The Colfax chronicle. [volume] (Colfax, Grant Parish, La.) 1877-1981, 1892-09-10
FARMER AND PLANTER.
THE COMING COTTON CROP.

A Georgia Authority Talks About the Out
look for 1892.
In a recent interview Mr.. Samuel NJ.
Inman, of Atlanta, gave the following
resume of the cotton outlook:
1.-THE growing crop of cotton has
reached a point at which we can begin
to arrive at some data which are rea-
sonably correct.
First, the falling off in the use of
fertilizers of 200, 900 tons makes GER
tain decrease from the past crop on this
score of $50, 900 bales.
Second, the inundation of from 400,
600 to 500, 900 acres of cotton lands in
the Mississippi valley at this late date
makes almost certain the loss of $50, 600
bales, as compared with last year.
Third, should it be settled that there
is decrease in acreage of IL per cent,
as compared with last year, this will
create shortage of 1,000, 900 bales. as
In many cases the land changed from
cotton to corn, is the best land and the
average land abandoned for cotton, it
is said represents an active productive
ness.
THUS it appears as an almost posi-
tive fact that the crop now growing
will be easily 800, 900 bales short of
the crop we have Just gathered.
THUS far, we feel pretty safe in our
position, but there are possibilities, and
even probabilities, which / mention,
that may decrease the crop of 1929
much more than this.
First, suppose it should appear from
the bureau report, as has been indi-
Gated by nearly every private and state
authority during the past month, that
the decrease in acreage instead of be-
ing IL per cent is as much as 16 per
cent This would mean a decrease of
1,450, 900 bales instead of LOCO, 900, and
total decrease of 1850, 900 bales in
stead of 1,500, 900 bales.
''All this is based upon the idea of all
the conditions of crop and yield being
and continuing as good the coming
year as they have been in the year
we are just leaving, and which was the
best for thirty years after the plant
had fairly started The crop of 1s9O-91.
which was considered phenomenal,
proves to have been 4 per cent. off in
condition in comparison with the crop
of 1s9l-92, and the crop of two years
ago, which was a fair average, was, in
round numbers, Is per cent. off in con-
dition as compared with the present
wonderful year.
Assume, then, that this growing
crop will be 10 per cent lower in con-
dition through the season than the one
just gathered, and we have still further
shortage of 70o,0OO bales, applying
percentage in condition to the reduced
crop of 100000 bales which we have
just been discussing. The 700, 900 bales.
added to the deficit of 1850, 900 bales
mentioned above, makes 1850, 90 bales,
or crop at the utmost, under all these
conditions. of not over $500, 900 bales.
Now, do not assert that the crop
will only be $500, 900 bales, nor do
pretend to estimate the size of the crop
now growing. l am merely endeavor-
ing to show the possibilities, and rea-
sonable possibilities, why the American
crop of 1929 will be the smallest
known for several years. If, however,
these are reasonable possibilities and
the fact that the worlds consumption
has increased 10000 600 bales in the past
two years, it can be appreciated what
an appalling position those who have
sold cotton around cents for the fall
months may be placed in, and how
probable it is that by December we
may have the highest prices we have
had for long time. "-Southern Farm.