The sun., 1891-01-22
THREE PREDICTIONS REcALLED.
Mas u. n. Hn Changed s-what His Ae-
ceptance or the SenatorshSp Iavolves.


ceptanee or the senatorship Iavolves.
To THE EDITOR OF THE SuN-Sir: I recently
hazarded three predictions In THE Bun re-
Garding Gov Hill: first, that the Democratic
Legislative caucus would not name him for
the Senatorship. and that he would not accept
1t; secondly. that II any man were nominated
from the State OF New York for tho Presidency
at tho next Democratic National Convention It
would be Gov HILL and third. that II New
York man were not nominated. Gov Hills In
fluence would dominate the convention. and
that he would hold the most intimate and con-
fldential relations with the Dem ocratio candi-
date. Upon the realization OF the fulfllment
OF my first prediction the fulnlment Of tho
others seemed 10 depend.
Almost In day the situation 10 altered. To
the delight OF Cleveland's friends and to the
surprise and sorrow Of tho Governors. David
d. Hill has been selected. apparently with his
consent. for the Senatorship. As . man who
stands little distance from beautiful pict-
ure oan best appreciate its merits, as q srec-
ulator away from the turmoil and inv olvements
OF Wall street can best calculate values, 90 I
believe that one like myself, outside Of the
whirlpool OF present politics. can look over the
field and SEQ more clearly the political out
come OF the near future.
First OF all. SEQ a contention regarding the
propriety nnd expediency OF the Governors re-
tention OF his present ofllce after tho Ath Of
March next. This puts the Governor on the
defensive. an unpleasant position always.
Secondly: SEQ looming up upon the political
horizon In this State a unique character. that
OF Lieut.. .-Gov. Jones. An aggressive. impulsive.
tireless. ambitious worker. q friend Of Clevc-
land though not a politician. nor tho friend
and associate Of politicians. but with follow
ing among the masses OF this State that
might. With odrott manipulstion. 10 made
most formidable At q State Convention.
Thirdly: Away from the 4overnorship. rer-
ceive that Gov. Hill must inevitably lose some.
II not all. Of his mastery control OF political
affairs in this State 1t is this control that has
now riveted the attention Of the Democracy
throuGhout the country unon him. Just at
this critical juncture. when from tho West
and South now praises for Hill wero sung
whom his prestige was extending and tending
to become omnipotent: whom tho common
sense Of practical politics was smothsrine tho
sentimental adulation OF Cleveland: when the
sturdy Governor OF New York was worshippsd
atar of. distance lending enchRntment to the
view, he risks everything by change OF base.
BY a trial Of now battle ground. with new COM
petitors In new game Of political chance.
Under the circumstances. tho Governor will
be amply justified in taking the only step that
In my judgment. remains for him as an astute
politician. namely. resolutey and boldly to de.
Gline the Senatorship thus retaining his place.
his prestige, and his political power. and thus
boldly slgnifyins to his friends throughout the
country that tho gauntlet has been thrown
down for any man to take up.
That would be like the Gov. Hill that have
known for 80 many years In the past.
REcLusE.
| ALBANY, Jan. 21.