New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1892-07-10

II.
Gladstone himself counted on a majority of over
100. His son. Mr.. Herbert Gladstone, told
French reporter that seventy was their minimum
ard twice that their expectation The estimates
by the Liberal managers and agents varied from
thirty 10 SIXTY; the estimates of the Unionst
managers and agents varied from a Unionst
majority of twenty TO Gladstonan majority of
thirty. The net Gladstonian gain, out of more
than half the House already chosen, is twentyfour.
If they continue to gain at the same rate Mr..
Gladstone would in with a majority Of
twenty y-four That is not thought to be a suni-
cient majority TO carry Home Rule. When he and
his friends still hope is that they may do better
proportionately in the counties than in the bor
oughs. The most sanguine of them still expect
a final majority of sixty. The less sanguinc put
it at forty. The Unionist ca culation is that it
will not exceed thirty and thcT: even Union
lists who doubt whether Mr. Gladstone will come
in at all. What is certain is that Mr.. Glad
stones majority, whatever it be- will be an Irish
majority that is, he will be in the minority in
the Iest of the Kingdom The Irish members.
therefore, might be able to make their own terms
with him.
Labor has played considerable part in these
elections, both directly and indirectly 1t has
returned five members of its own; members, that
is, who are for labor first and Home Rule second.
thus reversing Mr. Gladstone's order. They are
Mr.. Burt for Morpeth Mr.. Wilson for Middlcsbro
Mr.. Burns for Battersea, Mr. Rowlands for East
Finsbury. and Mr.. Kcir IIardic for South West
Ham There were, however, nine Labor mem
bcrs in the old House, SO that of itself would not
be great achievement. But they have in scores
of constituencies struck up an alliance with the
Gladstonans and in many insured the return of
candidates whose success otherwise would have
been very doubtful They have in some other
cases declined either to give way to Gladstonians
OF TO support them and have succeeded In making
a present of at least three seats to the Cnionists
One thing, says GladstOnian organ with radl-
cal tendencies, is perfectly obvious. Liberalism
is nowhere without the working class vote, and
it will be nowhere without working class politics
The Tory comment upon that is that the Labor
vote must bc had hereafter at its own price and
that the Gladstonians are prepared to pay the
price So perhaps are the Unionists, some OF
whom have said much. Finally the working
nacn in many borouchs have shown a clear re-
solve to force the eight hours issue. They de-
fcatcd the best of their own men, Mr.. Broadhurst.
in Nottingham, because he was against eight
hours Thcy turned against Mr. Morley in New
castle for the same reason, ami very nearly de-
featel him The Newcastle case must be con-
sdered by itself Mr.. Morley honestly said lie
and his party had sustainei a great reverse. Mr.
Hammond Unionist comes in at the head OF the
Poll by nearly 5000 majority. Mr.. Morley is
elected and his GladstOnian colleague defeated.
Eight hours cfd il. Other causes contributed.
hut the eight hours men made no secret of their
purpose to punish Mr. Morley for refusing to sac
rifce his cow ons TO what they thought their
interests, and they openly supported Unlonlst
against him. IT is bitter business for Mr.. Nor
ley 1t may ultimately cost him his seat should
t.,to oln .t,t,
lie is not the most discreet Of men lie Observed
during the contest that he should not care to sit
for Newcastle with Unionist colleague, that it
would lie az "ignoni y7 If there be any dis
aster TO the Unionist side 10 set or against this
it nav be the defeat of Mr.. Ritchie, Cabinet
Minister IN the East End Of London
The Liberal Unionists have shown unexpected
strength. There were siXty-sX of them in the
last House They were told that not more than
ten or twelve Of them were 70 survive. They
already number twcnty-Sl in the new House
1hcy have lost nine seats, and gained five, leaving
a net loss Of four.
Assuming for the moment, that Mr. Gladstone
will have a majority OF some Sort the question
of what will he do with IL becomes an interest
ing subject. There will he an imperative neces-
sity Of coming to terms with his Irish allies lie
will have free hand. His hand Is free, that Is, so
far as England is concerned. To England he has
given no pledges offered no eXpanation made no
statement which binds him 10 one form Of Home
Rule rather than another. You seem To have IN
New York some curious information respecting the
new Home Rule bill, both outlines and details
| can only say thai no such Information Il ac-
cessbIe 70 the English public No other knowl-
edge has been communicated to them than WHAT ~
10 be found in Mr.. Gladstone's Edinburgh speech.
lol;o Laro hot tl,e q
ncw bill have been impaired to Lord Roscbery
or 70 Mr.. Morley i 10 anybody else, or that Mr.
Gladstone has made up his mind what he Will do.
Some alternative possibilities may have bcen put
before these two gentlemen and one or two others,
or NAV not: but whether they have or not, the
hundreds Of thousands Of electors who have Dech
voting for Glad,tonian candidates have Dcch Vot-
ing absolutely in the dark
The only thing to which Mr. Glad
stone is pladgcd is Home Rulc Tor
Ireland in some shape lie will frame Dill, IN
troduce it, perhaps pass il. ] say perhaps De-
cause the moment he commits hnlsel1 TO d speclhc
measure his troubles will begin, as they began III
1856. Many of his supporters are elected, and
many more will be elected next week on o'h'r
Issues than Home Rule. They have views of their
own. their constituencies have views Even
though they regard Home Rule as OF secondary,
not urinary importance, they will agree to some
things and not TO others. Mr.. Gladotones cal
culation may he that his followers who are elected
by small majoritcs will be the most docic OF
all. Their seats, In the event OF another ol'Soiu-
ton would he in peril, and they must, he thlANN,
accept any bill he may propose. wherefore, hc
pr efcrs small majoritics. Whatever members may
say or do public opinion will begin to act ana to
act on them The bill will he subjected to the
most minute and merciless criticism IL Will rain
amendments in the House OF Commons Nobody
can say in what shape the bill will emerge from
Committee Should it ever get there, however,
J., -, assume ~ we did about the majority, that