Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1892-11-05

pie But the victory is deprived of much of
the significance that nigh. otherwise be at
tached 20 it By the fact thai. though thew had
plurality. the democrats showed no gain in
their total vote. On the contrary their total
vote was 16.44l higher than that given Cleve-
land In 1858: The plurality came Of great
Iaiiing on OF the republican vote or il they
actually gained republican votes a greater
number OF democrats failed to vote.
More than $4,000 republicans who voted
for Harrison in SO failed to vote for the
republican candidate for treasurer in 80. In
the total vote cast there was a falling off of
! II 543 votes. Under ordinary conditions the
restoration OF the vote this wear to the total OF
| IS might be expected to restore to the republ-
cans their majority. This might not neces-
sariiy follow, and the democrats expect to hold
part OF the German vote, besides receiving
their own full vote. In all ordinary calcula-
mons, however, they could hardly expect to
have plurality on full vote The increased
registration in Chicago, amounting to about
iooooO: puts new element into the calcula-
ton 1t might naturally be expected to in
crease the republican majority of SIS On are
duced vote the democrats carried Cooks
county In 80 by a plurality Of $3.50. In So
on full vote Harrison carried this county by
oO4. II the percentage Of SO could be counted
on TO hold the increased registration would
greatly increase the republican majority The
democrats claim, however that this increased
registration is due to their efforts chiefly, and
that per cent Of it is democratic II this
claim were we'll founded it would give them
the state.
IOWA, OREGON AND NEBRASKA
In Iowa, Oregon and Nebraska the situation
was exactly the reverse of that in Illinois in &c.
The democrats carried those two states on n
considerably increased vote and in Nebraska
the republicans had the lowest vote of the three
parties In the field.
In 'Ss, with total vote of 2O2 632, Mr.. Harri-
son had a plurality of 1888, his vote being
los. 425 against S0.552 for Cleveland. In 80,
with the total vote increased to 214. O90 Boyd
democrat. was elected governor bv a plurality
OF l,l44. Yet Boyds vote was 1922 less than
that for Cleveland in 49,
This paradox was due to the fact that
Powers, the populist candidate in 90 received
70. lS7 votes, most of which came from the re-
publlcans, reducing the republican vote to
6S. S7S.
In 81. there then being but two candidates
IN the field. the republicans elected the Judge
OF the supreme court by majority of 3l36 in
total vote of ISL $50. At this election the re-
publican candidate for judge got SIG more
votes than were cast for Boyd for governor
the year before. These figures give no evil
dence OF an increase of the democratic vote.
but indicate that the populists, having the
second largest vote, may defeat the republicans
BY either running separate ticket or bv
fusing with the democrats. With three tickets
In the field the democrats might hope to have
plurality, calculating upon the result in 80.
The republicans are placed at q great disad-
vantage with the populist vote against them.
In Iowa in 81 the vote cast for governor was
l6,022 heavier than that for President in 80.
Harrisons plurality in s8 81, 721, while
Boies had a plurality OF s,2l6 in 81. There
was heavy falling off in the republican vote,
as well as an increase in the democratic. Boies
got ZIP more votes than Cleveland. but still
lacked 4.O09 of the number cast for Harrison.
Boies election was n clean-cut victory over the
republicans. The republican vote was reduced
r. 225 votes, all OF which went to Boies and, of
the increase of 1902 in the total vote over SO.
he got all but about 535. If these figures could
be relied on as indicating the sentiment OF the
state, the democrats might regard a full vote rs
the only essential to their CARRYING the state
this year.
In Oregon the total vote was ~, 7O5 in 80
against 81. 905 in SS. and nearly the entire in
crease went TO the democrats. Harrison car
red the state by 6,769 plurality Pennoyer,
the democratic candidate for governor in 80,
was elected by plurality of 5,133. Harrisons
vote in 'sS was 81, 291. Cleveland's was &c. 500.
while Penuoyer's in go was So 9l9. But Thomp-
son, the republican candidate in 80, lost no
votes which Harrison got in 'ss. On the con-
trarv, be got 495 more votes than Harrison.
showing clear gain of more than ten thousand
new votes for the democrats. Since that cleo
ton Remover has gone over to the peoples
party and the republicans may regain the state
through division of the opposition though
tuc.N Bct uO IlOFt tuaU luOupsOE vote, WHICH
exceeded Harrison's. and was but 46.47 per
cent Of the vote of the state.
Iowa, Oregon and Nebraska stand out as
conspicuous exceptions to the rule as to re-
publican states carried by the democrats in 80.
MASSACHUSETTS.
While the vote by which Russell was elected
governor OF Massachusetts, in 81 was 6.I2T
larger than that cast for Cleveland in 'SS II was
$40 less than Harrison's vote, and the total
vote in 'Q1 vas % ga 1ess fbo,
The vote for Bracket, republican candidate
in 81. was 32,377 less than that for Harrison
in 'SS.
These figures can hardly give the democrats
much grounds for the expecta ton Of victory
when full vote is cast.
WISCONSIN.
In Wisconsin the democratic victory Of 80
was won under conditions similar to those in Hi
nois the same year, the school question inhu-
encing the German vote in favor of the demo-
Gratis. An analysis OF the vote, however is
more favorable to the democrats. as Peck got
5,l56 more votes in so than Cleveland got in SO,
though &c. les less than were cast for Harrison.
The total vote cast in 80 was 55 465 less than in
SS, and the falling off of the republican vote
was "A. 4S5. or this latter number 5.156 voted
for Peck. &c that there were 80, 1923 republican
and 1876 democratic voters who did not go to
the polls. Ii all these stay-at-homes should
come out this time and the democrats should
hold the 5.156 German votes Peck received in
80 they would lack but 30 of reaching the vote
Of Mr.. Harrison in 'sS. This brings the state
very close, with world Of possibilities and
Wisconsin may well be considered doubtful
state.
WEST VIRGINIA
There is very little Significance in the figures
as to West Virginia except that they indicate
that the republican chances in the state In
crease with the increase Of the total vote. The
democrats carried the state in 80 by plurality
OF 8 1897. but this vote was 3S2 less than in '8S,
when their majority was but 552, and the total
vote in 80 was 1869 less than in 'SS. showing a
stay-at-home republican vote OF S,l67 An in
creased vote this year over 'S8 might be ex-
pected to give the state to the republicans
INDIANA.
In 80 the democrats carried Indiana by ma
jority of 1859, but their vote was q, 1872 less
than Cleveland got in sS, and the republican
vote fell off 49,059.
The total vote was SO ,3O6 less than in 'ss.
Between the two great parties $685. votes were
lost to the prohibitionists and popuists.
The labor candidate for President in 'sS got
but 2, 694 votes In 80 the'popurst candidate
for secretary Of state got 1884. The pro-
hibitionists in '8S cast 1881 votes and in 80
IL, LOG. 1t is fair to assume that most Of these
votes came from the republicans, since the re-
publican falling off was much greater than that
Of the democrats. As heavy prohibition and
populist vote on Tuesday would probably make
Indiana safe for Cleveland. The republicans
are hoping that the populist vote will be largely