The World. [volume] (Martinsburg, W. Va.) 1891-1896, 1892-05-28
TEE SITUATION.

PROSPECTS ~ THE WEST, For
EVERYTHING Is IrzLr.
| From the East comes light. Little
Rhoda i large enough TO deal the free
traders a stunning blow. Hope thnt
.Clevelnnd and tariff reform" will
carry Eastern States is buried under the
Republican plurality Of 2079 in small
State where the Democrats had a plural
it's Of 4419 in 1889.
In the light of recent events, Prcsi.
Denial estimate Of some value can be
made. The election under the new APP
portonmert gives to the South 159 cleo
toral votes, to the East III, and to the
West 16S. The total beng 444, with
| 223 yet TO elect, the South must retain
oil its own votes and secure sixty -four
votes from tie North. But il the South
carries New York with thirty-six votes,
New Jersey with ten, Connecticut with
tix, and Indiana with fifteen, or sixty
seven Northern votes in all, it will still
be in the minority il it loses even one
State as small IS West Virginia with six
votes. or Florida with four.
These being the conditions Of the prob
lem, what do recent events indicated
Tariff reform does not prove charm to
conjure with In manufacturing State.
/ After the Democrats had been so greatly
aided in Rhode Island by the addition
/ of $4,000 new voters since 1888 that
they carried State and Congressional
elections for three years, they yet find
that free wool and Mr.. Cleveland are
powerless to avert defeat. What can
they hope from Connecticut, where the
last full vote gave Mr.. Cleveland only
| 1886 plurality, or from Massachusetts,,
where there has been nothing like full
vote since he was beaten by 81, DOOR In
these and other New England States no
great addition to the suffrage has REIN
/ forced the Democrats. Connecticut can
be claimed as doubtful, but the chances
are against the Democrats in any case,
and with any candidate, while other
New England States can be classed as
! Republican.
Mr.. Hills disgraceful behavior and the
recent town elections have made New
York more hopeful for the Republicans
than it was four years ago, when the last
tull vote gave Mr.. Harrison IA, 1873 plu-
! :ality. Even New Jersey is IN such
state Of mind about recent partisan swim
dies and the coal monopoly that it might
De won. Nor in view Of Republican
victories and gains in Evansville, Coium-
Gus, Springfield, Ill.,' and many other
Western cities, can Indiana be counted
ess.hopeful for the Republicans than it
vas four years ago, while in Ohio, Him
bis, Michigan and Wisconsin free silver
1 will hurt more than it will help the
Democrats, and free wool will not help
them. Iowa is the only Western State
| his side Of the Pacific Coast which has
given fuller vote since 1883 or 1889
than before. There Prohibition turned
the State election Of 1891 against the
Republicans by 1915 plurality for one
candidate, and it may therefore be
reckoned doubtful with more apparent
| reason than Indiana. But in Kansas,
| Nebraska and Minnesota even the ALI
anue craze at its worst did not bring out
full vote. or prevent Republican sue
cess, Montana IS close, but in all the
Pacific States Republicans have gained
in strength since 1888.
II Connecticut, New York, New Jer-
,ey, Indiana, Iowa. and Montana be all
,lassed as questionable, with their
1 .ighty-three electoral votes, it follows
that the Democrats might elect if they
could carry all these and prevent loss
| II more than eighteen votes at the
4 South. But the chance that all these
| Northern States can be carried by the
Democrats seems decidedly smaller than
The chance that the Alliance will cost
them more than eighteen Southern
gotes. West Virginia and Virginia
alone have that number, and third
ticket would almost certainly draw from
the Democrats several times the one
vote in one hundred in Virginia, or the
pne vote in twenty in West Virginia,
which would turn the scale against that
party. Indeed, there appears moro
/ probability OF North Carolina giving q
Republican plurality by aid of the Alli-
ance than of Iowa giving Democratic
plurality by aid Of the same third
party. These three Southern States,
with twenty nine electoral votes. would
suffice to defeat the Democrats even if
they could get the eighty-three cleo
toraf votes mentioned from the North.
But there is one other thing to be OBJ
served. The same Democratic party is.
not going to be able this year to carry
New York and Connecticut with q can
didate against free silver, and Indiana,
| Iowa and Montana with q candidate for
free silver. One road or the other must
be chosen; both cannot be. If Mr..
Cleveland could carry New York and
| Connecticut he could not carry Western
State. If candidate could be found
who would delight the mofe-money
.anatics enough to carry Iowa and Mon
tana, that candidate would break his
| neck In New York and Connecticut.
Riding either of the two horses is per-
missible. This year no man can ride