The morning news. [volume] (Savannah, Ga.) 1887-1900, 1889-10-20
THE COMING RACE.
TO THE WESTERN WORLD THE
WAVE OF PEOPLES TENDS.

World in the Twenty-First Century.
From the Tablet.
1t was recently commended in the columns
of the Contemporary ReUielo that if the
papacy were wise the next pope would
think in English. We are constantly being
reminded by the same writer that the CEN
ter Of gravity of our planet has shifted, and
that the Mediterranean is fast becoming an
idle inland sea locked in decaying CONT
nent. 1t has played its part in the past of
humanity, but the part is over aud done.
The seat of empire is again following the
sun as it has always done, and is once more
drifting into the west.
We are constantly told that Europe is
dwindling and becoming of little account,
and that the mastery of the world will rest
with the peoples from whose lips fall the
large music of our English speech.
The old world quarrels, the frontier feuds
of Europe, the strife and rivalries of Teuton
and Gaul, will endure for yet little longer,
but they are always of fading consequence
for the world. The French aud the
German armies may watch one another
across the Rhine, and the Cossack NAV
still dream of wateri e his horse beneath the
shadows of st. SOPHIA, but these poor am
billions and hatreds will me an as little for
the future Of ma kind as did the quarrels
of the green's and the blues il the dying
days OF the Lower Empire. The map OF
Europe may be changed and rechanged,
and It's people may conquer and b5 con-
quered, but they and the very tongues thew
speak shall fail and fade entirely, until
French aud S!av and German, except for
their hteratures, shall becoms forgotten
dialect like Welsh or Irish. the picturesque
survivals Of an Old world Jribalism. 1t may
be worth while, then, to pause for little
aud see what justification in fact there is
for this loud boast OF the coming empire
and almost uni ersal dominion of the En-
glish-Speaking peoples.
At the present hour the peoples Of the
L atted Kingdom AMI the United States
represent about one-ffteenth of humanity
and govern oue-third of the planet ana one
fourth OF its inhabitants. In the beginning
OF the eighteenth century this race num-
ber5d less than 100000 souls; at the begin
ming of the nineteenth century that they
increased to q, 500, 900: at the present time
they are about 100,000,000. In tho space of
eighty years the English speaking peoples
multiplied five times over, and il is conf
IDENTIFY reckoned that within another hun
dred years they will have out-numbered all
the other civilized peoples put together.
NJ. Kunmer, the chief of the federal bu-
reau of statistics in Switzerland, has reck-
oned that the total population of Europe in
the year 1000 will be $50, 600 900, wnile Dr..
Strong of New York reckons Uhat n 1880
the population of Europe VIII be 534 600, 600
No complies statistics showing tue average
| increase all over Europe are available for
| the early decades Of the century, but the
| average increase of the continent
for the ten years from 1870 to 1880
was $50 II, however, we were to apply
L.
| suppose them to multiply for another 100
years as they did from 1870 to 1880, they
would reach the enormous total of 1,343,-
| 000,000 1t would be unreasonable, how
| ever, to sup pose that the ratio If increase
will continue SO long. DR.. Strong bases
his calculations in this way: In Great
| Britain the ratio of increase from 1910 to
1850 was 2. 40 per cent; during the next ten
years 1t was 5.44; the next to years 1t was
$50; and from 1870 to 1850 it was 1857 per
cent. So we see the ratio of increase stead
lily rising for forty years, and there is no
apparent reason why it should not continue
t. rise. But as he is dealing with so long
| a period of time as 100 hundred years, DIR.
Strong prefers to suppose that the average
ratio of increase for the century will be
| only half what it has been during the last
| decade, and 50 puts the probable population
of Great Britain in 1880 at 100000.
Ga the other hand the Swiss statistician
fixes it for 1000 at 142, 100000. Accepting,
however, the American esti nate, let us
consider the other branches of the English
speaking peoples. The Australian rate OF
| increase for the ten years from 1870 to 1880
was So 80 per cent that Of South Africa
70 28. But suppose that Canada, Australia,
| and South Africa double their populations
once every twenty-five years-the United
| States has done that ever since l0S5-Jhen
! the English population of the Brltlsa colo
MES in 1880 will be 116.000,000. For the
United States very Complete and salts
| factory sta isticS are available from the be-
| ginning OF the century. The ratio of in
| crease varied during the decades from 1900
| to 1880 from Sc to 80 per caat. With these
| figures before him, DR.. Strong-M. Kun
mer confines his Investigation to Europe
| proposes to leave out of account all future
immigration and to confine himself to the
| i ere Sc of births over deaths, leaving
immigration as a set-1R against any posi-
Die check upon growth. Calculated upon
this strictly moderate basis, the population
/ of the United Sta IS stands for 1880 at 49,
| O00,000. The total Auglo-Saxon population
OF the world would then be 7l3, 100000 as
| compared with 534 600, 900 OF continental
Europe And it must bs remembered that
| these figures show the largest probable
population of Europe and the smallest prob
able numbers of the E lglish-Speaking
| race.
In face of these tremendous figures it is
well to be reminded that if the whole of the
| English speaking populations of The world
multiplied as they are likely to % at the
| end Of. another century-were to be planted
| down in tie territory of the United S ates
aud then doubled, the people would still
not be so thick upon the ground as they
are to-day in Belgium. While in France
the population is $50 to the square mile, in
| Germany 246, in England and Wales 426,
| in Belgium 4S1, in the United States, exclu-
sive of Alaska, the population is only 16
per square mile. ndeed. the 80 100000 OF
| the United States in 1880 might be put into
Texas, and yet the population would not be
as dense as in Germany. Put the whole
present population of the United States
into Dakota, and the people would be less
| crowded than to-day in England and Wales.
| Our snare of the earth's surfacs, therefore,
seems an ample Inheritance even for the
overwhelming increase of the future. 1t is
| of more immediate consequence inquire
| whether this people, scattered over SO many
chimes and so many lands, but bound by
| common speech and common memories and
| common laws, will re main in any real
| sense a homogeneous race. The whole ten
dency of civilization seems to point TO an
answer in the affirmative. Increased facili-
| ties of communication and the always
| growing intercourse between England and
| the peoples across the Atlantic and ii
| tho Pacific will ba rbair iOaVifo bla a{Faaf