Morning journal and courier., 1892-07-18


 May Refuse to Resign-Difhcu iI
 Keeping the Irish Members in At.
 tendance-A Dissolution May bt
 Easily Brought About by Their b. . sence-An Analysis of the Vote.
 LONDON, July 17.-All cabinet ministers have been summoned to London for Thurs. day next. MT. Balfour, arriving in town yesterday, proceeded to Hatfield house to see Lord Hatfield. Lord Salisbury went to Windsor to-day to meet the Duke of Devonshire, who has been staying at the castle for some time.
 A number of members of the Carleton club came into town to watch events. The political clubs generally are crowded. A rumor is rife that the Carleton club men state that section of the cabinet want Lord Salisbury to resign forthwith in order to force MT. Gladstone to meet the house of commons with full disclosure of his home rule and general policy, and to pre- cipitate the crisis.
 The liberal leaders are prepared to take office immediately or await the defeat of the government on the amendment to the duuT6bS. IO IhCllCb buoO tuO plC5chb sOf- ernment can adopt will force the hands of MT. Gladstone. If Lord Salisbury does not await formal vote of expulsion the liberal government policy, as outlined in the queens speech, ,csn be so couched as to reveal nothing that the conservatives do not already know. If the conservatives rely upon forcing Mir. Gladstone to declare himself fully in the debate npon the that depends upon his pleas ure. The course that MT. Glad stone adopts will not in the slight est be influenced by the views of the opposition, but will be rather directed to baf1e them. A conference of MT. Glad stone and his colleagues is expected to take place on Thursday. The difficulties of working the house with majority depend ent upon the Irish members are fully ap- preciated at the liberal headquarters. Among the trouble menacing the govern ment is the habit the Irish members have of irregular attendance. Many of them have had business affairs in Ireland to look after hitherto and only appeared in the house when they were summoned there by the exigency of Irish affairs. The special business being finished they vanished again. If this practice is continued under the new the absence of some forty Irish will render the government liable to defeat at any moment.
 Paruell kept his men together when the party purse was full by personal payments at regular intervals, enabling them to dis regard the claims of private affairs. The liberals might have recourse to subsidizing the McCarthyites, but this would place the party under obligations which it is almost impossible to accept. If the American freely continue during the T tbah hox, rfp xyi11 ho derfully heartened and strengthened. All sides recognize the fact that the present cleo tions, costing as they have about fe, ,500, 900, are only the prelude to a more de- cisive electoral campaign, when more money must be expected and the local or gsnizstion everywhere must be maintained in full vigor. The resources of the Cnion ists are inexhaustible as compared with those of the liberals, though assurances have been obtained by the liberal executive that wealthy Gladstonians are ready to re- spond to demands.
 As to the coming crisis in parliament a month must elapse before the actual busi- ness of the house begins. The swearing in of members takes fortnight, then the election of the speaker and of the chair men of the committee proceeds, in- volving possibly a debate, and next comes the discussion of the amend ment to the address in reply to the speech from the throne. If this is followed by 8 change of government MT. Gladstone may take fortnight to form a ministry, a num- Der of members of which may require re- election. The liberals thus calculate that it will be October 3 before the new govern ment can be called upon to present to par liament its program. It is probable, therefore, that Mir. Gladstone may not be- gin the work of legislation in the winter session, but will postpone it until next spring.
 A section of the conservatives cherish the delusion that Lord Salisbury, still holding a majority of the British votes, can refuse to resign until another appeal has been made to the country. Some tory papers seek to deny that such course would be unconstitutional, though the bulk of them admit that the government must vacate office on the first adverse vote.
 A analysis of latest returns shows the value of the British vote on which the conservatives now rely as the bulwalk for the rejection of home rule. The number of members thus far returned is 652. This leaves only eighteen results yet undeclared. England has sent 234 conservatives, 193 liberals, including members of the labor party, 30 uulOulbCS aDu McCAItuyltt llOm V Sou- nor.). Scotland II conservatives 50 iber- als and 10 unionists. Wales sends 9 con- servatives and 26 liberals, and Ireland IF conservatives, 5 unioniste, GA Mccarthy ites and Parnellites. The opposition combined thus aggregates 342 and the un- ionists BIO. Of the eighteen seats yet unre- turned seven Irish and six British in the late parliament were held by the oppo- sition and five by unionists. As changes are unlikely the new parliament will con sist of 355 Gladstonians and 315 unionists. The total number of unionists returned by Great Britain is 292 and the total Glad stonians 275, including gto-morrow's results in the eighteen remaining districts. When Great Britain shows clear majority for home rule, says the unionist press, it will come. It can never be carried by Irish votes, especially when these votes are twenty in excess of their fair proportion according to the relative population of the countries. The total number of votes re- corded up to date is as follows; Opposi- ton, 2, 199. .594; unionist, 2,004, 292. A Village Almost Destroyed. CATANIA, July 17.-Enormous incandes- cent rocks and immense clouds of steam