Courier Democrat. (Langdon, N.D.) 1891-1920, 1892-04-14

lighted with the enjoyable evening.
PANsY
How 1t Looks.
In it's discussion of Topics of the
Times" the April Century has an ex-
animation of the electoral table that
has an interest for practical politicians.
Various combinations are had of the
votes IF The states which are sugges-
tive but not conclusive. The electoral
college comprises 444 votes, of which
223 must be had to elect. The problem
with the parties. then, is to add to the
states classed as sure for either party
enough of the fluctuating to reach the
223. The vote has been enlarged by
43 since 1888 by the apportionment and
admission of new states. The latter
have 20 votes, all of which are conced-
ed to the republicans except the three
from Montana. The republicans are
also given Is out of the % increase
from the apportionment. They gain
in the entire addition 80 to 10 for the
democrats, net gain of 90. On the
basis of old figures, that makes the
combinations in their favor somewhat
easier. On the basis of the elections
since 1883, the Century table gives the
republicans 1856 and the democrats 2J8
electoral votes. In this calculate ion
Massachusetts, Iowa and New York
are placed with the democrats, because
they have carried them at the two
latest elections. Indiana gave &c, 900
at the election in 1890, and is also put
on the democratic side. Michigan is
divided, four for the democrats and 10
for the republicans. This is less by
one, at least, than the democrats will
quite surely obtain. as they will have
one of the two for the state at large.
This compilation IS not, however, con-
coded by the magazine calculator to be
an index to the probable presidential
result. In getting down to the basis
of sure states he reduces the democrat
| tic column to the Southern states. New
Jersey and four from Michigan, 173 in
all, and just fifty short of the indispen-
sible 223. The republicans are given
all the other states except Massachu-
sets, Iowa, Connecticut, New York
and Indiana with 1856 votes. The com.
binations then suggested for the re.
publicans are the 1876 sure votes, and
New York and Connecticut with 40
making 22s. A second table adds tt
the 1856 Massachusetts,, Indiana anC
Iowa. with 43 votes, making 229. Ther
to the same states New York and lowe
with 40 votes, would give 235. New
York alone added to the 1856 makes
just 222, or tie, with no election. In
all the combinations Montana is given
to the republicans, with 10 votes from
Michigan. The compilations on the
| democratic side involve much less
strain upon the probabilities than the
republican ones. AS mentioned, the
sure democratic vote comprises the 159
from the South, 10 from New JERSEY
and from Michigan, l73 in all. Ad-
ding to these New York and either
Indiana Oh Massachusetts, and the
total is 224. Another table adds to the
l73, New York, Iowa and Connecticut,
making 22s, or five more than major
ity. A combination giving New York
to the republicans swells the 17S with
Massachusetts, Indiana, Iowa and Con-
necticut, and makes 222 with no choice.
This would meet the needs of the dem
ocrats, as it would throw the election
into the house. Indiana and Connec-
ticut are pretty fair reliance in such
case, but the late voting in Rhode
Island is not very encouraging for it's
close neighbor that has always been a
republican bulwark. Iowa is extremely
hopeful, but it is not quite reliance
as yet. The lesson drawn by the Gem
fury from the review is that New York
cannot be left out of the democratic
table without making the task for the
party arithmetic man exceedingly diff
cult, and that the four votes the demo-
Gratis count on in Michigan may decide
the election. This is an Eastern view,
and does not afford q satisfactory anal
ysis Of the Western situation; but it
may be conceded that New York is