Los Angeles herald., 1891-11-01
SOME POLITICAL TIPS FOR TUESDAYS
ELECTIONS.

any which exist today, but it is really
astonishing the degree of interest which
hinges on the elections which will take
place day after tomorrow. Many elec-
tions will be held, but the interest CEN
ters in four events of sensational mag
nitude.
ID First in interest and Importance
is the election for governor and state
officers in the Empire state of New
York. In any ordinary political calcu-
lations the electoral votes of the great
state of New York are required to elect
a Democratic president. Basing calcula-
tions ON last year, New York could be
thrown out. With Ohio, Massachusetts,,
Iowa, Pennsylvania and Illinois in the
Democratic roster, as they were last
year, New York sinks to a secondary
place. With the wonderfully developed
strength of the Alliance this may prove
to be the case next year. But, with the
ordinary run of politicians, it will prob
ably be conceded that the party that
carries the Empire state this year will
enter the fight with an irresistible pres
tige. The returns from New York will,
therefore, be looked for with great in
terest. BY 8 O'Clock Tuesday evening
the result will be known on this coast.
The HERALD's political tip on this issue
is that Flower, Democrat, will be elected
by one of those resounding majorities
that were always heard from when Sam
uel j. Tilden ran for governor of that
state. The figures of Governor Flowers
majority will not be as large as Grover
Cleveland's were when he beat Judge
Folger, President Arthur's secretary of
the treasury; but, in the language OF
Mercutio in referring to his wound,
'they will do-they will serve." When
Cleveland was elected governor of
New York by 1913, 900 and Hill lieuten-
ant-governor by 1877 900, big fight was
on between the Republican stalwarts
and half breeds, and Roscoe Conkling
had his war paint on in heavy colors.
Thirty thousand majority will do for
this year of grace, although it need
astonish no one if Flowers majority
bIOulu icdCu
(2.) Ohio comes next in Importance,
although not intrinsically. Governor
Campbell is up for reelection, and he
has shown during the campaign that he
deserves it. He has actually lowered
head and shoulders above Mckinley in
debate. Ohio, in nineteen elections out
of twenty, has gone against the Demo-
cratic party, during the past forty
years, by majorities ranging from
100000 to $4,000. The whole tariff
question has been exhaustively de-
bated during this campaign. If
Campbell wins the Republican party is
dead. If Mckinley wins by a sickly
majority only his party has no recuper-
ative power which will enable it to pull
itself together in time for the next pres
idential election. A victory for Nc
Kinley means that the Democratic party
will nominate a New York man for
president, with one exception, to which
we shall recur later on. All the brag
has been taken out of Ohio Republicans,
and yet Democrat would be foolish, in
the light of the past, to bet against Nc
Kinley. Nevertheless there are occa-
sionally political landslides, and this
may be one of those years.
g. A little while back we mentioned
the eventuality in which Mckinley
might carry Ohio, and yet the Demo-
cratic party might not nomina ate New
York man for president This is in the
event of the Democracy carrying Penn
sylvania-a thing not at all improbable.
In that event Governor Pattison, who
has twice carried that state, would loom
up very formidably. The election in
the Keystone state is comparatively un-
important, being only for rauditor-general
and surveyor-general, but it will admit
OF the people of that commonwealth pass
ing judgment on the Bardsley and Key
stone bank enormities and on the Pc
culiar political career of Senator Mat
thew Stanley Quay. 1t would not sur
prise us particle to see Pennsylvania
60 Democratic by small figure. AS every
one knows, Governor Pattison is fully
fifty thousand votes stronger than his
party, and he would at once become
formidable Democratic favorite for the
presidency.
a. Wegroup Iowa as the next import
ant factor in the elections to take place
on Tuesday. We have ventured to say
that if Ohio should go Democratic the
Republican party is dead. If Iowa
should elect Boies, however, we could
go further. When the messengers dis
patched by Mary and Margaret to ap-
prise the Savior of the demise OF Lazarus
were questioned by the Lord Jesus,
he answered that not only was Lazarus
dead, ''but by this time he stinketh."
That will be the deplorable condition OF
the Republican party if it shall lose
Iowa. 1t will not only be dead but will
call for instant burial in order to avoid
offence to the public nostril.
The contest in Massachusetts, is also
interesting, and the Democratic cause,
in the hands of Governor Russell and
his co-adjutors, is full-high advanced
and looks promising. New Jersey will
be staunchly Democratic, as usual.
There are no other specially interesting
features of the canvass.
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