St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1892-11-01
The Times and Tribune Fore
cast the Results in the
Empire State.
Gotham's Registration Gives
the Best Promise of DEM
ocratic Success.
Cleveland Will Get 1000
Plurality Below Westches-
ter County.
righteousness OF the Trib-
une'S Figures Shown on
Their Face.

NEW YORK. Oct. 31.-Now that regis
ed, Democrats and Republicans are
busy figuring out their chances of vic
tory or defeat. The situation may be
shown by the following, taken from tine
Times:
"The best promise of Democratic sue
cess in this state is found by the regis
tration in this city. 1t is about $4,000
heavier than ever before. 1t is decid
edly Democratic registration. All the
Democratic managers are sincerely sat
ished with it. They know what it
means, because they know how the reg
istration was worked for by the Demo
Gratis, and that it is fully up to their
private estimates of what it should be.
Barring some of the so-called Repub-
lican districts, the Democrats have
registered full vote. 1t appears that
the Democratic/vote must certainly be
registered up to the full limit. The Re-
publican reserve vote has not come out.
The Republican managers know it, and
they are sQurming around for fake"
explanations of the registration that will
encourage Republican workers III the
states that are doubtful.
CleveIaud,s Plurality.
1.-The net Cleveland plurality in 1888
south of Westminster county was l,Oo3,
and the most conservative estimates
that 1t is possible to make on the basis
furnished bv the registration figures
shows that Cleveland will not receive
less than $1,000 plurality below that
same line. The best Republican boast
is that Mr.. Harrison will come down to
the boundary line with his plurality of
1888, which was $1,000.
The Republican jig is up in this
state!
The New York registration shows
that
The apportionment has rendered it
impossible to make an analytical COM
parison of the registration this year by
districts. New York has thirty assem-
bly, districts. In 1888, and last year, for
that matter, there were but twenty-fonr.
The election districts are not the same,
and all even comparison made OH the
basis of the election districts would be
of no value. But the Twenty-ninth and
Thirtieth assembly districts comprise
exactly the same territory as was COM
prsed last presidential year in the old
Twenty-fourth assembly district. In
1883 the registration in this territory
was 1888. This year tits 17,74S. gain
of i ,435 in territory that is Overwhelm-
ingly Democratic. and which gave Mr..
Flower plurality OF 3.U06 votes last
year in the gubernatOrial contest. The
great Democratic vote comes largely
from the districts that are on the river,
and in these districts the increases have
been large, but they are Democratic"
The Republican View
CHI Ia, hn fol fol
from the Tribune:
1.-The registration in this city and
throughout the state was completed
Saturday. 1t is regarded by the RepuD-
lican leaders with complete satisfaction.
A careful examination of the returns,
not only from New York, Kings county
and the neighborhood of the city, but
from the smaller cities of the state and
from the rural districts, so far as heard
from, which was made yesterday at Re-
publican headquarters, assured Chair
man Hackett and his associates in CAM
paign work that the Republicans are
certain of carrying the state for Harrl-
son and Reid. The state of New York
can be lost to the Republicans only by
the occurrence of an unforeseen contln-
gency, and this is by no means likely In
q canvass like this. The registration in
this city is favorable to the Republic
ans. The Democrats have all along
predicted a plurality for Mr.. Cleveland.
1.-The fall-otf from the registered vote
on election day mag be estimated at
per cent, which would be 1858, and
leave 1884, in round numbers for the
polled vote of the city. Estimating the
number Of ballots which will be cast
for the Prohibitionists, Socialists and
Peoples party at 5000, this will leave
100000
Votes to BE Divided
between Harrison and Cleveland. Four
years ago Gen. Harrison received 105.-
1872 and Clege'and 1872, 762. This year
nobody would put HarrisOn's below the
number received IN 1888, while con-
servative politicians of both parties
have figured at 10000. At the ratio of
increase in the Republican vote from
Blaine's vote H. 1854 over Garfield in
1880, which was about II per cent, Har-
riSon will have next month $4,000
votes.
s'But the estimates at Republican
headquarters were placed at the lower
figure of 1l6, 600 votes for Harrison, and
this would leave Cleveland plurality
of $4,000, or 1000 less than he received
four years ago; that his majority will
not exceed $4,000 in New York city
seems a most reasonable conclusion.
Adding $4,000 for Kings and 1000 for
the counties of Richmond, Queens and
Suffolk will make the Democratic ma
jority only $4,000 for the Republicans
of the interior 10 overcome. That they
will come down to Kings with 10000 or
%, 1000 majority for Harrison is far more
likely than that they will bring down
less than 10000 majority. The news OF
the registration from the state at large
is highly favorable to heavy Repub-
lican majority, as will be seen from the
disDatches received Yesterday from