The Helena independent. [volume] (Helena, Mont.) 1875-1943, 1891-05-14

INTERESTING DEDUCTIONS
Analysis of the Printed List Of the
Next House of Represen-
tatives.
How ar Election of President
Would Go If Left to
That Body.
euch . Contingency Is Not 0at Entirely
Of the Range of the
Possible.

BENDS the following TO tnAG paper: LII
printed list OF the MEMBERSHIPS of tn
next house furnishes some interesting fig
ures and deductions. The list is unofficial
but accurate. OF the 1872 members Their
are 2a7 democrats, eighty-seven republican!
and eiRht members of the Farmers ALI
ance who will not 60 into either party eau
Gus. There are other members III southern
states who were elected on h alliance
platform, but on democratic tickets, and
they will vote on all party questions with
the democrats. Cleaning the list by states
it appears that there are of the forty-fout
states no less than sixteen with solid demo-
cratic delegations and thirteen more where
tho majority of the delegation isdemocratic
There are ten states with solid republican
delegations and two with republican major
tiles. OF the three remaining states two have
alliance maiorities, while in the one remain
ing state, Minnesota, there are three demo
Gratis, one republican and one alliance man,
SO that the delegation on a vote is demo
cratic. Summing up, the democrats con-
trol.the vote of thirty states, the republi.
forty-four. There are, then, sixteen solid
democratic delegations and ten republican.
The sixteen solid democratic delegations
include a membership of 1O6; the solid re-
publican delegation a total membership of
fifteen. The friahtful disparity lies
In the fact that of the ten solid
republican delegations seven of them
are mining camps, or republican
emergency states, Colorado. Idaho,
Nevada, North Dakota, Oregon. Washing
ton and Wyoming have one member each
who is a solid republican. By these states
the republicans control the senate. There
remain three solid states, of which two,
South Dakota and Vermont, ave two
members each. and the state of Maine,
with Messrs. Reed, Boutelle, Dingley and
Milliken, has a solid delegation of four.
These latter were elected. it will be remem-
bered, a few months before the popular up
rising. The solid democratic states are
big and substantial. Missouri alone has
fourteen. almost as many as the entire
force of the solid republican common
wealths. The others are Alabama, eight;
Arkansas, five; Georgia, ten; Louisiana,
six; Maryland, six; Mississippi. seven;
South Carolina, seven; Texas, eleven: Nir-
Rl0ld VCAs AA2A AoA1 DNSANSo cuSA
pickings as Florida, New Hampshire and
Rhode Island, with two each, and one each
from Delaware and Montana, where the re
publican spirit was willing, but the flesh
was evidently weak.
In the thirteen states where the demo-
Gratis have majorities in the delegations
there are IN all lis democrats and forty
seven republicans, a net democratic major
ity of sixty-eight. In the two republican
states there are twenty-five republicans and
twelve democrats, a net majority of
ten. Here again the democrats con-
troll, with the exception of Pennsyl-
vania, all of the large delega-
tions. The states stand, Illinois fourteen to
six, Indiana. eleven to two; Kentucky ten
to one: Massachusetts. seven to FIVE; Hichi-
gan, eight to three: New York. twenty
three to eleven; North Carolina, eight to
one; Ohio, fourteen to seven; Tennessee,
eight 70 two; Wisconsin, eight to one: on
necticut, three to one; Iowa, six to five: New
Jersey, three to two. The republican dele
cations are Pennsylvania, eighteen to ten;
and California, four to two. OF the re-
manning states there are in Kansas five
Alliance men to " republicans and in
Nebraska two Alliance men to one demo-
crat. Giving the alliance these two states,
while in Minnesota, as already stated,
there being three democrats, one republi-
can and one alliance man, the control OF
Iu6 O6lGRdtiOu ID WIN VIE uciAOSIdto.
This is the way the house will stand;
Democrats solid delegations, sixteen
majority delegations, fourteen; total, thirty
Republican-Solid delegations, ten: ma.
jority delegations, two: total, twelve.
AIliance-Solid delegations, none major
ity delegations, two; total, two.
On a division by states on any question
therefore, the democrats would carry tn,
vote by thirty to twelve, or a majority o.
eighteen.
1t is not out of the range of the possibl,
shat such a question may arise IN the mex
house. That question would be the most
important in the history Of this country. |
would the question of the next president o
the United States. 1t seems almost Ger
tain hat the Farmers' alliance, or a sec
ton of that organization, will place a can
didate for the presidency in the field. Win
that man may be no one can guess. 1t Ger
tainlv can be Senator Stanford of Califor
mia il he wants it. With the present strength
of the alliance ana Senator Stanford's enor
nous attributes for an energ tic campaign
it is not impossible that the alliance may
win electoral votes ~enough-not to cleo
Senator Stanford, but to prevent eithe
the democratic or the republican can
didate from obtaining a majority of tn,
electoral college. In hat case the consti
tuition, by article twelve, provides that tn
election shall be thrown INTO the house @
representatives. That would mean tn
Fifty-second congress, and the full i'm
portance of the fact hat democrats contro
thirty delegations out of the forty-foUr, i
seen when 1t is remembered that the con
stitutlon provides that the vote shall b
taken by states, and each state. no mat
ter how great or how shall its delegation
shall have one vote. so hat If the ailianc
should elect so many electors that neithe
the republicans nor the democrats coul
cast a majority vote of the entire college
the next president would be a democrat.
On this vote all the states would meet O
Il common level, and the $4,000 white
blacks, half-breeds, munRrels, Chinese an
Indians of the Nevada mining camps woul
be as powerful in electing a president A.;
states of New York, Pennsylvania, Missouri
Illinois, Ohio and Texas. Mr.. Bartine,
Nevada. would be as big a man as koswe
p. Flower and his thirty-three colleagues.
So big is the democratic majority, ev,
on the unit vote by states, hat they coul
elect the president, even if not Il single n
publican were present. The constituaic
provides that there shall be present Il quo
um consisting of a member or membe
from two-thirds of the states, SO that vii
their thirty states the democrats could lie,
timately elect the president without Il
attendance of a single republican.
The deep interest which both the demo
CraJlc anu the republican party take III VI
alliance entrance into the field Of nation
politics can therefore be very easily unde
stood.
Still another feature presents itself
case the alliance should be able to thr,
the presidential election in the hou,
There would then probably be a democrat
president and a republican vice-preslder
for the same article of the constitute
which makes the house elect the preside
throws the election of the vice-preside