The Indianapolis journal. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1867-1904, 1887-10-02
FRANCE AND RUSSIA.
The Reasons why the Gear Hesitates to Ally
Himself with the Republic.

The Reasons Why the Gear Hesitates to Ally
Himself With the Republic.
Special to the INDIANAPOLIS journal
LONDON, Oct 1.-The shooting affair on the
Franco. Germ an frontier and tho guarded refer
encss il by the semi-official Russian press has
revived interest in the Comte de Paris's mani
festo. The tone of these articles has stimulated
the impression which has for some time pre-
vailed, that Russia would never form an alliance
with France as long as that country retained the
form of a republican government, and has also
given a color of truth to the assertion made
year ago, that the Car has said that when
France again assumed a monarchical govern
meut :. it would be time then to talk
OF an alliance, but not until then, When
it is remembered that the Orleanist family is
connected by marriage with the Gar and the
intense dosre Of Bismarck to prevent a Russo
French alliance 10 considered, it is not to be
wondered at that the financial markets were
only slightly agitated by the French frontier in
cident Financiers are that Bismarck
would hesitate to cause President Grevy and his
Cabinet any embarrassment, especially a few
days after the launching of the Comics
to bring about that form of govern
ment in France SO long prayed for by the Gear
and the war party in Russia A year ago people
were still excited by the harsh and vindictive
policy of expeiling the French princes. and the
royal sxiles were popular because they
prosecuted But the novelty wore off, and the
public became harden ed to the seeming injustice;
more as the house of Orleans is known to be
enormously rich, and wealth may be supposed
to mitigate even the pain of exile. Meanwhile,
the republic went on fairly WELL and the royal
pretenders ran grave risk of being lost sight Of
1t was necessary, therefore, in the words OF a
popular drama, to stir it and stump it." aud
this is what the Comte de Paris has ehectually
done with the opportune and of an over jealous
German sentinel If France were victorious in
h.
the successful eeneral-probably Bouianger-
which wonld inevitably carry him
20 the summit of the state. President
Grevy and his immediate circle do not desire
war. If France were defeated there would be-
a universal cry OF "a bas Grevy," which would
drive the President from Office In either event.
therefore, would bring NJ. Grevy nothing
but political extinction, and he and his friends
may be relied upon to avert it to the utmost
limit OF their power. But the military party is
strong, popular, warlike, and greatly encouraged
by the success of the recent mobilization. If
the forward section precpitates hostilities and
brings them to successful issue, the end will
be a military dictatofshiD. But if they
lose. and there is popular outcry against
the government which has brought defeat
and dishonor on France. the Comte de Paris can
say: This would not have happened under my
rule. The remedy for Republican mischief is a
constitutional monarchy. Here am | with a
constitution already formulated. Let France
restore her historic dynasty If war il avoided
and mems minds are distracted from plans of
vengeance by this new development of domestic
rolltlcs, me LeRltimhtsb party, IN the midst OF
the bewilderiug strife of factions, will saw:
There is no peace nor stability except under o
monarchy" Thus. whatever line events take
Comte de Paris risks nothing, for he has already
lost all and he may gain much
now. owing to the unfortunate frontier
affair, through having put himself boldly en-
evidence. There is n diplomatic side TO this
maneuver to which IL is known much Importance
is attached in financial circles. The Gear and
his counseors hate Germany. and would be
& lad TO try conclusions with her. This cannot
be done single-handed. yet the autocrnt of all
the Russias shrinks from an alliance with re-
publican France. In return for the assistance
which Russia would render to France in her war
OF revenge, were she monarchy. France would
undertake to let Russia work her will,
checked, In the East. In ths event OF war
breaking out between France aud Germany. It
is probable that very grave Inconvenience would
be caused Ia France by the unfrendliness of
Italy The Italian navy is now highly efficient,
and the Italian government would make great
use OF It In hostile operations against Marselles,
Touion and the south coast of France. and the
French forces requisite to counterfeit those
operations would have to be taken from the
available military strength the French
frontier.