The Jersey City news. (Jersey City [N.J.]) 1889-1906, 1892-06-16
CloveIand and Bill at Chicago.

the nominee of the Chicago onven
ton. He will enter the fight with a
comparatively small backing, and he
will probably lose strength steadily to
the end of the contest.
On the other hand, it would be I'M
safe to say hat Mr.. Cleveland has a
walkover for the nomination. There
are very many adverse forces at work,
not the least being the Hill minority.
In the end. his friends may have to
withdraw him in favor of a compro-
mise candidate. But Mr.. Cleveland
will enter the Convention with very
great strength indeed, and the prob
ability, viewing the situation from
this distance of time and place, would
seem to be that he would grow in
strength as the struggle progressed.
On the whole, reducing the outlook
betting book, we should say the
chances were from two to three to one
iu5 favor of MIR. Cleveland's nomina-
ton, and about ten to one against
Senator Hill.
The Convention will consist of 99S
delegates. 1t takes Il two-thirds vote
to nominate, and therefore the winner
must have 500 delegates. Two very
interesting estimates of the opening
strength have been prepared. One
represents the hopes of the Hill lead
ers. 1t apportions the delegates
thus
Cleveland, 433; Hill, 1856; Palmer,
43; Carlisle, 35; Boies, 26.
This would leave Mr.. Cleveland 1865
votes short of winning on the first bal
lot, with 1875 votes u~naccounted for.
The Hill peoples hopes were that all
these floating votes, the support of
the minor candidates and eve some
of Mr.. Cleveland's hackers could be
won over to the sleek and sly David
on the second ballot on the theory
which is, of course, the whole back
bone of the Hill canvass-that Cleve-
land would have difficulty in carrying
New York State.
The second estimate is hat of Gen
eral Tracey of Albany, and it repre-
sents the most sanguine expectatio ms
Saf the Cleveland boomers. If there is
any truth in its rosy promises. the
battle is ended before it is begun.
This estimate divides up the Conven-
ton In the following fashion,
Cleveland, GA; Hill, 1856; Boies. AZ;
German, 1G.
Boies is given the votes OF Iowa and
Nebraska; German gets those OF
Maryland only. General Tracey ex-
plains all the questionable points in
his table inSeniously if not convinc-
ingly. The Hill table claims 49 votes
them to Cleveland for the reason that
the Convention instructed for Cleve-
land, and the delegates were to vote
for Palmer only in the event that
Cleveland is not considered an avail
able candidate. In the same way he
counts the 90 votes of Kentucky for
Cleveland, for while the delegates are
undoubtedly friendly to Mr.. Carlisle
and would like to see him nominated,
General Tracey does not think he will
be, and that Cleveland is certainly
their second choice. Hills friends
also give Cleveland only eight votes
in Pennsylvania, while the instruc-
tions were to give him the entire 81
votes as q unit. In the same way
Hills friends claim for him 10 votes
in Missouri, and give Cleveland "a,
while the instructions were to give
the entire vote to Cleveland.
If all Doubt regarding New York
State were set at rest, there is no
doubt but MIR. Cleveland would be
ominated ON the first ballot. The
omlination is due him as the best,
3urest, most unselfish and wisest
statesman in the party; as the best
President the country has had in a
quarter of a century; as the man who
has laid down and defined tho doc
trines which at present hold its adher-
ents to the Democratic party. The
party owes Mr.. Cleveland the nomina-
ton; it owes his nomination to the
country as the best guarantee OF
good legislation and good admin
istration that it can offer. The
popular demand for Mr.. Cleveland's
nomination is simply overwhelming,
save in one single quarter. We repeat
that as q matter of duty and expe-
diency alike, Mr.. Cieveland's election
would be a certainty if New York
were not in doubt.
But there would DO no doubt about
New York if there were no doubt OF
the loyalty of Mr.. HIPS supporters.
The State has been carried time and
again by steadily increasing major
tiles. Last year Governor Flower
beat Mr.. Fassett by $4,000 votes.
Harrison is unpopular, and Reid is
simply abominated by the social ele-
mont. which does no warm cordially
to Mr.. Cleveland, the organized body
OF workingmeu. Ii there is not oIacA,