Grand Rapids herald. [volume] (Grand Rapids, Mich.) 1892-1959, 1892-11-04
RICH HAS A CINCH
Review of the States Political
Situation
SHOW DEMOCRATIC LOSSES
The Eleetossl vote Is Apt TO Bs Divided
Evenly-Democr4ts Lose Con-
gresham.
Register today.

9ETRoIr, Nov. S.-There may, per
chance, be q good many prophets as
well as statesmen without joo after
election. The usual signs and omens
on which the political predictions are
based were never OF so doubtful and
Unsatisfactory character IN tais state.
The handwriting on the wall, 10 which
the inferior and highly hguratlvely
Michigan political weekly loves -
dearly TO refer, is 80 far from being re-
msrkable for spencerlan qualities that
il is as difficult as Don. {. Henderson,
chlrography TO decipner. The brethren
are assembling and the lodge is about
TO be called TO order. but with four
state tickets IN The field, voting
scheme that gives dead cinch on
secrecy, the peoples party an uncer-
tam element, burning religious issue
that cuts both ways, free SILVER "A dead
weight and the ssloonists loading for
bear. IT'S hard 10 tell who is gong to
get black -bslled.
The State Ticket
Considering the historical political
sentiment of this state and It's past
strength there seems 20 be little reason
to doubt the election of the entire re-
publican state ticket with two excep-
tlons. Any other result attained Ia n
presidential year would stretch no 10
the proportions of revolution. Mich
igan chronology would be revised and
political history date thereafter from I
the year 1892. The very absence of
those usual indications foreshadowlng
ha Aras don
more improbable TO the mind than re-
publican. Revolutions don't even make
one-night stands without some KIND of
advance notice.
Allowance must be made, however.
for the fact that the republicans 20 be-
fore the people with a ticket which pre-
sents structural weaknesses st many
points, whose personnel appeals only
IN slight degree TO the masses and on
which not one of the large centers of
population IN the state IL represented.
There may be victory at some points in
the field, while at others ueieat is en-
countered. Ii may be that John T..
Rlcn's Jonahship 10 politics Is firmly
established enough TO bet on, that the
nomination he worked fifteen years for
will be an empty honor and that the
bully good fighter of '92 and of '62. the
Judge who Was too human TO grow old
maidish over common law crocheting
and statutory fancy work on the bench.
will after all be governor. The chances,
however. favor MIR. Rich. The tide has
| not set IN Judge Morse-s favor as
strongly as was expected, and the Aus
tralian system encourages the voting
of straight ballots.
stanley Turner's Good show.
One part of the field where victory
may be confidently expected TO perch
ON the <. o. y. banners If that where
the hard fighting for the auditor-gen-
| eralship is going on. Stanley Turner
undoubtedly has the greatest popular
| ity and widest personal acquaintance
OF any man on the republican ticket,
and IN very many sections of the lower
peninsula has name has been heard
| spoken of with such marked and es-
| peciol favor as TO indicate that he
would run largely ahead of his ticket,
| On the supreme court vacancy and
the attorney generaiship the odds are
| largely againet the republicans. The
| opponents of Mr.. Hooker and of Mr..
Diekema for these Offices are on both
the democrat and populist tickets.
| Taking into full consideration the
| probable alienation OF many honest,
| conscientious third party men through
disgust at being allied. by reason of
| fusion, with q democratic side show, a
| minimum estimate of the populist vote
this year is Is 900 or 10000. The max
| imam estimate is $4,000. IL cannot toe
hoped that Michigan will 90 republican
on the state ticket this year 10y more
than II, 900 or 1900. Luce got only
1900 in 1888, when protection swept
| the country ss il is likely never TO do
again. On the basis of j.. 900 major
ity, the election of DIR. Newton and
| Mr.. Ellis on the fusion ticket can be
figured out by small margin.
The Legislative Situation.
While the fourth and fifth districts
may 30 antI-republican on congress
| men, they are likely 10 choose a repub-
lican elector. The sixth end eighth
may so republican on congressman,
while choosing democratic members os
the electoral college.
With n fusion between the democrats
and populists on forty-seven of the I32
candidates for the legislature, the
chances of securing y majority Of the
two houses on joint ballot are slightly
against the republicans. The house IL
said TO be almost certain TO contain
more sntl-repubiicsns than republi-
cans, the senate helng less likely to fall
| into the democrats hands. As far ss
the preferences of the legislative nom
inees are concerned. Colonel Stock
bridge appears 10 be ahead IN the race
for United States senator, bat more
stockbridge than Luce men may he
Knocked out at the polls. giving the
plum 10 the latter. Governor NinsDs'
peculiar acceptstility TO the popUlIst
element makes him spoken Of "a Mr..
Siockbrldge's probable successor in
case OF an anti-repubIicsn majority on
i0int ballot.