Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1892-11-05

Withdrawn from the republican electoral ticket
ostensibly because he Is a national bank officer.
but really because Of his opposition to the Nc
Kinley bill and hrs intention to vote for Cleve-
land.
Only one prominent conversion from Cleve-
land to Harrison. that OF Max Adler, q corset
manufacturer in this city, has been reported.
The drift Of conversions u largely in fsvor OF
the democrats. I. may be added also that the
democrats expect 10 be favored BY the absence
of intimidation. and the use. for the first time
In q presidential election, OF the secret ballot
NV.
REPrBLIcAN ADVANTAGES
On the other hand the republicans have the
very decided advantage of a superior orgnniza-
tion, Of greater resources and Of fighting with
united front, broken only. and to a small ex-
tent. by the contention within their ranks be-
tween Hawley and Buckley for the United
States senatorshiP. They viii defer their fight
for the spoils until sure of the spoils. They
have made a remarkably efficient and close can
Of the state and base their claims Of VIC
tory on the promise OF that canvass. But the
fy in the ointment Is the uncertainty this year
just hos people will vote. When 9 republican
% prominent to be given q place on the
electoral ticket announces that he 10 to vote for
Cleveland 10 worries the managers to know how
many more there with a like though I'M
spoken intention
CLEVELAND ri SMALL MAJORITY.
The best calculation that your correspondent
can come at Is that the democrats will carry the
state for Cleveland by a small plurality, but the
margin IL too small to encourage the CHANGING
Of any money upon the result. The democrats
must contest every inch Of the ground.
IL 10 frankly acknowledged that the democrats
cannot elect their state ticket Their candidate
for governor will lead Cleveland in the polling
because Of the constitutional issues growing out
of the vet unsettled state election two years ago.
but he cannot get the majority over all other
candidates necessary for election The demo-
crats do not despair, however Of seeing Morris
the next governor In the failure of the people
20 elect the state officers chosen by the gen.
ersl assembly. Democratic hope of having a
majority that body. against the system Of
Legislative represen tAtion which gives the little
republican towns the same representation as the
big democratic cities. and against the combined
efforts Of Hsvley and of Buckley for the United
States senatorship. would be chimerical were it
not for the possible effect Of the local constitu
tional issue and the possible effect of action
taken by the prohibitiOnists.
THE PRoHIBrTIoSrsrs.
Hitherto the prohibitionists have not nomi-
mated Legislative candidates, their votes gen
orally going to the republican candidates This
wear they threaten to run legislative candidates
in about half Of the towns IN the state Their
reason Is their opposition 10 Morgan G.. Bulke-
Nv IDeN cuafEc LIHt M. bulkelcN.
ms influence with the liquor license boards in
the several counties, is using the liquor vote TO
advance bis political interests, and they de-
cine 10 vote for any legislative candidate who
might vote 90 send Mr.. Bulkeley to the United
States senate. Where the prohibitionists
do not nominate legislative candidates they will
be more likely to vote for the democratic than
for the republican candidates.
The republican majority on joint ballot in
the present general assembly is only six When
10 is remembered that more than twenty of the
republican representatives we're chosen BY plu-
ralities Of le-s than twenty the threatened poll
ing of n large part Of the expected prohibition
vote Of 1000 against republican Legislative can
didates becomes n serious menace to republican
control Of the legislature. The republican
claim on that score Is attesfed bv their phenome-
nal efforts in the little towns. and their almost
frantic appeals to the little communities to pro-
tect themselves against the alleged threat of
political domination by the cities. The fight
for the legislature Is uphill one for the demo-
Gratis. but thsy have q better chance TO capture
u than they have had in years.
THE CONGRESSIONAL OUTLOOK.
OF the four congressional districts in the
ssate, the second is reliably democratic and the
third reliably republican. The fourth. now
represented BY n democrat DE Forest has been
debatAble ground for years Ii has been demo
cratic one term and republican another, like n
teeser board. Miles. who was beaten two years
ago py lie Forest, j. again the republican can
dtdate- The growth of the democratic vote in
the cities IL expected TO defeat him by a small
plurality. The doubtful district in the state is
The first, now represented by Sperry. demo-
erst. The district has never been carried by
ne democrats IN presidential year,
and the republicans are confident OF
capturing IL this time. Their candidate,
eeate Treasurer Henry. Is not strong
candidate as was Simonds, who beaten
by sperry two years ago by over 600. Two
years before that. however, Simonds carried
The district BY nearly 900. The republicans
rely on gains from the tobacco growers to give
them the district. The democrats assert on
the other hand. that Sperry lost the tobacco
vote two years ago, and that he will gain the
votes Of republicans who do rot like Henry
because Of his holding on TO the Office Of state
treasurer for two years after the term for
which he was chosen. and because Of his reten-
ton IN the Office Of treasurer of a clerk who is
IN ex-confederate soldier. The fight in the
district is a hot one, with tine chances fsvoring
th0 repubicanr.