New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1892-04-01

UOW DEMOCRATIC PREDlCIIONS LOUh
The claim is now made that the Democratic
Marty. if il will only do this or that thing mas
\ certainty of success The only trouble IS that
These advisers or prophets cannot agree about
tho thing necessary to make success certain.
"Tbe New-Yorls Times" says, if the silver
bill is dead there is . nothing now III siehV 'Hd'
can prevent tariff reform from becoming inc
issue and Mr. Cleveland the candidate ana
under those circumstances victory Is almost
absolutely SIRE" But "Thc New ork Her
aldn declares: "There is no one in NeW-l orli
whom it will be entirely safe to tie to. .
The present political condition OF New orli
State, cut up into political factions as 1t IS
makes such an experiment dangerous in the
ovtrcmc. On the other hand man from the
West with Hill to look after the interests OF
the Vice Presidency, would make victory neNo
70 cortain.o These two journals both consider
tariff reform the necessary and only ISSUE but
ono holds Mr.. Cleveland essential, ana inc
other holds the nomination of somebody else
essential, Then come the free-silver men OF
tbc West and South, declaring that party can
win with absolute certainty if it makes silver
the one issue and dominates a CANDIDATE
pledged to that policy, but can win IN no o'ner
way. ,.
Predictions so contradictory have tehuch'!
TO create the impression that success Is ho' GER
tain under any conditions. 1t always happens
that men enamored of a theory see win mar
vollous clearness. if not with glasses OF hl9h
magnifving power all its advantages ana Deic-
Cts but fail 10 see its dangers and objections
Tho silver men are stone-blind to the certain
loss of votes at the East. But the tanf re-
formers are stone-blind to the certain loss OF
Democratic votes at the West ana south "0
Democratic party cannot WIN Wllho", Nv W,
Yorl; according to one set OF prophels' i"'
other set. with equal truth, shows tha' ,.e P"i,'
cannot win without Indiana and Sohd 'ou'n'
II has become plain to many Deihoci"ti0
,o,dors that the Alliance will cut Their part!
oil n nicces in some Southern and western
states if il defeats the Free Coinage Dill ana
dominates Mr.. Cleveland Already some OF the
bost-informed Democrats in Georgia declare
that the Alliance will sweep thau 0'dte'
feating most of the present Democratic heP'o
sentatives. and probably Speaker CliSp anon
them. and giving the electoral votes 10 a lh''u-
marty candidate. Similar predictions are h'"'o
a. n other Southern States by men VINO nave
the best opportunity to know the si'ur'''
,bore II only one Of these states should DC
lost New.York would not save the Democratic
ticket and several will be unless iniiuentlal
Donocrats are mistaken. They show also that
the Alliance tickets in West Virginia virginia,
VII CoroIina Tennessee and in Indiana ana
,Lo Western states would draw off Democratic
votes almost exclusively, and give the KepuD-
Iicans an extraordinary opportunity.
On the other hand, the Eastern tarih reform
ors are better informed than other Democrats
in regard TO the consequences OF SILVER ag''d-
.;on at the Fast They are telling the truh
when they say that neither Rhode Island Ooh-
noctic1lt New Hampshire, nor MASSACHUSETTS,
could possiby be carried BY the Democratic
Marty if tainted VITA the silver herey They
mako if clear also that the State of New-l ork
ro,,ld NOT he brought to vote for any candidate
bolinved to lean toward free coinage Now
,he legitimate conclusion from all TINS lhlorha-
ton and these predictions is that the Democrats
cannot win in any way
The tariff rcformcIs calculate upon throw
mo the election into the House. True thcy
reason. Alliance tickets may carry some south
ern States. and thus prevent any electloh OF
President by the people, but the choice would
then have TO be made by the present Demo
CRITIC House which would elect the Demo-
cratic candidate Would it? Did the Demo-
cratic caucus nominate Mr.. Cleyeland's can
didate for Speaker? Did the majority OF Dem
ocrats in the House vote as Mr. Cleveland de-
sired on the Silver bill? What would happen
if the Democrats from silver States should vote
for the Alliance candidate for President? And
what would happen if the Alliance tickets in
half 4 dozen States ordinarily Democratic
.bould Give the electoral votes Of those states
to the Republican candidate?