Waterbury evening Democrat., 1888-11-03
THE INDICATIONS.

THE INDICATIONS.
 A glimpse of the political field and the probabilities of the result as they appear at this eleventh hour is encouraging to demo- crats and adherents of tariff reform. While no man can predict with positive certainty the actual outcome, the most conservative estimate of the conditions and indications as they now exist points to the success of President Cleveland.
 Four years ago MT Cleveland received 219 electoral votes and Blaine had 1S2 The states that went for the former were the southern states or the sO-called solid south with New York, New Jersey, 1ndi- ana and Connecticut. In these latter states, in all probability, will be fought out the battle next Tuesday, and as they or majority of them go the general result will be determined This does not mean that there is no element of dc ubt in any but tbese four states, for such is not the case. There are several of the western and Pacific coat states, notably Michigan, Minnesota, Illinois California and Ne vada in which the situation is somewhat mixed. But while every one of these states may be properly classed as doubtful they are more likely to go republican than other wise. Should any of them be carried by the democrats it would be gain not gen erally counted in the calculations of the managers, and to that extent distinct ad- vantage We hardly look, however, to such result, and are inclined to hold to the view that the 1S2 votes of what has been called the solid north will be given to the republican candidates.
 In such a case it becomes imperative for the democrats to carry New York. If they lose the 36 votes of the empire state it is all up with Cleveland. And with New | York they must have the 15 votes of Indiana, or the 9 votes of New Jersey and the 6 votes of Connecticut. If they lose Indiana then they must have this state and New Jersey. Connecticut is important only as it joins with or against Indiana as determining factor in the general result It is interesting, therefore, to study the probabilities as revealed in these four states. So far as New Jersey is concerned both sides are practically agreed that it will go for Cleveland. The best judges seem to think the same of Indiana, and are still more inclined to that opinion since the Dudley letter has been made public. Con- necticut is as doubtful to-day as ever, and there is nothing assured concerning it.
 Those who are best informed of the ac- tual condition of the state, and who are acquainted with details that do not appear on the surface, are extremely non plussed, and no man in either party who speaks honestly and conservitively stands prepared to take Connecticut from the doubtful column. If the tariff alone were the issue, and there were no internal con vulsions to disturb the democracy, the l state would go for Cleveland beyond any question. As it is we can only hope it will be so without venturing any assurance that it will.
 New York will prove the real battle ground, and New York city holds the key If the fourcornered mayoralty fight does not work disas trously to the democratic national ticket, if the leaders of the fac tions are true to Cleveland, Harrison will not be called to transfer his home to the nations capital next month This the leaders have promised, and in the absence of any indications to the contrary we must accept their word. That they will be faithful is the earnest hope of demo- crats everywhere whose eyes are anxiously turned to the great metropolis.
 As we said in the beginning the indica- tions are hopeful, and democrats have every reason to feel encouraged that the people will once again call to the highest place in the nation honest, brave, stead fast Grover Cleveland.