New-York tribune. [volume] (New York [N.Y.]) 1866-1924, 1887-11-20
THE COMING RFPTBLIC1NS.

tdctS showing inc nUnlOcf OF new NOucrS
whose first vote may be expected next year
are met by two objections, as might be eX-
pcctcd; first, that the increase in population
is not so large as these figures indicate, and
second, that there has been the same argument
urged for many years as reason for Rcpub-
.ican confidence in Presidential elections, and
if it were we'll founded the Republican party
would by this time have outstrippcd all oppoSi-
ton.
The now vote is in part to AXE the place
Of voters who die. In Ncw-Iork, for example,
about 1O0.O 900 die or remove within four years,
while about 100000 come Of age or acquire
citizenship within the same time. There is no
reason to suppose that either party loses more
than the other by death But there is reason
to suppose that more than half of the new
voters Of American birth are naturally inclined
TO follow their fathers in Republican opinions.
Thus il comes to pass that at every Presidential
election for twenty-five years the Republican
party has manifested unexpected strength.
In 1864 the Republicans carried Ncw-Yorll
Ivy about 1000; four wears later the Democrats
counted up majority Of 10000 for Seymour.
in 1872 the Republicans carried the state by
$4,000 but in 1876 lost it by 30 100 In
1850 there was a plurality Of 2l.OOO for Car
field: but in 1881 the same State gave scanty
plurality of 1000 for Cleveland. Thus foI
twenty years the victories have alcrnatcd.
and a Democratic victory next year would b"
out Of order But the fact which deserves
more notice is that i'm each Of the years prcccd-
ing Presidential elections for the past sixteen
years the Democrats have had large majority
in Ncw-York Notwithstanding this prestige
Of victory. as it has on every occasion been
considered by >anguinc Democrats, the Rcpuh~
leans have prevailed in three out Of six lrcSi-
dental elections. In 1879 the Democratic ma
i0rity was $1,000, counting the votes for the
two Democratic candidates, Robinson and
John Kelly and yet against the united Dcmoc-
racy the Republicans carried the State the
next year by 2l.OOO In 1883 the plurality
for Cleveland was 1872 So for Governor. and
yet the next year he accidental y escaped defeat.
The reserve Of now voters which comes for
ward in Presidential election and not larcly
in the elections Of previous years. civcS to the
RcpuhlcanS in Ncw-Yorli an enormous uneN-
pcctcd strength. II was this reinforcement
which almost ovcrcamc ClcvcandS tremendous
majority III 1900. anu WHICH hl'I bN'l''IH' NV
largo plurality for The two Democratic candi-
dates in 1879. In the same way the Republican
strength in NcW-JcTscy has been surprisingly
sWcllcd at every Presidential election, though
not enough as yet TO carry the state against
Democratic fraudulent voting and counting.
At the last Gubcrnatorial election prior 10
1854. the Democrats had plurality Of $500
but with almost unlimited opportunity for
fraud in certain counties. their plurality III
1854 was but i.il2. Again. at the Gubcrna-
toral election preceding 1850 the Democrats
c,rIied the state by l. 7i3. but their plurality
against Garfield was only 2.O1O. Whether the
State would have given Democratic plurality
1T either Of these elections had there been III
use the means for preventing fraud in stnlnr
the ballot boxes and in counting the votes
such as The law now provides, may with much
reason be doubted.
These are evidences that the great new vote
can be won by the Republicans, in proportion
sufficient TO insure their success in the doubtful
States if they but take the pains to secure If
by proper organization and work Enough Of
the new votes can be won. in Ncw-Iork and
Ncw-JcrScy to settle the next President ial
election beyond a doubt and it remains for
active and patriotic Republicans TO employ
without delay or neglect the means required.