Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1892-11-07
SURE As FATE ron cLryrIASp.


The New York World says: .Assurances
were received from Indiana, Connecticut and
West Virginia yesterday that those states were
as sure as fate for Cleveland. The vert best
news came from Wisconsin. Michigan. Illinois
and Iowa. According 20 the estimate. made by
conservative men IL seems impossible for Har-
rison to win. Their chances Of carving Ne
braska. South Dakota and Kansas are consid-
cred utterly hopeless. and with those states and
probably Colorado and Oregon also for Weaver.
Mr.. Harrison viii not have the ghost OF q show
Should he carry Connecticut. which is hardly
possible, IL will do him no good. Indiana Is as
sure for Cleveland. the national committee
claim. as New York, and that is 'cinch.'"
Dispatches to the Times from its special cor
respondents ia many states gives the following
forecast:
may win by from 1000 TO 10000. Gov. Rus
sells reelection is among the probabilities by a
plurality of 1000
New Hampshire is in great doubt. with the
chances somewhat in favor of the republicans.
In Alabama :he situation has been perceptibly
Frightening for the democrats in the last two
days. As 10 the Congressman, II. ii. Clarke in
the first district, William c. Oates in the third.
u. A. Robinson in the fourth, ]. II. Bankhesd
IN the sixth. Joseph Wheeler in the eighth and
L. ". Turpin in the ninth. all democrats. will
be elected. Jes-e +. stillins, in the second. now
stands the better chance. The probabilities are
stu largely In favor of ". NJ whatley in the
fifth and W. W. Wood in the seventh. both
populists.
Minnesota will choose four Weaver electors
ana I'VE Harrison electors. The outlook slightly
fayors Nelson (republican) for governor
virginia will go democratic by a majority. IL
Is thought, of not less than 10. coo. Populists
may elect Goode to Congress from the fourth
district: He is supported by Malone
New Jersey, on a straight poll, Is good for
ioooC Tor Cleveland. AZ for the governorship.
II Is said quite as much in earnest as in lest thu
II John kean did not part his hair in the middle
he would probably be Gov. Abhett's successo~
in the executive chamber In the Congregational
districts only two candidates are considered ne
having doubtful chsnces-Cornisn and Dunn
~ both are beaten the next delegation In Con-
gress will stand four each as between the
parties.
Arkansas and Delaware are surely democratic
Illinois is probably republican, but Fifer will
be defeated
Kansas is probably republican, while wisoon-
sin is doubtful
The democrats will probably carry Iowa and
the popuists Nebraska.
Weaver will cary Idaho and North Dakota.
while he will divide Oregon with Harrison.
Colorado is in doubt, while California is prob.
ably republican
On the whole the forecast gives Cleveland
226. Harrison lS0 and doubtful %.
The Herald sums up the political situation
throughout the country in these words:
New York is emphaticsIly a democratic
state. Indiana, while also distinctly indicated
in the canvass. seems to lean toward Mr. Cleye-
land. Connecticut Is in doubt but the Herald $
special correspondent regards the state as a
hard field for the republican managers. There
has been nothing revealed so far 10 indicate
that the Solid south has broken with the single
exception OF West Virginia. whose six electoral
votes hsgg uncertainty, the probabilities being
democratic
Taking tbe republican estimates on the pa-
tional ticket in New York from the most con-
sentative sources, county by county. Mr. Harri-
son heutenants do not claim the state by more
than 100 plurality, while the democratic esti-
mates, from equally conservative sources.
county by county. give the state to Mr. Cieve-
land by a plurality of % 900. New York city
will contribute nearly 60 900 democratic plu-
rality and Brooklyn will possibly give plural
ity OF more than 1900. These figures are not
based upon democratic or republican estimates.
They are based upon careful figures from both
sides and independent investigation.
while 1t Is true that the solid south remains
practically intact, it is not true that the north
west appears to be solid for Harrison. Mon
tana and Oregon. for instance. are exceptions.
There is good deal of shouting ana protesting
In Illinois. but no test has shown any serious
break In the normal condition of its vote unless
II may be that loudly advertised revolt OF the
German republicans against that party.
.In nutshell, Mr.. Cleveland has gained 96
votes over his score in 1888. and the only points
where he is threatened with a loss is in West
Virginia and Connecticut, which cast only 10
electoral votes
The peoples party will take many more
electoral votes away from Mr.. Harrison than he
WI gain In the new states. He will have TO
hight hard for Indiana. with the canvass against
him. and with the utmost effort can barely win
in Connecticut. As for New Jersey. Massa-
chusetts and other old-timers, it is mere
waste OF words to discuss them. They will sup
port their respective parties in the usual way.