The Helena independent. [volume] (Helena, Mont.) 1875-1943, 1892-06-08
It MAY Be DEMOCRATIC,
The Outlook for the Control Of the
Next United States
Senate.
Careful Consideration or the Stu
alton Promises q Change In
Majorities.

Why the Democrats May Have All
Branches OF the Government In
March, Of 1903.
One Of tho most interesting questions Of
the great national contests to DO deter
mined at the polls this fall 10 the control Of
the United States senate, SAYS the 81. Louis
Republic. From 1856 to 1889 the senate
was the last desperate entrenchmsnt OF the
republican party in national power. and
during most of this time il only retained
control Of that body by the votes Of the
confederate brieadiers from Virginia, Ma
hone and Riddleberger. Since the election
OF 1883 six new states, having twelve
United States senators, have bssn admit
ted to the union. There were seated az the
original senators from these states twelve
republicans. Bat Notwithstanding the
Tremendous advantage thus gained,
1t seems more than probable
that the senate that convsnes On March 1
next will have q democratic majority. par
tioularly II . democratic viss-prssidsat
shall be selected and be abls to give the
casting vote. For the frst time since the
war there 10 = prospect that tho democratic
party, II successful in the presidential cleo
tion. may obtain plensry power in the
country by controlling the executive and
both branches Of congress. II IL svsn pos
sible that the democracy might lose the
presidency and yet control beth branches
Of congress. Democratic nanagsrs in
Warrington are figuring with much presis-
inn unnN Aha Ak0rnao 10 ~~pkv1lIs-- AL
senate.
While the present senate ID heavily rspub-
lican. it 10 = fact that practically oil the sp-
~portunitiss for gaining seats are with the
democrats. The republicans sannot hope
to gain a single scat now occupied BY Z
democratic senator. The senate a. now
ans, thirty-sight democrats, two member
of the Farmers alliance (Petfer and Kyls)
n there is one vacancy in the body oocas-
Toned BY the death Of Senator Barbour. Of
Virginia. The legislature Of Virginia
oerat to succeed the deceased. It
10 now known that thirty-ons 'rspub-
lioan senators, thirty-ons democratic
senators and two independents will sit in
the Fifty-third congress. This iaeludes all
man, Of Ohio, German, Of Maryland, George
of Mississippi, and Daniel, Of Virginia, who
have been elected for the full six years
from March 1 next, and Senator Aldrioh, OF
Rhode Island, who is practically sure of
election as soon as the legislature of his
state meets. The terms OF twenty-four
senators expire on the fourth Of next March,
and it 10 tho succession of these that will
determine the control of tho senate. OF
these senators sixteen are ,epublioans and
eight are democrats. az follows:
Democrats-William B. Bate, Tenn;
Rufus Blodgstt, N. J.; Roger Q. Mills, Tex
as; Frencis "a. Cookrell, MO-: Chns. j.
Faulkner. W. Va; George Gray, Delaware;
Samuel Pasoo. Florida; David Turpis. In
diana. @A NJ,
Renublioans-John B: Allen. Washing
Davis, Minn.; Henry l.. Dawes, Mass;
Chas. N. FELTON,. CAL; Eugene Halo. Maine;
Joseph K: Hawley. Conn; Frank Hiseock.
tor, Vt; Matthew 8. Quay. Pa; Wilbur F.
Sanders. Mont; Phiietus SAWYER, Wis;
William M. Stewart, New; Francis b.
~Stookbridge. Mich; Francis e. Warren.
Wyoming.
The present republican majority over
democratic and alliance senators is six.
The net loss of three seats in the next son
ate would tie the body and the net loss of
more than three would put the senate in
the control Of the opposition. Prominent
there is a excellent chance that the senate
will have q clear democratic majority. !
Some of the reasons for the faith that ia in
them will be observed by carefully reading
the facts that follow.
Not one of the eight retiring democrats
can DO said to be in danger Of beiaR sue
ceeded by a republican. The states Of Ten
nessse. Texas, Missouri, West Virginia.
Delaware and Florida are all in the solid ,
south. The only one that has elected a re-
pet-bag regime is Delaware and the election
OF Senator Higgins is recognized as having
been occasioned by conditions purely r
local in their character that will t
not be rep oduced. Indiana and New t
Jersey are northern states, but there |
is no room for doubt IN either. In Indiana i
there ia a large democratio hold over ma q
jority in the senate and the house appor-
greatly favors the democrats. s
republicans carried the state by a -
rslity in 1885, and did not control the leRis-
lature in, either of these years. The New
Jersey legislature ia even more strongly
pr~oportionately than that of
II is, therefore, considered en-
safe to count on tho succession of
eight democratic senator's to the places now -
held by the democrats. +
That the state of New York will elect a
successor to Frank Hiscock ia
considered by members of the New York
nost a moral certainty. The present New
York senate holds over. 1t is composed Of
seventeen democrats. fourteen republicans
one Independents republican. Grant O
ng that the Independent republican would D
vote for tho republican candidate for soma
;er there il sill a clean democratic majority
If two. To elect a republican senator,
therefore, the republicans must this fall
larry the New York assembly by a plurality
If at least three. The assemblies of 1890,
1871 and 1892 have all been democratic,
hat for the present year having a demo- d.
ratio majority of six. These elections NJ
we're under the Did spportionment which a.
ave the republicans great advantage. The be
assembly of 1898 will be chosen under the vi
lemocratio reapportionmsnt and is con- Ii
idered a democratic certainty. an
Wisconsin is also counted . democratic v.
ure thing. The state has gone heavily N
democratic at two successive state elections Il
nd legislative conditions are peculiarly ia OF
orRble to the democrats. The supreIns tn
curt has declared the reapportionments in an
noonstltutional because they did d
lot follow county lines (though they did fol- to
Nv republican precedents) Ebut at the same Pr
authorized the legislature to meet in ~
pecial session and prepare a reapportion- vi
nent which did not have this objectionable an
eature. Half of the Wisconsin senate holds ~
YER and participates in the election al WI