St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1888-07-02


Total Democratic vote for governor. 1921
Republican majority for governor. 14,211
Total Republican vote for Blaine. Ill, $50
Total Democratic vote for Cleveland. 10000
Republican majority for Blaine ...... 41,620
Prohibition vote in 1884. 1854
Republican congressional majority, 1884:
f FIRST dissriet ...... c 400
Third district. Observation-Disclosures. 1,4OO
Fourth district. ................. 800. 800
fItn ulstrlct ....................' 1Z,ooo
~
Two years later, by the nomination of
weak candidate for governor, internal
discussions and weak congressional
candidates, the Republicans lost three
congressional candidates, and had their
majority for governor reduced to 1900,
while the strongest nominee on their
state ticket received only a majority of
1900. How difficult, then, it is to judge
as to what the actual strength of the
two parties in the state is at the present
time can be imagined. The results of
1856 were not determinate ones. An
other campaign, and perhaps another
were necessary to give final basis for
political calculations. The only condi-
lions on which the number of votes to
be changed can be calculated are that
the Democrats nominate their best men
this year, and that the campaign is
tariff reform. Surprising that they do
this and that the Republicans nominate
no stronger state or congressional
ticket than they did in 1856, fairly cor
rect answer can be given
1t is admitted by reasonable and in
telligent Republicans that the national
ticket of Harrison and Morton, stand
ing upon the Chicago platform of high
| taxes, cannot hope to poll in Minnesota
Blaine's majority. Only Blaine him
self or Gresham could have done that.
If present indications are accurate
signs of the hour, the loss directly to
the party by the Chicago platform and
the growing independence of voters
will be in Minnesota not less than 10000
votes. There is no need, except for the
purpose of Justification, of denying this.
Harrison and Morton is not popular
ticket among the farming masses of
Minnesota. and the high-tax platform is
death-knell to their hopes of securing
taX-reduction from the Republican
party. We have, then, fair basis to
calculate from. Without considering
any other issue we will admit that the
Republican presidential majority in this
state will be 31,00O.
**
In 1886 the votes of some of the fact
orS in the elections were divided up by
their advocates as follows:
Prohlbitlon vote. ................. .....l 10000
Alliance comm .................25O 900
hnlShts Oh LABOR. .:...--.. .Zo,OOO
The Irish vote in 1884 went largely to
Blaine: in 1888 the major portion of it
will refuse to support Harrison for his
Chinese record. The Prohibition vote
of 1900 in 1856 will be from 1900 to
$4,000 in 1889, drawn from Republican
sources. We have already noted that
Harrison is certain to lose 10000 ALI
ance votes on account Of the
growth of tariff reform sentiment.
The natural loss to the presidential
| ticket, then, is, on the average (the diff
and $1,000, 5000 Prohibition votes; at
least one-fourth of the labor vote and
! one-half of the Irish vote, a total of
10000 votes, which taken from 10000,
the majority conceded Harrison if these
issues did not exist, reduces his maj or
ity to 1000. Augment this with the weak
state ticket liable to be behind him and
the diSaffection of German voters from
that, and the show for Replblicanism is
not inviting. The Republican congress
sional nominations so far made are in
no wise calculated to help the state or
national tickets.
OF course these figures are based upon
state and congressional Democratic
tickets being made up of the best tim
Der and standing on platforms that will
command the hearty support of the
voters. Should the Prohibition vote
reach $4,000. Republican success in the
state will be very doubtful. AS near as
the GLOBE can tell it, legitimate
change of 1900 Republican votes this
year, with the addition of Prohibition
gains, would make Minnesota Demo-
cratic. The prize is near enough to
catch it,