Orleans County monitor. [volume] (Barton, Vt.) 1872-1953, 1888-10-29
The Political Outlook.

best prospects. They lost the cleo
ton in 1884 by the smallest margin
of votes, and that by a few unfortu-
nate things which need not have oc-
Cured. The party was rent by some
troubles in New York state which in
themselves lost the state. The is
sues of the campaign were not as
marked, and not as advantageous to
the republicans as they are in 1888.
Cleveland, though he had bad
scandal on him, had the prestige of
a great victory for governor year
or two previously he had the advan-
tage of a powerful clique of mug
wumps, who's speeches and newspa-
per articles brought him several
thousand votes he had the Burchard
episode !; the Conkling Indifference and
an antipathies to help him, while the
great howl about republican corrup-
ton had its influence on ignorant and
unthinking republicans. The demo-
Gratis were considerably helped by the
large prohibition vote, the larger
share of which was drawn from the
republican, party.
This year the situation is changed.
There is entire harmony in ~ repub-
lican party. The tariff issue has been
made more prominent and particular
ly important; the proposed changes
have struck directly and harmfully
on many industries in the country and
in New York. 1t is not believed that
Burchard or a Morey letter
can be sprung on the party at
this time. The Conkling faction and
every kicking element is satisfied
with the nominations, and there is a
working harmony such as is rarely
seen; the prohihitionists are making
no gains from republican ranks. On
the contrary it is believed their vote
will be diminished as some or the
prodigals are returning. Never be-
fore. however has the contest be-
tween the saloons and the people
been so sharp and so marked as at
this time Governor Hill, a willy
and able politician, is by common
consent the champion of the saloon
and the rum interest; he will poll
some votes from the republican sa-
loonists, but it is hoped enough tenn
perance and anti-saloon democrats
will vote for Warner Miller to offset
the force that will come to him from
the republicans. The saloons are
contributing enormous sums of mon
ey and their power to recruit and to
purchase the votes of the vicious is
great. Nobody can tell what it will
amount to.
The prospect in Indiana, a state
whose vote is almost as important
in this contest as New York, appears
to be practically assured for the re-
publicans. The democrats are pull
ing every string to carry it, but we
do not see how it is possible. II
Indiana goes republican, none of the
old republican states lost, it will re-
quire only Connecticut or New Jer-
sey added to carry the election, in
the event of the loss of New York tC
the republicans. Connecticut is rea-
sonably sure to go republican, New
Jersey is doubtful, though some late
calculations make it seem probable
that it will come out on the republi-
can side.
1t may be possible that some So
called republican stntes will fail this
time, though there is no reason tc
expect it. 1t is, doubtless, as prob
able that Virginia or West Virgins
may count on the republican side, as
that Michigan or California may &C
over to the democrats.
A few figures on the election
of 1884 may be of interest:
Taking the doubtful states in 1884
Connecticut gave Cleveland 67,199
Blaine, Go, 1928; scattering, Butler
1858; ST. John, 2,305; Cleveland''
plurality, 1926. In Indiana, Cleve
land had 244,99O; Blaine, 238, 463
Butler, 1928; St. John, 3,028
Cleveland's plurality, 6,527. New
York gave Cleveland 563, 154 ; Blaine
562, O05; Butler, 16 1874; St. John
25, O16; Clevelands's plurality, / 149
New Jersey gave Cleveland 127, 1913
Blaine, 1913 40; Butler, 3,496; St
John, &C., 159; Cleveland's plurality. 4,
35S. The total vote cast in 1884 was 8,
061,706. Of these Cleveland receiy
ed 4,S74,986; Blaine 1851 ,081
Butler, 175, $40; ST. John, 150,369
The narrow margin by which Cleve
land won in all the states claimed a
doubtful shows how probable it
that New York and Connecticut, nc
to mention Indiana and New Jersey
will be shifted into the republica
column.
There is only one thing to b
feared in regard to the matter: Tha
the great amount of saloon none
and corruption fund in the hands c
the democracy will be SO thrown an
used just on the eve of election as
change the natural result in Ne
York and Indiana, or in the clos
states. We have no doubt to-da
that the vote of the solid North woul
be given to Harrison If it could b
cast honestly, and that there al
several southern states republic
an, if their votes could be freel