Courier Democrat. (Langdon, N.D.) 1891-1920, 1891-12-17
DOUBTFUL.


Indiana. Is Michigan IA
The total cleo toral vote will be 444,
and therefore o29 will be necessary to a
choice. With the above showing the
basis OF calculation for next year is POI
Republican electoral votes against IT'S
Democratic votes. Massachusetts and
Iowa, which Democrats and good
many leading Republicans, too-con-
cede to the opposition are placed in the
Republican column. This is plainly
the merest guess work OH the part of
the Republican calculators, and of
course vitiates the calculation at the
outset. Moreover .sanguine Democrats
are disposed to place New Hampshire
and Rhode Island in the doubtful COL
umn. On the other hand, conservative
Republicans yield four of Michigan's
IA votes to the Democrats. Adding in
these items, it would appear that the
Democrats can count upon 17e votes,
and the Republicans upon 21l. To get
the requisite 223 electoral votes, the
Republicans must win either Indiana
OF New York. Bear in mind these are
Republican estimates. They take into
account for all it is worth the fact that
with the admission Of six new states, at
tie last session of congress, the Repub-
licans no longer need both Indiana and
New York, but may win with either.
The Baltimore Sun, which is very
conservative Democratic authority
points out that the Democrats having
179 votes to start with, the Democratic
problem-according to the Republican
calculation is to capture both Indiana
and New York. Should they lose In
diana they would need to carry Iowa
or Massachusetts instead. Should they
loseNewY ork they would need to carry
number of states in which, under Or
binary circumstances, their prospects
would be doubtful. The tariff issue, it
must be remembered, is factor whose
potency is extraordinary. The Repub-
lican calculation proceeds upon the
doubtful supposition that the tariff is
sue, while affecting state and congress
ional elections will not effect presiden-
tial elections. The Democrats calcul-
ate somewhat differently. The Louis
vile Courier Journal, for example, pla-
ces Massachusetts and Iowa plumply
in the Democratic column, together
with New York and Indiana, thus
giving the Democratic candidate for
the presidency 25S electoral votes
and his republican competitor but 1856.
States that have voted as Massachu-
sets, Iowa and New York have so re-
Gently voted, are not, according to the
Courier-Journal, to be classed as
doubtful, and on the tariff issue, with
the Australian ballot, Indiana, it is
thought, may be pronounced safely
democratic. This view takes account
of the actual and fresh fact of politics
better than does the antiquated table
quoted above. Indeed, as the Balti-
more Sun points out, the outlook for
Democratic victory has not been 80 re-
assuring for many years. Unless they
make grievous blunders during the APP
preaching session Of congress, the
democrats will go into the fight OF
1892 with every advantage Of position.
Nothing but factional wrangles, and
the weakness and Generalization that
must inevitably result therefrom can
prevent the election of a Democratic
president. Under their natural and
proper leaders democrats will 60 into
the fight confident of carving New
York, Indiana and Iowa. They have
an issue, too, which makes the contin-
uance of the largest republican major
tiles more than problematical.
| HASsBRoUGH IS HUsTLING.
He Will Endeavor to Secure Public Build