The morning call., 1892-06-06
ELECTI0AS Ii EIGLiHB.
Coming Political (riSiS in Great Britain.
fr. GladStone'S Election Assured.
Special 10 TIE MoRS1No CALL

New YORK, June 5.-Smalley's special
cablegram to the Tribune from London
says: That dissolution Of this long PaIlia-
ment will take place at the end Of June is
now an article Of faith with political par
ties.
The understanding between Baltour and
Gladstone is for business purposes, pretty
complete. The business, if not the general
turmoil, Of a general election has already
begun, and the agents and candidates are
hard at work. The Whitsuntide holidays
will be no holidays to the men whose politi-
cal fortunes are at issue. Speculations on
result estimates, conieciures, calculations
and calculated eXaggeratlOns abound. lem
permanent has as much to do with the matter
as figures. Mr.. Gladstone. more sanguine
In age than are other men in youth, believes
that his majority in the next House viii be
majority Of three figures. The Gladst0nian
Journalists Of more prOsaic minds with good
information and of careful judgment give
BIN 90 The GIadst0nian whips who, by no
means wear their heart on their sleeves. are
understood to expect about 30. The Tory
whips. equally discreet, are not thought 10
dissent very widely from this estimate.
Tie authorities among those Liberal Tn
daily predicted Tor years, are more cOnu-
dent than their Tory colleagues. SChnad-
hOTsCs predictions are more confident still,
though his real figures are said 10 he more
moderate than MI GladstOne'S. Gladstone
is expected 10 come back with 2 ma iJrltY, but
a majority too small To enable him TO carry
home rule or such home rule as he wishes;
tCO small 10 OYeTaWe tie House or Lords; ;
too small for permanent power. He will
be obi ged to produce some other hOme-ruie
bill and he viii fail 10 carry H. and another
general election viii follow al no very long
interval. cuch is the theory Of prudent
politicians, but to put il into the foIm Of
positive prophecy IS what no prudent per-
sen viii DO.
The agitation about President Carnofs
expected visit TO Nancy has through most Of
tie week been confined 20 the newspapers
until thursday, then 1t broke cut In tie
French Chamber al the lnstgatOn OF that
eminent BCulaugIst, 81. Paul DerOulede.
There had been change IN the Nancy pro-
gramUe; the review had been counter
manGed, aud the susceptible French soul
conceived that this had been done or might
have been done in Difference 90 German blus-
Ter. The Prime Minister himself thought
il worth while TO reply. He denied the
rum0rs. What the Government had done
had been done without the slightest regard
10 ANYTHING said abroad. Then the subject
was dropped. IL Is more difficult than ever
TO understand why it was ever started or
what npeIled the German press TO enter
upon such a campaign. but the German
press Las ever had q heavy load. There IS
not the smallest ground for COM
plant against France, nor the least
reason why the Germans shOuld object
to tile patriotic festival 1T Money, or 10 the
presence Of President Garnet in that
city. If cOmm0n-sense governed the world
DC notice would be taken Of such an incl
dent. AS 1t does not, great deal too much
notice has been taken, aud it IS mol to be
denied that until The Nancy festival Is safely
over a certain amount Of uneasiness viii
prevail iu Europe
Tie acceptance by France Of Americas
Invitation TO the silver conference is en- the
same terms as those expressed by the other
Powers. France reserves to herself, says
her Finance Minister, complete liberty Of
action. He intimates also that she viii
follow The lead OF London, (which holds the
key of the situation" That is cold comfort
for the silver men. Russia is now the only
great power which has not agreed TO take
part in the conference