The Helena independent. [volume] (Helena, Mont.) 1875-1943, 1892-11-06
SOME DOUBTFUL STATES,
And Why They Are Put in That
Column by the Political
!, Iasss,. Prophets.
With One Exception All
Were Sure Repub-
lica. tates.
Which Fact Is Evidence of the Great
Growth Of Democracy Throughout
tho Whole Country.

comes report OF uncertainty. Harrison
carried the state in 1888. but it ia believed
there has been a change in the meantime.
No effort will be spared to bring out the
full vote and both sides are confident. bnt
1t can be said the plurality will be about
200 whichever way 1t goes. In Massachu-
setts the result on the presidential ticket is
not considered doubtful. The republicans
claim the electors by about 10000 votes.
Democratic managers ooncede the probable
choice of Harrison electors but think ii
possible, in view of the uncertain attitude
of Il large proportion of the electoral vote
that the result on the presidential ticket
may be a surprise. Registration. which is
large, is generally believed to favor the
democrats. republican manager has
said that Harrison will have to lend Clevs-
land 1S.0C0 votes to elect Hail, republican
nominee for governor. 1t is difficult to
find a democrat who believes it possible for
Hail TO defeat Russell. 1t is equally di fiji
cult to find a republican perfectly confident
that he will do SO.
1t is thought from the most careful esti-
mates that Cleveland will carry New Jersey
bv from five to six thousand plurality. In
Oregon the democrats do not expect to carry
the state. but say they are certain to elect
Pierce, the populist elector whom they en-
dorsed. The peoples party vote in the
state. it is believed, will reach 1900. The
fusion of the democrats and peoples party
brought about doubtful condition in Kan
sas for the first time in the history OF the
state. Republicans do not admit this, but
their activity and retcenee gives evidence
of nervous APP rehenson. The result of the
fusion. if democrats and populists alike
. owe loyal to it. ought to result in the
choice of Weaver electors. All fusion can
didatea for congress and the Legislature are
favorable to the election of a popnlist or
democrat to succeed senator Perkins. The
bolt of the state ticket by faction of dem
oc,ats will probably defeat the fusion state
ticket. Notwithstanding this st Ong COM
binaton against t EN- the republicans
claim to have no fear of the defeat of the
| Harrison electors.
The close campaign in Nebraska shows
affairs very complicated. While there are
three sets of electo al tickets the spectacle
| is presented of democratic managers doing
everything in their power to keep their
| electors from securing votes, Coy. Boyd
has ssued two letters to the democrats OF
the st te urging them to secretly throw
their support to Weaver, and to-day the
chaitmen of the democ ATTIC county COM
mittees throughout the state began sending
out sample ballots with Weaver electors
naked accompanied by a letter urging
eNcn Voler TO c8st hlb Vote Ior w eaVef anu
thus take Neb, aska out of republican
hands, The chairman of the democratic
state committee preGiats that the fusion
ticket will be elected by 5000 plurality.
Republican managers, however. admit that
the vote will be close, but maintain that the
state will stay in the republican column.
| Wisconsin is watched with moro than
usual interest as both parties claim the
electoral vote of the state. The brilliant
victory of Gov. Peck two years ago is ad-
mitted to have been entirely due to the
preponderance of state issues and the chief
question this year is. now that the Bennett
parochlal school law is NO longer an Issue,
whether Lutheran votes can be held by the
de mocratic party. The democratic leaders
MAINTAIN that the principle of common
gratitude must make the Lutherans loyal
to the democratic party this year, but the
republicans express the G eatest confidence
| in their ability to reclaim the tremendous
Lutheran vote which they lost two years
ago.
Michigan, for the first time since the war.
will cast pot ttion of its electoral vote for
the democrats. Under the new apportion-
ment the state is entitled to fourteen elect
ora, and doubt as to political supremacy in
two or three districts necessarily involves
the electoral vote of districts in similar
doubt. Under the miner law two electors
| at large will be elected. and it is reasonably
certain a democratic elector will be re-
| turned from the enstern district at large.
| while the western district will return a
republican elector. The democrats seem
reasonably certain also of carrying the
First, Second Seventh and Tenth congress
sional districts, and thus, with one elector
| at large, resting secure IN the confidence of
having five of the electo al votes of Michi-
gan, with fighting chance in some other
districts. The republicans are practically
su of the Fou tn. Ninth, Eleventh and
Twelfth districts. and with one republican
elsctor at large feel equally confident, with
fighting chance in the Third. Fifth, Sixth
and Eighth districts.
| In New York, the presidential electors,
members of congress. chief justice of the
court of appeals and members of the state
assembly are to be elected. Besides the old
parties. III two districts the County democ-
racy 10 running candidates in opposition to
Tammany. The prohibitionists haye can-
| didates in all city districts. the socialist la
Dor party has a candidate in all except the
Seventh. and the peoples party in all ex-
cept the Seventh and Ninth.
| In Alabama the alliance embarked on an
independents course and allied itself with
the republicans, with no ayowed object ex-
cept to defeat Cleveland. The combination
ticket is known AZ the popuite ticket.
Tuesdays election is strictly confined to
! the choice of the presidential electors and
congressman.
In California all four of the national par
| ties have nominated candidates Tor preal-
Dental electo 3, congress, state senate and
assembly. The indications point 10 vote
| Co. 900 III excess of four years ago. The
| republican state central committee conf
IDENTITY claim the state on popular vote
| for president and say the republicans will
| elect majority of the members of the
| state legislature. The democrats claim a
possibility of carrying the state and con-
| tend TINT they will probably carry the leg
| islaturo. with u possibility that the peoples
pnrty may elect II sufficient number of mem
beers Of the egislature to give that party
! the balance of power. In Nevada il iB con
ceded that the three presidential electors
named by the silver party of that state will
| be elected.
The western state to which all eyes have
been turned since the opening of the cam
pa gn has been Illinois. Two years ago the
| scool question and the tariff issue gave the
state so the democrats, and this year the
discussion of these issues is accumulated by
| the hope its prominence holds out to the
democrats for suooess. Issues are sharply
drawn aad the vote on both state and ma
tional ticket will probably be close. The
republicans claim 10000 majority for
Gov. Fifer outside of Cook county and for
Judge AltReld majority of 10000 in Cook
county Ia claimed by the democratic