Los Angeles herald., 1892-10-14
THE PRESIDENTIAL PROSPECT,

There are several very promising pos
sibilities by which Cleveland and Steven
son can be elected without carrying New
York, and there is no possibility what
ever of the election of Harrison and
Reid unless the Republicans carry that
state. Therefore the Empire state as
sumes an importance for the high tariff
party which is paramount in any calcu-
lation of chances that they may
enter into figuring on the is
sue. This may account for
the fact that the Republicans are pour
ing money by the hogshead into the
campaign in that state. We know that
few days since the fat was fried out Of
the protected monopolies to the tune OF
two million dollars, mainly to be used
in the effort to carry New York by hook
or by crook. To this end one of the
most accomplished political crooks in
the United States has been imported
from Philadelphia to introduce his per-
fdious tactics into New York. But he
has been placed under the closest sur
velllance of the detectives, and will be
landed on Blackwell's island the first
false move he makes.
Outside of the questionable methods
that Manning may resort to in New
York, the most sanguine Republicans
look for serious detection among the
leaders of Tammany society to defeat
Cleveland. But from the best sources
of information'we learn that there is no
danger that Tammany will prove recre-
ant to the Democratic party. Hon.
Mark Smith, the congressional delegate
from Arizona, recently made careful
inquiry into the reports the Republicans
have spread about the attitude the Tam
many leaders would assume. The re.
suit of his investigation may be summed
up in the fact that whilst some of
these strong men are PERSONAL
ly prejudiced against Mr.. Cleveland,
they will nevertheless work earnestly for
his election. 1t is not the man they
care so much for as the success of the
party. On this depends their hope to
keep the great'municipality in line with
the party in the interest OF their control
of local polities, if for no other or more
exalted motive. Bourke Cochran has
donned his war harness and is doing
knightly service for the success of the
ticket. Senator Hill has entered the
campaign with his usual Clan, and is
slaughtering the hopes OF the altitudin-
GUS tariff men without mercy. All the
great eachems of Tammany, with the
bare exception of the disgruntled
Sickles, have put on their war paint and
entered with spirit into the fight.
The lowest estimate Cochran places
on the Democratic majority in the state
of New York is $4,000, and it will prob
ably exceed that. The tables of Peck
which the Republicans counted upon as
acting like Sir Lionel Sackville's letter
in the last presidential campaign-have
reacted against their calculations. A
careful collation. OF data has shown that
in nearly all the protected industries
named in Peek's tables, the wages OF the
operatives are lower thanin 1S90-91 and
that his statistics have not a leg to stand
upon.
The most acute political observers are
convinced that all the millions the Re-
publicans have raised or may raise to
carry the state of New York will be
spent in vain; and they realize with
CONSERVATION that the tide is turning
against them in the interim. The agri-
culturists of the Empire state have, like
their western brothers, awakened to the
fact that the Mckinley tariff is working
directly against their interests, and are
falling away from the monopoly party
by battalions. The event will show that
there will not be anywhere near the
usual Republican majority for Gotham
to meet at High Bridge, and the city is
in the mood to 90 more largely Demo-
cratic this year than ever.
So that, unless we are greatly misin.
formed, both by public and private in
teligence, of the situation in New York,
that state is sure for the Democracy.
And that places the prospects of Cleve-
land and Stevenson in light that ex-
plains why very large wagers are offered
by betting men upon their election, and
without takers.