St. Paul daily globe., 1891-08-13
MIR. CARLISLE TALKS,
The Kentucky Senator Dis
cnsses the Outlook for the
Campaign Next Year.
He Thinks the Democrats Have
Little Fear From the Alli-
anee Movement.
Grover Cleveland He Thinks
Easily the Strong est Man
in His Party,
And He Could Win Against
Anybody the Republicans
Could Put Up.

NAKRAGANsETT PIER, r. l., Aug. 12.
Senator Carlisle discussed the politi-
cal situation at length to-day. He
said:
"Tne summer solstce has disclosed
no important change in the general con-
dition of political discussion. Perhaps
the news that the results of inveStiga-
tions throughout Europe prove that the
cereal crop is a failure will react on the
United States-Of course to our adj
vantage. The discomfort among the
agrculturists will perhapSa be abated
when the market for wheat and rye
leaps and bounds with activity. The
depression which has hung over the
farmers Of late years would be dis
PEELED by an increased demand for their
products. Men will not seek for a bet
tered condition if their condition be-
comes bettered spontaneously.
"When farmer thinks of his mort
gagged farm and his Improbable years
labor he broOds and reflects until his
feelings find expression in some such
outburSt as the Green back party or the
Farmers Alliance. As the third party
is the principal subject of interest, the
eyes of political thinkers turn toward
it. What do they see? A gradual
atrophy, marasmus which indicates
that the organization will not, in all
probability, be serious factor III elec-
tionS next year.
''The Alliance vote in Kentucky last
week was less than 10000. | can see
no danger to Democratic prospects from
the Alliance. The only states IL can by
any probable chance carry are Kansas,
and perhaps Nebraska and Colorado.
The Democracy will loose nothing.
The movement in the South has subStan-
TALLY run its course already. There is
a specter which coDfronts the white
men in the Southern states, the shadow
of negro supremacy. Rather than have
negro domination, the whites will bury
political differences and unite at tha
polls in order to prevent that which
they regard as greater evil.
Blaine the strongest Republican.
.'The Republicans will nominate
President Harrison if Mr.. Blaine will
not consent to stand. The influence of
theladies of his family may deter Mr.
Blaine, but there is tremendous press
ure upon him from his old party
friends to consent. He would sweep
the convention, / think. No Repub-
lican is as strong as Blaine. l do not
think that he will consent to run. He
has been very ill, and he is i'll to-day. II
Mr.. Blaine were a candidate for the
presidency should not expect a cam,
paign based on the old charges against
him. The allegations of the canvass
when Blaine ran against Cleveland are
now burnt powder. The Democrats
would gain nothing by revamping
them.
"Mr. Blaine enjoys a very consider
able personal popularity in the Demo-
cratic party, largely owing to the course
of the Democratic press, which made
him out an opponent Of the force bill
and an antagonist of the Mckinley bill.
He is really as high protectionist as
the worst of them all. Mr.. Blaine
struck a popular chord when he sang
out for reciprocity, and he is now reap.
ing the benefit of his popularity. l
think Mr.. Blaine could be beaten by
united and vigilant Democracy. If
President Harrison is renOminated he
will be defeated overwhelmingly.
LAS regards the Democratic candl-
dates, Mr. Cleveland. in my judgment.
is still the strongest. He may have Of
Tended the extreme pro-silver men by
his remarks against the free coinage
bill, but he enjoys wonderful reputa-
ton among the people. The plain folks
i'm the West and South swear by him,
They trust him implicitly; they regard
him as conscientious and safe. l know
of no one Democrat who enjoys the con-
fidence of the people to such degree as
Cleveland. But the state of New York
will settle the question at tire conven-
ton. You will hear much of ignoring
New York and of the selection of cam
diJoto raUar6lpcs Of the wichQc Of the
Empire state. can assure you it is not
practical politics to do so,and it will not
be done.
New York and Indiana.
"New York and Indiana remain, as
heretofore, pivotal states, and their
wishes will be listened to very respect
fully by the convention. If the delega-
ton of New York presents the name of
Cleveland he will be nominated. II
New York and Indiana say they will
elect the ticket, even Hill and Gray
might be the accepted candidates. II i'll
is not the choice of the majority of the
states, and in the West he would be
bitterly opposed. If Hill controls the
delegation from New York and thro ws
it for-well, we will say Whitney-WhY
we might have Mr.. Whitney for can
dldate. | have heard rumOrS of so me
kind of an understanding on the part or
Hill and Whitney, but L know nothing
about the matter"
"What if Mr.. Hill cannot obtain the
New York delegation or a considerable
portion of it, senator?"
"Under these circumstances it would
be idle to talk of nominating Hill. 1t
would be impracticabIe to select cam
didate for the presidency who cannot
command the support of his own state
in the convention"
"What do you know of the German
movement"
''Senator German has many friends
who recognize his capacity for political
manipulation. do not know that heis
a candidate. The outlook for the rea-
sons L have given is very bright,
think, for the Democracy in the next