The Indianapolis journal. [volume] (Indianapolis [Ind.]) 1867-1904, 1887-04-03
Several Estimates Pointing to a Possible De-
feat of the Salisbury Ministry When the
Final Vote Is Taken Oh the Matter,
In Which Event Mr.. Gladstone's Return
to Power Is Confidently Predicted.
Rumors that Several Fresh Outbreaks Have
Occurredin Observation-Disclosures Activity
May Yet Force the Gear to Make War.
THE BALFoUR BILL.
BiGns That Indicate the Possible Overthrow
of the Salisbury Ministry.

bill is beginning to be foreshadoweded In the
svent of the failure of this crucial measure,
dissolution of Parliament must follow, and
resh appeal to the people is certain Mr. Glad
stones homernle bill passed its first reading by
o good majority but was defeated on the second
reading by thirty-one votes. strong feeling
prevailed, at that time, among the dis
sidents in favor of a second reading and
then defeating the bill in committee. but
the prospects of the country becoming better
educated on the home-rue question, should the
defeat of the bill be postponed, thereby giving
Mr.. Gladstone better chance of returning to
power with a majority. decided the matter, and
the dissidents determined to defeat the bill on
the second reading which they did The
cion bill may pass the second reading and reach
the committee stage, the Liberal Unionists
hope for conciiatory offer from Mr.. Gladstone,
but many of them, az well as
number Of Conservatives. will desert
their leaders when the bill up comes for
final action, if they do not do so on the second
reading. The latter contingency is the sword
which LORD Salisbury has held over the heads of
the Liberal Unionists since he accepted the
reins OF government. The merciessness with
which he has threatened to cut the llet is illus
trated in the fact that he compelled at least the
leaders of the dissidents to support coercion
measure twice as extreme as the .one proposed
by the previous Conservative government, and
which the Liberal Unionists. to a man, voted
against, thereby BUSTING Lord Salisbury from
power. The Unionists fear dissolution as they
lear death. Whichever party wins, they will
lose The Tory party has discovered the ex-
49, T.
and they will bring forward Tory candidates in
preference to supporting Liberal Unionists.
The recent successes of the Glad stonians in
the Bye elections have inspired them with more
confidence, and they almost ready to go to
the country. Mr.. Schnadhorst the caucus king,
is rapidly putting the Liberal machinery in or
der and is calmly awaiting the final action of
Parliament the coercion bill. Mr.. Joseph
Chamberlain also foresees a general election,
but says it will arise out of the land BILL His
only word of comfort to the Liberal Unionists is
10 Organize, organize" A dissolution will be
highly unpopular with the business classes,
who. the chief Tory constituents,
and will cause numbers of them to
give the ''grand old man" chance
Of settling the Irish question once, and it is to
be hoped. forever. So long as Mr.. Gladstone,
with his unriyaied power of moving the masses,
is still in the field, his followers and the Parnell-
ties have nothing to fear in an appeal to the
country. The Tories have no success to point to
in the past. Their Irish policy has failed eyre
giously, and their other achievements are void
The only Chamberlainites that will vote for
coercion Mr. Joseph Chamberlain, his
man Friday, Mr.. Jesse Ceilings, and
ssxxN;r n:
recently received lively SNOWFALL
reception at the hands Of his constituents for his
loyalty to the Tories. The remainder. with fully
thirty of Lord Hartingtons followers, have
made up their minds to vote against coercion, as
they regard this step essential to their politi-
cal salvation at general election A plebiscite
taken might shows that Mr.. Chamberlain will
follow the Ministers, with his retinue reduced
to Messrs. Ceilings and Game. while Lord
Harrington will follow the Ministers, with
only thirty six Hartingtoniars.
There were 1l3 absentees from the meeting of
the Conservative members OF Parliament of
Thursday last to consider the coercion question
With the exception of few. it is known that
the absentees were opposed to coercion. Out of
these lib twelve will surely vote against coer-
Won, and it is safe to predict that forty will alb
tain from voting This win reduce the number
f Conservatives to 26l which, together with
Tie thirty-nine Uniolists will bring the Con-
Servative strength up to 300 The Glad
stonians number 19l members. the Parnellites
Sc, making total of 277. and with an additional
30 votes, which is low estimate, Mr. Glad,
Stone could show majority of Z. Another es-
innate puts the vote against coercion as high as
B37. composed of Gladstonians and Parneltes,
with 40 Liberal Unionisrs and 20 Conservatives,
which would defeat the government, even if
they received the votes of the whole of the re-
manning members. Strong pressure has
been brought TO bear on a number of Conserv.
atves by their constituents to vote against
coercion, and kilograms, letters and committees
from their constituents have, within the past
swenty-four hours. been playing havoc among
the Liberal Unionist props of the government
1t says much for the acquistiveness of the
Parnellite mind that the followers of the Irish
leader have acquired nice understanding of the
intricacies Of procedure. In this connection
allusion is particularly made to th,
junior order Of Nationalists. III,
men who, as members. are young
and green, and who had scarcely learned III,
pot-hooks and hangers of obstruction. After
little study of the difficult science they hav,
become expert parliam tarians. The oldes
English member could scarcely exhibit NOR,
profound familiarity with the tactics of deba.
than these parliamentary youngsters who hav
only had time to frame questions and know thei
way about the division lobby. 1t is not the re
suit of rehearsals under the eye Of the chief
but Of the diligence which even their enemie
admit the Parnsllites exhibit IN whatever thei
hands find to do They eager TOR dissolu
ton, and expect generous aid from their breth
rem in America to enable them to carry thei
elections.
Gladstone Talks About the Closure Rule.
Special to the Indianapolis Journsl.
LONDON, April 1.-The Liberals ara in a stat
OF CONSERVATION the manner in whic
closure was applied in the House of Common
last night, and there is q feeling of indienatio
against the Speaker. Mr.. Gladstone, in an il
terview, to-day, the events Of last night in tn
Commons, said the scenes were most exircrd
nary. But" he continued .they were nc
unexpected. In fact anticipated just sue
acsnes when the procedure rules respecting III
application Of closure were passed. We kne
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