St. Paul daily globe., 1892-06-19
CLEVELAND IN NEW YORK.

is the question that confronts the Dem
ocratie party. BY the plausibility with
which the eX-president's supporters an
swer that question affirmatiyely at Chi
cagO the action of the convention will
be largely determined. There is no
room for doubling that Mr.. CLRvE-
LAND is the personal choice of an over
whelming majority in his party, and if
the nomination be withheld from him
it will be solely on the grounds OF the
party expedicncy which he himself has
always denounced as pennY-wiSe and
pOund-foolish. If the delegates are
persuaded that Mr.. CLEVELAND can-
not carry his own state they will re-
gretfully pass him by. But if facts
and figures can be adduced showing
that Mr.. CLEVELAND'S chances in New
York are as good as they were eight
years ago, his nomination will be made
by acclamatiOn.
This being the situation as regards
the eX-president, both his supporters
and his opponents are doing some eX-
tensive figuring on the possibilities in
New York with CLEVELAND heading
the ticket. The estimates range from
$4,000 majority against the ticket to 25,-
coo In its favor. according to the bias of
the mathematician. The former esti-
mate is given out by EDWARD MURPHY,
who is chairman of the state committee
named by the midWinter convention.
In reply TO it the supporters of Mr..
CLEVELAND point out the fact that
JOHN KELLY, much more aStute and
influential politician than EDWARD
MURPHY Y. predicted the same majority
against Mr.. TILDEN in New York in
1876, and the latter carried the state by
$4,000. Moreover. it is remembered
that in 1884 Tammany'S spokesmen as
sured the Chicago convention that Mr..
CLEVELAND could not carry his own
state, Notwithstanding which dire proph-
ecy Mr.. CLEVELAND did carry the state
and was elected and inaugurated presi-
dent. And in reply to the argument
furnished by the disaster of 1888 Mr..
CLEvELAND's friends urge that there is
no governor to be elected in New York
this year and no deal to be put through
by the liquor interests.
Altogether, it seems that the pro-
CLEVELAND men have rather the best
of the argument. Mr.. CLEVELAND
may not be the surest man to carry New
York. but it is hard to prove that he is
not sure enough. The large mugwump
vote would be polled for him, and for no
other Democrat who could be named.
With them it is aut CLEVELAND aut
nulIus, and this is factor too important
to be ignored. AS for the HILL
men, it is the boast of their De-
mocracy that they will support any
ticket named by Democratic conven-
ton. 81 am Democrat" is the famous
motto of their chief, and, like him, they
are HILL men now, but Democrats
always, and hard-hitters IN either ca
pacity. 1t was not their votes that de-
feated Mr.. CLEVELAND in New York
four years ago, but the votes of some
few thousand saloon men, who are
neither HILL men nor Democrats nor
Republicans, but VINO, influenced solely
by considerations of selfish nature, be-
lleved that it was of more Importance to
them to defeat Republican candidate
for governor of New York than to elect
a Democratic candidate for president of
the United States. Mr.. CLEVELAND's
supporters make a good point when they
assert that the liquor interests have
nothing at stake in New York this year.
In fact, their arguments are all based on
sound logic, and if ably presented be-
fore the Chicago convention will go far
toward convincing that body of Mr..
CLEvELAND's ability to carry New
York and the Union.