Los Angeles herald., 1892-07-09
PREGNANT PRESIDENTIAL PRoGNosrI-
CATIONS.

In estimating the probabilities OF the
current presidential campaign it lie just
as well to keep in mind, certain factors
that may play very Important part in
the result. First, of course, is the
clearly demonstrated popularity OF Gro
yer Cleveland. This is proposition of
great force and magnitude. For time
many Democrats, who esteemed Mr..
Cleveland very highly. had grave doubts
as to whether his nomination would be
received cordially among all factions of
the Democratic party in New York.
This doubt has been absolutely dis
PEELED. The friends of Senator Hill and
Tammany hall are coming to the front
not only with loyalty but with enthusi-
asm. Mr.. Hills political future lies
through the election of Mr.. Cleveland.
This is the practical view of Che matter.
But, through his whole career, the great
New York governor has shown that he
is guided by nobler motives than his
own political preferment. He loves the
Democratic party and Democratic prin-
ciples. He knows the inestimable value
they are to the people Of the United
States, and he proposes to exert every
power which he possesses to see that
they shall obtain in the control of this
country. The efforts to create the inn
preston that there has been any differ
ence between Mr.. Cleveland and Mr..
Hill have been feeble in the extreme,
and they have been mainly confined to
Republican papers. At the time when
this kind OF talk was most common, DUR
ing Mr.. Cleveland's occupancy of the
White House, Mr.. Hill was the presi-
dents guest for several days.
The situation today bears no resem-
blance to 1880, when John Kelly and his
Tammany braves were apparently re-
conciled to Hancock's nomination. Mr..
Kelly was very peculiar man. Hisre
sentiments were implacable. He showed
the resentment of his personal rancors
by running as an independent Demo-
cratic candidate for governor and beating
Lucius Robinson, who was up for re-
election. He received $1,000 votes in
the state of New York, and he and his
followers appeared in the Cincinnati
convention which nominated Gen. Han
cock fresh from this memorable treach-
cry. The situation now is far different.
There is united New York Democracy.
Tammany will represent the party in
the city and county of New York. There
is not note of dissidence anywhere.
Tammany knows what is expected Of
her, and she will fulfill the trust. Those
who have been speculating on any luke
warmness in New York do not know
Tammapy, nor do they know David Ben,
nett Hill.
Thus the aght may fairly be said to be
grouped on the old lines. The struggle
is for the electoral votes of New York,
Indiana and Connecticut, with the
chance Of astonishing results all around
the board. No Democrat need for
moment diatrust the result in the
pivotal states. The question really is as
to whether the Democratic party will
not retain control of Massachusetts,,
Pennsylvania. Wisconsin, Nebraska aud
Iowa, all of which states have Demo
cratic governors now.
But, outside OF ordinary political spec
ulation, and the balancing of pivotal
states, there is remarkably interesting
feature of the present campaign that
has not characterized previous contests.
Acting under the power undoubtedly
delegated to her by the constitution of
the United States, the state OF Michigan
has, through her legislature, committed
college from that state to the several
congressional districts, with two elected
at large. No one familiar with the po.
litical status OF Michigan will dispute
the fact that this innovation, which has
been sustained by the Republican SUI
preme court of Michigan, will give the
Democrats at least five electoral votes.
To still further complicate the situation
for the Republicans, the Democratic
party Of the state of Kansas, instead of
nominating ticket of their own, have
endorsed the Alliance ticket. This sim
ply means that Harrison will lose the
electoral votes of Kansas.
This is undoubtedly good politics,
and the question is, how far should it
be carried? There are two ways of
electing Cleveland. One is by an over
whelming uprising of the popular vote,
and we are inclined to think that that
is the way this grand desideratum will
be brought about. The second way is
to prevent Mr.. Harrison from getting
majority of the electoral colleges, in
which event Cleveland will be elected
by the votes of the states in the house
of representatives by q clear majority of
eight.
Democrats in doubtful states should
ponder this problem very carefully.
OF course, the natural impulse of
every we'll conditioned man is for a
stand-up and knock-down fight, hit or
miss, sink or swim. But the Kansas
Democrats evidently think that the
business Of politics is to win, and that
the control of great country is worth
material concessions.
The Peoples party have undoubtedly