The evening world., 1888-10-19
ELECTION FORECASTS.
Observations on Politics by an Old
New Yorker
John T. Toal Carefully Analyses
the Situation.
Senator Reilly He Says VIII Lead the
Ticket.

John T. Toal, the genial. kindly man and
obliging, conscientious Clerk to the Board of
Coroners, was born in the Seventh Ward
when that region was the most aristooratic in
the city. He has lived within q stones
throw of his birthplace all his life. He
knows almost every person in the Fourth
and Sixth Assembly districts, and has q circle
of friends only limited by those who know
him.
He has been Clerk to the Coroners for
twenty-one years, and in that capacity has
met thousands of men. He is q cool. keen
observer, and his word on political matters 10
given weight by his long experience.
To Mr.. Toal an EVENING WORLD reporter
put the query on every mans lips How In
election going2 ?"
ITO me 1t looks as If the Democrats would
carry this State by a good old-fashioned ma
iority, and that means, of course, the election
Of Grover Cleveland and David B. HILL"
AS to a difference between the strength OF
Cleveland and Hill, 1 think there is q greater
difference in the imagination of the Republi-
cans than there is in fact. The difference
will be both ways, but it will be 30 trifing
that it will not be discernible in the result.
mo Cleveland man is opposed to Hill be-
cause he is q Cleveland man., and no Hill man
feels that because he is o Hill man he ought
to oppose Cleveland. As in every canvass.
didate OF their party's ticket"
Then you do not take any stock in the
Republican talk that q deal will be made with
one or other Of the city factions of the Demo-
:sHot at all. There will be no deal. Coo
gan's friends may. put. up a deal with the
Republicans, throwing their votes to Harri-
son, while the Republicans bolt Erhardt for
1.-The main fight in the city is between
Grant and Erhardt. 1 do not think Hewitt
has half the strength he had before the con-
yentions, and he will be nip and tuck with
"Hewitt has offended every class of voters.
Grant would get everything but for Coogan's
candidacy. Col. Coogan will draw a few
'o %W froW W, Hi head THE the I list In H the vote neS IN this
city n.nm
Mr.. Toal pointed to q newspaper portrait
of Senator Edward F. Reilly, who is now
cratic ticket.
THAT young man lives and was brought
mp in the Sixth District, the next one to
mine. and in both these districts he is fairly
THE working people of this owl know
him to be their man. He has served them
faithfully as q Senator, and Is always ready
to do anything they ask.
Ne AAAcS ohe
as honest as the sun.
Why, sir, Senator Reilly has been in
Albany for years and he is as poor as when
he ven there. He has never made even his
car fare. The people-the workingmen Of
this town-wiu remember him."
Yes, but do not you think Mr.. Hewitt
will push Grant ?"
"Mr. Hewitt, if elected, must be elected
by Republican votes. Democrats will never
elect him. He dislikes Cleveland, and he has
said so. He is in the held with the hope of
defeating Cleveland, and the newspapers
which support him do 30 for the same reason.
But they will find that they have reck-
oned without their host, for Cleveland will
carry this city, this State and the nation, and
there will be no necessity to wait for the off,
cial count,
THE people have got used to the Repub-
lican cry of : bears Il mean : Free Trade -
and it does not make them nervous, even, any
more. They see how senseless it is, and they
will retain Cleveland and Hill because they
have been executives without blemish."