Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1892-07-09
NOT A WORKING MAJORITY.

Z. L. r. Il n. ".
10 once rom .. m. TO Q pm. no17
NOT A WORKING MAJORITY.
The English Liberals Must Depend Upon
the Irish Vote In Parliament.
A dispatch received last night and copyrighted
by the New York Associated Press says:
Out OF the twenty-four county constituencies
contested yesterday the liberals lost two and
won two. These results dispose Of the last pos
sibili.y that Mr.. Gladstone will obtain reliable
working majority.
Though disappointed in the burghs,' said
the liberal chief, "when the counties wheel into
line we will sweep the country"
As the elections held yesterday are fairly rep
! resentatiye, no great liberal triumph can be ex-
pected from the county votes when completed.
The liberal executive relied upon capturing ten
counties in the voting yesterday. They admit
ted that their calculations must be realized in
order to fulfill their expectation that the agri-
cultural labor vote was theirs. With their pre-
diction falsified the last hope fades that the
Gladstone government will be buttressed by q
strong coherent party. On the contrary, the
liberal majority must now depend on the Irish
party. Even with the support OF both the Irish
sections it is improbable that Mr.. Gladstone
will have more than majority Of fifty.
THE CONSERVATIVE ESTIMATE.
At conservative headquarters majority Of
more than twenty is held to be improbable.
Capt. Middleton. who occupies in the CONSERVE
tive party position similar to that held by Mr..
Schnadhorst in the liberal party, can point to
his estimate made prior to the elections As now
being verified.
equanimity the prospect Of Mr.. Gladstone in
power with the sole prop Of the Irish vote be-
tween him and collapse.
Among the certainties Of the future nothing
is SO certain as that long period of political
turmoil is before the country. A conservative
government with a small majority readily con-
trolled and accustomed to obey would be COM
paratiyely secured. Mr.. Gladstone, with q
small majority composed OF motley groups Of
liberals, radicals, laborists, McCarthyites and
Parnelites, would be unable to effect any &C.
nous legislation. This self-evident fact has
given rise to 'rumor that he will decline to
form a ministry, and that he will recommend
the queen TO send for Earl Spencer for that pur-
pose.
The liberals rightly ridicuie the rumor They
know that their chief, even with a nominal
majority Of twenty, is ready to take Office and
produce his home rule bill They are also be-
ginning to admit that the chances Of home rule
passing the house of commons are becoming
remote. II ever it does pass no strain will be
put upon the house Of lords in rejecting ii.
IT LETS OUT THE LORDS.
The peril to the house of lords lay in vetoing
home rule as backed by the declared will of the
country. All danger Of that is now passed.
They can reject it with light heart.
Among other difficulties awaiting a liberal
government is the formation Of % labor party
not caring 4 rap for home rule and ready to
coalesce with any side. Already Burns and
Hardie, the strongest personal forces among the
laborists, declare their intention to organize
their party in parliament and making terms
for their support. When q majority is doubt
full even ten laborists following Burns might
decide the fate of the government. Besides,
along with the pure laborists. the new London
members will form O municipal socialistic
group, wholly regardless Of home rule and de-
termined not to allow Irish questions to block
other factors operating against him Mr.. Glad
stones cherished scheme to give Ireland a sep
arate legislature seems hopeless achievement.
THE NEW CABINET.
Anticipating q new cabinet the permanent
heads Of departments have, as customary,
sought to learn what new ministers they are
likely to be required to serve. A leading
treasury official told the representative Of the
Associated Press that he had obtained an unex-
pected intimation that the Right Hon. Henry Fow-
Ter would be chancellor of the exchcquer and Sir
VIM. Vernon Harcourt first lord of the treas
ury and government leader in the house Of COM
mons.
This arrangement contains startling i'm
plication that Mr.. Gladstone will either retire
into the houSe of lords or that he will take the
iightest post in the government--the vice presi-
dency Of the council. Not the slightest inkling
OF his intention has as yet reached the chiefs Of
the departments.
The Gladstone encourage ridicule the notion
OF his accepting peerage They believe that
despite his growing infirmities Of seeing and
hearing he will remain in the house of COM
mons and fight home rule through before he
withdraws from public life.
THE HOME RULE BILL.
Concerning home rule Mr.. Gladstone in re-
cent declaration said that the bin would follow
some changes that have already been announced
Irish members in the imperial parliament. the
employment Of the police and military to en-
force the payment Of all taxes leviable by the
Irish parliament, restricting the powers Of the
Irish legislature to Interfere with the endow-
ment Of religion or to impose disability or con-
fer privilege on account Of religious belief, and
giving further guarantees regarding denomina-
tional education. He referred to the adjust
ment Of the pecuniary burdens of Ireland.
The Associated Press has authority to state
that he alluded to q revision OF the proposals.
relating to the arrangements between the i'm
perial and Irish exchequers and the proportion
Of the national debt to be assigned to ireland.
In 1886 this was calculated rs one-flfteenth for
Ireland, based upon estimates Of taxation,
rateable values, &c. This has been found to be
gross oyerestimate entailing, overtaxation Of
the Irish peorle. The financial inquiry long
engaged Mr.. Gladstone's attention, and In It he
was assisted by Mr.. Goschen.
This inquiry tepds to show that Ireland can
only be justifably aprortioned about one
twenty-second part Of the debt, making very
great difference in adjusting the pecuniary
burdens under the new bill. The strain Of the
Midlothian campaign does not Affect the vieor
Of the grand old man. He has been deyotfnR
his leisure time to researches for his coming
Oxford lecture on "kedicyal Univerdtiesn
and has been cleaning much ,knovledge IRON
Lord Rosebery's great library at Dslmeqy.
xn. eLADsroxa's rl,AxA
After the elections Mr.. Gladstone viii 20 to
Paris for few Days to find rest In searchinr far
materials concerning French nedisval ,aniver-
sites. SO
II Mr.. John Morley becomes q minister he
wiz have to be reelected. His opponents in
Newcastle mean to nominate Mr.. Joseph Cowan
to oppose him should he stand. Mr.. Covsn l.
immensely popular, and the conservatives would
be likely to gust Mr.. Morley.
The Indian government does not desirs the
appointment Of Sir David Barbour e dele