Waterbury evening Democrat., 1889-11-06
THE COMING RACE.

THE COMING RACE.
 Tc the West the Wave of Peoples Takes It's Way.
 Qualification for the Boast That E,nglish- Speaking Nations Will Rule the World in the Twenty-First Century-Pro-
 dictions Based on Facts.
 The map of Europe may be changed and 1 and rechanged, and it's people may conquer l and be conquered, but they and tho very | tongues they speak shall fail and fade en- tirely, until French and Slav and German, except for their literatures, shall become forgotten dialects like Welsh or Irish, the picturesque survivals of an Old World tribalism. It may be worth while, observes | writer in the Tablet, to pause little and see what justification in sober fact there is for this loud boast of the coming empire and almost universal dominion of the En- glish-speaking peoples.
 At the present hour the peoples of the United King gdom and the United States rep resent about one-f1ftee1th of humanity, and | govern one-third of the planet and one- fourth of its inhabitants. In the beginning of the eighteenth century this race num- bered less than 6,00O,0O souls; at the beginning of the nineteenth century they had increased to 20,5 800, GOO; at the present time they are about 100, 900. In the space of ninety years the English-speaking people multiplied five times over, and it is | confidently reckoned that within another l hundred years they will have outnumbered all the other civilized people put together | M. Hummer, the chief of the Federal Bureau l of Statistics in Switzerland, has reck- oned that the total population of Europe
 in the year 2OOO will be 565, COG, 900, while Dr. Strong, of New York, reckons that in 1880 the population of Europe will be 534, ,OOO, 900. No complete statistics showing the average increase all over Europe are available for l the early decades of the century, but the l average increase of the continent for the ten years from 1870 to 1880 was 6.S9 If,
 however, we were to apply the same test to
 the English peoples, and suppose them to l multiply for another hundred years as they l did from 1870 to 1880, they would reach the l enormous total of ], ,s43, ,0OO, ,0OO 1t would be
 unreasonable, however, to suppose that the l ratio of increase will continue so long. Dr. l Strong bases his calculations in thls way: In Great Britain the ratio of increase from
 1S4O to 1850 was 2.49 per cent. during the | next ten years it was 544; the next ten
 years it was 8.6O, and from 1870 to 1880 it
 was lQ,57 per eent So we see the ratio of
 increase steadily rising for forty years, and
 there is no apparent reason why 1t should not continue to rise. But as he Is dealing
 with 60 long period of time as hundred
 years, Dr. Strong prefers to suppose that
 the average ratio of increase for the cent
 ury will be only half what it has been dur
 ing the last decade, and so puts the probable
 population of Great Britain in 1880 at 57,- 06O, ,6oo.
 1 On the other hand the Swiss statistician
 fixes 1t for 2,OOO at 142, COG, ,OOO Accepting,
 however, the American estimate, let us l consider the other branches of the English | speaking peoples The Australian rate of
 increase for the ten years from 1870 to 1880 l was 565O per cent. that of South Africa
 1928. But suppose thatCanada, Australia and South Africa double their population once
 every 90 years-the United States has done
 that ever since 16s5-then the English popu-
 lation of the British colonies in 1880 will be
 176, 100000 For the United States very
 complete and satisfactory statistios are
 available from the beginning of the century. | The ratio of increase varied during
 the decades from 1900 to 1880 from | 30 to 35 per cent. With thefe
 figures before him, Dr. Strong M. | Hummer confines his investigation to Flu l rope-proposes to leave out of account all
 future immigration and to confiae himself | to the increase of births over deaths, leay- | ing immigration as 8 set-off against any
 possible check upon growth. Calculated
 upon this strictly moderate basis, the popu- | lation of the United States stands for 1880 1 at 4S0, COG, ,OOO. The total Ang Saxon popu-
 lation of the world would then be 713, ,OOO, GOO | as compared with 534 ,OOO, 900 of Continental | Europe. And it must be remembered that | these figures show the largest probable
 population of Europe and the smallest prob
 able numbers of the English-speakipg race l In face of these tremendous figures it is
 we'll to be reminded that if the whole of the
 English-speaking populations of the world
 multiplied as they are likely to be at the | end of another ceptury-were to be planted 1 down in the territory of the United States
 and then doubled, the people would still not be so thick upon the ground as they are to- day in Belgium. While in France the pop-
 ulation Is 1sO to the square mile, in Ger
 many 2l6, in England and Wales 42S in Bel
 gum 4S1, in the United States, exclusive
 of Alaska, the population is only 16 per
 square mile. Indeed, the 5O,OOO, GOO of the 1 United States in 1880 might be put into l Texas, and yet the population would not be as dense as in Germany. Put the whole
 present population of the United States into
 Dakota, and the people would be less crowd | ed than to-day in England and Wales. l OuI SudTo Ol Guo TSu' SuT1aC9 therefore.
 seems an ample inheritance even for the
 overwhelming increase of the future. It is of more immediate consequence to inquire
 whether this people scattered over so many
 climes and so many lands, but bound by a l common speech and common memories and l common laws, will remain in any real sense
 a homogeneous race. The whole tendency
 of civilization seems to point to an answer
 in the affirmative. Increased facilities of
 communication and the always growing in
 tercourse between England and the peoples l across the Atlantic and in the Pacific will
 have their inevitable effect in checking any
 thing like separateness of speech or
 thought. Already it is matter for common
 observation that phrase or word which
 one season is noted as an FAmericanism"
 the nextls accepted by all as though it were
 Q part of our inherited English speech. No
 doubt in Canada and the United States, as
 in Australia and South Africa, the domi-
 nant type will be affected by streams of
 immigration from other lands But here
 also history repeats itself, and as Saxon and
 Norman and Dane and Celt and Gaul helped
 by their fusion in the making of England, so