Delaware gazette and state journal. (Wilmington, Del.) 1883-1902, 1887-06-30

rho Hsreaemt KsxosPecs 10 shat Esa@issc
ana oleseinnd wnn 90 slse uMaaa-
dates.
Harp 5r's-w Weekly.
In 1884 the plurality Of Mr.. Cleveland
in New York was l,O47 in vote OF
LII, 3l2. The whole Batler vote in the
state was 17,002, and the Prohibition
vote was 25,00l. Last year, when there
was no spscial interest Ia the election the
Prohibition vote was SO, 4i4. AT the sRnae
election the Labor vote for mayor OF New
York was about 81, 900. These figures
show tue impoasibility even Of g probable
guess no to the result in the state next
year, and consequently the doubt Of tie
general result. The Republicans have
done nothing 10 win the Prohibition vote,
or TO show to Temperance men anything
more than that whatever temperance legs
lation may be adopted will be due to thciii,
but aiso tnat it will be So eontrived NJ a
wholly to ALLEVIATE the liqu n interest. IRE
Republican argument wnh trmpefauna
men is the familiar one, You are shfcr
with us than with the uilirr party" That,
however, Is not nn arguin, ut for Psohibs
tionists. There wall no undoubtedly
Prohibition candidate mkt year, and
probably Labor candidate Bat the
Labor vote will not be drawn exclusively |
from the Democratic party. There
ia large number of Republicans, esp
cinlly German Republicans. who will sup |
port Labor nomination. The Labor d.
lection, therefore, would not necessarily |
secure Republican victory in the state.
But il will break the uniformity Of old /
party adhesion, and tend to assure por
ton of the Irish vote to Mr.. Blaine, should |
he be nominated. In this situation, and /
regarding the electoral vote of New York /
as essential to success, the denomination |
of MIR. Cleveland by the Democrats is |
most probable, not because the Demo.
cratic leaders and politicians in New |
York like him or prefer him for candi- |
date. but because he would be supported |
generally by the independent vote, and |
by u large Republican vote that was |
given to MIR. Blaine in 1884, and because |
this combined vote would probably more
than set off the Democratic detection,
whether large or small. The suggestion
of Mf Hill as a candidate is, Of course, n
| Joke, and the selection of any candidate
but MIR. Cleveland, under the circum-
stances would probably assure Democratic
| defeat.
On the Republican side the situation
| changes from time to time. A few weeks
| ago the denomination of Mr.. Blaine
| seemed to be improbable, for the re ason,
as Senator Stockbridge OF Michigan, care
fully expressed il, that it might not tie
| thought "iudiciuu. The prospect Of
MIR. Sherman's availability was not I'M
| promising, But even then the remark OF
a shiewd Republican in Ohio expressed
what is probably the truth : that Soho
| Republicans are proud of Mr.. Sherman
they honor his rediitude, admire his abil
ity, and acknowledge his valuable tx
perience; and it they see that he can be-
elected, they will give him the delegation
Bnt there need be no illusions. Their
heart is with Blaine" This was saih
some weeks ago. II was thought that ou
personal grounds the Independent Re
publicans of 'S4 might accept Mr.. Sher-
man if Mr.. Blaine's nomination should be
thought not to he sjudicious." But this
anticipation of support seems to have
disappeared. Whatever strength there
may have been in the per.
speeches, especially the speech
at Springfield. in which his whole view
aud programme are revised and corrected,
make his general support by indepen-
dent voters doubtful. The present feel
ing undoubtedly is that as Mr.. Sherman
and Mr.. Blaine represent substantially
precisely the same view and spirit and
policy and rs Mr.. Blaine unques
tionably has the larger and more enthusi
astic following in the party, and as set
ting him aside would be concession to
Mugwumpery, and an indirect aeknowl-
edgement both of its reason and power,
! the best policy for the party is TO take the
! | chance that the force of the attack in 'S4
Q | was then exhausted, and that Democratic
] discomfort and Irish sympathy and labor
a diversion may pull him through in 'S8.
The prospect undoubtedly promises
: something of scramble or electoral
g scrub-race nssk year, and that is pro
Q spect which might strongly tempt the
t Blaine Republicans. But the palmer
: such prospect becomes, the larger, it
/ seems to us, would be Mr. Cleyeland's
y vote.
: II Mr.. Blaine desires the Republican
nomination he can undoubtedly receive
: it,. and that he does desire it is highly
Y probable. His visit to Europe, whatever
its purpose may be- will not impair his
n position as candidate. His friends will
9 take care that the country is reminded of
Z niIu an why that will not prejUdloe MIN
+, aid he will be personally refreshed anC
q rengsAgH9a Ger futnre exigencies Ia
10 decd, he can hardly avoid wishing 10 ap
Is peal to the country once more, because o.
/. the circumstances of his defeat in 1854
q When CLAY, as the leader of the Wings
was beaten by jackson or Polk, as til,
W Democratic leader, it was party defeat
d and he shared the fortune of his party
r But MIR. Blaine's defeat may be calleC
N personal. II was due not to preference
Y. of the Democratic party by the country
10 but to Republican opposition to hin
personally, for reasons which made Iii
r. defeat very different from ordinary part
~ misfortune. Mr.. Blaine is a student o
Id political history. lie can forecast tn
view and judgment of the future upon til
id events of his own time; and he canno
a willingly permit his political career t
I'd havo ended with the election of 1884. |
" was warmly urged by his friends at tim
or time that all personal questions concern
a ing him had been completely answere
n and disposed of by his election as senate
ty and by dissemination for the Presidency
IA But in the result of the election thei
~ own logic recoiled, and made anothe
ID answer indispensable. 1t seems there
nj fore that the present probability Is Nj
Blaine's nomination in 1888, and the 7,
es newed opposition of the candidates
IS 1884. In such an event, while IL
y. chances might apparently favor M
al Blaine. the essential advantage would |
he with Mr.. Cleveland. The vote that eleete
re- him in 1884 was given him upon faitl
But in 1858 the voters would walk /
lr- sight. Iio would be his own platform
His character and his administration, n,
N, his party, would be his argument, on
ey the more evident the hostility of b
as party Bourbops, the stronger would
he his commendation to the honest, qnie
an steady, intelligent masa of the people
ed all parties
gn --- SEQ
Of While Il young man and woman I'll
latter Miss Rosenthal were riding Ia
wagon alongside the Atlantic Coast rl