The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1891-08-23

| draws supplies averaging some 100000 900
bushels from such sources, OF which North
America contributes about 100 oOo, 900. India
| So.0oo.o0n. Australasia and South America
lo.ooo0o1. and other countries about 90, 900, coo
bushels.
This year North Amcric, can probably DO
relied upon ~ furnish l65, o0o. eco bushels Of
rye and wheat Tho July report OF tho
Department OF Agriculture indicated q crop
somewhat less than that Of 1884 t5i9, 70o, 600
bushclsh when tho acreage was sorncwhat
greater and Tho conditions, July first, tribe
bcttcr. A crop equalllug that of 1884 would
hive permitted n North American cxporta-
ton OF wheat and ryo II some loo. 900
bushels. The August report Of tho Depart.
! mcnt Of Agriculture, however. showing gains
In tho condition OF tho spring wheat, wc arc
| now justified In adding to this estimate. and
probably sOnO additions should also 10
mado to the exportab!e surplus which may
be expected from Canada. We con look to
India for 10000 ON bushels; to Australasia.
and South America for 1000, 900, and to
| tho remainder OF the wor!d something
less than usual, as. whlo THO crops arc
exceedingly nnein Asia Minor. tEcy are very
poor In Syria, Persia, Algeria, and Moroccp,
and famine, in my ono OF these countries, by
| no neaus improbable as tho result OF locust
dcprrdations, s'ich ravnges having resulted
| In tho prohibition III tho expectation Of
! grain from Persia, rs stated In 4 telegram TO
tho Marquis Of SALISBURY from the British
Charge dArAircs o. Tchcrnn.
OF tho exports hero shown to 30 possible.
fully 100000 bushels will be required hy
eastern Asia. South Africa, and the tropi.
| cal lands AMI Islands, leaving barely 2o3,ooo,
on bushels To moot the enormously aug
mcntcd needs OF Europe.
Tive Price Current says that an abatement
OF q. on. oCD bushel, may DO made from our
estimate OF tho imports that will be required
| by tho United Kingdom. 5000. Oo) for France.
! 5o,ooC.Ooo FOR Germany, 2t), 900 for Russia.
nnI 25ooo.eoo for sundry other countries.
and IL Is well to SOC how far this iourna! is
warranted in making such sweeping reduc-
tion.. fl reducing tho requirements OF the
United Kingdom to l37oooUoo bushels,
It lest siglt OF tho fact tina. for s.,erol
years past British imports have annually
averaged moro than $4,000, 900 bushels. that
tho acreage OF British grain fields has been
~ reduced that an average yield would
produces but 10000. UOo bushels OF rye and
wheat. IA against a quito recent average OF
! O'.VUsvpO uIN ttihI ZIG IuUh lSuNC AsL"CS0
and other trade journals OF reccut date show
that the stocks OF wheat in tho hands Of
English farmers on the 1st o, August, 1891,
| wero from $4,000 to 5000, 900 bushels less
thnn tho reserves OF 1899 and other recent
yrnrs, MS It seems to have escaped It's atten-
ton that witt! each recurring year such is
tho addition to the population rs to augment
the requirements by fully 2oOo.oo0 bushels.
The case. as relates to Britain, would ap-
pear to be rs follows:
Bush>,,
Products ~ recent harves.s Of rye and wheat 500 on,
Recent annual imports Of rye and Wheat UUIoO
Reduction Of the reserves IN is-o-Si...... a5n0oo
Au;men'at.on OF requirement." 2nDoOo
Total estimated requirements ........... .cs6vn.uO0
Fsiinated produce Of tho rye aud wheA:
harresu 90 o 90
Apparent deficit to be me, by Importation iCo UUoOl
Tho Liverpool Corn Trade Ne,rs. in its
issue OF July IA, estimates tho imports OF
tho United Kingdom during the coming
yrnr Mt 600 bushels, or only 100000
bushels less than the estimate Of THE Sun on
Aug. 2. and 23o0O, 90 bushels more than tho
| estimate Of the Price C'rrrnf.
In suggesting that an abatement OF g., OOO,-
0j0 bushels can be made from our estimate
o: German requirements. tho Price Current
is evidently not aware OF the fact that tho
wheat plants upon some 900 acres OF the
fields OF Germany, and tho rye plants upon
a proTOrtionato area OF tho German rye
iclds-nnd the samo conditions obtain
throughout western and central Europe
were winter killed and tho land reploughed
ani planted to other crops. and that reports
, OF estimated yield. either Official or CONNER
cial, have reference only to tho reduced area.
II, az iK indicated by a recent Official re-
turn rs to the condition Of the crops ofPrus-
sia. the wheat crop OF Germany Is II per
| cent below an average and that OF rye 25
per cent. below. on such reduced acreage,
then our estimate OF German import REQUIRE
mcnts was very much within tho mark, as
such percentages OF loss Indicate that an
nual wheat imports OF 20.000,0 600 bushels
must bc increased to $1,000 900 bushels and
ry" imports Ot 100000 bushels must lie In
crcasetl to 80, O0O. 900. and this without king
into consideration either tho reduction OF
acreage t. le harvested or an Increase In
population. which annually adds $4,000 to
tho number Of mouths to b filled, and tho
per crpl's consumption OF wheat and rye
exceeding sc"rn bushels, 1t follows that tho
requirements augment by moro than $780,
900 bushels annually. Tho German account
would appear to stand about thus:
BUshs,a
Rs"rn: AVERAGE imports of I'VE and wheat. Sh0nuO0
Rs"snt average product Of rye and wheat. 3lJOnuo
Ada for two and half yearS Increase o; pop
eCoIoO
Estimated -sm'rsnsnis Of Germany
1912 ............,. .............,. 3T7.oooooo
Fst'ms,sd produce OF re and wheat haY.
v=sts....." Observation-Disclosures. 2i2oooO0O
Apparent dsneit to b met BY impor:s
1856 90 oC0
As early ns The first Of June famine exist
Cd In Pomornuia. and now In al. eastern Prus-
sin the suffering IL great, and but little rc-
lief Is to DO hoped for from a rye harvest
that will bo very rneagrc. It Is soriously
proposed to petition tho imperial Govorn-