Los Angeles herald. [volume] (Los Angeles [Calif.]) 1890-1893, 1890-10-17
A Presidential Year No Critic
rion to Go By.
Where Are Markham's Votes to Come
From in the Present Year?
A Forecast Made by an Old Political
Stager on the Situation as it is
Today.

oAiO AinJOilty VI lldIIisOu TWO years ago,
and are confident of carrying the state.
They do not know California. The
state is political weather cock, and is
blown about by the queerest political
winds. In 1880 Gen. Hancock carried
the state by scratch. In 1882 Stone
man carried it by $4,000. Two years
later Blaine swung it off its base, getting
plurality of $4,000. Two years
more passed and Bartlett swung
it back into the Democratic ranks. being
elected by few hundred votes over
Swift Then came the presidential
year of 1888, when the pigmy, under his
grandfather's hat, got a plurality of over
1000. He did not get a majority vote.
for the Prohibition candidate got 6,1O7
votes, and the American one got 1910.
Harrison got his majorities in few
pluralities over Cleveland, he got in
Alameda county $3.50, in Los Angeles
1898, in Sacramento 1916, in San Diego
1883, in Santa Clara 4S1. Here are
pluralities amounting to 1913 in five
counties.
San Francisco gave Cleveland plur-
allty of 1897, which reduced the Re-
publican figures as above to
1897. The total plurality of the
state was exactly I'LL. Thus it
appears that the other forty-six coun-
ties of the state nearly Offset each other.
Cleveland was very weak candidate
in this state on the two occasions that
he ran. His last race was very disas-
trous on account of the view the labor
ing people took of his tariff programme
The total vote of the state in 1888 was
$780, This year it will not be more
than 100000, and may run down to
10000. The falling off will be largely
in the strongest Republican coun-
ties. Los Angeles is the ban
ner Republican county, and it
will be the banner one in their detection
from the party. There is not Repub-
liean with any desire of being accounted
sane, who claims the county by over
1000. Few claim that figure. The best
informed men, who talk sense, put the
figure at about 1900 as an outside figure.
1t is set down at about 1000 to 1900 by
many very shrewd people. The vote
will be one-third less than two years
ago. The Democrats who went away
from our party in 1888 have come back
this year. With them have come a
great many Republicans. Any well-in-
formed Democrat can count from ten to
twenty Republicans who will vote for
Pond. These things count.
San Diego county two years ago cast
nearly 5000 votes.
This year it will cast perhaps 5000.
The same influences at work here will
work the same results there. San Ber-
nardino, which two years ago gave Re-
publican majority of 500. will this year
probably give much smaller one, or
none at all. Santa Clara will be about a
stand off. Alameda will not give Mark.
ham to exceed 1000 plurality, while Sac
ramento will not give him over 900.
There are all his elements of strength.
If he gets at the outside 1900 in this
county, and 1000 more in the
rest of the Sixth district, he
will go north with $500 start.
Some OF the Republicans who consent to
talk sense claim for him 1000. No sane
person claims more. Add to this his
meager majorities in the few northern
counties, and we get 1000 to 5000 as his
total strength in the state. This is very
little more than the plurality Pond got
as mayor of San Francisco in the last
election, with DR.. O'Donnell taking away
$1,000 votes from him. Ponds majority
this year in his own county is put &C
5000 to 10000. All the northern coun-
ties will cast smart pluralities for him
and swell the figures very materially.
There is no way to figure out Pond a
loser this time.
These are the views expressed by we'll
informed, sensible people OF both par
ties, who will consent to speak their real
sentiments on the street. They have
been carefully cleaned in multitudes of
conversations on the streets with intel
ligent, earnest people who can be got to
talk something better than buncombe |:
Hon. S. M. White got into town yes
terday for few hours. He has been all
through the bay counties, and through
many of the others in the state. He left
last night for San Francisco, and will
follow the great hand-shaker up to
Humboldt. Mr.. White says that the cam
paign looks most promising wherever
he has gone. The Democracy will get
out its full vote, and the Republicans
will not. No Democrats this year will
vote the other ticket, while many Re-
publicans will vote for the Democratic
nominee for governor, and for many
others.
| Friends of J. D. Spencer, the clerk of
the supreme court, who want to see a
good man retained in Office, have issued
the following circular:
The present clerk of the supreme court
was appointed by Governor Stoneman in
1886, and at the general election of that
year was elected for a full term. The
office had become notorious by reason OF
the acts of his two immediate predeces-
sors; and the people we're making loud
complaints about the disreputable and
dishonest management of it's affairs.
Mr.. Spencer has been in Office nearly
five years; and, for the first time since
1879, there has been no scandal or defal-
cation in that department of the govern.
ment. The Office is to some extent a
complicated one, requiring considerable
knowledge of law and thorough famil.
iarity with the rules of the supreme
court. A change would necessarily Gre
ate confusion. and would tend to embar.
rass the court, now overburdened with
work.
| Since Mr.. Spencer was elected clerk
the increasing business of the supreme
court has made it necessary to appoint
five commissioners, secretary for the
commissioners, an additional bailiff
and a photographic reporter, to assist
| in diapooinor ~ fIo xtorIy xyh:Io AZ, fa..--