, 1888-11-05

the smallest country town with not n
twenty-ftth as many voters. As the
Democratic part of the state lies in the big
towns within two hours ride OF New
York, while the Republicans control the
small country towns, such a thing as the
Democrats having the legislature has not
been heard of for years. 1t NAV be con-
sidered as a fact that ex-Mayor Buckley
of Hartford, the Republican candidate,
will be the next governor. He is q rich
man, INSCRIPTIONS, a practical politician
of long experience, and is doing all that
he can to carry the state. The presiden
tial result is more doubtful. In 1884
there was somewhat of a detection of
Irish voters from the Democratic party in
New Haven, and this year the New
Haven Democrats were in favor of ex-
Assemblyman James Piggott for congress.
He is the most popular Irishman in the
county, and his nomination would have
brought back the Irish vote. He is also a
strong advocate of revenue reform md
had in his support the New Haven Regis
ter, the leading Democratic paper of the
state.
Two or three days before the conven-
ton was held ex-senator Barnum heard
that Piggott would probably be nomi-
mated. He used his influence, which is
great, to defeat Piggott for the nomina-
ton and to put in instead one of his
dummies who will FAVOR such modiica-
lions of the tariff as may suit Mr., Bar
mum. The result has been a factional
fight in New Haven. Besides this, ex-
Mayor Bulkley is a stakeholder in a large
number of corporations and his family
and relations are interested in more. All
these corporations are working for him,
and when a Connecticut corporation works
tor a candidate 1t means hat the fore
man and superintendent stand at the
polling place and hand their workingmen
their ballots as they come to the polls,
with the alternative of holding that ticket
up in their hand in plain sight until it is
put into the ballot-box or Of being dis
charged.
In New York the Democratic pros
poets seem brighter in comparison with
the same time before election in 1884.
The pool rooms have an opinion on the
basis of 81 900 to $3.50 that Cleveland
will carry the state. Out OF a hundred
politicians selected from the Republican
party perhaps seven or eight will be
found in the Republican hundred who
think Cleveland chances are better than
General Harrison's.
So far as political calculation goes there
are yards of that to be had at any head
quarters at any time and any assortment.
Perhaps a summary of the situation may
be made most clearly by institutlng a com
p"arison with 1884. In the first place, the
Republicans are said to be stronger in the
Republican counties of the state now than
they were then. Mr.. Conkling was alive
in 1884. He lived in the interior of the
state, in the heart of the Republican vote,
and his friends opposed Blaine. They
either did not vote at all or voted against
their party candidate to such an extent
that the Republican majorities in several
counties were cut down more than half,
and in Mr.. C%opkhng's own county was
practically wiped out. This detection,
though 1t did not appear at public mass
meetings and in speeches, amounted to as
much as the mugwump movement.
Republican managers claim this year
that the stalwarts, though not enthusiast
tic for Harrison, are generally in line.
Mr.. Conkhng, they say, is dead. His
friends are opposed to Blaine, but their
opposition does not extend so far as to
bring about a permanent alienation from
their party. OF course, the enormous
amout of money that the Republicans
have at their disposal ought to bring out
the Republican vote. The Harrison peo-
pie insist that there will be large Demo
cratic losses among the farmers through
the cry of free trade, and that this gain
in the Republican counties of the state
will not fall below Is, 200.
Corresponding to the Republican gains
in the Republican parts of the state the
Democrats will make gains in the Demo
cratic parts, and especially in New York
City. Cleveland had about 43, 900 plural
itY in 1884, and the smallest estimate since
made by Republicans this year gives him
$4,000, while the Democrats claim that
he will have $4,000 or 5000. IF Cleve-
will carry the state. In New York City
there are strong causes that will increase
the Democratic plurality. First there
viii be over 40, 900 more votes cast, and at
least one-thlrd of these votes will be cast
naturalized foreigners, almost all of whom
are Democrats, while the natural increase
will go to Cleveland in proportion Of two
to ne,
Some of the workmen are still shaky on
the tariff reform issue, but the nearer it
comes to election day the greater the ten
dency for every Democrat to vote the
straight ticket. In addition to this nearly
all the Irishmen who voted for Blaine in
1884, having previously been Democrats,
will vote for Cleveland this year. He will
gain among the commercial, business aud
professional classes, whose naturaltendency
is to vote for the party in power, and who
are satisfied with Mr.. Cleveland's admins
t%ration. He will gain through the loyal
support of Tammany hall and through
the increased efficiency of the Democratic
organizations. 1t is more likely that his
plurality will be 65, 200 than as, 900. The