The comet. (Johnson City, Tenn.) 1884-1916, 1892-06-30
Figuring On The Fight,
. The Memphis Scimitar Shows
How the Democrats
Can Win.
If Either of Its Two Estimates, As
Given Below, are Correct.

There are probably about 1866, ,422
citizens IN these United States who
put in part OF their spare time cast
ing horoscopes on the coming Presi-
dental election, and something like
1866, ,422 are calling fats and figures
to their aid in preparing their respect
i've prophecies.
1t is astonishing how many contra
dictory results may be produced from
a fair amount of TACT, reinforced by a
few columns Of political statistics.
The Democrat can show you beyond
the possibility of u reasonable doubt
that Cleveland and Stevenson have
what the sporting element call cinch
and IL is just as easy for the Republi-
can to demonstrate the certainty oil
success for Harrison and Reid. All
depends on the inference drawn from
the signs of the times in connection
with the record OF the past.
The Democrat reads disaster for the
Republicans in the resentment oi
Blaine's defeat by his partisans, the
repugnance of the country to the force
bill idea, the growth Of tariff reform
sentiment, and the reported detection
of the mining States of the West and
the Pacific Slope on the silver coinage
issue.
The Republican reads defeat for the
Democracy in the disaffection OF Tam
many in New York, the threatened de
sertion Of the two Virginias and South
Carolina from the solid Southern line
Through the influence OF the Farmers
Alliance, the power Of the Grand Army
of the Republic exerted to secure more
pensions, and the apprehensions ex
cited in manufacturing and mining
centres by the tariff for revenue only
plank in the Democratic platform.
So the citizen who does not care t.
figure for himself can read the conclu
sions of others and take his choice |
is for the information OF non-fgurin
ten millions that the Scimitar furnish
es what follows.
The president is to be elected by
majority of 444 electoral votes OF tn
A States. Hence it requires 223 vote
to elect and in case. no candidate rt
ceives so many the president will b
chosen by a majority of the House
Representatives. This body is heav
ly Democratic, and should the State
fail to return a majority for any OF tn
tickets in the field, it will, OF cours
elect Cleveland and Stevenson.
The votes in the electoral college al
distributed among the States as TO
lows;
Eastern States - Maine 6, Me-
Hampshire 4, Vermont 4, Massach h
setts 10, Rhode Island 4, ConnecticI
6. Total 80.
Middle States-New York sc, Ne
Jersey 10, PENNSYLVANIA 80, Delewa
3. Total 81.
Southern States-Maryland s, VI
ginia 12, West Virginia 6, North Car
lima 12, South Carolina 8, Georgia 1
Florida 4, Alabama II, Mississippi
Louisiana s, Arkansas 8, Texas
Tennessee II, Kentucky 13, Nilsson
H. Total 156.
Western States-Colorado 4, lllint
"a, Indiana Is, Iowa Is, Kansas
Michigan IA, Minnesota 8, Montana
Nebraska s, North Dakota 8, Ohio
South Dakota 4, Wisconsin IL, Wyo
ing 8. Total 145.
Pacific Slope States-California
Idaho 3, Nevada 8, Oregon 4, Was
ington 4. Total %. Grand tot
444.
The States which the Republica
confidently count on to sustain tn
tariff policy, on account of manufa
ures, mining, lumber, wools, win
etc, are Maine, Massachusetts,, Rho
Island. Connecticut, Ohio, Pennsyl
MIA, Michigan, Wisconsin, Califor'
and West Virginia. The other Nor
ern States they expect to carry by
old-soldier.pension spoils infiuen
sectional prejudice and general CT
edness.