The morning call., 1892-11-06
The Presidential College thlS yea
consist Of 444 members Is follows:


Florida 4. Georgia 13. Kentucky 13. Louisi-
ana s. Maryland s. Mississippi Q, Michigan
8, Missouri II, North Carolina II, South
Carolina 8. Tennessee l., Texas To- Viz
ginIa u Total, 147.
The States admitted to be Republican
are: California 8. Illinois a Iowa IS.
Maine 6. Massachusetts Is, Michigan 9.
Minnesota 7, New Hampshire 4, Ohio %.
Greg n 4, Pennsylvania %, Rhode Island 4.
Vermont 4. Washington 4, Wisconsin IL.
Total. 172.
The fifteen doubtful States enumerated at
the beginning will east the following elec-
toral vote: A Alabama II. Colorado 4. Kansas
10, Neyada3, North Dakota 8, South Dakota
4, Nebraska s, Wyoming 3. Idaho 3, New
York Sc. Indiana 10. New jersey 10, Con-
necticut 6, Montana 3, West Virginia g.
Total, 125.
or the fifteen doubtful States Nevada,
with three electoral votes, IS practically
conceded TO the Peoples party, thus leaving
only fourteen States in doubt OF these
Democrats make the loudest claims for
Alabama, New Jersey and West Virginia,
swelling their total to 1T4 while Republicans
express the greatest confidence in carrying
Colorado, South Dakota, Idaho and Nebres-
ka, which would swell their total to 19l.
Admitting the claims of the two old par
ties and conceding Nevada to Weaver. the
very doubtful States remain as New York,
Indiana. Connecticut. Kansas, North
Dakota, Wyoming and Montana. These
States have a total Of rs votes and Of these
rs votes the Democrats must gain 80, and in
order 10 win the Republicans must secure 80.
While on these figures the Republicans
would appear to have the advantage, this
presumption is not borne out when IL is re-
membered that the carrying of Kansas.
North Dakota and Wyoming by the Peo-
ple's party would iuure TO the advantage
of the Democrats by tending to render
choice in the electoral college impossible,
and thus throwing the election into the
Democratic House of Representatives,
where Cleveland would surely triumph.
In addition TO electiDg a President and
Eice-Presdent the people Of the United
States will next Tuesday elect $50 Congress-
men. this being the number which, accord
ing to the reapportionment, is to compose
the Fifty-third Congress.
The States (which will elect Legislatures
to choose Senators to take the place of Re-
publican Senators retiring on the 4lh of
March. 1893, are: California. Connecticut,
Maine. Massachusetts. Michigan. Mime
eUids NtOtdSkds Ntfdud. 4NbS Oik, NUItH
Dakota, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Yer
mont. Washington. Wisconsin and Wyo-
ming. Those which will elect Legislatures
to elect Senators to fill vacancies caused by
the retirement of Democratic Senators on
the same date are: Delaware. Florida, Indi-
ana, Marylan d. Mississippi. Missouri. New
Jersey, Tennessee. Virginia and West Vir-
ginia.
Thus. upon the result Of the coming cleo
tion also depend the political bias of
twenty-six Senator to be elected TO take
their seats at the same time the new Presi-
dent is inaugrated, sixteen Of these being
elected to succeed Democratic Senators.
In the States Of Kansas. South Dakota
and South Carolina, the Legislatures
chosen next Tuesday will also each elect
Senator to succeed the one whose term ex-
pires March 4, 1896. the retiring Senators
in Kansas and South Dakota being Repub-
iicans and IN South Carolina Democrat.
From Rhode Island comes a report OK
uncertainty. Harrison carried the State ia
1888. but it is believed there has been
change in the meantime. No effort has
been spared to bring out the full vote. and
both sides are confident. But it can be said
that the plurality will be but few hun
dred whichever way 1T goes.
In Massachusetts the result on the Presi-
Dental ticket is considered doubtful.
Repubiicans claim the electors by about
10000.
The Democratic managers coneede the
probable choice If the Harrison electors,
but think il possible, In view OF the uBcer-
tain attitude Of a large proportion of the elec-
toral vote, that the result on the Presiden-
tial ticket may be surprise. The regis
traiion. which has been large. Is generally
believed to favor the Democrats. A Repub-
lean manager has said that Harrison will
have to lead Cleveland by $4,000 votes to
elect Halle. the Republican nominee for
Governor. II is difficult to find a Demo-
crat who believes it possible for Halle to
defeat Russell. 1t is equally difficult to
find Republican who is not perfectly conf
dent that be viii do so.
1t is thought from a most careful es.I-
mate that Cleveland will carry New Jersey
by from 1000 TO 5000 plurality.
Arkansas advices indicate quiet cleo
ton. with about The average vote. On
posed to the Democratic national ticket is
combination ticket, composed In equal
parts OF Republican and Peoples party
candidates for electors. Nothing has been
developed to create doubt OF the success
Of the Democratic candidate In the Sixth
District. given the State by the new appor-
tlUnment
Kentucky reports are that no less than
the usual 10000 majority will be cast for the
Democratic national ticket
In Oregon the Democrats do not expect TO
carry the State. but say they are certain to
elect Pierce, Populiss elector. whom they
will indorse. The Peoples party vote In
the State. II Is believed, will reach 1900.
The fHE3On OF the Democratic and Popu-