Los Angeles herald., 1892-07-03

of victory may already be seen en-
circling the brow of the Democracy, the
south, or any portion Of the south, can
be weaned from their traditional allegi-
ance to that organization. do not UNDER
stand that section. 1t is true that South
Carolina was carried by the Alliance at
the last state election, and that num-
Der of Alliance congressman were even
elected in Georgia, but that was in dis
tinctively local elections, and affords no
criterion in presidential year.
The case is far different in the north.
where the Peoples party may, and
probably will, cut large figure in deter
mining the result in favor of the Demo-
cracy. That organization is strong
enough in Kansas to perhaps win the
state for its own nominees for president,
governor and congressman. There is
absolutely nothing strained in this sug-
gestion. 1t is almost betting proposi-
tion. If close and dispassioned OBJ
server, who has noticed the peculiar up
heaval in Kansas, were compelled to
put up his money on thatcommonwealth
he would probably chance it on the
Peoples party. This looks strange, but
it is true, all the same. The elements
which compose the Peoples party are
also notably strong in Nebraska, Wis
consin and Iowa, all of which
states, be it remarked, have today
Democratic governors. From its very
constituents the Peoples party
will inevitably draw much more
largely from the Republican than
from the Democratic party. Mr.. Cleve-
land undoubtedly more nearly repre-
sents the average aspiration of the west
ern farmer than Mr.. Harrison. With
such man, and the platform of the
Democratic party, there is scarcely any
danger of the detection of the masses.
Even if we were to admit that there is
danger of a certain loss from Tammany's 8
sullenness in New York-which we do
not believe-there is no Tammany rep
resentation in the northwest, nor any
sympathy with Tammany. On the other
hand, Mr.. Harrison is to marked de-
gree the representative and champion of
the monocrats, the protected industries
and the inHoent propaganda OF the
trusts. He embodies in a special de-
gree the ideas which the Peoples party
was organized to fight.
1t thus very easily and logically fol-
lows that Mr.. Harrison will lose Kansas,
Iowa, Nebraska and Wisconsin, with a
strong probability that the Democrats
will carry the three latter states. But
it makes no difference whether Mr..
Cleveland shall carry them or no. If
Mr.. Harrison simply loses them no
arithmetician on earth can figure him
elected. Let him carry, for the cake of
argument, New York and Indiana, as he
did in 1888, and all the other states
which he did in that year, and he could
not possibly be elected against the votes
of the states named. Should he carry
New York and Indiana, and those states
should be carried by the Peoples party,
the election would be thrown into the
present house of representatives.
uOb 1HbO tilo Ou6 bO U0 6teCbpQ bnlE Iall
and Mr.. Cleveland would be over
whelmingly elected.
This view OF the matter, which is not
only possible but eminently probable,
puts Mr.. Harrison between the devil
and the deep blue sea. The probability
is extreme that Mr.. Cleveland will carry
three of the states named, in addition
to those which he carried in 1884,
together with New York, Indiana and
California, and that his majority will
thus be phenomenal one. The Peo-
ple's party will undoubtedly cut an
important figure in the campaign of
1892, and it will be in the direction of
insuring that Harrison will be one of
the worst beaten men that ever forced
himself upon an unwilling party. He
will suffer severe penalty for having
sent his Office holders to Minneapolis to
dragoon an irresolute and wavering lot
OF delegates into inviting repetition OF
the deluge.