The sun., 1891-08-02

bushels OF rye rendering necessary In Ger
many tho importation OF $4,000, 900 bushels
OF wheat and 75, 100000 bushels OF rye.
In Austria. Hungary the wheat and rye
crops are 10 to 20 per cent. below the aver
age, so that exports Of either will he nil. as
10 per cent. Is more OF the crop than has
been exported of late years. Thus, at best,
the dual empire has only enough for Its
own home necessities.
From Italy tho reports also show condi-
tions 20 Per cent. below the average; but
calling the loss only 10 psr cent, imports OF
44OOoo 900 bushels will be necessary.
Spanish crops promise ayield from Is to
% per cent below tho average, and deficit
OF Is per cent. means the importation OF
2GOOp 900 bushels.
In Belgium the conditions are much the
same rs In northern France, and the promise
Of Eut little more than half a crop Of either
wheat or rye, indicates probable need
beyond home production of about 4ooOo,oOo
bushels Of both grains.
Switzerland annually imports about 49,.
100000 bushels OF wheat, and owing to the
condition OF her small crops, will now require
about 1000, 900 bushels more: while Portugal,
Holland, and Scandinavia will require such
additional imports OF wheat and rye as will
mako good deficit OF Is per cent. In the
home production.
Syria has but very poor crop. owing to
drought and locust ravages. and can spare
little or no grain for export. In Asia Minor
the crops are exceedingly fine, and both
wheat and barley will be exported In I'm.
usual quantities
Tunis and Egypt will have fair crops and
can spare about tho usual amounts: but
Morocco and Alglers have been devastated
by locusts. and famine IL not improbable In
eithe: or both countries.
Persia IL reported as having sufferedg ut
damage from .ocusts. especially in Le
southern part and the Siah is said to have
prohibited the expectation Of grain, but this
is doubtful. Probably Europe will, as usual.
receive small supplies from this source.
Australasia and South America have al
ready exported all that can be spared from
their last crop. and the coming one Is not
far enough along to require comment, ex-
cept to say that the two regions will do re-
markably well il they send each 100000
bushels OF grain to Europe.
Notwithstanding that our belated Agri.
cultural Department said in Its April report
that exports Of grain from India in any con.
siderable volume were this year improbable
by reason OF very short crop. yet In the
first three months of the cereal year. begin.
ming April l. India will have shipped 2S,0O0..
900 bushels OF wheat as against total ship
ment in the whole of 1890 Of 25,00o. 900 BUSH
els. The crop. which had been harvested
when the Washington barnacles put out
this prediction, is the best for several years.
and the exports are likely to he the largest
for many years, and very probably the
largest ever known.
From Russia tho accounts are most de-
plorable. and the details as to the lament.
able condition OF the crops and the distress
already prevailing over very great part OF
central Russia, preclude the possibility OF
any serious expectation from that country.
Indeed, ifthe Russian peasants are to be pre-
vented from dying of starvation by the
million, immense imports Of food would seem
to be necessary as well as grain wherewith to
SOW the fields. The winter wheat crop,
except in some half dozen provinces is
such an entire failure that 1t Is very doubt
full il 1t will return the seed sown. In many
OF the provinces the rye fields will not
return the seed sown. while the spring
wheat, as whole, will not he more than two
thirds Of crop. and Is likely to be but half
or even less. The most conservative csti-
mates place the loss OF the winter wheat at
two-thirds OF the crop. or 80, 900, 900 bushels;
and that OF the spring wheat at third,
an average crop OF spring wheat being l5o,-
0OO. 900 bushels. This makes the loss Of both
kinds OF wheat aggregate 100. o0o, 900 bushels,
which is 10000. 900 bushels more than the
- I'M 1or Il
"a OOO, 900 bushels more than the average ex-
ports Of ten years. This shows very clearly
that. even were there not great deficit
in the rye crop, tho power Of Russia to
export wheat has been destroyed until
another crop can be grown.
But this is not the worst fact for the great
Northern Empire. The ryo crop, including
that OF Poland and Finland. has averaged
during the last ten years 725.0O00O0 bushels
per annum, and tho rye exports G0.0O0,O00
bushels. luostly to Germany, Belgium. Hol-
, land. and Scandinavia. Now. however, the
rye crop OF Russia Is practically destroyed.
! estimates OF tho yield range from IS to GO
per cent. Of un average. Accepting the
highest yield that even the most optimistic
experts can give ,,s the deficit will reach the
| enormous total OF 100000 bushels to be
| added to deficit o. 100000 0OD bushels ol
| wheat. clearly showing. il the estimates are
| only approximately correct, that the export.
ing power of Russia has been obiterated and
her loD 100000 people left with, at best, but
tJC00000O bushels; or. II wc take the me-
diun figures, but 45o, ,0O0, 900, out OF tho sOO,-
| 100000 bushels OF wheat and rye that are an
nualiy required for home consumption. Can
there be any other result than the cessation
| OF all exports. and tho death Of great multi.
| tudes from starvation?
To-day. before the ordinary date for the
harvest. famine prevails in the provinces of
kalUgs, Ka"an. Kostroma, Kursk, Moscow
Nijni-Novgorod. Orel Penza, Ryazan, Sa-
mara. Salutoil, Simbirsk, 1amDotr, Tua,
Vladimir, Vorenej, Vyatka. and the north
ern Don Cosssck country. Indeed, In a few
Of these provinces famine has already cx-
listed for some months. 1t is most signill-
xk,nI go. -