New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1891-10-31


Republican ticket.
THE LABOR VOTE FOR FAsSHrT.
Now then besides these classes who voted Tor ClcVc
land in 1883 and which in order to MAKE up uhe
Democratic majority of $4,000 which they then mad
and the prlma facle majority of $1,000 which
give them on the basis Of the registration this year.
there are 10 be rechoned those labor who Will vote
with the Republican party because they like its posi-
tIon upon the ballot question. Nor DO think inc
1ouor dealers are so thoroughly united In iavor OF
T,mmany Hall as they have been In years past, IN
spit, OF the recent outrageous conduct OF the Ponce
! Department in driving them into the fold
There is one fact which seems TO me to point in the
same direction The aggregate loss registration In
this city, as compared with the vote of 1853, IS as
have already said IL per cent but IN the downtown
districts where the Democratic maJces arc the Target
find that the falling OF Is mgea sreter tn@ e ,o
land majority Of 3llO in an aegftsats Vo1s 01 iesS
than 200 the alilns o Go ol c in 1b tte were
cast in 1sso, only $500 votes now registered 20
IL, he nd District which gave Democratic majority
in lass Of sos out Of an aggregate vote Of about
1900, the falling OF is 20 per cent tle ltesus5l9n
being ONLY Gal, against vote Of e,OS7 III Io9o.
In The lid District where the Democratic majority
IN mo Tvth District where the Democratic majority
was 4548, the loss on the registry TINS year Is II
In me WITH District where the Democratic majority
was 23Gs the loss is % per cent. do not think NE
loss i'm any Of these districts can be ascnDed 10 u
population moving out and going into me upper prt
Of The city where they will still be counted on election
day Though 10 some extent there has been building
of large business structures In tho Ist District tneIe
has not been very great amount Of displacement Of
and Nth Districts there has been almost no such
night in the way over other ai;tTcts d the
result OF which To me 10 suggest that me ianis
on registration Is more largely among Democ! ~
among Republicans OF course avn awa 6 VIZ NV
in Republican districts, as IN me lIe anu Ill
the falling of in registration j. above inc average PIT
centage but think that In both OF tnote II Is n
for by the conversion of residences 10 Dgsnes P
poses which hes driven out occupants ana nenI lnem
further qp town All that portion OF n tine wan WdHe1 I
Place and east Of South Ffthave. has been almost en-
crossed by business str1ctS; ; m and ~ an croSS
streets on each side OF II.
THIS WORLDS FAIR QUESTION
IT is fair, the other hand, to say that there arc
some influences which should be allowed for as taking
from the Republicans some votes which they got III
! 1855. The Democratic party seems TO be counting
greatly upon its position with reference TO the Worlds
Fair claiming that the loss Of it 10 the city was caused
by the Republicans. 1t does not seem TO me. from all
TINT can learn that this is going 10 bring them any
great number OF votes In tile first place, the Glass
Of voters who likely to be Influenced BY 50 alacous
d claim and always have been, in large majority
Democrats. But ain not disposed to deny that thee
are probably and there through the lower portion
of the city, and in that portion above OnehundTednd-
hfthst., more numerous voters who have heretofore
voted the Republican ticket who now influenced by
the Worlds Fair cry to go TO the Democracy. beneVe
estimate the tClel number III tle city much Dc1 ohd
what the result will show If concede " the Demo
Ngain in 1883 Harrison carried the With District
by majority OF s75, and on the reduced registration
Of this year. with no change IN tue opinion 81 ooIs
In TIE With District as 20 what Is likely 10 DC lne
outcome there but on general principles SHOULD 1e
surprised II that district did moi give very c0sdciaDc
majority The Democratic state ucket. ~ gave IN
Il majority of 3S6 But 1t may be that the Stecher
dsaffection, which it occurs to Inc nave not hereto
fore referred affecting the vote throughout the
east side OF the city. may compensate for this loss
I'M the same way ii occurs TO me that have not re
ferred to other element OF loss ~ the Democrats ana
thai is the disafection in the Annexed District
Well / see you want to know what result draw
from this long calculation. nave gone mo 20
cause desire, not simply to state that in my opinion
you the basis of that opinion so that ANYBODY VINO
cares 10 examine may clltcise ana see II Tue co-
illusions draw are correct.
NEARER FoRTY-IIvE THAN FIFTY THOUSAND.
The Democratic majority. in view OF the reduced
registration Of this city, could not calculating on the
basis of the Presidential vote OF 1888 If there were no
change in the opinion OF voters, exceed 50071 call 1t
IN round numbers 81 900 think the cnsses to which
have referred TO Wit the Republicans whom Glove
land got in 1885, but whom Flower cannot get now;
the Mugwumps who voted for Cleveland in 1881 the
County Democracy, whose leader Cleveland was IN
1885: the Steckerites labor men. Influenced BY
BALLOT Reform and the Heintz in the Annexed
District will after making full allowances for the Re
publican loss by reason OF the Worlds Fair 0utcry
md the loss In the With District so far reduce the
Tammany majority in this CITY tEt IL Wy be DC nd
Miller vote Of 1855. it might be as hsn a. ooVOV,
bat l have already SAID, don't thihk tn"I Il H'ir
Wen. then, that elects Fasset you sayl No have
the pro S result in the state
50 much that am not competent to express decided
In 1856 Harrison came down to the north line Of
New Yor with about think 9i4 tS maU y o1 as
are correct 1873 majority. In other words, , tIe
south OF e north line Of NeTa cfH ave
Democratic majority OF between IZooo anu 800,
TO the north line of New-YorI with $1,000 majority,
and if the other counties named OUTSIDE OF M ioIA
below 600 majority Fasset will be elected by some
10, 900 or 10000 majority. ,..,- ..,.,u dam,
here win 81 600 majoity. | have learned that tho
Information received BY those in charge OF the hepup-
iicSns Of me stat viii come to NewYorS City with at
least the same majority In 1883. Il may seem pre-
lieve such viii be the ease, and yet there are some gen
era! considerations which g TO sustain such view. ~
seems 10 be agreed that the registration IN much OF
the Indicates an increased vote II TINS y So
prma 1cie at least IT is 70 the Rep16 d %Gysn
r~sassd vote womb naturally be Republican. There
fore II there change in the opinion OF Nolels'
the Republican majority in the state north OF New
lorh would be co1sldeFaby NOR tnan ~ was NV co.,
siderable. That went 70 Cleveland in 1885, and
Is going 10 20 to tc Republican patty This year beyond
a question Yon see It In the public expressions Of
such men as Carlton Sprague OF bnnalQ ana o'hcr
huence with that class people and it, expression II
opinion has been free from any ambiguity.
THE NORTHERN VOTE 10000.
Then again, the Of Lcutenant-G Governor Jones
is not to he omitted from the calculation, because he
undoubtedly has influence and following, and IL IS
thrown openly in favor of the Republican ticket Thes,
ami other considerations 10 justify those con
Quoting the Republican campaign In their belief that
the state will down to the north line Of New
York with as least as large majority ~ in 1855.
Isut / have said, ! look the vote OF less,
u.
For Instance. ! think that Mr.. Flowers personal IN
nuence AID Hberlty wtl which he has used his money
IN the past helping all causes and persons
IN Jefferson County must Ipducc our majority IN ~
considerably belON that OF 1855 which was about
| Il InlAnr In AI..1.nn