Abilene weekly reflector. [volume] (Abilene, Kan.) 1888-1935, 1892-11-03
NEW YORK STATE.
The Times and the Tribune Draw
Conclusions.
BASED on The REGISTRATION.
The Times Sees Certain Democratic Vic.
tory In tho Figures and the Tribune
Secs Overwhelming Repub-
lIcan Success.

New York, Nov. Now that regis
tration In this state has been completed,
republicans and democrats are busy fig
uring out their chances of victory or de-
feat
The democratic view Of the situation
may be shown by the following, taken
from the Times:
The best promise OF democratic success IL
found In the registration In this city 3l9.3'a
1t is about 5000 more than ever before, II Is
decidedly democratic reglstraton-tho gains
are all democratic, the decreases are oil repub.
liean A great registration for Cleveland and
Stevenson. All the democratic managers are
sincerely satisfied They know what II
means, because they know how the registration
was worked for by the democrats, and
that IL Is fully up to their private estimates OF
what II should be. Barring some OF the so.
called republican districts, the city Is registered
up to tho full limit One voter In every i've OF
population Is what the census sharps call for
one voter in six Is nearer the facts in city like
this But take II at one vote In five and elm.
inate republican decreases, and It appears that
the democratic vote must certainly be regis.
tered up TO the full limit The republican re-
serve vote has not come out Tho republican
managers know IL, and they are squirming
around for fake explanations OF the registra-
ton thas will encourage republican workers In
the states that are doubtful. which ia not the
case with New York state, which is democratic.
In New York and Brooklyn the registration
this year numbers about 10000 more than IL
was in 1883 More than wothirds OF this in.
crease concededly goes to the democrats In.
dications are that the increase in the number
OF enrolled voters will OF itself add about 2O.WO
voters to the democratic plurality south Of the
northern boundary line OF the city. The net
Cleveland plurality In 1888 south Of Westchester
county was II 0b3, and the most conservative
estimates that 1t is possible TO make furnished
by tho registration figures, show that Cleve-
land will not have less than 81, 900 plurality be-
low that same line. The best republican boast
il that Mr.. Harrison will come down 20 the
northern boundary line with his plurality OF
1855, which was 5000 OF course, no shrewd
republican politician believes that Mr., Harrison
will come down with any such figures this year.
They know he will not and they say as much
when they are not talking for publication.
Tho republican JIG is up in this state. The
New York city registration shows that The
npportonment has rendered II impossible to
make an analytical comparison Of the reglstra.
ton this year district by district New York
city has thirty assembly districts In 1888 and
last year, for that matter, there were but TWEEN
ty.four The election districts are not the
same and even a comparison made on the basis
OF the election districts would be OF no value
But the new Twenty.ninth and Thirticth as
sembly districts comprise exactly the same
territory as was comprised last presidon'
tial year in the old Twenty. fourth as
nishes an excellent map to show that tho
increase In registration Is all due to democratic
gainA In 1873 the registration In the territory
was 10 SiS, This year 1t is HIS, gain 4,tS5 in
q territory which Is Overwhelmingly democratic
aud which gave Mr.. Flower u plurality Of SOO6
votes last year. The great democratic vote
comes largely from the districts that are on the
river and in those districts tho increases have
been largely democratic
HOW REPUBLICANS FIGURE 1T.
The republican view may be shown
by the following, taken from the Trib-
une:
The registration in this city and throughout
the state was completed on Saturday II Is re-
gardcd by tho republican leaders with complete
satisfaction. Careful examination Of the re
turns, not only from New York, Kings county
and the neighborhood Of the city, but from the
smaller cities Of the state and from tho rural
districts so far as heard from, which was made
yesterday at republican headquarters, assured
Chairman Hnckett and his associates In cam.
paign work that the republicans are certain OF
carrying the state for Harrison and Reid The
state OF New York can be lost to the republic
ans only by the occurrence Of an unforeseen
contingency, and IL Is by no means likely In a
canvass like this.
The registration in this city Is looked upon rs
significantly favorable 10 the republicans The
democrats have all along predicted big regis.
tration OF anywhere from 82IO)J TO $1,000 q he
latter was Mr. Cookers ngures), upon which
they could predict plurality for Mr. Cleveland
Of 70. 900 10 5000 The normal increase would
have brought It to ,OO1 but the full reristra
tration Is 800 $40, a heavy decrease In tho DINO
cratic prophecies Estimating the number OF
ballots which will be cast for tho prohibition
lists, socialists and peoples party at 2s,oDl
this will leave 2s0,OO1 votes to 10 divided
between Harrison and Cleveland -Four
years ago Gen. Harrison received iudv2i
and Mr. Cleveland had lG273S This year no
body would put Harrson's below the number
received in 1888, while conservative politicians
OF both parties have figured II at l2l,OO Al
the ratio Of Increase in Blaines vote In 1854 over
Garfield In 1887 which was about ~ per cent,
Harrison will have next month lis,Oj0 votes
But Harrison's increase in 1888 over Blaine In
1854 was over II per cent II this ratio Ia main
tanned at the coming election President Harr
sons vote will he l2S,O0D Even at Is per cent
over four year, ago the vote for the prCsi'
Dental republican candidate would reach
1880.
But the estimates at republican headquarters
were placed Of the lower figure OF 1900 votes
for Harrison, and this would leave Cleveland
$4,000 or 1000 less than he received four years
ago That his majority will not exceed 0,0OJ In
New York city seems most reasonable con
olusion Adding 5000 for Kings and 80 for tho
counties OF Richmond, Queens and Suffolk viii
make the democratic majority only 5000 fol
the republican interior to overcome, That they
VIII come down to Kings with 9)O)) or BON
majority for Harrison Is far more likely than
they will bring down less than 5000 majority