The Portland daily press. [volume] (Portland, Me.) 1862-1921, 1888-11-03
THE FIGHT WON IN NEW YORK.
Democratic Newspaper Men Predict
Republican Success.
A Careful Review of the Situation IN
dlcates Decisive Victory.
The Democrats Cling to a Forgery
And Then Cry Fraud.

New York:
NEW YORK, Nov. 2.-The Republican poll
of the city, which was begun Immediately
upon the completion of the registration last
Saturday night is substantially collected. II
shows that there are between 115,0OO and
10000 Republican voters in New York city
which are likely to be cast for Harrison and
Morton next Tueaday. The calculation
made by Supervisor Davenport is that it will
be nearer 100, 900 than any less figure, while
Gen. Knapp of the Republican State Com.
mittee and Col. Erhardt say it will surely
reach 115,0O0. The canvass just completed Is
the third made under Dayenport's direction
since the campaign opened, and his system
of dividing the city into blacks and pursuing
the most energetic inquiry with regard to
every name on the registration lists has ena-
bled pretty accurate compilation TO be
made, and 1t is conceded that no one has
such means of kDowing how the voters are
divided as Davenport has. He has done
this work under the direction of the National
Committee, and the poll books he has pre-.
pared and the accompanying information
regarding every voter about whom there can
be the slightest question will prove a strong
help to the Republicans on election day. In
this is embraced all of Chairman Quay's plan
of campaign in this city, and the effect of il
has been notable. 1t will be the means of
preventing any number Of fraudulent votes
which will not now be attempted. Nobody
can tell how many fraudulent names 1t has
kept off the registration lists, and it will pre-
vent the voting on such bogus names as may
have been registered in spite of precautions.
1t is said that from 1000 to 10000 intended
illegal votes will be scared off by this means
on election day. A good many Of those
rnUI ICfa hnu o,n1 HI.rx
close work done in this way is something en-
tlrely new to the Democratic local managers,
who have been accustomed to saying that
they could make the party majority in this
city anything that was needed. They do not
now turn in any direction without
encountering evidences of the strength and
and skill Of Republican management.
Nobody estimates that the total vote of the
ci3y will much, If any, exceed 100000. or
this at least 5000 can be put down as scatter
ing This leaves 255,OO0 to be divided be-
tween Harrison and Cleveland. If Harrison
polls 10000 votes, that means but *, 900 ma
jority for Cleveland in the city. If Harrison
polls 100000 votes-and even intelligent
Democratic estimates concede that 1t will be
as much as that-Cleyeland,w will have but
$4,000 This Is quite a distance from the
10000 or $4,000 SO wildly claimed a few
weeks ago, and which might have been had
In the absence Of careful Republican organi-
zation. | believe that the Cleveland major
ity in this city will be kept down to about
$4,000. and 1000 or 5000 either way from that
will not matter materially.
The Democrats, alarmed at tbs thorough
plans which United States Inspector of
Elections Davenport has made to prevent
frauds in the election, will endeavor to Sc
cure his removal by the United States court.
The attempt is not likely to be successful
The. canvass of Kings county puts the
Cleveland majority there at little less than
1t was four years ago, when it reached To-
600. 1t is variously reported at from 10000
TO 1900, and the latter figure may be regard
ed as fairly the outside one. Queens and
Richmond will pull this up 5000 more, Suf-
folk, another Long Island county, being
about stand-off. Allowing Cleveland 55,-
600 in this city, this will give him below
Harlem River 10000, and have yet to find a
Democrat who doesn't concede as much as
Ii is 5000 less than Garfield had, although
5000 more than was given for Blaine.
Every report from the interior increases
the Republican encouragement. There is
not Republican county in the State that
Will not increase its majority over 1884, and
nearly all will make much better showing
than in 1880. The situation Is such that all
figuring Of percentage must be made upon
the vote OF 1880 to convey anything like an
adequate idea of the probabilities General
Conger, the Republican candidate for Lieu
tenant Governor, is an exceptionally well-in
ITOO
$4,000 to $1,000 above Harlem River. The in
formation which comes to Chairman Knapp
OF the Republican State Committee jusrifes
a claim to the highest figure. 1t Is believed,
however. by the best Republican authority
that anything above 10000 will represent the
Republican majority in the State.
The Prohibition campaign, upon which the
Democrats have been relying so much, has
not been what it was four years ago. but
great Democratic hope is centered in It as it
Is. What is not fairly understood, either by
Republican or Democrat, is the fact that the
Republican spirit which won campaigns be-
fore 1884 has been revived everywhere, and
nowhere to such an extent as in the Repub-
lican counties of New York.
Within twelve hours the reports from
Indiana have given the Republicans addit-
ional reasons to look for what may yet be
regarded as notable victory in that State.
1t is likely that considerable sums of the
Democratic corruption fund sent to that
State will be misplaced and will fail of the
purpose.
New Jersey is giving better promise every
day now, and naturally much reliance is
placed In the district pledges of the Republi-
can leaders there, who are under more than
ordinary obligations to succeed.
Connecticut does not waver, although a
persistent Democratic effort has been made
there within the last four days to turn the
tide. Barnum has spent more than a fair
share OF the Democratic campaign fund in
his state, and as the fight closed in he will
have still more. The Republicans fully un-
situation so far as the almost hourly reports
show.
Joe howard's Ideas.
NEW YORK, Nov. mo newspaper cor
respondent is better known than Joseph
Howard. 81 believe" says Howard. shat
Harrison will be elected. Why? Because |
believe New York State will decide the re-
suit, and that Harrison will carry that State.
Why? For two reasons, First, ON account
OF the well-defned issue between protection
and free trade which Mr.. Cleveland made,
and which the Republicans hungrily and
thankfully snapped at. Bear in mind that
this State, in presidential elections at least,
is so evenly balanced that the change of
1000 votes either way is liable to affect the re-
suit.
The Republican managers have, through
speakers and documents, SO thoroughly in
structed the farmers and the voters general
ly throughout the State upon this tariff ques-
tion that, not only will they hold their own
but they will gain many votes, and. instead
OF coming to Harlem bridge with 10000 to
with from $1,000 to 5000. My second reason
has its basis in what. for want of more fe-
fictitious name, is called the saloon Republi-
can vote.
This element is controlled by such power
full machine workers as Sheridan Shook,
Barney Biglin, Jake Hess and Johnny
0Brien as absolutely as / have direction
over the quarter of dollar which is in nv
pecket. That vote, which these men really
possess, is not less than 5000, and it will be
polled for Hill for governor. But these Re-
publican machine managers will not take
upon themselves the odium of defeating the
national ticket, and so that solid batch of
5000 votes will be traded for 5000 other votes
in favor of Harrison. That you see, means
son, and against the former. of 10, 900 votes
These two considerations which / have
named will elect Harrison"
William G. MacBride is the head of the
Washington bureau of the Cincinnati En-.
quirer, the leading Democratic newspaper OF
Ohio, but, while it supports Cleveland. It's
editor and proprietor does not love the
President.
MacBride has been for one month watch.
ing the fight in this state. New York will
be carried by the Republicans" he said
''because they have the best of the tariff
argument. This is manufacturing state
and it is safe to prophesy for Harrison from
10000 to $1,000 plurality. He will come
down to Harlem bridge with a plurality o
not be more than $4,000. He will not have
more than Is, 900 excess in Kings county. anf
| in Queens county he will be far less thar
| 5000 ahead.
"You see what handsome majority tha
| leaves for Harrison. Indiana will 90 renub
| lican by 5000 majority. Cleveland will carr,
New Jersey, but by not more than 2,5O(