St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1887-10-02
REPUBLICAN FRANCE.
How She is Placed at a Disad
vantage With the Monarchies,

How She is Placed at a Disad-
vantage With the Monarchies.
By Cable to the Globe.
LONDON, Oct. 1.-The shooting affair
on the Franco-German frontier and the
guarded references to it in the semi
Official Russian press has revived inter-
est in the Comte de Paris manifesto.
The tone of these articles has stimu-
lated the impression which has for
some time prevailed, that Russia would
never form an alliance with France as
long as that country retained the form
of a republican government, and has
also given color of truth to the asser-
ton made year ago that the car had
said that when France had again as
ssumed a monarchical government it
would be time to talk of an alliance, but
not until then. When it is remembered
that the OrleaniSt family is connected
by marriage with the car, and the in
tense desire of Bismarck to prevent a
RussO-French alliance is considered, it
is not to be wondered at that
THE FINANCIAL MARKETS
were only slightly agitated by the
French frontier incident. Financiers
are aware that Bismarck would hesitate
to cause President Grevy and his cabi-
net any embarraSsment,eS especially few
days after the launching Of the comte's
manifesto, lest he should contribute to
bring about that form of government so
long prayed for by the car and the war
party in Russia. A year ago people
were still excited by the harsh and vim
dictiye policy of eXpelling the French
princess and the royal exiles were pop
ular because they were prosecuted, but
the novelty Wore off and the public be-
eameshardened to the seeming injustice,
the more SO as the house of Orleans is
known to be enormously rich, and
wealth may be supposed to mitigate even
the pain of exile.
Meanwhile the republic went on fairly
well and the royal pretensions ran grave
risk of being lost sight of. 1t was nee
essary, therefore, in the words of pop
snlar drama, to ''stir it and stump it."
and this is what the Comte de Paris has
efectually done wi h the oppOrtune aid
of an over Jealous German sentence. Ii
France were victorious in war there
wouldbe an enthusiasm for the success
fRl general-probably Boulanger-
which would inevitably carry him to the
Summit of the state. President Grevy
and his immediate circle
DO NOT DESIRE WAR.
If France were defeated there would
be universal cry of ''a bas Grevy,"
which would drive the president from
Office. In either event, therefore, war
would bring Mr.. Grevy nothing but po-
iitical extinction, and he and his friends
may be relied upon to avert this to the
utmost limit Of their power. But the
military party is strong, popular, war
like, and greatly encouraged by the sue
cess of the recent mobilization. If the
forward section precipitated HOSTILE
ties and brings them to successful
issue, the end will be military dicta-
torslip, but if they lose, and there is a
popular cutlery against the government
which has brought defeat and dishonOr
OIL France, the cOmte de Paris can say:
'.This would not have happened under
my rule. The remedy for Republican
mischief is continual monarchy. Here
am with constitution already formu-
lated. Let France restore her historic
dynasty" If war is avoided and mems
minds are distracted for plans of ven
geance by this new development of do
mestic politics, the legitimists party, in
the midst of the beWildering strife of
faction, will say: "There is no peace or
stability. except under monarchy"
Thus whatever line events take, the
COmte de Paris risksnothing, for he has
already lost all and he may gain much
now, owing to the unfortunate frontier
affair through having put himself
boldly in evidence. There is diplo-
matte side to this maneuver to which it
is known much Importance is attached
in financial circles. The cZar and his
counsellors hate Germany and would be
glad TO try conclusions with her. This