St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1890-11-03
From All Over the State Come
Tidings Of a Democratic
Victory.
Close and Conservative ESti-
mates Give Judge Wilson
a Plurality.
The Alliance Vote Is the Puz-
zling and Potent Factor
in the Fight.
From the Several Congress
sional Districts the Re-
ports Are Flattering.
The state Is ours.


On the eve of the election and at the
close of one of the most exciting cam
paigns Minnesota ever knew, the indi-
cations strongly favor the choice of
Judge Thomas Wilson and the entire
Democratic state ticket. Elections are
always uncertain. but there has never
been a Northwestern campaign in
which the element of uncertainty cut so
prominent figure as III that just clos
ing. The GLOBE has received carefully
prepared estimates from every county
in the state. These estimates were re-
vised again and again as the aspect
changed from day to day, until it is be-
lieved they are not only more nearly
correct than is usual with election es-
Inmates, but that they are very near the
truth. These estimates elect Judge
Wilson by plurality of about 5000,
which is not heavy, but will be suffi-
cient. When 1t is stated that estimates
at the Republican state committee head
quarters give Merriam but $500. it may
be seen that from any standpoint the
result In the state is close.
The great uncertainty lies in the Al
lance vote. The appended estimate
gives Mr.. Owen about $4,000 votes,
while he and his committee conf
dentiy expect 10000. If their figures
actually raise the GLOBES estimate TO-
eu0 it may be safely SAID Mr.. Wilson's
election is certain. as 20 per cent of the
increase will b. drawn from the Mer-
riam columns. Many of the closest fig
urers for the estimate gave Mr.. Owen
more votes than he Is here credited
with, but In every case the most
conservative estimate was used. Mr..
Owen's friends, and many of the
Democratic and Republican Stumpers
who have been over the state, are conf
dent that Owen will carry every county
! on the western border from Manitoba
to Iowa. and that in the second tier the
| result will be the same. This is not al
lowed in the estimate given, but should
i 1t prove true. it will take from the Me =
RAM and add to the Wilson and Owen
columns.
The Democratic committee estimates
| vary considerably from the figures here
| given, though they make the Owen
| total about the same. The Republican
estimate. giving Merriam 500 plurality,
reduces Owen $ vote in the Fourth dis
trict very materially, and adds to 1t in
the western end of the Second and
| Fifth districts, though the addition is
generously made at the expense of Will
| son. The fact is that the Republican
managers not only are aware of the tre-
mendouS vote awaiting the Alliance,
but are equally aware that 70 per cent
| of it, at the least calculation. is drawn
from their own life blood, and will not
| make public the estimates.
| 1t seems altogether probable. then,
that if Democrats do their duty tO-mor-
row Minnesota will be redeemed. The
Infamous Mckinley bill Is doing its
| work in every direction, and the Re-
| publicans have been on the defensive
| from the opening of the campaign.
I Toward its close they have beend driven
to desperation, and have not only at
! tempted the boldest boodle operations
! known to Merriam methods. but have
| even assorted to that dangerous and
despicable artiiice. an appeal to re-
ligious prejudice. They have endeav-
ored to drag the sacred altar of the
church into the political mire and they
bitterly repent 1t already. That Irish
clrcul will gain Judge Wilson thou
sands of votes and will make his elec-
| ton certain.
The following table will show the es-
| timated vote by counties: