The sun. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1833-1916, 1891-12-06
Figures OF Hope.

The very interesting line OF calculation
upon the coming OF tho two minute trotter
recently taken up in THE Sun. is carried to
the point OF moro precise figures by cor
respondent Of our esteemed contemporary.
the New York Sportsman.
To start with. and contradiction will be
little or nothing. Sunol's 2:loH at three
years old stands equal to her 2OS4 on a
kite-shaped track, two years later. By q
mere comparison Of records she has not
grown faster. Thcn taking her two-year-
old work Of 2:lS US beginning, the i'm
provement effected by u year Of time. and.
by what is unmentioned In this reckoning.
q change to the kite-shaped track. is equal
to 9't seconds. Upon that supposition.
Arion. after trottlng when two in 2:l04. in
another twelve months should do the trick
In 2 :0l, three-quarters Of a second below the
PAGER Westmont's famous exhibition with
q running mate. and separated by but a
single second from the trOtter's ideal goal.
We will make another calculation. with
out this Observers error In comparison,
and. therefore. not crediting our present
trotting material with tho ability to ad-
vance so far beyond the present limit.
though with no less hope OF ultimate tri-
umph. Take two seconds of Sunol's 2:ls.
by way Of allowance for the oval track.
Then. on the ground that oil reasonable EVIL
dence Is to be accepted. take two more for
MARvIN's opinion expressed to Mr.. BONNER
that Sunol had been good for 2:16 In her
two-year-old form. or2:l4 on tle new course.
and that will credit her with IN improve
ment Of 5A seconds between the ages Of
two and three. This figuring predicts that
Arion's final record will be 2:O5.
Would there then be more to come ? Or
is it to be supposed that Arion Is to reach
HIS maximum at three years old? Arguing
from Sunol-aud she Is moro highly bred and
hence should be quicker to obtain her ma
turity-he won't. To accept the verdict Of
tho records as absolute. and to say that
Sunol WAS ut her best ut tho time OF her per-
Torrance this year. after having rested In
lameness for moro than q month and then
having come out gingery end cautiously for
a couple of trials only before her supreme
effort. ia to declare that preparation Is use
less and training Is an affectation. MARVIN
said he thought that this year she was good
for Q :OG. and the facts point strongly to his
Justification. Giving to Arion tho same
margin for improvement. why should his
speed cease developing before 1t has carried
him to record Of Mt least 2:032
When the trottlng horse has reached that
figure. NIL that will DO needed for seeing the
two-minute trotter will be patience. The
autumn's work does not leave Arlon phe-
nomenon. unique and never to be repro
duced. There are others this very day
which. II they are not to be placed right
fully by his side. cannot be barred out Of his
class. In our semi-infancy OF trottcr breed
ing also 1t would be folly to suppose that
any new performer can appear SO amazing
that we may not expect with assurance the
rise OF wave OF others to his once unap-
proachable level. Thon. after gradual &C
cumulation Of energy. from out the ever
broadening rank Of top-notch flyers there
Is bound to emerge finally some other
freak of excellence. some monster of superb
GRITTY. so gigantic In his powers as to appear
the product OF new race. who will pass
beyond the barrier which has SO long baf-
fed all efforts. and we shall have the two
minute trotter.