St. Paul daily globe. [volume] (Saint Paul, Minn.) 1884-1896, 1887-11-07
THE PIVOTAL STATE.
Both Republicans and Demo-
Gratis Confident of Win
ming in New York.
The Labor Vote the Element
Which Neither Can Cor
reetly Calculate.
Henry George Conceded Fifty
Thousand Votes in New
York City.
The Prohibition Vote and
N<I.2x, II n:a n,I<
The Prohibition Vote and
Other Elements Difficult
of Estimation.

NEW ORk, NOV. O.-1 uc pOlltlCldiiS
of this state are entering upon the last
pull of the present canvass with more
trouble and uncertainty in their minds
| than in any contest in years. There are
SO many unknown quantities that re-
suits cannot be figured upon with any
definite certainty. The general course
of the campaign has been singularly like
those of 1885 and 1886. The Republicans
entered upon the campaigns of those
| years with confident cries of success.
They had carried the state before the
| conventions were over, but when cleo
| ton day drew near it became evident to
| close observers that the votes were slip
| ping out of their hands. The same thing
! has been true of the canvass this year,
and the closing days of the campaign
| see growing Democratic confidence,
which alarms the Republican leaders.
| This condition Of things is by no
means certain indication that
the Democrats will win the contest.
| The chances are decidedly in favor
of the Republicans. The unknown
| qualities, which are the prohibition.
| liquor and the labor votes. are so dis
| trbuted as TO give the Republicans the
most advantage. The Republican party
will lose votes in the state from both
directions of the liquor issue. That is
| to say,
THE PROHIBITION VOTE,
which will be as large as in previous
| years, will be almost entirely drawn
from the Republican party. A large
! German and Irish vote, which is con-
trolled by the brewers and liquor deal
ers. will be thrown with the Democratic
party. The Crosby high-lcense bill,
which was made a party measure by the
Republicans at Albany last winter, was
extremely obnoxious to the brewers and
liquor dealers in New York, Albany,
Buffalo and other cities. The weight of
their displeasure will be felt OH election
day. But against these two influences
the labor vote is d large Offset. The
lowest estimate made of the probable
labor vote in this city is $4,000. In that
number are included both the followers
of Henry George and the socialists,
who were driven out of his party by the
platform adopted at his state conven-
tion, but have nominated a ticket of
their own. Three-fOurths of these
voters were former Democrats, and they
may be more than sufficient to give the
Republicans the majority that they so
much cOvet. In both of these old par
ties there are serious disturbing conten-
tiOns. The Democratic party has been
enervated by the domination of mug
wump influences at Washington. The
rank and file of the party in the state
are not satisfied with President CleYe-
land. They have rallied around Gov.
Hill, and seek only an opportunity to
throw over
CLEVELAND FOR HILL.
AT the same time there has grown up
an element controlled by the federal
Office-holderS which has become as ag-
gresSive in the attempted management
of party affairs as during Republican
administration. The state officials in
the several COMMITTEES create opposing
factions, and where one has been DOM
inant the friends of the other have
sulkily retired from activity. This con-
dition of things is unhealthy for the
party and promises to lose large num-
berS of votes for the state ticket. The
Republican troubles grow out of the
senatorial contest in which Frank
IIiscock was the winner. Ex-senator
Warner Miller. who came within one
vote of succeeding himself, had large
following of the old wheel-hOrSeS of the |
party in the farming communities, the
dairying interests and the solid business
men. They have never been satisfied
with his defeat, and it has been with
the utmost difficulty on account of their
lukewarmness that any number of them
could be induced TO take any part in the
canvass for the Republican ticket. The |
nomination of
COL. FRED GRANT,
was an experiment. The Republicans
needed an advertisement. They got it !
by the nomination of the son of a
thn hood of thair fialyat Tho
intensely bitter feeling against the old |
soldiers has been fOStered in Col. |
Grants nomination. The Grand Army |
boys have given him Il hearty and unan- |
imOus support. As a young man he has |
received the generous support of the |
younger men of the party, who are not |
bound up in the old factional fights. |
His wife has been no small factor in
bringing him popularity. She is |
swrewd, tactful woman OF great per- |!
sonal charms and mental accomplish |
ments, who has accompanied him over |
the state, and has left beneficial i'm |
preston everywhere. After all, the
entire contest is to be decided, and |
solely decided, by the size of
THE LABOR VOTE.
in considering this element immedi-
ate recognition must be given to the |
honesty and sincerity of Henry George. |
DIR. McGlynn and their lieutenants. !
There will be no selling out of their
party to any one. Their aim and pur-
pose is to poll for the Labor party every |
possible vote. They are not politicians, |
they are agitators. They have not even |
the capacity of holding their own, but
they have had the ability to stir up the |
working masses of people in this city |
that they flock together on election day |
with much the same blind impulse as |
sheep seek shelter. One might as well
attempt 10 find a needle in a hay-Stack
as to ask for information at either of the
old party headquarters here. They are
either unwilling to talk, or what is |
more probable, they are unable to speak
lntelligently. Chairman Knapp said to
me this morning at Republican head |
quarters:
TWO OPINIONS.
"Unless all the signs by which we
shall carry the state. The only thing
that can disturb US is the enormous use
of money and The corruption of voters,
but at the present time we have the
best OF the canvass, and in the few days
that remain do not believe that it is
possible for the Democrats to turn the
tide and secure the state"
Stepping across the way to the Hoff-
man house found Chairman Murphy,
of the Democratic committee. He said:
1.-The real Democratic fight for the cleo
ton has only just begun. During the
last month we have merely been laying
the foundation for real work and on ]