Los Angeles daily herald., 1888-09-28

Outside of the sporting feature OF the
current canvass, there are many circum-
stances which justify Democratic conf
dence. To the HERALD, chief amongst
these are recent interviews held by rep
resentatives of the New York Herald with
Speaker Carlisle and Hon. S. S. Cox.
Mr.. Carlisle's outgivings are specially
valuable, because he is cautious and col
lected in the extreme. His opportunities
for collecting the real sentiment of the
Republican leaders are unrivaled, and
he never says anything for buncombe.
He is earnest and outspoken in his belief
that Mr.. Cleveland will be his own sue
cessor.
We prefer to speak more at length
about the matured views of the Hon.
Samuel Sullivan Cox, otherwise known
as "Sunset" Cox, the most brilliant
man in either House of Congress, and
who halls from New York City, which
he has represented in the House of
Representatives, with the interregnum OF
his mission to Turkey, for sixteen years.
The Empire State is an open book to Mr..
Cox. He says, in substance,
that We are winning in the changes of
votes on account Of the Mills bill, which
are great on both sides, and that the
sumptuary issue is dominating feature
in New York, made so by the speeches
of Warner Miller, the Republican candi
date for Governor, by the Republican
State platform and by the record of Gov
ernor Hill. He thinks that we shall gain
immensely among the German voters by
this phase of the local contest-a gain
which will far more than offset the di-
minished Prohibition vote which the at
titude of Miller may bring
about. He is decidedly of the
opinion that Hills nomination
strengthens Cleveland. Above all, and
most important of all in the State Of New
York, he thinks that Cleveland will get
the Irish vote.
He thinks that the President will carry
all the States he carried in 1884, with a
fighting chance in others.
There are two passages Of Mr.. Cox's
interview which we propose to reproduce
entire. Referring to the election in
Maine he says: Speaking of the recent
"election in Maine, 1 wonder that the
Democratic papers have not been more
particular in setting forth this absolute
loss which the Republicans have met
stUith n Moinn Tharo SC
"couraging in the returns since they
"have come in. OF course, the Repub-
"licans have the monopoly of the ex-
press trains, unless it be the cow ex-
"press,' which is Democratic arrange
"ment. 1t comes in slow, but it is sure.
"The vote in the State of Maine is sig
"nifcant. The increase over 1884 is
"4,472; plurality in 1884, 10, ,745; plural
''ity in 1888, 1S,495; Republican loss,
81 ,250; the Democratic gain in total vote,
1908; Republican increase in total vote,
81 1924 decrease in Prohibition vote, 176
Therefore, on the vote of 1884 the Re-
publican per cent. of gain is .023 and the
Democratic, .052. The same ratio OF
"gains would give Cleveland II, 400 plu-
"rality in New York in 1885,"
MIR. Cox has also given some attention
to the outlook in California. While his
views on this head are at long range
they are identical with those of some OF
the most sagacious people of this State
and are entitled to the weight which all
of his opinions carry with those
who know the man. Here is
his estimate of the Golden State ::
'Jn the first place the Chinese record of
"the candidates is up for inquisition. 1t
sis stern and pitiless and the position of
"the President, not through words, but
Through treaties and acts-as we'll as
"the well-pronounced policy of Judge
"Thurman-assures us the Labor vote of
California. California is greatly inter
"ested in the production of wool, wines,
brandy, fruit, etc. Wool would be
against US if the sheep-owners were not
Flew in number-rich men who own
great focks; while the great body OF
"the people who wear clothes under
stand the question to be one connected
with their very raiment. It comes
"home to every man, woman and child.
"Our California Democratic members
"are not frightened because of the wool
Question. They are ready to meet the
Question on general principles, as we'll
"as in detail. Besides, the politics OF
"CalifOrnia are somevhot xuh;r,.;o,J
''They are not as Interchangeable as the
"politics of such States as New Hamp.
"shire and Connecticut, where every
"man knows how his neighbor is to vote,
"and how he voted last year. If new
"man comes into neighborhood in New