Evening journal., 1892-11-02
THE ARENA or POLITICS.
Activity Increasing as the Cam
paign Draws to a Close.
HUsTLNe AT THE HEADQUARTERS.

land FOR President.
NEW YORK, Nov. 2.-senator Quay was
ct Republican national headquarters, and
had conference with Vice President Nor
ton, Chairman Carter, General Clarkson
and Mr. Manley. After leaving the con-
ference room Senator Quay was asked to
give his views Of the situation and his opin-
ion as to the result. He said:
Il leave for PHILADELPHIA at once, and
possibly may return, but not necessarily.
coming here on the suggestion of some Of
the gentlemen engaged in the management
OF the Republican campaign who thought
my experience in 1sSs might be useful in
the solution of two or three problems, l
have gone very carefully through the de-
tails Of their labor up to the present time,
ana have canvassed with them their propo-
sitions for the future. Their administra-
ton has been faultless Their correspond
ence satisfies me that the sentiment of the
country is favorable to continuation Of
Republican rule
Mr.. Harrison win be elected II is my
belief that he will carry the states of New
York, Indiana and Connecticut Existing
conditions are such that the electoral vote
OF New York viii elect him without IN
diana and Connecticut. Indiana and Con-
necucut viii elect him without New York -
Ihe Republican national committee gave
out the following analysis Of the registry
lists in the city OF New York:
New YorIS's Registration.
There are many significant facts about
the registration in New York city, all
pointing, in the judgment Of the Repub-
lican national committee, to a victory for
Harrison and Reid One of the most inn
portant facts is that the registration for
le9S below tortieth street, or in that por-
ton OF the town where the Democrats are
especially strong, is 3, ,301 less than IL was in
1855. Above Fortieth street the registra-
ton this year stands 149, 1868 against l22, ,274
-an increase Of q, ,O49, or 2212 per cent
The entire increase in registration, there
fore, is above Fortieth street Comparing
the registration by assembly districts as at
present constituted with the total vote cast
in 1891 in these districts, the fact appears
that in the districts casting heavy Demo
cratic majorities the increase Of the regis
tration over the vote cast is about 25 per
cent, while the increase in districts giving
asmall Democratic or n Republican plurali.
" IS about 81 per cent. The first ten as
sembly districts Of this city are heavily
Democratic, their majoriHes ranging, on
the vote cast in 1884, from 1000 to 5000 In
those districts the percentage of increase
in registration this year over the vote cast
in 1891 is only 2296 per cent
The Eleventh assembly district is Re
publican district. There the increase is q
per cent. The Twenty-third district is a
Republican district. There the increase is
81 per cent The Twenty-sWenth district
Is slightly Democratic, but il contains an
Ranr1l Il fanrt 81 H..
crease Is Al per cent.
The sum and substance of all this is that
IN those parts Of the city where the Repub-
hcans are strong registration is very heavy,
showing large increases over the total vote
cast last year, while in the heavily Demo
cratic districts the registration is low,
showing a small increase over last years
vote
CrolSer's Prediction Analyzed.
Six weeks ago Mr.. Croker gave out the
prediction that the registration in New
York city would amount TO $4,000. That
was a conservative estimate. 10 allowed
for considerable falling Off from what
would be a full registration. On the basis
of the natural increase over the registration
of 1883, there should be now on the registry
lists of this city $4,000 names, but there
are not 49,, 600 nor $50, COO. There are only
3O9,sa0i and the loss, as the analysis above
given clearly shows, lies in the Democratic
districts.
The registration as It stands proves the
truth of the Democratic allegations at Chi
cago that Cleveland is essentially a weak
candidate When tho Democratic dele
CATION from this state united in the state
ment TO the Chicago convention that Cleve-
land could not possibly carry the state of
New York they contemplated precisely the
situation which has come about
They knew that there would be a slump
in the Democratic vote il he was made the
party nominee and their predictions have
been realized. They have made a bold fight
to save hlm, but they have not been able in
three months 80 undo among their follow
ers the preiudices OF years.
The Republican county committee, by
comparing their canvass of the city with
the registry lists, have ascertained that
substantially the whole Republican vote OF
this city Is on the rolls. One hundred and
fifteen thousand Republican votes will D,
cast, as compared with 100000 in lSss Tho
full vote of the city will not be much NOR,
than POI 900 IL the Democrats obtain s..
per cent. Of the total estimated they viii
be doing uncommonly well on the situation
as il stands today. This viii give then
10000 and q plurality of 5000. This is a.
much as they can with any degree of rea
son hope to accomplish.
How the Betting Goes.
A conference over the situation in New
York was held in the rooms of the stat
Republican committee, at which politician
from all over the state conferred will
Chnirmen Hackett and Brookileld.
The principal topic Of discussion aroun,
hotels and at political headquarters is oi
the peculiar betting on the result of th
presidential election. There were thou
sands Of dollars ready TO wager on Harri
son on the general result, with no takers
while on the other hand remarkable odd
were offered on the success of the Demo
cratic electoral ticket in New York state.
John H. Till, who placed 100000 ant
won it on Harrison in 1855, arrived frou
Philadelphia with S75,O0O, which he wa
prepared TO bet the same way this time. II
las thus flr found no takers on the genera
result
NJ r. Dwyer, the turfman, placed 5000
in Billy Edwards hands TO bet at odds q
1Oto on Clevelands carrying New YOrl
Six thousand dollars of this was taken b