The morning call., 1892-07-09
The Liberal Leaders Disappointed at
the Elections.
TORIES APPARENTLY III TIE MAJORITY.
the Irish Factions Hold The Balance Of Power.
The Poor Prospects for Home
Rule.
Special to THE MORNING CALI.

LONDON, July S--Out of "a county con-
stitueDeies contested yesterday the Liberals
lost and won 2. These results dispose of
the last possibility that Gladstone will OBJ
tain reliable working majority. AS the
elections held yesterday are fairly repre-
sentative, no great Liberal triumph can he
expected from the county vote when COM
pleted, and the last hope fades that the
Gladstone Government will be buttressed
by strong coherent party. On the con-
trary. the Liberal majority mast now de-
pend on the Irish party. Even with the
support of both the Irish factions 1t is
improbable that Gladstone will have more
than a majority of 80.
Among the certainties of the future
nothing is so certain as long period of
political turmoil.
Gladstone, with a email majority CON-
posed Of motley groups of Liberals, Radi-
Gals. LabOrites, McCarthyites and Parnell-
ties, viii be unable TO effect any serious
legislation. This self-eyident fact has given
Tise 10 Tumor that he will decline TO form
Ministry and will recommend Earl Spen-
Ger for the purpose. Tue Liberals rightly
rIdicnle the rumor. They know that their
chief, even with jJrity Of 20. is ready to
take Office and produce his home Iuie bill.
They are also beginning TO admit that the
chances Of home rule passing the House
are becoming remote. II it does pass no
strain viii be put upon the Lords in reject
ing IL. The peril to the Lords lay in veto
Ing home rule as backed by the decided will
Of the country. They can reject itnOW with
a light heart
Difficulties OF the Liberals.
Among the other difficulties awaiting the
Liberal Government is the formation of the
Labor party, which is not caring a rap for
home rule, and is ready to coalesce with
any party. Already Burns and Hardie, the
strongest representatives Of the labOrers,
declare their intention TO form a party in
Parliament and make terms for their sup
port In addition, the new London men,
bers are determined TO form a municipal
socialist group bent solely on procuring So
cisl reform. Thus the opponents of Glad
stone hope that his home-rule scheme will
be failure.
With regard to the new Cabinet leading
Treasury official told representative of the
Associated Press to-day that he had OBJ
tained the information that Henry Fowler
VIII be Chancellor of the EXchequer and Sir
William HaTcourt First Lord of the Treas
ary and leader of the House. This arrange
nent contains the startling implication that
Gladstone viii either retire TO the Lords or
take the lghtest part in the Government,
the Vice Presidency Of the Council The
GladstOnian followers rdicule the notion of
MS accepting peerage, and believe he will
remain IN the Commons aud fight the home
Fule through.
Regarding home rule, the Associated
Press has the authority 10 state that Glad
stone referred, when speaking Of the ad-
Justment OF the pecuniary burdens Of Ire
land, TO the proposals relating to an ar
Tangement between the imperial and Irish
excheQuerS and the proportion of the
national debt assigned 10 Ireland. In the
1856 bill this was calculated at one-ifleenth,
based np0n the estimates Of taxation of
ratahle values, etc. This was found to be
over the estimate, and q financial inquiry
has long engaged Gladstone'S attention,
and IN II he was assisted by Goschen. This
inquiry tends 10 show that the apportion-
nent should be one twenty-second part of
the debt
The strain of the Midlothian campaign is
Dot affecting the vigOr Of Gladstone, who
Is fevoting his leisure time TO research for
the coming Oxford lecture on medieval
universities. After the elections Gladstone
will go TO Paris for few days search for
material concerning the French portion of
the subject II Morley becomes Minister
bis opponents at Newcastle mean to NOM
mate Joseph Cowan against him. Cowan
Is Immensely popular and might oust
Morley
The Indian Government does not desire
the appointment of Sir David Barbour as
delegate to the international silver con-
ference.