Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1892-10-10
HINGEING ON NEW YORK.
As Election Day Approaches Interest 10
Conferred on the Empire State.

.
Conferred on the Empire State.
Correspondence Of The Evening Star
NEW YORK, October 9, 1892.
The nearer the approach Of the election the
greater the interest is in New York state, and
the more carefully the situation is studied in
various parts of tbs country the more evident
1t becomes that New York is likely to prove,
as usual, the key TO the result. Whether this
key will unlock the doors of the White House
and halls of legislation to the democracy Is
/ question which everybody is asking with deep
interest 1t seems almost certain now. Judging
from recent Developments, that the election Of
Mr.. Cleveland means general and marked
| change in the system and methods controlling
the operations of the government This 10 due
10 the probability that the election of demo-
cratic President will be accompanied by the
election of a sufficient number of democratic
Legislatures to make the Senate well the
House democratic.
The fact that large number of republican
Senators are now in the last year of their
term in that body and thht the fall elections
viii determine the political complexion of their
successors adds largely to the interest felt in
the campaign. This feature of the campaign
has been especially the subject OF attention and
interest OF late among the politicians. During
the term of the one democratic President
since the war the democratic party was COM
Iaratiyely helpless, because of the fact that the
republicans retained O ajority of the Senate.
of the dozen more republican Senators
whose terms expire next March more than half
come from such close states that ii Is quite
probable that there will be several changes in
the membership of the Senate after the 4th Of
March next. On the other hand, while there
are a number of democrats whose terms expire
next March, not a single one of them comes
/ from a state sufficiently close to make it prob
able that he will be succeeded by republican.
With the republican majority in the Senate a
slender one at present this situation makes it
extremely probable that a sweeping democratic
victory would give tine democrats for the first
time since 1860 control of every branch Of the
government - House, Senate. presidency, as
well as the heads Of departments and the SUBJ
ordinate Offices.
These facts are coming sharply to the minds
Of the leaders now and they are, a result,
hUstling. And the more they study the situa-
ton the more they become convinced that
upon New York rests a great responsibility.
and that the really close states are those which
have been close in former elections-that il to
say, the talk OF carrying some of the southern
states for Cleveland is now recognized as largely
4 OF the rainbow order, and that the real work
/ Is to be done in such close states as New York
Indiana, Connecticut and West Virginia.
There will be very sharp fight in West Vir-
/ GINA. and there is reason to believe that the
republican chances of success there are better
/ than many people have been led to imagine
The democratic majority in that state four years
ago. it will be remembered, was only about
500. Since that time there have been brought
! into the state thousands Of voters who are en-
ploved IN coal mines. at coke ovens and on rail-
/ roGds. A considerable percentage of them are
co!ored men, and a large number are from
Pennsylvania. The result Is that there il
natural increase In the republican vote, while
the democrats seem likely to lose something by
~ VrNv. Ir,1.,
indications il is not improbable that West yir-
/ GINA may give republican majority, and it Is
likely that this is the only southern state that
will be OF any value to the republicans.
! As to the west the democrats are now quietly
admitting that they have no expectation Of ac-
comprising ANYTHING, unless il may be to pre-
vent the republicans from getting the electoral
vote in Nebraska and Colorado. Even this is
/ considered improbable.
This narrows down the situation to Indiana
New York and Connecticut. The republicans
insist that they are going to carry Connecticut
but this democrats are equally confident and
! back their confidence with the fact that they
/ carried it four years ago.
In Indiana the democrats believe that the
I transfer OF Judge Gresham and his influence to
| the democratic side will bring them a large &C
ces.ion from republican ranks, yet it seems
scarcely probable that Indiana viii give her
/ electoral vote against her own son. So the
more the situation is studied the more evident
/ ~ appears that New 1 ork holds the key to the
! situation.
4 What the result will be in this state no one il
bold enough TO predict. The majority four
/ years ago for Harrison was SO sraau that
| trising change would turn 1t in the other direc-
. ton, and there are some reasons to believe that
such a change may take place The republicans
in New York depend, Of course, upon their
country vote. Unless they can bring down TO
the Harlem" q tremendous republican majority
their case is hopeless. 1t is believed that they
must have this time from SO, 900 to S. 600 re-
publican majority above the Harlem to carry
I the state.
There are two things that operate against
them IN the matter Of getting a large majority
| above the Harlem. One is that there have re-
moved from that section Of New York in the
past four wears several thousand voters
Thousands of farmers have moved to the cities
! OF TO the west since the last election. So this
| will probably reduce their vote somewhat. Be
sides this the new ballot law in this state is not
popular with the farmers anywhere, and the
| general experience is that il causes republican
losses wherever il has been tried, and as the re-
publican vote in New York state 10 with the
farmer element. and the Australian ballot Law
| Is unpopular with that element, the chances
seem to be in favor of republican losses by rea-
| son Of that in this state.