New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1892-07-18
VALUE OF THE BRITISH VOTE.
CONSERVATIVES NOW RELY ON 1T TO DE
FEAT HOME RULE.
THE LIBERAL MAJORITY DEPENDENT ENTIRELY
ON THE IRISH VOTE-MR. GLAD
STONES PROGRAMME

THE LIBERAL MAJORITY DEPENDENT ENTIRELY
on THE IRISH voTE.-MR. GLAD.
STONES PROGRAMME.
London, July l7.-An analysis of the latest
election returns shows the value of the British
vote. on which the Conservatives now rely for
the rejection of Home Rule. The number of MEM
bers thus far returned IL 652 This leaves only
eighteen results yet undecided. England has sent
p3s Conservatives; 1913 Liberals, including mem
bers of the Labor party thirty Unionists, and one
McCarthyte. Scotland sends eleven Conserva-
tives. fifty Liberals and ten Unionists. Wales
sends two Conservatives and twenty-six Liberals,
and Ireland seventeen Conservatives, five Union
lists sixty-four McCarthyites and nine Parnelhtes
The Opposition thus aggregates 342, and the
Jnionsts $40. OF the eighteen seats yet uhro
turned seven Irish and six British in the late
Parliament were held by the Opposition, ana hVe
by the Unionists As changes in these are un-
likely. the new Parliament will consist Of 355
Gladstonians and 3l5 Unicnists.
The total number of UniQnists returned by
Great Britain is 292, and the total NUMBER OF
Gladstonians 275, including to-morrows propaDle
results in the eighteen remaining districts When
Great Britain shows a clear majority for Home
Rule, saws the Unionst press, 1t will come IL
can never be carried by Irish votes, especially
fair proportion according to the relative popula-
ton Of the countries.
The total number Of vetes recorded up to date
is as follows Opposition, 2,1se,5e4; Unionist
2,ooA,2o2.
All the Cabinet Ministers have been summopea
10 London for Thursday next Mr. Balfour ar
riving in town yesterday, went to Hatfield House
to see Lord Salisbury. Lord Salisbury went to
Windsor to-day to meet the Duke of Devonshire
who has been staying at the Castle for some time
Here he had conference with the Queen, and
returned to London this evening, accompanied
by the Duke of Devonshire, under excitement
1t is expected that some developments OF an un-
wonted character are impending.
A number of members Of the Carlton Club came
into town today to watch events. The political
clubs generally are crowded. rumor is rife
that the Carlton Club men state that section of
the Cabinet want Lord Salisbury to resign forth
with. in order to force Mr. Gladstone to meet the
House of Commons with full disclosure of his
Home Rule and general policy and so precipitate
the crisis.
The liberal leaders are prepared TO take office
Immediately or await the defeat Of the Govern
ment on the amendment TO the address. No toe
tics that the present Government can adopt will
force the hands of Mr. Gladstone. If Lord Sails
bury does not await formal vote Of expulsion
the Liberal Government policy. as outlined In the
Queens Speech, can be 50 couched as 70 reveal
nothing that the Conservatives do not already
know. The Conservatives cannot rely upon fore
ing Mr. Gladstone to declare himself fully on the
debate to the amendment as that depends upon
his pleasure The course that Mr.. Gladstone
adopts will not in the slightest be influenced by
the views Of the Opposition but rather directed
to battle them
conference between Mr.. Gladstone and his col
leagues is expected 10 take place on Thursday
Ilo d1niculrles Of working the House with ma
iority dependent upon the Irish members are fully
appreciated at the Liberal headquarters. Among
the troubles menacing the new Government Is the
habit the Irish members have of irregular attend
ance Many Of them have had business affairs ID
Ireland to look after hitherto, and only appeared
in the House when they were summoned there by
the exigency of Irish affairs The special business
being fnishdl they vanished again. If this prac-
tce is continued under the new Government, the
absence of some forty Irish members will render
the Government liable to defeat at any moment.
Parnel kept his men together when the party
purse was full by personal payments at regular
intervals. enabling them to disregard the claims
Of private affairs The Liberals might have re-
course TO subsidizing the McCarthyites, but this
would place the party under Obligations! when IL
is almost impossible 10 accept If the American
subscriptions freely continue during the final crlss,
the Home Rule party will be wonderfully heart
ened and strengthened. All sides recognize the
fact that the present elections, costing as they
have about E2 500, 900, are only the prelude 70 o
more decisive electoral campaign, when more money
must be expended, and the local organzatl hs
eyervwbere must be maintained in full vlgor.
The resources OF the Unonists are lneXhaustloie
as compared with those Of the Liberals, though
,ss,raroas bava been obtained by the Liberal
executive that wealthy Gladstonlans are ready
TO respond ~ demands . . ,,;,. q
As regards the coming crisis in Parliament, a
month must eapse before the actual 1usro1
the Uouse begins The swearing III OF members
takes fortnight: then the election OF the Speaker
and of the chairmen of commtteeS prOcce1s' III
volving possiblv n debate and next comes the as
cussion OF the amendment 20 the Aduress IN reply
10 the Speech from the throne III TINS is 1olioWeu
by change of Government, Mr.. GIadstohe may
take a fortnight 10 form Alihlslry' d
number of members OF whlch may ri r.
oujre reelection. The Liberals thus cal
ccnlate that il will be October before the new
Government can be called upon 10 present 10 far-
lament It's programme The import OF ths estl-
mate of progress Is that II Ii pr0bapIe uidt ar.
Gladstone will begin the Work OF eels ~
in the winter session, but will postpone IL unui
next spring ,., .h o
4 section of the Conservatives cherish the de-
fusion that Lord Salisbury, still holding Il haJoi
another appeal has been made to the country
Some Tory papers seek 10 deny that snch couIo
would be unconstitutional though the bulK OF
them admit that the Government must Vacate oi-
fee on the first adverse vote.