The Somerset herald. [volume] (Somerset, Pa.) 1870-1936, 1892-06-22
CAN HARRISON WIN ?
Figures Which Show That the
Chances Favor Him.

WASHINGTON, June 1.-THE unanimity
with which the ticket nominated at Mime
apolis has been accepted inaugurates the
Republican campaign of 1892 with every
prospect Of success.
The prospects, stats tically speaking are
largely in favor OF the Republican nOmi-
nees, as may be seen by the following analy-
sis of the vote:
The twenty-five certain Republican states;
California, o. Idaho, 3 Illinois, "a; Iowa,
l3; Kansas, 10; Maine, 6 +; Massachusetts,
IS; Michigan. Il Minnesota, 9; Montana,
2; Nebraska, s; New Hampshire, 4 North
Dakota, 8; Ohio, %: Oregon, 4 f.; Pennsyiva-
MIA, 81 4; Rhode Island, 4 South Dakota, 4
Vermont, 4; Washington, 4; Wisconsin,
u and Wyoming 3. viii cast 2II Republi-
can electoral votes, or but Il less than ms
jority of the electoral college necessary to
elect. the total being Al electoral votes
This does not count Colorado four and Ne
vads three votes. which would bring the
number up to 2ls, OF but 5 short Of a major
ity. These states viii, it is claimed, not be
missing in November.
To make up this narrow margin the Pres
ident is reasonably sure OF again carrying
his own state Of Indiana with IS votes,
which will give him 10 votes to spare But
should he fail in that the state of Connect
cut with electoral votes. which he came
within 337 of carrying in 1888 against Cleve-
land, viii give him one to spare, OF West
Virginia, with 6 electoral votes, which be
came within 5O7 Of carrying in lsss against
Cleveland, and which state, as Connecticut
is counted as almost certain TO go Republi-
can, viii still give him one to spare should
he fail in both Indiana and Connecticut.
Or Virginia with u votes, which General
Harrison came within about 100 Of carry
ing in lsSs, viii give him votes to spare
Or New York, with Sc, which be carried il
1885 sgainst President Cleveland, would give
him 81 votes to spare.
But omitting The seven votes Of Colorado
and Nevada the states Of Connecticut and
West Virginia, or the state of Indiana, Of
the state Of Virginia, or the state of New
York, or the state Of Missouri, seventeen
votes, which is claimed as doubtful, or the
state of Tennessee, twelve votes, which is al
so claimed as doubtful, would safely lanC
the Republican nominees.
With their 2l1 certain votes the Republi
cans will have lighting chance to capture
the necessary twelve votes to make major
! itv out Of l24 votes as follows:
Colorado. 4; Connecticut, 9 Delaware
g. Indiana, Is; Missouri, Il; Nevada, 3
New Jersey, 10; New York, So; Tennessee
u; Virginia, u; West Virginia, G.
The Democrats can not count upon owe
100 electoral votes yielded without any rea
sonable fighting chance of success, owing
10 the shot gun and unscrupulous election
officers, as follows
The solid south in the coming campaign
is destined to receive a violent shaking up
1t is the Presidents purpose to urge upoI
the managers of his campaign test Of th'
election methods and Republican chances IL
/ Deleware, Missouri, Tennessee, Virginia an'
West Virginia. These states cast fifty elec
toral votes.
a change Of less than 100 votes woul,
have given General Harrison two of th
number, the Yirginias, with eighteen votes
in 1855.
The solid southern states would have IS
electoral votes or sixty-four less than a ma
jority. Should the Democratic nomine
carry New York. New Jersey, Connection
and Indiana, he would gain sixty-seven, OF
but three more than necessary to elect III
must carry every one OF those northern
pivotal states as well as the solid south il
order TO win. he loses Connecticut, tn
smallest Of those states, he is routed.
General Harrison carried two of thos
states-New York and Indiana-With hand
some majorities in 1888. He viii eertainl.
carry Indiana, which will be sufficient, an,
New York viii be the battle ground Of al
aggressive contest, with al least even chance
of success.
The most sagacious Democrats conced
that they have an uphill job before them
and even q dim chance of success will dc
pend wholly upon the outcome of the con
vention at Chicago.