The Pacific commercial advertiser. [volume] (Honolulu, Hawaiian Islands) 1885-1921, 1892-02-10

IOuesU Out misguided men alTSduy see .
the mistake they made and more are
to see it every day. Such men
are not making much noise about 1T,
but were an opportunity offered them
OF helping to undo the mischief they
were unwittingly accessory to, by
quietly voting for good clean ticket
under any name, Reform or lndepend-
ent, they would gladly avail them
selves of it."
'To return to the line of our argu-
ment, it is easy to see where we must |
have gained, it is difficult to see where
We have suffered any corresponding |
loss. Our opponents barely beat us |
when they were united, and even if !
we have suffered some loss, of which |
no one offers any proof, we must still !
be stronger than either of the factions
into which they are now split. If we
almost secured the victory when they
all stood together, what is to prevent
Us from now smashing them in de-
tail? do not think this question can
be satisfactorily answered"
In campaign brOadside which APP
peared some time last week, the
arithmetic of the situation was taken
up on somewhat different line, and
the composition of the National Noble
vote of two years ago analysed as fol-
lows:
"In the last general election the
Noble vote was almost exactly 1900.
A calculation from the best data at
tainable gives the Hawaiians, includ-
ing all of mixed blood, something
over one-third of this number. The
70 Of oil L n
waiian born children of foreign par
ents, had the remaining two-thirds,
more or less. The Reform candidates
for Mobiles in 1890 received an average
of TAI votes, and the Nationals an
average of $50. Assuming the above
division of the total Noble votes on
the race line to be even apprOXim-
ately correct, there is no getting away
from the conclusion that n very large
majority of the votes for the National
| Reform Mobiles in 1890 were cast by
natives. 1t is useless to talk about
the native vote last time having been
| divided. Every one knows, and
scarcely any one can have the hardi-
| hood to deny that, on both Mobiles
and Representatives the Hawaiians,
! pure and mixed, voted the National
! ticket almost unanimously. Such
| being the case, it is not merely q
reasonable conclusion, but an incOn-
trovertable fact that Wilcox and his
| followers pulled the whole National
Reform combination into the Legis-
lature. With the bulk of the native
vote gone, and largely depleted by
other notorious defections, the voting
force of the Mechanics Union is prob
ably outnumbered about three to one
| e ,ciY r
that word in q general sense"
The intelligent reader is invited to
carefully consider the foregoing as a
foundation for and leading up to what
is to follow. The correctness of the
figures given can be easily verified.
The arguments based thereon are be-
lieved to be not only fair but cOnclu-
sive. That our opponents so regarded
them is shown by the fact that at no
time during the campaign was any at
tempt made to deny the accuracy OF
the one, or offer any refutatiOn of the
other With one honorable exception,
neither on the platform nor in theil
multitudinOus campaign literature,
did the National Reform speakers and
writers ever condescend to such COM
mon place things as figures or engage
in such uncongenial work as argu'
ment The exception above noted was
Mr.. J. n. S. Williams, whose speech
on the subject of the rice duty was be.
coming gentleman and political
economist. But, after all, the only
appeal from logic and belief is the eX.
: detrimental one. In the present case
that appeal has been taken, the eX
pertinent has been tried, the election
, has been held and the result is deci
| l., s l.,
independents original contention
An analysis, of the returns of the
Noble vote shows beyond peradven
ture that the chances of a Reform
, victory on straight ticket were ever
better than had been claimed. 1t il
not only certain that the Reformer
had more votes than either the Ma
! tionals or the Liberals, but it is NOR,
than probable that they had q ma
: jority over both combined.
According to the ADVERTISER:
figures of Thursday morning, tn,
{ highest vote for any candidate on tn,
: National Reform ticket was 1914, tn,
lowest $50. The highest vote for any
candidate on the Liberal ticket wa
$50, the lowest 459. The average vot,
of the five Nationals was 72S, of tn
: five Liberals 526, average majority TO
, the Nationals 202. The vote on the SiI
! year candidates was split up and tn
issue complicated by the candidac!
| of Messrs. WaterhOuse and Kaaukai
) For the two and four year terms Their
| was only one candidate running oil
t each side, and the issue was therefor
l free from complications. Here WE
| find that Mr.. Ena had 270 majority
5 over Mr.. Thomas, and Mr.. Peterson
had 1913 majority over Mr.. Gay. Mr.
f Ena and Mr.. Peterson had between
them an average of 765 votes; Messrs
? Thomas and Gay an average of So
t votes; average majority of the TIVE
{ former, 232. There IS no line of Fea
l soning having any semblance of plau
t sibility by which the National major
{ ity on the Noble ticket i'll Honolulu
can be made to show up even $50
much less any larger figure. There i!
7 no reason, so far as [ am aware, TO
: doubling that the Liberals pOlleC
| pretty nearly their full vote. Tha
they came considerably short of what
they expected simply shows that they
overestimated their strength. 1t il
certain that with the exception of ;
) few RefOrmers whose Indignation lee
them to vote the Liberal ticket, il
: whole or in part, the entire Liberia
vote came from the element which
: two years ago voted National Reform
/ 1t is Il matter of common nOtOriety
that q considerable number of Re
formers were so dissatisfied with the
programme laid down for them tha
| how IL ,o fn1 fnT Nnf rlnt