The times. [volume] (Richmond, Va.) 1890-1903, 1892-11-06
The BATTLE OF THE BALLOTS
NOn-PaTiSan Political Forecasts Favor
able to The Democracy.
CLAIMS OF BOTH OF The Parties.
The Herald's "told BIooded" Review
in Indians lash of Authority.

New York Herald's review Of the poll
toal situation, which will appear to-mor-
row morning. says as follows:
"a cold-blooded summary Of the Her
AIDS non-partisan canvass throughout the
United States favors Mr.. Cleveland. New
York is emphaucally Democratic State.
Indiana. while not so distinctly indicated
I'm the canvass. seems TO lean toward
MIR. Cleveland. Connecticut is in doubt,
but Mr.. Harrity's special correspondent
regards the State as a hard field for the
Republican managers. There has been
nothing revealed so far 20 indicate that
the solid south has been broken, with
"A single exception Of West Virginia, whose
six electoral votes hang uncertainty, the
probabilities being Democratic
The Herald then proceeds TO analyZe
the Republican hope OF electing Harrl-
son in New York. which the Republican
managers substantially abandoned, and
says.
"Whue it is true that the solid South
remains practically intact. 1t is not true
that the Northwest appears 10 be solidly
for Mr.. Harrison" II discovers "a seri-
Gus rift I'm the ranks of the German Re
publicans." and concludes that New
York is Democratic, Indiana probably
Democratic. the burden Of the fighting
IS on the Republicans in Connecticut.
Kansas. Idaho Nevada and Michigan
also are lost 20 the Republicans, while
Wisconsin. Montana. oregon and Iowa
are distinctly i'm doubt" on political
gains and losses IL summarizes:
In a nutshell Mr.. Cleveland has gained
thirty-six votes over his score in 1883,
and the only points where he is threatened
with a loss are in West Virginia and
Connecticut which east only ten electoral
Votcs'
The PeopIe's party win take many more
electoral votes away from Mr. Harrison
than he viii gain in the new states.
The review concludes with the publication
of an autograph letter from Governor
Flower. which says.
II retain the conviction which I eX-
pressed scme weeks ago that New ork
state will give a plurality of fifty thou
sand for the Democratic electors.
To this summary OF the situation there
f. 10 be added the following expressions
Of Democratic opinion regarding the state
OF Indiana which corroborate the view
Of Governor Gray telegraphed night be-
fore last Mr. Sheerin wired from In
dianapolis this morning
situation entirely satisfactory. Enemy
supplied with abundant money but our
line will Withstand their best efforts
Secretary Lewis Jordan telegraphs:
The invasion Of Lincoln, Wanamaker
and other Republican speakers this week
IS dismal failure. while all our meet
ircs are attended by thousands our peo-
pie are jubilani and success certain.
Colonel Richard Bright, the veteran
political observer compares the situation
10 that preceding the election Of Pierce
{u le52 and says that at no time dur
fng forty years has he seen similar evil
dencos of sweeping Democratic victory.
From tho Republican side come the evil
donce Of Senator Mcmillan that Harrl-
son can have only nine electoral votes IN
Michigan. and of Spaulding, the Repubh-
can chairman Of North Dakota, who con-
fesses that he entertains only feeble
hope Of saving that state. and like eX-
pressions from Republican leaders at
distant points, while in New York the
chiefs of that party personally admit
that they entertain only feeble eXpecta-
tions Of pulling their ticket through.
Evidences received by the Democratic
national committee and very careful
summary Of the canvass OF the entire
State of Connecticut renders It certain
that that State Win give TO the Cleveland
and Stevenson electors not less than III
teen hundred plurality.
Hugh a.. Wallace. the member Of the
Democratic national committee for the
State of Washington. SAYS that the re-
ports from the far West are more en-
touraeing every day. and at this moment
there seems 10 be absolutely no DOUBT
that Harrison viii lose majority CT the
Statos west Of the Missouri river OF
which ne HAS special charge at Demo
cratic headquarters Mr.. Wallace has IN
formation that the Republicans are des-
i'm q o.. gloomy
they are receiving from the far West,
ana that they have sent large sums OF
money Co Kansas. Nebraska, Colorado,
Wyoming ana the two DakOtas. 1t IS
believed that money Will not turn the
tide in these states and that Weaver Will
get from fifteen to twenty-five votes.
The Republic are concentrating all or
their efforts i'm the South in West Nir-
ginia Delaware and Alabama. There is
absolute confidence on the part OF all
the leaders that Mr.. Cleveland will carry
New York. New Jersey, Indiana and five
votes from Michigan, with every reason
e. believe that he viii carry Connecticut
and Wisconsin.
With splendid weather, unsurpassed en-
thusiasm, the Democratic merchants
parade. which closed the active cam
paign here to-day. was success exceed
ing expectation and precedent. The pro-
rity. Chairman Dickinson and the mem
bcrs Cf the Democratic national COM
mittee from the balcony at national head
quarters. where they received "A tremen-
dous ovation from the marching thou
sands.
Ii is noted as a very significant fact that
for the INST tine in political history since
The origin of the Republican party, the
Republicans have failed to have any
Il in
year
'rhe literary bureau OF the Democratic
national committee. of which Mr. Josiah
Quincy is chairman. has had an expert
political statistician engaged Tor some
time in making a careful computation
OF the probable vote of New York state.
The calculation has been made IN as
scientific amer q possible, and is based
upon the registration figures OF the pre-
sent year. upon the percentage Of the
total vote which The Democratic uchet
will receive as shown by the experience
Of past elections
The result arrived at in no way dis
credits claims OF the best posted Demo-
cratic politicians In the State that there
are peculiarly favorable elements in the
situation this year. which will cause both
the city Of New York and the balance
Of tie State 10 give considerably larger
Democratic 'pluralties than those indi-
catCd. But the Democratic managers are
gratiled 10 find that without making any
allegiance for such special influences
the State has been made safely Demo-
cratic upon the cold. hard figures
the calculation cbnciusiVeiy shows n
minimum Democratic plurality of about
1900 in the State. Cleveland will receive
on this computation minimum plurality
of about 81 600 I'm New York city n 500 in