The sun., 1888-09-17
THE OUTLOOK In JERSEY.
REASONS WHY THE DEMOCRATS
SHOULD NOT BE TOO CoNFIDFNL
TIE Activity er the whishey Mon will Cat
beth wnys and IL IL Net = Geea Whis-
hsy syYenr-Frob,biIittesa a ~ d porri bnlitier.

| TIE Activity er the whishey N1en will Cat
beth Ways and it .. Net . oeea Whis-
hey Yenr-Frebabiiitios and Possibilities.
| JERSEY CRY Sept. 16.-The Democrats as
| sort with more bodness than confidence that
| Cleveland will carry New Jersey in November
| by handsome majority, and the Republicans
only half believing their own claims. say they
can and will carry the State for Harrison.
What are tho probabilities In 1884 Cleveland
had plurality OF 4.412 The Prohibition vote
was 6.163 and tho Labor -Greenback vote 8456.
The Democrats were In u minority OF moro
than 5000 on tho Presidential vote. It cannot
be denied that In 1884 the Republican canvass
was languid and badly managed. The Repub-
lcans did not think that they really needed the
vote OF the State to elect Blaine. as they felt
sure OF Now York. This year they feel Its i'm
portance. and they intend to make q very diff
ferent kind Of an effort II they have not
already dono so. tho Democrats, il not asleep
will soon realize that their opponents are 60
ing to make 1t q lively campaign. the most
energetic and skilfully conducted the State hns
ever witnessed
While tho Democrats concede that the Mills
bill hurt them to q certain extent, they expect
that the liquor vote that will come to them on
account OF tho Republican temperance legisla-
tion last winter on the one hand. and the draft
the Prohibtionists will make upon the Repub-
than overbalance what they will lose on the
tariff question. The Republicans will, 1t Is true,
s cn II II the s HHes n nsY pes
Of the mill operatives have adopted the theo-
q reduction Of taxation: but tho chances OF q
large vote for Fisk In the State are diminishing
much faster than pleases the Democratic man.
The. saloon vote, on which the Democrats are
counting so much. Is often DANGEROUS weap-
nds e 9se o hn' SsW GsrseS Rsa!s sS shs State
e thirty Years. ago shoa tyPca
the year n raising apples and making apple.
Of tho Old farmers S are b better educated. more
zines, and books. and have adopted some OF
& as% H. e dnef sa rcR ~os av. s oRsa
used Tor more intelligent truck farming than
increased market i; TT facilities. The old appejact
Jerseyman sometimes comes down to the DO
greatly diminished and puts in an appearance
a little Indifferent live stock on exhibition. It
for tho exhibition Of farm products, -,
ers' and Brewers Association and their boasts
that they will put in money and will slaughter
at the polls all those members OF the Legisla-
ture who favored the liquor legislation last
winter has become Offensive to a large class Of
voters who are Observation-Disclosures, SO that Il Is
doubtful whether the Democratic party of New
Jersey will gain anything by having the liquor
interest this year as one OF Its active allies.
The signs OF the times indicate that this is not
going % to be good wniskey year In New Jersey:
State in favor OF protection, which the Demo-
Gratis are not taking sufficiently into account.
The farmers. especially In the central and
southern parts ot the State. find that they have
OF many farm products. which are produced
more cheaply In Europe They also fear a de-
preston OF business in the large manufactur-
ing cities Of the, State through q reduction Of
had a large and constantly increasing market
for their produce without the expense of the
commissions paid to New York and Philadel J.
phia middlemen. There was never so much
fully Offset the lukewarmness Of the mill
operatives. who cannot be depended upon to
whoop II up for high protective tariff as they
villages, drawn from New York and
Pennsylvania and from the New England States |
does not increase the Democratic vote ma
jority OF those immigrants vote tho Republican
The Republican State Committee at its meet
ing in this city on Friday was In excellent
spirits. 1t Is making thorough canvass Of |
the voters of the State. and carefully noting
oil the changes since 1884. While all the re- |
ports that they have received give them great
announcement. Calculations made at the |
Republican headquarters yesterday. based on |
.he returns received, give the following ma
lorities IN the Congress districts: