Los Angeles daily herald., 1888-11-05
The Empire state.


given out an estimate of the vote of New
York. Harrison is given a plurality in
the State of 14,2OO. At the same time
the New York World has given out an
estimate showing $4,000 plurality for
Cleveland. As every man knows, the
managers of both parties figure out
plurality for themselves in all doubtful
States before election, but it is only when
estimates are given OIL districts that an
ANALYSIS can be made. In Chairman
Ouay's estimate the slim Republican
plurality of IA 200 is obtained by claim
ing that the Republicans will come to
Highbridge with 85, 100 plurality, and al
lowing the Democrats plurality of only
6O,9OO in the Democratic counties of
New York, Kings (Brooklyn), Queens,
suffolk and Richmond. These counties
gave Mr.. Cleveland plurality in
1884 of 63,238, although, as every
body knows, there was an enormous
detection from him in those counties
Blaine only came to Highbridge with
62,l9O plurality, which is % 300 less than
Chairman Quay proposes to give Har-
rison. In 1880 Garfield only received
something over $4,000 plurality in the
interior counties, and the Democrats
were beaten that year by not holding
their vote in New York and the Long
Island counties. In 1876 the Republican
vote in the interior did not come up to
the figures claimed for Harrison, and Mr..
Tilden received about 100000 plurality
in New York and Kings counties alone.
He carried New York City by over
10000. There is no reason why Harrison
should receive larger plurality in the
interior of the State than either Hayes or
Garfield, and it is we'll known that Mr..
Cleveland did not come within many
thousands of getting the normal Demo
cratic vote of New York or Brooklyn. At
present the local Democratic leaders
in New York confidently assert that
Cleveland will poll the normal Demo.
cratic strength in New York City and
Brooklyn, and all the surface indications
bear them out. Under these circum-
stances, if the Republicans can only
figure out plurality of 14,20O
by swelling their normal interior plural
ity by over 10000, and reducing Mr..
Cleveland's abnormally small plurality
of 1884 in the five southern counties over
5000, they are in bad case. The figures
are absurd on their face, and they are
either given out to mislead or reveal a
desperate extremity on the part of Har.
rison's managers. The Worlds estimate
gives Harrison a plurality of 73,340 in
the interior of the State, and gives Cleve.
land sc, $40 plurality in the five counties
which gave Mr.. Tilden 5000 plurality
in 1876. Thus the World reduces Gar
fields plurality in the interior 1000, and
reduces Tilden's plurality in the five
counties below Highbridge $4,000. Now
Richard Croker, the Tammany leader
positively asserts that New York city
will give Mr.. Cleveland not less thar
SC, 900 plurality, and Hugh Mclaughlin
the local Democratic leader in Brooklyn
is equally as positive that Kings county
will give 10000 Democratic plurality
He also estimates that Queens
Suffolk and Richmond counties, which
gave a Democratic plurality in 1884 o
3,446, will give Cleveland q plura.it,
this year of at least 5000. These are al
low-water Democratic estimates, 23,OOl
below the Democratic pluralities OF 1876
and they just Offset the abnormal ant
unreasonable Republican estimate Q
S5 900 in the interior. All well-informe'
men agree that the Worlds estimate c
73,340 Republican plurality in the int
rior is top-notch figure, and the Demo
cratic managers in the State do not thin
the plurality will be much, If any, abov
Blaine's. Some Of them, indeed, plac
Il many thousands below. Taking q