Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1889-11-29


ELEorED on THE FIRST BALLor-rr Is CON-
oEpEp THAT HE WILL LACK ONLY FIVE VOTES
AT THE srART-wHar HIS OPPONENTS sAr.
The day before the caucus finds the several
speakership candidates held firmly in the field
by their friends. There is no indication Of
weakening in any of their lines The report
that Mckinley contemplated Withdrawing is
positively denied by him and pronounced
absurd. FOR the very good reason that he has
made accessions within the past twenty-four
hours. He and his friends are perfectly conf
dent, and declare that they have more to be
happy over now than they have before had
during the canvass.
On the start, it is asserted. twelve votes in
Pennsylvania were pledged to Mr.. Mckinley.
A strong pressure was brought to carry the
whole delegation over to Reed, regardless Of
these previous pledges.
TALK OF DEAL
1t was asserted that deal had been made. as
in the Forty-seventh Congress when keifer
was elected. At that time, though these
Pennsylvania votes were mostly pledged
to another candidate, they were
all turned over to Keifer through the influence
of New Jersey. Pennsylvania thus secured
three places on the ways and means committee,
two on the appropriations committee. and
six chairmanships, while Mr.. Robson
was made chairman of the committee on ex-
penditures in the Navy department. 1t has
been made this time, and at one time il was
claimed that Mr.. Reed would have the solid
Pennsylvania delegation or, at least, not more
than two short OF solid
THE PENNSYLVANIA DELEGATION DIVIDED.
1t is claimefi this morning that Mr.. McKin-
ley has seven Of the Pennsylvania votes that
will stay with him. Six were all Mckinley was
counting on last night, but one member he
had not expected to vote for him called this
morning and declared his intention of so doing.
There is said to be abundant lack of har-
mony in the delegation, and lively time is ex-
pected at their ting this afternoon.
NEW YORK SOLID FOR REED.
At the Belden dinner last night the New York
delegation talked over the speakership, and it
was practically decided that all the members
would respect the unit rule and vote for Reed.
Baker and Flood wanted to vote for other can
dictates. but the former yielded gracefully
for a big man-to the will of the majority,
and Mr.. Flood practically yielded. This solid
ity of the New York vote, though 1t has been
expected. gave Reed boom, which was echoed
through the hotel Hobbies. The loss of seven
of the Pennsylvania votes was held up in the
way of an offset.
PREDICTING REEDS ELECTION ON THE FIRST
BALLOT.
Reeds supporters are saying this morning
that he will be elected on the first ballot and
are doing all they can to keep his boom a
going. with the idea of giving it the impetus
necessary to carry it over the barren stretch
between ~ votes, which they claim, and So the
number necessary to choice. Starting
in the caucus with such a lead over all
l.,z
of natural gravitation, to draw votes. If there
is any weakening in the support of the western
candidates his election is assured. Being so
near the goal many things might happen to
carry him over the line and put him in as a
winner at the start. 1t is safe to
saw that If he Is elected IL viii
be not later than the third ballot. Many think
that he cannot hold for more than two, for it is
declared that at least eight New England votes
will leave him after the second ballot. If he Is
going to be elected three ballots will be all he
will want. His friends declare he will not need
SO many.
REEDS CONCEDED STRENGTH.
The strength that is conceded to him on
first ballot is % votes in New England, 10 in
New York, Is in Pennsylvania, in New Jersey
and IS in the west. This gives him II votes, or
within IA of enough to elect. His friends de-
clare that he will get that number in
accessions after the first ballot. II
shut a small number to get, but without it he
might as well have none. Having such a large
vote to start with the betting is naturally
largely in favor of Reed, but the other candi-
dates do not give up the ship and declare con-
fidently that his defeat is a certainty.
WHAT THE ANTI-REED MEN SAT-.
They say that the fourteen votes he needs to
eject him are Just what he cannot by any posi-
bility get. Each of the other candidates is
hopeful of election. but the one thing they
propose to be sure of is that Reed
cannot be elected. They say
that Mckinley can hold IL of the southern
votes and from Pennsylvania besides his
western following, and that between them they
have more than majority OF the caucus that
they can hold solidly until Reed is
out of the fight With the
knowledge that some of the New England men
are anxious to break away from Reed, they say
that there will be no trouble about holding
their forces together until Reed is beaten.
They set forth that Reed has made no gains
since the campaign opened, but that on the
contrary he Is not going TO get as
many votes in Pennsylvania as he expected at
first. From now until the nomination is made
the western candidates will bend their energies
to solidifyng their forces They are either the
most confident men in the world in their asser-
tions that Reed will be beaten or else they are
great actors.
IT Is ANY ONES FIGHT YET.
No one can say honestly that the fight is won
by Reed or any one else at this time. Reed is
in the lead and close up to the goal. When
that is said it's all that is known.
There is some doubt about the New Jersey
vote Mr.. Buchanan said to a STAR reporter
today that he would vote for Mckinley and
that one New Jersey man would vote for Reed.
How the other two votes would go he could
not say.
THE CANVASS FOR THE OTHER OFFICERS
of the House is even worse mix
up than that for the speakership.
The hottest fight is between Mcpherson and
Mai. John NJ Carson of the Philadelphia
Ledger. for the clerkship. Major Carson, like
Mckinley, has had the promise of
the votes of majority of the
delegation, but it appears nov that Mr.. Nc
Pherson has a majority of that dele
CATION. Major Carson, however, is con-
ident of success. A curious mistake
n identity has been made by some Of the MEM
bers from New York. They have argued
against Major Carson that he was
a mugwump candidate for Congress in New
York Major Carson is a stanch republican
and never ran for Congress in his life. The
Carson in New York was another Carson.