New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1888-06-01
THE FIGURES.

poses MIR. Depew as candidate who, IN the
Judgment of a majority of its delegates. can
most surely gain the SO electoral votes OF shas
State. NevAJersey proposes Mr.. Phelps be-
,ioyina that his nomination would most GER
tain]y gain electoral votes there. Senator
Hawley may be presented in the Same way nS
the delegation from Connecticut, with It's
electoral votes The entire delegation from
Indiana 10 expected to urge the nomination OF
Senator Harrison, holding that 1t would make
tho Is votes Of that State certainly RepuDiicah
California presents the marc OF Senator S'aa-
ford. and promises It's s electoral votes II no Is
nominated There will be strong dispoSi-
ton in convention to listen to the rec omhlehu~
lions Of the doubtful States, but thus lar the
FIVE doubtful States with "A electoral woes PFC
sent five different candidates
The Republicans from Southern States, pam
fully aware that every one of the % eleosorai
vote. from those States is liable to 10 counted
for thu Democratic candidate regardless OF tho
actual veto. will naturally feel an Intense de-
.he to support the candidate who can most
surely carry doubtful Northern States Inc
dslegstss from States which are usually reck-
oned safely Republican, knowing that thoar
electoyl votes are not enough to WIN, may has-
ural)y feel the same anxiety 10 learn what cam
didsse can most certainly add the ~ electoral
voter needed to make a majority. 1t does nos
necessarily follow that the delegations from
the doubtful States may not be led into errors
Of iud ement BY State pride or personal attach
ment but there Is good reason for behevlng
tbas these delegates know better than anybody
else what nominations would be onfest for their
In
strongly inclined to oonfde in the Judgment OF
these delegates as to that matter =,
The phalanx Of Northern States other tnan
those above named as doubtful, has been only
twice broken within the past twenty years
Oregon veted twenty years ago Tor oeymsur'
but never since for any Democratic candida'c'
Nevada was cheated with California into giving
electoral votes for Hancock in 1880 by the
Morey forgery. With only these exceptions,
States casting 1872 electoral votes have voted
every time for Republican Presidential cahdl-
dates since 1864, but the adverse vote In Cal
ifornia in 1856 has led some to consider the re-
suit in that State uncertain. 1t is quesuoh,
nevertheless, which the convention will have
to consider carefully, whether the selectlon OF
any candidate proposed would for special rea-
sons render success uncertain IN either OF the
States hitherto regularly and safely Repubn-
can. If the electoral votes Of California are
safe for Governor Stanford, for example, the
| convention must also consider whether his NOM
nation would render any Republican states
unsafe, and SO with regard to the nomination
| Of any other candidate.
Reckoning LA electoral votes as safe, the
| p needed to elect can be offered by Indiana
| and either two of the smaller doubtful States,
provided they can agree upon candidate.
Thus. if the convention can be assured that
Harrison and Phelps, OF Phelps and Harrison,
or Harrison and Hawley, would certainly carry
Indiana. Eew-Jersey and Connecticut with 80
electoral votes meanwhile risking no Republi-
can State, the problem would be solved Or II
New-York alone, with SO electoral votes, can
satisfy the convention that those votes are TO
be secured by the nomination OF Mr.. Depew'
without rsking any Republican State having
more than electoral votes, the problem VAL
be solved. Also, if the doubtful States are not
able to satisfy the convention as 10 any candl-
date they present as their first choice 10 VIII
lot be forgotten that there are strong ana
worthy candidates from States safely Republ-
eau, some Of whom may be able to carry II
votes from the doubtful States with reason
able certainty.
The Republican ticket this year ought to be
so selected t;.at success in every Northern State
caa be anticipated with good reason. For
every Northern State either voted for Mp.
Blaine against Governor Cleveland, or has re-
peatcdly been carried on the direct issue OF
protection for home industry against the free
trade theories which MIR. Cleveland represents.
On that issue, the three doubtful States Of the
Atlantic seaboard, and California as we'll.
ought to be safe beyond peradventure with any
worthy candidate whose position in that matter
is mquestioned. Indiana, with rapidly grow
ing manufactures and with host Of wool grow
ers ought to be as safe as Ohio But the con-
vention will wisely seek that nomination which
will leave the least room for doubt as to the re-
suit. For the industrial future OF the whole
Nstisn may depend upon the coming election.
TIE PENDING BILL