The Memphis appeal. [volume] (Memphis, Tenn.) 1886-1890, 1888-10-20
THE OUTLOOK IN MICHIGAN.
Upon What Depends the Democrat
Chance OF Winning.

Chance OF Winning.
From the baltimore sun.
The political excitement and hurry
burly OF the presidential canvass is very
marked Just now in all the doubtful States,
but in none 10 such an extent as in Michi-
gan, II the correspondence OF the New
York Tmo is TO be credited. For many
years Michigan was beyond question a
Republican State. In 1868 il gave Grant a
majority OF 81 900, the Republicans poll
ing 80 per cent. Of the entire vote. In
1876 Hayes had majority OF 25,300. In
that year the Democrats increased their
share Of the total vote to IS per cent In
1884, however, after holly contested
campaign, in which Mr. Blaine himself
took part, the republican candidate for
the presidency failed OF majority, AMI
had plurality Of only 3,50S. The agcre-
gate OF the Democratic and Prohibition
votes in that year exceeded the Republican
vote by rs much rs 1000, showing a large
decline in the Republican prcpondcr-
nnce. OF the total Of IU6, 223 votes Mr.
Blaine received 1902 per cent, Mr.. Clcvc-
land E.20 per cent, and ~. John, the
Prohibition candidate, i.50 per cent. A
plurality OF only 3,3OS on such large vote
clearly placed Michigan in the list OF StIles
the Democracy might hope to capture. A
gain for the Democracy OF but one vote in
100 would make them yictors. Ia the inn
probable case that there was 20 be in 1855
no gain in the regular Democratic vote the
party might still, without eXiu effort, hope
4 IA = "A.
continued 10 increase in the usual way NJ
the expense OF the Republican poll.
Hence the vigor AMI confidence with
which the Democratic leaders have thrown
themselves into the present contest. They
have pushed the fighting from the begun
ming, aud now declare that on the Oh II
November next they will certainly wipe
out the small Republican plurality oi 1851
/ The issue Is a popular one. For years past
/ the Michigan Democracy has favored tariff
reform. They have not budgcd when the
/ free trade buciboO was presented 10
their view in 1880 aud 1884, and they are
now hardened against that spectre. Lum.
herring and salt-making being important
| Michigan industries, the Republicans have
hoped that panic would hs produced by
the proposal of Mr. Mills 10 put lumber
AilN SAT- NN lilf litf ll7ls huA ~ Aitf7 ivy
have been disappointed. The Democrats
welcomed the prospect OF cheaper build
ing materials. They arr oycrriddcn with
lumber monopolcs, aud like nothing
better than 10 light the Michigan cuuiih-
gent OF the great lumber trust OF the
Northwest As 90 free salt, they take to
il kindly also. aud have nominated for
Governor q large salt manufacturer The
tax question has been kept foremost
throughout, ~ the distress ui the Repub.i'
cans. Who have been trying assiluuily IA
switch oilth discussion - sectional issues,
pensions and the like. Upon ihc whole
ihr Democrats It Is believed, have made
large net gains both In the towns and DO
the rural districts. 4 Circumstance which
adds to their confidence ~ the growing
extent Of the Prohibition secession iron
the Republican parry. la 1854 the lto
hibition vote OF Michigan was -, 2O5, @ hg
urc which Mr. Dickic, chairman Of lh,
national Prohibition committee, predict
wall be increased this year Ia about 1000
This u n large estimate. Allowing, how
ever. ior the cXasgcmiion which common
, ly affects the prophecies OF minority pa
, | ties, it must still be- conceded that There
4. reason 20 expect some Increase ui tie Nul
for FIX and Brooks over that Tor - job
I and Daniel. As gin Tor the Pruhibiiio
ticket Of I 600 votes nj the expense Of ih
Republicans would, other things bciu
equal. give Michimns electoral votes
Cleveland and Thurman, the Democrat
y will bo disposed 10 wish the Prohibition
4 lists success 10 the iull extent OF th,
II hopes.