Los Angeles daily herald., 1888-10-29
The Horoscope Bright for Demo.
cratic Victory.

hVAoo Va VA 6Ah ihNdotiys
The Horoscope Bright for Demo.
cratic Victory.
New York City's total registration is
two hundred and eighty-seven thousand
voters. The rule in Gotham is that out
of every three electors two are Demo
cratic and one is Republican. On that
ratio Cleveland will beat Harrison in
that city by ninety-fve thousand votes.
Brooklyn, Staten Island and Queens
county is relied ON by the Democracy for
majority OF twenty-five thousand.
These estimates send Cleveland to Har-
lem bridge with little odds of only one
hundred and twenty thousand over his
opponent. Republican estimates put
Cleveland's majority in New Work City
at forty thousand, which is wild. He
had forty-three thousand advantage there
over Blaine in 1884, when the total vote
was at least fifty thousand less than is
looked for by all parties to be cast next
week. Harrison will not get the vote
Blaine got in New York. The Repub-
licans concede US fifteen thousand ma
jority beyond the East River,
while they claim that Harrison
will come in from the country with
seventy thousand or at the very outside
seventy-fve thousand advantage. TAX
ing the highest figure and deducting the
conceded Democratic odds to come over
from Brooklyn, cuts Harrison to sixty
thousand ajority at Harlem bridge.
Now take Cleveland's majority in 1884 of
forty-three thousand in New York City
and add 10 it the seventeen thousand
natural maturity to come out OF the fifty
odd thousand additional votes in that
city which we are basing these estimates
on and we get sixty thousand to meet
Mr.. Harrison's sixty thousand at Harlem
river. Note that the lowest Democratic
estimates made by Republicans, and the
highest Republican estimates made by
themselves are taken to tie the two
candidates. If we hold to the lowest
Democratic figures made by the Repub-
licans and the seventy thousand claimed
for Harrison by all his own party except
ing the wild enthusiasts, and the figures
will give Cleveland majority of five
thousand votes-a perfectly safe estimate
of the least number of votes he may ex-
pect to carry the Empire State by. In
1884 the Butler ticket polled seventeen
thousand. mostly Greenbackers in the
country, but with good many Demo
cratic votes in the city added. These
will 60 to Cleveland this year. In 1884
the Prohibition vote in New York State
was twenty-five thousand. In 1886 it ran
up to about forty-one thousand. 1t is
expected to amount to nearly fifty
thousand this year. If this
expectation is fulfilled it will re-
duce General Harrison's majority at
Harlem Bridge to far below seventy thous-
and, and even below the sixty-two thous-
and which Blaine came there with four
years ago. While it is difficult to FORE
cast what the result will be
of million and hall citi-
zens casting their votes, there is
every reason to conclude from the above
array of facts that General Harrison can
not come in from the country with a
larger advantage than the careful but
naturally hopeful section of his party
assign him, seventy thousand votes; and
there is excellent reason to think that
President Cleveland will meet him
with not less than eighty thous-
and odds, and beat him ten
thousand. There is no solid reason
on the surface to think that the
Democratic ticket will carry the Empire
State by less than the result of our first
estimate, five thousand, and there is
good reason 70 look for as high as twenty
thousand in that State. If many Pro-
hibition voters go back to Harrison
which is mere surmise, we know that
there are many Of the same class who
voted for st. John last year who will
vote for Cleveland this year. We have
their own statements for this. Again, if
some of the Mugwumps should go back
to their own party they will be more than
Offset by multitudes of business men who
take little interest in party politics
but who will vote always for man who
has been tried and found to be 80 honest,
so faithful, so conservative, and in all
respects safe as Cleveland is known to
be-.
Indiana is now confidently claimed for
the Democracy, and the other side dis
putes that claim in very weak hearted
way. This is all we want to elect. But
it is not all we shall get. New Jersey is
as certainly ours as Kentucky, and Cali
fornia is as sure as Tennessee. There is
more than fighting chance in Michigan,
and in Wisconsin and Minnesota the
g. o. p. will be put to it's best PAGES to
keep out of the way of defeat while
even in Iowa, Illinois and Kansas there
will be such scurrying for victory as
has not been seen in quarter of a
century.
Mr.. FoULKE, the leader OF the dis
tinctively Civil Service Reform party in
Indiana, started out to make speeches