The morning call., 1892-11-01
Republicans No Longer Question Harri.
sons Election.
PROTECTION WILL Be SUSTAINED.
The Registration in EeW York Insures Majority
in The Empire State Of Over Twenty
Thousand.
Special TO THE MORNING CALL

campaign in the East is getting lively.
Last week closed with an apparent conf
Gence on both sides. The Republicans have
Frightened up good deal during the week,
the Improvement in the conditions In New
jersey. Delaware and Connecticut particu-
larry giving them encouragement. They
are also receiving reports from New York
and Indiana which lead them TO insist in
strong terms that both these States are 60
ing Republican. The Democrats, OF course,
do net admit this. They express great con-
fdence in carrying both New York and In
diana, but admit thet they are very anxious
about Connecticut and not at all confident
as TO West Virginia.
Now that the registration is completed
there is some basis on which to form esti-
mates of the result in New York State.
The total registration In New York City
was about %, 900 under the estimates made
by Mr. Croker and the Tammauy leaders.
They, however, explain the shortage by
saying that the falling off in the registry is
In Republican localities. The Republicans
say that the claim of 1900 majority
In the city for Cleveland is made simply for
effect outside the State.
This is an estimate Of the vote of New
York City prepared by the Republican
State Committee: Total registry, 800, $50
less per cent not voting is, 900. and 5000
scattering. 2s3, 800; Republican vote. 116 600 !;
Democratic plurality. 5l,S30. Mr.. Harrison
polled nearly 107,0o0 votes in New York
City four years ago.
They believe he can easily get l16, 900 here
this year. In fact, they claim that il is
more likely to be over that figure than
under.
Altogether the registration in the citv is
not as satisfactory 10 the Democrats as they
like 10 make ont. II the Republicans hold
their own it is difficult to see how Mr.
Cleveland can get over 10000 majority In
New York City.
couragng TO the Democrats. Four wears
ago Mr.. Cleyelsnd's majority in Kings
County was less than 13000 Chairman
Dady Of the Kings County Republican
Committee comedies Mr.. Cleveland 5000 in
Kings County this year, and says il may be
D 1900 or 10000.
Recent arrivals from Indiana say the
Republicans there have plucked up wonder
ful courage within the last week. Until
recently the managers refused 10 give any
Information, and their expression indicated
that what they refused was not encourag-
ing. This has unaccountably changed within
the last few days. One now hears it whis-
pered that Harrison viii carry Indiana by
perhaps 1000 or 5000, and occasionally bet
in that direction is registered.
From conservative point OF Yiew the
chances seem 70 be that the Republicans
VIII make'a gain OF some forty or fifty seats
In the House, some Of which will come
from the PEOPLES party. Ia the neghbor-
hood Of from forty TO fOrty-seYen are liable
TO come from the Democrats Under the
new apportlolment the Democrats can
count upon but about seven of the addi-
-tioE2l seats aud, leaving out Nebraska as
possibly subject 70 the claim of the third
party. ire hepuDu2241 c-1 cCGlL with Iea-
sOnable certainty on fourteen of the new
seats. The Republicans are thus in posi-
tiOn 10 count on gain OF some sixty seats
t. III rrsxrfea -, In aforhb
hood OF $50, though they should make a
very insignificant gain in the South and 10
extraordinary gains elsewhere. The Demo-
cratic majority Is, therefore, almost certain
to be cut down about two-thlrds. with very
considerable possibilities that ii may be re-
duced below that While there will be no
Alliance members in the House tue chances
seem tG be that there will not be more than
half dozen third-party men.
The above estimates are based uDon re-
ports received by the Republican Congress
siOnal committee.
Secretary Foster of the Treasury Depart
ment said 10 The CALL correspondent to-
day:
early in the campaign ! gave it as my 0pin-
Ion Mr.. Harrison would carry every Northern
State. l have since modified this prediction
TO the extent of excepting Nevada. The
PEOPLES party may carry that State, but
Mr.. Harrison will carry all the rest OF the
North. The registration has practically
settled the election. Mr.. Harrison is as
good as reelected now. He viii not lose
Western State, except possibly Nevada,
and vii! carry New York, Indiana, Con-
Deetcut, Delaware, and almost certainly
New Jersey"
"What do you hear about New York in
Particular
''The registration has settled that the
Democrats will not get more than $4,000
majority in New York City and 5000
in Brooklyn and the other Democratic
counties. SO they Will not have over &C, 900
to the Harlem River Harrison will come to
Harlem Will s.. COO. You can figure it out
for yourself. Ia New York City the regis
tratlon Is SIC. 0O0 Six per cent, or 1900,
will not vote. leaving 1920 There will be
about 5000 scattered. leaving 284. .0O0. OF
these tile Republicans will get 120, 600 and
the Democrats will get the rest This gives
Harrison majority of about 5000 In the
State.
in Indiana Mr.. Harrison will get q
larger vote than he did before, and we will
probably elect five or six Congressman.
As l said before, there may be little doubt
about New jersey. though l feel quite con-
hdent that we can carry II. and we are GER
tainly going to carry Connecticut and Della
ware"
.How "How about West virginia."
I'VE will carry that"
"And Illinois?"
'1 have no knowledge of Illinois except
what l heard from our Republican leaders
during my stay in that State recently. They
think we are certain to carry il by large
majority and elect fourteen Congressman.
The increased registration in Chicago has
been something remarkable. Our leaders
believe that is going to benefit US rather
than the Democrats.
They expect 10 carry Chicago by 1000
and to come to Chicago with 10000. This
will give Us little more than harrison got
In 1888 and will come fully up to our pre-
dictions made early in the campaign"
What DO you think of the Congressional
prospects? ?"
at looks as IL the third party might have
balance of power. Mr.. Thurston expects
The Republicans to elect all Congressman
from Nebraska. think we will elect all in
Iowa except one and in Kansas we will
carry all but one of the Congressional dis
tricts. The third party, which promised to
do so much in these three States, appears to
have lost its grasp"