The Newberry herald and news. (Newberry, S.C.) 1884-1903, 1889-10-24
The Condition of the Election of 1892.
Baltimore SUM-

Ten Of the thirteen electoral vo es to-
be cast for the first time in 1892 by the
four new States are conceded to the
Republican candidate for the Presi-
dency in that year, the three of Mon
tana being considered doubtful, or pro-.
bably Democratic. This preponder-
ance of Republican gains has led
arithmeticians Of the Republican party
to make calculations the outcome of
which is that the next national cleo
ton can be decided in favor Of the Re-
publican candidate without the elec-s
toral vote OF New York. In 1888 the
electoral college cast 4o1 votes, of which
POI were needed to elect. Mr.. Har-s
rison received 233 votes, against l6s
cast for Mr.. Cleveland, having carried
New York with its. 36 electoral votes
and Indiana with its Is electoral votes,
in addition to the States usually ae-.
counted surely Republican Indiana
was not necessary to his success, but
New York was. The change in the
situation produced, il, is claimed, by
the creation Of four new States is that
Indiana alone, without New York, will
hereafter suffice to give the presidency
tot the Republican party. The electoral
college in 1892, without new appor-,
tionment, which is improbable, will.
number Ala, and 20s votes will be re-
quired to elect. The 1917 votes of the
States, exclusive Of New York, that
were for Mr.. Harrison in 1888, with To-
votes from the new States, make totai
of POI, or one>short of a majority.
This one vote may be had, it is be-
lieved from Montana, Connecticut or
West Virginia. With New York Re
publican, the problem, of course, would
be a vastly easier one, but tflaf State.
being naturally Democratic and hard
to carry, the calculation is made with
the object of showing that Mr.. Quay:
may next time dispense with New
York. The flaw of the scheme, it will
appear, is in assuming that Indiana
which is essential to its success, any
more than New York, will go Repub-
lican in 1892. It is naturally a Demo
cratic State. Unlimited bribery carried
it for Garfield in 1880 and for Harrison
in 1888, but that expedient viii not, it,
is believed, be available at the next
presidential election. The next elec-
| ton in Indiana will be held under the
recently passed Australian ballot law
so that the devices Of former times for
purchasing votes and seeing them de-
Iivered viii in 1892 be of no service TO
either party. The probability, there
fore. that Indiana viii follow It's natl-
raj bent next time and giYe It's fifteen
Electoral votes to the Democratic candi-s
date. The calculation for dispensing:
with New York may be further spoiled:
by Rhode Island, under its broadeneds
franchise, becoming Democratic
State. The prospects, therefore, OF the:
| Democrats in the next natiaEatc contest:
are certainly not such that they need9
to be greatly discouraged. Fl they can
add the votes OF New York and Indi-.
ana-States naturally Democfatic-to,
those of the States that were for Cieye-
land last year, they will have q ma
jority and eight, votes t. spare. Or:
without Indiana. the Democrats, hav-
ing New York safe, may win If they
can capture RhodeIstand or California.
They cannot win without New York;
Evidently the election is going to be..a.
close and exciting one. phe result, it
| may be assumed, Will be determined in,
large part by contingencies which at.
present no one can estimate.