Indian chieftain. [volume] (Vinita, Indian Territory [Okla.]) 1882-1902, 1891-06-11


4. Wood Davis says whent win soon ne
worth Two Dniiars por Bushei
G. Woods Davis lives ON farm IN
scdgwicx county, KS, and from his pon
have come several bright articles IN the
Forum on agriculture. In the last two
issues Of the Arena have appeared arti-
clcs from his pen on the naturalization
of railroads. In the next Arena will
appeal the third OF these articles on n
question In which manp people OF the
west are interested.
Mr. Davis Is close student and a
statistician who ranks among the first
and Is quoted in recent interview as
saying:
SIN my view the crop Of wheat in
America will be above the average, the
acreage being 500, 900 larger than that
OF late years. The wheat area IN the
world during the eighth decade in
creased $4,000, 900 acres, which was out
Of proportion 70 the increase Of popula.
lion. The increase Of wheat area be-
ing l6 per cent, while the increase In
population was II per cent: tho result
being low prices the world over, de-
fpression OF all agricultural interests,
stagnatiOn in commercial circles, and
EItul NlI NdiiI W lauuH
fas well as an enormous accumulation Of
bread stuifs.
"During the ninth decade the wheat
area increased but 3,20O, 900 acres, be-
ing n per cent, while the bread eating
population increased 1874 per cent re-
sultipg In a late rapid advance in the
price OF breadstuiIs, and upward tcnd-
ency In the value OF land. This dispro-
portionatc increase In population and
area devoted TO the production OF bread
stuff resulted in wheat area fully
5000 600 acres below the normal re-
quirements OF the bread eating popula-
tion, being equal to a shortage from de-
ficient acreage OF 100 900, 600 bushels OF
wheat per annum, that Is increasing at
the rate Of 25, 100000 bushels yearly. In
addition TO this normal shortage OF
100000, 600 bushels, the growing crop
OF Europe is now estimated by Euro
pean statisticians at from 100, ,000O 600 to
250,OOO 600 bushels below an average,
making the probable entire shortage
anywhere from 100000, 900 TO 100000,
900 bushels for the coming cereal year.
"As 10 prices says Mr.. Davis, "the
probabilities are that the necessities Of
the farmors throughout the world will
require them to market large part OF
the growing crop I'VE may say three
fourtks thereof during the first half Of
the cereal year and this will result in
prices far below what the statistical
situation warrants, but when the pinch
comes, az n most certainly will during
the fourth quarter OF the cereal year
prices will advance rapidly. greatly.
and are likely TO reach anywhere from
$3.50 10 $500 per bcshel in the wheat
prcdncing districts of the United
i@lHfnS
with such a crop as is promised in
he United States we should h.tve Rg,-
Doc, 900 bushels forexpOrt, but the short
age Of the growing cropin France being
officially estimated at 10000 900 bushels
and the tropical islands, Central Amer
lea and Eastern Asia annually taking
about 10000, ,0oe mshcls OF our wheat
we should have but little, II any, more
than enough TO make good the deficit
lin the French crop, and as all the re-
mainder Of Western Europe is certain
10 grow a crop Is per cent below the
average, IL is absolutely certain that
that the product Of the coming harvest
will be fully 25O,OO0,O0 bushels below
the worlds needs. All Europe west OF
Hungary, oven in good years, are inn
porters OF breadstugs.p
I"