The Manning times. [volume] (Manning, Clarendon County, S.C.) 1884-current, 1890-10-22

souri,. Three of them were from St.
! Louis districts heretofore represented
| by Democrats. It is safe to assume
| that at least one of them will be re-
! deemed.
Four Democrats were returned from
West Virginia in 1883 by small MAORI
ties. two Of whom have since been un-
seated. It is fair to divide the delega-
ton equally between the parties at the
coming election, considering how close
the State is.
In Arkansas the Republicans are
likely to gain a member. They had
none at the opening of the present Con-
gress, but unseated two Democrats.
So the result of the estimate shows
net loss to the Republicans of three and
a net gain to the Democrats OF three
in sixteen Southern States.
In the Eastern States the Democrats
now have % Congressman, while the
Republicans have,67. 1t is expected in
the approaching election that the fig
ures will stand about as follows:
Democrats 81, Republicans 81, being a
gain OF members for the Democrats.
Maine has already voted and elected
four Republicans. Ii New Hampshire
the Democrats lave fair prospect Of
electing one member, as they have also
| in Rhode Island, but both are conceded
to the Republicans in the estimate.
In Massachusetts only the two Boston
districts are put down as Democratic,
though the Democrats have hopes Of
others. The delegation is left un-
changed. In Connecticut q gain of one
district can be safely claimed by the
Democrats. In several Congresses they
have had three members. The Repub-
licans carried the first; third and fourth
districts in 1888 by S13, us and 26 ma
jority respectively.
In New York the Democrats are-coc-
ceeaed gain of one district. They
lost the Fifteenth District in 1888 by
"a votes. In the Buffalo district John
NJ. Farquhar has been left out in the
cold, and against the present Republi-
can nominee Alr. Dan Lockwood, the
Democrat, can win. In the Thirty
third the Republicans are as badly di-
vided as in 1888, when John Wiley car
ried the district by 564. Many helieve
that the Republicans will lose the Ro-
chester district, owing to the unpopu-
larity Of their nominee, Dan Voorhis.
Nh. Greenleaf, the Democratic candi-
date, beat him several years ago.
In New Jersey the Democrats are
sure OF the three districts they now
hold, and are likely to capture the
Newark district.
In Pennsylvania the bolt against
Delamater. Senator Quay's candidate
for Governor, is likely to affect the
close districts, and in one Of them. the
Twenty-ffth, two Republicans are in
the field, so That Democratic gain Of
one is not an unreasonable claim.
From this section. including New
England and New York, New Jersey
and Pennsylvania. Democratic gain
Of three and Republican loss of three
is claimed to be the probable result.
Lastly, the Western section OF the
country, embracing the nineteen re-
manning States Six of these-North
and South Dakota. Montana. Washing
ton, Wyoming and Idahe-aid notvote
in 1888, though the first four Cid in 1889
and their Representatives participated
in the organization OF the present
House.
In this section a gain for the Demo-
Gratis Of eight members can be conf.
dently expected, and corresponding
loss by the Republicans, and when the
test OF political probabilities is applied
to this claim twill be readily seen that
it is conservative one.
In Ohio Democratic gain of seven
members is very conservative claim.
In the present Congress there are but
five Democrats from Ohio to sixteen
Republicans. The infamous" gerry
mander which produced this result has
been duplicated by the recent Demo-
cratic Legislature, with the shoe on the
other foot, and fifteen districts have
been constructed with Democratic ma
jorities ranging from six hundred to
three thousand. Six districts were
made heavily Republican. In some Of
the districts the Democratic majority
is small, notably in the Sixth, Eighth
and Thirteenth. where it does not ex-
ceed 1000, and so these districts are
conceded to the Republicans in the esti-
mate. Moreover, the Republicans them
selves concede eleven districts to the
Democrats, and say that if they can
keep the Democrats down to that figure
they will have won great Republican
victory.
in 1888 the Indiana Democrats car
ried ten of the thirteen Congressional
| Districts. Six of the ten, however, were
carried by less than $50 plurality, four
of them by less than 500, and two Of
them by less than 100 plurality, the
First District by 20 votes and the
Eighth by 60. 1t is well known that
the Republican managers sacrificed
everything to secure the electoral vote
of the State for Harrison. It is there
fore safe to assume that the Republi-
cans will gain two districts this year,
and they are accorded that in the esti-
mate.
In Michigan a galn of one is assured
to the Democrats. In 1888 they cost
the Sixth District by only 367, and the.
Tenth, or Bay City District, oy only
115, and in the latter the Republicans
put forward their strongest candidate,
who is not in the field this year.
In Wisconsin the only gain claimed
| for the Democrats is the Milwaukee
district. That city elected Democra-
tic mayor this spring by over 5000 ma
|jority, and on an issue which is the
issue in this campaign. While the
Democrats have nominated the million
aire John Michel rs their candidate,
the present Republican member, Van
Schaick, who has never met defeat,
would not consent to run again.
He dropped out once before when
| Democratic success was assured. In
Iowa gain of one is claimed from the
Republicans. Last year Governor Boles
carried five of the el-ven districts in
the State. Certainly one Of these should
elect a Democrat this year. The Iowa
district. now held by the Democrats,fnd
the two held by them in Wisconsin ere
largely Democratic and safe.
The above are the only Western
States in which any Democratic gains
are claimed, though there is a good
prospect of defeating the Republican