The morning call., 1892-09-30
Specializing on the Votes Of the Doubt
full States.
BREAKING UP THE SOLID SOUTH.
Republicans Claim to Have a Fighting Chance
in -Four Southern States Democrats Work.
Ing In the Vest.
special to TIE MORNING CALI

: WASHINGTON, Sept. 29.-Neither the Re-
. publican nor the Democratic National Com
mittee will admit that any of the States
: which they have been carrying heretofore
are doubtful with the exception Of New
York, New jersey, Connections and Ind
: ana, but both committees are making prep
arations 10 extend the fighting over much
broader field than usual. The Republicans
are counting as doubtful States some they
have not hoped to carry heretofore, and the
Democrats are casting longing eyes on
States hitherto rock-ribbed Republican, with
the idea that SONS of them may experience
q change Of heart.
Il seems as If neither party were quite
ready 70 accept their past experiences in
Presidential elections as a measure of the
present situation. Somehow there appears
10 be an expectation that the public Senti-
ment in many localities has undergone an
pnaceountable change, and that it is again
70 be ascertsined. where heretofore it has
been fixed and we'll understood.
The Republicans regard Tennessee, West
Virginia, North Carolina and Alabama as
good lighting grounds. The Democrats con-
slider that it Will not be a waste of time to
make a vigorous campaign in Massachu-
North Dakota. Nevada, Kansas, Montana
and South Dakota, and they rather expect
that the Peoples party may carry Colo
Tado.
California Is generally regarded as hope
lessly Republican, mainly because of the
great benefits resulting 10 that State through
the operations OF the Mckinley bill. The
fact that Cleveland carried Tennessee in
1883 by plurality ot more than Is, 500 does
not discourage the Repu bicans in tie hope
that tue third party movement may so hurt
the Democrats In that State as TO give its
electoral vote TO Harrison this fall. In the
same way they have an idea that they may
get the electoral vote of North Carolina,
Overcoming Cleyeland's plurality in 1888 Of
1900. They express the belief that they
could carry Alabama also If they could guard
against fraud.
The Democrats are somewhat anxious
about Tennessee. The normal Democratic
plurality in West Virginia is so small that
the Republicans are always trying to over
come It though they have not succeeded
since 1872. Cleveland had a plurality Of but
BOG IN 1883, aud the Republicans profess
confidence in their ability to carry that
State this year BY reason OF the efforts OF
Secretary of War Elkins and the protection
sentiment in some parts of the State.
The Republicans concede but Is per-
fectly safe Democratic States, aggregaiing
I29 electoral votes. The Democrats con-
cede but the same number of absolutely
certain Republican States, aggregating 100
electoral votes. The three historically
doubtful States-New York, Connecticut
and Indiana-haVe between them 81 votes.
The Republican States which tie Demo
erats regard as doubtful enough TO warrant
a contest aggregate 81 votes: tie three
Southern States which the Republicans
speak of as doubtful have 70 votes, and
Michigan, whose electoral college will be
divided, b5s II votes TO distribute between
ms tavo partias