Los Angeles daily herald., 1888-06-30
Pre.idcmtini PossibiiitIe..


IL is not TO be expected that the
HERALD should deny itself the fascinat-
ing pleasure Of making forecaste of the
vote for President on the 4th OF Novem-
ber next.
Public opinion has already crystallised
into number Of FORMS One Of these is
that Harrison and Morton though highly
respectable make very weak ticket.
They are not strong even in the distinc-
lively Republican States, while in the
doubtful States they are quite weak.
From every accessible source Of reliab le
information Gen. Harrison stands bad
ly in his own State. He will lcse the
votes Of the workingmen, and that ele-
ment is quite considerable in Indiana.
The Hoosier labor organizations have a
numerous and enthusiastic membership.
To remarkable degree the
voters OF that Commonwealth are
well informed as to the status
of public men. From the facts that the
parties there are pretty evenly balanced,
and that Indiana has been for so long a
time an October State. she has been the
arena where the giants OF all the great
parties have made their best efforts.
The Democratic party are singularly
fortunate in the possession there of multi
tudes OF first-class orators and men Of
marked popularity, like the tall Syca-
more Of the Wabash. They are, besides,
in power, both in the State and Nation.
1t requires great deal of hardihood to
contend that General Harrison has any
general popularity at home in view Of
the disastrous way he was beaten by
Blue Jeans Williams for Governor, in
1S76-l close year, and OF the enmity to
him Of the wage-earners.
New York, which is generally looked
upon as a close State, can scarcely fairly
bs called such since Samuel J. Tild en-
was elected Governor. The detection OF
Tammany Hall and the bolt OF
John Kelly, who secured over TO-
900 votes, resulted in the defeat
Of Governor Robinson in 1879, and the
same detection, effective though secret,
of that organization lost the State to
Hancock in 1880. But with harmony
amongst all the factions now, and with
the Democracy in control Of both the
State and National Administrations to
say nothing OF the sterling character Of
Cleveland's record as President and
Thurman's universal popularity in the
Empire State, New York is morally GER
tain to cast her elec toral votes for the
Democratic ticket. 1t is true that the
result was psrilously close in 1884, but
thai was owing to Blaine's exceptional
strength with the Irish vote. Harrison
has no such strength. On the contrary,
he is remarkably weak with Irishmen of
all classes, and Morton will add no
strength to the ticket even in his own
home.
There is absolutely no need for any
anxiety about New Jersey. That
STATE has been unwaverng in
its devotion to the Democracy
even during the war. 1t voted
for Mcclellan, Seymour and all the
Democratic candidates down to and in
elusive of Mr.. Cleveland with the single
exception of Horace Greeley, who was
not enough OF Democrat to hurt. This
fine record will not be invalidated now.
Mr.. VIM. II. Barnum, of Connecticut,
the sagacious Chairman for years Of the
Democratic National Committee, has
been reelected to that position. 1t is
not too much to say that he knows more
about Connecticut politics than any man
in the country. He is confident that his
State will vote for Cleveland in 1888 as
in 1884.
The solid South is as certain to be as
solid in 1888 as in 1884, There is very
little debate on thi, proposition. We
thus have the following ELECTORAL result
for Cleveland and Thurman
The Solid South
rev fork. -.-,.... 80
NsW Jersey .....-..... ...-.......-...-..,....,.
Lnutanai .-.'...'....,.. ..,..-,.---.s....--,-.,.. ID
bohnecticut .,.....-....--.-.......-.. u
Total Observation-Disclosures. 2I9|
As it requires only POI electoral votes
to win We have here eighteen more votes
than are necessary. We can thus throw
ont Indiana or Naw Taraav and Gopuact;