New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1892-06-30
sOME CHEERFUL PROBABILITIES.

sOME CHEERFUL PROBABILITIES
Kansas returns TO the Republican column.
The declaration of the first president OF inc
Farmers Alliance in that State, that the Or
can,zation has been captured by "lacRies INV
yers and politicians for the use OF the Demo
c-,t;c marty and that he and other Republicans
will return to tho Republican organization
means much. II it means only the return OF
~ 600 former Republicans it will put the re-
sult ont Of doubt The 1900 Democratic
votorx NJ the last election have declined 10
sumner. fusion State and Congressional can
didatcs under orders from the Eastern Demo
cratic leaders. who warned them that fusion
would destroy the chances OF the party IN New
York. This will not increase the desire OF inc
107 900 Alliance voters at the last election 10
help Mr.. Cleveland by supporting third ucke'
,,bicb has no chance of success. Under the
circumstances. it will be wonder if the 49,
o0o votes cast by the two factions at the last
election do not dwindle below 100000, while
the $4,000 Republicans at the last eiec''o''
will be reinforced by most OF the 4o'ooo VINO
then did not vote, and by scccdcrs from inc
Alliance.
The amazing foolishness of the Alliance
LEGISLATURE. and the splendid crops last year
and this wear. have done much to set Kansas
right. There arc not many farmers so foolish
that they do not realize the injury which
calamity -howlers and regulators OF debts nave
done TO tho State. and not many who enjoy
seeing Kansas placed in the attitude OF
manner State before the world. Settled large
IL Inv Eastern and Northern men. who 40 not
forget the outrages by which invaders tried 10
force slavery upon freedom-lOving settlers
Kansas was not the most likely OF all states
to help the Democratic party in its emergency
and so soon rs il became clear that the Alliance
movement had become mere tender 10 inc
Democratic machine, the reaction TO sturd!
Rcpublicanism was only a question OF time.
Now il is evident that 1t comes this year.
Similar causes appear to have disih'esra'e"
the opposition in Iowa, which at no time drew
largely from the Republican party. AT the last
election Governor Bocs was chosen as Dem
ocrat by a plurality of 1916, but the Kcpuo-
lican vote was only 10000 less than the Vo'e
for Harrison in 1858, and the changes were
dino 20 the temperance issue rather than to any
National question. Iowa Democrats have Dceh
o,oered nv the refusal OF their National Con-
vcntion 70 nominate Boies for President or
v;oo. President and their ideas about money
are not those Of Mr.. Cleveland. WIN inc
abandonment of the Alliance by Republicans
in the ncghboring State OF Kansas, II wouid
no strange if moro than 1000 who voted Tor
Governor Doics should not support President
Harrison and no greater transfer OF votes would
lie needed 10 turn tho scale.
II tould make the RcDllD-
licon marty reasonably sure Of more than 200
electoral votes, without counting any rom INC
Somthcrr States. from New York, New-Jersey,
six districts in Michigan, Minnesota or any OF
the silver States. The England states
NAV be recloncd safe in view OF the attitude
of parties on the tariff, and the recent vote III
Rhode Island Indiana Democrats are as
custcd nj the treatment Of GRAY. and the school
oue.tion does not transform Illinois or Wiscon-
sin Republicans into Democrats on National
issues In Michigan. where electors VIII be
chosen by districts, il is moro likely Tint inc
vote will resemble that OF 1898. when the
Democrats carried only two OF The distric's IMAM
that Of 1890 when they carried seven. Dem
ocrats have some hopes from fusion In Mime
sofa and they calculate that inc seventeen
votes of South Dakota, Colorado. Montana,
Idaho and Nevada will be carried by third
Marty on the silver issue-just AZ the rainbow
chasers calculated upon carrying most OF tho
Western States four years ago. But reckoning
ms doubtful these seventeen votes, nine IN MIN
ncso,a six in Michigan, and the forty OF
New Jersey and NcwYork, seventy EIGHT IN
all. there still remain reasonably safe POI votes
from the North, leaving only sixteen needed
to elect
Virginia and West Virginia were very close
four years ago, and are lc's likely to support
Cleveland now. Their eighteen votes would
suffice without any more from the North.
North Carolina with eleven and Tennessee
with twelve votes are also doubtful, rs well rs
Delaware with three. But it is more than
wobablc that President Harrison will also
carry enough Northern votes OF those supposed
to he in doubt TO secure an election without
Southern aid Ncw-Yorls alone would settle
the business, and Republicans OF Ncw-fork
can put this State beyond doubt if they please.
aud