St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1890-01-15
A GLIMPSE AHEAD.

The editor of the New York Sun is
hostile to MIR. CLEVELAND, just as he
was to Gen. GRANT, when, as Repub-
lican, disappointments embittered ira
ditionally amiable nature. He is in
geEiouS in devising methods Of airing
his aversion. 1t seems to him as if Mr..
CLEVELAND were drifting toward the
nomination in 1892, and the only hope
full device to thwart the popular cur
rent would be to magnify the import
ance of the electoral vote of New York.
and the diffusion of the impression that
the present governor of that state is the
only man who can assuredly command
Its vote tor the Democrats, with the ac-
companying incubation that the pres
idential candidate of 1888 would
nave still more fatal shortage
in that quarter. Computations of
the electoral vote of 1892 are
made with view to picturing New
York as the determining factor. 1t is
assumed that the new census will be re-
turned in season to make the apportion-
ments upon it, and the representative
ratio will only be advanced from $4,000
to $4,000. in place of the commonly an
ticipated 100000. This will swell the
house to 366 members, an increase of thir-
ty-six, although it is already unwieldt in
size. New York will gain one electoral
vote in place of losing, having thirty
seven votes. The total vote. as figured
Try the Sun. will be $50. Adding New
York to the states carried by Mr.. CLEvE-
LAND i'll 1888 and the Democrat would
win with just 226 out of the $50 electoral
votes. 1t requires nice guessing to make
this come out so closely, and some i'm
probable census work. But the arith-
metic of the Sun man is equal to still
more difficult problems, if requisite to
subserve the aim. The moral is stated
to he, that neither party can win
without the vote of New York; that
more than ever will it be important for
the Democrats to secure that state. To
effect this, the full Democratic MAORI
ties must be maintained in New York
city, Brooklyn and that part of the state.
The fate of the Democratic ticket is to
be determined by giving the Democrats
in that limited district domination of the
party in the nation. Otherwise trans
lated, the theory of the Sun is that Gov.
HILL is the only man who can be elect
ed president by the Democrats at the next
election. There are several faulty para
graphs in this programme. The Sun
will not take the census, and the allot
mentS of votes will be quite diff
ferent from its computations. The
Democrats do not expect the vote out of
New York state to be duplicated in
1892. They are confident that Indiana
will be with them, with strong proba-
bility that Iowa, Illinois and some other
states not in line at the last election will
be carried. Without entering upon de-
tails and speculationS, it is more than
probable that the Democrats will be able
TO elect in 1892 without New York. But,
whatever the chances as to that state,
the Democrats outside of it will be likely
to manifest very great wariness of any
theories that compel them to look to
that state for their candidate. If they
choose to go there, it will be simply be-
cause the man they want happens to be
a citizen of that state, not in response to
any ''shrieks of locality" individuals
who voice their grievances in assaults
upon MIR. CLEVELAND now will promote
the end they would avert.