The Atlanta constitution. [volume] (Atlanta, Ga.) 1885-19??, 1888-10-16
The Constitution.
ATLANTA, GA, OCTOBER iG, 1883,
Tho ncmocratIc Outlook.


The democratic situation as VIC diagnose
his this:
The south, New York, and New Jersey
pre- for Cleveland and Thurman. We con-
lder New York and New Jersey as safe as
Virginia or North Carolina.
The electoral vote will stand on this
basis; For Cleveland, the south 1853, New
York 80, New Jersey o, totui f55; necessary
10 an election, 201. The assured Cleveland
states therefore leave him 8 votes short of
majority. The needed votes he will get
IRON either Indiana, Connecticut or Michl-
kan.
We have great faith In Indiana, less faith
ln Connecticut and still less in Michigan.
The democrats have immense advantage in
lhls. They need only one of the three doubt
full states, while the republicans need them
all. The democrats can concentrate on
slther Of the three and win II they cap
lure that one. The republicans must fight
for all three of the states, and will lose I'M
less they capture oil three.
TO review the above somewhat, we con-
slider New York safe, because It is an over
whelmingly democratic state. A dozen
causes of democratic detection and dlsaffec-
sion combined to cut Cleveland's vote and
increase Blaine's vote in 1854. Not one of
shese causes exists today. The democracy
~ united on Cleveland and on Hin, and the
eight over local candidates viii only serve to
bring out fuller vote. A full vote in New
York city and Brooklyn means big demo-
cratic majority. The registration points to
. very full vote, and the best judges look
for a democratic majority below Harlem
river Of 10000. This majority it will be
impossible to overcome north OF the river
even admitting that the tariff reform agta-
sion does not affect the republican rural
voters. We have full and abiding conf
dence in the skin and management of Gov
ernor Hin, and he realizes, of course, that
It will mean ruin to him II Cleveland
should be beaten-or, indeed, If Cleveland
should run materially behind the state
ticket. Governor Hill viii see to 1t that
khero Is no knitting done and that everything
runs together.
New Jersey is as safe democratic state
es New York in proportion TO its popula-
zion. Tho local elections Of last week show
unexpected democratic gains and indicate
At least that there is no falling Off TO be
expected in the democratic vote.
As for the rest, we feel confident the DEM
ecrats win carry Indiana. The party IS
united, enthusiastic, splcndldly led and or
ganlzod from way-hack. The state pride IN
Harrison's nomination, which might have
Injured TO republican advantage, is lest in
the unfortunate record OF the candidate on
the labor issue. There is every reason for
believing he viii lose largely among the
workingmen. The democrats have a natu-
tal majority Of from 0,000 10 10000 in In
diana, and In our opinion will hold il.
Mr., Cleyeland's election viii be assured
without Connecticut or Michigan and in
our opinion 1t is lucky Il is SO. In Connec-
ticut the chances are about even between
the parties. The democrats have carried
the state In the last tso presidential cleo
tions by majority ranging from only /, 100
30 1.600-but, small as this is, II has proved
. steadfast majority. The Connecticut dem
ocrats are sturdy fellows and true blue.
They realize that every mars vote viii be
needed to carry the state, and every vote
will be brought out. In Michigan the
chances are about even, with the drift in
favor of the republicans. Itshould not sur
prise us to see these two states balance each
other-eyen to see both SO one way or the
other.
We rely confidently on the south. New
York and New Jersey. which win give
Cleveland lQs votes. We feel reasonably
sure he viii get enough to carry him over
the river from Indiana. The probabilities are
shat he viii carry Connecticut also--And II
Is not improbable lie will carry Michigan.
The outlook is bright and Frightening for
she democracy
Women Voters in Boston.