The morning news. [volume] (Savannah, Ga.) 1887-1900, 1888-11-03
Estinnatas of New York's Vote.

estimates Oh new 1OTA NOIo'
The democratic leaders in New York say
that they have made very careful est
mate of tie probable vote in that state,
and TIE republican leaders also have estl-
mates which they pretend to believe are
entirely reliable. 1t is evident, bowever,
that the estimates in all cases are mere
guesses, which, in many counties, are made
by persons lacking in judgment and trust
worthy information.
Tie democrats got their estimates from
democratic sources, and republicans get
theirs from republican sources. Those who
furnish the estimates are of course in
fiuenced to large extent by their political
sentiments, and by their strong desire to
see their respective parties victorious.
On Wednesday the national republican
committee published an estimate of the on
tire vote of the state, and ann 9unced that
it was based upon information that could be
relied upon. 1t gave Gen Harrison an APP
parent plurality of 1890. In order to pro-
duce this result Gen. Harrison was given
81, 800 plurality above Harlem bridge, and
Mr.. Cleveland was allowed only $1,000 plu
rality in New York county and $1,000 in
Kings county.
The national democratic committee also
has an estimate of the vote of the state, which
has been made within the last few days.
1t gives Mr.. Cleveland plurality of 16,400.
1t allows Gen. Harrison about the same plu
rality above Harlem bridge that Mr.. Blaine
received in 1884, and gives Mr.. Cleveland
s., 900 plurality in New York county.
The Sun on Thursday printed a very
comprehensive and interesting analysis of
the vote of New York III the campaigns of
1850 and 1854, and concluded that if the
percentages of the campaign of 1884 were
maintained Mr.. Cleveland's majority over
Gen. Harrison would be 800. According to
the SUMS figures, the total vote above Har-
lem bridge will be about 500, 900 In 1884, of
the vote of the counties above the bridge,
MIR, Cleveland received little less than
a per cent, and Mr.. Blaine a little over
5ll5 per cent, and in New York county
Mr. Cleveland received little more than
49, per cent. and Mr.. Blaine a little less
than 40l5 per cent. In Kings county Mr.
Cleveland received 5615 and Mr.. Blaine 49,
per cent, and in the counties of Queens,
Richmond and Suffolk Mr.. Cleveland re-
ceived about So per cent. and Mr.. Blline
about IS per cent. The counties mentioned
are the island counties and are the ones
upon which the democrats almost wholly
depend to carry the state.
The World also has an estimate Of the
vote of the state which gives Mr.. Cleveland
plurality of IL, $50. 1t gives him plural
ity of 60, 600 in New York county, IL, 500 in
Kings county, and allows Gen. Harrison
plurality of 74,750 above Harlem bridge.
The conclusion at which the World arrives
from its own estimates and those of the
national committees of the two parties is
that New York, always a doubtful state,
is this year more doubtful than ever"
1t is worthy Of notice, however, that the
confidence of the democrats in their ,JDihty
to carry the state is stronger than that of
the republicans, and that the betting on the
re 5ult is in favor of Mr.. Cleveland.