Los Angeles daily herald., 1888-10-06
The Democratic Outiook-State and
NatiOnal.


and whose guiding spirits care nothing
for Office, and would probably not accept
an Office if rendered, have some pride OF
opinion, and do not care to venture upon
prophecies which might be largely dis
credited by the result.
The HERALD is of this class, and We
have not hitherto cared to make sweep
ing vaunts. California is generally a
close State, and ordinarily it has been
Republican, taking the record since the
war as the standard.
There are circumstances that, this
year, seem to indicate strong cur
rent which will land the State in the
Cleveland and Thurman column. These
are briefly:
a. The German vote is almost solid
ly Democratic this year. The local
trend of the Republican party towards a
sumpluary law regime has given US al
most the entire German voc. The only
election in this State in which we have
had this vote heretofore was in 1882,
when the Republicans had adopted a
sumptuary law plank, somewhat
equivalent to that Of the National Repub-
licans at Chicago this year. In 1882 the
Democrats carried California by $4,000
plurality. the figure by which they elect
ed Stoneman Governor. The situation
is much the same now that it was then,
and the Democrats have the great con-
ISOLATION of knowing that they can throw
off 10000 of that splendid plurality and
yet win by 1000. "Small favors thank
fully received; large ones accordin'."
(2.) The Scott exclusion bill-a bill
formulated by a Democrat familiar of
the White House, passed Immediately
by Democratic House and signed by a
Democratic President - gives to the
people of the Pacific Coast and to Cali
fornia particularly the result aimed at in
years Of popular hope and struggle. 1t
has strengthened the Democratic party
ten thousand votes in this Common
wealth in the impending struggle.
49, The Prohibitionists in this State,
and particularly in the Southern counties,
are developing strength which they
have never heretofore shown. Their
leaders claim $500 votes in this county,
at least 1000 of whom will be taken from
the Republican party. This is power
full help to Cleveland and Thurman, and
will probably elect the whole Democratic
County ticket. Los Angeles county is
specially in need of a thorough Demo-
cratic redemption, and this year it will
in all likelihood get it, root and branch.
For the reasons herein enumerated The
HERALD believes that the Democratic
party will carry the State of California.
The National contest is if possible
brighter. The man who talks about any
doubt or difficulty in Cleveland's carry.
ing the State of New York is wasting his
breath and shaming his intelligence.
The Empire State is as certain to go for
the Democratic ticket as the Aurora
Borealis is to be feature of the gorgeous
natural phenomena of the Arctic region.
In the union of Cleveland and Hill we
have guarantee that New York will
make it merely matter of Democratic
majorities.
As to New Jersey, it is sufficient to say
that that State has cast her electoral
majorities for every Democratic candi-
date since the war except for Horace
Greeley, who never was Democrat.
That she will do herself proud in the case
of Grover Cleveland goes without saying
when the fact is borne in mind that
Cleveland himself was born in the Sweet
Potato State. State pride as we'll as
patriotism calls upon New Jersey to outdo
herself. Her very Apple Jack would sour
in the jugs if her citizens were to prove
recreant on the present occasion. To cap
all, the Prohibition candidate is also from
New Jersey, and that party in that State
never showed anything like the vitality
it exhibits now. New Jersey will not
only go Democratic but will go Demo.
cratic largely.
Thus, with New York, New Jersey and
the solid South, Mr.. Cleveland needs but
three other electoral votes, the exhibit
stands as follows:
oViiu oouIH ........,.... 103
New York ..............a......... ..... SO
I'VE" Jersey .......... OBSERVATION-DISCLOSURES.
Total Observation-Disclosures. 1913
Needed to Choice. ................ 2Ol
To get these three electoral votes
Cleveland and Thurman have Connec.
ticut, whose SIX electoral votes we're car
ried by the Demeefacy in 1884, Indiana,
which was also carried by Cleveland in
1884, and California, which the Democ-
racy will carry this year Of grace. In addi-
ton the Democracy will probably divide
the electoral votes of Michigan, and it has
fighting chances in several other States
But we will dismiss all purely conject-
ural figuring, and get down to the basis
of common sense, with the following
table, which will represent the minimum
of the Democratic Presidential outlook
| FOR CLEVELAND AND THURMAN.
| Solid South .... ...................... 1853
| New York .............. ...............,. SO
New Jersey ey......................... 49,. 8
Connecticut Observation-Disclosures.
Indiana Observation-Disclosures. ............ Is