New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1892-06-15
THE DEMOCRATIC OUTLOOK.

In spite of all the fuss made by supporters
of Hill or a Western candidate Mr.. Cleveland
| will go into the Democratic National Conven-
| ton with clear majority of the votes. So
much is conceded by his opponents. who are
| relying upon the two-thirds rule to beat him.
! An estimate furnished to "The New FORK
| Herald" by Hill Democrats gives Cleveland AS
votes, Hill 314. Palmer the ~ OF Illinois, Car
Isle the &c of Kentucky and from Maryland
and Boies the 26 Of Iowa. As 500 votes will
be necessary to nominate under the two-thrds
rule, it is claimed that Cleveland must fail be-
cause he cannot get away any of the votes for
HILL which are more than third of the whole
number
This calculation implies that all the dele
gates who have favored Hill at any time will
stick to him, or at least will refuse to support
Cleveland, when Cleveland is known to be the
choice of the majority. But this is highly i'm
probable. The Cleveland men claim, with
much reason, that some of these votes, especial
ly - from Georgia. will go to him as soon as
it is demonstrated that he is the choice of the
majority, and they add with truth that It is al
ways disastrous to the Democratic party when
the candidate preferred by clear majority is
beaten by the Odious twO-thirds rule They
reckon that the convention will not take the
risk of insuring the defeat of any candidate that
may be nominated if the majority should be
thus thwartcd in its wishes.
There are two opinions among Democrats
about the Minneapolis delegates. Some think
that the selection of Harrison and Reid renders
the nomination of Cleveland absolutely neces-
sary-that no other Democrat would have a
Il flnrc nf 1aast
tive in the belief that the Republican nomna
tons make it supcrlative folly to put up against
Harrison the same candidate who was beaten
by him in 1888, and beaten, moreover in New
York, Mr.. Cleveands own State. These mon
hold that Mr. Cleveland is weaker now, with |
the solid delegation of his own State against |
him and without control of the patronage, than |
he was in 1888. At the same time, they say |
that President Harrison is far stronger now
than he was when comparatively unknown TO
Eastern business men, and when the virtues
of the Republican policy had not been illus
trated by splendid results, 1t would be giving
away the election in advance, they say TO put
up "A candidate whom President Harrison could
defeat.
Out of this conflict OF opinions there comes
to light the real plan of the Cleveland men,
which is properly characterized by some Dem
ocratic papers as desperate scheme. Cleve
land, they calculate, would indeed be beaten
in the electoral vote, but his nomination would
stir up so much Democratic opposition in States
where the Farmers Alliance is strong t4nt the
Peoples ticket would carry those States. Some
votes would be drawn from the Democrats by
this process but some would also be drawn
from the Republicans, it is calculated so that
the election would be thrown into the House.
Then, the Cleveland men reason, the enormous
Democratic majority in the present House would
elect Mr.. Cleveland without any hesitation.
This scheme is at war with common sense. 1t
is not to be expected that free-silver Demo
Gratis, Alliance Democrats, or other Democrats
who dctest Mr.. Cleveland enough to bolt their
own party in order to beat him, will stupidity
secure his election by voting for a third can
ddate and throwing the election into the House
Such men, if they want to beat Mr. Cleveland
at all, would have sense enough to see that
they could do it easily and surely by refusing
to vote, and thus allowing the Republican ticket
to win, or by voting for the Republican ticket
directly. IL the attempt il made To elect Mr..
Cleveland by preventing an election by the
people, it is pretty sure to fail.