Los Angeles herald., 1892-07-09
GLADSTONE PULLING THROUGH.
He Will Have a Very Small
Working Majority.
The New Regime Will Encounter
Grave Difficulties.
1t Win Be Impossible to Accomplish
Any Important Legislation-Home
Rules Future Is Almost
Hopeless.
RY the Assoclated Press.l

BY the Associated Press.l
LONDON. July 8.-[Copyright, 1892,
by the New York Associated Press. |
Out OF twenty-four constituencies that
voted yesterday the Liberals lost twen-
ty.two and won two. These results dis
pose of the last possibility that Glad.
stone will obtain reliable working
majority. AS the elections held yester-
day are fairly representative, no great
Liberal triumph can be inferred from
the country when completed, and the
last hope fades that the Gladstone gov
eminent will be buttreseed by a strong
coherent party. On the contrary, the
Liberal majority must now depend on
the Irish party. Even with the support
of both Irish sections, it is impossible
that Gladstone will have more than a
majority of fifty. The Conservatives
hold that majority of more than twen-
ty is improbable.
Among the certainties of the future,
nothing is 30 certain as a long period
of political turmoil. Gladstone, with a
small majority composed of motley
groups of Liberals, Radicals, Laborites,
McCarthyites and Parpellites, will be
unable to effect any serious legislation.
This self-evident fact has given rise to
the rumor that he will decline to form
ministry, and will recommed Earl
Spencer for the purpose. The Liberals
rightly ridicule the rumor. They know
that their chief, even with majority of
twenty, will be ready to take office and
produce home rule.
They are also beginning to admit that
the chances of home rule passing the
house are becoming remote. If it does
not pass, no strain will be put upon the
lords in rejecting it. The peril to the
lords lay in the rejection of home rule
if backed by the decided will of the
country. They can reject it now with
a light heart.
Among other difficulties awaiting the
Liberal government is the formation OF
d Labor party not caring rap for home
rule and ready to coalesce with any
party. Already Burns and Hardie, the
strongest representatives of labor, de-
clare their intention to form party in
parliament and make terms for their
support. In addition, the new London
members are determined to form mu.
nicipal Socialist group, bent solely on
procuring social reform. Thus the op-
ponents Of Gladstone hope that his
home rule scheme will be failure.
; With regard to the new cabinet, a
treasury official told representative of
the Associated Press that he had OBJ
tanned information that Henry Fowler
would be chancellor of the excheeuer
and Sir William Vernon Harcourt first
lord of the treasury and leader of the
hou,e, This arrangement contains the
startling implication that Gladstone
will either retire to the lords or take the
lightest part In the government-the
ice-presidency of the council. The
followers ridicule the notion
of his accepting peerage, and believe
he will remain in the commons and
fight home rule through.
Regarding home rule, the Associated
Press has authority to state that Glad
stone referred, when speaking of the
adjustment of the pecuniary burdens of
Ireland, to the proposals relating to an
arrangement between the imperial and
Irish exchequers, and the proportion of
the national debt assigned to Ireland.
In his 1886 bill, this was calculated at
one-ffteenth, based upon the estimates
of taxation, ratable values, etc. This
has been found to be gross over-esti-
mate. in financial enquiry that has
long engaged Gladstone's attention. In
it he was assisted by Goschen. The
inquiry tends to show that the appor-
tionment should be one-twenty-second
part of the debt.
The strain of the Midlothian cam
paign is not affecting the vigor of Glad
stone. He is devoting his leisure time
to research for his coming Oxford lecture
on Medieval Universities. After the
elections Gladstone will go to Paris for
o few days. search for material con-
cerning the French portion of the sub
ject.
If Morley should become minister,
his opponents in Newcastle mean to
nominate Joseph Cowan against him.
Cowan is immensely popular and
might oust Morley.
The Indian government does not de-
sire the appointment of Sir David Bar
bour as delegate to the international
silver c0nference