Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1892-10-13

L.
"A lev figures at this point will serve to en-
hshten people at distance as to the conditions
which obtain here and at the same time explain
Why place North Carolina in the doubtful
column The total vote Of the state at the lsst
presidential election was 2S5, $40, Of which the
republicans polled 1874. 7S4 and the democrats
A4'.9VZ The remainder Of the whole was
scattered between the prohibitionist and union
labor candidates. The difference between the
two parties was only BIS. with the democrats
united and harmonious. 1t is estimated that at
the election next month the aggregate vote will
be about 800 900. The republicans claim. and
with good reason, that their vote viii be as
large rs in 1888. allowing for losses on account
Of the third party. What will be the strength
OF the third party? That is the problem. the
solving OF which will decide whether North
Carolina will cast eleven electoral votes for
Cleveland or Harrison. The third party men
assert that they will poll 10000 OF 1000 votes.
The republicans place the third party strength
at 30. 900 and democratic estimates place 1t
from 5000 70 10000. The proportion in
which the strength of the third will be drawn
from the two great parties Is an important
factor IN the determination Of the result. That
the bulk of it will come from the democratic
party il universally conceded and estimates
vary, some placing it at so per cent and others
at 90. The most conservative Judgment is that
The democrats will furnish rs or 80 per cent Of
ali the votes cast for the third party ticket IL
il be assumed that the relative strength Of the
democratic and republican parties is the same
now as in 1888, on the basis of 10000 votes
cast, the division would be; Democrats, 163.-
600; republicans, $4,000. Estimating the
strength of the third party at 40, 900. and that
10 per cent of that number Is drawn from tho
democratic column, would make the fig
ures stand: Democrats. l33, 0OO repub-
hcanp, $4,000, plurality for the former
OF 5000. II the third party should poll so, 900.
or should, "a the republicans believe, the third
party receive not more than 10 per cent Of its
strength from the republicans, the Harrison
electoral ticket would have a plurality. II
these facts and figures be compared with those
furnished by Indiana and other so-called
doubtful states it will be admitted that it Is not
exaygeration to saw that North Carolina belongs
In the doubtful column. After a careful ex-
animation of the conditions prevailing in this
state, and with some knowledge of those pre-
vailing in Indiana. have no doubt whatever
money In North Carolina that IL expended on
Indiana the former would be made a certain re-
publican state.
NORTH CAROLINA REPUBLICANS.
The republicans Of North Carolina are not
only numerically strong, but are strong in per-
sonnet The talk about NEGRO supremacy"
so potential in states farther south. has no ter
rors for intelligent men in North Carolina.
With a population madeup of two whites to one
black there can be no such calamity negro
supremacy inflicted upon the state, even were
II attempted BIZ any party. very large pro-
portion of the republicans are white men,
natives of :he state. representing many of the
oldest and most respectable families. Among
them are found many young men. thoughtful,
patriotic and aggressive, who are acting from
conviction and who are not laboring for politi-
cal prOycnder. Many of these young men are
found on the stump advocating the election OF
the republican ticket and many more could
be sent out if funds could be raised to
defray the necessary and legitimate expenses
In many of the counties the white republicans
are in the majority and in all such counties
they are well represented. 1t ID a singular fact
that the democrats talk of obtaining their
largest rlaiorities this year from those counties
In which the negroes predominant. 1t can be
readily understood that with nearly one-half Of
the entire vote Of the state and with third
party in the field. composed largely of seceders
have been guilty of great blunder to have
abandoned their organization. Had this been
done the result in North Carolina mex. month
would be much the same as the result in Georgia
last week.
THIRD PARTY PROSPECTS,.
The third party leaders have no expectation
OF electing their state and national tickets, but
do expect to achieve success il many of the
counties and TO gain control of the legislature
with the cooperation of those republicans who
will be elected In many of the counties the re-
publicans and populists acting together on the
local ticket. and this is true in some Of the con-
have but one Of the nine members of Congress,
Cheatham. who represents the second district,
which is assuredly republican.
The republicans expect to gain three mem
beers in the next Congress- namely, the fifth
eighth and ninth districts. In the fifth district
a. T..
republican, and there Is a probability that VIII
cox in the eighth and Pritchard in the ninth.
republicans. will pull through. An effort will
BE- made before the close of the month TO with
draw republican and populist candidates. re-
spectiyely. where such action will insure the
defeat of democratic candidates. II this be
done the democrats might not elect more than
three representatives TO the next Congress.
The democrats have q decided advantage in
the election laws, under which they have the
registrars and the poll holders. There is very
little positive fraud in the elections of this state
but methods are practiced in some localities
by registrars and election officers by which re-
publicans are prevented from casting their
ballots. 1t il believed that the presence Of q
third party at the polls, composed Of men who
are familiar with these methods and know
those who have practiced them in the past, will
have a salutGry effect and insure fairer and
fuller registration, as well as an honestly con-
Quoted election.
The democratic state ticke. will poll a greater
number Of votes than the electoral ticket for
the reason that there is a considerable number
of white men who vote with the republicans on
national affairs who vote he democratic state
and local tickets. At least that has been true
in the past.
find that the protection theory is progress
i've in North Carolina, particularly in sections
which contain industrial establishments There
are upward Of $50 cotton mills in this state and
large steel mill has just been erected near
Greensboro at an expenditure of about $780,
900. much 81 II North Carolina capital. These
industrial developments may be the means Of
changing former action on the state ticket.
Whatever changes mayb be made in this direc-
ton will inure 10 the benefit OF tho republicans
A number of republicans, including Mott
Russell and Harris, ere supporting the third
party state ticket These gentlemen believed
that the republicans of North Carolina should
have followed the action OF republicans in other
southern states. and instead of placing q state
tket in the field should have Endorsed and sup
ported the third party ticket Their advice was
not followed and they are in consequence not
acting with the republicans except upon the
electoral ticket. There are indications that
thg.e dissatisfied republicans are exertlnC any