The record-union., 1892-07-09

Copyright, 1892, by N. Y. Associated Press.l
LONDON, July S.-Out of twenty-four
county constituencies contested yester-
day, the Liberals lost two and won two.
These results dispose of the last possible
ity that Gladstone will obtain al reliable
working majority. AS the elections held
yesterday were fairly representative, no
great Liberal triumph can be expected
from the county vote when completed,
and the last hope fades that the Gladstone
Government will be buttressed by a
strong, coherent party.
On the contrary the Liberal majority
must now depend on the Irish party.
Even with the support of both the Irish
sections, it is improbable Gladstone will
have more than majority of fifty. The
Conservatives hold that a majority of
more than twenty is improbable.
Among the certainties OF the future
nothing is so certain as a long period of
political turmoil. Gladstone, with a
small majority, composed of motley
groups Of Liberals, Radicals, Laborites,
McCarthyites and Parnellites, will be un-
able to effect any serious legislation. This
Selt-evldent fact has given rise to q rumor
that he Will decline to form a Ministry.
and will recommend Earl Spencer for the
purpose. The Liberals rightly ridicule
the rumor. They know their chief even
with majority of twenty, is ready to
take office and produce Il home rule bill
They are also beginning to admit the
chances of the home rule bill passing the
House becoming remote. If it does pass,
no strain will be put upon the Lords in
rejecting 1t. The peril to the Lords lay
in Vetolng home Iule as backed by the de-
cided Will of the country. The can reject
it now with light heart.
Among other difficulties awaiting the
Liberal Government is the formation of
the Labor party. Not caring q rap for
home rule, and ready to coaIesce with
any party, already Burns and Hardie
the strongest representative OF the labor
eTS, declare their intention to form party
in Parliament and make terms for their
support. In addition the new London
members have determined to form a mu-
nicipal socialist group, bent solely on
procuring social reform.
Thus the opponents Of Gladstone hope
the home rule scheme will be failure.
With regard to the new Cabinet, Weav-
ing, a Treasury official, told a representa-
tive OF the Associated Press that he had
obtained information that Henry Fowler
| Will be Chancellor of the ExcheQuer, and
! Sir William HarCOurt First Lord of the
| Treasury and leader of the House. This
arrangement contains the startling impli-
cation that Gladstone will either retire to
the Lords or take the lightest part in the
Goyernment-the Vice Presidency of the
Council. The Gladstonian followers rid
| icule the notion of his accepting a Deer-
age, and believe he will remain in the
Commons and fight home rule through.
Regarding home rule, the Associated
Press has authority to state that Glad
stone referred. when speaking of the ad-
justment of the pecuniary burdens of
Ireland, to proposals relating to an ar
rangement between the Imperial and
Irish exchequer and the proportion of
the national debt assigned to Ireland In
the 1856 bill this was calculated at one
fifteenth, based upon estimates of taxa
ton, ratable value, etc. This was found
to be gross over-estimate OF the finan-
cial inquiry, and long engaged Glad
stones attention. In it he was assisted
by Goschen. The inquiry tends to show
that the apportiOnment should be on the
tWenty-secOnd part OF the debt.
The strain of the Midlothian campaign
is not affecting the vigor of Gladstone
He is devoting his leisure time to research
for the coming Oxford lecture on the
| medieval universities. After the cleo
tions Gladstone will go to Paris a few
days to search for material concerning
the French portion of the subject. If
Morley becomes a Minister his oppo-
nents at Newcastle mean to nominate
Joseph Cowan against him. Cowan is
universally popular and might GUST
Morley.
The Indian Government does not de-
sire the appointment of Sir David Bar
bour as delegate to the International
Silver Conference.