one oil
two Western States. Indiana and any one o.
the doubtful States would do il. There arr
various combinations that might make iht
deficiency. If it be said that some of the States
put down for the Republicans are doubtful til,
same thing can be as truly said of the Demo
cratic column. But the Democrats need 5!
votes TO elect their candidates in the Electora
College. New York and Indiana would not d,
it. They must needs carry at least four of th,
States put in the doubtful column, includin,
New York and Indiana. 1t is clear that the,
, have good deal to accomplish if they cleo
Cleveland.
Heroes who have led the Union armies 10 vic