Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1892-11-02
HOW REPUBLICANS VIEW IT.

An Analysis by the National Committee of
the Registration in New York.
The republican national committee has given
out the following analysis Of the registry lists
Of the city OF New York:
There are many significant facts about the
registration in New York city, all pointing in
the judgment of the republican national COM
mittee, to victory for Harrison and Reid.
One Of the most important facts Is that the
registration for 1892, below 4Oth street. or in
that part of the town where tho democrats
specially strong is g. Sol less than it in 1883.
Above 4Oh street the registration this year
stands l49.363, against l22, 274. au increase Of
27,O49. or %. II per cent. The entire increase
in registration, therefore. is above 40th street.
Comparing the registration by assembly dis
tricrs as at present constituted with the total
vote cast in 1891 in those districts the fact ap-
pears that in the distr cts casting heavy demo-
cratic majorities the increase OF registration
over the vote cast is about 25 per cent,
while the increase in districts giving
small democratic ma jority repub-
hcan plurality is about 81 per cent. The first
ten assembly districts of this city are heavily
democratic, their majorities ranging on the
vote cast in 1891 from 1000 to 5000. In those
districts the percentage OF increase Of regstra-
ton this year over the vote cast in 1891 is only
%. IS per cent. The eleventh assembly district
is a republican district. There the increase is
33. So per cent. The twenty-fir district is a
republican district. There the increase is q
per cent. The twenty-third district Is q repub-
lican district. There the increase Is 81 per
cent. The twenty-seventh district is slightly
democratic, but it contains an enormous repub-
lican vote. There the increase is Al per cent.
The twenty-eighth district is also slightly dem
ocratic, but there. too, the republican vote is
heavy. The increase there is 81 per cent.
The sum and substance Of all of this is chat
in those parts of the city where the repubti-
cans are strong registration Is very heavy show
ing large increases over the total vote cast last
year, while in the heavily democratic districts
the registration is low, showing small increase
over last years vote.
Six weeks ago Mr.. Croker gave out the predic-
ton that the registration in New York city would
amount to $50 900. That was conservative
estimate. 1t allowed for a considerable falling
off from what would be full registration. On
the basis of the natural increase over the regis
tration Of SO there should now be on the reg
istry lists of this city 342 900 names But there
are not 342, 900 nor 800, 0G0. There are only
800. $50, and the loss as the analysis above
given clearly shows, lies in the democratic dis
tricts.
In those districts, however. there has been
an enormous amount of false and illegal regis
tration. Undoubtedly as many 500 demo-
cratic repeaters have been registered and these
men expected to operate. each of them a
dozen different polls. The republican man
ayers do not expect them to do anything of the
kind. Arrangements are now being made by
which every scoundrel of them will be followed
and arrested the moment he undertakes to
perform an illegal act. The number of these
fellows available for nefarious work on election
day will be greatly reduced by arrests during
the next two or three days. Indictments are
now being prepared and warrants issued for
host Of these characters. The republican
leaders are determined that the election in this
city shall be fair and the count honest, and they
will resort to the EXTREMIST measures known to
the law to assure this result.
The registration as it stands, however, proves
the truth Of the democratic allegations At Chi
cago that Cleveland is essentially a weak cand-
date. When the democratic delegation from
this state united in the statement to the Chi
cagO convention that Cleveland could not posi-
bly, carry the state of New York they contem-
plated precisely the situation which has come
| about. They knew that there would be a slump
in the democratic vote IL he was made the party
| nominee and their predictions have been real
lied. They have made bold fight to save
him. but they have not been able In three
months to undo among their followers the
prejudices Of years.
The republican county committee, comparing
their canvass Of the city with the registry lists
have ascertained that substantially the full re-
publican vote Of this city is the rolls. Al
lowing for all possible loss it is reasonably Ger
| tain that los 900 republican votes will be cast
ss compared with LOG 600 in 1888. The full
vote Of the city will not be more than 29l 900.
| II the democrats obtain So. 55 per cent of the
| total estimated they will be doing uncommonly
| well on the situation as it stands today. This
| will give them q vote of ITO. 900 and plurality
| OF 81, 900. This is as much az they can with any
degree Of reason, hope to accomplish.