The Republican journal. [volume] (Belfast, Me.) 1829-current, 1888-06-14

The number of electoral Vote, necessary TO a
choirc is POI. The Democratic column in the
above table has l33 votes. or Is less than the
number required to elect. The Republican col.
uinn ha. lS2 votes. or 10 less than the number
required TO elect. The successful candidate
must make up his deficiency from the four
doubtfnl States. viz: New York, with 81 votes !;
New JERSEY. with 9; tonnecticut. with 6: and
Indiana. with 10. 1t appears from this that
New ork is absolutely Indispensable to the
Democrats. II they carry the other three
doubtful States and lose New York. the battle
is against them. In this sense New York NAV
be said to be the pivotal State. But it is not
Indispensable 10 Republican success. We can
give New York to the Democrats, and still
elect the Republican candidates. We can throw
IN connecticut. and still have > more electoral
votes than are necessary to elect. Or. instead
81 Connecticut. we can give the Democrats
New Jersey with New York. and still have =
margin o! votes more than are needed. These
are combinations which it is interesting to
keep i'll mind.
Now what is the outlook in the three States,
Connecticut, Indiana and New Jersey, ONLY two
81 Whith are Necessary to Republican success
If New York Is carried by the Democrats: In
diana Is the most important OF the group, as
she casts II electoral votes. Indiana was ear
ried for Nj. Cleveland in 1881 by a plurality of
6''2'. Bllt IN lSS6 on the vote for Lieutenant
Governor. this result was reversed. and the Re-
publican candidate. Robertson had plurality
OF b,''2l the change representing Il net Demo-
fratlt loss of nearly 10000 The aggregate vote
for congressional candidates in 1856 was Re-
publican. 2"l.2SS; Democratic. 225 196 Re
publican plurality Of 6.lo3. There is nothing
IN these figures to give encouragement to the
Democrats. On the contrary, taken in conncc-
tion With The quarrrl, over the >poilS the dis
sessions between the Mcdonald and Gray fac
tons and the reaction occa>ioned by the Indi-
ahapolS tally sheet nfamy. they furnish strong
grounds for Republican confidence As to Con-
nert.rul. Mr.. Cleveland> plurality there in lSSt
Was only l.2.6. The Presidents free trade
poilry has prod,ded plentiful lack of harmo-
ny among the Connecticut Democrats. and the
interest awakened l,y the discussion of the tar
~. III Which the Industries Of the State are
deeply mNoiNrd make it more than probable
that the slender Democratic majority can be
oNtr'om" and t!.e state carried for protection
and the Republican l'arty. The tariff is also
controlling l>>tl" III New Jersey. Mr.. Clevr-
lahd carried that State hy Il plurality Of 4,4l2.
In 1856 III" pemu' rats elected their Governor
by larger plurality. but on the ton4ressional
elections. iHtu which national issues entered,
tt't htpuhican> had Il plurality Of ;;.45S. This
Year, th" Democrats are divided: the Pruhhi-
tory vote. which rose from 6.l5} in 1884 to 49,
Nl'S III 1855, bids fair 10 diminish considerably
because ni the satisfactory working Of high
Incense. and the menace of free trade has made
hundreds of Republican voters among intel-
gent Workingmcn \ brief survey of these liz
urr> >ufhrcs t. show that i. is not reasonable
lor RtpuhcahS 70 rVltni upon winning all
tire" Of these States. hu they have only to win
two OF them ~ carry the election. Boston
.IuHrIiti.