Watertown republican. [volume] (Watertown, Wis.) 1860-1906, 1892-07-13
Some Cheerful Probabilities.


form-Parsgraph and Illustrations.
Some Cheerful Probabilities.
Kansas returns to the Republican
column. The declaration of the first
president Of the Farmers Alliance in
that state, that the organization has
been captured by 'FiaCkleg lawyers and
politicians" for the use OF the Demo-
cratic party and that he and other Re-
publicans will return to the Republican
organization, means much. If it means
only the return of 20, 900 former Repub-
licans it will put the result out of doubt.
The Il, 900 Democratic voters at the last
election have declined to support fusion
state and congressional candidates I'M
der orders from the Eastern Democrat
ic leaders, who warned them that fu-
sion would destroy the chances of the
party in New York. This will not in
crease the desire Of the 10Y 900 Alliance
voters at the last election to help Mr..
Cleveland by supporting third ticket
which has no chance of success. Under
the circumstances, it will be wonder
if the ITS, 900 votes cast by the two fac
tions at the last election do not dwindle
below $50, 900, while the lis, 900 Repub-
licans at the last election will be rein
forced by most of the 10000 who then
did Lot vote, and by seceders from the
Alliance.
The amazing foolishness Of the Ali
ance legislature, and the splendid crops
last year and this year, have done much
to set Kansas right. There are not
many farmers so foolish that they do
not realize the injury which calamity
howlers and repudiators of debts have
done to the state, and not many who
enjoy seeing Kansas placed in the atti-
tude of a pauper state before the world
Settled largely by Eastern and North
ern men, who do not forget the out
RACES by which invaders tried to force
slavery upon freedom-loving settlers,
Kansas was not the most likely of ali
states to help the Democratic party in
its emergency, and SO soon as it became
clear that the Alliance movement had
become a mere tender to the Demo-
cratic machine, the reaction to sturdy
Republicanism was only a question of
time. Now it is evident that it comes
this year.
Similar causes appear to have disinte-
grated the opposition in Iowa, which at
no time drew largely from the Repub-
Hcan party. At the last election Gov.
Boles was chosen as q Democrat by q
plurality of 1916, but the Republican
vote was only 1900 less than the vote
for Harrison in 1888, and the changes
were due to the temperance issue rath-
er than to any national question. Iowa
Democrats have been angered by the
refusal of their national convention to
nominate Boies for President or Vice
President, and their ideas about money
are not those of Mr.. Cleveland. With
the abandonment of the Alliance by
Republicans in the neighboring state of
Kansas, it would be strange if more
than 1900 who voted for Gov. Boies
should not support President Harrison,
and no greater transfer of votes would
be needed to turn the scale.
Kansas and Iowa would make the Re-
publican party reasonably sure of more
than 200 electoral votes, without count
ing any from the Southern states, from
New York, New Jersey, six districts in
Michigan, Minnesota, or any of the sill
yer states. The New England States
may be reckoned safe, in view of the at
titude of parties on the tariff and the
Democrats are disguised at the treat
ment Of Gray, and the school question
does not transform Illinois or Wiscon
sin Republicans into Democrats on ma
tional issues. In Michigan, where elect
ors will be chosen by districts, it is more
likely that the vote will resemble tat
OF 1888, when the Democrats carried
only two Of the districts, than that Of
1890, when they carried seven. Demo-
Gratis have some hopes from fusion in
Minnesota, and they calculate that the
II votes of South Dakota, Colorado,
Montana, Idaho and Nevada will be car
ried by third party on the silver issue
Just as the rainbow chasers calculated
upon carrying most of the Western
states four years ago. But reckoning as
doubtful these II votes, 9 in Minnesota
6 in Michigan and the As Of New Jersey
and New York, IS IN all, there still re-
main reasonably safe POI votes from the
North, leaving only IL needed to elect.
Virginia and West Virginia were very
close four years ago, and are less likely
to support Cleveland now. Their eight
cen votes would suffice without any
more from the North. North Carolina
with eleven and Tennessee with twelve
votes are also doubtful, as we'll as Della
ware with three. But it is more than
probable that President Harrison will
also carry enough Northern votes OF
those supposed to be in doubt to secure
an election without Southern aid. New
York alone would settle the business,
and Republicans of New York can put
this state beyond doubt if they please.
--NeW York Tribune.