Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1892-10-13

Democratic Chances of Getting Control
Where Contests Are Clo.e.

Where Contests Are Clo.e.
The democrats are all but certain Of con-
trolling the next House Of Representatives and |
the probability is that they will have a very
large majority in that branch of Congress.
though by no means large as their majority |
in the present House.
Should Mr. Cleveland be elected the renub- /
lican Senate would be the one barrier 20 the
putting in operation the democratic tariff
policy. In this connection the possibility of
the complexion Of the Senate being changed is !
worth discussing.
The chances are very heavily against the demo-
Gratis in the Senate, but the republican majority
is small enough to render il possible
that should Cleveland be elected by a
tremendous sweep the tide Of democratic
victory might carry the Senate along
with the House and the presidency. While
there is not more than possibility either way
the democrats seem to have a better chance in
the Senate than the republicans have in the
House.
1t is probable. however, that whichever
party is victorious in November il will not have
the control OF the entire government, as the
republicans had during the Fifty-frst Congress
Even without winning the Senate the demo
Gratis might have hopes Of carrying out some
features OF their policy if they had the House
and the presidency and the majority
of the Republicans in the Senate was
but small, for they can sometimes
count on the support Of one OF the alliance
Senators and of certain republicans who may
vote with them silver and tariff reduction
that Is not carried too far.
aIcHr BE MORE COMFORTABLE WITHOUT THE
SENATE
Considered from a partisan point of view the
democrats might find themselves In a more
comfortable position with the Senate republic
can by a small majority than they would be il
in control of the whole government.
To have the presidency and both branches Of
Congress would be for them to have the re
sponsibiiity of carrying out a policy as 20
finances and tariff which they may be united on
as far as theoretical generalizations go,
but upon the details of which they would
differ so seriously ~ to be split up into vio-
lently opposing factions and be forced TO com
promises which would satisfy no one and which
might discredit their professions.
In the present Senate there are forty-seven
republicans. thirty-nine democrats and two
Farmers Alliance Senator's. Both the alliance
men usually vote with the republicans and one
OF them. PETER, Is practically a republican.
The democrats have practically a majority of
nine to overcome gain of five Senators
would give them a plurality and would make
the Senate tie if both alliance men voted with
the republicans. This would, IL they car
ried the presidential election, give them the
| organization of the Senate
There are seven or eight senatorships held by
republicans which, it may be said, they have
warrant 10 make fight for. but the chances are
! not favorable TO them getting az many ms five
| of them. On the other hand, there are three
| democratic Senators who have O fight before
| them.
| OF the twentv-nine Senators whose terms ex-
| pire next March one northumberland
| three democrate-Daniel, George and German
have been reelected. Three OF the demo-
| rrafS-EaulkDpr nd lNfrrri 10
| to be in some danger, though the probability is
| that they will all be reelected.
| REPUBLICANS WHO HAVE FIGHTS on HAND.
Of the republicans Senators Hiscock, SAWYER
Davis, Paddock, Stockbridge, Sanders, Casey
and Allen have more or less serious contests
Hiscock in New York. Sawyer in Wisconsin and
Sanders, Montana, regarded a. in
the greatest danger, and Davis in Min
nesota and Paddock in Nebraska
have a pretty hard fight before them. The
| others are not regarded as in particular danger
In general way it may be said that the
chances are against Hiscock and Sawyer and in
| favor of all the Others &
In Nevada there is a contest between Stewart
who seeks reelection. and Bartine, who is now
member Of the House. Both are classed as
republicans, but Stewart worked with the
| democrats in the force bill struggle
and the silver fight, and il is said that If he is
reelected he will act with the democrats gener-
| ally.
The fight in Delaware is a thing the demo-
Gratis have not been expecting. but il has de-
veloped that there is danger of their losing the
state. and they are putting forth deal Of effort
there.
WHAT THE INDICATIONS ARE.
Unless something like the experience of 80
should be repeated the indications are that the
democrats will gain about two Senators. giving
them Al, to IS republicans and Farmers ALI
| ance.
The alliance might gain one from the repub-
| llcans In Nebraska. This result would encourage
the democrats in the hope that they might get
the Senate in '95 if they elected the President
| this fall.
Should the republicans lose the Senators in
New York, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Mon
tana there would be tie between the two old
parties, each having forty-three votes. The two
| alliance Senators would then hold the balance
| OF power If they voted together would leave
the casting vote with the Vice President should
one vote with one party and one with the OF her