St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1890-12-12
FIGURING AHEAD.

The first disposition with the Demo-
Gratis III congress was to oppose the APP
portionment bill most recently intro
1uced from the house committee. and
which appears to be approved by the
Republicans, as being somewhat unfair
to the party. Under this bill tine ratio
is 173,901. which gives $50 members.
Then II are to be given to the largest
fractions. Of these are to Republican
and to Democratic states. But it hap
pens that the Democratic states have
more of the larger unrepresented frac-
tons than the Republican, Mime
sofa having about the largest of
any Republican state. The result
ant of this is alleged to be Re-
publican advantage OF three members
of congress. Probably as serious obiec-
lions might be figured out to any appor-
tionment, and if a measure of this kind
is to pass at this session. there must
be some concessions. The indica-
tons are that bill will be
adopted, and not differ essentially
from this one. In view Of the position
taken by so many states last month
politically, it is not an easy task for
even the Republican experts in arith-
metic, or enthusiasts in party visions, TO
figure out the presidential vote i'm 1892
i'll an encouraging way for that per-
suaSion. The total vote will be, under
this bill, 444, requiring 223 TO elect. The
six new states have 90 votes. which were
designed to be solidly Republican, and
may be conceded to that party, except
ing The Montana 3, although the Da-
kotas are not quite safe to count on in a
pinch. If the other states should all
vote as in 1888, leaving out New York,
the Republicans would have 1917 votes of
the old states and II from the new. max
ing 2l4 OF 9 less than majority. Mon
tana and Connecticut or West Vir-
ginia would give them the exact num-
Der, and they could elect without The
vote OF New York. Before the Noyem-
Der cataclysm this seemed to RepubIi-
cans rational computation. They
nave expended a vast amount of brain
force in making up programme that
would enable them to elect president
without the vote of New York. 1t
would require split in the party there
ike that of 1S4S. when TAYLOR had a
plurality over CAss and VAN buren,.
TO give the Republicans the electoral
vote of New York in 1892. 1t has inst
gone for the Democrats by 10000 or
more on the congressional vote. The
Democrats can apparently do without
the vote of New York in 1892. but the
Republicans would work political mir
acle to elect without it. The 10000 ma
jority in Indiana, $4,000 in Wisconsin
and $4,000 i'll Illinois should allow the
Democrats TO claim them. They
will have fifty-one votes. lust
the same as New York and lndi-
ana. Adding the 81 10 the IT'S to be had
by the states Mr.. CLEVELAND carried
the last time, the total is PIG, or 8
more than sufficient to elect. This
leaves to the Republicans. III addition to
New York, the states of Indiana. Mich
lgan. Massachusetts, Iowa, Montana.
Rhode Island, New Hampshire and sew
eral others that the Republicans are
likely to lose, whoever may carry them.
1t is not probable that New York will
be found with the minority in 1892. but
1t Will not assume the importance it has
had as essential to the success of either
party.