Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1892-11-07
SOME POLITICAL PROPHETS.

Weaver.
the congressional vote last June
SOME POLITICAL PROPHETS.
What Some of the Great Daiiies Say Of the
Outlook.
The Philadelphia Inquirer instructed corre-
spondents in most of the states of the country to
send conservative and impartial estimates of
the political conditions. The Inquirer says:
"A careful reading of these reports will show
that In the opinion of our correspondents Har-
rison and Held will carry the country by a sub
stantlai majority Of the electoral college. They
may be mistaken. but 1t is noteworthy that
their reports tally very closely with the esti-
mates OF the republican national committee.
we call attention to two things in these re-
ports which Tuesday alone can decide. Our cor
respondents agree that there is a very good
prospect that the solid south will be broken.
delaware, Alabama. West Virginia and possibly
virginia are trembling in the balance
1t Is likely that at least one of these will be
republican and possibly more. 1t is also noted
that the western states seem to be weaned from
the populst craze, and the prospect is that the
only state that will cast its vote for Weaver will
be Nevada. although the reports of yesterday
indicate that the republicans have not aban-
doned that state
we wish to say to those of our readers who
front Of the Inquirer Tuesday night that IL is
hardly within the bounds of possibility that the
republicans will lose the election il they carry
New York. and also that the case is by no
means hopeless even if that state is lost If
Harrison carries Indiana. Connecticut and all
the other republican states he can win without
New York.
The reports here given indicate that Har-
rlson will be elected. and this IL in keeping
with our reports from New York, where the
republican national committee is more sanCuine
than In 1883. Only the returns can tell whether
our correspondents have correctly sized up the
| situation or not
| CLEVELAND VIEW.
| The Philadelphia Times thus describes the
outlook: 1T seems reasonably certain that
New York will vote for Cleveland. The demo-
| Gratis certainly expect it with absolute conf
| dence. and those best informed-such as
| Croker, Sheehan and Murphy-are most conf
dent and most freely wager their money On
| the other side. the republicans fear that New
York Is lost, but are hoping almost against
| hope that between Davenport's heelers acting
| as deputy marshals and colossal corruption
| fund they may SO obstruct voting in the city
| as to make the success of Harrison possible
This is nearly or quite the exact situation in the
empire state.
I'VE regard it as beyond the range of prob
ability to re-elect Harrison without the vote of
New York. If he could carry New York he
might not need its electoral vote. Republican
success in that state would be likely to make
New England solid for Harrison. and the same
influences would make Indiana probable for the
| republicans, with Illinois and all the disputed
western states outside of Nevada certainly re-
publican. If Harrison shall lose New York as
now seems next to certain, Connecticut will
pretty surely follow, and New Hampshire and
and Rhode Island would be more than doubtful
'.We adhere to the conviction frequently ex-
| in hos nptn hat I,..l 20
Tuesday next will give a decided and most
likely an overwhelming victory TO either Cleve-
land or Harrison and carry both branches of
Congress with the new President
DEMOCRATS WITH CONFIDENCE"
The New York Times says: with absolute
confidence that the democratic issues and the
democratic candidates will win a magnificent
victory the democratic national managers will
submit their cause to the people on Tuesday
With nervous rel lnce on the power Of money
to corrupt voters and to debauch franchises the
republican managers will send their cause to
| the people. That Cleveland and Stevenson will
be elected was the opinion of every sensible
man one met yesterday. The republicans we're
never so nervous. The democrats were never
more confident The republicans practically
concede the thirty-six electoral votes of this
state to MIR. Cleveland"
INDICATES CLEvELAND's ELECTION"
The New York Herald correspondents in the
different states have wired to the paper their
views regarding the outlook The Herald says:
''The comprehensive forecast which precedes
the detailed reports indicates the election Of
MIR. Cleveland. This review is written without
flourish or ornament 1t is not intended as a
lever to influence the result. but as a clear and
simple explanation of the Investigations Of
impartial agents of this paper"
''HARRIsoN's REFLECTION CERTAIN"
The New York correspondent of the Phila-
delphia Press telegraphs: ~ think that Chair
man Carter is justified in the declaration that
he made to me tonight that 'Harrison's re-elec-
ton is as certain as any political event can be
in advance of its actual determination"
Regarding Indiana the same correspondent
says: "But the republicans have q stil better
chance in Indiana and New York. From In
diana the reports continue to grow more favor
able The campaign there has been a quiet one
as it has been in New York in that respect diff
fering from four years ago. but it has been
none the less effective. There is no doubt that
President Harrison is just strong there as he
was four years ago. when he had 2. 800 plurality
This year the third party will weaken the demo-
Gratis, while the soldier vote will be still more in
favor of the republicans.
''As to New Jersey, the democrats are bv no
means sure of that. Mr.. Clevelands appear
ance there after his declaration that he would
not go on the stump is democratic conces-
sion of doubt about the state. The republicans
feel certain of electing Kean governor, and
Garrett A. Hobart. formerly chairman Of
the New Jersey state committee and now
member of the national committee, today said:
While not claiming the electoral VOTE think
that the republicans have fair chance of
carrying the state, but l feel confident of
electing Kean.
1.-The democratic chances of carrying this
state are based on large increase in the ma
jority in New York city and Brooklyn. There
is no probability of their getting over GO. 900 in
the city at the most and competent judges put
it at s., 900. prominent Tammany man told
me this afternoon that Mr.. Croker's private
figures were 10000 for this city, $1,000 for
Brooklyn and 8, 500 for Queens. Richmond and
Suffolk, making rs, 500 below the Harlem, while
he allowed the republicans only $4,000 above
That would give the democrats the state by
$500. Ex-Alderman Tommy Shields. q
Tammany leader for many years, told me this
afternoon that the democratic majority in the
state would be from 5000 to 10000 Hugh
Mclaughlin, the democratic boss in BROOKLYN,
refused to make any prediction as to the vote
in that city. This shows that the democrats
expect the atate to be close.
"The poll Of the republican state committee.
made up by county committees, shows a re-
publican majority OF II 500 in the state. and
that allows the democrats &C, 900 in this CITY.
which is more than they will get. An estimate
obtained by private enterprise from republic
cans in every county in the state puts the
majority at 1900"