Evening star. [volume] (Washington, D.C.) 1854-1972, 1888-10-18

A~ Soonless the third the Democratic matoritfes
m tne seaooard countless and the fourth the ma
iiss9ss.......e 81 SO 54sls 1ooooD
l5O-.......-. 4,4l2 TIa3 20 7l1 n
IooO.-. ..T4,&39 53Q6 81 O23R
1oo4 az, us 630oo IOl7D
10 any one who believes In the pendulum theory
VI PonucA u VIII appear that It is this year the
Turn OF the republican ticket TO win But the cal
euating republicans 60 deeper than such surface
indications. They recall the fact that, In all the
general election years since 1890 presidential or
osnerWise, the republicans have carried the inte-
nor counties. save only in 1882, when the Folger-
Cieveiano campaign was fought upon mixture
VI Issues TOO complicated to justify either q fore
cast or deduction. The Philadelphia Press re-
minos us readers also that the republicans have
never failed 70 carry the state when they have
come down 70 Harlem river with q majority OF
5000: this year Its stan correspondent, who is
canvassing the interior OF the state, has col
lecteo estimates from republican sources which
No considers fair ard sets the republican
majority north OF Harlem river at about g, OOO-a
ngure which as will be seen from the table printed
above, Is higher by some 5000 than any majority
yet reached In the southeastern corner OF the state
by the democrats The nearest approach to it was
tn1S76 when Mr. TIden, not only strong candi-
date personally but q brilliant tactician, polled
somewhat more than a 600. But in that year the
Interior counties did uncommonly poor work for
the republican ticket All along the central tier
the people had risen In revolt against the tyranny
OF the canal ring, and Mr. T1lden, who had been
fighting it nail as governor, had senced
large pert Of the republican vote which, II It
could not be cast for him, would at least not be
cast against him. The next best showing for the
democrats was In 1858, when Horatio Seymour,
the most popular democrat the state ever pro-
ouced, was running for President This year
there VIII be no side issue like the TIlden canal
hight or the local pride OF New York city TO help the
oemocratA and Mr.. Cleveland shares none OF Mr..
Seymours personal popularity with the masses
anywhere In the state But on the other hand.
the records OF the registration boards for the FIRST
two days give promise Of o large increase In
the city vote this year. II continued for the
remaining days at the same rate, the
advance over the poll OF 1884 Will be about % 600
two-thirds Of which are In democratic districts
II the bulk OF this new vote goes for Cleveland as
the democrats expect and the republicans evil
IDENTITY fear, and II the regular and normal demo-
cratic vote Is brought out behind it, the seaboard
counties can overcome the interior counties after
all even though the latter do as well as the repub-
hcans prophesy, and Cleveland Will carry the
state. But there are contingencies which cannot
be looked out for on either side. No one knows
what may be the result OF the present split ON the
mayoralty, especially II Mr. Coogan the labor can
Withdrawing before he Is plucked entirely clean,
decides 70 stay In the race, and makes his night all
the more bitter because OF the attempt that has
been made TO drive him from the Held BY force
Nor can any one say positively what influence the
liquor vote may have on the present canvass. War
ner Miller mas planted himself fairly and squarey
on the high-license principle that liquor has
become live issue In the state campaign; and, In
spite OF all the threats TO split, and cut and re-
n M nj hat
between candidates, the bulk Of the liquor vote
against Miller will probably be cast against Harr
son also This vote viii not be confined to New
York city ana Brooklyn BY any means, but viii ex.
tend TO all the cities and towns In the state and IA
counted upon to neutralke In no small degree the
eject OF the secessions from the democratic ranks
on tartn grounds.
The Baltimore and Ohio railway report for the
year ending september Both indicates that the
policy adopted by the new management has re-
suited In large increase OF the business OF the
road The figures on their face show a fallin0-ofY
OF nearly $500 0OO but that Is due to the elision
OF the returns which used to now in from the ex.
press business Had the express remained the
property OF the railway company there would
have been handsome advance In income 10 record
this year instead OF a decrease. The directors
nave voted TO pass another dividend
which, under the circumstances Is undoubt
edly wise. The experience OF more than one great
railroad property In the country has shown the
folly OF declaring dividends OF the earn
tngs and issuing new securities to raise the money
Tor them IL Is significant that, In spite OF the
b O.'s having received 50 severe a shaking up OF
Late. and being no longer classed among the diyl-
oend-paying concerns, twenty shares OF It's stock
sold yesterday on the open board for more than
81 Taking this In comparison. for instance, with
Union Pacific az 62 and St Paul at g. and consid-