St. Paul daily globe., 1888-03-27
"A Diagnosis Of the Situation
by Prominent Politicians
Of the Day.
Shepman's Chances Grow Slim
on Account Of Unpopular
ity in Close States.
A Growing Sentiment That
Blaine Will Be Forced to
Accept the Candidacy.

cats. Had Mr. Blaine deliberately
planned crusade against his rivals no
manifesto other than his Florence letter
was needed to bring On the engagement.
Within three months of the gathering
Df the national Republican convention
The spectacle is presented of the effort
TO shatter the idols of the party rather
Than give to them strength. With the
Single exception of John Sherman no
candidate for the presidential Office has
benefited by Mr.. Blaine's retirement.
With Sherman, however, it operated
both ways. BY getting out of the race
MIR. Blaine has assured to Sherman the
Support of his own state, which other
wise would not have been his. But
likewise has he heaped upon him the
target of scrutiny and criticism. The
Ohio senator was in the lead in the COM
mon aim for all who chose to assail
him. Since the peStiferous bee got into
the bonnet of Sherman he has never
been so sanguine as now. His hope is
that in the states outside of New York
ne will have such commanding fol-
lowing that he will force the Empire
State delegation to come to him. With
supreme satisfaction he notes the inter
necine quarrel in Indiana. because it
destroys formidable rivals. And yet
the outlook for his nomination is not
promising.
WM. e. CHANDLER'S DIAGNOSIS.
Those identified with the Republican
party will concede to Senator Chandler,
of New Hampshire, largesse Of politi-
cal wisdom. Mr.. Chandler is not un-
friendly to John Sherman. True, he
despiSed the Hayes administration, of
which Sherman was the towering oak.
Time, however, has mellowed him, and,
with added years, he has forgiven, if
not forgotten, the actors in it. Il have
a great admiration for Sherman" he
said; che draws one nearer to him every
day
''Will he be the nominee of the Re-
publican party?" asked.
TO this the senator's answer was not
direct. sThe Republican party" he
said, ''muSt adapt itself in choosing the
candidate to the one who is strong in
the weak states. These are New York.
in which is included Connecticut, and
New Jersey, the Pacific slope and In
diana. If Mr.. Sherman can convince
the convention that he is strong in these
states, he will be the nominee. If he
can not so show,
HE WILL NOT BE NOMINATED.
From this tile conversation drifted to
Sherman'S attitude to the other leaders
in Ohio, and naturally Forake er was dis
cussed. ''Foraller," said the senator,
''has the big-head himself. While not
q candidate, he is quite willing to take
the chance of the lightning striking
him" 1t is in order at this point to
dwell upon the fact that, no matter how
strongly he may make denial, there is
the feeling that Foraker is not over
jealous in Sherman's behalf. This may
do the young governor great injustice.
1t may have its origin i'll the fact that
Sherman was betrayed in the conven-
tiOn four years ago. No matter now lie
may now protest, those outside OF Ohio
Judge the future conduct OF Foraker
solely as it manifested itself toward
Sherman in the past. Mr.. Chandler
makes
THE WEAK POINT
III the Democratic lines in the debatable
states. He ignores seemingly the idea
that the Republican party can make any
inroadS upon the solid South. But in
the very states wherein he claims Sher-
man must show himself to be strong
he is n0toriouSly weak. On the Pacific
slope the antagonism of the treasury de-
partment, when he was at its head, to
the silver dollar legislation made him
bitter enemies. 1t has always been
charged and believed that he wrote the
veto of the silver bill, which was passed
by a two-thirdS vote of both houses and
congress Notwithstanding. In Indiana
he is oyershadowed by the two candi-
dates the state itself has to represent.
True, with Blaine i'll the contest he had
a following in Indiana, which. since the
withdrawal, shows obviously was rather
based upon the hatred of Blaine than
the love of Sherman. In New York
Sherman has no following among the
politicians, and his candidacy is not in
that section seriously discussed. The
South will cut no figure in the conven-
ton, for it will represent nothing but
greed and avarice and can deliver no
digits to the electoral column.
A THREATENED CONTINGENCY.
There is not now the prospect that the
mind of the party will center upon any
candidate up to The very hour the con-
Vention will assemble. New York will
have a candidate. Indiana will have
two. Connecticut will support HaWley,
and Iowa will back Allison. Illinois
The outlook is that a dozen candidates
will be in the field. OF these Sherman,
with Ohio and scattering vote
elsewhere, will have the lead.
There may be two or three days
of balloting without result. Those
who still believe that James &.
Blaine will after all be the nominee of
his party reason it out because of the
fact that no other candidate in the light
now afforded can get the necessary votes
to secure the nominl tion. Every hour
which protractS the convention in
Wrangle over the nominee will point to
Blaine's availability. His name may be
sprung as was Garfield's, despite his
protest. Mr.. Blaine has never made the
declaration that he would refuse the
nomination, and all history does not
make record of any one nominated for
the high Office of president who ever de-
elined it.
CHAUNCEY NJ. DEPEW.
Enough is now disclosed to warrant
the prediction that Chauncey NJ. Depew
will be the candidate supported by New
York. OF tho delegates already chosen
In Philadelphia ten, if not indeed the
entire contingent ARE under the dOmina-
lion of Boss McManeS. The declaration
made by MeManeS of preference for
Depew is an index that New York and
the second great state will be in alliance.
Senator Quay, who wields power in the
western end of the state, and his gifted
lieutenant, Chris Magee. have declared
for Depew. This is notice direct served
Oh the Camerons that, no matter what
their personal feelings for John Sher-
man, they will not be able to dragoon the
state III his support While there may
be no deep-seated conviction that De-
pew can attain the prize, he serves as the
convenient refuUe lIDOn which the Two
great states OF the Union can rally. For
a national convention the votes of the
delegation from New York and Penn
sylvania equal nearly one-siXtn Of the
numerical strength of the body.
MIR. sIIERMAN'S DANGER.
Mr.. Sherman, in the initial ballots in
the convention, may have 40 per cent of
the delegates. This, however, leaves
him faI. frnna thn rnn ,IiI..al niinhnl. In