The Indianapolis journal. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1867-1904, 1892-11-01
CLAIMS OF THE PARTIES.

New Yorks Registration Figures Analysed
by Republicans aud Democrats.
NEW YORK, Oct. 31.-Now that registra-
tion for this State has been completed,
Democrats and Republicans are busy fig
uring out their chances of victory or de-
feat. The Republican view may be shown
by. the following, taken from the Tribune:
The regis tration in this city and throughout
the State was completed on Saturday. IL is re-
garded by Republican leaders with complacent
satisfaction. A careful examination of the
turns not only from New York. Kings county
and the neighboorhood of the city, hut from the
smaller cities of the state ana from the rural
districts, SO far as heard from, which was made
yesterday at Republican State headquarters as
sured Chairman Hackett and his associates in
campaign work that the Republicans are certain
of carrying the State for Harrison and Reid.
The State of New York can be lost TO the Repub-
licans only by the occurrence OF an unforeseen
contingency. and this is by no means likely In a
canvass like this.
The registration in this city is looked upon as
significantly favorable to the Republicans. The
Democrats have all along predicted a big regis
tration OF anywhere from $4,000 to 100000
(the latter was Mr. Croker's ngurel upon which
they could predict e plurality for Mr.. Cleveland
OF 1000 TO $4,000. The normal increase would
have brought IL 800. 900. but the actual regis
tration is 309.s33, q heavy drop I'm the Demo
cratic prophecies. The fall 0ff from regstrated
voters on election day may be estimated at per
cent. which would be 81 1888 and leave 2SS, 900
In round nu nbers for the poled vote of the city.
Estimating the number OF ballots which will he
cast for the Prohibtionists. Socialists and Peo-
pies party, and the defective ballots at 5000,
this will leave 10000 votes 10 be divided be-
tween Harrison and Cleveland. Four years ago
General Harrison received lo6.923 and Mr..
Cleveland had.lG2 ,73S. This year nobody would
put Harrison's voie below the number received
In 1883, while conservative politicians OF both
parties have figured II at 10000. At the ratio
OF increase In the Republican vote from Blaine's
vote in 1854 over Garfield in lsSO, which was
about IL per cent, Harrison will have next
month $4,000 votes. But Harrison's increase
in 1855 over Blaine in 1854 was over IL per
cent. IL this ratio is maintained al the coming
election, President Harrison's vote would be
125,000. Even at ID per cent increase over
four years ago. the vote Tor the presidential Re-
publican candidate would reach llg.5o0.
But the estimates at Republican headquarters
were placed at the lower place OF 10000 votes
for Harrison. and this would leave Cleveland
only AS, 600 majority, or Z, 600 less than he Ie-
not exceed 10000 IN New York city seems a
most reasonable conclusion. Adding $4,000 for
Kings and 1000 for the counties OF Richmond.
Queens and suffolk, will make the Democratic
majority below the Harlem river only $4,000 for
the Republicans OF the interior 10 overcome.
That they will come down To Kings with 10000
or % OOU majority for Harrison is far more like
IL than that they will bring down less than co.
900 majority. The news OF the registration
from the state at large Is highly favorable TO
heavy Republican majority, as shown by dis
patches received yesterday from various points.
The Democratic view of the situation
may be shown by the following from the
Times:
The best promise OF Democratic success In
this state is found in the registration in this city
-3O9.759. IL is about twenty-f0ur thousand
heavier than ever before. IL IL decidedly a Dem
ocratic registration-the gains arc all democrat
ic and the decreases all Republican. The
city is registered TO the fullest limit one voter
in every hye OF the population is what the Gen.
sus calls for; voter n six Is the fact in
case like this. But take IL AT one vote In five,
aud eliminate decreases, and 10 appears that the
Democratic vote must certainly be registered up
TO the full limit. In New York and Brooklyn the
registration this year il. in round numbers, about
fifty thousand more than it was IN lsSs. More
than two thirds OF this increase concededly goes
TO the Democrats. The indications are that the
increase In the number OF enrolled voters Will OF
itself add about twenty thousand voters 10 the
Democratic plurality south OF the northern
boundary line OF this city.
The net Cleveland plurality in lsss south OF
westchester county was 7l.U53. and the most
conservative estimates that tt is possible TO
make on tile hasis furnished by the registration
figures shows that Cleveland Will not receive less
than 81 900 plurality below that same line. The
Republican boast Ia that Mr.. Harrison Will como
down 10 the northern boundary tine with his