The comet. (Johnson City, Tenn.) 1884-1916, 1892-06-30

increase OF the tariff reform sentiment
where they are not otherwise in the
majority. They rely upon Illinois to
go for the ticket on Stevensons ac-
count, in conjunction with accessions
from the Germans and Scandinavians
on the score OF the school laws passed
by the Republicans, which are very
to them. The latter inhu-
ence gave the Democrats the Legisla-
ture in 1890, and it also did much to-
ward placing Wisconsin and Michi-
gan in the Democratic column that
year.
This and other local issues, such as
prohibition in Iowa, for instance, the
Democrats think will prove powerful
auxiliAries to the tariff reform princ-
pie in securing to them the votes OF at
least three Western States, which have
not gone Democratic in II Presidential
year since 1856 In Michigan, where
the presidential electors are to be
chosen by the Congressional districts,
the Democrats are reasonably sure Of
getting5 of The IA electoral votes Of
the State.
The Peoples party men hope to car
ry Kansas, Nebraska, Colorado, the
two Dakotas, Nevada, Idaho and Mon.
tana, the six last named on the free
silver question. They also claim that
their vote in the Carollnss and old
Virginia will be large enough to pre-
vent tn lose States going for Cleveland
in other words they expect to carry
them for the Peoples party ticket OF
throw them to Harrison, in retaliation
for the nomination OF Cleveland.
So much for the hopes and calcula'
tions of the contending parties.
Now to show how many different
combinations may be made in fore
casting the result OF the election The
Scimitar submits the following esti
mates giving Cleveland and Stevenson
the necessary 223 votes or more.
They begin with an assumption tha
the Democrats will get 142 votes from
he Stat, OF Alabama, Arkansas, Del
eware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky
Louisiana, Maryland, Mississippi, Mis-
souri, New Jersey, North Carolina
Tennessee and Texas and 5 votes
from Michigan.
Estimate No. l Reliably Democrat
ic 142, Connecticut 6, Illinois "a, Ind
ana 15, Michigan 5, Virginia 12 Wes
Virginia 6, South Carolina 8, New
Hampshire a. Total 223.
Estimate No. 2-Rellably Democrat
ic 142-Connecticut 6, Illinois "a, II
diana Is, Michigan 5, New York 81
Totals 228.
Estimate No. 3-Reliably Democrat
ic 142-Connecticut 6, Illinois "a, In
diana Is, Michigan 5, New Hampshir
5, Virginia II, Wisconsin 12, West Vi
ginia 5. Total 226.
Estimate No. f. Reliably Demo
cratic 142-Connecticut 6, Indiana i
New York sc, South Carolina 8, vi
F., ginia 12, West Virginia 6. Total %
Estimate No. 5-Reliably Democra
ic, 142, Connecticut 6, Illinois "a, Ii
diana Is, Michigan 5, South Carolin
9, Virginia IL, Wisconsin 12. lot
225.
: Estimate No. 6-Reliably Democrs
t ic 142, Connecticut 6, Indiana 15, Ne
York So, South Carolina 9, Virginia
v West Virginia 6. Total 225.
e Estimate No. Reliably Democra
ic 142, Illinois "a, Indiana Is, Micf
:. gan 5, New York Sc, Wisconsin /
= Total 234.
Estimate No. S-Rel ably Democra
}, ic 142, Illinois "a, Indiana IS, Mich
), gan 5, South Carolina 8, Virginia
j West Virginia 6, Wisconsin IL. T
tai 225.
is Estimate No. 9--Reliably Democr'
D, ic 142, Illinois "a, Michigan 5, NJ
3, Hampshire 4, New York 96, Wisco
;, sin 12. Total 223.
A. New York is included in of the
estimates and omitted in 4 India
8, included in and omitted in l ; CO
/. necticut included in and omitted
Il 3; South Carolina included in 5 al
omitted in 4 j Illinois included in
Is and omitted in 2; Michigan Is vot,
ir ditto; Virginia included in a
It. omitted in 8 West Virginia includ
IS, in and omitted in 4; New Han
lie shire included in 8 and omitted in
a. Wisconsin included in and omit
ia in 4. The number of combinatiC
h. possible with such list of debata
he States is practically unlimited.
,e, With the solid South and The
S. Northern otates he carried in Is
viz: New York. Connecticut, n