The Manning times. [volume] (Manning, Clarendon County, S.C.) 1884-current, 1889-10-30
TIE REVISED CALCULATION.
New York Still the Democratic Key to the
Presidency-The Electoral College as Re
arranged by the Votes Of the New

New York Still the Democratic Key to the
Presidency-The Electoral College as Re
arranged by the Votes Of the New
States.
What may be regarded as sure Repub-
lieau States are Colorado, Illinois, Iowa,
Kansas, Maine, Massachusetts,, Mich
igan, Minnesota, Nebraska, Nevada,
New Hampshire, Ohio, Oregon, Penn
sylvania, Vermont and Wisconsin, ag-
gregating an electoral vote of 10.
The reliable Democratic States are
Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, Florida,
Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mary
land, Mississippi, Missouri, New jersey,
North Carolina, South Carolina, Ten
neSsee, Texas and Virginia, aggresatiug
15G votes.
The doubtful States are California,
Connecticut. Indiana, New York, Rhode
Island and West Virginia, aggregating
IS votes.
If the ten Republican votes from the
new States be added, the sure Repub-
lican strength becomes 1S0 votes. The
vote of Montana is so close and uncer-
tain that it must be classed as a doubt
frl State. The electoral vote will then
stand thus: Reliable Republican
votes, 1S0; sure Democratic votes, 1856,
and doubtful, IS.
Now, the Electoral College al the last
Presidential election numbered 401 votes,
of Which POI were necessary to a choice.
In 1892, unless there should meanwhile
be reapportionment, which is very i'm
probable. it will be Ala, with 20S neces
>ary for an election. Thus it will BE-
seen that the Republican candidate will
lack % votes for his election, while the
Democratic candidate will be 50 votes
short. The real contest, therefore, WI |
be iu the doubtful States.
If the Republican candidate should
carry New York he could lose all the
other doubtful States aud yet be elected,
tor tilirty-si1 New York votes added TO
$50 sure Republican votes would make
216, or eight more than are needed il"
election. Without New York, Repubh-
cans can win by carrying Indiana, fifteen
votes; California, eight votes, aud West
Virginia, six votes, making twenty-nine
votes. which, added to $50, make 209; or
by carving California, Connecticut and
Indiana, with the same result; or, still
further, by carrying California, Rhode
Island. Montana aud IudiaHa, making
in all 2l0 votes. Without New York,
Republicans can win with Indiana and
two or three other doubtful States. Bat
they cannot lose both New York and
| Indiana aud then via.
Regardingtae Democratic chances TO"
success, the outlook seems at first dis
couraging, bat further consideration IS
more reasSurlnS.
The Democrauc candidate starts OH
| with 156 sure votes. If be should carry
| in addition New York, 55 votes; indiana
10; Connecticut or West Virginia, Sin
all 213-he would be elected. Or if he
should carry New York, Indiana and
Rhode I<lanG these would be sufficient.
! Or, withour tndiaua, If the Democrats
carry New York, West Virginia, Con-
neciicGt aaa Rhode Island; or New
York. Connecticut, California and Mon
taua, they will eject the next President
Of the United States.
From this il is evident that New York
is absolutely nrcesSaiy t. DeCn3critlc &c
success, and lh.; wi'uOut Il ia" Drnlo
! cratic control viii en'. III Inevitable aEu
hopeless defeat. But Democrats are
naturally Sangune Of party success III
New York, and, When sactiouai strlfe>
and disastrous feudS nav. moi prevailed,
their hopefulneSs seems ju,riicd by their
past experience. Witu New York aud
two or three OF the doubtful States this
success Is sure.
We have thus eudeavored to set forth
clearly the conditions and chaucss OF
the great political game OF 1892. One
| inference seems OBVIOUS. The choice f
! candidates on both sides Will be greatly
Influenced by the fact that certain
doubtful States must be carried.
What candidates viii be most likely to
carry these States.z,Its,is possible tlat
,=azhaa =azhiaa,DDaszsscsasssnight name a Western
man who could carry New York, but un-
der the circumstances as indicated
above, New York, rather than the West,
is likely to furnish the Democratic can
didate. Unless some great and unex-
pected disaster befalls the Republican
party, it can find both East and West
some candidate capable of carrying In
diana. The chances are at least even
that it can name man who can capture
New York, and that viii settle the ques'
ton without Indiana Nor in their case
is it Of such prime Importance, much
less necessity, in order to carry a doubt.
full State that the candidate should be a
resident of that State Washington
Post