The Portland daily press. [volume] (Portland, Me.) 1862-1921, 1888-11-05
new WORKERS SURE OF VICTORY.
Republicans Place Their Plurality
Between 20, 900 and 10000.
A Survey OF the Field in the Em-
pire State,
With Some Cheerful Intelligence
from Other Quarters.

positive predictions were made by such as
tute politicians as ex-senator Thomas G.
Iiatt and General John N. Knapp, chairman
Oh the State committee, that General Harri-
son would capture New York's electoral
vote by from 10000 to 10000 plurality Ex-
Senator Platt has declined to talk Of the out
look heretofore. No one understands the
situation better than he. Last evening Mr.
Platt voluntarily made this statement: 81
have heretofore refused to express my views,
because desired to be positive of any pre-
diction might make. News has reached us
that is simply astounding in its character.
The cyclone l have prophesied privately is
already on its way. and will reach the Har-
lem River next Tuesday night with from
oo.ooo to $4,000 plurality for General Harri-
SON."
at will be nearer 100000 than so,ooo." in
tatiyely.'
:, Warner Miller" continued Mr.. Platt,
may run behind General Harrison little in
Erie and Monroe counties ON account of the
v9tes amp0s 1pDOstt9hn th but ne viii gain
license Democrats: l told you one month
ago that Cleveland would not get more than
4o,OO0 plurality in New York county. My
ngures are unchanged. l also said he could
not honestly secure more than 10000 in
Kings county; Our figures today prove the
correctness of that prediction. 1 told you at
the same time that Queens would probably
give Cleveland 1900 plurality. 1t will not
give him single vote more than it does
Harrison. Richmond may give Cleveland
@ aooo, oqt SUFFOLK would offset tnat by 1000 or
more Republican plurality. Our figures
show from 10000 to 10000 plurality for Gen.
eral Harrison in the State. You can quote
me as saying that nothing but the most out
rageous frauds can prevent the realization of
the prediction make"
General Knapp heartily indorsed the state
ment made by ex-senator Platt, with the
proviso that he thought the estimated plu-
rality was altogether too small.
when the Democratic politicians were
soid OF Senator Platt's prediction they had
little to say. Ex-Mayor William H. Wick
ham, however, though hide-bound Demo-
crat, acknowledged that in the main Mr..
flatts hgures were reliable. 81 have been
up the state myself" said he. 81 went
under the Impression that Cleveland would
the conviction that Harrison's plurality
would be at least 10000. A revolution has
occurred among the workingmen. Every
BODY is shouting for protection and damning
free trade. think Hill will defeat Miller,
put u VIII be an awfully close shave"
When asked last night what he thought of
the outlook, ex-senator Miller replied:
Il have no doubt of the result If every
Republican walks up to the polls Tuesday
next and deposits his ballot, and if that bal
lot is counted, not only Harrison and Morton
VIII capture the electoral vote of this State,
but Republicans will be at the helm in Al
Dany after January 1st. In no campaign in
my experience have / ever seen the en-
thuslasm and the close attention paid to ar
gument that have witnessed in this"
Has the interest been confined to any
particular locality?"
mo. Everywhere have 1 witnessed the
same scenes. Possibly the most earnest
meetings have addressed have been
rh NED IN the manufacturing districts
by the thousand. They have listened with
the utmost eagerness to the dissection of the
Democratic tariff policy, and throughout
kept crying, mo. No! No free trade!' The
Worklngmen nov, realize, il they never did
trade party. The Sackville- West letter has
let the cat out of the bag, though it surely
was transparent before, that the English
dent Cleveland"
How about the high license issue?"
Il have been astonished to see how popu-
lar 1t has become, not only in the rural dis
trlcts, but in the large cities. While speak
ing on the tariff question l have frequently
been interrupted with cries of oh, we know
all about that; Tell us something about high
license Prohibitionists by the thousand
have assured me of their support. No small
theirs"
"How much majority will General Harri-
son bring down to Harlem River?"
Al least $4,000 am confident that l
Shall not be very much behind him. l do
not see how it is possible for the Democrats
to overcome that here"
A Survey of the Field.
New YORK. Nov. 4.-Some figuring on the
whole vote in this State has been made by
experts which is of decided interest. 1t is
estimated that the total vote will reach $780,
600, and may be 10000 higher Than that. At
the former figure it will be an increase of al
most $4,000 votes over 1884. Estimates based
upon the best attainable canvass divide this
vote as follows: Republican, 615,OOO; Demo-
cratic, $4,000, leaving 10000 for prohibition,
labor and scattering. In making these fig
ures it is not to be forgotten that Blaine in
1884 received only about 1000 more votes than
were given Garfield in 1880, while Cleve-
lands vote exceeded Hancock's by almost
10000. The situation all through this cam
paign has been such as to justify the expec-
tation that Harrison will not only get the
natural increase belonging to the Republi-
cans is the popular vote, but that he will
receive that which Blaine failed to get in
1884 This may make the increase in the
Republican vote appear abnormal, while it
will not necessarily be so. The revival of
the Republican party spirit which is so
marked In the interior counties, and the way
in which the campaign has been carried on
In this city, offer every reasonable expecta-
tion of this, and, if that calculation is not al
together, faulty, the division of the total
vote VIII be even more favorable to
the Republicans than is indicated
No State that gave its electoral vote to
blaine four years ago is now at all in doubt.
With the exception of Michigan not one of
them has been worth considering as posi-
BILE aids to Democratic success. Michigan
has not offered doubt at any time within
the past month, and the reports received
from these furnish considerable reason to
believe that the Republicans will this year
take long step toward the restoration of
their old time majorities. There are abso-
ipteiy assuring promises from Indiana, and
the democrats by no means have the conf
dence In that State which they assume to
have. When we come toConnecticut we find
almost no Democratic hope. The inside
managers practically. gave up that State
tnree weeks ago, and they have done moth
ing 70 gain any ground there since. The Re-
publican caucus has been steady and effec-
tive, and the Republican situation has never
promised better than it does TODAY,
The Democrats are now most fearing lndi-
ana and Connecticut. If these two States
are lost to them their success or failure in
New York will be Of small account. For the
size OF the State an enormous amount of
money will be spent in Connecticut by the
Democratic National Committee within the
next four days. With all these facts about
the situation, the most desperate fighting
ground to the end of the contest must he
New York, because the Democrats cannot
win without this State, and they NAV NOT
win with it, and the brunt of the New York
fight falls upon the city. In spite of all that
has been said about frauds, colonization and
false registration, it is not likely that there
will be many wrongs upon the ballot box.
Those who have been accustomed to such
practices here are pretty badly frightened.
The chief apprehension now Is of gangs
of repeaters. who start out early in the
morning, and vote upon the names of repu.
table citizens in different districts before the
legitimate voters get around. This is an old
and has been a successful game in New
York. In most instances it is almost impOs.
sible for the election officers to identify these
people and know that they are not what they
pretend to be. The offer of rewards and
the careful attention of detectives will do 9
great deal to stop that contemplated fraud
Much reliance in this matter will be had up.
on the police, who will not be controlled by
the Democrats any more than by the Repub.
licans. The police department has made 9
list of the voters by precincts, similar tC
quite as complete and effective for police
uses, and in general the police are much bet.
ter informed as to the identity of the voters
in a particular district than anybody else.
The Republican canvass in the city this
week has recalled a significant fact. There